Update: Trump Breaks Silence About Iran War

U.S. voters abroad have you got your ballot yet? All states are now sending ballots to overseas voters. So if you want to vote this year, you should request your ballot right away. Go to votefromabroad.org and click "Request My Ballot." Ask to receive it by email. Questions? Ask our support team directly. Don't miss this chance to shape the future. Don't delay. Votefromabroad.org. [MUSIC] All right, welcome back to Potsay the World. This is a bonus episode to update you guys on the major developments in Donald Trump's insane regime change war of choice with Iran since we recorded on Saturday. So we're going to take through the latest operational details. We'll dig into Iran's surprising response that's regional. We'll play some clips from Trump and then Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who finally spoke today, and covered the administration's bizarre messaging strategy and coherence and policy and coherence as well. And then finally, we'll talk about the Democratic Party's response so far. The good, the bad, and then really what we'd like to hear. We will record again on Tuesday for Wednesday morning release per usual, and we'll use that episode, I think, to geek out on, you know, Iranian succession plans, maybe concerned about sectarian violence and civil war, and much more. So if you have not yet, please subscribe to Potsay the World on YouTube and wherever you get your podcasts because, you know, as we said on Saturday, Ben, a lot of the coverage of this war so far has been absolutely horrendous. It is giving me PTSD from 2003 and watching the Iraq war coverage. I don't know if you caught Pete Hegseth's press conference with Raisin Cain, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, but seeing him there take questions from like the new fake Pentagon press corps was absolutely demoralizing. We got a little taste of what it's like to have a compliant state media with a Fox and friends weekend anchor as your security defense. Like the convergence of those threads was not very reassuring timing. No, it was profoundly demoralizing. So again, please subscribe to Potsay the World on YouTube wherever you get your podcasts because we are trying to do real coverage here. So we're recording at midday Pacific time on Monday. Scentcom says that U.S. forces have destroyed more than a thousand targets so far, including Iranian ships, subs, IRGC command centers, missile sites. The Israelis have hit hundreds of targets as well, especially that first wave of regime change targets that included top Iranian political and military officials. Since we recorded Saturday, Ben, Iran is confirmed that the supreme leader is dead. He was killed, I think, in Israeli strike, with intelligence provided by the U.S. or, you know, that's what's been reported since. So this is just this is a seismic event in Iranian history as this guy has been in charge since 1989 and it will now set off a succession process that will probably take a little while. It also seems like the president of Iran was incapacitated in a strike to the point where he can't run the country anymore as that authority has been delegated to somebody else. Four service members are confirmed dead American service members. I believe all were in the army and were hit by an Iranian drone in Kuwait. Three American f-15s were shot down over Kuwait as well, reportedly in a friendly fire incident. They were shot at by Kuwaiti air defenses. Thank God all six of them ejected safely. Trump in his various messaging opportunities. We'll get into that in a minute. I said the operation could last four more weeks or maybe five more weeks so he refuses to put a specific timeline or goal behind that estimate. He's also refused to rule out putting U.S. boots on the ground in Iran so that's something to look forward to. Could certainly imagine some sort of future U.S. or Israeli like commando operation to get Iran's nuclear materials. For example, Hezbollah is now involved. They're firing rockets at Northern Israel. The Israelis are responding in kind. There have been some very scary incidents at U.S. embassies and consulates where those facilities have been gotten attacked in places like Lebanon or other Muslim countries like Pakistan. Hundreds are dead in Iran. At least ten people have been killed in Israel by Iranian missiles and drones. Iranian drones also killed three people in the UAE. Inter-dozens more there. They killed one person in Bahrain, two in Iraq, one in Kuwait and dozens in Lebanon. I assume the Lebanon casualties ban are a combination of Israeli and Iranian fire. A number of people have been wounded in Qatar and Oman as well. And by the way, those casualty stats were coming from a running tally by Al Jazeera. President Trump did not deliver a major address to the nation about Iran over the weekend. The White House did not book any senior officials on the Sunday talk shows. They just released these bizarre video messages from Trump. And then Trump sporadically took calls from reporters and offered sort of incoherent lines of messaging. Trump finally did an event where he spoke publicly today as did Secretary Hegseth and Chairman Kane will play all that for you in a minute. But this really has been like a case study in how not to communicate. So Ben, we'll get into the Iranian nest response deeper in a minute. But any initial reactions to from you to like what you've seen since Saturday. I think the initial reaction is that all of our concerns about this war are playing out. In the sense that there's a total lack of coherence from the US, from what Trump's saying, what Hegseth is saying about what the objectives are. And there just seems to be a lot of momentum to keep doing stuff. That the Iranian response is chaotic, but widespread. It's like a machine gun being dropped on the floor firing in all directions. And that nobody knows where this is going, which is what happens when you decapitate regime with no plan for what comes next. And that regime is much deeper and more heavily armed than say the Venezuelan government was. So it's a very unsettling moment right now, Tom. The machine gun firing on the floor analogy is a perfect description of what Iran has been doing. They continue to target not just US bases in the Middle East and Israel, but also these Gulf countries. On Monday, Iran attacked energy sites in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. And then over the weekend, Iran fired hundreds of missiles and drones at the UAE Qatar Kuwait Bahrain Jordan. I think when we talked on Saturday, Ben, they had not fired at Oman yet, but now they have. And Iran even fired a drone at a British military base in Cyprus, although Britain, the UK is not involved in these operations. So the vast majority of these missiles and drones were intercepted by missile defense systems, but not all of them. A lot of the targets were civilian infrastructure like high rises and hotels. Again, that's a lot of bunch of casualties, including in Iran, Ben. It just seems like, again, it seems like the Iranian calculation here was, shoot at all these Gulf countries, get them to pressure the US and Israel to stop the war. But like time will tell, but this seems to have catastrophically backfired as far as I can tell, like countries that seemed initially wary of what the US and Israel were doing are now denouncing Iran. And there's some sense that the Gulf countries that initially had barred the US from flying anti-Iran missions out of their territory or through their airspace might be reconsidering those views. Maybe some of this has to do with Iran not having command and control anymore. There's not like centralized decision making, so you have some random group of commanders firing at Cyprus for no reason. But I do think the big question still remains, how long will Iran have the capacity to respond? Will they run out of ballistic missiles and launchers, and will they run out of them before the places they're targeting run out of interceptor missiles? Because as we discussed on Saturday, those interceptor stockpiles are very low, and they are very expensive. So like an Iranian drone cost between 20 grand and 50 grand, while many of these US interceptor missiles cost several million dollars each. And finally, on the Iran front, then traffic through the straight-of-hormuz is down 85 percent according to some energy analysts I saw this morning. Crewed oil prices are up between 5 and 8 percent, which is a lot, but not catastrophic. Iran has attacked ships in the straight-of-hormuz. I don't think they have mined it yet, though, which would be really stopping things up. So that, I don't know, I just continue to be surprised by Iran kind of unloading the clip on every single country in the region. I guess the idea was just to create chaos, but what do you make of their strategy? Well, I think the message is that, is that so long as violence and chaos is being reigned on us, we're going to bring violence and chaos to everybody, including all these Gulf countries, nearly all of whom have some US military presence in them. Not saying it's a good strategy, it's certainly reprehensible in terms of the indiscriminate targets that they're shooting at. But if there is a logic, it's that. We need to make this war so destabilizing to the region, to global energy markets, that there's just a pressure to make it stop. And look, they may not be inflicting tremendous physical damage because of the interceptors, but they are inflicting tremendous damage psychologically. If you are in Dubai, that city relies upon security, security for international business travelers and tourism, that is shattered right now. I mean, that could have long term effects for Dubai. I saw that they also hit some data centers in the UAE, we're certainly firing at them. Well, the UAE is trying to get, you know, and is getting, as we've talked about, hundreds of billions of dollars in investments to build data centers there. How do you feel about that investment these days? You know, are you looking to build data centers in the Gulf? So there is kind of a strategic logic in the sense that they're creating an insecurity. So long as our regime is not secure, you know, we can burn it all down and nobody's secure, which again is dangerous, but there is some rationale. That's also the case that the Gulf is just closer, you know, so with drones in particular, it's an easier shot for the Iranians. And to your point about the interceptors, it's a bit of a race against time because I presume that what Israel and the United States are trying to do is just take out as many basic missile. sites whether it's production facilities, launchers, before they basically run out of interceptors. Because the longer this thing goes on, if Iran can continue to fire things, ballistic missiles, and drones, and these kinds of waves, they're going to get through more and more of the air defense systems because the air defense systems are just depleted. And so that's a real risk too here. I mean, Trump, you know, people keep talking about this as if, when my Trump stopped the war, I also don't think there's any guarantee that Iran, like as in the 12-day war, although I think it's one war, that Iran just stops because Trump stops. Just because we may run low on interceptors and say, all right, timeout guys, let's pause, the Iranians could keep firing. So it is a question of how much their ability to manufacture or store, hide drones and missiles can weather this initial onslaught in terms of how much damage they can do going forward. Yeah, we don't even know who would make the decision to stop if we're going to run right now. Well, you made, I think the command and control point you made is essential because it feels like there were delegations made by the screen litter anticipating you might be killed. And I think Abasa Rachi said as much on, I'm like, well, some TV show he was on that like, well, look, you know, we no longer have centralized command and control because we knew that if you killed, you know, top leaders that we wanted, these guys would be able to act independently. So we really don't know what's happening. Well, that's right. I don't know. There was an inevitable story in the times about the killing of the spring leader and all this great intelligence. I mean, he was in his office, I mean, I've no no disrespect to the CIA, but it'd be like, you know, wow, we figured out the presence in the White House, you know, but it almost seemed like this, if the screen litter wanted to survive, like, you know, he might have wanted to be quote unquote martyr, you know, I don't know, I mean, he's a fucking asshole. I don't, you know, it's not not at all someone you have any sympathy for, but it may be that he delegated down said, you know, unload the clip, you know, an anticipation of this happening in some decapitation, they might have said to every IRG commander with a drone or a missile, the orders to you are if we die, just unload the clip and because that's what it feels like is happening. Yeah, it is. I don't know what intelligence collection the CIA did. I had the same reaction to you, which was like the spring leader knowing the threat he faced was above ground in his own office and adjacent to him was a meeting of all the top like Iranian political and military leaders. I, it's hard to overstate how stupid that was. I mean, obvious and hindsight, but I can't believe they didn't realize it in the moment. I mean, it does, maybe that does, I think, explain why the strikes happened in the daytime, why they happened on the weekend. I also was talking to someone over the weekend who said Trump doesn't like to start wars. During the weekday, he doesn't want to rattle the markets. I bet that is true. But you're right on the race. I mean, it is, I think, from what I've read, it sounds like the ballistic missile launchers are the choke point. So I think the US and Israel are probably rushing to take out as many of those as possible. That said, I mean, I was just watching the Fox News, I think, and one of their big kairons is that the drones, Iran's drones have proven harder to intercept. And ultimately, like, those are easier to fly from a lot of places. Iran has more of them. You just sort of like set the GPS coordinators in these drones, which, you know, the, like, lawnmower engines, but they can fly like 2,000 kilometers and just follow a GPS to a point. So that threat could take a long, long, long time to fully visualize. And remember that those drones, those Iranian drones have been used in Ukraine by the Russians. And the Russians are firing those drones at Ukrainian targets, and there were air defense systems there too. I mean, these things, we've seen them on the battlefield and Ukraine have a huge amount of damage that they can cause. So this is the point about the long, this keeps drag, Iran, it's going to be impossible to eliminate all their drones. These are like, you know, you know, toy airplanes, essentially, but, but can do a lot of damage. And, and so this, you know, yes, they can, their ballistic missiles are a, you know, a tool that is going to run out at some point. But I'm not sure that these drones will. Yeah, the ballistic missiles can do more damage, but right in the long term, like, who knows how long they'll have these drones. So on Monday, President Trump finally spoke about the war. He started on Saturday morning in public. It was not a major address to the nation. It was like a little Iran war topper at a, I think, pre-existing ceremony to award the middle of honor to three people. Here's a bit of what he had to say in his remarks. It was very proud to have knocked out the Iran nuclear deal by President Barack Hussein Obama. That was a horrible, horrible, dangerous document. They would have had nuclear weapons three years ago, and they would have used them. This was our last best chance to strike what we're doing right now and eliminate the intolerable threat posed by this sick and sinister regime. We're already substantially ahead of our time projections, but whatever the time is, it's okay. Whatever it takes, we will always, and we have front, right from the beginning, we projected four to five weeks, but we have capability to go far longer than that. We'll do it. Whatever somebody said today, they said, "Oh, well, President wants to do it really quickly after that. He'll get bored. I don't get bored." There's nothing boring about this. We also projected four weeks to terminate the military leadership. And as you know, that was done in about an hour, so we're ahead of schedule there by a lot. We have a great service members here with us, too, in this beautiful building, isn't it? Beautiful. We're adding on to the building a little bit, we're improving the building. See that nice drape? When that comes down right now, you see a very, very deep hole. But in about a year and a half from now, you're going to see a very, very beautiful building. I picked those drapes in my first term. I always like gold. I was specifically led with the JCPOA criticism to trigger you, as our greatest president said, mission accomplished, my friend. So Ben, look, I think what listeners should take away from that, supercut is just the incoherence. It gets worse when you look at the totality of Trump statements from Saturday till now. On Saturday, he talked about regime change as a goal. He told the Iranian people to rise up. Today that was just not part of the messaging. The Saturday video statement about the war went through these greatest hits of Iranian aggression and grievances with the two countries starting in 1979. The new spin on Monday is that Iran was trying to rebuild its nuclear weapons program, which I don't know, may or may not be true, but it certainly wasn't an imminent threat. Then he tries out this new line that we'll later hear from Hegseth, which is that Iran's ballistic missile program would provide a shield for its nuclear ambitions, which is complete and total bullshit, as evidenced by the fact that the US and Israel are pounding the fuck out of Iran's military targets now and would have been able to do so in the future. So everyone should write that off. And then on top of that, Ben, Trump told one reporter that he had a list of three people who might run Iran going forward and then later he called another reporter and said, just kidding, they're all dead. So I don't know. I don't know. I don't have a ton of faith in the team running the show at the moment. No, I don't tell me. And actually, you know, the Iran nuclear deal has never looked better, which maybe why Trump is trashing it. I think most Americans, almost all Americans would rather that we be in, you know, you're ten of the JCPOI than we be in this kind of incoherent war with Iran that is costing us tens of billions of dollars, starting to kill the American surface members and it's like wreaking havoc on the global economy. And just one quick point on that, Ben, like people would be like, well, the deal would have sunsetted by now. The goal would have been to renegotiate it. And Trump could have gotten it a tougher deal if he'd wanted. And if he did a good job in the negotiations. Yeah. And the whole deal went to sunset. It's the strictest provisions would have sunsetted, but, you know, I mean, frankly, Trump could have negotiated it two days ago. I mean, it is worth just saying that they are completely full of shit about the need to do this now. There was no room to threaten the nuclear program. There was no distinct threat from the Muslim missile program. There was any different than the, you know, how many ever many years Iran has had Muslim missiles, you know, 20 years. This happened now because BB Netanyahu wanted to happen now. I mean, there's no really other explanation. It was, it was the Israelis who started going to Trump being like, now's the time they're weak. And then in Lindsey Graham going to Trump and saying, you can be the man that took out the Supreme Leader of the historic and Reagan on steroids and all this, like the timing was determined by kind of Israeli interests and Trump's ego, like that, that's the convergence of timing here. And by the way, Jonathan Greenblatt from the ADL called me an anti-Semite for saying as much during the last around war, and I'm sure we'll do so again to the both of us. But again, like it's fully reported, Netanyahu, like there's tons of reporting on this and the times today and other places, Netanyahu is like taking credit and bragging about getting Trump to fight for it. Like, this is such an insult to our intelligence is Jonathan Greenblatt to the world because BB Netanyahu put out a video like yesterday in which he said that he's wanted to do this for 40 years and he finally got a US president to do it. He said it. Not us. But you're going to call BB Netanyahu an anti-Semite because like this is totally absurd. Does he have dual loyalty? Is that what we're learning today? Would I allow to say that Israel wanted this to happen? It's crazy. When he still keeps saying that before they said they wanted to happen, now they're saying it. Anyway, break break. The other things that I take away, the incoherence about what comes next inside of Iran. You know, he's calling reporters, I mean, the times one is a journey. He had a six minute conversation with New York Times that in and of itself is a journey because on the one hand, he's saying the Iranian people can rise up and, you know, it can be this regime change. On the other hand, he's saying we can do the Venezuela model and just deal with it in the regime. Right. And this is a guy who has no idea what his own plan is because first of all, the Venezuelan model is impossible inside of Iran. Iran. Like, this is a much more ideological, heavily armed regime, and it's far more likely to fracture than that there's one individual who raises their hand to be the Delci Rodriguez, that's the Venezuelan Vice President who took over. The person who raises their hand in the Iranian system to be that person probably doesn't have a very long life expectancy inside of Iran. Yeah, they'll get shot up by 150,000 members of the IRGC and then a million or two Basti from militia members on the outside, so yeah. The abstraction that's being wrought and the absence of a plan, it just feels like some regime implosion or some kind of cornered, angry IRGC type regime is most likely to emerge. The only other thing I want to say about Trump, Tommy, is that you can say this anytime he opens his mouth, but every other US president who's launched a war, you can kind of feel the gravity on their shoulders. The degree to which this guy doesn't give a shit, I mean, right now he's killing probably thousands of Iranians. I mean, there's some preliminary estimates in the high hundreds, but you can't hit hundreds and hundreds of targets and not kill thousands of people, including by the way civilians. We've already seen reportedly over 100 kids killed at that girl's school. That doesn't seem to bother him in the slightest, and Americans are dying. Already have had four Americans dying. Every American on a base in that region knows that they're being targeted by drones and ballistic missiles, and he's joking about curtains. We cannot allow that to be not reprehensible because it is. He's dropping the hits to Barack Hussein, Obama, okay, we get it, you know, he is a Muslim middle name. Give us a break, man. It's all politics. And on your Israel point, I mean, there is all this reporting also that these realies are worried Trump might wrap things up sooner than they want to, so it's just like it's not just that Netanyahu pushed him to start the war, it's that he's pushing him to continue it. US voters abroad, have you got your ballot yet? All states are now sending ballots to overseas voters, so if you want to vote this year, you should request your ballot right away. Go to votefromabraad.org and click RequestMyBalette, ask to receive it by email. Questions? Don't delay. Votefromabraad.org US voters abroad, have you got your ballot yet? Questions? Don't delay. Votefromabraad.org. Let's continue to nail this point. Here's a clip of Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth from the press conference he did this morning. That press conference also included General Kane, the chairman of the joint chiefs, who frankly seems to conduct himself in a far more professional and kind of like by the book way that you'd expect. So we're not including any of that. Obviously, he's part of this idiotic crazy policy. There are reports that he was more critical about it, but we're just going to play Hegseth for you this morning. So let's watch. Iran was building powerful missiles and drones to create a conventional shield for their nuclear blackmail ambitions. Let me say that again, a conventional shield for their nuclear blackmail ambitions. Our bases, our people, our allies, all in their crosshairs, Iran had a conventional gun to our head as they tried to lie their way to a nuclear bomb. It almost worked under Obama, and it's terrible deal, but not under this president. To the media outlets and political left screaming endless wars, stop. This is not Iraq, this is not endless. This operation is a clear, devastating, decisive mission. Destroy the missile threat, destroy the Navy, no nukes, no stupid rules of engagement, no nation building quagmire, no democracy building exercise, no politically correct wars. We fight to win and we don't waste time or lives. As the president warned, an effort of this scope will include casualties. War is hell and always will be. As it pertains to the U.S. casualties, that particular incident was, you know, you have air defenses and the lots coming in and you hit most of it. And we absolutely do. We have incredible air defenders. Every once in a while, you might have one, unfortunately, we call it a squirre that makes its way through, and in that particular case, it happened to hit a tactical operation center. So I mean, look, saying no stupid rules of engagement when you just reportedly bombed a school full of little girls is like, fucking disgusting. Again though, like he's lying, there is no such thing as a conventional shield for Iran's nuclear program. But wait, Tommy, he said it twice. They had a gun door. The second time really, yeah. Yeah, the conventional gun door head again, U.S. could annihilate like whatever this conventional shield would be. Second, like I, the bloodless, like fatalistic ways that he and Trump are trying to talk about American casualties to kind of, I don't know, the spin it away. It's like this, this war did not need to happen. I think that is the important way. This wasn't a squirre. I don't even know what that means. This is an Iranian drone. It killed American service members because you asked holes, launched a war of choice that we didn't need to start. And then finally, like again, like you said earlier, like Hegseth does not get to decide when the war ends. Like the Iranians could decide to fight this for a generation and it would just, might be sporadic, but people are going to die. That's, yeah. I mean, I'm glad you said that because they can say this is not another endless war or another forever war because we're going to stop bombing at some point. But that doesn't mean that the war ends at that point. People in Iran could still be killing each other and dying. They could still be firing things at people in the region. Like just, I mean, the 12-day war was not a 12-day war. It's still going on. You know, like we don't describe World War II as a series of hundred different wars because at times we weren't in, you know, this is a stupid fucking way that they're trying to make the American people and their megabase in particular feel like they didn't just open Pandora's box because they did. And look, Pete Huggs that this, you know, you want the Secretary of Defense to be kind of sober and reassuring. That is anything but-- And qualified. That's a guy who's, you know, looks like, I mean, maybe he's not drinking, but like he had to fucking take some Adderall and like, repeat, you know, the conventional shield line to himself and the mirror before going out, you know, so he could look top for something. Like, he doesn't know. He's not qualified to be managing those. He doesn't know. You know, he, it's all buzzwords with him and no rules of engagement and this and that. Well, what is the plan? I mean, there's nothing I've been thinking about, I mean, we can talk about it on the podcast a little more, but if you're the Gulf allies, right, who rely on the United States for your existential security, if you're Sadie Rabia, Qatar and UA, let's just take those three, you're probably like making up plans to buy a nuclear weapon, you know, because you're like, I can't rely on the, these, as are a lot of countries. A lot of our adversaries probably are too. Yeah, North Korea, North Korea's got nukes and an ICBM and no one's messing with them. Kim looks, you know, like, he's ripping sigs and looking at stuff and he's just fine, right? And, and, and so I, I did the lack of, I, who wants to, because the maggot audience doesn't even want this war. Like, who is Hexat talking to, right, and then that's not reassuring allies, that's not reassuring Americans, that's not intimidating Iranians. Like, he's literally, like, literally performing for Fox News and Lindell TV and whoever else is in that, in that briefing room, without giving any coherence or clarity about, you know, because what he said about the mission, that it's not about democracy, well, I don't, I thought they'd been telling us for weeks that this is because of peaceful protesters that we had to come to their aid and Donald Trump telling the Iranian people to rise up. If you're one of the Iranian people that is sinking and rising up and then you hear Hexat say, this is not about democracy, it's about killing, it's about destroying their missiles and navy. Does that incentivize you to rise up? I mean, like, it makes no sense. It is totally incoherent. Yeah. I mean, it's incoherent for the people in Iran who aren't clear whether Trump is fully pushing for regime change or not. That the distinction in the goals is pretty important to the Gulf countries you just mentioned too, because the worst case scenario for them is, you know, we bomb a bunch of stuff, but then Trump kind of just gives up and leaves some, you know, rump version of the regime or like a next up IRGC led government that hates, you know, their countries just as much and are just as caustic and terrible. I mean, maybe they want to have the capacity to support proxies, maybe they want the capacity to do things that we're worried about, but I don't know, I don't want to bet on it. And that, because that's the most likely scenario, doesn't that feel like the most likely scenario now that like essentially we bond them for a few weeks, kill more and more people? But then there's maybe some civil conflict, but the IRGC and the besiege, just massacre people and horrible numbers and then there's this kind of crazy rump IRGC regime and you can say that they've been defanged, but it's still a giant country and they'll rebuild some capacity and they might be more dangerous, they'll certainly try to get a nuclear weapon. I mean, yeah. Like that's God be less than they take so their desire to run this war by the news cycle is so a historical because when you decapitate the regime of a country of 92 million people that is heavily armed, it's not going to end when you try to turn the news cycle off, which is what they'll do in four or five weeks or whatever it is. And that it's just astonishing to me how much they think I mean that venous world thing must have gone to their head. Oh, definitely. That they thought that you could do the same thing in Iran, which is a fucking wildly different country and a wildly different part of the world where there's been a lot more war conflict and civil conflict. And it's a lot more coherent. Yeah. Cohe's of a country. Yeah, I think like there's almost certainly a scenario where Trump will in the Israelis will bomb a shit out of a lot of like advanced military infrastructure that will in the near term at least reduce the threats of the US or Israel, but it will not in any way reduce the threat to the people that we are telling to take to the streets and rise up because you don't need an ICBM to kill a protester. You just need a gun and they are all over Iran. Ben speaking of kind of incoherence. So the Democratic Party's response bit a little all over the place. Some Democrats have been great and we can talk about them if you want. Some Democrats have fully endorsed the war, which is just absolutely insane to me, given the recent history in Iraq, in Libya, for example, or more generally that you would trust Donald Trump and Phegs F with a task like this. I think you have lost your mind if you are co-signing this process, but we'll find out. And then you have a bunch of Democrats like we discussed over the weekend that have focused their condemnation on the process that need to get a vote from Congress to authorize a war or the need to clearly spell out the goal to the American people. And obviously I agree with both of those criticisms, but the ship is kind of sailed there. So we're in a tough spot. The one thing I would just like, I want to implore Democrats listening to loudly condemn the war on the merits. Like it is not popular. This does not pull well. It will not pull well as time goes on. And then the things I would just focus on though are Trump is lying about the threat. Right. Iran is nowhere close to having a nuclear weapon. Iran was nowhere close to having a missile that could hit the United States. He lied. He is lying hammer them for it. This talk, talk about the cost for service members are dead already more gravely wounded. The conflict has already cost tens of billions of dollars. Trump ran against regime change wars. No one wants us spending money this way. Not the mega right. Not the left. Nobody. And then I like, I would highlight the chaos all over the world because this war is not just happening in Iran right now. It is it is terrorizing populations in Israel and Lebanon. It is killing people and spilling it to all these cities and the Gulf. It is making American diplomats and tourists less safe all over the world. There were some reports today. I don't know if they're confirmed then that this terrorist gunman in Texas might have been motivated by what's happening in Iran. Things could happen in the US like it is making us all less safe. And I don't get the hesitation to just take on the war on the merits on the substantive focus on that. But what are you looking for from Democrats? And we should say, you know, the Senate might have a war powers vote this week. The House won't be in session until Thursday to have any kind of deliberation or vote on this. I think there's some US senators who are concerned that a war powers vote actually might just kind of like be taken care of by like Trump might be able to push away the kind of concerns over congressional authorization to quickly. And what we really need is a vote in the debate about an AUMF and authorization for the use of military force in Iran, which would actually be harder to get because it would take a 60 vote threshold versus 50 votes. But that's a bit in the weeds. A spine and a pulse. Maybe there's two things I'm looking for. And again, I want to be clear. There are a lot of Democrats probably the majority of Democrats in Congress who have been very good. And, you know, again, Chris Murphy, Ruben Gaiego, like the progressive caucus in the House, like many people, right? But, you know, there's there's some people that are outwardly supportive, and then there's some some people who are kind of so anodine as to you don't know where they stand. Look, the point is that we are, you know, a few days into this war, it's clearly a shit show. Trump started on vacation. The reason one of the reasons that he doesn't pay a bigger price for this kind of incoherence and insanity and doing something that is so against public opinion is that there's not a unified opposition party that is being vocal and aggressive and coherent and holding him accountable. And so it lets him escape some of the accountability that he should be facing for what's happening. There's a couple kind of Democrats here that the people that are supportive, I said this in our last episode, but there's an overlapping band diagram between who takes a lot of APEC money, you know. But if you're going to be supportive, even if you hate the Iranian regime to your point, Tommy, like the Donald Trump and Peter, that you would trust them with anything is beyond the pale. But there's another kind of Democratic response that I think we need to name, which is people who are like nervous, like, what if this goes okay? Like, I don't want to go, I don't want to be to, oh, he killed the Supreme Leader. I don't want to look, you know, like, look, it's like a Gulf War one hangover from my making money. It's a Gulf War one hangover. It's crazy. And here's the thing, we should just be anti-war. Full stop. Yes. Like, unless it is an imminent threat that absolutely compels this nation to take military action, the Democratic Party should be morally, legally, ethically, priority-wise because we want to spend money at home instead of abroad, the easiest political message in the world to deliver. That is not a hard message to deliver. I should, I, we are spending more money on munitions in the Persian Gulf right now than on the ACA subsidies that were cut. Like, this, you know, you don't need to be a, you know, Dan Pfeiffer to, like, to say for this, this one. Yeah. Shout out, Dan. Shout out, Dan. But the point, yeah, the point being is that, like, even if this is the best case scenario, which I don't think it's going to be for all the reasons you said, I would still be against it because as a matter of principle, and frankly, to be in line with public opinion, particularly the public opinion of our own people in the Democratic Party, like, we need to be against this. And so I just really hope we start to see, like, more of a pulse from the Democrats. And not just like, we want to have this vote on this, which I'm props to Rokana. It's not against him. But the concern that you have one vote that fails and then you want to, you know, pivot to your economic messaging, you know, well, your economic messaging is this. It's like, let's not keep fighting demos so we can spend money on the things that people actually care about. I just would like to see Democrats like want to have this debate. And not sometimes, like, unhappy that someone's been asking the question about it. Yeah. Lean into this. The Washington posted a Flash poll, 52% of Americans oppose the war, 39% support it. But like, the opponents are far more passionate. And that's the high watermark. Yeah. That's high water. And it's 40% like strongly opposed in an overwhelming majority of independence opposed this war. So like, you are on sound political footing. You are on 100% sound legal and moral footing. Trump is lying. He's a bunch of the staff by fucking idiots, this administration, like, just come on. What are we doing here? Yeah. And that's the thing is that the day that the supreme leader is killed is there's not another thing that Trump's going to do in this war that is going to drive up public opinion about this war. You know, I cannot imagine. And even if it ends, like, how much to your point, like, get the answers to how much this cost and what's the damage and what was the economic cost? Because all this is already, or things that have already happened and that are ongoing. And another reason to be the surface, and I have a piece out in the New York Times, if you want to check this out today, but he's going to do this again. So one reason to really oppose him here is I don't do trusted. This is the last war Donald Trump's going to start. Lindy Graham is again on air on TV over the weekend, like near orgasm and talking about how Cuba is next. So it's like, this is again, it's going to happen again. Yeah, sucks. Okay. I think that's it for us for today. Again, we're going to record again Tuesday for Wednesday, no more release. Thank you guys for watching this. Sorry, this is happening in the world. Absolutely sucks, but here we are. So we're going to cover it. 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