Go back

Week 1 LOCKS 🔒 Best Bets, Against The Spread Picks, Moneyline Sprinkles & More! | Cover 3

78m 1s

Week 1 LOCKS 🔒 Best Bets, Against The Spread Picks, Moneyline Sprinkles & More! | Cover 3

The Cover3 podcast, hosted by Chip Patterson and a team of analysts, delivers in-depth college football coverage and betting insights for fans. A central theme is the use of data-driven analysis to evaluate game outcomes, including first-half totals, point spreads, and team performance trends. The hosts discuss matchups such as Oregon vs. Boise State, LSU vs. Clemson, and Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame, emphasizing defensive matchups, roster changes, and market value. A significant segment highlights the partnership with VistaPrint, where custom printing solutions are used to create professional, cohesive branding for events and audience engagement. Additionally, the podcast promotes betting platforms like CalShi and DraftKings, offering promotions and educational content on market dynamics. Throughout, the hosts blend entertainment with strategy, using real-time analysis and personal picks to engage listeners. The show also emphasizes a community-driven approach, with audience interaction, live chats, and shared picks reinforcing a collaborative and dynamic viewing experience. The episode concludes with a focus on emerging trends, including underdog value, early-season momentum, and the importance of team chemistry and defensive strength in shaping game outcomes.

Transcription

13797 Words, 71549 Characters

English
With the way that the Cover3 podcast has grown, it really has become its own small business. And there is nothing better than watching our brand for Cover3 step out from behind the microphone. And that's why VistaPrint is such an incredible partner for us. I was scrolling through the VistaPrint site recently while planning out our next live meetup and I was genuinely blown away at how easy it was to customize everything we needed. I ended up ordering eye-catching vinyl banners for our venue, premium embroidered polos for our podcast team and custom branded drinkware as giveaways for our listeners. Walking into an event with completely cohesive high quality products gives you that polished, established look that builds instant trust with your audience. As a true custom print expert, VistaPrint gives you so much more than what you paid for, helping you look like a top tier business without stretching your budget. With intuitive tools and trusted service supporting you at every step, it is no surprise that over 17 million small businesses rely on them. VistaPrint, print your possible. Right now, new customers get 20% off with the code [email protected]. That's 20% off at VistaPrint.com using code new20. Before the season kicks off, everyone's making predictions. Who wins the division? Who makes the playoffs? Who's lifting the trophy? On CalShi, America's number one prediction market platform, you can trade those predictions in a live market. Will Buffalo win the AFC Championship? Buffalo is currently trading at 14%, meaning a $100 trade would pay out $590 if they win their conference. On CalShi, your trading gets peers in a live market, and as the probability changes, you can buy in and out. Download the CalShi app and use code fan to get up to $500 in bonus credits when you trade $25. CalShi, trade on anything, AT&N up only, restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. CalShi products are not available in all jurisdictions. Prices, values, and available markets may differ from those mentioned. For more information, see CalShi.com/regulatory. Welcome back to the Cover 3 podcast with your host, Chip Patterson, Tom Fernelli, Danny Cannell, and Bob Elliott. It's your call for the best college football coverage from National Signing Day to the National Championship and everything in between. CBS Sports presents The Cover 3 podcast. And welcome back to The Cover 3 podcast. Here on CBS Sports, that's Tom Fernelli, that's Danny Cannell, that's Bob Elliott. I'm Chip Patterson, coming to you live at youtube.com/cover3. Everywhere you get your podcasts on a man, thanks for hanging out. Smash that subscribe, smash that like and comment, join us in the chat. Hey, hey, the Cover 3 tail gay, we're Derek Hit the Prop. When he said, I think Chip's gonna ask for likes to give some likes, you dag on, right, Derek? You get up the likes, we give you the locks. Then the locks move the lines. If you want to get ahead of the lines moving, you get up the likes. You give likes, we give locks. That's the way it goes. Here on a Thursday 11 a.m. Eastern time, lots to get to board it's loaded. So let's begin as we always do with a look back at the week that was. And it was a week that we do feel proud to show you here today, but two and O as he caches TCU North Carolina first half under 23 and a half. And also the full game under an NC State Virginia. He also comes through with the Memphis money, line, sprinkle, great start, bud. Feel free, any, any takeaways there, surprises, or even outside of those picks, anything that you're carrying and moving forward out of week zero. Man, like a lot of unders here, a lot of winners on unders. We saw unders get bet like crazy early this week, unders moving out of three to one ratio to overs as far as like the moves that were significant. So, I know we thought about that a lot in the off season. Our certain teams going to start to go slower, maybe copying what Indiana did last year. Who knows, but unders have been bet hard already this week. A lot of value been sucked out, but hey, we got a little value out of week one, or week zero. Look at that. Yeah, absolutely. Also tailgate, if you're watching along on youtube.com/cover3, you're loving the presentation. Everybody in the chat, let's get a little thank you striker, getting everything organized so that you can see all the picks, including the producer pick. Actually, you know what, he probably put in the new layout so that you can brag about his producer pick. Yeah, Tom, great call there. I went three and one for the week North Carolina first half plus six and a half cash, obviously full game as well. NC State Virginia first half under 27 and a half also came through with Eastern Michigan minus nine and a half. My loss for the week was with the seminars as a 17 point win does not get you home at 30 and a half. And then North Carolina on the money line three to one to get me started with sprinkles. I mean, if you think that that's got me reckless looking at the board for week one, the answer is you tell him right. You'd be right. Yeah, absolutely. It is. It's just going to be a Mac day Mac Patterson right here by the time we get the money line sprinkles. Danny one and two we don't love that, but we did get in that TCU North Carolina under 47 and a half after the first quarter. My man was sweating in the group chat, but just diamond hands, the whole way, bringing it home. Thank you for all of the the offense of ineptitude on both those teams. NC State not close Florida State as well one and two and then NC State was your your money line sprinkle. How are we getting back up off the mat DK? It's not how you start time finish. That's just the motto that I keep coming back to week zero doesn't even really count my book. I mean, I don't think we should count it to the official count until we get a little more intel, but this is where my season begins. Listen, that Virginia is one and only conference play DK. That is in the race for Charlotte. They are there. Tom, three and oh week for you. TCU TCU UNC under comes home. The NC State Virginia under comes home and then yeah, North Dakota State and absolute hornet snest they race out to an early lead and run away with it. First half minus three and a half never a doubt. You also get in with Memphis on your money line sprinkle. What are we taking away? Can't go undefeated on the season if you don't start undefeated in the first week. See? There you go. Just rack them up. Producer pick. Sac State team total under 21 and a half. Striker, do you want to jump in here and offer any takeaways in terms of how sweaty that did or did not get? I was sweating it out during the live show, but once we finished up, watched a cash and that's all that matters. That's all that matters. As long as we see green on the board and the dentist comes through as well. All right. Let's get week zero behind us. All eyes on the board ahead and so gentlemen, I ask you. You all ready to lock it up? Yes, sir. Since 2005, the under in games between servicemen is 40 past nine and one. Give me an over and this one as well. A little two for one special. I was sick. I last week y'all were watching the good games. I was live betting a hill at a ULM cookie. My blue plate special five star locks are coming. Five star master lock lock it. I love these locks. I'm I'm living and dying every point of every cover. From the locking chair to your eyes and ears, we begin as we always do with a look at the week night action here on a Thursday night. We got Colorado Georgia Tech Illinois UAB. I would call those your headliners. Keep an eye on Wake Akron, Rutgers, UMass and so much more from Thursday. Slate tailgate was talking about dabbling in Missouri. Maybe Missouri to win by shut out props. Spicy spicy. Who wants to take the lead here, Tom? You are up three units. Do you have a Thursday play? I don't. It's okay. All right. But Thursday play. Got anything? Thursday play. Oh, man. Looking at the board here. Yeah, I actually do. Let's go ahead and see what is still live. We're going to take Miami first half minus 13 and a half. Okay. It's Friday, but I'll take it. Oh, sorry. My bad. It's all good, but we're doing Thursday and Friday with the commercial break. Say you're good. Okay. Yeah. All right. First play. Miami minus 13 and a half, first half. I was impressed by what Stanford did given who they had out on the offensive line. I'm not sure if they get those guys back this week, right? And I don't know that what they did really is going to work against Miami. I think Miami, like I think they're going to play for the national title. And so, you know, I still think Stanford is pretty clearly like on bottom 10, you know, power four team. And I just think this is this should be 14 and it's not. Anybody else? I guess I guess we're going into Friday now, too. Hold on a second. I wrote down four bets for Thursday night. Yeah. I'm trying to dial them back. Four bets for Thursday. That's too many. So I got to use some restraint here. I mean, I'm shocked. You're not going with the back and the fighting line. I mean, I there. I was looking at that number. I won't lock it up. Well, that's a Saturday. Oh, sorry. I mean, listen, you yell at me about not knowing rotation number. Sounds like the rotation numbers ain't locked in on the schedule. That's right. That's right. take Colorado Georgia Tech first half under 26 and a half. The total. Bobby Dodd first sell out for a midweek game since 1999. Alberto Mendoza, what's he gonna be? We don't know. Justice Haynes, they're gonna run the football. They want to go slow. Go go wants to go fast with Julian Lewis and company. I've heard all about them wanting to run the football too. I think you could see these offences with some new pieces struggle earlier. Remember, Georgia Tech new offensive coordinator as well. Little sluggish out of the gate first half under 26 and a half. I also am attacking the first half, but I'll lay the points with the yellow jackets saw this at first half minus three and a half. My hunch is that Georgia Tech wins this game. My acknowledgement of the spread, whether it's six and a half, seven and a half or whatever might happen between now and kickoff is that you are dealing with an offense where Danny Scadero, Cam Perry, Juju Lewis, the go-go offense, you do have a little bit of backdoor potential and it's possible that if Georgia Tech gets on a gets a lead, they could try to lean on it, sit on it with some of that physicality. Now, however, with the environment that you were talking about down on the flats, I think they come out rip, roaring, ready to go. George Godsee, first game stepping into that offensive coordinator role. He's an old, old friend of Brent Key. Very similar vision in terms of the way that they see this. I think that Georgia Tech is going to come out. They're going to mash early. They're able to score one touchdown, maybe tack on a field goal as well. And that maybe the go-go offense playing on the road in this week one start takes a little bit before they get settled in and get comfortable. Again, my hunch would be to just go ahead and take Georgia Tech full game. My best bet, my lock for this one is going to be Georgia Tech first half minus three and a half. I like the under two, obviously, but kind of seeing it the same way in terms of the game script and way this goes. I also want to bet on Miami-State for game. I know it doesn't have any Thursday, but I saw but had that one on there. I'm going to go total game over 47 and a half. I think my off of Miami's offense. I know it's late. I know it's Stanford. It's Palo Alto. It's sleepy. They're offense. I think should come out without being able to miss a beat. I've said on the record, I think Terry and Mensa is an upgrade. I think Stanford, though, too. This is one of those kind of backdoor late. They could throw it around the defensive pieces that are gone. Davis Warren did throw for 300 yards. I think it could be a struggle. I think Miami could get close to this number by themselves. All I need is maybe 10 points from Stanford. I think they could get it. So I'll go over 47 and a half. I have one more Thursday piece before we move on. It is not my play. It is just something that I need to share with our audience because it made me smile from ear to ear. The fact of the matter is, I can't offer it because it's not my pick. I'm not no stolen baller here. I was on the early edge at 10 a.m. youtube.com/sportsline sports lines daily picks show. I'm on it every single Friday, but hey week one Thursday. Absolutely. I'll jump on there. Tom Cassali floored me. He said, you mass team total over 10 and a half. Yeah. You mass playing against Rutgers with pop lots and the former VT quarterback in some transfer portal additions that running back at wide receiver and Rutgers defense was straight cheeks last season. So I'm just sharing that for like, because I literally there are people who are in the tailgate now who are in that chat earlier. I'm not even going to pretend to try to go stolen baller on this one. I get called out right away. So this is only me sharing. If you want some action on the six o'clock PM Eastern time kickoff, the very first kickoff on big 10 network of the entire week one slate. Rutgers team total over 10 and a half is a beautiful you mass. Excuse me. When you mass team total over 10 and a half at Rutgers is a beautiful way to get your day started along the way. It was on the sheet. Okay. So you you're seeing it too. You're seeing this as the as the potential for market eight caught up and Rutgers defense is not better. Yeah. I think this is a game like the way I attacked it was some altovers. Well, like Rutgers still gets out. Yeah. Also like Joe Harris semi-ac used to work for Giano. Right. So that kind of goes against the alt like assuming those two still have good relationship. That kind of goes against the altover principle. But I do think that you mass offense is probably a good bit better than you mass defense. Yep. All right. Turning to Friday. I'm not going to jump in on Miami Stanford. Tom, what do you have for Friday? I've got nothing on Friday. I'm a Saturday boy. Man, keeping it tight. No problem at all. Man gets named the number one college football media personality. It's just Saturday for the boys. It's full bar stool. There's nothing on these weeknight games that I like enough to lock up. Yeah. That's fair. I mean, it's all right. We USC Fresno. No, I've got something for Friday. Okay. Is it does it need the sound? It does. And we're going to yeah. Oh, it needs the sound. All right. I'm glad I stretched. It's time for sicko mode. Let's go. A little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the sun belt. If things go wrong, they could be like you mass. That's kind of like sicko mode of a sicko mode. All right. So this is only up on a couple, but they are the big books. So, you know, little mean media and deviation here, guys. We're going with the Sooners to shut out you tap in the first half. You tap team total under one of the half points in the first half. Let's catch this thing. I think that Oklahoma defense is awesome. That you tap offensive line is completely rebuilt. I have a hard time seeing them score in here. So let's go. So I'm so happy you did that. And obviously, I am disgusting as well because I know off the top of my head, the full game team total was five and a half. Yeah. And it was very much something I was sniffing around. This you tap offensive line is like straight juco. Yeah. Buddy, I do think they could be better in conference play, but this is a different beast that is the Oklahoma defense of line. I think they'll come out fired up and push the shut out the first half. We cannot identify individual, like individual position groups necessarily and rank them against all the FPS and FCS. But like this has to be one of the greatest. The Oklahoma defense of front against you taps offensive line is one of the most sideways mismatches and games that I will watch at some point because of course it's Oklahoma, right? This is a very important team. We're going to be watching them. There's a lot this season and talking about them. I mean, we got a lot of red over here. We got a lot of green over here on the matchup card. Yeah. Buddy Stevens gets fired and now you're just out here disparaging juco chip. Now juco ball is asked what's juco blind can't block Oklahoma. Is that what you're telling me Mr. Air Force JV now all of a sudden juco is nothing. I do not think junior college can block Oklahoma. I do not think Davidson College can block Oklahoma. I do not think many universities and institutions of higher learning can block Oklahoma and trying to win the SEC probably means you better have an offensive line that can block Oklahoma. There are some juco guys who could block Oklahoma's front. Those juco guys do not sign with you tap. Oh yes. Justice for juco hashtag. Let's get it going. They've gotten their they've gotten their act together and and they've gotten picked up by Missouri. North Carolina wins one game and now chip is too good for juco ball. Yeah. I guess so. I guess that's the way to be. All right. Anything else for Friday? Nope. All right. No one more. Okay. Michigan State Toledo under 46 and a half. I know. I know. You want to take you want to take Toledo. That's what you really want to do. But there's a time in the show for that. But for this one, I think that you've got the opportunity to take a Michigan State team obviously game one under Pat Fitzgerald. He's coming in and I am not overwhelmed with the explosiveness or the potential of this team being able to go out there and I really light up the scoreboard. I think that I think this game could be a little rock fighting, a little lower scoring rock fighting. Well, I am disgusted by your hatred of lower level football. I still root for the show. So I'm going to give you the 47 and a half that's out there. Okay. Let's go. Let's go. All right. Unless you want the 46. I know how you are about your chip line value. So I don't know. I'll take it. I'll always take it in this competition is the one that means the most to me. So I'll say I'll take the best I can get. We'll take trying to win at the margins when you play against the elite. All right. Coming up on the other side, turning our attention to some of the biggest games of Saturday, Sunday, Monday and more. The Cover 3 podcast is proudly brought to you by our friends at Homefield, the undisputed leader in premium vintage collegiate apparel. It's made by and for true college football fans. Forget about cheap materials or boring low effort designs. Homefield obsessively researches every single detail. We're talking the way it feels and the way it looks from. ultra-soft fabrics and perfect fits to iconic retro logos, Homefield delivers gear that truly defines your game day. They carry unique designs for over 180 partner schools, offering everything from cozy crew necks and hoodies to retro style jackets and top tier hats. Plus, they just launched the stadium polo inspired by those bold, vibrant game day vibes. I already grabbed the stadium polo for myself and my family is already eyeing their incredible retro crew necks because the designs are just unreal. You can shop the very best in game day apparel for your team now with Homefield and let them know cover 3 sent you. Take 20% off your first purchase with code cover3 at checkout. That's C-O-V-E-R-3. No spaces at [email protected] or on the Homefield app. Homefield, the official outfitter of cover3 and your game day. The weight is over. Football is here and so is DraftKings. DraftKings is now live in all 50 states. One app, every sport nationwide. New DraftKings customers can sign up with the code cover3 and spend five bucks to get $200 in rewards within 21 days. That includes all markets and coms when you use code cover3. That's T-H-R-E-E. Spell it out. Code cover3 when you sign up. In partnership with DraftKings, the crown is yours. Gambling problem called 1-800-Gambler. 1-800-Myreset. Connecticut call 888-789-77777. Visit ccpg.org on behalf of Boot Hill Casino in Kansas. Bet tax pass through may apply in Illinois. 21+ void in Canada. Bet with DraftKings sportsbook to get bonus bets that expire in seven days or trade with DraftKings predictions to get prediction dollars that expire in one year. Event contract trading involves risk of loss. Predictions offer void in New York. Nonwithdrawable rewards issued as $50 click to claims every seven days for 21 days. Terms at DKNG.co/offer. Limited time offer. Nationwide based on sportsbook, predictions, and free-to-play sports contests availability varies by state. Back here on the cover3 podcast, point of clarification before we won't get the full doc run down in a little bit. I do want to be clear, you messed team total over 10 and a half, not my pick. I literally just heard somebody else say it right before the show, so I don't want that as like stolen valor. Is that okay? So you're not locking it up? No, I'm just sharing it for entertainment purposes with our audience. Oh, okay. I thought you were locking it up. No, I didn't. I tried to indicate that. I thought you were pretty clear. Okay. I'm going to a little arrogant now. I mean, he's got a big head. He's kind of just doesn't pay attention to us little guys. Oh, I'm sorry. Do you want to do the doc while trying to do a show, sir? All right. We quit on Saturday. You know where you'll be 3.30 p.m. Eastern time just waiting for big time on CBS. Getting started out in Eugene, Oregon with Austin Stadium. I'm fired up here at Charles Davis, our friend who is going to be in the booth with Brad Nestle or Jenny Del on the call as well. A lot of Oregon. There's going to be a lot of good understanding to tell the story of what this team is like. So many pieces that are back from a group that made the final four a year ago won the big 10 two years ago. And now they're looking to take that next step when it comes to national title contention. Poise State, we have detailed extensively making the move to the pack 12. So there's a little bit of a statement opportunity here. If you want to think down the line on college football playoff potential, I mean, they lost Oregon when they made the college football playoff, but that competitiveness in the game was mentioned throughout their season as a reason to favor them as being something close to a top 10 team. So Oregon, Poise State, who's got a luck? Nothing. Danny. I do. Yeah, I've got one. I'm going to go. I think Oregon absolutely dominates this game from start to finish. I think the best thing that Dan landing has going for him is everyone has talked about the 24 24 matchup. When Ash and Jenny put the Poise State Broncos on his back almost had him an upset of, you know, incredible magnitude when it was what 3734. Poise State does not have Ash and Jenny anymore. Maddox Madsen is a quarterback who has been pretty good when he's playing against other equal level schools. When he plays against the power four, when he plays against some of the heavyweights, it has not been as successful. Give me Poise State team total under 13 and a half. Oregon's defense. Yeah, we got to reverse the vibes, Danny. I think that Poise State has not answered any of my pre fall camp concerns along their offensive line and they're going up against one of the best defensive lines in the country. I think that is a horrible, horrible state of circumstances going into this stadium, going up against this defense and with Chris Hampton's promotion to defensive coordinator, I think that everybody on that defensive side of the ball is going to be properly locked in ready to try to keep them as close to a shutout as possible. So yeah, I'm right there with you, only a couple scores and definitely not to touch downs. Does the second half of last year's James Madison playoff game concern you boys at all? Little bit. Ooh, that's fair. Yeah, that's fair. Well, hey, listen, did that team win the National Championship? No. Okay. What are you trying to do, Oregon? Right. Well, if Boise State scores 14 points or more, Oregon is not winning an Arsenal title. I am curious to like, how much do they play Dylan Raula here? Like, do they come in and let him, you know, chuck it around? I don't know. Would you be worried about that as a way for Boise State to score because they'd get more possessions, better field position? In theory, but like to Tom's point about like, yes, I am worried about it, but I'm also, I guess I'm more interested in it. Like, how do they handle? What happens after that? That's fair. Are you guys, are we, anybody else have anything on this? I'm Oregon. Okay, let's, are you ready for Clemson LSU? No, you guys have something here? Yeah, I want Boise first to have team total under six and a half. I know this is like plus. I know this is plus money. I just think Oregon's defensive line comes out and whips whips Boise State up front. It's, it's not unity, but it's, it's certainly an alliance. You know what, you want the unity on it? I don't, you lit the whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. I'm not going to, you, you got to do you, okay? Yeah, I actually, I'd rather have, I'd rather have first half. Yeah, stick to your cap. We're all rooting for the same stuff, okay? It's easier for us to get to where we want to go if you get to where you want to go. Let's go. All right. This Clemson at LSU. We've talked about the game extensively. Now I've only got one more question. Who's got a lock? I finally do. All right. Give me LSU minus 10. I mean, I've been standing on a mountain top yelling about Clemson for a while now. I, I don't think this program is in a good spot. I am very concerned about, you know, the quarterback situation that they have, they've lost their best offensive lineman from that team last year and that offensive line to me while it was improved was still not very good. I defensively, I don't know what they, they lost pretty much their best players on defense. Their secondary, the last few years has kind of dropped off a bit in my estimation from the standard that it had had. They still had good players, but just overall, I don't think that they have been as good. And then this LSU team, I do worry about everything going on around LSU right now, but I just look at these rosters, man, and you can't tell me LSU isn't far more talented than this Clemson team is. And Lane's had, and this, this staff has had all off season to get ready for this game. It's Baton Rouge. It's the first game of the Kiffin era. I just have to believe that they are going to come out and they're going to be looking to make a statement this week against a good quality opponent. So yeah, LSU minus 10. You need to just stay in your lane, Tom. Just stay in your lane. No, it's not a fight. It's not a fight. I'm going to take the under 50 and a half in the game total. And this kind of does hedge a little bit because I think if it does get sideways, I think Clement, Fizzina, making his first start offensive line questions for Clemson as well. They could get, you know, they could get close to shut out if it gets sideways. It's ugly. But I also think Clemson's defense is pretty physically stout. I give Tom Allen. I think he's one of the better coordinators out there to last year kind of fell apart. I think this team plays hard. I think they will throughout the entire game. And I'm not so sold that Sam Levitt without any reps in the spring is just going to come in there and light up everybody. So I'll go under 50 and a half on the game. Sort of with you both there. We are going Clemson team total under 20-and-a-half oh good number I don't trust Vazina. I don't trust the I don't trust the run game I Do think keeping Blake Baker is like the some measure of stability for LSU as the defense coordinator I think some of those young guys we talked about on the cover for your recruiting show with Andrew Ivens yesterday Which by the way if you're in our audio audience You should watch this on YouTube because we have clips of all these guys or you probably a lot of them at least But you probably haven't seen before it I would not really enjoy that as nearly as much as an audio experience I think it's something that probably needs to be seen visually so That's one you should check out on YouTube and tap did a great job producing it for us That's right. Let's go check it out Sunday Ole Miss Lula Do as a procedure when do we do the Selection of the thing I just put in the private chat whenever you are Whenever you're gonna talk about it. You say and this is let's go. Yeah, so this is your three-star that was a team total Chris Casino not being worth the damn is my three-star Hey, let's say that one more time and everybody else be quiet because that could be a banger Chris Pazina not being worth the damn is my cover three-star lock So let's go or three points right? It's we're three. It's a it's a three-unit play. Yeah, I think he's bad Everyone gets one three-star lock a week per week. Yeah per week And we have to use it. Yes. Okay. We didn't have to use it last week because the slate was losing three units to them Yeah, it's a three-star. You either win three or lose three. It is a swing play. That's huge Yeah, I like it. This isn't if we just It's good. Also, we have they're called okay G's all right our kind of guys. It's right It's something that I think will become a theme this year. There's a thematic theme to our buddy From the volunteer state All right, here we go. I'm keying at out two games for my picks this weekend. Can you guys guess which ones they are? I would guess it's LSU and Ole Miss shocking. Yeah, throughout throughout time there has been a struggle between darkness and light Oh, let me scan us make sure there's nothing really All right, if any if any of the fair could run that we can run this all right Throughout time there has been a struggle between darkness and light good and evil those who care for others And want to make the world a better place for sociopaths who are willing to burn it all down for their own glory We all know that good prevails in the long run, but at times it feels like the dark side is winning Will Davo take advantage of this opportunity strike a blow and wouldn't it be hilarious if Give me the K club thickness club Nick lists Clemson Tigers plus ten and a half Let's go. Are there any ten and a half left out there hold on. Yeah. Yeah, there's definitely Yeah, I think I'm seeing like a lot of ten and a half. Yeah, no, there's plenty Listen while we are on the topic of the Dennis. I mean, we did almost have to take out a restraining order at one time But but we luckily we feel better about a safe environment here. So we've got a we've we've got to actually Take it to take it somewhere where the vibes are electric Where the music is bumping I think we got to take this thing on we got to take this thing to club cans This is a producer tasks um props that I just thought I had to pull out here for week one Let's go. Let's go. How are we doing? I'm excited now. I've I will say I haven't been able to talk about college football as much as I typically do So this is going to be my space where I can talk college football instead of NFL this year So I hope you guys can give me that a safe space to do so always try. I make you try. Hey, well, yeah No promises, but we can give you our best effort. They they call us woke this off season remember So I think we say space start kind of our life. Yeah Yeah, you guys are really cool and hip that is what everyone says on the street the rimers are true Um two picks one is a home slight dog. We're gonna go with Nevada at home First Western Kentucky a tale of home and road splits. We're talking about Western Kentucky 11 points worse on the road Nevada not an easy place to play at and again I'm not that impressed with Western Kentucky by any means and the fact that it's around one and a half something I like Nevada We have put the 40 yard rush advantage and Western Kentucky with more interceptions Even though we have them rejected for the same passing touchdowns again the home and road splits I don't like and the way Nevada finished the season last year I think this line is set because of their under 500 record But they held Boise State to 24 which relatives seem pretty good at the time and like the way they finish the season I think is where this line should be set closer to so give me a slight plus money dog at home Then we're going jm you we still get minus six and a half so I want to act on that now before that goes over that key number I like that we get six and a half I feel like this is more a vibes play of like if our good friend Billy didn't Fail on the highest level. This would be considered a very exciting higher And I'm usually a girl. It's all about returning production But when you have high profile recruits coming from Florida replacing your returning production at jm you like that I can handle so I feel like Liberty they weren't great on the road I think one in five they were against the spread on the road here and jm you was a great home team as well So more home and road splits feel like we got to give Billy a better shot even though he didn't do great in his Most previous position, but I like that too. This is a safe space and I want you to be safe and we're welcoming you back So I'm gonna give you the six you don't even you don't have that hook to worry about Yeah, you want a stat for Nevada if it benefits me, bud. Yeah, elevation difference Like despite the fact that West Kentucky is the hill toppers their stadium is only about 500 feet above sea level Nevada's like 4500 feet above sea level so like that that is I have that highlighted Oh one more this is more of just a talking point I never bet on Georgia Massive spreads because we're notoriously horrible at covering them With that said I do think books. I've now adjusted to how bad we are I covering these big spreads and we're quote-on-quote only 47 and a half point North Dakota State beat Tennessee State 59 53 last year So now it almost feels disrespectful that we're rocking a similar line to what North Dakota State was rocking last year and he thought on that I was advising my My friends to just take the first half spread or first quarter, but Kirby just doesn't run it up It's just one of the thing despite the fact that I hate Georgia's backup quarterbacks This is absolutely on my sheet is a lock. I just can't make it my three-star Like Georgia minus 47 lock it up for sure. I think two years ago it would have been like 53 and a half But they're just so bad for whatever reason I covered me. This is a bad FCS team Yeah, there's there's levels to this thing like like they're not quite Savannah State bad But like this is not a decent FCS team. No, no all right. Let me see if you're better bud Yeah, the only thing the backup quarterbacks need to do is hand off and they can still put 63 points on the board Yeah, I guess yeah Absolutely, so before you go though, I know you're gonna do a lot of NFL this season I know you've had a lot of time to research the New England Patriots this offseason over under the Patriots wind total That's what I want to know. Where do you stand? You know what? I think I think they have some good value to win the AFC he's still I'm not in on the DJ Moore's gonna fix our whole team situation Like I had a prock in like a 29 1/2 receiving yard line towards the end of the year Like I don't know what will it that's gonna do for them Projecting another long season for the Pats We are happy to have you back McKenzie Brooks Club Kins we will we'll look forward to having you join us on all the lockspots appreciate it Coming up on the other side we turn our attention to Sunday Monday the full board and more next Back here on the cover 3 podcast Sunday's action includes a couple big games with top 10 teams Ole Miss taking on Louisville in the only ranked on ranked game of the week. Who's got a lock? I do Give me Louisville plus seven. I I'm betting on big game braham I think coming into this matchup, you know a lot of changes with Ole Miss over the AFCs And I don't know if you heard about them, but Lane Kiffin actually left he went and he took the LSU job He took a lot of players with him and I look at this Ole Miss squad and Trinidad is back and Trinidad rules, but I think Trinidad also covered up the fact that that defense had some really good players last year But I don't think it was a great defense and I think most of those really good players are gone And I'm kind of questioning how good this Ole Miss defense will be I know they brought in some new guys in the portal, but again big game braham game planning I think that Louisville is going to be able to move the ball pretty effectively here I think Louisville is going to score points I don't know if they're going to win the game But I believe they are going to keep this one pretty damn close and they do have a shot to pull off the upset So give me the cards plus seven I'm going to go under 55 and a half here This is one that I've liked all off season. I do think that Louisville is going to run Lincoln King hole is quite a bit I don't really trust him as a passer, but I do think he's a really good athlete and probably underrated in that way. A couple things, Louisville is a really good pass rush, and Ole Miss has to replace both tackles. I think I like the guys they took there, but we will see just how good they are. I know Louisville's edge rushers are really solid. I think Ole Miss linebackers are criminally underrated, and I think they can probably run with Keenholz pretty well. I think they went out and just got some competent guys in the secondary. I think Ole Miss has upgraded their secondary. Will Eccles is really nasty inside. To Tom's point, for sure, I don't know if it's an amazing defense, I think it's a decent defense. Give me 155 and a half. Also the dentist does have a pick here. Do we need double drill? Yes. All right. There are a few things I expect to have a big impact with Louisville and Ole Miss on Sunday. One, a much improved defense from Ole Miss versus a banged up offensive line from Louisville. Two. Louisville breaking a new quarterback, but returning a solid backfield. Isaac Brown, of course. Yeah. Three, it sounds like the UL kicking game is a concern. Man, he is deep diving this thing. I had not really considered the Louisville kicking game. This has been leaning under, but I'm not sure I want the full game under in case this one gets wild. So give me the first half under 28 and a half. Also give me the Rebels minus six and a half, even though I'm nervous AF about this game. What was the total on the first half? 28 and a half. 28 and a half, he said. 28 and a half and the second pick was what? Ole Miss minus six and a half. Okay. I'm going to let the children sing with Tom for Nelly. Let's go. College football is number one favorite analyst. I think Jeff Brown is one of the more underrated coaches. I think he has a huge advantage here that not a lot of people know what keynotes can do in the run game or the past game, like it is an unknown commodity. Isaac Brown, I think, is a stud. They also have the other brown in the backfield too. And I think their physicality, they did replace a couple of pieces, but they went out and got a transfer from Purdue, a transfer from Miami, some big bodies to fill the interior. I think they're usually able to handle the physicality, mention that on our show earlier in the week. I think they'll be okay there. I think this is a tighter game, especially if it's a full touchdown. I'll take that with Louisville. Also on Sunday night, Lambo Field is where we will get to see the Notre Dame fight Josh in the chat calling you the bush, but yeah, and now the Yeti brought to you by Danny Canal. Also on Sunday night, Lambo Field Notre Dame get started against Wisconsin. We don't need to know what you're tipping the valet. We need to know if you've got a lock. I have one. Let's go. And you know what, it's a three star lock. This is probably the set, yeah, okay. Give me the under 47 and a half in Wisconsin Notre Dame. I see this game playing out one of two ways. Either Notre Dame's defense completely overwhelms this Wisconsin offense and they win going away, which probably not going to get to 48, you could have like a 38 to seven kind of game. Or Wisconsin's offense is able to at least slow the game down and make it muddy and it's defense which improved as a year went on last year. It's able to also slow down to Notre Dame offense that we know the offensive line is great, but we think the skill position players are going to be good. We don't know for sure. They might not be great, especially in the first game of the season. So Wisconsin might be able to muddy it up and keep it closer and then also keep it lower scoring in the process. So the way as I see it going are typically lower scoring in this one. So yeah, under 47 and a half, my three star cover three, three star lock of the week. I got to decide something here. I got one in this one too. Yeah, you go. I'm going to go with Wisconsin first half plus 11 and a half kind of similar to what Tom's thinking I think this game could be a little bit of sluggish start. What is what what does Notre Dame look like? CJ Carr without those pieces. I think Wisconsin's defense will come out, you know, ears pinned back. I think if anything Notre Dame probably the depth of this roster takes control late. They're able to pull away. It could be a little bit of a rock fight early. So I think Wisconsin can keep it inside that number in the first half. So I kind of feel like the full game total is assuming that Notre Dame lets off the gas a little bit, right? And they didn't at the end of last year, like they were pounding people. And I think Marcus Freeman kind of knew what was up, like they like they knew their schedule on the back half was not was not great and he needed some resume, resume points. We talked on the Tuesday, a big game breakdown on, you know, on this channel about how like this might be their fourth best resume point in front of the committee, you know, national TV game that everybody will actually be watching. I prefer first half under here, like I have some 48 and pocket that obviously got hit already. So give me under 24 and a half in the first half. I do think Wisconsin's defense will give it an inspired effort. Still question the fit of the quarterback that Wisconsin took. I mean, I think he's a high variance player and so maybe it works, maybe it doesn't. And pretty sketch on the Wisconsin offensive line against the Irish after fickle's comments this week. Lay it 20 and a half, Notre Dame wins this thing by three touchdowns. I think they're going to, I think they are going to roll through their schedule the way that old, like mid 2000's dominant teams did they've got three games that everyone's going to get excited about and everything else is just going to be just absolute blood bath. 20 and a half, right? I get to 20. Yeah. Let's go Irish lay it and I, but I do think there's a potential that they're nasty and not nasty as in good. Like nasty isn't just a mean team, you know, yeah, but does he run it up on on his former co-worker? Yes. No problems. Yeah. No, this, this is. Sorry, bud. Yeah. You got to send a statement to your locker room, you know, like you've got to, absolutely. Did the producers have anything to say about this game? It's time for the producer pick. Of course we have something for this game after we saw Luke fickle, tipped the valet just $3, we were going under the team total for the badgers to have only proper way to follow up sack states team total under caching for us in week zero. You'd look at this Wisconsin offense and it is straight cheeks. We are not high on them at all. The model from sports line actually has this game at 36 to 11, which cash is bud in Tom's under, it caches chips, spread, and it caches the producer pick, striker pull up the graphic. So yeah, you know, we're going to come with the graphic every time, so research put this one together. This is them Wisconsin against top five opponents, they only average 12 game, Notre Dame coming off being left out of the CFP. They're going to have a little chip on their shoulder. And like Taff said, Luke that fickle is going to settle for some threes and not touchdowns. Let's go. You're getting crushed for your name, saying it's a country club name. Do you want to tell them where you're from? Yeah, I'm from Pinehurst, North Carolina, I'm not wrong. There we go. Shout out CCNC. I tweeted out, I was at the UVA game last weekend watching NC State get whooped at a bachelor party with my boys and I tweeted out, Charlottesville should no longer be called a wine and cheese crowd. And the amount of re-tweets that I got that said, how ironic it is coming from a guy named Taff. I had to do it for a few days, but we're back. I mean, that is a very like like braided belt pleated shorts are back in tweet if we ever sing one. Yeah, who is like, who has a greater chance to stick a number one, Taffed as the number one like fratius name in college football media or Fernelli is number one overall college football personality on chip, what's it called? What? I mean, that's the number one in the world. It's just the world. Yeah. Yeah. It's the world. I don't know if you guys. I got trophy back. Yeah, I don't see Taff. Do you have a country club named trophy because I have one that says, I'm number one. Boy, that CCNC club championship is intense. Yeah. Love that. All right. We're all in line. Producer pick producers have their own drop. This is exactly exactly what we were hoping for. We appreciate all of the good work and research is being put in right there. All right. Now we're going to open this thing up, okay, full Saturday board. Tom's three stars out, Bud's three stars out. Danny and I still have ours ready to go in the interest of making sure that everything gets accounted for. Danny, do you know which pick is going to be your three cover three cover three three star lock of the week? Sure. All right. I'm confident. Let's go. Michigan. The Michigan Wolverines are playing in state rival Western Michigan. It is the start to the Kyle Woodingham era. They are laying 27 and a half right and get it under the 28 27 and a half. You want to come out. You want to come out strong. You want to build up price underwoods confidence You'd love to get them some numbers. They're gonna run the fall of football saving on hider watch out for the young back This will be an absolute massacre coming out the gates for the Michigan Wolverines. I'll lay it with the big favorite Anybody else jumping on that as a as a as a individual lock No, but it's it's the only way I'd play it correct I that's kind of the my sense here my Cover three star. It's about It's about rivalry, you know, it's about it's about when when somebody just packs up and leaves Bro, we still had time left on our lease and then they sue you and they want to get out of that lease And this is gonna be intense When Wyoming and Colorado state are squaring off for game one of the Jim Moore junior era It's gonna be so tight. It's gonna be played in a phone booth And it is not a conference under a boy we got a lot of tape Wyoming, Colorado state under 46 and a half is my cover three star lock of the week I don't hate that at all There's a few lines a little too high time It ain't windy angle be windy for those who've been asking 91 You know this game is I think about six or seven o'clock Eastern time so you're dealing with late afternoon out there in Colorado 10 mile an hour winds, which you know, that's that's fine. Nothing. It's not nothing But this is not a windy and Laramie angle here that this is about what I'm expecting From a game where Colorado state has changed over a lot as Jim Moore junior is taken over But I do think that it is not a far trip. It is a little bit of familiarity a whole lot of tape and Wyoming in general, you know sometimes likes to play these in a little bit of a phone booth So if if we got a total in the upper forties Under's in the forties for your shorties cover three star lock for me will be under I guess 46 and a half Still what was it? Yep. Yeah, pain it across the board is what I saw this morning So that's what I'll be doing as my cover three star lock of the week All right before we open up the board now that everyone's cover three star locks are out Let's do a quick review of the action. We got but on Miami first half minus 13 and a half You tap first half team total under one and a half boys He first half team total under six and a half Clemson team total under 20 and a half Georgia minus 47 Louisville Ole Miss under 55 and a half Wisconsin Notre Dame first half under 24 and a half I've got Georgia Tech first half minus 3 and a half Toledo, Michigan state under 47 and a half Boise State team total under 13 and a half Notre Dame minus 20 Wyoming, Colorado State under 46 and a half Danny's got Colorado Georgia Tech first half under 26 and a half Louisville plus 7 Boise State team total under 13 and a half Clemson LSU under 50 and a half Miami Stanford over 47 and a half Wisconsin first half plus 11 and a half Nice again minus 27 and a half and Tom's got LSU minus 10 Louisville plus 7 Wisconsin Notre Dame under 47 and a half All right, Tom full board every game that's left is is yours to choose from where would you like to take us? I'd like to take you to Bloomington, Indiana Where the defending national champions are opening their season against whatever the hell is left of North Texas after Eric Morris Went to Oklahoma State took everybody with him and new coach Neil Brown had about two weeks and 50 bucks to put together a brand new football team And we'll remember I mentioned this on the show yesterday on CBS Sports Network When we were talking to Sig and Chicago at big 10 media days, but asked him like what wins made you the angriest last year First one he said well that old dominion game didn't really make me feel very good because you remember they came out against old dominion First game the season first game with Fernando And they looked like ass like they won the game, but they struggled quite a bit and I think that that is something that Sig has been hammering home to his boys heading into this one where We've we've got to defend our title We we want it and they still don't believe in us They're we're pick pick and teams are going to win national titles We're one of the seven people are picking but we're not the one they're picking the most We're not even starting the season ranked number one We got a send a message. We've got to kill this North Texas team And damn it. I think they're going to give me Indiana minus 40 and a half. It is going to be bloody Got a similar one to here Indiana over 27 and a half first half team total Big-time injuries for North Texas in the secondary Indiana all five They're well most are offensive line starters are back I think they block those guys with ease. I don't think North Texas has a chance to hell of covering them I figure five drives. I think there's a pretty good chance that they average like six points on those five drives Maybe you get a sixth Over 27 and a half first half team total for me Danny got anything here No all right Yeah 40 and a half there's a lot of commentary in the tailgate about Indian fourth quarters at time to smoke it through the filter Don't know if you all have been exploring those markets yet But we'd be asking the Hoosiers to cover 14 and a half in the fourth quarter Of a game where they're favored by 40 and a half and I don't know how many times you've run the game script on that one I think I'd rather just have 40 and a half as the as as the final margin The board quarters are posted by the way Yeah, I know yeah, so fourth fourth quarter minus 14 and a half I think that I think that we'll sweat it'll sweat it's no chip. It's not 14 and a half 13 and a half it's seven and a half Whoa hold on It's on our partner right now, and it's plus money chip It's seven and a half Seven and a half Got to smoke it through the filter. Okay, Indiana minus seven and a half So you're getting rid of the 40 and a half? Yeah, I'm getting rid of the 40 and a half Sorry, good luck out there At this point better off at at this point Um, yeah, you got that one I mean, we're both gonna get it Yeah I'm gonna laugh my ass off if the 40 and a half covers, but your seven and a half doesn't I Luckily, I'll already have something in my pocket because Alabama ECU first half is going under 28 and a half Breaking in breaking in new quarterback 110 degrees and Bryant Danny at 11 a.m. Eastern time or 11 a.m. Central noon Eastern time ECU Obviously outclass, but not the type of team that I'm expecting to go and lay down I think there's enough resistance and friction for the crimson tide on the first couple of possessions That or in the first half in general and on the other side I think that ECU with everything that they've lost. I mean your your best wide receivers gone your best quarterback is gone I mean offensively um, it is going to be a tough A tough trial by fire going up against Alabama's defense Which I do think is gonna be one of the better defenses in the SEC. So yeah, let's go Alabama ECU first half under 28 and a half No one's in a real hurry here. We just want to play some good clean football Nothing on this game, but I don't hate it All right, I I had a slightly an over, but it's it's not a fight as a first half over No full game in case you let Max throw it around Oh in the second half sure. Yeah, um, okay But how many do you have left? Like one or two okay, Tom. Do you have a lot left or is it we going? I've got five left. Yeah. Okay, Tom. They'll some drive the show All right, uh, well, we're gonna go to Columbus, Ohio Ohio State's got a huge game this weekend against ball state the biggest game on their schedule this year by far They're not paying any attention to Texas next week. No, no, no, no. Yeah, they are Ohio State's gonna come out and they are not interested in doing anything in this game They just want to play it because they're contractually obligated to you have to play 12 games You got to play three and non-conference and they signed the deal with ball state to host this one So give me ball state plus 51 because Ohio State's just gonna take control of it early and then they are gonna be done for the rest of the day now In a similar vein my next two picks unless you guys have anything on this game before I move on Okay, no these two picks are kind of uh spiritually connected because of the way things work If you've noticed Josh Hyple at Tennessee and the offense that they run when they play these early season non-conference games They aren't really the slowing down types They want to like there is no slowing down with his offense. They're not gonna get under center and start turning around and handing it off Like the offense is always based on just we're doing this depending on what they do So I'm going to take in or Tennessee minus 46 and a half Any notice of anything there Okay, and then we're gonna move to the same reason South Carolina's got a new offensive coordinator South Carolina wants to show off opening game of the season at home their new offensive coordinator They want to show off the revamped rehabilitated the Norris sellers who was no longer going to be required to be a pocket quarterback They're going to let him be the Norris sellers and they're also running an offense that just doesn't take The quarters off doesn't take the halves off. It just tries to kill you deep especially if you have defensive backs You can't cover what we're doing So to follow up Tennessee minus 46 and a half I am taking South Carolina minus 35 and a half. - Let's go. - I think those are good best, Tom. - Your helmet comms don't mean anything to us. We run at the same speed all game long. Let's go like that. Danny, what do we have left? What's, what's, what's, - I'll go a couple big games. We have not discussed yet. Auburn versus Baylor and Atlanta. I'm gonna lay him with Auburn. I do not trust DJ Lackway just yet to kind of take over that program. I think Auburn's defense is really good. I think Byron Brown and Auburn's offense should be able to control the line of scrimmage even with an offensive line. It's a little bit shaky, but all am with the Auburn Tigers. - I was very confused because I was looking at my board. It was like minus one and a half. And then I remembered I had the fourth quarter on for chips pick, but I can get you minus seven. - Perfect. - Thanks, thanks for that. - All of that. - I have a pick in this game as well. I am on the total. Give me the under, let's see, 59. Under 59, that's the best number I could find. - I don't hate that here at all. - I like that. - Is anyone taking a side in SMU Florida state? - Yes. - Oh, thank you. Okay, let's go. - Yeah, SMU. - All right. - Thanks for why? - I think SMU is a better team. I don't think 4J's a very good football team. I don't think it did a good job putting this thing together. I think SMU is a coaching edge and the experience edge and they more talent. - You're gonna fight them, Danny. You're gonna just let them get away with that. We still have like a bonus segment after this, don't we? - Ooh. - For those who are new, we do close every COVID-19 lakhs episode with a segment called Moneyline Sprinkles underdogs that we are picking to win. - Straight up on the field. - I have one left, I don't know about you guys. - Two. - All right, you go. - Okay. What, Tom? - Yes. - We have over our years determined that there are times where you must question if anyone deserves to be a favorite, right? - It's true. - Especially at certain numbers. Are we really gonna let the Cincinnati Bearcats be a favorite of more than a touchdown? (laughing) Power conference opponent. Are we really gonna stand by in 2026 and let the Cincinnati Bearcats be a favorite of more than a touchdown against a power, Brennan source be ain't walking through that door. You know, Evan Pryor, he's somewhere else too. And I know Boston College. Ooh, they lost a bunch, but it just, I don't know man, seven and a half in a game where I don't see a touchdown worth a difference with a weak one. I'll go Boston College plus the seven and a half. Sunshine and we're playing football, Boston College. - All right, I'm also on this game similar to you, but not the same, I'm on the under 50 and a half. So that should help you. Lower scoring fair will make sure that Boston College keeps this one close. - Grant in the tailgate says, "Source V's not even taken Cincinnati "to cover this threat." (laughing) - By the way, Cincinnati was cleared. I don't know if you guys saw the results. - Cincinnati was cleared. - Cincinnati was cleared in the source V's situation. - Like ball more cleared or like cleared cleared? (laughing) - No ball doesn't show. - The public mentioned it. - The public has been cleared a while ago. That's what he's saying, is he cleared? Like clear clear is he gonna get bar or are they gonna burn it again? - Okay. And then last one here. I mean, I'll just take it, Cal plus two. You know, like, you could just say that this is for the money on sprinkles, but I want the record added here 'cause it's a play that I do feel is gonna be the side I want for my lockscard to back, to get in the corner of Jared Kiavei, Saga Poletelli, and the way that this whole program has kind of rallied around Toshleopoy and given him what he needs, rejuvenated, reinvigorated. They need to go out there and answer some questions with depth pieces. Like if this Cal is a team right now, where I'm like, okay, if they start taking too many injuries, then we're gonna fall from like, ooh, like dark horse to wind up near the top of the standings to things are gonna get really difficult just to be able to make sure that you're winning more games than you're losing and making it to the post season. But right now, week one, first game out. I mean, have you all seen the, have you all seen the dual JKS Nico hype video? - No. - I think from what I've been able to sense, I kind of feel like we're going full promote the Polynesian connection here. You know, and I think at 10.30 PM, I think it's gonna be a big game. I think both quarterbacks play well, but I'll give the Bears the edge here. I'll take Cal plus two. Nobody else second? - No, I had some stuff in this that already moved. All right. Do I want it? What do we got here? - But you were asking about how long these episodes are and I just wanted to tell you four seconds have passed while you said all right, let's see what we got. - All right. - Give me, hold on it, all right, give me one more, give me one more second. - I know, I know, I know. - Danny, are you done? - I'm done. - Give me two. - Give me two like Duke under 51 and a half. - I don't really think the Will Hall higher was a great hire. I don't think he's a great offensive coach. Duke in a very difficult situation with replacing the quarterback. Do you think you can trust Duke's defense? - I think that the odds that both these teams come out firing and looking good on offense are low. So under 51 and a half for me. - That's the right way to play that one. So learn something Saturday for me. Go figure out what it looks like out there for the Blue Devils and the Green Wave as they move into 2026. All right, I'm good, bud, you good? - You will. - Danny, we're good. All right, let's review. A week one locks cards. But it's got Miami first half minus 13 and a half. You first half team total under one and a half. Boise first half team total under six and a half. Clemson team total under 20 and a half. Georgia minus 47. Louisville Ole Miss under 55 and a half. Wisconsin Notre Dame first half under 24 and a half. Indiana first half team total over 27 and a half. SMU minus three. Two Lane Duke under 51 and a half. I've got Georgia Tech first half minus three and a half Toledo, Michigan State under 47 and a half. Boise State team total under 13 and a half. Indiana fourth quarter minus seven and a half. Wyoming Colorado State under 46 and a half. Notre Dame minus 20. ECU Alabama first half under 28 and a half. Boston College plus seven and a half. Cal plus two. Danny's got. Colorado Georgia Tech first half under 26 and a half. Louisville plus seven. Clemson LSU under 50 and a half. Miami Stanford over 47 and a half. Wisconsin first half plus 11 and a half. Michigan minus 27 and a half. Auburn minus seven and times locked in on LSU minus 10. Wisconsin Notre Dame under 47 and a half. Indiana minus 40 and a half. Ball State plus 51. Tennessee minus 46 and a half. South Carolina minus 35 and a half. Baylor Auburn minus 59. Boise College. Cincinnati under 50 and a half. And now we turn our attention to the money line sprinkles. How many? Well, wrong one. Sorry, Boise. We reviewed our sprinkles at the tops. And now we just want to know who's coming home with the winners. Of course, Memphis came home for Tom and for Bud. And I brought home North Carolina. So I guess the chip is to me. So where I get to say rockets to the moon to lead O plus 350. And chipline value says a lot of people are excited. Or at least they were on a fiery start to the Eric Morris era and still water. Oh, no. But this is an in-state rivalry. This game is on the road. And you guys did just get here. And they did get beat last year at home by this team. I'm going to go, you know, it's not that hurricane. But you know, so a little bit of a little similar vibe there. And the season opens at the end of the month. I'm going to go Tulsa plus 450. Okay, 460. Oh, let's go. Okay, so yeah, just two big ones, Toledo and Tulsa. Actually, Cal plus 102. Does that count, right? Yeah, sure, as long as plus money. Yeah, Cal plus 102. I thought it was a little better than that. I can get you Cal plus 115. Yeah. Cal plus 115. Let's go. All right, so yeah, Toledo, Tulsa and Cal from my money line sprinkles. (dinging) Tom. All right, well, you know how I know that Cal 115 is available? 'Cause you're on it too? 'Cause I'm on Cal plus 115. my other money line sprinkle they got a new stadium they're opening this year, but they're not opening it this week. They're going to be back on the lake front. And frankly, I don't know for sure that they're better than the team they're hosting. Give me South Dakota State plus 475. There's someone to be hilarious there. I like it. There's a lot of wouldn't it be hilarious? I think that tailgate's gotten some North Western influence here. You know, this is an intense show. I'm not able to pick up on everything, but I'd love to see it. Love to see it get fiery. Uh, bud. Oh, yeah, mute button sprinkle plus 250. Give me shotgun Willie sevens plus 506 to go in there and beat USF FIU on the money line. Jamie Chadwell back with the vengeance this year. He was a way better coach than BilliNapier was when they were both in the Sun Belt. Now they face shutter again. I mean, this got moved a lot. So I don't know that quite as much. Like it was like 2 30 or in a week, but 190 on Liberty to go in there and beat JMU. Give me David Randa. Nobody wants to bet Baylor in this game. But I will plus 250 on the bears. 250? Yeah, what's our best number on Wyoming? Let me see, let me see, let me see 140 maybe. Yeah, 146. I got a 165. I'll take that. Shoot. Yeah. Is that that's at a real place? That's that a real place. Okay. All right, cool. Give me a Wyoming to go into Colorado state and get the dub there. Let's go get him chase off out. Get him up. Get him up. Get him cowboys rolling. Danny, what we sprinkling? I have two of the same ones that bud did. I'd like the uh, Liberty play, but I will not take that one. I will take the FIU over USF. You heard my concerns about USF. I was under on the wind total for them when we did our wind totals. So I'll go FIU. I will go, I will hop on the cow, the Calgar rhythm, say that they get it done against UCLA. You know, there's been a lot of talk this this offseason about a certain coach. It was kind of dominated the landscape. I mean, Lane Kiffin has just dominated the airwaves. And Dabo Sweeney, a lot of people have predicted this demise that it's just over and done with. And Chris Fazina may be awful. We don't know what he's going to be. Maybe he's adequate. Maybe he could be the type of guy that go in there to low scoring game, keep it tight enough with that defense, show up and shock the world. And you can picture Dabo Sweeney right now with Holy Row and his face yelling over buddy. We just got a bunch of nobody's out here. No one gave us a chance. And we just stayed in our lane. Give me Clemson plus 350 320. What am I looking at? I got a 325. Let me see if I could find three 25. I will take that one. And then, um, you know, what's that? That's the best I see. Yeah. Yeah. And then the last one for me is the, uh, the program which everybody just ready to bury him after one game, which was a little bit sloppy, but we still did see some running backs go off. I mean, and if SMU is that much better, why is it only a field goal? Why is it only a field goal for Florida State needless to say, Florida State has a secret weapon that is absolutely the surest fire lock of all should make this money line. My cover three star lock because Brady buckets, my daughter, when she is at Florida State Games in person is three and oh, including last year, when I tried not to lose her after the game and they beat Alabama, give me Florida State to win outright. This will have been helpful information to know before I locked up SMU. Exactly. Brady buckets is there. That's the, you don't know about those X factors. And it's kind of like a red bandana game because the two oldest daughters were at Miami. Yes. Brady did not go to that game. Uh-huh. Okay. Danny just, just keeps taking ACC dogs. He just keeps going up to that oven and touching it and be like, it won't be hot this time. I swear. All right. That is bud. A lot of sprinkling. If I you plus five 25 Liberty plus 190, Baylor plus 250 and Wyoming plus 165, I got Toledo plus 350 Tults plus 460 and Cal plus 115, FIU for Danny, as well as Cal, then throwing on a little clump sin plus 325 and FSU plus 140, Cal and San Diego State plus 470. That's the code of state. Sorry. Excuse me. Uh, also in there because we are fading Northwestern reminder, we will be together recapping a lot, not all of it, but a lot of this week one action Saturday night, 11.30 p.m. Eastern time for our instant reaction. Then what about Sunday? We're going to be back on Monday. You know, they say it's Labor Day. We will be laboring a little bit early 10 a.m. start time on Labor Day. So wake up. Get your breakfast. Come join us as we recap all the Sunday action. Get you set for that Labor Day game. Then you can be on your holiday way. Then of course, Tuesday, next week, week two, big game breakdown. Thursday week two locks and then the schedule is off and running. Do not forget because you still have time to join our splash contest. There is a link that we are going to provide for you in the episode description here on YouTube or wherever you get your podcast. If you are already in the splash sports app, if you already have it on your phone, you can search for CBS sports or CBS mix. You just search for cover three. It's a little bit more difficult, but searching for CBS sports should be able to bring up that user name CBS commission. There are two active pickups right now, ones for the NFL. It's been done through early edge. Sign up for that too. You know, I'm in that one as well, but we are really trying to make sure that you show us your locks similar to our cover three star lock. It's a full board. You identify the six games that you like the best. Select one of them with the little gold star and that makes it worth double the amount of points. We are going to be highlighting all season long. What it looks like on the leaderboard, who's moving up, who's moving down and how everybody is performing compared to us. Yes, if you're looking at youtube.com/cover3, you can see that it is free to enter, free to enter and $10,000 in cash prizes, $0 entry, $10,000 total in cash prizes, $1,760 of you have already showed up at the time that we are recording this, and we want another $1,000 more. So jump in, you know, because you're able to choose six games at any time that you're listening to this, maybe you miss out on Thursday. There's still enough games for you to be able to fill up a six-pit card as you jump in along the way. Those Saturday games will lock at noon. So careful, be sure to be aware of that. And you can follow him on Twitter at time for know you can follow him @dannykennel, you can follow him @buddyly3, follow me @chip_patterson, gentlemen, thank you very much. Thank you. See y'all. See you. Better not be another mini-boss. You better be the final one. Golden Axe. New series streaming September 16th on Paramount Plus.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The Cover3 podcast has grown into a small business, and VistaPrint is a key partner for custom branded products like vinyl banners, polos, and drinkware that enhance the brand’s professional image.
  2. VistaPrint offers intuitive tools and high-quality customization at affordable prices, enabling small businesses to appear top-tier without budget constraints, with over 17 million businesses relying on them.
  3. The podcast features live college football betting analysis, with hosts sharing picks, strategies, and market insights, including under/over trends, team matchups, and value bets, while highlighting key games like Oregon vs. Boise State, LSU vs. Clemson, and Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame.

Summary:

The Cover3 podcast, hosted by Chip Patterson and a team of analysts, delivers in-depth college football coverage and betting insights for fans. A central theme is the use of data-driven analysis to evaluate game outcomes, including first-half totals, point spreads, and team performance trends. The hosts discuss matchups such as Oregon vs.

Boise State, LSU vs. Clemson, and Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame, emphasizing defensive matchups, roster changes, and market value.

A significant segment highlights the partnership with VistaPrint, where custom printing solutions are used to create professional, cohesive branding for events and audience engagement. Additionally, the podcast promotes betting platforms like CalShi and DraftKings, offering promotions and educational content on market dynamics. Throughout, the hosts blend entertainment with strategy, using real-time analysis and personal picks to engage listeners.

The show also emphasizes a community-driven approach, with audience interaction, live chats, and shared picks reinforcing a collaborative and dynamic viewing experience. The episode concludes with a focus on emerging trends, including underdog value, early-season momentum, and the importance of team chemistry and defensive strength in shaping game outcomes.

FAQs

VistaPrint is a custom print service that allows users to easily create high-quality, branded products like vinyl banners, embroidered polos, and drinkware for events. It provides intuitive tools and trusted support to help businesses look professional without stretching their budget.

New customers can get 20% off their first order by using the code new20 at vistaPrint.com.

CalShi is a live prediction market platform where users can trade bets on sports outcomes, like team wins or game totals. Probabilities change in real time, allowing traders to buy in or out as the market evolves.

Users can get up to $500 in bonus credits by trading $25 on CalShi, using the code fan.

The Cover 3 podcast covers college football from National Signing Day to the National Championship, featuring analysis and predictions by hosts Chip Patterson, Tom Fernelli, Danny Cannell, and Bob Elliott for fans and followers worldwide.

Homefield is a brand that offers premium vintage collegiate apparel for college football fans. Fans can get 20% off their first purchase using the code cover3 at checkout or on the Homefield app.

Chat with AI

Loading...

Pro features

Go deeper with this episode

Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.