Trump Caves to Putin as Democrats Surge Before Midterms
59m 40s
The political and social landscape ahead of the 2024 election is marked by a surge in Democratic momentum, driven by strong public sentiment on issues like healthcare, inflation, and crime. Early voting trends in key states suggest a potential shift in voter behavior, though Florida and Kansas remain pivotal battlegrounds. Serious concerns have emerged over the Trump administration’s foreign policy, particularly its decision to waive sanctions on Russia and cut off Starlink support to Ukraine, which many view as a betrayal of democratic values. At the same time, social media platforms like Meta are under fire for enabling foreign disinformation, prompting urgent calls for structural reform and greater transparency in campaign finance. In parallel, private investment opportunities through firms like Alumni Ventures are gaining traction, offering accredited investors access to diversified venture portfolios. The election is also seen as a test of political accountability, with Republican leaders facing backlash over war in Iran and failure to protect service members. A growing public demand for transparency in political donations and digital platforms underscores a broader societal push for integrity. Ultimately, the coming months will be defined by voter engagement, geopolitical risks, and a demand for honest, responsible leadership.
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All right, let's bust into it.
We're officially 15 days out from Election Day, and early voting starts today in Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, South Carolina, and Texas.
Here are three numbers we're watching.
A new Ipsos poll puts Democrats up eight points on the congressional ballot.
The same poll has Trump's disapproval rating sitting at 66%.
There's also a new Wall Street Journal poll that finds Democrats aren't sold on a leftward shift.
In Ohio, Sherrod Brown is up.
Kalsha gives him a 66% chance of taking back the seat.
And in Michigan, Kalsha gives Abdul El-Sayed a 68% chance of winning.
Take us around the map here.
Thoughts on these recent poll numbers, Jess?
I'm like, where in the world is Carmen Sandiego for elections, Jessica Tarlow edition?
There were.
So many new polls that came out this weekend.
It was overwhelming.
The overarching message was that this was really good stuff for Democrats.
I'm going to spend some time in the Washington Post poll.
Trump's disapproval, like in Ipsos, at 66%, which is very, very high, especially going into an election.
You don't want to see that.
But probably the most important finding, and they did one of those big charts going through every issue that someone might be thinking about when they go in to vote.
So healthcare, education, cost of living, inflation, Iran.
They polled transgender issues, which I want to talk about, the economy, corruption, taxes, immigration, and crime.
Only one issue were Republicans up, and that was on crime.
And I have said this on the pod numerous times.
I talk about it at Fox regularly.
It is important.
Crime is one of the most important issues to people.
It's how you feel, right?
When you walk outside and you think of something.
Is something going to happen to me?
Is something going to happen to my kids?
I live in a big city.
So do you.
The idea that there's still toothpaste locked up at drugstores, that has, it weighs on you, right?
Where you think, like, you can't just walk in and go about your business as normal.
I don't think it swings the election, but I also don't think it's something to poo-poo.
And you have to pay attention to it.
But the fact that Democrats are up on everything else is enormously important.
You know, double on healthcare.
Huge margins on inflation.
Anything having to do with the economy, which is a very big deal.
But this transgender issues thing stuck out to me because they obsessively talk about it, right?
Like, trying to relive the Kamala is for they, them, you know, I'm for you ad from Trump at the end.
And Democrats with a nine-point edge when it comes to handling transgender issues.
And I think that speaks to two things.
One, the economy is so bad that people don't have time to be distracted by what they see.
It's kind of ancillary social issues.
Second piece of, yeah.
But the second piece of it is I think that Democrats have actually finally figured out how to talk about this issue,
which should not have been minimized as a nothing, right?
Just saying, like, I'm not even going to waste my time on this.
It was something that you actually had to have an opinion on.
You had to come out there and say, I understand there might be a biological fairness question in competitive sports,
but I will not let you trample on civil rights because of your bigotry.
And I feel like we've nailed, nailed it, like landed the plane there.
And that was exciting for me to see, at least as someone who talks to Republicans on the regular,
who are bringing up transgender issues.
So corruption, which will probably be the number one issue, if not the number two issue in this election.
It got to number one in the new Fox News poll, which has never happened before.
And this is a bipartisan problem.
And I was looking at the readouts from GOP focus groups.
And for the first time, they were hearing that when you because of the rise in gas prices,
that everyone's having a tough time economically.
The voters were pointing to, quote, corrupt politicians and billionaires,
which you expect to hear out of a Democratic focus group.
The focus on the billionaire class, the elites, the Epstein class, as John Ossoff puts it.
So you're seeing an across the board revulsion at the level of corruption.
In our political ranks, 72 percent of independents think Donald Trump is using the presidency to enrich himself.
And even one third of Republican voters feel that way.
So you have to land the plane with this because they do also think that Democratic politicians are corrupt.
But they are seeing the grift out of Donald Trump and his close associates.
And they're repulsed by it.
I'm just curious.
So Sherrod Brown, not a surprise.
It's a right state, though.
I mean, he's.
He's running a perfect campaign, though.
I just wanted to read.
He's so good.
Also, I thought it was hilarious how many people in Ohio still thought that he was the senator.
So people should pay more attention to their politics.
But there are these quotes from GOP consultants on John Husted, who's the sitting senator.
John Husted looks like a quarterback.
He talks like a quarterback, but he acts like a water boy.
And another one said, when the story is written on this campaign cycle,
Sherrod Brown will have run the best race in the country.
John Husted may have run.
The worst campaign in the country.
I don't know.
I would I would pick Tallarico and Paxson for best and worst.
So Ipsos with the Democrats plus eight with Trump at 66 disapproval.
That's not a head.
That's not a headwind.
It's a hurricane warning.
And this I mean, this is such an anxious time for us as Democrats, because it feels like
nothing less than a bloodbath is going to be disappointing.
Right.
It's now the expectation.
I've been literally up until two months, six weeks ago, the narrative was we're going to
take the House.
We're just going to try and get back a couple flip a couple of Senate seats.
Now, Kelsey is saying that the House 40 to 50 seats and a two thirds likelihood that
we retake the Senate.
And I look at the map and I think, OK, I I'm I'm more nervous about Maine and Michigan
than I think most people are.
What states are in play as of today that weren't just a week or two weeks ago?
Has anything all of a sudden gone to toss up that was leaning Republican?
Probably Kansas is the one to really focus on for that.
Reverend Hamilton is running an incredible campaign and Roger Marshall is stepping in
it.
He's having to feign interest in, you know, pulling back ice, for instance.
He has not landed the plane on economic messaging, though, in his defense, I don't know how you
would be able to do this considering the fact that he's not going to be able to do that.
The fact that the administration is causing a lot of this economic strife and Roger Marshall
is a vote yes on all of that.
So I would put Kansas as the surprise, though.
I mean, maybe I'm just, you know, Democratic bedwetter type, which I definitely am.
I'm not even thinking about 40 to 50 seats like I would like something, you know, too
big to rig.
But I basically think the Senate, you're in toss up territory, which as Democrats, that's
a good place to be.
if you're talking about states like Texas and Iowa and Alaska,
Alaska, which are supposed to be so red that you think you can't even get close. And now we have
some early voting trends, which I think are really interesting to highlight. So there was this big
panic because Michigan started and people were saying, oh, this is not looking good. Like we're
not seeing the Gen Z turnout that we would expect. We're not seeing patterns in past elections when
Democrats in Michigan have performed well. And Zachary DeNino, who I think is fantastic
elections analyst and modeler, made the point, which I think is important to keep in mind,
that he was drawing on specifically from Nevada for this, that the early voting trends suggest
that concerns about the USPS handling of mail ballots are changing how some Democrats vote.
So they're going and dropping it off, voting in person.
The comparisons to 2024 might get a bit fuzzy based on that. My anxiety about Michigan remains,
to your point, on Maine and Michigan. Early voting in North Carolina looks really good.
Day one of early voting in 2024 was D plus 1.7. Day one of early voting in 2026 was D plus 27.4.
Also, they're looking at where these low propensity voters are going if they're coming out and
voting. It is looking good in North Carolina and in Maine. Racial and geographic trends
are suggesting this similar pattern to Georgia, which doesn't do it by voter registration,
actually. So they look at demographics. And so Georgia early voting in 2024, day one,
30 percent Black, 2026, 36.6 percent Black. And the exception to all of the good news
is what's going on in Florida, where it looks like it could be even more heavily Republican.
So we're going to have to wait and see what happens. But I think it's going to be a lot more
Republican than in 2024.
Yeah. So one of the keys when we talk about early voting, the election isn't November the 3rd
anymore. It's a two-week window. And yeah, the window opened today. The polls are open today,
so to speak. My son, I got so excited the other night. I just recognized, I'm like,
oh my gosh, my son can vote. If you're like me and you think I haven't really given a lot or I've
benefited more, I've taken more than I've given, I think this is a really nice time to try and get
everyone in your family at least registered and just start talking about voting and reminding
people that voting has started. I was very interested in the Wall Street Journal article,
and I'm curious to hear your thoughts on Democrats not sold on a leftward shift.
My sense is, and I think the Democrats, I'm often very critical of our own party. I think the
Democrats have done a good job recognizing that Americans aren't asking them to go left or right.
It's asking them to go forward.
Affordability, confidence, and try and stay away as much as you can from the lectures.
And it's almost like absolutely go out there with our messaging, but everyone keeps talking
about a blue wave. I've said, this is not a blue wave. This is a red rib tide. I just think Trump
and gas prices are doing our work for us. And you have to show up, be thoughtful, not sound too
indignant or elite or get too caught in social issues. But just to talk about the economy,
affordability, and I think the Democrats have done a really good job of doing that.
And kind of hit it straight down, straight down the middle. Let's move on and start with the
Russia-Ukraine war, which I think is going to go down as one of the biggest stains in America
history, specifically our abandonment of a country that is fighting for the West right now with
absolutely no help from the U.S. or little help. Trump says he's waiving sanctions on Russia
because he's negotiating peace and doesn't want Moscow to walk away. That's after he signed an
executive order waiving new sanctions and tariffs required under the law he previously
signed. He's waiving sanctions on Russia because he's negotiating peace and doesn't want Moscow to
just two days before they were set to take effect. Meanwhile, Putin has proposed a meeting with Trump
and Xi Jinping next month to discuss Ukraine in a bid to negotiate an end to the four-year war on
terms favorable to Moscow. Trump has also criticized Zelensky for striking Russian oil
refineries, blaming the attacks for driving up diesel prices. Over the weekend, Ukraine launched
its biggest drone attacks against Russia this year, hitting an oil export terminal in St.
Petersburg. Jess, do we buy any of this justification from Trump on going back on Russian sanctions if
he agreed to previously? No, absolutely not. And we're not big Trump is a Russian asset
group. You know, that's I don't want to revisit 2016 in that sense. But he is doing absolutely
everything that Vladimir Putin wants. I am sure that he's sitting there in Moscow thinking, like,
I didn't realize I could get this lucky at this point. And the narrative around the oil issues,
being about Ukraine and just ignoring what's going on in the Middle East, like the Strait of Hormuz is
the problem. Zelensky is not at this point, and they have admitted as much. I'm just horrified
by all of this. The idea that Trump might consider, I mean, it's Putin's proposal. We'll
see if he says yes, but that he should stand shoulder to shoulder with Putin and Xi to talk
about Ukraine and you don't invite Zelensky to come or even a representative of Zelensky's government.
I hate the guy. And Zelensky has shown himself to be someone with an enormous amount of flexibility
about this. Call elections. When we can guarantee that people can get to the polls, that's fine.
He's not attached to being president in the same way that someone like Donald Trump is,
or certainly Putin, Xi, Netanyahu, who we also have to talk about. Like, this feels like really
getting to criminal stuff in the level of betrayal. Big op-eds, Wall Street Journal editorial board to
Russia would love, signed Donald. And they write, when the election is over, there needs to be a
bipartisan reckoning for Mr. Trump's budding alliance with the Kremlin against Ukraine,
Europe, and American interests. Andy McCarthy with similar sentiment in the National Review.
I get it that these are like normie Republicans and not whatever this
MAGA wing actually represents, but this is harrowing stuff, what we're doing to Ukraine
right now. Yeah, as Democrats, we like to think of ourselves as being more thoughtful and empathetic
of the side. I think Donald Trump, the president, and Elon Musk are traitors to the West. And I
really do hope there's a reckoning here. When we think about how many people have
risked or given their lives trying to ensure the safety of Europe, or how many Americans have died
at the hands of people who've been armed by Russia. If you think about the majority of
cyber attacks come from one place, Russia, if you look at the fact that
Tucker Carlson's engagement declined 72% the day after the Yandex server farms were
bombed in Russia, we are now allies with arguably the biggest threat to democracy globally. We've
decided to ally with them. And it's also, it's not actually, that's the wrong word.
President Trump has decided to ally with Russia. The American people are still very much on the
side of Ukraine. And we have minority rule right now, where our president, under the cover of
darkness, is coordinating or conspiring with Elon Musk to turn off battlefield technology that
results in the deaths of Ukrainian citizens. If they can't stay on the offensive here, they go on
the defense, and Russia is going to continue to take out civilian infrastructure and bomb civilian
targets. This is, what the Ukrainian army here has done is basically, they are NATO. They are the ones
who are fighting the West right now. And for Trump and Musk to ally with Russia and not give the Ukraine
any warning, they're turning off Starshield and Starlink, and then them pointing at each other
like the cowards they are. Oh, it's the government, it's President Trump. Look at him, talk to him. Oh,
I have no idea what happened. I do see the Republicans beginning to find their backbone
around this issue. I can't even imagine. I want Senator Rubio, excuse me, Secretary Rubio to
run for president, just so we can play all the clips of him talking a big game about Russia being
our enemy for the last 20 years. This was his signature foreign policy. Russia is our, not our
adversary, is our enemy. And now he's Secretary of State and has decided to ally with our enemy.
This is, in 2025, by 2025, we had over, the U.S. had over 6,400 sanctions on Russian entities and
drew more designations than Iran had accumulated in a decade. And Trump just waved the new ones
two days before they took effect on a law he signed. The entire West spent a decade building
a fence around Russia, and Trump is sneaking out to the fence in the middle of the night
and taking it off its hinges. In addition, it's just so incredibly ridiculous that
these imports are going to have any effect, other than to try and just say, hey, we're supporting
Russia and we want Zelensky to come to the table, which means surrender. There's no negotiating here.
When you, when you have a quote unquote, you know, Yalta-like convocation and you don't invite Ukraine
to the table, what you're saying is, okay, Ukraine's on the menu. I just love the notion they think
they're going to negotiate something without Ukraine at the table. You don't, in addition, you don't
negotiate peace by removing your leverage before the meeting. Any peace here has to involve one thing,
Putin withdrawing or,
significantly scaling back. And Trump is so fucking stupid. He thinks by emboldening
the aggressor, that's going to result in leverage leading to peace.
Right now, the Trump administration is not trying to negotiate a peace. It's trying to schedule the next war with a pause for Russia to rearm and then decide who they're going after next, Poland or Finland.
The Putin-Xi-Trump summit is just two autocrats and a guy who admires them deciding the fate of the Western democracy, whereas the real warrior at the table or hasn't been invited to the table, it's not a peace summit. It's a closing. It's absolutely insane. Any thoughts on this or the notion that he's blaming Ukraine for diesel prices?
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Hi, everyone.
I'm Kara Swisher.
And I'm Scott Galloway.
Twice a week, we get together on Pivot to sort through the biggest stories in tech, business and politics. And we're taking the show back on the road for a live tour in November.
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The Ukrainian people and the technology and their sophistication and their bravery
and the existential threat they feel with people invading their home and bombing their maternity
wards and their apartment buildings, they are absolutely motivated and they are winning this
war. And to not back the winner and send a message to Xi, think twice before you think about Taiwan,
to send a message to Putin and the next leader after Putin is kicked out, which I believe he
will be. I don't think he'll survive this, says, think twice before you invade the West.
So this is, I think him going on the offense, he's sort of unchained right now. I think Trump
always thinks he's negotiating in a vacuum. If you would draw your support for Ukraine,
they have less to lose by coming out and just blatantly saying, without U.S. support,
you may have the invasion of Europe, may happen here. This is probably going to happen. We are
doing our best. He is the church of our generation, Zelensky, absolutely no doubt about it. And I think
they're being very savvy in terms of the Western outlets they're going to. He's a good spokesperson.
He comes across as very sincere, very, very truthful, very likable. And I've got to be honest,
my favorite streaming video is seeing Russian refineries on fire. And the St. Petersburg
strike last night or two days ago was the gift of the weekend. And Ukraine just reminded everyone
it doesn't need permission to defend itself. The best negotiating leverage on earth
is a drone over your oil terminals. And I hope that they continue to register the same success.
And the fact that we are abandoning, this is literally no different than if we, in the middle
of, if in 1942, if FDR had said, you know what? Hitler's not that bad. He's not that bad. We're
going to start providing, we're going to start buying machinery and equipment and technology
from Berlin. How is that different? How is an autocrat who does not believe in democracy
going to be able to do that?
And it's so anti-West invading Europe. We have been to this movie before. So I'm glad some
Republicans are finally, you know, reaching down and feeling these two spherical objects between
their legs. And you can tell that Republicans have had it because all of a sudden, you know,
Trump, it appears Trump is backing down on this and he's saying, oh no, Musk throttled it back
and Rubio with his bullshit, oh, it just happened. Anyway, I'm hopeful here that this, that this in
fact,
is something that Trump is going to have to turn back. He's going to have to check back on his
support or his new alliance with Russia. Also the diesel just, the notion that this is anything
other than symbolism, it's seven or eight days of U.S. usage, one day of global usage. And your
point was exactly the right one. The reason diesel prices are at six, seven, eight bucks a share or
eight bucks a gallon in some regions is because of Trump's war in Iran.
It has nothing to do with whether or not we're able to get diesel out of Russia.
Russia to blame for Iran too. I mean, on every front, Russia is the problem. So like, why are,
why are we playing this game? I'm just happy to see that at least the voters seemingly are,
are seeing through this. And it's curious where Pete Hegseth is. I mean, I guess he's in the
corner because he doesn't get to live stream his execution of a paraplegic, but we have
not heard anything from the Secretary of Defense in quite some time when it comes to what's going
on in the war in Iran. But let's do the J.D. Town Hall because this was hot, contentious.
There we go. Here's VP J.D. Vance responding to a question at CBS News Town Hall in Michigan.
This one from a veteran whose wife was a soldier killed in March in Iran.
Though the Iranian drone was the weapon that killed my wife,
there were a lot of mistakes and a lot of fundamental failures that led up to that.
There's a failure in the leadership. And I want to know
how this administration is going to start holding those leaders accountable.
So, Joey, first of all, look, I owe and the whole country owes your family a debt of gratitude
that is quite literally impossible to repay. When you talk about failures that were,
that we were implicated, the administration, the Department of War, whoever you want to say,
was implicated in, I want to know about that stuff.
Because if there were failures, and I don't doubt there were, I just,
literally the first time I've heard of this is this conversation. And I want to fix that stuff.
Did you see the kid in the back row right behind him who was like,
it's the first time you're hearing about this? We also know that it is not the first time.
If he's just opened up any newspaper or gone on any website, he knows exactly
what attack this guy is talking about, where his wife died.
And the abject failure to protect them from drone warfare, which we knew was how the Iranians were
going to be carrying out a number of these attacks. You know, I thought that J.D. did his
best, like, I actually give a shit, but then ended on the completely unacceptable position,
which is actually the buck doesn't really stop with us. And I didn't even do the necessary
prep or will not be honest with you in such a way that, you know, I'm not going to be able to
you can walk away from this exchange thinking that I care at all. And historically speaking,
this is one of the more difficult conversations that a politician is ever going to have with a
constituent, right? When someone's loved one has died as a result of a leadership failure,
leadership failure, or even just something that happened. You know, people sign up,
they know if they go to war, that there is a chance that they're going to die.
But I thought that it was really poorly handled.
Everyone sent a message to the public with a couple weeks to go before their election day
that the administration is not taking this seriously enough. And they got us into a war
that it's going to go, I don't know, feels like past a year at this, you know, we're
well into October. No signs of it slowing down. And the Iranians know how much they're benefiting
from continuing to keep this going and that they have no answers for any of
it. I thought it was really disappointing and just sad to see someone ask you, you know,
a question for some real answer to their heartbreak. And that you say it's the first
time I've heard of this. Like you have a million briefers.
Like nothing exposes a talking point, you know, like a widower in the front row. And that is
policy and wars are in the abstract until they have a name. And one of the, I do think one of
the plagues U.S. foreign policy right now is that we're totally sequestered from the
ramifications of it. The homeland was attacked 25 years ago, but most of us didn't know someone
heard. No one was drafted. We've convinced the American public that, oh, we can max out your
credit card by going to war and cutting taxes. I mean, if we were at a minimum should have some
sort of additional wartime tax or something that helps everyday Americans recognize,
that wars come at a cost. And even if we outsource most of that cost to military families,
we have to do a better job of giving people a vested interest or feeling the pain
of war, if you will. I actually thought the vice president handled this about as well as he could
have. And that is, I mean, keep in mind, his predecessor was chased down by an angry mob at
the direction of his new boss with a noose. And he, and also, you know, I don't know if you've
heard of him. I don't know if you've heard of him. So supposedly in the, in the situation room, he was the one who said this is a bad idea
going into Iran. And yet he has to just tow the company line right now. I do think he came across
as somewhat empathetic here, but the reality, this will go down is the greatest geopolitical
mistake since the Iraq war, which may have bested the decision to go into Southeast Asia
in the sixties, which I think at the time, some people would say you could justify
this has been an enormous failure, not of intelligence, because supposedly the Trump
administration had the intelligence and there was an idea that we'd go in limited strikes
and see if we could topple the regime quick and easy. And if not, at least somewhat diminish their
Navy and their missile launch capacity kind of, I don't want to call it in out, but here we are
seven months later, no one anticipated or seemed to anticipate or Trump didn't anticipate the
problems in the Strait of Hormuz, did not secure it, did not coordinate with our Gulf allies. We've
to not get anyone in the EU on board. I mean, people forget when we expelled
Sodom from Kuwait, George Herbert Walker Bush got something like 47 or 60 countries to back him.
The last, when we had the JCPOA, the agreement with Iran under Obama, Iran and Russia were
signatories. I mean, they signed up for it too. We are isolated. We are doing things
unilaterally that make no mistake. We don't think about what's actually going to
happen here. And then Vance is kind of left there to just, I feel like right now he's the circus
clown scooping up the shit behind the elephant. There's not a lot he can say. What he could have
said, and I think at some point he will, at some point, and I'm curious, just politically,
if Vance wants to be president, especially if the midterms are as bad for Republicans as I think
they are, at some point Vance would be politically well-served to say something along the lines on,
look, there's certain issues I disagree with the president on. I'm his vice president. I will always
support him. But as has been reported in the Wall Street Journal, he and I had a robust discussion
over the decision to bomb Iran. At some point, he's going to have to distance himself. And I
don't, and quite frankly, I think politically it would be smart because, I mean, this is what,
this is how Vice President Harris, one of the many reasons she lost the election,
was her inability on The View to say, is there anything you disagree with Biden on? And she's
like, well, I can't think of anything. I wonder, and I'll put the question back to you, at some
point, does Vance or Rubio read the tea leaves and start to distance themselves from Trump? Because
at this point, I don't think Trump can fire either of them.
I don't think anytime soon. I imagine as we head into the lamest of ducks situation in the last
two years of this administration, perhaps as you get closer to 2028. But I would say, like,
if J.D. Vance doesn't, I don't think he's going to be able to fire either of them.
J.D. Vance doesn't want to be revelatory about the concerns that he has on these big issues that are
beyond the what happened to that man losing his wife, but that everybody in that audience knows
that cost of living is going through the roof because of decisions that the Trump administration
is taking, whether it's tariffs or the war in Iran. Like, why do the town hall that I don't
think that it helped the Republicans going into the midterms. It just felt it just fed the left
wing outrage machine and the feeling of being let down amongst traditional Republican voters.
I mean, that's their big battle right now with the couch, that they can't turn out the base
and that a lot of right leaning independents as well have responded to surveys just saying,
like, oh, I think I'm going to give it a miss this time. I don't think that anything that
J.D. Vance did sitting down on CBS for a town hall, besides making Barry Weiss happy, I guess,
you know, promoted his side or made him seem any more.
Presidential, if that's what he's going to be thinking about for twenty twenty eight.
In my view, but maybe I'm doing being too harsh about it, but I just I thought for someone who
is so clearly linked to a number of leaks to The Atlantic, to The Wall Street Journal,
to The New York Times, he's the leaker. I love that. He's the leaker in the White House.
Well, he you know, there are a bunch of them. Like, I don't know how Jonathan Swan and Maggie
Haberman got this much action from only one guy. So there are definitely more people in there that
are talking. But like.
He's definitely one, especially on the foreign policy front. And someone who came into this
wanting a more, you know, thinking America first actually meant no more stupid wars and that we
wouldn't be signing up for that. And so I just think that he could have smart guy. He could have
even gotten some more coded language out there to at least, you know, hold of a flag, you know,
a little bit of the white flag to that guy and say, like, this shouldn't have happened.
And I've heard about it before. You don't talk about dead service people and say, I'm the vice
president.
I never heard that.
Yeah. And just before we get to questions here, Netanyahu or Trump has endorsed Netanyahu.
And I'm, you know, imagine the reaction of a foreign leader endorsed in our midterms.
We used to call that interference. And, you know, now we call it a Tuesday.
We will reengage students, alumni and other members of our community to examine how we
preserve what is valuable about Greek life.
That was Cornell University's President Michael Kotler.
And he's a great friend of mine. And I think he's a great friend of mine. Cornell also says it's going to add experienced sexual assault investigators
to their police force. The question is, why didn't this happen two years ago
when the sexual assault at a campus fraternity was first reported? Or maybe the question remains,
why don't we just ban frats? We're going to ask on Today Explained from Vox,
available in your feeds Monday to Friday.
I'm Seth Matlins. And on this week's episode of Creator Destroy Reimagining Marketing,
my guest is Starbucks Global Chief Brand Officer,
Tressie Lieberman, who was hired after the company's drift from its core values and core
experience led to a 38% drop in its stock price and who spent the time since rebuilding what this
drift cost them and their customers. Tressie's mad honest about how convenience became so
dominant that coffee, craft, community and connection, the things that had justified
the brand's premium receded until the experiences felt totally transactional and the soul of the
company was heartbroken.
to find. Creator Destroy. It's a business show, a marketing show, and it's the show that argues
they've always been the same thing. From the Wisdom is Company and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
I'm Tressie Lieberman. And on this week's episode of Creator Destroy Reimagining Marketing,
we're going to ask on Today Explained from Vox, available in your feeds Monday to Friday.
Every food we eat needs to have an ingredients list. The same should be true for campaign
donations. And yet many wealthy donors never have their names associated with the candidates
that they're giving millions to. Voters, that's you and me, need to know who's supporting the
people we're voting for, because far too often, everything is not as it seems. This week on
Net Worth and Chill, we are calling out the failings of the FEC and the whole election
funding system as we delve into all things campaign finance. Listen wherever you get your podcasts or
watch on YouTube. And don't forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel. And if you haven't already,
go to youtube.com slash you're rich BFF. As someone who cares about Israel, I really hope
Netanyahu is kicked out of office. I think Netanyahu and Trump both share a lot. I think
they're criminals who are basically running to stay out of jail. At least I think Trump was in
2024. And I hope that for the sake of Israel, that they decide to make a change and have a reckoning
because they are losing on a lot of levels justifiably a tremendous amount of support globally
and I feel like Netanyahu has put a target on every Jew in the diasporas back through overly
aggressive actions, the idea of and on and on. Having said that, I feel like, okay, I don't want
to be a low rent version of Musk exporting political divisiveness. I'm not sure that
people in other nations or political leaders should be getting involved in other people's
politics. I don't think that Musk should be sending messages to the AFD in Germany of tomorrow belongs
to me. Unite white people. I mean, this doesn't. Well, remember Hungary? What we did that we sent
of top officials were openly campaigning for Viktor Orban. And I mean, if we're being honest
about it, obviously there has been below the radar intervention in foreign elections a lot
and in Israel under past presidents. But this is breaking the bank, what Donald Trump did here.
And the coded messaging in it, the threat,
essentially, to everyday Israelis that the U.S. will not stand with them against Iranian aggression
and against aggression in the region is what I'm really freaked out about. That these people were
going to go to the polls and what is it, 10 days from now? And they were going to be able to pick
who they wanted to based on looking at this long record with Netanyahu. And everyone expects that
it's going to be close. And it's hard to build a coalition like that, especially when you have
politics as messy as they are in Israel. And now they have. this extra thing weighing on them that Donald Trump is essentially saying,
I might not be there to help you guys out if you go with somebody else.
And you saw Bibi got, you know, right direct to camera. Oh, thank you, President Trump. You know,
we're in this together, et cetera, blah, blah, blah. It is an unholy alliance of the most
corrupt level. And I'm really freaked out by it, that people will not feel like they can go
and vote their heart or their conscience when they, you know, go to cast their ballot in Israel.
And I'm not surprised that he did it. You know, breaking norms and conventions is kind of his
business. But I think it's a really dangerous one. I wonder if the Trump endorsement hurts
more than it helps. I would assume. I don't know what Trump's popularity in Israel. I assume
it's similar to the U.S.'s. Any thoughts? Do you think this endorsement actually helps or hurts
Netanyahu? Well, I think for people who might be
kind of fence-sitters, I think that it helps, you know, folks who think that the last few years has
been mishandled, even though he had very high approval, you know, coming out of October 7th
and how he prosecuted the war. Obviously, there are enormous questions as to how well he actually
did that. I think it will scare some people into staying in line, but it'll also probably embolden
people who were thinking about going in a different direction, saying, like, I don't want to be with
Netanyahu. They'll be able to get rid of Trump, you know, in a couple of years. And maybe this is
just all too much. I don't know. I guess mostly I think it is wrong to do. And we'll have to see
turnout, you know, I guess is what we say about every election. Today's first day of voting. So
let's move to the questions, the Q&A, in our remaining time here. Question number one. Nikki
asked, Scott, as a Florida resident, will you endorse Angie Nixon? Yes, I'm officially endorsing
Angie Nixon. And guess what? I'm going to endorse her. And guess what? It doesn't matter. You know, I'd like to think that Florida at some point goes
purple. I don't see it happening. If Byron, what's his name? Byron Donalds? Donalds, yeah.
If he can be a viable candidate for governor, it means we're Texas. I don't, I just, I'm not very
hopeful. I'm going to vote for Ms. Nixon. This is, when you look at, Ms. Reid here is referring to
Rubio vacated to become secretary of state. The race really could be described as sort of money
versus momentum. And that is the incumbent is basically not doing a lot of press. She has
something like 12 times the amount of money. And Ms. Nixon is taking advantage of this sort of
surge on the left from the far left. I don't think she's a viable candidate in a general
election in Florida. I think that some people are getting, do get caught up in kind of this
let's call it progressive fever or someone from the far left. I think this is a candidate.
I thought, I don't even think she won the election.
I think Vindman lost it. I thought that guy brightened up a room by leaving it. It was the
Trump impeachment nostalgia tour, which is not how you run a Senate race. And to his credit,
he's now endorsed Nixon. I think she's a good woman. I think she is absolutely the wrong
candidate for Florida. I think she's going to get shellacked in what should be a blue tsunami.
But yes, I would much rather see her in office than Senator Moody. Your thoughts?
I'm excited about David Jolly. I just I don't think that it's going to happen. And the data
that I was talking about, about early voting trends at the beginning and an early voting
trend of a few days does not mean that this is how it's going to go. But I think it would take
a real miracle and hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars that it doesn't look like
we're going to be spending in Florida. You know, when you have states like Kansas,
where you're in toss up territory.
I think people are going to be looking towards that.
Yeah, I hate to say it. I don't think Florida doesn't play. I mean, I will vote for her. I got
my vote by mail. I'm going to do a bunch of virtue signaling and make an Instagram post about it.
But I don't I don't I think this is not. We'll see. Maybe, maybe, maybe, maybe the governor's
race. I don't know. We'll see. Let's go to question number two. Kathleen Dennis wants to know,
what can we do about Meta and Instagram, who obviously are messing with elections in our
country and in Brazil? I'm very, very concerned. And you also
see outages, you know, happening at opportune times that make you think like, oh, does someone
have their thumb on the scale here? I get that the of the headline that Meta paid the 17 billion
dollar settlement a couple of months ago, which was less than their Q2 earnings. But this is going
to take like a full court press from the government. And this has been one of the only issues
where there has been bipartisan outrage against tech companies.
And you're going to have to put together a massive coalition of Democrats and Republicans
who are willing to take this fight to Mark Zuckerberg and Meta and frankly, to all of the
folks that are in charge of these big tech companies, if anything's going to happen. But we
we don't have time, essentially. So it has to be too big to rig. You have to get there and vote.
Drop your mail off mail and ballot off by hand. If that's what you're doing, then you're going to
have to get there. And that's how you feel more comfortable doing it. But I'm deeply, deeply
concerned. And that Brazilian, the debate had some hilarious lines in it, but very concerned as well.
I wasn't trying to make it too light, but there was that that funny line about I want 100 percent
of the prisoners, including your father, which was a very good line. Yeah, this is you're right.
This is this is nothing's going to happen between now and the elections. I think one of our biggest
regrets about this age is we're going to look back and think with respect to social media, how did we
this happen to our kids and how did we let this happen to our nation? Just the level of infiltration
by bad actors again, see about conservative commentators. Misinformation fell off a cliff
when those Yandex servers were bombed. I don't even blame Russia. We perform psyops in different
nations, you know, promoting our interests and eroding the interests or eroding the interests
of our adversaries. They're just winning because we have these American tech firms that will cash
anybody's check are porous.
If you and it happens on both sides, if I say 25th Amendment, which I posted on Instagram,
implying that the president's unfit to serve to continue in office, it gets six, seven,
10,000 likes because a bot picks up that it's divisive and retweets it and or rethreads it
and promotes it. We are being we're not that divided as a nation. We're being divided by
bad actors who weaponize porous platforms who care about nothing.
But shareholder value and there needs to be structural remedies. I my remedies are age
gating antitrust and more accountability. I would like to see verified accounts. And I think at
some point there needs to be a law that says if you are not implementing the right amount of
technology and it's clear that foreign actors have weaponized your platform, you are liable
that that is a crime. And LinkedIn figures out a way to enforce identity for the most part.
They've got some bots, but it's not nearly as bad.
And the result is a healthier platform where there's real discourse. But Meta and its hundreds
of lawyers and its new heat shield, its new Sheryl Sandberg, Dina Powell will deploy hundreds of
millions of dollars in lobbying to ensure that even a guy like Senator Schumer had real concerns
about issues around legislation as his daughter worked at Meta at some point. So they have
basically bought off both Democrats and Republicans. And then you combine that with just a total lack of understanding among 95-year-olds around how
these technologies work. And you end up with what are the Trojan horses that are the size of Brazil.
When we unmask these bots, which we will, and we find out just how much influence,
much less the fact that a trillionaire can spend $300 million trying to weaponize these platforms
and support a guy impeached by his own party in Texas for governor. I flew to Arizona on Saturday
and did a fireside with Senator Mark Kelly, who's likely going to run for president. I asked him if
he were president, what's the first issue he would address? And he said, campaign finance reform.
And I think that's probably right. But it's not only campaign finance reform. There needs to be
structural remedies that sacrifice shareholder value of these companies in exchange for creating
a more honest dialogue on these platforms. Because I just don't think people realize how
when I put out something really incendiary, it gets a ton of likes.
Which means, oh, people like me. And I start getting more and more incendiary. And we move
further and further away from each other in trying to do something. Let's move on to question number
three. Harold Stamper asks, will it be end of Trump making crazy moves if the Dems take over
Congress in November? No, but it'll help a lot. A lot of people have been asking about what happens
if there's democratic control of Congress. And I would encourage everybody, and I'm sure folks who
are tuning into this live stream,
are very into politics. But go listen to Congressman Robert Garcia, who'll be oversight
chairman, talk about his plans for the next term and see where his priorities are. And look at all
the people who are going to be heads of committees, the Democrats, and what they're talking
about, because it's a good roadmap to understanding. And spoiler alert, it's not about impeaching
Donald Trump. So don't worry, we're not going down that road again. But some very good and
people that'll be in major positions of power. And I think all to the good. But Trump will lash
out. He will be like a cornered rat for two years straight. And he will pull on every and any lever
of power. This is part of, I've been having conversations with people about, well, we don't
have the Senate, or what happens if we lose this Michigan seat? If you're on the fence about Abdul
al-Sayed.
They're going to get another Supreme Court justice. That's what's going to happen. And Mike
Rogers is going to vote for Donald Trump's appointee. And that could be like an Eileen
Cannon. That will be someone wildly unqualified and young. And that is what this election boils
down to for a lot of people who might not be particularly enamored with your candidate.
So that's certainly how I'm thinking about it. And it's not because I'm a, you know, vote blue
no matter who, even if like I'm getting destroyed online for defending Abdul al-Sayed from Islamophobic
attacks, which I would do any day of the week. You're going to call him a jihadist. You can talk
about the Muslim Brotherhood. You're going to compare him to the Fort Hood shooter. Yeah, I'm
absolutely going to be defending him. But, you know, the stakes are enormous in this election.
Well, look, with Abdul al-Sayed, obviously we, or I won't speak for you, I disagree with him on key
issues, but at least we get to have a discussion with him. And I think that's going to be a big
with Mike Rogers. He's saying we shouldn't have a discussion. We have an autocracy that does that
that is an election denier. Last question. We've got to go really quickly here.
Devin wants to know who will replace Katie Zachariah. I think Scott Jennings. I think
that I Feel Stupider with Abby Phillips has created a monster and he's our new White House
spokesperson. You think we're going to have a boy press secretary under Donald Trump?
Yeah, he needs all he needs is a lot of surgery and some blonde hair and he's in. I don't know.
Blonde hair, dirty blonde. I think no press secretary for a while. I think they'll see how
the elections go and then figure out what the strategy is. But they do better with that rotating
cast that comes in. If you can't have Caroline Leavitt back, which they can at this point. So
I think it'll be a while until this happens. Susie Wiles, still the ice maiden that she
coordinated that Fox News interview to get Zachariah out is some dirty work.
We're going to have to leave it there. Thanks, Jess. And thanks to everyone for tuning in.
We'll see you next time.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The U.S. political landscape is shifting with Democrats gaining ground on key issues like healthcare, inflation, and crime, while Trump’s disapproval rating hits 66%.
Early voting trends suggest strong Democratic performance in states like North Carolina and Maine, though Florida appears to remain a Republican stronghold.
The Trump administration’s actions—such as waiving sanctions on Russia and threatening to cut off Starlink—raise serious concerns about U.S. foreign policy betrayal and support for autocratic regimes.
Meta and social media platforms are seen as key actors in foreign interference and misinformation, prompting calls for structural reform, accountability, and platform transparency.
Venture capital through Alumni Ventures offers accredited investors access to private, diversified venture portfolios, highlighting a growing interest in private market value creation.
A major political reckoning is anticipated as Republican leaders face growing criticism over foreign policy, war in Iran, and failure to protect service members.
Discontent over campaign finance opacity and lack of donor transparency is rising, with calls for mandatory public disclosure of political donations.
The upcoming election season is marked by high stakes, with shifts in voter sentiment, rising concern over misinformation, and a growing demand for accountability across all political and tech sectors.
Summary:
The political and social landscape ahead of the 2024 election is marked by a surge in Democratic momentum, driven by strong public sentiment on issues like healthcare, inflation, and crime. Early voting trends in key states suggest a potential shift in voter behavior, though Florida and Kansas remain pivotal battlegrounds. Serious concerns have emerged over the Trump administration’s foreign policy, particularly its decision to waive sanctions on Russia and cut off Starlink support to Ukraine, which many view as a betrayal of democratic values.
At the same time, social media platforms like Meta are under fire for enabling foreign disinformation, prompting urgent calls for structural reform and greater transparency in campaign finance. In parallel, private investment opportunities through firms like Alumni Ventures are gaining traction, offering accredited investors access to diversified venture portfolios. The election is also seen as a test of political accountability, with Republican leaders facing backlash over war in Iran and failure to protect service members.
A growing public demand for transparency in political donations and digital platforms underscores a broader societal push for integrity. Ultimately, the coming months will be defined by voter engagement, geopolitical risks, and a demand for honest, responsible leadership.
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Democrats are leading on key issues like healthcare, inflation, and the economy. Trump's disapproval rating is at 66%, and concerns about corruption and crime are rising. Early voting trends suggest stronger Democratic performance in states like Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, though Florida remains a potential Republican stronghold.
There is significant concern that Trump is aligning with Russia and undermining Ukraine by waiving sanctions and not inviting Ukraine to peace talks. Critics argue this betrays Western alliances and could embolden Russian aggression, especially as Ukraine faces ongoing attacks and defensive challenges.
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