Trump’s Midterm BLAME GAME Begins — Canada in the Crosshairs

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I feel ready to be done with this election. I feel ready to move on to 2028 a little bit. Well, that's insane. That'll just start. I mean, it's already started. And we'll talk about that later since you've been talking to a lot of potential 2028 hopefuls the last few days. I have. I have. So what's on the agenda today? Well, I like, subscribe, all the things, leave questions. We take your questions at the end of the show. The agenda. The agenda. We're going to start, obviously, with the election. Six days to go. Trump made another trip to Texas to try to save Ken Paxton there, who, I guess, Ken Paxton is the only Republican that he doesn't find attractive, which he keeps talking about. Correct. He brought Marco Rubio along to tout a Venezuelan oil deal, turning a foreign policy win into a campaign season photo op in a state Republicans are fighting to hold. Rubio has largely stayed off the campaign trail as Secretary of State, but Trump pulled him on stage in Corpus Christi, where the two rallied. He's been in the same position for a long time. are people at the pump and those numbers are going to start coming down. The fake news did it to me. They only covered the ass part, they said. What the hell was Trump doing talking about a man's anatomy? What's his problem? He was talking about his ass and his feet. What was he doing? You know what I was doing and they know what to see where the power came from because he was a violent tackler. Maybe I should do that with Ken Paxton, but I'm not sure your body's going to qualify. I'm going to do it with Ken. He's so mean to Ken Paxton, who I do not like, but he just can't say a nice thing about that guy. Well, I mean, it's kind of like payback and you know what's going to end up happening if Ken Paxton loses. What we're going to see is over the next like 72 hours after Ken Paxton loses, Trump is going to blame John Cornyn and then he's going to blame Ken Paxton and he's going to be like, well, you know, Ken Paxton never was really fully in this. He was attacking me and my convention and my crowd sizes. And all this stuff privately to donors, like he was never fully into this campaign. That's what he's going to say. I mean, totally. Yeah. Well, he's certainly not going to be doing a bout of self-reflection and the idea that he could have been more on message while on the campaign trail. I do love that this time Ken Paxton dressed up as Donald Trump, that he was wearing the suit with the red tie. That was funny. That was funny. But I mean, listen, this is this is there. It's crazy that we're six days away from Election Day and the president is focused on Texas. He's going to South Carolina. He's in Ohio. He's in Florida. I mean, ruby red states that should be locks for Republicans. But I think James Tallarico is going to win. But we'll see. I'm very hopeful about that. I think it's been a pretty perfect campaign, considering that as a Democrat running in Texas and, you know, looking at the dueling rallies because James was out last night. I think it's been a pretty perfect campaign. I think it's been a pretty four miles away from Trump's rally. He had four thousand people out there supporting him in Lubbock. And I was talking about it just this morning on Fox. You know, his messaging around wanting to turn Texas purple, I think, is really smart. That's where I think people can feel comfortable with this. Do you think that this wave of conscientious Republicans or I'm sure MAGA folks would call them squishy Republicans, but these folks that are coming out in support of Tallarico or at least saying that they're not voting for Paxton makes a difference? Yeah, I do. I do. I mean, I think that obviously Tallarico would want them to vote for him instead. I think, though, that this election is not going to be if every Republican turns out in Texas and every Democrat turns out in Texas, Ken Paxton will win. Republicans not turning out or turning out and not voting for Ken Paxton is killing that ability for Republicans. It's a turnout game. And so that's why Trump is going to these red states. Like, obviously, it makes sense to knock them for the fact that they have to be playing defense like this. And I wanted to talk about Kansas and South Carolina, which is the newest entry into the holy shit is Annie Andrews going to be able to win this race category. But they are going to rally the base. And you could see a world in which a bunch of these states that we've gotten, ourselves excited about that are either everything from ruby red to, you know, purple red stay in the Republican column. And there is not much difference, right, that we pick up North Carolina. I think, you know, knock on wood, that seems pretty secure here. But there's nobody else running away with a seat that we're trying to flip at this point. It's great to be in position to be able to flip all of these. But you could see a world in which it doesn't happen. Oh, you could totally see a world where every single race actually goes red because it's so close. I mean, like, these are one to two point races in South Carolina, Kansas, Texas, Ohio, Florida. I mean, no, Florida is a little wider, but as the other states, Maine, Michigan. I mean, these are all states. I'm actually feeling better about Maine. I don't know if you are. Yeah, I am. I mean, I think Susan Collins, everything is still an uphill battle for Democrats against Susan Collins. But I mean, we'll have to see. I think Democrats are in poll position. Obviously, we'll have to see. But we're doing a show, Aaron, where Democrats are in poll position. I'd much rather be a Democrat today than a Republican. I'm heading into the midterms. And I think that voters are going to send a message to the president on Tuesday. This is not a campaign that's gone really well for him at all. So anything about Rubio being on the trail? I will note that J.D. Vance's tour, he's out again this afternoon. He has been bombing all over the place. And that's not just because it makes me happy that I'm highlighting this, but it's pretty incredible watching No Jokes Land, watching him wade into state rivalries in all of the wrong ways, you know, talking about being Ohio and Michigan in the way that he does it, mispronouncing the names of places that he is. I'm not saying I ever thought he was particularly charismatic, but, you know, you watch his debate with Tim Walz, and I know this was a couple years ago, but you're like, this is a smart, assertive guy, right, who knows his way around a conversation. I sat next to him for an hour on the five. He was much better than he has been on the trail. He seems totally deer in headlights and that he knows deep inside that he has to, if they want to hang on to these voters, say something of substance about, you know, what's going on with prices, the war in Iran, that they feel their pain. And he's forced into this crazy box between making bad Michigan jokes on Houston's ass, and he doesn't know what to do. Yeah, I mean, listen, I think what's interesting, though, and I have said this now for several weeks, J.D. Vance doesn't get the same smoke that Kamala Harris did when she was vice president. The attacks that Kamala Harris faced as vice president for not doing more, for not solving the crisis at the border, I mean, all of this stuff when she was vice president, not president, an insane bevy of attacks. J.D. Vance doesn't get these attacks. J.D. Vance just kind of does his own thing. No one really cares what he's doing, where he's going, who he's seeing. He's just kind of there. He has no policy agenda. He has no Trump didn't ask him to do anything other than this fraud task force, which. OK, I mean, there isn't much substance there at all, and it really seems like I said it from the beginning that I actually thought Vance would flame out because a vice president never does well running for president after the incumbent president leads leaves office. fact that they've shielded him from all this criticism makes me change that a little bit about Vance. Like I think Vance could actually she win the Republican nomination because he has done nothing of substance and has no agenda and it's just kind of aloof. That sounds pretty exciting. New York Times Sienna polls came out today with some good news. It has Peggy Flanagan up 14 in Minnesota. That's alarm bells right there. I'm scared about that one. I will say they had Amy Klobuchar up 18, which makes sense. I mean, Amy Klobuchar is going to be doing incredibly well. But this is a big jump for Peggy Flanagan. Not that the assumption wasn't she was going to win this race. Minnesota is a blue state, but she was much, much closer. I should say Michelle Tafoya was closer to her than before. What do you account for in the jump or you think this is unrealistic? I think it's a bit unrealistic. I mean, I think Amy Klobuchar will win by 15 plus points. I think Peggy Flanagan will win by seven or eight points. I think Amy Klobuchar will win by 15 plus points. I think it's going to be a 14 point race. I just think that the New York Times Sienna poll has a it's a good poll, but historically has shown like favorability for Dems, which is why I'm like a little hesitant on what we saw in Minnesota. I'm a little hesitant even more on what we're seeing in South Carolina. Like I don't. All right. I want to talk about the Annie Andrews of it. So seeing that is like crazy to me, but I don't know. It's tied. And there are a couple of results that have come out lately of them within the margin of error and reporting about internals that actually have Annie Andrews up a point or two. So they're tied at 48 percent in this poll. Fifty one percent say that Darlene Graham doesn't have the experience to be a senator. I don't know how it's only 51 percent, but 54 percent think that Annie Andrews does. She's winning 57 percent of independence and voters trust Democrats by eight points to handle the economy. There are also a couple of third party candidates that are going to be on the ballot, one from the Constitution Party and one Libertarian. And if people voted for them, it would pull from Darlene Graham. None of that is pulling from Annie Andrews. She picked up some former governor endorsements, including a Republican. You have spoken to Dr. Andrews. What are your feelings? I think she's a great candidate. And I think if anyone could flip South Carolina, I think comparing her campaign and her candidacy to that of like Jamie Harrison when he was running against Lindsey Graham, it's like it's night and day difference. I think that she her campaign, is very robust. It's very well put together. It's not just about fundraising. She had a really clear message and she's very relatable. Doctor, mother, like she's not really running on a super hyperpartisan message in a really red state. So I think she could pull it off. Anyone can. She can. But it's going to be I mean, it's still going to be tough. So we'll have to see. Yeah, I think, you know. In people's minds, because we spent so much money on South Carolina in 2020, I think that people thought that Lindsey Graham won by like 20%. Which does happen in some of these red states. That is not the case. So Lindsey Graham won by 10 points and Donald Trump was on the ballot, which would turn out more traditional Republican voters. None of that is the case this time around. So it's a sister who's incredibly unqualified for this role and also is not campaigning well. She's incredibly meek and doesn't seem to want the spotlight to answer these questions. I don't even think it matters anymore. Her bumbling through that Taiwan answer in the initial debate. I think that people now are just saying, I don't think that you have the goods to be able to do this. Do you think Nikki Haley will say anything? She should. That's the endorsement that I think just seals the deal for Annie Andrews. Yeah, if Nikki endorses Annie Andrews, she will win the nomination. I don't see it happening because I think I think Nikki Haley wants a future in Republican politics. Which is why I don't think she'll do it. Same reason why I don't think John Cornyn will endorse James Tallarico. He'll just quietly vote for him. I think Nikki Haley will quietly vote for Annie Andrews, but we'll have to see. Yes, we'll have to see. I mean, will we even find out? I guess if we go into public record. Okay. Eventually. North of the border drama. The fight for Senate control is spilling up to Canada. U.S. ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra, reportedly warned business leaders in Ottawa, that if Republicans lose key Senate races in Michigan and Maine, Canada could face blowback from an unhappy Trump. The embassy says his comments were taken out of context. What could be the other context that a president who hates Canada is incredibly vengeful and will do anything to distract from the fact that he is the one, right? He is the ultimate messenger for this. Like, vote like I'm on the ballot. You know, it's funny. I posted this about this on like my TikTok and all the comments are from Canadians saying, oh my God, yeah, it'll be our fault. We'll take the blame. Like we, we're going to be the reason that Donald Trump loses. We are proudly going to be the reason to kick Donald Trump. Election interference that everyone feels good about. Yeah. Like we, like we, please, like we don't want Trump to win. So, I mean, it's just, it's hilarious. He can't, it's his own fault. It's his own fault. It's no one else's. It's his own fault. It's no one else's. Yeah. I mean, he's like the only one in support of the trade war at this point. Um, it is good to see in both Maine and Michigan, how much they are closing on message, uh, about cost of living and these disastrous policies. And in both cases, they can tie Mike Rogers and Susan Collins to being rubber stamps for Trump. Uh, so I, I mean, I think nice to see no one is distracted, I guess. Um, but we love our Canadian pals. Um, so I hope it's not too bad for you. Well, I hope it's a good night for Democrats. And then I hope it's not too bad for you. Um, but I'm sure Pete Hoekstra is getting some pretty sassy phone calls at this point. We have to pick a side. You can have them all. How will AI revolutionize your business? AWS AI is how. We hope you check it out. on six continents, Delta is committed to helping you explore your world. Whatever gives you the travel bug Delta is here to help you get there. Visit delta.com for more info Delta, wherever the journey takes you. One way that Trump and his allies are trying to prevent a blue wave is by painting Democrats as communists, which they've never done before. But AOC is turning that attack around on the campaign trail. And even Trump has admitted she has a certain appeal. Let's watch. These folks like to say that everything that they don't like is communism. And they like to call everyone that they disagree with a communist. But we've got news for you. Good schools is not communism. Funded hospitals is not communism. And guaranteeing healthcare as a right to every American is not communism. It's common sense. We are the only developed nation in the entire world that does not guarantee health care to its citizens as a right. Communism to common sense is pretty good. Sounds like a presidential some speech. I mean, yeah. And you know, it would one it would land really well. Communism to common sense. That type of messaging right there, focusing on universal health care, focusing on housing costs. Schools is also major. I should have mentioned this when we were talking about the Texas race, because I think it's very undercover choice. Yeah. Yeah. And how underfunded the public schools are there under Governor Abbott is a really big deal for people in that election. And I have been negligent in talking about it. Listen, I think I think AOC knows what she's doing. I mean, she's doing a good job at it. And I think that if that's the. Message she wants to she's going to go forward and she's going to run for president. She could very well could be the nominee on that message. Well, we're going to talk more about 2028 in a minute. I do think it is a smart reframing, obviously emphasizing the fact that they've used the same slew of insults in every election and that when you call Joe Biden a socialist or a communist, it kind of loses its oomph. But did you see that clip of the Black barber, the woman in Michigan? She was like cutting hair while she was being interviewed at they're asking about socialism vis-a-vis Abdul. And she says something like socialism, socialese, socialize. I don't care what you call it. Just lower my cost of living. And I think that's where a lot of people are at this point. And it's been interesting to see them continuing to play whack-a-mole with the different kinds of messaging. Obviously, the trans stuff is really big, especially in Texas. So I think all of those mailers are coming from Wyoming because nothing is genuine. And actually coming from where you're having the election. But do you think that any of the culture war attacks or the fear-mongering about socialism or communism is going to be resonant with voters or people are just like, this isn't working? How many times do they use socialism as an attack, as communism as an attack? Every single election is socialism, socialism, socialism. They don't know how to define socialism. J.D. Vance is not a socialist. He does not know how to define socialism. He was asked to define socialism. He said it was men playing in women's sports. That's socialism. That is the traditional definition of socialism, actually. But they never mention, what is it, up to 30 companies that President Trump has taken a government stake in? That's socialism. That's communism right there. I mean, listen, I think this is going to, it's not going to work. I think, I think the Republicans for the first time in a long time are running a stale playbook. Democrats like to run stale playbooks. I'm kind of like, rehash January 6th, right, and run on January 6th. That's a stale playbook to run on in politics these days. Republicans are running on immigration and having another caravan across the border. Socialism. They're running on Islamophobia. These are 2018 Trump playbooks. It's not going to work in 2026. I mean, from your lips to voters' ears, quite literally, because they're listening. Israel had a huge impact on the United States. They had a huge impact on the United States. They had a huge election day yesterday that has ended, at least so far, in political deadlock, with more than 70% of the votes counted. Neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his main rival, Gadi Eisenkot, appears close to the 61 seats needed to form a government. Netanyahu's coalition has taken a major hit, but the opposition is divided, and its path to power may depend on partnering with Arab parties. Not just may. It depends on that. Netanyahu has been a close partner of President Trump, who endorsed him outwardly. We talked about this last week, and we talked about this last week. We talked about this last week. This is very reminiscent of the last time there were elections when they had to hold three or four elections. I forget. It was, I think, four before they were able to find a coalition government. Listen, I think that the best thing that could have happened for Israel, the best thing that could have happened for Israeli relations, for Israel standing on the world stage, for Palestinian people in Gaza and elsewhere, is for Netanyahu to have lost. And not just have lost, but a resounding, overwhelming mandate against Netanyahu. That did not happen. Yes, he lost seats from 18 to, from 68 up to like 54, 55, whatever that final number will be. But it wasn't that resounding defeat where the opposition will immediately take over. And that, I mean, is a sign, is a problem for everyone involved, because we're now in this kind of like quagmire for the future of Israel. So we'll have to see what happens next. But ultimately, I think Trump is going to try to say he saved Bibi from the brink, but I don't know that he did. I don't know that. It really just seems like maybe a lot of Israelis do support the Netanyahu government, even if they're not willing to publicly say it. What do you think about the coalition building with the Arab parties? I mean, it's a big increase in seats at 17, 18 seats held by Arabs. I was saying this yesterday on Raging Moderates with Scott. I mean, the scenes of people coming in to vote on camels and things like that. I was, I found the whole thing very inspiring. And, you know, people running in and out of cafes saying, like, have you voted? Have you voted? I wish that we had that kind of enthusiasm, though I know a lot of it was spurred by the fact that they have had this traumatic few years, obviously, since October 7th, and that there are so many people there. You know, I know that Netanyahu still had a good amount of support, but the opposition to him, when you include the Arab parties in there, is bigger. And I've seen people online, you know, making sure to note that, where people feel despondent. You know, part of this is probably the fault of folks who were talking about the election, making it seem like it was just going to be this, you know, clean sweep blowout, because people are supporting Netanyahu. It's a coalition of people that have different reasons for doing that versus that they think, you know, Netanyahu is so great. There are obviously the major hardliners, you know, people who want to keep those settlements intact, the folks that don't think that, you know, they're going to be able to do it. And I think that's a big part of the Ben Gavir and Smote Rich are completely out of their minds and, you know, genocidal, frankly, in the way that they talk. But how easy, I guess, do you think it will be for Eisenkot to build some of these coalitions with the Arab parties? Or you have no idea? Easy? Nothing's easy over there. No, it's not going to be easy. It's going to be very hard. I don't think he'll be able to do it. I don't think Bibi will be able to do it. I don't think Eisenkot will be able to do it. I think they're going to have another election. So we'll have to follow it from the presidential. So much. It's like a big election week for the presidential election is already raising questions about the country's relations with the Trump administration because Flavio Bolsonaro has already fled to the U.S. Apparently, we knew about the whole thing with his passport. Love that. He faces multiple corruption investigations like his daddy. He denies wrongdoing and is called the investigation's political persecution. Now, a Brazilian Supreme Court justice has ordered a police investigation into alleged contacts between Bolsonaro's campaign and Rockbridge Network, a donor network co-founded by J.D. Vance. Rockbridge denies involvement and Brazilian law prohibits foreign campaign funding or assistance. What is going on here? What's going on here is that Brazil's election system and the way they operate is so radically different to the United States in the sense that, like, imagine Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett issuing an arrest warrant for Kamala Harris. That's that's what we're seeing. I mean, like, it's just like it's like you can't really it's just so different. Don't tempt them with a good time. No, I know. It's just so different over there. I think that the Trump administration slapping tariffs on the Lula government the first time around, trying to pressure them to drop charges against Jair Bolsonaro, who literally incited a coup, just like Trump did in Brazil. And then now it's like history repeating itself with Flavio. Flavio, you know, you're going to have to do something. You're going to have to do something. You're in Miami. They touched down a couple hours ago with his family getting safe haven in the United States. Listen, ICE, they said ICE was supposed to bring, take out the criminals. There is a criminal on U.S. soil now. I mean, this is what ICE is for. Flavio Bolsonaro should get sent back to Brazil. Americans don't want him here, don't need him here. This is, I can't believe that, like, we are acting like Vladimir Putin, who gave cover for Bashar al-Assad. We're now giving cover to the Bolsonaros here in the United States. It's just, it's wild. Oh, you can't believe it? No, I can't believe it. It's just, here we are. Here we are. Question of government accountability bringing us back home. The family of Alex Preddy, the Minneapolis nurse fatally shot by federal immigration agents in January, is accusing the Trump administration of stonewalling them and protecting the agents involved. Months later, they say they still haven't received basic information about the investigation, while federal officials have yet to retract claims portraying their son as a domestic terrorist. I really hate this one. I get it that Tom Holman and Mark Wayne Mullen are better than Greg Bovino and Kristi Noem, but I just want better for this family. You know, when Tom Holman showed up in Minneapolis, he said, I'm not here because things have gone okay. And as said repeatedly, I would not have called them domestic terrorists. I hope there's some way to still, you know, chase after Kristi Noem. For the way that she talked about them. But, you know, where does this go from here for the Preddy family? I think they're going to have to wait for a Democratic president in 2020 to come in and release the evidence and ultimately prosecute the ICE agents involved. I mean, that's where we are. There is no statute of limitations for murder. And so let's see. And deprivation of civil rights, which is the federal crime they would charge an ICE agent with. So I guess we'll have to see what 2020, brings. And I think that's what they have to wait for at this point, unfortunately. I mean, it's just really horrific situation. I don't want to be a Pollyanna about it because I get that everyone is dug in and these are folks without the same kind of moral compass that we have, but it feels like it would be okay to give up those particular ICE agents. And then, you know, when you say like, these are the bad apples, right? Like these are the ones who made at best horrific mistakes at worst, you know, we're playing very fast and loose and ended up murdering people. Um, and just say like, but the broad base of ICE agents are good Americans that want to just carry out our immigration laws as they are on the books. Like what, why not? I mean, I mean, that would require if that's the case, just hand over the evidence. I realize we're not even at the point where you have to say that they're guilty, but this was one of the things that was promised that there would be cooperation. Remember that big powwow with the mayor of Minneapolis and Tim Walls? Yeah, I do remember that. Yeah. Yeah. We talked about it. And here, here we are now, Jess, we do have time for a few questions. Um, so first Alec wants to know, do we need to be concerned about Trump coming out with more electoral surprises? Yeah, always. I agree. Samuel asks, Samuel asks, what's going on with the Alaska Senate race? We were just talking about this, um, before we got on and we feel a little bit differently that, oh, well, like broadly what's going on with the Alaska Senate race. Mary Patola is looking really good. I think Kelsey has her odds of winning at 75%, um, polling. She is up a few points. Um, but there is a big New York times piece on, uh, the behind the scenes and getting the other Dan Sullivan on the ballot. Would you like to talk about your feelings? I think that Democrats are being very innovative, um, this election cycle to ensure that their candidates are in the best position to win. Final question from Alison. Um, what are you and your children going as for Halloween? I am happy to answer first. We are going to be in the best position to win. We are going to be beekeepers and my daughter will be a little bee. Oh, I've seen. Yeah. Are you going to wear her like in the carrier? Cause I, I saw, uh, yeah, it's so cute. Okay. I really like that. Um, Brian and I actually, we don't dress up. Maybe that makes us terrible. Um, but Cleo has always wanted to be like for this year, this cycle, she was very clear that it was Sleeping Beauty. Teddy had me buy her a pink dinosaur costume that she as much as a two and a half year old could make a grown woman buy something. And she said she loved it was really excited. Now it's too scary. And so she is wearing a beautiful Rapunzel dress. Um, so we have a couple of princesses and we already had one Halloween parade. It was delicious. All of these little cuties and we'll be a trick or treating and I'm very excited. Are you guys going to trick her? I three teeth. Oh, she won't be eating candy. I'll be eating candy. Okay, great. Um, that is it for the last raging perspective before the election. We will back next week, breakdown results. I'm going to pop on with Aaron on election night. I'll also be doing coverage on Fox. Um, exciting stuff. Everyone, uh, hold your nausea, keep your optimism. You're either all in on this model or maybe you're building with another, either speed or is it security or your AWS AI. Don't pick a side, pick them all. 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