The transcription analyzes five wide receiver sleepers for the upcoming season, all drafted at pick 120 or later. Rashid Shaheed of the Seahawks is a top pick due to his $51 million contract and expected role expansion beyond deep routes, offering weekly starter potential if JSN misses time. Matthew Golden of the Packers is a first-round talent whose snap share should increase significantly in a high-scoring offense, providing a solid floor with upside for more. Xavier Worthy of the Chiefs is a bounce-back candidate after shoulder and ankle injuries limited him to a vertical role; with Andy Reid planning to use him on crossing routes and screens, healthier season could revive his production. Jalen Daler of the Raiders, signed in free agency, is poised to be a consistent second target behind Brock Bowers, leveraging his reliable route running and high target share from his Vikings tenure. The analysis emphasizes targeting players on strong offenses with clear paths to volume, noting that injuries to key teammates could elevate these sleepers to every-week starters. The overarching theme is finding undervalued investments in favorable situations, with each player offering a mix of proven talent, team investment, and opportunity for growth.
(upbeat music) Oh yes, it is time to unveil our favorite wide receiver sleepers for the season. Bit of a twist this year. Yes, we are including your homely drafts in this conversation. So here are the parameters, okay? Each of these names has to be picked one 20 or later that's the end of the 10th round, either on underdog or on Yahoo, even sometimes both, because we want to include everyone here. Hayden, kick us off. Who's your favorite wide receiver sleeper this season? - I got Rashid Shaheed from the Seahawks. This off season, he signs a $51 million deal. Three years, a lot of guaranteed money. It was actually even more money than Kenneth Walker signed with the chiefs. So the Seahawks told us with their own dollars that Rashid Shaheed is more valuable than Kenneth Walker. I'm paying attention. Remember, if you also treated a third round pick, did not have a great season on the Seahawks in terms of his receiving work. But if you go back to the Saints days, he had a 15 game stretch from 2024 to 2025. In those 15 games, he had 57 yards per game. He was the wide receiver 38 and wide receiver 30 usage. That was with Spencer Ratler and the injured version of Derek Carr as the quarterback. So I think on a baseline level, when he's being drafted as wide receiver 57 right now, I think that there's like a baseline projection of positive case for him. And then you obviously have the contingent value for something ever happens to JSN, who just had like a ridiculous 35% target share. I think that can drop down a little bit. They get Shaheed more involved. I wouldn't expect Cooper Cup to be all that involved, especially something happened to JSN. And then we also got ESPN's Jeremy Fowler just a couple of days ago saying that Shaheed had a major spring. He and Sam Darnel are hitting it off, which makes sense just based off how those two skills that's overlap. They're gonna give him more short and intermediate stuff. He's gonna be a big time player. I think that last part there, the short intermediate stuff, he hasn't done that a whole lot in the pros. Yep, just watching him and Josh, you probably agree with me. He's got that start stopability, where I do think in the right offense, if you do sprinkle in some of that stuff, I do think there's more value in that. So I'm hoping that we're not just gonna have this huge downfield role for him. I think that will pay off in best ball. But I do think there's a pathway by week, wide receiver four, wide receiver three, where you can throw him and you're starting lineup. If he gets a couple more screens, a couple little shallow crosses and runs after the wind, I didn't get a chance here. - There's one of my favorite picks of the year too. He's the fifth pick of the 12th round on Underdog, and then one pick later, over on Yahoo. So at the same exact spot in both drafts at this very moment. I think there was some frustration last year because he and Clint Gubiak had a history in New Orleans when that offense with Elave was one of the best in the league for the first three or four years of that partnership. And then when it goes to New Orleans, you think to yourself, oh, he knows the offense, he's just gonna immediately be inputted into the team. And that just wasn't the case. Obviously the special team's impact was massive. You could argue that played a major part, just getting them one of the top overall seeds in the playoffs and then obviously getting a super boring at the end of it. But the receiver production, since Jordan and Seattle was extremely minimal. I mean, 15 of 26 targets he caught in a regular season for just 188 yards since Jordan and C. Hawks. Obviously in the playoffs, he had three catches for 78 yards. But he went from being targeted on 22% of his routes in New Orleans down to 14% this last year. So let me ask you this, right? Seattle last year was 30th in 11 personnel, three water seevers sets across the league, it just 42%. So on this team, this is one of the true cases where all we care about is two water seevers sets. You have to assume with this nomination and just overall with his talent that he is going to take over for Cooper Cup. Do you think that's going to be in week one? Or do you think that's going to be in week four, week five? I think that happened when they gave him $51 million, you know? Yeah, Cooper Cup didn't do a whole lot. He was fine enough on this targets, was not getting it home necessarily. Now he's 33 years old. So I think just the the final answer to the best one, they could have resigned Kenneth Walker, who the Super Bowl MVP. They said, no, thank you. We'll figure that out later. We need Rashid Shaheed. I think there's a reason for that him and Sam Darnell downfield is going to work out. I just really do hope that if something ever happened to J.S.N., I think that it should he can be showcased more of a underneath weaponry than he currently has. My other last note here, I looked at the wider seaver two or the tight end two, whoever's the second in the Dept chart in ADP on their teams. And only the Dolphins, Raiders and Commanders have a player in that wider severs slash tight end two category that's lower than Rashid Shaheed. Remember, the Seahawks Jess were second in scoring, intent and passing yards. Yet their number two pass catcher in the Dept chart is one of the latest picks in fantasy. Obviously, J.S.N. being so dominant explain some of that. I think there's a big part of that's unexplained. And that's just because it's a bad ADP. So I think that he should be up a couple rounds from here. He's going to be very inconsistent if J.S.N. stays the same. But if J.S.N. does go down, I think that he's going to be an every week starter. And I do think that he's going to be way more in the mix this year than he was last year. I love that Seattle projected for the ninth most points in the league this season. That's exactly the type of offense we want to target. And yeah, I've got a need. I've got a need for Shaheed. That's right. Just a much better pure individual wider severs talent than I think given credit for. And it makes sense that he couldn't crack the rotation when Cooper Cup was healthy because they won the fricking Super Bowl. You know, like why change all this stuff? And we know the impact that he brought. And so this is like the perfect time, the perfect offseason for him to go out there and command those two wider severs set situations. OK, my next name is Matthew Golden. And look, I didn't rank the Packer second year wider severs as the best wider sever in his draft class coming into the league, like others did. In fact, I actually might be slightly less optimistic than others about his individual ceiling in the NFL, just because I didn't see a whole bunch of pop after the catch outside of a couple of catches. And then he's more of like an on the ground player versus going up and getting it for his quarterback. But even with that set, I am drafting Matthew Golden in the 10th round on underdog. And then on Yahoo, he's going in the 15th round way more than I'm just passing up on him. Because I think this type of player and this type of offense that's projected for the eighth most points in the league is exactly like a value rich situation that we should all be taking advantage of during the summers. I mean, look, all we have to do is now look at this wide receive a room that in the past has given us headaches. But now we move on from the Don Taven wixes and whoever else you're going to throw out the room of dobses of the world. And it's a, we believe, strict three receiver set personnel in a team that use a lot of 11. Now when they go to 12, we already saw that Matthew Golden played 72 snaps in one or two receiver set situations compared to his counterpart in Jane Reed who has only run a pass route on eight place in one or two wide receiver sets. So no matter the personnel grouping, and even if some people can argue good people on both sides, what his actual ceiling is as a player, I still think like we want to find undervalued investments on really good teams and really good passing situations. And I think Jordan love can really accentuate the strengths of someone like Matthew Golden in the league. Yeah, I mean, the routes are going to come way up. You played about 50% of the packer snaps as a rookie. That's going to be closer to 100%. Maybe it's called 85% this year on a per route basis, 1.44 yards for routes, nothing crazy, 16 targets per route, nothing too crazy. But for a rookie, that's like at least passable on a per route basis. And the explosiveness is pretty evident on his tape, in my opinion. They nearly came up down with a couple really long touchdowns that were just for whenever reason, were not connected with. And I do think that Laflore kind of simplified Matthew Golden's role as a rookie where it was a lot of the same type around over and over again. I think that he can do more than that. I don't know that for sure. I think there's a pathway for him to do more than that. And if we do get that, then any year and see his week to week consistency kick back up. They drafted the 23rd overall pick. Like they did not have to get rid of Don Tavian Wicks. They could have resigned Romeo Dobbs to some degree that is them saying internally. We feel good about Matthew Golden, who was an inexperienced young early declare coming out. We should expect this type of player in round one to develop over the next couple seasons here. So I do think he's a perfect sleeper. I think that on baseline case, he's being drafted where he is. And if he does turn out to be, hey, guess what? That's a first round wide receiver right there. All of a sudden, this could be a huge one. And look, when he was drafting the first round, I thought there was a pathway for him to prove that he was the best wide receiver on the Packers. And that was also a time when Christian Watson was coming back from a significant injury. Yes. I don't think that's the case now. I think Christian Watson has developed into that get of a player. That Golden's going to be more of a complimentary piece. But again, that is totally fine here. A complimentary piece on a really good offense can give you some extremely valuable spots, especially for a player that when we talk through his profile, started the University of Houston, was above average, was fine. And then went to Texas and really developed and really improved in a lot of areas. And I think the improvement for him last year was impossible to have based on the injuries that he had mid season in the shoulder and wrist issues. And so if we get a healthy offseason here, if we get more development and again, a tighter, more lean wider receiver room, then Matthew Golden, it's on him if he's going to fail, right? He's going to have the opportunity to go out and show that he should be a true starter for this team. And I think at--
at the very least, he's good enough for that. All right, next up. - I got Xavier worthy and I will fully admit, not the best day to be pumping Xavier worthy bags after whenever we're calling that video of him running in the fields. First of all, I'm not even convinced that is Xavier worthy. I will fully retract this if that was Xavier worthy. If you're running like that, we're in trouble. - He did repost it. So either this is the best long con and great self-own that we have seen or Xavier worthy is smarter than all of us here. - Yeah, so I cannot explain this. I'm just hoping that whatever I was watching, that was fake news. If that is fake news, I do think we're in for a bounce back season. Last year was a disaster. I'm not gonna say that it wasn't a disaster. I think we can potentially contextualize this and I'll go use Andy Reed here. Remember he had the dislocated shoulder in week one 'cause Travis Kelsey ran right into him. Then he had two different ankle injuries, week five one and then another setback in week 13. And maybe he was just training his ankles in like that six inch blades of grass in that park with the holes in it. Maybe he's just trying to develop his ankles. But if he's healthier now, I think there's gonna use him differently. And Andy Reed had a really interesting comment. He said, "I would tell you that we kind of after that "we're afraid to do certain things with worthy." So I think him coming back healthy. I think that opens up the whole picture you saw during training camp, this last year's training camp. We already had a whole bunch of different routes. What I think that means is some more screens, his screen rate, he had like one and a half screens per game. Two seasons ago that dropped to only a half screen this last game. His average depth of target was at 8.9, two years ago. Last year was at 12.9, only a vertical role in the offense. And then he specifically mentioned crossing routes where when he had this big shoulder injury, they couldn't send him on crossing routes 'cause you're gonna get hit there and they couldn't afford him to have a setback. So they took that off the menu in theory. I mean, that is a fantastic route for Xavier Worthy to be good at. And that's what he did two seasons ago when he was the White Receiver 27 in full PPR. So last year was a disaster. I'm just betting on him being healthier. And I'm also just factoring in the downside case of Travis Kelsey when he's what, 37 years old, getting married to Taylor Swift. And you know, Rishi Rice, the de facto White Receiver 1 was Justin Jail trying to rehab a knee injury that's been bothering him for a long time here. So just give me Kansas City's number two White Receiver will figure out the rest later. I'm not even convinced that Xavier was really good at football, but in theory, just like we had with Matthew Golden. This is a first round player where the cheese have a lot, a lot of hope for him. And there's really not that much target competition around him. I've been really underwhelmed by Xavier Worthy since he's been in the NFL. Not that he doesn't flash speed in certain situations and there are obvious moments where Andy Reed used them effectively. But as like a down to down White Receiver, I think he shows that just because you're the fastest receiver out there, doesn't mean you're the best vertical player out there. I mean, the number is back this up. He caught four of 16 targets, 20 plus yards on the field last season. During his rookie year, he caught seven of 21, 20 plus yards on the field and then just four of 13 in their intermediate section of the field. Part of me believes like cornerback just play through his body really easily. And that makes sense, you know, with his weight and with his size. And then at the line of scrimmage, physical corners don't allow him to play fast. They force him to play at his speed. And I am a little bit nervous that this is just who he is. And unless patchwork my homes can have like this mind-meled, perfect downfield ability, then this is all reliant on Kenneth Walker like changing how defenses are forcing the chiefs off and to play, which maybe this is maybe this is a, you know, Kenneth Walker point disguised as a Xavier worthy point where the chiefs have said, okay, we've had success rate runs, we've had effective runs, but we are still getting these shells over the top and we haven't, you know, been successful downfield passing. K9 is going to change that. And if they change that, then we don't have to only rely on the underneath the yak stuff of Rocher ice and Travis Kelsey. And we can get the Xavier worthy and even Taekwam Thornton who was the best downfid receiver for this team last year. Good going. Yeah, I mean, in theory Kenneth Walker and Xavier worthy are correlated picks together just based up the whole kind of thing moving forward. And the home stays healthy. And then like you said, just the way that Xavier worthy is being covered down the football field. And then for whatever reason in the last two years, Patrick Mahomes catch rate on downfield passes. It's like really bad. Like he is just the catchable ball rate. So like obviously some of those incompletions are Xavier worthy's fault. And I agree that sometimes playing through contract has been contact has been the struggle. But like the ball has also sprayed on Mahomes the last couple of years. I'm not sure that you know, a torn ACL is going to be perfect for that this year. But in theory, like Patrick Mahomes could go back to where he wasn't missing for like what three, four years in a row. And that would be really nice. Because there's plenty of times where Xavier worthy would like catch the ball out of bound. I was like, well, there goes my ADR touchdown that I was banking on. But at the same time Xavier worthy was just not himself last year. Like coming out of his brakes. Like it was just. Oh, his shoulder got destroyed on like the first contact he had in the entire season running into Travis Kelsey. Yeah, I mean, just completely annihilated. And by the way, that does happen when you're a buck 40. Sure. Those are the risks that you take. I just think that in general, if something happens to Rishi, Rashi Rice in the next couple of months here, he would be way, way mispriced. And it's hard to trust the other guys in this offense. Yeah, again, we just posted video talking about Kenneth Walker and why you and I are both in. On some level, there are opposites in their skill sets, even if both are zero to nine yard pass catchers of the last few years. But like, this team is really built at Widersheever with linear skill sets in Rashi Rice and Xavier worthy and Ty Quant Thornton. And that's about it. You mentioned ADR touchdowns. Here's a stat for you for breaves. Xavier worthy just three games of reaching ADR's receiving over 34 appearances. And it's great or so far. Not great. Hey, we used to call this the third year breakout. We don't we don't have patience for that. But I mean, this is when we used to call it. I'm going to pick a name who moved in free agency in this off season. And I think shocked a lot of people based on the contract that he was given. But not this show because we brought up in our free agency episode. That's Jalen Daler, now of the loss of Vegas Raiders. By the way, Xavier worthy was going, I believe in the eighth round over on Underdog but is the seventh pick of the 12th round on Yahoo. So that totally lines up with our rubric here. But on Jalen Daler, 13th round on Underdog, undrafted over on Yahoo. And I'm going to package this a little bit with what, you know, Kubiak did in Seattle versus now what the Las Vegas Raiders have with their passing attack. I mean, Jason led the NFL in share of team targets at 36% and then share of ariards across League of the Passing Attack at 50%. As much as I love Brock Bowers, as much as I think Brock Bowers is an awesome selection in Face-E-Football. And tell me a few disagree, I don't think he's going to hit those two numbers this year in terms of 36% and 50% of targets and ariards for his team. And so we are constantly when we do this, searching for and asking who are the top two pass catchers on any given offense, because that's the stable, you know, predictions that we can give on each week. Jalen Daler is that for me and it's unquestioned with the Raiders attached to Brock Bowers. And I think if you all spent a little bit of time and went back and watched what he did with the Vikings last year, he was a very consistent piece of that passing attack. I mean, there's one play against the Atlanta Falcons. It's a third and sixth. There's trips to the right on a condensed split, two inside routes. And then he is kind of the outside breaker and a little bit of a wheel action at the line of scrimmage. The corner is always working from behind, but again, his cuts create even bigger separation in a bigger gap. Then he elevates straight up while working to the sideline for a 14 year gain. Again, I think there's a lot of overlap here between what he did with KOC and what Clint Kubiak asks. I talked about the condensed splits, their stacks, his breaking routes, he catches passes off frame. And you know, while there's some questions and some other productive players that have been, you know, in previous seasons on this Raiders roster, to be its Brock Bowers and then a gigantic jump all the way down to round 13 for the next guy on the Raiders, Kirk Cousins, Fernando Medosa, and that is Jalen Neler here. - Yeah, I mean, the dolphins, the commanders, the Raiders, I mentioned Rashid Jihad. I mean, these are teams where the second pass catcher is not drafted until we're nearly in the 150. So only Malik Washington's the second pass catcher on the dolphins. He's the only one that gets drafted later as a team's second pass catcher at Jalen Neler. Now, interesting with Neler, Trey Tucker is the next wide receiver. So it's Trey Tucker versus Jalen Neler. That's the toss up. - Do you agree with that? - Who's gonna be, I would go Jalen Neler. The coaching staff went out of their way to bring back or to sign Jalen Neler. There's also like the, there's more upside if like something dramatically has changed. So we talk about young players, like there's learning, you're changing teams, you're changing coordinators. That's where I think there's some like an easier path to hit upside. And I do think with Neler in particular, like he's been like up against Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison is entirely like. That's tough competition. And to your point, Koc vertical based offense. And that's what exactly what Kubeak's bringing. So there is some sense of familiarity. So I would be on team Jalen Neler, overtrate Tucker, I think it's a great selection here. - Yeah, man, look, the Vikings made a move for Adam Thiel in last training camp who should have had plenty of overlap with that bike.
staff and that organization. And Julian and other just effectively kept him on the bench and got him cut by the end of the season. And I understand if Nailer's not the biggest name, he had 12 catches during the first two years of his career. But again, when watching him as an individual talent, there's a lot of stuff to like these breaking routes outside inside and just playing off his frame, he can work as an inside or outside pass catcher on top of it. And he can kind of be the movement piece other than Brock Bauer's and I think the two are going to be used in unison. A lot on the same side that field to and that'll be the primary, you know, direction that Kirk cousins and Fernandes, Mendoza look into. So I'm really drafting. I think part of the reason why we incorporated home link 80 piece into this is because round 10 and beyond over a hundred dog this year is a bit of a minefield. Or let's say the vast majority is a wasteland. Jalen, there's one of those names that constantly stands out to me once you get to around 13, around 40. Yeah, I think deep leagues full PPR thing that Nailer could get in the mix is obviously like some semblance of a lack of a ceiling which is a little Nailer, but like I think odds of like just straight up beating out this this ADP even when you're going to win your league. I think are pretty high. Okay, we get two more names. Who's your last one? Case to concepts. Yeah, he's probably the most fun player that we've talked about just because we're finally getting to a rookie, a rookie that you and I absolutely loved watching his tape. I thought that he was a flowers plus. It's not too surprising that Todd Monkin really likes Casey concept, he's compared Casey concept, he owns Tuesday flowers, who he's obviously just was coaching for the last couple of years. In camp, not training camp in the other parts of camp here. ESPN's reporter on the brown to said that they're getting Casey concept, he own the ball and deep targets underneath stuff. And even as a russure. Not a surprise because he was exactly that in college, a special team's tape was beyond electric. I thought he played bigger than his frame. And that's where actually like concept, he owns a college tape even more than Z flowers college tape. So there's a huge ceiling to chase here. He's the first wide receiver that goes in ADP on the browns. But that doesn't happen until we get to the late parts of the 10th round. There's a pathway for I would say by Halloween. That's when we really started excited about Casey concept, and I'm assuming Jerry Judy is going to be hard to overtake in week one. But I think that he could be a full time player. I do think he would be a manufactured touch player in ways that Jerry Judy can't do because he's more physical. And if he does hit this upside, we're talking about like I thought there's like a little step digs to this. So it's the damn browns. It's not going to be pretty out there. But I think as the season progresses, hopefully we can come on stats versus film in the middle of the week and show you guys some clips on Casey concept. So he's going in the 10th round over an underdog, but in your homeligs on Yahoo 15th round right now. And in fact, Denzel Boston's being selected two spots ahead of Casey conception right now, which if I can kind of reverse engineer that mindset, like Jerry Judy, the veteran presence, open the year. Denzel Boston bigger body, maybe some believe that his game can translate easier from college. Obviously Todd Monkin has already talked about how Denzel Boston's going to be a red zone threat for them. They didn't really have his body type, which I really liked in Zuboss. And so I can totally see that. But Casey conception is just an awesome talent. I mean, I can maybe see a slow start with this one. Maybe some of that's his fault. A lot of it's probably the quarterback situation fault. And maybe that when the self to an entire season of a slow start, but this is someone who we know he has speed. We know he separates on legit routes. We know he has strength after the catch to And he is the player to me that Todd Monkin wants to build this passing attack around for the long term. And so we're going to have some down weeks. That's what happens. Wouldn't, you know, we talk about the Raiders and we talk about the Browns, where both are bottom five and projected points. The season, but if there are certain games that we get Average quarterback play out of and that's really going to benefit someone like Casey conception, who is just I think an unbelievable talent at the Water Seevers five. Unfortunately, the baseline case like the browser too bad. And even if we like him, it's just not going to be enough to get it going in fantasy. But I just thought that his Ceiling as a receiver and as a prospect was so obvious to me that like he's perfect for this episode that like in 25% of Outcomes, he's just so obviously the Browns best White receiver and most teams at least have one White receiver at least in the mix. Yeah, and just keep him on by weeks. Typically that's happened when You know, White receivers and rookies have a much better post by week and then you know this can also be a player Seven or six final weeks of the season final games of the season. That's when they really blast off. It will be better. I think under Todd Monke than it was last year for Browns, White receivers, the entire White receiver room in Cleveland. So Six of them average as a total seven receptions for 86 yards per game last year. That's worse than George Pickens. Yeah, I like we're like literally hoping that to Sean Watson is like just like better than what they had last year and Like we've watched a lot of lots in the last couple years. That's not been pretty. Okay, I've got one more and that's I believe quite possibly the most underrated White receiver in the NFL. Whoa. And his name is Ryan Florenoi Wow, the Dallas Cowboys. Yes, hit up your Google machine He's a 14th round pick on underdog. Obviously undrafted on Yahoo. He's on the Dallas Cowboys four games last year. CDLAM was either Out or played less than 50% of snaps due to injury and two of those Ryan Florenoi finished as the White receiver 13 and the White receiver six overall that week six scraps 114 yards the nine of 13 targets for 115 yards and a touchdown Look and a normal game with all three White receivers healthy. He will play anywhere from 45 to 70% of snaps We know the Cowboys love to utilize three White receivers sets. So he's not you know at the base value a complete zero with no standalone value here But when one of those names misses either CDLAM or George Pickens and maybe that's even for a long stretch Watch out for Ryan Florenoi because he has earned a role in the top three of this Cowboys White receiver Room. I mean he is a nightmare to cover out of a slot with these two-way goes He's so good with his feel for his own. He instantly gets up field after the catch Obviously the slot is his best friend But I don't think he's slot only I think you can do a decent number on the outside as well So this is a team that's projected in the top six in points They have really recycled that third White receiver in your Jalen toberts To whoever else who want to throw out there too But Ryan Florenoi is a name that if he ever does hit for agency I think it's going to get paid a heck of a lot of money and really surprised me when he got Major run in those four games because I saw legit NFL White or see I see it's the same way I think that he's just a really good football player He's going to be in three White or see for sets and the second one of those two White or see versus times He's going to be the thumbnail for the waiver wire column and you know that just that's just how it goes He's also interesting because when somebody that goes to central Missouri Iowa Western and southeast Missouri state could get drafted There's something going on there and then when that player can get drafted in the sixth round And then sneak on to the starting lineup to me. They're just like more potential and like that kind of Arc type of player where he had to overcome. I mean just schools that you don't even know that there's a direction attached to that school name They're all of a sudden mattering that that's on my radar here. He's also six foot two oh two Four four four in the 40 yard dash There's no like physical limitations. He had a 40 inch vertical jump as well So he's just like continued to just out kick his previous Job and I do think that his tape. It's like hard to ignore It's hard for like a team's third White or see for it to matter and fantasy. It has happened before like the Tyler boyd years You have to pretty much have like MVP level quarterback play Dak Prescott has done that before and I like the coaching staff everyone the offensive line returns Yada yada yada yada so of all the teams White or see for threes he at least has a chance to get there But the the big thing here is like the contingent value is very real so in best boy like them deep leagues like him as a stash and like the second one of those guys misses time like before and I was gonna get legit We talked about this last year with Ryan heath That a great predictor of break out seasons is the previous first downs per route run And Ryan Flornoi if you know minimize the routes down to about 240 as the baseline here He actually had 274 he was top 13 last year And first downs per route run and it shows up when you watch man. I mean he is a legit talent out there And I just hope they're able to showcase that a little bit more that's for sure Okay, well, we're now I just quickly wanted to bring up and we talked about him at length on the episode So go and watch that if you want a much longer conversation Quint Johnson on Yahoo right now is going so damn late. It's actually egregious 148 overall that's the fourth pick of the 13th round Hey, that one caught my eye significantly because you know This is a player who finishes the wider seaver 22 and points per game even an underdog now is going as the wider seaver 38 but you and I believe that As much as we'd love lad mcconkey that this team is probably going to be able to support two wider severs And qj's fit with michael daniel while he has flaws i was going to accentuate his strengths And uh this is someone who should not be anywhere close to being on the board in the 13th round
- Yep, I mean, this is where the Yahoo ADP is then, like everybody is gonna be drafting them that watches our show. That's like that obvious. I will also say, Matthew Golden, Xavier Worthy, like the Quentin Johnson pass, I'll be talking about where it was not pretty, and then all of a sudden the team environment's so good, you make a couple improvements, and you catch a couple long passes, and then all of a sudden you got like a top 30 wide receiver season. It's like I think that he's a good example of zoom out for a second, especially when the ADPs are this low, on some of these young players with speed, with like a firm pathway to routes, and maybe they just get better all of a sudden, 'cause they're young. - Obviously, QJ, his situation, early in his career, vaulted him to make even more mistakes and accentuate his flaws with the Worthies and the Sarshti Matthew Golden, the early career injuries. Might have done that a little bit too. All right, that does it. As you can tell, Sleepers week, we're gonna have tied ends in quarterbacks and close up this week with running back sleepers. So lock in the channel, hit subscribe, we've got some great names coming at you over the next few days. We'll see you in the next one.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The discussion focuses on wide receiver sleepers drafted at pick 120 or later (end of 10th round) on Underdog or Yahoo.
Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks) is highlighted for his $51 million contract, potential for increased short/intermediate routes, and value as WR57 with upside if JSN gets injured.
Matthew Golden (Packers) is a second-year first-round pick expected to see increased snaps (from 50% to ~85%) in a high-scoring offense, offering baseline value with breakout potential.
Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) is a bounce-back candidate after an injury-riddled season, with Andy Reid hinting at expanded usage (crossing routes, screens) and a depleted target competition behind Travis Kelce.
Jalen Daler (Raiders) is a free-agent addition with a high target share potential, serving as a reliable second option behind Brock Bowers in a revamped offense.
Summary:
The transcription analyzes five wide receiver sleepers for the upcoming season, all drafted at pick 120 or later. Rashid Shaheed of the Seahawks is a top pick due to his $51 million contract and expected role expansion beyond deep routes, offering weekly starter potential if JSN misses time. Matthew Golden of the Packers is a first-round talent whose snap share should increase significantly in a high-scoring offense, providing a solid floor with upside for more.
Xavier Worthy of the Chiefs is a bounce-back candidate after shoulder and ankle injuries limited him to a vertical role; with Andy Reid planning to use him on crossing routes and screens, healthier season could revive his production. Jalen Daler of the Raiders, signed in free agency, is poised to be a consistent second target behind Brock Bowers, leveraging his reliable route running and high target share from his Vikings tenure. The analysis emphasizes targeting players on strong offenses with clear paths to volume, noting that injuries to key teammates could elevate these sleepers to every-week starters.
The overarching theme is finding undervalued investments in favorable situations, with each player offering a mix of proven talent, team investment, and opportunity for growth.
FAQs
Each wide receiver must be drafted at pick 120 or later (end of the 10th round) on Underdog or Yahoo, or sometimes both.
Shaheed signed a $51 million deal, indicating the Seahawks value him highly. He had a 15-game stretch with 57 yards per game as a WR38/WR30 with poor QB play, and is now being drafted as WR57, offering upside if JSN's target share drops.
Golden, a first-round pick, is drafted in the 10th round on Underdog and 15th on Yahoo. He played 50% of snaps as a rookie, but with a clearer receiver room and a high-scoring offense, his routes and role are expected to increase significantly.
Worthy dealt with a dislocated shoulder and ankle injuries in 2024, limiting his role. Coach Andy Reid hinted they were afraid to use him fully. With better health and an expanded route tree, he could bounce back as the Chiefs' WR2.
Daler is drafted in the 13th round on Underdog and undrafted on Yahoo. He led the NFL in target share (36%) and air yards share (50%) last season, and as the Raiders' clear WR2 behind Brock Bowers, he offers stable weekly production.
The Seahawks are projected for the ninth-most points in the league. Despite JSN's dominance, Shaheed is the team's second pass catcher in ADP, and his $51 million contract suggests a larger role, especially in two-receiver sets.
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