The speaker predicts a significant shift in global power dynamics driven by a prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict, which will serve as a catalyst for deeper geopolitical instability. Trump is expected to secure a third term either through a constitutional loophole involving his son as vice president or by triggering a national draft during an active war, which would suspend normal democratic processes. The war in Iran is framed not as a military confrontation but as a strategic economic battle to maintain U.S. dominance through control of global energy routes. Iran’s mountainous terrain and use of asymmetric warfare, including drone attacks, make it resilient to air strikes, leading to a war of attrition. The speaker argues that the conflict will escalate into World War III due to the clash of global strategies: the U.S. seeks to dominate through technological and economic control, while Russia, China, and Iran form a coalition based on anti-imperial ideologies and economic self-reliance. Russia is predicted to enter the conflict to support Iran, viewing U.S. actions as a threat to global balance and Christian values. The U.S. lacks the political will, industrial capacity, and public support to sustain the war, increasing the risk of internal collapse. A key element is Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which disrupts global energy supply and forces the U.S. to rely on its own resources. Ultimately, the speaker warns that this conflict is not a short-term issue but a long-term strategic struggle that could redefine the global order, with a high probability—between 80% and 90%—of leading to full-scale world war.
In 2024, you made three predictions that have come perfectly true.
Like Trump would start a war with Iran.
And you've made a series of new predictions.
Yes, and I'll explain each prediction one by one.
Okay, so first, I predict that Trump will get a third term.
But isn't this constitutionally illegal?
It's not.
The president now has emergency war powers.
And so he can actually delay the election.
My second prediction is Iran is not a forever war
and the United States will institute a national draft.
Meaning that if you're between 18 to 24 in America and you're male,
you'll be automatically put into the draft system.
And they just passed a law that says that starting December,
you will be unilaterally registered.
Which means you're obliged to go and fight.
Exactly.
Next, the world will move towards an AI civilian state.
So if you do online, it's being recorded to figure out how to control you.
And then this is the most controversial prediction.
This is pretty bad.
And I'll explain why.
And also, I will tell you why this war can only lead to World War III.
Why there's a very strong possibility that the American empire will collapse.
And also,
I'll show you what the Russians will do and how the private bankers are controlling you.
I'm not owned by anybody.
That's what you think.
So let's talk about that.
Guys, I've got a favor to ask before this episode begins.
It's the algorithm, if you follow a show,
will deliver you the best episodes from that show very prominently in your feed.
So when we have our best episodes on this show,
the most shared episodes, the most rated episodes,
I would love you to know.
And the simple way for you to know that is to hit that follow button.
But also, it's the simple, easy, free thing that you can do to help us make the show better.
And I would be hugely grateful if you could take a minute on the app you're listening to this on right now
and hit that follow button.
Thank you so, so, so much.
Professor Dien.
There's so much going on in the world at the moment that it's quite confusing.
For an ordinary person like me.
And you've blown up across the internet because you've been able to demystify all of this craziness.
But also, because in 2024, you made three predictions that have come perfectly true.
Some might say, unfortunately.
Unfortunately, yes.
What were those three predictions?
My first prediction was that Trump would win in November 2024.
Second prediction is that he would start a war.
Against Iran.
And the third prediction is that the United States would lose this war.
And in losing this war, this would radically reshape the geopolitical landscape.
How did you know that Trump would start a war with Iran?
The simple answer is this.
The United States having invaded Iran because it has no choice in the matter.
If it were not to invade Iran, it would lose its empire.
Its empire is based purely.
On the U.S. dollar.
The petrodollar.
Which is a Ponzi scheme.
If it did not invade Iran, then people would choose not to trade with it anymore.
People would choose to not buy U.S. treasuries.
Why?
For the longest time, this system worked fine.
But then, in February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine.
Yeah.
That was not the issue.
The issue was the American response.
The American response was to sanction Russia and remove Russia from the swift global payment system.
It also ordered the Europeans to freeze over $200 billion in Russian assets.
And there's a problem.
The very basis for having the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency is that it would remain politically neutral.
The Americans guaranteed seamless, politically neutral international exchange.
So, if this trend continues, right?
If you don't do anything about Russia, Russia would take over Ukraine.
And Russia then would build an alliance with China and Iran.
If you look at these three countries on a map, Russia, China, and Iran, this is the entire Asian continent.
And then what they can do is this.
They can say, okay, the United States is a bully.
They force us to play by the rules.
And they get very angry if we don't play by the rules.
So, let's not play with the United States anymore.
Let's just trade amongst ourselves.
And then what they can do is they can build a Eurasian railway system connecting Russia, Iran, and China together.
And then what this would do.
Is negate American sea power.
Because it's American ships that patrol and protect the oceans.
And then what would happen is the world, Europe, Middle East, Africa, India, East Asia, would look at this trading bloc and think to themselves,
Wow, these guys, the Russians, Iranians, and Chinese, they use gold as their medium of trade.
Gold is valuable.
The Americans, on the other hand, use US dollars as the medium of exchange, which is not valuable.
So, am I better off with the American system or this new BRICS system?
What's BRICS?
It's an acronym.
It stands for Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, China.
So, am I right in thinking, because Iran, Russia, and China were colluding,
it threatened US dominance, which is driven by the world using the dollar as the primary currency for trading?
That's correct.
Okay.
So, they felt they needed to invade because then they can control more of the Middle East?
Right.
So, by attacking Iran, certain things happen.
The first thing that happened is that China is now cut off from Middle East energy.
It's anywhere between 50% to 60% of its energy needs from the Middle East, not just Iran, but also Qatar and Saudi Arabia.
A lot of people say that China today, it's reliant on renewables, solar, wind, and that's true to a certain extent.
But remember that China, it is an industrial powerhouse.
So, it needs energy from everywhere and everyone.
So, the fact that China is losing all this energy from the Middle East,
presents China with a long-term strategic vulnerability.
That's the first thing that happens.
Second thing that happens is that Europe is in a lot of trouble.
Because remember, because of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Russian energy was sanctioned.
And so, Europe relied more on the Middle East for its energy needs, especially Qatar.
And now, Europe has lost all of this oil.
And then you have China.
Japan and South Korea, these two powerful East Asian economies, are also reliant on the Middle East for its energy.
So, another question is, if you're not getting your energy from the Middle East, where can you get your energy from?
And there's only two answers.
Either Russia or the United States.
Russia is at war.
And what's happening is the Ukrainian drones are attacking Russian oil refineries and export hubs.
So, the world, in the short term, has no choice but to look to America for its energy needs.
And what did Trump do recently?
He took over Venezuela, which has the world's greatest oil reserves.
He's threatening Canada.
He's threatening Greenland, Mexico, Colombia.
If Trump controls the entire Western Hemisphere,
the entire world has to beg Trump for energy and resources.
And this saves both the U.S. dollar as well as the American empire.
So, as part of your prediction in 2024, I believe it was, you said that the U.S. would lose this war.
Right.
Why did you predict that the U.S. will lose this war with Iran?
Because the American society doesn't have the political will.
It doesn't have the power.
It doesn't have the manufacturing capacity.
It does not have the risk tolerance to fight this war in Iran.
Basically, America wants to fight this war as cheaply, as easily, and as quickly as possible.
Right.
So, Trump really fought that.
You know, if I sent my airplanes to strike Tehran and kill the Atatürk, they would just surrender.
That was, like, literally his plan going into this war.
He paid no attention to the culture.
He paid no attention to the history of the Iranian people.
He had absolutely no respect for the nation.
And when you do that, when you disrespect your opponent, when you underestimate your opponent,
when you yourself are not willing to commit to the fight, you're going to lose.
So, is Iran's game just to draw this out as long as they possibly can?
How are they, you know, because he's taken out the leaders.
And do you also think that Trump thought that,
if I just bomb the leader, then
everything will sort of regenerate itself and we'll be fine.
What was the sort of fundamental misunderstanding?
There's a lot of confusion as to how this war started.
Even today, no one actually knows how this war started.
But I think that Trump, given his personality, he was convinced that if he killed the leadership
of Iran, then they would have no choice but to surrender.
And his proof of concept was, of course, on January 3rd of this year,
Donald Forrest went into Venezuela, kidnapped Maduro, and they completely surrendered.
So in Trump's mind, he wanted to replay the Venezuela scenario.
And he didn't realize that Iran is fundamentally different from Venezuela?
The short answer is, he is a reality TV star.
He thinks in terms of optics.
He doesn't think in terms of geopolitical strategy.
The long answer is that the American military has become a corrupt and insular institution
that is trying to generate as much congressional funding as possible in order to fund the military
industrial complex.
Did he think that he was going to bomb Iran, the people would rise up, they would elect
a new government, and that would be that, and then he could control Iran?
That's exactly what he thought.
So what I want to do now is go to the map.
Okay.
All right.
Go ahead.
And show you what he got wrong.
Okay.
All right.
So this is a map of the Middle East.
And the first thing to notice about this map is the topography.
What does that mean?
How many mountains you have.
So this is what's really interesting is that the topography between Iraq,
and Iran are completely different.
And this is important because in 2003, the Americans invaded Iraq and they won the war
in about two weeks.
And the reason why they won the war is the Americans practiced something called shock
and awe.
And the idea of shock and awe is that it is a military strategy that believes that the
enemy is the enemy of the enemy.
And the idea is that if you cut off the head of the snake, the snake will die, the decapitation
strike.
And so what they did was they went into Baghdad, seized Baghdad, and the regime collapsed and
the war was over.
And they were able to do this because of the topography.
If you look at the map of Iraq, it's all flat.
It's all desert, meaning that you can just fly in your planes, cut off the head of the
snake, and the war is over.
There's actually no way you can defend against airstrikes because you're entirely a desert.
Now, let's go to, let's look at the topography of Iran.
And Iran, it's all mountainous.
It's all mountainous.
In fact, you can make the argument that Iran is a fortress.
Okay?
And so the first thing is that Iran can choose to fight a war of attrition.
What's a war of attrition?
A war of attrition is a game of uncle.
What's that?
Right.
A game of uncle is where we don't have enough power.
We don't have enough power.
We don't have enough power to destroy each other.
So what we're trying to do is we try to create pain points, leverage points, to force you
to submit, to cry uncle.
Right?
So because Iran is too large, and that's 92 million people, it's impossible for the
Americans and Israelis to destroy Iran.
So what you're trying to do instead is bomb enough targets so that they recognize,
that resistance is futile and surrender.
Okay?
That's the extent of the strategy.
But again, the problem with this is that one, Iran is much too big.
Number two is that it is a mountain fortress, which means that you can hide your weapons
and your military inside mountains.
Right?
Which allows you to conduct a guerrilla warfare strategy against your opponent.
And this is exactly what Iran is doing right now, where their underground missile bases are hidden inside the mountains, and then they're able to strike targets throughout the Middle East, primarily American bases, but also energy installations that are key to the American petrodollar system.
And so it's a game of uncle, where the Americans are trying to create as much damage as possible in their nation, in Iran in response.
It's trying to destroy as much of the global economy as possible to force the world to pressure America to call the war off.
So that's the situation we are facing right now.
Second thing that Trump got wrong is how vulnerable the global economy is.
Because the Iranians control something called the ship who moves.
Okay?
And as you can see on this map, it's a ship who moves.
It's a very, very. narrow piece of land.
It's only about 33 kilometers across.
You can actually swim across the Strait of Hormuz.
Okay?
And why this is important is the GCC exports 20% of the world's energy.
The G's the G what?
The Gulf Cooperative Council.
Okay?
So the Gulf Cooperative Council are certain nations in the Middle East that align politically.
So they include Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, Iran, Kuwait.
They've been exporting energy, but not just energy, but also a lot of byproducts of energy production, including fertilizer, to the world, primarily East Asia and India.
In return, they've been getting food back.
So most people don't. don't appreciate this, but the GCC actually imports 89% of its food needs.
And the reason why is that they've become so rich these past few decades that the populations have blown up.
And as a result, they have to feed their population, but they don't have agricultural resources.
They also don't have water resources.
And so they have two major vulnerabilities, which is food and water.
And they have a lot of desalination plants around the area.
And so. What's a desalination plant?
Okay.
So a desalination plant takes salt water from the seas, and then through an electrochemical process, turns it into portable water that people can use for drinking purposes and for agricultural purposes.
Okay.
Right?
So as you can see, the entire area, it is extremely vulnerable.
Okay.
So that's the second thing that Iran has done, which Trump did not expect.
He didn't expect that the Iranians would close off the Strait of Hormuz.
And how the Iranians were able to close off the Strait of Hormuz was just by threatening to attack any ships that wanted to cross it.
The reason why is that these ships depend on maritime insurance in order to operate.
But if there's a risk, a very high risk of being destroyed, then you will not get insurance.
Okay.
So it's not that the Iranians have said to these ships, you can't cross.
It's just that the insurers refused to allow these ships to cross because it's too dangerous.
And Trump didn't. Do you think they'd consider this before they started bombing Iran?
That Iran would have some leverage in shutting down such a critical piece of water for, you know, shipping fertilizer?
Energy, et cetera.
You think that they would have known this?
Right.
So that's what a lot of people say.
That Trump's stupid.
That Trump is hot-headed.
That he was misled by the Israelis.
And there's good evidence to support this.
But I want to show you something.
It's called the National Defense Strategy.
All right.
And so this is a document that was published by the Department of War.
And in it. It explains what the American strategy to maintain global dominance is.
And in the introduction, what it says is that for too long, America has been bullied by the world.
America is a nation that protects the world.
Yet Europe, East Asia, takes advantage of American generosity.
The Europeans don't pay for. their defense, and so they put all this money into
welfare, into their pension system. The Chinese have been giving America a bad trade deal. The
Chinese steal American technology and then use it to make products that they sell back to the
Americans. So the Americans have been getting a really bad deal for decades. And President
Donald Trump, he's going to change that by doing four things, right? The National Defense
Strategy calls for a four-point program to put America first. The first thing that America's
going to do is going to secure the Western Hemisphere. Why? Because the Western Hemisphere
belongs to the United States. When you say the Western Hemisphere, what do you mean? What region
is that? Is that Canada as well? So if you look at a map, we can divide the map into
the Eastern Hemisphere and the Western Hemisphere. Okay, so everything over here. Everything,
including Greenland, including Canada, including Mexico, every part of this area
belongs to the United States. Therefore, you cannot trade with any of these countries
without American permission, without paying a tribute to the Americans. And this is why
that the Americans have parked,
one-third of their naval assets, in the Caribbean today, is to tell the Chinese and the Russians,
"Back off. If you want to come here, you either pay a tribute or you'll be attacked."
Okay, that's the first point of this strategy. The Western Hemisphere belongs to America,
something that they call the "Dunroll Doctrine," which is Trump's corollary to the Monroe Doctrine.
And so that's point one. Point two is that America wants to reimagine its relationship with its allies.
Basically, NATO needs to pay for its own defense. NATO needs to go fight Russia in Ukraine. America
will provide support. It'll provide weapons and financing. But NATO needs to do more work. And it
needs to do more work. South Korea and Japan need to do a better job of keeping China in check. Okay, that's point two.
Point three is specific to China. And the idea is, the United States does not want to destroy China.
The United States does not want to humiliate China. But China needs to be put in its place.
China needs to respect the power and the reach of the United States. And that's point two. And how the United States is going to do this is by strangling China economically. Right? So if you look at a map of China, most of its trade goes through something called the Shirt of Malacca. And the Shirt of Malacca is the most important maritime choke point in the world. All America has to do is park, name a point, and then they're going to do the same thing.
And how the United States does not want to humiliate China. But China needs to respect the power and the reach of the United States. You can predict how people behave because people will always behave according to their best interests.
So in geopolitics, the nation states are individual players.
And each nation state is trying to use its resources and its advantages in order to pressure other nation states to obey it.
Okay, so Trump recognizes that the Iranians have closed off the surgical moves, but not only that, but the Iranians have also used the surgical moves to finance the war, meaning that now they're forcing ships to pay a toll of $2 million in order to cross it.
And so this is a huge advantage for the Iranians.
And so Trump has said, no, I'm going to blockade your blockade, negating Iran's advantage over the surgical moves.
So we think about it, again, using game theory, I want to discuss what the Americans will do in order to force the Iranians to capitulate.
Okay, so I would say there's a three point strategy.
The first strategy is economic strangulation.
You basically destroy the state's capacity to finance the war.
And there are two ways that Iran is financing the war so far.
The first is using oil.
Iran exports, right?
90% of Iran's oil goes to China.
And this is Karg Island.
This little spot here is Karg Island.
And this is where Iran will export 90% of its oil overseas.
That's the first mechanism.
Second mechanism is the surgical moves, where the Iranians now can collect tolls.
Right?
So what you have to do is you have to eliminate both.
All these finance mechanisms, you can close off both when they will block it.
Okay, so that's strategy one.
Strategy two is you need to create as much chaos within Iran as possible.
You want to turn this fortress into a prison.
And the way you do that is by storing up ethnic tensions in the country.
So if you look at it, you can see that there are a lot of tensions in the country.
So if you look at a map, an ethnic map of Iran,
what you will discover is that the Persian people are primarily in this area,
in the middle of the country.
But if you go to the borderlands, okay, the border areas,
it's primarily ethnic minorities.
And there are two ethnic minorities in the country
that have always been problematic for the government.
The first problematic people are the Coloradans.
They have a history of bulwarks here in Southeast Iran
by the Pakistani border.
They have a history of insurgency against the government, okay?
Second people that have been problematic are the Kurds,
who are primarily in the northwest of the country.
So if you are the U.S. government,
if you are the military,
your strategy is to establish forward operating bases in these areas.
A forward operating base is a spearhead of the military
where you insert ground troops to hold an area
in order to resupply, in order to push further into the territory.
Okay, so a forward operating base would be the U.S. putting troops
into the northwest.
In the southeast, and then using that as a way to move forward into Iran?
No, you don't want to move forward into Iran because it's too large.
You don't have enough forces to move into Iran.
What you want to do is this.
You want to establish forward operating bases in these areas
in order to arm and train ethnic insurgents.
Okay.
That you can also finance as well.
And you do this.
Because you want to turn them into cannon fodder.
You have to force a response from the Iranian military, right?
So if they come in with the army in order to quell these rebellions,
that's great because now you can use your air power
to decimate the Iranian military.
Your problem right now is the Iranian military is hiding inside mountains.
And so you want to force them out in the open.
And so you want to create as many points of tension
in the country as possible to force the Iranian military to respond.
Right?
Does that make sense?
Okay.
And now your third strategy is to strangle the capital, Tehran.
Because that's where the political elite are.
It's a city of 10 million people.
And the way you strangle Tehran is you deny them three things.
You deny them water, electricity, and food.
So you attack power plants.
You attack reservoirs.
You attack railways that bring food into the capital.
And when you do that, these 10 million people in Iran
will now oppose the government and demand a political settlement
because they need food, water, and electricity to survive.
Is there a government?
Right now.
There's a debate as to the true extent of leadership in Iran.
Because Trump's recent interviews, he's saying,
he's claiming that the leadership in Iran are fighting themselves.
But then he's also saying in other interviews
that they don't even know who they're dealing with.
Exactly.
Iran has a very unusual political system in that it's a theocracy.
It's a religious government.
It's run by clerics called the mullahs, in theory.
And then clerics, they're not.
So there's a parallel system, a state apparatus,
that actually takes care of day-to-day bureaucracy.
And that's secular.
The mullahs control the morality of the country.
They also control foreign affairs.
So basically, this is important because Iran has two parallel military structures.
You have the military, but you also have the IRGC.
The IRGC are only loyal to the mullahs.
They're not loyal to the mullahs.
Which is the religious part.
Exactly.
So you have this divide in the country
where the IRGC see this as a religious war,
as a crusade to kill the great Satan.
They want to fight to the death.
And the great Satan is?
The great Satan is the American empire.
Okay.
Which is a source of the misery that Iran has been suffering
for the past few decades.
And the IRGC, not only do they see America as the great Satan,
but they also see this as a global conflict
because they have proxies that support their beliefs,
including here in Lebanon, Hezbollah,
including here in Yemen, the Houthis,
and of course in Palestine, Hamas.
Okay.
And before, Syria was also part of their axis of resistance,
but Syria has been toppled by the Americans and Israelis.
So the IRGC see this as a religious crusade
that is global in nature.
The political leadership in Tehran sees it completely different.
They see this as a conflict permeated between America and Iran,
and they want to reach a political settlement as soon as possible.
And so, in other words, these ceasefire negotiations,
it's really all for show.
Because at the end of the day,
even if the Americans gave the Iranians everything they wanted,
the IRGC still controls.
The battlefield.
And they would not surrender or seek peace terms lightly.
Another problem in this situation is
the IRGC practices something called the Mosaic Strategy.
Mosaic.
The idea of the Mosaic Strategy is,
okay, you know the Americans,
the most effective military ever in human history.
You know that they practice shuffling all, decapitation.
So how do you respond to that?
You respond to that using decentralization,
31 provinces in the country
with their own command and control that is localized.
So basically, they have 31 different armies
that have their own leadership.
That's correct, okay?
And when you do this, it's a fight to the finish.
Why did they do that?
They did it because the Americans possess
the most sophisticated surveillance technology in the world,
meaning they can easily identify the leadership,
and they can easily track you down and,
and kill you.
So the only way around that is to decentralize the leadership
and spread it all around the country
so that the Americans cannot kill everyone.
How does the central government orchestrate
31 different armies in Iran?
How does it get a message out to them?
I heard Peter Hegseth make a comment
in one of the interviews saying that
it takes some time for the pigeons to get out to the armies.
And what he was saying basically is that
when the ceasefire was called
and there were still some missiles flying,
he was basically saying that's just because it takes a long time
to tell the 31 different armies to stop
The reality is that given the Mosaic strategy, there's actually no way to coordinate these 31 different military operations because the Mosaic strategy was meant to fight to the very end.
You do not stop until you completely control the Middle East and the Americans have been forced out of the Middle East and Israel has been humbled.
Okay.
So let's go into the specifics of what the Mosaic strategy is.
The idea is that they have an eschatology.
So an eschatology is an understanding of how the world should be and how we move towards this world.
And for the Iranians, their eschatology is that Iran, in order to reach its true potential,
needs to be master of the Mosaic strategy.
It needs to displace Saudi Arabia because Saudi Arabia is too aligned with the United States, which is the great Satan.
Mecca and Medina are under the influence of the great Satan because why are there U.S. military bases in Saudi Arabia?
So this war, from their perspective, it's a great opportunity to overthrow the corrupt leadership of Saudi Arabia, but not only Saudi Arabia, but the entire GCC.
Overthrow the corrupt governments of the entire Muslim world and install governments that put God, Allah, first.
So they're not going to quit Iran?
This war, once it starts, can only lead to World War III.
That's a strong statement to make.
As a probability, what probability would you assign to that claim?
I would put it pretty high.
Anywhere between 80% and 90%.
80% to 90% probability.
So that's certainty?
Basically certainty, yes.
Explain to me how that happens.
Okay.
So we need to step back and appreciate that there's a global dynamic going on.
And we need to appreciate the grand strategy of the different players involved.
So what I'm going to do is this.
I'm going to explain to you.
How each nation sees itself in the world.
Okay.
And to do that, I'm going to use a chess set.
Okay?
Okay.
All right.
This is the key.
This is the political system of the United States, which is democracy.
And there are certain strengths and weaknesses to a democracy.
Democracy is vibrant.
It's creative.
It's flexible.
But its ultimate weakness is polarization.
Where today. There are different political factions refusing to get along.
And this may bring up the Civil War.
Okay?
So the way you defeat the United States is not to conquer it.
You can never conquer the United States.
The way you defeat the United States is to force it into a civil war, which then kills the king.
To get its people to rise up against the leadership.
No.
You want the Democrats and the Republicans to form different factions and fight a civil war.
Okay.
You want to create so much political polarization.
The different elite factions.
Take up arms against each other.
Okay?
So this is the political system.
Okay?
Democracy.
Now let's look at the queen.
What's the queen?
The queen is what I refer to as the grand strategy of the United States.
How the United States can maintain its control over the entire world.
And the grand strategy, it's already outlined in the national defense strategy.
Right?
Let's create Fortress America.
And then create chaos throughout the entire world.
So that we can sell everyone weapons and resources.
Okay?
That's a grand strategy.
Right?
All right.
Now, once you have a grand strategy, you need to implement this grand strategy.
So you need attack vectors.
All right?
The attack vectors are the rook, the bishop, and the knight.
All right?
So let's go over the three major attack vectors of the United States.
They are, first of all, America's technological supremacy.
So these are basically the tools that they use to attack others.
Exactly.
In order to achieve their grand strategy.
All right?
So, aero supremacy.
Right?
Which is the planes and stuff like that.
Then you have the U.S. dollar.
Right?
Because the U.S. dollar allows you to finance everything.
And everyone wants the U.S. dollar.
Okay?
So, that is the second attack vector.
The third attack vector is propaganda.
Meaning the United States controls the world's most powerful. Media, including New York Times, CNN.
And as such, they can control the narrative of the world.
Okay?
So, these are the three major attack vectors.
Now, they use the pawns.
Now, pawns are weapons that they can sacrifice in order to achieve their grand strategy.
And in the case of the United States, the pawn are the allies.
Meaning, I hate to say this, but the U.K.
Europe, South Korea, and Japan.
Okay?
And also, the entire Western Hemisphere.
This is the Americans.
Okay?
The people who are most opposed to this grand strategy of Americans are the Russians.
So, let's go over the Russian system.
In the Russian system, the king, the political system, it's an autocracy.
And an autocracy, it's good because it allows for coronation.
It allows for decisiveness.
It allows for resolve.
Long-term thinking.
Exactly.
Right?
That's Putin.
What's bad is, if this guy dies, there's a secession crisis.
Right?
So, basically, once you topple the autocrat, then the system itself breaks down.
Okay?
So, that's the Russian system.
That's the Russian system.
Right?
For the Russians, the grand strategy is something called the Third Rome Strategy.
The Third Rome Strategy.
Yes.
Okay?
So, the people in Russia believe that they are the true successors to the Roman Empire.
And previously, there were two Romes.
There was the First Rome.
Then it moved to Constantinople.
And Moscow is destined to be the Third Rome.
And what makes Moscow interesting is that it wants to. to unite the entire Christian world under its leadership.
The main philosopher for the Third Rome Strategy is Eisner Dugin.
In 1997, wrote a book called Foundation of Geopolitics.
And what he said was this.
What he said that, if Russia is to defeat the Americans, it needs to build alliances
throughout Eurasia in order to negate American sea power and aero-supremacy.
Right?
So, what are the attack vectors?
And for Russia.
Okay?
The first attack vector, the size of the country makes it almost invincible.
So, think about World War II, Operation Barbarossa.
The Germans went into Russia with six, seven million men.
And it didn't get very far.
Okay?
So, the terrain is very important.
The geography is very important.
Then you have the Orthodox religion.
Which is meant to galvanize believers into supporting Russia.
The third attack vector is artillery.
So, Russia has the best land army in the world.
And we're seeing that play out in Ukraine, where a combination of Russian artillery and drones,
it's devastating the Ukrainian military in Ukraine.
But pause for Russia or its soldiers.
So, Russia is able to sustain many, many casualties in its military.
You actually go and interview Russian soldiers.
They are probably the bravest soldiers in the world.
They are literally not afraid to die for what they believe in.
Okay?
So, this is the Russian third-world strategy.
You can see how it conflicts with the Americans.
Okay?
Now, we go to the Israelis.
Jerusalem, the capital, it's a mixed system.
Meaning, it's both democracy as well as a theocracy.
It's good in that the Israelis are very creative.
But the fundamental weakness is the division within society.
Where Tel Aviv and Jerusalem don't get along.
Okay?
So, that is the political system of Israel.
The grand strategy of Israel is called the Greater Israel Project.
So, the Israelis believe that the entire Middle East belongs to them.
From the Nile to the Euphrates.
Because that's what it says in the Bible.
This is why Israel is a great country.
This is what God, Yahweh, promised Abraham.
So, their intention is to conquer the entire Middle East.
Including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, even parts of Turkey.
Okay?
Now, let's look at the attack vectors for the Israelis.
The first attack vector is Mossad.
intelligence agency in the world.
world, in that it is able to infiltrate and undermine different political systems.
And Mossad, for anyone that doesn't know, is their secret service.
Basically, yes.
Their spy system.
Second attack vector for the Israelis is the Jewish diaspora, because Jews do business
everywhere around the world.
And Jewish businessmen work very closely with Mossad.
And as such, they have influence in a lot of places that they shouldn't have.
And the third attack vector is the Bible.
Why?
Because if you're a Christian, and there are many Christians who believe this, you
believe that the Jews are God's chosen people.
So if you look at what's happening in the Middle East, all this conflict between Israel
and Palestine, a lot of this conflict is being supported.
Politically, the United States, by a group of people called Christian Zionists.
And these are Christians.
They're not Jews.
They're Christians who believe that Israel should achieve the greater Israel project,
because this is part of God's plan.
And the pawns for the Israelis are basically everyone else.
Okay?
So a lot of the hardware underpinning the global IT infrastructure, it's been
controlled by the Israelis.
So now we go to the fourth player in this great game, and that's Iran.
So Iran, it is a theocracy.
People are not afraid to die for what they believe in Iran.
But the weakness is that it can alienate the majority of the population, because
only a minority are religious zealots in Iran.
Most people just want to live a decent life.
So they feel that these mullahs,
the IRGC, are a threat to their peace and prosperity.
Then they might rise up against the mullahs.
Which is what we've seen over the years, right?
Exactly.
So this is a political system of the Iranians.
Their grand strategy is to unite the Muslim world under leadership.
They have three attack vectors.
Okay?
The first attack vector are their proxies.
Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.
Another attack vector.
Is their asymmetrical warfare, meaning using drones and missiles to create as much economic damage as possible.
And the third attack vector is their geography or their topography.
They are a fortress.
So it's almost impossible to invade them.
Right?
So that's their Shia militiamen, these religious zealots who are not afraid to die.
Essentially, they're all, many of them could be suicide bombers.
Okay?
And so for them, this is a religious war.
Okay.
So now we're seeing how this entire battlefield unfolds across the world.
All right?
So I've mapped out the grand strategy of these different nation states who will be involved in World War III.
Let's look at our present situation.
Okay?
So what we have so far is that the Russians occupied with their army in Ukraine.
Okay?
And this is where they're infiltrating.
infantry, their artillery is based. At the same time, Russia has something called the shuttle
fleet. And these are about a thousand tankers that evade sanctions around the world. And this
is essentially their navy. America is the most powerful military in the world. They have the
most sophisticated air supremacy, as well as control over the sea lanes. And it tries not to
use infantry, because that creates civilian casualties and that pisses everyone off in
America. The Israelis are essentially a mercenary army aligned with the American empire, doing a
bidding of the American empire. It's fighting against Lebanon, as well as Iran. The Iranians,
they don't have much of an air force, but they use a lot of drones to threaten. So this is
where. Where we are so far. According to the grand strategy, we can predict how they will make
their moves over the next few months or next few years. America doesn't really care about this war
in Iran, because what America wants to do is force the entire world to become dependent on
American weapons and resources. And you do that in two ways. The first is you control
strategic choke points of the world, and they include the ship of Hormuz. But you also want to
control the ship of Malacca, or over here, because that blocks off East Asia. You also want to control
the Panama Canal. You also want to control Greenland. You also want to control the ship of
Gibraltar. You can see the American navy expanding outwards and occupying all these maritime choke
points. At the same time, you want to use your technological supremacy, your aerial supremacy,
your drones, to destroy the world's critical energy infrastructure. Already, we're seeing
oil refineries being destroyed throughout the world.
Oil refineries.
Oil refineries, yes. So you, as America, you're trying to deplete the world's energy inventory,
so they're forced to beg you to supply energy. And once this market is created,
then you can build infrastructure for Venezuela.
You can take over Canada. You can control Mexico. You can take over Greenland, okay?
The Russians have no choice but to respond, because if the Americans are controlling the
strategic choke points, your shadow fleet is rendered redundant, useless. So how do you ship
your oil around the world? Well, you have two options. I'm just going to build railways,
to unite the Eurasian continent, okay? And I'll transport my oil using pipelines and railways.
The problem with that is now that you're vulnerable to American aerial supremacy,
drone attacks. So you have no choice but to arm your shadow fleet. And now what's going to happen
is this continent of the oceans between Russian shadow fleet tankers that are trying to transport
oil around the world. And they're going to be able to transport oil around the world. And they're
sanctions by transporting illicit crude oil linked to venezuela as well as iran and hezbollah and as
you point out this is an act of war so those were ships that didn't have a country linked to them
directly that's why they're called shuttle fleet tankers okay yes but they're essentially russian
but they were essentially shipping oil outside of the united states that the united states
wouldn't control is that kind of that is correct yes okay yes so so the u.s said listen this is
how we'll get lost that is correct yes right so what the united states is doing is slowly expanding
its global reach the way it's doing that is by setting treaties with nations that are part of
these choke points so the state of malacca recently the united states has signed a military
cooperation agreement with indonesia and with the strategy of poulter uh the americans have
signed an agreement now with morocco right so they are looking for the legal framework
and justification to control the world's choke points which would bring them directly in conflict
right so they're looking for the legal framework and justification to control the world's choke points
with the russian shuttle fleet so at some point you think the way that the war starts is
the u.s navy attacks a russian
Russian boat? So I personally believe that this would be a drawn-out process that, and there's no
real concrete flashpoint. Because not only are Russian shadow flankers, shadow fleet tankers
being seized, but remember, Russian oil refineries are being destroyed by Ukrainian drones. The
Russians believe that it is NATO that is responsible for the sabotage. So what do you think the catalyst
moment is when this all kicks off? I think we're already in the catalyst moment. I think we're
already in World War III. Because this conflict, it's going to expand outwards into a global
conflict. And there's nothing anyone can do to stop this, right? Because again, you have these
different competing visions of how the world should work. And the Russians and Americans are
already at conflict with each other. So the next step will be the Russians come into this war on
the side of the Iranians.
You think that's going to happen?
I think that's going to happen. Because according to Russian grand strategy, you have no choice but to
save the Iranians. Because you're trying to promote this view that the world is split between the
spiritual and the material. The Americans are the Antichrist. The Americans support individual
hedonism. Whereas we Russians, we believe in humanity. We believe in goodness. We believe in
community, right? So if that is your argument, if that's your grand strategy, then you have a moral
imperative to help the Iranians in their time of need. And in fact, Prime Minister Arachi of Iran has
recently visited Putin in Moscow. Putin personally received him and said to Arachi,
we the Russian people admire your determination, your resolve against the Americans. And I think
that is a sign that Putin has entered the chat and that the Russians will start to,
you know, help the Iranians as this war progresses. So let's go back to this map,
okay? And the Americans have a three-pronged strategy to strangle Iran. The first is to use
ground forces to establish fortified bases to incite ethnic violence in the country. The second
is to block officers who move and cut off Iranian financing. The third is to strangle Iran
and cause the people to rise up against the government, okay? So if things stay the same as
they are now, America wins easily. But if Russia were to enter the war on behalf of the Iranians,
the first thing that Russia would do is provide Tehran with reinforcement from the Caspian Sea,
right? Because the Americans want to knock out Tehran's capacity to provide food, water,
food to its people. But from the Caspian Sea, the Russians can support the Iranians. But not only that,
and this is much more important, if the Russians were to come in, they could also bring the Chinese
into the war on behalf of the Iranians. And the Chinese could use the Belt and Road Initiative,
basically the railway system, to reinforce Tehran from the east. So now you can no longer
strangle Tehran because the Russians or the Chinese are reinforcing Tehran. Then what the
Russians could do is provide financing to the Iranians. Basically, the Chinese and the Russians
can say to Iranians, don't worry about financing. We will give you enough financing for you to
continue this war for as long as you want. And we'll use our resources as collateral for this
financing, right? And the third thing, and this is actually the most important, is that Russia could put Iran under its nuclear
umbrella. And this would negate the use of tactical nuclear weapons. The Israelis and the Americans,
if they really felt under pressure, if they really put in a corner, they could always choose to use
tactical nuclear weapons. If the Russians were involved, that negates that option, right? So if
the Russians get involved in this war, they bring in the Chinese, they provide the resources and
the financing to continue this war for as long as it takes.
Right. And now the Americans need to expand this war all over the world to try now to topple the
government in Russia. Because the Russians are the main backers of the Iranians.
And you're predicting that Russia will get involved here?
According to the grand strategy of Russia, the Russians have no choice but to get involved
because what will happen is that if you look at this map, if Iran,
were to be conquered by the Americans or the Israelis, the entire sovereign flank of the
Russians are now exposed to possible attack. And that's something that the Russians would never
allow to happen. The sovereign flank, so this from underneath?
Basically, right? Right. But not only that, but the Americans already have close relations with
Azerbaijan. And they already have bases in Turkmenistan as well as Uzbekistan, right? So you
see how once the Americans can start this area, they can now attack Russia from the south. But
what's most important is the issue of global trade, where a counter to America's naval blockade
is by creating a Eurasian trade bloc that involves Iran, Russia, and China. If you look at Russia's
north-south corridor, right? If you look at Russia's north-south corridor, it runs through Iran. If Russia
wants to access the Middle East, as well as Africa, it has to go through Iran. If you look at China's
Belt and Road Initiative, it goes through Iran as well. So by taking out Iran, you've blockaded both
Russia and China. 70% of people who add something to their online cart never actually buy it. And
that number is based on over 10 years of research. But what I think is even more interesting is what
the Baymard Institute discovered. They're a private research company that ran a study
which found the average e-commerce store could increase its conversion rate by 30%
just by making its checkout easier. Not better marketing or better products, but by delivering
a smoother checkout experience. So if you're looking for an easy way to make your checkout
process smoother, I want you to think about moving your business onto Shopify. It's the platform we
use to sell the 1% diaries and the conversation cards because it's so simple and smart to use.
It puts all of our inventory payments and analytics in one place and has so many AI tools to help us
get up and running straight away. Not to mention that it grows with you regardless of the stage
of your business. So if you're ready to fix your checkout process, sign up for your $1 per month
trial at shopify.com slash Bartlett. That's shopify.com slash Bartlett. And don't tell anybody.
I run multiple companies that have multiple sales teams. And one of the things as a founder of a
company that's often confusing is you find it hard to figure out where sales are. So about 10 years
ago, I started using Pipedrive in my former company. And it's also the reason why I switched
over all of my commercial teams in my current media company called steven.com to use Pipedrive
as well. Not only do they sponsor the show, but they've been an incredibly effective way of scaling
our sales engine over the years. Pipedrive is an easy to use intelligent CRM. And at its very core,
it makes your sales process visible through one dashboard, a visual pipeline showing every deal,
what stage it's in, what needs to happen next. And it's all in real time with no delay.
It doesn't magically close the deal for you, of course, but it does replace complexity
with clarity. If you want to join over 100,000 companies already using Pipedrive,
you can use my link for a 30-day free trial with no credit card payment needed. Head to
pipedrive.com slash CEO to get started. That's pipedrive.com slash CEO. I'll see you over there.
So when do you think this is going to happen? If you were to give me a timeline of events you
think are going to occur, what timeline do you think you're operating under? I guess one of the
factors here is that Trump only has, what, three years left in power. So, you know, he's pretty
going to leave power at some point soon. So if you're around, you might just want to play it out
and hope that there's a different leadership in place by 2030. The political leadership in Iran
believe that they can wait Trump out. So they're waiting for the midterms because they believe that
in November, the Democrats will win the midterms and then they will impeach Trump and basically
constrain his capacity to fight wars. And worst case scenario, Trump will be gone.
In 2020, as you point out, there's certain problems with this. The first major problem
is the national defense strategy, which we looked at previously. The national defense strategy,
it is a long-term strategic framework for how America can control the world.
And so one possibility is that Trump is just creating enough chaos for America to transition.
When the Democrats come to power, if they come to power, they will institutionally
institutionalize the strategy. And we know this as a possibility because in Trump's first term,
he changed America's strategy around the world. And then when Biden came into power,
he then institutionalized the strategy via the China, right? So it was Trump who launched
this terror war against China and then finally comes in power and institutionalizes it, right?
So I think World War III, it's a much more
long-term strategy.
a long-term war of attrition, and I don't think
that this war will end anytime soon.
You've made a series of new predictions.
You've made eight new predictions.
Okay.
I have them in this box here.
Okay.
I'll let you reveal what those predictions are.
Okay.
This is one prediction.
Okay.
Okay.
So this is the most controversial prediction, okay?
I predict that there will be a U.S. Civil War
and Trump will get a third term.
You think Trump will get a third term?
Isn't that constitutionally illegal?
There are things that are unconventional
and immoral
and wrong and evil and dangerous.
And there are certain things that are illegal.
Trump getting a third term is not illegal.
So let me explain the loophole.
What Trump could do is this, okay?
There are two possibilities.
The first possibility is in 2028,
he has his son, Don Jr. run as a president
and he runs as the vice president.
And then when Don Jr. wins, if he wins,
then Don Jr. could abdicate
and Trump would be the president.
And in the constitution,
if you read the constitution very carefully,
it doesn't actually prohibit people
from doing that.
It's not been done in the past.
And like no sane person
with any morality would do this.
But that doesn't stop Trump from doing this, okay?
That's one possibility.
Another possibility is that by 2028,
America is at war with everyone.
There's a national draft.
And so he can actually suspend the constitution
and the president can't do anything about it.
And so he can't do anything about it.
And delayed election,
which is what Zelensky did in Ukraine.
So these are two different possibilities.
But I think that given Trump's track record,
given his personality,
I think he very much wants a third term.
And I think that he will do everything possible
to get a third term.
He would turn 83 years old
in the same year that he finishes
his second term.
This is the man who eats McDonald's hamburgers
every day.
He doesn't really work out.
Yet, on the campaign trail,
he's able to go to two rallies a day.
And in each rally, there's 50,000 people.
And he will talk on and on and on.
Then, at night, when he should be sleeping,
he's either on social tweeting about the world
or he's calling up reporters
and telling him or her some confidential information
that he really shouldn't be discussing with the media.
This is a man who is addicted to attention.
This is a man who loves the spotlight.
He's lived all his life in the spotlight.
For him, death is to be ignored.
So, given his personality,
he would rather die in office
than live peacefully somewhere else.
And of those two strategies that you named,
where he puts his son in and then becomes president that way,
or, you know, there's a war breaks out,
so he says he has to stay in office.
Of those two strategies,
which one do you think he's more likely to deploy?
I actually think that given his narcissism,
he would prefer the first strategy.
His putting his son in?
Because, because,
that shows himself in the world
that America loves him.
Okay.
And it could also be J.D. Vance or someone else, right?
It doesn't have to be his son necessarily.
Trump does not trust anyone.
Trump has never had a part of J.
In fact, everyone that's really worked for Trump
has been kind of scooted over by him.
Do you not think that if his son decided to run
and then announced that the vice president was his dad,
do you not think that there would be such a huge backlash,
in the United States, that his son wouldn't win?
Well, I think there's a possibility
that they figure out how to cheat in 2028.
Oh, as in actually cheat at the election?
Right, so. At the poll booth.
Right.
So let's go into Trump's mind, all right?
His psychology.
In his mind, he won in 2020.
The people voted for him.
But the Democrats stole the election with mail-in ballots,
and by rigging the election machines.
Okay?
He, in his mind, he literally believes that.
So in his mind, he believes that this is actually his third term,
and the people and the government,
they owe him a second term, which is what he wants now.
He wants compensation for having the election stolen from him in 2020.
I find it really implausible to think that Trump would run
in 2020.
He would run for a third term.
So again, this is a prediction.
Yeah.
And it is a test of the validity of my theoretical framework.
I was looking at some of the constitutions and the laws,
and it says that this 22nd amendment explicitly states,
no person shall be elected to the office of the president more than twice.
Some theorists have tried to argue that since the amendment says elected,
a person might be able to serve a third term if they were appointed to succeed in the election.
Some theorists have tried to argue that since the amendment says elected,
a person might be able to serve a third term if they were appointed to the office of the president more than twice.
is a feeder or not.
That's not really part
of the American grant strategy. Iran right now, it's a perfect pretext for America to expand
outwards and establish maritime choke points around the world and to force the world to buy
American energy. So this war in Iran benefits America tremendously. So why not have it go on
for a long, long time? In order to make sure this war goes on for a long time, you need ground
troops. And you need a lot of ground troops. And that's why you need a national draft.
So what would a national draft look like in the United States? Everyone between the age of 18 and
25 has to sign up to the army. Right. So most people don't appreciate this,
but America has always had a draft. But for the longest time, it didn't really care
whether or not you actually signed up for the draft. And starting in December,
participation in the draft will be automatic, meaning that if you're between 18 and 24
in America and you're male, you'll be automatically put into the draft system.
From when?
I mean, from December.
This year?
Yes, that is correct. Yes.
So between the age of 18 and 25, you think, and what does that really mean? I've not really
experienced that in my lifetime. So it means that if you're between the age of 18 and 24,
either gender?
No, male.
Male, then you have to sign up for the army.
No, you're already put into a draft.
Oh, you're already, okay, but you might be called upon.
That's right. It's a lottery system.
Okay.
Right. And this created a lot of backlash during the Vietnam era. And so they sort of
toned it down. But starting in December, they just passed a law that says that starting
in December, you will be unactively registered for war.
They've passed a law?
Yes, they have. Well, in theory, Congress first needs to declare war.
Okay, fine.
Right? That's a first step. And Congress has not actually declared war yet.
Okay. So you think there'll be a draft and you think this war in Iran is going to trickle,
for a long time?
How long? 10, 20 years? Like Afghanistan?
I don't see it stopping.
Okay. What's next in your prediction box?
Okay. Okay, this is pretty bad. The world will move towards an AI-chivalrous state.
I feel like that's already happening.
I think it's pretty obvious. Yeah.
What does that mean in reality for the average person? Because, you know, we're seeing
some of these big companies like OpenAI and Anthropical sort of signing up to government
military surveillance projects. What does that mean for the average person?
Right. So for the average person, it means two things. It means digital ID and digital currency.
Okay.
So what that will allow is for the government to basically monitor everything you do online
and control all financial transactions. It can basically program your bank account. So like,
you can't buy cigarettes, or you can't buy drugs. And this will allow the government to basically
categorize everyone and put everyone into a certain database to monitor that person.
And once you're able to categorize everyone, then you are able to use AI to predict their behavior.
Isn't this what goes on in some parts of the world?
This is what goes on in China. And that's how I know about this.
How does it work in China?
Well, in China, we all have digital ID. If you want to access anything in China, you need your digital ID.
So if you want to open a bank account, you have to use a digital ID. If you want to use any
e-payments, you have to use digital ID. If you want to use a phone,
you have to use digital ID. Okay. So everyone's part of this national database.
And then what this allows government to do is basically monitor everything you do. Because
basically, depending on how you buy things, I can then extrapolate to figure out your behavior.
And then I can figure out your thinking, right? And then I can create incentives in order to guide
and control your behavior.
So in China, can they see everything that you do?
Yes, they can.
Messages you send?
Everything.
Payments you make?
Everything. Everything. Everything you do online is being recorded, and it's being
inputted into the database to figure out who you are.
What you want. And how to control you. And they think this is progress, by the way. This is
progress. Because I'm making you a better person, right? I'm helping you achieve your dream. I'm
helping you lose weight. I'm helping you avoid drugs. I'm helping you work harder.
Won't you be in trouble if you talk against this system?
Well, me personally. Okay. So I operate in a gray area where I do not,
interact with the Chinese internet. So everything I do is in English. It's meant for consumption in
the Western world. And I don't talk to Chinese reporters. I don't talk to Chinese social media.
I have no Chinese media presence. And I am not at all influential in China. And I prefer that way
because if I ever became famous in China, then they would obviously want to control me in order
to better influence.
So you think Israel are going to conquer the Middle East?
Israel has essentially already conquered the Middle East. The only force in their way right
now is America. So once America leaves the Middle East, which I expect to happen,
then Israel will absorb CENACOM, which is the Central Command, the American military
base. And they're going to conquer the Middle East. And they'll achieve the greater Israel project. There's no other power in the Middle East that can
withstand the might and power of Israel. And do you have a timeline for this?
The moment America quits this war against Iran, the moment that America leaves the Middle East,
Israel will achieve the greater Israel project. And what's really interesting right now is that
Israel is trying to drag this war out for as long as possible. But you see this war,
as a way to destroy all its major enemies in the Middle East. You know, the Israelis have already
said this. After Iran, Turkey is next. Turkey is next. This war is already destroying Saudi Arabia
and the GCC, right? So the last opponent is Turkey. Once Turkey is brought into this war,
then Israel will achieve the greater Israel project.
The greater Israel project covers all of this region here from Turkey, Egypt, Yemen,
Amman.
So the greater Israel project is like this, okay? So it goes from the Nile in Egypt to the Euphrates
in Iraq. And it covers part of Turkey, of Syria, of Lebanon, of Jordan, and parts of Saudi Arabia,
which also includes Mecca and Medina.
What is your next prediction?
NATO and Russia will fight for Odessa.
Odessa? What's Odessa?
Okay. So if you look at the Ukraine front lines, right now, Russia is preoccupied in trying to
control the Donbass, which is basically Eastern Ukraine. Why Russia is doing this is that Eastern
Ukraine has historically been part of Russia. Therefore, most people there speak Russian or
are ethnically Russian. The Donbass is also the agricultural and industrial heartland of Ukraine.
So if Russia were to control Eastern Ukraine, it doesn't really need Western Ukraine. And then
Western Ukraine would basically become a rump state. It'd be useless, right? So the last piece
to this puzzle would be Odessa, which sits on the Black Sea. The reason why you want Odessa
is that it's the major port. And once you control Odessa, you basically block off
Ukraine from the Black Sea. You have complete control over the Black Sea.
Is that the Black Sea?
This is the Black Sea. And this is Odessa right here. Yes.
Okay. So you're saying that Russia will take Odessa?
That's correct.
Okay. So they'll control the Black Sea.
That's right. But NATO recognizes that if Odessa falls to the Russians, the war is over.
And Russia will have achieved all its major strategic objectives.
Why is the war over?
Because Russia doesn't want to continue on after Odessa. It doesn't need the rest of Ukraine.
Okay. That's what it wants. What does it get from taking
Odessa?
Once it takes Odessa, control of one third of the world's carbohydrates.
If Russia willed it, Africa would starve to death. The Middle East would starve.
Why?
Because Russia and Ukraine export a lot of grain to these places. These places are not
food independent. They rely on fertilizer. They rely on food imports.
Okay. And Russia's using the
Black Sea here to export.
Exactly.
Okay. This is the last one. Please be good. Okay. I was hoping for an optimistic one,
but East Asia breaks out into conflict.
Okay. What do you mean by that?
Okay. So we've talked a lot about the Middle East, and we've talked briefly about
Europe. Okay. So now let's go into East Asia. And I think there are three major sources,
and I think there are three major sources of friction and conflict in East Asia. And these
major flashpoints the first flashpoint is of course over taiwan because china believes that
taiwan is part of its territory and so it wants to take over taiwan the problem with this is the
problem with this is that the recently prime minister takeuchi of japan has said that taiwan
is core to japanese strategic interests and what she means by this is that japan
has no resources it's a manufacturing power that depends on resources from overseas
if china were to take over taiwan it can now block japan from accessing the state of malacca
and that's a possibility japan cannot permit so japan would fight to ensure
that
taiwan and china were never to unify would they actually because china is so strong right can they
just knock japan straight out japan has no choice but to fight because again if china and taiwan
were to unify peacefully japan be cut off from the entirety of southeast asia and japan relies
on southeast asia historically for resources
why would it be cut off from southeast asia can't it just
go go down here to the philippines there's a lot of resources around the south china sea
okay right oil minerals all that yeah um so if china and taiwan were to uh unify
basically uh japan would feel a bit threatened and your prediction is that there will be some
kind of conflict in this region yeah so so that's the first flashpoint okay taiwan there's another
flashpoint which is straight to malacca right because again america wants to control the
state of malacca but china recognizes that the state of malacca is key to its economic survival
and so there's a lot of conflict over the state of malacca okay that's flashpoint number two
the third flashpoint which i think will be the most surprising but actually will be the most
pressing is north korea okay so the first flashpoint is that the state of malacca is going to be the most pressing
so let's just use game theory we are the leader supreme leader of north korea
it is a dictatorship everyone worships me it's a color personality but we're poor
and the rest of the world is in conflict right europe is fighting with russia the middle east
is in flames america's distracted trying to control the world to the best of its ability
japan and china are fighting over the south china sea
if you
are north korea now it's the best opportunity to create as much havoc in the world as possible
there's absolutely nothing anyone can do to stop you you are the brawler in high school
that no one pays attention to because all the big boys are fighting each other you can come in
and dominate the school now who would they be dominating they could dominate south korea
because if you just look at
uh a population map of south korea most of the south korean population is located in seoul
and seoul is about about 20 minutes artillery from north korea so in 20 minutes
our north korea could rain artillery onto seoul and like basically they flatten the higher city
why wouldn't you extort the south koreans because the south koreans are going to shoot back
with what do they not have military they're being protected by the americans right now
americans are busy transporting the south koreans and they're not going to shoot back
with what do they not have military they're being protected by the americans right now
artillery and weapon systems including the fat system over to the middle east it's called fat
th-a-a-d it used to be in south korea to protect against north korea and now it's over in the middle
east so americans are cannibalizing both south korea and japan in order to maintain this war
in the middle east now's the time why not it's free money it's like taking candy from a baby
it's like taking candy from a baby
but south korea have their own military now how do you defend against artillery strikes
uh i don't know you don't but but they they would fire back right you'd get they'd get
themselves into a pretty ugly war south korea have a have a big military well my people are poor
they're not afraid to die in fact i've sent thousands of them to go to ukraine to fight
for the russians and they fight to the death because they're poor and they don't fight to
the death and they don't fight to the death because they're poor and they don't fight to the death
and they don't fight to the death if they're allowed to be taken prisoner i'll kill their
families back at home south koreans are rich they are used democracy they're used individual rights
so if i threaten to blow your city up you're telling me you won't bribe me not to do so
isn't isn't the fastest quickest way is to bribe me not to cause trouble for you okay so you think
they're gonna bribe them extortion this is extortion i don't need to destroy south korea all i need to
do is is basically threaten the south koreans and they'll just like bribe me not to do anything
so what does all of this stuff mean for the average person you know people listening right
now they're just normal people a lot of them not all of them but a lot of them are just normal
people getting on with their lives and they care about their families their jobs their futures what
does what what message have you got for them in this new world we will need leaders we will need
average people
who are able to bring hope to the people around them who are able to tell their neighbors their
friends we have to come together as a community and become a family if we were to survive
that's what the world needs in the future it will need um entrepreneurial leaders
it will need visionaries it will need profits those who are most fraught
in life are those who make an effort to reach out knock on the door of your neighbors and say
listen there's a blackout and there's probably no water but don't fear because if we come together
as community if we go and knock on everyone's doors then everyone is an apartment building
and there might be a hundred of us if we just sit down and have a meeting and just discuss
what's happening one of us will come up with a solution and one of us will help everyone else
figure out how to find water or how to build a better society and we know this because historically
this has always been true when empires collapse infrastructure collapses which empire do you
think is collapsing the united states empire um the united states empire is collapsing yes
and who is taking its place no one can take the place of the
american empire so we live in a unipolar moment and the closest historical analogy
to today is something called the bronze age collapse the bronze bronze age the bronze age
collapse this happened um about over three thousand years ago and what happened during
the bronze age collapse is that you have these established kingdoms throughout the middle east
and europe you have nicely in greece you had the high tide um
empire in anatolia which is present-day turkey you had uh the mesopotamian empire the egyptians
um and one by one they collapse the reason why was that a perfect storm of calamities
came at the same time there were earthquakes there were famines there was a climate crisis
there were wars there were civil wars there were revolutions and so you have this massive surge
of refugees called the sea peoples flowing from north and uh west europe and sweeping
entire sweeping food to the entire entire middle east and the reason why is they were hungry they
didn't have any food to eat so they organized into um you know these large pirate armies
and they overwhelmed uh entire civilizations and so we'll see we will see a very similar
dynamic play out in the world where in the future our concern won't be wars our concern
will be these millions of refugees who want to flood into our societies because they're hungry
and they're going to come from africa they're going to come from
the middle east they'll probably come from south america as well so i saw your show with steve king
by the way uh steve keen yeah it was a great show right and he talked about this where look
the world depends on fertilizer and there's eight billion people in the world and what fertilizers
the world can only sustain at most two billion people well what what are the six billion people
gonna do just starve to death no they're going to migrate and they're going to want food and
it's going to create a huge global crisis throughout the world i mean one might argue that with the rise
of things like ai and robotics the cost of production is going to drop and there's going to
be more you know elon talks about the age of abundance and all these kinds of things but you
ground and you are using fertilizer to maximize
the land's capacity to grow food so you don't have fertilizer you can have as many robots as
you want they don't have to eat food we have to eat food so what is your um you talked about
hopefulness right are you hopeful i'm very hopeful what are you hopeful for
i believe that humans are first and foremost creative and resilient and our abilities have
become dormant because we've become too complacent western lifestyle have made us
um extremely lazy and fat and but the moment we're presented with a crisis the moment that
we find our families in danger we're able to come together as a people and come up with all this
tremendous imagination in order to make a better society make sure you keep what i'm about to say
to you
yourself i'm inviting 10 000 of you to come even deeper into the diary of a ceo welcome to my inner
circle this is a brand new private community that i'm launching to the world we have so many
incredible things that happen that you are never shown we have the briefs that are on my ipad when
i'm recording the conversation we have clips we've never released we have behind the scenes
conversations with the guests and also the episodes that we've never ever released and so
much more in the circle you'll have direct access to me
you can tell us
what you want this show to be who you want us to interview and the types of conversations you would
love us to have but remember for now we're only inviting the first 10 000 people that join before
it closes so if you want to join our private closed community head to the link in the description
below or go to doaccircle.com i will speak to you then professor what's the most important thing we
haven't talked about that we should have talked about so let's talk about the nature of reality
to explain the nature of reality um i'm going to explain plato's allegory of the cave
which he talked about in his book the republic right exactly this book yes the republic okay
one of the masterpieces of greek civilization as well as question civilization all right so
this is how plato explains the nature of reality and so he uses a metaphor called the cave so i
want you to imagine a dark
cavern that is huge and in this cavern there are hundreds of people lined up together
and they're all sitting in a row and this goes on for you know miles and miles just
thousands of people and they are chained to the ground and their necks are shackled so they can't
actually move and all they can do is stare in front of them and they're like oh my god
what's going on at a giant wall that's empty okay now behind these people and again they can't see
behind them right it's a great fire along the alongside this fire are people okay we don't
know who they are they'll never explain who these people are they take puppets and they project
these puppets off the fire onto the wall
okay and
when people see these shadows they think that this is reality
and as such they begin to create narratives to explain this reality they create language
they give shadows names they explain where these shadows come from they create religion
then these people decide to specialize so some people who are priests who are priests who are
who explain this new religion there's some people who are poets that talk about the beauty of the shadows
and then you have teachers who teach about the shadows to children
and then over time what happens is that these people fall in love with this reality
so that they are addicted to it so if anyone comes on and says
hey guys why don't you look behind you and see it's all just a farce these people will be so angry
that they kill this person all right so i'm not sure if you've ever watched a korean drama have
you watched a korean tv drama not really no right so unfortunately i have and these things go on for
like thousands of hours and for the first 10 hours you're disgusted by the plot
and because it makes no sense
but by sometime by the 20th hour you can't stop watching it all right the same situation here
where it's a it's a silly television drama it's all fake once people watch too much of it
they want it to be true okay and that's the nature of reality that we live in all right
so certain things to remember is that what creates this reality are not the people in charge
what creates this reality is our imagination okay so the first thing to appreciate is that
everything is a hallucination and it's something that north scientists have confirmed so what
we're going to do is we're going to take platypus out of the cave the framework and then apply it
to our reality to understand how it's created okay so in the first layer you need a power a force to
put people in change right and this is what we call the military industrial complex of america
as well as the empire so going back to this example it's the layer that puts the people
into change but now the second step is you need people to create the reality to direct people's
attention to create the game and this these people are the financial elite the bank of
international settlements based in basel
so what do they do these people are the ones who set the exchange currency rates
and they also allow for seamless financial transactions the swift system basically
then wall street and the state of london where the financiers
and then you have the federal reserve federal reserve system because the federal reserve
are the people who print money okay now one of the things that we need to do is we need to
create the rules of the game you need to create the game itself which is the global economy
right global economy and obviously this is a pretty vast system that encompasses everything okay
now you have to explain to people how the global economy works
you cannot tell people oh really there are these secret people working behind the scenes that are
projecting shadows onto a wall so what you do is you create multilateral organizations
that pretend to control the global economy and they are the world bank the united nations
wto you make people believe that this is all being controlled impartially for our benefit
now you have to convince people that this system is legitimate that when you're actually seeing
the shadows on the wall they're real and that's why you need the media that's why you need the
you need culture such as hollywood movies basically and you need education school system
okay these are the people who are all prisoners who have become leaders of the prisoners and who
are help them understand the shadows on the wall so am i in the media yes you are am i yes so am i
what am i doing where i'm one of the people in the fire controlling the narrative is that what yes
yes but but i'm not owned by anybody
that's what you think oh really yes who am i owned by ultimately it's a people who control the fire
that are in charge right so ultimately it's these people the second layer okay the game masters the
financial elite that control everything and the financial elite again are like the world bank you
said no no the financial elite are these private bankers okay so are the private bankers controlling
me because you said i was in the media do you want money yeah then they're controlling you okay
how are they controlling me because they control the creation of money and so now that you have
the media the schools and the cultural systems helping people understand the shadows on the wall
these shadows now become internalized and they dictate the values and norms of people
what they believe to be good and bad they dictate habits and customs how you live your life
and they dictate the legal system who's punished for what okay and this becomes a top edifice
and what's amazing about the system is that in our minds okay in our minds we believe that the
system is first of all the complete opposite where where the foundation is actually the laws
the habits and the values when in fact in reality these are just figments of our imagination
okay that's point one point two is that this is a very very delicate structure so if anyone does
incorporate okay
then this edifice collapses
because it's a very, very delicate system, okay?
And the third thing,
and this is most important
to understand the world that we live in,
as the system becomes much more wobbly,
meaning that young people
don't really believe in the shadows anymore.
Young people grow up and says,
hmm, are these shadows really real?
They don't feel real to me.
The system needs to become much more authoritarian.
It needs to force people to believe
what they refuse to believe
because everyone in the system
is incentivized to ensure this edifice is stable.
Do you think this is somewhat linked
to what's going on with independent media?
Exactly.
Because independent media are asking a lot of questions
about the way society functions.
Exactly.
And that's why we're seeing governments
becoming very worried about independent media.
Because if you have people in the population saying,
these shadows are fake,
this creates a ripple effect.
It causes people to start questioning
the shadows on the wall.
You can't have that.
So that's why it's important to have censorship.
That's why it's important to de-platform people.
That's why you have woke politics, DEI.
Because it's an enforcement mechanism.
Yeah, I mean, it is pretty hard.
You know, it's pretty,
it's not easy being an independent podcaster
if you have a big platform
because you're not always the most loved
by the mainstream media.
And they'll figure out how to eventually. But I think that's very human, actually.
I think the incentives are quite understandable
from a human perspective.
Look, if you look at the system,
no one's really in charge
and no one's a villain.
They just grow up in the system.
And everyone's protecting their incentives.
Exactly.
That's kind of what I mean.
I'm like, yeah,
human nature is to protect one's incentives.
And, you know, the media didn't like
Mark Zuckerberg and Facebook
because 80% of, 70, 80% of ad revenue
went to Google and Facebook.
So they had a bit of a war.
So I kind of get it.
People are trying to protect what's theirs.
And disruption causes people to,
I guess, panic a little bit.
But it makes sense.
But the problem is that over time,
more and more young people are going to grow up
and say, I don't see shadows.
I'm pretty sure we're being lied to.
In which case, this presents an opportunity
to overhaul the system and create a new system.
And this is why AI is important.
But we currently believe this one.
We currently believe in this structure.
It's almost, it's really difficult, I think,
for the average person listening now
to accept the fact that they have believed
a bunch of fundamental ideas and stories
that everything they care about is sat upon.
But I mean, you only,
if you've read the book Sapiens
and understood that humans got here
because we've had a remarkable ability
to believe in stories
that maybe the orangutan could not believe.
It couldn't believe in money
and governments and religions
and all these kinds of things.
It makes perfect sense that, yeah,
there's really foundational stories
where you are accepting
and that's what's brought us here today.
That's what keeps me from running out on the street
without my clothes on
or doing other illicit activities
is I'm held in place by a set of stories
that I've accepted
and they are stacked one upon the other
to make me believe that everything I'm seeing
and accepting is valid.
But, you know, I guess the question becomes,
am I okay with this reality?
And what's stopping us from creating our own reality
that benefits everyone?
Is that possible?
Well, in theory, it's possible.
But as you point out,
there's certain people who are happy with the system
and want to maintain the system.
And that's why we're going to wars around the world
because it's not just a war
between different nation states.
It's also a war for the fundamental nature of reality.
You have the bankers versus the tech bros, right?
That's what we're seeing in the world right now.
Where for the longest time,
Wall Street has controlled America.
But now with the Trump revolution,
you have Palantir.
You have people like Larry Ellison,
Peter Thiel,
Sam Altman,
who want to create Operation Stargate,
which gives them complete control
over people's imagination.
You can knock it over now.
Okay.
And that thing will come down eventually
because that is just,
it's just the fundamental fact of human history.
Everything, no matter how stable it seems in the beginning,
it all comes crashing down eventually.
Eventually.
Eventually.
Cyclically.
Cyclically.
Yes.
Ray Dalio talks about the cycles through history
and how sort of predictable they are
and how frequent they are.
Is there a frequency to the rise and fall of these,
I guess, perceived realities or empires, as he calls it?
Yeah, so they say empires,
they don't really last around 200 years.
And so we are now in the twilight of the American empire.
And what we know is that when empires decline,
it's always for the same reasons.
And it's always because of too much debt,
too much corruption,
too much inequality.
And we're seeing that in America today.
And the other thing that we know is
you can't actually stop the decline of empires.
So Oswald Spengler,
who is a German theoretician,
he argues that we are human beings
and we have natural life cycles because we're organisms.
Well, societies are the same way
where empires, they will be born,
they'll rise, they'll die.
And it's a good thing
because that's what allows for constant human innovation.
Do you think that will happen in my lifetime?
I'm 30 years old, 33 years old.
It may happen in everyone's lifetime.
It may happen in the next five,
10 years.
We are seeing. Do you think that's going to happen
in the next five or 10 years?
I think there's a very strong possibility
that the American empire will collapse
in the next five to 10 years
because it is overstretched.
It's in too much debt
and it is really angling the entire world.
It's basically unifying the entire world
against it right now.
And if that is to be the case,
what would you give me as advice
as a 33-year-old?
What actions should I be thinking about taking now
based on what you know about history
to make sure that it's not too bad for. Myself.
I guess I'm asking this question
in light of you predicting
that there might be a collapse
of the sort of Western
or the American empire.
And in such a scenario,
I was wondering what it would look like
to be an American.
And is there a solution
or a course of behavior
one should take in such a scenario?
But I guess that's the key question,
which is if the US empire does collapse,
how does American life change
or Western life change?
Okay.
So one theory that's very important to understand,
is something called hermetic philosophy.
And hermetic philosophy is what underpins
Plato's Alley of the Cave.
And hermetic philosophy comes from Egypt.
And it has certain principles,
but its main principle is that
reality is energy.
It's vibrations.
Okay.
So we think of it as material,
but material is a consequence of energy.
Right?
So what this means is that
reality,
is consciousness itself.
So our thoughts are what's real.
Our bodies are just vehicles to express,
to experience the world around us,
but they're not real.
When we die,
our souls return to the source and we come back again.
And we're here permanently in order to experience things
we cannot experience in a spiritual world,
because in a spiritual world,
it's not material.
So what's really important,
is to appreciate that
every one of us is part of the source.
And so if we think about the totality of things,
we can only become despondent.
We can only give up hope.
But if we think about how individually
we can become a better person
and how we can impact the people around us,
then that becomes reflected onto the reality itself,
because we're just part of God itself.
Right?
So the idea is as above,
so below,
as below,
so above,
meaning that we are each and every one of us fractals of God.
So if we choose to be a good person,
this makes the world a better place.
If we choose to be a bad person,
it also makes the world a worse place.
So it's not really about how can I stop these wars from happening?
But you cannot.
It's not really about where can I put my money to make,
generate more income because that's not going to happen.
It's really about,
how do I live my life to the fullest?
How do I become a much more creative individual that brings goodness to the
people around me?
If you do that,
you're changing the world every day for the better.
That's a nice message.
That's a very nice message.
And I agree.
And it's really interesting.
I've spoken to a couple of physicists now who say similar things.
Regarding about consciousness.
And it really has stuck with me.
A lot of things people say,
you know,
sometimes because I learned so much doing this that I forget them.
But this idea that we're all part of the same consciousness and that I think someone said to me,
a physicist said to me that it's almost like consciousness divided into lots of little pieces so that it could experience the world or view the world.
And I found that to be a really compelling idea.
Weirdly,
I was thinking about this the other day,
I was in a European country and I was like,
I was driving in a taxi and I looked out the window and you had all
these like tourists just stood at the edge of the water or just like looking up and looking around
and i just for a second thought of it thought of them as like little pieces of consciousness
exploring the world because they were like looking up and looking around looking at mountains looking
at the ocean and looking at the floor and it it dawned on me for a second that that might just be
consciousness is manifestation um for sort of i guess exploration it's which is really interesting
idea i don't necessarily know what it means but it does create a little lot of empathy so so one
one area that you might want to explore is the kabbalah so what how's this what's this kabbalah
thing right it's what they call the tree of life and in the tree of life it's it's what you're
trying to say is that it's a certain dynamic in the world that governs all human affairs this
dynamic is thesis antithesis synthesis so god is the will to bestow creates adam kanmon who is the
will to receive and then kanmon has to abandon god that's that's destroying the world but
eventually
you
because the world is destroyed and then kanmon and his and his descendants us recognize the
father of our ways and beg god for forgiveness and this will redeem the world repair the world
and if you think about it okay this is what underpins a lot of actions that is happening
in the middle east where the israelis are doing what they're doing because you're trying to force
the hand of god meaning that okay if you're trying to force the hand of god you're trying to force
the hand of god you're trying to force the hand of god you're trying to force the hand of god
if israel is committing all these atrocities in the middle east it's getting all these wars
eventually the world will have to punish the israel the israelis right there'll be war between
the world and israel and israel will be humbled but once israel is humbled everyone in israel
will recognize the folly of his or her arrogance hubris and then will beg god for forgiveness and
once that that moment happens when all people in israel at the same time beg god for deliverance
and for forgiveness the world will end and will return to paradise that's literally what they
believe we're gonna have to stop there professor okay um we have a closing tradition where the last
guest leaves a question for the next guest not knowing who they're leaving it for and the question
left for you is who will you miss the most and why well i will miss my wife the most because i met my
wife about 10 years ago and this was a time in my life when i had and when i had i had hit rock
bottom um i went to yale and so i have a very um elevated sense of myself and my abilities and so
i went into the world thinking that i would conquer it and after that i went to yale and i
decades of failure um i basically became very depressed failure yes i meaning i didn't have a
job meaning i didn't have much income meaning i didn't have much hope in my life and so i was
working as a teacher and then for mutual acquaintance i met my wife and i think that
it was because i became so depressed that my heart i
begged for relief i begged god even though i don't believe in god for salvation and redemption
and my wife came as an angel and what she did that no one else did before was she loved me
unconditionally she was kind to me she told me to believe in myself and she proved it by making the
most sacrifice and having a child with me right it's one thing to for someone to say i believe in
you i love you but it's another thing to have a child with that person and so that changed me
totally and i and i said to myself i can't despair anymore i have to work hard i have to provide
for my family and at this time i was thinking that maybe i could help certain students go
to yale like you know in china um consulting is a huge business where if you help package a kid
and you get you to yale you get about a million dollars that's a lot of money right and she told
me you can't do that you have to be true to yourself and you have to be true to our son
set a good example for him and so what happened was that i got a job as a high school teacher
and then i started to make these youtube videos and then it blew up online
and this was not something that we expected it's not something that we planned for it just
happened organically so it was my wife just just by saying i love you to me and i knew it to be
true because we had a child together we started a family together by loving me unconditionally by
being kind to me it changed me forever and that's what empowered me to want to share myself with
other people as well and so i don't know how i will ever thank my wife i'm i'm forever grateful
for her and i don't i don't before i didn't really mind leaving this world but i don't want to leave
this world anymore because i don't want to separate from her could you have expected that
you'd have the success you've had online you've got almost two and a half million subscribers
on youtube alone um getting millions and millions and millions of views on your videos
i mean some of your videos have almost 10 million views on various channels that you've been on
you've only made 146 of these videos and you're
channel has grown immensely could you have imagined
i did you did imagine yes you thought it would go like this um not this big but i imagine you know i
i would find people who believe in what i was doing and would be inspired by what i was doing
and i knew this because when i met my wife and i fell in love for the first time and we love each
other can uh unconditionally my
nation start to open up i could see and feel things that were not available to me before
and it was as though i became much more connected to the source i'd be much more connected to the
universe and the universe was giving me insights as to how to proceed and so i had one day an
inspiration let me start our youtube channel and let me make stupid predictions and see where it
goes because if i'm right then then i'll be pretty famous if i'm wrong then i'm an idiot but what gave
me the courage to imagine all this was again the love of my wife so that's why i say kindness and
love so i did imagine this but not to the extent that um you know my youtube channel has blown up
you've only been doing this for a long time so i'm not sure if you've been doing this for a long time
you've only been doing this for a long time
you've only been doing this for a long time
you've only been doing this for a long time
you've only been doing it about a year i don't think i've ever seen someone get two and a half
million subscribers in a year especially making a geopolitics and uh it's mainly geopolitics isn't
it and history videos in a year that's crazy but i will tell you this it has not changed me
because being with my wife having a family i know my mission is to share myself with others
so i could easily um create a media education company like jordan peterson um and start my own
university i don't want to do that i want to share myself with others i want to constantly
learn i want to constantly ask questions i want to be open-minded i want to be brave
for my wife and my family and so yes i did succeed and i think i thank the universe for
letting me succeed i and i thank most of all the fact that i succeeded at an age and a time when
i can focus on a mission and ignore the fame the wealth the status are you happy i'm very happy
with my family because it's my wife and my children who bring me tremendous happiness
in the world the the youtube channel if they close it down tomorrow and they might i wouldn't be
at all uh unhappy because i could just go and create more videos uh what matters is a source
of my creativity which is my the love i have for my family that is beautiful really beautiful i
mean it's it's really self-evident the value you're giving to people because the amount of
people that showed up in my comment section and demanded that you come here was staggering in
fact that's actually how i learned about you was i just saw your name so much in the comment section
so i was like here's this guy and i went on youtube and looked around and then i found
these videos and i got served them because i clicked on them and then i got went down the
rabbit hole like just to warn you yeah i am a polarizing figure oh so some people really love
me but some people also really it doesn't matter listen i have i sit here with people really
regardless of uh of of that stuff and i think that's important and quite rare so i'll you know
i've sat with kamal harris or avanka trump or gavin newsom or michelle obama you know and
for me it's really about the pursuit of truth rather than being captured too much by you know
right all the blocks that we have on the table so um thank you for doing what you do because
you're demystifying and you're you're giving a perspective
to the world and i think one of the things you you do that really has compelled people is you
you're able to um break things down in visual ways that allow people like me who aren't the best um
when it comes to books and textbooks and weren't necessarily very good in school to understand
concepts in a simpler way and really to bring them to life in ways that make them actionable
and relevant to our lives and so long may you carry on doing that and that's a central message
if that'll help people understand like everyone has capacity to learn the truth for himself or
herself it's only a question of desire and will thank you thank you
you
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Trump is predicted to secure a third term through either a political maneuver involving his son as vice president or by delaying elections via a national draft during a declared war.
A national draft will be implemented, automatically registering all able-bodied males aged 18 to 24, forcing them into military service as a tool to sustain prolonged conflict.
The U.S. war with Iran is not seen as a battle for territory, but as a strategic effort to weaken the global dollar system and force economic dependence on America.
Iran’s geographic fortress nature and use of asymmetric warfare, including drones and missile attacks, make it resilient to conventional strikes and capable of enduring a long war.
The war could escalate into World War III due to the deep ideological and geopolitical conflicts between the U.S. and a coalition of Russia, China, and Iran.
Russia is expected to enter the conflict to support Iran, driven by the Third Rome strategy and a belief that U.S. dominance undermines global stability and Christian values.
A key factor in the conflict is the use of economic leverage—such as closing the Strait of Hormuz—by Iran to pressure global energy markets and challenge U.S. hegemony.
The U.S. will face internal collapse due to political polarization, lack of public will, and a failure to sustain a prolonged war, making the American empire vulnerable to systemic failure.
Summary:
-Iran conflict, which will serve as a catalyst for deeper geopolitical instability. Trump is expected to secure a third term either through a constitutional loophole involving his son as vice president or by triggering a national draft during an active war, which would suspend normal democratic processes. S.
dominance through control of global energy routes. Iran’s mountainous terrain and use of asymmetric warfare, including drone attacks, make it resilient to air strikes, leading to a war of attrition. S.
seeks to dominate through technological and economic control, while Russia, China, and Iran form a coalition based on anti-imperial ideologies and economic self-reliance. S. actions as a threat to global balance and Christian values.
S. lacks the political will, industrial capacity, and public support to sustain the war, increasing the risk of internal collapse. S.
to rely on its own resources. Ultimately, the speaker warns that this conflict is not a short-term issue but a long-term strategic struggle that could redefine the global order, with a high probability—between 80% and 90%—of leading to full-scale world war.
FAQs
The three predictions are: Trump will win the 2024 election, he will start a war with Iran, and the United States will lose that war, radically reshaping the global geopolitical landscape.
The predictor believes Trump will start a war with Iran because the U.S. dollar's global dominance is threatened by rising alternatives like gold and a potential shift to a BRICS-led trade system, prompting the U.S. to act to preserve its economic supremacy.
The U.S. lacks the political will, manufacturing capacity, and risk tolerance to wage a prolonged war in Iran. Additionally, Iran can conduct a war of attrition using its mountainous terrain and guerrilla tactics, making it difficult for the U.S. to achieve a decisive victory.
The predictor predicts a national draft for Americans aged 18 to 24, which would be implemented as a response to the war with Iran. This would force the U.S. to mobilize ground troops and delay the election, effectively suspending normal democratic processes.
The conflict could escalate into a global war when Russia and China enter the conflict on Iran’s side, using their military and economic power to counter American dominance. This would trigger a global strategic confrontation, potentially involving nuclear weapons and leading to full-scale World War III.
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global energy trade. Iran’s closure of this strait by threatening ships has disrupted energy flows, forcing global buyers to rely on the U.S. for energy and creating economic leverage for Iran.
Chat with AI
Loading...
Pro features
Go deeper with this episode
Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.