Uncapped #36 | Pat Grady & Alfred Lin from Sequoia
69m 38s
The discussion revolves around investment strategies and decision-making at Sequoia, emphasizing the significance of conviction over consensus. It is highlighted that having strong opinions is preferable, and partners are encouraged to make investment decisions based on their individual strengths and approaches. The conversation touches upon the importance of finding outliers and enabling a team of outliers to drive success. The approach at Sequoia values individual judgment and prioritizes partnering with the most important founders of tomorrow. The team's performance is evaluated based on core values and capabilities, with a focus on continuous improvement and adapting to new information. The emphasis is on fostering a culture where individuals are driven by the goal of partnering with exceptional founders rather than meeting specific metrics. The dialogue underscores the unique investment philosophy at Sequoia, which revolves around empowering partners to make informed decisions and enabling them to excel in their roles.
Transcription
14057 Words, 74589 Characters
We've been recording the number that everybody votes on every investment for more than a decade now
Our internal data shows
That consensus versus non-consensus does not matter at all. It's just not a factor presence of conviction is what matters
Huh, and so if everybody is a six we vote zero to ten no five so six and above this positive form was negative
If everybody's a six probably shouldn't make the investment. It's consensus, but nobody has conviction
Strong yes, strong no is much better if three people are our nines and three people are one. We should probably make the investment
All right guys, thank you very much for doing this. This is my first attempt at a three-person podcast
This is our first
Showing together. So yeah, so I apologize if this is the disaster
It's not gonna be a disaster. I'm we're gonna ask you questions to that's what I want and then we can edit everything out
This could be a five minute pod with whatever's good. Love it. And that'll be fine. I'm in this might be generous
Yeah, sorry. We'll take what we can get. I guess to start like how are you guys how are you feeling and like where's your mindset?
Are you like do you feel the way you expected to when you first do this was happening like your couple weeks settled in like what's what's going on
psychologically?
I mean, we just came out of a meeting where we both said we're more excited than ever before and so we're excited and
It's part of it is because we're we get to help lead co leads Sequoia into the next generation with a great team
And the team that we have is probably one of the best that we've ever had in the history of Sequoia
Does it feel like heavy or light like is it feel more like you just got to pick up the most fun video game?
Or are you like whoa? I have the weight of something very serious on my shoulders. I think it's a little bit of both
You know, I think we're both Alfred and I
The idea of being steward someday was sort of a dream, but not an objective
I mean, it wasn't something that we sought necessarily, but it's it's an honor to get to continue the legacy that Ruloth and Doug and Jim and everybody else sort of started for us
So I think it's heavy in the sense that we feel a responsibility to mix Sequoia great
I think it's also a light in a sense that one of the kind of main things that we want to try to do for Sequoia is to
kind of get it back to what it's been for most of our 53-year-old history where Alfred and I
are doing minimal amounts of administrative work and
mostly in the field making investments
Alongside a team of people like Andrew Reed and Luciana Luxandrew and you know David Khan and Constantine Bueller who are amazing at what they do
And our job is really just to enable them as opposed to to really manage people if you think about like
You know aspirationally like how good could it get do you like having your mind like good things that have to be like could it get better than it could
It get more dominant than it's been or as the goal just to like stay where you are so I actually
I'm obviously biased but I think that if you took you I took I think you took the partners at Sequoia and you stacked ranked them
Against all of the other partners in our business. I
Think that our 7th or 8th person is still in the top 10 like I think we truly have I know that I know that's a really
I'm not like I don't know if all the other people okay, but I think we truly have like an unbelievably talented set of partners
You do and and I think for that reason
Like you could even take me and Alfred out of the picture and I think Sequoia be an amazing shape
Well, it's an interesting thing because these are individuals who could be incredibly successful in their own obviously
And then you put them on the Sequoia platform and get all the advantages that you have on top of that
And our our basic job is to get out of their way yeah, like our basic job is to let them run and enable it
Yeah, that's why we published our Sequoia
It's about the team-based approach and it's about the principles that we
Have laid out that we're laid out before us like we've always thought that it's founders first and LPs
Then Sequoia then the team then yourself. We've always thought that we're only as good as our next investments
and we added a few things
It's just we'll always do the right thing and do it the right way. We're always gonna do that
And if we fail at that because we're human we're gonna apologize fix it and move on and
That's place because we have such talented people as Pat was talking about
We just want to make sure that influences awarded to people with expertise
Not not necessarily tenure or form hierarchy
You guys are really explicit about your language here when you talk about like
It's you know stewardship and like getting out of people's way. It's very much not CEO language
Like I don't think you guys think of yourselves as like co CEOs, right? Let's talk about that. Yeah, so so great point
If you are the CEO of an operating business, okay
Chances are you are aiming for something like consistency
Right, you want to produce the same widget the same way over and over and over again
Or you want to provide the same service in the same way at the same level of quality over and over and over again
And so I think if you the CEO of an operating business one of your objectives is like quality at scale and quality
To some degree is defined as the consistency of the experience when you say an operating business
Do you mean like something that makes a widget or are you talking about like a technology startup?
I mean almost any other company technology startup. It could be a restaurant. It could be a manufacturing business
I think for most of those businesses
It actually makes sense to have a CEO who is making decisions and pushing them down into the organization
Because you want to ensure that consistency across whatever product or service you're offering
I think our business is dramatically different because in our but we're in the outlier business
Our objective is not consistency, right?
Our objective is to find the two or three or four outliers in any given year
Who are going to produce the most important companies up tomorrow?
Yep, get into business with them and help them realize the maximum version of their dream and and the key word here
The operative word is outlier, okay?
And so in order to partner with outliers we need to field a team of outliers
You can't feel the team of outliers if you're telling them what to do you can't feel the team of outliers if you're managing them
And so our our job is to like find these outliers who are crazy competitive
Spiky in some direction or another but also have a heart of gold so that they can actually operate in a team oriented environment
And just like set them free and let them go do what they do
How do you then manage like inputs because like I would think I would think that you do need consistency of inputs at least in some sense or maybe you don't
But like you know there's this thing where it's like the outcomes that you're looking for are these like crazy
Spiky founders that you partner with but the inputs like the day-to-day work does that have a consistent rhythm?
Does that get managed or do you not even think about that? I think it so again like to pass point
Inputs for each partner at Sequoia is going to be different because they're different and their outliers in different ways
So you can have someone who's very very thematic and their input is going to the whiteboard with
Founders and thinking about the future and whiteboarding this the landscape and figuring out where the white spaces and building a company from that
Well, you can have someone who is going to like just be out there meeting as many founders as possible trying to
Be opportunistic. Who is it going to be very different inputs?
Totally, and you know that's you know that's Jim who loves going to the whiteboard and
Landscaping things and that's Doug who loves just dialing people up
Intermediors or founders the best the smartest people he he knows and like okay. What's going on?
How what can I learn from this person? Those are very very different inputs and if you saw a blank calendar on Doug's
Like day you would be worried. Yeah, but not for Jim and if Jim's like
Counter is full and full of meetings like this bad. We got a map. That's probably a bad day for him
Mm-hmm, and so he's like okay
I'm like meeting all these companies, but I'm not actually having time to think so think about like one way of frame
It is freedom within frameworks. Okay, so we do have frameworks that people can use as guidelines
So that they're not so it's not pure chaos
Yeah, and so there's a framework that is what are the capabilities that you need and there are five basic steps in the value chains
sourcing picking winning building and harvesting and then there's a framework
Which is what are the values that we expect you to have and different teams have different values inside as a
Sequoia Sequoia itself has the two primary values of performance and teamwork, but there are certain values that we expect people to adhere to
Assuming you're developing the capabilities and assuming that your values are aligned with the values of your team and of our organization
You can operate the business however you want and and so for example
You know offered mentioned Jim and Doug. We have a partner in Israel named Dean Meyer
You know Dean has been very explicit about mapping out the talent nodes in Israel and getting to know the most brilliant former operators
Of the most brilliant you know academics researchers, whatever the case might be and just kind of like mapping those nodes and using that as a leading indicator where the world is going
Or for example our partner Charlie, you know, Charlie is much more high volume, you know, he's out there in the market meeting a ton of people
He's going through a bunch of lists. You know, he's doing a bunch of cold out down the company is like much more of a high volume
You know build the funnel and then work your way through a sort of approach
And so different people have different approaches that are kind of authentic to who they are and when you put it all together
If we have the right people and if we have the right sort of incentives in place it tends to work out pretty well in the end
I feel like in like you know, like a startup or an operating company a lot of times founders CEOs think about managing
Senior people to outputs and junior people to inputs which I think you know
Maybe that makes sense in startup context
Do you think about that all in like a venture context where you're like you know the way that you're going to think about
You know somebody who's fresh out of school been in venture for a couple years or whatever that's a different thing
Then you know a senior partner on the team. Yeah. Yeah, but I think you have to realize adventure the outputs are like
10 years into the into the future. So you have
Outputs that look like their outputs, but those can be mirages to like markups can be mirages. Yeah, so we don't really measure that as much as the inputs
And what people do so like sourcing there's inputs like how many how many quality companies have you met or how many quality companies do you like want to bring to a Monday
it for for
Picking it's like the quality of your memo make a what did you get to the first order questions? Yeah, did you answer them?
Did you call the right people it's not about having a long memo? It's about having getting to the right points
And for the go ahead was it and so so for the grit team to make it a little bit tangible
um
Every June
We review people based on values
So we have four core values for the team aggressive but humble strong under scrutiny
high-give a shit zero bullshit and demanding and supportive
So every June that's exactly exactly. Yeah, demanding support came from rubber and so every June
We all get reviewed on those values and literally rated with color commentary
I'm like to what degree does your behavior adhere to these values, right?
Every December we get reviewed on capabilities sourcing picking winning harvesting and building
you know to what degree does your you know
capability in those different areas you know reflect the level that we want it to be at and so those are
Values or behaviors or one kind of input you know capabilities or another kind of input
Over time we expect those inputs to translate into outputs
And if they're not translating into outputs then we get to go back and inspect and say okay
Well, what's the broken link in the chain like what's going wrong here? Can we talk just like pretty brass tax about each of these because like
Yeah, I think from you know, I I'm starting to think about this, you know, we're obviously tiny
But I'm starting to think about like how do you measure and care about each of these you know aspects of the job
I would just be curious because you guys have done this a lot know how to do it
So like can we just start with like how do you decide what it looks like on the like seeing stuff?
So like as an example, you know, do you do you say we want to see every company
Ever do you say we've got these are our zones that we care about
Do you have a discussion? Yeah, so like I'd be curious like what is good like forget the individual level for a second
But as Sequoia, I'm like you guys and I'm like reviewing my year. What do I expect to see?
You know if I'm like of all the deals in 2026. How many do you expect to see?
so
Because of the Sequoia platform the partners at Sequoia can see almost any company they want to see
So if you try to see everything and you pass on everything
Because most companies will not be successful because that's the world we work in
Entrepreneurship you have a very high accuracy rate
So is that the point to make to classify a bunch of right 99% of the time because you passed on the whole world
You pass on the whole world. So that's not really input. That's not a good input good sourcing is finding the great companies
And figuring out whether they're worth the time to put in more effort to do the due diligence to them make a investment recommendation
So can you only know that historically like in other words can I only judge how my seat how my sourcing in 2025 was like by 2026 or can I know in real time?
We look at true positives false positives true negatives false negatives. So we bucket it into the four quadrants
We keep a
Running list of what we think is what you know? We updated as new data emerges so that you can get higher confidence in your
X-Post assessment of like did we make this decision correctly?
And so we have we have that as a running thing that we do and then we look at it about once a quarter when we go on offsites
Yep, but it's hard because by the time the decision by the time it is obvious what the right decision is
You've long since forgotten why you made the decision that you made yep
So in the moment we also try to really crystallize like why are we making the decision that we're making which could be somebody does a cycle on a company and recommends to be passed doesn't bring it into a partner meeting
But they actually send out a memo that's just a page and a half. Hey, here's what we learned in like here is the rationale for passing
This is interesting enough to do a bunch of work
Let's do the last 5% and just codify that so that when we look back on it six months from now. We remember exactly why we decided to pass
and then the sort of
The sort of process by which we do that is is rolling like we get more information. It's like updating your priors
You get some information
You make a decision you have to you get new information you have to update your priors and we're constantly doing that
The other part about you know, how do you know that the company is worth looking at we you know each
Business line has specs and so for the early team the spec starts with an ally team
Are these people truly outliers like you can probably put it some
Judgment around that that is
That you can make like early on even before you work with them now. Of course once you start working with them
Truly find out whether they're an ally or not totally
So basically you're you're you're kind of observing this time goes on you're updating it is there like a sense of
Depth versus breath on this because you're not a huge investment team
So it's like you know if you're look would you rather look at you know 3000 companies deeply or is it better to actually have covered 8,000 companies
You know, so we a little more shallowly. Yeah, we track we we track coverage and you know we track all sorts of different metrics
Um our coverage for the growth business tends to be about 70% and 70% is defined
There's a list of you know 30 or 40 other investors that we say okay if they make the investment
You know, they look at things similar enough to what we look at that if they make the investment we probably should have at least seen it
And we tend to we tend to see about 70% of the things that other people end up doing
70% is probably about right
I don't think we want to be 100% because that incremental meeting probably gets into CYA territory as opposed to net multiple money territory
20% is probably too low, you know, they're probably missing a lot of stuff and so kind of that 70% neighborhood seems about right
We don't track individual metrics for what it's worth
And this isn't part because you know, I'd say incentivize this bad behavior
Exactly. So now you know 19 years ago before as it's acquired as a summer partner as some partners
amazing investment organization and like I'm
It does seem like a crazy number of great people have come out of there right some some it is
I would recommend for anybody coming out of undergrad who wants to join investing go to some of partners like amazing training ground
Pay the advertisement come to CYA first. Yeah, exactly
Go to summit crush it then come to see but but summit summit has this like really kind of elegant and brilliant system where everything is
Incented you know for outputs and so the funnel is very granular and individualized
And the problem that you would run into is if you're a crazy competitive 21-year-old as I was
And you were not number one in the call metrics
You'd pull out of your back pocket, you know
The three founders who you knew would pick up the phone that you were never gonna invest in
And call them to pad the metrics right and so it's just like weird behavior that ends up occurring
And so we've never had individualized metrics because we don't want people to
We don't want to think about hitting the metric
We want them to think about the ultimate goal which is partnering with the most important founders of tomorrow
Yeah, which includes seeing many companies and the and the judgment that you have to use
The judgment that you have to use the first
The first leading indicator of good investment judgment for a new investor is how they invest their time
Yeah, like if you can figure out how to invest your time to get to that angle of partnering with the best founders
Yes, is are you gonna end up being a pretty good investor?
Well actually maybe so one more question on seeing them we can kind of move
sort of down the chain but um
On some level this 70% number whatever it is
Well, it's an input to returns. It's itself kind of an output of like activities
Like I can't just wake up and say okay, I'm gonna see companies say like that's not the thing I do
So what are you like encouraging people to do to be good at seeing the right companies at the right time
And maybe like on the early stage business in particular. I feel like this is harder like it growth in some ways
It's like you know most by the time it's a beer see like you know
You kind of could put the whole universe on a spreadsheet. It's all notable seed. It's not like that
But I think the you know every business is difficult for a different reason for growth
Yes, someone else is invested so you get to pick off what
Pick those off and early it's hard because the waterfront is wide to your point like yeah for us to cover
For seed we probably cover 50 to 60% of what is done
By a competitor that we yeah, believe we should be tracking and adventure
We probably do see 60 to 70% because we have the information from seed funds that a
Seed fund invested in them so to see that many companies though
The question then is not okay, you saw them. It's like there's a notion that Luciana came up, which is false coverage
So to pass point about like calling your friend and you saw yeah, you had a call
We can like just go and see a bunch of companies because we want to demo day for a variety of places and saw a lot of company
That doesn't actually get to the point of finding substantive engagement and substantive engagement
So like okay to pass point about like investing your time
You saw the demo day presentations. They were one minute each very efficient use of time
Okay, what are the five companies out of that demo day that you're going to spend time with yeah
And so you can the decision quality there is actually fairly important
And so you that is measurable so there's a relative list of of companies that you want and looked yeah
And so out of that 30 to 100 companies were the top five that you thought were worth pursuing did you go pursue them?
And so those inputs are actually very very measurable for quality
And we may be wrong, but we then we update our priors on like okay
Why do we miss something that was that you didn't take a meeting with?
And so then you know the the thing about each of these businesses and
Okay, tell the early team we have basically three shots
Because we want to see companies before company formation if possible
So for that it's like okay, are you in the right network? So are you in
You know open AI or anthropic or these people who are about to leave these companies?
And are you able to start getting touched with them before they leave?
Okay, maybe you don't get that shot or you passed for the wrong reason
You can then once they've left and they've gotten momentum invest at the seed
Only because you
poured some heart and soul into meeting those people in the first place if you didn't make the seed investment
We can make a series A investments and so
That those are all trackable and it is a funnel that you can track and quality
Sort of end up rising to the top totally part of what's different
About the growth business also you mentioned you can put the whole universe on a spreadsheet
You also know a lot about the companies on that spreadsheet
And so in 2007 when I joined Sequoia the primary way that you learned about a company
Was you cold called them and you talked to the founder
Now the amount of information that our CRM system yeah produces when you just put the name of a company into it
Is more than the amount of information that we had when we were making a final investment decision 15 years ago, right?
So there's an enormous amount of information that you can get
And so one of the failure modes for young investors is to think of their job as my job is to meet founders
No, your job is to generate net multiple money returns
Meeting founders is one of the things that you can do to do that
But reading about their company online is another way
Go spend 15 minutes in our like our homegrown CRM system with all the data science signals and everything is
Fabulous at this point
Go spend some time in that system
Beat it up a little bit
You know, don't just meet you know, whatever company somebody told you are inflecting
Like go figure out what we know about them before you decide whether it's worth spending 30 minutes of your time
What you know about them that has nothing to do with a meeting some other partner had. It's truly just information from the internet
It's information from the internet, but it's also information from a bunch of other sources some of which are paid some of which are proprietary
Like there's data that we create to feed into the system so that we have the most holistic possible view of these company
You want to talk about the proprietary data sources that you have gone? I'll give you an example
Imagine imagine you found some great VP of engineering
And you did a favor for that VP of engineering and now that VP of engineering says I love jack jacks the best
I don't have anything for jack all the time right honestly. Yeah, well
It wouldn't be crazy if you went back to that VP of engineering and you're like hey VP of engineering you owe me
Any chance you could tell me like who your five smartest and most respected VP of engineering
I never do that and I think that might be but like I truly never do that and I just like can't make myself and I think I should
But imagine if you did that. Yeah, and imagine if you started doing that more than 10 years ago
Yeah, and imagine if you tracked all the responses for more than a decade
Yeah, and imagine if that all lived inside of a CRM system. Yeah, that has a talent map of Silicon Valley
Yeah
Not just the founders who are about to pop out of a lab. Yeah, but also like engineer number 37 in some growth stage company
So imagine the you asking you're saying like who are your five smartest people?
You know something it's pay drink for people. Yeah, it's the same basic thing and you have the whole the whole firm is doing this
We have a whole talent in doing this. We have all the investors doing this. Yeah, it's and we've been doing it
We had a we had a former partner named Brett record who came up with this idea
More than 10 years ago. So we've been doing it for a long time. Yeah, and it's not that route
I mean, it's it's not like something that you could just think oh, that's a good idea
I'll just do it because it also requires actually helping people and that's it. You can't be transactional
Yeah, you have to like yeah, you have to make sure that people you know that they're actually
Kind of feel good about helping us do this. Yes, in fact if you make a transactional they'll just
Give whatever a response to like get you off the phone. Yeah, so we we very much pride ourselves on making sure that we give
Before we can and so for example if I hear about some growth stage company that's inflecting
I can go into our system and very quickly get a sense for like what percentile is this engineering team
because
I can't think of a lot of great companies that you know became billion dollar plus revenue businesses without having a great
Engineering team at some point. Yeah, and so that's a pretty helpful signal. Yeah
Actually, this is a little bit of a side tangent
I want to stick with this sort of like the intricacy adventure, but just as like a quick Eddie
Do you find that there are examples where you can invest in something where the engineering team is not great
And you go in and you're like we can help make it great and there's so many other things to like that this can become great
Or do you think if it's not great from the beginning it never turns great?
It's very very hard to change the DNA of a company so
Generally, it starts being great at some aspects and then you can
Sort of augment things so but in in in early stage investing like the problem is like if they can't build the product
Yeah, and it doesn't work
That's you're not going to get off the ground
now
I think there are quality engineers at different levels and so
You can get off the ground because Nate builds all of a
Airbnb systems and it's a one person show for a period of time and eventually you have to recruit the next generation of people the next
Generation leaders. Yeah, those people may actually be good for a period of time
And they will no longer be good and you have to recruit the next leader and the next leader. I'll give you a couple examples
So, you know, we got a business of service now in 2009. Yep service now is founded in 2005
Okay, in 2009 all of the code was written by one person. Fred Lutty
When service now in public
Most of the code was was written by one person. Wow Fred Lutty
So did they have a great engineering team? No
They have a great engineer that one guy who was like not a 10x engineer. He's like a thousand x engineer
Okay, so that's one example. That's crazy. I've never heard a story quite like that
I don't think actually. Well in Palo Alto Networks in a different way like Palo Alto Networks ended up with an amazing engineering organization
But for a very long time near Zook the founder was kind of like the guy who would just fix everything. Yeah, right?
And so I think I think there are a bunch of these examples where there's one person who's actually a crazy
Disproportionation, or the productivity amount. Yeah, another example would be HubSpot
So we got a business with HubSpot in 2011 and at the time amazing story
Awful product and Brad and Dormesh would say the same thing. So I'm not speaking out of turn
Um, maybe they'd say mediocre product, but it wasn't great
And this is before the CRM. This is before the CRM. So that point was only a marketing product. Yeah
And they found this company called Performable run by these two guys David Cancel and Elias Torres
And they acquired it. Yep. And most of the time that doesn't really work in this case
They acquired these two founders with 15 or 20 engineers and product managers and whatever
They ended up rebuilding the entire HubSpot platform within a couple of years
And then the HubSpot went from being good story mediocre product to good story great product. That was in the built the CRM
Christopher O'Donnell who came in with that acquisition was the one who built the CRM
There were obviously a bunch of people involved, but he was kind of points on it
Yeah, and then Whitney Sorenson who also came in with that acquisition is still CTO of HubSpot today
And Andrew Bylecki who is the founder of Clavio had also been part of that team
I guess there are probably some types of companies where you figure
The product has to be good, but the engineering doesn't have to be unbelievable
And we can make it better and then there are some types of companies where like the founding
You know, engineer has to be just a genius. Yes. Yes. So that's like part of the magical HubSpot was
Like Airbnb and Open AI can start differently. Yes. Yes. Yes. That's exactly our point HubSpot managed to get really good engineers to care about marketing software
Which most really good engineers do not and I think another example would be like open evidence
Open evidence is a you know vertically integrated
Foundation model for medicine
Right like all of their own training all the way up to the application that is in doctor's hands
You can't do that with mediocre engineers like that is the absolute all-star team
That was able to build that product because they're you know they end up competing with
Open AI and the other broad foundation models
You can't do that if you don't start with amazing engineering. Yep. The more technical the product the more
Technical the founders have to be the more technical the engineering team has to be the less technical the product
Then you can you can rely on one person. Yeah, literally. Yeah, and you know
Airbnb started out that way door dash started out that way where the founders were just exceptional
They built everything and over time they complement that with with people
So that all securities you you really want you know, they're executing a micro nanosecond
Execution. Yeah, it's a really good engineering team. Yeah
Okay, can we talk about like um picking in some amount of detail like I think
There's so many like I think it's like a very hard to discuss
Part of the job, but it's obviously very important
I would argue
For you all I imagine in some ways it's like the most important maybe because
You know, you're seeing and winning is going to be very very good
Obviously you need to keep those very good, but then there's like this picking thing which like there's just like
You know every year you got to pick well again
Um, and so I imagine you spend a ton of time thinking about it and it can't just be
Vibes it can't just be this market's big
Vibes don't hurt fives don't hurt, but like so like can you talk about like
In some depth like what goes into good picking and maybe just to like pick a stage in the middle like a series A or a series B or something like that
Um, because like you know growth says on things seeds it's on thing, but like you know, maybe we can start and like
How do you talk about what goes into good picking in the series A series B range?
So I can do this in two different ways one of which is like
Back to like making money on money high multiple returns
That's not that important is it no, but that that's what we're aiming for yeah, so in a fund
We you know venture fund. Yeah, and that'll probably a growth fund too, but this we have about 45 to 55 shots
Of which we need six
To like basically be a 10x or more yeah of which of those three
Three of them of out of the six we need them to be a hundred million dollar gain or a billion dollar gain
That's what makes for a good fund. Yeah, and we look historically at all the sequest funds and
You know, there's a high write-off rate so
When you say like picking or we actually that good at it now our best fund is venture 12 which includes Airbnb
unity and
And drop box
All three of them were a billion dollar gains, but there were also 10 companies
That were a hundred million dollar gains. That's crazy
So
That is a good fund
The right off right there was like 50%
So when you when you think about picking
you have to be
Half right, but your point is that good picking isn't
Not losing money good picking is you have to take a high enough inclusion rate of asymmetry
So the point here is we're in the business of risk-taking and you have to be able to take risk on things that will run
Yes, so and then the other thing that we've learned about picking is you can't just have things run that you put a small amount of dollars in
And have low ownership like he's put a million dollars into this
Yeah, so that's been in a venture fund of 400 500 600 million dollars. It's just not enough
You own if you don't own enough. It's just not enough. You have to actually have conviction
And so when you have conviction and you focus on the right companies, you're gonna you're gonna be wrong half the time
When you just when you look at your basket of across many funds of the things that truly ran like the billion dollar gains
Let's say or the 500 million dollar gains and say
Did those at the time feel like a lot of people wanted them and like can you draw any
correlation between how hot consensus those rounds were not really or because like when you're describing like
You know this this sort of like asymmetry where you're seeing something that's not obvious or something has a shape like
Or and then you have these rounds where nine venture firms all agree this looks good like is there
Do those correlate? I can give you lots of examples where they don't both there's both right so
one of the sort of
In door-dash the situation the series the seed round was really really hard for door-dash
Almost everybody in pass including us and that's kind of my fault for not having enough conviction
When the series a came together
I think everybody knew that it was working
So there were they probably got like six term sheets in the same week that we offered the term sheet
So in that case winability was super important
So winability was super important and you know, I had passed and we were coming a little bit from behind even though we just we tried to say
um
With
Try staying um with the company and learning about the company and trying to add value in the series b it was red hot
It went from a 50 million dollar evaluation to a 600 million dollar evaluation
And when ability was really really important, but you know the series c
Which nobody wanted to do was basically at the same valuation slightly less
Um given and that turned out to be one of the best that uh not venture investments growth investments
And series d was you know very difficult
E f g those were super consensus. They all made money. Yeah, but the best the best rounds were the series a and the series c
And those were not consensus at all
If I go further back
We led four rounds in a row with octa the series c d e and f because nobody else
Want to invest. Yeah, um when we got into business with HubSpot we were the only term sheet
Um, I remember was zoom
zoom
Zoom was like a reasonably hot company because there were a lot of people using the product
But it wasn't a consensus investment and they weren't raising money and I remember a couple weeks after we made the investment
Um, I was a dinner with some other investors and one of them was making fun of us for having for having made the investment
You know, oh my gosh, you paid a billion dollars for zoom out how crazy, right?
Snowflake, you know, we passed on snowflake
And then six months later beg them to give us another chance
Because in that six month period it felt like things had inflicted and that that was also not a consensus investment and so I think
Our our internal data at least for our own decision making we've been tracking
We've been recording the number that everybody votes on every investment for more than a decade now
um our internal data shows
That consensus versus non-consensus consensus does not matter at all. It's just not a factor presence of conviction is what matters
And so if everybody is a six we vote zero to ten no five so six and above as positive form was negative
If everybody's a six probably shouldn't make the investment. It's consensus, but nobody has conviction
Strong yes strong no as much better if three people are our nines and three people are one
We should probably make the investment
Because the presence of the nines is a much more powerful signal than the presence of the ones
But if you wanted to describe that mathematically. We're in the risk-taking business
We need we need that volatility because the truth is not somewhere in the middle where everybody agrees. Yes. Yeah
We're trying to build the future the future does not look like the past
And so if everything looks consensus it's usually because it's we have something that is
measurable to the past comparable to the past. It's all like it's everybody's thinking about it and when it's consensus
It's all gets price to consensus too. Let's say you have an investor who is good. You're happy with them
But you notice over a period of six seven years that like they're
They're they're portfolio includes a lot of good stuff, but it doesn't have that outlier tail
What would your coaching be like what would you what advice would you give that person to get more asymmetry into their
Like if you're like, I'm gonna help you be a better picker. Yeah, this is not hypothetical
The way I'm gonna help you be a picture is by helping you get more of the asymmetry
There are at least three different names in my mind right now. This is not hypothetical at all. So now I say X to you. Yeah. No, so we're you know
Jim gets had this expression front-stabbing
Which is you want to tell people whatever concerns you have or whatever bad news to their front
Instead of like saying it behind the back. So we have this conversation all the time with people who you know
seem to be too risk averse or don't you know have enough of that kind of upside potential in their portfolio and so
When that situation happens we start having the conversation, you know, hey
You seem to be more in the base hits kind of business. We're more in the grand slams kind of business
You know, let's let's work on taking some more risk, you know
Like let's work on this together. Yep, and if years go by and their risk appetite remains kind of modest risk appetite
Which is very different yet in what we tend to seek
At some point the conversation becomes hey
You're actually very good at what you do. You should do something. That's a little bit different than what we do
Okay, but so how do you you say the like we should let's get you more risk appetite?
How I'll give it so concrete example. There's somebody on our team now who we've been working with over the last few years and
It literally starts with
This thing that you are talking about right now
We're going to invest in that company. Oh, no, no, no, but we still need to figure out this
And we still need to figure out this and I have these five more call oh, no, no
Yeah, we're going to invest in that company. Let's go invest in that company now
And so you start with a little bit of a two by four
Because you can see you know in this example. I'm not gonna name names, but in this example
Like this person is so good at what they do and they come across so many interesting opportunities
And they come up with a reason to pass on all of them
And so at some point you just have to say look
This is the good one. Okay, let's go do this one together
And you do that a few times and you show you basically teach by showing and you go from it goes from like you know
Alfred or me or whoever is the last 30% to to now we're the last 20% to now we're the last 10% to now we're the last 5%
To now this person doing it on their own. Yeah, because once you've done it a few times you actually get comfortable to take him the risk
In those in this situation is the person like are they like they kind of know it's good
And you're just encouraging them to trust their instincts like is it about like cutting off the process a little bit earlier?
Is that the learning that's giving them a little bit of courage
What paths referring to is like everybody here at Sequoia came with a lot of
Quote and quote success. They went to good schools. They had great careers beforehand
And they were the A students are the A+ students and in this business
It's not about not making mistakes as I shared with you our best performing fun had a 50% right off rate
You're gonna make a mistake half the time. Yeah, and so you just have to like readjust
And think about it from that perspective. Yeah
I was I was gonna say the exact same thing. It goes back to the people we hire the people we hire these
Competitive overachievers. Dylan. Most of them got straight A's their whole lives
Yep, and so one of the interview questions that is most uncomfortable for them, but most important for us is
What's your biggest mistake like what's the biggest failure you've had in your entire life?
And usually get some you know BS one and you kind of have to keep pushing until you get to a real one
But a lot of these a lot of the people that join our team haven't had much failure
And so we kind of have to help them get comfortable with it. Yeah, because otherwise we're not going to get the outlier wins
To do this business while you really do need courage. Yeah, you do need to be able to
Hey, you know in both extremes if you're gonna pay a ridiculous amount for a company that you saw in past a month ago or two months ago or a year ago
Like pat did with snowflake you have to have real courage
He could have invested a year ago in snowflake when he decides to pass and he's like it's a swallow has pride
And actually say okay, I made a mistake. I'm gonna pay up for this round
Even though it sounds ridiculous. I'm gonna do it or the other extreme where you're like nobody likes this company
Yeah, anywhere in the world except you. Yes, but it's a really good company and by the way this this courage thing is like
It's the type of thing that always strikes me is very
Tidy and nice sounding in a historical story, you know
You tell a story of we did this door dash round the snowflake round everybody thought we were stupid and then look what happened
But in the moment when you do something where everybody thinks you're stupid
It's like I'd have to be like hey guys. Let me tell you about this deal
And you guys walk away and like jacks actually stupid like you know, it's like
Like in the moment it doesn't feel good when everybody around like your partners disagree with you your you know
Peers and other firms are like you're not like stupid and the cute like this turned into snowflake way
Like we actually just think you're bad at the job and like you have to stay with that. Yeah, yeah, I think it's really hard for people
I think it is I think you're right that it's really hard
But it's also like the two fears fear of missing out and fear of looking stupid or the two fears that prevent people from making the right decisions
And you kind of kind of to block out those fears. We do it on this note. We do a lot of
Introspection post mortems
Post parades on decisions that we got right or wrong
Just kind of looking at the outlier decisions one way or the other and saying okay
Like we've got this one really wrong why we got this one really right why
What's interesting about the ones that we get really wrong
Every single one of them if you play the the five wise game like why why why why why why every single one of them comes down to some
Psychological bias or emotional trap totally none of them come down to an error in calculations
Yeah, all of them come down to these background effects that we're clouding your judgment. Yeah, and
You know we cataloged them, you know, we have a list of 40 of these things so that we can kind of like
Use the common vernacular and and be able to
Yeah, be able to kind of get in front of them so that we can have a conversation before we make that mistake like hey
Do you have separation of church and state here what separation of church and state well
Letting the thrill of the chase bleed over into your clinical decision-making yeah, right?
The thrill of the chase is a very passionate emotional thing where you're falling in love with the founder
But then you have to come back and put your emotions aside and clinically assess all the merits and risks and make a good decision
And so it's pretty natural the co mingle those two things, but that can lead you down the long path
How do you guys as
Senior partner stewards or like partners partners equal partners. How do you
How do you with younger partners who are newer?
How do you react when you see them doing something where they're doing something that is courageous
But you think is genuinely a bad idea love it
You're like let them let them be learn the lesson maybe no be curious not judgmental the conversation
Uh the conversation that we have with our partners all the time is I observed you doing this thing
I am curious why
When you start a conversation that way they the immediately are like uh-oh, did I do something wrong?
Yeah, but if you genuinely come from a place of curiosity
This is what makes us all better like when when somebody joins our team
We don't want David con to become another Alfred or another Pat
We want David con to become the best possible David Conny can become
And so if David goes off and does something that's not obvious to me or Alfred
I'm going to be pretty curious
We know this guy is incredibly talented
What does he see that we don't see like what method has he come up with that's not in our toolkit today
And so we we would much rather let people just run
Make some mistakes now they're doing something that we don't understand they do it four times in a row and they're over four
Okay, now we're going to say hey, maybe we don't want to do that anymore, right? We're going to start with curiosity. Yeah
What else besides courage would you sort of that like that was very resonant besides courage is there anything else that you would
In view as lessons to help people be better at picking as defined by including this asymmetric upside
I think the
The other the other thing that comes with courage is to play your game like figure out what you're like uniquely good at
Like for me when I got into this
To this business. I knew nothing. I knew a little bit about investing but not really
Guy made some seed investments here. They're a yes sure, but this business is about
Making sure you partner with the best companies of tomorrow. How do you break that down?
Like do you are you market led or you founder led? I just thought thought of it as like well, that's interesting
How about founder market fit?
And so I didn't encourage everybody just like
It is sort of your lens on things. It's my lens on things like you can't really for Uber
Travis is like a perfect fit for Uber for Airbnb
Brian's a perfect fit for Airbnb for DoorDash Tony's like a perfect fit
You can't you they can't go actually run someone else's business
So when you go into meeting a company the top thing you're trying to figure out is was this person made for this company
This person made for this company and the problems of this market. How do you do it?
We're just like by asking them questions and riffing with them and they all come prepared with a pitch
And I try to like say okay, be on this pitch. What do you know about this industry? What why why is this industry interesting to you
Okay, you started with a problem that you're solving for yourself
What other problems do you want to solve along the way if that's the only problem you want to solve that's not a lot
That would be some runway, but that's not gonna be that's not gonna get you to act to and act three and four and the companies that are
You know, just mega legendary companies. They have multiple acts
That one can lead you a long long way. It can be a decade or 50 or two decades
But most companies that are around for a long period of time and I consider a legendary
They're around for a few few decades when you meet the company. Have you already like visualized this is kind of what
Shape I think this company is and I'm therefore trying to figure out if the founder sort of like fits that shape
No, because that that would imply that I know something
That would be bad because in that situation we often talk about this as like for the former operators at Sequoia
You're likely to do that because you're you see a problem you think about a situation
I know what it should become and then you're trying to force fit your vision onto the founder yeah
And that's usually a mistake because if the founder if you're if it's your vision
And your force finishing that and the the founder isn't aligned with that vision. That's a mistake
And the other mistake is like oh, you know so much about this industry. It doesn't matter of the quality of the founders like well
You don't actually run this company. Yeah, you actually have to let the founder run yeah, and so I always approach these conversations with as we kept talking about curiosity
You have in this business you you just have to be very very curious and you have to ask questions
Five levels deep of why five levels deep of what five level deep deep of how and
Through that process you riff with the founder and hopefully the vision gets
More clear to you and to the founder at the same time and look this is a 10-year journey at the minimum
Okay, I think in in some of these situations with seed companies
Because of how seed funds are becoming larger and larger
It's at least the five year journey even if it doesn't work totally and if it works, you know
I'm still on the board of Airbnb
It's that that's been a it's almost two decades. No, and so and then Jensen still doing it's been like 30 years
Yeah, so if you want to shoot for a legendary status company
You want to find a founder and a team that want to go for it for many decades. Yeah, and
And then you yourself
Maybe on that board for a decade or two
Yeah, do you have an equivalent lens to this founder market fit sort of idea
Well, can I zoom out and kind of give like an overall framework on wherever you want taking. Yeah, perfect
And my my lens fits within the framework, but there's kind of the like what the why and the how? Okay, so
What are we trying to find we're trying to find the most important companies that tomorrow
And one way that you can think about that is the market determines how big the company can get
And the founder determines how big the company will get
And so the market and the founder by far the most important variables and the thing we care about on the market is not how big it is today
It's how big is it going to be in 10 or 20 years
So it's more of a why now question than a what existed a question
So the what we're looking for the most important companies that tomorrow
Why we're in the outlier business, you know, we got to take risk if we can
Actually get into business with the most important companies that tomorrow
That's where all the outsides returns are going to come from, you know, we don't
We don't serve our mission for our limited partners if we're just getting doubles and triples all the time like
We actually have to find the most important companies in tomorrow. It's also way more fun
Like have you ever tried company building with a company that is not working
Versus have you ever tried company building with a company that is working
Company building with a company that is working is the easiest thing in the world, right? And so it's way more fun
um
And then the how
There's a lot that goes into the picking that we do, right? So part of it is a shared language
And Alfred mentioned earlier that we have we have a spec we have a spec for seed investing venture investing growth investing expansion investing
The spec is just a shared language and the shared language for growth specifically is emerging market leader
Uniquing compelling value prop sustainable competitive advantage
And if you map those onto a set of financials the emerging market leader piece basically says
This will be the most important company in a market that is important tomorrow, which implies high revenue scale
The unique and compelling value prop piece
Unique suggest that you're going to have good gross margins because you're not having to compete on price
compelling suggests that you're going to have good operating margins because you don't have to spend a lot of money on sales marketing to get people to adopt your product
And then sustainable competitive advantage says that the free cash flow produced by those nice margins on that nice revenue scale is going to be around for a while
Those are the characteristics we're looking for in a business
Back to what I said earlier about the founder in the market be the most important thing
By the time a company reaches the growth stage if the founder is as good as you think they are
Chances are these characteristics have materialized
So the thing we care about most even at the growth stage is actually the founder
But the sanity check on is this founder as good as we think they are is whether or not these characteristics have started to show up in the business
Yeah
And then in terms of mechanizing that
You know we have a funnel like anybody does and we realized a long time ago that the most important decision is actually not the final decision that happens on a Monday
The most important decision is the mid funnel decision that determines what gets to a Monday
By the time it gets to a Monday, we're pretty good at making the decision
Our biggest misses are the things that don't even make it to a Monday is you look but you didn't spend real time on something that deserves exactly
And so having better hygiene around those mid funnel decisions, you know
We used to just go back to back meeting to meeting to meeting to meeting to meeting now
You can't have a meeting if you don't save time afterwards for a debrief
So that we can have a concrete conversation about what did everybody think about this meeting what are the pros and cons?
You know, what's the thesis where do we go from here and similarly back to our, you know, CRM system that we have
Every single meeting you take you put a rating in the system, you know, you're rating it on like
Quality of the opportunity zero to ten no fives and so we we just have this
Kind of by the way, none of that is perfect none of that guarantees that we're gonna make good decisions
Is just trying to get a little bit better every day so that over time, you know, hopefully we end up with more wins and losses
We believe in consistent compounding. Yeah, so just like doing this over and over and over again adjust
Adjust adjust adjust because the debrief thing we didn't have probably like five five years ago. Yeah, yeah, it's a really good deal
Yeah, I mean it makes sense. I mean, it was like wait a minute. Why didn't we have this before?
So I just run between these the MD you can't remember what happened. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, and then if you don't write down exactly what you thought
Maybe you want to still sleep on it, but yeah at that moment what were your impressions like we want to be able to marry thinking fast and thinking slow
We can spend the least amount of time on this, but I'm just curious about winning
Let's like when you want when you want to partner with an entrepreneur and you've decided we would like to do this deal
I know strike this long-term business partnership. Yeah, exactly. That's the nice way to say it. What do you um
You know, like what do you do? Like I realized like you know a lot of what you're trying to do is show them that you're a good partner
But like actually know no so
And we might have like everybody has their own style so yeah offer and I may have different responses to this, but
my
Basic mental model in this has always been if you genuinely love
A founder and the company that they are building
They'll be able to feel it
And so what I found is that if you actually do your homework to really understand this person and to really understand this company
And then you just tell them why you want to be a business with them
Like the authenticity and the passion and the you know the depth of the thinking like all that stuff should just come out
To ask that pointed question on that does that work for you because this is Sequoia or is that a good strategy in general
That works for me when I was 24 years old and nobody had any idea who I was
And honestly half the companies I was talking with didn't know who Sequoia was
So what does it look like to show that much like love for what they're doing because you know
You can just say it, but I'm sure you're not just saying it. I'm sure that it was expressed through
Some work you were doing on their company or reflecting some thought you put into something
It's kind of like when you know when people say that your brand is the sum of the experiences that people have with you
you can't just like
Be lazy and sloppy throughout the process and then pop out of a cake and tell somebody you love them
Yeah, right. That's not consistent with what they've experienced so be thus far
And so every moment as you're engaging with the founder
Forms their ultimate impression of you and if you are consistently engaged and thoughtful and responsive
And just kind of behaving the way that you would expect or want somebody to behave throughout that process
By the time you get to the end
Having now done your homework if if you are also now saying like hey here's why I'm really excited about this opportunity
Usually that resonates pretty well. Usually that's
Consistent with their experience of you so far. I don't know if you remember this but
And this was like a this was like a positive thing
But you you passed on one of the early lattice rounds. I know and it was the most gracious
High-quality pass that I got in my life
And I got hundreds of passes and I still remember that you called me and explained exact details of like
What you were thinking and what the risk were and limitations and whatever and it was just like
Clear that you would thought about it more than anybody else and I was like that's like that is like the gold dinder pass
So I guess it can't be faked because you have to do the work along the way to do that. Yeah. Yeah
Passing I guess well is really important for you all because
Like you know if you're you know if you're me. It's like if I miss the a I don't have been like I'm not gonna do it
You always want to be in business with a great company
And so I'm guessing on this you know picking thing the way that you pass has to be
Like excellent in general. Yeah, like you need to pass in ways that keep the relationship
Healthy. Yeah, I think the the way we talk about it is it's maybe not now. It's not that we're passing
We're not we're just not investing at this point in time
And look I I experienced this when I was on your side
Even though um, we made money for Sequoia ad link exchange
When we were running Zappos
Sequoia pass on Zappos like two or three times before they invested
But it was always very gracious. There was always a good reason. This was Mike Moritz doing it
And then we we learned from previous partners on how to pass
and
You know one way is to show a lot of love one way is to show a lot of work and and being diligence and
Telling you why as a founder like maybe you should work on these things. This is what we found near diligence
And hopefully we make your company better even when we're passing
And that shows it to to past point real love and real love for the problem real love for your business and real love for you
Yeah, it also shows love for your own craft which I think founders respect to like I always respect
When I'm like these people are working really hard and they care about what they're doing and all of that like that matters a lot
Yeah, and it's intense just to add on the winning side
It really helps that we're on the Sequoia platform
But we have like really strong competitors. We don't take it for granted
That we're going to win totally
I think you if you start with that
That's a good that's a good position to start. Yeah, and we we do it from a level of humanity
The founder is going to run the company. We're there to help. We're supposed to be the shock absorbers
We're supposed to be that the sparring partners. We're not cheerleaders
We tell the founders that what we want to strive for is at the end of the day because we love the company
We love the business. We love the founders that we're always the first call
Once you've won and now you're working with the company
How do you start the relationship like obviously it's like the beginning of this long thing
But like what do you you know you start working with the founder you're in business with them now like what do you what do you say?
How do you start things?
I think different partners will do it differently
But maybe from a the same level of humility that we have which is we don't know anything about business
Let me like learn as much as I can
And we start there and there have been times when I go to the first few board meetings and I don't say very much
I'm just observing. I'm listening. I'm reading the materials. I'm asking follow-up questions
um
You can't help unless you understand and as a board member your job is not to like
Operate your job is we're not management or board members and where they're for you to
Be a sounding board
But our the thing that we can help with is
Powder recognition of things that have worked in the past and have not worked in the past and asking a question
Hey, I've seen this not work nine out of ten times explain to me why you're going to be the one company that is different
We don't we don't ask it like oh 90% of the time this is not going to work. So don't do it
Just we just we're trying to be very very open-minded
I think in your first year
If you if the founder actually trusts you by the time you're a year in
You're good like that. That's a good place to be because I think
I think it's hard to actually get somebody's trust and
And so with that as the objective for your number one
You know the two components of trust are
confidence and intention
I think the confidence piece
People mistake as let me show them how valuable I am
That's nice, but it's actually probably better to make sure that you have all of the relevant context on the company
It's better to be like let me show you how much I understand and so
I go through employee onboarding
So that I have the same experience that a new employee to the company has and kind of understand things the way that they would understand it on their first day of the company
Usually we do one-on-ones with all the sort of key VPs or director reports as part of diligence
But if we haven't done that as part of diligence, we do that
You know as part of onboarding
Usually we get access to the last couple years of board decks as part of diligence if we haven't done that as diligence
We do that as part of onboarding if there's any sort of employee like culture manual or whatever we get access to that
And so we try to get as much context as we can after the investment has been made
To make sure that when we go into those first-hand full-of-board meetings
We're not just
Saying random things off the cuff like to the extent we have an opinion to share
It's at least grounded in the reality of the business as it exists today
So that's that's on the competent side on the intention side
um
I think because every founder has the horror stories of the venture capitalists that you know did them wrong
You know, I think because our competitors like to say nasty things about us from time to time
Like I think we really have to show that our intentions are pure
And one of the ways that I describe it to founders is look I have two objective functions
Okay, I have the objective function that I owe to our limited partners
Which is to maximize the share price of your company because our objective function is very explicitly net multiple money returns right
Um, but then my second objective function is my personal one
Which is like the reason I do this is because I really enjoy watching founders become
Amazing CEOs right and like build these world-changing companies
And so my personal objective function is to help you become the absolute best possible version of yourself
and
You can't just say that and then do whatever you want like you have to say that and then behave accordingly, right?
Um, but I think starting off by saying that and just kind of explaining that to them
At least kind of lodges that
You know idea in their head like okay, maybe this person really is here to help me get better
And then if you behave accordingly by the end of the first year
Hopefully you're in a position where the founder thinks that you have both the competence and the intention
To kind of like be in the trenches with them and then from there you can actually start to make an impact
But to me the first year is all about like
Actually become trusted by the founders when you think about the board seats where you are the proudest of
That you'll like look back at the end of your you know career and say that's where I
Shined like what is that?
What do those look like you know and like are you
Um, are you like part? Are you like an extended part of the executive team?
Are you a conceitley area is it different situation the situation like there's a what are the ones you're proud of stuff?
There is a
accompany that
I was involved with that when public and you know, when you go public you go to the NASDAQ or the nice zero whatever and you know
Ring the bell and then take a bunch of photos and
And this is a trivial thing, but this meant a lot to me
Um, there was a photo that was board of management team
There's a photo that was
Management team. There's a photo of those board as a photo of those founders
And then there's a photo that was founders and me
And they didn't do it with the other board members and I felt so special, you know like I felt like that was uh
You know like they were treating me as an extension of the founding team, which I wasn't I was just an investor
No, it was a great center, but they like meant the world to me. Yeah, so
It's always the it's always the founding the founders and how much do you engage with them that sort of matters and
It's not a you know for me. It's never it's about
Helping them get it right and helping them reach their full potential and helping their companies reach their full potential and
In those situations I'm pretty proud that we
Got to the right
Sort of outcome and conclusion. I think there are a lot of boards that you know you've been involved with a lot of boards
Where there are people who always have to rewrite they have to leave them they have to prove how smart they are
Those don't tend to be the great board meetings sort of board discussions. No, those are particularly tough when that board member is like
You know a real accomplished personality and like everybody you know, I think those can be very difficult
You know sometimes those are situations are um there's a lot of value
You know obviously from those people it's just it's um it changes things
Yeah, but I think the being bright you can in business things change so much and in technology they change even faster
So you you know your paradigm what makes you right can change and if you're not curious if you don't update your priors
That previous notion could be wrong
And we've seen that time and time again for most of our careers
Software is the way to make a lot of money and he was on-prem software. It was
It was SaaS software and then something changed like hardware became this interesting place to invest
Defense tech became an interesting place to to invest. They're just gonna be more more things in the world
And the world is gonna expand and you have to be open to new ideas and whatever work for a software company may not work for a hardware company and vice versa
So if you've been a successful like chip company going into a software company
You do have to sort of
Check some of your paradigms and just be cautious that maybe those things may not work the same way in a software company and vice versa from a software company
So to a hardware company
All right, my last question you guys are going into first holidays, you know, I'm sure you're gonna have some downtime
You're gonna think about 2026. What are you what what are you thinking about like what's up?
What are your bullets on your little note to yourself of like this is this is what we got a you know
Doing 2026 in our new new rules
Well, you know, we're gonna have an off-site in
January
2026 and we'll put those down that yeah
But it's not you know, we've delegated that to
Luciana and Adriana and they're gonna run that off site. So that's gonna be fun for them to run that
That's our new role is our new roles are 95% our old roles like first and foremost our job is to help the daring build legendary companies from
Idea to IPO and beyond you know in 2025 Alfred and I spent the vast majority of our time
Investing working with founders in 2026
Alfred and I are gonna spend the vast majority of our time investing working with founders and so I think
Hard of the reason this is a good time for generational transition is because our business isn't really good shape
The teams are in really good shape the funds are in really good shape the strategy isn't really good shape
The operating teams sort of the platform that we have isn't really good shape and I think 2026 like
The punchline is it's gonna be more of the same like our our partners are doing an amazing job
Winning in the market with the very best founders and becoming great business partners to them and we want to do more of the same
Business as usual see it's funny because I would just be and this is why I would be terrible at your job
I would be so tempted to be like you know what's next like what what do we add? What's the new thing?
And it seems like
There's a commitment to just improve this you know and perfect the core of all you know
And like Alfred mentioned it earlier, you know
We try to get a little bit better across multiple dimensions every single day
We will always try to get a little bit better across multiple dimensions every single day from time to time
We'll take a big swing and a big swing could be adding something big to our business a big swing could be removing something big from our business
right
And so we're we're always
Hypothesis testing and evaluating and experimenting and trying to figure out how to get better
But as we sit here today the business is in great shape and we're in the I don't know third ending
Of the tectonic shift that's going to define our lifetimes
And so yeah, we don't see a lot of need for big structural changes. We just need to go execute
You know just building on that. I mean one of the things that
Investors share in this business in the venture business is that we have a novel teaching
Like we like the the next new thing
But what you have to build is something that is stable over time
So the things that we're building on are things that we've like built on
Again and again urine and you're out improving those things
And so yeah every now and then we'll take a big swing
But the core business is a good business and so why not keep that core business and
To your point like perfecting that craft getting better every single day and just build that core business
And the stability at the partnership level is what allows for volatility at the partner level
Yes, so when we talk about all these crazy outliers that we get to be in business with the high trust small partnership
What's people do high, you know, volatility exactly? Yeah, exactly. Yeah. All right guys. This is amazingly fun. Thanks for doing it
Thank you. Thank you Jack
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Consensus versus non-consensus does not matter; conviction is crucial in investment decisions.
Having strong opinions (strong yes or strong no) is preferred over consensus without conviction.
Sequoia focuses on enabling partners to make investment decisions based on their individual strengths and approaches.
Summary:
The discussion revolves around investment strategies and decision-making at Sequoia, emphasizing the significance of conviction over consensus. It is highlighted that having strong opinions is preferable, and partners are encouraged to make investment decisions based on their individual strengths and approaches. The conversation touches upon the importance of finding outliers and enabling a team of outliers to drive success.
The approach at Sequoia values individual judgment and prioritizes partnering with the most important founders of tomorrow. The team's performance is evaluated based on core values and capabilities, with a focus on continuous improvement and adapting to new information. The emphasis is on fostering a culture where individuals are driven by the goal of partnering with exceptional founders rather than meeting specific metrics.
The dialogue underscores the unique investment philosophy at Sequoia, which revolves around empowering partners to make informed decisions and enabling them to excel in their roles.
FAQs
Consensus versus non-consensus does not matter, presence of conviction is key.
If everyone votes a six, the investment is probably not a good idea as it lacks conviction.
Having a mix of strong yes and strong no opinions is preferred for making investments.
Team members are reviewed based on core values and capabilities every June and December.
Inputs, such as sourcing and capabilities, are crucial in the venture context to eventually translate into desired outputs.
Good judgment and effective time investment are key indicators of successful investment decisions.
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