The recent election saw voters express frustration over high gas and grocery prices, especially amid stagnant wages and persistent inflation. Job market data suggests a modest recovery in hiring, with forecasts projecting around 60,000 new jobs in October, helping maintain low unemployment and allowing the Federal Reserve to focus on inflation. However, the disconnect between rising prices and wages fuels public discontent, contributing to Democratic gains in Congress. In the stock market, initial gains after the election were quickly reversed due to investor skepticism about AI expansion and growing demands for data center regulations. Congress has limited tools to reduce oil prices, as they are driven by global markets and geopolitical conflicts like the war in Iran, which has increased crude costs significantly. While Congress can restrict war funding or delay approvals, it cannot directly influence oil prices. A recent federal court decision blocked construction of President Trump’s 250-foot Capitol arch, citing harm to local governments and questioning the administration’s claim of national security needs. Critics argue that Trump’s repeated construction projects lack legal justification and exceed presidential authority, especially without congressional approval. Experts warn that even after the war ends, fuel prices could take months or a year to return to pre-war levels due to supply chain bottlenecks and refinery overcapacity. These developments underscore a growing legal and political tension between executive initiatives and legislative oversight.
A sell-off, a race, the stock market's post-election gains.
Today, we get the latest report on how the job market is doing.
Prices are rising faster than wages, is hiring strong enough to keep the economy steady.
I'm Layla Faldin, that's Amartinez, and this is up first from NPR News.
Frustrations over high gas prices help Democrats win back Congress, but analysts say even if the
war with Iran ended tomorrow, prices won't come down anytime soon.
What tools do lawmakers have to lower prices?
At a federal judge temporarily blocked construction on President Trump's 250-foot arch-hours after
a panel approved it, how much the courts and a Democratic Congress limit Trump's plans
to reshape Washington.
Stay with us, who got the news, you need to start your day.
Rising prices and paychecks that are not keeping pace made for a combustible combination
in this week's midterm elections.
Voters took out their frustrations at the ballot box Thursday.
There was a similar route in the stock market.
We're joined now by NPR's Scott Horsley, Scott, so let's start with those paychecks and
the job markets, and we're going to get an update this morning, so what are forecasters
expecting?
Good morning.
They think the report's going to show that hiring picked up a bit in October after a pretty
anemic month in September, when employers added only 29,000 jobs.
Cory Staley is an economist with the Indeed Job Search website.
He says job postings on that side are up about 3% from a year ago, which could be an encouraging
moment for the October job count we'll get this morning.
So some signs that the demand for workers is actually a little bit stronger.
So I would expect that we'll see still a pretty positive number.
Today's reports expected to show that employers added somewhere around 60,000 jobs in October.
That's not what you would call robust growth, but it is enough to keep the unemployment rate
low.
And so long as that's the case, and the job market remains stable, the Federal Reserve
is able to focus its attention on fighting inflation.
Ooh, the eye word.
So what's happening with inflation?
It remains stubbornly high, which is a big reason for that outpouring we saw in this
week's election.
Usually notes that prices in September were up 3.7% from a year ago, while average wages
were up just 3%, ever since the war with Iran began, the workers have seen a real erosion
of their buying power, which is really frustrating at a time where gas prices are higher, grocery
prices are still high for many people.
These workers are losing ground right now, the longer it wears on, the more and more
they're going to fill that.
Oftentimes, the best way for workers to boost their pay is to switch jobs, or at least act
like they might switch, so employers pony up more.
Right now, though, we're just not seeing much turnover in the job market, so wages have
been relatively stagnant.
And until that changes, or inflation cools off, there's going to continue to be a headache.
Can you give us an explanation or understanding of what's going on with the stock market
this week?
It's been a doozy. Stocks soared on Wednesday as investors began to digest the results of
the election.
But by Thursday, digestion had turned into indigestion, and there was a massive sell-off
that erased the previous day's gains, and then some.
It started with computer chip makers, but it didn't stop there.
You know, investors have been questioning whether the artificial intelligence boom has
been overblown and needs to be scaled back.
Those doubts were amplified when voters across the country showed they want more restrictions
on data centers.
Now, what's the rest of the market doing?
It wasn't just tech stocks that took a beating yesterday.
All of the major market indexes fell at least 3 percent.
The tech heavy NASDAQ ended the day in correction territory, down more than 10 percent from its
recent high.
One silver lining is mortgage rates inched down just a little bit, although the rate
on a 30-year home loan is still north of 7 percent.
High mortgage rates have been a real drag on the housing market, however, because the
data center boom construction companies have been able to keep adding jobs, we'll have
to see if that construction hiring continues.
That's NPR's Scott Horsey.
Scott, thanks a lot.
You're welcome.
Voters turned out for Democrats this week in part because they were fed up by the high
cost of fuel.
But can the Democrats, soon to be in power, actually bring down gasoline and diesel prices anytime
it's soon?
Voters, energy reporter Willa Rubin is here to tell us in a news conference, right after
the election, Chuck Schumer, leader of the Senate Democrats, promised.
Promise.
That, quote, "relief is on the way so what can Congress do?"
Well, Congress can try to do some things to lower the costs around the margins, but it
can't do a ton to directly affect oil prices.
Those are dictated by a complex global market, and the increases this year were largely
linked to the war in Iran, which has driven up the price of crude oil.
A gallon of gas is about a dollar higher than last year, and diesel is about $2.50 higher.
The most powerful thing, A, that Congress can do to lower prices is to increase pressure
on the president to end the war.
Okay, so how is it going to do that?
Well, Congress can limit funding for the war.
They control the purse strings, after all.
They can hold back confirmations of new officials, past resolutions.
But remember, the president has veto power.
And in recent weeks, he sent mixed signals about whether he's going to escalate the war
or end it.
Now, there are some things that the president and Congress might all be able to get behind.
One idea the president floated the spring was to temporarily waive the federal gas tax.
And the current Congress has introduced several bills to that effect.
But waiving that tax would be small savings, about $0.18 a gallon, and it would mean less
money to do things like repair roads.
Is it that simple that if the war ends then gas and diesel prices get back to normal?
Am I just oversimplifying it?
No, so I talked to a couple of oil analysts, and they sketched out some scenarios for how
this would go.
The optimistic scenario is that if the U.S. and Iran announced a deal, market traders would
rejoice, and the price of crude could fall $15 to $20 in a few days.
The crude is not the same as the gas or diesel you buy at the pump.
Those are refined oil products.
So for those prices to recover, the whole oil supply chain has to recover.
So yeah, so for example, traffic through the straight-of-form lose has been effectively
throttled.
Ships have been running these long alternative routes to avoid it.
They'd all have to get back to port, resume their normal routes, and get oil to refineries.
analysts told me if things go well, it could take several months for gas prices to get
back to where they were before the war.
But here's a less optimistic scenario, analysts told me there could still be some hiccups
along the way.
I talked with Jaime Brito, he's the executive director of refining oil markets for Dow Jones
energy.
His take?
I don't want to say these, but expensive gas selling prices could be a new normal.
He says it might take a year after a piece deal for gas prices to get back to what we're
used to.
Well, that's exactly what I wanted to hear.
A year.
So what kinds of hiccups did these analysts warn you about?
Well, the war in Iran has been a big factor in global fuel prices, but it's not the only
one.
So, for example, the war in Ukraine, Ukraine has struck many Russian refineries, which make
diesel.
So there's less diesel coming to market, so diesel prices could drop more slowly than
gasoline prices.
Again, this is a situation where Congress can influence how the US behaves towards Russia
in Ukraine, but it can't directly intercede.
Here's another scenario.
Once the straight of Hormuzri opens, there could be a lot of ships trying to get in and
out.
All at once, there could be traffic jams or refineries have been running at super high
capacity this year, like 90 percent.
What if some need emergency maintenance just at the moment when oil is slowing again?
Those are all situations that the oil and shipping industries would have to handle, but
Congress can't do much.
That's NPR's energy reporter, Willa Rubin.
Thanks a lot.
Thank you.
A federal judge has blocked construction on President Trump's 250-foot arch in the
Capitol, at least for now.
The late night ruling came just a few hours after a federal panel approved the project
between the Lincoln Memorial and Arlington National Cemetery.
Now, reshaping DC has been a priority for Trump in a second term, especially this week
in the aftermath of his party's midterm defeat.
NPR's Rachel Treesman has been following this and joins us now.
What's the latest with the arch?
The battle over the arch really came to a head last night.
The National Capitol Planning Commission, which is packed with Trump allies, voted to approve
the arch after an absolute marathon meeting.
It heard from some 130 people overwhelmingly against the arch, but after about 9 hours,
the panel went ahead and gave it the green light.
The Trump administration had said it could start excavation work right after that.
But right around midnight, district judge Tanya Chetkin stepped in and blocked construction
for 14 days.
That's a win for the plaintiff suing over the arch that started as a group, including
Vietnam War veterans, and has expanded to include the governments of DC and Virginia.
Chetkin agreed that those jurisdictions would be harmed financially and logistically,
as soon as construction starts.
She also seemed pretty skeptical of the administration's argument that it doesn't need congressional
approval.
And it's sort of evolving motives for wanting to build the arch, especially its recent
claims about national security.
It's worth noting that the renderings that it submitted to the National Capitol Planning
Commission didn't include any details about national security.
Now the arch is one of many ways that President Trump has tried to physically change Washington
DC.
running, just how focused he's been this week on these construction projects, despite
an earthquake of an election, right?
It came up a lot this week before and after the midterms. Trump made his final midterm
pitch to voters on Monday from the reflecting pool where he mostly focused on his DC beautification
efforts.
Then he resurfaced the day after the election to show reporters around the White House
ballroom.
He talked up the marble floors and defended his priorities.
When I get criticized like, why are you working on the White House, I'm doing it because
the White House is the ultimate symbol of America and it's got to be pristine.
Then on Thursday, Trump signed a proclamation declaring the Oval Office a national monument.
It'll make it impossible for anybody ever to destroy this incredible space.
The order prevents future presidents from making changes without congressional approval.
And ironically, Trump hasn't asked Congress to sign off on his construction projects.
Yeah, and that's led to several court fights, including over the Kennedy Center and a municipal
golf course.
What's the bigger picture here?
Robert Weisman is the co-president of public citizen.
That's the nonprofit representing the veterans suing over the arch.
And he is one of many people that sees a through line between these projects.
He wants monuments to himself and he believes he's got the right to place them around Washington
DC without regard to the law.
Just last week, a different federal judge blocked the administration from major renovations
at East Potomac Park, the municipal golf course that Trump wants to redevelop.
That case escalated last month after the government cut down hundreds of trees with less than
a day's notice.
And it raised alarm bells for the plaintiffs in the arch case, too.
They said, East Potomac shows that the government can do a lot of damage in just 24 hours.
Courts are one check against the president.
The Congress soon play a bigger role with its new Democratic majority.
It could.
Several Democratic lawmakers are already talking about ways to block the arch, including
prohibiting federal funding from going towards the project.
And some are talking about looking into possible wrongdoing.
Democrat Jared Hoffman of California, who will likely become the head of the House Natural
Resources Committee, spoke at yesterday's meeting.
He warned the commissioners that anyone working to advance a project not authorized by Congress
is putting themselves at legal risk.
Here is Rachel Treesman.
Thank you, Rachel.
Thank you.
And that's a first for Friday, November 6th, I mean Martinez.
And I'm Layla Faldin.
Today's episode of Up First was edited by Raphael Nom, Carol Platoni, Carol Richie,
Mohamed Zavartici, and Alice Wolfley.
It was produced by Ziyad Butch and Nia Dumas.
Our director is Christopher Thomas.
We get engineering support from Nisha Hainis and Patrick Murray.
Our technical director is Carly Strange, and our executive producer is Jay Schaler.
Join us again on Monday.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The job market showed slight improvement in October with job postings up 3% year-over-year, suggesting stronger hiring demand despite a weak September.
Inflation remains high, with prices rising 3.7% while wages increased only 3%, leading to declining purchasing power and contributing to voter frustration.
Stock markets surged after the election but quickly retreated due to concerns about AI overhype and public demand for data center restrictions.
Congress lacks direct power to reduce oil prices, which are driven by global markets and the ongoing Iran conflict, though it can pressure the president to end the war.
A federal judge temporarily blocked construction of President Trump’s 250-foot Capitol arch, citing financial and logistical harm to local jurisdictions.
Critics argue Trump’s construction projects, including the arch and East Potomac Park renovations, violate legal norms and lack congressional authorization.
Analysts warn that even if the Iran war ends, gas prices may take months or up to a year to normalize due to supply chain disruptions.
Ongoing tensions between executive power and legislative oversight highlight a broader conflict over federal authority and public accountability.
Summary:
The recent election saw voters express frustration over high gas and grocery prices, especially amid stagnant wages and persistent inflation. Job market data suggests a modest recovery in hiring, with forecasts projecting around 60,000 new jobs in October, helping maintain low unemployment and allowing the Federal Reserve to focus on inflation. However, the disconnect between rising prices and wages fuels public discontent, contributing to Democratic gains in Congress.
In the stock market, initial gains after the election were quickly reversed due to investor skepticism about AI expansion and growing demands for data center regulations. Congress has limited tools to reduce oil prices, as they are driven by global markets and geopolitical conflicts like the war in Iran, which has increased crude costs significantly. While Congress can restrict war funding or delay approvals, it cannot directly influence oil prices.
A recent federal court decision blocked construction of President Trump’s 250-foot Capitol arch, citing harm to local governments and questioning the administration’s claim of national security needs. Critics argue that Trump’s repeated construction projects lack legal justification and exceed presidential authority, especially without congressional approval. Experts warn that even after the war ends, fuel prices could take months or a year to return to pre-war levels due to supply chain bottlenecks and refinery overcapacity.
These developments underscore a growing legal and political tension between executive initiatives and legislative oversight.
FAQs
Forecasters expect employers to add around 60,000 jobs in October, a slight improvement from September's 29,000 jobs. This steady hiring helps keep the unemployment rate low and supports the Federal Reserve's focus on inflation.
Wages have remained stagnant due to low job turnover. Workers are not switching jobs frequently, so employers aren't incentivized to raise pay, leading to a continued erosion of purchasing power.
Stocks initially surged on election day but suffered a major sell-off the next day, especially in tech sectors. Investors grew concerned about overblown AI growth and new restrictions on data centers.
No, Congress cannot directly lower gas prices. Oil prices are driven by global markets, especially the war in Iran. However, it can influence prices by limiting war funding or applying political pressure.
Analysts suggest it could take several months to a year for gas prices to normalize. This depends on global supply chains, refineries, and shipping routes recovering after disruptions.
A federal judge blocked construction of the arch for 14 days after a panel approved it, citing financial and logistical harms to local jurisdictions and skepticism about the administration’s justification.
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