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Worry-O-Meter Wednesday & Liam Hicks Raking! (5/6 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

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Worry-O-Meter Wednesday & Liam Hicks Raking! (5/6 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)

The podcast discusses recent pitching struggles and injuries. Framber Valdez's poor outing against the Red Sox, where he allowed 10 runs and was ejected, raises concerns about his declining strikeouts and ground ball rate, but the hosts advise against panic due to his track record. Liam Hicks continues to surprise as a top catcher, with elite contact and pull-happy approach, though his power may regress to a 15-20 homer pace. Christopher Sanchez delivered a masterful start, reinforcing his ace status. Key injuries include Tarik Skubal's elbow surgery (out months), Joe Ryan's clean MRI, Emilio Pagan's severe hamstring injury (Tony Santillan is the top relief target), and Carlos Correa's ankle issue (weeks to months). Robbie Snelling is highlighted as a potential waiver wire pickup if called up, given his minor league strikeout lead, but his low swinging strike rate and high walk rate temper expectations. The hosts also note the Yankees' rotation updates, with Carlos Rodon likely returning soon after a poor Triple-A start.

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Welcome to the fantasy baseball today podcast from CBS Sports Got a fantasy question email fantasy baseball at CBSi.com Get ready to win your league Now here's Frank Scott and Chris what's up and welcome in to fantasy baseball today on Wednesday Basics I am Frank sample joy by Scott white. It was a crappy night of pitching So that means it's time for a worryometer Wednesday Amelia Pagan is hurt who is next up I need Scott's help figuring out these three pictures. It sounds like maybe Scott needs my help So we're gonna collaborate and try and figure out what is going on with these pictures Oh I think probably in our little time here in the in the stream yard room before you hit record I said I don't know Two dozen times referring to what a pitcher was doing and me Frantically trying to find explanations. So yeah, I don't know I don't know that I'm gonna be much help in helping you figure it out But I'm glad you're just a stump design Frank. We'll do it live and we'll talk about all that and much more let's jump in Baby that is exactly what nobody said when they saw framer Valdez's line here on Tuesday night It was a big old stinker and then he got ejected from the game. So Scott What is up with Valdez who I mean the overall line is looking looking pretty bad so far Yeah, I mean, it certainly is after this start. Yeah one where you give up 10 runs Seven earned so you know they didn't all count against the ERA, but yeah, that'll take your ERA from a A very solid 335 to a pretty ugly 457 and that's what happened here With framer Valdez and it's discouraging in large part because It looked like he was Really settling in last time out like yeah He had maintained a good ERA prior to this start, but the strikeouts were way down the curve ball didn't seem to be working Last start he got seven whiffs on the curve ball. He got 10 on the change up. That was new That usually hasn't been such a great pitch for framer Valdez where he goes from getting 10 whiffs on the change up to zero In this start He also allowed three home runs which is very uncharacteristic. I mean framer Valdez is Kind of the standard as far as Groundball pitchers go everybody is Trying to reach his level of consistency in that category part of what makes groundball pitchers so great is they don't give up on runs And in high numbers three and one start very unusual for framer Valdez his ground ball rate is actually down quite a bit this year It's still good because It's Normally an outlier and now it's just good But you know that's off the curve ball effectiveness has been off Things are just kind of off with him right now and it all seem to come to a head in this start I Wanted panic in fantasy if I had framer Valdez and abandoned ship because things went as poorly as they did this time out You know sometimes that just happens Obviously the ejection It seems at least from the red socks perspective pretty clear that there was an intentional beating Situation there for Valdez and we'll see what kind of uh We'll see what kind of suspension results from that but Like emotionally charged day Weird with the home runs I'm just gonna kind of chalk it up is A weird day for Valdez and while I'm not totally at ease because of the curve ball and the ground ball rate being down I still think it's it's no reason to panic Yeah, the biggest thing that stood out to me entering the start is that while he's not usually a big strikeout pitcher The strikeouts are down a little bit this year his swinging strike rate Down from 11 and a half percent Below 10% this season and it's just the wiff rates on all of his pitches are just down a little bit across the board So he just feels like he hasn't really settled in quite right yet with Detroit And we know that in the past he's you know been an emotional pitcher and he's dealt with things like on and off the field And perhaps the mentals here got the best of him after allowing back-to-back home runs He hits Trevor's story with the pitch and then benches clear and he's ejected from the game He said afterwards that it wasn't intentional, but it I don't know I mean Read between the lines, right? It's like a fastball Hits Trevor's story right after back-to-back home runs. It's like all right. I kind of see what's going on here He is part of the worryometer segment for later on so a little sneak peeks got but uh 1 to 10 where would you put Valdez on the worryometer right now? I would put him at about a four Which is not a low number given his consistency and track record so you would confidently try and buy low right now if you could Hmm. I would try to buy low hesitantly Not confidently, but hesitant. Not confidently. Let's be honest man pitching is is kind of a disaster right now with all the It was a bad night for pictures outside of Christopher Sanchez who we'll talk about in just a second But I mean if you just if you're just invested in all the young guys Cam Schlippler and Nolam McLean and chase Burns Jacob Izirowski with one exception with one exception Bubba Chandler Bubba Chandler. Yeah, I shouldn't have invested in him but those others yeah You're making out great right now the breakout guys are coming through but between all the injuries up top and just Weird starts to season for like Cole Regans and frambervaldez and Logan Webb. It's just It has been a messy start to the season for pitching so far this year my oh my goodness gracious player It's not really just for the night. It's on the entire season I'm just kind of in awe that he continues doing this but it's Liam Hicks with the marlins who went four for five It is eighth home run at a three more three more RBI his 32 RBI They don't just lead the catcher position tied for first in all of baseball with Matt Olson Which is just insane to think about Liam Hicks someone who's picked up off waiver wires even in two catcher leagues before the season started He is now hitting three twenty one. He's got the eight homers 32 RBI 947 OPS His strikeout rate is below 10% he makes an insane amount of contact and he Has made some changes this season while he doesn't hit the ball hard the fact that he puts the ball in play as much as he does And he pulls the ball in the air a good amount that is up to 22% the season It's resulting in really good things for for Liam Hicks and the expected stats 307 xBA 452 x slug I was in line with you scada I feel like you kind of dubbed the You put the Carson Kelly label on on Liam Hicks here a couple of weeks ago And I was kind of in the same belief like and it still might turn out that way but Yeah, I don't know man. I feel like there might be more staying power here with how much Contact and how much he pulls the ball in the air. It's it's been amazing to watch I probably I know I said a lot of things the last time I talked about Liam Hicks probably too many things and the whole message It ended up being confused. I think what I landed on was I don't buy I buy into him being a good hitter. I don't buy into what exactly what he's doing now Uh, and I think that's still my stance on it. Yes, he is great at making contact and His rate of pulling the ball in the air is going to allow him to extract The absolute maximum out of his power potential as long as it continues but the overall home run output and In conjunction with that the overall RBI output it has to slow down I guess I mean obviously he also has the playing time thing working for him Uh, particularly now that Augustine Ramirez has been sent down. I mean, that's a vote of confidence in Hicks for sure Uh Oh You know, I say he has the playing time thing working for him and this is another thing that makes the RBI production remarkable He actually has consistently been sitting against left hand to pitchers. So he's not even quite a full-time player Yeah, I think where I think where I'm inclined to say about Hicks this time around is good hitter Power production has to slow There are playing time issues that are naturally going to suppress his upside Obviously this to this point we haven't seen it, but eventually we will He I think he's like I know this is going to sound unflattering, but Gabriel Moreno is kind of what I'm seeing here Understanding that Gabriel Moreno per game Has always been a lot better than his overall production because he tends to miss time with injuries But that's kind of what I'm seeing Hicks being guy who can make maybe hit 282, 85, 15 to 20, Homer pace. I understand he's well ahead of that now, but that's what I think the skill set looks like to me and what I think he'll eventually slow into, which hey, two catcher leagues, that's still gonna be a great player for you. I was laughing when you brought that up, him being picked up even in 15 teamers because back to back years in my tower's draft, 15 teams, two catchers. That's an expert, quote unquote expert league that people like to follow along closely when the draft is happening. And there's always so much, oh, Scott's going cheap at catchers. This is a mistake, 15 team, two catcher league. Why are you going so cheap at catcher? And then last year to account for that, I picked up Drake Baldwin before the season started. And this year I picked up Liam Hicks. So maybe going cheap at catchers the way to go or maybe I'm just very lucky to land the right player off the way for wire at that position. I don't know. The catcher whisperer, scout white, you heard it here first. I don't think there's anything actionable with Liam Hicks. I wouldn't even try to sell high on him because to be honest, I don't really think that you'll get like a big haul in return. I think it's, if you picked him up, you kind of ride it out. And if you're using him in a one catcher league, again, it's, I think there's other names around him that have more upside, but we just lost Augustine Ramirez. If you picked him up and you've just been, I think just continue to ride with it here with Liam Hicks as long as he is this hot to start the season. Want to give a shout out to Christopher Sanchez, one of the only aces performing right now. Huge bounce back start against the athletics. Eight shutout innings with 10 strikeouts here, had 22 whips on 97 pitches. Two run runs are fewer in seven of eight starts. He has gone six plus in five of eight starts. Velossi was up a little bit. And this one actually more than a little bit. It was like between one and 1.5 miles per hour. His changeup was absolutely ridiculous. I don't think we ever voice any concern. His whip was very high entering the start, but all the underlying numbers still love Christopher Sanchez. So it was nice to get a masterful kind of ace outing here out of Christopher Sanchez. Got. Yeah, never a doubt. His whip is still likely to run higher than an aces normally would, which is still going to mean a good whip compared to the average pitcher, but just the fact he's such a big ground ball guy. But normally he has great control. I think that is part of what had slipped a little early on here for Christopher Sanchez. But overall, I think he still looks like a great pitcher. And I think it's very likely he's going to go on a dominant run here. All right, before we get our first break, if you enjoy the audio podcast, make sure to drop a five-star rating and review on Apple and Spotify. And speaking of which, I have seen some reviews. Some complaints about like audio skipping and things like that. I just want to let people know that we have seen that. We are trying to figure out what the root cause of that is. I can assure you it's nothing to do with editing, because I'm up way too late at night, being very meticulous with the editing and things. So maybe you're up too late. Maybe that is the problem. Maybe, maybe. Leary eyed Frank in inserting skipping audio. It's something to do with the publisher. I don't know exactly what it is, but we are trying to find the root of the issue. So it's being addressed. We're trying to figure it out. Let's take that break. And we'll be back right after this. Welcome back in, fantasy baseball today. Let's hit the news and notes. And Terrick's Google will officially undergo arthroscopic surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow on Wednesday. And hopefully a few days, weeks after we will get an update. But my guess is that he's out at least three months here. And hopefully we can get him back for August, although that is not a guarantee. The MRI on Joe Ryan's elbow came back clean. He played catch on Tuesday and is tentatively lined up to start this weekend in Cleveland. Emilio Pagan was carted off the field with a severe left hamstring injury. The same hamstring he dealt with earlier this season. They said after the game that Pagan will go on the IL. So who is next up? Scott Tony Santien or Graham Ashcraft. What do you think? Those are the only two it could be from what I see in the Reds bullpen. I can't make a case for anybody else. Santien has consistently been the eighth inning guy and Ashcraft has consistently been the seventh inning guy. So what's most logical is that they just move up and inning. And that would make Santien the one to target. So I would say with 75%, 75%, 80% confidence Santien's the one to target. And he could get a long run in the role because that looked like a pretty bad injury for Pagan. Yeah, it also wouldn't surprise me if they kind of mix and match a little bit here between Santien and Ashcraft. But I'm with you. I do lean that Santien will be first up. He has struggled with walks. He allowed a home run here on Tuesday night to actually tie the game. 24% rostered widely available is Tony Santien. If you're looking for some other options outside of the Reds bullpen after losing Pagan, Jack Perkins with the athletics and Jacob Lance with the Rangers feel like the two emerging names that we think are going to pick up saves for their respective team. So those are a couple of other options you could look at around the league for saves. I would say that I am more confident in Santien having the Reds rolled. And I am in those two being the number one closer for their teams. I think the most talented of the three relievers is Perkins, Jack Perkins. So I do think they're all strong waiver wire targets if you need saves. But if I'm prioritizing him just based on who I think is the safest for saves, I actually do think it's Santien Carlos. Corea has a significant left ankle injury, which will keep him out weeks possibly months, which is brutal news. He was off to a pretty good start so far this year. It is good news. However, for ESOC parades and this was part of your evaluation coming in Scott that you know the Ashros have a lot of injury prone players. What do you know? Corea is hurt. So parades, although parades is basically been every day player. Anyway, this just further solidifies that. And hopefully Jeremy Paine is back soon. There was talk that he could go on a rehab assignment starting this weekend. Roman Anthony was diagnosed with a sprained right wrist after undergoing an MRI. And the hope is that he will avoid the I L. Calralli return to line up as the DH. He missed three games with right side tightness. Moogibets is on track to face live pitching in a sim game Thursday. But that goes well. And turns out that the Marlins didn't really care about Chris Patix health. Well, maybe they do, but they de-effed him anyway because of performance related reasons. So they have not announced who will take his spot in the rotation for Friday. I believe Braxton Garrett still made a start here on Tuesday. I will look that up while you talk about this situation. So my assumption is that it will actually be Robbie snowing because they cleared a spot on the 40 man roster. And if that's the case, I am very excited about Robbie snowing here. Scott L.A.U. Yeah, you and Chris were texted about it all day. I feel like so both of you were excited about Robbie snowing. I'm a little more. I want to say I'm very excited. I'm hopeful. I'm interested. And my interest is peaked, I think, given the way we're straining for a wave or wire pickups at starting pitcher right now, Robbie snowing is probably very high on that list. And look, the strikeout numbers look great at AAA. In fact, I believe he leads that level, maybe all the minors and strikeouts. I can't remember exactly what I saw on the internet, but it was impressive stat like he's getting a ton of strikeouts. It doesn't seem like he should be because his swinging strike rate is pretty lame. That's below 11%. And it's obviously a different class of hitter. He's going to be facing a much higher class of hitter. He's going to be facing in the majors. And if he can't induce whiffs, I don't know. Also his walk rate has been very high at AAA. The ERIs great, 186, it was 127. And the 11 starts he made at AAA last year. So like, I get it. I get the excitement. But it's not like when we saw Chase Burns working his way through the minors. And just like everything was, this guy is just a can't miss crazy dominant pitcher. I would say my excitement level for snelling is probably less than it was for Peyton Toli when he got called up. It's probably less than it was for Noah Schultz when he got called up. It's probably a little higher than J.R. Richie when he got called up. And again, I would be pushing to add him. I just want to caution people that I don't know how this is going to go. Maybe it'll go great. Maybe he'll have a short stay because he shows he's not quite ready yet. I don't know. They do have Braxton Garrett waiting in the wings too. Yeah, so Braxton Garrett did make another start here on Tuesday. Five innings, four runs, three earned. six strikeouts to three walks and they need someone to start Friday. So that that's not going to be Braxton Garrett. Again, my guess is that it's going to be Robbie snowing who is tied for the lead across all the wires. I was I was bringing a Braxton Garrett since it was unclear just because like if it's not like snowing is their only choice if he's not getting the job done, they could pivot to something else. Yeah. And for strikeouts for Robbie's stilling that is tied for the league lead across all the minor league levels. This season a 186 area 0.90 whip. But yeah, only 10.2 percent swinging strike rate. It was much higher last year. So hopefully he can tap back into that if he gets the call up. And if he does, even if he doesn't like right now, I think he's kind of like priority number one at starting pitcher. You know, the other names that like Kyle Harrison, yes, I'd take him ahead and all those other names we've talked about recently, Eric Getty, sure. But I said we were waiting for that next wave of starting pictures and like Braxton Garrett could lead that next wave of waiver wire starting pictures. So I myself am very. You mean Robbie's snowing. What did I say is that Braxton Garrett? Robbie's snowing is the name that I'm talking about. Go at him now. Yeah. Ben Rice has missed two games in a row with a left hand contusion. Which apparently he's having some trouble gripping the bat. So hopefully it's not too serious there for Ben Rice. Brandon Woodruff was examined by Dr. Keith Meister on Tuesday. That does not sound good. But who knows? Sonny Gray is expected to return Wednesday against the Tigers. Michael Harris returned to the lineup after missing a few games with that quad injury. We do have Yankees pitcher updates. Carl Sardin made another start a triple A on Tuesday. He was pretty bad six and a third seven hits six runs allowed five of those earned a four strikeouts two homers allowed in this one fastball change of slider all down around one miles per hour. But Elmer Rodriguez was optioned on Tuesday night. So sounds like Rodan's next start will be in the majors with the Yankees. Garrett Cole made a start at high A and he was also pretty bad. Four and a third in the seven hits five runs four strikeouts zero walks two homers allowed. There were some updates that I saw from people at the game that the velocity was up a little bit for Garicol. So sitting 96 97 topping out at 98. So I think that was a good sign. I spoke about this last week with Chris and the Garicol thing is kind of hard for me to read Scott because I can't tell if it's just all right veteran on rehab. He's going through the motions. He's just throwing strikes like doesn't really care about the results or is he a pitcher in his mid 30s coming back from elbow surgery and he he isn't the same anymore. So I don't know that anyone knows the answer. But what do you think? I remain hopeful. I remain hopeful. That's all you really can do at this point I feel like and obviously we've seen with Zach Wheeler with a much more concerning drop in velocity that he came up and you know he wasn't necessarily setting the world on fire on his rehab assignment either. But you know he came up and he looks great even with reduced velocity. So I'm going to I'm going to hope for the same thing. All right moving on Yiner Diaz was officially placed in the aisle with a left oblique strain Kirby eights was reinstated from the aisle should be interesting to see how he's used. He's 28% rostered Ryan Zepherjohn actually picked up the save for the angels here on Tuesday. I don't think that they just throw Kirby eights right into the closer roll Scott but is is that your lean that he works his way into it? So I actually wrote a bullpen report yesterday and one of the 10 closer scenarios I addressed was the angels. And I did not put yates at that top of the pecking order. I actually put Sam Bachman who set up for Zepherjohn and this one and usually goes multiple innings he went in and in a two thirds tonight. So it's not like it's it's not like oh definitely Sam Bachman like he's a closer and waiting. It's just that's how little confidence I have in anybody in the angels bullpen. Even yates because he was he was getting crushed on his rehab assignment and his velocity was way down and he wasn't very good last year and and he's old. I think if they're counting on him to be the closer. They are they are playing a dangerous game there. So I'm not particularly motivated to pick up and stash yates even in leagues where saves are scarce. But there it's there there is no front runner in the angel bullpen right now. There's nobody who really deserves to be the front runner even. It's a bad bad bullpen on a pretty bad team too. Yeah. I don't know if I can play some the aisle with left elbow inflammation but it is not expected to be a long stay apparently. Noah Cameron was scratched from his start Tuesday due to back tightness. The hope is that he will avoid the aisle Jose burials will undergo an MRI on his right elbow after he felt more sore than normal following his rehab start on Sunday where he also got crushed Jake Cronoworth was placed on the concussion I L. Sungmoon song was recalled from triple A and he made an impact right away. He went two for four with a steel two runs to RBI and he put up some big numbers in the KBO. He was signed this off season. He was hitting well in the minors but there wasn't much power and speed. Two percent rostered Scott do you have any deeply interest in Sungmoon song? I drafted them in an L only league and I held on to him in that league but that's an L only league. I outside of that I can't get excited about song at this moment. The Rangers plays Josh Smith on the aisle with a right glute train and recalled Justin Foscue and Trevor McDonald was optioned back to triple A after his strong start on Monday. Reliever, Joel Puguero was reinstated by the Giants and he is just a name to watch in their bullpen there where we are still trying to figure that one out as well. Moriometer pitcher edition. Here we go. One to ten. We spoke about Framberval Des. Ten. You could not be more worried about this pitcher. One, you are not worried at all. So Sandy Alcounter has so bad that I can't even play the sound bite. He got hit hard against the Orioles. Four and a third innings. Seven runs allowed in this one. Three walks, five strikeouts. You know, we did a full due segment yesterday. I mean, maybe Sandy Alcounter should be in that one as well. His first three starts were masterful. His next five starts a six ninety one, ERA, a one ninety whip, eighteen strikeouts to fourteen walks over twenty seven and a third innings. So where is Sandy on the Oriometer? I'm going to go about a five here because the contact quality is, you know, it's fine. It's not like that's a problem. The control seems pretty normal. He's not allowing home runs for the most part. Like you still see the makings of an ERA, of somebody who excels in ERA. The problem is why I was Luke Warman Alcounter coming into the season. Well, you got a guy who doesn't miss bats at a high rate. Isn't, is it really a good source of strikeouts? And he's not on a very good team. It's going to be miserable to downstretched because he's making no positive contribution to you at all. Like a lot of pitchers, a lot of good pitchers when they have bad starts, they give you a good strikeout number still, even when they have mediocre starts. It's like, well, they might eek out of win. I don't think we're going to see a lot of that from Alcounter this year. He pretty much needs to be his best self to feel like he's worth it. And I think he'll be his best self more often than not. I think there are better days ahead. But I don't know that I don't view him as a particularly high upside pitcher at this stage of his career. What I noticed in his five star stretch where he's pitch very poorly, Sandial Contra, his location plus is just a 96 and 100 is basically average. So 96 during this stretch in his first three starts, it was 107. So basically his command has been awful during this five star stretch. And that's what we saw in the first half last year when he was really struggling. It was, you know, walks and the ability to hit spots and it feels like that has kind of crept up and has been a big issue right now for Sandial Contra once again. Would you slap the by low label on Sandy right now? What is this? Yeah, right now for one. I guess I guess it went up a full run here almost in this start. Yeah, you could you could possibly do that. Again, I don't I don't know that the reward is enough to make that a worth your time really. But you know, if you're a very active trader, if you know the person who has him is really frustrated and you could probably easily pull off a trade, then sure that's something I would consider doing. Papa Chandler, the walks are untenable man. Five innings to run six walks to four strikeouts at the debacks. It was a rough first inning where he allowed two runs on two hits and three walks and then over his next four innings, zero hits. zero runs and three walks over those fourings, but even then it's like he was still walking too many. Uh, this is his second start with six walks this season. It's 26 walks to 31 strikeouts of our 34 innings pitched. The warriorometer on Boba Chandler probably probably like an eight. That's exactly what I was thinking. Yeah. If we're talking long charm, if we're talking dynastie asset, then, you know, maybe like a three or four, I still think the future is very bright. The stuff is good. We've seen him have stretches as a pro, both in the majors and minors where he overcomes this control issue, but it keeps coming back. And obviously it's, it's killing him right now. It was a problem spring training as well. I think it's to the point where the pirates might consider sending him down to try and get him right. I don't even think they should consider it. I think it should happen now. Like tomorrow they should send him down. Yeah. And so, so I don't think particularly in shallow leagues, it's at all beyond the pale to, to drop Chandler. If there's something worth picking up, certainly if like a Kyle Harrison type is out there still. Robbie Snelling. If your league is such that you know for sure somebody's going to pick up Robbie Snelling and shan dropping Chandler is the only way that somebody's going to be you. And yeah, I could see doing that. I do think Chandler's a more talented pitcher. And so I don't like the idea of it. I think it could absolutely backfire. But you have to play the game, you know, you have to play the game. You can't sit on the sidelines and, and give yourself no opportunity at Snelling in case this does go really well for him. Yeah. I agree with all that I would try my best to hold onto Bobber Chandler. There's absolutely no way that you can play him right now. And again, I think there's a decent chance that he might be sent down in the next couple days, maybe the next couple of weeks. If he doesn't turn this around fast because the walks are just, it's really, really bad right now for Bobber Chandler. Let's talk about Logan Webb who had another clunkered this one against the Padres. Four innings, six runs allowed, four strikeouts, zero walks, he only had five whiffs on 62 pitches. We found out afterwards that he was dealing with knee discomfort during this start, which does help explain why it was so bad. And he has a little bit better over his previous starts before this one. So I guess take everything into account. Scott, the bad start dealing with the knee thing. Whereas Logan Webb on the worryometer. So I would probably put him in for same as Fromper Val. Valdez, he just seems a little off in every way to me. And he was sort of like Fromper Valdez, less than ace from an inning per inning kind of evaluation than just, well, you know, he's going to give you a ton of volume and it's all going to be B to B plus, you know, in terms of how the quality level of that volume. So that makes it so you, there's a very thin margin there for going with all that volume from being a borderline ace to being a slight detriment, particularly in a category's league. You always love volume at a points league if the pitchers even adequate. And a category's league, it can become a detriment. We talked about it all preseason with Logan Webb. I mean, he's detriment to whip. So that's, that doesn't leave a lot of wiggle room and everything else and everything else seems just a little off. So I'm concerned. He's still Logan Webb and it's still early and there have been some high points this season. So not going to freak out yet, but there is, there is some actual concern here. Yeah, the biggest thing for me, I noticed his whiff rate on the sweeper is down from 29% last year to just 16% this year. So that basically accounts for all the strikeouts that he's missing so far. As a result, the K minus walk rate is down. He's allowing some harder contact. So he, he's not someone that usually gets a ton of whips, but it would be nice if we could start to see a little bit more from that sweeper and hopefully he's healthy, right? Because now he's dealing with this knee injury. So we'll find out more about Logan Webb over the next couple of days. Hopefully he's good to make his next start there here. Should be I guess this weekend sometime. Let's take our final break. When we return, I've got a lot more to talk about. Waverwire options. Scott and I will try to figure out these three pictures together. I guess we'll do that here on fantasy baseball today. Welcome back in fantasy baseball today. Let's talk Waverwire hitters from Tuesday's action and hey, say down. Rafaella did something. He went three from five with his second home run for RBI. Only a shallow league name here. 76% rostered, but it's got. If you saw Rafaella dropped in a shallower head to head format, what do you think about picking him up at all? No, shallower head to head. No, I wasn't. I had to assume those are the only leagues where he's been dropped. That's. He's one of the most over rostered players, I would say. Gosh, combined three home runs and stolen bases for a guy with horrible plate discipline. And who I think most everyone would have acknowledged is going to be a detriment batting average. The black of walks kills him and points leagues, obviously. I don't really understand why so many are clinging to him like this. Doesn't make sense to me. Manuel Basayo quietly picking things up. He went three for four with four RBI and over his last 12 games. He's hitting four 15 with two homers, nine RBI hitting them all very hard during that span. The one problem he has set out two of the last four games. Does sit out here and there. Lots of names here on this Orioles roster. 71% rostered. So it would just have to be in like a one catcher situation. But I feel like there have been so many names that we've talked about recently that have emerged lately, right? Like obviously Liam Hicks has even blown passes. I think he's over 90% rostered now at this point. But in a one catcher league, I think Basayo is like an Augustine Ramirez replacement. It would be totally fun. I think he's going to go on a run here sooner than later that vaults him into the top 10 at catcher. We all think of him that way at some point. Maybe it's already started with this recent hot streak. But I want to I can't at this point call Basayo must roster in a one catcher league because he has been sat out with some regularity, especially against left handers. And you know, it has it's been it's been merely so so in terms of the production and most fits recent. I say keep an eye on it. If you're dissatisfied with your catcher, maybe you could make a change. But the upside for Basayo is still very apparent to me. How would you rank these four? Sam Basayo, Dylan Dingler, Carter Jensen and Ryan Jeffers. I would say Jensen and Basayo practically tied. I'll give the edge to Jensen right now because the playing time's a little more consistent. Then I will go Dingler and then I will go Jeffers, but they're pretty close to to each other. Yeah. I the young guys clearly had and then the no, Dingler's young too, but you know what I mean? Yeah. The Dylan Dingler thing is actually pretty crazy. I believe he's top 10 and expected well, but so far this season like his expected stats are just absolutely bananas. So I wonder if some of that will start to translate into like monster production here for Dylan Dingler. Jorge Solaire has been solid. He went one for four with his eighth home run. He is 61% rostered. So again, like the only places could go in shallow leagues like three outfield or leagues, but I don't think Jorge Solaire needs to be rostered in three outfield or leagues, right? No. Moving on, we have Bryson Stott who is coming alive two for four with his third home run to RBI has all three homers in his past five games. The overall stat line still looks pretty bad. And I think you know what to expect. It's like 10 to 15 home runs, 25 is steals for Bryson Stott. 44% rostered. He could have been dropped in some category leagues and maybe some leagues with the middle infield spot. And if he was dropped in those formats, God, I would probably looked to re add Bryson Stott in a format like that. In a format like a middle infield league or like a categories league or something like that. I don't think it. Bryson Stott has to be rostered there, but yeah, no, there's no reason it points leagues. I mean, it's not even an everyday player. But in leagues where steals are valuable, like a road o league where it goes deep enough in the middle infield. Yeah, I don't know that he should have been dropped in those to begin with. I prefer him to say Don Rafael, I probably even in those leagues. Yeah. And there's like 30 percentage points difference in their roster right now. So yeah, I agree with that. I would take Bryson Stott over Rafael is straight up a couple multi position players here. Brooks Lee continues to hit well. He went three for five with two doubles and three RBI over his last 11 games, hitting 372 with two homers and two steals. and then Casey Schmidt will not go away. He started at second base in this game. They gave Luis a rise the night off. He went one for four with his sixth homer. He has a home run and back to back games. His expected stats, Casey Schmidt are really good to. I did not realize that. Who do you like more as to say kind of multi position bounce around type Brooks Lee or Casey Schmidt? Elise playing time is more secure, but I do like Schmidt as a hit or more. It's not just the expected stats, but even dating back to last year, there were some impressive signs. The exit velocities are average. Ex of lost these middle of the pack. He actually hit a ball as hard as 1111.6 miles per hour last year. That is with really good pull air rates that have only gotten better this year. It is a bright fire truck red. His pull air rate on baseball, so far right now 32%. And he hits the ball hard. He's not top index of velocities, but it's hard enough that if you're pulling it in the air, that consistently. You're going to be productive. So I think Schmidt is playing over his head, but not by as much as his track record would have you believe. Lee, his expected batting averages 207 is a very, very blue baseball savant page. I think he's probably better than that. His pull air rates pretty good to which helps. And he was such a highly regarded prospect, such a high draft pick. And from the beginning, you look at the data and you're like, I don't really see it. So I do think he's just one of those players who's never going to impress with the data and might still be a useful enough player. But I think the upside is very limited. And I'm only willing to bet against that data so much. So Lee is somebody who if you pick him up and use them, it's with one foot out the door constantly. Yeah. Just the on pace numbers for Brooks Lee 23 homers 83 RBI nine steals. Kind of interesting. I have no idea if he can keep that pace up, but he's doing some interesting things early on here. And I've noticed playing in the Towers Champions League, which is a 12 team head dead categories with daily lineups that it is valuable to have one of these types of players on your team. Someone that has like three different positions because, you know, once lineups come out and you know, oh, I don't know where like, you know, Boba Shit, his game got postponed here on Tuesday. If I had one of these multi position guys on my bench, then I could just, oh, I could plug that in. So it's like on a daily basis, like if someone just randomly out of the lineup, you know, you have a Brooks Lee or a Casey Schmidt who you can kind of bounce all over the place. If I found that they are a little bit more useful in a format like that. Nate low. We've talked a lot about lately. He hit another home run. All six of his home runs have come in the past 11 games. If you need a corner infielder, if you need some pop right now against right handed pitching, as long as you, Henne, or Suarez is out, I think Nate low remains a pretty intriguing option there. Some other names in deeper leagues. We spoke about two of these yesterday, JP Crawford and JJ Bladay. They each homer once again here on Tuesday. Ryan McMahon. Yeah. That Ryan McMahon. He's he's doing some things. He homework off of Jacob to Graham over his last 12 games. He's hitting over 300. He's got two homers and a steal during that stretch. Miguel and Duhar, his playing time is picking up. He has started six straight, including four against righties. He was hitting cleanup for the pot trays here on Tuesday. He went three for five with a double a triple a run and an RBI and Hazus Rodriguez. He only needed two games. He is on the board with his first career home run and a potaco in Oracle Park, which just snuck over the wall there for his first career home run. So some deeper names here. JP Crawford, Bladay, McMahon, Andrew Har and Hazus Rodriguez and the interest. I remain interested in JJ Bladay for all the reasons I talked about yesterday. Swing speed is much faster this year. He has been from spring training to his time at AAA. And now in the majors, he has put up numbers far better than we've seen from him before. And I think he may have unlocked something if he gets enough playing time. And then Hazus Rodriguez, if the playing time continues like this, worth keeping an eye on in two catcher leagues. I don't think the upside is enormous. But I think he could be I think he could be useful potentially. Let's talk waiver wire pitchers and Peter Lambert shut down the Dodgers seven shut out innings but did have four walks four strikeouts nine whiffs on 104 pitches. And he's got this kitchen sink approach. He throws six different pitches. The change up was really good here. I didn't see really anything else that stood out. Feels like a lucky start here Scott, but I don't really want to like take everything away from Peter Lambert. Are you at all interested after the starting and said Dodgers. I mean, he entered the start with a 13.4% swing strike rate and 87.6 mile per hour average exit velocity, which are both very good numbers. Obviously, that's a small sample and it's coming from a guy who has been a minor league journeyman only 29 year already 29 years old. So I'm not saying I'm not saying I'm buying Peter Lambert. I'm just saying you you can understand why he's succeeded so far. It's just is that going to continue and I bet against it. But you know, and ladies where I'm having to dig pretty deep at starting pitcher, I think you could do worse off the waiver wire. And I think in head to point leaks, he is RP only on CBS so far and it looks like he might line up for two starts next week against the Mariners and the Rangers. So kind of a beat the waiver wire, spark two star pitcher for those who play in point leagues is Peter Lambert. I think these names are mostly streamer types, but Scott, was there anything that stood out to you for and water Rodriguez, Andrew Abbott and James and Tyrone here on Tuesday night? We've got to get into at water Rodriguez a bit here because it was it wasn't just a good start. It was probably the second best start of the day, right behind only Christopher Sanchez. Yeah. He allowed no runs and seven innings, two hits, three walks, seven strikeouts. And it had been a few turns since we had seen Edward Rodriguez be anything even in the vicinity of good. Four earned runs allowed in each of his previous two starts, five innings each, a bunch of walks between them, not many strikeouts. Oh, I'm sorry, there were three straight starts that were bad, not just two, three that were bad. But you'll remember, he had three starts prior to that where he was looking dominant, a combined one and run in those three starts. So we've had three great starts for Edward, water Rodriguez, pre-mitted, three pretty miserable starts and now one start that is the best of all. And that is, that is disorienting. I think early when he was having success, you could look at the way the changeup was playing and say, okay, if that continues, maybe there is a path here for Edward Rodriguez to have a redemptive season, a couple more inches of drop on that changeup, it just looked like a more effective pitch. But that backed up in those three bad starts and it didn't really return in this start against the pirates. It's not like the changeup was carrying him. So I don't really know why it was so good. His fastball was the pitch that seemed to be playing up and the movement on it was a little different, but not in a way that's like, oh yeah, I totally get why that fastball played up in this start. It was just a confusing star for Edward Rodriguez and the larger track record leads me to believe we should probably just ignore it. Yeah, his curveball was also really good in this one. It was a little bit different too. It had four of his 15 whiffs and the velocity was down 1.2 miles per hour. It had four more inches of drop. So does feel like maybe it was a little bit like more of a loopier curveball and he loopier curveball, a flatter. No, not even flat like the induced vertical break was down on the fastball, but it took them out of kind of the middling range to the low range for that, which could sometimes be a good thing. I don't know. I feel like we're searching for answers and trying to sound smarter than we actually are. Yeah. Yeah. This is the biggest I don't know of the night at where to Rodriguez probably probably just to assume there's nothing to it. And I have bad news because while he faces the meds this weekend, that might work out okay. And then he's at the Rockies next week. So I don't think you want to use it harder, Rodriguez in that matchup. Andrew Abbott, he was all right. He looks like he's at the Guardians next week and then James and Tyrone at the White Sox. Again, those they feel like kind of streamer types. Anything here with these two, Brian Beo was great in bulk relief at the Tigers. Seven innings, one of them. run seven strikeouts. Stephen Coleck turned in a quality start in his spot start here against the Guardians, six innings, three runs, three strikeouts. He had more strikeouts than whiffs in this start. So that doesn't seem good. But anything here with Coleck or Brian Bale. In a broad sense, not so much a fantasy sense. But I kind of like Stephen Coleck. He had a 1.91 ERA and five starts for the Royals down the stretch last year. Great ground ball rate, throws a ton of strikes. But it was probably just a spot start. And again, the upside is very limited, even in a good scenario. Bayo, remember early on I was saying he had a couple of pitches that were getting a ton of whiffs and the overall swing, strike rate was outstanding. And so I wondered if he'd turned it around at some point. But I don't get the impression. That's what's happened here. Obviously it was his best outing by far. It was a good outing by any measure, except for the fact that average ex of velocity was over 94 miles per hour. So they were hitting him very hard when they did hit him. He cut his cutter use from 23% to I think 11%. Even though that's his best swing in this pitch, like that's the one with the whiff rate over 50%. And so he cuts it out and then goes on to have a good outing finally. So it was another one of those Brian Bayo where it's just like, okay, nothing's adding up here. Really, I think we'll just chalk it up as a weird thing that happened on a Tuesday and baseball. Thanks for nothing, Kate Cavali. Fouring six runs allowed three earned runs against the twins. After back-to-back double digit strikeout efforts, he had just two strikeouts here over the four innings. Look, his curve was good and he had nothing else. That remains the biggest problem I believe for Kate Cavali, along with like lots of walks and things like that. If I picked him up for the two-star weeks, I would drop him easily for like Robbie snowing. Yeah. Yeah. You kind of had to pick him up for two-starts after back-to-back 10 strikeout efforts. But it was never like, oh, wow, this guy has clearly figured it out. It was more like, hmm, this is kind of interesting. I wonder what happens next. And it turns out it wasn't very good. All right, Scott, here's the part we were all waiting for. Pictures that I don't know what to do with. And maybe you don't know what to do with. And so we're going to talk it out and try and figure out how we haven't done that yet. I thought we've been doing that all night. No, no, no, no. So we've got three more, I guess. George now it gets hard. George Kirby, Taj Bradley and Bryce Elder. Those are the three that I have here. George Kirby, seven innings, two runs, five strikeouts. He only had six whiffs on 88 pitches. He has managed good results this season. He has done it with his strikeout rate being down. His slider is now classified as a sweeper on Statcast. And that performed pretty well for him here on Tuesday night. His fastball had nothing. It had zero whiffs. A 5% CSW, it got hit hard. And somehow he still managed seven innings of two run ball. I just feel like he's kind of been searching all season. And he still has good overall numbers. Maybe that's a good sign. Scott, like maybe once George Kirby figures it out, like he'll somehow be even better. But I just really don't know what to make of all this. So where are you at on George Kirby? Well, I think it's actually similar to what Chris was saying about Logan Gilbert, where from the start it's like, okay, this guy has a distinct profile that's very good. And he just kept trying to improve upon it and ended up losing who he originally was. And because George Kirby getting no whiffs on his fastball, I mean, that used to be the pitch for him. But right down to, you know, there've been changes to his arm angle and obviously new pitches being introduced. And just enough changes to the point that the profile looks very different. It still looks good for what is what it's not just like oh, he has low ERA, but you go to the stack has page and there's a lot of red there, you know, not so much with the strikeouts anymore. But in terms of everything else, like expected ERA is actually lower than his actual ERA. Or at least it was coming into Tuesday's game. So stack has like some, he's been productive in fantasy. I am inclined just to keep running him out there. And and trust that it's all going to work out given that, you know, he's had a good career up to this point. He's still young all of that. But it's with some, some disappointment just if nothing else, just that he's not giving me strikeouts. Yeah. I think that's well said. Let's talk about Taj Bradley, who another strong start this one at the national six innings two runs eight strikeouts had 16 whiffs on 96 pitches. He has now allowed to earn runs or fewer in seven of eight starts. He has gone six innings in six of eight. And he has seven or more strikeouts in five of eight starts. His secondary pitches were awesome in this one. Last week with Chris, I agreed with him that I thought Taj Bradley was a sell high candidate. And I still do think that because his walk rate, you know, walks per nine up over three. He's allowing a lot of hard contact that feels like a bad combination, especially as the weather starts to heat up. I think we're going to get some like blow up bad starts from Taj Bradley. But for now, he's pitching well at a time when so many aren't pitching well or are hurt. So it's like, what do I do with this to actually sell high on someone who's pitching well right now? What do you think? Scott. I mean, when you say Taj Bradley is giving a hard contact second percent tile in terms of average, exit velocity like bottom bottom bottom of league. For a guy who gives up, let me double check this. Yeah, gives up fly balls at a high rate. Certainly this year he has been. And so it looked remember two turns ago. He gave up four home runs and it's like, okay, here it comes the regression. But then Taj Bradley is bounced back with two great starts after that. Just one home run between them. When I look at the box score for Taj Bradley, I feel excited. Like, this is a breakout. Every start goes deep. Doesn't allow runs. Get strikeouts. And 12, 15 years ago, that would have been enough for me to buy in because I didn't know as much as I do now, where there wasn't all the same data available to us as there is now, that I think does a better job of explaining how good a pitcher actually is than those top line numbers. And so, you know, I feel excited looking at the box score. Then I go to his fan graphs page or his baseball sub-ant page. And I see all the red flags. And it's like, this does not look like a guy who's going to be able to sustain anywhere close to this. And I just wonder sometimes about that. I just wonder, I think of the meme with the bell curve. And you got the drooling guy on the left. And you got the nerdy guy at the top. And then you got the like Jedi master looking guy on the right. So like the dumbest guy, the smartest guy on opposite ends of the bell curve, but coming to the same simple conclusion. Well, the nerdy guy at the top is like, well, here are all the analytical reasons why it can't be so. And obviously, the meme is meant to point out, do I need to explain the meme this much? It's meant to point out that sometimes people outsmart themselves with this stuff. And so I do feel like that with the fantasy analysis sometimes. And I wonder if we're making that mistake with Taj Bradley. But for now, I'm going to go with my training and go with the nerdy guy at the top of the bell curve and say, Taj Bradley is so high. What about Bryce Elder from your Atlanta Braves? Another quality start. This one at the Mariner's six innings two runs nine strikeouts of three walks. He had 17 whiffs on 93 pitches. Has a quality start in four straight and six of eight outings. He's been really consistent so far this season. The ground ball rate is solid. The K minus walk rate stuff is like, I'm just starting to wonder if like that combo with Greg Maddox actually might have unlocked something here for Bryce Elder. Not that I think he's, you know, a top 30 or top 40 starting pitcher, but maybe he's just like solid in a Seth Lugo way kind of moving forward. So, uh, where yeah, it's gone on on Bryce Elder. I mean, a lot of what I just said for Taj Bradley also also applies to Bryce Elder, where I so want to buy in because he looks like a better version of Bryce Elder if nothing else and maybe it's good enough that he can remain a useful fantasy option. Yes, his work with Greg Maddox this all season developing a cutter that is a new addition to his arsenal. And while the the cutter itself, it doesn't miss bats at all. It has a very low batting average against and it probably helps to make it slider better, maybe his all are snow better. But then you look at the individual data points and they're just, they're still just not that impressive and yet, stat cast likes them. That's another thing about Bryce Elders. That was one of the things that was making me go home before we started is by what I know about how stat cast evaluates pitchers, it should not like Bryce Elder and yet it seems to, is expected ERA coming into the start as 298. Again, are we outsmarting ourselves here? I think the biggest reason I say no, the biggest reason I'm going to be the nerdy guy at the top of the bell curve is because you remember how this went with Bryce Elder in 2020, what year was it, 2023? I think he was an all star, right? He made the all star team, he was so good in the first half. But then two and a half years thereafter, he had an ERA of like six. So like, you wanna buy in after six weeks, after eight starts, you wanna buy in, but he had a whole three months, three and a half months where he looked this good and then two and a half years of being one of the worst pitchers in baseball. So I think that's probably the better bet with Elder. I think it is, and I'm sorry to say it because I know you're enjoying him, but I don't think it's gonna last. All right, some other leftovers here. Bryce Harper three for four with a double dong and that's back to back three hit games with at least one home run in each. Okamoto continues his power binge. He hit his 10th home run, that's five homeers in his past five games. Chandler Simpson, another stolen base, he's up to 12 and still has that batting average over 300 for the season. Willier, Ubreu continued his strong start, three for four with a sock and a shoe, his fifth home run, his second stolen base. The home run came off of a lefty, Frembre Valdez, and Ubreu has actually been really good against lefty so far. Only 41 at bat, small sample, but hitting 390 with a 956 OPS against lefties early on. Peter Lanzo over his last seven games, hitting 364 with two homeers and 11 run score so he's coming around. Josh Young continues to rake three for five with a run scored. He's hitting over 400 with four home runs in his last 17 games. Michael Bush is starting to wake up slowly, three for four with a walk and his third home run. Josh Nailer had two more steals. He has all six steals in his last 13 games. So good sign for him. We didn't really did not know what to expect on the stolen bases coming into the year. Jackson Merrill was moved up to lead off where he went three for five with a steal, two runs, and two RBI. It's been kind of a weird start to the year for Jackson Merrill. And his teammates, Zander Bogart, is actually off to a great start, two for four with his sixth home run. Lots of names here, Scott, anything. Staying out to you, the you feel compelled to mention? I just think the bush turn around is something you should take to heart in that. In his case, it wasn't even just, oh, well, the exit velocities, the stack has numbers, say, he should get back on track. It's just an unlucky start if you want to put it that way. It wasn't that with Bush. Thank everything across the board. Everything's still now. Like the average ex of velocity, I think it was still 86, 87 miles per hour coming into this game. But sometimes you just have to keep the faith on a player when the sample is that small, because even those underlying numbers that we consider better evaluators of talent can still be twisted by a small sample. Yeah, during this 18 game stretch for Michael Blescht, the average EV is up to 90 miles per hour. So that's still down from where it was last year, but much better than where it was earlier on in the season. Some pitching leftovers. We had quality starts from these three, Otani, another one, Sevennings, two runs, eight strikeouts for him at the Houston Astros. Actually took a really tough loss there, going up against Peter Lambert. Kevin Gossvin, six innings to run, three strikeouts, and Drew Raspison with the quality start, six innings, three runs, five strikeouts for him, anything on Raspison, Gossvin, or Shohe Otani? Look, we know Otani's a good pitcher. It is frustrating that now for the third time in his last four starts, he's been out of the lineup as a hitter on the day he pitched. And that's not what you want from the player you might have drafted first overall for his bat. Yeah. And I'll note that when his career started that way with the angels, he wasn't nearly as good of a hitter anyway. Like his career took off once Joe Madden decided, "Yeah, you can go ahead and hit on the Daisy pitch. You don't need to be, we don't need to build in that much rest for you." I blame Dalton rushing for hitting so well. Yeah, that's part of it. And maybe when rushing comes back down to Earth, which may already be happening, Dave Roberts will rethink it, it doesn't sound like Otani's opposed to this from the quotes I've seen. Like he doesn't mind having the extra rest, but you don't like to see it in fantasy. You want as many of bats as you can get from him. And a couple of their pitching leftovers here. Two rough outings, one from Jacob DeGrom, six runs over six and a third. He was facing the Yankees two starts in a row, so typically don't love that. And he allowed two home runs there in Yankee Stadium. Gavin Williams, not great at the Royals, six innings, five runs, seven strikeouts, two home runs allowed in that one. Any concerning signs here Scott from Jacob DeGrom or Gavin Williams? I did not see a one for DeGrom. So let's just flush that one. Gavin Williams, he's still, there's not a final verdict on Gavin Williams yet. I think the way he started this season, the way he ended last season, is all encouraging enough that I still treat him like a must-start pitcher. But he does give up hard contact. The control can, the control can be off for him at times. And so I can see a scenario where he slumps his way out of must-start status, but we're nowhere close to that yet. The call to the bullpen for the raise. Brian Baker was unavailable. Cole Solcer picked up his second save for the Phillies. Yoan DeRon entered the ninth with a nine run lead. They were just trying to get him some work here. His first game back. And he was definitely rusty. He allowed one run on a hit and three walks. For the Orioles Rico Garcia recorded the final four outs to pick up his third win of the season. His numbers are amazing. 0.56 ERA 0.38 Whip. That's a lot of ground balls. He's allowed one hit all year. Rico Garcia. That's crazy stuff. So look, man, as long as Ryan Hellsie is out, we spoke about Pagan earlier. I think Rico Garcia's first stop in the Orioles bullpen. For the Yankees, David Bednar recorded the final five outs. He allowed one run. He picked up his tenth save for the Royals. Lucas Ursaic picked up his tenth save for the Ashros, Brian King. Pitched to final two innings with a two run lead. He allowed one run, but picked up his third save. Josh Hader, worth mentioning, made his first rehab appearance at AAA. He threw a schoolless inning, one walk, one strike out. The fast ball velocity down one and a half miles per hour. But he still has time to build up for the Braves. Welcome back to Rice Eleglaces, who picked up his sixth save. And his fast ball velocity was up 1.4 miles per hour. It's a really good sign coming back from the shoulder injury. And we mentioned this earlier, but for the Angels, Ryan Zepherjohn got the final four outs and he struck out three for his final, for his first save of the season. To stream or not to stream on Wednesday, we have Patrick Corbin at the Raise Matthew Libbertore against the Brewers, Grant Holmes at the Mariners, Jeffrey Springs at the Phillies, Billy Ober at the Nats, Brady Singer at the Cubs, Colin Ray home against the Reds. I think we decided we'll be looked ahead at this the other day, Grant Holmes, Jeffrey Springs and Bailey Ober. Yeah. The way to go though, I did see, I did see Martin Perez might actually start instead of Grant Holmes Wednesday. So double check on that before you lock in Holmes. Let's solve that from Mark Bowman. Let's see if MLB dot com has anything just yet. And they do have Martin Perez pitching on Wednesday. So there you go. Scratch that. We've got a Jeffery. And I don't know that I want to stream Martin Perez. No Jeffrey Springs Ober and I guess Colin Ray, if you need a third one. On Thursday, let's say, uh, Rhett Louter at the Cubs, Christian Scott at the Rockies, Zach Gallen home against the Pirates, JT Ginn at the Phillies, Andrew Painter against the Athletics, Kate Povitch at the Marlins, Max Meyer against the Orioles, Michael McGreevy at the Padres. and let's see. Nope. I mean, buyer against the Orioles is good. Yeah. Like a better than anyone on Wednesday. And then, bleh, are the braves playing Thursday? Cause maybe Holmes takes that spot. I just look that up, but the, they're not, it looks like they're not playing on. Yeah, other than buyer, don't love anybody. Second choice might be Cade Povitch at Miami. Maybe Michael McGrieve at San Diego. He's been a quality star machine, just not in a way that's particularly fantasy friendly. Yeah. I'll go McGrieve's second after buyer and then Povitch third, but Myers, the only one I really would want to use. I think the matchups for Galen and Painter aren't terrible, but they, they just have not pitched well. So yeah, I'd probably say buyer or buyer for sure. And then if you need a second one, McGrievey on Thursday, we are going to wrap there for Scott. I am Frank. Thanks as always for tuning in to Fantasy Baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five star rating on Apple or Spotify. And we will be back again tomorrow. Bye-bye. Paramount Podcasts.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Framber Valdez had a terrible start, giving up 10 runs (7 earned), getting ejected, and seeing his ERA rise from 3.35 to 4.57; concerns include reduced strikeouts, curveball effectiveness, and ground ball rate, but no panic recommended.
  2. Liam Hicks continues to excel for the Marlins, hitting .321 with 8 homers and 32 RBI; his contact rate and pull-heavy approach suggest staying power, though power production may slow to a 15-20 homer pace.
  3. Christopher Sanchez bounced back with 8 shutout innings and 10 strikeouts, showing increased velocity and dominant changeup; underlying metrics remain strong.
  4. Injury news
  5. Robbie Snelling is a top waiver wire target for starting pitcher if called up, with impressive AAA strikeout numbers but concerns about low swinging strike rate and high walk rate.

Summary:

The podcast discusses recent pitching struggles and injuries. Framber Valdez's poor outing against the Red Sox, where he allowed 10 runs and was ejected, raises concerns about his declining strikeouts and ground ball rate, but the hosts advise against panic due to his track record. Liam Hicks continues to surprise as a top catcher, with elite contact and pull-happy approach, though his power may regress to a 15-20 homer pace.

Christopher Sanchez delivered a masterful start, reinforcing his ace status. Key injuries include Tarik Skubal's elbow surgery (out months), Joe Ryan's clean MRI, Emilio Pagan's severe hamstring injury (Tony Santillan is the top relief target), and Carlos Correa's ankle issue (weeks to months). Robbie Snelling is highlighted as a potential waiver wire pickup if called up, given his minor league strikeout lead, but his low swinging strike rate and high walk rate temper expectations.

The hosts also note the Yankees' rotation updates, with Carlos Rodon likely returning soon after a poor Triple-A start.

FAQs

Framber Valdez had a poor outing, giving up 10 runs (7 earned) and was ejected after hitting Trevor Story following back-to-back home runs. His ERA rose from 3.35 to 4.57.

No, Scott rates his worryometer at a 4 out of 10, suggesting it's not time to panic. The poor start may be a weird day, though his curveball and ground ball rate are down slightly.

Liam Hicks is a good hitter with strong contact and pull rates, but his power production (8 HR, 32 RBI) is likely to slow. He's a solid option in two-catcher leagues, but not a sell-high candidate.

Tarik Skubal will undergo arthroscopic surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow. He is expected to be out at least three months, with a possible return in August.

Tony Santillan is the top target for saves in the Reds bullpen, with 75-80% confidence. Other options include Jack Perkins (Athletics) and Jacob Latz (Rangers).

Carlos Correa has a significant left ankle injury that will keep him out weeks or possibly months. This solidifies Jeremy Peña's everyday role and may lead to more playing time for others.

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