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Week 6 Fantasy Football Key Questions: Must-Start Sleepers, Injury Replacements & Tough Lineup Decisions (Ep. 2270)

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Week 6 Fantasy Football Key Questions: Must-Start Sleepers, Injury Replacements & Tough Lineup Decisions (Ep. 2270)

The podcast provides in-depth fantasy football analysis for multiple NFL matchups, focusing on player performance, injury updates, and matchup-specific advantages. Key discussions include the Texans vs. Jaguars game, where Woody Marx is projected to see high volume and a potential touchdown despite a strong run defense. In the Bears vs. Falcons game, concerns over DeAndre Swift’s injury and Caleb Williams’ return are balanced by the Falcons’ weak pass defense, making the game a potential shootout. The Ravens vs. Browns matchup sees a significant drop in Zay Flowers’ ceiling due to Lamar Jackson’s absence, though his elite performance against man coverage remains a strength. The Titans vs. Colts game favors Josh Downs over Karlin Tate due to Tennessee’s openness to slot receivers. The Jets vs. Patriots game highlights Ramadrez Stevenson as a volume-driven RB1 value with the Jets’ poor run defense. The Saints vs. Giants game presents Tyler Schuck as a high-volume QB1, though risk remains due to the loss of Kelvin Banks and a weak pass rush. Throughout, the discussion emphasizes analytics, injury context, and situational data to inform fantasy team decisions. The hosts also highlight key trends, such as the value of slot receivers and the impact of offensive line weaknesses. A recurring theme is the importance of adjusting rankings based on real-time injury news and matchup dynamics. The podcast concludes with a note on fantasy football trends and the growing role of data in decision-making.

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This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human. Why have so many crop circles appeared around Britain? How did thousands of people demonstrate powers of telepathy? Can the dead suck the life from the living? Join me, Tim Harford, for a trip into the paranormal throughout Halloween month on cautionary tales. Listen to cautionary tales on the iHeart radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hello, everybody. Welcome to the fantasy-prose football podcast. I'm Ryan Warmley joined by Derek Brown and by Pat Fitzmorris. We're here answering some week six key questions previewing the slate. Tough start to the slate, guys. Broncos 17, Seahawks 14, a Thursday night football, in overtime, a really ugly-looking game. I was busy and unable to watch the game. Fitz was busy and unable to watch the game. Debrou, you did watch the game and you were talking a little before you started recording and this lived up to our low expectations from the box score it sounds like. This was painful to watch, guys, and arguably I'll just go ahead and toss this out there. This was collectively the worst quarterbacking play I've seen the entirety of the season from Sam Darnal and Bonix. Bonix is capsized in the entire Denver offense. Yes, I know JK Dobbs and RJ Harvey got touchdowns to save their day. RJ Harvey has three targets on the first drive and then is a poof non-existent for the rest of the game. And I guess my bigger overarching thing about this game is what in the heck is Florey the OC for Seattle doing? You'd swear looking at the box score of this game. Seattle was trailing like three to 30 for most of the game. Sam Darnal looks like crap. He's dancing around in the pocket. He's chucking interceptions. He cannot complete a pass. And yet they throw the ball. Fifty one freaking times in a game where they are down by 11 points for the entirety of it. I don't understand it. I don't get it. But I mean, really this entire game unless she got Jackson spits and Jigba, who are you happy with for their stat line? Nobody. I mean, Wilson doesn't do anything. They they involve Baylor's Jones Jr. I don't get it, man. I don't get it. I mean, honestly, like just the Broncos running back stop is in Harvey, both falling into the end zone feels like, okay, you'll just take that in a game like this. Fitz, is there a better encapsulation of how different the NFL is year to year than two of the final four teams from last year, including the defending Super Bowl champ being in a game like this, just in week six, the following year? That's what I was thinking too, that these are two of the teams that we thought were going to be on the short list for Super Bowl contention again this year. And I still think Seattle is, I still think Seattle is one of the four or five best teams in the league. And they'll probably write the ship offensively. But yes, I did watch some of the game last night, probably saw about half the plays. I was obviously very engrossed by the game for the national league championship series, but I flipped over enough to see what I was missing and wasn't sad that I was missing it. No, you shouldn't have been. It was got awful. Fancy. Were you having a good time watching that game? What happened there? Fist, by the way, I didn't catch that either. I was having a pretty good time. It was, yeah, every every time the Dodgers felt like every time they got a lead, it just evaporated quickly. And it was a, it was a fun time. First World Series trip for the Brewers in 44 years. It's been I think approximately 7,000 regular season games for the Brewers between World Series trips. And I probably watched or listened to at least half of those games. So yeah, it's, it's been a hard first time. You can't buy a World Series title. Well, the Dodgers have maybe bought a few. That's awesome. If it's congratulations on that, by the way, you know, you're your biggest Brewers fan. I know you're what? Like your early 40s the last time they made the World Series? That's incredible. That's bad. savagery. Absolutely. No, that's I was rooting for the Brewers. Obviously, in this series, I will be rooting for them against either American league teams. So like you have by support here. So also to sweep the Dodgers, like not just to win the series, but to sweep them like pretty incredible. So unexpected team of destiny stuff for sure. We are all the Brew crew here this morning. Let's jump into the key questions for the week. Reminder for everybody. All of our weekly consensus rankings and tears can be found at fantasyproz.com/rankings teams on by this week. We have four of them. The Lions, the Bengals, the Vikings and the Dolphins. So a 5-0 team, two of the most fun offenses in football. And then also the Dolphins are not playing on the slate. This week, we have another London game guys. The Jags are there for the second week in a row. They are hosting the Texans in the AFC South battle. Woody Marx is the new starting, running back for the Texans with David Montgomery. Injured. Are you guys willing to start him in London against an excellent Jaguars run defense fits? Yes, because it's a 14 by week. And I don't know who else is going to get backfield snaps for the Tekken Texans. Maybe Dara Aguimbawale. Maybe they bring up to our Jordan from the practice squad. I'm not sure if that's happened yet. But it is a really tough matchup. Jaguars are number one in DVOA against the run. They're giving up 42 rushing yards per game to running backs, 2.5 yards per carry to running backs. But I did find it interesting. Jake Sealey dropped this note on a show we were doing earlier in the week that since the start of the 2025 season, Woody Marx has the third best rushing day against the Jaguars with 63 yards last week and or last year. And that was week 10. He did it on only 13 carries. And the guy with the best two rushing games against the Jaguars the last two years. Jonathan Taylor, 74 yards, 70 rushing yards. And he needed 21 carries in both of those games to get there. So this is a really tough run defense. But Woody Marx does catch passes. And he is going to get probably 90% plus of the backfield touches for the Texans. Debro, it's almost like the same question we asked in this slot a week ago with Will Shipley, different player, right? You know, Will Shipley and Woody Marx, different experience that we've seen them, you know, getting starting opportunities, different offenses. But it is a second straight week that the key question for this game is essentially, hey, there was an injury. So there's a new starter in a backfield. They have to fly across the ocean and go face this Jags run defense. Last week, obviously, Shipley gets hurt himself. So it doesn't end up working out so well. Do you see going better for Woody Marx here this week? I see it going better for Woody Marx only because exactly what fits. He kind of laid out there. Woody Marx is going to be the bell cow for the Houston Texans. He's going to play almost every freaking snap. And just based off of volume, I think we're going to be looking at if everybody goes in the way back machine of a very Monterey Stevenson-esque kind of week one stat line where he gets somewhere in the realm of like 15 to 18 opportunities somewhere around like probably 70 total yards combined. And if he gets a touchdown based off the volume and the catches and what have you, he's probably still like a top 15 running back just based off of volume and being a bell cow. And the other thing that I'll throw out there too is that the difference between Shipley and Marx and this matchup, Marx on a per-touch basis has quietly been really freaking good, man. 12th and explosive run rate, 7th and miss tackle rate. Now I'm not telling you that the Houston Texans offensive line, which is bottom five and almost every metric you look at, is going to open up a lot of holes. But I think for Woody Marx volume and just touchdown equity because while the Jags are an elite run defense, they can be had through the air. They are like hemorrhaging a ton of yards. So I think Houston will be able to move the ball. So if Marx gets like two short like goal line touchdowns or something like that, he could still like suck out a really good fantasy day here. Where is he actually ranked? Sorry, I don't think I actually asked specifically. I've got, I've got him at RB19, but somewhere in that mid RB2 range, like I think you can make the case as high as like RB15-ish somewhere on there, Patty. Where are we going? Yeah, we talked about this a little bit yesterday, Fitz. I think you were close to consensus, which is RB20. Yeah, I've got a RB21, but I still have Jeremiah Love in the rankings, and it's increasingly looking like he might not play, which would bump up Woody Marx a spot. So yeah, I'm pretty much right on line. I just, yeah, I agree with you, bros assessment, like probably a good 18 touches, and it's just a matter of like whether it gets that touchdown to make him a high end RB2 or doesn't, and these probably more of a low end RB2, high end RB3. Agreed. Let's get to the rest of the Sunday slate. Bears at Falcons. Falcons have the NFL's best statistical rushing defense heading into week five, but the Ravens Randall over them sort of exposing that rusty fence a bit. It incomes a Bears offense that has been one of the NFL's best at rushing the ball at times, certainly, but they are now dealing with some injuries in the running back room, and likely to get Caleb Williams back in terms of the passing game. What do you expect for Chicago's ground game this week, deep, bro? Not a ton of efficiency, but high volume. I think like trying to ease cable, Caleb back into this, like the Atlanta's past rush is formidable. So trying to keep him in clean pockets and stuff. I guess the other low key thing is, Ken Chicago kind of run through the air in this game. The Falcons have been very tough against running backs on the ground, but through the air, giving up the six most receiving fantasy points per game, the fifth most receptions to running back. So DeAndre Swift not looking for a lot of efficiency on the ground, but he catches four or five balls in this game. I also wouldn't be surprised either, so you can still get it done in fantasy fits. I don't know if it's the Falcons run defense being really good. I think it's more about the Falcons defense, just being a pass funnel. Like opponents are throwing on the Falcons on 67.6% of their offensive plays. That's the highest pass rate in the league that a defense has faced. And the Falcons are only seeing an average of 18 running back carries a game against them. Third fewest in the league, only the Jaguars and Buccaneers are seeing fewer on a per-game basis. Falcons run defense, 11th in DVOA, 11th in EPA added per run, giving up 4.1 yards per carry to running backs. That's in line with the league average of 4.1. The Bears running game just hasn't really been as good as it was last year. They've actually got the eighth fewest rushing yards from running backs per game. But I still have a lot of faith in Ben Johnson's ability as a running game architect. So yeah, I still have DeAndre Swift ranked RB12. That's right around consensus. Should have the backfield to himself with Kalmanon guy expected to miss another game with Turf-Tulbot Swift himself dealing with knee and hip issues. That's not ideal. I know Ben Johnson doesn't want to lean on one guy too hard. So we'll see some erosion on Johnson too, but I don't think he's playable even in deep leagues. I just don't think rockers. Very good. Under 60 rushing yards and three of his last four games for DeAndre Swift, I mean, 50 did mention that he's dealing with his own sort of banged up stuff right now. One of those games also was when he fumbled away his opportunity to get Ben. Yeah, he got Ben Johnson. That also needs to get thrown in there for context for sure. Who do you guys think wins this game, by the way, Baris Falcons? I don't think it was a tough question. It is a tough question because I see I see two pads to Ken Caleb. Does he knock off the rust? Does he play well? Does he fare well versus the past rush? And does B-Zhan Robinson take over this game or not? Those are the two factors for this game. And we've seen B-Zhan take over games. So I really kind of struggle with this game. I will lean slightly in the direction of the bears, but this game is a freaking toss up for me. The spread. I'm trying to pull it up here. Free. I think it's bears by two or two and a half or three. Right now consensus of betting pros.com is bears minus one and a half. So it's dropped. I think it got shorter here. It's been flip-flopping with the quarterback news all coming out. It feels like it should be a pick. The Falcons very easily could be coming in on a three game winning streak. They've lost that game to the Ravens that they easily could have won. They've been playing some good ball. And I don't know where the bears morale is after getting thumped in Ray. And you know, I'm just going to say like Ben Johnson brought that on. And I mean Mark Schlereth, the former Broncos offensive line, when he was talking about this week, like Ben Johnson doesn't have to block or tackle anyone. And like he kind of set his team up for like some physical punishment last week, like that was an angry Packers team. And where are they now? Like morale. I think Caleb Williams coming back is going to help with morale, but it will be interesting to see how they respond after that game. The headless. No Montez sweat too. So Michael Pinnix. I know the ribs were concerned, but maybe he sees cleaner pockets. So Austin Booker is really good though. That's that's one legit dude. The bears have on defense. Like he's the best defender right now. Der von Dexter Revenge narrative game here for it. Here for it. Let's go to Ravens at Brown's Zay flowers. Once again, got a ton of targets despite Lamar Jackson being out against the Falcons. But his yards per reception was more than cut in half with Tyler Huntley on her center. He's still a good start. But if Lamar is out again, which I'm expecting right now, he hasn't practiced this week as of the time we're recording this. And I think it's been training that way. Also, I pointed this out on an earlier show, but like he the next three games for the Ravens after this are Bengals, Bills, Jags. So I would imagine they are hoping that he they can maybe get through this Browns game without him and then have him fully ready for that gauntlet. Again, flowers is still a good start even with Tyler Huntley because of the volume he's going to get. But are you lowering expectations at all for flowers if Lamar is out again after seeing how it played out in week five? The other note I want to throw out here fits is that Tyler Huntley has not had a completion of at least 25 ariards since the 2022 divisional round against Cincinnati. It has been a long time. If you watch the games, this is, this seems obvious actually. He does not throw the ball deep. It is not pushing the ball at all. And you know, there's, by the way, he's throwing like almost 300 passes in that time frame. It's not like that's, you know, he's a back up as barely done that while fricking so. So like, yeah, that's just not his game. He's really good at pretty much everything else. But he can't push the ball down the field or doesn't for whatever reason. So if it's knowing that is that, you know, shaping how you're ranking, say, four hours a week, who in consensus is wide receiver 10 wide receiver 10 is exactly where I will have him. If it's Tyler Huntley right now, I've got him ranked as if Lamar is playing and I've got him at wide receiver four. He'll still be targeted heavily if it's Tyler Huntley, but there's less big play potential, much lower average depth of targets. Just the receptions won't be as impactful. Deepa. So have met wide receiver eight right now, assuming Lamar plays Lamar's out. I'll drop into wide receiver 12, like considering the scoring opportunity, the matchups and stuff. Like I'll have like neighbors Evans, Parker Washington, probably Devon, they ahead of him. But I mean, this is all saying like, yes, Tyler Huntley lowers the ceiling in the floor for safe hours. It's a tough matchup. Like Cleveland's given up the 11 few shots. Good target and fantasy points for opportunity perimeter wide receivers. The other side of this coin that I have to throw in here for safe hours. He is absolutely unequivocably amazing versus man coverage and Cleveland's running it at the highest rate in the NFL at 40, 48.7%. Safe hours against man, six in yards per out run, fourth in yards per target per out run rate. He's top two in both separation and route win rate, route win rate. He's only behind JSN. So can he overcome a tough matchup? Yes. But to your point, he's going to have to get a bevy of targets from Tower Huntley to do so. I'm curious to see, I mean, I would imagine that the Browns defense is going to be coached up pretty well by Todd Munkin, who's obviously the offensive guy. But who will come in and say, Hey, I just coached these guys for the last few years. You know, this is this is what Tyler Huntley can do and can't do. This is how we want to go up against the flowers. So I'm curious to see how that pans out. It's obviously not a coach on the staff in Declan Doyle that Munkin went up against when you know, you worked with him Baltimore. So, you know, maybe someone's certainly there, but just as the players go, like he will be very keenly aware of these guys' limitations, particularly Tyler Huntley. So I wonder if we see like a ton of pressing and just like the brides refusing to let them get anything underneath. So the other side of this game is too is I think we're going to see one heaping dose of Derek Henry because the Browns run defense is got awful. So to that point, can that, and I'm not saying Tyler Huntley is going to throw the ball deep, but if I were Declan Doyle, I would say we are going to run Derek Henry into their defense consistently and set up play action deep, deep shots down the field for Zay Flowers versus Man Covers. Now whether that happens, especially considering your stat worm remains to be seen, but that's the way they should attack this, like a massive dose of Derek Henry, get hunting on the move and some play action here, and can they get Zay Flowers free, especially considering how good he is versus Man Coverage. It's possible. Browns are also not going to have Carson Swayche and Schwestern. Yeah, that's great. It looks like probably their best run defender. Yeah, the thing I'll quickly say, not just Matthew Hibner, who has been like this right end. Him, him, near, by the way. Yeah. He has not, he's not practicing a Friday. The shot Bateman is wearing the red non-contact jersey on Friday practice too, so I'm excited about it. I'm actually pumped for Lane, coming back, that'll be a fun one. I can't wait to see him with Lamar in the full game. Before we get to the next game, I need to tell you about this new prediction market called Poly Market. It's a stock exchange for sports, buying in and selling out on your terms. When your team goes down to 20%, you can buy in and sell it off at 40% when they come back to double your money. They are so confident you'll never go back to the other guys that are giving you a free $25 on your first trade when you deposit just $10. Now they've watched a new feature squads, a group chat where you can see what everyone is trading on. So download the Poly Market app today and use FPPOD when you sign up. That's FPPOD to get $25 free after you deposit just $10. Next game up, guys. Titan's at Colts. In this game, Karinal Tate and Josh Downs are ranked back-to-back in ECR, which player do you guys like better? I'll start with you both of these quarterbacks are so freaking bad, geez, I'm going to go with Josh Downs on this one, only because I buy a sliver, a sliver, believe in Daniel Jones, more than I do, Cam War, just considering Downs has a really good matchup, Tennessee's given up the second most charts for target and fantasy points for opportunity slot receivers. So I'll lean on the matchup, Indy has been tougher against perimeter wide receivers. So I'll slightly lean in the direction of Josh Downs, but Lord Man, Daniel Jones is playing God off. Cam War needs to be benched and hit the reset button. So I don't feel great about other days, guys, but I'll take Downs. Where are they ranked to you, Debra? Both are. They're 23 and 24 in ECR, so they're just at the edge wide, three and three range. Josh Downs, wide receiver, 24, Karinal Tate, wide receiver, 25. Okay. [BLANK_AUDIO] And we're spot even though you don't really like them, um, I mean, right now it's just by weeks and the injuries, totally, it's what it's all about you, who do you like better out of these two? So I'm basically with D bro and ECR on downs at wide receiver 24. I've got Colonel T wide receiver 33. I cam ward, cam ward, that's a problem. And just that the Colts are one of the biggest slot funnel defenses in the league, they're just getting destroyed by slot receivers. And we talked about this on the start, sit showworm, like when you're outside corner backs or sauce gardener and churverious ward and your slot corner is second ear man, Justin Wally, like you're going at the slot guy. And according to our buddies at fantasy points data, 64.6 of what percent of wide receiver production against the Colts has come from slot receivers. They are giving up 118 receiving yards per game to slot guys. So I think it's a Wondale Robinson week more than a carnell tight week. It's a good call. And I know downs hasn't been great the last couple of weeks, just three catches each of his last two games, uh, 16 yards against the commanders, 47 against the Steelers. But he did have 149 yards and 12 catches in weeks, two and three. And it is averaged up the target is 11.1 yards, which is well above the norm for his career. It's got close to a 30% area share running a lot of routes, like an 85% route partition to participation rate. I just, I think downs will get up on get back on track soon. And the Titans have been giving it up to slot receivers a little bit, 17.4 PPR points per game to slot receivers, 12 most in the league. So yeah, I like downs way more than take. I like the Wondale call too, because he's quietly been, I mean better in his purposes, getting it done because he's gotten touchdowns and he's getting like the volume. But yes, the, the cam ward of all of this kind of just stinks up this game. So does Daniel Jones. Debra, you missed a good line yesterday on the show. My dog is named Wally where Fitz said that, you know, my dog named Wally going up against Justin Wally. Like my dog would win some of those routes, the way Justin Wally's been playing. Yeah. Yeah. My mom enjoyed that, uh, that day. Okay. As well. Um, it was a good one. Uh, let's go to Jets at Patriots. How high are you guys ranking Ramadrez Stevenson with Travegan Henderson now? We've, you know, obviously always talked about this as the flip back field that it is. But now that Henderson is going to miss some time in this particular week, how aggressively are you getting with Ramadrez Stevenson, Debra? Uh, I've got, and I was pulling up the practice reports because I was surprised to see Ram, uh, Travegan Henderson got in a limited practice. Now again, I'm projecting him to be out this week. Uh, I've got Ramandre at RB 13. Um, if anybody wants to say they've got him higher like RB 11, RB 12, I'm not really going to push back against that. The Jets run defense has got awful. They're giving up 13th highest explosive run rate. Ninth most yards before contact, pretend and the sixth highest missed tackle rate. So I think we're going to get workhorse Ramandre in this game, um, probably a little cori kinder, uh, just spelling him every now and then on early downs, but I, I like Ramandre a ton this week. Um, and as I pull up the Patriots practice report, uh, Henderson two limited practices. So I, I'm guessing he's going to be out this week or very limited, but we'll see. It's a good point. I have an operating. If he's going to be out because earlier in the week, I think it looks a little bit worse, but it is worth like keeping an eye out for. He's a quick healer. Warm. Yeah. I've heard the social media streets. Quick healer. We'll arena. Ramandre, uh, right for you. That's the thing though, the limited practice can mean he's writing an exercise bike and the sideline during practice. Yeah. I mean, you don't have to tinful hat me with, with practice reports. I'm there with you. Yeah. Okay. I saw Michael Pittman Jr. get a limited in with on a scooter earlier this season. So, you know, it is what it is. Yeah. I've got Ramandre running back 14. I know I'm a little behind consensus, but of course, I'm like the one ranker who's got a Bucky Irving ahead of him this week. It's just for me, the thing with Ramandre is that like, you're not getting any break away runs from him. So you are counting on volume and he's probably going to get that volume this week. But he has been dealing with the knee issue. So maybe if there's any chance for the Patriots to take the foot off the gas, if they've got a lead late in the game, maybe we do see a little more Corey Conner. But I mean, I think there's a pretty good bat Ramandre gets 15 to 20 touches and gives us something close to RB1 value. I forget if I'm having a brain Friday night and actually said this, he's RB 10 and ECR in case, I didn't say it. Oh, above, that's exactly what it's like. Does he like above Uber or Swift like, yes, both. So the next two names after him are Swift and then Chuba, and then it's Ash and Jentie, then Bucky Irving, Braille and Alan Emanuelson, who's just listed their obviously already played. So those are the names immediately following Ramandre. I've got Swift, Chuba and Jentie above Ramandre this week. But I get it. Yeah, the four guys you have named are all directly in front of Ramandre for me. Okay. Yeah, because you said you have them 14. So just literally those four dropping them or dropping Ramandre down past them. Let's go to Saints at Giants. Tyler Schuck was terrible on week five, but it was really only his first bad game since week 12 of last season. Are you guys expecting a bounce back against the Giants now that there's a face that Vikings past rush fits? Not necessarily. I'm pretty worried about the loss of Kelvin Banks for him, the left tackle, who is out with a severe high ankle sprain not coming back anytime soon. And Banks got hurt in the second half of the Saints. We too win over the Ravens. Over the first two weeks of the season, Schuck was averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt. Over the last three weeks with no banks, 5.5 yards per pass attempts. But it was kind of hard to notice the drop off in weeks three and four because Schuck through more than 40 passes in those two games had 255 yards and four touchdowns against the Raiders. 286 and a touchdown against the Falcons. But again, he threw a ton of passes in those games and then played the Vikings last week and it was a complete disaster. But it's a big drop off from Kelvin Banks, one of the best young tackles in the league to a seam Richards, a former fifth round draft pick of the Cowboys who started something like four games in three NFL seasons before this year. And the Saints can't really run the ball, so defenses don't have to honor the Saints running game and can pretty much live in nickel and dime all game. So I've got Schuck rank QB 14 and it's just really the prospect of heavy pass volume, beating me to even have him rank that high. Debra. I've got him higher at low and QB 11 right now, only because of the passing volume and to 50s point, I'm not scared of the Giants past defense. The bank stuff in the call out is absolutely real. The only way where I feel better about Tyler Schuck in this game, though, is also because the Giants had the fifth lowest pressure rate. So I think despite Banks, their pass rush hasn't lived up to, I guess, as good as the depth chart looks to this point this season, now maybe that happens this week versus the Saints offensive line, but I think we're going to get like 15 pointed out, the Saints can't run the ball. So if the pass rush, the pass rush doesn't get home. We know we're going to get volume out of Tyler Schuck and the defensive matchup is a lot easier than going against the freaking Vikings. So I think Tyler Schuck at low and QB 1 is probably right just based off the balling, but do I see the risk absolutely? This game has the same spread as the Bears Falcons that we were talking about earlier. It's minus one and a half for the Saints favorite. This game is a low key shootout, dude. That's what that both these defenses are got awful. You expecting a shootout to your fists? I don't know, I don't know, give me the over, but I don't really trust either offense in this game either, either James, baby revenge right Winston could have a, he could light the Saints defense on fire or he could throw foreign receptions. He could never know with him. And the weird thing with Schuck, the Saints, their pressure rate without banks, Schuck has seen a lower pressure rate since the bank's injury, which is weird, but I think it's also kind of a function is, I was going to say wish to see, yeah. So right, the pressure rate doesn't really tell the tale. I didn't check the time to throw in the last couple of games, but I think it's just that the Saints running game has just completely fallen apart. And that's maybe why the Schuck efficiency has fallen off. Yeah, I fully agree. I'm pulling up is time to throw, um, wow, actually his time to throw is pretty high unless I miss it. Oh, wow. Yeah, he's actually got 2.78. So he's holding onto the ball. Okay. Wow. Hmm. Interesting. 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And she genuinely went out of her way to complement the sweater without me even bringing it up. That's a very much a true story. It's a great sweater. So Quince Clothing, which by the way is priced 50 to 80% less than similar brands, gets a big stamp of approval, not just from me, but also from my date last night. Find your next fall favorites at Quince. Download the Quince app for app exclusive offers or go to quince.com, get free shipping on your order and 365 day returns now available in Canada and the UK too. And when Quince asks where you heard about them, let them know it was fantasy prose. It's the best way to support the show. The WNVA playoffs are about to begin. The talent is insane and the personalities are giving main character energy. And of course, the fans love it. With 30 years ago when the leak first started, it was a different story. I remember sitting with a couple of male writers all whining about, "Oh, what are they going to do if they break a nail?" And that one's going to show up. But from the very beginning, there were two teams that captured everyone's attention. The comments were the real deal. I mean, come on. The Liberty never gave up. They never stopped fighting. I knew that rivalry was going to be amazing from the beginning. I'm Kerry Champion, and this is biggest rivalries of all time, season two. The New York Liberty versus the Houston comments, the very first rivalry of the WNVA. They picked us to finish last, and they picked them to finish first. That's all you need to know. I remember looking around thinking this is going to change things. Basketball was going to have this fundamental impact on the way people viewed women athletes. Listen to biggest rivalries of all time on the iHeart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. Is there bad blood between you and the comments as you guys meet again in the championship? Oh, we're coming back to win. If you not trash, you better be not just going to be great. Or rock solid, we talking to rap legends, hit making producers, rising stars from the golden era to the future of this hip-hop game, where we keep it 100% unfiltered and keep it nothing but rock solid. Yeah. The thing about Jay, my opinion is he's been so great at being seen, but mysterious. You know what I'm saying? He don't got to come talk about nothing. You figure it out. So it's always a mystique and mysteriousness behind them, but it ain't like you don't see him. Listen to rock solid, or black effect podcast network, iHeart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you string podcast. This Halloween joined me, Tim Hartford, as cautionary tales journeys into the paranormal. We'll travel from 1800s America, where vampires prayed upon a terrified community. To a bizarre 1930s radio experiment, which broadcasts telepathic messages, and on to 1970s England, where intricate crop circles emerged overnight. Throughout October, I'll be examining strange stories of the supernatural and asking, what can we learn from them today? All right, next game here, Panthers at Eagles. Guys, we have to talk about the quarterback situation here. Jalen Hertz is going to miss this game, possibly more time with the superficial blood clot that he is dealing with that was reported yesterday. So I'll kind of keep it simple here, Debra, what are your expectations for the Eagles offense with Tanner McKee starting a quarterback? I think they're still going to be able to move the ball, and I'm not telling you that's going to be the same as Jalen Hertz, but I think that considering this matchup, like I'm not scared of the Panthers defense, like losing JC Horn and Michael Jackson has been massive since losing those two over the last two games, seventh most yards per attempt, 14th highest pass and success rate, eighth most EPA per dropback allowed. So I'm not expecting like a banner or like performance from Tanner McKee, but we have seen competence from him in two NFL starts of the last two seasons. I think that he's a mid-range QB2 and could actually surprise people considering how bad the Panthers past defense has been. Long term, if Hertz misses more time, like so somewhat optimistic for you, but there's about where he kind of fallen for you reason if Hertz is out for a while. We just don't know. I mean, I'm treating this, so my medical background, I'm treating this as like Jalen Hertz is out for the rest of the season, and if he comes back at any point, then I will be surprised. I've got Tanner McKee, I would put him in at QB 24, like somewhere in that like Geno Smith, Jacobi Brissett, Aaron Rogers, kind of tier. So low end QB2 with the ability of the matchup is right to be a high end QB2, maybe, you know, suck out a few touchdowns in some QB one weeks, so I'm fine with him. Like, have you picked them up in superflex leagues and stuff like that? Like, I think he's probably going to be the starting quarterback, maybe for the rest of the season. We'll see. Fitz, what do you think about both Tanner McKee, but then also the other options in this Eagles offense? Do you want to take Smith? I think he's practicing today. I just saw tweet about it, you know, need more info there. Obviously. Yeah, he plays. Yeah, it's just great. It's looked like recently, but yeah, what do you expect out of this offense? Way less than DeBro does. I mean, I think it's going to be a post apocalyptic wasteland. They had a really I know the panthers defense isn't a world beater, but the Eagles had 232 yards against the Jaguars last week with Jalen Hertz. The offensive line is just the old Philly offensive line is just gone. This is gone from being maybe the best offensive line in the league to one of the worst. And, um, you know, hopefully they get Devonte Smith back because they're so short on explosive weapons right now. And they got got it back last week. And I agree Tanner McKee isn't terrible. But man, the offensive line is bad. And then there's no running in. I mean, it's it's journeyman Damian Pierce at running back. So they don't have a credible threat to keep the panthers defense honest in this game. I think it's going to be really bad. And I think they're going to get booed by their home crowd. Hmm. Uh, it hasn't looked good this season. Then, you know, you go to the back of quarterback. So I totally can understand the pessimism fits. I mean, I know Eagles fans are not quick to boo anyone. No, no. And no, why would that? No, not like they booed their own Super Bowl MVP quarterback at times. Many times. Is there anybody? Or is anybody that you are raking as a starter this week? Like Dallas Goddard at tight end or not really, not really. No, okay. All right. So very pessimistic. I believe his phrase was apocalyptic wasteland. So that post apocalyptic post ap oh yeah, Jesus. It's after the apocalypse has happened. Well, okay. Uh, one more game in the early slate guy, Steelers at Buccaneers. Jalen Warren has been terrific lately. And D bro said on a show earlier this week with myself in Ericsson that he thinks Jalen Warren is the most underrated running back in the NFL. And I struggled to disagree with him. I thought it was a great, great shout by D bro. How will he do against the Buccaneers this week? D bro, I'll let you start here first. And do you love Warren? I think he'll be fine because if you if you just look at the surface stats for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it looks like a god awful matchup. But when you pop over in the hood and you look at actually how the Pittsburgh Steelers run game operates their 57.1% zone Jalen Warren has been absolutely just mind blowing like on zone runs 5.67 yards per carry 57.5% Russian success rate Tampa Bay is elite versus gap runs. They're allowing 2.8 yards per carry and a 34% Russian success rate. That's second best in the league versus zone runs. They are only league average. They're, they're 17th in zone yards per carry 19th in Russian success rate. So I think on paper, the matchup looks horrible for Jalen Warren. When you look at the deeper analytics, I think it's totally fine. Like I look at it as like a little bit below league average type of matchup for Jalen Warren this week. So considering volume, I think he keeps like maybe not a true bell cow workload, but I think he's going to play like 70% of the snaps this week. And with that type of volume as good as he is, he's still locked in RB1 for me. He's the saddest top 10. Obviously anybody with him is starting him fits. Where are your expectations at generally speaking for Warren this week? It's pretty good. I've got him ranked right on consensus. RB1 range. And I agree with the bro Warren is widely underrated. Among running backs with the least 20 carries. Warren is third in Russian success rate. Fifth in Russian yards over expected per carry. Seventh in Miss tackles force per attempt. 10th in yards after contact per attempt. According to fantasy points data. So and then in the passing game, he's averaging 8.8 yards per target, which is good even for a wide receiver. That's a freakishly high Number for running. back. So he's been awesome. The Steelers offense of line has been doing some good work. So yeah, Buccaneers have a good run D, but it's strength against strength. And go ahead. No, I was going to ask, where can I give the spiel that I gave on the tailgate, speaking of which, because I want Fitsy to hear all these stats because they blew my mind when I looked them up per fantasy points data. This is the case for Jail on the Warren is the runaway, runaway, most underrated running back in the NFL. So since 2022, among 76 qualifying rushers with least 200 carries, Jail and Warren, 15th and explosive run rate, right ahead at Kenneth Walker, 11th and yards of the contact per attempt, right ahead of Derek Henry and Bajon Robinson, 6th and Miss Tacos forced right ahead of freaking Nick Chubb. You look at him as a receiver, Fitsy, among 78 qualifying running backs, 8th and yards per out run ahead of Gibbs, Austin Eccler and Alba Camera, and 5th and 1st downs per out run right ahead of Devon H and that is some rare fight air man. Yeah, I'm not, I'm not trying to victory lap, but I did think it was nuts that some people liked Rico downal more than Jail and Warren before the draft and, and now Mike McCarthy, so Rico could come back this week from his double toe dislocation, which sounds really painful, but Mike McCarthy has basically said, yeah, Jail and Warren's the man. Yeah, do you fits agree with the rest of most underrated running back in the NFL? I couldn't think of a lot of good other options, honestly. I'll do the running backs that I think are better. I think everybody just knows and agrees or studs. I was trying to think of anybody that I thought was he's also outside the top 25 and average contract value outside the top 25. Like he's living in the same area code as Rico downal and Kenny Gain will just to put it out there. You know, I, I, I'll call it a tie between Jail and Warren and Bucky Irving or a lucky guy. Yeah, let's go to the late afternoon slate here. Cardinals at Rams biggest spread of the week. I think it's that 12 and a half. That's what it was with last time I checked. Tyler Higby has been tied in 12 or better in three straight games since Terrence Ferguson was hurt yet. He's only ranked as tight in 15 this week. I'll double check to see if that's moved at all. That's again, that's where he was the last time I looked. He is tied in 16. He's gone down. Oh, my goodness, take it was. I saw us. You guys is that too high, too low or just right, Debro? That, that's absolutely. Tyler Higby is a tight in one this week. I've got a bit tight in nine. I got just, you look at the Rams scoring potential. You look at the massive spread. You look at the implied team total. You look at what Tyler Higby's been doing over the last few weeks. He's been a tight in one in each of the last three games. If you just want to take out like the Ky Bosch chair Ferguson game, like Tyler, Tyler Higby over the last two weeks, tight in 12, tight in 10. Again, Arizona has been one of the best matchups for fantasy tight ends of last few seasons this year. They're giving up the most yards per target at the position and the third most fantasy points were opportunity. Yeah, Tyler Higby is a tight in one this week. Great play. Fits tight and 16 to high, too low, just right. I've got him tight in 12, but I might be moving him up because so I was too low on Higby last week because Colby Parkinson came back after missing week four with the shoulder injury. I thought Higby and Parkinson might chop up the tight end targets for the Rams. Well, Higby had five catches for 83 yards on six targets. Parkinson one catch for seven yards on two targets. They both played about the same number of snaps, but now Parkinson is questionable for week six. Apparently the shoulder is still bothering him. So yeah, Higby is a great play this week and I'll be up at like around tight end nine where deep row is if Parkinson is scratched. Some of the names ahead of him. Mark Andrews is ahead of him. There's no shit. Colson Loveland who's done nothing this year just his quarterback back, but Pat Fryer-Muth, like, you know, those are the three names directly ahead of him. I think he should be ahead of all three. And ahead of that, you get in like strange fan and John Johnson tears. I mean, Fits, you're not very high on douse Goddard this week. Like there's just a lot of names that I feel like you could easily make case for Higby ahead of. And just to balance out my little victory lap on on Jalen Warren over Rico Doudal, I was kind of high on Mark Andrews this year and he looks like a corpse this year. I was kind of high on him as well. Thinking, you know, the flowers, but say flowers, but what what what what is they flowers? Actually Adam touchdowns right now. We should we should update that bet. Sometimes soon on the tailgate. Well, maybe we'll do that next week and kind of see where we're at there. It's not going well for me, regardless of how many touchdowns they have given the Mark Andrews side of that. Quick note for everybody fantasy pros users can now get 30 days of betting pros premium absolutely free unlock powerful NFL betting tools, including the prop at cheat sheet price picks optimizer and the brand new parlay wizard. You can even sink your sportsbooks to track all your bets live in one place. Start your exclusive three day free trial in the betting pros app or a betting pros dot com slash apps with code fp one month. That's betting pros dot com slash apps and promo code fp one month. All right. Chargers at chiefs with her she writes banged up and you know, I want to kind of check the update on the injury stuff. I don't know if you guys have seen anything here about his status, but that's been banged up. Obviously, where should Xavier worthy be ranked fits? Well, I don't think Rishi rice is going to play because when you come off a buy and are not practicing on a Wednesday or a Thursday, like there's just no chance that you're playing when you're not ready to practice after a week off. So I have worthy wide receiver 27 and that feels too high because worthy has been bad this year six yards per target 1.16 yards per row run. That's an awful number. But worthy has had at least six targets in three of the chiefs first four games and with no Rishi rice, no taekwam Thornton. It's not hard to imagine where they're getting eight to 10 targets and those targets aren't just coming from some Gibroni quarterback. Those are Patrick Mahomes targets. Rishi rice, by the way, on the are they playing to one fantasy pro's dot com 2% chance. So the site certainly agrees with you guys and I obviously agree as well. He's about to see were 29 in ECR. So similar to where you've got him fits given the opportunity ahead of him here against his Chargers defense. Debra, what do you think? Where's he ranks for you with rice like we have? I've got him at water see for 37 like I see the case for him like with the match up and stuff like because the Chargers are giving up the eighth most charts per target for the most fantasy points for opportunity perimeter water severs. I just lean on that worthy has just been got awful like he's I mean, dude, he's just I worry. My worry with him is he stays in the same kind of role and then we see like a breakout game for like Jalen Royals or Cyrus Allen or Travis Kelsey just gets a crap ton of volume or Kenneth Walker just runs the entire game down their throat and the chiefs kind of turtle. So like I don't want to play worthy. I want to be very clear about that. Could he pop off with a random big game? It's possible. But I just I'm at the point where they Xavier worthy of like we've opportunity after opportunity after opportunity and he just wet parts most of the time. So like it's like I just I don't want to play him. That's what I was going to ask you deeper. So I expect Travis Kelsey and Xavier worthy to be the non-running back target leaders for the chiefs this week. But if there was going to be another wide receiver to surprise us with their involvement this week, who do you think it would be? I kind of lean with with Jalen Royals over Cyrus Allen, but coming out of the by week, have they changed things like Cyrus Allen could be the guy. Maybe he's the first chief to come out with training camp hype and actually do something in the regular season. But I think we're just we're kind of firing the firing in the dark here. It could be neither. I do give a small lean to Cyrus Allen. Are you said Royals? Did you say Royals or Allen? I thought you said Royals. Small lean to well. So I thought Royals to be sort of the incumbent like Cyrus we thought was going to have some sort of role in my keys, Ben kind of, you know, yeah. So the more that I kind of simmer on this, I will go with Jalen Royals only because if we see somebody get put into the Rishi rice roll, I think that's more likely Jalen Royals than Cyrus Allen. But it's a mess, dude. It's a mess. Fitz, you mentioned him earlier, Wanda Robinson, him or worthy this week. Wanda, I got it. I got to go worthy actually. Worthy's ahead in ECR. Do you remember these also got worthy can make your fantasy quota with one play? One really can't. Yeah. One more. Debra, you were pretty kind of low relative to consensus on Jeremy Bernard when we did this live stream yesterday, him or worthy for you. I got worthy barely ahead of him. I'm low on Germany this week. Okay. Next game here. Last one in the late afternoon. Slate builds at Raiders. Brock Bowers is a stud at least 20 PPR points in every game so far this season. So let's have some fun here, Fitz predict which week will be his first bad game of the season because I don't know when it's going. Okay. I'll I'll say it's week seven next week. Dang it. That's when because it's when Fernando Mendoza makes his first start for the Raiders home against the Rams and needs a week to get the bugs out because I think I think the Raiders are going to make the move after they lose their third straight this week against Buffalo. Interesting. I like that wrinkle to call. I mean, I mean, by the way, if it's just like, obviously, you missed the first two games with the injury. If not for that, I think you would have been spot on with all of your predictions on power as a season. I think we did a show. where you said he was going to have more yards, catches, and touchdowns in Amara St. Brown. I think it was one of your, these were both predictions. But it was one of your both predictions. I believe you picked him as the player that would define the fantasy season. And he is really breaking fantasy right now, just at the tight end position. It's really incredible how good he is, with not even like an elite quarterback. Cousins have been playing okay, but like, you know, not even like an elite quarterback that it's attached with. So this is just really awesome stuff from your favorite guy. Debra, you said that that was also your pick week's evidence. You guys are both expecting just one more week here. And then a bit of a drop off. - So it's not the Mendoza thing for me. It comes down to the matchup. Brock Bauer has been playing 38% out wide, 43.9% in the slot. So he's really just a wide receiver, 82.8, 82.2% of his routes, either in the slot or out wide. And however you dice up that matchup, you want to look at, okay, the Rams versus Titans, few as yards per target, few as fantasy points for opportunity. You want to treat Brock Bauer's as a wide receiver, seventh lowest yards per target, two opposing wide receivers. I'm not saying that Trent McDuffy wouldn't have a hard day considering Brock Bauer's towers over him by like seven inches. But maybe he could get some McDuffy if he's in the slot or out wide or maybe he could get bracketed. So I think it's the Rams. - If we were redrafting the season today, like just for your starting year in a fantasy, that starts a week six. Where is he? I see it means a first round pick. Where is he going, Fitz? - Yeah, he's late first. - Late first. - He's not going outside the top 15 players, probably. - Do you think he'll be a late first round pick in consensus next year? - I think it's gonna be back to where we were with the Travis Kelsey dilemma of whether to draft him in the first round. Because of the positional advantage he gives you, it's just so far ahead and shoulders above everyone else. And McBride's good. But I just, the McBride thing isn't gonna last though. Like they have been now for almost a season and a half averaging about 40 pass attempts again. And it's just kind of unsustainable. I just don't think the Cardinals offense is gonna continue to operate that way. And like they're not winning games throwing 40 passes a week. - But my only pushback about the McBride stuff is if Arizona gets a competent quarterback next year and they stay with the high pass rate. But to 50's point, again, I'm still saying he's top 15. It just could be the difference maker. People are still in on McBride, whether he's first round or top of second. So. - Let's go to a really fun matchup on Sunday night football. The total is as high as 53 and a half in some places. Cowboys at Packers with such a high number, struggling defenses, good offenses, deep rows. Are anybody that you're actually fading in this game relative to consensus? - So fading in air quotes, I'm lower than ECR and will probably remain that way on George Pickens as I said last week and I said for multiple weeks like the game against the Buccaneers in single high was this sell high moment for George Pickens. His splits versus single high and two high have been massive. They're still there right now. And Jonathan Ganon, we know is gonna run a crap ton of two high right now. Packers are running it at the fifth highest rate. Almost 63% of the defensive snaps. George Pickens this season has gone back to Pittsburgh type of George Pickens, Ala DK Metcalf type of usage. Big splits in single high and two high. Versus two high this year. George Pickens his target per round run rate drops to 15% and his yards per round run drop to 1.59. So Pickens again, I still think he is considering all the buys and injuries and what have you. A wide receiver two, but high in wide receiver two is kind of where I differ from ECR. I'm gonna push him down just a little bit. Fits before you give your answer. Where are you ranking Pickens this week? Where do you have him, Debra? Wide receiver 17. Okay, I think I'm a little higher wide receiver 15. Yeah, 15, 13 in ECR. Okay. Yeah, I do I do want to be a little lower because of the schematic matchup. Although the Packers, I think might have to play without Keisha Nixon, who as much as he has been a lightning rod for criticism from Packers fans, it's actually been playing pretty well this year. So like he's been their best outside corner and if Pickens doesn't have to go against him, that might help the case for Pickens. But for me, the guy I'm below consensus on in this game is Marshawn Lloyd. I'm like three spots below consensus. I've got him at the very bottom of running back to range. He did have the two touchdowns last week and has three on the season. But Marshawn Lloyd has not had even a 40 yard rushing day this year. And last week he split work with Pierre Strong. Early in the season, he split work with Caleb Johnson, who's now kind of demoted to running back three, but is still in the mix. And Lloyd is averaging 2.8 yards per carry. He's averaging 1.32 yards after contact. Per carry is expected points added per rushing attempt. It's a minus 0.31. He's just been bad, and the Packer's offensive line isn't good. It's improved, like signing Lake and Tom Linson, McCuy Beckton, Kevin Zitler, that all helped. But it's still not a good offensive line. Definitely not run blocking. So I'm not that enthusiastic about Lloyd. Do you agree with Lloyd? I'm with Fitsy, I got him at the bottom. I want to ask a very point of quit, Fitsy. Blake Korma, Marshawn Lloyd this week. I think it's interesting. You know, I've got Lloyd just ahead based on volume, but that might be the wrong call. I know. It's Korm. The rankings are pretty far apart. There are 11 spots apart in ECR, but Matt's Korm. It's for me. It's for me. It's two spots. Korm and a game where the Rams are almost two touchdown favorites is. I've got I've got Korm right behind Lloyd. I get RB 22 and RB 23 right now. And they're. Korm is flipping them. Korm is actually catching passes too. I know. That's an exciting thing. Like he was a non factor in the passing game last year. They're actually starting to get him some targets. The gap is too wide. I don't know if you can. I don't know if you can write Korm ahead of Lloyd, but RB 19 versus RB 30, like Blake Korm should be higher than RB 30 with the match up against. Yeah, I've got. For me, Korm is RB 24 and I've got Lloyd RB 22. Yeah, I think that's more aligned with what I would be thinking too than what consensus has. Easy paths for Blake Korm, how scoring him this week, like, yep. We do a prop that cheat sheet check it for said in a football every week. You guys are going to offer up a three or four star bet from the prop that cheat sheet at bed and pros dot com. Debra, what do you have for us for this game? Tucker craft over 49 and a half receiving arts three star bet per the prop prop that cheat sheet. Tucker crafts really come alive in the passing attack over the last two games 19.7% target share 25.5% first read share. Dallas is not good at defending tight end six most yards per target allowed at the position. So like the over here fits what's your prop that cheat sheet pick? It's Javonte Williams under 70.5 rushing yards. That is a three star bet. And I just I think this is a game where both passing attacks go head to head and there's not a lot of running. I think both teams pass at a high rate this week. And the Packers run defense aside from that Thursday night game where they got decimated by B. John Robinson has not been bad at all this year. And so you know, Javonte B. John is a different type of guy. Javonte does not move like B. John moves. So I don't think Javonte is a big day on the ground. Those were our top prop bets for Sunday night football courtesy of the betting pros prop that cheat sheet find the best NFL player prop bets with the betting pros prop that cheat sheet quickly compare lines from leading sports books against our daily NFL projections to uncover the props offering the most value makes smarter prop betting decisions all season long at betting pros.com slash props. All right guys Monday night football commanders at 49ers Fred Warner seems like the linebacker most perfectly suited to slowing down a running quarterback like Jay Daniels who is coming off of a massive day on the ground is Jayden's ECR of QB 7 too high too low or just right with this match up against Fred Warner and the Niners defense fits too high. I've got him QB 11 and you lay out that perfectly warm Fred Warner is the best spy on running quarterbacks in the league. Malik Willis in week one had 39 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Raiders and then he played the 49ers in week two and had six rushing yards. The 49ers have only given up 33 rushing yards to quarterbacks through five games. You just quarterbacks do not run against Fred Warner and the 49ers. So yeah, I think we should lower the expectations for Daniels. The thing is Daniels is a good pass or two. So that's why I still have him ranked as a QB 1, but I'm not expecting him to have another 100 yard rushing day like you had last week. The guys behind him directly in ECR Caleb Williams, Patrick Mom's Trevor Lawrence are those guys all ahead of him for you. Yeah. Debra, what do you think, too high, too low, just right, QB seven, it's too high. And to the point of it's made since 2025 San Francisco against running quarterbacks are given up the third lowest yards per carry and the lowest explosive run rate opposing quarterbacks. So yeah, I've got Jane Daniels at QB 12 right now and if we get word that Caleb Williams is going to start, I'll push him over him. I'm kind of considering CJ Stroud over Daniels too. I'm with Fitsy. I think it's a down game from Daniels who really got all of his production on the ground with over 100 and then two rushing scores last week. He wasn't good as a passer and this is not a good match. up through the year. It's time for fresh from the oven takes brought to you by Dijorno, just like a pizza fresh out of the oven. These takes are hot fresh and ready for Monday night. Diro, what's your bold prediction for this game? So going bold with this, I'm going to say considering the week Rashad White is an RB two and this is garbage time stuff. This comes down like he has to get all of us production in the passing game. I think that like as a median play, he is a very strong PPR flex, but if he gets in the end zone, gets the check downs this week. He is an RB two. When it's all said and done, had a 60% snap rate. Quietly, the 49ers have allowed the most receptions to running backs and the second most receiving fantasy points per game to the position. I, what do you, what do you think about that that call there fits for Rashad White? Yeah, he played more than I thought he was going to last week. We'll see. That is a messy backfield all of a sudden, because Austin Eccler is in the mix too. So I'm not sure what to make of that backfield. I'm bravo to DiBrow for planning a flag there, but I don't know what to make of the Washington running back situation right now. The other thing, and I'm pulling this up to make sure I'm not talking out of turn here, but Austin Eccler also on the injury report. He was wearing a non-contact Jersey limited with a chest injury right now. So maybe we see him kind of, you know, it was playing time cut this week too. Fits what's your bold prediction for this matchup? Yeah, related to what we were just talking about with the Fred Warner effect on Russian quarterback. So a week after running for more than 100 yards and two touchdowns, Jane Daniels will run for fewer than 25 yards against the 49ers this week. That kind of lines of well with my bold prediction here, Fits. I think the night, and again, try to be bold, I think the Niners are going to win this game by three touchdowns. I think they are going to smash the commanders in this one. And I think it will be Dan Quinn's last game coaching. Oh, yeah. You you have to wonder where their morale is after the way they lost or where they tied that way. The giants and a moral loss, but you know, they tie in the standings and then just kind of bad timing that that's when you have to make a coast to coast trip to play your next game. It just doesn't seem like morale is going to be very high. I'm like, I don't want to come on here. Like we're doing, you know, kind of a fun segment here for Dijorda. I don't want to be overly negative. So like, I'm just kind of throwing in the Dan Quinn. Like I think it's his last game. The main bold prediction here is that I think they win the Niners went by three touchdowns. I think they're a much better team than the commanders and specifically well suited to slow down J Daniels and the morale stuff coming off of that tie. I just I don't see other commanders are making this one a game. And I think it gets away from them. There would be some cosmic irony that Adam Peters would get fired after a game against the 49ers. It's just saying. It's a good point. Those are your fresh from the oven takes brought to you by Dijorda. Make Monday night pizza night with fresh from your oven taste. It's not delivery. It's Dijorda. Guys, we'll go ahead and wrap things up there. Best luck. Everybody set in those week six lineups. Four fits and Debro. I'm Ryan Wormley. We'll see you again next time. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pro's Fantasy Football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts at fantasypro's.com/review or on Spotify. Follow us on X, Instagram and TikTok at fantasypro's and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/dansypro's. [Music] Why have so many crop circles appeared around Britain? Listen to cautionary tales on the iHeart radio app, Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. On Big Lives, we take a single cultural icon. People like Jane Fonda, George Michael, little Richard. And we pull apart the story behind the image, discovering forgotten interviews that change exactly how we see these giants of our culture. We're here for the messy, the brilliant, the human version of our heroes. I'm Immanuel Jochi. I'm Kai Wright. And this is Big Lives. Listen to Big Lives on the iHeart radio app, Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey everybody, it's me, Debbie C'mon Bell. This season on my podcast who's with me, I speak with Bruce Lee's daughter, Brandon Lee's sister, and my friend Shannon Lee. Back to your initial point of stewarding my father's legacy and giving my energy to that. You're lending your life to stewarding somebody else's life. Listen to who's with me with Debbie C'mon Bell on the iHeart radio app, Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Black lit. October is Black Fiction Month, and the Black Lit's podcast explores the minds of Cebu Campbell. How speculative fiction works as you enter into a story with a question. Nisi Shaw. What kind of world would it be if these people had not perished? And Octavia Butler. In science fiction and fantasy, I can do absolutely anything. As they pose the question, what if listen to Black Lit on the Black Effect podcast network on iHeart radio app, Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Guaranteed Human.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The podcast discusses fantasy football projections, focusing on player performance and matchups across multiple games.
  2. Key matchups include the Texans vs. Jaguars, where Woody Marx is expected to see high volume and a potential touchdown despite a tough run defense.
  3. The Bears vs. Falcons game features concerns over DeAndre Swift’s injury and Caleb Williams’ return, with mixed expectations for the running game.
  4. The Ravens vs. Browns game highlights reduced ceiling for Zay Flowers due to Lamar Jackson’s absence and Tyler Huntley’s lack of deep throws, though Flowers remains strong against man coverage.
  5. The Titans vs. Colts game favors Josh Downs over Karlin Tate due to Tennessee’s vulnerability to slot receivers and a strong matchup.
  6. The Jets vs. Patriots game sees Ramadrez Stevenson as a volume-driven RB1 value due to the Jets’ weak run defense.
  7. The Saints vs. Giants game presents Tyler Schuck as a high-volume QB1 with risk due to loss of Kelvin Banks and a weaker pass rush.
  8. A recurring theme is the value of analytics and injury updates in shaping fantasy team decisions, with strong emphasis on matchup-specific data.

Summary:

The podcast provides in-depth fantasy football analysis for multiple NFL matchups, focusing on player performance, injury updates, and matchup-specific advantages. Key discussions include the Texans vs. Jaguars game, where Woody Marx is projected to see high volume and a potential touchdown despite a strong run defense.

In the Bears vs. Falcons game, concerns over DeAndre Swift’s injury and Caleb Williams’ return are balanced by the Falcons’ weak pass defense, making the game a potential shootout. The Ravens vs.

Browns matchup sees a significant drop in Zay Flowers’ ceiling due to Lamar Jackson’s absence, though his elite performance against man coverage remains a strength. The Titans vs. Colts game favors Josh Downs over Karlin Tate due to Tennessee’s openness to slot receivers.

The Jets vs. Patriots game highlights Ramadrez Stevenson as a volume-driven RB1 value with the Jets’ poor run defense. The Saints vs.

Giants game presents Tyler Schuck as a high-volume QB1, though risk remains due to the loss of Kelvin Banks and a weak pass rush. Throughout, the discussion emphasizes analytics, injury context, and situational data to inform fantasy team decisions. The hosts also highlight key trends, such as the value of slot receivers and the impact of offensive line weaknesses.

A recurring theme is the importance of adjusting rankings based on real-time injury news and matchup dynamics. The podcast concludes with a note on fantasy football trends and the growing role of data in decision-making.

FAQs

The podcast explores paranormal stories and supernatural phenomena throughout Halloween month, including crop circles, telepathy, and the idea of the dead influencing the living.

The podcast suggests that crop circles may be linked to mysterious or unexplained phenomena, possibly involving telepathic communication or other paranormal activities, though no definitive explanation is provided.

The podcast raises the idea as a cautionary tale, but presents it as a speculative and unproven concept, not backed by scientific evidence.

It is a separate discussion on fantasy football, where hosts analyze game performances, player injuries, and team matchups, such as the Broncos vs. Seahawks and Bears vs. Falcons.

The hosts use statistical data to assess player performance, highlighting factors like volume of touches, yards per carry, and matchup advantages, especially against strong defensive units.

The hosts expect Tanner McKee to start for the Eagles, though they express caution due to a weak offensive line and lack of a strong running threat, suggesting a low-performing game overall.

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