Trump Takes The Americas...Brazil Stuns! Bolsonaro Returns...DONROE DOCTRINE Conquers?!

Oh, Brazil really knows how to throw a party, don't you think? And boy, it was a big party last night in Brazil, in Brazil, Flavio Bolsonaro leading the way. Bye-bye, Lula. Bye-bye, socialism. I'm telling you, this is a phenomenon that's happening all over the world right now. We get the Trump Monroe, well, forgive me, it would be the Dunro doctrine at work. It's incredible. You're seeing this in Latin America, watching on Canada, you're seeing this, I mean, even gosh, I mean, this isn't Dunro doctrine, but you look at what's going on overseas in Europe right now, and this move towards conservatism, this rejection of socialism. I got to tell you guys, this actually bodes really, really well for midterms. I don't want to get too far ahead of ourselves, but when I think about what just went down in Brazil, and when I think about the similarities between say, oh, I don't know, Brexit, right in 2016, and then Donald Trump getting the presidency in 2016, I'm seeing some similarities that we get to discuss. Welcome to the program. Good to have you here. I'm Trish Regan, the Dunro doctrine at work. It was a big party, big, big, big party there on the streets of Brazil. I think we have some pictures, take a look, yeah, so everybody's pretty happy because this was a big surprise. Not actually for me, I actually thought this was going to happen, but for a lot of people, this was a big surprise. I mean, when you read the mainstream media reports, and I was reading them throughout the afternoon on Saturday and Sunday, and the expectation was that Lula would still take this thing. Well, Lula did not take it. Lula is going to be a goner, I predict, okay? My words right here. I know the president thinks it's going to be a tough race. Marco Rubio is saying the same thing. Nobody wants to count their chickens before they hatch. But I have a feeling, shall we say, that this is going the way of MAGA, MAGA in Brazil, right? The flags were out, everybody's excited. This is a big, big deal. There he is. You can see Bolsonaro. Now, this is critical because I get to tell you the similarities between what just happened with Brazil and his dad who's under house arrest, and what we've seen here are pretty remarkable. As I mentioned, all the USAID money and I'm going to get into that because that USAID money, that's no more. And you've got to ask yourself, when you start to look at what is shaping up to really be Trump's South America, quite a photo, right, when you see that. And then you factor in the reality that there's no more USAID spending, you don't have to be a rocket scientist to put two and two together here. And it starts to add up into some greater security, frankly, for the region. But again, they're super happy right now. In Brazil, you know, on Sunday, they had their flags out, they were waving them. You can see that the green and the yellow, there were fireworks, you know, these families in the streets, and they were happy because they're taking their country back. Bolsonaro rose to the top, and it wasn't just Bolsonaro the Sun, right? You had numerous family members. They're going to the Senate. They're going to Congress, I mean, unbelievable. While the man who built the name, the patriarch himself, is sitting at home, barred from running under house arrest, because you see, that's what they do in Brazil. That's what they did. They did not want him running. And what happened? His whole family went out. There was wife, ran, his kids ran, and Flavio Bolsonaro, he's the 45-year-old senator, the eldest son, if you would. I just showed you a picture of him. He is very well likely to be the next president of Brazil. It's amazing. Lula is 80. Okay? Lula is the socialist, and he's 80. He got 45 percent of the vote. This guy got a little bit more, and that is incredible. He had a gap of a little over two million votes. So that's why the president of the United States says, listen, it's going to be tough. It's a big victory, close to very, very big victory. Very big indeed. Listen. It is close. It's a big victory. And he said, you know, they've got a lot of work to still do. There's an election happening October 25th. Flavio is going to go the next three weeks. Pretty much though is the favorite right now. I got to say, like, I actually think he's going to pull this off. And he's going to push, ooh, dare I say, for amnesty for his dad because of the riots that happened in Brazilia on January 8th and 2023, gosh, sounds like a similar story, right? But you know what? Let's take a minute here because this is not just Brazil that we're talking about. Brazil is a big deal. Right? It's huge, huge potential. It just needs a little nudge here and there. You got a country with 214 million people, okay? That's the largest country in Latin America. So that is a huge prize. It's got all kinds of natural resources. Could be an amazing thing for us to have a more strategic, close relationship with. You think about how we've been able to do that in other countries, whether it's Argentina under Malay, whether it's El Salvador under Buckele, Ecuador, Paraguay, Chile. You had a Trump endorsed winner in Colombia, Honduras, which Trump is also claiming right now. And then now Brazil, Brazil, which is basically one round away from having a very close relationship with Washington instead of Beijing. That's a really important thing to think about here, guys. Washington instead of Beijing, China is no fool. China knew, oh, they got lots of great natural resources there in Brazil. That's cozy up to Lula and Lula was like all too ready, right? Socialists that he is. Well now we got the Don Rodoctrin at work, which is a play, of course, on the Monroe Doctrine. You got to give you a little history here, right? Monroe Doctrin, James Monroe, who was president and back in December of 1823, he's making his message to Congress and he said, you know what, we got to take this stuff seriously. Our hemisphere, because the Spanish Empire just collapsed. They had the holy alliance in Europe that was talking about putting itself back together. Russia was out there trying to claim the Pacific Coast. And James Monroe, he drew a line, drew a line in the sand. He said, you know what, the American continents are ours, ours. We're not going to allow for the Europeans to come in and colonize America. And so the deal was, you know what, we're going to stay out of Europe's corals, right? You guys can all fight amongst yourselves, which they're still kind of doing in various ways. And in some cases, very, very vivid, destructive, deadly ways, Ukraine and Russia. And we are going to get out of, you know, Europe's existing colonies and we're going to, we're just going to stay over here ourselves, our own hemisphere. You just, you just stay out of Latin America, use data Canada and we're all good, right? So any attempt by a European power to extend its system and its government into this hemisphere, we said we were going to recognize as a direct threat. And it would be treated as a danger because we wanted to ensure our peace and safety. So not just the United States of America, basically anywhere in the Western hemisphere. And so that's a big deal. That was a warning, you know, you got your side of the world and we got our side of the world and you stay out of ours. And I can tell you, you know, for a long time, it wasn't enforced, right? You know, Britain's Navy actually helped out a little bit and then during the Civil War, you had France going down and putting an emperor on the throne of Mexico and all we could do was protest. That was about it. And, you know, we, we eventually, it was probably under theater Roosevelt that we really thickened that doctrine and we turned it into a real police power, which lasted a little bit, right? But not forever because at some point, we just walked away from it entirely. And I would say that that dress started probably with the Soviet Union's falling and then Washington deciding that the hemisphere was somehow settled and of course, oh, do we have to go back to Barack Obama? I think he had a big part because on November 18, 2013, it was the organization of American states that he said this at, or actually Secretary of State, John Kerry said it at. He said the error of the Monroe doctrine was over. Finito didn't matter anymore, right? Because, you know, we were announcing this pivot to Asia and Latin America was treated as a solved problem. Ha! Amazing, right? Yeah, amazing. An Alexa Hall, the place for speeches about partnerships and nobody seemed to pay any attention to the reality of who was buying the ports and who was buying the mines and who was buying the oil and who was buying the telecom networks and I'm going, China, China, China, China, China. Okay? China. So, that administration did a lot in terms of neglecting the region and China did not, China paid close attention. And so, over the next couple of decades, you had Beijing becoming a top trading partner with all of South America, the Belt and Road stuff. They were pouring tens of billions of dollars into Venezuela. They had all kinds of oil for loans in Russia and a Ron word down there. In fact, one of my sources told me you go to Caracas now and all you hear everywhere you go is Russia. Not anymore. But this was a few years ago, all you hear is Russian. And I kept saying, what about the Monroe doctrine? What about it? Right? I saw me, you guys. If you watch this show, you know, my claim to fame is that as a senior at Columbia University back in Columbia actually was it an okay school, we're going back ways. As I wrote a paper on the western hemisphere and the need for us to really, you know, just solidify. high that big time. And I got an "A." And it has always been my dream and goal to see this if you would solidarity with the entire hemisphere. And sure enough, it's taken until now, but it's happening, guys. It's happening. And it is all because of one guy, and that is Donald Trump, who recognizes this. You don't want Russian Iran down there in Venezuela. You don't want them hanging out, China hanging out in Brazil. I mean, it should be common sense, but for some reason, we lost a lot of common sense. It was, you know, common sense was old-fashioned, I guess. And so we drifted away from Latin to South America and guess who came in the Chinese, all right, and you wonder why the whole place was socialist. Well, that and USAID, and I'm going to get there. I'm going to get there, stay with me. So think back to the November of last year national security strategy, calls that he was making. Donald Trump came right out very, very forcefully. And he, he, he basically established this idea that we need the Monroe Doctrine back, or the Monroe Doctrine, that you need the hemisphere free of hostile foreign ownership. You need the assets that matter, whether it's natural minerals, whether it's oil, whether it's economic opportunity, all those people, right? You're talking about over 200 million people that are far more closely aligned, frankly with us, than they are with the Chinese, they're in Brazil. So it makes all the sense. You want that American dominance in the Western hemisphere. You do not want to say, oh, whatever, we're going to, we're going to give it away to the Chinese. That's what, that's what happened, right? So Nicholas Maduro comes in and he takes over for Chavez. And the next thing you know, Venezuela is depleted of its resources. The people are depleted of its resources. I mean, you can call this what you want. You can call it freedom. You can call it democracy. You can call it economic opportunity. You can call it capitalism. I'd say, hey, it's a heck of a lot better to be besties with the US of A than to be besties with China. Because that regime took terrible advantage of its people. None of the people benefited from all that oil. Well, you know, not even the regime, frankly, because they couldn't get the oil out of the ground. If they could get it out of the ground, they couldn't refine any of it, right? They didn't have the basic know how to do that stuff. So you have a whole different team now. You got Trump. You got Scott Besson. He came in and he gave Javier Malay in Argentina that $20 billion credit swap. And he said, look, this is an example of economic Monroe doctrine. You had Panama and you had Cuba. You know, the canal, the minerals, I mean, they're getting everything. It is fantastic. So it's the same instinct. It's the same thing. Is in 1823 with James Monroe saying, hey, you know what? We don't want the Europeans conquering our hemisphere. Well, guess what? In 2026, we don't want the Chinese, the Russian the Iranians conquering our hemisphere. We want that security, that stability, and that economic opportunity, which is why everything that you're seeing in Brazil, it matters big time right now. This is a very important dare I say prize. This is a country that matters. This is a country 200 million plus strong, a Bolsonaro government. That's a government that's on our side instead of China side. That's a government that's run by capitalists instead of socialist. And this is a beautiful thing for the people, for the people of Brazil. So times are a change in right? Mexico, Cuba, Oh, in Canada, watch out. Watch out, because importantly, we want this. And not only do we, and the president want this, but I'll tell you, your people want this. So let that sink in. The left was not winning Latin America, ladies and gentlemen, on the merits. No, it was losing, losing, losing, losing. Argentina is certainly proof. And as well as a catastrophe, everybody could see from the center. And yet year after year, I got to ask you, how is it that the same politics kept permeating? And the same people kept winning. And the same leftist nonsense was being regurgitated over and over and over again throughout the entire region. I mean, I don't think that was an accident of the voters. I think it was us, or at least in part us. I think it was the state department. I think it was the NGOs. I think it was USAID. We had a network of NGOs and all that stuff that we were paying to capture the truth and then to lean into social media companies that were allowing for any other truth to come out. I mean, the dollar figures, they look small, right? If you glance at them, and I spent some time looking through this over the last 24 hours or so and just suffice it to say, it's not big, right? I would say that between 2009 and 2024, you had aid of somewhere around 863 million dollars. So less than a billion dollars going directly to Brazil. And in Obama's eight years, you had about 316 million. So none of this is like huge, right? Like in the scheme of things. I mean, we might say, hey, you know, it's one million too many or one dollar too many. But I would just say this wasn't a massive amount of money. And yet, it was able to accomplish a lot. You know, the NGO slice, that was even smaller, by the way, I should point out, but it was still millions of dollars, okay? So somebody is putting millions of dollars into these countries that keep on electing lefties over and over and over and over again. You have all these lefties coming in. By the way, I should point out Brazil's market like love this. Brazil's market up 8% the rail, which is their currency there. I mean, it's currencies up about 5%. So clearly, the markets are thrilled at the idea of a Bolsonaro presidency. The presidency that the mainstream media would call far right, Uber right. You know, I'm just going to call it free market capitalism, okay? Free market capitalism, you know, a little free market capitalism in there. And yeah, the market responds to that. Of course, they course they like that. This is, again, I'm going to just say it, it's a turning point for all of Latin America because I will say that there was a narrative going on and a disinformation label that could really hurt one side and by one side, I mean the side on the right. And that is what happened, okay? So just look at this graphic. Look at what's been happening. Since USAID was dismantled, Latin America's right keeps on winning and the left keeps on losing. Whoa, I mean, like that's kind of a coincidence, right? And I thought about it. I'm like, okay, well, maybe it is because they've tried the left long enough and now they're like done with it, right? Or maybe it's because they're finally able to see the truth themselves because they're finally in a position where USAID is not monitoring the social media police. Their stories are getting out. The truth is getting out and the people are reacting. I mean, this is incredible. Wow, Bolivia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Chile, Ecuador, Colombia, Peru. I mean, this is a real story here, guys. This is a totally red South America. And then, I mean, wow, right? I mean, other than I guess you get a you get a keep an eye on Mexico and keep an eye on Cuba, but we are seeing a total swing. Now, why is that? And is USAID and the lack of USAID funding in Latin America now responsible? I want to tell you, back on September 19th, I did a little segment on Alberta. The argument I had was pretty simple. Alberta has a ton of oil. Four million barrels a day. I mean, it's great, right? So they have all these natural resources, resources that we would like to have a little traction on. And it was right around the time that the EU came out and said, hey, you know, we're going to work with Canada. We're going to pull Canada closer. And, you know, I guess if the EU can make Canada some kind of associate country, my idea was that the US should start looking at Alberta very seriously. Like, maybe that's an associate state. And I'm kind of saying this with a tongue in cheek and a little bit of a wink, but it's not a bad idea, right? It's really not. I mean, in fact, it was such a good idea that there's this Canadian watchdog that went bonkers and then they labeled me disinformation and they put a post on it. And that outfit, when I did some research, it turns out they were originally stood up by the State Department and USAID money. And funding has since been cut. So, you know, they're not getting money from this administration, but the outfit is still in operation and is still doing its little job. And God forbid anybody makes some kind of idea that might actually be a good one that we have some kind of relationship that's special and different with Alberta. I mean, it really triggered them. And so the next thing I knew, my distribution on a social media platform, not this one, not Spotify, was suddenly being curtailed. I might as well just tell you, okay? So, like, suddenly nothing could get out. on Facebook and I'm like what is going on right and then it hit me and I looked and I measured these things together and I think now I can't be certain but I think that that correlates because it happened right around the same time and that seems like too much of a coincidence to me okay just a little too much of a coincidence I happen to think those things are related so think about that as far as Latin America goes right think about that because once you pull the money out of these so-called disinformation centers that are out there tracking the Trish Regans of the world or I'd say no no no no we don't like our idea kill it kill it kill it kill it well more of the reporting and the actual record and more of the ideas can get through and that's not a theory all right that's not theory to me because I'm sitting here living it right that's the last couple of weeks on my own darn show that's what's happening now the legal cover for a lot of this traces to a law that most people have probably never read have you heard of something called the Smith Montact we've talked about a little bit on the show came about way back in 1948 it was named for Alexander Smith in Congressman Carl month if you really want to know they authorized American information programs overseas and so that meant things like voice of America front of mine actually used to run voice America way way back when radio free Europe radio liberty right so all of these things where they were trying to get information that was important and you understand why right because the thinking is I'm just grabbing some water here as I talked to you the thinking was if we can help influence a culture if we can help influence ideas then that can prevent us going from to war so in theory you know it wasn't such a bad thing but it also importantly barred the government the U.S. government from aiming any of that material that was being aimed overseas at Americans and then lo and behold in 2013 done to not went away in 2012 Barack Obama signed a modernization act because he said well there's all this social media right and the information is traveling more freely and more readily and so the next thing you know by July 2nd 2013 you had Americans basically seeing material that the State Department and the broadcasting board of governors had made for foreign audiences you had Americans seeing it here and it was sold as transparency but basically it was the government saying well this is what we want everybody to think and then they paired it together with USAID and the NGOs and so all of a sudden there became this group of police for those quote-unquote untruths and a foreign facing program ends up throttling American speech I mean it's unbelievable Mike Bence saying here he's great he used to work at the State Department I want to show you something he said on ban and show this morning because he put this tweet out last night as this was going on in Brazil and he said when I'm fully unleashed and get to tell this story in detail country by country operation by operation I don't think the world will ever view the history of the past decade the same way again I mean I kept saying to myself how is it that all of these reporters and journalists organizations have gone so wacko with TDS like it didn't make sense right until you start adding up the dollars and cents this Twitter account great one called end-wokeness said eight elections in Latin America since USAID got to funded the far right quote-unquote the far right one all eight of them again they're not really that far but that's how they labeled them you understand so yeah so Smith month had just a little something to do with it and I again like I've been living this the last couple of weeks hopefully you know I get my distribution back please make sure you subscribe to this show as well as catch my Spotify one I think I put that in the show notes but let's go to Mike I've known and followed this this stuff for many years but I never made a crusade about taking it on until USAID got in the business of censoring the internet and at that point censoring Americans on on the American Internet censoring American social media companies as a foreign-facing humanitarian NGO sponsor you know that everyone knows it's just it's just the CIA's plausible an ability layer and funding conduit but when when it started to be used against Americans on American soil that to me was the final straw yeah right and so he's been very outspoken on this whole thing to his credit so you've got all these groups that have been shut off or at least they're no longer funded so in the case of the Canadian one yeah they're still up and running but think about all of these little groups that were existing all over Latin America and South America you this is not cheap okay or forgive me it is cheap this is not expensive I meant to say it is not expensive so it doesn't take huge dollars and now I'm looking at what's happened and seeing how many of these countries have transitioned how many of them have made the switch to red and I'm like wow like this is really amazing right Chile I mean Chile it was a great country great economic model it was stable it was rich the richest country in Latin America for quite a time I mean it was off and on with with Venezuela until Java is the socialist communist got in but it was it was doing great and then you know you saw that under the socialist the growth plummeted 1.9% a year and you know it was pretty sad because kidnappings went up something like 278% from 2018 and in 2025 alone last year 859 kidnappings 1,455 extortions by reading these statistics correctly and the homicide rate it actually ease from 6.7 to 5.4% of a 100,000 but that's still pretty bad right you know you had debt climbing as it was related to GDP I mean it was just awful and that's basically how you ruin a success story and I say it's a success story because it had been a success story I was there years ago I had done a lot of reporting down in Chile because they had all these wonderful the the Friedman guys you know Milton Friedman you Chicago boys went down there and rebuilt the economy under Pinochet say what you want about Pinochet he did put a good economic team in and that was a terrific basis from which Chile could grow until the socialist took over and now you know voters have turned to someone else Jose Antonio Cast and and he's basically who the press is calling the far right because anybody who's like right of center now is the far right Argentina right Malay is the far right give me a break give me a break I mean you know he has done wonders there to reduce the inflation rate to reduce the poverty rate so high granted like it's not a complete you know it's not done but it has improved dramatically they got growth 4.4% GDP growth you've got poverty you know it ticked down and now it might be up a couple percentage points from where it came down to but overall I'm going to just say that Malay was able to really see a lot of success okay and it's not that we installed him yes we were nice and we gave him we gave him the the credit swap when he needed it it's not that we were nice but the point is is that you didn't have all the USAID stuff and all the NGO stuff contributing to this El Salvador great success story as well right look at what's happened in El Salvador you've had a drop of 98% in some of the crime and as a result now tourism's coming in what do you know and you're building that economy I mean you want to talk about the root causes of migration if you create dangerous economies Kamala Harris it's not that hard you know what people want to get out they want something better so why not if it's within your ability and it's certainly is within ours just get the heck out of the way and let the people do what the people can do and you know what the people are not dumb that's why Flavio Bolsonaro is leading the first round and it is why I think Bolsonaro is going to take this thing I mean the markets I told you they loved it I'm looking at the stock market there and it's up like 9% I might have been wrong on 8% had a great day and then you get the currency jumping and the ETF I was talking with my colleague over at 76 research earlier today the ETF for Brazil I mean that thing it's EWZ I think that's up like 16% today I mean wow it combines of course the currency effect and the strength of the markets but what Wall Street is telling you here is that Bolsonaro isn't some kind of far right lunatic Bolsonaro is exactly what Brazil needs alright and I don't know why of it for some reason the State Department was really nervous probably you know some people in the State Department still aren't really nervous I was looking at some numbers USAID to Brazil we talked about that earlier just extraordinary right and you look at all the way down look at where we are I don't think they're getting anything right now but they used to get under Obama 316 mil I know I said it wasn't much but it's enough right it's enough to basically put in place the quote unquote police for the social media that you're needed. And even under Trump's first administration, he didn't know. This is not his first rodeo, shall we say. Now that he's back, right? But he didn't know the first time around. He didn't understand what was going on. And then they got Elon in there. And you know, Mike Benz blew the lid on the whole thing. And sure enough, what did they find? So this is a big deal, guys. And I think you're going to see more and more of the world actually turn increasingly right. Increasingly right because it's what's natural. They don't like what they're seeing. They don't like that overnight in a little coastal town, your portsmith in the UK, portsmith, which just a few weeks ago, had all those migrants coming in. Well, in this little coastal town, what happened? They were bringing more in. They were bringing more in hundreds of people coming in. And they got drone footage and the whole thing. And then the next thing you know, you got 300 or so locals out there protesting absolutely furious saying, what is going on? Again, for some reason, the elite globalists and I'm challenged in terms of understanding why anybody thought this was a good idea. Like, why would they think this was a good idea in all seriousness? I mean, I just maybe they were getting rich somehow off of it some way. I don't know. I don't know why anybody would be so naive and so stupid as to think that importing tons and tons of people into your country, they can't take care of themselves that are culturally so different, specifically when it comes to Europe, right? Because you're talking about a lot of Muslim, sorry, like, you know, we just got to say it for what it is. We just had Zudy on the other day who explained the political Islam and the challenge of that. And so you've got all these people that don't really think like you and don't respect women the way our culture respects women. That has me, you know, I feel that I'm very able to go out and criticize them if nothing else on that. So don't sit there and tell me as some elitist snob that, you know what, like, we're just supposed to take it and everybody's supposed to bring all these people in on the taxpayer tab. I mean, you pull out the layer of NGOs, you pull out USAID, you pull it all out, you pull all the political garbage out and what do you get? You get a population of people that are doing what is best for them. And that is why all of these places right now. In South America and in Europe, our turning red. And it's just getting started. I mean, it's another reason why it's really, really important that we hang on. We got to hang on for dear life for goodness sakes. We've got to win this thing. I think in some ways, this is important guys. In some ways, what just happened in Brazil is a very good indication of what is about to happen. Here come November. And I was thinking about how it's not just Brazil, but it's also think about it. Britain, I want to take you back to 2016. You know, Brexit, nobody thought it could happen. Nobody thought, you know, you had a class of institutions in the UK. You still do, frankly, that had decided that the country had sort of outgrown this nation state and the public was just expected to take it and accept it. Just agree with us. Oh, and by the way, if you disagree, we're going to dismantle your social media accounts. And we might just throw you in prison because you don't have freedom of speech here. And we might have some NGOs and some USAID money all along the way to help manage that. In Brazil, you had a class of institutions deciding that somehow it was the right answer to ban a populist president to send him to jail, right? They were so anxious to make sure that Bolsonaro didn't get back out there after his 23 January 8th thing. They were so anxious that they banned him. They jailed him and they tried to make it impossible except he's got a very big family and so they all came out to run and they all won. It's amazing. But think about that. Like in both countries, you've got the people who were told accept it, accept poverty, accept high inflation, accept high taxation. Like just deal with it, right? And in the case of Europe, not only did you have to accept it, you had to basically fork over your hard earnings to pay for all the migrants. They were importing from Africa. So people are like, I don't think so. I don't think so. And so it's a very similar story. Brexit 2016, Brazil 2026 midterms, November 2026. Everybody keeps counting Trump voters out. Just like they counted Brazil voters out. Just like they counted Brexit voters out. Nobody thought it could have. I've told you guys the story before. I was driving into Fox and my producer was on the phone with me and she said, yeah, like this is going to be a nothing thing. Like there's no way it's going to happen. No sooner had I sat down on set then, wow, it was all happening. For some reason, there's a group of pollsters all over the world that can't actually figure out the way people think. Really, I mean, think about what happens here with our polls and with Republicans. Everyone says there's no way Republicans can win these midterms. But I get to tell you, I think there's no way we can't. I mean, I realize, you know, the Democrats apparently had by eight or nine points. You look at real clear politics. It was at about plus eight in late September, New York Times, Seattle, you know, basically Democrats at 51 Republicans at 43. So that's a bigger Democrat lead than at the same point in 2018. But I would caution you this. These people, they keep writing the story. I mean, the story's already written, right? The president's party is losing seats. They just, they're salivating. They like can't wait for it. The coalition is tired. The suburbs have gone. Everybody's upset about energy prices. So there's no way, no way, know how that somehow Republicans can still pull this thing off. But I will say there was no way, know how in Brazil going into this election, Bloomberg did not think that Bolsonaro could do this. In fact, when he finally actually was showing this massive lead in the polls, Bloomberg was like, what? Surprise lead. And I tweeted it out at the time. I'm like, surprise, you know, guys, you really just don't get it. You really don't. And this is what keeps on happening. I mean, everybody was shocked at Brexit. Another shocked it. Lula. They were shocked at melee. So why is that? It's not because people are lying to the interviewer necessarily. I mean, maybe that's part of it, right? Because you get the shy voter, etc. But I think the larger part is that the Republican never even gets on the line. I mean, think about it. It's kind of a mechanical problem, if you would, if all of a sudden you get a call from a pollster and they're like, hey, I'm calling from the New York Times, you're like, yeah, click, right? You know, a poll's only going to work if everybody answers it and everybody answers it truthfully. But if you can't get half the country to answer you, then how the heck are these polls working? Pew. That was one of the big, it still is one of the big poll companies. Their telephone response rate. It fell from 36% back in 1997 to it's like low single digits right now. Nobody wants to pick up the phone and do a Pew poll. New York Times, Sienna, same thing. I mean, they can't get anybody to respond to these things. And like, I don't think the online poll panels are anything better. So think about that. I mean, I don't think they're actually able to reach the people that are actually engaging with politics. As soon as a Trump voter, here's Washington Post or New York Times, they hang up, right? And the same voter who does not trust the media does not trust the expert does not trust the agencies does not trust the stranger with the survey either. So they can't get anybody to accurately answer them. And it's happening all over the world, right? It's happening in Brazil. It's happening still in the UK. I mean, everybody shocked the AFT succeeded in Germany. Marila Penn looks like she's going to pull something off in France. Look, people have had it, but they may not tell a pollster that. How does it be who've them to tell a pollster that? It just doesn't. I'm not saying that every poll is fiction. No. And I'm not saying that we're guaranteed anything. Come November, but a Democrat lead of eight or nine points. I'm not buying that. I mean, it might be a warning, but I'm not buying that that's the end of the story. I think there's a lot of bias built into these polls. And I think that people are not answering them. And that's why they missed Flavio Bolsonaro. That's why they missed Brexit. That's why they missed Trump. And by the way, You saw the same polls. I did. I mean, they still thought that Kamala Harris was going to win the thing last time around. Are you kidding me?" Hmm. I said, "When we look at these polls right now, I think that you've got to think about not taking the media's word for it. I would think about sure there's frustration, right, at prices, without a doubt, at the economy. But there's also a lot of loyalty. And there's a lot of loyalty to this president. And I've showed you this before, but if you look at the actual statistics and you look at the actual numbers for inflation, we're so way below where Joe Biden was. It doesn't feel that way. I get it because, you know, it's just been going up, up, up, up. But we're actually in much better shape. And I think deep down, people know that. And I think they're loyal. They're loyal to Donald Trump. And so when push comes to shove, what are your alternatives? Socialism? Really? Or capitalism? If you're an independent, you think you're going to go for the socialism nonsense? I don't think so. I think you've seen that movie play out before in Venezuela most recently. Or Spain. Right now, Spain is seeing a total collapse of its socialist. Pedrito Sanchez, who's about to get just blown out. If you ask me, I mean, we'll see. He's calling for the snap election and Politico actually out today calling that this could be the end of the European Union's major socialist government, the last socialist government standing. And it's going to, I mean, they're all socialist basically, right? Let's not get ourselves from France to the UK. But these guys over in Spain, the Pedritos of the world, they're like super duper socialist on steroids. They love China. They're on steroids. They just love China. In fact, his mentor actually got in big, big trouble, right? With the government because it turns out he did some kind of deal with Huawei, giving that back to our access for China because they get the whole 5G network. They're pretty, pretty much not a really good thing from a national security standpoint. And NATO's not too happy about it. But, you know, I would say that Pedrito is in trouble. And when I look at the reasons why I look at immigration, just take a little jot down to Sayota and I'll tell you everything you need with thousands of people. I mean, what was the number? Eight, 60,000 people that were coming in in a 24-hour period that was nuts in Sayota. And Sanchez knew it was coming and he never stopped it. He never ever stopped it. I mean, he even admitted to the great Christian, I'm in poor, that he, well, I guess he didn't totally admit that he knew about it, but she called him out because she's like, he knew about this, right? You knew about this. And yet Sanchez, for some reason, just wouldn't stop it. Which makes me wonder, is this because what you want it? He keeps talking about having a humane solution to things. Here is Pedro Sanchez, just so you can get a good look at little Pedroito. Luminando en pocas palabras, esto es un desastre absoluto. Oh, they're huge. Eso lo que han logrado los prometores de. Talking about Pedroito Sanchez, everyone, talking about how it is just a disaster, this war, and that it's inhumane, and this that and the other, he goes on to say it's illegal, illegal. It's illegal, and he's going to remember anybody that was involved. Well, Sanchez now is on the way out. I think, I mean, I don't think he's going to make it through November 29th. He's betting that people are going to be really angry over rents, and that that's going to land him the opportunity over his opponents, but the polls, oh, in this case, they actually show the opposite. For some reason, in Spain, a lot of maga folks, except it makes Spain great again, are coming out, and they're not afraid to. You're seeing a lot of young professionals. I mean, think about the contrast with here, right? Because young professionals would be very nervous. They'd be worried they're going to get fired, but when things get that bad, as they are in Spain right now, and you've got tremendous problems with housing, for example, I think they're not going to blame the right, Pedroito. They're going to blame you, all right? So they've got a lot of anger right now over rent. He's trying to freeze the rents, and in this particular case, there was a landlord that upped the rent on a woman, and she can't afford it anymore. And so now, he's hoping that all of this anger can be directed against his opponents, and I don't think it's going to work. I think they're going to blame him as they should, because it's his policies that have landed him and them in this mess. France, similar stuff, you know, we were watching all that video that was coming in. It was crazy from France over the weekend, and it's just terrible to see that. Pretty rough, pretty rough, pretty rough. These are the students that have taken to the streets. It started in the Marseille area. You have some protests in Bordeaux. It's my understanding that there's more than 500 schools that have been closed today in France, high schools that have closed because you have all these brutes out on the street, and it's pretty brutal. Like, when I ordered to tell you what they did, it's rough, okay? It's rough. It's rough because it involves a lot of violence. They threw petrol on a teacher. I mean, it's really bad. But it started actually in these areas, very heavily Muslim areas, where they're angry because they're saying, we need more. They need more. I'm still like, okay, you know, head back home, the real home, the original home, and let's see how much more you get. I think it's got to be pretty darn nice, right? In France, where they give you pretty much everything you do need. But the country is a mess. When I look at the euro today, you guys watching the euro, the euro is suffering. We're actually looking at a 17-month low on the euro, and it's in part because of France with its protests and its massive debts, because they think that you can just keep taking, taking, taking from the people, taking from the system, running up all these debts, and then paying for all of these people that are clearly, not very grateful, that started a nationwide riot for them to have all that they want, and then some, because apparently it's not enough. I mean, what kind of students are complaining that they don't have enough students, and that they don't have enough teachers, and then they're out attacking those very teachers, violently attacking them. I mean, some of these schools have just been shredded, and they're not habitable at this point because of what they did to them. This is really disgusting, terrible behavior, and I just look at it and say, you know, guys, maybe you should not have invited everybody in. Maybe that wasn't the smartest move. Maybe you actually should have adhered to a more stringent immigration policy, and now the question is, is it too late? I mean, they have a culture in France that is very fond of apologizing. They're very upset with themselves over all their colonization over the years. It's like, guys, get over it. Like, you gotta get over it, because you can't keep looking backwards, and you can't keep apologizing at some point, everybody's on their own, right? And you've got to move forward. And yet they teach this garbage in school, they want everybody to feel bad. Where's this comment from? I'd like to know. I mean, how did somehow China and Iran, and, you know, basically every country that we're at odds with, how did they convince all of these other countries to feel so darn bad, and just apologize, apologize, apologize, apologize, this whole idea that emerging market countries, developing nations, that they're struggling and somehow we owe them something because of the past. No, I'm sorry. I am somebody who really does believe that you can chart your own destiny, and you should. And so, hey, France is out of there now. Go do what you need to do. Get your acts together. Manage it yourself for goodness sakes. I'll tell you, I will tell you. It's really, it's really been something to see between Spain, the UK, France, I mean, the UK also being humiliated, because we had to remove all of our bombers out of there because they can't even secure the place. I mean, for goodness sakes, they have allowed this to happen to themselves. And it's a mess. Shifting gears, I want to turn to the very suspicious timing, very suspicious timing of this Cornell case. You heard all the gory details by now, so we don't need to go there. I want to talk about the politics of the moment. Latisha James, big dish coming to the rescue, saying she's going to, she's going to help, she's going to somehow put these guys in jail. I mean, I guess that's her goal. It's now a criminal investigation, guys. President Wang in on this Friday afternoon. In case he's in here at the first time, he said, again, Latisha James is a corrupt person. She's also an uber political person. And so her little cohort, Kathy Holkall, and don't forget this is an election. And Kathy's not doing so hot, especially in upstate New York, nearby Ithaca. So what was this like made to order? Hmm, here is Tish James. Now saying this is full on criminal investigation into the seven kids at Cornell. I stand ready to lead a process guided by the facts. And the law. In the coming months, my office will dutifully carry out the responsibilities the governor has conferred upon us in this executive order. We will review the facts, gather evidence, interview witnesses, and if warranted, pursue prosecutions. I know that you want answers. I do too. A comprehensive investigation of this nature takes time, but my office is committed to seeing it through. This is now an active criminal investigation led by the office of the attorney general. And though we are limited in what we can share, we will provide updates as they become available. Again, I want to thank Governor Holkall for a leadership. Hmm. Got to thank her, right? Because she's the one who puts you there even though you don't deserve to be there. We'll talk about that in a second. Remember guys, Kathy Holkall is facing a very difficult challenge. Like no one has come this close in something like 20 years. Bruce Blakeman is nine points away, single digits in the polls. And we just talked about the polls and how you get all these shy voters. Nobody. No, that's reversed. Bruce was supposed to be in red. Kathy is supposed to be in blue, but you get the idea. Okay. You get the idea. So what the heck, Kathy is playing for her life at this point. So she's never met an opportunity. She's willing to turn down. This woman, this young woman, had already endured something that is utterly unspeakable. And that at every turn, she was failed by people and institutions with an obligation to protect her. So she wants you to know she's on the side of women, women everywhere. This, by the way, is a story that has become very divided in terms of women and men and how they see things. And Kathy, is recognizing this because Kathy knows you saw, again, ignore the red and the blue and just invert them if you would. Kathy upstate is suffering. She's at 44%. Bruce is winning. Blakeman is winning upstate. And so Kathy's going to do something. She needs some reason to galvanize the base. We're the women when you need them. And now all of a sudden, in this case presents itself. And hey, while you're at it, don't just, don't just go after Cornell, don't just go after the kids. It's made to order because you can go after the president as well. Here is a New York Times reporter on ABC, ABC this week. Sock it to the president because somehow this whole ordeal is President Trump's fault. It's a fundamental disrespect for women. You can't send those messages no matter how drunk you are, as a fat boy, without having some kind of misunderstanding about what women are there for. And whether this is a real person you're dealing with. And that, I think, starts, you know, we can go to the president for this one. I mean, we are in a moment in this culture where the glorification of being thuggish and swaggering and mistreating women is kind of making you a cool kid. Oh, really, it has nothing to do with like some of the worst rap lyrics that we've seen, right? The rap artist that was campaigning with Kamala Harris in her songs. Remember some of those? I mean, I'm just going to, I'm going to go out in a limb and say that the pop culture that was propped up by the left for so many years did not exactly do wonders to say really help young people think positively about themselves and their sexuality, all right? Let's just, you know, be honest. Unbelievable stuff, you know, Cardi B. Yeah, terrible, terrible, terrible lyrics. I mean, all of them, I can't read them. I can't even say them. I can't listen to it. I don't consider it music. It has a beat. But there's some really, really bad lyrics and you can go look them up yourselves. But the point is being you're going to blame Trump. You're going to blame Trump. Oh, can we just blame Clinton too for that matter? I mean, I'm sorry. Do not blame the president of the United States. I would blame a culture that rewards some of this stuff. And then on top of that, okay, because you can't really, I'm not going to like sit here and excuse what the guys were writing back and forth or what they did or may not have done. But the idea that somehow that she thought this was a good idea to go over, I mean, they're all just pretty atrocious in very, very like specific horrible ways. Now, how is it that she gets to change her tune two years later? I'm just saying, like if I'm just on the side of the law, I'm going to dismiss everything. I'm going to dismiss their God awful behavior. I'm going to dismiss her God awful. Well, I'm not going to totally dismiss her God awful behavior, because part of the God awful behavior was the initiation. And then all the text messages that have thus come forward where she like want to go back to the Halloween party. I mean, you really, you want to go back? Come on. And now, two years later, right before a very important election, right before Kathy Hocal possibly goes down. Somehow this thing just materializes. Very interesting timing. You know, they could have brought it six months ago. They could have brought it eight months ago, but they brought it now. And the media runs with it. They run all day with it. You know, I don't see, remember the poor girl in Louisiana that was brutally assaulted and tossed on the side of the road on the highway where she was killed from incoming traffic? Do we, do we ever hear about that from the media? No. Do we hear about all of the young women that have been innocently just, you know, going about their business and killed by illegal migrants? No, don't hear about that. But for some reason, they just can't get enough of this story. And like, there's no, there's no innocent, ill-proven guilty whatsoever. They have absolutely just torched these kids. Here's Latisha James, saying what this young woman has been forced to endure is horrific and unacceptable. I'm holding her in my heart and in my prayers to her and to all survivors. You're not alone. We stand with you. This is before she had seen a shred of evidence. This is just after reading The New York Times right through and you saw The New York Times columnist that was just on ABC saying it's the president's fault, right? Unbelievable. So she's now the special prosecutor in this case. She clearly has a viewpoint. Now, I'm not saying that it's about a prosecutor. I can't have a viewpoint. But there is some kind of duty. Is there not to look at the evidence first? I mean, what kind of world are we living in? Where you don't even care about the darn evidence and you're out there writing this. Well, some reporter, I'm not sure who this was, but this was a great question from one that was probably a local reporter there in New York City who or in Albany who asked big-tish this big question because this is the elephant in the room and who more ways than one. Attorney General on your Facebook page three days ago, you wrote, "What this young woman has been forced to endure is horrific and unacceptable. I'm holding her in my heart and in my prayers to her and to all survivors who are not alone, we stand with you." But why did you affirm her allegations as fact without doing your own fact-finding investigations as a governor? Why did you appoint an official who made a public statement affirming those allegations as fact as someone who's supposed to be doing an investigation? I will answer that. I have every confidence in our attorney general to do what she has always done. Look at the facts, examine the record, and draw the proper conclusions. That's exactly what's going to happen in this case. No, no, that's kind of making me nervous, I imagine. As it should, because now the seven, the Cornell seven, as they're calling them, their lawyer is now saying, "Hey, what is she doing on this case?" And he's trying to push to get her off, because clearly, serious bias. Again, never looked at the evidence, never looked at it, and yet came out with that tweet, and that comment she posted on Facebook. I want to go to Jonathan Turley, very smart guy, constitutional law scholar from George Washington University, and he was on Fox earlier today talking about this. I want to play his sound bite here, listen to what he's saying about how inappropriate, really inappropriate, and disgusting, and really just a bad look for our legal system. This is, it's like this James when she was going after Trump, right? When she was campaigning and saying, "I'm going to get him. I'm going to get him no matter what she hadn't seen anything. She didn't have anything. She was going to get him for something." That's what she said. What a goon. Problem here is, it's not just James. You know, you have the people working for her, so if she says, "Well, I'm just going to have my staff do this." Well, she's already said on social media that this is now a rageous case, that the alleged victim has been put through this, has been forced to endure this, and that we stand with her. Those are the types of statements that her subordinates know she's gonna want to see reaffirmed, you know, that if they find that there's no basis for a charge, it really undermines her in terms of her prior statements. So that's not a good place to start. I mean, frankly, Hokel should have looked at this and said, look, if I have a concern with this previous prosecutor, let me find someone where no one can have any doubts over. And instead she picked the one person who has a long chain of doubts following her in not just this, but many cases. - Of course she did. Of course she did, right? Of course she did because she wants somebody who can give her what she needs. I'll tell you what's gonna happen. 'Cause I don't think there's a case here in light of the statements that were made under oath. Under an in light of the text that have come for it, I don't think this girl has a case. Now, it's possible that Cornell decides to settle civilly 'cause they just wanna make this go away. So they're like, okay, 25 million bucks, they get like a $9 billion dollar endowment, right? They can just say, okay, see you later and make this go away. So maybe she gets a payday out of it. But in terms of this criminal investigation, in terms of what Latisha is doing, and Kathy Hokel is, this is what you call politics, pure politics. I spent six weeks on the ground covering the Duke LaCrosse case back in North Carolina, that was what, 2006. And that was a close election. In that case, she had Mike Nyfong, the DA, fighting for his dear life because he wanted to get elected again. And he thought, well, this kinda just landed in my lap with that woman who made up a whole bunch of things, a whole bunch of things. And then the next thing you know, Nyfong's like manufacturing evidence to kinda have it fit, right? 'Cause he wants to get through the election cycle. And so the similarities are quite striking, different, different, because in the case of the Duke kids, all they did was invite a dancer to the party and that went really south. This is a little different, but from everything we've seen thus far, it's consensual. So you're the DA, tell me what you would do. How do you bring this case? You know what the lies we've been through this on Friday's show. You can go back and watch that on Thursday's show too. You can't bring this case, right? So now Latisha's gonna go in, she's gonna ruin his life. She's going to prom, guessing the Cornell president is going down and infamy, right? On this one. And then you've got the seven guys. And while the girl's life is gonna be ruined too, because Latisha, it is going to drop this like a hot potato when she realizes, oopsie daisy, there's no there there. I have no case, but they will milk it for everything it's worth between now and November 3rd, because they want women to come out and vote and Kathy Holkill is behind in every place but New York City. So that's unfortunately, how the real world works. And it's highly political and it's bad stuff. We were talking about Brazil earlier and the ETF. Again, if you're interested in investing, I encourage you. That one is EWZ, we'll see how that goes. I don't know, Rob Horton who runs 76 research with me. We were talking about this, he doesn't necessarily, he has it. And he's like, yeah, I don't necessarily love it because it's such a small array of companies. That's the challenge about buying one of these ETFs in an emerging market country. But just be aware that I was like, gosh, I wish I had bought it last week. I wasn't thinking it would have been good, right? Because it was a play on Bolsonaro. I imagine that it would go up again in theory if Bolsonaro wins at the end of the month. And I actually think he's got a really good shot. All you had to do was get USAID out of there for goodness' sake. Anyway, we have three portfolios. Go check them out when you can hit 76research.com. I need you guys to sub. I gave you my whole spiel right on what's going on in terms of the shadowing. I'm living it. I can't believe this. But apparently there's one of these little programs up there in Canada. I showed you the screenshot the other day. We can talk about it some more tomorrow. Hopefully everything's fine. And again, I'm fortunate, right? I know people, so I'm able to say, hey, what's going on here. But think about all the people that don't know anyone. Think about all the people that just have small accounts. And they're trying to get their voice heard. And if you have a bunch of entities controlled, maintained, operated, and financed by USAID, saying, hey, you just go squash that one, that one, that one, that one, that one. You get a state department that is not in line with, say, what would be smart economically for any of these countries? But a state department that actually loves the leftist policies of, oh, I don't know, say Cuba. I mean, in all seriousness, right? Jaipal outposing with the Cuba stuff. I mean, you got to be kidding me, right? Saying that we need to get more of Iranian oil to Cuba. Lady, lady, lady, like, we're going to have to take a good hard look at whether this is treason at some point. We are at war. I'm just going to say, we are at war with Iran. But there is a sentiment that is very left leaning, right, in parts of Washington. And it is not governed by anything other than just super, super duper left leaning. Now you've got all these lefty crazies running for office from Abdul Saeed to the woman out in Colorado, the woman who's originally-- I think she's also from Egypt-- to obviously Ilhan Omar and Rashida to leave. And I think it's a very dangerous place to be heading, as you know. But I don't think it's going to get them there. I really don't. I mean, I'm going to stay optimistic to the end because that optimism has carried us and certainly me and, you know, through a lot of different, very monumental moments in history, just in the last 10 years. Thank you for being here. Make sure you subscribe. And I'll see you back here live on the show tomorrow.