The transcript explores the growing issue of financialization in the economy—where financial markets dominate and generate profits without creating tangible value for workers or society. Experts like Oren Kass argue that this trend, driven by hedge funds, private equity, and speculative trading, undermines real economic growth and stability. While financial markets are vital, their increasing share of GDP and corporate profits has outpaced productive investment, especially in manufacturing and labor-intensive industries. The shift began in the 1970s and 80s with deregulation and free trade, leading to periods of financial overreach and economic imbalance. Historically, such shifts have followed cycles of overreach and correction, as seen in industrial revolutions and trust busting. Today, both left and right agree that financialization is harmful, though they differ on policy responses—left-leaning views favor regulation, while right-leaning thinkers criticize market fundamentalism. The crisis is compounded by a lack of transparency, lobbying influence, and flawed assumptions about trade and consumption. A key insight is that economic policy must move beyond narrow models of consumption to address real productivity, labor rights, and national competitiveness. As financialization accelerates, there is a growing consensus that sustainable growth requires a return to balanced policies that prioritize real-world investment, worker well-being, and industrial resilience. This shift reflects a broader political realignment toward re-industrialization and economic sovereignty, signaling a move away from purely market-driven models.
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Hey, everybody. Welcome to the Weekly Show Podcast.
My name is Jon Stewart. I am the host of this.
And today, oh, special thing.
Tonight, the halftime of the podcast.
We're going to have someone do a halftime show entirely in Latvian.
They're just going to sing.
I'm still recovering from just the anger.
Outrage that the right expressed over a fun musical.
They've gotten so, so weak, so, so thin, so feeble that they can't go 15 minutes without hearing a country song.
It just it hurts them.
It hurts the country.
It hurts the foundation that we were built upon to have something like that.
My favorite was somebody mentioned, you know.
Trump is complaining.
The whole thing is in Spanish.
And you're like, you know, that the name of the place you live, you know, the language that's derived from.
Right.
Mar-a-Lago.
Yeah, that ain't.
That that ain't from London, brother.
But moving on to more important things.
You know, I read an article.
Just recently that I've been waiting for so long to read as coming from someone from the right, which was about how our economy has.
Over has been over financialized, you know, that the financial services has become too large a part and it's hurting ultimately the bottom line.
And I, you know, and I'm sure that there are 50 years of left wing economists out there who saw the article and just rolled their eyes and thought, yeah, finally.
But I was excited to see it and to see that it was written by our old pal, friend of the show.
It's a title not bestowed often.
Friend.
the show, and he is joining us today to discuss this article and to discuss these larger issues
in general that an over-financialization of the economy may portend for the future stability
of our economy. So I'm delighted to welcome back Oren Kass.
Ladies and gentlemen, please allow me to reintroduce himself. His name is Oren Kass,
Oren Kass. Oren, it's so nice to see you again. You are the chief economist
at American Compass, and that is a self-imposed title, or that's. Self-imposed is good. Yes, self-imposed.
The founder and chief economist at American Compass Think Tank,
contributing opinion writer for the Financial Times and the New York Times, which is why I
wanted to talk to you. You recently wrote an op-ed in the New York Times, and it is an op-ed
I have been waiting for.
Young man, for many, many years, to come from someone who is more or is classified as more
on the right. So to get into it, I want you to briefly explain. It was about the idea
that the financialization of our economy is a net negative. But I want you to give just sort of a
brief description of this op-ed and sort of what. What motivated you to write it.
Sure. Well, thank you for having me on to talk about it. These are always a lot of fun.
Always.
You know, financialization, I guess we probably have to define it as a starting point. It is
essentially, and there are all sorts of technical definitions, but essentially it refers to the
increasing role of financial markets in the economy, where they sort of become ends unto
themselves, and people start transacting and rejiggering and contributing.
Right.
And they start configuring businesses and taking cash out, not with any effort to create anything
valuable in the real world, simply to generate more cash out of the activity.
Give some examples of what financialization specifically, what that might be.
Sure. So you see it in a lot of the kind of Wall Street firms. If you think about hedge funds,
private equity funds, right? A lot of the time what they're doing is they're collecting a whole
lot of money and, you know, interesting question where that money comes from. And then they're
going out and looking for things that they think they can buy at one price and sell at a higher
price. So if you're a hedge fund, right, in the case of what's called a high frequency trading
hedge fund, you don't even care what you're buying and selling. You're literally building
bigger fiber optic cables to try to race your trades to the floor faster so that you can get
out in front of whoever else is bidding on them. You make a teeny, teeny little bit on millions of
transactions and ta-da, you've generated a profit. You haven't actually done anything useful. You've
just extracted value from somewhere else. If, you know, you're a private equity firm,
in a lot of cases, what you're trying to do is say, let's go out and find a series of smaller
businesses. Maybe they're privately run. Maybe the people running them aren't even just maximizing
profit. Maybe they're veterinarian clinics, let's say, or nursing homes. And can you buy up a bunch
of them, combine them together, maybe squeeze out, you know, squeeze the customers a little harder,
squeeze the workers a little harder, get more cash out of it.
Now you have a profit. And now could you sell it to someone else? Can you, you know, when you talk
about financial engineering, can you do what's called a capital restructuring? So add a lot more
debt to it so that you can earn more money. Now you've also added more risk, which means if
something goes wrong, it turns out firms bought by private equity funds are five to 10 more times
likely to go bankrupt. Well, if you're a private equity fund, okay, well, if I buy a hundred,
I'm okay with a bunch of them going bankrupt. I can generate more profit on balance from taking
more risk.
Uh, even though of course all the workers at the firms that went bankrupt only had the one job.
Um, and, and so you see in, in financial markets, a lot of this kind of activity,
I think it's important to say financial markets are important, right? Like I think capitalism
is great to economists. I would say that's, there you go, right? Like the idea that you want to have
bankers and others who are collecting people's savings, collecting capital, finding productive
ways to deploy it. That's incredibly important. And I think that's a great way to do it.
They deserve a return on doing that. I have no problem with someone making a good living,
becoming rich, doing that. The problem is that the share of the activity on wall street and
financial markets that actually represents productive investment, actually causing anybody
to build anything new and useful in the world keeps going down. And so even as financial markets,
the financial sector as a share of our economy keeps getting bigger, bigger share of GDP,
the biggest source of corporate profits,
number one place that people from top business schools go to that keeps getting bigger. And yet
in parallel, the actual amount of real investment happening in our economy keeps going down.
Right.
And so that's the disconnect that first of all, I think it's just, that is a problem in and of
itself, but it also then obviously has incredible consequences for the real economy, for the,
for the country as we experience it.
And this is, I think a generally a critique that has been leveled more on the, on the left. Would
you say that?
That is, and, and so you, I think are more associated with the right. And I guess my
question is, do you still have an office where you are or have they, once they read this op-ed,
did they put you in the mop room? Are you, do you have a window, I guess?
Well, I, as you can see, I have, I have lovely windows behind me.
I figured they weren't, that's not your real office.
No, no, this is my office. I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm out in the woods. We have a lot of snow on the ground,
but no, the, the nice thing about being chief economist is I guess you can,
you can say whatever you want, but it dictates its own terms.
Is, is, is financialization, is it a perversion of what sort of the, the markets is the critique
that, uh, first of all, why do you think it happened? Why do you think that these financializations
grew faster than what you would consider to be the economy of real things, jobs and industrial
policy and those kinds of things? What, how did this happen?
Yeah, it's a, it's a great question. And, and the way I understand it is, you know,
not quite that it's a perversion. And, and I think it's also important to say,
you know, at the end of the day, the folks doing a lot of this stuff on wall street, uh, you know,
it's also in a lot of companies that are even operating companies, increasingly, they try to
suck money out for shareholders rather than build up companies. You know, it's not like they're
doing anything illegal. It's not, you know, it's not like they're doing anything illegal. It's not,
So they're not even lying about it.
a scam. They are operating in the system as we have constructed it. And so the core of the problem
in my mind is that, you know, the entire premise of capitalism, you go all the way back to Adam
Smith and all the way back to the invisible hand. The core of your critique is the entire system of
capitalism? No, exactly the opposite. I think that the entire system of capitalism, well,
this is a good point, right? A lot of people say, well, this is the problem. Capitalism is just
broken and can't work. I feel exactly the opposite. I think that the basic premise of capitalism,
the idea that you want to have a system where, you know, people are always going to pursue their
self-interest, right? So the question is, can you have a system in which people pursuing their
self-interest also serves the public interest so that the things that generate the most profit for
you also turn out to be good for other people? And if you go all the way back to Adam Smith and the
other question, this is actually exactly what he was describing. You know, the invisible hand has
become this like, it's a bad metaphor because it sounds like this magical force. Like it doesn't
matter what you do, somehow magically it will work out great for everybody. As long as you don't
intervene. I mean, it wasn't the idea of that, that governments should not intervene in what
these markets will create on their own through supply and demand and the other. Well, that was
certainly not, that was certainly not Smith's view. That is what it has become for a lot of
modern economists. But if you go back, the paragraph where Smith uses the term invisible
hand, he only uses it once, is it actually starts by noting that he's expecting that
people will prefer investing domestically to investing in foreign countries and that people
will prefer to invest in the ways that produce the most things of greatest value. And what he's
saying is that if that's true, if somebody pursuing profit, the way they're going to do it is by
investing a lot domestically in creating things of value, then it's like there's an invisible hand
that somehow ensures that what they are doing in their own self-interest also serves the public
interest. So he's explaining how this can work, right? This is like at the very outset of markets,
people are like, whoa, what's going on here? And he's saying, no, no, no. See, look, if the things
that people are doing to earn a lot of money also leads to good outcomes, then this could be a great
system. It'll be quite stable.
Yeah. And the way it turned out is the invisible hand sometimes slaps you across the face. And then
that's the difficulty.
That's right. I think – and so this goes to my point about like what are people doing? What's
gone wrong? It seems to me that people in their self-interest are then always going to look at
the system and say like, okay, well, is there an even easier way to make more money? Maybe that
doesn't create so much good stuff for other people. And you see over and over again throughout
history that happening, right? So if you go back to the
Industrial Revolution, you had a period where – the Industrial Revolution was working out
horribly for most workers. I mean people were literally getting shorter, dying earlier and
people would say like, gosh, we probably need like some labor laws, right? Like we probably
need to make it a rule that as you build these massive –
If you're eight years old, you shouldn't be in a factory necessarily.
Right. Maybe that also. Like maybe this will work better if one of the constraints we impose is if you want to make a lot of money building big
factories, you also have to use adult workers and treat them reasonably. That will work and then – in fact, people started doing that and you had what I would call the much more beneficial industrial revolution that led to huge productivity gains, ultimately the creation of the middle class.
You had the same thing at the end of the 19th century with the giant trusts, right? Rockefeller and so forth and railroads and utilities. People are saying like, oh, like I could make a lot of money if I just monopolize this thing.
Well, that's a fair point and that's when Teddy Roosevelt shows up and says like, well, OK. Teddy Roosevelt, republican. But this is not – this system does not work. We actually are going to have to do trust busting. So I think you sort of go through these cycles where then what happened in the second half of the 20th century, you have the financialization and I think globalization are sort of parallel. A lot of people said, wow, and obviously we pursued free trade. We deregulated financial markets.
People said, well, this is great. The easiest way to make a lot of money is to do this set of things that does not create good jobs, does not necessarily produce growth. So that's what people started doing.
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So what you are describing feels very akin to my view. Like as you speak, it feels like a salve to my soul. I hear what you're saying. You say, you know, financial markets at profit is a wonderful driver of these things. But to utilize the energy of that profit motive, governments must also
find ways to create a more sustainable value for the people through their labor and other things
that's my understanding of of sort of what you would think is is leftist economics isn't kind
of milton friedman you know the patron saint of of this sort of no that's not what economics and
capitalism is about it's about pure profit and that pure profit and the pursuit of it is actually
what will create the most value is this a a rebuttal to to that to friedman who i mean if
you could say in the 70s when he comes out that sort of leads us into the deregulation of uh the
financial markets and leads us into globalization and all these political policies
that might lead to incredibly high you know capital then wins and labor kind of loses
yeah it's it's definitely a rebuttal of them um i think the important thing to say in the
political context though is that until they came along this wasn't a left-right fight in the way
that we think about it now okay so you know friedman and the other guy gets associated with
us a lot friedrich hayek yes um and you're gonna get some nasty letters from the
hayeks man those guys oh yes they are they are active online for sure what you find is that
friedman and hayek were not conservatives and and they would not have described themselves
as conservatives in fact hayek maybe his most famous essay is called why i am not a conservative
literally that's the title of the essay and and it goes to exactly what you're just describing
which is that hayek basically says the wonder of the self-regulating market is what produces
prosperity and you just basically have to have faith that it will work and get out of the way
and all these conservatives out there like don't have enough faith in that
and that's a real problem right and so up until that period as you said kind of the 70s and the
80s obviously conservatives and and progressives were fighting about all sorts of things but it
wasn't the conservative view that well if we just get out of the way um markets will magically fix
everything i mean just thinking about like that doesn't actually sound very conservative
if you stop and think about it for a moment and what happened in our politics is ronald reagan
came along right and reagan built this coalition reagan combined what you would call the free
Hayek's and Friedman's, literally guys walking around with Adam Smith neckties.
Do they still sell those?
I don't know if they do.
I wanted to reference this thing.
So I tried to do a little research.
I think we've moved on maybe from that.
But combine that with the more traditional mainstream conservatism and then also the
Cold War hawks, right?
You had a whole bunch of people all of a sudden who were like, let's go start lots of wars.
And it's also they viewed it as, I think, a battle between communism, which they viewed
as sort of a very blanket, suffocating state that was dictating terms.
That's exactly right.
That's what these groups had in common was they all believed that the top priority was
defeating communism, whether that was in market economic terms, whether that was in
social and religious terms.
Putting in God we trust on a coin and then moving on.
Yes.
And grand strategy from all perspectives.
And I give them a lot.
A credit.
It worked, right?
They did win the Cold War.
And that was very important.
But that coalition then sort of lived on even after its animating purpose was gone.
And so it's really in a lot of ways after the Cold War is won that things get out of
control, that you start just saying, well, we're just going to keep cutting taxes no
matter what.
I mean, Reagan raised taxes five times when his initial reform didn't generate the revenue
he wanted.
Reagan was a protectionist.
Reagan slapped all sorts of tariffs and stuff.
On the Japanese.
After the Cold War is won, this coalition sort of just keeps going.
So you get the economic view that, no, no, no, it really is just the market is the end
unto itself.
I use the term market fundamentalism, which people think like, yeah, sure, it's a little
derogatory.
It doesn't sound great.
But it's also a descriptive term.
I mean, what is a fundamentalism?
It is a sort of overly simplistic attempt to impose a very rigid set of beliefs.
It's often in a way that completely misinterprets the original texts, but that concentrates. Are you sure you're not a lefty?
You're preaching, baby.
I keep trying to keep myself from going, amen, Oren.
Come on, man.
Well, you're going to get me in trouble with this, John.
So maybe we'll do a quick five-minute interview where I give you some of my more conservative
views.
That's what we're going to need later.
But, you know, fundamentalism is a sense of sort of not only just reinterpreting,
very rigid view, but that is specifically designed to give all of the authority to this
narrow set of people who claim a special wisdom over what must be done.
And so this is what certainly right-of-center economics, and to some extent, I would say
broadly, economics became.
It was this sort of almost priesthood where if you didn't understand that financial
deregulation and free trade were going to be great for the typical worker, that was just
because you were not sophisticated enough.
Or did they even care?
Oh, I think they did for the most part.
OK.
My experience having been in the political world for a while is like, yeah, there are
outright bad actors.
But by and large, if you're an economist, if you're even someone running for office
in most cases, if you want to work in government, you may have convinced yourself of this in
some way, in various ways.
But at the end of the day, you are trying to do good things.
And so a lot of folks really deeply believed.
And let's remember on the, I mean, globalization, financialization, this was as much Clinton
as it was Bush.
It was an entirely sort of bipartisan consensus.
And so these folks really, they really did believe it.
Let me ask you when, because my understanding of sort of the shift of this was we shifted
from kind of, if I'm thinking about it in kind of epochs, you know, you have the new
deal epoch where it's kind of the government decides, we also have to create a kind of
framework of a safety net around to help maybe in some ways ameliorate the collateral damage
that the system may create for people at the lower levels.
And then that begins to shift in the 70s with Friedman and those guys into this, you know,
the famous Laffer curve.
The 1980s supply side trickle down economics.
What made that switch into trickle down and what were they using to kind of justify that?
And are the things that you're saying, is that consistent with sort of that understanding
of those eras?
Yeah, I think that's a good description of the eras.
I would think about it more as a pendulum swinging though.
I think it's helpful to, in general, think about what happens in our politics.
The New Deal emerges in response to the Great Depression and what had been a very minimalist
government that clearly was not serving people's needs at that point.
And so I think with FDR, you get this real swing of the pendulum all the way from – we're
much too far to one side.
You come to, OK, we got to fix this and then swing through to an overcorrection where by
the kind of great society – LBJ, great society programs of the 60s –
Is that where –
Conservatives would look at, OK, I mean they were against maybe the New Deal as well.
But is it the great society that is the cleaving point for them?
You know, I think certainly if you talk about sort of what parts of the welfare state as
it's been constructed that we would say like, yeah, that was really good versus that's
not so good.
There's definitely a very different view of New Deal type social insurance, right?
Basic social security, fair labor standards, you don't see a lot of republicans out there
saying.
Let's get back to child labor or whatever.
There's a couple of them.
There's a couple.
You can find them.
But by and large, I think people on the right would say those were good.
Great society in the 60s, I think you'd see more of a mix.
I think on things like Medicare, obviously that's widely supported.
But wasn't.
I mean Reagan famously came out – I don't know if you've ever heard that great recording
of Reagan talking about Medicare as the socialist creep.
He cut advertisements against Medicare.
Against Medicare.
No, that's right.
So there's – that is certainly where – well, of course, if you go back to the 30s, you
would have republicans saying the same thing about social security and so you get – there's
both sort of more of an acceptance of good parts over time, more of I think an increasingly
sharp critique of pieces that didn't work.
But so you get in the great society, I would say, you swing through the, oh, these were
good things that we really should have in this country into, whoa, we're starting
to build up some stuff that is creating problems.
I think you see the same thing, for instance, with organized labor where I think the idea
of worker power, workers having unions, et cetera, that's a fantastic thing.
By the way, Adam Smith did too.
But you swing from they don't have any power representation at all to, OK, good, they have
a seat at the table, they have equal standing to by the 1970s in a lot of cases, they are
actively leveraging that power into a lot of quite counterproductive things, I would
argue.
I'm becoming somewhat corrupt in and of.
Yeah.
I mean, using the money and those kinds of things.
Right.
And so I think if you think about what was called the sort of stagflation of the 1970s,
we were in a very bad position economically.
And what the supply-siders came in and said, which was fundamentally correct, like I would
describe myself as a supply-sider, is you can't just fix the economy, you can't get
the growth you want just through what had become the main government model, which is
just giving you the money.
You have to give people more money to spend.
That at some point, the question is, what are the incentives for businesses to invest
and build stuff or not?
Right?
It goes back to that piece of capitalism I think we entirely agree on, which is you do
want the profit motive driving positive behavior.
Right.
And so the basic idea of supply-side economics is to say, look, one of the best ways to spur
growth would actually be to improve the incentives of people to invest and build and grow businesses,
that that can be good for workers too.
I think that's correct.
But I think that then you pull this pendulum back in the other direction.
You do some things that are more business-friendly.
You create a better environment for investment.
That's great.
And then that swings straight all the way through to anything that's good for corporations
and leads to more profits or reduces taxes is always going to be better.
And same with, OK, we did have over-regulation a lot of cases.
Well, therefore, any – and we did need various types of deregulation.
Let's swing that all the way through to just the less regulation, the better.
The market will automatically work.
And so I think we sort of got all the way back up to that side of the pendulum and now
we are – we need to swing back down again.
So then it becomes what are the tools in the arsenal that can help us swing the pendulums
back and does the policy discussion become, all right, are the tools tax incentives, disclosure
rules, or as you were saying, like limits on buybacks?
So what are the tools now that we look at or the metrics that we look at that tell us
we've gone too far?
Is it – I can point to wage growth.
You don't get a tremendous amount of wage growth or income inequality tells me the system
is out of balance.
What are the tools that we can use then that bring it more back into that balance?
Yeah.
So that's exactly where the rubber meets the road on all this.
And I think it's interestingly where you start.
start to see some of the traditional political divisions reemerge because my view is it's
a real problem if you have left and right disagreeing on the diagnosis, right?
I think both sides have gotten into that –
Trevor Burrus: Do they disagree still or is it – it feels like they're still disagreeing?
Jason Kuznicki: Much less so.
Trevor Burrus: OK.
Jason Kuznicki: There is some.
So I think if you look back to the 2000s let's say, the Republican Party had really dug into
a position of saying essentially we have achieved equal opportunity.
Everyone can succeed and build a great business and actually if we adjust the numbers in this
way, everybody's wages are going up and therefore that's – you would be surprised
how many people's full-time job is to adjust the numbers to show that wages are going up.
Trevor Burrus: Yes, I'm sure.
Jason Kuznicki: But – and sort of therefore ta-da, we don't need to take action on any
of these.
Trevor Burrus: Exactly.
Jason Kuznicki: We don't need to take action on any of these fronts because in fact everything
is going great and you would also see that on things like – I think like climate change
is another quintessential example where – well, we're not – if we acknowledge that climate
change is an issue, well then, are we going to just have to embrace the Green New Deal?
Let's just say that it's not a problem.
I think we have plenty of issues of that type on both sides I would say.
We can talk about ways where the left doesn't want to say that something is a problem because
if they do, well then, what right should we have to accept?
Trevor Burrus: Sure.
Well, you're saying that now with the argument about housing supply where you would say that
they want to say that this is a problem but we don't want to also say that over-regulation
might be a problem, especially environmental regulations that may have to fix it.
So you have – I see those tensions in any of the places.
Jason Kuznicki: Exactly.
Trevor Burrus: So my view is just that that is a very unhealthy partisanship, right?
Like there is nothing partisan about trying to figure out what is actually happening.
Jason Kuznicki: So I don't think that's happening in the world.
We should be able to reach a common description of that.
Now we might apply different values to it, say which parts are good versus bad.
So conservatives might say we're comfortable with a relatively higher level of inequality
than progressives might.
But we shouldn't be disagreeing on what that level is.
Jason Kuznicki: Or that it exists.
That's right.
Jason Kuznicki: OK.
Trevor Burrus: Or what direction the trend is in and so forth.
So something like financialization I think is a great example of this.
There are a lot of very difficult discussions to have about, OK, what would you do to address
this?
But we should be able to agree that the scale that Wall Street has grown to and a lot of
what it's doing just is not creating value in the world.
Jason Kuznicki: That's right.
The percentage – you talk about it in the article.
The idea of financialization is sort of what percentage it takes up of economic activity.
Jason Kuznicki: Yeah.
Trevor Burrus: Yeah.
Trevor Burrus: I mean years ago it might have been at 10 percent but it has doubled, meaning
that these sort of financial instruments – and is containing it so difficult because in truth
I would imagine financialization is more agile than industrial policy.
Certainly investing in manufacturing or warehouses or creating value for workers takes a much
more stable.
Trevor Burrus: I think that's a great example of where uncertainty is going to throw it.
Financialization is, hey, man, I just came up with this idea.
What if we bundle mortgages?
It seems much more agile.
Jason Kuznicki: Yes.
Trevor Burrus: And harder to catch up to.
Jason Kuznicki: I think that's exactly right and so that's a great sort of way into this
question of what do we do?
Because I think one place where I at least perceive still very large differences between
how someone like I would think about addressing this versus folks on the left is I think the
left of center view tends to be, okay, we essentially need to find the things that we
don't like and prescribe them and sort of construct a regulatory apparatus that is going
to sort of keep these things in bounds, figure out which ones we do like versus which ones
we don't like.
Trevor Burrus: Like in the case of 2008 saying, well, maybe banks shouldn't leverage at 35
to 1.
Jason Kuznicki: Right.
Trevor Burrus: Creating stress tests.
And allow it to become a hydrogen bomb for the economy.
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But then if you look at what Dodd-Frank actually is, right, it's thousands of pages generating
thousands of pages of regulations that in a lot of cases end up doing things like saying,
well, if banks can't lend, make certain risky loans, banks will instead lend to this new set
of institutions that we will call private credit and they will make the risky loans.
And to your point, that will typically be more agile than the regulators will be.
And a lot of that stuff though is added in by, to be fair, by lobbyists for these financial
institutions. The difficulty again is you also have a Congress that has much more access to
the lobbyists for these very rich financial firms than to the people that they're sort of,
you know, trying to help avoid these catastrophes.
Yes. But it is important to take that as a baseline reality when you're deciding
what we should do, right? In other words, I do get very frustrated with my friends on the left
when they're like, no, but this would have worked better if not for the lobbyists. I'm like, well,
did you have a plan for there not being the lobbyists? Because if not-
Well, poor people need better lobbyists. I've always said that.
That, I think the question of how you
present workers more effectively is a super important one.
Well, I think the idea is for the left that your representatives are your lobbyists. In other words,
you look to them as a bulwark against that financial group rather than this kind of
entity to be corrupted or swayed by it. You kind of view it as that's the balance.
And that sounds fantastic. And then I would again say, and how's that working out for you, right?
Not fair. That is not fair.
This is, we conservatives are pragmatists, if nothing else.
So how do you design it? How do you catch up to, because they're kicking our ass. I mean,
that's the thing that makes it so difficult is they're so much more agile, even in the way of,
let's use your sort of example of part of financialization is in some ways, like setting
up microwave towers.
Right.
Right.
Right.
Right next to where the trading is going so that you're making all your money on volatility or
payment for order flow or all these other kinds of invented or gamifying it so that it resembles
more, you know, fan duel than it might anything resembling the real economy. And the SEC is
completely over, Matt. What are the things you can design to get ahead of it?
In pragmatic terms.
Right. So what this leads me to is just to think is that what we really need is quite sort of
blunt, broad-based constraints.
Like Volcker rule kinds of that one page, if you're a bank, you can't use savings to finance your
whatever adventurism and financialization.
Right. So very clear lines, what kinds of institutions can and can't do. Very clear
transparency and disclosure requirements. So if you are going, if you are planning to collect 7% of
people's investments in fees to yourself, you actually have to publish that very clearly. So
that, you know, a pension fund knows that's what you're doing. Things like just stock buybacks are
not allowed, which was the case until 1983. It's very funny. You say we should get rid of stock
buybacks. People are like, oh, like that's Marxist. I'm like, well, it was also U.S. law for more than
200 years.
Right. But they say anything you do is, you know, you really are, you're wading into a battle
that I think the left has been fighting for a really long time, which is there's this strange
kind of dichotomy that if the government intervenes with the market, in quotes, on behalf of labor,
it's Marxist. But if they intervene on behalf of financialization, easing their road, that's
capitalism. Like, I think that's, that's
That's the frustration. You know, you talk about I understand the frustration that you may have with the left, but that's the frustration, I think, that the left has that, you know, there's this, as you said earlier, kind of this dogma.
The government doesn't pick winners and losers. And I think if you're on the left, you know, it does all the time, but it just picks the winners that have the most access to it and the most money. And that's our frustration.
No, I think that's right. I think it is a frustration on a large segment and a growing segment of the right as well. I mean, you've seen, obviously, a very sharp fallout between, you know, Business Roundtable and Chamber of Commerce and so forth and the right of center and the Republican Party, because I think there's an increasing recognition, and it goes back to that point about just like, what are the basic facts that this really isn't working?
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And we really do need to understand why it's not working and do something about it. And the thing that I always emphasize to folks on the right is, you know, what we have right now is not sustainable, right? Like the cover your ears and tell people things are great.
What parts of it in your mind are least sustainable? Like, is it inequality? Is it, what are the things specifically that you're looking at that you go, man, this is, we're creating something that's not going to hold?
So I think there's what I would call a micro element at the personal level and a sort of macro element at the national level.
Okay.
And I'll just hit the macro one first because it's a little quicker. The reality is that the U.S. economy, it performs great on the measures like stock market valuation and, you know, top line GDP figures and so forth.
Our actual capacity to make things, to create jobs, to innovate, to compete with China.
Is in sharp decline. And a system that does not reward that above all else is not going to produce the kinds of outcomes that we want. And so, you know, whether it is on these questions of financialization, if it's on these questions of trade and industry, I think there's an interesting sort of immigration dimension to it and the extent to which we sort of say, well, we, you know, we're just going to have to bring in, we can't find the workers we want here.
Just bring in somebody else. We, the, the formula we have settled on is not one that is actually conducive to the liberty and prosperity of the United States. And, and I think we are on what many people rightly feel is a downward slide that we need to, to reverse.
Now, wouldn't people on the right say, no, reversing it is an artificial contrivance that what we've learned is financialization.
Financial services, legal services, tech services. That's we're actually manufacturing is the old economy. We're actually creating the new economy. And why would you want to go back to that? I disagree with that view, but isn't that what they would say? They're, they're not, they're getting out of the way and allowing these future markets.
There, there is a, a, a small and shrinking and declining and influence group that will go down with the ship saying that, uh, I would say it is at this point, pretty far out of the mainstream, uh, certainly within the Republican party and Republican politics.
Uh, and in a lot of the sort of, you know, new republications, uh, what, you know,
the kinds of programs younger people are participating in, uh, there are, there are very few people at this point who would say, uh, no, that things, things have been going well. This is the right track.
Even as they point to, you know, look at our GDP, it's, you know, you realize it's seven companies and like, you know, AI data centers that we don't even know will ever be used.
Yeah, no. So that's, that's a perfect example. I think you'll find, and, and again, the, the, you know, politics is politics.
People whose job is to promote how well the Trump administration is doing will point to the things that show the Trump administration is doing well. But in, in the actual sort of intellectual debates, today's equivalent of what Friedman and Hayek were arguing in a prior generation, you won't find anyone anymore saying, but look at the S&P 500, things are fine. Um, that's, that's a punchline, not an actual argument.
Right. Okay.
And, and I think you see that even in, if you look at the sort of next generation of, of leaders on the right of center, um, and, and listeners are, are free to support them or not, but if, if, uh, but, but look at what they're saying. Think about the positions they've taken.
They're free to do that now. We don't, six months from now, they may not be free to support them or not. We don't know what's going to happen.
I, I suspect that freedom will persist just fine.
All right.
But on, on these issues that, that we're talking about, you know, if you look at what a J.D.
Vance or Marco Rubio was doing in the Senate, uh, you know, if you look at a Josh Hawley, uh, Bernie Moreno, who's a new Senator, uh, from Ohio, Jim Banks from Indiana, this is stuff that they talk about all the time and, and in these terms.
And so I think the, the, the newer, it takes time obviously for these things to turn over in a political party, but at, at the staff and writer level and at the political level, I think you see a pretty significant shift.
Certainly on these macro questions on the need to re-industrialize on the need to, um, to take on China and so forth.
Why hasn't that then coalesced into something more coherent at the policy level?
And this gets into maybe a larger discussion and it's one that I stepped in shit in last week with, you know, economists being very angry that I'm confusing economics with policy.
But when you talk about that, why hasn't that shifted?
And mindset created a more coherent governing philosophy of economics.
When I look at the Trump administration filled with these, you know, I'm assuming more right of center economists and people of that thing, it feels incoherent.
I'm going to take 10% of Intel.
You know what?
I'll let you sell chips to China, but you've got to give me a cut of that.
Oh, also I'm going to put 50% tariffs.
On Brazil, because I don't really like the way they've treated Bolton arrow.
And you sort of can't wrap your mind around what we are and, and how they're designing these policies, not as correctives for pendulum swings or societal ills, but as kind of impulse like giant baby impulse.
Well, I, I think what you have with the Trump administration is president Trump.
Right.
I mean, I think, you know, fair enough, fair point, fair point to, to, to my point, you know, in, in parallel to my, my point to the left about, uh, taking as a, uh, a baseline reality that you have the lobbyists there, there's also a baseline reality that the, the head of the executive branch is Donald Trump.
Right.
And Trump is someone who, as you just described, tends to go in a lot of different directions.
I call it tantronomics.
Tantronomics.
Tantronomics.
Um,
The, you know, and, and it's important to say, I think what's so fascinating about him as such a non-ideological person is that I think that actually had some real benefits in his willingness to reject everything that had been standard Republican dogma, right?
His willingness, there was no one else.
But you can't replace it with a sort of nihilistic and, and vindictive.
So the, the, the metaphor that, that I always use is, is there is the building metaphor, right?
Which is that like demolition isn't important.
It's a very important part of a rebuilding process.
If all you do is demolition and then go find the next thing to demolish, um, you're, you're less likely to be remembered as a great builder.
I see.
So you're saying right now we're in the East wing part of our economy, but we haven't yet gotten to the ballroom.
We're, we're waiting to get to the ballroom of the economy.
That's, I think it is certainly fair to say that, that there has been a lot of demolition.
Yes.
Uh, and I think the, you know, the interesting thing,
when you mentioned, you know, take 10% of this company and so forth.
What you see at the sort of fundamental level is in fact a shift toward, you know, we are going to do industrial policy.
Or a state run capitalism.
But, you know, we get into this loop now, which is how do you then prevent the kind of kleptocracy and, and feeding at the trough of the patrons of the president, you know, it's very hard to look.
At any rebalancing of the economy when people can say, but the president has benefited by the tune of $4 billion through, through the course of this isn't, you know, at the base of this, we have to preserve what kind of got America to this point, which is a baseline of there are stable rules of the road that, that we will honor.
That allow for.
That allow for.
That allow for, you know, they always say in the economy, the worst thing is uncertainty.
Have we lost that, that, that was our goal.
standard. And before we can even tackle the kinds of remedies that you're talking about,
don't we need to rebuild kind of that baseline stability?
Yes. I think that's an incredibly important point that there are certain –
Hooray.
When we think about the sort of interaction between politics and the economy,
this is one of the things that was so lost. It's funny. There didn't used to be a field
called economics. It was called political economy. People called Adam Smith a political economist.
And it was only really in the 20th century that you defined this separate field of economics,
which was just with math and abstract models and so forth, we can kind of say what should be done.
When in reality, the political dimension is almost always inseparable, certainly at the
level of what should we be doing. But don't economists try and have it both ways. I have to
say –
One of the things that felt disingenuous about – we talked to Richard Thaler last week,
which by the way, I love talking to that. I thought it was a great conversation,
but there were a lot of economists that were really pissed, not at him, at me for ignorance
and all kinds of other things. But one of the things they were pissed about is you don't
understand the difference between economics and policy, but don't they want it both ways? Because
they don't just study it in an ivory tower and put it in a terrarium. They're in the room
when these policies are made.
They are incredibly influential in designing the parameters of our economy. And yet,
if you criticize that, it stirs up – if I may say, very mean. They're very mean people.
Yes. So I completely agree with that. I think in debating circles, we refer to that as a
Mott and Bailey, which is – are you familiar with the Mott and Bailey?
I am not familiar with the Mott and Bailey.
What's the Mott and Bailey?
The Mott and Bailey is the configuration of a medieval village that had – I might get them
backwards, but I believe the Mott was the small fortress on top of the hill. And then the Bailey
was the sort of open village area that everybody preferred to live in. And so you lived out in the
Bailey. And then if the barbarians were attacking, you could retreat into the Mott.
Solid move. Well-designed.
There you go. And so the Mott and Bailey form of argument is you sort of spread out and make
these very expansive –
Yes.
– claims and sort of have a great time. And then when you actually get attacked,
you retreat to this much narrower thing that you can defend.
And then when you're in your Mott, you yell insults at anybody who dares.
That's right. Like the Monty Python.
Yes.
And then – but as importantly, as soon as the attackers have gone, all right, fine,
and moved on, you spread right back out again into your Bailey.
Well, they've been bailing my Mott, and I don't like it, buddy.
I don't like it.
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So this is a constant feature of the economics debates that I think is very important is that,
yes, there is an important, valuable discipline of economics that has useful insights,
that uses both analysis and data and so forth to make useful points that we should consider
when we are making public policy.
And then there is the actual policymaking process.
And economists have gotten very comfortable asserting that their narrowly useful technical insights
dictate what policy should be.
So our model shows that free trade is efficient.
That's right. If you only followed the – right.
Therefore, anybody who questions our prescription of free trade is an idiot.
And it's like, well, actually, I understand your model of free trade.
Here are 10.
Here are 10 reasons why in the real world – like, first of all, maybe I just have values for optimizing around other things.
Second of all, here's ways other people are going to behave that you're not taking into account.
Third of all, here's what's going to happen to our politics if we do that.
And if we undermine our politics in that way, what do you think is going to end up happening to the economy and so on and so forth?
And it creates a credibility issue.
Yes.
That I think undermines – rightfully so.
And I probably consider it in the way that I think a lot of people view it.
I think a lot of people view the Iraq war as a kind of cleaving point for American credibility, right, overseas.
And again, you probably can go back to the 60s and 70s and say the Vietnam War did a very similar thing.
I think the 2008 financial crisis – and maybe it's been an overcorrection against that credibility.
But it really – for something that was so devastating to the broader economy and to the jobs and labor and all that and the direct result of –
of the financialization and instrumentation of the economy, I've been surprised at how resilient the architects of all that remain in the economy.
How is that?
Well, I think at least until recently, this goes back to the sort of priesthood phenomenon, they were the arbiters of it.
I mean you can even find all sorts of great papers unsurprisingly about how the great financial crisis was not their fault.
Which are technically the authoritative academic –
Sure. It's in the journal. If it's in the journal –
It's in the journal of financial regulatory economists.
It turns out that they had nothing to do with it.
But I really do think it's the double whammy of the financial fallout from the Great Recession and the sort of industrial fallout from free trade with China that are these –
Right.
It was such an iconic – I love quoting Larry Summers on this point.
I think I can still do that maybe a little bit longer.
Wait. The room just got cold. I don't know what happened.
He testified before Congress as secretary of the treasury that economists disagree on everything.
On this, there is only one answer.
And they kind of – Clinton Whitehouse walked these Nobel laureates up to the briefing room to sort of lecture people that if you did not see how great this was, you –
Just we're not smart enough to understand it.
You don't understand the science and you're an idiot.
And then even worse, it carried on after it was obviously wrong.
So I worked for Mitt Romney's presidential campaign in 2011, 2012.
And Romney actually was – because he came from more of a business background, was very focused on the China issue and the ways that free trade with China was clearly not working out.
And this would – 10, 12 years into this debacle, an economist just –
Absolutely denied it.
They just – that's just not true.
Free trade works well for everybody.
And was it a misunderstanding of that sort of capital can travel but labor can't?
Is it just the advantages that capital had in this new like electronic world economy that labor just was naturally going to get its ass kicked?
I think that's a piece of it.
I think the two other problems though.
One is –
The other thing is they always just assumed that trade would be balanced.
So if a whole bunch of capital flees – heads to China to make something cheaper in China, that's OK.
There's going to be something else that we may not – we make here now to trade for the stuff from China.
And it was a sort of rock solid principle.
It was actually – Paul Krugman wrote a famous essay talking about what should we teach undergraduates about economics.
And one of the core things was trade deficits are self-correcting.
So you can't have a long-term – I was on a podcast with him last year and mentioned this to him.
He didn't remember of course.
He must have been very excited to hear about.
He must have been very excited to be reminded of that article.
And I said, no, no.
I'm always ready to read the quote as needed.
And he said, well, that was naive.
I was like, well –
Oh, OK.
Well, that's good.
Credit to him.
I wish you hadn't written the accompanying essay suggesting that people who could not understand your economics should be ridiculed because ridicule is more powerful than actually –
Yeah, I'm aware of that as well.
That's my Mott & Bailey.
Now you're just misusing terms left and right.
But this was sort of the MO of all of this.
And so if you figure, oh, a whole bunch of stuff will go to China, that's fine.
We'll get something else instead.
Maybe that could have worked out.
But it turns out that that was simply wrong.
And then the other core assumption under all of this economics –
that the economists hate talking about
all they care about is consumption. Like quite literally, the way that economics defines the good
is having more stuff to consume. And in fact, it defines work as the bad, right? The ideal
economic outcome- Well, explain this. What does that mean? Because I'm familiar with sort of the
consumer index and consumer spending being 70% of the economy and all that. But I thought,
isn't work productivity what they would define as productivity? Or is that still only in defined
as it is to consuming? So in the formal economic models, it is for the sake of the consuming.
And so Jason Furman, who is chair of Obama's Council of Economic Advisors,
now teaches the intro level econ course at Harvard, gave a speech a year or two ago in Geneva
at the WTO, World Trade Organization, convening, where he said,
specifically noted that economists know that imports are the good thing that we get,
and exports are just the bad thing that we have to do to get more imports.
So it's basically, we're all working for the weekend.
Well, that's what we're- Yeah, all right.
Exactly, right. All right.
So the ideal, if you're kind of, they do what they call scoring policies, right? We're going
to run our model and say, what's the best policy? The ideal policy would be one where we get just
everything we want to consume and don't have to consume.
I think that's Elon's future. I think that's what he says is going to happen to us through AI.
Well, this is an interesting question, right? Would that be good or not?
Right. Well, wouldn't that make, see, this gets us in, this is such an interesting, because
from the sort of the powers that be within the tech world, the new billionaires that are going
to design the whatever dystopian world we're going to live in, they look at the gig economy,
that automation and AI,
not only is it going to replace us to certain places, it's better that it does. That they look
at it in the way that you're saying, which I think misses out also on that people want to feel
relevant. That's an important part of life, is the feeling that what you do through your labor
matters.
Yes.
In this way.
In the smallest of ways, whether that, you know, it's that idea of we all would like to be essential
workers. We don't want to be replaced. We just want a wage commensurate with being able to live
not paycheck to paycheck for that relevance.
Yes. So that's exactly right. And this is the core of the point that I try to make and my
organization, American Compass, focuses on is the idea that there are a lot of things we actually
need markets to do. So as again,
we love capitalism. We want markets, we think markets are the right way to organize an economy.
We want them to work well. And what that means is there's actually a lot of things we need them to
do besides just give us access to cheap stuff. And one of the most important is be generating jobs
in the places where people live, aligned to the kinds of things they can do that allow them to
support families. And so we're, you know, we're all the way back to the Adam Smith invisible hand
thing again.
Are the, are the things that are happening in our economy, the kinds of things that generate
that outcome and economics formally is just completely blind to that.
Well, certainly financialization is for sure.
Well, that's right. The financialization, it reflects a market where the incentives are not
to do that. Economics as a field of analysis just doesn't really have a way to measure that,
right? So G when you see GDP go up, that doesn't tell you anything about whether it is going up.
In a way that supports those things or not.
So why, Oren, let me ask you this, because I remember, and maybe this is because it was kind
of a self-regulating proposition, but if you remember, there was a movement, it wasn't even
that long ago, 10, 15 years ago, that ESG movement where corporations were now also going to judge
themselves or be judged on whether or not their economic production was also positive.
Or a net positive. And they created sort of these different parameters about environment and social
justice and these different things. And it was a disaster politically and otherwise.
Yes.
Why would that be given sort of what we're talking about?
If, if I may make a respectful point regarding the left at this moment.
Yes.
ESG, the, the idea that we do need to care about things besides profit is very important.
One of the most unfortunate elements of ESG was that it said the things that we
therefore really need to concentrate on more are essentially the progressive agenda,
right? So there was a very heavy focus on climate change. And what are you doing to reduce climate
change?
Right. Although a lot of it was, to be fair, a lot of it was lipser. I mean, a lot of it's kind
of nonsense.
Oh, absolutely.
But to the extent that you want to take it seriously, it was not actually focused on
the set of things we've been talking about here. Are you investing domestically? Are you creating
the kinds of jobs that are going to allow people to support families?
I see what you're saying.
It was focused on the set of essentially the left of center side of this elite that is generally
happy with how things are going on, but, but wanted to impose a particular set of policy
priorities around things like climate change. You know,
a certain conception of social justice.
And maybe ill defining it. Yeah. Although the social justice part, you know, I've always been so
surprised at the pushback on, especially for those who, you know, talk about meritocracy. I would
think, you know, if you think about social justice in terms of markets, aren't these communities that
have been traditionally excluded, oftentimes explicitly by, by the law, couldn't you just
reclassify them as emerging markets and suggest that you wanted to create better investment in
emerging markets to create a larger, more meritocratic system, ultimately with more
competition. Isn't, I always viewed that as I w it was surprising to me that it was viewed
so negatively because it basically taking a legacy system and kind of breaking it down.
Right. I mean, I think the, you know, again, if you're just putting,
your hat on as a, as a business leader, trying to maximize profit, what you like about an emerging
market typically is it's a place to generate a lot of profit. And in the U S as you've defined it
for the most part, those, you know, groups that have typically been excluded places that have
been left behind. Um, those don't tend to be the places where a lot of the, the profit opportunity
is short term, short term, short, which is, which is what they're looking for.
Yeah. And, and which connects to our, and which connects back to another of the big problems with
financialization, which is when you're making all of your money in financial services, you know,
to some extent in tech, in media, you are, you can generate a lot of growth, but you are there,
you are making the most profitable things, the boosting and lifting up of those narrow enclaves
that are already doing best. And, and one of the most powerful things I think we need, uh, and,
and, you know, you'll then get different answers across the political spectrum is, okay, what does
it mean to drive more investment back out into the rest of the country? In my view, it's, you
aren't going to get that done by basically making a bunch of rules saying you have to go do that.
What you want to do is, is create these very broad rules. Even taking a tariff as an example,
you want to create a broad rule that says it's going to be cheaper to sell something that you've
made in the United States than it is in the United States. And, and, and, and, and, and, and,
it is to sell something that you made somewhere else, which is awfully difficult when you think
about the imbalances of regulation overseas and what they get away with paying people and what
their standard of living is. That's, that's a really hard thing then to engineer, isn't it?
Well, that in my mind is exactly the, the argument for something like tariffs is to say, if,
if all we want is the cheapest thing, then this is great. If, if Chinese slave labor makes it,
it will be cheaper. The problem with the tariffs,
though, is ultimately, and again, not to push back on the dearest of our leaders, but ultimately
that ends up being a regressive tax on consumers and the people that can least afford, you know,
to, to pay that premium. And that money may not come back to them in investment. So aren't we
punishing the very people we purport to help? There is potential for it to be regressive.
There's, there's actually a, a wonderful, I guess he's an economic historian,
officially named, named Michael Lind, who makes this point that I think is so important and,
and wrote a great essay for us about it, that it's really important to remember that the
progressivity or regressivity of our income, of our tax system, isn't the primary question.
It is a secondary thing that we do to make up for all of the other inequality. But if we could do
something- How else do you make it up? Taking tariffs as an example, if we do things to
capture our economy in ways that are actually going to benefit typical workers left behind
parts of the country- Right.
Are going to ideally generate better economic outcomes, if that comes alongside less progressivity
in the tax system-
system, but the end result is better jobs and opportunities for the typical worker,
that's a great outcome. But isn't that what, wouldn't you say like the CHIPS Act? Isn't that
what that would be? And then so why on the right was that such a controversial and negative response
to it? That sounds like, in terms of what you're saying, almost the perfectly designed political
program to do such a thing. Yeah. So I love the CHIPS Act. We pushed very hard for the CHIPS Act.
I saw that bumper sticker on your car, Oren. That's right. I'm a huge hit at cocktail parties.
Ultimately, I think something like 16 or 17 Republican senators voted for it.
And so you're right. It's something that was, it divided the Republican Party at this point,
because you had the more old guard folks who were like, oh, that's not what we do.
And you have an increasing segment that say like, oh, yes, actually, this is what we should do.
And maybe more positive than tariffs, which they support across the board.
Well, so, but this is the key is I think you can't do it all through those kinds of policies,
right? You can't go and find every industry and everything you wish we did and design a
government program to boost it. I think that kind of industrial policy can be really valuable where
you have like a particular must-have thing. So semiconductors is a great example.
You're seeing it now with critical minerals is a great example. But if you want to think more
broadly about we want people investing in the US, bringing back the kinds of things that can
be done here productively, you do need to address that problem you just described, which is labor
and environmental regulatory issues, just baseline wages and so forth. There are an awful lot of
reasons not to build things in the US. Other countries give so much more support to their
producers. So I think that's a great example. I think that's a great example. And so we do need something to offset that.
Right. Meanwhile, we've got even within our own country, a kind of miniature globalization dynamic
in that there are certain states that work to undercut the protections and wages of other
states. So we're almost facing that same battle at home that we're also facing overseas. And in this
model, is there anything you can do to address that?
Yeah, I'd say it's a tricky balancing act because the flip side is that we like the idea of states
competing against each other in constructive ways, right? There are all sorts of things we would say
it's good that states can go their own way. If states are actually competing on like,
who can have the most efficient process for permitting something new, that's good. We
should want that. And so the sweet spot, it seems to me, is you need to have good national
baselines, right? You need to have the national labor law, the national employment standards,
the national environmental standards paired with then allowing and encouraging states to compete
with each other. And so I don't think we have it exactly right, but I would say that it is actually
one of the real benefits of the American system that we have some sort of flexibility and give
and take in that.
The federalism.
That I think on balance probably benefits us.
Right.
Ultimately, as we sort of bring it all around to a circle, you know, you describe this kind of
pendulum swing from labor to capital and all these things, that financialization is kind of a
metastasized version of what that is and different policies that can kind of get it under control.
Can I ask, is ultimately, is it a product of A, obviously, I think it's more agile,
than our political system, but B, is it a function of the fetishization of growth over, you know,
and we see that in a lot of areas, you know, the stock ticker is down at the bottom of your screen
as though that's a, you know, an actual important way of determining the health of the economy when
it's just this tiny part of it. Does the fetishization of growth,
skew all these incentives in favor of these quick hit, big profit, doesn't build the types of
stability and industrial base that you're, you're talking about.
And is that a problem that goes all the way back then to Friedman, which is it's about maximizing
shareholder value and these guys coming in and working purely for that.
I'm glad you brought it around.
I'm glad you brought it around to that because, you know, that's where I, I end my essay as well
is on, on the point that there's a, there are all sorts of policy discussions to be had,
but in the final analysis, this is also a cultural question. You know, there have always been ways to
make money that are just not good things to do that are embarrassing, frankly.
Greed is good. I mean, that was, that's the catchphrase from the 80s.
That's right. That was one of the sort of transition points. You know, there are plenty of ways to go make money.
There are plenty of ways to go make money that are legal in the United States today that most people would still say like,
oh, like that's not going to be the top thing the college kids are going to the recruiting presentation on.
And so I don't think it's exactly the fetishization of growth because I do think growth is good.
I think, you know, in the periods where the United States, where the economy was working best,
people were absolutely obsessed with growth and, and that could be-
Or the right metrics of growth. Maybe, maybe it's-
Yeah, exactly. So I think that's more the problem is, is that, and this connects back to
sort of some of what, what especially the more sort of market fundamentalists got wrong is there's
been a very concerted effort to make the case that any pursuit of profit is productive and anybody
who makes a lot of profit, that must prove that they've done something valuable. And I think it's
just re- and, and that is a cultural issue. As, as long as people believe that, it's going to be
very hard to sell them on, you know, we need the regulation or anything else. We need to do a
thing differently. And sadly, I, I worry we're moving in the wrong direction because everything
you're saying, if I look at sort of where the, the weather vane is pointing, it's to the
gamification. It's to creating a more, uh, gamified financial system and is maybe sort of crypto,
the poster child for the direction we're moving in. That is the antithesis of what you're talking
about. It, I think that's right. I guess I'm that, that is what gives
me optimism that I think we've finally sort of hit the reductio ad absurdum of it is just,
it is impossible to look at what's going on at this point and defend it. And I think people
are starting to see, and you know, it's funny that of course my, my editor was like, you had to,
you know, make this more in like everyday terms, things people see. And it's finally at the point
where you can do that, right? Like whether it's your experience trying to figure out how to watch
the football game or youth sports, or, uh, you know, now you do see young people obsessed with
and crypto cal she and poly market. And I mean, that's, if you're looking at the growth segments,
that's where it all seems to be going. And that seems to be the opposite of what we're talking
about. Yeah. I mean, someone pointed out, you know, if you watch the super bowl ads this year,
you'd think our economy was driven entirely by, you know, chat bots, prediction markets and weight
loss drugs. Right. And, and I think there's a way in which it is so obvious at this point that
these things are not correlated with the actual wellbeing and human flourishing that, that is the
point of all of this, that I think there is, there is increasing potential for a, a political
response. And you have an optimism of that because it's almost like looking at it as
financialization is sort of it's, it's standing in for political failure. Yes. Right. Well, you have,
you have this conversation and I say this with great respect has convinced me to sell my Melania
meme coin or hold, you know,
that's what I meant. Hold. That's what I meant.
Cause you got to remember if you're selling it, someone else is buying it. It may be better to
just go down with the ship. Orin, it's always such a pleasure to talk to you. Fascinating stuff.
Really enjoyed reading that article. Orin Kass, chief economist, American compass. And just thanks
again for, for joining us and having the conversation. Well, thank you for, for wanting
to talk about it. It was great to see you. Beautiful. Nice to see you as well.
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to time offer new members only. i have to say i appreciate his ability to to discuss these matters in a a way that feels
accessible and not condescending and not condescending and not tickets and i have to say
i don't know what shit i've stepped in this week because i after talking to richard taylor who was
the economist from last week i was very pleased with the conversation i thought well that was
really interesting and spirited and said some things back and forth but but i had no idea how
mad the economists and they were fucking mad they were mad i will say though i was looking at a lot
of the response and they weren't really from economists they're just people that ride for
economists for whatever reason wait a minute there's a beehive for economists yeah apparently
there's people really eager to
you
just jump in for their defense the summary just seemed to be not all economists as well
but also the the summary seemed to be like well you're just fucking stupid
and i was like well i don't know if that's a really a a cogent critique of yeah is that
constructive criticism not really a lot of it was just shock like how can this guy have been
on television for 30 years and not understand anything and i'm like i i mean i did richard
he's a nobel prize winning economist he could have
very easily said like i think you're completely misunderstanding or like big boy he could have
handled the he said you passed his class people were literally writing articles like
john stewart is what's wrong with the american electorate and i'm like i think that's hyperbolic
i loved that headlines like i don't really know what i'm getting into with this article could be
a few things it was bad man i was just like whoa was there anything that he said that that struck
you as uh i don't know i don't know what i'm getting into with this article i don't know what
it's so interesting to me because it's so reflective i think of what what i would consider
as kind of a more leftist view of what the economy is something that kind of stood out to me is that
in this conversation he was talking about how the left and right agree on the diagnosis and
in his article he refers to marco rubio and jd vance as people who have talked out against
financialization but i thought it was interesting because he cites marco rubio in 2019 and jd vance
and i haven't seen these people talking out against financialization recently where the
president of the united states is benefiting so much from this grift right right i'm against
financialization except for the trump eagle coin the trump eagle coin get it today yeah i mean
he calls himself a pragmatist but i think it's very optimistic that he always thinks
the republican party is like right on the precipice i'm doing i do think i
do think he's optimistic in that time and i imagine it's frustrating you know this has been
you know since the the keynesians kind of moved out of a position of of authority and kind of
the reagan revolution and deregulation moved in i think it it's probably difficult for those
on the left to hear it and not say like that's what we've been fucking saying for 50 years
like what but you're both right that the deregulation was a
bipartisan project that got us into this mess so yes that's always the thing i'm always like
deregulation is like well clinton shut up besides that besides that and carter maybe we should just
only do economics conversation maybe next week we should have like a a round table like come at me
bro and we should just get all the with all your favorites economists around do we get to invite
furman back i think larry summers might be busy though yeah it's not like how did that happen
like the meanest conversation like economists they're literally like this group of bullies
that just sit in the thing and just like every time you ask them a question it's like well if
you understood anything it's revenge of the nerds i wish it was because they have so much power and
control within the whole uh fucking thing but uh maybe next week we'll we'll or no next week we're
not are we doing anything we're on vacation what president's day
president's day
uh we'll jump in with something uh you know more accessible more culturally on the we'll go we'll
go engagement farming we'll go engagement farming on the next that's a no on the economics round
table that's going to be a no on the economics uh round table britney what what do the kids want
to know this week all righty first up um john can you please explain what jeff bezos is doing with
the washington post he's looks he's looks maxing it he's mogging it he's hitting it in the face
with a hammer to get its chin on the ground and he's like oh my god i'm gonna do this i'm gonna do
a little bit more uh i mean i think it's pretty clear what he's doing i mean talking about
financialization he's hollowing it out you know i here's what i wonder let me ask you guys about
this do we have a nostalgic view of the washington post because in my mind it was kind of new york
times washington post were like the flagships especially post watergate all the president's men
right i mean it's a great film i've heard it's a book you're a newspaper that had a movie made
out of you there's very few that can say that maybe boston globe with robert redford redford
can i tell you that was he was my guy in the 1970s robert redford was in every great movie
that three days of the condor electric horseman the sting uh butch cassidy and the sundance kid
like he was my johnson
absolutely whoa you're going you're going i'm also a big fan you're going burley redford with
the beer the way we were he was the best i completely forgot what i was talking about
washington post the washington post the heyday robert redford has the ability to do that yeah
but say loin you said there is a nostalgia to it right yeah and bezos can do a lot of
things and the brand will continue people have that recognition of the brand so
and there's going to be great journalists there despite any number of layoffs but
it's been on this trajectory for a long time and i mean media has been i think the hope was you
know in the grand tradition of billionaires wasting money on newspapers that he would have
viewed it as a responsibility to the public more than something to arbitrage and like sell off for
parts that he would say like well shit if i can spend billions and billions on sending katie perry
somewhat close to the troposphere
like maybe i can keep this thing going in a robust way i think that's my disappointment is
what the fuck else are you doing with the money that you have other than like what better use
could there be there's a melania documentary in cinemas i've heard i meant other yes that's also
a good use of it but i think it also shows again like just because you came up with a good way
to get books to people faster
doesn't mean you care or know the first thing of running you know a quality newspaper just it just
it's disappointing that he would maybe it's this maybe he has like a weird
relationship with the newspaper that like if it gets stronger his body gets frailer but as he gets
pumped up the washington post must get frailer maybe they have maybe it's a weird
symbiote like i think it's steroids but i think we'll never know it's just me we'll never know
what else do they want what else do they know uh john do you think doge would have done a better
job at releasing the epstein files come on they're such self-serving like i love how like
his whole personality right now is i want to get to the bottom of this epstein thing i want to find
out what am i doing in those files getting a massage what
wait how did that happen uh yeah that's doge has always been the misguided tantrum of entitled
billionaires who come in and suggest that the only way to discern value is to just walk in and cut
50 of something off without any real clear understanding of what it provides so i there's
i can't fucking like i'm so
well elon he could have just released his emails and then we would have gotten halfway there at
least i love it now that he's like i'll protect anybody who testifies and you're like yet now
it's like a tweet a second about the epstein files and it's all and it's all the same
bullshit that they always like the antiz i'm a free speech absolutist somebody says something
i don't like they should be in jail like the contradictions i i don't understand how you
just carry around in those heads and expect that people don't see through it but they don't do you
think you think people don't see through it i don't think people don't see through it i don't
read i really i i think that there is there are very few people that have acolytes and are
worshipped in the way that like i can't tell you how often i like thank you for saving free speech
and you're like you support a president who threatens to put people in jail for saying the
wrong thing like how the fuck are you suggesting that that's supporting free speech it's insanity
you know but that's that's the end of it but doge apparently doge ended up
costing america billions more than you're kidding no she can't believe it didn't see that coming
I wrote it down.
All right.
Final one.
Last one.
John, can my vegan wife and I please buy you a vegan lunch in New York City between March 6th and 11th?
First of all.
Do you want me to connect them with your social secretary?
What an enticing offer.
It's, you know, when we got, we got ourselves a little rescue form and we had no idea the world.
We were stepping into, and it's so interesting to me that the vegan world, they describe I'm vegan.
And you're like, no, you're a human that has a certain diet, but it is.
I had no idea what a competitive sport veganism was.
Do you guys, have you guys, first of all, have you guys ever done it?
Have you ever gone and tried to do it?
Fucking hard.
It is really hard.
Especially if you don't cook, you have to cook if you're vegan.
No question.
No question.
And it's also really hard to do it.
Like they always say like, oh, you just have more salads and stuff.
The truth is you have more potato chips.
I was just about to say the thing that I became aware of is that there's junk food for vegans.
Like there's a place called Slutty Vegan.
They, they yell at you when you walk in and say, hey, slut.
Like there's definitely junk for everyone.
Wait, that's how they greet you when you walk in?
I was stunned, but I remembered where I was.
That's interesting.
I would think they'd at least go, hey, vegan.
It's 50-50.
Yeah.
You know, it's, it's this world where like, it's the most unwelcoming world I think I've ever been a part of.
It's incredibly competitive and they're constantly stress testing whether you're living up to the right type.
It's like the first thing, if you say like, I'm vegan, the first thing vegans will always say to you is like, how long?
How long have you been vegan?
And you'd be like, I guess I, it's been like two years.
And they're like, yeah, 15 years.
I've been doing it 15 years.
And then somebody else would be like, well, I knew when I was eight that it was wrong.
Oh my goodness.
And then they're like, and then so like, you'd be talking again and they'd be like, do you eat honey?
And I'm like, not completely.
I mean, like I have, I have other shit and they're like, the damage that does to people.
And at a certain point, somebody once told me, they go, you really want to fuck them up?
Just tell them mushrooms are more sentient than shellfish.
Cause that's true.
And just watch them implode.
Okay.
Well, you're actually really harming my relationship to mushrooms right now.
But just to be clear, is that a no to lunch?
Oh, I'll see them there.
I'll see them.
You know what?
Tell them I'll meet them at the slutty vegan.
All right.
How else can they get ahold of us there?
Twitter.
We are weekly show pod, Instagram threads, Tik TOK blue sky.
We are.
Weekly show podcast.
And you can like subscribe and comment on our YouTube channel.
The weekly show at John Stewart.
Boom.
We got next week off.
Thank you guys so much.
Enjoy your week off.
Thanks again for your wonderful help in putting these episodes together, but also in helping
me fend off the wrath of whatever community I've stepped in shit in.
The economist came after me last week.
Be on the lookout for vegan emails.
Cause they're coming brother.
Uh, lead producer, Lauren Walker, producer, Brittany, my medevac producer, Jillian Spear,
video editor and engineer, Rob Vitola, audio editor and engineer, Nicole boys, and our
executive producers, Chris McShane and Katie gray.
Have a great week.
Boy.
The weekly show with John Stewart is a comedy central podcast.
It's produced by Paramount audio and bus boy productions.
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Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Financialization of the economy—where financial markets dominate and generate profits without creating real-world value—is a growing concern, with rising financial activity undercutting productive investment.
Examples include high-frequency trading and private equity firms that buy and restructure businesses to extract profits, often at the expense of workers and long-term stability.
The critique of financialization is not purely left-wing; it reflects a broader concern about capitalism’s misalignment with public good, especially when profit motives override innovation and labor welfare.
Historical cycles show that economic systems shift between regulation and deregulation, with periods of overreach (like the 1970s financial deregulation) leading to instability and crises.
Both left and right now share a consensus that financialization is harmful, though they differ in policy solutions—regulation versus market fundamentalism.
A key issue is the lack of transparency and accountability in financial practices, with institutions and lobbyists shaping policy in ways that favor capital over labor.
The current economic model is seen as unsustainable, with declining manufacturing, rising inequality, and weakened labor markets, despite strong stock market performance.
There is a growing political shift toward re-industrialization, national economic sovereignty, and policies that prioritize real economic production over financial speculation.
Summary:
The transcript explores the growing issue of financialization in the economy—where financial markets dominate and generate profits without creating tangible value for workers or society. Experts like Oren Kass argue that this trend, driven by hedge funds, private equity, and speculative trading, undermines real economic growth and stability. While financial markets are vital, their increasing share of GDP and corporate profits has outpaced productive investment, especially in manufacturing and labor-intensive industries.
The shift began in the 1970s and 80s with deregulation and free trade, leading to periods of financial overreach and economic imbalance. Historically, such shifts have followed cycles of overreach and correction, as seen in industrial revolutions and trust busting. Today, both left and right agree that financialization is harmful, though they differ on policy responses—left-leaning views favor regulation, while right-leaning thinkers criticize market fundamentalism.
The crisis is compounded by a lack of transparency, lobbying influence, and flawed assumptions about trade and consumption. A key insight is that economic policy must move beyond narrow models of consumption to address real productivity, labor rights, and national competitiveness. As financialization accelerates, there is a growing consensus that sustainable growth requires a return to balanced policies that prioritize real-world investment, worker well-being, and industrial resilience.
This shift reflects a broader political realignment toward re-industrialization and economic sovereignty, signaling a move away from purely market-driven models.
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Financialization refers to the growing role of financial markets in the economy, where activities focus on generating profits without creating tangible value in real-world goods or services.
Financialization has led to a decline in real investment and job creation, as financial activities often prioritize profit over productive investment in manufacturing, innovation, and labor.
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