Trump Fumes as Obama Hits Campaign Trail in Most Expensive Midterms Ever

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Xero, spelled with an X, is a simple but powerful platform built for small business owners that makes managing business finances easier from day one. Accounting, payments, payrolls. and analytics are available in one connected platform. Reports, visual dashboards, forecasts, and AI insights help owners better understand cash flow and make smarter decisions. Join the 5 million customers worldwide using Xero. Learn more at Xero.com. That's X-E-R-O dot com. Hey. Hey, welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway. And I'm Jessica Tarlow. We are live and we'll be live all of next week, Monday through Friday, as the results trickle in. Make sure to subscribe to stay up to date and support the show. Okay, let's bust into it. With just five days until election day, more than 39 million Americans have already cast their ballot. This is now officially the most expensive midterm election cycle ever, with spending surpassing even past presidential election years. That's so cool. And we're going to be talking about the staggering. It's sickening also. It's staggering and sickening. Yeah. So here are the races we're watching. Let's start with Trump's latest campaign stops. He was in Ohio yesterday and heads to South Carolina today, where Republican Darlene Graham is in a virtual tie with Democrat Annie Andrews in the race for Senate. According to the latest New York Times-Siena poll this morning, Fox News moved the race from lean Republican to toss up. What are your thoughts on this race, Jess? It's real now. It's real. It's a race, right? Yeah. It's definitely a race. It's a big deal that Fox moved it into the toss-up category. Republicans know it to be true as well. That's why they're spending their end. Trump is having to go back. This overwhelming feeling that it's one thing for Darlene Graham to step in to finish out Lindsey Graham's term. It's quite another to get a whole new term without having the qualifications. It's over 50 percent. Don't think that she's qualified for the job. Fifty-four percent think that Annie Andrews is. And Andrews is cleaning up with independent voters who are very much telling the story of this election. I'm excited about it now. I think that it's a real opportunity. People looking at South Carolina and Kansas and Mississippi to a large degree and saying, like, is this for once not just lighting my money on fire? I'm curious what you think, you know, Kansas has had Democratic governors, but not a senator since 1932. What do you think is the difference there? Is it like the management job, like an executive job versus a legislator job or the like sending you to Washington versus keeping you here? Because that disconnect doesn't make an enormous amount of sense to me. It feels like it's their values versus I guess the Democrats have been good at putting up the Democrats. I would imagine that when governorships and red states tend to be more moderate, like a Bashir. Yeah. And that they say, OK, maybe in terms of operations, we want someone who's more operationally minded and level headed as opposed to an ideologue. Let's send them to Washington to try and, you know, turn back Roe v. Wade. What's interesting, well, first off, just to return to the spending, because that is I find that just just staggering. The Senate, which might be more consequential than the presidential race, has spent $3.2 billion, nearly matching the entire 2024 presidential race spend. This is being fought like a national election because functionally control of the Senate is as consequential as the presidency for the next two years of governance. And when you have a Senate cycle that's outspending the last presidential cycle, it's it's not even the dog wagging the tail here. It's the tail is wagging the dog so hard it's creating its own weather system. I mean, this is just people don't realize how much money and then going to South Carolina. Fritz Hollings left office in 2005. He was the last Democrat South Carolina sent to the Senate. In a toss up rating, that means the Senate's 21 year streak is generally at risk, which is kind of a bigger structural shift than any specific candidate. I mean, a blue wave in concert with who I think is an incompetent candidate. To me, it feels like the possibility for a one term Senate. I forget the guy in Arkansas or whatever that, you know, was up against basically a pedophile and one for one, you know, for those two years. I forget who that was. Was that? Oh, in Alabama, Doug Jones. In Alabama. Thank you. But yeah, this is that would be I think that would be an earthquake. I just can't. The fact that South Carolina, do you really what's your call? Do you really think the Democrats are going to take that seat in South Carolina? I still think of my oh, my God, is this really going to happen? It's still Texas for me, just because I think the Tallarico campaign, has, you know, put in the work and for so long, and there are so many tea leaves, including the turnout, the early turnout there that indicate that there will be an enormous structural advantage for Democrats on Election Day, unless President Trump, who is out there again saying, you know, vote like I'm on the ballot, is able to get everybody off the couch. But in a lot of ways, and obviously, it's good politics to do this. The Tallarico campaign has been saving the best ads for, for last. And he had one that went up last night with three former Republican office holders. One judge, and then two from the legislature set to this incredible music also that made me feel like I was in a movie, essentially, you know, in the Wild West. And I thought, yeah, there are always these figures, right? That's kind of never Trump ish cabal or the Republicans that find their spine for one particular election or moment. But this feels like it has been a steady drip of people like this, who are saying, because it's Ken Paxton, I don't think it would be the same if it were John Cornyn. I think it would be a lot harder for him to be able to be, you know, tied or ahead in this race, but that it's just not acceptable to me. So in the miracle scenario of winning red states, I still think that Texas is more feasible than South Carolina. But I'm very excited about this. And I, you know, Dr. Annie Andrews is very much the real deal. And she has run as close to a nonpartisan campaign as you could hope one would. It's not quite Rob Sand in Iowa, who I think is the king of the nonpartisan campaign. But Annie Andrews has taken on all the culture war stuff, you know, right on saying, nope, I don't think that stop saying that. I think that I'm going to go direct to camera. And tell you that I don't. And she is finding common cause with a lot of people. And I think that expertise might be back in fashion, right? Like actually having a doctor and not one like a Roger Marshall that chases people for $101 and throws them in jail could be good. So let's move to Ohio, where Ramaswamy's ad backfired in the race for governor. Kelshi now has Democrat Amy Acton with a 78% chance of winning. I'm shocked it's not higher. I feel like this race is over. What are your thoughts? I mean, 78 is like in a red state. What do you want? Yeah. I mean, also, I mean, it's betting market, so it doesn't have feelings in the same way. But like, we did see a lot of like 95, 99% chance that Hillary wins and like everything can go right in the other direction. And these are still fundamentally red states. The ad, super, super bad, doubling down on it, then tripling down on it. Very, very bad. Even when, you know, the sitting governor said, like, take it down. He said he's running for Senate or to keep his seat against Sherrod Brown, who's trying to come back, said, like, I wouldn't have done that ad. But then on top of it, Vivek just sucks. Like, he's utterly charmless. Just sucks. Yeah. And the way that they're talking now, they're trying to make this into like a racist culture war race more than anything. And I'm not sure that that's really how to win a cost of living election when people are down on you. You know, it's like the last ditch grab for the xenophobia and the trans stuff. And it doesn't seemed to be flying, but he was always a bad candidate for it. I'm more interested in what happens to Sherrod Brown, which I'm excited about because I've always loved him. Well, let's go. Let's head down to Georgia now, where Obama once again got under Trump's skin when campaigning for Senator John Ossoff and gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms, who has been dramatically outspent by Republican Rick Jackson. Bottoms' victory would make her the first female Black governor. Black voters are also turning out early, accounting for 36% of ballots cast in Georgia. Any thoughts on what's happening in Georgia, Jess? John Ossoff is doing all the right things. The Obama rally was great. You know, Obama touched on the substantive stuff, but also was rehashing the Cheesecake Factory issue, pointing out that they didn't care about the Saddam Hussein comparison, but also talking about how the White House was willing to develop, you know, a White House-wide recession. And I think that's a really good thing. I think that's a really good thing. to this and that Trump called, you know, Scott Besson, who's supposed to be dealing with the economy and like, you know, come out there and talk about cheeseburger rolls or whatever. And how in Obama's time, if he had called Tim Geithner when they were trying to recover from the financial crash, I mean, like, can you get out here to Arby's and talk about how much you love roast beef? And I know that I'm Obama-pilled and it's very elder millennial of me, but there is a fluency and a fluidity to the White House. You know, one of the ways I think you start curing a run or charting a path for eventual presidential run is you just start racking up favors with the party elites. And the best way to do that is to give them money in close elections, right? And Ossoff has got to have a war chest of money he can start doling out to friends and family across different races. Well, it makes an enormous difference for Keisha Lance Bottoms. Rick Jackson is a billionaire. He can spend a lot of his own money off of it. He is an election denier, but he's also more of a normie Republican than a lot of the Trump era ones. He feels like a Georgia Republican, right? Yeah, like a Brian Kemp. I mean, it comes from a different world, but he's not freaking people out in the same way that some of these other candidates are. And Kemp didn't endorse Jackson in the primary, but is now very supportive of his candidacy. So Keisha Lance Bottoms definitely needs the Teflon-ness of John Ossoff at this point. In Alaska, where Trump's accusing Democrats of perjury in the Senate race, polling continues to favor Mary Pertola over Dan Sullivan. I want to talk to you about this, the ballot stacking situation. You're following this, the big New York Times piece about the extra Dan Sullivan being recruited by Democrats. I finally feel like we're being smart, that we're doing what Republicans have been doing forever. I don't, the end state is, I think, that whoever wins gets seated. I don't see that this is going to be cause for anything resembling, I mean, the courts generally don't like to overturn elections. What are your thoughts here? So I don't like it. I accept that this is something that happens. This actually happened in a race involving Mary Pertola that the Republican Party in Alaska backed this other guy, Eric Hafner, who was actually an inmate in a New York prison who ran for Alaska. So she has some experience with this and it has happened other places in the country. There's a case in Miami where the Democrat ended up losing by just 32 votes. They and the Republican operative got convicted and the Republican kept the seat. So it's not even like it was overturned or even rerun. And the one of the more egregious examples, I think, actually is from Pennsylvania where Summer Lee, the Democrat, was running and the Republicans recruited a guy with the same name as the retiring 30 year incumbent who was actually a Democrat. So it looked to people like their congressman of three decades was still on the ballot. And Summer Lee ended up being able to win that race. So I I'm certainly not interested in being lectured about, you know, how dirty we are. But I didn't like it. And it's and it's not illegal. It looks like apparently there's more to this story. And, you know, the campaign aide who gave the story then tried to retract it, you know, rumors about if there was money involved and, you know, getting paid off like that could be illegal. But if something's going to change, everybody's got to lay down their proverbial swords. And I don't see that happening. But I don't I don't feel great about it. And I didn't have the five yesterday and I was very defensive and said on Monday when it did come up and said, like, the Trump DOJ doesn't want to compete and they're already crying foul and they're not going to accept election results and they think that their voters are too stupid, which I stand by because on the ballot it does say, you know, Dan Sullivan, Republican incumbent versus the Dan Sullivan with no, you know, no title next to it. But it's a dirty trick, right? It's a dirty trick. It's a dirty trick that has been done before. But it makes me feel icky. Here we are. So I have some personal experience with this. This is a true story. In my senior year, I ran for student body president of University High School. We were called the Warriors then. Now I think we're called the Trees or something. And I ran against a guy named Scott Garrell. So it was Scott Galloway versus Scott Garrell. And I'm convinced the only reason I lost is because people thought he was me. So I have experience with this type of voter ballot manipulation. We also looked like each other. We were also friends, which made things really, really strange. Where's Scott Garrell today? Does he also have a bunch of podcasts? I have no idea where Scott is. I think he, I know he went to, where is, Scott, where are you? What are you doing? Nice kid. Anyways, he and I immediately bonded. We were both being raised by a single mother. But again, I lost in a tight election. So I have some, after losing 10th grade president, 11th grade president, 12th grade president, but we won't go into that. A boring side note about this, though, not Scott Garrell related, but it does matter a lot less in ranked choice voting system. Just like putting that out into the ether. Again, still feel icky about it. Again, they did it. They do it and would do it and wouldn't be sitting here opining about how guilty they feel about it. Yeah. Yeah. All right. I'm done. There you go. So CNN's latest polling has Democrats leading. In four key Senate races by six points in Texas, up seven in Michigan, plus four in Kansas and four in Maine. Friend of the pod, Larry Sabato's crystal ball has shifted 21 races toward Democrats, including key Senate races in Florida, North Carolina and South Carolina. Let's take a look at what we missed on the campaign trail yesterday. And in six days, Georgia will rebuke the crook President Donald Trump with such clarity and power that no president will dare such abuses again for centuries. The way it is, I'm a very high IQ person. I passed three cognitive tests. I'm the only president that agreed to take them into their heart. Obama couldn't have passed. They don't have solutions to actual problems. So they'd rather have the media and you talking about the cheesecake factory. Just keep throwing distractions out there and hope that you won't notice that your bills are higher and your life is better. It is tougher. We named a lovely lake named like Lake Ontario and no wannabe dictator and his billionaire sidekick will stop the momentum that we are seeing across this state. You know, I own the Miss Universe contest long ago. I decided I had to sell it when I became a politician. Owning the Miss Universe was not good when you're being president. We got to keep reality TV on Bravo. Leave it to the performance. Professionals, we don't need it in the White House. All right. Let's just let that rest on its own merits there. We'll be right back. GetSold.com the code MODERATES. That's GetSold.com, promo code MODERATES for up to 60% off. Don't wait. Some strengths are already selling out. And after December 11th, they're gone for good. I've interviewed countless politicians. And if there's one thing we all find disconcerting is when they butcher the facts with some biased half-truth. Give us a break already. So when I had the chance to debate conservative podcaster Ben Shapiro, our natural response was bring it on. Why? Because it was sponsored by USA Facts. And each debate segment started with a presentation of government data and facts. Employment, government spending, income data, housing, and more. The topic? The American dream. Is it still within reach? We argued. We found some common ground. We actually debated. And there were no personal attacks. Watch the full debate on the USA Facts YouTube channel. We think you'll find it unlike any other debate. I'm Josh Muccio, host of The Pitch, where startup founders raise millions and listeners can invest. For our sweet season 16, we're giving you more of what you love and less of what you don't. I definitely start to blank out when we're talking about like middleware AI wrappers. Software is out. Actual cool stuff is in. We've got consumer brands. We're building eight sleep. For daytime hardware that helps blind people see. They kept asking for middle finger. Next thing we knew, we had like 10 students running around flipping each other off. We've got deep tech to change the weather. Our big vision is to make it rain and snow on demand. What if you wanted to not make it rain somewhere else? Like one day, we're just like, screw Arizona. And dairy? We have to talk about Michigan, Jess. Abdul El-Sayed is facing lingering divisions within his own party. His former primary rival, Representative Haley Stevens, is still endorsing him but hasn't campaigned with him. His tensions over Israel and anti-Semitism threaten to alienate key voters. Stevens' fiance, Jason Turkish, has said he will vote for Rogers. Here he is, and then we'll hear Haley Stevens' response. I waited and I watched and I listened for Abdul to watch. But he didn't moderate the escalator. He got worse and worse and worse as this general election campaign has gone on, rather than bringing people together, he's just driven them further and further apart. You know, I watch him in recent weeks as he has become verbally combative with any reporter who has the gall, as he sees it, the gall to ask him about the Sompiker. He's 100% disqualifying him as a United States Senator. I waited week after week, day after day, for him to disavow this hate. Without a quimication, he won't do it. Do you agree with your fiance and his sentiment here on this race? No, like a lot of households across America, we're a household divided. I still very much want our Democratic nominee, his name is Abdul, to win this race. There's so much on the line. But I will be honest, there are a lot of voters in Michigan. They are still undecided. And they are hurt and they are confused. And this is why I think our nominee is in a very strong position to denounce the hateful ads that have hurt people. Okay, so first off, who gives a fuck what her fiance thinks? This is the media trying to whip up controversy and conflict where there just shouldn't be any. Who gives a shit what Jason Turkish thinks? And also, Haley, you're trying to pretend you're doing the right thing while not doing the right thing. You're trying to pretend you're doing the right thing while not doing the right thing. If you have a problem, if you find his comments disqualifying, then say it. But say there's so much on the line here, but these hateful comments, at this point, anything but a full-throated endorsement of him is a non-endorsement. I think the household here is not a household divided. It's a household full of shit and trying to pretend they're being good Democrats when they're not. This is the mother of all passive-aggressive behavior, taking political form. Your thoughts, Jess? Well, Jason Turkish, the fiance, has now joined the Democrats for Mike Rogers group. And I've seen turnout to some of those events. It is not as fulsome as they would like it to make it out to be. And I largely agree with you that five days out is not the time to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going to be like, oh, I'm going on as well, especially about, you know, denouncing which Abdul's campaign did that ad on the supermarket ad, which had people, you know, shopping for groceries and saying like, oh, honey, we can't afford the eggs or the bananas because we have to send money to Israel. That didn't come from Abdul's campaign. That came from Cenk, the guy who runs Young Turks. I think it's like the rebellion pack or something like that. But I do understand why people are offended by that. Like, your prices aren't up because that money has to go to Israel. There are all sorts of reasons why your prices are up, most of them having to do with President Trump's trade war and the war in Iran and, you know, needlessly spending. And if you want to, you know, trace it to Bibi Netanyahu, you know, pushed us into this war, whatever. Like, there are people, there are Jewish voters who are offended by that in Michigan. I think that it is worthwhile to try to amend with those folks, to try to get them on the team, especially with just five days to go. But obviously, every news cycle that's like this hurts his candidacy. And the CNN poll has him with a healthy lead, though it's a pretty big margin of error. It's four and a half points. And Jocelyn Benson is running ahead of where Abdul is. You know, she's top of the ticket for the governor's race. And I think it's not the time for this, but it's a real problem. And I don't know the backdoor dealings of what's going on with the campaign, you know, last minute meetings with Jewish leaders, also shoring up Black support with voters and have seen, you know, some of the feedback from those visits that he's done. And that great woman who was, she's a barber, you know, saying, I don't care what you call it, like socialize, socialize, socialism, whatever, just lower my costs. And I think that's generally where people are. And why Abdul will be victorious in this. But I don't think ignoring it or just saying kind of like fuck off to this issue can be the tactic that his campaign takes. I think we can say that like there's five days to go, but I'm sure there's a lot of behind the scenes jockeying that's going on. To be clear, there are legitimate concerns, I believe, around El-Sayed's candidacy amongst Jewish people who believe, you know, have a real concern about some of some of the things that El-Sayed has said. That's absolutely true. My beef is either endorse him or don't endorse him. But don't pretend to endorse him such that you can, if he wins, just in case you can pretend that you were a good Democrat when you are clearly not endorsing him. Yeah. I mean, quite frankly, Hallie, if this is a good candidate, I'm going to say, look, look, I'm the candidate here that lost. I've put a lot of energy into this. I'm the person who might be senator at some point. Dear fiance, just keep a lid on it. Keep it to yourself. You don't think this was orchestrated? I mean, Ms. Stevens should stand on her own two feet. If she doesn't believe El-Sayed is the right candidate and she thinks Rogers would be the right candidate, then say that and articulate your viewpoint. But trying to have it both ways is really off-putting. And that is exactly why I think it's so important that we have to look at it in a different light. I think it's important that we have to look at it in a different light. I think voters would rather you I mean, a lot of the Arab and Muslim community in Michigan actually went with Trump. And when exit polls, they asked them, why did you go with Trump, who appears to be somewhat Islamophobic? They said, I'd rather someone stabbed me in the front of the chest instead of the back. I think it's important that you look at it in a different light. not meandering around these questions. She's like, basically, you know, are you effing kidding me with equivocating at this point? You're talking about a rubber stamp for Donald Trump's agenda or having somebody that you disagree with on a couple of issues who has shown a willingness to talk about them. And I think that's definitely if I were in that kind of position, that is the approach that I would be taking at this point. I think that there is far too much on the line for these moments. Agreed. So speaking of Israel, they have their pivotal election, which has left the country facing weeks of uncertainty. Benjamin Netanyahu failed to secure a clear victory, and now he's claiming the election was stolen. Alleging fraud at Arab polling stations, claims police say are unsupported by evidence. Wow, does this remind you of anybody? No, I've never heard of this. Yeah, never heard of this, right? Yeah. Record turnout among Arab voters could prove decisive in coalition negotiations. And I just want to highlight the term. Arab voters in an Israeli election. For all the criticism that Israel comes under, keep in mind, Arab voters might decide who the next person to lead Israel is. And what does that tell you about what is the only democracy in the Middle East? Anyways, typically the election day is not as important as Israel as their ability to play chess and form a coalition. Whoever emerges as Israel's next prime minister will face another challenge. As you referenced, and that is winning over the American public. It is the tea leaves for Israel moving forward are really ugly. 75% of people my age support Israel. 25% of people under the age of 25 support Israel. At some point, folks, those people are going to be our elected officials. Those people are going to be the ones deciding if and when we support Israel and when we don't. They have an enormous problem on their hand. Just one in five Americans said the campaign was justified, while nearly half said it was justified or had gone. Too far in terms of the military campaign in Gaza. I was surprised and, to be blunt, disappointed here. I thought Eisenkot was going to do better than this. I got to give it to Netanyahu. He is Trump-like in terms of how many lives he has politically. Jess, what do you think these results tell us about Israel's political future? That you might get more of the same for a while and that they'll probably have another election coming up. In a few months. And Aaron and I were talking about that yesterday on The Raging Perspective. I have friends in Israel, young friends, who are devastated by this, who really felt like the energy was in the opposition, too. And I get it that there was a larger chunk that was against Bibi Netanyahu, but now the jockeying of what coalitions can be built, and that even folks within the Eisenkot party and the Yashar party or. Other parties that are supportive of the opposition to Netanyahu don't necessarily want to be in coalition with the Arab parties who won't agree to some baseline rules, especially around Hamas and the perception of Hamas and eventually, you know, what power they could wield over the border in Israel. And I understand those frustrations, those disagreements to me. And it's easy for, you know, I'm sitting in midtown Manhattan. Like, you know, I don't know what it's like on the ground there. But I would imagine after living through not just the last few years, but the totality of Bibi Netanyahu's reign, that I would want to take a flyer on building a coalition, even with people that I disagree with on some really fundamental stuff, to just try something new. It very much feels like the future. Success of this country rests upon there being a change, and that Bibi is not going to wake up any day in the rest of his life and turn into a reformer or someone who's going to be able to build, you know, good and decent relationships, certainly with folks in the region, but then also build those bridges back with Americans who feel like they're He is the embodiment of what they see as wrong with Israel and its behavior. Well, I like to have a nuanced take on this, and that is old people are ruining the world. The most secretive thing we could do globally is if every nation got together and signed a mutual treaty that everyone over the age of 72 in a leadership position had to resign within a year. We need a shedding. We need incumbency and fundraising and power results in a certain stasis and lack of turnover that has been really bad for the West. If we lost Netanyahu, Putin and Trump and Biden and name someone, the comments will fill up with, you know, pushback. Name someone over the age of 72 who we would really miss right now on the electoral stage, on the political stage. I mean, I don't have a particular affection for Lula in Brazil. But he is 81 and just got reelected. I know that there was corruption on the other side of it and threats to people's, you know, programs. But we were distinctive. What you think is political viewpoint or skills when you get elected at 81, there's about a one in two chance at some point you are going to be incapacitated, incapacitated or unable to fulfill your duties. We don't let people that age combat or command troops, fly planes. And it's insane or even be CEOs of companies. Usually it's insane that we. Have let so many old people who can't price in climate change, can't relate to young people, don't understand technology, weaponize government. I mean, this is this is what is washing over the West right now. And that is low birth rates and incumbency and old people who continue to vote themselves more money result in a French education system where a third of the education budget is allocated towards the retirement payments to people who are no longer teaching. That originally. Retiree in France has, on average, greater income and earnings than someone working in France that ends in revolution and dissatisfaction and societies falling apart. 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Can't wait to take it for a spin. Only the best for you, Mr. Shaq. Hey, have you always been so big, tall and handsome? Not always. I was 6'10 once. Seven days to love it or return it, Mr. Shaq. Not that I would. You never do. No, I never do. So buy your car today on Carvana. Delivery fees may apply. See our seven day return policy at Carvana.com. Let's end on a lighter note before we turn to questions. Jay-Z has been announced as the headliner for next year's Super Bowl halftime show, with fans already hoping Beyonce makes a surprise appearance. Just after all the controversy surrounding Bad Bunny's halftime show this year, do you think Jay-Z will be a less polarizing choice for conservatives or will they find something else to be upset about? Yes. So there's something else to be upset about. I mean, Jay-Z won't sing in Spanish, and I know that they'll prefer that. But no, Jay-Z won't be less controversial. He'll be stirring up trouble. Remember Beyonce's halftime performance and the messaging that it was putting out into the ether? I would love if she showed up, though. I still remember being at the DNC thinking she was going to come out and then it was just Leon Panetta. And that really bummed me out. But I think it's a great choice. And it's not surprising. And I think Roger Goodell gets it. He gets it. It's where the country's going. And you can just go to the bathroom during the halftime show if you're not into it. But I love a Jay-Z performance. I think he does it really well. great job. He'll maybe have his wife, but he'll undoubtedly have some very cool friends with him. And Roc Nation also has the enormous contract with them. Like, this is not surprising either. I think he didn't need to some degree self-select that he was going to be the performance. It felt like Cheney, who headed the committee to pick a vice president, came up with this brilliant insight that he should be the vice president. And also, quite frankly, I think the NFL is hoping for a little bit of controversy and is pumping this a little bit, because I think they want a distraction from the fact that a new study estimates 75 percent or three in four NFL players who died between 2008 and 2023 had CTE. I mean, this is a big. We were ending on a lighter note, and now you've done that? I apologize. It's okay. That's crazy, though. It can only be diagnosed posthumously. I mean, this is a really big deal that we're talking about these deceased NFL players. And not the living ones. And it says nothing about college and high school or youth football prevalence of CTE. A Cowboys player, Nealon, was diagnosed with CTE, reported alongside the Auga study, and researchers are now pushing to expand the data down to the collegiate and youth levels, where head-impacting exposure starts years earlier. This is just staggering, the prevalence of this devastating condition. It's not even. CTE is not even becoming a risk of playing in the NFL. It's not even becoming a risk of playing in the NFL. It's becoming a default outcome, that it's more of an exception for players who have a career in the NFL and don't have major head injuries. Anyways, my point is, I think that Roger Goodell, the NFL, maybe with the exception of the Prem or the Premier League, is the best-run league in the world. They just do an amazing job. And I think he's very savvy. And I think that the poltergeist he's not going to be able to shake here is these new studies coming out about CTE. So I think he's happy to stomp on it. And I think he's going to be able to shake it. And I think he's going to be able to the day the study comes out with all of this, quote-unquote, semi-controversial announcement of Jay-Z. And the reality is the Republicans are going to hate it unless it's Kid Rock. They're going to find a reason or a dancer or something to call it DEI or some bullshit. But he's a great entertainer. And I'm sure Beyonce will show up. I'm sure that that's one. As bad as Haley Stevens' fiance is, that's how good Jay-Z's spouse is going to be at the halftime show. That's my prediction. Should we move to. Questions, Jess? Let's do it. Should we move to questions? All right. At Chad asks, would Trump and his administration ignoring court orders without any repercussions so far? Would a Democratic House have any influence over enforcing such orders? Hmm. It's a governance question. You take this, Jess. So they ignore court orders until the very last moment. And then they do generally comply. So I think that the Democratic House influence will be obviously in the subjects that the committees take up. You know, everyone paying attention to oversay it, obviously. But the courts, and Scott and I have talked about this a lot, they have largely held. And they kick and scream, but ultimately have been complying. So I'm not as concerned about that. And I think the gavel switching hands is going to be an enormous difference. Um, in terms of how all of this gets done, you know, question of what kind of legislation could feasibly get passed, especially if it's split, and then President Trump will have his veto. But the court orders, they do a lot for the cameras. And then most of the time, they follow the law. Yeah. So this, did you, in the 80s and 90s, they used to have these TV shows where you, did you ever see these things where they gave a guy or they gave some man or woman a shopping car? In two minutes to fill it with as much shit as possible, and then get it out. Supermarket Sweep. Was that what it was called? I loved Supermarket Sweep. It was literally the best and worst thing about a materialistic capitalist society. It was just like some middle class guy, like trying to like, and I sometimes see you had your husband, your wife with you, and you'd be like, Oh, my God, don't do the clothes. The clothes are heavy. Go here. Diapers? No, no, go to the jewelry store. And they had and they like run out of the store, like, like people who just, you know, people who just found a miracle drug, but if they didn't get out of the store, it wasn't going to, it wasn't going to happen for him. I feel like that's, we're watching that in real time with Donald Trump. I think he's under the impression that he's going to be immune vis-a-vis the pardon he's going to issue himself. And he has 25, 24 months and two weeks to grab, to snatch and grab as much money from the country as possible right now. And I don't know how it's going to manifest in terms, I would really like to understand, we should bring someone on to talk about the mechanics of which committees, we just take the House and not Senate. Will they be able to subpoena and pull people out? I would just love to know which House and Senate committees are going to get to and how are they going to get Musk in front of them to talk about things such as throttling back of Starlink? I would really, I would personally like to know more about the mechanics on November 4th of what happens, you know, around these hearings, if you will. All right, let's go on to question number two. Add Zelda Kitty wants to know, what will Democrats do if Republicans win the election? Elections defying the polls. I don't know. Crying to their, crying to their soup. What will they do? Be sad and then be normal human beings and like go back to work. I don't think there is going to be, I mean, certainly not the kicking and screaming that you're going to get inevitably from the right when election results come in that they don't like. There are going to be questions. I don't know. Crying to their soup. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. on polling stations if they're, you know, messing around with the times that they're open, you know, people's access to being able to exercise their constitutional rights. But I think that probably just say, oh, the polling industry needs some serious help. I don't know. You were just talking to Nate Silver, though. He was very bullish. Yeah, he was D plus nine. And when we got all those seats in 18, it was D plus seven. So, yeah, we'll see. So question three comes from Scott Garrell. I don't know if this is a joke. We just referenced Scott. It definitely is. I ran against a guy named Scott Garrell. You think? Scott, Scott, why do you feel upset? Why do you still feel upset by that election I beat you in all those years ago? Scott, if this is in fact you, I hope you and your family are well. Actually, on a serious note, I did run for sophomore, junior and senior class president, lost all three times and went on to lose student body president to Scott. And I think that is one of the keys to my success is at a very early age, I got I developed a skill to mourn and move on. And then I've always said that the nicest things that have happened to me are a function of no. And that is I've never been afraid of public failure. I've never been afraid to apply for jobs I wasn't qualified for or ask money for my startups or express friendship and romantic interest. And I think the reason I've had such a wonderful life is that I got used to losing very early and got used to enduring it. I think strength doesn't come from avoiding hardship. It comes from enduring it. So, Scott, you played a role in in in my success, so to speak. Yeah, of course, you'd say that, Scott. I I love that. I think it's so important. My dad used to talk all the time about the importance of setbacks. And I just went on the podcast, you know, the all the cool girls get fired gals who wrote that. I just I did their podcast and I think it comes out today. But I love their attitude about failure like that as well and how important it is also to be public facing with these setbacks and what you can learn from them and the community you can build from it. All the cool girls and all the cool guys get fired and lose elections and then 100 percent and get your heart broken their way and lose jobs and make bad investments. That's the key. Every great yes has one thing in common. It's had a ton of no's before it. So anyways, folks, get out there and get to know. Let's leave it there. Jess, we'll be back for the big event next week. Make sure to subscribe to stay up to date. It's going to be an interesting an interesting week. Is it a blue wave? Is it a blue tsunami? Is it a red riptide? What is it? Is there a great white shark looming offshore that we're not cognizant of? Is something about something big? What October surprise? Does it does the president have in store? You know, there's something coming. Anyways, it's going to be an interesting week. Stay with us to learn more. We appreciate you joining us for our live sub stack today. Happy Halloween. Yeah. Same to you, Jess. Software is out. We're building eight sleep for daytime hardware that helps blind people. They kept asking for more. middle finger next thing we knew we had like 10 students running around flipping each other off we've got deep tech to change the weather our big vision is to make it rain and snow on demand what if you wanted to not make it rain somewhere else like one day we're just like screw arizona and dairy i never imagined my life journey would be milk season 16 of the pitch is out now listen wherever you get your podcasts this season is presented by engine if you run a small business you know that having a clear picture of your finances is invaluable zero spelled with an x is a simple but powerful platform built for small business owners that makes managing business finances easier from day one accounting payments payroll and analytics are available in one connected platform reports visual dashboards forecasts and ai insights help owners better understand cash flow and make smarter decisions join the five million customers worldwide using zero learn more at zero.com that's xero.com ryan reynolds here from mint mobile the message for everyone paying big wireless way too much please for the love of everything good in this world stop with mint you can get premium wireless for just 15 a month of course if you enjoy overpaying no judgments but that's weird okay one judgment anyway give it a try at mint mobile.com slash switch upfront payment of 45 for three month plan equivalent to 15 per month required intro rate first three months only then full price plan options available taxes and fees extra see full terms at mint mobile.com