Top 3 Bets for Wednesday | MLB Player Props & Baseball Predictions

This is an I Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey Portlandia fans. Carrie Brown seen in Fred Armason here. The Dream of the 90s is alive in podcast form. We're launching Podlandia AO rewatch. Our brand new podcast where we revisit every episode of Portlandia together. Breaking down sketches, going deep on our iconic characters and pulling back the curtain on how it all got made. And we'll also be joined by the people who helped bring it all to life. Guest stars, collaborators and friends, including director Jonathan Christel, the mayor himself Kyle McLaughlin, legendary musician Amy Mann and many more. Kyle is going for it here. You fully improvised not just words, but a song about it. I thought you were all going to write a song. I remember you thinking that. Listen to Podlandia AO rewatch on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Good Wednesday morning everybody. How are you? Welcome into a new episode of the Dilege's podcast with me Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all of my socials at sports talk Matt. And unfortunately we're in this rut. Two and one one and two one and two just sort of back and forth here for us. And this week it's not been good. We've gone through two and one streaks or into a one and two streak. At the moment we get Bobby with junior over one and a half hitch runs in our BIs, but Jeremy Paine is not come in the Red Sucks lose their fourth consecutive game and all of a sudden Boston is reeling at the moment. And you got to be a little bit concerned because they were so hot. You wondered, do they go so cold? Now they got Adelaide Rushman into the lineup yesterday that didn't help. They still lost the game five to three to Toronto. So I'm going to stay away from sides and totals today and I'm going to focus on props and I'm going to use the home run prop, which by the way they've made a bit of a correction. So it comes out earlier than normal now, which is good. So we can use it for the daily use. And so I have a home run prop that we're going to use with the home run tool. We're going to use the prop cheat sheet for a player and a pitcher today. So three prop bets are going to jump in with four today. And look, the home run prop bet tool, I bet quarter units guys like this is fun. Okay. And you know, I know you get kind of enamored with the price. And it's like, oh my gosh, Matt, a plus 485. Look, guys hitting home runs. It's not easy to predict this. Okay. So this is sort of showing you what's available, but in all honesty, these are difficult types. No, it's not like a $1 billion lottery ticket, like the powerball, but it is something of a anomaly or a, you're trying to put the odds in your favor. How about that? When it comes to guys who are going to hit home runs, meaning ballpark, pitcher and the player. You line that up and you know, it's still human beings have to do human being things, right? You're predicting what a human's going to do. So it can be somewhat difficult to do. So I do have one of those. If you want to do your own research, you can absolutely do that with the home run tool. It'll be available right now. If you don't like what I'm picking, I'm taking the top person, the top projection, the best, most likely person to go deep here. According to the home run tool, you can find it yourself by going to bedding pros dot com slash homeers. You can fool around. You can find out whatever you want to look at because it might be very much what you want. Right now, it's free. It is a premium feature, but it's going to be free for now. So check it out bedding pros dot com slash homeers to see what might be available. If you don't like what I'm playing, because when you open it up, this is what you see. Okay. You see this. This breakdown. Mickey Moniac is the number one best option to go deep here. According to our home run tool, he's got Merrill Kelly. He's at Arizona. Okay. Don't ruf's going to be closed. Okay. So that's good. So we have a power hitter in Mickey Moniac. We've got a picture matchup that we like a lot. The weather is great because there is no weather to worry about. The ballpark's not great. Chase field is not awesome for home runs. With the roof being closed, we like it. There are a lot of stats that will give you that we can poke around with like strong power profile with a with an above average home run potential for Mickey Moniac. A highly hitable pitcher, well below average home run prevention. The weather's perfect. Eight percent edge play on this according to the home run best bet tool from bedding pros. So I'm going to trail this. I'm going to jump in on this. Merrill Kelly did not give up a home run in his last home start against the Dodgers. Five and two thirds. He give up one earned run in a four three win for the Diamondbacks. But in his start before that against the A's, he went five innings. He give up two earned runs, including a home run. The start before that he gave him five innings, gave up one earned run in one home run. So in two was last three starts. Merrill Kelly at home has given up a home run. So we've got a good pitching matchup. We've got a ballpark that no weather to worry about. The dome is closed in Arizona. We're going to go Mickey Moniac to hit a home run at plus four eighty five only a quarter unit. Okay. We're not throwing full units at this. Okay. We're putting quarter units down on this. These are fun bets. These are things to trail and watch and like don't go all bonkers. Here and start betting full units on these guys just because it's, you know, again, this isn't a very niche market we're betting into. Okay. So we're only going to put a quarter unit down on it and like let's just see how we can go and if he hits you're going to be like, oh, I'm not you should have put a full unit on that. You could have saved the whole week. Yeah, I know, but let's not put full units to what you want. But I'm I go slow and small on these things. I am going to lay the juice here with Michael Massey for the Royals hits. Runs and RBI's. This has been a very good market for us here with the prop cheat sheet. The Royals we got Bobby with junior yesterday. The prop cheat sheet is really liking this prop here for today with Michael Massey. He's been hot. He didn't get it yesterday, but that snapped a streak of three straight games in which he went over one and a half, hit run and RBI sacrifice fly. We cash single we cash. He gets a walk in scores and someone else's home run. We cash. There's multiple ways of catching hits runs and RBI's and the consensus projection here is to go 2.1 for him. He's a five star play and the reason is because of who was pitching for the LA Dodgers. This Eric Lawler guy, six and six with a 4.89 last time out against the Cubs 11 hits, earn runs, two home runs given up at Rigglyfield. His last home start though, he was pretty good. Six innings only one hit given up the start before that at home. It's against Colorado. He went six innings. He gave up six hits, three earn runs, one home run, a couple of walks for him. So two of the last three starts are the, you know, I guess, yeah, they're starting against the Phillies on the road. There's last four starts. He's giving up 11, one, four and six hits. He's giving up six, zero, three and three earned runs. So the game against Seattle feels like a little bit of an anomaly for Eric Lawler. And let's go in and ride the prop bet cheat sheet here with Michael Massey to get back on the horse. He's gone over a half of this here in six of his last nine games. So five star play from the prop bet cheat sheet. Let's go ahead and take Michael Massey from the royals to go over. That should be a half. Sorry. That's a mistake. That's a half. See what I'm sorry. That's my bet on that. I typed in 1.5 cup. So he's typing in 1.5. The consensus is a half, not, not 1.5, 0.5. Michael Massey just to get a hit, a run and RBI. He gets one of those. He's going over. Okay. Not 1.5. 0.5. So I apologize for that. That's a mistake on my with the graphic. I typed in the wrong number, but 0.5 for Michael Massey hits runs and RBI's finally for us here for today. We're going to go to a pitching prop and it's Dustin May starting for the brewers up against the Padres. Now the Padres 64 and 57 on the year. They've been a little bit under the radar screen in terms of where they're going to be in the National League. They are second in the National League West. Sorry. Well, the third third in the National League West are tied for second in the national with Arizona at 64 and 57, but they're slightly behind them with the head to head matchup. But you've got a San Diego team that has won the first two games against the brewers and now Dustin May is going up against Robbie Ray. And Robbie Ray is a guy. Look, he was great with the Giants, but maybe that was the ballpark, but he had a bad first start against Houston at home. Five innings, four earn runs. I guess it. Yeah. No, this is his first start. With Padres. He's last start with the with the Giants was bad. Five innings, four earn runs, but now he's here with what's San Diego Dustin May. Look, I'm not the biggest of fans of Dustin May. I didn't love the acquisition. by the brewers trading inside the division to grab a hold of Dustin May, but he's six and seven with a 4.3 ERA for Dustin May. And the prop it cheat sheet is not loving him today for what he may be looking like here. It may be a quick day for Dustin May. Prop it cheat sheet legs under 17 and a half outs for Dustin May. He did go over this in his last start against Pittsburgh, everybody squeaked over it. He got 18 start before that. He did not get there on the road. New team maybe kind of a quicker type of hook here in terms of where the brewers might be with Dustin May and against a Padre's lineup that's starting to heat up against no guy like Tatis who's starting to get his stroke back and starting to look like a player that might be difficult. 17 and a half, that's 18. So he goes through six. We lose this. Okay. So we want him to get pulled in the fourth, fifth or six thinnings. We do not want him to get through the six and get to the seventh inning for Dustin May. We want to basically have five inning type of performance for Dustin May. And the bullpen is pretty good for the brewers. So Pat Murphy might be more inclined with a guy who's new on the roster to not go deep with him and just go ahead and pull him. So Dustin May under 17 and a half outs for us today at minus 127 for 1.27 units. So three bets for us here today all using bet betting pros tools. These are the things you see with betting pros premium that is out there. I was talking to somebody yesterday who was asking me about different promo codes and whatnot. And we will recount all of that about if you want to join betting pros premium and follow this stuff. You can take a look at it yourself. But right now you can just go and check it out for the home run tool and others on betting pros premium. Mickey Montiac Moniac to hit a home run. Michael Massey over a half hits runs and RBIs and Dustin May under 17 and a half outs here for today. We're jumping in on three player props. Let's flip this around to a two in one versus a one in two. Monday and Tuesday one in two. Let's get a two in one coming up here on Wednesday. My name is Matt Peruz. You guys can follow me across all my socials at sports stock mat every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the daily juice. Hey Portlandia fans. We're launching pod landia a o re watch our brand new podcast where we revisit every episode of port landia together breaking down sketches going deep on our iconic characters and pulling back the curtain on how it all got made. And we'll also be joined by the people who helped bring it all to life guest stars collaborators and friends including director Jonathan Chrysler the mayor himself Kyle McLaughlin legendary musician Amy Mann and many more Kyle is going for it here. You fully improvised not just words but a song about I thought you were all going to write a song. Listen to pod landia a o rewatch on the iHeart Radio app Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Nick tutorial you probably know me from NYPD Blue the longest shot for Spike Lee's Black Plansman and on my new podcast delivering happiness with Nick tutorial I deliver pizza to a new guest. I've shared a slice with everyone from Seth Rollins. What are you doing my belt? To billbar. I don't think I've ever met somebody so exactly out of the mic this I am. And now we even have more great guests coming up including the great John Tutoro. Let's go with happiness delivering happiness and many many more. Open your free iHeart Radio app search delivering happiness with Nick tutorial and listen now. This is an iHeart podcast guaranteed human.