Week 5 LOCKS 🔒 Best Bets, Against The Spread Picks, Moneyline Sprinkles & More! | Cover 3

Cover 3 is presented by our friends at PNC Bank who would like to remind you that seemingly boring plays both in football and in banking are what can lead to big wins. From National Signing Day to the National Championship and everything in between, CBS Sports presents The Cover 3 Podcasts. And welcome back to the Cover 3 Podcasts here on CBS Sports. That's Texern Elliott, that's Danny Canal, that's Bud Elliott. I'm Jim Patterson coming to you 5 YouTube.com/cub3. And we're going to get your podcast on a man. Thanks for hanging out. Smash that subscribe, smash that like and come and join us in the chat. Hey, Kate, hey, the Cover 3 tailgate where they are dropping their locks. But they need to get the likes up. You get the likes up. We give you the locks and the locks. Move the lines. Which way? Who knows? I don't know. Probably in our favor if you've been checking our latest recap. Let's do that right now. Look it back at the week that was in week four. Bud Elliott. Six and three week for you. Four and O on your three star locks, I mean, just an absolute monster. We don't, we use the word lock very loosely. Obviously, but four and O start on the three star locks. And that one was the first half under in Ole Miss Florida, also cashed on the Utah Iowa State under the Penn State team total under 28 and a half. I mean, the offense only even got like what? Two touchdowns in that game. Yeah, even with a return score as well. Anyway, Washington team total under 28 and a half. Alabama first half team total over 17 and a half. Missouri State plus 34 and a half. The only losses were the over in Texas Tennessee. The team total over for the Maryland Terps. And then Hawaii minus three thoughts takeaways from week four. Yeah, I lost the fighting in the club with Kins. So that was, I was pretty disappointing. I feel like any time they gave you Rocco back and a team total close to 30, you got to take advantage of that and cash that in. But it does feel good to cash a three star lock on a first half under and a game that had 80 something points in it, right? So that felt good there. Maryland. Oh, man, that was guys, we got to show back up and they did not. So might be doing Maryland, but maybe not. We'll see. We as a pot. I mean, you can go on on your own individual Maryland endeavors. We have our plans to be a total pot are been scrapped. Okay, because you know, like when you're a true Titan of industry, you've got to be willing to pivot, right? Pivoting is what you do when you have backed, backed losing weeks and you roar back with the seven and two. Let's go. Let's talk about it for your boy. The wins were Tennessee plus four and a half Florida first half team total over 14 and a half Oregon minus three. That was my three star Georgia minus 13 and a half. That was my lock fight when you mass team total over 26 and a half. Notre Dame Purdue over 57 and a half. You'll hear our work there in UTSA minus 13 and a half took a loss on the Liberty Coastal under 50 and a half. And if you were sweating that with me. Sorry, Alan was a that one was a tough one Thursday night last score with about a minute left in the game that was decided. It'd be like that sometimes. And then Indiana fourth quarter minus three and a half. Obviously they did not get the job done letting Northwestern back into the game all the way to the end. Seven and two for the week gets me closer to 500. But still with those three stars. A lot more work to be done one and three on my three stars. Danny five and three week for you. Love to see the wins on the board. Florida minus three Oregon USC over 61 and a half. LSU minus eight and a half. Never a doubt. Baylor minus nine and a half. A lot of doubt. Wisconsin Penn State under 45 were the winners. The loss was Tennessee first quarter plus one and a half. The lock fight loss on the Oklahoma plus 14 and then the Oklahoma Georgia under a decade. Congrats on the three star win. How are we feeling? Needed that one. It was a little dicey DJ lagway. Had a almost gave it up for us on that Colorado Baylor win. But one day I will notice. Point where you get your numbers matter. Because earlier in the week on the top 25 show on Iowa Michigan. I got under 39 and a half was a winner on this locks pod. It had come down to 38 and a half. That's where I thought it was and thanks to techs who found me live during the show last week was like I can get you 39. And I was like great. I'll thank you. It won't matter. And I will take a push every single time over a loss. So good job on techs who's running things. There are fines the best lines for us out there. So yeah, make sure you get the best number available if you can. Yeah, if you're betting it just one book on the Thursday. It's going to be tough. You need to use an odd screen and you need to actually be able to get down multiple spots. What does get down at multiple spots do like go to different places like parties. Right. Yes. Exactly. This spot might have to kill this spot might have better. If you know what you want that day, you got to go find it. You got to go find it. Text for Nelly. 74 week for you. The wins were Ole Miss Florida over 58 and a half. Texas A&M LSU under 52 Oregon USC over 61 and a half. Baylor minus nine and a half Mississippi State minus six. Virginia Tech Boston College under 47 and a half. Troy Utah State under 48 losses. Iowa team total under 16 and a half Michigan State plus six. Iowa State plus eight and a half and Tulsa plus seven and a half. I was a bigger victim of that last second touchdown of Iowa than Michigan was. I mean, if that hits, I mean, 74 is a good week but 83 with the three star lock. I am currently plus units if that hits. But you know what, we're going to get one of these three star locks one of these days. I promise. Hey, listen. Hey, listen. That was a good bet and you like you should fire that again. I should have been a five star. Like two of their three explosive plays were on tip balls. They had a kickoff return touchdown. That was a hell of a bet. Sounds like you're describing the wonderful wrinkles of college football. Yeah. Let's go, let's go. We got the guests last week producer pick gets back on the right side Oregon USC over. That gets them there the dentist. Three and oh week for the dentist. Caching the first half unders in both Ole Miss Florida and LSU Texas A&M plus a little Auburn first half minus six and a half. And we can see goes to and oh on the week with the Wyoming plus three and a half and Iowa plus five and a half. Well, let's get all that out of here. Let's get our eyes ahead to week five. Well, I ask you gentlemen. You all ready to lock it up? Yes sir. Since 2005 the under the games between services. It's 40 dash nine and one. Get me an over and this one as well. A little two for one special. I was sick of last week y'all were watching good games. I was live bed in hell at UL and my blue plate special five star locks are coming. Five star master lock lock it. I love these locks. I'm living and dying every point every couple. From the locking chair to your eyes and ears. We get started as always with our week night selections. A reminder that if you would like to catch the Saturday portion on CBS Sports HQ. They have been replaying this wonderful locks episode that you're watching live at youtube.com/cover3 on CBS Sports HQ. And I think it's in the 10 a.m. hour and it is the best way for you to be able to just like set the table. Even if you've watched this you know you would rather have that on the screen talking about these games. Then necessarily you know whatever else is out there. Then of course at 11 a.m. you want to switch it over to college football pregame over on CBS Sports HQ. Okay Thursday night the western Kentucky New Mexico state. Anyone got a lock. Not a lock. I'll probably play a little bit of a mexico state but definitely not a lock. Okay. Can I ask you is it a continued like a continued judgment of western Kentucky not matching preseason expectations or the numbers. That is correct. Yeah. They do not seem to have very many players on events who should be at this level. That's one way to put it. I sometimes I just say the number right. You know like you just it's very clear that this western Kentucky team has not lived up to expectations. So maybe a little New Mexico state from Bud no lock from me. Anybody out in the leans. Take that one out. All right. Let's move on to Friday. Oh yeah. Also Thursday night in North Texas Tulsa. Oh fun game. Fun game in the American. Given trade lamps strokes. I'm not I'm not locking it up but. At home too. I know. I'm just saying. You can you can get the golden hurricane as a as a slight dog you know plus 100 on the money line even in some places plus one and a half on the spread. And certainly to to be able to keep it down. This is a dangerous game for sleep right because this like this is a nine o'clock tip off. It's not a clock kick. It's like just decent enough to watch right like it's probably going to be close in a second half. They're going to score 90 points you know like not really but like it's it's possible. And then all of a sudden you look up and it's it's 130 in the morning like damn it like. I just I just got three hours. sleep on North Texas Tulsa like why I love this sport. Yeah. Exactly. You great call there. I did Friday night. We mentioned this one on big game breakdown. I'll say selfishly one of my favorite games of the entire week five slate. The quality of the teams, the intrigue of of coaches Virginia Tech against Pittsburgh will be in Lane Stadium, you know, on a Friday night big big spotlight there, three points in favor, maybe three and a half in favor of the Hokies total sitting around 54 and a half. Anybody got a lot? I do. Well, let's go. You first, bud. All right. And we will make this our cover three star lock of the week. Wow. We're going over 54 and a half. I think both these quarterbacks are really good. I do think that a grant buyer can solve for this our Newsy defense a little bit, hit some explosive plays. I think that pit will score on the Hokies as well. And if you look at this, both of these teams have played a game so far this year that has been like unpassible due to rain, right? Like you had pit UCF where they had to have like the drone camera or like the stationary cam broadcast, the majority of that ballgame. And in this past weekend, Boston College against the Hokies, the same thing. So I think they're scoring has been a little bit suppressed by weather. I made this 57 and a half. So I'd like to me that that's a really strong play to still be there this late in the week. So I'm going to go over. I like I'm taking pit plus three and a half. I just I think a lot of people are on that dude. Yeah. Yeah. I liked it more when it was at five, five and a half. It's good. But as long as it's still on this side of three, I will take it if I can get that up. So yeah, give me the panthers plus three and a half. I think it's going to be a very good game. I'm really looking forward to watching it. I think they're very evenly matched teams. And I do think that, you know, pit, I just, Hainchill has not played well in their two games so far against P 14, but one of those was a weather game. One of those was just a bad game. I do like what they have in offense. I think they're going to be able to make this kind of a track meet like you're looking forward to. And I think they'll be able to keep it close. Also, like, Q says a better D line than the Hokies do. Oh, I don't know, man. I think Q has got a couple guys who are going to play the league. Okay. We're about total defensive front, backers, variance, X better. I'm just saying like I think Hainchill is going to get time to throw the ball. Oh, Danny got it. I got I got to do so we haven't had many fights this year. And I mean, I'm going to insult it because maybe I'm the dummy over here. I'll go ahead and take Virginia Tech at home. And now, can I get three on this one? So potentially, you know, there's a lot better out there. There are two halves out there. Let's smash that two and a half. Fight. Fight. Fight. Smash that. Smash the fight button. And maybe we can middle this. Maybe we'll just get a three point game here. And then we both can be happy, which I do think it will be close. But you mentioned Mason, Hainchill being pretty comfortably hasn't played against good pressure. Now Virginia Tech had seven sacks last week. So the number's a little bit skewed. That was against old dominion. But I think crowd noise at lane first, you know, big home opener ACC game for Virginia Tech. I think people too might look at the Boston College game and say, well, and you can do the same thing with pit against UCF. I think both of these teams are way better. I think this is a top 25 matchup going to go toe to toe, which again, these teams both got screwed. But I think Virginia Tech gets it done at home. But it's like a heritage top 25 matchup because when I watch ESPN classic and I go see an old, you know, pit Virginia Tech game, you know what their rankings are 19 and 24. Like, that's, like, this was exactly. So yeah, sure, they are of the same quality of some of those teams that are currently in the ranking. So yeah, it's a good old fashioned, biggest weeknight throwdown. It's awesome. But wait, for those of you at home, minus three and a half plus one 30 is a better wager than a minus two and a half juiced. So like if you're, yeah, some of those are propping for sure. Oh my gosh, 14 minutes in. I hesitate to ask this, but what's the math on that? So like you got to figure out like based on the total, like how much is each half point worth? Right? Like I'd rather bet like minus 22 on is it because the totals higher that they're for it. Okay. Yeah. Those points are more valuable with a lower total. That's correct. Interesting. Learn something Thursday. Let's go. Okay. Also on Friday night, Liberty. We mentioned already earlier in the show. They're on the road to go and play Delaware and oh, oh, oh, Penn State closing at no, first new game. We've already close. Oh, first new game in the new building. Penn State, real and on the road against a Northwestern team that was risky. Any of any other Friday night locks? Yeah, I got him. Go ahead, bud. We're going to go Northwestern team total under 22 and a half. I think Northwestern kind of emptied the clip a little bit last week. It was that new stuff. It's been on film. Penn State can see it. I got no faith in Penn State's offense with with with with QB, but I do think that Matt Campbell will come ready to defend this Northwestern offense. I think it's a low scoring game also lean under, but do like the the Wildcat team total under slightly more. Danny, give me Northwestern home and open our new stadium. There are there are some concerning vibes in Penn State with the lack of losing to Wisconsin going through the tunnel, getting chewed out by your own fans. People already panicking of Matt Campbell is the guy or not. Don't forget Northwestern. What they did against Indiana. We all watched that was much closer than we thought. I think the Colorado game was really impressive. Like when you think about beating anybody at the power for level 41 to 7 is pretty impressive. David Braun. I think he's got this team believing they can win this game. And all you have to do is show him that Wisconsin did it last week and their own house. I think a child is playing really good. I thought a child outplayed Josh Hoover last week. I think he's the better quarterback in this match up. I think it will be a lower score on game two, but give me Northwestern. And I think Chip Kelly might have a few more tricks up his sleeve. I've been setting some things up to point out this place better for Bud than it does you, Danny, but Northwestern Tyda and Luke Danicky, who is their second leading receiver, is doubtful. He got banged up in that game against Indiana, right? Yeah, a couple great. Yeah. Tom, do you have a play here? I might later. Love to hear that. Anything else, anything else from Friday before we hit a break and then get to the Saturday site. Coming up on the other side, we turn our attention to week five Saturday with our very best bets and more. Next. Back here on the cover three podcast as our week five locks rose along and we turn our attention to Saturday's slate. Let's start with a couple of the headliners and in Starkville in the noon slate. We got Mississippi State, Camario Taylor playing host to Alabama, one of the games of the week in the Southeastern Conference. Alabama finds itself as road favorites about five and a half points, totals sitting around 60, 60 and a half. Who's got a lock? Go. Yeah. Alabama. What? Not all at once, guys. Oh, yeah. Alabama overs. I don't know, man. It might just be a system play at this point. I mean, it's just they, if I have respect for Camario Taylor's ability to compete in this game and give Mississippi State a fight and chance, if I'm going to try to imagine the kind of game that involves the cover, not being in doubt, but something that's going to have that kind of margin, it's going to be one that's going to be a little bit higher scoring. Alabama on the season has been a very profitable over team and while the over is technically two and two for Mississippi State, our over margin per game is I think top 15 in the country. So I think that this is one where I'm not going to overthink it or get too deep into the chip politics. I just see two awesome quarterbacks and two teams that have been apart of some high scoring affairs. So I'll take it at the best number I can get 60. 60. Yeah. I'll go. Alabama Mississippi State over 60. No, I'm not going to do it. It's not really lock level. What is it? We'll just tell us. I mean, I lean, Bam and I lean under. Yeah, but I don't think it's like, you know, a no doubt or I'll go, give me first half under 30 and a half. I mentioned the other day, the early start, 11 a.m. local. I always think they're a little bit sluggish, but I also think both these quarterbacks have kind of struggled in the first half. If you look at some of their games, whether it was Keelan Russell versus Kentucky or versus Florida State took him a little bit to get settled in. Camario, when he was at South Carolina, he got it off a little bit sluggish. You know, I think it takes these young quarterbacks a little bit time to settle into the game. And I think both defenses are going to have plans to really contain what they can do. I think the game could get loose later, but I think early, I think it'll be a little bit of a sluggish start. So I like first half under. Tom, any lean here? I lean Alabama minus five and a half if you can get it. Just take it and don't look back. Better team. Not like that, but I will. Yep. Yeah. the the it is it seems to be a Mississippi state upset is unlikely if it's low scoring that feels not the way that that script would play out. Is that the way that you would see it? I mean, I think Mississippi state would probably prefer it's more shoot-out-y, but I also have questions of whether Mississippi state could keep up with Alabama if it goes shoot-out-y. Might not have a choice, you know? No, they might they probably won't. Yeah, if the other team's out there scoring, you got to figure out ways to keep up. Okay, yes. We didn't need a little dental work here. Let's go. All right, I've been riding the Mississippi state train perfectly so far this season, but all good things must come to an end. Bothwell looked pretty banged up at the end of that Missouri game, and I think we'll see a little reality check here on Saturday. State would have covered this line exactly three times since the year 2000, and two of those were in 2006, 2007. Alabama, absolutely, which was, Bama's like really bad years. Alabama owns our absolute own state, and we have finally reached the state is too hyped to moment. I'm jumping off the bandwagon, Bama minus five and a half, tooth emoji, lock emoji. Also, he's taking UGA minus 14 and a half in the first half, we're ready. Okay, a little ledger curve. Let it be noted. Coming, coming for Barton's neck right there. Yeah, yeah, yeah, apologies to Barton, he said, but they're going to have something for Curtis, apparently. I mean, it's going to be really disappointing when he thinks that Barton's under the anesthesia and Barton's eyes pop open because he's stronger than anesthesia, grabs the dentist by the lab code. He says, you son of a, you know, that's, I'm just telling you, Dennis, this is what's coming to you. A lot of people in Tennessee proving to be too strong for anesthesia these days. Absolutely. Also, in the noon slate, down in Chapel Hill, we've got Notre Dame taken on the tar heels. Notre Dame heavy favorites here. Three whole American touchdowns, even with a hook in some places, over under around 47 and a half or so, who's got a luck? We first half under 24 and a half. I think that Notre Dame's, no, I think that North Carolina's defense can do enough to cause some resistance early. We do not have a lot of faith in this North Carolina offense, finding success. Maybe they are able to scheme some stuff open early in this game, which could make the first half certainly more of a sweat, but I do fear what would happen after half time when we're dealing with the total of 47 and a half if Notre Dame really breaks loose that they would get close to flirting with that themselves. You know, we are seeing Notre Dame's analysis is very much in flux right now, where we're waiting to see what they're going to look like against quality competition. I don't know where North Carolina has a whole stance, but their defensive line and the way that their defense has performed, I think is a good, a good test for this Notre Dame team. So this pick of first half under 24 and a half is looking at the North Carolina defense to get some stops early and then believe that the strongest, like the strongest unit for Notre Dame in my eyes is the defense. I think CJ Carr does a lot to elevate everybody else around him, which is a compliment to CJ Carr, but maybe that takes a little bit to get warmed up before the ball starts rolling downhill. So I'll take first half under 24 and a half in Chapel Hill. Don't hate the idea. Don't like the number. Yeah, that's yeah, I see what you're doing there for sure. The last time they faced Patrino, it was not good for Bobby's offense last year in Arkansas. Right. Anything else for for Notre Dame, North Carolina? Oh, sir. Curious what number would you like 27? I would love 21 and a half. What? I said first half under 24 and a half. Oh, I'm sorry. I don't know why I put 20 and a half. Yeah, first half under 24 and a half. So 21, 3, 21, 3 gets me. Cool. I like it now. I'm not gonna lock it up and take it. I was like, what would you be looking for 27? How are we getting to 27 on Notre Dame? I want, I'm looking for 25 and 5/8. That's right. Those are these are the spreads we only get on my third quarter and fourth quarter sick of that. That's the only place that that you're gonna be able to find something like that. Speaking of, the Ohio State Buckeyes stepping into that big time spotlight. As they travel to Phoenix Stadium to go take on the Iowa Hawkeyes, Danny Cannell, you are joining us as you prepare to go. You'll be on scene with our friend Chris Hassel for CBS Sports HQ. That's very exciting. Do you have a lock for us? I do. All right. Yeah. Let's go. You get first one. I will take the under. What's my number? What? Because I have this yesterday. Is it the first half or full game? No, full game. Best full game under is you want under 53 and a half for Iowa. Oh, I'm sorry. Give me that one. I see. Yes, yes, I do. Yes, please. I see. I've been a half. 45 and a half. Yeah. 53 and a half. 53. I'm about 45 and a half. So I think this is a little bit of protection. If, because we broke this game down yesterday, you guys seem to think that Ohio State could run away with it. I kind of like Iowa with the number at home. They're tough to beat at home. We talked about last year. I know that's a different team. But I do think under gives you a little bit of protection from the blowout because if it does get ugly and Ohio State does dominate, I think it could be 35 to seven, you know, something like that. But I don't, I don't know if Ohio State's going to go up there and like almost cover this themselves. But I do think Iowa, we've talked about it. They have an identity. Now it's becoming a verb. You got Iowa. We're just trying to see if Ohio State gets Iowaed or not. But I do think that Phil Parker will have a plan to contain Jeremiah Smith, what that looks like. It still could be two touchdowns as opposed to four. But I want to see some of those other pieces deliver. I want to see if they can make Julian saying uncomfortable. And I think Iowa can make this game interesting by keeping it lower scoring. You know what, Danny, you and I, we're five and one unlock agreements so far this year. You are. So it's too bad. We're fighting twice already because I'm going with the over. Fight, fight, fight. I mean, it's, it's a bit of a zag, I guess, but Ohio State's defense. I've been talking about it for the last two weeks now has not been great. Like they, they do look more vulnerable than they typically have, particularly on the defensive line where they're not getting great push. They're not doing a great job against the run. Now there's a ton of talent on that team and there's good coaching. So I do expect that as the season goes along, they'll get some things figured out. And hell, maybe they will this week on the flip side. I don't think Iowa's defense has been nearly as good as we typically expect from Iowa. They had some great performances to start the season, but Iowa State's offense has not exactly been lighting it up against anybody. Nor is Northern Illinois or I think it was Northern Iowa as the other team they bought. Not very good teams. But Michigan last week, I mentioned it was Bryce Underwood's best game of the season. They had two receivers go over a hundred yards. If you can't stop Andrew Martian, J.J. Buchanan, I don't know how you're going to stop Jeremiah Smith, especially with some of the injuries that I was dealing with in the secondary. So I do believe Iowa will be able to move the ball a little bit in this game. But even if they don't, how often do you get a total in an Ohio State game that's only 45 and a half? Give me the over. Yeah. Go and lay it in half with Ohio State minus seven and a half. I think they come out and smoke them. If you look at it like last week, I feel like Iowa is extremely lucky to hit any of their explosive plays and they had to kick off for turn. That's awesome. Good job. Not really something you can count on each week. I think Ohio State is very probably the number one team in the country or close to it. I don't really have Iowa in the top 25 as far as from a power rating standpoint. So I show an edge on Ohio State. I think they'll shut them down from the first snap and score enough. All right. Like that. Anything else? They're good. Then let's see, we got also in the 3 30 PM Eastern time slate. We got Florida, Hendikomo taken on the Missouri Tigers. Who's got a lock? Anybody else? Okay. Gator Dan. Gator Dan. Gator Dan. You know what you think about Gator Dan is? What's that? He has a pretty good feel for what's going on out there. You know, because I was a Tallahassee quarterback club and a couple of my buddies that listen to the show, they were heartbroken at this Gator Dan moniker. But you know what Gator Dan? Gator Dan just has a good feel for what the Gators are going to do. And you know what it is? It's time to sell some of your Gator stock. Give me Mizzou and the five and a half points at home. I think this is one of those ones where there are the overreaction plays and there's the how can this possibly be? Because I think some people are like Missouri. Why isn't this over a touchdown? Why aren't they a touchdown underdog? Missouri just lost to Mississippi State on the road. I think there is parity inside the SEC, including with the Florida Gators. I think this is going to be a tough tricky game for them. So gimme Missouri and the five and a half. Austin Simmons. I think can catch some big plays. Boy, they got to get off the field against Jaden ball, but Aaron Filo, another road game for him, another big test. Give me Missouri in the five and a half. You know what, Danny? You and I were five and one. We're five and one unlock, unlock agreements. Yeah. So let's make for a third freaking time. I'm taking Florida. Yeah. Yeah. We don't really need to go over Missouri's track record against these kind of games in the last two years, but it's not good. And I also I tweeted a stat earlier this week. I don't know if you guys saw it, but Missouri's average touchdown drive this season is 44 yards. They have 17 touchdown drives. Eleven of them have been 50 yards or fewer. Only three of them have been of more than 70 yards. So like I'm not a huge believer in the Florida defense. I do believe Austin Simmons and the miss and these receivers are going to be able to move the ball and put up some points in this game. They're not going to get blown out. I just haven't seen enough from this offense to think that they could keep up. And I don't think Missouri's defense is going to be able to do much to stop Florida. I don't think there are many defenses in the country that could do a whole lot to stop this Florida team right now, the way they're playing on offense. So yeah, Gators minus four and a half. Tom, what's it called in baseball? It's called the Mendoza line, right? Okay. Let me tell you about the Missouri line. Okay, because under Eli Drinkwitz, Eli Drinkwitz has still yet to get Missouri to a win against an SEC opponent that finishes with a winning record in SEC play. So what do you think Florida is? Do you think Florida is a team that finishes with a losing record in SEC play or a team that finishes with a winning record in SEC play? Because if it's a team that finishes with a losing record in SEC play, then yeah, man, this should be right there from Mendoza, Missouri. But if you think that Florida is going to be a team that finishes with a winning record in SEC play, then this like this could be a fun game and they still don't cover. Oh, speaking of cover, the Missouri Tigers are one and three against the spread and one hundred and ninth nationally in cover margin. They are missing their number by about 5.75 points per game. Yeah, Gator. I see ways that I could be as entertained as I want to be by this game. And Florida still comes through with a victory by touchdown. So I'm right there. I'm also taking Florida and laying these points. But to know why Missouri is going to win because I'm not just covered. They're going to win because then you get, then you justify their top 25 ranks that they stay in and then Florida can't drop out. So they got to keep as many top 25 teams as they can. No, they said they say bet the name, not the number. Okay. I'm not betting the number 25. I'm betting against the name at Missouri. It's a bit of a weird stat though, because like, if you're bad enough to lose to Missouri, how are you expected to finish with a winning record in the SEC? What do you mean? Like, if you're a team that's bad enough to actually lose to Missouri. So you finished with the losing record. That's what that's the way the stat is. He's Owen's 16. But I'm like, why can't he beat a team like what is it saying, but it's saying what's the cause and effect here is it right? Exactly. And Missouri is the most middle of the lot middle of the road team. Yeah. Right. Exactly. If the checks take the losses, right? Like we have to fill out a schedule. Oh, you're sending it as a shot at Missouri. Well, I'm like, I think the drink, which does a fine job there, think like expecting him to beat teams. So like one of your losses has to come to Missouri. And then you also have to like not lose more than two more in conference play is somewhat unrealistic. Gotcha. He's probably been a little bit unlucky too. Like eventually, you like, you kind of luck in and get somebody, but they also don't get upset a lot. The team they shouldn't lose to. Right. That's the other side of it. It is. I mean, does a Missouri. They beat the teams below them. They lose to the teams above them. And sometimes you're right, but it is lucky. George are fumbling through the back of the end zone a couple of years ago, right? In a game that Missouri absolutely had the dogs on the ropes. But you know, just just just the numbers that I see. Um, okay. Coming up on the other side, recapping the action that we've got on the board so far than opening up that book, the entire week five Saturday card, plus money lines. We go say more next back here on the cover three podcast. Let's review the locks that we've got on the board so far for week five, but is on pit Virginia Tech over 54 and a half. That is his three star lock Northwestern team total under 22 and a half in Ohio State first half minus seven and a half. I've got Alabama Mississippi State over 60 Notre Dame North Carolina first half under 24 and a half and Florida minus 4 and a half. Danny's got Virginia Tech minus 2 and a half Ohio State Iowa under 45 and a half Missouri plus 5 and a half. Alabama Mississippi State first half under 30 and a half Northwestern plus three and Tom's got pit plus 3 and a half Ohio State Iowa over 45 and a half and Florida minus 4 and a half and it looks even funnier to see that all of the picks Tom has so far are directly against Danny Canal. They are going to be a great week for text. I can tell you that much. They are five and one when they agree and they haven't agreed on a dagum thing. DK, I appreciate you coming, making time out of your your pre-flight accommodations. I mean, you could be in a sky club right now and you're here with us in the cover three tailgate. I appreciate that. I'll let you go with Jenny Del on the sky club, you know? I mean, the number of times, the number of times I've been on the same flight with her and just just said bye from the back of the plane. Car service. See ya. That's not true. That's not true. She lets Will sit at the front of the plane. That's right. Yeah, his legs are longer. She's going to work. Danny, go ahead. Take us where you want to go. Let me go. I've got a Hurricane Polo play. Couple of these in the slate this week with the remnants of the hurricane coming across the country. Give me Miami Clemson under 47 and a half. I don't even if it's nice weather, I think Clemson could struggle to score. When we talked about their offense, the woes that they've had, they have not figured out things by any means. I think Miami should be able to stop them. And then I do worry about Darren Mensa and the past game for Miami. I know they've been awesome. But if that ball is slippery, that could impact their explosiveness. Injury start to mount up. I think this is a lower scoring game. I'm going to take the under. I've got Danny. Oh, you and I are five and one unlock agreements this year. Let's make it six and one. I'm there. I'm also on the under here. I got bad news for you guys. Because Danny and I Danny and I are Oh and three when we agree. But maybe this is the key because. What's our unity record this year? Do we have one as a show? How many unies? No, we've only got the Oh and one on infinity. Okay. We just want to do the sweet spot right here. Yeah. Here we go. Hey, how about the Clemson past defense? Okay. I'm not going to throw you the stat packet research facts. That's just going to get shoved in my face. But here's what I want to talk about. Ashton Hampton is a player. I think it's going to go to the NFL. And do you know who else is in that defensive backfield right now? Transfer portal additions. So when we reheat all those microwave takes about that, but it's winning the transfer portal. Remember that there are key players playing key snaps on a Clemson defense that is about the only thing you're hanging your head on as a Clemson fan right now. And a lot of them came from the transfer portal. So if you want to criticize him for the quality of the roster and the quality of the high school recruiting as it started to take a dip and not supplementing that, that's true. I just don't want to be totally lazy. I think the past defense for the Clemson Tigers, even against competition, even against the competition, that at least seems to be the one thing that you can get excited about for the Tigers. You've got some nicks and bruises for Miami on both sides of the ball. Curious to see what kind of approach they want to take here. Big game dabbo. I mean, they get anywhere close to scoring. You know that's going to be a field goal attempt. I mean, a no way we're going forward on fourth from anywhere, you know, the plus 40 plus 30 plus 20 plus 10. So I think that this is a fits a lot of systems for me. And that's not even looking at the weather system. So right there with you, Tom, what do you see? Yeah, I mean, I just, I feel like this could be a situation where Miami completely blows the doors off of them and Clemson doesn't do anything. I was toying with the idea of just doing the Clemson team total under. I just didn't like any of the numbers that were available. So I went with the full game. I am scared that Miami could possibly do this on its own, but as you guys have touched on the weather and all this situation, I do feel like we'll depress the scoring in the game just a little bit. Yeah, that team total under will be a play, but not a lock for me. I would rather play that than full game under because I do worry that Reynolds is that bad that he could throw a lot of like turnovers to Miami and a good score. Very, very good point. All right, but you're, uh, where would you like to go? Let's go to a service academy game. Yes. New Eastern time, commander and chiefs trophy gets off and running, maybe an air force. What's your lack? Uh, well, I'm glad these folks are better at protecting our country than they are protecting the end zone because we are going over in a service academy game over 45 and a half Navy Air Force. I think both these defenses are cheeks. And I know they know each other I know like the pace is whatever, but I think they'll both hit explosive plays. We're going over You disgust me Fight Wow Like the okay Corral out here How you not only are you going against the principle of the service academy under but you are going to disrespect the troops and say that they can't defend this great country in our important end zones that is a whore. I can't as a as a Texan board and bread. I just can't stand for that Give me the under 46 and a half Hey hashtag since 2005. Let's see it all Saturday since 2005. Yeah, you'll know what it's like a Billion two and one. Yeah, 2005 We keep we don't even bother updating the the sounder just because it just keeps going up and up and up Love it. Um, all right, Tex Your play I'm very angry here today. You want me to take it? I got I'll just go up go I just need to calm down okay, I got you we need to do data center to hold them points, Tom Texas got you covered Um Dell is not messing around Dell is not messing around This group went one and eleven last year They went two in ten against the spread last year. It would be so easy to just sell it all Um ODU You mentioned that game a little bit earlier with the sacks They've kind of had a rough go of it the last couple of weeks you dealing with Virginia Tech and JMU and back-to-back you've got an offense That is very willing to throw it 30 yards down the field Not all that efficient I think the Panthers are run the ball pretty effectively I think that this is a group that the number has not caught up to the improvement that has happened year over year Give me Georgia state minus two and a half and I'll make it my three star lock against ODU. Let's go Lock agreement I don't have a single solo play yet on the board um, yeah, I just I don't I'm I'm with you. I don't think the markets caught on to what Georgia state has done And at first when you were talking Dell you meant Dell McGee. I thought we were talking about Jenny deal I thought you were about to play you mass again, but oh Damn, that's a good one I'm just reading right off my notepad is just like as I was standing through the whole board I saw that and I was like uh-oh and Dell is not mess like this is not If they are as if they are as improved as I think they are It went this game by a touchdown, you know, so yeah like I'm not gonna sit here and say Georgia states like good good But their sun belt good. They're much better than people realize All right All right, let's go ahead and I need a ruling is is this sicko mode if we go to Lincoln No, no, okay, but we're going anyway. Yeah This may not it's been I'll be a turtle podney longer It's still a turtle bet Maryland plus 15 Turtle soup off the mat all right like I this feels to me Like it's priced as if Maryland has quit and if so I think the line is fair But if Maryland has not quit, I can't get to this number So You know, I think like you're flipping coins if they quit and if they've not I think it's good value Max in the tailgate says it only would have been sicko if you were taking mat rule to cover this massive spread Against a big 10 opponent that that would actually be worthy admission into the infirmary if you care about like the whole sandwich spot stuff Right like the brass kid just coming off a big conference. We're gonna road win who comes to town next week I believe that would be Indiana right so Yeah, maybe little little look ahead sandwich spot I don't really like handicap on that but like narrative street if you want to like a reason to feel good about it and take it I do not have a play there, but I can kind of stay a little bit adjacent to that thematically Um, at least in terms of the quality competition and the conference Uh, Wisconsin's defense has been getting better each week Obviously Notre Dame Went out there and put them on put it on them early, but if you're to just sort of track the performance It seems like Luke fickle's group on the defensive side of the ball. They are Continuing to improve on it. It's a shocker. I was having this conversation this week with somebody's like you know Teams can get better Whoa, you know with these these mercenary teams with all these transfer portal additions and you don't always know what you've got You get out there. You can get better. I think Wisconsin's defense is getting better I think Michigan State's offense is getting worse as came Edwards as we mentioned in the reaction pod is now out for the year I'm gonna lock up Michigan State team total under 16 and a half Yeah My only concern there Is the Colton Joseph of it all that he leads to easy points for spartan Fair, I mean the whoopsie daisy rate is worth concern Um, but I I'm not looking for hangover let down. I think that Michigan State is a good opponent for Wisconsin to make this a little bit more of a stacking success type week for the badgers Okay, let's see um, do we go Danny's got to get going here soon I gotta go to you so I got a couple plays in the state of Arizona Hold on for my three star lock Give me ASU landed against Baylor um ASU had a little longer break coming back from London I think they settle down. I'm still not convinced DJ lagway is the answer for Baylor A couple interceptions almost cost them the cover for us in the right way I need to get hurt him here against Arizona state The other Arizona I play I have Cincinnati is 4-0 this year Cincinnati is 4-0 They came back down 28-7 versus Miami of Ohio they came back down 10 nothing versus Kansas State They will not come back after being down to Arizona whatever the score is Uh, no if it is still really good um Cincinnati's been running the football pretty well But they haven't placed a defense face to defense like Arizona has pretty strong against the run last year and this year included So I will lay do I have a full touchdown? Can I get there's no six and a half? There's plenty six and a half Perfect even better. I'll lay it a six and a half And then I got one more and I'll text you got. I'll email you guys my uh sprinkles one more This reminds me of last week's LSU versus Texan M game LSU lost to Ole Miss then they came back kind of reasserted themselves against the team that was a good brand But overrated Give me USC as long as this is under 10. It's not it's think it's still nine and a half, right? Nine and a half. Yeah. Yeah. You USC. I will lay nine and a half against Washington I think this is USC's bounce back game. I think Washington is reeling somewhat trying to figure things out offensively That could be just what USC's defense needs Still trust Jade Mayava. Uh, I think Lincoln Rally needs to get back on track with his fan base I think they could even run it up if they can so I like USC. I'll lay the points there Another lock agreement between me and Danny. Oh you taking Trojans Yeah Little bit of fate Washington. I think it's I think it's a fade Washington But it's also a the reaction to USC losing to Oregon might be a little too dramatic like I still like okay USC can't beat Oregon. I still think it could handle. Oh, oh, oh, oh, yeah. Yeah. I just yeah Because I mean this Washington offense is just It's been sad so long and it's not like they've been playing a list of juggernauts No, and it's there's not an answer We're not waiting on somebody to get healthy. I mean correct me if I'm wrong on that one We're just There's not not it at all Uh, okay. See you boys. I see it. Yeah. I see that car moving. Please get off Do not create a public evidence We don't need our ease to move in it, huh? What if he's not the one moving it? Just the hey, uh, sure. All right, what would you like we're trying to go on this uh next Let's go to Minneapolis We are we we we had Minnesota last week. Uh, we're gonna go ahead and fade the gopers though this week We're gonna go ahead and take Michigan and lay what I got five here Five in a is there five out there. Let me see. Uh, let's hold on I see five and a half. I don't know like there's a five. Yep. All right. Uh, we'll go ahead and lay it I just I think Michigan looked much improved on offense again like like don't take my word for it Connolly had them as a 93% Uh, when expect and see in that game. So those were like one of the most flukish losses of the season. So um Kind of you know playing more to the expectation both with my Ohio State pick and my Michigan pick here uh, based off last week results and I I think Like credit to Minnesota for going on the road and taking care of business but Washington looks awful. So go ahead and lay the number touchdown. - Lock agreement. Again, another play that I have on my cut. Like, I don't have a single solo play yet. - I just, yeah, I think Michigan's good. I think Michigan is much better than the loss last week indicates, and I think that Minnesota's win was great, but I think it said far more about Washington than it did Minnesota. - And by far the best defense Minnesota has played. - Yes, I think that Michigan can take away what Minnesota's good at and force them to do what they're not good at. And I don't know if Minnesota can do that consistently enough. - Michigan's the better team, they gotta go, they gotta go prove it away from Ann Arbor with this staff, right? - Yeah. - Okay, that's the only need to see, but I do think that they are the better football team so far. Haven't heard from the producers yet, Tafty, you wanna go ahead and get that producer pit going? - It's time for the producer to pick. - Oh, yeah. - Let's go. Come on. - Like that cover three tailgate hat too. - Shout out the cover three tailgate. It's been firing today on the lox pod. Let's go to Fort Worth, where the number is not high enough. I'll take BYU minus six and a half. The Cougars have been early season merchant's going back to 2024. They are 19 and 0 in games play between August and October. Kind of reminds me of Tom Mizo and March Stat. How about BYU in the early season? They're three and 0 this year against the spread. They've covered in eight straight games going back to last year when Bearbock Meyer starts averaging 39 points per game. And they're coming off a buy, whereas last week TCU was throwing picks in Orlando in that lost to UCF. And then we looked back at this game last year, 44, 13 in Provo, BYU won and covered. It was one of Bock Meyer's best games. Give me the Cougs minus six and a half. - Fight. - Yeah. - Oh, all right, fight, fight, fight. - I don't think TCU's run defense is terror. And I don't trust BYU to drop back and pass in obvious passing situations. Like I think both will play a slow tempo game. So six and a half points to me is a decent bit here. - And that's nine. - Six and a half for seven. - I found that a seven. - Let's go. - You found BYU at TCU plus seven. And was that stat for until October 1st? It does account all of October. - Through October. - Through October. - Yeah, August through October. Shout out the CBS Sports Research team. I feel much worse about this pick now. - Thank you, bud. - I don't hate BYU. BYU is basically just like Iowa, the mountain region, except they play a much easier schedule than Iowa does. - My lock for this one is very tied to the way that blood just broke it down. I think TCU's run defense is pretty good. I also think that TCU's offense is a big time struggle. And I think that if we get any kind of conditions in the Metroplex area, this game could be a little bit slow. Both teams are playing slow. This could be slow. This could be sloppy. I'm gonna be going under. Was it 47 and a half? - Yep. - Yep. - Yeah, I'll go under 47 and a half for this one. - Lock a grip. - You just. (laughing) - And not only wow. Listen, I don't know how I'm gonna make this doc organized. 'Cause I don't have, oh, anyway, yeah. Not only is this a lock agreement, it's my three star lock of the week. - Let's go. - Under 47 and a half. I just, yeah, I don't trust either one of these offenses all that much in this game. - Well, I mean, you got four rockets. - If we're gonna three star lock this up, I've got better odds pulled up and we got 48's on the board. So why don't you guys take a 48's, go. - Well, take a 48, are you kidding me? - Yeah. - Are you kidding me? Okay, there you go. We get-- - Depending where plays do you have? Go Philly's tough. - No, no, no, no, no, no. Good brace. - I've got, I know two that I want to get in, but potentially maybe like five more that I haven't got to yet. - Hopefully I could fit you in those two spots. - I bet no one's gonna have this one. What's the best number I'm gonna get on the Wake Stanford total? I don't think anyone's got this. - What do you want over under? - Over. - We have 53 and a half. - 53 and a half, yeah, it's going to be 54 or so. - I will take the Wake Stanford over again. I mentioned this after watching after the show, the way that they roared back against Georgia Tech, the Davis War and compliments that we've been offering for a couple of weeks now still stand. I think that against a Wake Forest defense, there are a couple of names on Wake Forest's availability report that at least were worth monitoring on the defensive side of the ball. Defense obviously did a good job of being able to step up and create some problems against Louisville to help lead them to that win. And then on the other side, Geo Lopez, Carlos Hernandez, I mean, they are just, that Robbie Zell's offense is absolutely buzzing for the Deeks right now. So it might be a little bit of a tough start for the Cardinal as they were late on week four and then coming over here and playing out here at a legacy stadium in Winston-Salem. But I think that over the course of 60 minutes, Stanford would be able to get theirs and Wake, we'll be able to find some holes in the Stanford defense. So I will go with the over Wake Stanford. - I may have something for you later on that. - Dude, if the CART, if the trees come-- - They go on the road and-- - But when's the stadium-- - And when that game? - Oh, godly. All right, bud, where would you like to go? - I'm tapped. - You're done? - Yeah. - Yeah. - Tom-- - I've got two left. - Okay. I will go to Champaign, Illinois. It is homecoming. I don't know if you guys heard the news. I may have mentioned it at a time or two. Illinois is so bad on defense that they decided to fire their new defensive coordinator who they brought in to implement a new system and had a new staff brought with them. They didn't just fire them after four games. They didn't wait to the end of the season. They didn't even wait for a buy. They did it between games when they have six days to prepare for a big ton of opponent at home. And I just don't think that doing so will fix anything. I think the defense is a mess. I think the defense will be a mess for the rest of the season. And I think this defense is gonna give up plenty of points to a Purdue team that has been pretty feisty on offense when they're not facing an elite defense like Notre Dame. I also think that Illinois's offense is very good. And it is facing a Purdue defense. It has actually been worse than Illinois somehow. It's hard to do what Purdue has figured out a way. I can't remember what it is off the top of my head, but I think their explosive play rate allowed is at like 18%. It's not great. Over 61 and a half. There's gonna be a whole hell of a lot of points scored in the campaign on Saturday boys. Purdue overs just a system that you're not gonna hear any protests from me on that one. That's, that's right there. I buds tapped. I'm gonna go. It won't be windy because we're in a dome. But I do think the game finishes low scoring. I'm gonna go North Dakota State Wyoming under 45 and a half. Wyoming does not pose a great threat in my opinion. Offensively against the North Dakota State's defense. North Dakota State, I think that they've signaled they want to be mean and they want to run that football. I just, I could, I looked at the Wyoming team total under as another way to potentially attack this. But ultimately, I think full game is gonna give me a little bit more wiggle room in terms of different ways to win. So I'll go North Dakota State Wyoming under 45, 45 and a half. - 45 and a half. - 45 and a half of the AC could be windy, says Max. Point of order, the 16 and a half are gone. I've now taken Purdue Illinois over 61 and a half. I don't care. There's gonna be 70. It doesn't really matter. - Okay. - Okay, oh, we've got left. - You've got one play left? - Yeah. - Okay, well we do, I just got the word from the Bouncer. I think that you want to, you end up-- - Let's go. - Okay, let's go ahead and get it. 'Cause if we finally, if we're gonna tip the Bouncer, we might as well be able to-- (upbeat music) (laughing) (laughing) - That is a pretty great entrance. - Yeah, I think they're still boys. - I think they're still kidsy. How you doing? - You know, two in a week, so we're really feeling good. I have accidentally gone to war with ACC Twitter, though, calling the Pit for Ginny Tech game a potential playoff eliminator. So I'm staying off that side of Twitter right now. - Tantial. - It's war out there, but I've been called every name under the sun for that take. Does anyone disagree with that? - No. - I disagree with using the word potential. It's absolutely a playoff. - Okay, thank you. Thank you. Sometimes you let the trolls get to you a little bit and then you realize, no, no, this is the correct take. - You gotta embrace them. Like there will be no rank to be on your schedule if you can't, for the loser. I think they're averaging a strength of schedule of 120 right now between the two teams. Yeah. Yeah. Anyway, over to the games that matter, cow, UNLV office. Yeah. Let's go. Game of the century. What they're saying, Tom, listen, we're just going to take cow plus the two and a half on the road here. Not a great record, but the underlying metrics like Clemson, they beat themselves, stats first, UNLV, relative weren't awful. They've at least won on the road against Syracuse. And then UNLV, I mean, there's nothing impressive going on. The last time they were at home, they played Memphis and they lost. I think it was August 29th, it was like nothing about UNLV has been impressive. I've been fading them in multiple different ways all through the season. And I think cow, the record is making it look worse than it is than the football actually is. Then we're going to Hawaii. And typically, I'm just feeling, oh, I, because they're in the States, but now the boys are back on the islands. And now we're fading San Jose State, who just is not an awesome football team right now. I think they beat their FCS opponent by like 10 when they're like 20 point favorites. Just been ugly football here. I like the Warriors at home plus 13 point differential at home versus minus 10 on the road. Only allowed 20 points per game at home versus like 30 on the road. The home and road split. I just like whatever version, I'm either going to fade them in the States or I'm going to back them at home. That's going to keep riding the train. Haley Sutton is going to be at cow UNLV. Oh, my God. Yeah. Check out for a little, a little sideline action from our friend. They're over on CBS Sports Network that, of course, a 330 PM Eastern time kick off from a legion stadium in Las Vegas. How do you feel Mackenzie not just going to an O, but also winning a fight in the club against against Bud Elliott that it puts them wind underneath your wings this week? Yeah, it's always a boost, but it's a long season. You know, got to, got to keep it, got to keep it 100 humbled by losing a bet and having to wear a Florida Gator shirt on, on Premiere NFL coverage. Correct. Correct. That was bad. That hurt more than the chicken hearts that I had to eat. What the hell was Bonser Taft even doing during that fight? Like he didn't even break it up. He just sat there and walked. Yeah. Keep it all in me, Tom. I think my fights were a habit. Shout out Taft. I'm really just putting this show on his back, but you strike it over in Santa Rene. I think we should make Taft, Taft wear a GoPro and be an actual Bonser in a bar for a night, like that would be. I tried that in Athens, it didn't go so well. And by the way, Tex, you are banned from the club for the next two weeks because of all the fights you've been thrown out this week. Tex doesn't go to the club. Yeah. He's more of a loud. It's so loud. Yeah. Yeah. It feels like a speakeasy. Yeah, exactly. Well, that's awesome. Where are the people going to find you this week, Mackenzie? This week, I'll be in New York City Sunday, 10 to 12, and then a little bit 12 to 1 next week. We're potentially going to Kansas City, but that was with the thought that the chargers were a good football team, so we might not be doing that anymore. I might be in Vegas. Let's go. We'll see. We'll see. We'll hear it. Mackenzie Brooks. It club cans. Always good to check in. Salute. Have a good weekend. Man. Excellent. Good. Great intro. Level enough. That's good. That's great. Yeah. All right. Tex, you got one more. Yes, I do. It's a big game and other huge, huge, huge battle here. Louisville NC State. No, no, no, no. No, I'm going to stay. Virginia. Virginia State. I am so interested in watching Louisville NC State. I believe that is this week's anxiety bowl, but I don't want to make a single play on it. I will make a play on the under 48 and a half in Temple, South Florida. Just don't feel like that's going to be a high scoring game. My number say that's a little too high as long as it's over 45. It's green light go for me. Monitoring. I'll just go ahead and throw this out there. But USF has had very strong second halves this season. Their third quarter margin and their second half margin, very good. Where was Brian Heartline before he showed up at South Florida? Oh, the best third quarter program in the dagum country, monitoring, okay? Sample size is too small, but Heartline might have brought in a little bit of the buck guys with him down to Tampa, no Tennessee Auburn thoughts. Leane, like altunders, if you're into that kind of thing because they both teams see this offense in practice quite a bit. You have quarterbacks that I'm fairly high on Brandon long term, but right now his time to throw was like 3.4 seconds and his eyes came down a lot, didn't see some open guys, and I think we know what Bayern Brown is. I think it's an interesting like alt under game with the way it could play out. No Texas fan wants to hear this, but when I started when I started sort of uncovering some well actually about their school record of sex, you're like, oh yeah, okay. That's weird that a true freshman playing in that setting might not have his timing down, correct? But I don't know if Auburn can expose that. That's something that I think is interesting to follow, no official play for me either. A couple other just headline games, Indiana Rutgers, no thoughts? I almost laid Indiana here. I think Hoover is a little more high variance of a passer that meant like clearly he's not as good of a passer. I do think like his approach is going to be a little bit less even week to week. He goes for the home run ball a lot. So I think at least some more strikeouts, you know, like I do think there's a chance in Indiana like just kills them, which obviously that's black to the number you're a 22 or 23 point conference road favorite. But I almost made it in Indiana lock, yeah. I'm using factoids for this game, nothing to lock up, but like currently Indiana, you know, they're defending national champions. They have 120 straight games, which since 1980 is the third longest winning streak in the big 10 behind Ohio State's 24 and Ohio State's 23. So that's the, that is the stratosphere Indiana is currently residing in. Fun fact, Indiana enters this game without a three game losing streak against Rutgers. So can they, they've won a national title, but can they beat Rutgers? We'll find out also owe and four against the spread. Yeah. I know a little bit of a little fraudulent there and fraud alert is that your saying chip? No, I'm just saying they ain't no damn wagon wheels anywhere in the vicinity of the state of Indiana. These days, they do have internet, but I don't know if they got wagon wheels right now. We got to, we got to monitor that. And then last one, you mentioned anxiety, bowl, I have a, are the vibes horrendous for Texas A&M Arkansas? You better beat the shit out of Arkansas. I'd say you better, you better, don't, don't go give us, here's the thing is in apologies to Broncos, big bad boys, but like don't give us what Washington did against Utah state, right? Because that was like signal and noise. That told us what they were, Texas A&M, you got a chance to be able to flip this back. Okay. Coming up on the other side, a recap of our week, five locks, Money Line Sprinkles, and more. Next. Back here on the cover three podcast and cover three is proudly sponsored by Homefield, the industry leader in top notch vintage collegiate apparel. It's made by and for true college football fans. Homefield makes the most premium apparel on earth. So say goodbye to all those low effort lazy designs and all that cheap quality. They just falls apart after a couple washes because our friends at Homefield, they design and research everything. They design and research the fit and the fabrics. They also design and research the vintage logos to make it make stand out gear that defines your game day. Now Homefield just launched their can't miss kickoff line this August to style your game day. But can't miss kickoff. Nah. It ain't over yet. They are touring around the country. 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Well, let's check out those week five locks that are on the board, but is locking up pit Virginia Tech over 54 and a half North Western team total under 22 and a half Ohio State first half minus seven and a half Maryland plus 15 Navy Air Force over 45 and a half TCU plus seven and me, she can minus five I've got Miami Clemson under 148 Alabama Mississippi State over 60 Notre Dame North Carolina first half under 24 and a half Florida minus 4 and a half Michigan State team total under 16 and a half Georgia State minus 2 and a half Stanford Wake Forest over 53 and a half North Dakota State Wyoming under 45 and a half BYU TCU under 48 Danny's got Miami Clemson under 48 Virginia Tech minus 2 and a half Ohio State Iowa under 45 and a half Missouri plus 5 and a half Alabama Mississippi State first half under 30 and a half Northwestern minus plus 3 Arizona State minus 4 USC minus 9 and a half and Arizona minus 6 and a half and Text for Naley is got Miami Clemson under 48 hit plus 3 and a half Ohio State Iowa over 45 and a half Florida minus 4 and a half Navy Air Force under 6 6 and a half yeah under 46 and a half Georgia State minus 2 and a half Michigan minus 5 USC minus 9 and a half BYU TCU under 48 Purdue Illinois over 61 and a half and temple USF under 48 and a half Yes, did I get a darker shade of gold because my three sharers have been winning everybody else got like golden rod and I got like actual gold Yes, yeah, you know what sure. Yeah, it's still it's still there until as long as you're undefeated and you're You you get the what's the code the codex or whatever the Yeah, you get zero one four five five six five four and you had the rest of us are just left with six five Oh, the hex code hex code. Yeah, okay. Yeah, that's that's what you get right there. Uh, and now it's time for money line sprinkles All right, let's look back at last week sprinkles, bud Cash in that Minnesota plus 316 out at Washington. I was also on Minnesota plus 316 Nothing for Danny as he had Western Michigan Tennessee Maryland and Michigan state and stand for getting it done against Georgia Tech for Tom That leaves us with chip up 0.76 units, bud down 1.73 Danny and Tom a little bit further back, but I'll go ahead and Get up. I mean, I know how much could go out and take this It it can't get worse, right? Hell yeah, it can get worse hogs What's the best price on Arkansas to just go out there and win the game on? Wow. Oh, oh, shoot I was on the baseball tab give me a second here plus 500. Yeah, okay It can't get 5.06 chip. Let's go there. Yeah, it can't get worse. I mean no way it could worse hell Yeah, I could get worse Washington Huskies get up off the mat and beat USC in the Coliseum Let's go Washington Husk. That's price 325 and then the last one is jumping on the other side Of Danny's play here I I do not think Cincinnati is awesome But I do think that their game against Arizona is a bit more of a coin flip than this suggests Cincinnati's got a pretty good offensive line since an ad he's got a decent chance to be able to get this thing going Could could be tough stop and know if a feeder like I'm acknowledging that But this Arizona defense is not world beaters to my eyes So I think Cincinnati could potentially get it done. So hogs Huskies and bear cats With the sea. Oh my as my three Three money line sprinkles. All right, bud. What you got? All right, we'll start small. We're gonna take Cal plus 120 At you and LV. I just can't quit them San Diego State will handshake little handshake truce with with club cans. Yeah, I think so. I think so All right, uh, San Diego State plus 270 little bounce back opportunity there with the mumps See we'll see All right Sprinkles my lovely lady at mumps sprinkles. They need medication and quarantine We're gonna go rice plus 400 getting UTSA away from the dome Yeah, yeah, obviously. Yeah, but um give me coastal plus 127 I think there's there's a shot there high variance team very high variance team All right, give me bowling green plus 475 against Miami Ohio. Oh, disgusting Yeah, I don't care. It's time to sickle mode. Let's go I'm a little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the sun belt if things go wrong They could be like you ask you come that's kind of like sickle mode of a sickle mode Give me Stanford plus 456 to go into wait and get the dub Why not? I mean we got you know All right, he's sneezed. He's not sprinkling. He's sneezing. That's how sick these sprinkles are It gets sicker um Give me Maryland plus 547. Oh I feel like I have the mumps turtle boy and the last one Give me metal Tennessee plus the thousand at Kansas. I just I don't think Kansas should should be that that big of favor against anybody Here is what's very funny quarterback can score for both teams Reddable. Yeah, you were talking about Kansas as Isaiah Marshall I'm gonna turn your attention to Derek Mason who might have just gotten the job because of his real estate portfolio depending on the area If he ends on who you listen, but Derek Mason's feeling himself I haven't said this in a couple. He's out here talking smack taking conference USA fines. He don't give a damn And we haven't seen Derek mate. I he doesn't talk like that If the team is all booty, right? Yeah Hmm, let's see I'm on middle go get it Um, all right, let's review the oh, uh, what are Danny sprinkles? He texted what are mine? Oh, top. What are your chips? Chip chip my sprinkled record is so bad chips trying to save me from myself No, I post it anymore. Tom Tom. I was sprinkled a year, man Tom. I was legitimately disoriented by both the amount and the quality of those sprinkles from bud that I just Totally lost the plot Okay, Tom my phone I apologize Danny Danny's going with Minnesota plus 199 to beat Michigan He's also on cow plus 120 with bud and you guys are gonna be shocked to learn this But dandy's on Florida State plus 125 against Virginia My sprinkles I hinted at it a little bit earlier. I've taken on Friday night in their new stadium Give me north western plus 130 against Penn State Another Friday night dog give me pit plus 140 against Virginia Tech And then you know bud and I are at war navy and air force over versus under I'm also taking navy plus 144 because I don't trust air force nearly enough to just Think they're gonna win that game And then it brings me absolutely no pleasure to do this Purdue plus 320 I just damn they're down bad I cannot trust Illinois's defense to let the line I pull away in this game I expect it will be close in the fourth quarter and if it's like like a one-score game at the beginning of the fourth quarter And I'm able to get plus 320 how can you not? I will say the last time I fired six or more sprinkles in a show I won 12 units and went five and one so Maybe we're do maybe we're do nobody's pushing back. I feel like I've gotten so many of these like the final drive and just I'm listen. This is this this could be something special. We'll see. I I did Chuckle the tailgate said that you locking up middle Tennessee is the most promosary thing you've done all season So At least at least they're with you there. So that's a that's a great thing All right real quick, but again his sprinkles are cow San Diego state rice coastal bowling green stand for Maryland and middle Tennessee I'm sprinkling Arkansas Washington since and thatty Danny has got Minnesota Florida state and cow and Thomas sprinkle and pit north western navy and Purdue we are going to be back with you on saturday night Again, usually around 11 30 p.m. Eastern time the best bet for you two things number one Subscribe youtube.com slash cover three hit the bell to turn on the notifications so that you'll get the alert As soon as we go live usually we're trying to base it as quickly as we can at the conclusion of you know one of those last big games Our late night slate will have Miami Clemson BYU TCU USC Washington will be will make a fair judgment there that could be I don't know could be Early maybe I don't know we'll let the football tell us But you can come and join us live. Let's say around 11 30 p.m. Eastern time to recap all the biggest action of the day And you can follow him on twitter at time for know you can follow him at blood only three you can follow me at T.F. Unscore Patterson gentlemen. Thank you very much Get long little doggy Saturday October 3rd on Paramount plus oh my goodness Two rising UFC stars take center stage inside the octagon What a fight what a night Natalia Silva. She is an absolute killer versus Wong-Tong Defies the playbook in the first female championship main event in more than three years Wow the queen as a word the women's UFC flyweight title Saturday October 3rd at 8 on Paramount plus With no more pay-per-view.