The Show: Make or Break Areas of Your Draft, Camp News, and More
59m 23s
McDonald's is reviving its spicy McNuggets with a hotter sauce and enhanced flavor to satisfy fan demand, available for a limited time at participating locations. In a separate segment, LifeLock promotes identity theft protection with a special offer using the code "football" for up to 30% off the first year. The Late Round Fantasy Football Show features fantasy analysts David Kitchen and J.J. Zacharyson discussing key draft considerations, including the impact of preseason stats, player injuries, and offensive scheme changes. They emphasize that preseason performance doesn't strongly predict regular-season success and caution against overvaluing data. Critical decisions in fantasy drafts—such as late-round running back picks (notably Chase Brown and Kenneth Walker) and wide receiver choices (like Keishon Booty and Jalen Knoll)—are shaped by stability, injury risks, and team dynamics. The hosts also highlight how injury reports for players like Mike Evans, Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce create uncertainty, urging cautious, data-informed decisions. Ultimately, the discussion underscores that draft success hinges not just on stats, but on understanding risk, player profiles, and team-specific factors, especially in dynasty and best-ball formats. The show provides actionable insights through rankings updates, injury analysis, and expert commentary, all aimed at helping fans make smarter, more resilient team-building choices.
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Welcome in. Welcome in. It's the Late Round Fantasy Football Show,
sponsored by DraftKings. David Kitchen here alongside my goat. Respect my goat,
J.J. Zacharyson. If you didn't see my tweets on X earlier this week, I came home from,
um, a flag football practice for my daughter, logged into the members-only stream, and I see
J.J. drafting a team while answering members' questions while walking on a treadmill.
Yeah. Yeah. Got, um, I think, I think I got, like, three miles-ish in. I can't remember what I,
what it, what it clocked at. Yeah, it wasn't a slow pace. You know, for those that know,
like, the walking treadmill, generally, it's like, you know, you put it on,
one and a half or two, and you're just, like, you're just wanting to move.
Yeah, I was at two point, I was at 2.2, I think, during it. Yeah. Um, I'm a fast walker, though.
Like, I, I have that problem whenever I go out on, on walks, like, on my, you know, there's,
like, greenways close to my house and stuff, and I'll go on these long walks or runs even,
but, like, let's just say I'm going on a walk, and the most awkward thing on earth is passing
people on a trail while they're walking and you're walking, because there's a good, like,
30 to 40 minutes of walking. And I'm like, oh, my God, I'm going on a walk. And I'm like, oh,
40 seconds where you're both kind of going at a similar pace. Yeah, but I got to pass them. I
can't just walk slower, you know, but yeah, I've, I've, uh, I'm known to be a fast walker. I don't
know what that means about my personality, but it's true. I walk fast. Uh, my wife, the same way.
That's like, we go on, uh, like, you know, if we go on, like, couples walks, the, the rare couples
walks, like, she is, she's going way faster than me. I'm like, hey,
can we just, that's not me. That's the opposite for us. Yeah. But my, but my wife's also like a
foot shorter than me. So, you know, all right. Uh, I do want to say though, you know, this is
the time to get your draft guide, uh, to become a member on lateround.com. We had another rankings
update this morning, every Wednesday and Friday, we have rankings updates on both the website and
in the draft guide. And then Friday we have the, you know, the players to target,
players to avoid dark, all that stuff. So, um, so yeah, we've got that going on lateround.com
sign up for the free newsletter. Also after this stream, I will be drafting a team immediately
after, and you know, who else will be drafting a team with me? I'm going to guess Mr. Gadula,
Mr. Brandon Gadula, fan favorite, Brandon Gadula. Every time I get on the stream,
they're like, where's Brandon? Yeah. He is a fan.
Favorite. So, yeah, he's going to be, uh, he's going to be on the stream with me, helping me
choose the, uh, you know, the analytically correct picks since we're, since we're talking
Gadula. Um, I think it's a good time to point out that he has been continued to crushing it,
crush it with the newsletter that we do. Um, and that's free to subscribe to. And also
we're getting a lot of questions about this from people. Uh, I am planning on doing the
calendar. If it makes it easier because people are asking if I'm going to do it every year, I get
this. Uh, but I do it the week before the final or before the first week of, you know, regular
content. So like this week we have, you know, off season content next week, we have off season
content. And then the week after is when, you know, we have labor day and then obviously week
one starts. So before week one, we have week one content. So 15 transactions starts all that kind
of stuff. So I'm bringing that up because next week I will for the Tuesday episode,
have the bold predictions podcast episode, but there will be five additional predictions,
which is what I do every year that go into the newsletter. And so you can subscribe to the
newsletter right now. So you don't miss that. That's going to go out on Wednesday next week,
but you can subscribe right now for that newsletter. It's absolutely free.
You're going to get content in season as well. It's late round.com.
Just go click newsletter, sign up. You just give us your email address. It's very simple.
And then that way it helps us. Number one, of course, we want to have a good newsletter database
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he does every week. So it's a really good newsletter. I think, you know, I'm a little
bit biased, but I do think it's a good newsletter.
Check it all out. Late round.com.
All right. And we do want to give a shout out to our sponsor draft Kings. Of course,
you know, they have what we like to call the dogo, the draft one, get one over $20 million
in best ball prizes for the best ball Millie contests that they have.
You're almost done with it, JJ. I'm almost done with it, but how many you got left?
I think I've got 11. I have 11 left to go.
That is actually crazy. Yeah, that's kind of crazy. Yeah. So, so yeah, I did, you know,
they had like a special last night, uh, like a flash special. Sometimes they do if you
look up the app. So I did too. So I could get like a $20 ticket to the, uh, DFS Sunday
night contest. So you don't have to, you don't have to tempt me with a good time, but promo
code late round there. Link is in the description as well. Draft one, get one, uh, as far as
a best ball Millie ticket. And I, the crown is yours. It, the crown is yours. It is, it
is just an awesome way either before your draft, they kind of get ready to see what's
out there or after your draft. Cause we know that drafting is one of the best parts of
fantasy football. So that being said, JJ, we have a lot to talk about, uh, including
just one of the, one of the all time moments in fantasy football.
Laura, let's talk about that next in today's news and notes today's fantasy news. All right.
Uh, preseason week two reaction, JJ, anything strike you with preseason week two stuff?
I mean, other than I, I will look, we, we talked to, you know, I talked to Chris Harris
last week for the, uh, for, for perspectives. And I asked him cause he's, he's been very,
very anti preseason, uh, to a very strong degree. And he's not afraid to share his opinions,
which, you know,
I can appreciate the boldness in the way that he approaches things. He tells it how, how
he feels. Um, I'm much more of a gray area, you know, in the way that I sort of say things
and think about things probably. But, um, he certainly, you know, I, I, I agree with
him. I think that he was right. And he's been right about the preseason stuff and it just
not mattering that much. It's, it's really like, you're not getting normal offenses installs.
You're not getting, you know, normal defenses. Um, you know, what was really interesting this week.
Well, obviously, you know, Dajon Stribling, um, which I've officially learned that it is Dajon
and not Dajon, which I think is, is important to, you know, I care about that kind of stuff. So,
uh, a Chan, we've got Dajon, Dajon Stribling is, is how you, how you do pronounce that.
Um, but regardless, I'll have some, some data on preseason stuff in a second during today's data,
but I thought it was really interesting where, and it could just be Kyle Shanahan, not letting a rookie get
into his own head, but there was a oppressor with Shanahan where he, where they asked him if like
Stribling, if, if Stribling's preseason performance really is like moving the needle. And is it like
a really big, and Shanahan's basically just saying like, no, it doesn't, I don't care.
Like it just doesn't, he doesn't have any, um, like he just, he doesn't care at all about what
the preseason is. He cares more about what he sees in practice and stuff. And I think that we
should take that approach as well. Like it's just not that important. And there's not a lot of,
correlating data, although Brandon is sending
newsletter to show what is kind of
correlated with preseason
to regular season
pronunciation. I just read
the word pronunciation in the chat and I just said
pronunciation. Production is what
I meant to say. My gosh, you guys
throw me off so much
in chat.
But anyway, I thought that was kind of
interesting to hear Shanahan say that. So I
don't care about preseason
stuff. I really don't.
It's interesting to see kind of how
teams are
sharing workload, I guess.
I think that there's some interest in the way that
the Titans, for instance, have been giving
Tajay Spears a lot more looks than I think
most would think
going into the preseason, except for
late round, of course, because we've been
on the Pollard feed.
But no, I mean, even that might not
matter at all. We have no idea.
So I think it's a lot easier
in these instances to take
this information because we don't have any information
all summer long. And then we're like, oh, here's
some nugget. Here's some
some information. And then you take
that and you just over exaggerate that like
crazy. So I would almost rather just ignore
it. So I don't do anything with it.
Yes. The only
reason why I cared
is because
I I'm tired of
the cam word slander.
So when they were at that Sunday night
game, you know, I'm fighting
my group chat. I'm fighting all
the fantasy people.
Fighting me, fighting
my boss.
What do you say?
Your boss when he says your
favorite player sucks, you know, like
yeah, I mean, like I
do think and I've kind of taken that approach.
I remember back when we were at the Super Bowl
and we were we were talking like Steve Palazzolo
and stuff and you
know, you were trying to get like hyped on cam word
and then at one point I'm just like, dude,
like I it can certainly
happen, but we've seen
way more of the year
one bad statistical profiles
bust than the year one
bad statistical profiles, you know, come through
eventually. I think it's fine
in like redraft to just throw the dart. I don't
think it's that big of a deal, but you know, in dynasty
it's a lot more difficult to invest where we're
at right now. Their defense. I will say
it was telling the first team
defense getting absolutely
ransacked
these past two weeks and
just like if they're going to be terrible on defense
could be fantasy friendly. Yeah, it could
be fantasy friendly. It could be. I mean, cam word
could be this year's Jacoby percent,
but let's let's move on
to that's definitely one you want
to hear about your, uh, your franchise quarterback.
Maybe my maybe
my franchise quarterback, Mr. Jacoby
percent. Listen, if that
happens, it is what it is. A 35%
cam word. It is what it is. Um,
I want you to take yourself
back JJ in time to
Sunday night, Sunday
afternoon. You
get the alert. Where were you?
What were you doing when you got
the alert that Ashton Gentry
had to be helped off the
field, could not put any weight
on his leg? Where were
you? And how much did
you cry? Well, contrary to
some people's beliefs, I do spend
time with my children and I was I was
with my kids on Sunday
and I got the alert, you know, and I
tried to ignore and then the
I couldn't because all of the
apps were just notifying me.
And so that was in my
head for sure. It's like, okay, well,
I'm at 12% Ashton Gentry
and, uh, in the
Millie and I have, you know,
been bullish on what he could do
this year and
95% plus
of those times of those instances when
you get, I mean, look, it
was a an injury
on a reception prayer
circle from all the players. The music
stopped, right?
And in those instances, I mean, how many
the only thing I can kind of compare it to is when
Tyrone Tracy, his rookie
year was like, um,
taken away in like an air cast or something
like that. And then he was fine. He was like back and like,
two days back at practice, but you're not
even remotely talking about
the quality of player as Ashton Gentry. Like
this is such a bigger deal than, you
know, a random rookie that you were just hyped
on that you were excited about. Right.
And so, um, you know,
I joined, I was in some slows. I didn't
do, I didn't join any fast drafts when that
ambiguous time was going on where
we didn't know how long
Gentry was going to be out. We kind of assumed that it was like
an ACL. Uh, I just saw
tweet after tweet from people saying
this is how I would handle things if I were drafting.
Tonight. I didn't send anything because I
couldn't, you know, like I said, I was hanging out with the fam
and it just wasn't the right time for me to like
sit down and like craft a tweet
for people. Um, but
regardless, like, yeah,
I mean, it was, it was crazy. Like I joined, I
was in some slows. I eventually
I had my, you
know, my clock was, I was up on like three
or four drafts and some of them I
was in like round four, round five. So I wasn't going to take
Mike Washington in those drafts anyway.
And in round five, like that's that
would like, even if Gentry were out for the
year, I wouldn't be drafting Mike Washington
over like Bucky Irving or something like that.
Um, and then, uh,
but I was in round nine in a
couple of drafts. And so I did take Mike
Washington in round nine later that
night, uh, before
we learned the news with Gentry.
Um, and then now obviously, you know, we've
seen, it's like, we still don't have
that much clarity as to what's going on
here. You know, there's, there was a report by
rap sheet where it's like,
where it's like, it's not a super high
ankle sprain. You know, it's like, it's, it's kind of in the middle.
It's being lowered down his leg.
Yeah. Like there's a, it reminds me of
Denny, Denny Carter used to send
or would send tweets out all the time.
And now he's on blue sky. He's not even on Twitter,
but he would send tweets out saying how,
Oh, this is the lowest ankle sprain
I've ever seen. You know, like this is,
this is getting, it's just getting lower and lower.
It's fine. It's not a big deal. It's just,
this is just in his toe at this point, you know,
like, like that's the way that some of this reporting
has gone with Gentry. I
still, you know, my reaction to it from like a fantasy
perspective is that, you know, I ended up bumping him
to the bottom of that sort of round two
tier where like Amari and Hampton's at
and Devon HN, Derek
Henry, kind of that grouping.
I, I, I think that he's going to miss some
time and I, I still love
Gentry. I was very, very high on him
this year, but don't be surprised if in
the draft guide, he's crossed
out this week as a player to target because
there's obviously a lot of, a lot of risk involved
and going his direction. But
you know, there's going to be some drafts where
he falls to like more of the late second.
And I think that's a really good
spot for a team that starts with
Jamar Chase or Puka Nakua because
one of the things that constantly, I did a Reddit
AMA yesterday and one of the things that was
constantly asked, and I understand why,
but it was asked like literally
eight or nine times.
But it was this idea of, okay,
you know, Bijan and Gibbs are off
the board. Now we're looking at
either Jamar Chase or Puka Nakua, but
the problem is if any of you guys have done
drafts, the problem is
that that running back tier drops
off and you get into like Brees Hall territory
which I'm higher than the market
on Brees Hall generally. You know, I talked about that
on a recent Mailbag episode.
And I drafted him in round three
towards the beginning of round three
and plenty of drafts, you know,
season-long managed lead drafts so far this year.
But regardless of that,
there is a drop-off after that
pretty big tier of
running back. And so what you're basically doing
is, oh, I'm going to get an elite wide receiver
in the second round, like a Drake London, A.J. Brown,
whoever. And then the third round comes
around and you're like, ah, I don't really want to
reach for Devontae
or go with Kyron Williams or go with
Brees Hall, whatever the case may be. So then
you're like, oh, but, oh, here's, oh,
Nico Collins fell to the, you know,
early third. Nico Collins, Drake
London, Chris Alave, I mean,
George Pickens. You could even make the argument
for Devontae Smith and Zay Flowers. You know,
like there's really good wide receivers there.
So then all of a sudden, you're in
a position where you
start three wide receivers and you have a zero
RB build and a lot of people, including
myself, like I don't think it's a very comfortable
position. I don't think it's a very comfortable
position to be in because you're
then risking, you know, there are at
times pretty good fourth round running backs that can
fall to that late fourth, but
in best ball, that happens way
more frequently than in a managed season long league
managed season long leagues. You're going to get Travis
HN and, you know, even like a
David Montgomery who has more question marks. Now
you're going to get those guys more at
like the three, four area and early fourth.
So you could just continuously just
kind of just, just be right off of
a running back tier over and over and over
again. And you run the risk of having Kenny Gainwell
as a starter for you and you're
without an anchor at running back at all.
And so, you know, I
do think that that's a valid point that people bring
up. And so if you
can pair gente with a
Jamar Chase or Puka Nakua, that's sweet.
That's awesome. But I
do think that it gives more validity to the
CMC, you know,
103 overall, which is why I
actually, because I think that
I need to be more
like vocal about this right in
my rankings and the way that I display them. So
even though like in a vacuum, I would take
Puka and Jamar Chase over Chris
McCaffrey, I do have Chris McCaffrey
in that tier in case you want to go that direction
and take that running back. Yeah,
especially we talk about it now.
You just never know what your
own draft room is going to look like. People that have been in
leagues, they kind of know the tendencies
and you don't want to be on the
outside looking in on
a position sometimes. All right.
Give me that booty.
Keishon booty traded to the
Texans. Things we like to
see JJ. I saw some
report by some like, you
know, not well-known Patriots
reporter about
how the Texans don't
even know if they're going to
be using him as a starter and
two wide receiver sets. I don't believe that I
I think that I think that he fits
the mold of replacing Jaden
Higgins and being a
threat down the field, which is what he played
in New England. You know, I think booty is
actually a pretty good wide receiver. Like I've
been saying, like I liked him a lot as a prospect.
He was actually an early Claire, you know, even though he's a day three guy.
guy had some off the field stuff but he's gotten his head on straight and he's been you know he's
been a a pretty valuable and and solid player overall so I I think that what we're going to
see in Houston and look I I think that Jalen Knoll I had him as a as a late round dart in last last
week's update I think Jalen Knoll is still kind of attractive because he's going to be a last round
pick in most season-long leagues um but he showed off a lot of upside last year out of the slot I
think he'll play the primary slot position where Xavier Hutchinson would have been the perimeter
guy for them opposite of Nico that's going to be Keishon Booty now which makes sense because
Xavier Hutchinson was really inefficient he's not I mean he's a very replaceable wide receiver
Jalen Knoll still has some upside because yeah what if what if Booty doesn't get caught up and
isn't able to play on the perimeter and they're like hey let's just get Knoll some reps out there
and see what he's got and I thought he was a really intriguing and interesting prospect himself
so I'm still throwing that dart um but I think Booty is going
to be out there in two wide receiver sets which is going to be important because I think
Houston's going to end up running a lot of 12 this year they drafted Marlon Klein
who is actually kind of an intriguing prospect according to that model uh Gadula kind of liked
him as like a really good sleeper type player in Dynasty um and I kind of followed suit because
he did a lot of good work with the tight end position so I do think that we're going to see
a lot more 12 personnel in that offense this season and obviously when that's the case you
get more
hyper targets to to the wide receivers that are out there so Nico Collins gets a little bit of a
bump and then Keishon Booty I think could end up seeing you know a decent enough target share in
the offense for sure I like that uh Booty call let's get on to Mega Mondray trifling tray
we have Ramondre just steaming up the draft boards and if you've been I'm not trying to
pat anyone on the back right now but if you've listened to this show if you've listened to JJ
and you know the offseason you you knew this was coming yeah um I will say this I got a mailbag
mailbag question for this week that I'm probably going to briefly touch on on the mailbag episode
so I'll give you guys sort of like a a TLDR of what that's going to be like but you know I got
a message of like hey we've seen a lot of these situations in the past where the more explosive
player was not sort of like the coach's favorite um from from what we're assuming right and you know
we then end up drafting incorrectly the more boring you know good and past pro type player
and some of the references that this person made were like Damian Harris or Ezekiel Elliott towards
the end of his career or Zach Moss whenever Chase Brown was there with him in Cincinnati the difference
between this situation in those situations is that Ramondre Stevenson is good like forget any priors
like last year I was in on Travion Henderson and I was not in on Ramondre Stevenson and it was a
mistake in the end it didn't end up being as big of a mistake as it could have been because we got
those really massive spiked weeks from Travion and you know it wasn't like the biggest deal in
the world necessarily but of course I mean Ramondre really came on during the second half of last year
I keep saying this like front half of the year there were definitely some question marks he was
not nearly as good as people uh as his end of season numbers showed but Ramondre Stevenson last
year was number one in the NFL and rushing yards over expected per rush uh and then he was number
one in catch rate over expected at running back among qualified running backs he was good like
we're not talking about end of career Ezekiel Elliott here we're talking about Ramondre
Stevenson who is coming off a season where his team went to the Super Bowl and they rode him
as their clear number one back throughout the playoffs and there's nothing going on in camp
to tell us that that's going to change if anything there's articles being written about him being a
player so I think it's really important like I was doing that Apex draft at the beginning of August
remember and um I was between Ramondre and Travion and at the time Travion was like a round higher in
ADP and I just straight up took Ramond when you're on the clock as a fantasy analyst you know it's
very easy to think in hypotheticals often when you're doing rankings when you're giving advice
it's not your team you're not you're not making those choices for that person you're just giving
general advice I try my best to put my mind to it and I'm like I'm gonna do it I'm gonna do it I'm
gonna put myself in the person's shoes but sometimes you got to put yourself in your own
shoes and I did that in that draft and I was like I was like oh my gosh I like Ramondre Stevenson
more than I like Travion Henderson and that's when it really you know I was always higher than
the market on Ramondre but that's when it really flipped for me and you know now the market's been
doing that more and more as well I'm not saying that I'm the reason that that's happening at all
there's been a lot of favorable reports and stuff like that but I do feel good about you know the
stance with Ramondre versus Travion this offseason that might be our
new shirt uh that we have with the quote sometimes you have to put yourself in your own shoes yes
wise words from Sir JJ all right uh let's get on to some other interesting running back rooms
uh in Carolina we have Hubba Brooks you know Chuba Hubbard Jonathan Brooks yeah it's something
I combined them uh did you write did you used to write for a newspaper yes like think of something
think of something Hubba Brooks you know um it's what it's what the kids do you know when
you combine two people so uh that's what we're doing here but anyways you've got Jonathan Brooks
like right now and I know redraft is different but on on DraftKings and Best Ball Jonathan Brooks
is going around pick 70 Chuba Hubbard going pick 115 yeah it's it's that really flipped that delta
that delta is pretty wild to me
um but that's what you that's what you get in Best Ball right uh and season long it's a lot
closer you're still going to even see Hubbard uh drafted ahead of Jonathan Brooks in some season
long drafts I like Brooks straight up more you know I didn't at the start of the offseason in
May but as the season went as the offseason went on I think I made the flip in like mid to early
July or something like that to go more Brooks as we saw that he was healthy um I think there's more
you know upside with him more pass catching upside with him he had a really good and complete
profile and a lot of good advanced marks so I'm very excited for Jonathan Brooks with that being
said like if you're in a draft and Chuba Hubbard is sitting in round 10 which happens in Best Ball
pretty frequently I mean basically every draft now in Best Ball uh you should draft Chuba Hubbard I
think in that in that range so um you know I'm not the biggest Chuba Hubbard guy I think he's
like an above average back but definitely doesn't have that like special ability to like break
seasons uh he has not been an efficient pass catcher throughout his career um and obviously he already lost
his job last year like we've seen this coaching staff you know give the work to another running
back who was outperforming him at that time uh but and then the injury obviously is not helping
me that's a this is one of those things though we're like there's oftentimes an injury pushes
a player's ADP down and it takes a while for that player to get back we're seeing that with
Sam Laporta a little bit right now too where you know like he had that I think it was a hip right
but he went back to practice yesterday and uh and and you know he was dropping by like two rounds
and drafts when realistically he probably shouldn't have because I don't know if he's
obviously he's he's okay right now so there's a lot of react a lot of like harsh reactions going
on to injuries I would argue a lot of times like we shouldn't be doing that obviously it can bite
you if you if you aren't doing it enough for in some cases but um yeah I think that that Chuba
is actually kind of intriguing in some drafts at this point he's definitely not a fade for
me like he was last year yeah because you talk about at cost Chuba says that uh they're just
being extra cautious with him because of his lingering hamstring injury
last year so that was the reason but it sounds like he might even just be the starter to to start
out there yeah in Carolina all right Montmarks and Houston that's David Montgomery and Woody
Marks oh is it I couldn't okay you needed you needed any sort of insight on that but
you have both of these guys now saying it's it'll be more of a uh committee than people
might have initially thought or is that the case you think look I think that
this is this is like a classic example of the fragility of the running back dead zone area
traditionally how we have how we've talked about running back dead zone players I've gotten to the
point over the last couple of years where I don't write about the dead zone anymore because I think
that it it uh simplifies it just makes it way too it simplifies it way too much uh really what the
running back dead zone is is that traditionally in drafts what we usually see is running backs
being boosted a little bit in ADP and then they're being boosted a little bit in ADP and then they're
being boosted a little bit in ADP and then they're being boosted a little bit in ADP for not their talent but
for not their talent but for their projected volume and when you're assigning volume to a
for their projected volume and when you're assigning volume to a player who's not talented enough
player who's not talented enough there's fragility to that to where that player could lose that
there's fragility to that to where that player could lose that volume because he's not talented enough
volume because he's not talented enough and so I do think that David Montgomery is sort of in that
and so I do think that David Montgomery is sort of in that bucket where we kind of know what he is I
bucket where we kind of know what he is I think that he's he can handle a big workload will he get
think that he's he can handle a big workload will he get that big workload I don't think it's nearly as
that he's he can handle a big workload I don't think it's nearly as locked in as a lot of the other
locked in as a lot of the other running backs out there um with that being said like I've been
running backs out there um with that being said like I've been ranking him at Market like I'm not
ranking him at Market like I'm not high or low on on David Montgomery I haven't been a giant here
high or low on on David Montgomery I haven't been a giant here with a lot of other you know running
with a lot of other you know running backs in that sort of like dead zone-y type area but that's the
backs in that sort of like dead zone-y type area but that's the fear and I think that like no one
fear and I think that like no one knows in my opinion like we don't know for sure how this
knows in my opinion like we don't know for sure how this works or how the backfield is going to be
works or how the backfield is going to be split but I think that this is one of those things
split but I think that this is one of those things where like you have to understand that the risk
where like you have to understand that the risk profile here is not simply like oh David
profile here is not simply like oh David Montgomery might not be as efficient as we think behind that
Montgomery might not be as efficient as we think behind that offensive line like that's not the
offensive line like that's not the risk profile of David Montgomery the risk
profile is they have another running back in that backfield that could easily take some looks
from Montgomery and that's a really big deal because a guy like Montgomery is going to just
need as many looks as he possibly can get because he's probably not going to be a 12 13 percent
target share player right so this this to me is why like every team that you draft there's you
have to understand like the the general archetype that you're working with in terms of the player
but also that that floor ceiling combination and the risk profile involved right like
Bayshall Tootin is going to go in the same range as David Montgomery there are some teams like the
teams that we talked about earlier that went with three wide receivers to start you might be more
inclined to get a David Montgomery type in round four and around five than going after Bayshall
Tootin because Bayshall Tootin has a lower floor than David Montgomery just based on ambiguity
based on us not knowing now I like to play for upside I'll rank them in a similar tier and I
might even have Montgomery above Tootin in some rankings because I know more people would kind of
rather go for the the safer play and that in you know in the first four or five rounds but to me
like I still think Bayshall Tootin has a higher upside has has more upside than David Montgomery
especially given these reports so it's kind of the way that I view these things and it's just
another reason why that area of drafts and those types of running backs they should be you know
taken with a grain of salt and you should approach them with caution because there's some fragility to
it the people have spoken and McDonald's listened back by popular demand McDonald's
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okay here in Tennessee um RIP Dolly we say bless your heart and it's like it's like man bless your
heart you know something's going wrong bless your heart and that's how I feel about Cleveland right
now Deshaun Watson I'm your host I hope you have a great weekend and I'll see you in the next video
Deshaun Watson name the starter there I'm not sure what they should do all I know is just
my heart goes out to Cleveland fans they shouldn't be playing Deshaun Watson he
shouldn't be on the team um and you can say that strictly from a play perspective but
also like at some point you got to look at your fan base as an owner of a company whatever the
case may be it's like if we're it's like if we produced a draft guide that just like was so
unusable every single year that we've done it and we just ignored the feedback from people
you know and we're just like no what we're doing is fine it's don't worry about it like you're
tarnishing your own brand and company by throwing this guy out on the field and maybe you believe
that he's the best answer I question that because he hasn't shown us that he can be that answer
um but he is starting I don't think from a fantasy perspective it really matters either way because I
don't think Shador Sanders has that much upside anyway uh so to me you know I'm I'm drafting Casey
Decepcion he's basically the only guy that I've been drafting from like consistently from this
Browns offense this year you know I'm I'm I've been worried about Harold Fannin people don't
know this but Harold Fannin was originally right before we published the guy I I took him off the
avoids list this year uh back in early July and I've been a little bit like hesitant with Fannin
I'm probably not going to make him as an avoid because I just love the profile and I love the
player but like Fannin has a lot to work that's working against him this year so I'm not gonna
make him this year that just is not being talked about nearly enough where you have this added
competition and he's good and you can earn targets by being good but he was also getting some really
easy layup stuff last year when Shador Sanders was starting because of a lack of competition and
because of the way that Shador kind of was was was uh running that offense is a brand new offensive
system like we don't know for sure if some of that easy stuff is going to be there for Fannin where
he's going to get a 30 target share you know so I I even think that he's a very risky play but
Concepcion when you can get him in that position he's going to be there for Fannin and he's going to
come in the double digit rounds I'm going after that because I want to I want to hyper target you
know at that kind of cost um you know players who I think are really good okay um moving on to
Atlanta things are so bad with Tua they are rumors of Phoenix starting you know continues to grow
um with this Atlanta offense where are you at as far as this Falcons offense with either of
these quarterbacks so I was looking at the splits with and without
Michael Penix last year for Drake London in particular but the whole offense so when Michael
Penix was playing Drake London 31 targets per out run rate 2.75 yards per out run rate 0.6 fantasy
points per route run which is all very very good numbers like like really really good um and so then
you look at Kyle Pitts 18 targets per out run 1.3 target or yards per out run not good at all it's
just not not strong and then you look at the opposite of that obviously Drake London was
banged up when Michael Penix was not on the field but Drake London in 103 routes without Michael
Penitz Michael Penix 21 targets per out run rate and a 1.2 yards per out run rate so like
I think that that Penix playing is is actually you know I I didn't dig into this nearly as much
as I should have um like a month ago but I I think that um Penix starting is probably not a bad thing
at all given given the state the the the what what appears to be the state of to a tongue of Iloa which
is that he is absolute dust that he is horrible right so I I think it's a good thing if Michael
Penix starts uh there's there seems to be more upside with the offense and the guys we care
about in fantasy okay uh get Downs with the not the sickness but the calf uh unfortunately Josh
Downs dealing with a calf injury we don't know how serious it is all I know is that this Colts
offense and we can we can lump um the gate gate blurb in there as well if you're following along
JJ but we've got Downs with a calf injury Alec Pierce with this ankle we're watching to see how
he walks Tyler Warren has a groin injury Keenan Allen is maybe the healthiest guy he's the oldest
guy he's been playing at all right he hasn't had the opportunity to get hurt so uh Colts pass catchers
Downs bad
yeah it's kind of tough um I'm trying to you know I'm I was I was relatively okay with Josh Downs
after the Keenan Allen move but the more that I've sat with it the more I'm like kind of moving Downs
down a little bit in my rankings and I love Josh Downs I think there's so much potential with his
profile he's actually been pretty good on the perimeter at getting targets when he plays out
there um and so there's there is some some upside there and some some intrigue there with that being
said it's hard to deny like Keenan Allen has been a quarterback friend uh when uh you know when it
comes to to getting targets you know led the both the last two teams he's played foreign targets per
route run uh last year just he just led the team in target share so um yeah I mean I think Keenan
Allen is not someone that I think is going to give you tons and tons of upside but in deeper leagues
at the end of drafts you know in best ball um I do think that he can give you some usable weeks
and then the Alec Pierce stuff I think again no one knows like no one knows what's going on
with Alec Pierce now you watch him walk I've seen rumors reports from like other players being
interviewed saying that like he just kind of walks with a limp naturally like that's just kind of like
he's got a little swag to him I didn't know did you notice like we saw him at Radio Row he was
going to uh interview with this show yeah but they got there late so we weren't able to do it but I
didn't notice any you know limp when I just noticed his traps yeah dude was huge dude is huge yeah a
lot bigger than people realize
but he was he was also a you know a a gym rat uh you know athletic freak at the combine and stuff
but um yeah I don't know what's going on with Alec Pierce I I'm fine double digit rounds that people
are just kind of fading him to just throw the dart but aside from that I'm kind of staying away
okay Mike Evans is old he has now a groin injury so if you're keeping track he's had a groin injury
two separate quad injuries an ankle injury and I think I'm missing a foot injury I'm not sure if
that is with the ankle injury but some are saying this might be his fifth
injury of the preseason yeah I mean it's scary for sure but I also think that like we're in a place
right now where teams are playing it so so safe with these guys and we don't know what's a serious
and what's not like even even the amount of time that these guys are sidelined we don't know how
serious the injury was or if they're just like no you're good you got the install you know exactly
what the offense is doing and you're good uh playing the game so like we don't need to rush
you back so it could be going you know happening for mike evans but yeah it's not good news that
he can't seemingly stay on the field okay next one uh is jcm jacory cross game we are going to
be fantasy relevant this year uh that's a little bit of a joke compared to last year when someone
said if he's fantasy relevant they will steal the declaration it was redacted in in uh in the
fantasy in the late round discord he said he would steal the declaration of independence of jcm
ended up being fantasy relevant yeah he's gonna be fantasy relevant uh i said this a couple weeks
ago i mean i i made the switch to to ranking him above rashad white um rashad white seemingly has
a groin injury after doing the als ice bucket challenge it looked like he slipped after doing
that which is like that's the story of this preseason right like you're
you're excited you know you're doing something good as he was and then uh you know you get hurt
but you know i still have my hesitation to to think that he's going to be like you know a
uh 8 to 12 percent target share player i don't think that's probably going to happen but i think
it's a backfield that i want to invest in so i've been throwing darts at both jcm and rashad white
yeah they say he's got like an undisclosed injury a soft like a lower body injury but now they say
that he could be back they're just taking it really easy like i just said yeah what the way
the teams are treating this stuff yeah uh okay uh trey benson waved uh and i'll group this in
with it as well kareem hunt visiting the lions we are in this season now where you're gonna have
maybe some veterans cut visiting other places and it's just kind of it is what it is yeah i mean i
never was like super high on trey benson aside from the only time i was into trey benson was last
year when there were all the injuries and i'm like yeah stash him on your bench and then he didn't
come back um and then kareem hunt i mean is he i don't know if he's better or worse than isaiah
pacheco like whoever is that like i i haven't drafted any isaiah pacheco this offseason maybe
it comes back to haunt me and burn me and best ball but um i i just you know again it goes back
to the fragility of like not super talented players i think pacheco's just kind of cooked
versus where he's been at just has dealt with injuries throughout his short career so far
so yeah i mean like like i'm not gonna be surprised if there's a lot of that volatility
with that rb2 spot for the lions and if kareem hunts there uh he could get some run you know
in that in that backfield we'll see what happens though okay then last um packers
said they were preparing um for the possibility of jacobs being
not being there with either injury or suspension or whatever i've seen different takes on x
about this people are saying it's actually good probably like good for jacobs the way that it was
said some are saying it's bad i don't think it's good usually to me when teams call that out
there's at least sometimes a hint at that suspension coming and it kind of aligns with when
adam schefter came out last week or two weeks ago saying that puka nakua and josh jacobs were
two players who could still be
suspended and it in the way that schefter framed it it sounded like nakua would miss week one right
like that was going to be a one week kind of suspension he wouldn't be able to play their
opener uh and then the josh jacobs thing is is a bigger deal than the puka thing in terms of just
like what the allegations are and what happens so i don't know i'm taking it as you know keep
you know marshall lloyd's a late round dart throw he's been a late round dart throw in the draft
guide and i i would continue to draft him in the later rounds all right let's get on to today's data
today's data yeah it's a fun one yeah so this is looking at rookie wide receiver preseason
numbers over the last 10 years so this is first year wide receivers 15 or more routes runs this is
mega small sample guys like super super small sample but i'm looking at targets per outrun
and yards per outrun and design stribling has by far the best
targets per outrun rate in this data set uh he's had a 59 percent targets per outrun rate in the
preseason this year and if you look at the top guys tank dell right behind him jackson smith and
jigba amin raw saint brown all as rookies and then you start to get into more questionable players
but there's still some hits in there garrett wilson's in there um quentin johnston kind of
i guess uh romeo dobbs obviously tory horton looked like he was you know trending in the
and obviously you know design uh dejan stribling had did i say design the john the last time uh you
you corrected yourself so you're good uh his yards per outrun is 4.95 but the other thing is we have
uh trevor pena for the jags who i believe was a penn stater uh he did not go to the combine so he
doesn't have a a uh and he wasn't drafted so he doesn't have a profile on the prospect guide
he's been kind of crushing it
for the jags he's got a three or 6.84 yards per outrun rate so far in the preseason a 42
percent targets per outrun rate so again if there's any stickiness to this kind of data
which i don't think there is that much stickiness you'd rather the player be good than bad of course
but i don't think there's going to be like significant amount of stickiness here uh he's
another one pain is another one that uh is kind of interesting to to just watch out for from a
dynasty perspective it's obviously a crowded room and stuff and such though he might not even make
the team but we'll see he's been been crushing in the preseason but uh yeah there's just
some more uh dajohn's dribbling steam for you folks i still think that you can be drafting him
in the in the top like 45 ish wide receivers which is is going to place him in the you know top 10
rounds uh of drafts okay so that's uh rookie wide receiver preseason starts right there no i said
stars like they're stars okay star that's why i didn't know i i didn't know if it was stars or
starts and i was like they're stars like they're they're the guys who are crushing in the preseason
now i understand
not like suit like not superstars i saw you messing with that the entire time i was talking
i know because i'm like i know how you are with like you don't want a typo out there it's okay
yeah someone said in chat someone says thoughts on digs versus dribbling i'm taking stefan digs i
love stefan digs this year i think he's just way undervalued the people have spoken and mcdonald's
listened back by popular demand mcdonald's is firing up your taste buds with the return of
spicy mcnuggets plus mighty hot dogs
to turn up the heat that's right mcnuggets just got hotter you can taste it now the crispy crunch
of a mcnugget coated and seasoned perfectly with aged cayenne and chili peppers then dialed up and
dipped in the mighty hot sauce with a little more kick and just a touch of sweetness you can taste
it now right mcdonald's packs plenty of flavor and spice into each bite and that should get your
attention so grab some extra napkins get yourself to a mcdonald's now and spice up your day with the
hot combo
of spicy mcnuggets and mighty hot sauce after all you can take the heat right get them while
they're literally hot at participating mcdonald's for a limited time for adults with crohn's disease
or ulcerative colitis symptoms every choice matters trim fire offers self-injection or
intravenous infusion from the start trim fire is administered as injections under the skin
or infusions through a vein every four weeks followed by injections under the skin
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is required trim fire is a prescription medicine used to treat adults with moderately to severely
active crohn's disease and adults with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis serious
allergic reactions increased risk of infections or lower ability to fight them and liver problems
may occur before treatment get checked for infections and tuberculosis tell your doctor
if you have an infection flu-like symptoms or need a vaccine explore what's in your bag and
what's possible ask your doctor about trim fire today call 1-800-526-7736 to learn more or visit
trimfire radio.com let's get on to the make or break areas of your draft the late round main
event yeah so we did this last year um and i think it's a good exercise to kind of go through and
think about but i came up with four make or break areas of fantasy drafts this year and what i mean
by make or break is they're different they're different they're different they're different
they're just big sort of like inflection points and the players that you're choosing and the
roster construction that you might end up going with based on those choices and so the first one
that i think is probably the most obvious is sort of the one-two turn at running back so like the
guys that are going late round one into the middle of round two this year i i copied and pasted this
is from fantasy pros adp uh and then i highlighted the running backs that i'm sort of talking about
here which is ashen genti who's gonna fall in adp
uh saquon barkley devon achan chase brown amarin hampton kenneth walker and derrick henry those are
those are the guys and then i highlighted two players that i think are sort of like the targets
in this range based on adp so obviously devon achan is going ahead of chase brown i'm drafting
chase brown ahead of devon achan kenneth walker going behind amarin hampton i'm drafting kenneth
walker over both amarin hampton and devon achan obviously he's a little bit banged up but it
sounds like it's not that big of a deal is this foot injury um
So, like, this to me is going to be a really important part of. drafts this year i think that if you're at the end of round one you should double tap
running back usually in most leagues because then in round three and four you can get two
really good wide receivers still and feel good about your wide receiver room uh but i did want
to highlight chase brown and walker as two guys that i like i mean chase brown i've talked about
on the show you know he was averaging over 20 he was averaging like 21 ppr points per game
with joe burrow last year basically top five running back in in fantasy um and he was getting
you know he's the one running back out of this group like just go through these names ashen
genti a brand new system saquon barkley a brand new offensive system devon achan everything
changed amarian hampton brand new offensive system a new competition kenneth walker he's on a new
team derrick henry even a brand new offensive system right chase brown has the most stability
out of all of these guys he's the easiest to project in my opinion of all of these players so
i'm very into chase brown for both the stability and the upside case and then kenneth walker you
know you're going to see more of these guys in the next couple of weeks i'm going to see a lot of
these guys in the next couple of weeks i'm going to see a lot of these guys in the next couple of weeks
high upside runner who has had lower success rates in the past but the lower success rate stuff in
kansas city should change because we saw last year that team was top 10 in success rate despite having
kareem hunt and isaiah pacheco and then on top of that the team faced the fewest number of players
in the box um fewest stack boxes in the league and so walker's gonna see easier fronts because
these defenses have to you know be honest because they're not going to be as good as they used to be
because they're they're facing patrick mahomes who obviously has been not as good of a deep ball
thrower over the last couple of years but it is still patrick mahomes and so the the defensive
fronts that kenneth walker is going to face are going to be i mean he's going to be awesome on
the ground i have no doubt about that the biggest question is going to be what he looks like as a
receiver if you look at andy reed's history you know before we've had this sort of like hodgepodge
of just like random running backs back there um he's had some true bell cow backs throughout his
and so i'm not going to be surprised that they use walker a good bit
uh through the air he's he hasn't seen the crazy volume spikes aside from the one year with ryan
grubb as offensive coordinator but he's been very good per route run throughout his career aside
from his rookie season so i think walker can be a really good asset as a receiver for them too
which is why i'm pretty high on okay let's move on to the second area of the make or break draft
and this is the cover boy brock bowers you say to brock bowers or to not brock bowers yeah look
there's an opportunity cost in getting brock bowers to be a good receiver and to be a good
in your drafts it's going to be a lot easier in my opinion to draft him in shallower leagues
in leagues where you know maybe you don't have like super deep starting lineups or uh so so you
know obviously if you're starting three running backs and three wide receivers in one tight end
versus two running backs and two wide receivers in one tight end in the latter format tight ends
matter more because they're a larger chunk of your your starting lineup right and so in those kinds
of formats i'll be more willing to go after brock bowers in round two where he's being drafted is
expected point of view is that he's going to be a good receiver and he's going to be a good
receiver and he's going to be a good receiver and he's going to be a good receiver and he's going to
be a good receiver and he's going to be a good receiver and he's going to be a good receiver
based on historical adp is around 14.8 points per game he scored 15.5 and 14.7 uh in his two
seasons in the league so i have no issue with him at least meeting expectation the problem is with
tight end you need them to give you like a special season in order to really be worthwhile because uh
the the position just doesn't matter nearly as much like we're just looking at how tight ends
have performed against other tight ends we're looking at expected points per game we're not
talking about how valuable that actual player is right
so i do think you can meet expectation the problem is how valuable is that going to be
for your fantasy roster usually it's around like you know where he goes you're going to want like
a 17 point per game type season from brock bowers to to really like give you some decent value i
think he can get there in this offense with clint kubiak um you know he's he's an elite player uh
it's good they're going to run a lot of 12 there's going to be a lot of focus going towards brock
bowers um and so i'm fine with taking him in some leagues there's some leagues where i'm not going
you know if it's a 14 teamer where i'm starting three wide receivers i'm not going to be as
inclined to take brock bowers because i don't want to have to play catch up at those other more
important positions but i'm high on bowers i think you can draft him um but i do think that's a big
big make or break decision because it impacts the rest of your lineup so much your roster
construction so much after you do take bowers there yeah you're mentioning um you know the
two receiver and shallower leagues and we also get some of these
questions about 10 team leagues and we talk about it's it's a lot easier in 10 team leagues to
draft these onesie positions like a brock bowers based on where you are okay um round three to five
wide receivers yeah there's a lot of them and i i actually extended this past round five with
the adp data that fantasy pros is showing because parker washington is still i i we'll just call
this really looks like it's davante smith i'm just going to read them really quick davante smith
zay flowers t higgins tetero mcmillan emeka buka lad mcconkey garrett wilson jaylen waddle dj more
luther burden terry mclaurin davante adams jameson williams mike evans roma dunze christian watson
and parker washington so those wide receivers i love them it's so hard to have true honest
like i have a couple guys that are on this list that i have as avoids in the draft guide
but they're avoids with a confidence level of one like literally it's like we have a confidence
level in the in the guide like i'm not hard fading any of these guys it's just that i'm trying to
give some content to you guys and to you know let you understand why the rankings have those guys
maybe slightly lower than what adp does but when i'm looking at this list i can make a case for
literally all of these players and i think that if you're going rbrb you're in a really good spot
to take three of these guys in a lot of cases um you know if you go uh if
you're in an auction i love the idea of getting two running backs from that tier we just talked
about maybe getting chase brown and kenneth walker and then getting four of these guys
potentially in this tier as opposed to spending up and getting like drake london nico collins and
stuff i like those guys i'm just saying that i think the upside case for some some of the guys
in this range is very similar and you can get them for a lot cheaper in an auction draft so
i think that this range is just going to be make or break because there's going to be a lot of
players in my opinion that emerge from this and give us some uh really good upside in fantasy this
year i was going to mention that as far as uh this is almost like a strategy guide for auctions
as well just yeah a little bit what's your it could be a strategy i would say like i had this
strategy going into the king's classic no and then you know things got kind of turned well the
problem is if you get other teams that are doing the same thing it makes it a lot more difficult
and that's what happened in my king's classic draft too is that i was just like oh
okay i'm not going to get terry mclaurin i'll just wait for the next guy from this tier and i'll get
him a little bit cheaper or whatever but then every guy it's just kept going and going and
going so i had to spend up a little bit to get like a t higgins and stuff i'd never find when
you're spinning up to get a t higgins that's what i always say yeah okay uh the start of the qb2
range that next make or break area of your draft yeah this is the last one um it's it's the fact
that like once you're past like trevor lawrence justin herbert in my opinion
can make an argument for all of these guys that are listed here so these guys being matthew stafford
beau nix patrick mahomes brock purdy jared goff kyler murray baker mayfield and jordan love and
you know what i'll highlight one guy in here that i think is still pretty underrated and that's
brock purdy uh if brock purdy is going qb15 i'd be drafting him in in a lot of my drafts and i
have drafted purdy uh he's you know he gives you a lot more juice in his legs than people realize
and he's been consistently like a top eight fantasy asset so
uh purdy's probably the best value of that group i don't mind beau nix i'm a little bit worried
about mahomes because last year he set a career high in rushing points per game over five uh which
was like he was like 1.8 points per game higher than what he's typically been and obviously he's
coming off the acl they get kenneth walker there's a lot of fear with patrick mahomes in my opinion
stafford has regression coming uh jared goff i think like to me there's not a massive massive
difference between jared goff and matthew stafford whereas in your drafts especially home leagues
what stafford did last year and they just simply apply it to this year stafford's going to be less
than you know a quarter of a point per game with his legs you know and so you literally need all
of that stuff that he did last year uh with his arm if he would have been like if you regress
that down by like 10 touchdowns then all of a sudden he's starting to approach low end qb1
territory and that's still while leading the nfl in touchdown passes just he's not giving you
anything from a rushing perspective so uh there's some fear with stafford uh you know jared goff i
it's sort of an arbitrage there uh kyler murray has the rushing upside obviously baker mayfield i
think is prime for a bounce back the dude looks like he's in the best shape of his life by the
way yeah he looks good baker baker's looking good uh and then jordan love i mean it's an offense in
an ecosystem that's been really strong historically and he's a he's a you know an epa superstar jordan
love is so this qb2 range i think is going to be a make or break spot if you go late round qb
because there are a lot of guys to choose from a lot of guys that are interchangeable in rank a lot
have super strong conviction on um but i do think that there's a couple of them that could emerge
from this from this group and obviously this doesn't include some of the late late guys that
are like like tyler shuck or malik willis um but i do think that there are some good options in this
range yeah i know with with best ball uh i'm in complete agreement with you on on brock purdy i
don't feel like i have enough bow knicks that like that scares me i've got plenty of baker mayfield i
don't feel like i have enough bow knicks that like that scares me i don't feel like i have enough
because he's going after all these guys he's available and i also just think about
all of his pass catchers that offense they're all being drafted in the top 100 for you count
matthew golden being at the at the top of that list but with watson and reed and craft and golden
and jacobs i mean this offense should be a good offense it should be a good offense and there's
there's also some um chance that they're a little bit more pass heavy than than what's being
projected not just because of like how things ebb and flow but also because josh jacobs and the
stuff that we talked about already with that backfield right all right as a reminder right
after the show you will be redirected brandon gadula and i will be drafting a best ball
draft kings best ball uh millie draft on the late round youtube stream and if you're listening on
demand hey go ahead and subscribe to the youtube channel and with that being said jj let's wrap this
up all right like i said subscribe like
you
comment leave your comments hey this is an interactive show we appreciate all the the
comments in the chat even the ones that we're getting jj um you know distracted while he was
trying to make some some points but we appreciate that we also appreciate the feedback that you give
us after the show and then go to late round.com sign up for the newsletter like jj mentioned
earlier we have um you know just some some good newsletters but also just some staples coming
out staples of late round coming out and then the season i mean we're only two weeks away
from the season starting yeah and then we'll be into week one jj i'm ready for uh for things to
start because it's a routine you know it's a lot of work but it's a lot and it's a grind as you get
towards the end of the season but you know august you know just to peel things back a little bit
august from my perspective is just wild because no day is the same as another day but i still
have consistent work that i got to get done for like the draft guide and some of the episodes
and stuff going on so many shows i don't do other appearances i don't do other appearances i don't
do other performances in season because it's just impossible to um so it's going to be nice to kind
of just sit back grind things out live in my cave you know you don't hear the outside noise as much
as the season's going on because you're so focused on doing your analysis and uh you know
focusing on that and i'm also excited to do uh the data dump stuff this year because we have some
some additional data that we're going to be able to be working with um and so i think everyone's
going to going to see a little bit of a different in a good way uh data dump uh and just analysis
each week yeah and you will be able to uh members on the run.com will be able to uh play with some
of that data as well see it download it that sort of stuff uh so yeah it's kind of like the last week
of school or last week of summer vacation before school you're kind of frozen like you don't feel
like you can do anything you're getting ready for school to start like it's not really vacation
you're you're just wanting that first day to get there so that's kind of how i feel about the season
like once we have the drafts
i'm i'm yeah i'm ready for the season to start already so that's where i'm at um also shout out
to the draft kings promo code late round again the draft one get one uh we appreciate draft kings
and um you know it is what it is jj i'm trying to give a shout to our sponsors and you're pulling
up quotes on jaybolt i know i said year end what i say year end analysis end yeah year end analysis
yeah
and it sounded like urine analysis i promise you we're not doing any urine analysis at late round
fantasy football i hope not yeah all right uh that being said final thoughts jj no man uh good
luck to everyone with their drafts uh we're gonna have a mailbag episode later this week uh and make
sure you check out the live stream still okay we appreciate you all and uh we can't we just can't
wait to get started join us in the discord if you want to become a member it's a fun time and with
that we'll see you next time here on the late round fantasy football show sponsored by draft
kings peace
this is an iheart podcast guaranteed human
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
McDonald's is reintroducing spicy McNuggets with a hotter sauce to meet fan demand for spicier flavors.
LifeLock offers identity theft protection, including threat detection and identity restoration, with a special promotion using code "football" for up to 30% off.
The Late Round Fantasy Football Show features David Kitchen and J.J. Zacharyson discussing draft strategies, player risks, and injury impacts.
Preseason performance data shows limited correlation with regular season success, and experts advise focusing on in-practice trends over flashy stats.
Key draft considerations include running back stability (e.g., Chase Brown, Kenneth Walker), injury risks, and the fragility of low-talent backfield depth.
Players like Keishon Booty and Jalen Knoll are seen as promising in new offensive schemes, especially in two-widereceiver systems.
Injury reports for key players (e.g., Mike Evans, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce) create uncertainty, prompting caution in draft decisions.
The show highlights the importance of using data, context, and personal risk tolerance when building fantasy teams.
Summary:
McDonald's is reviving its spicy McNuggets with a hotter sauce and enhanced flavor to satisfy fan demand, available for a limited time at participating locations. In a separate segment, LifeLock promotes identity theft protection with a special offer using the code "football" for up to 30% off the first year. J.
Zacharyson discussing key draft considerations, including the impact of preseason stats, player injuries, and offensive scheme changes. They emphasize that preseason performance doesn't strongly predict regular-season success and caution against overvaluing data. Critical decisions in fantasy drafts—such as late-round running back picks (notably Chase Brown and Kenneth Walker) and wide receiver choices (like Keishon Booty and Jalen Knoll)—are shaped by stability, injury risks, and team dynamics.
The hosts also highlight how injury reports for players like Mike Evans, Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce create uncertainty, urging cautious, data-informed decisions. Ultimately, the discussion underscores that draft success hinges not just on stats, but on understanding risk, player profiles, and team-specific factors, especially in dynasty and best-ball formats. The show provides actionable insights through rankings updates, injury analysis, and expert commentary, all aimed at helping fans make smarter, more resilient team-building choices.
FAQs
At participating McDonald's locations for a limited time, while they're literally hot.
They feature aged cayenne and chili peppers for extra spice, dipped in mighty hot sauce with added kick and a touch of sweetness.
LifeLock detects potential identity threats and suspicious activity, and helps restore your identity if identity theft occurs.
Use the code 'football' for up to 30% off your first year of coverage at LifeLock.com.
It provides fantasy football draft advice, player rankings, and analysis, with live streams and exclusive content for fans.
Hosted by David Kitchen and featuring fan favorite Brandon Gadula, who provides weekly fantasy football insights.
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