Todd’s CFB Power Rankings: Is Muench Buying the Hype or Calling BS?
55m 49s
The host presents a detailed college football power ranking for the season, emphasizing a top-10 list that includes Miami, Oregon, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Texas, Georgia, and Indiana. He argues that while talent is crucial, success hinges on execution—particularly offensive line strength, quarterback development, and defensive discipline. He breaks down each team’s potential, highlighting concerns with Texas’s run game and pass protection, Indiana’s quarterback consistency, and LSU’s rebuilding process. The episode centers on the "one thing" that determines a national championship run—such as front-seven dominance or big-game composure. A major promotional element is the release of the McShay report, which offers in-depth quarterback analysis and forecasts expanding to 250+ evaluations by season’s end. The host also makes strong predictions about individual players, like Arch Manning’s breakout potential and John McKay’s Heisman chances, while asserting that the Big 10 will have five playoff teams. Ultimately, the piece blends analytics, personal insights, and fan engagement, positioning Texas and Georgia as the most likely national champions amid a competitive field, while warning that success depends on overcoming key weaknesses in execution and consistency.
It's week one of the college football season and my power rankings are out just 241 days until the NFL Draft. This episode is brought to you by Nintendo when you've got different ages, different interests and a busy schedule finding something everyone can enjoy is a win. Boy do I know that. The Nintendo Switch 2 system gives you options with games like Mario Kart World, Donkey Kong Bonanza and EA Sports FC 26. Two controllers are included so you can start playing together right away and many existing Nintendo Switch games also work on Nintendo Switch 2. Learn more at Nintendo.com/Nintendo Switch 2. Games and systems sold separately. Some Nintendo Switch games may not be supported or fully compatible with Nintendo Switch 2. Games rated E to E 10+. It feels real now, manch. I'm excited. I can't wait. It was a good week here. Yeah, week zero was cute. It was adorable, stop it. It was better than that. Everything was adorable about it, but but NC state and we can get to that. My gosh, yeah, talking about taking one on this shin, like right on the gate. We were both for high on it, bad sign, bad sign, both high on something. Is Virginia legit? Well, well, probably there's a problem. He's a problem in defense. Well, the the the the the the grown ass man. Oh, lie defensive. I mean, yeah, no, oh, lie. They're like, they have her's like 37 years old. Anyway, all right. Let's not digress. But it feels it feels even more real because the McShay report is out. I'm sitting. I'm writing an article over the weekend. I know we're back when I'm when I'm. Typing up notes sitting in here in a weekend at 79 and sunny out and I'm sending Dan stuff, but, but I'm pumped about it's a 2027 quarterback class call it what you want. It's the preseason rankings, cubie confidential, cubie breakdown, whatever it is. It is a deep dive into the quarterbacks where not only do I share my rankings and grades of the quarterbacks and you and I went back and forth and we studied all of them. Kind of actually, I shouldn't say mine, I mean, honestly, it was a joint effort over the summer, kind of landing in the middle and having to meet halfway on some of these guys and answer some real serious questions about arch, like where where is he in this process now? Where can he get? Dan sent me these questions and he's a real prick that Dan. I'm telling you right now, you want to know one of the questions yet? He can't be. He can't be. One of the questions I had to answer. I start. Start. Yes, sit. You know, start bench cut. Who is it? Three. Car, Levitt and Mensa. It pissed me off. I'm dying to know I haven't been able to read it yet, but you had to read it, but you can't give it away on the show. So here's the deal. The wringer dot com slash McShay go on there and just click on on the McShay report. If you subscribe, it's already in your inbox. That's the beauty of this. It's Bill Simmons creation and now I'm seeing everyone start to not always like copy, but like all of a sudden is newsletter mimic the concept and it's awesome because you don't have to go scrolling somewhere. You don't have to find it. You don't have to stumble upon it. It's literally in your inbox, but you can also get it on the wringer dot com slash McShay, which we're about to in just a handful of short days unveil our top 50 with evaluations and never roll it out and get this thing started for the most anticipated NFL draft in my 26 years of doing this thing, okay? So all of that is coming up, but right now, and if you don't want to, if you don't go to the site, you can just Google the McShay report. If you don't subscribe already, please subscribe. It's going to be an awesome year. We're going to be doing the quarterback watch, like a weekly stock watch on the quarterbacks. We're going to expand from 50 to 75 to 100. And by the time we get to the end of the season, it's going to be 250 plus evaluations in there. And it just continue to grow this product that we kicked off last year. So all of that business is behind us. I want to unveil my top 10 bench for all the audience and the viewers and the watchers on Netflix, Spotify. If you listen on Apple or wherever else you get your podcasts, we appreciate it. But if you're watching right now, you'll see here's my top 10, and I'll read through it in case you're driving in the car, mowing your lawn and just listening. Right out of the gates, I'm different than most. Most people I see, it's either Notre Dame, Ohio State, sprinkle of Texas at number one overall. I'm taking the canes, man. I think crystal ball, we saw a maturation, whatever, Miami number one, Oregon it too. Notre Dame at three, Ohio State, a little low on my board at four. Still love them, but maybe not as much as some other people of Texas. I actually have dropped Texas from my initial. There's some concerns there. It's going to be very interesting to see Indiana defending champs, the reigning champs. At number six, Georgia at seven. I think I'm lower than on Georgia than most people, but still high on them. I'll less you, higher on the Tigers and Lane get used to it, folks, till they drop two games in late September or early October, and I'm going to have to eat it. I think Oklahoma's vastly underrated, coming in at nine, and then Ole Miss, I can't leave Trinidad Chambliss out of my top 10. And I, hey, I recognize all you folks down Texas, I get it. Texas Tech would be sitting at 11 if I was going 11 deep. A&M right behind them. I think Marcel Reed's actually going to surprise some people this year. USC, defense is that secondary's got to get better, but USC, how about those freshmen? Alabama, I think, getting overlooked a little bit, and Washington, I'm a Demon Williams guy. I'm sorry. It is what it is. So that's my top 10 with some OLIs outside looking in. I want to break this down into four blocks. The A block, we're going to go right now, okay? I'm going to put a timer on this thing, because I want this thing moving today. My first pace, I envision this, we want to rip through as much as we can, but we want to do it and get to some answers. So I'm setting the stopwatch now. Block A, convince me I'm wrong. You look at that top 10 mentioned, I don't care if a team should be in there, you're too high on this team, you're too low on this team, whatever it is. This is the convince me I'm wrong, man, after seeing my top 10 unveiled for the first time. You get three challenges, go. I love that you know your weaknesses, because you start a point amount as they're going through. Well, how is state's got to be number one coming into the season. I believe that. You have an offense that just lost a wide receiver as a top five pick and carnal tape. Average 33 points last year, and I think will be even better this year. Julian saying second year as a starter, Jeremiah Smith coming back. I think Chris Henry Jr., the talented freshman, is going to step into that role nicely. Most importantly, is the running game. They have two stud running backs and Bo Jackson and Isaiah West, Austin, Sarah Vell moves in from right tackle to right guard. I think he's a better fitted guard. Arthur Smith, the new offense coordinator, all the NFL background comes in. They're going to feature run game play action. That suits the guys they have up front, which was the issue at the end of last year. That's why they couldn't get, you know, that's why they lost in the playoffs. That's why they couldn't beat Indiana. The big 10 championship is because their offensive line wasn't quite good enough. I think it'll be better this year. The question is, can they reload on defense? We've seen them do it over and over again. And by the way, Ryan Day is a championship coach. He is. I'm very interested. It could be a negative. It could be a positive. But it is definitely a change at offensive coordinator, right? And now you get Arthur Smith coming in, and that's a departure, okay? Julian Sain is in a second year as a starter, second offensive coordinator, okay? Brian Hartline is gone. Now, the receivers is Jeremiah Smith going to forget how to play football? No. But after Jeremiah Smith, there's some guys that have to step up and elevate, and Hartline's not there to kind of mold that, right? So that's one thing that I'm not saying it's going to go poorly. I actually think I can invent, like Arthur Smith, all of his NFL experience, and if you know Arthur Smith and his mustache, which is awesome, you know that they're going to run the football and be physical. And that's what Ohio State wants to do, and they've kind of set the tone for themselves as the season progresses, because that's where they were kind of weak, I think, earlier on in Ryan Day's tenure is he was trying to convince them and convince himself that they were physical up front, while they just weren't, they were more of a Ferrari than a Mac truck. So I'm interested to see how that plays out, and if you're telling me the offensive line's going to be better, that will play to the advantage. The thing with the Ohio State that is, you know, it's hard to really, they eight guys drafted two years ago from that defense, and they were even better last year. Yeah. lost like first round, high first round.
brown guys and edge our Bel Ries, sunny styles came in the top 11, three in the top 11. Okay. So there's that. They could absolutely win the whole thing. But last the last two games that we saw him play saying got sack 10 times. They scored 24 total points. Now we lost a bunch of elite guys to the NFL and defense. Arthur Smith's job. Like he's got to make sure that that version, the 10 sacks, two games, 24 points does not rear its ugly head and critical moments to share. That's why they're a little lower for me than everybody else. All right. What's number two? I agree with you. I'll also say this. I think you're first four. That's a really good bucket and you could sort them any way you want. Okay. And then we'll get to my second one right here is I think people might think that Texas is too low on your list at five. I think you could have put them at seven. Here's my problem with Texas, all the talent in the world. It's great on paper. I haven't seen enough yet. I love that they had camcola and a wide receiver. This is something that we all think could help unlock archmaning. But the real problem with archmaning last year wasn't the talent at receiver. Yes, Ryan Lingo was inconsistent. The problem was they couldn't pass protect and they couldn't run the ball. I think they'll be better up front. I think they deserve to be in the top 10. I'm not ready to go top five yet because of those reasons. I want to see them run the ball. Their running game was not good last year. So I want to see them run the ball and I want to see how they pass protect how that offensive line plays and then we can talk about it because if you're looking at just the talent on the roster, this could be maybe this might be the most talented team in the country. I mean, it's up there, but I have to see more of how arch is developing and how well they run the ball before I can really get behind Texas as a top five team. I saw arch at the Manning Passing Academy and he's coming off of an injury. He has waited fluctuated. He truth. You want true serum? He looked a little rusty, missing some throws that you saw on tape last year. I was expecting, I was kind of expecting to see like an advancement, but then you like realize and talking to people there like he legitimately like couldn't do a lot of things because he was he was coming off of the lower body injury and was was kind of just getting back into his into shape and like so where is arch is this going to be that breakout year where he takes that next step or is this a, I don't say a sandwich year is this a, all right, we're going to keep progressing and then it's all about 2027 college football season for arch and in the 2028 draft. It's that's legitimate. I don't say shit like this just because I like that that is a legitimate real thing. It's a real thing to keep an eye on. Okay. But this team is constructed for 2026. The other issue that sometime when there's smoke, it's just like there's smoke like the toaster oven had a little cheese in the bottom of it. Sometimes when there's smoke, there's like a brush fire is going to turn into something that that burns down a village. Okay. Yeah. Feels like there's a little too much smoke right now like if you, if you, and I'm not, it's hard because wouldn't separate reality from truth, but it feels like there's like it's a little bit of undercurrent, some players saying some things and some gossip getting out and some players getting dismissed from the team and I just, I, I want to see Texas against Ohio State. Is this all nonsense? And everything's buttoned up and Arches had since, since what, what's called July 1st, his had the last two months to like really get to where he wants to be. Everything he comes out, he's got cam on one side, he's got wing going the other and we're rolling, baby. That might be the case. I thought about putting Indiana ahead of him. I thought about putting Georgia ahead of him. I landed at five because I think they, like you said, they are the most talented team, at least top three most talented teams in the country. All right. What's the last one? I also think that's the next tier. I think five through seven is the next tier and then there's a little bit of a drop off. I know you don't do this machine. I know you don't cater or curate your list to piss me off, but I also know when you do certain things that there's a party in the back of your head, it smiles and knows that you're going to get me, get me going. LSU at eight, huh? We're going to put LSU at eight. That's what we're doing. I want, I want people to understand our, our lads.com, O U R L A D S dot com is a great website. If you want to look at depth charts for, for NFL teams and for NCAA teams, whatever college football teams, it's great for both of those, okay? You should check it out if you're a football fan. What I love about them is that I'm a visual learner. And what they will do for you is they will show you who the newcomers are on. But you're definitely an auditory processor like my wife and like Andrew Luck. But go ahead. So this, my god, you look at these things. Yeah. If you look at this, a lot of colors. Okay. If you're on, this is why you need to be on Netflix. Anything that's not blue is a new player in that area. They are loaded. The turnover, they're loaded with turnover. There are so many new players on this roster. So, look, I get it. Lane Kiffin is a great coach. And if anyone can do this and navigate this craziness that's going on in Baton Rouge right now, I think he might be the best guy for the job. And are they getting better talent wise? Yes. I do believe that. I think they are. But that much turnover. Can you bring it together so quickly that I think it might be a year, man. If we're having this conversation in a year, I feel a lot better around. I'm very high on LSU going forward. I think they're going to be like, I think Kiffin can bring them back. But right now, I think we're looking at a talented coach whose head success, you know, recently in the SEC. And then you're looking at that helmet in that talent pool. And we're thinking this is going to come together quicker than it might come together. And for me, it's a little too soon to have them in the top eight going into the season. I mean, LSU at eight isn't based off of 7 and 16 that was spiraling last year with its star player, Garrett and us Meyer, who by the way, has had an awesome training camp for with the chiefs injured injured the entire season. It's based on a quarterback that I like, maybe love in Sam Levit. It's based on an elite portal rebuild and offensive staff that can just manufacture points kind of no matter who's playing where. The question is whether the line comes together fast enough from being honest. Like it's true for a lot of these teams, by the way, this is, oh, this is a, we're still a low send via text recently. He's like, I'm an online guy. I think I actually screenshot it and said, yeah, you did. You sent it to me. He's like, I'm an online guy in college football now. He's like, everyone's got skill players with the portal. Everyone's got a quarterback. Everyone's got skill players. Everyone's got some defensive stars. The offensive line is the separator. Maybe I should start listening to Menchmore. If that's the case, if you're right, and I'm not sure you're wrong, maybe I should listen to Menchmore. So I admittedly, that's the big question mark for this, this LSU team. Is that offensive line going to gel into Jordan Seaton? Like he's third tackle on our board. Kind of the cornerstone guy. First round guy, I think. Yeah. First round guy, but that unit struggled last year. Okay. But you got trade as green. I'm interested to see these wide receivers. Like none of them are massive household names and like preseason all Americans. But my, the birdies down in Baton Rouge who typically chirp in my ear with, with correct information say they got more there than people expect. What weeks is back at linebacker? They get like Duce Gerald's a true freshman, right? They get that edge from Notre Dame that I can't pronounce. They get date one, right? Xavier and Harris. I don't know. Like it's going to be intriguing. And I'm here for all the mess. Me too. I'm here and I work and maybe I'm wrong about the timing of it all because I agree. I don't, it's honestly I don't disagree with everything you're saying. I just think that sometimes it takes a little while for it to gel and we'll see if it gels. We'll see. For me, it's about how long it will take. You see it as a quicker process. I see it's going to take a little time. Their schedule is not easy. I mean, if you play in the SEC and like, it's not going to be easy, but especially LSU schedule, it's going to be tough. Admittedly of the 10 teams there, they're the one probably most likely to not be in the top 10. But if Levitt hits and Kiffin pulls us all together, I didn't want to be dancing on the line. And totally like, I think, but I put him at 14. Like, I'm a believer. I'm a believer in Levitt. I'm a believer in Kiffin. And I'm a believer in talent. And so I got to stamp it. And this is how I stamp it. Okay. Be block here. Let's transition. Let's call this the one thing. Okay. The one thing. I want us to quickly, in the next 30 seconds, determine who are the 16. And it doesn't have to be one through six on my rankings. The 16s in your opinion that are the most likely to be there in the national championship, which means you have to, I don't factor in schedules and all this. These are the best 10 teams for me. Who are the 16s based on what the outlook, who we believe are going to wind up in the national championship. And once we do that, then I want to answer one question for each of those 16 teams. What is the one thing that determines whether this team wins a national championship? All right. So let's do this first. I'm glad you said that. By the way, this is not a playoff predictor. This is a power ranking. These are the teams you think are the best 10 teams in the country. So, the six teams you think are the
most likely to get to the national championship are Miami, Oregon, Notre Dame, Ohio State. I'm going off your rankings. This is tough because I have the rankings a little bit different. I'm just not a Joshua guy. I'm going to go Texas and Georgia. Do you want to put Indiana in there? Let's put in the, let's do seven teams, but we got to be quick about it. Okay, let's do side. Let's go. All right, so let's start with Miami. The one thing that determines whether this team wins a national championship is for you. I'm cheating. I'm going to call it the margins. I think they're going to be really good up front and I think they're going to be really good on defense, but they were great up front and they were great on defense last year. Gary Mensa is an upgraded quarterback. I think he's going to be great. I think he's going to be excellent there. It's going to be great to see him with Malachi Tony. All of those things are true, but there's the difference between good and great. Are you going to be good up front and good on defense? Are you going to be great there? That's the difference between winning a national championship and not. I think it's the front seven. I don't just agree with you, but another thing like you know, you know my thoughts on Heatherman, the defensive coordinator. I think he's absolutely awesome and a perfect fit down there, but it's hard to lose those two edge rushers and not feel it a little bit right now. They get Damon Wilson comes in as a transfer, but like Mensa Fletcher, Barcai, the wide receiver who comes in from Harvard, it seems like their offense is set up for more success this year than maybe the defense, but it's a question of are these unknowns? Is this the next step up? You got like a Armando Blunt and Marquis Lightfoot coming along the defensive front seven. This is a young front seven. I know. It's just a matter of good versus great is what I think. There is a standard at Miami that was just set by a couple absolute dogs in first round picks, right? Can they match that standard? Because let's face it, Miami's offense was fine. It was cute. And Mensa is going to make it even better, I think, and we can get to that later. But that's the big question for Miami. Okay. For me, really quickly, Barcai played at Duke with Mensa last year. I just want to point that out. He started at Harvard. It played with you. I'm sorry, you're right. Just want to clean that up. And an NFL draft prospect. Okay. Next team up is, let's go Oregon. Can they get over the hump? Can they get over the big game hump? I mean, that's kind of a big picture thing for me. They've been, I mean, Dan Lennon's record speaks for itself. But can they win the big one? I mean, going to Penn State and winning that game seemed like was a turning point. And then the wheels came off for Penn State. Can you, can you win late in the year? I mean, you think about a few years back when they lost to Washington, and they were supposed to win that game. It's just, it seems like they lost to Ohio State in the first round of the playoff two years. It's two years ago. It's can they get over the hump and win the big game? They're coming off. They got all the way to the national championship last year. And then again, the wheels fall off. Another blowout loss in the playoff. So to me, is can they get over that hump and show up in the big game? Yeah, it's not dissimilar. Honestly, I'm going to put it back on the guy that that wants the pressure. Dante Moore. And I'm just going to honestly carry over what you're saying. You can make an argument. We talked about Texas having the best roster top to bottom. You can make the argument Oregon does. Yep. I'm not saying right there. Good, good luck figuring out who. From a talent standpoint, they're as good as any team in the country. And they've got the highest ranked quarterback, prospect coming back, right? But now you don't have, you don't have Will Stein, an offensive coordinator who's developed, who's made who's helped make Dante Moore, a guy who's struggled at UCLA under Chip Kelly, transferred sad out of the year and last year explodes onto the scene, right? Dylan Gabriel before him and and Bonix before him. So with new at coordinator and play caller, we're still expecting Dante Moore to take that next step. This path is a little harder. So not the hardest schedule. It's not some of those SEC schedules, but it's challenging. He's got to have Mendoza moments. That's what was missing last year. You can argue better passer, played more consistently, all those things, but I need some Mendoza moments out of more. All right. Number three team with you. Notre Dame. A lot on CJ Carman and we all seem to think and I'm in this camp. We all seem to think that he is going to take the next step and carry this offense. You've just lost, Jeremiah Love. That is a huge loss. Offensive line looks like it's going to be really good. They added some talent at wide receiver. I think that defense is going to be outstanding. And we're all just assuming that CJ Car is going to be able to step into that light. It's going to be, I mean, to me, that's it. To CJ Car's take the next step like we think he's going to. At times last year, he was outstanding. At other times, he wasn't quite as good. The Pittsburgh game stands out to me. So it's whether or not CJ Car can step up and play the way that we all think he will this year. And with that, the wide receivers. Yeah. You've got Jordan Faiz on who led the team last year. And it's on our wide receiver board, like kind of far down. He's not elite. He's not Jeremiah Smith. He's not he's not Cam Coleman. He's not like, you know, like you go through all these other teams that almost all of them at Malachi Tony for Miami, right? You've got two of them at Indiana with Mars and our guy. Becker's junior Charlie Becker. Yeah, Charlie Becker. So there's a couple of transfer portal guys coming in. There's a true freshman that I'm hearing a lot of good things about Kate on Finley. Who's going to step up? If this does become more balanced run pass. If this does become cars team, where they're throwing their way out of trouble or they're attacking through the air more, who are the weapons that are going to step up? That's my big question for Notre Dame Ohio State number four. To me, it's going to be reload on defense. I mean, you hit on it. I mean, they did it last year, but can you do it two years in a row? Can you continue to do that? I mean, I don't know, man, it's going to be tough to do. I still think that the top team going into the into the year, but that's the big question. Yeah, I think we just covered it with Ohio State. I also want to see Julian saying like training wheels off. This is now you're not just like the facilitator and kind of steering this thing. You've got to be a difference maker and we saw flashes of it. I know it's there, but like taking off and running, taking command of the offense, taking control and and grabbing and grabbing them between your legs and me like, this is my team. This is like, let's go. I want to see a little bit of that from from saying, taking some deep shot, more frequently like aggressiveness while they're still trying to establish the run and be all the things that they want to be. All right, next team up, Texas. I think it's it's easy to say that it's arch. I actually think it's arch and Steve Starkies in the head coach as the play caller. I think how does he get off to start the year because correct me if I'm wrong, tell me if I'm wrong, but it seems like in recent years, especially with Quinn years that when his quarterback starts to falter a little bit, the offense gets pretty predictable and pretty aggressiveness really comes out of it. You have two Lamborghini's on the outside or at least one in came Coleman. I think Ryan Wingo is an elite talent as well. Maybe not quite the same level as Coleman, but he's up there. It's going to be the play caller in the second, second year starter and how they gel and whether or not they can really take off that that to me is the biggest question for Texas. I want to see him run the ball better too. I like the big that's part of it. Like he's got to help him out with the running game. He's got to figure out a way to help him out with the running game. That's again, that's when I talk about the play calling, that's part of it as well. Like you have to there's got to be balance man. You've got to take some pressure off of arch in that sense. It feels like Texas always had a back. You know what I mean? Like they could always run. And even when it was two backs, they still like I didn't get this. I guess maybe in the last two years, I have to go back, but like and there were moments, there were weeks. There was like two or three week stretches. I want to see this offensive line a little bit. Texas high school football is the best. The crowds, the pageantry, the quarterbacks, the passing, the offenses, the all of it. Texas high school football, sometimes you question like, is it the toughest? Is it the stage 10? It's interesting. You're saying that because and I've seen this in Texas's roster over the last couple of years, all kinds of speed at running back. But do you have a guy who's just going to stick his nose in the fan, get downhill and pick up two yards on on fourth and one like and not going to be denied has the power and the size and the strength just to make that happen even when he doesn't get a seam. I'm not really sure that that guy's on the roster. Like I like their backs, but I want a guy who can who's 220 pounds and is just going to get down hill and get what you need and keep you on schedule, set up the play action package. And yeah, maybe he doesn't break a 60 yarder all the time. But like man, they don't have great size at running back. Yeah, I mean, this year they're counting on two guys, right? And and Hollywood's mother's comes in and is exactly what you just said speed. Exciting.
- Plus a man. - Yeah. - NC State Transfer, he's the guy that like, he's gonna be the guy. They also got this Relic Brown that I'm hearing about, the former USC Arizona State Back, more explosion. It rests for a thousand plus yards in 20, 25-day issue, average 6.1. Great. - The talent's there. I'm actually focusing more on the offensive line, and now we get Goosby with the injury, it sounds like it's gonna be all work. They got deeper in the portal. So, keep an eye on that, like, online run game, when it's online, is there more arch? - Yes. - Yeah. - I know, you look at that smile on your face. All right, number six. - It's Indiana. - It's as good as Indiana was last year, and I keep harping on this. They were outstanding team from top to bottom, and they still had moments where they knew there has been quarterback to come up and make plays in big moments, and do you trust Josh, whoever to do that? Sort of like we talked about with Dante Moore. I'm not there with Hoover. One thing that really sticks out to me with Hoover is, when he was at TCU, the turnovers, and there's this little bit back and forth between Signeti and Sonny Dykes that had coached TCU about the turnovers, and while, you know, Signeti's like, now he's got a great defense in a run game, so he doesn't have to really push and force. I get that, man, but Aziebra doesn't just change his stripes overnight. Like, it's one thing to say that these things exist, and that he no longer has to do that. It's another thing for him to go out, and no longer do it. I think that's a tough thing to do as a quarterback and break habits. It'll be interesting to see, again, I think there's gonna be some ass chewing on the, on the Indiana sideline this year. I think that Josh Hoover is gonna get an earful at times, and how he handles that, and how he reacts, and grows and develops is gonna play a big role in where Indiana ends up at the end of the year. I completely agree. The only tweak to what you're saying, and it's still, it's the same concept. I actually think Signeti will demand it to the point where the turnovers will be cut down. Significant. You could. He could. And he have what resonates with me with what you just said is they were so fucking good and everything they did had on hat, gap discipline. I discipline in the secondary and linebackers, zone coverage switching to man, like confusion. Everything they do is a coaching clinic. And they had the most draft picks. In fact, I think it was eight draft picks last year. That's as many as Indiana had in the last decade combined. So while I'm not saying that there is talented as Ohio State or some of these other programs last year, I am saying they were talented. And they were more talented than the year before when they made the college football playoff and kind of shocked the world. But they still, despite all of those things, like you started off with, they needed magic a few times. Yeah. A few to five times. And I don't know the Hoover. I think they're going to be times where Indian is just rolling. Like I think they might even put up points consistently throughout the year. I think you might have a better roster this year overall. They might have a better roster. All of those things, but every single team is faced with those, whether it's two, four, five times a year where your best player, typically quarterback, has got to have magic in him. I don't know that he does. I think he's awesome. I think he's the perfect fit we'll see. That's my big question mark. All right, last one, Georgia, what do you got? Kirby's, I love Gunner Stockton. I love Kirby. When Kirby has won, when they have won the national championship, they have been dominant on defense. They're going to be very good on defense. Will they be dominant? That's their recipe. They play smart football, they never quit. They're always in it. Nothing ever, you know, they can be down 50 in a game. I'm not going to rule them out. That's kind of the mindset that they have. They play all 60 and they're going to, you know, keep coming at you, all of those things. But their recipe has been dominant defense. Will they be dominant on defense? I actually think they're going to be a lot better. I remember doing this last year and that defense kept getting better. I remember keep saying to you, their best players are the young guys and they grew up a little bit last year and I think now that I'm not saying it's going to be the Jalen Carter, like that era. But I do think the defense is going to be good enough to be in every single game. I truly do. I agree with that. I think like KJ Bolden, Ellis Robinson on the back end. I just, I think they get a, my big thing with them is the wide receivers. They're going to run the ball. That offensive line's pretty damn good. Gunner Stockton's going to run the ball. Gunner Stockton's going to make big plays in key moments. I don't know the wide receivers love going to Georgia because of what you have to do at Georgia first and foremost in order to get touches and the passing games. It's just, it's just not electric. It's not sexy enough for some of these wide receivers who are the five stars coming up. I want to go to Texas to play for Sark with Arch. I want to go to Ohio State. Look, they just produce, I want to go to LSU. I want to go to, so I think and I, and from what I'm hearing out of camp, the wide receiver room is the one that maybe has the biggest question mark. So that's going to be, that's going to be what I'm watching especially early in this season. All right, we got to play some catch up now. Two-minute drill. C block here. This is my favorite one. This is going to be good. I have none of these. Buy or BS. Do you buy what I'm saying or are you calling bullshit? Buy or BS is the name of it. I'm going to give you five things on the clock. Give me about, give me 15 to 20 to rip it off. You got 60 seconds or so to buy, to buy what I'm saying or to call BS. You ready? Got it. Yep. Miami. Darian Mensa is an upgrade and makes Miami the best team in college football. Two questions there. Absolutely. Darian Mensa is an upgrade and I'm buying that. You know, I just think he is. I mean, he led the power for conferences in passing last year. He is an assassin. He is a surgeon. Is Mensa? How about this? Is Mensa an upgrade over the last two quarterbacks for my 100% yes. I think so. I think he's the best. He's the best transfer for my gun. Yeah. And I think there's reason there was a legal fight for this kid. I think all of it like there is. I think he's that good. I think he's an elite quarterback. So that's saying we got to be careful. I'm not I'm not like just like. I think for college football season going in with the experience with the ability to distribute with the way he throws the football. Cam Ward is more physically gifted. There is no question. He was the number one overall pick about it. Mens is sealing even if he has the best year humanly possible this year. He's not a number one overall pick. But he but he could be a first rounder. Ooh, I don't know man. Okay. It depends on how it all falls out. That's what I'll say. I don't think it's. But most most scouts had had Cam Ward as a third, third, fourth rounder going into his year. That's what I mean. That's what I mean. That would be the first. Yeah. That's what I mean. It does make them the best team in the country. We'll see. Again, I already hinted at it. Let's see how the offensive line gels, how quickly and what level they get to. Is it as good as last year? And the defense again going to be good. Is it going to be great? Number two, LSU. Sam Levitt under Kiffin. Is this year's Mendoza? Absolutely not. Mendoza Cal was getting because at Mendoza Cal, it was, I think more than anything else was a protection issue and him holding on to the ball too long. It was a lot of sacks. Okay. Levitt, when he gets time, and he can deliver the ball, he doesn't need time. He doesn't need time. Okay. No quarterback needs time. Do you know that's a matter of fact. They should play for real. Nice. It's nice. Obviously, I'm saying, Levitt needs less, Levitt can produce more under duress than Mendoza can under duress. Levitt can get himself out of trouble. Levitt is like an explosive dynamic runner, scrambler, extender, creator. Just like Fernando Mendoza. That's what I mean. He's not the next Fernando Mendoza. Like Mendoza is the next Fernando Mendoza. Like you could say that he's the next came ward. You could say he's the next John Matier. You could put it up in the middle. I mean a transfer portal quarterback coming in with very obvious weaknesses, but very obvious skill set that translates to top five, top 10 pick. If he's with the right coach, right coaching staff, right system, and and follows and falls in line. Mendoza needed to cut down on mistakes. Mendoza needed to know where to go with the football. He needed an offensive system and parameters and discipline in place in order to bring out the best in him and more talent than he had at Cal. No question. I see the same thing with Levitt. I think Levitt's more physically, I don't think Levitt is more physically gifted than Mendoza, even though Mendoza is four inches taller and 20 pounds heavier. He's dynamic. He's explosive. He's got a bigger arm. It's a looser arm. Mendoza was way farther long in his progress as a quarterback coming out of college. Fine. Levitt is fine, but you know, now you bring in Levitt with Kipton. Yeah. And I don't know. We agree to disagree. You're calling BS. I buy what I'm calling BS. Yeah. Here's the third one for you. And it involves Ohio State Texas IU. And you can actually go multiple multiple choice. Yeah, I'm looking around to make sure I'm not missing anyone else.
Ohio State. Texas. Yeah that would be it. Indiana and Texas actually have a better wide receiver tandem top two receivers than Ohio State does with with Jeremiah Smith who's obviously the best off, but opposite him is in this and you get the freshman and Chris Jr. Yeah. Yeah. Go. It's a lot. Do we buy in it? Cause you got Charlie Becker. And I think I am buying it. I hate this question. I'm going to go buy. I love the premise because we don't know enough about Chris Henry Jr. I think he's going to be awesome. And the Jeremiah Smith is obviously the best receiver in the country. Don't get me wrong. I think Texas right now is actually number one because it can't Coleman. If you have not, if you've not watched Coleman's tape, like go on, go on, like just go through all just don't highlights on YouTube. Do yourself a favor. He is again, I think the gap between Coleman and Jeremiah Smith is going to get tighter as we get closer to the draft. And Ryan wing goes. It's it's AJ Green Coleman is the AJ Green. Yes. Yeah. It was a 2011. Yep. I'm telling 11. Yeah, that was 2011. Yeah. And Julio Jones is here on my Smith. I love that that comp. I really do. And I think Ryan Wingo is frustrating as he is. Man, he's good. He's good. Like he's he's just you see when when he's playing at a high level, you see him after the catch his frame is ability. I mean, his frame and his is just strength. Oh, he's so good. I think Texas has the best one to punch in the in the country. And then you put in Indiana there too. And they're pretty good. I might I might have a high let's say the head of Indiana, but it's right there, man. It's right there. So I love the premise. I hate the question. Let's talk. Let's let's check back in in November. I want to see how Henry Jr. does. Oklahoma is my next one. There's two remaining. Oklahoma and Texas are their last two. Okay. Oh, for Oklahoma. If I told you, I'm going to pitch this to you. Okay. John Mateer was like, he was like, he was, I don't want to say anything offensive. He was a he was 15 to 20% of himself last year. Credence, we didn't see John Mateer after the thumb injury. He has spent the off season training, re shaping his his delivery. He is the embodiment of what you want in a leader tough guy. Team first, he's everything. Oklahoma's got that front office with Jim naggy putting like they are, they love the fact no one's talking about Oklahoma this off season. You know, we had Texas and Georgia's going to be back. They're ascending and we had LSU with Kiffin and look at Ohio State again. Oregon's got the best roster in the world. Miami's a sneaky team in that ACC. Nobody's talking about Oklahoma. What have I said to you? I think there's a legitimate chance that John Mateer is finishes top three in Heisman voting by the end of the year. What would you say? Buy it or BS? Buy it or BS, man. I'm going BS and I'll get into it later. I I I'm buying all of the positive stuff around Mateer. Like I'm here for it. Love watching the player. I just think and he's going to Mateer every once in a while. And I think that their schedule is so tough that they it gives him the opportunity, right? That he gives him the big stage for him to have a Heisman year. But I don't think it'll quite all come together, especially when we're looking at all of these talented quarterbacks around the country. Like it's going to be tough. It's going to be I one of the things we haven't talked about is with all that town of quarterback, this is going to be a great Heisman race. It's going to be an unbelievable Heisman race. Last one. Last one. There were there were two really high profile teams last year that came into the year. Some people had a number one, including me like I didn't have Penn State one. I was lower on Penn State coming into the year. I had Clemson at number one coming into the year. They both finished out of the top 25 Clemson and Penn State. They both were ranked like preseason top five. I think if you looked at like AP and coaches. Yeah. I've got Texas at five. Most like if I were to pitch to you, Texas is the and I kind of feel like we cover this. But also I want you to look at Miami as an organ is Notre Dame is Ohio State could it be Indiana could it be Georgia of those seven teams is Texas the most likely to be this year's Penn State or Clemson. If I said that they were, are you buying it or are you calling BS? I'm buying it. I'm buying the most talented and maybe tied for the most talented roster in all of college football. Yeah. But that's what we did with Clemson last year too. And I and I think the Texas has a tougher road to go like they like it's road to ho like it's to me in that group. Yes. Like I'm tempted to go with Georgia. But Kirby is so consistent in what they do in their process. Whereas I love Sark as a head coach. I really think he's an excellent head coach. It's just that if the wheels come off in Austin. I think it could be it could get it could get bad. I think it could get bad. So I think they are the most likely do I think it's going to happen. I want to make sure that everyone in Austin understands this. No, I don't. I think it's more likely that Arch makes a Heisman run in Texas goes to the playoff that it is that they drop out of the top 10. But if you're looking at this group, it's a good group, man. That's a good group. That's a strong 10. Texas A&M didn't even make it in there. It's a good group. Texas has enough questions and enough pressure that they could be the candidate to be the team that falls out. All right. Beautiful. This is well played final block. One we got one thing each. We're going to call it plant your flag. You can take this anywhere, a bench. You can plant a flag on an offensive guard from Weber State if you want. Yeah. You can plant your flag anywhere you want to plant it. Heisman finishing the top 10 that's not listed here. National championship. Make the college football. I don't care where you plant it. But if you had one thing that we can remember, clip and come back to either laugh at or heap praise. Plant your flag on something as we embark on week one of the college football season. Oklahoma is a top 10 team. I'm done with we're going to the playoff take. They ain't going to the playoff, dude. You got miss you. You're going to Michigan and when I'll get back, I'm going to circle back on that one. Okay. You're at Georgia. You got Texas. I mean, these are not this just doesn't even include the pitfalls. Then you end the season with Ole Miss A&M Missouri. And as much as and I'm going to just go back to this a little bit. As much as I love John Meteor, he does things that will drive you nuts. He's going to win a couple of those games. You're going to fall in love with them. You're going to look at those tapes and say they had no chance. They had no business winning that game. But Meteor pulled through and then you're going to go back and be like, what happened against Florida or South Carolina? There's going to be that schedule, man. Again, excellent team. They're doing everything right in Norman, Oklahoma. They are going to be competitive for a long time and deserve to be in that top 10. I just think the schedule's too much overcoming. I'm telling you right now, this is my second sneaky take. Michigan's not going to be a playoff team. Their schedule is ridiculous. But they are the they are a team to watch is going to be a team that really has an impact on what the playoff picture looks like. Because that schedule, though, Ohio State, Oregon, Oklahoma, I think there's another team that I'm missing. They Kyle Winningham's going to go there and he's going to stable. He's going to bring stability to that program. And Jason Beck, I don't think people realize with Devon Dampier at Utah, they had the fourth highest scoring offense in the country last year. How good will Bryce Underwood be under him? I don't know yet, but I think he'll be better. And again, I think Michigan, I don't and armor fans don't want to hear this right now. I don't think they're a playoff team, but I don't want to play them. I don't want any part of that game. Telling another team in the big 10, you don't want any part of. Yep. I owe a hot guys. By the way, the big 10's a little deeper than I remember. But go ahead. I think I think I I'm planting my flag on this. Fuck it. You ready? I'm I'm planting my flag on the big 10's going to wind up with five teams in the college football playoff. Okay. And I was going to be one of them. I will win. I will win nine and four last year. Losses by three to Iowa State, Indiana National Champion by five, Oregon, by two. And USC and it took McKay Lemon, like rabbit out of a hat, shit in the fourth quarter. They lost the USC by five. They were already a playoff caliber team last year, truly. Yeah, they were good. Norm, you talk about a formula that travels, bro. Norm Parker's defense travels. That defense is going to smother you, confuse you, frustrate you and they're just going to keep punching in the mouth no matter what the offense does in the position to put that defense in.
Okay. Zach Lutmer's your guy, secondary, right? Special player. At Vanessa, like potential breakout up front. Then you get the offensive line and the run game, okay? You're talking about a couple potential first rounders along that offensive front. Yeah, you're there arguably the best. Yeah, look at that smile on that line. I love that line. Everyone stands on them every year. They're just standing there happy. That offensive line is coached up and you got two first rounders, all right? Then you got Kamari Motten's back, 878 yards, five yards of pop last year. L.J. Phillips transfers in from South Dakota. He had 1920 yards and 19 touchdowns at the FCS level last year. Let me repeat that, 1920 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns. They don't go hand pick guys. They always pick guys that nobody knows about South Dakota and then bring them in like, let's roll. They don't need great quarterback play and I don't think they're gonna have it. I keep looking for updates. Is it Hank Brown? Is it Jeremy Haclinsky? Yeah, who's he gonna theme in? But they don't have to carry. You got two great tight ends I've talked about with DJ Vaughn. Yes. And then the USC transfer is more of a blocker. I've told you about Tony Diaz. That little shit man at U-T-R-S-V-J-W, whatever school of Rigo Van Wherever it was. Real Grand Valley. Yeah, for, I mean, the 15 yards per catch and he's like, balls in the, yeah. I just, I like in the schedule gives opportunity. They get Ohio State at Kinnick. They play Michigan at Michigan and Washington. But after that brutal stretch. That's a three game stretch early on. Yeah, boom, boom, boom. Fine, let's go win one of them. Let's win one. Yeah, yes. Then it's on the Minnesota Wisconsin, Northwestern, Purdue, Illinois, Nebraska. Like they ain't no Oregon. They're ain't no Penn State. They're ain't no Indiana on this. Like, that's it. Yeah. All right, reminder, the McShay report is out. If you want a deep dive into all the quarterbacks and their quarterback rankings, it's out McShay report. You can go to the ringer.com/McShay or Google the McShay report. Please subscribe. It's gonna be the year to do it, man. I'm telling you, you got Miami winning it, right? You, that's your futures. That's, that's, that's, that's, yep. All right. I got, but I also had, I also had, and she stayed as a nine-win team. And I, and I want to throw up. Yeah. Oregon wins it all this year. Great way to end. Manager five stars. Five stars. Thanks, man. Must be 21 plus in present in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas star Casino or 18 plus in present in DC. Kentucky or Wyoming? Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler or 1-800-MyReset. Call 1-888-789-77777 or visit ccpg.org/chat in Connecticut or visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gamblinghelplinema.org or call 1-800-327-5050 for 24/7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8-HOPE-NY or text Hope-NY in New York. For Louisiana, call 1-877-770-7867.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The host releases a new college football power ranking, placing Miami, Oregon, and Notre Dame in the top tier, with Texas and Georgia also receiving high rankings despite skepticism on key team weaknesses.
A major focus is on quarterback development, especially Arch Manning, Sam Levitt, and Dante Moore, with the host emphasizing that talent alone doesn’t guarantee success—offensive line performance, defensive consistency, and coaching execution are critical.
The host breaks down his top 10 rankings into four blocks
The "one thing" question for each top 16 team centers on the defining factor for a national championship—such as front-seven dominance (Miami), overcoming big-game pressure (Oregon), or quarterback growth (Texas, Indiana).
The host promotes the McShay report as a deep dive into quarterback rankings, with expanded coverage from 50 to 250+ evaluations by season’s end, available via subscription or direct link.
He highlights Oklahoma as a top-10 contender despite a tough schedule, citing John McKay’s recovery and leadership, while questioning whether Texas or Georgia are the most likely to win the national title due to roster depth and pressure.
A key takeaway is that the Big 10 will feature five playoff teams, with Michigan and others being strong but not yet playoff-caliber, and the host plants his flag on the Big 10’s playoff strength as a central theme.
Summary:
The host presents a detailed college football power ranking for the season, emphasizing a top-10 list that includes Miami, Oregon, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Texas, Georgia, and Indiana. He argues that while talent is crucial, success hinges on execution—particularly offensive line strength, quarterback development, and defensive discipline. He breaks down each team’s potential, highlighting concerns with Texas’s run game and pass protection, Indiana’s quarterback consistency, and LSU’s rebuilding process.
The episode centers on the "one thing" that determines a national championship run—such as front-seven dominance or big-game composure. A major promotional element is the release of the McShay report, which offers in-depth quarterback analysis and forecasts expanding to 250+ evaluations by season’s end. The host also makes strong predictions about individual players, like Arch Manning’s breakout potential and John McKay’s Heisman chances, while asserting that the Big 10 will have five playoff teams.
Ultimately, the piece blends analytics, personal insights, and fan engagement, positioning Texas and Georgia as the most likely national champions amid a competitive field, while warning that success depends on overcoming key weaknesses in execution and consistency.
FAQs
The McShay Report is a deep dive into college football quarterbacks, including rankings and detailed evaluations. It's available at ringer.com/McShay or by searching 'McShay report' online. Subscribers receive it directly in their inbox.
The key factors include offensive line strength, quarterback performance, defensive consistency, and the ability to perform in high-pressure situations. Teams are evaluated on whether they can maintain excellence in these areas throughout the season.
The speaker ranks teams based on talent, recent performance, and specific concerns like offensive line development, quarterback readiness, and defensive consistency. Notable teams include Miami, Oregon, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Texas, Georgia, Indiana, LSU, Oklahoma, and Ole Miss.
The speaker questions Texas's ability to pass protect and run the ball effectively, citing concerns about arch's development and offensive line performance. They believe more evidence is needed before elevating Texas to a top-tier team.
The biggest question mark for LSU is whether its offensive line can gel quickly enough under new coach Lane Kiffin, especially with a young, unproven front seven and a need for immediate consistency.
The speaker highlights Arch, Sam Levitt, and Dante Moore as key prospects to watch, noting that their success will depend on coaching, team chemistry, and performance under pressure.
Chat with AI
Loading...
Pro features
Go deeper with this episode
Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.