AI's role in addressing climate change and power sector challenges is increasingly nuanced, moving beyond early overhyped claims of a universal solution. Experts like Priya Danti emphasize that AI is best deployed as a specialized tool—tailored to specific problems such as forecasting, grid optimization, or demand response—rather than as a generic, end-to-end fix. While machine learning enhances operational efficiency and enables real-time flexibility in virtual power plants, adoption is slowed by data silos, cultural inertia, and safety concerns in critical systems. The risks extend beyond technical failures to include cybersecurity vulnerabilities, lack of transparency, and systemic harms like cognitive offloading, which may reduce human expertise. Moreover, AI’s environmental footprint—especially in data centers—raises equity and climate justice concerns, particularly in water-scarce regions. Crucially, AI's net climate impact depends not on the technology itself, but on how it is deployed: if it accelerates fossil fuel extraction or polluting industries, the overall effect will be negative. Therefore, AI can only be a net positive if society aligns its energy and economic systems with climate goals. The AI for good movement now faces challenges in navigating misleading narratives, greenwashing, and misdirected investments, requiring a more grounded, problem-centered, and ethically accountable approach.
So I think the one narrative of like, here's a hard problem, like AI is going to just provide
an end-to-end solution to it, I think is often overly optimistic and I think ignores a lot of
the realities of deploying these solutions. The other fallacy is if we just kind of advance AI
generically, if we just like scale generic AI, then somehow like scaling large generative language
models is now going to kind of solve everything in the power sector. And we really do see that
these models don't kind of meet the requirements that you actually have on power grids and they're
not actually always the right fit for the problem. From Latitude Media, this is Open Circuit. I'm
Stephen Lacey. In the last few years, we've flipped from asking, can AI help us solve climate
change? And now we're asking, can AI help us solve climate change? And now we're asking, can AI
change? To how much worse will AI make climate change? And even more alarming, can we even keep
AI under control? It's easy to understand why enthusiasm swung so radically. A few years ago,
we were promised rapid breakthroughs in materials, a business model revolution, and a radically more
efficient energy economy. And all those things may very well happen, but many people feel like we got
hulking gas plants, higher electricity prices, and broken emissions promises instead. The real story
is nuanced. AI is working on a new technology, and it's working on a new technology. And it's working
its way into every corner of the clean energy business, across forecasting, product design,
resource dispatch, and more. And there are still researchers around the world who are advancing
these tools for the benefit of clean solutions. So what is the real story? Few people have thought
harder about both sides of this than Priya Danti. Priya is an MIT professor and co-founder of the
nonprofit Climate Change AI. She's a researcher focused on machine learning for optimizing the
power system. And back in 2019, she co-wrote a paper with a group of leading AI researchers
on how the technology can be used for climate. And they explicitly warned not to treat it as a silver bullet.
So now that we're in a totally different AI era, I sat down with Priya to talk about where AI is
delivering, why claims got so inflated, the backlash, AI risk, and how the AI for good movement has evolved.
♪ ♪
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Renew Home. We are at a pivotal moment. Energy demand is growing faster than the
economy. We're at a pivotal moment. farm somewhere, you actually want to know what the wind conditions might look like that time in the
future. And then now in the power sector, there's a bigger conversation now even than then about kind
of power system dynamics. So when you have more renewables and inverter-based resources, are you
seeing kind of difficult subsynchronous oscillations on the system or kind of your inverters doing kind
of weird dynamical things that have implications for the grid? And of course that, you know, when
we had the Spain blackout recently, that kind of became a big point of conversation. And there has
been some machine learning proposed for things like, you know, detection, control, and modeling
in this context, but we're still in the early days even now. And then the last thing I would say is
that now I think in the modern conversation, there's a lot more about where AI and machine
learning are maybe providing kind of better user interfaces or interaction with existing tools. So
you obviously hear today a lot about it.
agentic systems and trying to do things like stitch together. You have kind of analysis tool
one that outputs an output and you need to massage that output before putting it into another
analysis tool. In an ideal world, we would just develop nice power system software that has really
good data formats and APIs where these softwares could talk to each other more natively. But I
think in filling that gap, we've definitely seen at least now this kind of agentic systems and kind
of user experience style AI that we definitely didn't talk about back in 2019. And over the years,
I've been really paying attention to how this gets adopted in a business context, right? And so when
you bring these technologies out into the real world, there's so much friction in the energy
systems. In the energy system, it comes down to how organizations operate, comfort level, change of
culture. Again, there's a lot of risks in the power system and also risks around data sharing.
There's just so much friction in the system.
Has the pace of adoption met or fallen behind your expectations over the last six or seven years?
I think it's been about as expected in the sense that I think these like forecasting,
monitoring, and predictive maintenance style applications are definitely getting,
you know, are very maturely deployed. And I think there's more to do in the sense that I think
data sharing between entities becomes a bit of a bottleneck sometimes for like
how high of quality the data is.
And what volume of data you can put into your monitoring technology if you have these silos
between different utilities and different industries. But I think barring that, we are
seeing those deployments. Whereas for grid optimization, things in sort of safety critical
settings, that has been much slower. And I think that was anticipated in the sense that there's a
lot to sort out, not just on the technology side, but also as you're mentioning in the deployment
context, kind of when you are kind of putting a new technology into kind of a, an, um, a
fast moving or automated system. And you know that even in our current context, the answer that
your algorithm puts out may be imperfect because maybe the input it got about what the state of
the grid looked like is imperfect, or maybe the algorithm itself didn't output something properly.
What do you do and what system do you build around your algorithm to make sure that the overall
system is behaving as desired? I think that conversation is longer running and you sort
of see it reflected then in the adoption curve of AI algorithms.
In that context, you were really careful in this 2019 paper to, uh, make sure that people
understand that AI machine learning is not a silver bullet for climate solutions. When this
gets out in the world, the narratives get shaped. I think a lot of people do make pretty grandiose
claims about how AI is going to be a climate savior. I'm curious about how much you think
the hype has actually outrun the, uh, technical capabilities.
And where have you seen the most hype? I, I continue to think that AI can be
a very kind of helpful and like useful accelerator of climate and energy solutions.
But I do think a lot of the hype tends to center around kind of two specific narratives. One of
which seems to suggest that somehow AI is an end-to-end solution to these problems. Like AI
will, because it's solve fusion, solve grids. And these are complex systems where kind of AI
algorithms are usually playing like a particular kind of role. And I think that's a really good
piece of that. And you then have to integrate that piece into a broader system. Like even if you
have, um, an AI algorithm for forecasting, you still need to figure out how you're going to use
that forecast. Or if you have an AI algorithm that allows you to do scenario generation of
kind of extreme event, extreme weather, you might see because of shifting climatic conditions,
somebody in the grid operator has to believe and care enough to plan against those conditions in
order to do something. And I think that's
something. So I think the one narrative of like, here's a hard problem. Like AI is going to just
provide an end-to-end solution to it, I think is often overly optimistic. And I think ignores a lot
of the realities of deploying these solutions. The other, I think is that if we just, the other
fallacy is, um, if we just kind of advance AI generically, if we just like scale generic AI,
then somehow like all of our problems are solved, like kind of scaling,
large generative language models is now going to kind of solve everything in the power sector.
And we really do see that these models don't kind of meet the requirements that you actually have
on power grids. And they're not actually always the right fit for the problem. So for example,
now this is zooming out to kind of AI for climate change as a whole, looking at the kind of
publications in the climate change AI workshop series that we hold at the machine learning
conferences, like over the kind of, you know, years that we've held them over the seven years,
only like six to 7% of those submissions are in the area of natural language processing,
which arguably is like a reflection of only a small slice of problems in these sectors are
really NLP problems that then like a kind of a large language model style solution in natural
language processing would be well-suited to address. So what about the rest of the problems
that are not those? I think these two kind of types of hype of like end-to-end solutions and
somehow like scaling generic technology has kind of all of these benefits for the power grid are
basically like very overhyped. Whereas I continue to believe in, I guess, approaches that really
start from the power grid problem. Like we have a hard problem, like how do we optimize a grid
at scale with a lot of renewables? We have problems like how do we think about uncertainty
over long planning horizons? And when we,
we kind of develop methods that are really informed by the problem, I think you start to
both get beyond the hype and really get at the heart of what's hard, both from the methods
perspective and from the deployment perspective. Yeah, that's so interesting. And I'm kind of
curious about what you're seeing in large language models in general purpose AI. I think it was back
in 2017 when Dario Amadei wrote this piece called Big Blob of Compute. And it was really foundational
to how a lot of the AI labs think about scaling intelligence. They were,
you know, focused, you know, open AI initially was focused on more specific models. And then they
realized that, like, you should just throw a bunch of compute at it, focus on a generalized
model, and it will get smarter about everything else. And that will lead you to super intelligence,
and it will be good at mathematics and scientific research and language and whatever. And so we see,
we have seen these models improve greatly. But it sounds like what you're seeing is that the
specialized models are still much better at these tasks in, say, the power sector. So do you see,
like, more general purpose AI starting to have a greater impact in this space?
It's a great question. And I think also here, there's, like, maybe also even, like,
two different definitions of general purpose AI I might kind of pose. One of which is, like,
I think what the frontier labs are shooting for, which is, like, AI that can be used,
like, in any context, like, kind of do anything. And there, I think you can see,
these models have undoubtedly gotten much more powerful. But you can also see some steering in
the sense of, like, when these models have been developed, there have been, like, some domains
that maybe it was thought they would be good at that haven't happened. And yet things like
coding and mathematical proofs, they sort of have seen a lot of progress since you sort of see,
okay, now we're going to focus on that. So even this notion of these models are going to be good
at everything, I think they, we don't know what we don't know. It's possible they'll also be, like,
really good in domains that they haven't panned out in yet. But there's been a little bit of, like,
a moving. sort of application target a little bit in terms of kind of where the focus has been based on what
has actually been good. Whereas I would say the other definition of general purpose I would give
is, like, imagine that you're in the context of, like, power grid applications, but you want to
understand whether, like, can I develop a model that can do power flow and optimal power flow,
like multiple types of power grid tasks, or that can work across grid A, grid B, and grid C,
without having to be retrained across all of those different grids. There, I think there's definitely
been kind of effort to kind of create what have been called, like, grid foundation models, for
example. And I think it's not clear yet kind of which paradigm of, like, kind of train a more,
like, general purpose model across different power grid tasks and grids versus train task-specific
models for these, for an individual task or an individual grid. It's not clear yet kind of which
one will win out. I would say right now, I think it's going to be a little bit more difficult to
right now, training a task-specific model for a particular task on a specific grid,
you're going to get the best model for that particular task. Like, a general purpose model,
even in the context of power grids, doesn't necessarily zero-shot general.
visualize well to that particular task in context. And even when you fine-tune these models,
they don't always reach the performance of whether when you kind of just trained a specific model for
that task. That may change, but I think in the context of general purpose, if I had to say like
maybe there's one general purpose direction that I think could maybe win out a little bit on power
grids, but it's a bit unclear. I think it's just like general purpose models for power grids.
But again, I think it's nuanced in terms of when those will be better versus task-specific ones.
I think we don't know.
Earlier, we met Paul Hines, Energy Hub's chief scientist. His team develops a machine learning
that orchestrates 3.6 gigawatts of virtual power plants.
When you see a utility using algorithms that we wrote on the whiteboard running 250 megawatt
events, I think that's pretty amazing. Utilities need capacity they can deploy
now.
And they're finding it in virtual power plants, which are precise and configurable.
I've got customers that have time of use rates. We need to make sure we respect that. I need to
pre-cool during these hours. Maybe there's some hours that have a lot of solar power,
so let's make sure that we soak up as much of that solar as we can. But I need to really
manage my peak during this other period of time. And so figuring out how do we take all those goals
and then come up with schedules for all the resources, whether it's batteries, thermostats,
electric vehicles. Energy Hub maps that evolution through a four-level,
maturity curve. Level one looks like traditional demand response. At levels three and four,
a VPP is a real-time resource that can meet many different needs on the system.
It's actually better than a power plant because you're able to solve problems in the distribution
network, which is where a lot of the cost is right now. You're able to solve problems in an
automated way, whereas power plants actually are fairly slow to respond to issues. It's the future
of how the grid operates. And we just need to connect them in the right ways, give them the
right algorithms.
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I want to talk a little bit about the consequences of this technology out in the world. We're
obviously at a very different place within the AI safety conversation right now. This summer,
we saw a lot of big stories coming out of the AI labs, the most prominent one being
agents breaking out of OpenAI's sandbox and hacking.
A lot of websites, they since revealed that there were hundreds of other
hacks that they didn't catch while training the model.
You have talked a lot about consequences for the power sector. In the past, you and I
chatted on stage at our Transition AI conference, and you expressed concern that if something goes
wrong on the power sector, we won't be able to interpret the thinking within the model,
and you might not know who to hold responsible, for example. So as we get more concerned about
the safety of AI, we're going to have to be more careful about the safety of AI.
In terms of large language models, are there any scenarios that you're worried about in the power
sector within the models that you're working on? Could we see a similar problem, just in a
different system? And I think there are a couple of concepts that it almost
makes sense to untangle here. So there's kind of interpretability and explainability. So can you
understand the mechanisms that led to your output? And then can you explain post-talk why a decision
was made? And then kind of in parallel to that, can you explain the mechanisms that led to your
you have like safety, verifiability, and alignment? So can you guarantee a particular behavior or
provably verify whether it happened or not, or kind of align models to do the things that you
kind of want them to do? And I think these kind of play slightly different roles, though they're
both important. Like in the context of the open AI hack, for example, some might argue that the
models have explainability mechanisms built into them in the sense that you can see the like language
the kind of language outputs of these models as they kind of reason through what they're supposed
to do. But you still had the break, right? And so I think there there was like an alignment issue,
right? Like find a solution to this exploit gym benchmark and, you know, not realizing that doesn't
mean don't break laws and cybersecurity protocols to do it. And also like definitely a lack of
appropriate like cybersecurity protocols that were in place. Like there wasn't air gapping,
there weren't tripwires, there weren't all of these kinds of
things. And so in the context of power systems, I think I'm less worried about this in the context
of like if we train a specialized model for or like a general purpose model even, but if we train
a model for a particular task, like, you know, do a demand forecast given this input, given this
output, like here's a demand forecast or learn a surrogate, an approximation for AC optimal power
flow. Like here are the inputs to AC optimal power flow. Here are the outputs to AC optimal
power flow. There we're specifying like a very specific input output behavior and asking the
model to learn like a very specific function. And so there are some of these risks around like
alignment don't come into play as much because you're asking the model to do something like
quite specific. And in the context of power grids, I think that's where we
are likely to go. We actually want kind of individual components where we kind of
know what their function is. We know how to verify the behavior and we kind of know what the desired
input output mappings look like. Whereas this idea of like kind of getting a generic agent onto the
grid and saying like, oh, optimize it. Like we wouldn't want to do that. Right. I mean, and there
you could see risk of misalignment. Like what's the best way to minimize the cost of power generation?
It's to shed all your load. Right. So like I but I don't necessarily see that as actually being a
realistic scenario for how we would actually deploy AI agents into power grids. I think I really see
that as a more specific like forecast demand, kind of learn about approximate solution to ACO-PF
in places where then we can kind of also use these more targeted notions of verifiability
and interpretability where we're like really inspecting the internals of the models and
maybe like building mathematical specifications for what we expect an output to look like.
Yeah, that's really helpful for you to distinguish between interpretability and alignment.
Have you heard anybody like at the labs
talking about using these general purpose models to run the power grid, for example,
or other critical systems? Like, is that a line of thinking within that world of AI?
As far as I know, no. I think even the kind of folks at the kind of, you know,
tech companies I named earlier that maybe are working on these these topics, it
feels like it's much more these like learn an approximation for optimal power flow,
like learn a demand forecast, like much less like throw an agent at the grid. And even in the
context where we talk about like agentic systems for power grids, it is much more like,
can we chain together analysis tool A and analysis tool B to better talk to each other
so you don't have to manually reformat inputs every now and again? And so I think on the side
of people who are developing AI for power grids, kind of regardless of the context,
I definitely see it being much more that like there's a particular problem that
we're trying to somehow approximate or move more quickly on. There have, however, been
— oh my gosh, I'm going to forget the name of this initiative — but there was an initiative
kind of coming out of the Frontier Labs in the, I think, the wake of the Hugging Face attack,
which basically said, you know, should we actually be giving access to more industries,
some of these frontier models, so they can use it for the purposes of cyber defense?
And I think that my understanding is that the power sector was used as an example.
And I think that the power sector was used as an example, at least in that context, of like,
if somebody is trying to impose a generic cyber attack on the power grid, are there ways to kind
of make sure that power companies have access to these frontier models for the purposes of
cyber defense? But I think it's much more about these generic worries about cyber threats and
maybe that kind of thing becoming easier with some of these models rather than someone who's
working on the power grid suggesting that we deploy very general-purpose agents onto these to do kind
of whatever they want.
How have you evolved on safety generally? As I can tell,
tell you that over, you know, over the last five months or so, I have become more freaked out. And
I wouldn't say that I am someone who is really concerned about extinction risk, but to see that
the safety mechanisms are breaking down inside these companies, we're in this rapid commercial
arms race where there's no incentive to truly slow down. Are you more worried about risk? And
where do you fall on the risk spectrum? Yeah, so I likewise, I'm sort of not like a kind of
existential risk worried kind of person. I definitely still kind of worry about some of
the things I kind of have been worrying about for a while, like bias and fairness and privacy
violations, and even just things like AI accelerates the systems we deployed. And so if
we develop it in kind of bias systems or systems that have unintended harm, that gets accelerated.
I am kind of more worried about cybersecurity attacks. And I think it's interesting to follow
the public narratives on these, right? You almost have one side that's a bit like,
oh, like, these models are really powerful. And so all you have to do is align them
in order to like, prevent this. And kind of others being like, there are also just like
common sense cybersecurity things that should have happened, like air gapping, like, when you see a
bug in the system, or you see a bunch of files being generated, you don't just go, oh, that's
weird, delete them and kind of move on. Right? Like you kind of have some protocols in place to
inspect these. And so I think this
combination of things and like, as you're saying, this like arms race we're in, I think there's a
lot less care around things like cybersecurity than I think there should be. And I do worry
about it's like, almost less the technology itself, but like the human systems and the
culture we'll be building around these systems to not necessarily be careful in the in the ways that
we should be. And I think another big thing that is definitely on my mind is, we're definitely
seeing the way that these sort of AI systems,
or general purpose AI systems are being developed, I think is leading to worries of a present and a
future where we're doing a lot of cognitive offloading. Like there was something really
funny I saw on Twitter the other day where someone was like, man, like I wanted AI to like, you know,
help me unload my dishwasher so that I could do more spend more time on math proofs. And it looks
like we're going the other way. Totally. And yeah, and I think that we're seeing these implications
in education where like, it's so much,
easier to like GPT your way through like an assignment and to like reduce friction. But
friction is what helps you learn. It's like what helps you become more capable. And I struggle that
I think, and there are all these studies that show like, that are starting to show that the kind of
when you have like people with already really deep expertise use things like large language models to
accelerate progress on tasks that they become more effective. But then you also have like a whole set
of people who become less effective, who become less effective, who become less effective, who become
less effective, or like less knowledgeable, because maybe they didn't have the baseline
expertise. And yeah, I basically worry about these systemic effects where we're making ourselves like
much less expert by virtue of offloading cognitively a lot of things to these tools. And then as a
result, like productivity games that we're seeing from people who build expertise before these LLMs
existed, like those won't exist in the same way in the future. So I think all of these things about
what it means to think what it means to be human, what it means for society to be intelligent,
like that actually is on my mind.
quite a lot these days as well.
I want to go back to this commercial race that we're in the middle of right now. You know, we're
building these models, and the infrastructure at a ridiculous pace. What worries you about the
trajectory we are on, either with the infrastructure or with the models themselves?
Yeah, so I think there's there's two big things I'm worried about. One of them is consolidation.
So I think as we kind of push towards this world where we're kind of
being
convinced through public narrative, and also through where investment is going, that we should
have kind of these bigger models, which fewer and fewer entities have the ability to actually even
develop, that fewer and fewer entities are controlling. And then these narratives around
it's so dangerous that only we should do it, right? I think that really leads to this consolidation,
where you get, you're seeing these like advances on things like coding and math, right? You see
these advances on this particular set of things.
But like, not all problems across society are being served by those narrow advances. And so there
can be this like, almost like, pull away of funding and capacity from making like more
problem focused progress. Like if we were to be like climate and energy are the most important
thing, what would we build? And consolidation means that there's like less heterogeneity in
what people are exploring in this respect. And also, it's it's sort of, it's generally like
antithetical to, you know, democratization, and kind of this idea that really, like, in order to
make progress on like diverse climate and energy problems across the world, where there are
different contracts, context, different data realities, etc. We need to be kind of equipping
more people with knowledge, we need to be creating more high quality data in various places, because
both task specific and general purpose models don't do well in situations that aren't well
represented in in their data.
So there, I think, starts to be this like investment away from building knowledge from
building ground truth data, from empowering more people. And I think the result a little bit is that
you actually get like, crappier solutions for things that you really needed very good solutions
for. Because your general purpose model might be kind of good at many things, but it's not really
good at the one thing you really needed to be really good at, unless we've chosen to focus our
resources there.
So I'm really worried about Yeah, essentially, that that capture of values that kind of homogenous
thinking, homogeneity of where the field goes in a world where we have so many heterogeneous
problems to solve. And then the other thing along with that is I think that I worry about
maybe the extractive nature of this. So for example, like, with some of these, like AR
for math results that we're seeing where there are lots of proofs going out into into the
world, I think like, there's definitely a lot of debate and tension around, you know,
have some of these results been stolen? Or, you know, have some of these results been
stolen? Are they attributed properly? Are they actually correct? But even in a world where
like, those are gone, this question of like, you need generally, like people who are mathematicians
to articulate, like, what are the interesting problems to solve, and also on the other side,
be able to like, check whether problems are good. And in this world where like, a lot of AI for math
results are going on, there's a lot less motivation to be that person who like, dedicates a bunch of
your time and education to solving problems. And so I think that's a really good question.
to like, getting a PhD in math, to be then your job be like, check the outputs of an LLM.
So I think there's these like, almost like, this extractive nature where it's like, we do this one
thing, and then like the whole ecosystem around it collapses in a way that that ecosystem then
doesn't exist anymore. And I just, I'm not sure that we're really cognizant of like, some of the
systemic implications of this, like very fast, like narrowly focused progress either.
Yeah, it's interesting. And it's very relevant this morning. I mean, OpenAI just really,
at least a bunch of examples of the models making huge progress on millennium math problems. And
some mathematicians are saying that like, this would, if a person did this, it would be Nobel
Prize winning work. And I know that the mathematics field is very split on this. So very interesting.
What about the data center build out? What do you worry about there? I mean, I'm sure that you hear
a lot about this when you say you work in AI, everyone's focused on data centers. What are your
worries about the cleanliness of this industry, about how we're doing data center build out?
Is this something that's on the mind of AI researchers like yourself?
Absolutely. And I think like, yeah, generally, right, like, of course, building like AI and
data center infrastructure comes with its sort of energy use implications, it comes with hardware
and kind of minerals extraction implications, water implications. And I think the challenge here,
is that the effects are often very local, right? Like when you have kind of, you know,
water use in water scarce regions, it's the people in that region who really suffer,
or when you see changes in electricity prices, you see people in that region really suffer.
And this brings, I think, in some sense, a debate that's not new around climate justice
and climate equity, and basically how we as a society have screwed over various individual
over the years in the name of like macro level progress. And that does not sit well with me. I
think this is something that is really not great. And I think we really need to contend with,
in addition to the fact that I think the macro level progress, and I think the narratives around
the macro level progress are also disingenuous sometimes. So yeah, again, this fallacy of like,
if we just grow data centers and train generic AI general purpose models, like climate will be solved
we've talked about, I don't buy that claim or believe in that claim. And I think the types of
AI you build, like, AI is not a silver bullet, as we've talked about. But even in the context of
climate where you use AI, the type of AI you build often looks like very different. And then the type
of AI that's generic, and even just to give a given example, the so the kind of energy use of
a model is kind of correlated, right with the number of parameters within that model that you're
during training and kind of using during the inference and use of that model. And some of the like,
biggest like AI for climate models that exist are models that kind of approximate climate models
that try to provide like a fast approximation to your climate model. And those models are usually
like 10 million parameters, maybe 100 million parameters at most. They're not like a trillion
parameters as kind of the next generation of kind of general purpose frontier models is proposed to
be. And that's because the size of the model is often proportional to the size of data you're
putting in. Like the amount of climate data and climate modeling data we have is nowhere near
the size of the data on the internet. So I think also there's this conflation around like,
oh, but like general purpose stuff can be good, but it's not the same general purpose stuff. It
doesn't have the same model size. And so it's like this combination of like basically kind of
leaving certain communities behind and then being really disingenuous about what the impacts are,
like the positive gains on the other side, like all of that does not sit well with me.
I'm curious about how this plays out within the AI research community. I think we have this
understanding of sort of two sides of this, the accelerationists and the doomers, right? That's
how it's often portrayed. You're within this community of folks who are working on AI for good,
for solving lots of big, hairy problems for humanity and for the planet.
How do you see the spectrum of how AI is viewed within the community? And how has the AI,
for good community evolved in this moment when it's, you know, people are really,
really hostile to AI or people just think that we should hit the accelerator no matter what?
Yeah. And of course the AI for good community itself is very heterogeneous. So this is also
like in some sense hard to answer as a blanket form, like as in any community, you definitely
see some people basically kind of running it and being like, okay, well, these tools are being
developed. Like how can we best leverage them for, you know, for, you know, for, you know, for, you
know, for good things and others that I think maybe are worried about some of the kind of
systemic implications of not just the technologies themselves, but also maybe the misleading mental
models that somehow the way the narrative is shaped out have led to. So because there is so
much like when you now kind of run into a generic person and you talk about AI, they think AI is
this point about like heterogeneous ways of approaching the technology in order to serve
different applications. I think that causes like investments to go in the wrong places.
I think it leads to some amount of kind of greenwashing, like can we work on AI and then
justify it via climate benefit, which is like not the right viewpoint in terms of like if you care
about climate, it's more about like how do we align society's overall activities around like a climate
positive future.
So I think basically it just becomes a bit difficult to navigate kind of a landscape where you're having to disentangle so many mental models that are driving where money goes, that are driving how people perceive your work. So I think it's just, it's complicated. It's become complicated to navigate the space, certainly.
And where have you landed? Do you still think that AI can be a net positive for the environment?
So actually, it's funny that you say still there too. So in some sense, I think, I think AI can be a net positive for the environment.
I think AI can be a positive for the climate. I think AI could be a net positive for the climate if we align our overall societal activities to be net positive for the climate. But fundamentally, AI is an accelerator of the systems it is enacted in. So if we as a society are still in like a primarily fossil fuel and polluting kind of system, AI is going to disproportionately accelerate that and be net negative for the climate. So I think I continue to basically think it's like it's sort of not about the AI.
Exactly here, like the, there was this really nice analysis by Alpine et al in NPJ Climate Action, where they actually, they modeled AI as like basically providing productivity shocks within an energy economy model where you're basically like, okay, imagine that AI translates to like more productivity for renewables or more productivity for oil and gas. And they basically found that like, even if you had a lot of progress on AI for renewables,
if you had even a modest amount of productivity shock towards AI for oil and gas, then the net impacts were negative in the sense that there were more emissions being produced, which kind of emphasizes this point that it's like, if we keep using AI to accelerate not great things, then of course, the impact of AI will be net emitting.
Yes. And that acceleration in oil and gas extraction with the use of AI is definitely happening.
It's real, right? It's like huge. And so I think it really comes down to both.
Like, are we really serious as a society about like aligning our activities overall towards climate goals that includes AI?
And I think that the answer to that question is sort of what dominates like whether AI is net positive or not.
Well, it's really good to talk to you, Priya.
You're one of the great minds in this space.
And thanks for your contributions.
Really great to talk to you.
Likewise. Really great to talk to you too, Stephen.
Thanks for having me.
So if you're liking the show, be sure to subscribe.
Thanks a lot for being here.
I'm Stephen Lacey.
We'll catch you next week.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
AI is not a silver bullet for climate or power grid solutions and often overhyped as an end-to-end fix.
Specialized, problem-informed AI models outperform generic large language models in power sector applications.
Real-world deployment faces friction from cultural resistance, data silos, and safety concerns in safety-critical systems.
Interpretability and alignment risks are lower in task-specific models but remain critical for trust and accountability.
AI for climate benefits depend on societal alignment with decarbonization goals, not just technological advancement.
Rapid AI development risks consolidation, extractive practices, and inequitable access to data and expertise.
Data center expansion and AI training have significant environmental costs, especially in water- and energy-scarce regions.
The true environmental impact of AI hinges on how it accelerates fossil fuel or clean energy systems.
Summary:
AI's role in addressing climate change and power sector challenges is increasingly nuanced, moving beyond early overhyped claims of a universal solution. Experts like Priya Danti emphasize that AI is best deployed as a specialized tool—tailored to specific problems such as forecasting, grid optimization, or demand response—rather than as a generic, end-to-end fix. While machine learning enhances operational efficiency and enables real-time flexibility in virtual power plants, adoption is slowed by data silos, cultural inertia, and safety concerns in critical systems.
The risks extend beyond technical failures to include cybersecurity vulnerabilities, lack of transparency, and systemic harms like cognitive offloading, which may reduce human expertise. Moreover, AI’s environmental footprint—especially in data centers—raises equity and climate justice concerns, particularly in water-scarce regions. Crucially, AI's net climate impact depends not on the technology itself, but on how it is deployed: if it accelerates fossil fuel extraction or polluting industries, the overall effect will be negative.
Therefore, AI can only be a net positive if society aligns its energy and economic systems with climate goals. The AI for good movement now faces challenges in navigating misleading narratives, greenwashing, and misdirected investments, requiring a more grounded, problem-centered, and ethically accountable approach.
FAQs
No, AI is not a silver bullet. It can accelerate solutions in clean energy, but it doesn't solve climate change on its own. The overall impact depends on how AI is applied and whether it accelerates fossil fuel use or renewable systems.
No, generic large language models are not well-suited for power grid challenges. These models lack the precision and reliability needed for safety-critical tasks like forecasting or grid optimization.
Key risks include lack of interpretability, alignment issues, cybersecurity vulnerabilities, and data silos. These can lead to poor decision-making, unaccountable actions, and system failures in complex energy environments.
AI is used for forecasting, demand response, optimizing virtual power plants, and analyzing grid dynamics. Tools like Energy Hub's platform use machine learning to manage flexible capacity from millions of devices.
Task-specific models are currently more effective for power grids. General-purpose models often lack the precision needed for specialized tasks like optimal power flow or demand forecasting.
Researchers worry about misalignment, lack of explainability, poor cybersecurity, and cognitive offloading. These risks could undermine trust and effectiveness in critical systems like power grids.
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