WEEK 10 LOCKS 🔒 Best Bets, Against The Spread Picks, Moneyline Sprinkles & More! | Cover 3

One of America's top true crime podcasts 48 hours is back with a new season. Join us every Monday for a new episode and Tuesdays for a deep dive into that episode with post-mortem. He said, quote, "If they're gonna die, I'm gonna see them die." Plus, hear episodes from the 48 hours archive Wednesdays and Thursdays. Follow and listen to 48 hours wherever you get your podcasts and subscribe to 48 hours plus on Apple Podcasts or add free listening. Welcome back to The Cover 3 Podcast with your host, Chip Patterson, Tom Fernelli, Danny Kennell, and Bob Elliott. It's your call for the best college football coverage from National Signing Day to the National Championship and everything in between. CBS Sports presents The Cover 3 Podcast. And welcome back to The Cover 3 Podcast, here on CBS Sports, Desk Tom Fernelli, Desk Danny Kennell, Desk Bud Elliott. I'm Chip Patterson, coming to you live at youtube.com/cover3 and everywhere you get your podcasts on them, man. Thanks for hanging out. Smash that subscribe, smash that like and come and join us in that chat. Hey, hey, the Cover 3 tailgate where they are dropping their likes, and I hope they are getting up those likes, drop your likes, we'll get the likes up. We will get it rolling. We're fired up because it is a Thursday 11 a.m. Eastern time. Let us waste no time with the loaded week 10 slate to take a look back at the week that was quickly. I, but it was a six and four week for you. The winds included FAU plus 14 and a half Minnesota plus 21 UNC plus 14 and a half per new Penn State under 55 and see state minus six and a half Baylor first half pick on then the losses Florida state minus five and a half Ohio State minus six and a half the old dominion plus three and Boston college plus seven and a half thoughts on week nine. None of the losses were close except good God. If you guys have not looked that old Don box score. That was painful go go go deep dive that thing that we like time today for it, but like good lord happy hitting another three star guess and we'll take six and four and every can 43 and 43 for the season so far through nine weeks five and four week for me. Finally being able to come through with a with a three star those things have been very elusive that would be pit minus seven and a half also came through with the first half under in Florida Georgia at 28 and a half also Oklahoma State team total over 34 and a half also Louisville team total over 41 and a half and UCLA team total under 33 and a half took a took a frustrating loss on that North Carolina first quarter team total over Ohio State minus six and a half Arizona Texas Tech under 55 and the Boston College Duke that one was a real kick real kick to the shins actually I don't even think like growing would actually be more classy than than having to lose 47 to two as your final on an under 48 and a half five and four though for the week 44 and 38 for the season that DK four and six for you the winds were Florida Georgia first half under 28 and a half the Minnesota Indiana under 42 and a half north Carolina plus 14 and a half Syracuse didn't even need the points plus 10 and a half for the window Florida State comes through as a loss Arizona plus three and a half since he plus seven Purdue plus nine and a half Notre Dame minus 30 and a half and then the under 45 and a half in Michigan Rutgers what were the big takeaways from week nine DK the takeaways I'm doing so bad as I have this cheap internet connection and camera setup that makes me come in look like I'm in you know just from another planet I see that in the chat I don't know what's going on my three star locks are starting to piss me off the Rutgers Michigan one was so close and I thought for sure I was going to get like the 24 21 game and then Michigan scored the touchdown to put it over that piss me off but these three star locks are just the death of me hey listen if if we did not count three star locks at all I ran it today we would have been as a group 177 and 167 51.5% we're pushing money around no matter what we can have three stars we can have two stars it's it's it's it's all been our for recreation so far this season but we can change that here Tom your week nine five and six the winds were the under 51 and a half in Ohio State USC Mississippi State Team total under 14 and a half just an ATM for you wake minus 12 and a half the Illinois Maryland under 54 and a half Georgia Southern minus five the losses you're in there on Florida State hate to see Latifa go down like that and Mike Norville I guess Florida plus 12 and a half Arizona Texas Tech under 55 Oklahoma State plus minus eight and a half the Colorado State Utah State over 63 and a half and the Rutgers team total under 14 and a half what we see what are we taking away the winds were easy so were the losses just none of them felt you know undeserved it's just yeah just one of those weeks I'll have I'm happy I hit my three star thank you to Mississippi State for helping keep me positive on the week yet five and six on the week 48 and 45 for the season well we're putting that behind us we're taking our eyes ahead because the week is loaded so I ask you gentlemen y'all ready to lock it up yes sir do it since 2005 the under the games between services is 46 nine and one give me an over and this one as well little two for one special I was sick I last week y'all were watching the good games I was live betting a hill at a UL in my blue plate special five star locks are coming five star master lock lock it I'm I'm I'm living and dying every point every couple from the locking chair to your eyes and ears we begin as always with Thursday night action anybody get in on Sacramento State last night the heroic you know heroic cover even though they ended up losing the lead for the outright win against Toledo Mike Jacobs doing a true just terrific terrific Jason Candle tribute right there okay let's go UTSA FA U on Thursday night also have J M U and Southern miss so a little action and a little Sun belt to TV anybody what do we think it what do we think in any Thursday no I I thought about a little bit FA U seven and a half but it's it's too used okay let me interest you in a little FA U team total over 32 and a half I think that as we get UTSA away from the dome obviously comes with a objective change in the way the own accounts able to throw the ball he's turns the ball over more he's completion percentage goes down they are not as effective we have a total on this game has a lot of FA U games have gone of 72 and a half you mentioned you might have liked a little FA U seven and a half but you're going to stay back it's because you're imagining FA U's going to be competitive I think if you're imagining that FA U should be competitive they're going to be able to score points so this was away for me to be able to find the thing that I liked the most about this I will go owls I do think they are frisky live dog potentially for the upset but if I think that's the case they've got a score points so because I ain't stopping I'll go FA U team total over 32 and a half for my lock I got so much I I kind of wanted to touch the over but I'm not going to because I have so much on the card or should I I mean last week it went to 85 and it was like last week I think it was 74 something like that and then it was seven three and the first quarter like oh this thing's going to go way under now what did it all yeah I'm going to use some discipline what they finished at 89 yeah yeah something's crazy a lot of a wiggle room right there on that one again I'll just tack with the FA U team total over nothing on jm you Southern miss no I dox high billy some bell billy better uh some bell billy needs to get boys back on the horse uh the dukes there are favored by back 13 and a half onto friday night where as we have gotten a lot this season there's a nice little card uh virginia tech going to play SMU kind of a gotta have it game for both teams for genia tech at six and two SMU at six and two mustangs coming off that upset loss Hokies coming out of an off week south florida usf bulls going to play ECU and doubty fickland stadium Nebraska after yet another one score heartbreaking loss they're going to take on illinois new mexico hits the road with their shiny new top 25 status in the ap poll voters not the college football playoff selection committee they're going to be at navada and then t_c_ you at air with sona sunny dikes says all of your numbers are wrong is does anybody want to bet on the roster that sunny dikes is loudly telling you is not as expensive as the reports say did you catch that but i did not know oh yeah he was he was very much taking issue with the price of t_c_ rosters saying it's way less than what's reported and you guys have no idea i kind of i do think there's some people with league are a little disappointed in t_c_ you like guys we really kind of that like the one something else like do we we're going to love it better out of here You know, this is, yeah, but no, I don't have any on that game. - Yeah, anything Friday night. - I'm not locking it up because I don't wanna have to stay up to watch it, but I do like the over in TCU, Arizona, but it's not a lock. - It's a low number. It wouldn't take a lot to get there. - I'm not trying to be up till 1 a.m. on Friday when we got so many going on Saturday. - What about your Elana? - I've got no bets on it, but I will be watching it, darn it. - I'm gonna have laid in Nebraska minus four. (laughs) I mean, look, I had washed in money line last week, washed in plus eight, but I like Nebraska here. I think they can bounce back. I think that team is decent, and you know, I can't expect it more out of Illinois against Maryland. So, bounce back spot for Nebraska. - Yeah, I mean, if I could pick a road favorite in one score game, it would definitely be a passup 'cause they're very good as road favorites and in one score games. - I will give voice to the Virginia Tech SMU game to tell you that there is nothing trustworthy about this game. I mean, SMU has amazing aim when trying to blow off every one of its toes with a firearm. Oh, it's just like their ability to move the football and have it not lead to points and wins is remarkable. At the same time, Virginia Tech's defense absent. So, you could look at this and be like, "Wow, SMU's offense for Virginia Tech's defense. Give me SMU team total over. Give me, you know, the over. Give me SMU to cover. I don't want any of those things. SMU not trustworthy, Virginia Tech not trustworthy. Entertainment value could be through the roof, but I do not wanna have a lock on anything in this game." Anything else Friday night? Couple of reminders here. Number one, we're gonna continue to remind you. We are going to be in Bloomington, Indiana. Next weekend, we're gonna be there to help get you set for all things USC, Indiana, and we're gonna have lots more details to come. So I wanted to get you the heads up on that. We are gonna be posted up on Saturday before the game. We'll be live, you know, starting around 2 p.m. but we will be around the stadium, the outside in front of the spirit of Indiana statue. We want you to come and visit us. More Friday details to come as well. Already starting to hear from some boots on the ground in Bloomington of opportunities that we can set up. Keep it locked in here at the Cover 3 podcast. We'll be able to give you lots and lots more of to come and see us in Bloomington, Indiana. Cover 3 podcast on the road. We're fired up for it. Also, this next part of the show, if you're listening, then you're trying to play in your Saturday. After we come back from the break, and we start breaking down Saturday's games, you can watch it on CBS Sports HQ. We, this show, Saturday, part of it. We'll go live at 10 a.m. Eastern time. So check it out on the CBS Sports app. CBS Sports HQ.com or wherever you can get it on your connected TVs. So coming up on the other side, it's one of the biggest Saturdays of the entire year. So what are the best bets? All that and more. - Next. - Hi, I'm Tony DeCouple. And as anchor of the CBS evening news, I am filled with endless curiosity about our world and our society. Maybe you are too. My new podcast is called Great Question. It's an effort to capture that curiosity. And to answer the question, you haven't heard a satisfying answer to, or maybe haven't even heard asked. Follow and listen to Great Question with Tony DeCouple, wherever you get your podcasts. - Back here on the Cover 3 podcast. We begin with some of the biggest games on one of the biggest Saturdays that we've had all year long. And this one got a massive, massive update into the way that we handicap and project this game. As the news spiraled out of control quickly on Wednesday afternoon. First, Malachite Tony has suffered an ankle injury in practice. There is, he has not yet been ruled out for Notre Dame Miami. Then it is Malachite Tony is going to undergo surgery to address said ankle injury. And now Malachite Tony's not only gonna miss the Notre Dame game, but likely the rest of the regular season, some of the estimated and reported four to six window. I mean, I gotta imagine I am not a doctor, but Dr. Cannell, that's gotta be that tightrope surgery, right? - I've seen a couple of people guess that. I mean, that to me, if they say they expect them back in four to six weeks, it's a high ankle sprain. That's kind of what we've seen before. We saw two of when he was at Alabama. I think he came back in three weeks. We've seen guys come back pretty quickly. So yeah, that's what I'm assuming. By the way, I've seen a lot of people crushing Mario and saying, how could he be tackling or doing it? We don't know what he was doing in practice. Like you have to prepare for games. He could have done this running routes against air. Like you just don't know. So I think this is just incredibly bad luck. I don't put it on any coaches at all. - Agreed. Yeah, like it's a collision sport, not a contact sport. And even if you're not tackling, like guys can still run into you. - You can get rolled up on. - Yeah, all the time. - All the time, all the time. Yeah, I mean, it's devastating, but I honestly, no part of me went to trying to lay blame anywhere. A super gifted skill player who's incredibly important, suffered an ankle injury. It's gonna happen in the sport of football at every single level with every single kind of coach. The softest ones and the hardest ones. So I just, it changes the game though. And this is the lock show. So Miami, Notre Dame, we gave the full big game breakdown. So many of those match-up angles have now changed. So I guess I gotta, I mean, cautiously, who's got a lock? - I mean, plus seven and a half. - Yeah. Same. Let the children sing. - Oh, it's not just gonna be the children. - Oh boy. Boys, I'm here to save Latifa. Latifa's been falling on hard times. And I've seen Latifa walk past. And you know, like, I will have some wandernies when Queen Latifa walks by. I mean, you gotta respect the Queen, right? But those times, like with Florida State, I was like, I don't know if this is it. I don't know if this is it. But I think that Miami plus the seven and a half is going to absolutely be an opportunity for Miami to prove that it is more than just one player. For Miami to prove that it has been stacking recruiting class on recruiting class, that it has been spending and developing. And that Shannon Dawson is a terrific offense of coordinator. And now has time to be able to put together a game plan. That there might even be a pass the chalk advantage against Chris Ash with so much tape on how Malachite Tony gets used in this offense. Now you take him off. Maybe there's a couple counter punches that you can throw early. I don't trust Notre Dame to be able to lock the back door. Even if they do go out and try to control this game early, seven and a hook, too many dag on points. I'll go with the canes. Boys, what do you all see? - Same. The time to bet Notre Dame was yesterday when the market started moving. Like if you guys wanted to injury information, it's not always right, but the markets are on this stuff. They moved. It was four and a half, five and a half. Seven and a half to me is an over adjustment for Tony. And so I'm gonna go ahead and take those seven and a half points. - I thought the same thing. They still have depth that running back. They're able to run the football. I think it's gonna be a physical game. Darryl and Mensa is still a really good quarterback who can get through his progressions. They do have other pieces there that'll answer that. And by the way, like do we just completely forget about Notre Dame's injuries? And this one, losing their captain and linebacker, losing their safety, like they have issues too. - They're bestie tackle. - Yeah. I think this was a massive overreaction in the line movement. So I like Miami and the points as well. - Block infinity is O and one this year. - Oh man. - Block unity is O and three this year. - Oh no, what's it gonna be? - So I would like to congratulate Notre Dame on not only winning, but winning big this week to really boost their resume to help jump them up from number 11. I, my overall read, originally when I wrote the six pack yesterday before the Tony injury came out, I took the over in the game because as we discussed in the big game breakdown, I don't really trust either one of these defenses very much right now. And my only adjustment is now I'm taking the Notre Dame team total over 31 and a half because I still don't trust this Miami defense. And now, how good is the offense going to be without its star player? Like Malachite Tony has been the cheat button for Miami and a lot of situations the same way that Jeremiah Smith has been for Ohio State. If you take him away, Cooper Barcai is now the number one. He's gonna have to deal with that kind of attention when he hasn't got it all season long. How effective will he be? And this is a Miami team that if you look time of possession wise on offense, they rank fifth nationally in time of possession per game. What happens if that suffers a bit? If they're dominating the ball on the regular and they're still allowing over 30 points per game to North Carolina, Pit and Florida State, and they can't control the ball on the road in this environment as much as they have been, what's Notre Dame gonna be able to do as far as putting points on the board? I like Notre Dame here. I'm staying away from the spread. I think the Irish are gonna win and I think they're gonna score at least 32 points. So give me Notre Dame team total over 31 and a half. - I like that. A lot of different ways to be able to attack that and something that we should be tracking deep into the night, right leading up to the beginning of our much anticipated Weeks. 10 instant reaction show here on youtube.com/cover3. By the way, Chip, you said earlier that like week 10 is the most anticipated week of this season. I'm pretty sure it's probably the most anticipated week we've had in, I don't know, like 10, 15 years as far as the matchups go. I can't remember another week where we've had seven ranked matchups. October 12th, 2024. We had seven ranked matchups that week. No, I don't know about seven ranked. I mean, I thought we've already, we decried what a ranked on ranked matchup, right? But I'm just saying the October 12th weekend was a weekend where we even were looking at another road opportunity. I remember and there was, I mean, remember we had some friends that was going to be a country music festival and we were going to go and like MC a watch party and we had the discussion. It was an awesome opportunity, but we had the discussion that realistically you go drop us off at this country music festival. How much football can we watch on one of the biggest days of the whole season? And so, you know, we trade that off. Could have been high five in Shibuze. If, if Miami loses this game, did they get the, well, they didn't have Tony treatment from the committee and also will Notre Dame get the, well, they beat a Miami team without Tony treatment? Are they going to need it? I don't know, but I'm saying like they were talking about how like the team who was it they were talking about how they they lost to Mississippi state, but it was Mississippi state with Camario. So they're getting that kind of treatment. I just want to know like, does this injury count to, by the way, it was already hurt. Camario was hurting that game. I know, but I'm just saying, does every injury matter now? Like when, when they're sitting in that committee, are they really when they're saying, well, narrative, but like I'm saying, if Notre Dame loses, are they going to say, well, they didn't have their leading tackler or their deep best defensive tackle or their safety? I'm not sure that this counts. I'm just wondering which injuries count and which ones don't in. It only depends if they're in the same 16 cluster. Only four cluster. Listen, I've followed up on this with the report that was given to us the debates are six teams at a time, two teams locked in, four teams moved to the next one. You add two more teams to the pot of four. The debates are six teams at a time, trying to slot two and then move to the next two. I think that methodology is terrible. I do like they're actually trying to like use context and then look into situational stuff. Like I actually think did a great job of not arbitrary looking at who in the top 25 did you be because that's just like an arbitrary cutoff and I think you did a really good job of like saying, hey, this team's got a bunch of wins in that like 26 to 50 range and this team's got a bunch of wins in that like 55 to 100 range, you know, which is actually a pretty big difference. They're using 500. How many wins you have over teams 500 or better? It's been one that they've been really leaning on. I don't I don't think they've got numbers to be able to slot them 26 to 50 yet. You don't think they're using like like a power rate example PI and say that they have wins over this and this and this. Like I that went when I took like a deep dive on a yesterday, I was like, I kind of like a lot of the stuff they did here, you know, not all of it. Obviously, but like I do think they're trying to use better context now, which you probably need to do when teams wreck up more wins and losses than they ever had before. Well, more losses than they ever had before. But I miss you on Tuesday night kind of drop. I got walks twice on Tuesday. So let's get it. It's got you the big it's because you're the big header. That's what I'm not. No, bro. No, could have been high five and she booze. Hey, you mentioned that they care about teams at over 500. Do you think it's a coincidence that all 10 all 10 teams in the SEC that are over 500 or ranked? I don't I don't know. I just I'm trying I'm I'm just trying to pick up the the information that's being provided. I'm I haven't connected all those dots. Um, okay, we're all good on Miami Notre Dame. Let's keep it right there in that in that prime time slate. Also at 730 Georgia at Ole Miss. Ooh, spicy game. Three and a half point favorites. Who's got a lock? I'll lay in with the dogs. I had so many different ways I was trying to get exotic about this. And I keep coming back to the idea that I think that Georgia's going to be able to control the line of scrimmage against Ole Miss's defense and that Ole Miss's defense is going to be really tested and that if Georgia can control the game, Georgia can control how much Trinidad sees the ball. Georgia can control how much I would say a top 15 home field advantage in all of college football. Right. Top 15 home field advantage, especially for a game of this caliber. I think I think that they can I think they can do something to be able to make sure that this isn't as tricky of a road spot. Three and a half is a horrendous number. If there's a three, I will graciously take it. But after looking at Georgia third quarter after looking at first half under after looking at all the different ways that I was thinking about slicing this game up. I keep coming back to the idea that I think Georgia can control the trenches and by controlling the trenches, you win the football game. So I will take Georgia and I will lay the three and a half. I will go, man, I want to take the other side, but I'll go over 55 and a half. These two teams have played twice in the last year. Both of those were kind of shoot out type games. I think Trinidad figured out last week. He needs to run the ball a little bit more. I still think he's capable of putting a points against this Georgia defense, especially at home. And I think Gunners do for a better game. I think he'll play better. I'm kind of counting on that. I know we talked about their lack of weapons, but I still think Ole Miss is secondary as a liability. I think they could run on him too, even though Ole Miss is front has played a little bit better. I think it'll be a higher scoring play. I like the over. I don't show an edge here. I think it's well priced. We do have a guy who does show. In Oxford this weekend, I think we get a slower start from these teams. Georgia likes to come out, run heavy to see if Ole Miss could stop the run and on defensively Georgia tries to entice Ole Miss into running the ball. Ole Miss had a little more success with a bigger back, Mills night against Auburn. So I think at first, Ole Miss will try out if Georgia is light in the box. I can see this game playing out like UGA Bama did this year and be much lower scoring than the total suggests. I like the under, but because I really like the first half, I'll be going lower scoring in the first half, giving the under first half, 28 and a half, lock emoji to the emoji. First half under 28 and a half. Yeah. I mean, and Danny, did you lock up to over or? Yeah, over 55 and a half. I dancer attacks. Okay. How's that? Danny's having a good year by the way. Yeah, Danny's 13 and 8. Yeah. So 13 and 8 so far. See how many he's been hitting a lot of the first halfs, too. Not always successfully, but yeah. A derivative dentist. You know, with the way that they're simplifying medical equipment now, he's got so much more time to explore these exotic markets, you know, like it's it's good. The dentist is the dentist is the dentist is sharp, but you won't poke you. Oh, oh, my God. I took you four years to come up with that. Okay, let's keep things moving and let's stick right there in the southeastern conference. Alabama at LSU, fat and rouge, 330 PM Eastern time kick off here. Who's got a lock? All right. Give me LSU minus five and a half. Just feel like I trust them more than I do right now. Keelan has been struggling as of late, and we've seen him on the road not look nearly as sharp as he does when he's at home. And this is going to be a very difficult environment. Even if it's only, you know, mid afternoon, and the sun will be going down not until the fourth quarter, not before the game starts. I still think it's a very difficult place to go in. I think Levitt's playing pretty well right now offensively. I think LSU just looks better in general on offense since they've gotten traded as green pack. Jackson Harris has emerged as a threat. I think that defense has been very, very good. And I think that past rush especially has been very good for the Tigers. And this is an Alabama offensive line that I have questions about. And Keelan, you know, his ability to stick around in the pocket and extend plays is great. But sometimes he can get him in trouble. I think he can get him in trouble here. So LSU minus five and a half fight. Five. Five. Six is six and a half. Now good number of. All right. So I think Bama's injury report looks positive. The way I read it, like the stuff I've heard. So I'm going to go ahead and take six and a half. I think this should be four. So like to me, that's value. You look at the QB's LSU has played when they've gotten right, you know, Clemson kid can't play, right? Byron Brown, right? Like not a good quarterback. Mississippi State's back up. So I mean, I think Keelan's like the best QB they face this year outside of trying to add who they lost to. So go ahead and give me the tie. But what if I told you that Dave Oranda is currently in Baton Rouge working as an analyst for LSU? Whoa. Difference maker. That's why I'm with Tom. Give me LSU. That's all I need to hear. I cautiously approach this because I do think LSU is getting right at the right time. I think Sam Levitt's getting more comfortable in the system. I do think his legs could play a big part in this one. The one thing that we have to avoid Tom is the Sam Levitt turnovers. But I think he's done a better job. I think he's kind of figured out playing in this system. It is a good quarterback friendly system. Take the first read. If it's not there, get to the second read. If it's not there, then you can run as opposed to early. We saw him hesitate after the first read. He started tuck it and run. Got a little bit kind of just struggled in that situation. I do like LSU here at home. It's been a rough bumpy road here. The last three games for Keeling Russell. I don't think it's going to get any easier. I think Blake Baker will have a game plan for him. I think it's going to be a tough one for him. Similar to what we saw at Tennessee and Knoxville. This is huge for Bud in the playoff rankings because both Danny and I are over 500 teams. So if Bud can get a win here, that's going to be big for his resume, especially since he's only 500. That's right. I have a lean on the under, but I'm not locking it up. I think that the LSU, I mentioned this before, but when Lane Kiffin is talking about how he even calls games differently with the makeup of the team this year, he just has so much trust in the defensive side of the ball. And if they are able to get an advantage and like the last two opponents, keep Alabama from being able to run the football effectively at all, he might be down to play fuel position, right? Let's go and let's pin them back and let's see if we can force some turnovers, make Keeling a little bit uncomfortable. I think LSU wins the game. No official play for me, but if it's a lower scoring, the difference between four or five and six can get real hairy. So I'm just going to stay back cbsports.com. Come join me. I'll be live blogging this game on Saturday afternoon. So come, yeah, come, come, come, click on the live blog. Then open up your friend's phone, click on the live blog, then go back to the first computer and hit refresh, then go back to the other one and hit refresh and then repeat and rinse as necessary. Okay. Coming up on the other side, massive, massive rivalry game is going to get our Saturday started best bets from us and more. Next. Back here on the cover three podcast, my, oh my, what a scene it will be as Utah and BYU face off or not just the usual stakes of the Holy War rivalry, but also for the big 12 title stakes, also for college football playoff stakes, because these two teams are a combined 15 and one on the season. Now, the youths do find themselves as a short home favorite over under, around 48 and a half or so, who's got a lock? Oh, we got I can't do that one. I'll lay it with the youths. I can't, I was trying to going to, I was going to do my two use side by side, but then I realized I was going to look Miami and I didn't, I've been screened. I've been, I've been already clipped, you know, all before. I think that Utah continues to play at a high level without much letdown. In fact, when I was looking for the letdown for this Utah team, it was a little bit of mental sloppiness. It was against Colorado, right? When they thought that the game was over and they thought that, oh, we can just pack it in, they didn't play very well, but they have been playing at a high level. And I think that BYU, the response, not just one week with the loss, but even the next week with the win coming down off that Notre Dame game, it, it is there. I say a team that has already played its best football game. You know what is it? We get 12 versions of a team every year. The way that BYU jumped all over Notre Dame early, how important that game was to be able to get out late. I think BYU. And again, this is a guess that this is a prediction. This is why these are best bets that it is based on the idea that BYU has played its best football game and that Utah playing at home, given the caliber, given the form that it has shown over the last couple of weeks, it will be easier for Utah to maintain than it will be for BYU to regain its best form from earlier in the season. Give me Utah at home. I will lay best number I can get four and a half. Yep. All right. Let's do it. Yeah. I'm on the over 48 and a half. I like both offenses in this game. I think BYU's offense has struggled without L.J. Martin, but I think there's a very good chance L.J. Martin will be playing in this game. And I think that that will help the run game, which has suffered without him shockingly. I think that Bear Bachmeyer has been playing well. I think that we have seen BYU kind of go more vanilla in games that weren't Notre Dame in their bigger games and then save some stuff for Notre Dame. I wouldn't be shocked if Kalani Sataki's been doing the same thing for this one. This is a very big game for BYU when here would go a long way. And I think that Utah is just a good team as well. And I think offensively they can find some success. And I think this total is just a little too low. It's, can I get 49 and a half and we could both win for. I see you're fighting it, but you're also a fight. It's a friendly fight. I think it's pretty much 49 and a half. All right. So you take 49 then. Yeah, there's 49 and a half out there. I I want 48 and that that's not out there. Are you want 48 over? I want 48, but I'm not locking 48 and a half. I'm going to go 49 and a half. I'll go under on this one. The last four times they've played. It's been under that number. I think they're pretty familiar with each other. I know LJ Martin's coming back, but I do think Utah at homes, they're defense. And I think it's going to be loud. It's early start. Maybe a little bit sleepy. Start for both of these teams. I think you'll see BYU's defense able to kind of corral that rushing attack. Pretty physical at the point at the point of attack. So I think they should have some success early. Do worry. Like I thought about the first half under, but it's only 23 and a half. It was 24 and a half. Probably would have taken that one. So I'm just going to go full game under. Defense is sleep too. They do. Sometimes if you're a step slow and you're a safety, that's a very bad thing. You know, like it's got some crust in your eyes. You kind of miss your read. Yeah. Oh, yeah. I mean, and especially with these two quarterbacks, I discipline is of the utmost importance. So too much crust in your eyes. That's sleepy time overs. Boy, I've never seen that one before. All right. Let's keep it rocking and rolling with a few more of these headliners. Texas, atmospheric, massive, massive spot for Eli Drinkwoods and the Tigers as they want to insert themselves as a more serious contender into the conversation. They can do it by handing the longhorns their third loss. Texas does find itself as a short favorite here. Anyone got a lock? I do. Over 42 and a half. I think the defensive injuries are worse for Texas than the off side of the ball. And I think Austin Simmons is going to score points for Missouri or he's going to score points for Texas. Give me Missouri in the two and a half. I'll take the home underdog. I don't know if I try. You mentioned Austin Simmons putting up points maybe for the other team. That could be the case for Arch. I know he had his best game yet. Three touchdowns. Very clean, efficient versus Mississippi state. But I think this is a Missouri defense, which could present some problems. They could run the football potentially. That's going to be a big challenge for them. They're going to be committed to it. Hit a couple big plays. I like Mizzou. Everybody knows I hate Mizzou, but I love you, Danny. So I'm going to get you Mizzou plus three. Oh, there we go. That's a good one. That's a good one. Look at it. It's always always out there. There's a terrible time there. There we go. Kentucky at Tennessee. Oh, those those wild cats. I mean, they are the apple of the committee's eye. That is certain. So now all of a sudden they find themselves as underdogs to a Tennessee team that sometimes has been a little offensively challenged. Certainly through the pass attack. I've got no lock for me on this one, but I think that it is fascinating. Also for fans, a little odd in the rhythm of your Saturday, 6.15 p.m. Eastern time kickoff. It's going to start and catch you off guard. It's going to finish when you're not expecting. You got to just prepare, prepare yourselves accordingly. So enough of my service announcement. What it locks. I'm still deciding between two. Anybody else have one? Yeah. I'll lay them. Give me Tennessee. Six and a half, right? Yep. Well, that's a lot of points for a team that can't throw it is, but I think this I think they're going to try to get Bishop going as long as George McIntyre does not turn the ball over, which is a question mark. I think they'll be able to handle Kentucky's offensive lines. One of the best in the country, but in Knoxville, we've seen them give other pretty good offensive lines. A pretty good challenge. I mean, I don't know how Bama's was hurt, but we saw what they did to Texas's offensive line. I think they could be problematic for Kenny Mitchell and Kentucky. Let's go, Danny. Lock broom. Oh, baby. That even with a let's go. Yeah. I like Kentucky a lot, obviously, but I don't like the injury report for their secondary. If you look at who Kentucky has actually beaten, right? They did beat an LSU. They go up a ton of points. I think Tennessee's defense is better than LSU's. They Bama housed them, right? Some of that was second half stuff, but like they they they multiple scores. They beat Oklahoma, whose offense is a disaster. They beat Texas A&M, Ditto. Who else did they beat in the SEC? South Carolina, who also scored like, you know, in the 30s on them? Yep. I'm suspect of this Kentucky secondary. I do think Tennessee can hit enough explosives over the top on them just because the scheme and then the focus are going to need to have on the run game. I like balls at home. Nothing from me here. Big time on CBS focuses on Columbus, Ohio. We're Ryan Day in the book, guys. have got their backs against the wall. It is truly a good jacks and a D because the Oregon ducks are flying into town. They finally got a little bit of confidence after that win against Northwestern. And now they're showing up trying to play spoiler to the Buckeyes playoff hopes, two lost Buckeyes, three lost ducks, everything on the line. Who's got a lock? I do. What? Give me over 46 and a half. Oh, the streak will be broken. Tom Fronelli says, uh, big time unders have been a machine. But you see more points this week. Uh, yeah, I do. I think that it's, I mean, Oregon's looked better at these last couple of weeks. I know I know that they want to have Davidson, but the offenses look good last week. They seem they were getting the ball to their playmakers. Ohio State, we talked about it. Like the problem they had last week was they had to, they settled for field goals when they needed touchdowns. But I think another week of starting in practice, another week of working with the ones, being at home, we will see that offense do a little bit better here against an Oregon defense, even though the Oregon defense has been playing better, but I don't think Fahey will miss as many opportunities as he missed last week. I think there will definitely be an emphasis on getting the ball to Jeremiah and figuring out ways to get the ball to Jeremiah. And I don't think that we're asking a whole lot to get over 46 and a half here. So there we go. Okay. I've got a very specific, this will shock you, a very specific request for what I'm asking, because it's, it truly is what I think, I think Ohio State is going to be shot out of a cannon in this game. I think that Ohio State back home, we mentioned Luke Fahey thrown in on the road against Indiana thrown in on the road, not thrown in, but the starting quarterback on the road in the Coliseum. And and now he finally gets as the starting quarterback to be playing in the comfy confines of the shoe. I think that they're going to try to make things easy for him early. They're going to try to allow him to get settled. And they surely are going to score in the first quarter. I am going to lock up Ohio State first quarter minus a half a point. So let's also look at the Oregon side of this because naturally to be able to cover her first half spread, not only do I need Ohio State shot out of a cannon, but I need Oregon to not keep pace as in like to Ohio State score Oregon not score. That's the way it's lined. I think it's a little bit of a reload the musket moment for the ducks. I think eventually they could settle in and this thing could get very competitive. Don't hate the ducks against the spread. Definitely don't hate that over. But they were sitting there in that locker room against Northwestern down 20 to 13 season on the line. And they dug in and that's a great moment. But now they're packing up and now they're having to travel to Columbus to face a team that similarly is facing that same kind of urgency. So I think Ohio State gets off to a really, really strong start. I think the game is very, very competitive close and yet I can see it being a little higher scoring as well. But for my lock, I'll go Ohio State in the first quarter minus a half a point. You better hope they win the coin toss. I'll get two possessions. I don't know. I don't know. Do you trust Dylan Raiola to lead an eight minute drive? I do if it's scripted. Yeah. I don't know. We'll see. Okay. You don't tell me what I need to better hope. I determine what I better hope. You better hope somebody else. Alright, reminder, that game kicks off at 3 30 PM Eastern time. It is big time on CBS presented by Home Depot. You can watch it on CBS America's most watched network, the network of stars, you can stream it on Paramount Plus, come and join all the fun from Columbus as it will feature not just Brad Nestler, not just Charles Davis, not just Jenny Del, but also more shoulder coverage on CBS Sports HQ with our friend Danny Canal, DK is going to be jumping on a plane shortly to be able to head out to Columbus. So fired up to see that CBS Sports HQ to be able to see all the pregame coverage with DK, watch the game with Brad and Charles and Jenny. And then I guess Danny probably a post game as well. You also, yeah, primary voice. Yeah. So we'll be a lot of fun. He's just rolling with Cardale Jones as you do. If you are anywhere near Ohio State fans and you are with Card Ale, you just let him do it, you know, he hands off and it's an amazing time every time. Coming up on the other side, we open it up the entire week 10 slate, the rest of our locks and more next. There's the guy that you are right now and there's the guy you know you could be and hymns is here to help close the gap and get there. There's a specific feeling that comes from actually taking control of your health, not from talking about it, from actually doing it, whatever's been holding you back hymns has a real plan for it built around you. Confidence isn't an accident. It's what happens when you actually know what's going on in your body and you've got a plan built for it. That's hymns. That is what's possible once you're actually taking care of yourself and taking control, more energy, more confidence, more you. So be prepared, be strong, be confident, be him. Are you ready to be him? Visit hymns.com to get personalized, affordable care. That's hymns.com hymns.com prescription required restrictions apply, not available in all 50 states for important safety information and restrictions, visit hymns.com. Back here on the cover three podcast, Tom, you're so charitable that I will not do the recap yet. If you want to go ahead and throw one on here, full week 10 board out. What would you like to get before we spend 45 seconds recapping blocks on the board so far? I appreciate that because this one seems to be moving. I got it in the column this morning at 72 and a half. It is currently down to 71 and a half and it's 71 some places. Texas state Oregon State under 71 and a half. Oregon State's offense has not been as effective the last few weeks. I think they're opponents now that they've seen a whole lot more film on them are kind of starting to figure some things out to slow it down. And also, have you seen the weather report for this one boys? 60 degrees with 15 mile per hour winds and gusts up to 35 miles per hour. That doesn't really bowed well for two teams that like throw the ball around quite a bit. So yeah, Texas state Oregon State under 71 and a half. There you go. Alright, let's recap the locks we got on the board so far. But is on Miami plus seven and a half Alabama plus six and a half. Nebraska minus four Tennessee minus six and a half. And the Tennessee Missouri over 42 and a half. I've got Miami plus seven and a half FAU team total over 32 and a half. Georgia minus three and a half. Utah minus four and a half Ohio State first quarter minus a half a point. Danny's on Miami plus seven and a half LSU minus five and a half BYU Utah under 49 and a half Tennessee minus six and a half. The Georgia Ole Miss over 55 and a half Missouri plus three. Tom Scott Notre Dame over 31 and a half LSU minus five and a half BYU Utah over 48 and a half Oregon Ohio state over 46 and a half and the Texas state Oregon state under 71 and a half. Alright, but six and four week for you last week. So you've got the honors on the T box. Where would you like to go? Give me my music man. Oh, it's time for sicko mode. Let's go. A little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the sun belt. If things go wrong, they could be like you. That's kind of like sicko mode of a sicko mode. All right, I complained about their box score to start the show. Old, old, old Dom was not that bad. Give me old Dom plus seven heading to coastal Carolina. Like, they had a 100 yard kickoff for, sorry, Fugel return go against them right before the half. They had like several like pick six and fumble sixes. Like on box score. And like, I know this team is like sloppy and chaotic and you cannot count on them to play clean football. So I'm not going to say that's all going away. But I do think they had a little bit of variance last week and catching their touchdown here. I made it five and a half. So I'm getting the key. Go ahead, give me Dom. The crown is yours. I could. Good luck. Good luck. Good luck. Line help with the monarch. Troy Boy turned into old Dom mom. Will I will I watch it? No. But spec enough in that time that time slot. The drop off between the good games to the, yeah, is pretty steep. So see what I see is then it's the lazy Susan of college football. Yeah, just kind of spinning around through several a popery of games in the watch guy. I had the three. And then I was like, and the fourth slot is whichever big favorite is losing in the second half. Yeah. React based on the games as they were. Okay. Danny, I will go. Let me get my three star lock out of the way. I need to get back on the winning track. Take me to Winston Salem. What it's Mary Mac, where are they awake for his team and Deacon's take on the mighty warriors of Mary Mac is a 46 and a half point favorite. I mean, typically, when you see a team disrespected the way that Jake Dickard and company were, they want to let it out against somebody. I don't even think they have to let out much anger because this is going to be a 50 burger easy. And they already beat two ACC teams by similar scores. I mean, they beat Stanford by 54. They beat Virginia by 44. If you don't beat Mary Mac by 60, what are we even doing? That is my three star lock. Jake Dickard, wake for us, send in a message loud and clear that they mean business and they will make a massive leap all the way up to, I don't know, they might drop because the string schedule, but they're going to leave no doubt. Lay the 46 and a half with them and Deeks. Even though Mary Mac is on a two game winning streak. They're hot right now. Yeah. You don't want to stand on the tracks when Mary Mac's coming through. No. Is Geo plan? I don't think he, oh, excuse me, doesn't matter. Carlos plan. I know that Geo Lopez is on the injury report with either a questionable or a doubtful tag, right? They have a big game next weekend, right? Against SMU. They did start his Heisman campaign. So I don't know if they want to bench him that very Saturday afterwards for anybody watching play last year. Like we're going to whoever plays is going to play good. All right. I like it. I would never fade Mary Mac. I'd like to join you, but I'll route. Oh, Mary Mac team total under. I doubt you can find one. Let's be honest, not on a Thursday. Yeah. Yeah. It's a far away places on Saturday morning. That's a Saturday morning option only. I'll go ahead and I will also take, jump in with my three star lock. It is a, honestly, the very, very similar pick to one I had last week, but I think that it's one that you take a step back. It's just not, not lined correctly. Because if you go through and you look at five Oklahoma state games in big 12 competition, they are averaging 3.78 points per drive in big 12 play. The two, the two big questions are do you think that Kansas State is an average big 12 defense and, you know, do you think that they're going to have 11 possessions in this game? Because if they're an average big 12 defense and there's going to be 11 possessions in this game, I've got Oklahoma state scoring about 41 points. So 34 and a half as a team total feels a little bit light. Now, you're going on the road. You're playing in the little Apple. So maybe a few things aren't clicking quite the same way that they would if you were playing this game in still water with the protection of the paddles and, you know, no, no big interference or confusion. But ultimately, it does feel like of the thing that you can count on with this Oklahoma state team and certainly defensive stops are not on the list of things you can count on. You can count on them scoring points. Oklahoma state gets to 35. I like Oklahoma state team total over 34 and a half locker agreement. Oh, that's my three star. Okay. Have you gotten your way? Hold on. I have not. Okay. So Tom and Bud still need to get some some three stars out here. Um, Tom, what would you like to go? Uh, you know what? Let's go to my three star. Give me Michigan minus 13 and a half at home against Michigan state. Yeah, about this. Yeah. Um, I, there is the part of me that is worried about like Pat Fitzgerald and a rivalry game. Oh, but that's money line, alt line talk. That ain't, you don't take Michigan state plus 13 and a half on a whim. Yeah. I just, they, they are extremely banged up. They have been for weeks. I know they're coming off a buy. So they should be a little healthier coming into this one. But the less yo millevole of it is still questionable to play in this game after he was hurt. Their backups hurt. They might be down to their third stringer again. But even if they're not, I still like Michigan here. The final score last week against Rutgers was very misleading. Had Michigan not missed a couple of field goals that score pro, the game probably plays out differently script wise. And they did defensively completely shut Rutgers down for pretty much the last two and a half quarter to that game. Tommy Carr looked much more comfortable in that offense. And this Michigan state defense probably isn't going to be able to do much to make him look uncomfortable in this offense this weekend. So yeah, give me the Wolverines at home minus 13 and a half. Anybody else got to play there? No, I want to say that though. Uh, Danny, do you, I have a two for one special that I'd like to get on the board here? Uh, take me to Minnesota where UCLA has been, uh, been really good. Great story undefeated on the season. Minnesota has been the hardest team to figure out college football coming off a devastating loss getting beat by a 60 yard field goal. But you know, PJ Flex Squad, they get right back up ready for it. Give me six and a half. I'll take Minnesota, the home dog plus six and a half and I don't know if there's a left. Oh, is it? What is it now? What is it? Six? All right. I'll take the six. There's some six. Yeah. Yeah. I will take the six and I will also, these have been the gift that keeps on giving. I will take the under 39 and a half on this one. We know about UCLA's defense. We also know about UCLA's offense. I thought last week, they would open it up a little bit. Let Ty DeFenbach throw a little bit more. They did not. They only put up 27 against Nevada. Noon kick. Give me the under 39 and a half. Lock agreement. Fun. What? On. Oh, the Minnesota. Okay. I'll take the Minnesota plus six. I mean, big vibes play here. You UCLA traveling to a Minnesota team. I know we haven't created a trophy that is going to create that extra motivation for PJ Fleck in the year of trophy collection. But boy, I like your under two. It just, it feels like the game, it where UCLA is going to be very tight and trying not to make mistakes late while Minnesota is trying to throw haymakers for the upset. The biggest surprise for me, truly, like the biggest surprise for me would be if UCLA just comes in, dominates both sides of the ball. That would be a little bit of a stunner and a little bit of a disappointment based in what Minnesota has been able to do competitively at its best. So I like Minnesota plus the points early start as well. I don't hate those. I mean, the one thing it's not hard to figure out with Minnesota is that their offense is absolutely garbage every week. Like, I mean, that just horrendous. They're like 134th in a lot of categories. Saving it for when it comes. I mean, that's what the end of the Michigan game was, right? They had done nothing the entire game. And then it's like throw, throw touchdown night night. See you later. So something along those lines, I would take that as well. Danny, how many plays do you have left? I'm done. I'm done. All right. Cool. Okay. So you got your all the message you guys when it's down to running line sprinkles. I told you we got to get this guy to Columbus. Let's go. All right. Let's see. Bud. Let's let's hear your three star. All right. Music again, please. Oh, one. Yeah. No problem. I already threw all my papers. It's good. It's time for sick home mode. Let's go. I'm a little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the sun belt. If things go wrong, they could be like you asked you come back. That's kind of sick home mode. All right. I'll go fast here. I like these equally. I'm going to give the three star to the one that's a little bit more available out there. Go ahead and give me Arkansas State minus 14 last week. I had a lot of Southern Miss that got bet out of range by the time the show went. It was really kind of a fade of Monroe. I think Arkansas State can can drop a big number on the Arkansas State minus 14 for my three star. The other one, which I like a lot. It's just there's a lot of three and a half out there, but there's also some three. Give me errors on a state minus three as a fade of Deon. I have a lock agreement on Arkansas State plus or minus 14. How? How? What sort of hazmat suits of YouTube and wearing swimming around in the sludge lay into American touchdowns with butch jones in the Red Wolves. When Tom walks into the club, next week in Bloomington, right? I think I'm going to say, did you get this betting on a high rated game? Or did they say, thank you, sir? Your table is this way. Right? Speaking of said club. Let's go McKinsey Brooks at the house. Club kids is back in action. People get up. People get loud. We're ready to go. Can't tell we do it. I'm doing pretty well. We just hit the halfway market at the NFL season. I feel like things are really brewing up in the college football season as well. A lot of Heisman talk to be had this weekend and a lot of shake up. I think we'll happen as well. Cool. So what do we, what do we like? Okay. You can't give a Heisman pick this in the locks. Speaking of the college football week. I have two locks, two overs. We need to recover from my my own two situation that happened last week. You know, I'm going to buy a low spot. Okay. So lock in if you're if you're into stocks. Texas team total over 22 and a half. There's 21 and a half. out there for me if I'm wrong but that's a low number for Texas. Also my story a lot of the defensive stats I feel are a bit skewed from playing teams like Arkansas and Texas A&M I believe Kansas is on there as well so I saw 31 points Ole Miss put up on them. I just think on paper we're seeing good stats but we haven't seen them play a very tough competition and even when Texas looks bad and they're bad way it gets Tennessee they put up at least 20, they put up 24 against good defenses like it could be ugly but it can still get over 22 and a half. Then you know I like to hit all ends of the college football spectrum for us no state team total obviously we're going over that number of 21 and a half have the projected for 27 against Utah State this team put up 31 against Boise State and I think Utah State is playing better maybe that's why this line is the way it is but not that great not that great and it's mostly cold weather but cold weather affects tackling correct me if I'm wrong boys just as much she don't know about McKay Hills that she don't know about Bronco's big bad boys about the big bad boys who finally stopped that Colorado State machine last week the boy right bad boys over reactions that's what I hear what I hear over reactions when we talk about no way that when you did the Texas team total over you and but are some potty code there because he's got the full game over so you're clearly seeing seeing the opportunity and like I reacted right away and then Fresno I would just Fresno has kind of been through a little bit of a gauntlet right now just sort of where they are the the games they've been playing they got a massive win against Oregon State you know they had the heartbreaking loss to San Diego State it's just a lot going on with Madden's squad so that's what I would say is my reaction boys I don't know if you'll have anything else look at my down sir he's doing his job so well down nothing more intimidating was like oh my god is the club about to open I was like the clubs about to open yeah let's go nothing more intimidating you can't come in after the door like I'm not missing it back yeah backwards hat hat what's going on now yeah what's the game playing for the weekend um New York home game New York studio next few weeks we're supposed to go to uh Eagle Steelers down the stretch in week 11 I don't foresee that being the case anymore so a lot of New York but Denver was fun I like it out there little brokyo members awesome yeah very cool is are you working with the next density state quarterback can you get us any breaking news or insight on your co-worker who would reportedly was in discussions no we all text it about well well his colleague on the desk is a part of the headcoaching search committee I know I know yeah thanks are brilliant they're not my stories to tell we have a fabulous state dinner me in the potential NC state head coach Kyle in Denver that he so kindly took us to so you know I'm just playing my role which is just be the vibes guy hey words are important you don't need to say potential you can say the reported candidate right then we're all floating all the responsibility potential means that you feel like you've got some insight I think the reported candidate and decay for I think we we didn't have a reporter insider I don't know the correct terms and correct ways to talk about this okay yeah exactly we don't need uh we don't need the PR office to uh to be knocking on your door anytime well a best of luck we'll be watching along NFL today plus on Sunday morning to go ahead and get you start for started for your game day club kids we appreciate it I'm about to get to the airport see you boys good luck on the pics joy Columbus yeah the um it's it's remarkable how easy it is to factually have discussions about a job when you are in the same workplace as a member of the search committee who is also an alumni of that said job it's remarkable like words can be true right mm-hmm so we'll see and see state that coaching cares coach coaching cares all conversation to continue on another time um Troy boys gone we hate to see it Troy did live though rising out to be able to take down JMU second reload the musket reference here because the Louisiana Tech team that's coming to town has just been kind of good just just really exceeded expectations that almost every single turn they've got a few injury issues that I think are understandable if you're curious about whether or not they're going to be able to back up the yet another win this would be by the way they're six straight win if they're able to go and get it I say Louisiana Tech not only gets the win I think they get the cover give me sunny come these bulldogs minus five and a half and that's kind of sick I mean that's that's kind of sick no yeah I know I can get you five oh let's go all right just like I was very surprised to hear like you just coming out of there with like I got some mod tech Troy thoughts yeah I've been I've been monitoring Louisiana Tech for the last couple of weeks right you know you just get to a point where you say are they is it fluke with the way they are exceeding expectations on a weekly basis or is this simply a good team that the market is a little bit off on and to get this under a touchdown at a spot where I think they're going to be able to keep things rolling in a letdown spot too yeah I like Louisiana Tech to be able to keep things going all right Tom oh yeah let's see here I'm sorry I was writing down Danny's money line sprinkles oh next on my card you know what let's go back to the well I'm hitting it every single week and this time this is a team total this is a state team total under 25 and a half come on Barton just help me out brother I yeah I've got something this what is it over for the game yeah I I think it's I think it's low damn it give me a second there so you don't trust Mississippi states defense but and you think that late rookie year Jared Curtis will finally be able to hit some some big place yeah there's a 47 and a half out there I'll take that all day let's go that's a banger does anybody have a lock for North Carolina and you con no chip I don't do I'm gonna talk to you about it because I thought about Lane Carolina yeah I'm not gonna do it I'm not I think but I think that if North Carolina North Carolina in an obvious letdown spot having to go on the road in a sandwich spot between my home games against Miami and Louisville was it you looking at six and a half or seven and a half like where in that range there's there's six and a half there to 12 price yeah I'm not I'm not gonna lock it up I think that just from the yeah just don't lose but there's too much don't lose in my brain there's too much please don't lose but you know what else there is out there around the game a wonderful opportunity to catch up with our friends from home field because the cover three podcast is proudly sponsored by home field the industry leader in top notch vintage collegiate apparel it's made by and for true college football fans hope field makes the most premium apparel on earth so say goodbye to those low effort designs and the cheap quality because our friends at home field well they design and research everything from the fit in the fabrics to the vintage logos you might see this if you're looking at youtube.com/cover3 this is the 1982 final four shooting shirt from North Carolina's national championship down in New Orleans that you only get that with the effort they're putting into the research and the high quality that home field does for everything they make standout gear that defines your game day and home field launched their can miss kickoff line back in August to style your game day but can't miss kickoff isn't over just yet because the home field team is going on tour around the country to college campuses on the campus kickoff tour presented by Madelo and this week they are headed to Yukon be sure to head out and see them look for details on their socials especially on their new events page at home field IRL and if you can't stop by you can always shop the very best in game day apparel for your team now with home field and please let them know cover three sent you take 20% off your first purchase with code cover three at checkout that C O V E R three no spaces at checkout that home field parallel dot com or on the home field at home field the official outfitter of cover three and your game day shout out for home field for going with 1982 and not the fraudulent ass 2005 title that's not vintage no I know but it was fraudulent it's it's still recent enough for you to be but heard about it coming up on the other side we wrap up our week 10 locks with money line sprinkles and more next back here here on the Cover 3 podcast. And if you look across everyone's records right now, like, you know, 43 and 43, 44 and 38, 42 and 41, 48 and 45, most of us are around the same kind of winning percentage, but not the producers who are seven and three on the season. So we got to check in with the winningest part of the Cover 3 Locks Collective. Boys, what do we got? - It's time for the producer pick. (upbeat music) - There's no Lockspod without a service academy game. We thought you guys were gonna get to it sooner 'cause I'm assuming Tom has something, we're gonna go with Army minus three. If you think Air Force is gonna just stroll in the Mitchie Stadium at night and take that commander and chief's trophy you're out of your mind. - It's Mikey Stadium. - Mikey Stadium? - Yup. - Excuse me, got to respect the troops. That was a very disrespect. - Keep going, keep going, keep going, keep going. Mikey Stadium at night. You are out of your mind. Jeff Munkin has Troy Calhoun's number. They've won three in a row against the Falcons. They're gonna make it four and they're gonna win by three plus. - Yup, so we'll save the total for Tom 'cause we know he's gonna weigh in one way or another. But like Taff said, they've won three straight against Air Force. Hasn't even been that close. Especially the turnover differential. Air Force already without their starting quarterback for the year. So they're gonna rely on the run even more than they already do every single game. So Army's gonna make it four in a row. Gonna win by more than a field goal. And Tom, we'd love to see where you're going in this one too. - Golly, G Fellas. I don't know where I'm gonna go with this one. I think, let's see where it's just. - Oh yeah, give me the under 45 and a half. I'm shocked that you guys, your pick is the spread. When you guys are very, very trend exclusive with your producer picks and it's been working very well. And the trend you did it pick was the service academy under. Come on guys. Air Force. - It's too obvious. - Too obvious of a trend. - There would be some part of ladies in my future on Saturday night. - Okay, I've got one left. Where's everybody else at? - Not just one, but more than one. - Okay, great job producers going through, trying to get that to eight and three. I do like getting the Army side of that. The most, the K.O. Helms has been awesome this season. And if you were to ask me, what do I feel the most confident in? It's K.O. Helms being able to execute at a high level in this game against this opponent. I mean, he's been there, he's done it. He's got 21 total touchdowns on the season. He's been just an absolute monster. So I like taking the Army side of that. And obviously the under as well. Okay, you've got one left, but what about you? - Just what? - I've got three. - Ooh, all right Tom. - I will start with Houston minus 10 and a half at home against Cincinnati. The Bearcats last two games. They upset Texas Tech. Last week they played Utah. That's a tough back to back to go through. Now they were both at home, but physically, you know, you got to think playing those two teams has taken a toll. Now you're going on the road to play a Houston team that was off last week. They had a buy, was home, getting rested. Wrong place, wrong time for the Bearcats. I think the damn breaks here kind of like we saw against Utah last week, so give me the Cougs minus 10 and a half. - Rock with that? - I could sit, yeah. We spent a lot of time on this podcast discussing the heartbreak of Nebraska and yet another collapse. But not enough time about the heroism of demand Williams. You know, if you want to, if you want to live up to that contract, well, that probably ain't happening. But you can look better than you have been and coming back into the game after Elijah Brown gets benched to be able to lead Washington to a win. - Worsh. - He's going to be installed as the new QB1. Penn State is showing up. And while at this moment we do not have definitive answers or I don't know one way or another about Kobe Howard or Chase Soul, I think that Washington's defense has been the better side of this and they are not going to be able to run the football the same way that they did with the effectiveness that they did against Purdue. Give me Washington to keep this thing going. I'll lay the two and a half at home with Penn State in town. - That line stinks. - I was thinking it too, but I just, I don't know, like Penn State with what we've seen only a two and a half point dog on the road in Husky Stadium. I just, it's like I feel like there's something I'm missing here. I'm not, I'm on your side. I'm just, I can't lock it up. - Like you think it should be bigger for Washington? - Yeah, not like seven points bigger, but just under a field goal to me is like, we're going to find out somebody on Washington died Saturday morning. You know what I mean? It's like, I don't know what's going on there. - I think it's fair to cap your offensive expectations for the Huskies given the way that they've performed. I mean, a three point win could feel like a 10 point win in this kind of game. So we got to win by a field goal. I think that Jed fish and the Huskies get it done. All right, so Bud, you got one left? - I do. - All right. - We're laying a half with Baylor against Iowa State. Like Iowa State looked really banged up there in the second half of that game last week. Baylor looks pretty decent. I know it's a large number for a big 12 game, but go ahead and lay the nine and a half. - Was that Baylor team total? Look at Mike. - Mm. - Oh, let's see, this is a great podcasting here. - I know, well, what's the total on the game? - Uh, I got all done one second. - Teammate. - It's probably like 30 and a half juice under. - Yep, 30 and a half. - Okay. I'll let it sit. - I got my nine. I've liked my nine. I'm good on the nine, but I support you, bud. The general instinct of find the duck Iowa State given where they are right now. - Going duck hunting. - Yeah, Baylor already had their large roaring game, but they all, I mean, do you know what feels great for DJ Lagway throwing for yards and touchdowns? You know, like it feels good to get out there and score some points after a little bit for struggle of a season. Okay, are we all, are we all on the board? - I got more. - Okay. - I just wanna check something real quick. I wanna see the injury report here. Yeah, okay, I'm gonna strike that one. I've got one more. Give me Georgia State app state under 55 and a half. - Oh, okay. I thought you were gonna take Georgia State. - Nah, their QB stuff still hurt. - Yeah. - Okay. - My game could be low scoring. - I hope it isn't the thing. - Yep, I could see that one. And 'cause I was on the other side, I tackled that, I was like, that's a lot of points, but Georgia State's been super banged up and that's obviously impacting some of your decision as well. Okay, we're all good. All right, let's review the locks we've got on the board so far, or actually the locks for Week 10. Moneyline sprinkles to come, but has Miami plus seven and a half, Alabama plus six and a half, Nebraska minus four, Tennessee minus six and a half, Tennessee, Missouri over, or Texas, excuse me, Missouri over 42 and a half, Oklahoma State team total over 34 and a half, Old Dominion plus seven, Arkansas State minus 14, Arizona State minus three, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State over 47 and a half and Baylor minus nine and a half. I've got Miami plus seven and a half, FAU team total over 32 and a half, Georgia minus three and a half, Utah minus four and a half, Ohio State first quarter, minus a half a point, Oklahoma State team total over 34 and a half, Minnesota plus six, Louisiana Tech minus five, Washington minus two and a half, Dan E's got Miami plus seven and a half, LSU minus five and a half, BYU, Utah under 49 and a half, Tennessee minus six and a half, Georgia, Ole Miss over 55 and a half, Missouri plus three, Minnesota plus six, UCLA, Minnesota under 39 and a half, Wake Forest minus 46 and a half and Tom's got, Notre Dame team total over 31 and a half, LSU minus five and a half, BYU, Utah over 48 and a half, Oregon, Ohio State over 46 and a half, Texas State, Oregon State under 71 and a half, Michigan minus 13 and a half, Mississippi State team total under 25 and a half, Arkansas State minus 14, Air Force, Army under 45 and a half, Houston minus 10 and a half, Georgia State, App under 55 and a half. And now it's time for money and line sprinkles for week 10. - Is that me or you? - Not me. - That was not me. - All right. - Probably too many tabs open. - All right. - What did you have like, is everything about to shut down? - Possibly. - It's the bud bot. - Or maybe a striker entering the studio, I don't know. - Okay, bud, Washington, last week, you called it. C'mon Williams, that's heroism for bud sprinkles. - Plus two 75, Virginia, UAB, San Jose State, Georgia Tech and Arizona State did not. Act as heroically as the mod Williams did, but the mod Williams, how about it? I was able to bring Clinton, Sin plus 194 home Wisconsin Cincinnati Boston College, not as much luck. That Danny goes over three on his sprinkles last week and Tom, you get both USC and Coastal Carolina, 223, 194 on those. So, Tom, since you cash two last week, I'll let you go first here. What are we sprinkling? - All right, I took the over in the game, but why not take the dog, too? Give me Oregon plus 275 at Ohio State. Just, I mean, I don't know what if Fahey doesn't get better. So, what if Oregon's just a better team? Give me Minnesota plus 184 at home against UCLA to end the undefeated season. And Minnesota is four and a one straight up as a home dog since the start of last season. They would not be the first time that they've pulled off and upset like this. And they usually haven't even played all that well while doing so. Give me Boston College plus 217 as a home dog against Florida State. We've seen that team quit with Mike Norvel as the coach. What do we know that they're going to do without him? And then do Robinson also out for the year? Got to think that's going to impact their offense. Why not do it again, Will? Give me Kentucky plus 210 on the road against Tennessee. And I'll also take Friday night, sorry, bud. You can have your little minus fourth. That's not going to win. Give me the Align Eye plus 178. And then finally, you know who's had a really bad week? Cody Campbell. Cody Campbell is probably going to lose his spot on the Texas Tech Board of Trustees because it is a governor appointed position and I don't know if you noticed what happened this week, but the governor in Texas has changed. It also means the PCSA probably dead in the water in Congress now with all the changes. So what if his week gets even worse? West Virginia plus 669 on the road at Texas Tech. Let's go. - I was leaking about that game. There is so much read option in that game. It could be real fun and stupid. And just like ripping off explosive runs left and right between Tommy Castellanus and Michael Hawkins. - Tom, we're thinking quite the same on some of these. I'll try to be a little bit different. Hokies plus 200 going into Dallas. Georgia Tech plus 506. This is exactly the type of game that this Louisville roster could lose. - Yep. - Oklahoma plus 210, right? Hey, better square your jaw. Talk of that chin strap, tighten your screws. - Tremel Jones also starting? - Florida's offense is look pretty bad for about three weeks now. I fully think that Oklahoma can shut that down and play some kind of ugly game there in the swamp. And then yeah, agreement with Tom, 2.75. Although Ohio State fans are telling us if they played great and there's nothing wrong with him, which has absolutely nothing to do with them. Not one in the committee to use that as an excuse for them getting left out. - Is the defense this fall? - Yeah, that's right. I am going to, I need to check my prices. I had 170, so obviously 184s. My best price available for Minnesota. That's what you offered there. FAU, I got 210. - I think there's 235, there was this morning. Yeah, 233. - Yeah, I'll take FAU to be able, if it's gonna be high scoring and back and forth and I've already locked up team total over. Clearly, I think this is a game that could be in the mix. 2-1, I like those odds. What if Max Cutforth can't cut it? What if Jim Mora, who said, what did Jim Mora Jr. say? He told reporters, he goes, "I'ma be an asshole." You know, like he's already, you know, fired defensive coordinators. I mean, we've had real, real low points in the Colorado State experience. Boise State coming in with Max Cutforth. Wouldn't it be hilarious? Give me Colorado State, plus 625? - 700. - Yep. - That's a big game hunting. And then I mentioned it earlier. Moneyline, alt line, I do generally agree that Michigan should put Michigan State in a body bag. But if you wanna ramp up the Kyle Wittingham Discourse after they were furious about playing too close with Rutgers, what happens if that little Paul Bunyan trophy ends up going to East Lansing? Give me Michigan State or 80? - 475. - 475, Michigan State. So FAU, Minnesota, Colorado State and Michigan State for my Moneyline Sprinkles, Danny's Moneyline Sprinkles, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, FAU. So the Iowa would be Northwestern. So Iowa to go and get the win against Northwestern to review one more time. Bud sprinkles this week Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Oklahoma and Oregon, VTGT, Minnesota, FAU, Colorado State, Michigan State, Danny's on Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, FAU, and Tom is sprinkling Oregon, Illinois, Minnesota, Boston College, Kentucky, and West Virginia. And those were the Moneyline Sprinkles for week number 10. - Whew, okay. - Is there anything else in the adjustments? - Are we locking up a kickball team here? - We'll cover three lock up my adult kickball team in the semifinals tonight, riding an eight game win streak and only one and a half run under dogs. - I mean, if you're on a eight game streak and you're a dog, somebody knows something. - Yeah, I was gonna say that suggests that there's a ringer on the other side. - I assume there's no home field advantage here, right? I mean, people-- - 'Cause it's all probably played at the same part. - That's what I'm saying. Yeah, it's not. - Neutral site, one and a half pull. How many innings, eight people in kickball? - Seven. - Do you think the other teams watching us right now or are they getting ready for the game? - Right. - Also, like, I mean, is this like a hookup kickball league or like they serious about kickball? 'Cause like I think the variance is higher when Neeter team really cares about winning. - There are about 20 more minutes of podcasting that we could keep going on that right there. - Yes, the picture healthy. How's the UCL on the picture looking? Is it getting a little barkey? - Dude, there's some like competitive kickball out there. I'm like, how much are you guys spending a fly over the country? It's entertainment obviously. - Fly all over the country. - I'm telling you, like some people find ways to spend their money. - We've got too much money out there, Chip. - There were very fun and not as competitive, but very fun adult kickball leagues running when I was in my 20s around Raleigh. And to your point bud, they were much more about setting up what happened afterwards than they were necessarily about the results of the game. - I'd rather bet, like, they're more serious about the beer pong afterwards than they were up about the actual game. - Ooh, yeah, there you go. College football tradition. It's, stream it. - Yeah. - We'll add it to the quad box. - Is it tonight or is it, it's not Saturday, right? - Yeah, he said tonight. - Okay, all right. - Yeah, we'll add it to the rotation. - Sure, good luck, good luck. As always, if you're here, if you're part of the cover three tailgate, we are going to hope that you have the best day possible. So I hope that y'all are able to keep it going and make it onto the championship. Show up in the cover three tailgate on Saturday night, college football tradition, and let us know how it goes. - We are going to be back. As I mentioned, 11.30 p.m., Eastern time, right around the conclusion of Miami Notre Dame and Georgia Ole Miss. Once those two games are final, we'll be going live to be able to break it down. Should be a massive show. We want you to come hang out youtube.com/coverthree. And you can follow him on Twitter at time. Now you can follow him at 1-0-3. You can follow me at chip underscore Patterson. Gentlemen, thank you very much. - Thank you, CEO. - Now streaming on Paramount Plus. - I'm Dexter Morvin. I've been killing killers for half my life. It gets to you. - You're having a midlife crisis. - I'm all ready for that. - He's back. I'm older. I'm wiser. And sharper than ever. - Things are going to get messy, but if I can't believe in my soul, I can't believe in anything. 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