The discussion challenges the prevalent fear-driven narrative around modern information threats like AI and social media, advocating instead for an ecological understanding of the information environment. It draws historical parallels, noting that periods of technological change, such as the spread of printing presses leading to pamphlet wars in 17th-century England, have always triggered information competition and panic. Today's landscape is characterized by a fractured, corporate-driven media ecosystem and intense ideological competition, reminiscent of past disruptions. The conversation questions the assumed power of digital persuasion, suggesting that the efficacy of targeted advertising and online influence may be overstated. It concludes by framing the current moment as part of a cyclical pattern where disruptors, including tech giants and populist movements, eventually become the establishment, with the pivot to AI representing the latest uncertain evolution in this ongoing contest for reality.
Throughout my whole life, I've watched the US and other democracies become more and more afraid of information. Oftentimes a new technology is cast as the threat, from violent video games to e-mail scams, to social media bots, and now AI. At other times, it's the rise of a disturbing new set of ideas like populism, extremism, or nationalism, always fusing with technology and frightening new ways. But you're about to hear from someone who has studied all of these phenomena and thinks that we've gotten it all wrong. Alicia Wannlas is the author of a terrific new book called the Information Animal, Humans, Technology, and the Competition for Reality. She argues that in our focus on an unending series of specific information threats, we're missing the forest for the trees, literally. That we need to think about the complex ecology of information, where much like the natural world, are attempts to intervene, often backfire or cascade unexpectedly. In a fascinating and sometimes personal conversation, we touch on everyone from King Charles I to Elon Musk. I'm John Bateman, and this is The World on Pack. Alicia, welcome to the podcast. Thanks for having me, John. So we're going to talk about the big things today. Social media, AI, the fate of democracy, the rise of populism. But you have a somewhat different perspective that you take on those than lots of other people who've been debating these four years. And I heard you recently call yourself an information ecologist, and you're studying something that you call the information environment. What is that? Well, the information environment is this broad global space in which information can exist. So we're part of the information environment right now. A lot of people are watching us on YouTube. They might be listening to us on Spotify. And I guess the notion of an information environment is that we're part of this huge interconnected tapestry that you're trying to study. This all comes from physical ecology, which is a field of study that looks at ecosystems. And basically that is an organism's relationship to its surrounding environment. And often what happens in looking at aspects of the information environment, we look at it in pieces. So you've got great research around media studies, but it's looking specifically at like news media or social media. Or somebody might be looking at a specific technology. So you're trying to make this a more holistic conversation. And it's interesting. When I talk to people about these issues, they will often fixate on particular threats. So it could be bots, AI Slop campaigns run by foreign intelligence services, the Russians, the Iranians. It's very much a kind of search and destroy attitude of who are the bad guys? How can we go out and stop them? What's missing from that picture? Because there are bad guys out there. But what are we missing when we take this threat approach? Often what I find is that we're moving from like bubble to bubble. So whatever gets the media attention. So you know, back after 9/11 it was extremism and then disinformation. And it's often connected to certain technologies that are also new or on the rise. And when we put all of our emphasis on doing case studies, trying to understand that specific phenomenon, we never really get ahead to understand the environment where it exists. And so we don't really understand how that works in the context of everything else that's happening. We leap to big conclusions, particularly around causation, because we just don't understand how that system is functioning. You've got remarkable and very deep case studies in the book going back to the English Civil War, the Peloponnesian War, the US Civil War. We're going to get into some of that. But I want to take your invitation to zoom out and look at the contemporary information environment. How do you see it? Because I think when I talk to people, whether it's friends, family, even politicians, elites, there is a pervasive sense of doom and of kind of continual degradation. Whether you're worried about the rise of hate, the rise of false ideas, rumors or just apathy toward truth, I know almost no one who is excited or happy with today's information environment. Is that how you see it? What would a holistic view tell us about where we are now? The National Information Ecosystem in the US today is one that is very diverse. It's very complex, it's large and sprawling, it's very open, the news media, which is mostly corporate. It's corporate interest and so that is a business model. They are also trying to get attention and they have different interests that they may be trying to push depending on that. So it's kind of fractured. Your public media is not well funded and massively under attack. And then add to that, you've just got different types of education across the country that are not standard. So like are people actually being brought up with the same reality or any kind of shared reality? You can understand why people are feeling dissatisfied with this. I think the one consolation I can offer is that we have been here before. This happens often when a new technology is introduced that changes how we experience information and that accelerates the creation of it and distribution of it. And there tends to follow a period of pollution and new ideas. But that puts us in this period of competition. And you talk about and write about these information disruptions that break up whatever patterns or flows were there before, reform them, and then lead to kind of intensified competition as some power vacuum occurs. So if you think about comparing our contemporary world, the fracture and the intensity of competition you just described, is there another time and place in particular that most reminds you of what we're experiencing today? I've been thinking a lot about Charles I in the sense that. Historic English King. Well yes. So historic English King who was not necessarily, he wasn't meant to be king. He only became that because his elder brother died. But he was a deeply thin skinned person. And when he comes to power, he gets upset with parliament because they're not doing what he wants and it's not easy for him. So he enters into this period of personal rule where he dissolves, he perrobes parliament for a long time. And also what he did was that he really cut himself off from the people. Like no monarch is really tied to the people. But in that system there was an aristocracy that would go back to the states and there would be a feedback loop between the states through the nobility to the king that then would function as this feedback loop. But he cut it off in favor of favorites, court favorites. And he sent all of the aristocracy back to the states until then they couldn't come to London. A lot of parallels. Thinskin personalist ruler, Czech, trying to go around the legislator, Czech. And you're building toward a story here that I think has something to do with information and technology and efforts to control it. So what happened with Charles was that he is coming at a period of time where you've got growing printing presses. It's still quite a long time after the innovation, but it took a while to come to England and develop in part because of control over who could ever printing press. But also because printing, developing paper was very expensive. And it was very slow to develop as a domestic resource in England. So that also helped slow it down. So Charles really tried to control that as many leaders did before that. And what he really wanted to do was control messaging. He was very fearful of a particular group, the godly who were pushing for a more extreme version of Protestantism than he wanted. And it's playing out in the pamphlets. So these pamphlets are a new form of communication, which are like short printed publications. And it's their dueling here. And Charles is really trying to control that as well. He actually cracks down on a few of the propaganda. So let's call them who are proselytizing for a more extreme form of Protestantism and cuts their ears off, which was deeply unpopular as well. So at that time, I'm sure these pamphlets. You might have had elites walking around and saying, this is paper slop. Right. These are low quality memes. So there was a kind of information panic. And an effort to suppress it. Because the pamphlets were also pushing fears of the papal conspiracy to return England to the Catholic Church. And this was pervasive and it was like wrapped up in fears of the end of the world, is very millennian, a belief that the Pope at the time was the anti-Christ. The time. So this was all fueling these crazy fears. And also some of those pamphlets were just like infotainment garbage. Like stories about deformations and like just horror stories. So I do think that probably there was an aspect of this when people were looking at this saying, this is absolute trash while you believing it. And you have a growing body of tradesmen, apprentices, who now are literate because of the reformation. And so they're partaking in this slop, essentially. So, you know, somebody might be listening to the story and they might be identifying all these clear parallels between the 21st century and the 17th century across different times, different technologies, different social and political conditions. And they might be thinking to themselves,
Okay, there's nothing new under the sun. We're not in a time of accelerating spiraling change. This is just a recurrent, eternal phenomenon. Humans have always sought to exaggerate, lie, manipulate, or just contest in this information environment. So, really, nothing particularly interesting or concerning is happening today. Well, I mean, it is concerning because we are trapped in, we are right now in the midst of a worsening information competition, where one side clearly seems to have believed it was in it since the '50s. This is emerging from a conservative movement that felt that there was liberal capture, whatever that might have meant. They've very systematically gone about creating an information ecosystem as it were in tandem to what they perceived to be the mainstream one. So that's been going on at least since the '50s and you can see a trajectory from William Buckley and creating publishing presses and stuff like this. I think there are people on the other side who didn't quite realize they were in an information competition until recently. So what I think will happen now and what we hear calls for is that the answer will be to do more of what the other side is doing. So add more to the information ecosystem, produce more content for your side. It doesn't matter whether you're telling the truth or not and really try to win people over to their side. So I think what will happen is this will probably get a lot worse before it gets better. Yeah, so just contemporary examples, right? The Democratic Party in the US and left wing forces spent years hyperventilating over the rise of figures like Joe Rogan. Now they're starting to see the power of those people and then there are calls everywhere for where is the liberal Joe Rogan. Right. So as you say, kind of going from an effort to gatekeep and suppress to saying, well, if you can't beat them, join them. Right. And I mean, this is something that Americans have actually experienced before because if you look back to the Civil War, what happened with abolitionism was that there was a massive production of information of different types. You have novels that are promoting that particular worldview. And then as that grows in the popularity of that is gaining, you get a response in the Southern press to do the same. So you have like matching fictitious stories that are arguing for their point of view. You have newspapers that are right. So in this duel, right, it adds more fuel almost to the fire. Right. Yeah. Uncle Tom's cabin and then all these kind of anti-Uncle Tom novels. And then President Lincoln has purported to have said, oh, this is what started at the Civil War. We've talked about the pervasive doom and gloom, a more polluted information environment, a more fractured information environment, maybe degrading or changing in ways that we are frankly concerned about. So as I was reading the book, I thought to myself, well, who are the winners in this contest? What would they say? I think the winners would include the big social media companies that are profiting out of new forms of communication. The people and entities that are succeeding on those platforms, whether it's a populist politician or even just a small business. And then the users who support those people, right? So adherence to Donald Trump's movement or even people who are kind of at the margins of society have rare diseases. They're banding together. So these forces might have a very different view on today's world. They might say, well, nothing bad is happening. What's actually happening is the collapse of an information monopoly that had been held by a kind of decadent elite. And now it's becoming possible to connect across time and space without getting anyone's permission to speak truth to power and to speak about formerly taboo ideas that are now becoming acceptable to discuss in these spaces. What do you make of that? Well, I mean, I think if you look back historically, there was a time in which those things were acceptable to talk about, right? That was the norm. And then there was a cycle in which there was discussion around that not being the norm. Yeah, maybe talking about traditional views on gender, race, sexuality, things like that. Right. And then also I think it's kind of funny to hear like the tech giants being described as maybe not being the elite that is not the monopoly that is allowing certain types of conversation because they have a lot of control, like a men's amount of control. And so did the media and the media wasn't all monolithic, right? Yeah. So there's different sides in that. I think the one thing to me is that again, looking at the longer term view, this is a cycle and who's winning now may not be who wins tomorrow. Right. You can only be the incumbent and the underdog over throwing something for so long before you are the ruling elite. You've seen that happen very vividly with the big tech giants like Google and Facebook now meta. If you are old enough to remember movies like The Social Network and the early days of Facebook and YouTube, these were very much understood as disruptive forces as the assaulting the information and convince. Now the CEOs of all these companies were sitting behind Donald Trump at his inauguration. It's impossible to deny that they are now part of a kind of economic and political establishment. Then you've got figures like Elon Musk who almost was serving as a co-president on the backs of some of his digital activity, but he's still more of a disruptor in many ways. Who do you see as the contemporary disruptors that are maybe coming up behind this previous generation of companies or information entrepreneurs and how might they migrate to become more of establishmentarian? Well, I think the question is how long will some of these current disruptors who have now turned to practically being the establishment? How long will they persist? I know that this is a risky guess to make, but how sustainable is the social media business model? There's a reason why everybody is pivoting to AI because at some point there's a question of whether the advertising model still works and whether advertisers will continue to buy into that model if they're not seeing returns on it. Having run campaigns in the past in a previous job, I would argue that social media ads were never really that effective. I think that it's a kind of a house of cards. And with the massive pivot to AI, that's a lot of investment to put into something which, I mean, I know you're very big on AI advancements, but I don't remember seeing a technology that is being pushed without actually solving a particular problem. Like I look at the MOU with open AI in the UK government to agree to find ways to apply it. Like that seems to me like a little car before. Well, you know, people sometimes say, "John, your podcast is so pitch perfect. Is it fully AI-generated, partially AI-generated?" I'm totally AI. I don't even exist. Actually, I want to let the fans in on a little secret. This is artisanal computer graphics here. So we've got the Pixar team, those sort of folks working on this. It's a very traditional style of computer production. I want to come back to AI because this is in many ways the information frontier that has become the focal point of anxieties, hopes, and much of the information conversation. But before we do that, I want to pull the thread on what you said about social media advertising. You mentioned this recurring concern that personalized digital ads are actually not as effective as people might think. This may sound like a niche topic, but it's actually at the core of what we're talking about, which is, are the most advanced forms of persuasion actually magic bullets that we should be living in fear of? Or is some of this a certain amount of snake oil pushed by vested interests who want us to believe that it's very easy to persuade people of many different things online? Right. Both things can be true at the same time, right? We should be wary of something that wants to persuade people all the time because we don't have a lot of lines in the sand around where the amount of persuasion goes too far and takes away people's autonomy. That seems to me a conversation and an assessment that really hasn't happened. I wrote an article about that years ago, right? How far does behavioral advertising technology take it that people lose their autonomy? That's key for the legitimacy of democracy, right? They have to make free and informed decisions. I think that that is a big open question, which means we should be wary of these technologies. But that doesn't necessarily mean they're as good as they're being sold, right? I do think that there is a great degree of promises that are made in the whole realm of marketing, advertising, strategic communication, making promises of winning hearts and minds and getting people to do things that may not actually be based on reality. There are hundreds of billions of dollars being spent on digital advertising every year. There are billions of dollars just in the United States spent on electioneering communication each year. My sense is there is not a hard science that proves that this is efficacious and that to some extent it's an open question whether
the emperor wears no clothes or has some clothes. - I mean, there's lots of great research on persuasion, right? Childini comes to mind. But it's kind of like a narrow subset of psychology. And the question is whether it can actually be replicated. There's a lot of issues with replicability in like comms, studies in social science and this computational social science like all of these places are all struggling with that. In part because of the data that sometimes gets used or the nature of the experiments. - Hey, thanks for listening to The World Unpacked. If you want episodes delivered directly to your inbox, use the link in the description. You can also subscribe on our YouTube channel or on popular podcasting platforms. Now, back to the show. It's a bit of a microcosm for this whole ball of wax because you've got a couple groups of people. You've got the wanks and social scientists and nerds like you and me on one side saying, "Actually, there's no data to support this." Meanwhile, massive fortunes are being built by the companies and investors who are charging forward and building the new future, which I think brings us to AI. - Well, I was just gonna say, your entire economy right now seems to be propped up by an AI perhaps bubble. - That is very possible on this point specifically about AI. I said before that I rarely meet anyone who is excited about today's information environment. Actually, there is an exception to that. And that is people who are working in AI companies and people who are AI research scientists who paint a very utopian view of this technology that I think we can understand as a theory of information. What these people are saying is that we are producing a new set of cognitive tools that will organize the world's information and put vast sets of ideas and reasoning capabilities in the hands of scientists who will cure cancer, patients who will understand their diseases, anyone who wants advice on an expert topic, but maybe in the future, one person can build a billion dollar company because of the information and reasoning capabilities that are being generated and democratized. What do you think of that? - Well, it sounds a lot like the promises of the internet in the 90s, right? Like it's going to build a utopian society and it's going to answer everything. Okay, it is possible that AI will help solve many problems, humans using the tools may be able to solve problems faster. I think hoping that it will just do it on its own is maybe promising something that can't deliver and it is perhaps going to lead to failure. But in particular with AI, what I am most concerned about and I have always been an early adopter of technology and I do love a lot of technology, I am wary of this one because what it is doing is more than before replacing cognitive function. And the brain is a muscle. You have to exercise muscles for it to continue to function at the level that you're hoping it to. And I think we've already seen that a dependence on using Google search and digital technologies to provide immediate answers has left us without critical skills like navigating. - I agree with everything you just said. Critical thinking is a muscle that may be atrophying with AI. Let me give the other side of it. Which is that there has been a history in the digital age of new sources of information that initially are seen as very concerning but later are adopted as some of the best ways that people can inform themselves. Wikipedia would be one of the classic examples. We were all taught in school if you're a person of a certain age. - That was the same. We were. - I know right, yes. People of our cohort were taught to avoid Wikipedia. Now increasingly it would be something that we would suggest that someone check out as like a first stab at a broad topic. I would say for me, chat GPT has become the same thing. If I have a family member who doesn't understand what a doctor is telling them or has car problems and they're having trouble getting good advice, my mom the other day got what appeared to be a scam email message and she did exactly what I would have hoped she would do, which is she asked chat GPT. So is there another side of this which is that we actually are building tools that can give types of answers to questions that could not have been readily found before. - But you could, you could Google search that. I mean every time I would see some fake posts that was coming up in social media about, I don't know, post this thing so Facebook can't steal your data and you tell them that you don't agree and that was never a thing. You could just copy that text and Google it and find out that this was like a scam that not even a scam but just some sort of weird thing that was going on before and then I would tell my relatives like please stop doing that it doesn't exist, here's why. - I think what makes me suspicious of my own views sometimes is I see this on myself and I see this with others. Is there a tendency to one of freeze in time whatever technology we grew up and became comfortable with but say no farther than that, right? So for example, like someone like me, I grew up with TV and then later the internet and I also grew up with a certain amount of social panic around those things too. People were worried about the panic. - I know the satanic panic and the boob tube and violence on television video games and then eventually the internet. And so I then acclimated to those things and said okay that was all silly. I'm glad I had all of these resources but now that I'm of age and I'm seeing changes and further disruptions, okay no more. How do we avoid a kind of presentism? Is that makes sense or almost you could call it a kind of conservatism, the things of my past were acceptable and that the parents gnashing their tears were wrong but now I'm the parent. - Right, I think that there's a question about how we roll out tools again that may change how people engage with information. I don't think that we needed to in the argument of we'll be left behind in competition, roll out general chat GBT type AI on the internet for everything all at once into a sprawling messy what is a global information environment. Was that necessary or could we have done a little bit more testing to understand how it might impact things like cognitive development especially for young people and adults. We could easily have continued to roll it out and closed information ecosystems like hospitals because it's much easier to study and measure how that changes, say how a doctor makes diagnosis and by the way, there has been a study that's come out that suggests that it's actually leading to a less ability, a degraded ability for doctors to make cancer diagnosis. Right, so I think we should be careful of like both ways. One saying no more technology, we can't have any more and just saying no outright and also being super optimistic and not seeing that it will be abused because every technology is going to be abused. Yeah, whole another conversation about medical uses of AI and I will defend to the death my ability to bring chat GBT into the doctor's office. We had it with us in the delivery room. What I will say though is what I'm hearing in your answer is this return to the ecological metaphor that change occurs in the natural world as well. Species die, they go extinct, others arise, but that can only operate at a certain pace. And if you have a flood of an invasive species or an asteroid crashes and kicks up dust all over the planet, you could have catastrophic effects on the ecosystem. Is that how you see what's happening now with the rise of social media, AI, smartphones and a package of invasions into our information environment that are just happening too quickly? There is a difference between the information environment and the physical environment. The physical environment did start out natural. We screw it up, right? Like we intervene and we can't necessarily really control it as well as we think we can. But the information environment, well it started naturally in terms of us developing communication and us just being beans where information is encoded in us, right? It's also artificial, right? We construct elements of it. We add new technologies. So in that we have an ability to create systems to a degree. And we should be cognizant of that and not just throw up our hands and be like, oh, there's a new technology. What can we do about it and like regulate it after the fact? I think we can get ahead to say, this is how the system's been working to this point. We know there will be new technology. That seems to be, unless we destroy ourselves and get a massive setback, there will always be a new technology that's added that's going to cause these reactions among us. Some are going to be utopian, some are going to be absolutely catastrophic. And in that we can start to plan because we know what our behavior to it will be. And if we get a better sense of the system, then we know how it potentially might change things. So let's talk about the solutions that people have profored to all of the issues that we've been talking about today. The loss of truth and trust, the rise of extremism, the fracturing of the information ecosystem. You are very critical of the impulse that people have to do something in response to these problems, to just rush out and implement a solution without full understanding of it. I want us to maybe,
walk through some of these some things that are often profored and just get your take on does this work? Is this a good idea? So one is more gatekeeping. So there's a digital version of more gatekeeping, which is de-platforming people, content moderation. There's also a physical version of it. People will say, you know, parties, political parties need to go back to restraining who can run. Maybe we need to have less direct democracy, more filtration and elite levels. Do we need a return to gatekeeping? I mean, if I look at the case studies, I'm not sure that gatekeeping is going to get us out of that problem. You could try to foster social norms that may take politicians back to not, you know, right lying and benefiting. Right. I'm not sure in the current situation that that is going to happen or be reasonable. And again, when now there seems to be an awakening that at least two sides are involved in an information competition, there will be a lot less willingness to want to take that path on the one side where I think they might have been open to having that kind of a norm, right? I think if it's in the context of trying to control information, that is nearly impossible. It was difficult in Charles's time when you only had like 20-some printing presses. But you also had printing presses that were being used in Scotland that couldn't be controlled that were dumping more information in. And he couldn't control the information ecosystem then. And I don't think even with more technology that we'll be able to do that now. Because you can't control people and their ideas and their talking. There's so many levels of transfer. Yeah, you know, so just with Donald Trump very specifically, there were lots of efforts to de-platform him. He was taken off of online social media platforms. Even at the time, people were saying, is this going to backfire? Could it boomerang in another way? And so we might not have expected specifically that he would have created his own social media platform. But there was an understanding that were alternatives. And yet it went so much farther than I think anyone was predicting not only in terms of the re-election of Donald Trump, but the actual reconstruction of a platform like X from Twitter in part, motivated by people with money and concerns about the Aashina regime of content moderation. So it does speak to the difficulty of predicting the effects of these actions. Yes and no. So by the time disinformation is a problem in an information ecosystem, it's an expressed idea that people believe. And by the time you've noticed that it's a problem, that means that there's a certain number of people who believe that idea. And it's not just about preventing them from spreading it. You're now talking about having to change their mind, which gets really slippery quickly for democracies and any other type of government as well. And people don't like that. And then it will be politicized. So I think it was predictable in a way. Yeah, I mean, thinking again of this ecological metaphor, which really is more than a metaphor. I'm hoping it will be eventually. So once an invasive species has taken root in an ecology, not only is it very difficult to uproot, but it's almost like a cascade of interventions are required. More and more violent extreme action is needed. And the US right now, there's, I guess this big controversy of these two owl species, one due to human activity has taken over the ecosystem of the other. And so now it seems like the best solution people are coming up with is just that we kill a bunch of owls, like mass slaughter. So it's not easy once these ideas are animals take root. Let me ask you about another thing that people often propose, which is education in various forms. So sometimes you'll hear people say, very specifically, we need media or digital literacy. We need to teach people how to navigate this information environment, how do you spot a scam, how do you tell when a politician is lying to you. Other times people will say, well, it's just critical thinking. We did teach critical thinking in schools. We need to go back to the social sciences, English lit, whatever it is, teach people rhetoric, the classics. What do you think? Can we educate our way out of this problem, either for adults or for the next generation? I think that education is crucial. And I think that we have to separate education from media literacy. Media literacy is like a form of education that's included in curriculum and sometimes outside of it. And as you know better than I do, because you did literature review on this one, they're widely varying in terms of the programs. And so there's questions about efficacy and where it gets rolled out. But I think that education alone will not be the answer if you look at, and here I'm going to take a flying leap from things that are not in my book. But like revolutions that often when you have a growing body of people who are more educated and then their needs are not met based on these new expectations, things can go wrong. So this is again why we have to look at these things very systemically, because not only do you need that education, that population to be educated, but you're going to have to have circumstances that are going to now meet their changed expectations. So if your economy can't deal with that, you're bound to have a problem. Yeah, I mean, you would know from your work encounter extremism that a number of people who are radicalized into Islamic jihadist terrorism actually were highly educated. We had 9/11 hijackers who had medical degrees and the like. It's not a pure inoculation. And even now with the rise of what people are calling AI psychosis, AI delusions, propagated by large language models, there are billionaires or at least sentient millionaires who are actually falling for some of these things. Of course. I mean, I think that's been a misconception the whole way through. And I think that it's also been a way of trying to explain things away easily. Like, oh, the people who fall for this are just somehow uneducated. So then the final maybe group of solutions that I hear very frequently, you could say, we just need more good information. And we can support it in different ways through policy. So for example, let's bring back libraries. Let's invest in local independent media organizations. Let's replenish the public campaign finance system or reinvest in public media like the BBC, the CBC, NPR, PBS. Does that work? Can you combat bad information by adding good information back into the system? My guess would be no, not directly. That would not be the magic solution to this problem, because it's supply and demand. If people don't actually want to consume that, then it doesn't mean anything that you've introduced it in there. I will say clearly, I am a proponent of public media. I am a proponent of independent media as well. And I would question how independent most of our media is when it's a business model. I also think that it is important that governments communicate. You mentioned libraries. I think that libraries are actually one of the biggest overlooked opportunities for building greater social cohesion, not in the traditional sense. But if we look at a country, I think Oslo has one, but Helsinki and Finland definitely has a new type of library that they built. And there was a lot of resistance to building it, but this UD library basically is a rethinking of a traditional space that now brings people together. Hear me out. It is a beautiful building. But what they've done is its mixed purpose. So not only is it a traditional type of library, you have rooms that you can rent to go and record a podcast, you can rent musical instruments, you can rent, you can use a 3D printer. They have open amphitheaters basically, where you have talks that are given and anybody can walk up and see them. The upper level where they have the library proper looks like a bookstore. It's a beautiful space with a cafe in the middle of it. And now what you have is like, I've got a friend there who tells me all the time how his daughter wants to go and hang out there. So you get multi-generations now coming and finding purpose in the space that brings them together. So I think we have to rethink traditional spaces to reignite very personal direct connections. So interesting to hear you when you're talking about the library, mention words other than information. You're mentioning community, cohesion, purpose. Is it that new information systems are driving us crazy? Or is it that the loss of other social processes, other social communities is driving us toward these dark information spaces? Or do we know? What has happened is that our emphasis on technology has led us to believe that technology can replace those pre-existing forms of community, engagement, connectivity. These are all words that social media platforms had used. So I think that there was this promise that it could somehow replace it when really, again, it's a tool. It is additive. It may help us organize those existing ways in which we were connected, but it cannot replace it. And that's why I think we have to have this kind of return to fostering that if we hope to survive very much at a local level. And we can look at tools to help us do it. But I think we have to, again, think about all of these things at once while we're constructing that approach. As we wrap up here, I'd like to just go radically meta for a second. Because you and I were sitting here, we're talking about an analyzing the information environment. We're also participants, combatants in it to use your ecological metaphor we ourselves
our information animals trying to survive and thrive in this environment. I'd love to hear your journey here, how you think about your role in this environment. I'll just say for myself, I've got this podcast now. A lot of people are watching on YouTube. So my relationship with platforms has become quite different. Now I'm trying to pick thumbnails that would draw people in. I'm trying to get views. If you're listening to this on YouTube, at some point there will be a little advertisement pop-up asking you to like, click and subscribe. You need to make your own choices here as a scholar, as a writer. How do you find your way through this information environment and maintain relevance without losing your identity? That's a great question because it's something that I've thought about a lot in different parts of my career. I mean, I wouldn't even be sitting here today at Carnegie if I hadn't started up a website, a blog in 2014 and started putting out ideas of how was propaganda changing in a digital age. What do we actually know? So that was quite public. I used social media to a degree, but I never became an influencer. I don't think I ever really could. I feel like for my own mental well-being, that would be deeply uncomfortable. Then the question is, how much do you really need to do that to achieve what you're trying to achieve and how much is healthy? I guess for me, and I've really made a conscious effort in the last couple of years, to balance and prioritize direct engagement, interactions with my friends and family in person. Whether that is like, I've got to travel the world for work, do you want to come and hang out with me while I go and do this thing over there and inviting friends and family to be a part of that or organizing things at a local level. That brings my family together or making sure I go and make those visits. I think it's an ongoing balance. It is also remembering that everything that we're experiencing digitally is also somewhat of an illusion. Life is very short. I think it's a great way to reach sister. First of all, what you're saying about more time in person with friends and family, I couldn't agree more and it's hard to think about anything that we've been talking about that would get worse by doing that. I think that can only help things get better. Alicia, this has been a great conversation. Thanks for coming on the show. You've been listening to The World Unpacked, a production of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. To get episodes delivered directly to your inbox, use the link in the description or subscribe on YouTube or popular podcast platforms like Spotify or iTunes. Views expressed are those of the hosts and guests and not necessarily those of Carnegie. Learn more at CarnegieEndowment.org.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The speaker critiques the common focus on specific information threats (e.g., social media bots, AI) and argues for a holistic "information ecology" perspective, where interventions often have unintended consequences.
Historical parallels, such as the pamphlet wars during King Charles I's reign and the propaganda battles before the U.S. Civil War, show that information competition and panic are recurrent, not unique to modern technology.
The current U.S. information environment is described as fractured, complex, and driven by corporate media interests, leading to widespread dissatisfaction and intense competition between ideological ecosystems.
There is skepticism about the actual effectiveness of targeted digital advertising and social media influence, suggesting it may be overhyped, while the pivot to AI represents a new, potentially unstable frontier in the information economy.
The cycle of disruption shows that today's insurgent information actors (e.g., populist movements, tech platforms) often become the new establishment, with power dynamics continuously shifting.
Summary:
The discussion challenges the prevalent fear-driven narrative around modern information threats like AI and social media, advocating instead for an ecological understanding of the information environment. It draws historical parallels, noting that periods of technological change, such as the spread of printing presses leading to pamphlet wars in 17th-century England, have always triggered information competition and panic. Today's landscape is characterized by a fractured, corporate-driven media ecosystem and intense ideological competition, reminiscent of past disruptions.
The conversation questions the assumed power of digital persuasion, suggesting that the efficacy of targeted advertising and online influence may be overstated. It concludes by framing the current moment as part of a cyclical pattern where disruptors, including tech giants and populist movements, eventually become the establishment, with the pivot to AI representing the latest uncertain evolution in this ongoing contest for reality.
FAQs
The information environment is the broad global space where information exists, encompassing interconnected channels like podcasts, social media, and news. It's a holistic concept inspired by physical ecology, focusing on the relationships and systems within which information circulates, rather than isolated threats or technologies.
Focusing on specific threats leads to a 'search and destroy' mindset that addresses symptoms rather than the underlying system. This approach fails to understand the complex ecology of information, where interventions can backfire or cascade unexpectedly, and prevents a holistic view of how different phenomena interact.
The current ecosystem is diverse, complex, and fractured, similar to past periods when new technologies like the printing press emerged. These disruptions often lead to information pollution, competition, and power vacuums, as seen during the English Civil War with pamphlets, reflecting recurring cycles rather than unprecedented change.
Viewing it as a good vs. evil competition encourages mimicking adversarial tactics, such as producing more content regardless of truth, which can worsen polarization. This reactive approach ignores systemic dynamics and risks escalating conflict rather than fostering a healthier information environment.
Winners include social media companies profiting from engagement, populist politicians or entities gaining influence on these platforms, and marginalized groups finding community. They may see the environment as breaking down elite monopolies and enabling previously taboo conversations, though this perspective overlooks issues of control and cyclical power shifts.
There is significant debate over their efficacy, with concerns about autonomy and democracy, but also skepticism about whether they deliver promised results. Research on persuasion faces replicability issues, suggesting that massive investments in digital advertising may not be as scientifically grounded as assumed.
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