Tucker Carlson WARNS, Trump May NUKE IRAN, Anti Aircraft Deployed To Trump's House w/ Amber Duke

Tucker Carlson has warned Donald Trump under pressure from Netanyahu may nuke Iran because we don't have conventional weapons that can actually dismantle pickaxe mountain. Now, of course, the reaction has been swift with many people saying this is insane and he would never do this. However, there are many others, some people who are not even big fans of Tucker saying, I actually think there's a possibility this might be the case. Now, I don't know for sure, but what I can say is everybody is on edge for a variety of reasons. So far, the minimum is 33 countries have issued warnings to their citizens to stock up on food, water, cash and coin. The United States announced its fortress operation, making sure that all military bases are operational off the civilian grid for at least 90 days. Mar-a-Lago has seen stinger SAM launchers placed around it. That's insane. And then I know it's important to say this is not a military related issue, but it has sparked many conspiracy theories. This jet crashing just a few miles away from Mar-a-Lago only a few weeks after anti-aircraft measures are implemented. Again, the stories are in no way related, but many people are running deep theories, conspiracy theories. They think something else is going on. Suffice to say, everyone is on edge. And today we saw our second supermarket hack in Europe, freezers being cranked up. And I didn't even know freezers could be turned to hot. Did you know they could actually turn the heat up on freezers? I didn't know they could go both ways. They do. And all of this food spoiled. And it's even crazier because it happened to seven military bases in the U.S. So right now there is a wild theory circulating largely in left wing circles that Donald Trump is preparing to nuke Iran. And for that reason, he deployed anti-aircraft measures around Mar-a-Lago. We did not see any action in D.C. because D.C. already has anti-aircraft capabilities, but Mar-a-Lago does not. I don't know exactly what will play out. Nobody does. But with the midterms tomorrow and reporting that the Trump administration has warned Gulf allies, we are going to kick this Iran war up after the election is over. Everybody is waiting with bated breath to see what exactly will happen. Now, Tucker Carlson's warning has got over 60 million views and obviously has got people additionally on edge and others debating. So we'll talk about all of that. Joining us tonight to talk about this and everything else is Amber Duke. Hey, thanks for having me. I'm Amber Duke. I'm the editor in chief of The Daily Caller. You can check out my YouTube channel, Amber Duke D.C., and follow me on social media at Amber Marie Duke. And and the Foyds. The Foyds are here. So exciting. No, I'm always happy to be on the show, but especially happy to be joined with Amber today. And it's going to be a fun. You'd say your name because. Oh, that's right. That's right. Well, I'm OK being a The Foyd. That's like I will I will respond to that. But my name is Rebecca Zelko. I work at The Daily Caller. Also joined Timcast recently. So, yeah, exciting. Famously agreeable. You know what? I'll take it. That's very. We got we got to work on classic Foyd behavior. You got to get a little more disagreeable. OK, that's what I would do when I have some drill. Like when I do interviews, I could literally have like Tucker and then like like, I don't know, Ted Cruz back to back. And I'd like in both interviews, I'd be like, you're making great points. I just enjoy listening. I hear both sides. I just I just love politics. That's so bad. Like I was this last election. And with the midterms coming up, I'm like, they're both great. I'm with Tucker. And you're like, yeah, you're right. Israel's awful. And then Ted Cruz comes on. You're like, no, yeah, that's that's true. Israel's great. Good point. I got to tell Tucker. Oh, he was here yesterday. You guys, you guys hit off. There's fine people on both sides. Exactly. What's going on, Carter? Dude, I'm doing pretty good back here. I'll be dark yet more so y'all can hear me. But yeah, man, it's going to be a good show. I'm looking forward to this next couple of days because we're about to do a huge election stream and all that. So yeah, let's get into it. Before we do, my friends, we had a great sponsor for you is K E E T dot I O forward slash Timcast I R L. Encryption matters, but encryption and architecture are not the same thing. Many messaging apps encrypt your conversation while still routing them through company operated infrastructure that creates an intermediary and a central system that users are required to trust. So I love it when these big tech companies that you can just presume are like, aren't our messaging app is now encrypted. And I'm like, yeah, on your servers, you have access to keep removes that central message infrastructure. 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You don't want to miss it. I'm very excited for it. And of course, don't forget to pick up some cast brew coffee. Promo code I-R-L 20 for 20% off. Let's jump into the news from The Independent. Tucker Carlson says Trump could launch a nuclear strike on Iran within days under pressure from Netanyahu. So this post has gone massively viral. He says under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump admin may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war. The argument is Trump has stated he wants to go after Pickaxe Mountain, arguably where they've restarted their nuclear program. The only problem, it's 300 feet of granite and there's nothing we have that can bust that bunker. So Tucker is arguing the only thing we can do is nuke it. Now, what's interesting there is that among the left, this has widely been missed by a lot of people. They're putting out putting out tons of videos arguing that Donald Trump is preparing to nuke Iran. This may just be fear mongering just before an election, but they're arguing it because Trump deployed anti-aircraft stinger missiles to his house. And those are not for domestic issues. They're not going to stop drones. They're for stopping helicopters and planes and some missiles. The question is, where would those even come from? Maybe Cuba. But either way. It definitely looks like with the fortress operation, the warning that everybody needs to have food and water, cash and coin rumors circulating online that the grid could go down. This is what has people fearing Tucker Carlson may be right. I'm going to go and say nothing ever happens. Ridiculously low probability. And I'd rather say that than entertain the idea that Trump would actually nuke Iran. Yeah, I mean, I think that it's generally a bad idea to use nuclear weapons. No, look, I know what the wild and crazy takes, right? I mean, there there there is there is an argument going around on the Internet that the last time nuclear weapons were used, the U.S. became very close, closely allied with the country. I don't expect that to happen with if there were if there were to be nuclear weapons used in Iran. So, yeah, that's my my way. Wild and crazy take. I don't think that it's a good idea to use nuclear weapons now as for like the the actual fortress that there are the the installation that in question. I don't know that a nuclear weapon would take out an underground bunker if you can't penetrate. Now, it's not going to be a nuke. It's going to be human beings. That's why they've been doing these mass grave drills. A nuclear bomb. You are correct. It's not going to take out a mountain. I mean, it's going to massively damage it, make it difficult to navigate, but it's not going to penetrate. Human beings can. And that's why I think the army started doing these drills up to digging graves that can hold up to two thousand four hundred U.S. soldiers. Yeah, those drills were crazy. And I will just say on the apocalypse front, Rebecca and I got to our office this morning and all of the power was out in like a four block radius around the White House. Still out, isn't it? I got restored around 3 p.m., but there were no traffic. Not all of it. Well, some of it. Our office did. But it was crazy. I mean, people were acting like it was the wild west. Which, by the way, speaking of like antisocial behavior in the apocalypse, doesn't everyone know that when a traffic light goes out, you're all supposed to treat it as a four way stop? Like apparently not in D.C. because we have too many student drivers around. But no one knows anything, Amber. I know it's unbelievable. But on on the Tucker stuff, I will say that I've heard from other people who are very well sourced in the government that at the very least, the Trump administration has been discussing this, which isn't surprising, right? Like it shouldn't be surprising that when you're in a war, the people who are in the D.O.W. now, D.O.W. and State Department, whatever, are considering all options. And so at the very least, I would not be at all surprised that high level government officials are discussing the possibility or the option. Now, the question then would be who is on the side of not using them, who's on the side of using them, and how many people belong to each camp, because that's when you start to get more insight into how close they are to actually making this a possible strategic option. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. who did that oh man that's crazy it must have totally wasn't me south africans still at nukes after all he was a fall guy they can't defend blames north korea we gotta invade north korea now i'm just like i i'm not gonna give like a heavy take because i remember like in january and like the people you know were like oh we're gonna go to the war right with iran i'm like you guys are idiots and then like in february we send like our entire navy to the persian gulf and i'm like bro there should be on my cheeks about this like on twitter it's over back when uh what was the the first one uh was it midnight hammer when midnight hammer happened everyone who was warning that this could potentially escalate into a bigger conflict was like no guys it's a one and done like look iran didn't even do anything their response was totally symbolic it was all obliterated yeah it's fine we told we did it mission accomplished and then fast forward to february and all of those people should have been eating their words but instead now they're all of course celebrating where we are at this current moment so you know what scares me is that i do think tucker is just way overboard in this but if you were to take a bunch of presidents and line them up and say point to the one who would nuke iran that's what i'm saying he would do it just to see what happens i think it was the mcdonald's all the time that's the one that'll do it he's so the guy to like i feel like he just loves a good milestone you know what i mean like being the only like in the 21st century the only president to nuke that probably sounds kind of cool and his domestic agenda is about to go overboard if the democrats win the midterm so you've got to leave a legacy somehow i get the sense that the iran war if maybe not fully nuking them trying to finish the iran war might be the sort of capstone on his second term i i kind of think that if trump you know if the democrats win the midterms and then they were like we did it we're gonna stop trump if trump held like a private meeting with all the stop this no no no he'd be like okay you win i'll nuke iran and they'd all go yay honestly yeah uniparty action right they'd all be like so phil crystal would be like finally yes the bulwark would be so excited dispatch is all on board yeah yeah it's gonna be so funny when like the first like funding for the war comes up on the senate floor and the democrats are one short oh better man oh like they're gonna have they're like they're all gonna get mad at them but like secretly like half of them are just that that little fall guy is gonna be that'll save him from a third impeachment yeah real no but fetterman fetterman's pro israel he's gonna be like the first guy to vote yeah no that's what i'm saying they're just it's gonna be like a fall guy every time yeah like if the war powers act comes back up yeah like i don't think that even with the democrat majority they'll well they're setting it up when uh murphy had a stroke and it's like no we got another great we got that have been awesome oh yeah i mean i didn't even mention that story geez yeah that that story already like fell off yeah well because we got the big yahoo like threatening to nuke iran things are getting lacking wild over there hayley stevens while she's up on her day ones threatened to nuke them but he did say that they might strike at pickaxe mountain and the question is what are you going to use right how are you going to get the what what bomb goes to the bottom of a mountain we probably have like orbital strikes or something right rods from god yeah we have like something i was talking to my brother and he was like what are you going to use what are you going to use like what if these rods from god and i'm like they're well we don't there aren't any i'll just leave it at that for those that aren't familiar the idea is to launch a gigantic tungsten rod into orbit then you can just drop it and it's like something like 10 to 100 times more powerful than a nuclear bomb just do that just do that video of trump where someone was asking him a hypothetical about like foreign policy and he just goes what if a bomb drops on your head what if anything it's like that's honestly how i feel every day i wake up and i read the news he's like we're all gonna die he's like low-key like the most clear-pilled guy like he just guys watch there was that when he was he was uh i think it was during the campaign and he was like riding in the truck you remember when he did the photo shoot in the semi-trucks and he's like you ever just want to like drive the hell out of here just keep on driving get away from it all just get away from that's so real like he's so clear-pilled the wind on your face he's an entertainer you know he he he says these things that make you laugh i was watching the uh he had the the the reflecting pool thing today did you guys watch the video i was like oh my god i'm gonna die i'm gonna die i'm gonna die i'm gonna die that no i couldn't bring myself to do it and it was really slow and boring and he's like we have the uh biggest uh pool uh some say bigger than uh any pool and i'm like oh my god and then he abruptly is like and the democrats they want to trans your kids so we're gonna stop them and i was i was like for everyone that's my favorite tagline is for everyone for everybody i love it so much he said something really funny because uh this is just what trump is and he was he said something someone could pull the transcript i guess but he said something like you know we had this uh very much with the uh so much uh pool and i was like oh i didn't know where he was going with it it was something like that and i was just like he's just on a different arc now like with the the truth social posts that are like a book it's crazy he used to be the king of the 140 two lines yeah the best one ever is the uh i've never seen a fat person drinking a diet coke yeah instant hall of fame or him weighing in on like celebrity infidelity drama it's like this is what you were built for yeah was under his eye for like the two years yes so trying to save him it's gonna go south trust me and then like he was vindicated yeah he was like like beating his chest wasn't he like 60 years old doing that he must have been his late 60s yeah i was a big twilight fan wow now he's just like on speaker with the big yahoo and he's like we're gonna nuke iran he's like and he's doing rallies talking about how much it's like a swimming pool but industrial strength that's much stronger i like when he showed the picture of it too and he was like it's it's not grass it's just algae don't worry about it i'm like what why does it matter no one's worried i was talking to someone earlier and they said there's never even noticed it oh yeah i was talking to someone earlier and they said what worries them the most about this tucker carlson post is that trump's really old launching a nuke is a you will be remembered forever kind of thing right yolo yeah he like reads and he's saying his advice and he's like oh that's a good idea trump's the kind of guy who puts his name in gigantic golden letters on tops on top of buildings all over the world there is nothing more your name all over the world than nuking a country true now crater now tucker also said that jd vance is trying to back him off of it and some are arguing that what tucker is actually doing is trying to set up jd vance as this reasonable figure who is going to be remembered forever kind of thing right yolo that's what jd vance is trying to do he's trying to be remembered forever kind of thing right yolo that's who's constraining trump's worst you know accesses so that he can run in 2028 because tucker's praised vance oh that's like his boy yeah yeah yeah it's gonna be hilarious because tucker's like doing this whole arc and then as soon as like vance is in the primary he's gonna come right back on and be like vance is like the greatest thing ever even though he's in this admin that tucker hates so much like if you notice like when tucker's going after the admin he always spares vance he's like i just feel so bad for him and stuff it's like dude this is so obvious you guys were like boys yeah yeah but he was boys with trump too yeah yeah yeah well yeah i know that but like him and vance are like tight i mean because they have that whole click right and like the whole click is on the way out with like kent and tulsi and that whole crew they're all on the way out you know it'd be weird if jd like left because he's sort of positioned to maybe be the next candidate but tucker always spares him from criticism but if you go back if you look at jd vance like his debut to the world it was on tucker's show he like randomly got like 15 minutes on tucker and he's like yeah i'm running for senator i'm i wrote that book that was a good book but he's like i wrote that book and everyone's like oh yeah and then suddenly he 20 minutes on tucker so they've they're like this is like a play like they've been planning this out for years they're boys i think boots i wish i had friends like that i think we're gonna have u.s troops deployed to iran trump has already talked about invading karg island the only way you're stopping a nuclear program and getting regime change is with human beings and i said this since day one airstrikes do not get regime change you need boots in the ground and uh we had that great tim cast member who called in and said he thinks the reason this is happening is because regime change otherwise they won't rip the petrodollar deal the only way you're gonna get is with human beings so i don't think it'll be a nuke i think uh yeah i think it's gonna be troops every player we've forgotten tim that trump has said that we've already achieved regime change twice i'm tired of winning we've won like 30 times the secretary of war famously said that this was not a regime change war but the regime did change and we were all like happy accident yeah it was like 7 a.m we're in this it's dark outside and he's like the regime did change when you kill everybody they do have to put new people in it's just a happy accident exhausting having to find a new guy to be uh the other thing that's got everyone freaked out is fear of sleepers so if the u.s launches any kind of serious attack on iran and their iranian sleeper cells in the united states right do they then retaliate in some way that requires trump to have anti-aircraft outside of his home would that have happened already though i don't know because people have been warning about that since the start of the war isn't that what fairfield was in britain wasn't that base it wasn't like isn't the jerk right the rabbit out of the hat and why wouldn't there already be some like similar security measures in place at a place like mar-a-lago i don't know because the president like lives there low-key wouldn't they already have stuff like that there yeah you know is that crazy i don't know not in his first term because they were working against him but dc's got all these capabilities all over the place that's that was the question i was thinking you know because here we are in And I'm thinking maybe I should just call off the week and just work from home and be like, you guys can-- can do IRL two weeks to slow the spread yeah you know oh it's just oh man you know I can't go to DC right but actually I thought about I'm like I think DC and uh this whole region might actually be probably the safest place in the world they've got yeah and alternatively missiles coming out of them and stuff yeah yeah if there's any anti-air defense the U.S. has it's here oh we had our wedding uh reception at Fort Myer and we were taking pictures and they actually had to review all of our photographs before our photographer was allowed to leave with her camera gonna be a sleeper cell and they're gonna be like running through the streets with guns and then kids on bikes are gonna swerve into online buying scooters yeah sleepers just get some sleep why are they so tired just need to send one teen takeover to Iran and it's like it's taken care of yeah I like why we're so sleepy Iran wouldn't even do anything because they'd be scared of being called racist oh that's famously very woke look at look at uh Washington Examiner wrote this you , Tucker Carlson has lost his mind no the U.S. is not going to preemptively nuke Iran but you know it's just all opinion actually check this out this is what's really crazy about his post Tucker's post right now has drum roll 78.3 million views man I should just tweet crazy stuff and get 80 million read all of that what are the community notes or the proposed community notes no public evidence of an imminent U.S. nuclear strike on pickaxe mountain Trump has discussed conventional options and said activity is limited site is a real deep complex near what I say that Natanz nuclear claims unsubstantiated Trump on using nuclear weapons no I wouldn't in August he said it's a stupid question and ruled it out I wouldn't use nuclear we don't have to yeah nuclear is a scare word in my opinion too you know it's also one of those things where it's like anyone who's taking a such a definitive stance has not been paying attention to the last year of foreign policy which is that like we have no idea we have literally no idea what's gonna happen so if you can't definitively say one way or the other that's true if the if the United States were to use uh even a tactical nuclear weapon in Iran does that give Putin an argument to say oh well you know we we have to take care of this Ukraine thing and you know if the United States just used one so how are you going to criticize us if we use a small yield nuclear weapon et cetera like I think that the that's one of the the it's probably one of the larger uh deterrence is look if you open that can there are other countries that probably would like to well that's what he was saying he said World War III would be inevitable India and Pakistan will start nuking each other Russia will start using it in Ukraine that's why I'm thinking you know maybe you've got to crack a couple eggs and make an omelet India pack this is your moment guys finish this for good yeah yeah free rain have fun give the bang the Bangladesh she's like I don't want you guys to be left out you know it's been a stalemate for long enough someone needs to make a definitive move between India and Pakistan I've seen the videos of the soldiers like trying to intimidate each other at the border it's so cringy imagine them with nukes the rockets they're doing that very Rockettes but with nuclear weapons but with rockets yeah yeah because remember last year they went to war and it was like everyone was just making fun of them for like people are dying like they had a massacre and on Twitter I was just making fun of them no one can take him seriously it's really sad it was the largest dog fight since World War II yeah like and everyone pulled the eight like ATC radio up and was like get away from me and then Trump was celebrating he always likes to list all of the like Wars he's ended and people were like India Pakistan yeah but I guess I guess the question is if if there was stuff like this happening would they tell us about it oh I unlikely yeah you know I'm always reminded of that scene from Men in Black where uh Kay is talking to Jane he says look at all these people he's like there's always some you know Apocalypse or Carillion Death Ray and the only way these people get by is they do not know about it and I think that's probably the truth all the time yeah it's you know life is probably like that show Blacklist or something where you're like every day there's about to be a nuclear bomb going off or some you know disease or serial killer just nobody knows because secret agents keep it under red they just nuke you're on don't tell anyone oh no just weird instantly all the schools just there's no more Iran on the map yeah just like what are you talking you're you're Mandela it's a Mandela effect there was never a run the internet erases every map West Afghanistan living in a constant state of crisis averted no no that's the uh that's the Middle Eastern crater it's always been there it's a Caspian Sea too what are you talking about that's just there's a giant giant crater that's always been there you must be uh you must be new Ron what are you talking about yes you think it's Berenstein Bears too yeah weirdo and then the funny thing is what you learn from covid is all of the libs will basically be like yeah that's totally correct there is no Iran yeah and then Trump can like rename it because I want to play this clip from uh Rogan's show he's talking about the other day where he says something big is coming check this out it's disturbing to think that this could pop off after the midterms it really is it has been bothering me a lot the last few days why does it bother you so much Joe because I have a feeling that this uh preparing for uh you know having food and water is there's a real concern I have a feeling there's a real concern and um if the power grid does get attacked and if we if cities do get bombed it could get really crazy in this country I don't think Iran is in a position to do to bomb America though I think that's probably well cyber attacks yeah with the grid but um sleeper cells like we we really have no idea how many people came in over the last four years and how many of them are in a terror cell and it's this is not right-wing speculation you're just dealing with a number that is it's so massive right so the low-end number is 10 million that's the low end in four years in four years and so some Republicans think the high end is over 20. we don't know it's just pure speculation either there's the ones that they've counted Secret Service sites heightened threat environment as air defense systems deployed at Mar-a-Lago and airport this today surface to air missile systems have been deployed at Mar-a-Lago and Donald Trump International Airport at the request of the U.S Secret Service I didn't even know there was a Donald Trump International Airport the spokesperson said the agency is operating in a heightened threat environment right so I think something's about to go down I agree uh I think someone's about to go down look at Snopes did U.S military deploy surface to air missile system at Mar-a-Lago true it did and I don't know why and it's pretty dang freaky is do you guys have an idea or do you have an opinion as to whether it's more or less likely that the Trump Administration uh escalates the Iran conflict if the Republicans lose or if they win if they keep the house or if they lose the house I think it's more likely if they lose because Trump's domestic agenda will be dead he's going to want to leave behind some kind of Legacy he's not going to love the idea of being a two-year lame duck president I think what we've seen in the past year of the administration is him doubling down on foreign policy as a way to get around the fact that the Republican Congress hasn't passed much of his agenda Venezuela Greenland Iran trying to solve the Russia Ukraine conflict he's trying to make a mark somewhere else other than domestic policy and like the ballroom right just like turning the Rose Garden into what like a Thai restaurant like all right whatever man yeah I'm like do your thing I get it it's your aesthetic but like the new helipad looks looks good I like the new helipad but it's like does everything in the White House also need like a gold cursive label like probably not the next two years it does he puts gold he puts like plastic but like gold-colored uh Trump Challenger coins on every door in the West Wing with like super glue he's like a DIY he's like one of those he'll see a door that doesn't have it and he'll literally just like grab one from his office he said he wants to run for office again again so did he say which office like you could just like like postmaster general or I do feel like is that anything you run for the post I've never seen a sign for that anywhere the postmaster is always under so much stress he's always on TV like freaking out we've got to make stamps like 10 cents more expensive how much is a stamp does anyone know you can make it how much are stamps these days like 10 bucks who knows he can do whatever he wants no one has more any I digress I could go on all day about the post office so there's there's like a run on supermarkets happening right now in Europe did you guys see this people are freaking out everywhere and I guess we're just sitting here in DC calmly sipping our Celsius and our chilled mint zins excuse me sir is out oh oh is that Tucker's yeah oh I get a company discount oh do you really oh that's right is he still like an owner no they're just nice discounts are all gosh we need that well I ditched I ditched the uh the lip pillows I'm staring at them and like struggling that's tough like an alcoholic so what are you guys are you guys bored with the midterms then you don't you know it's like meh I I okay I gotta say this guys they deployed surface-to-air missiles out of the air in Florida and the attitude for most people is meh I just keep waiting for something to happen I'm like scared but I don't want to think about it too much like I have a friend who just got a generator and I'm like am I supposed to be doing that I have no idea and I'm just hoping that it that I just kind of this like nothing happens and we're like it's crazy we can all dim lights and get real low and talk like this and say i think something serious is coming i think now is the time to double down on escapism like i was watching the nfl last time like this is great i was like this is i see why people's ratings about to go i would yeah this is awesome i would love to be the guy who dances through the minefield giggling and laughing and then comes on the other side well everyone's like i can't believe that happened but that's just not really what happens when you dance through a minefield you know what i mean like not knowing what's going on and where you're yeah you blow up maybe you watched one guy prance like a lunatic through a minefield and got lucky but that's the challenge is that most people want to live in that world where like i don't pay attention to what's going on look i got a couple five gallon metal five gallon gas tanks and and i'm i'm ready to it doesn't matter how many mres i got in hand they're gonna like blow my house up well they're not gonna launch them at you there's a launch in my yeah it's gonna be the general apocalyptic environment around you i'm not gonna say what i have because if someone comes to my house and i want to shoot people but we that's all you need to say we're ready but you already my husband has been trying to get us to get a generator for a really long time and he's also trying to convince me to get one of those like campbell's soup cans that you put underground like the underground bunkers that literally look like tin soup oh those are awesome i know and i've been like no honey like we need a bigger yard first so if something happens now i'm gonna look like such an idiot so i'm mostly concerned about me losing a marital argument over this you've already given everything away unfortunately if someone asked me what kind of weapons i'd have i'd tell them it would be faster for me to say what i don't have yeah i have a lot of golf clubs so like and my neighbors and he practices so he's like irons hopefully i'm like purposely like trying not to build a relationship with my neighbors because if this goes down then i won't feel as bad like breaking in their house and stealing yeah one of those girl tool kits that you can get from target for like 40 dollars or it's like a pink hammer yeah that's it it's over i'm gonna be like running golf clubs i have like tim tebowed a drink i'm gonna be like a jersey i have a sega 410 with a hundred round drum that's awesome that's just one i've got uh yeah i mean i'm pretty sure someone asked me if i had it i'd say yeah i need to go to the store and get my uh my suppressors though i've been i've been working so much i haven't had time cans are good yeah i'm trusting my like mercantilist abilities i'm gonna be like swapping negotiating with everyone the uh the cyber truck has the biohazard mode right as well yeah yeah yeah the tesla the model s and the and the uh cyber truck so when the miasmic yeah yes miasmic fields when there are uh chemical weapon attacks you know it's really scary sarin yeah you guys remember the sarin attacks in syria and gas yeah the reason why it's scary is because you can't see it and what they said was when the gas attack happened in syria there are people like sitting in their chair and they look you know 10 20 feet away and they see people start coughing and gagging by the time they get to the gas station they're like oh my god the time you see that you're already dead because the delay and give you the warm and fuzzies doesn't it yeah what the heck i remember because i used to work at like fedex and i was like loading a truck and then like the driver was in there and he like ripped one he's like it's like syria in here and i was like kind of so i kind of know a little bit of what to expect you could do that you're gonna hit that you're good yeah you're good is that all you need really yeah i worked during covid did you guys see that story where uh oh yeah you're set yeah did you guys see a story where the lady was served cleaner at a restaurant yeah what yeah she like ordered a drink and they accidentally you know look have you ever been in the back you clearly have never worked fast food no because you ever see those uh like you ever see at the bar and they'll have like pineapple juice in that it's like a plastic oh semi-opaque yeah thing yeah that looks very much like the cleaner in the back yeah honestly if you have like blue cure what is curacao and like fabuloso you're done oh bro fabuloso looks like kool-aid yeah well the cartoons that have the skull and crossbones on it and like sizzled those were functional that like look i don't like to get give props to canada but canada is on to something with putting like rotting lungs on their cigarettes you know what you're getting yourself into here's my point is they served this to the lady right and they gave her a glass of cleaner she grabs it and she sips it and swallows before she can even smell or taste it like like you thought it was one thing but it was something else like you thought you were grabbing milk but it was orange juice yeah it's like the worst taste ever but like it shocks you but you sipped it and swallowed it before you even caught it so she swallowed cleaner and it fried her like oh right i mean that's what are you gonna do it's like so just what's terrifying is i knew this guy a long time ago and he told me that he didn't think terrorism was real because like what do you mean well that is awesome you gotta wait for me to finish before you he said because the chemicals and the things that exist that like sarin or uh you know like ricin for instance that could kill insane amounts of people and truly have them terrified to go are never implemented what he was saying was the if the idea of terror is to make you fear that you will never be safe if you go to war with somebody why would they not and then he explains very basic chemical process in a restaurant and he's like that would kill 50 000 people in a week and then people would be terrified to go to restaurants they'd be terrified to go to supermarkets to go to they they wouldn't want to eat out anymore they'd be growing their own food would destroy the economy but you never see that stuff what if the terrorists just aren't smart that's true too but the point is these things are not difficult we had a ricin kid at georgetown a ricin kid yeah we called him ricin kid what yeah so kit kid kid kid yeah kid kid ricin kid we called it racism he was just cooking it up no we had a ricin kid we all called him ricin kid um in my freshman year class there was a guy who made ricin in his dorm room what yeah he was like a math prod prodigy or something um and the unabomber he went to school with the unibomber he was on the club soccer team and yeah he made ricin in his dorm he claimed that he was just trying to kill himself but he got cold feet so he actually turned himself into his ra and then he spent a few years at least in prison he's out now whoa what is it with like dorms because like there was a kid in the dorm next to me to cut a lizard up they're pressure cutters man yeah he was just like bored yeah lizard up that's like you might as well make a bomb or whatever dude i knew a guy who would grow mushrooms in his dorm not like like literally an accident like no why are you like he also had a meth you mean like like like edible like oyster mushrooms not my year on like just like regular mushrooms for dinner yes like under his bed the guy was a freak that sounds that's kind of cool yeah he's resourceful did you imagine having a good apocalypse you're like hey do you guys want to like make dinner but yeah we've got to go to gyms because like if we do spaghetti he's got mushrooms that wasn't really the vibe that's probably the best case scenario he's just like you go to hang out and he slides out a tray of mushrooms starts eating them in front of you is that what he was doing no he like always seemed like very secretive about it he probably has like a trench coat with mushrooms in it people grow their own time they buy it like trader joe's that's the same thing yeah i guess kind of peculiar i don't i don't understand what's going on with admission at these colleges like they're just letting oh they're desperate brothers no young people anymore the weirdest yeah what do you do scraping the barrel at saint john's university did anyone do uh did anyone like hand out candy on halloween this year yeah i went trick-or-treating okay oh nice that's right where because uh in west virginia this is good um did you notice that a lot of the kids did not say trick-or-treat and had that thousand yard gen z stare dude i did i noticed it was crazy really they they just would walk up to the door and they would just stare and hold out their bag and i'm like hey happy halloween and they didn't say anything their parents are watching from the sidewalk just totally i wouldn't get many candy i bet you gotta say the thing if you want to get the candy yeah it was crazy and then they would like not say thank you and then the parents would be like what do you say wait you said gen z stare yeah this is gen alpha yeah i know 20 year old trick-or-treating yes but no the thousand yard stare the thousand year stare became popularized among gen z because they're all like spaced out on ssris so they just have that like dazed glassy eyed look and it's now the gen alpha has it i think because their parents just put them all on ipads you know you know what was the hardest thing about trick-or-treating was when you're like walking down the street and i like there there'll be one house where i wasn't sure because everybody was outside like you know they'd sit on their porch i wasn't sure if they were actually offering candy because there was no decorations but then i'd feel bad if they weren't able to but still wanted to participate yeah and then it's like you're walking down the street and there's like one house in a dead end and you're like do i have to really walk out of my way into this path i'll feel bad if they're staring at me now and like i gotta go out of my way to go to their house but if i turn left to keep to keep the path and do like the full loop around the neighborhood that's that's better mathematically but i feel so bad because like they're in a weird house off the road but they're trying to produce empathy so you gotta walk over it's not for the kids it's for the neighbors you know yeah that's nice because it used to be that if the porch light was on they were offering candy right yeah yeah but i don't i don't know there were like no rules nowadays it was chaos now in the neighborhood that i was at there there were a lot of people sitting out as well yes they kind of just were like you know what we don't have to go up to the door if they want to give stuff out i mean it was it was phil and i went trick-or-treating together it was very nice our family stayed home and watched movies but we got a lot of candy yeah what costumes did you guys wear i went as phil yeah who were you phil i'm kidding i did not i just put on a helmet and was walking around with night vision on um that's awesome yeah that's actually true Um, so, but yeah, like they, they were all like sitting out, like, you know, some people had like little stoves going with like our little, uh, outdoor fires and stuff. So if they didn't, if they weren't sitting out, you kind of didn't really walk up. You know what I mean? We kept our front door open to try to signal cause we were, you know, having some wine, listening to music and night out of it, reading Andy knows book, which is really good by the very right. Cause I remember like, there's no rules and regs anymore. Cause like when I was a kid, like for some reason, the city would somehow communicate to the parents at like 10 PM this year is like the cutoff. I don't know how anyone figured that out. Yeah. My parents would always be like, yeah, like you're done at nine. Yeah. And then I remember kids would come knocking on the door at like 11. I'm like, we'll get furious. I'm like sitting outside. Like I just got yanked inside and then you guys are still out totally skirting the rules. You got to turn the lights off. You don't want to come up. All right, let's get back into the news. We got this from Fox news house. Democrats demand Haley Stevens exile as Jeffrey's reveals deadline. On deciding her fate. Okay. So the Democrats are apoplectic. Haley Stevens endorsed the Republican over Abdul El-Sayed and she did it because he dissed, correct me if I'm wrong. He, she got disinvited to a party, right? He told her that she, he didn't want her anywhere near his campaign basically. But this was because there was like a big campaign party. I think for today or for tomorrow. Yeah. And he said, I don't want you here. Yeah. You can't come. And she was like, what? So I, I'm actually a bigger fan of her now. Like, I don't want her here. Like, you know, at first I heard that she was just like, well, I'm going to endorse Rogers cause I had his bad. And I was like, yeah, that's really great. And then when I found out she was just spiting the guy, like you want to play games FU. I was like, let's go. And that's what's so crazy because I'll say, yeah, I think has actually run a really good campaign and all he had to do in this, these final few days was just keep his mouth shut. Don't, don't piss off the moderate Democrat who's helping you win independent voters. Just play nice. And he couldn't do it. He had to say the thing and she understandably. I mean, if you know anything about Michigan politics, it is very personal or women, very really women is very relationship based. And the same thing happened in the Michigan GOP years ago when Rhonda McDaniel left to run the RNC is like all these factions started feuding. It was all very personal. He just, all he had to do was not say that. You know what it is? It's because Syed doesn't get women and he, you know, if, had he done this to a guy, the guy would be like, you know, choose your battles. I'm not, I've got to think about my career, but he, but. He, he kicked the woman out of the party out of the Halloween party. I don't know, it's a very well-established precedent that you don't disinvite women from parties. Otherwise they will lash out at you in your life. And so, you know, exhibit a over here. Did anyone see Syed on 60 minutes talking to that, that would, that, that comment about your, you know, the, you shouldn't worry about your daughter's seeing a male's genitals in the back. It was, it was, look, I think the Republicans should be playing this every moment they get a chance until the polls close tomorrow, because like the whole, like, oh, they're going to see it anyways, because of the internet. That's the worst answer you could possibly give. All right. Nobody feels better about it. On sports teams and so on, right? What happens with transgender kids on sports teams and so on, right? Like these are places where rights are in conflict, right? Do you, what do you think happens there? I don't know that that's actually true. I think we manufacture. These social issues, because here's the thing about it, Ross, you have an iPhone in your pocket probably, or is it iPhone or a Samsung, you have a phone in your pocket, right? You can get access to everything and anything in the whole world, all the world's information in your pocket. The notion somehow that you are going to prevent your child from being exposed to something that you may find disagreeable and that that is going to be because of school is so profoundly outdated because of course you have all the information Ross is in pain. I think it's really important for us to recognize that the free flow of information is actually a beautiful thing. It's really important. And the most important thing you can do is not try to protect a person from seeing a thing. It's about trying to make sure that as you coach your kid through the world, that you are engaging with them and saying, here's what I believe. Here's this guy's insane. I know for everybody, this is about who you're going to be. Okay. Okay. World, but that's going to require us to, I'm going to ask everybody a question and for everybody who's watching live in the chat, I have a question for you. When a guy goes up to you and says that your kids should be allowed to look at whatever they want on the internet. Just, you know, I look, you know, maybe they should look at this. What do you think that guy's intentions are like? Like a guy comes up to you and says, I know you have a grade school child, but Hey, look, they can get whatever they want on the internet. You know, you can't stop them. So just be modern and be real about it. What do you think he is trying to accomplish? Well, he starts off, he goes, well, do you have what a Samsung it's like, okay, bro, shut up. Like you're already pissing. You're pissing me off, man. Right. What do you think a guy who is asking you this, these questions, making these statements to you once nothing good. No, this guy's a total, I think, I think there's only one reason you use innuendo like that because nobody can come out explicitly in state. They want to give kids sexual materials. So they just say, well, you can't stop them anyway. So, I mean, you shouldn't really be mad. Right. And that's what he's saying on 60 minutes to every parent. And as a new parent, myself, you, you, I have had this argument on the show already. Yes, kids can't, there are things you keep from your children until they're ready to understand them. An argument made by an adult man that grade school children should get access to adult materials. I'm going to refrain from saying the darkest thing I could say, but I think there's an, I think everybody already gets it. I don't think I need to even need to say what everyone's already thinking based on what he said. You guys just pointed out he needed to keep his mouth shut. And he's a smart guy. I mean, to Amber's point, he's run a pretty good campaign and he's. He's come up with pretty thoughtful answers to difficult questions. Um, and it's, it's, I'm not, I'm not, I'm having a hard time believing that this was just like a fumble that he just didn't know what to say when he was confronted with like one of the most pressing social, you know, issues of our, of our, of our political age. I'm not convinced that he just like had a bad moment on TV. No, it's that this was the pre-prepared answer that he came up with for this question. This is what he came up with. He's being honest here. I think I went to the full YouTube interview. It was like an hour long. I think it was like an hour long too, because I wanted to see what Ross responded because he's usually really quick with it and he actually just moved on to the next question, which might've actually been wise because the clips speaks for itself, right? Like you don't need to even have the quick wit of Ross Douthat to tamp this down because it's so obviously idiotic. So Republicans are obviously already running this everywhere. The problem, of course, with our modern voting system is that there are already millions of votes. And before election day, so October surprises, November surprises don't even have as much impact anymore because of a huge portion of the electorate has already cast their ballot. Well, it sucks too, because if we had the economy as tuned in, as we did this time last year, this stuff does have like a game, like you, if the, again, if the economy is firing on all cylinders, this would be the final nail in the coffin for like, okay, well, he's finished now. This is crazy. The problem is like the socialists have really low salience right now going into the election. So it's like us around the table. We care people that are. Like tapped into like politics, especially conservative politics care a lot. And they're like, this guy's crazy. Keep them out of office. But again, everyday people they're like, I don't know, dude, I just paid for, I was in Michigan this weekend. I paid four 50 to fill up my tank. So it's like, and people in Texas have been talking about the same thing. You'll notice the Ken Paxton campaign talks a lot about social issues in comparison to James Tallarico. But the problem is even though the issue of transgender people in sports or locker rooms is a mover. On voters, like it's the issue that you can convince voters to move the most on the number of people who rank that in their top 10 issues is supremely low. So you can't just go all in on that messaging because you're only really reaching the small little, like miniscule swath of the electorate. Well, it happens to the, it's happened to the Democrats. I mean, this playbook worked great in 24. I mean, we were like this, you know, there's Cree, they're all creepy, et cetera. Super high salience, et cetera. The Democrats tried that because in 22. That was their golden ticket was abortion. Like that, that did numbers for them. It was fantastic. Voters really cared about it. They went the same playbook in 24. People have moved on. Like that was already baked in. People had filtered to either side on that issue. I think the same thing has happened with the transgender issue is like, if you're concerned about that, you're already voting Republican. Anyway, there's not a single Democrat that's like what he's pro transgender. Like my kids. Oh my gosh. I'm putting like, and if you're concerned about it as bad as it is that it, there are institutions that are enabling this ideology. There are ways as like a parent to kind of insulate your children from that. You can homeschool them or you can not give them phones, you know, things like that. There are kind of more immediate remedies for the issue that are within their reach. You can't like go to the gas station and magically make gas cheaper. And so that's also part of the calculus. The economics are the defining factor of this. Even the people that say that they're upset about the war, which there are plenty of people out there that are upset about the war. I've made the argument before on the show that like, look, if Americans aren't coming home in body bags. Generally, the American people will forgive airstrikes. So the thing that they're actually upset about is the economy. And that's directly related to the downstream gas. Speaking of the war, the Wall Street Journal is reporting that the U.S. struck Iran's Qashem Island as of like 10 minutes ago. Well, we actually, we had that, but I think that happened about 20 minutes before we went live. The U.S. is engaging in ongoing strikes against Iran. to run. So I think the only thing that counters is that Trump said, oh, we're going and a half piece there's gonna be a deal or whatever but clearly not well he said yeah and he said he was gonna wait till after the midterms to strike again he sold some internals he's like i mean which time zone as well you know maybe he's on iran time he's getting confused yeah the election's already over and we just had daylight savings time it's all it's all i slept in on accident might be already over here in the u.s too but so true yeah um yeah the the the cost of gas is the driver i mean i was saying earlier this year i was like if the economy is doing well and people feel like their dollar goes well then the republicans might be able to keep the house and and probably will keep the senate if the economy is not they're definitely not going to and i stand by that i i don't i don't expect a big surprise tomorrow i think that it's going to be pretty brutal for republicans and that means significant downstream negative effects for the american people so yeah yeah it's i mean i hate this like messaging from the republicans that are like on the in crowd so it's like we're having this like in-house discussion as conservatives and we're having this like in-house discussion as conservatives and we're having this like in-house discussion as conservatives and it's like get out and vote get your patriotic duty and it's like sure but like why is it on me now like you guys have screwed up so royally that we're in this position and now it's on me to get you guys elected like i hate that so much i like like i i'm i'm a team player like i'll play ball i love trump uh but i'm not even really republican i just like i've like i got into this because of trump i was like 15 when he when he ran for president i was 14 when he ran for president so like when it comes to like doing this like gay get out the vote routine it's like you guys drop the ball big time what am i like gonna go put my reputation on the line to get half these clowns elected it's like seriously i get it my reputation online to get vivek ramaswamy elected it's like too big of an ask i'm out look i mean if you all you honestly for me all you have to do is read the dsa's workers want more or whatever their their uh policy their their platform it's full of insanity right they want to get rid of and people i say this stuff i tell people the things that are in there and they think that i'm i'm kidding or crazy like they literally want to abolish the Constitution and they want to abolish the Constitution and they want to abolish the Constitution they want to get rid of it they want to get rid of the Senate they want to get rid of the the office of the presidency they want to have the Congress decide who the president is like they and to get rid of the Senate you actually have to abolish the Constitution because it's the in article 5 the only thing that's that can't be changed about the Constitution without an amendment with an amendment is the Senate you can't take the votes of the small states away from them so you're you have to abolish the Constitution to do this they don't want to make changes or rethink tax policy or anything they want to fundamentally change what the United States is and and look I know there are people out there that are mad about the war I know people are out there that are mad about the cost of gas and and rightly so they have every right to feel that way but I I can't sit home and and say you know not I couldn't just not go and vote and I can't tell people well you know I get why you're mad so I get while you're why you're voting or at the very least I can't sit here and be like no it's fine like it's it's really really important that Democrats don't get the reins of power because of what they want to do to the country and if we if they lose if the Republicans do lose tomorrow and you've got two years of a lame duck for Trump it's going to be investigations it's going to be all kinds of stuff from from the house that's just doing everything they can to hamstring the Trump administration and it makes no sense if they lose tomorrow and if that happens they will do everything they can to eliminate those policies because the DSA is going to control the Democrat party yes but the what we've seen with the willingness to go after each other Trump's now talking about issuing a pardon for Elon Musk and other aides look we're looking at I become present I pardon everyone I know now you can't do anything clearly this breaks at some point so I I actually would expect the willingness of aides to escalate lawfare against each other to get to to escalate I to be to be one it's going to happen if the Democrats win it's not the pardon is going to mean nothing they're going to argue that Trump was illegitimate they're going to make something up the question then is will Trump in his in his next two years be willing to do something to stop that do does does either side feel they are facing a genuine existential threat I don't know if it can happen in the United States I mean we've had a civil war before but we just saw in Poland I guess a coup attempt really crazy stuff and I would not be surprised if we get something similar because think about how it played out in Poland basically was at the prime minister right he goes to the court and he's like I have no choice we have to restore the rule of law it wasn't like he said I hereby declare a coup in this country is mine now if anything does go down it's going to be as simple as some federal judge saying Trump can't do a thing and then Democrats being like oh no Trump's defying us and they're going to then say it's a coup the executive the executive is defying the judicial and he's and Trump's gone rogue yeah and they're going to and they have they already have J.B. Pritzker and Gavin Newsom that have said that they'll step in and they'll defy Trump should he give any illegal orders which the only things that Trump is going to do or the only thing that he's he's going to respond to that they're that they could do something like that is if he used the insurrection act because of like protests and stuff like that I expect to see a lot of protests and a lot of ramping up with violence and a lot of violence and a lot of violence we didn't see anything at all this summer next year if if the Democrats take the house you're going to see a lot of that stuff Trump is going to be pressured to use the insurrection act to tamp it down and then you'll have Democrat government governors saying no you know we're not going to listen we we're not going to we're not going to comply with his orders this is a you know this is a constitutional crisis it actually won't be because the president is fully within his power to activate the the National Guard to use the insurrection act um but they're doing whatever they can to Defy him and they're they're looking to pull the the legitimacy of the the office of the presidency down they're looking to change the country I think the big problem with that argument is not that that's not all true because it 100 is is that it's not as compelling for people when corruption has increasingly become one of the biggest issues heading into the midterms and the Trump administration has shown really no willingness or interest in tamping down those perceptions they continue having people who have business interests in the Middle East negotiating for the end of the Iran war for example um he's been handing out pardons like candy to people who have donated to his campaign or to the ballroom and so people want a check on the president and if it's the DSA in Congress uh maybe let's say 10 to 15 members of the Democratic caucus they're not going to view the DSA platform as an existential threat so much less as a necessary stopgap to President Trump it would be different if you had a Democrat in the presidency yeah I mean I think like it's so much different than Trump one where the Trump administration actually because the the first two years was just sputtering and people were getting fired left and right it was just chaos uh and then after they get spanked they kind of dialed in like they actually got a good Chief of Staff in they started getting the cogs moving what you would have expected from what we were promised with Trump I I don't know if that happens uh again after this midterm I don't know if we get kind of this uh introspection because you think like how United people were and how excited people were to vote in the midterms in the first term you're not seeing that now we're now like the Republicans have screwed up dramatically we're now they're like guilt tripping the voters or they're like well if you're gonna let socialists in if you don't go vote um it's I I just I don't see them like learning any lessons I see the neocons blaming mass deportations and the theme going into the 2028 primaries is like these chuds are out of control like bring back Mitt Romney to like come steer the ship like it's just it's like what this reminds me of this entire midterm Saga is it reminds me of the last New York City mayoral election where like the voters have to plug their nose and vote for Cuomo to keep Mamdani out and the obvious like conclusion there was well okay if you successfully get Mamdani out we're gonna have the exact same problem in four years because the demographics of New York City have changed so like Cuomo is just stopping the bleed and I'm like seeing the same thing now with this midterm where it's like okay we stopped the DSA for four years but every young person in this country to a varying degree is suffering the boomers are dying off so we're just going to be dealing with more like a more insurmountable wave of socialists on in the Democrat party every election cycle so it's like sweet we're out of the woods for two more years now what because again this last year for the Trump administration has objectively been like a disaster I want to pull up this post from Quiver quantitative we just caught another massive prediction market trade someone just bet 100 000 that Republicans will win both the house and Senate tomorrow they will win 1.6 million dollars if they are correct now what's that all about does somebody know something that that we don't or are they hoping that tomorrow when the results come in there will be some early blips of Republicans over performing which results in the Republican sweep jumping up a percentage and then they cash out and they make a thousand bucks or something probably that probably yeah I mean the prediction market stuff I mean it's I suppose it's useful to get an idea of how people are feeling but I don't think that it's any more reliable than polls are I think it's unreliable now and this kind of breaks my heart uh it breaks my heart because back in the early days we used prediction markets because we were like people put their money where their mouth is but now we saw these fake pollsters and I believe those fake polls existed for the purpose of manipulating these markets yeah I agree you put out you put out a poll being like oh El sayed's up 20 points and then all of a sudden people start buying side oh and then you sell your position you buy him you buy him for 20 bucks and then you put up a fake poll bang he goes up you sell you got 100 bucks that's what it was in brazil because you know americans we have no idea what pollsters the trust in brazil so they were like amplifying the bolsonaro polls he was at like 80 i think like 70 80 chance to win uh but i remember like well actually asking some brazilian insiders and they're like what no like lula's going to win i was uh i actually did an interview with glenn greenwald today which is going to be on the tim pool show but uh i asked him about that and he was like you could see in his face i don't think he said it explicitly but i think he said it like yeah it's corruption like there's yeah totally dude lost that's why the insiders that i knew they were like it doesn't matter what the votes are lula's winning that was basically what was communicated to me i mean the story there is crazy what he was saying is uh lula was in jail and that his reporting helped get him out of jail and the left was celebrating glenn greenwald who for saving the left and then when they started going after bolsonaro glenn greenwald reported the same thing like here's what's happening and they're like you've turned on us and he's like no i'm just reporting i'm telling people what's happening yeah and now bolsonaro is getting the get in the brunt of it they were going to lock him up for sure well i guess to the point it's just like yeah the prediction markets the last five major elections it's been like oh flip day of that's crazy sorry you lost all your money you know the unfortunate reality is when there's money money to be made the system will will make the money for those that can they can do it so if you're like oh what's that no one can stop me from being an different country and manipulating like who's going to come after me is it against is it against the law in the united states to uh make wagers on like a canadian company like it look somebody who lives in uh i don't know egypt no the egypt egyptian government's never going to go after them because they're gaming prediction markets not at all now i'll make it worse people in india are probably encouraged by their government to manipulate the prediction markets what not india no no they wouldn't scam it even no who's the beast that's like republican house democrat senate the guy like not paying attention he's like that that seems cool yeah i feel bad because there's probably no liquidity so they're just stuck yeah yeah they've been trying to sell for three months and no one's interested i mean you can actually see right what if we what if we type in what if we type in i don't want democrat sweep let's do uh what is it uh our house democrat senate if we put a hundred dollars like green party sweep one hundred dollars we'll win you over we'll win you over we'll win you over we'll win you 11 687 dollars oh if you have the money to spare why not bro could you imagine if that actually happened like somehow the republicans lose the senate but win the house it'd be so fun it's not possible that'd be really funny yeah like what happens if like unbelievable like the craziest scandal you possibly imagine and then like the libertarian and green party come in and like take all like what happens then who makes money that's my question i don't care about oh actually the libertarian party is not going to sweep it no that's actually an interesting question the only markets offer to our democrat republican even though technically i know no one takes it seriously or consider it but technically like the libertarian party swept like what would happen then yeah like what if none of the just everyone lose i bet it says you just lose everybody that bet loses and the country loses what if everyone can everyone running conspires switches independent in the last second and then it's like we're non-partisan they'll just come out and be like oh wait actually no hold on because uh these the these predictions require a definitive outcome so democrats sweep means they win the house in the senate so how do they pay out at all any of them like it makes it that would make no sense like if somehow the libertarians actually won this this prediction market is completely broken they'd have to refund it or what if like what if all the votes the early votes are like screwed up somehow they don't count and then everyone sleeps in tomorrow and forgets the vote and no one voted in the election and so like one one like so so like it says our house d senate right let's say the libertarian party somehow won the house like obviously not gonna happen there is no category for l house d senate so this one is a is a no so it resolves to know republicans sweep if libertarians win one it's a no democrat house it would be a no for everybody if one party yeah everyone loses everyone loses and to phil's point the country loses as well i guess because you can buy the no contracts too that's just the way it works and all she would win though call she would win ten thousand dollars wagered so what do you do with six hundred and fifteen thousand dollars if you bet on a republican house democrat senate no are you just making like a fraction of a penny uh what do you mean which i don't know how to read any of that republican house senate oh yeah you you probably won't make anything look ten thousand dollars it's been like what i mean that's 60 bucks for free that's free lunch sports gambling's been legal for like what five years and i still can't read like the money lines or anything i'm like i don't know what it means like plus 400 i'm like you if you do if you do three thousand dollars on republican house democrat senate no you get nineteen dollars and 66 cents that's a free lunch that's a free lunch yeah that'll get you that'll get you a free lunch big mac fry and a coke because that's definitely not going to happen that's actually pretty crazy what if i put 30 grand and i want 100 bucks that's 100 bucks you know that's the only contract i've bought on the prediction markets for the midterms is i bought it like at the beginning of the election cycle because i thought it was interesting was i bought susan collins beating what i thought was like grand platner because it was like grand platner's a creep and then he drops out the new guy comes in and i didn't win like now they're like no now you she has to beat troy jackson i'm like how's that fair i i said grand platner's beatable i didn't i don't even know who this guy is i i always wins i'm gonna call him tomorrow and be like hey i want my 20 back i do not think that democrats can sweep i don't think that makes sense for democrats i think this is zealotry i think this is media hype the you know the new york times sienna poll comes out and everyone's like wow you know democrats are doing better than they've ever done in the history in 50 60 years i don't think so winning the senate is still a crazy task for democrats to accomplish even with everything we're seeing uh they they have to it has to be at least 51 49 50 50 is going to be a republican a republican senate that is an insane uphill battle but everyone's just dumping money into democrat sweep because i don't think they know better yeah i've seen a lot of the data well ohio you think they're gonna they're gonna they're gonna win the senate it's more likely than not yeah i don't think they take ohio they take maine and then your pick for the third that's easy they really think they're gonna take maine though yeah i feel like susan collins is kind of indestructible in a weird way dollars so i really need her to win it's gonna i think maine's gonna be within a point or two i mean i'm hearing from insiders they could lose south carolina i north carolina is blue so we got 270 to win consensus map right now the problem is that uses prediction markets so who's going to win what do you want cook political report who's reliable decision desk i don't know about that they're using fake polls cook political cook political's got a pure toss-up democrats got got an edge by one seat but still they gotta get they gotta win four i don't think ohio's a toss-up no and michigan is it i i'm sorry i know they're saying el sayed's winning but i just don't buy it he narrowly won the primary and now he's got to go up against the moderate democrat endorsing against him and and and now the democrats are coming on being like oh hayley stevens endorsement is bolstering side no it isn't dude i know i know democrats who are saying outright they won't vote for sayed i'm not saying it's it's it's a mess i'm just saying i know people but who am i like i'm in that space so of course people i know are like me i would just be surprised if uh if if well no i won't be surprised if he does win i just think it's much closer than people realize and hayley stevens endorsement is is a major blow because it opened the door for regular people to say they voted for rogers because they're with hayley stevens yeah it is a permission structure for sure um and iowa seriously no i think i was probably fine yeah ohio's problematic kansas is problematic texas is problematic alaska and maine are going to be close michigan's going to be close i was the only one i think you can say on there that's reliably probably red and then they also have south carolina as likely republican that's in danger yeah in danger yes oh yeah well it's some lady that's true that's early graham raised like 700k in the last quarter yeah she had no money she has no money she has no institutional support the grassroots is pissed and once everyone found out that lindsey graham was gay they turned on his whole family like yeah that's your genetic bombshell i think i think maine's in the bag for republicans because uh you know colin guy like colin's underperforms on exactly it's like the weirdest thing and alaska is interesting because i wonder if they'll go to restrict that so i know the supreme court basically said we're not going to put an injunction on this but it's a question of how much does trump want to survive it is shockingly insane to me that the new york times definitively reported they cheated and they ran this scheme and that the courts are like what are you gonna do about it they're like well what can you what can be done it's like are you outright saying there is no remedy for what this woman did she's allowed to cheat because this is gonna i warned this in 2020 when the supreme court refused to hear texas v pennsylvania and sure enough i was right i wasn't the only one saying it but it created mass confusion moving forward if they do not give us a clear remedy before the election happens when one candidate is caught cheating then everyone cheats next time they're only going to look at it after if sullivan loses that's my prediction for that do you guys think what do you and they're gonna and then they're gonna say prove find the ballots that you can prove right were manipulated and it's impossible to do correct what do you guys think is going to happen in texas i'm i'm not convinced tala rico is well tala rico is extremely unpopular in my like obviously he's got democrats democrats love him but among moderates he's weird and unpopular but paxton he's got his own issues he's also creepy and weird right so my understanding is that talarico was up 10 points in the early vote in texas which yes democrats come out heavy on early vote uh in ted cruz's last race he was up six points in early vote i don't think there's actually a mathematically possible way for paxton to make that up well but this isn't this isn't cruz's seat whose seat was this this is cornens right right right yeah well cornyn would be texas statewide landscape yeah it's comparable well and like you're seeing again like the anecdotes i mean again it's you could cherry pick maybe but i can verify this because i lived in texas in high school so i know a lot of these people i'm an evangelical so it's like you they're pulling these evangelicals and a lot of them are like paxton's a crook yeah and it's like texas that's the engine room yeah did you see that new york times yeah where every single one of them is like he's a crook i don't like this guy michigan is the inverse problem i was there over the weekend and me and my friend we were talking to the muslim voter we were in dearborn we were talking to these muslim voters and they're like oh saeed's awesome and then we were like well he's like really pro lgbt and they're like oh what something weird's gonna happen there i don't know if we told enough people to like let the cat out of the bag you said people in texas think paxton's a crook but do they think that talarico is an acceptable person to vote for or are they just gonna stay on you gotta like get you have to get in the mind of evangelicals where evangelicals so conservative but that's the one thing they get a little hung up on like they're they reluctantly got on board with trump because the personal stuff really concerned them where talarico they're obviously concerned they're not going to vote for him but paxton if they if they really feel it's not just the corruption stuff but like the cheating and whatnot that might be so off-putting to them that they stay home they just won't vote would an evangelical vote for someone who said god was non-binary though they're not going to vote for talarico i think they'll stay home it's just a matter of staying home i was also going to vote for paxton because he's a crook but he's just a matter of staying home i was also hearing that in the last couple of weeks people who were cutting ads for paxton uh were testing them in front of focus groups and basically just none of them worked because people's minds were already made up yeah wow yeah it's it's it's it's pretty bad uh there there are in in texas there are some people i know that are like moderate right anti-woke that are that are voting for talarico or or at the bare minimum they're saying they refuse to vote for paxton yeah which is pretty crazy rough yeah texas yeah the the the the the it's it's this weird state where it's like it's very chuddy like that's our perception of it but the older texans a lot of them are democrats that changed the republicans like in the last 30 years well they're like bush people so like bush people you got what democrats have to win four states what four do you think they have in the bag in the bag in the bag like like what we're gonna say we're looking at these toss-ups and we're like you know i really just think this state is gonna go democrat ohio for sure i mean ohio texas kansas and then pick your poison between the last uh michigan made in alaska they only need one yeah that that would be my prediction i hate making political i'm not gonna i'm not gonna put alaska in there i know it's it's silly to think that the trump doj or anybody will stop them from cheating but there's there's alaska's a weird scenario which may go democrat i don't know but it's there's there's a nuclear bomb trump could launch if he wanted to i'm just thinking like if we can find four states where we're like oh it's over then then yeah it's over yeah and i would say for alaska i mean the fact that you had this big new york times investigation exposing the democrats complicity and actually orchestration of the attempt to steal um that's a a bigger potential election day mover than anything that's happened in maine in the past two months amber what's the is is there any legs this mississippi is and up for grabs i mean i think the republicans are having to spend more money there than they wanted but i don't think that it's gonna flip and then what's going on in in in kansas i mean i've seen the same poll yeah why don't you just put it in the kansas fox what is the dynamic that's going on because i've seen it where democrats are up and i'm like i know they've elected so roger marshall has made a lot of unforced errors i mean part of it is that as soon as democrats recognize that the seat was potentially winnable when republicans pulled all of their money out of north carolina because michael wally was a horrible candidate they dumped it all in kansas because they saw that something was brewing there democrats followed suit they similarly started pouring money into kansas there was a series of four to five opposition votes on marshall's head about his uh campaign staff and his chief of staff um basically being corrupt of uh trading in on cash from lobbyists etc and not disclosing it in their financial reports and then he actually just went around his team to cut a final uh election ad he wanted to basically dispel the notion that he was suing a bunch of uh health care patients to uh recoup medical debt and he was like super upset by these attacks he took them very personally his team told him i don't think it's a good idea for you to cut an ad on this because it's just going to draw more attention to the issue a couple of days out from election day and he basically just ignored his entire campaign advisory team cut the ad himself went directly to ad buyers and got it placed on tv without any of their permission or support and now everyone's talking about how terrible this ad is and how it basically again just draws attention to all of the things people are upset with him about i want to i want to make some viral desperate yeah so you know i want people to share clips of the show so let me just say something totally out of context like republicans are going to sweep i mean everyone is undercounting republicans they always do this i am predicting this right now guaranteed or i will eat scrambled eggs with cheddar cheese and bacon live on this show republicans are going to win every single senate seat up for grabs that's a fact and also democrats are going to sweep they're going to win every single state mark my words if i am wrong i will eat i will eat a croissant gluten-free i think this is the no nothings year i think they're going to sweep and it's they're not in the polling they don't exist they haven't existed where are the wigs i think this i think they're making a comeback uh democrats are going to take that clip of me saying republicans are going to sweep and they're going to blast it like flip it and share it amber is like look at tiptoe it's gonna happen does husted win if vivek wasn't dragging this yeah take it down i think that's so funny i mean it was well i mean still be close still be close i think it's going to be a good year i think it's going to be a good year close but but yeah i think a lot of that is top of the ticket drag oh it's i know a few people in ohio that are like i'm just staying i mean the other problem with you said is that fake was going to win ohio it's so bad and i know the other problem with who said is that a lot of people think he's like a pro data center guy because he's previously been pretty pro tech um but that certainly wouldn't have as much salience if you didn't have like a alleged tech scammer running for governor yeah yeah you know i think i think the prediction markets have skewed polling in weird ways like we saw with what was it it was um meridian and wedgewood were the fake pollsters there's a third one that they never disclosed but they were like they went dark or something like that i would not be surprised if all of this data is informed on people trying to game prediction markets i'm not suggesting republicans are going to win i'm saying i i do think it's fair to say democrats have an edge for a variety of political reasons outside the polls i just think a lot of this is going to people are going to be like wow that was really wrong what happened because they want they want the polls to look a certain way so they can buy the inverse and make money and make a profit if there is money to be made and how polls operate beyond just claiming look we did great polls donate if you could gamble and trick people into betting on the dumb horse that's the game that we're seeing right now go to the horse track and you know there's a horse with a busted leg and you're like he's gonna win and everyone puts all their money on him then you buy the one who's gonna win and you're the long shot but you're actually the favorite so i think there's a good possibility we are surprised tomorrow by the outcome i think it might be closer than people realize uh largely due to uh poll manipulation that would be well i mean actually if the republicans lose same same not only not only that but uh the other issue is what every again factor this and let me know what you think amber you saw that uh i can't remember who it was i was on cnn or whatever they said democrats are responding to polls at substantially higher numbers than republicans now this could mean republicans are unenthused it could also mean that republicans are like screw the median fu and they're under and they're underpolled both things true so we republicans are always underpolled i mean are they underpolled more this cycle probably that's the argument yeah they are yeah i think so i mean the question then is whether or not the pollsters are appropriately waiting the polls afterwards because they're so different i don't know they can like there is there is a a point at which the chasm between response rates makes it impossible to wait properly to account for that sure i think has been largely broken for the past 10 years. And we've seen various pollsters be like, I nailed this one, but they missed the other one. I think the issue is as well. Joe Rogan had this bit where he was talking about people who don't answer polls are the smartest people because only stupid people answer polls. And I'm like, no, only interested people answer polls. So if if you're a moderate and you're sitting there being like Democrats are nuts, but I hate Republicans, too. I'll probably vote Republican. You get a call from a pollster like, I don't care, dude, go away. And then when you go to vote, you vote Republican. I actually think there are more moderates that will probably just be like Republican, I guess, but don't want to answer polls as well. I think the polling is heavily skewed in favor of Democrats this time around. I still do think Democrats are winning. They're ahead. What do you think is the typical demographic of the person who thinks Democrats are crazy, but will sort of hold their nose and vote Republican? Like what is that person? I'd imagine like. Middle aged guys, you know, probably complain a lot on the Internet, like to wear beanies, bald, crooked teeth. but if it is guys then that doesn't bode well because guys generally vote less than women do you're saying people that think democrats are crazy but vote democrat no no no i was saying their nose and vote for republicans but wouldn't answer a poll about it because they're not super excited probably college educated but but it's not it's i think republicans are not super excited and there's and republicans have always been like screw the polls and i think moderates largely just i i think regular people when you ask them they're like democrats are crazy republicans suck but democrats are crazy i think those are people that are being miscounted as well and you think tate that those are probably college educated males mostly yeah yeah that in theory should be democrat voters and the current modeling but they hide from their girlfriends and go out and pull the lever for the republicans and i think it's mostly a middle american phenomenon as well that el sayed saying you can't protect your kids from the internet so let them watch that stuff is one of the most disgusting things i've heard and he should have shut his mouth it's even worse than let them watch it it's like let some guy hang dong in your girl's locker room yeah it's one thing he's gonna get on the internet so let the guy walk up to her naked i'd be like he's like it's a free country i mean you can do whatever you want it's like probably the worst attempt to pivot that i've i've seen this cycle the the idea no the worst one was when he asked uh jesse waters if he was circumcised why did he do that again because the liberals love it but it's a weird thing to do he's like yeah jesse waters was like do you have athletes in women's sports and then he just blurts out are you circumcised and jesse laughs and he's like yes but the question was you know it's kind of a answer that like yeah trust me uh yeah i mean i'll say he's saying like something happening on your phone is the same as it happening in person i mean that's like we're getting rid of metal detectors at the airports because you can just watch that video of the plane crashing so it's like the same thing think about it it's like okay it's an interesting take right before the election look i know there's jihadi is going around beheading people in the uk but your kids can watch this on the internet so what's the point of trying to stop it yeah yeah yeah literally smooth brain mask off moment but whatever i'm gonna start hitting that in the vo just like you're like chopping up with someone you're like are you circumcised by the way put on no okay chopping it with somebody chopping well yeah that was kind of a innuendo too yeah yo you sheathed no i can smell it on you oh that's too far but el saeed is doing that and you guys didn't give that reaction you guys did that's uh that's disgraceful criticizing elsa for like 20 minutes it's disgraceful but then i say something i'm gonna back around i'm a democrat now something i mean i just i gotta say this do you guys really think that el saeed is 11 points ahead of rogers 11 no i don't think it's 11 this is insane but it doesn't have to be 11 no i know but i'm still i'm looking at so i'm like y'all are not 9 to 11 which bowl is that new york times just any two numbers and you're like that's my sole contribution to this entire show yeah i don't know have you seen in alaska for the at-large house district because it's republican and uh whatever non-partisan and the democrat running pictures from like 50 years ago honestly it's like this perennial canada that ran in hawaii last election he's just like some guy go to wikipedia and look up the election it's so funny he's just airbrushed like the galista gingrich pictures this guy eric hafner guy but on wikipedia his picture is from like that's like a mugshot and on wikipedia he's not that old on wikipedia his picture looks like it's from like 1970 he looks like a libertarian weirdest thing but he runs wait what he runs in a different state every election oh you're right what the hell i don't know how he does this professional carpet wait that's no no no no this is the democrat yeah i mean i like nick baggage but he's definitely he was friends with the unibomber he's flexing the height on the car that's why he did it that's awesome by the way wait what this is their democrat candidate well because the non-partisan is actually the democrat bill hill bill hill is the actual crazy bill hill yeah his name is bill hill i think you have to go by william in that city like a hill bill 3.8 i kind of like that 13 000 no 6 000 votes how do you get liberals in alaska like come on i i went to alaska to hang out and it was awesome and everyone i met was based i was in uh where do we go i was in anchorage briefly i think and i went to some like restaurant it's beautiful state by the way and i was just like i wonder what the people are like up here and they recognized me they're like yo what are you doing you're so fantastic and that was the city so how do you get where do these what is this i mean the the democrats up there are a little bit the first peoples who wasn't it yeah i went i went to utgiagvik oh that's the name we can be second nations i'm proud of that hey wasn't it podium it wasn't mary poltola like what is a nation cussing at her employees she's like you're all retarded i'm like this is what a democrat in alaska is yes they were like well that's what i'm saying that the democrats there are based by our standards you know i gotta i gotta be dc standards her willingness to cheat shows more gumption than anything the republicans have done and she wants it yeah she's trying to think she launched her own fighter january 6th that's what you're saying about platner it's like he's determined yeah yeah no can't hold that again fighter man this is all making me think lisa's current i mean look platner was so determined to win he got a nazi tattoo like like he so believed in his nazi values that he got a tattoo of it yeah how many republicans got tattoos of their values and peltola was going off he's not like that was part of the hit so not only did she call our staff retarded but she was going after planned parenthood and she was like these people are fucking idiots like we hate them and well that's dumb but calling your staff retarded is based yeah especially if oh wait wait i'm sorry it's a violation of the ada i'm sorry no she hired retarded people that's like she's being inclusive actually actually yeah she was doing di it was the academic retarded yeah no no i was in the classical the classical sense yeah yeah that's probably i'm just gonna say that's probably what if i ran a campaign i would hire only people with down syndrome and you'd probably win i would crush because then they couldn't vote against you or they'd be exactly and they would be like can you imagine them like door knocking it'd be awesome the vibes are so they're always so happy the vibes would be insane like election day you're getting crushed and they're like we're doing we're killing if you guys it's okay have you guys seen that people have been making ai thirst trap down syndrome girls oh god so what well there was just the first down syndrome runway model yeah like last year they're taking what's her women and then a-i-ing them like they're taking like women to work out and i like have good bodies no yes yeah you didn't see this internet is so cursed and so it's like normally it was just a girl doing a workout video with a down syndrome face on it and they're getting insane amounts of followers there's a shane gillis joke in there i don't know where it is but it's somewhere in there that's so funny that's awesome yeah i mean yeah grilled cheese no they're like the best they're like the best humans i'm like iceland must suck because they like kill them all yeah that's why that's so boring that's a crime against humanity why none of them are nice like i knew i knew people my uncle and aunt hosted exchange students from norway and they're like everybody here is way too friendly and i'm like yeah well you guys kill all of the people that don't that aren't six feet tall and blonde so you know it's like yeah we are a little friendlier here all that oil let them live they like have no designer they can't do a money spread it's like what are you doing with the oil money then you know like let's think about paying for health care is what they're doing they're paying for everybody i'm reading about this dude hafner you can run for office anywhere the only requirement is you live there after you're elected yeah he's like ran in like every state i think he ran hawaii last time i should i should take a look at the legal restrictions and just choose some random district to run in any port in a storm you could do what's the democrat uh tried to primary biden he won like samoa and he was like yeah because he dumped money there for some reason but like don't count oh what was his name i forget he was a house he's a member of the house and he was like let me see what the internet says i can't remember what's the farthest yeah it's amazing he ran in oregon in 2010 without ever having visited oregon oh there's like that vermin supreme guy that like oh this is like this is commentary about our political system it's like jason jason palmer defeated biden in american samoa actually no vermin goyim supreme that's well you know back in the day when he was making fun of democrats we greatly enjoyed it so he uh he would go to democrat debates and just insult them that's yeah that must have hit at the time they had that in britain where they're like oh his county bin face and he like oh my i'm a trash can whoa it's like dude my country's being raped i think uh that was like me watching ben shapiro on youtube in 2012 and my dorm room like yeah this rocks i think uh i think i think you gotta you gotta walk that back to it i'm gonna challenge you on the vermin supreme the issue with vermin is that he along with a lot of people who challenged the democrats 15 years ago they were like the the anti-establishment populist left and they were like the democrats are terrible and then once the democrats became a cult they were like i have nowhere to go well he went to the libertarian party yeah and you know be clowned two points off be clowned the already be clowned party you know he he couldn't even like make believe that he was a democrat properly or a libertarian properly he was talking about we're going to give everyone ponies so his lamp well that's the joke so far yeah well i mean but he's lampooning but like he's pointing something that is already a joke a libertarian shouldn't be there was a libertarian that was running for a state house seat this election that literally like tweeted that he was going to off himself and then ran from the police and was tweeting about how he had the high ground it was going to take him out and then he was like shoot the hostage negotiators negotiators tricked me while i was on the phone with them the police surrounded me dang it and then they got him like two hours later he was tweeting and he tweeted something like people were tweeting advice to him yeah like imagine if ted kennedy was live tweeting that uh chase what's his name the chase geyser uh libertarian presidential chase geyser was his name i don't know i don't think that's the one oh no no you're right yeah chase has been on the show he was he was he was tweeting at this guy and was like don't do it turn yourself in imagine don't be a hero like dude you were part of the libertarian party you should know how this goes like you're not going to convince this man through reason and logic that he's doing dumb things can you imagine mike johnson's like replying to someone like no no like that would be insane there's so much to live for man we have to rename this post office see guys we gotta get rid of the hair braiding regulations please we need you remember when i told you as soon as it was possible i was gonna use ai to fix star wars chase oliver elon listens elon watches the show he is he understands exactly what's going on and he's like i'm gonna go to the i'm saying this is what they stole from us the anakin meme is a lot of the a lot of rounds on the internet there are some people that have a problem with it because uh the right wing is saying that they think that anakin or that kind of uh that kind of energy is what's necessary to fix the country i'm gonna say this my point and i'll say it again star wars is what happens when there's a history that is written by the left so if you view star wars through the filter of the real story was rewritten by the left to be this and it all makes sense right the real story is that when they don't like someone they oh he kills kids and you know oh you know he's vicious and then it's like dude come on the writing was so bad when anakin was like for no reason now i'm gonna go murder all the children it's like oh come on that's like something the left is about trump you know trump one day walked over and like kicked a dog it's like shut up no he didn't they did that to daenerys too daenerys yeah she just like decided to burn all of king's landing in like the final throes of the show but the funny thing about the final throes of the show is it was like the timeline compressed that made no sense yeah like all of a sudden the entire continent became 10 miles long yeah i heard a funny thing that the reason george rr martin won't finish the books is because that is the story and he told them what it was and everyone hated it he's like never mind it's just embarrassed i can't come up with any better ideas i honestly would suck so bad try to self-launch your storyline and everyone hates it you're like i have i have a question for all the gen z guys like what who is they and what does this mean like the left stole it from us or what no it's uh like right-wingers that think that the trump administration has not done enough and and i think that they is trump no no they uh wait what do you mean by they i think they can be whoever you right it's deliberately vague yeah they is that i have a lot of days i'm thinking they alexis time to buy disney and make this what do you mean bro go on seed dance just make it i'm to buy disney you could literally make a 10 minute short film for a couple grand i'm not saying everybody's got a couple grand to do it but it's not like it's going to cost you 20 million dollars to make a movie now there's plenty of clips they get you for ip theft nope it's china china china don't we like always make fun of like liberals for like turning everything to like marvel yeah are we doing are we doing harry potter next yeah there's like this yeah actually like five minutes i'm like can we alphoid stop fictionalizing everything no no no no no so bad malfoid is right yes what what is this it's like gen z with like no it's not gen z it's millennials larping it's literally everyone you got to keep in mind there's like 20 zoomers on twitter the rest of them are millennials like larping as zoomers and millennials are obsessed with nostalgia yeah yes well uh i'm gonna rewrite uh harry potter and fix it up for you guys i'm gonna rewrite harry potter and fix it up for you and voldemort actually wasn't the bad guy is it worth fixing yeah no i like harry potter actually it was fun do you guys remember like to the point about the nostalgia do you guys remember the state of psychosis many of the women on the internet entered during covid where they were like photoshopping themselves into clips of the harry potter movie and like romantic okay i'm i'm really revealing where my algorithm was in 2020 but this is the thing that girls used to do they would like they would edit themselves into clips of the movie to make it look like they had like a character in the movie was their love interest and it was like this poorly edited videos of themselves and their this all started with wattpad wattpad literally was the beginning of the decline of our society it's a fan fiction website well technically it's a website where like anyone can publish stories but they all were like gay fan fiction yeah and they were like isn't there a word for that fan fiction when they know gay fan fiction oh yes but i forget what it's called i watched i heard about it on south park but i can't remember what it was yeah they were they were doing it to like harry potter and twilight yes it's almost you know what i figured something out have you guys ever seen the show the sex lives of college girls no really you've never seen it turned me off yeah that i watched that and i realized we could repeal the 19th overnight if everyone was forced to watch just one episode of that show it'd be like is this what women think but like well you know at least a lot of them okay good start like even women would be like we need to repeal the 19th yeah either that or it was like the lindsey clancy thing i think kind of did it for a lot of people they were like oh the lindsey clancy cornell seven like one two punch just really blackmailed me it's rough it's a bad year to be a well the thing about the cornell seven stuff is you know i think it's a bit of a mixed bag obviously the truth matters and she was not a victim but the real story based on my assessment is she's hanging out with the boys and they're having a gang bang and then when everyone got embarrassed they kicked her out of the club so she's like you do you want to slight me i'll get you back yep that i kind of respect not the not in the true sense of what she did i'm saying if there are disloyal people and you say like live by the sword that's fine i don't agree with what she did with lying and creating this whole fiasco which now like a bunch of dudes are coming out being like they're in the lawsuit and not even accused of doing anything wrong so they're getting dropped from it we're just in the snapchat group what was important about the cornell seven thing was it ended a huge debate which was the gay son thought daughter now we all know the answer back to the greeks where it's like okay like best case scenario with gay son is like tim cook like some like super you know industrialist or whatever where best case scenario with thought daughters like she gets into an elite university like definitely has her life going well but gets into cornell maybe and then this is kind of what ends up yeah it's like that's the best case scenario um you know so it's like it's obvious okay wait i got i got a question i i just thought about this because you said gay son thought daughter well wait hold on what about gay influencer son with a million followers or only fan james charles oh just kill me or an only fan's daughter well it depends most people on only fans nobody's ever heard of and nobody knows about it no no like i would say christian walkover prominent fan's daughter prominent yeah gay gay influencer makeup son or prominent only fan's daughter because he's wearing like booty shorts at coach i'm like my answer is at least the the gay makeup influencer is not doing anything you know yeah they'll eventually do like the republican like right yeah the flip yeah uh the left has gone too far even for me yeah the gay influencer makeup son will eventually get a contract with prager you and is that so bad that's not so bad you know i can make up so the funny thing about the cornell seven thing is like when the scandal started to break out i kind of i tried to do the thing where i was like okay well i have my assumptions about the case but i'll i'll keep quiet for once in my life and kind of wait for more information to come out as soon as it came out that she was disinvited from the halloween party i was like this is an open and shut case we all know exactly what happened here like there's actually zero room for interpretation the facts are so clear-cut i mean that's just shady they knifeed one at a time and then they're like oh my god they're like oh my god they're boys in the back you know what i'm saying yeah i thought she was one of the boys i mean look they're all hanging out they'd done it before look they had done this before she had talked about it in the text messages they had like they you know first of all they're all discussing degenerates that's first and foremost but here they are they're like imagine this let's remove the the gangbanging from it and let's just say a group of friends were all hanging out at the movies when they were supposed to be in school or something and then got in trouble and everyone's like oh you ditched class and so then they were like look bro you're getting us in trouble so you can't hang out with us anymore and he's like what it's not we all you son of a bitch i'll make you but you can't remove the sex from it because the biological component is is like the no no i get it i'm just saying they were all having a good time with their gangbangs apparently they had more than one and then when everyone found out and the guys got embarrassed they kicked her out gotta have your friends she's getting revenge i mean the girl that they allegedly claimed might have been jane doe she deadlifted like 300 pounds kill them like she raped them yeah i'm kind of clearly i'm kind of curious of what the nature of the embarrassment was for the boys versus the girl like because normally those guys would be like kings on campus like their frack they were they were spreading rumors on the forums that they gang raped her and then he texted her being like this is insane and she was like what wtf who's doing this and then the one guy was like i'm gonna make him take it down so so that's not really embarrassment though that's like self-preservation she did not accuse them of this yeah jealous women who were shame policing yeah claimed they did caused a crisis for the frat so they said you probably shouldn't come back for your own good and she said how dare you boot me for that and then she said okay fine then it was rape yeah and like that stuff is not even cool like guys get mad at that kind of stuff now because we're like in the hypergamy era you know it's not like you know people compare like the nba they're like oh michael jordan played like a tougher era it's like yeah if you did the cornell 7 in the 90s hats off to you but in the hypergamy era it's like that's just stat padding unfair like no one respects these guys that's what it was it was like dude that's spawn killing elon musk posted this meme of anakin with a young luke and leia and padme and all the comments like you clearly don't understand star wars lord oh god this post displays a fundamental misunderstanding of the events of the star wars trilogy actually community notes it's crazy it's so ridiculous ex prohibits violating others intellectual property rights it's called transformative shut up it's over go down the list somebody argued an anime version not helpful not helpful somebody made an anime version where anakin it's exactly what i said i wanted it's an anime version where anakin refuses to help the emperor and then mace windu uh tries to kill him and then they win and i was like see i'm gonna do that soon as the ai you know i'm not gonna waste any time doing it right now because while you can do a c dance it's not super easy the moment you can just give a prompt and make the whole movie i am making the corrected star wars can't wait the emperor yeah i'm also gonna retcon all of star trek emperor all of star trek yeah after after enterprise the midterms at least we can ai the correct star wars movie now like you got impeached yeah i will say this oh people don't understand this dsa you know you know we talk about there's a future where you can make your own video games or movies like in real time we are already in the area where you can write a book in real time you can literally pull up gpt and say write me harry potter 8. harry's graduated voldemort's defeated what happens next it will write you the whole book and you can sit there and read it is it good it's based off all it does is clone uh jk rowling's writing it's probably good enough for like again the people who are just want to relive that nostalgia i do that if he's on wattpad it would do numbers i'll be up at like 3 a.m and i'm like what happens if south africa locks i have a uh a potential treatment that i wrote for book eight and it's that after graduation harry realized actually he's gay and then him and draco malfoy get together and the whole book is just exploring their relationship yeah that's already been done a million times well now there's the malfoy thing and and what was it uh palmer lucky did he dress up like harry potter and it was his wife or his girlfriend i don't know like draco malfoy yeah there's a lot are we now no you're both well neither of us are like aryan enough i don't think both brunettes yeah yeah you're both brunettes gotta be a wasp well i don't understand like what is what is the premise of malfoy it's a mouth it's if malfoy was it's just like i know but that's it it's like conservatives she loves harry and we're like let's just start ai generating like harry potter cartoon characters all i know is that the department of education keeps tweeting about it yeah if you go to like the official yeah yeah and you're still tweeting they're trying to speed run their own did we put the wwe white guy's wife in charge of that like yeah department of education yeah it's just like who's yeah they're officially going on like great check mark and everything it's it's really so maybe if they're like if we make our tweets cringe enough the lives will finally support polish it what is this flashbang yeah video i don't remember any of this what are they talking about my school had uniforms and now where's that's terrible if you you could probably um malphoid term search it yeah i don't know whatever we'll just look at it look at all the weird stuff they're posting what she's pretty crazy here we go can't wait to win the midterms with my mega pumpkin guys it's cool to be maga lantern the cruel kids table oh yeah oh man look at this back under biden everything was black and white and sad yeah and now everything is look at the diversity multi-ethnic yeah yeah yeah we have white people on the left and we're defending it it was only white pluralistic democracy that's what i was voting for i'm i'm beginning to think there it is oh oh good is that no that's anakin anakin yeah it's anakin skywalker i'm gonna get torn apart for confusing okay that's actually pretty funny yeah but it's not true spirit enough the radical education reformer yeah dude okay here's avatar we got it i thought they banned like we're getting closer ai from the some of the cabinets they absolutely did not ban i mean they're they're running uh the president's posting like half photos of him and elvis presley social like half and half xx oh this is it this is super intelligent look there's malfoy oh yeah oh my god gosh dude what is this is this gen z no what's her name luna i don't think the way there's more than just that about harry potter probably like millennials millennials millennials infamously are obsessed with harry potter why do they want malfoy to be a girl because they're we're going to lose the midterms well we can at least take away this cartoon character it's their answer to sharia law yeah okay well i think there was now we'll transition first yeah i think that was just the one post guys it could be i don't know one is a kind of a lot for the department of education we'll show you elsa we'll all transition yeah i think that's it it's not cool anymore is it yeah 15th mount void started i like that one that one is like wholesome chungus i like that yeah no i think just the one one quirk chungus post wait what is that you're tearing down i like that okay i like that that's cool i like these these are nice wasn't there was a congressman who introduced a bill to like revoke funding for any city or like state that didn't make columbus day a federal holiday or something like that had to be an italian it was one italian guy he was like you know what whoever the rep is for staten island was probably him hey i mean this stuff is there's a lot of wait what's this it's probably donald trump beating up people is donald trump and a tiger oh wait rfk jr reffing mortal kombat push-ups oh so oh i bet this is for the presidential fitness test or something oh okay i guess it's fine all right i guess it's fine wwe literacy starts at home come on this is regular harry potter that's just actually just promoting a book books are yeah did you guys know that harry potter didn't cast a single spell in the entire first book number one book i did not know that trivia i'm pretty sure i've only seen harry potter one time i think you guys got to understand just how important harry potter was to the millennial the urban millennial clearly clearly so there was a very famous it was a very famous moment where when the when the seventh uh when the sixth book was coming out it was a very famous moment when the when the seventh uh when the sixth book was coming out it was a very famous moment when the when the uh when the sixth book was coming out somebody went in line and screamed uh snape kills dumbledore and it was like a disaster it was like 9 11 for millennials my grandmother gifted my brother with a harry potter book and he took a look at the cover and he said that's gay so me being the younger sister who wanted to be like older brother i was like harry potter's gay when i was a little kid my school someone had a harry potter in paperback and i was like that's dumb and i didn't want to read it and then it was like several months later to the end of the year i was like bored i was like whatever and i started reading it and then i just read the whole thing and for a little kid just be like of his own volition just to read that book and then i told my mom i was like i gotta get the next book you got one shot by harry potter one shot of a harry potter and then uh and then after that it was like waiting for every next book to come out was like a big deal and then i think the final book came out when i was 21 maybe and it was i remember being a teenager and like talking to a friend and she's like can you believe that like we're going to be 21 when the last book comes out whoa i remember when the last movie came out i went to go watch it in the movie theater i must have been like 11 or something man movies i just remember i wasn't allowed to watch it because i like i grew up like so like southern baptist yeah she was like it's like witchcraft yeah right my husband wasn't allowed to read it or watch it like that like wizards of waverly place like correctly but they have christmas but then i was allowed to watch like a lot of cartoon network christians i'm like uh harry potter yeah they're all christians well i mean everybody celebrate christmas until like 10 years ago i love how like thinly veiled a lot of the motifs are in the book where they're like mud blood it's like i wonder what that means the people running the bank it's not that they failed that's literally the whole point of the story his name's uh they just gave it a different spellstein it's like what it's kind of obvious yo i actually think mudblood's like such an awesome slur yeah let's bring it back it's like the best slur for like well i i say this is a mixed race person like yo that's cool it's like harry potter you know what i mean like call me take it back it's your word now no no no i want people to insult me as mudblood because like harry potter You know what I mean? I'm like, oh, you Draco, you know? As long as the racial slur is in Harry Potter, good. And it's fine. In the context of Harry Potter. But I mean, it's actually a clever slur. It is good. Mudblood. She kind of cooks. Yeah. Mudblood. We're going to go to your Rumble Rants and Super Chat, so give a little tap to that like button. Subscribe to this channel. Tomorrow is going to be nuts. Callsheet.com slash midterm marathon. We're going to be live starting at 4 p.m. Big party with a massive rotating crew coming in and out. Probably going to eat pizza and wings or whatever. Do we know what food we're ordering and where we're ordering from? No, but I love the idea of pizza and wings. Yeah. Sounds awesome. Let's figure that one out because there's nothing like right next to us here. Yeah. Is there like a kebab shop downstairs or something? No, I think it's just a convenience store. There are Asian women that make breakfast. Oh, no, there is some kind of shop downstairs. We'll just get kebab. There you go. I have some recommendations. Kebab? Some great local fare like Burger King. Taco Bell. Taco Bell? Not quite. I'm kind of saying maybe we just get like 300 tacos. Are we insured? We have that insurance. We have health insurance. You're going to call us after and be like, what are you doing? What's wrong with you? RFK is going to be downstairs banging on the door. What is wrong with you? When we order Taco Bell, we hear the knocker. It must be the Taco Bell. We open it. It's just the silhouette and RFK steps. It's only four. It's like, what do you think you're doing? What? What's wrong? Jimmy, you let us down, too. You let us down. I love that photo of him when he was eating the burger when they gave him the. And he's like staring at the. He has that Gen Z stare. You're describing. That's correct. All right. All right. Lima Actual says, good evening, all. Today, my wife and I were blessed with a baby girl. Hey. Happy birthday, baby Ashlyn. Can I get a let's go? Let's go. Let's go. Welcome to the world, Ashton. That's a good name, too. It just disturbs me. Robert says, I'm due on Christmas Eve. Where do I find an emergency doctor? Not sure a Jace case is going to help me. It's not my jurisdiction. I'm singing a band. I don't know. Chat GBT up. I always tell people, the people that I hear who go to West Virginia when they have their babies are like, oh, man, it's crazy. They're like mandating. They tell you you have to get the vaccines. You got to get all these vitamin shots. And I'm like, the secret is you go to where the rich people go. So I go to the hospital. We went, my family, we went to the Loudoun County Hospital, and that's where the rich people go. And the people, the movers and shakers in the deep state. So the doctors, they're just like, you literally tell us. And we were like, OK, no problems. Did what we felt like doing. No pressure. And we went our way. And then we heard from friends. They were like, no, it was brutal. They were like yelling at us. I heard stories where they separated like my friends and then lied to each other. They told the woman, like your husband says that he wants the child to get all the vaccines. And the wife was like, absolutely not. And she goes, well, he already agreed to it. And then they pulled him aside. And another room and said, your wife says they want all the vaccines. And he was like, that's not true. They were trying to tricky and say, OK, I guess my wife says so. And then they were like, stop. Don't you dare. And then I'm going back in the room. And then they were like, what is going on? And I'm like, it's because in the areas that are poorer, they're told, look, these people are going to have diseases and they're going to be drug addicts. You've got to give the kids. But when you go to the rich areas, you don't got to worry about it. I'm not kidding. That's what they that's what they that's what they say. Just go to like a rural and just lie to all the people. Yeah, bad. All right. Let's grab some more. We got the data. Twelve says intentions to have access to kids. It's the public school, the education unions talking, talking point to keep power over the parent. So the parent can't can't. So no libraries full of garbage. Some typos in the X route of the course, as was Stevens responding to the disrespect or was she responding to the fact that she lost her candidacy due to those fake polls for her primary? Yeah, that's probably it, too. But no, I think it's like, yo, she got booted from the party and she was like, OK, screw you. I'm going home. Not Robbie says SC Lieutenant Governor GOP candidate was on a local radio program Friday said Republican voters across the state refusing to vote for Darlene. I wrote in Ralph Norman. My wife voted for a Constitution candidate. Yikes. Yeah. Mito says, Tim, I'm highly interested. I still tell pollsters where they can shove their questions. A sheer number of political spam calls I get is insane. At least five a day. Dems are more likely to answer, though. Yep. I never. I want to. I want to do some polls. It'd be fun. I've gotten a few. I've never gotten one. I still get them from, like, California. And it's like, do I release me? I've left. Don't do this to me. I don't get any kind of. I even waste your money on political calls or anything like that. I got text during the twenty twenty four campaign asking me to doorknock for Kamala. And I was like, you're my. It sucks. My girlfriend. It's like, you know, maybe I will. And you won't like it. My girlfriend was getting a ton of text for for voting in Florida and stuff. I didn't get anything. And I mean. Oh, we're getting charcuterie and sandwiches. I had my friend visiting. Yeah, well, I'm not going to eat a sandwich taco. I will eat that. Sounds fantastic. My friend is visiting from Britain and he was getting like the full American experience. He was getting political ad, pharmaceutical ad, sports gambling, political ad. He was like, you could see that the picture of the puppy with his head open and there's like the. Needle sticking in. Oh, that was him. That was like literally him just sitting there. Crazy. Oh, I get it now. All right. What do we got here? Alex George says, hope this isn't another show with an hour of AI slop and not avoiding the war and talk about the actual news happening in the country. It's like you watched three episodes where we talked about AI and then we're like, that's all the show is ever going to be. But thank you for giving me five dollars from an iPhone. I know when you guys use iPhone and Android. You want to know a secret? If it's. If it's $10 flat, I believe that that's Android, right? Yes. If it's 99, if it's 99, it's iPhone. And YouTube does that intentionally to track whether someone's using an iPhone or Android. Isn't that crazy? Smart. Right. Crump. Crumpman says, I can't believe that I'm saying this. Tucker is not far off. The B61 11 is a variable yield bunker buster. The B61 13 is a bigger one. Both are in our arsenal and get the job done. They're reports that they were deploying it to the Middle East. Hmm. Yep. But like, if they bring a bomber for a nuke, that means they're using a gravity bomb. What's that going to be? One megaton? Boring. I don't know. They should use the D-42-36. That's right. Yeah. Or the C-23-67. Yeah. Those will get the job done. A funny number. Yeah, it's a funny number. Trump administration drops a nuclear bomb. I bet Putin does, too. What if they drop a nuclear bomb on India? Got him. Got him. This is so awesome. It just shows. See, well, it's this or AI, caller. That's it. These are your options. Your options. Castle Bravo. Was that a gravity bomb? That was a gravity bomb, yeah. 50 megatons. It was a blue shell. Second biggest nuclear explosion ever. No, I'm sorry. No, it wasn't. 15. No, it wasn't. No, it wasn't. It was like 16, yeah. 15 megatons. They overestimated, or they underestimated, too. It was supposed to be something like five or six, and it was significantly larger. Oh, yeah. Well, and even if we don't nuke them, aren't the Israelis just going to do it anyway? Netanyahu's out of time. No, they're- Out of talent, too. He's out of time. I mean, he's got to- Whether or not Tucker's right, it is true. Yeah, so if we don't do it, he'll do it. The Israelis aren't going to nuke anybody because they don't want to tell anybody that they have nukes unless they have to. It's like the worst kept secret. They're like, oh, we don't want to really admit it. David Floral says, Tate Carlson is killing it tonight. Me? Tate Carlson. Tate Carlson? Okay, I'll take that. Thank you. All right. Hit Manzarelli says, as Gen Z death to the Republic, long live the emperor. Long live the empire. Democracy is a failure. Monarchy is human nature. The empire did nothing wrong. The truth is, there's only one thing the empire did wrong in the original movie, and that is? The Alderaan was late. A little bit. Bad optics. Yep. Yeah, not a good look. But, again, it's propaganda, you know? Yeah. It was an entire planet of terrorist murderers. What was it like? Religious fanatics. Princess Leia had to console Luke, even though her planet got blown up, and Luke's friend, who he knew for a day, died. Yeah. And then Leia had to console him. That was kind of a sensitive young man. Emotional labor. That was kind of felt. And then they kissed. Emotional labor. Yeah, that was weird. Yeah, that was very Troy Jackson-esque. Why would they write that they were brothers? Why would they be like, we can't do that because they kissed already? No, let's do it anyway. Why not pick one or the other? Lucas did a lot of weird stuff. I don't think he had it as fleshed out. He's married to a. It wasn't fleshed out. No. The thing is, if you look at the actual built-out lore, it is 100% confirmed they knew they were siblings. Just end of story. They're both ultra-force-sensitive children of the Chosen One. There's no way they did not know they were related when they kissed. Because Lucas is crazy, George Lucas. Because if you watch the prequels, he's married to a black woman, and he wrote Jar Jar Binks. Like, what do you think that conversation was like when she came home from the theater? You know, honestly. Like, George, what is wrong with you? You know how they did the last. What was the last movie called? The Last Jedi. Rogue One or. Rise of Skywalker. Yeah. Is that what it was, Rise of Skywalker? Yeah. And they're like, somehow the Emperor returned. If they were going to go that dumb, they should have just made Jar Jar Binks the bad guy. Jar Jar was pretty cool. I liked Jar Jar Binks. That actually would have been better. Because everybody had that ongoing meme that he was the actual Emperor the whole time. around like an idiot. It's like one of those racist depictions I've ever seen. It's literally racist. All right. So bad. My friends, we're going to go to the uncensored portion of the show. Smash the like button. Share the show right now with all your friends. Say, hey, watch this show. It's really good. You'll really enjoy it. You can follow me on X and Instagram at TimCast. Amber, do you want to shout anything out? Yeah, check out DailyCaller.com for me and Rebecca's work. Also, subscribe to our sub stack, State of the Day, and check out my YouTube channel, AmberDukeDC. Second that, check out all of Amber's great work and all of our colleagues' great work at The Daily Caller. You can also follow me on Instagram and on X at RebeccaZelko, spelled R-E-B-E-K-A-Z-E-L-J-K-O. X and Instagram at RealTateBrown. And on the talk, same handle. I am PhilTheRemains on Twix. You can check out my Patreon. It's Patreon.com slash PhilTheRemains. All That Remains will be playing November 15th at the Warped Tour in Orlando. So if you're in the Orlando area, grab tickets at WarpedTour.com. You want to check out the band's music, it's Apple Music, Amazon Music, Pandora, YouTube, Spotify, and Deezer. Don't forget, the left lane is for crime. Carter. I'm Carter Banks. You can follow me at CarterBanks, everywhere at CarterBanksOfficial, everywhere else. Check out the record label at Trash House Records on YouTube, and we'll be back tomorrow with a really, really long stream in charcuterie moves. We'll see you all over at Rumble.com slash TimCastIRL right now. Don't miss it. We'll see you there. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ Thanks for watching!