Dan Bongino’s show highlights a surge in U.S. GDP growth at 3.4%, surpassing expectations and reinforcing arguments for supporting the Trump administration’s economic policies. He frames voting as a decision driven by tangible results—such as lower crime, a closed border, and rising household incomes—rather than emotional or partisan allegiance. Bongino criticizes the Democratic candidate slate, calling it unusually damaging, citing scandals like a fake Senate nominee in Alaska, unqualified candidates in states like Michigan and California, and socialist policies like Medicare for All and open borders. He argues that people are actively moving from blue to red states due to better living costs and safety, proving that voters are choosing outcomes over ideology. The show warns that inaction in the midterms is equivalent to supporting Democratic policies, which would include defunding law enforcement, undermining healthcare, and expanding government control. Bongino emphasizes real victories in national security, such as the FBI’s dismantling of child predator networks, to contrast with the perceived threats of a Democratic takeover. He urges voters to engage, especially in key states like Texas and South Carolina, to prevent a shift in power that could undo decades of economic and social progress. The message is clear: voting is a result-based choice, and staying home is a political endorsement of the left.
All America, all the time, sit down, buckle up, and get ready for the Dan Bongino show. Oh boy, talk about a late October surprise. You probably think I'm talking about that, I hate to work bombshell, bomb, but was it not a bombshell? The freaking New York Times of all places, out of Alaska, about a huge scandal to the sea voters in red and Alaska, I'm not even talking about that, we'll get to it. I will, but you've heard a ton about it already, I'll get to it, don't worry. GDP numbers just came out, a measure of economic growth, gross domestic product. What the United States is producing? It's like the national raise, if you were to get a raise, how much did what we produced go up? How big is our economy? Numbers came out today, huge, huge numbers today, right before next week. Even if you don't care about any other conservative position, the Second Amendment, pro-life, regulatory reform, school choice, healthcare, all you care about is I vote my wallet, you believe James Carville, it's the economy's stupid, there's only one choice. The Trump agenda, the numbers are right in front of you. What a, just a nuclear bomb dropped on the election, these GDP numbers that just came out. I'm going to get to that and a, a tweet I saw from David Marcus, I like David's commentary, that just drives me, not him, he's just reporting what he heard, drives me freaking bananas, I'll show you what I mean. This is a question or retail, big show today, a lot to talk about. Hey, you ever start packing for a trip, you ready to go and you check your prescription bottle, not enough to last the trip? Well, now what? It's like, keep telling you to get ahead of this with our sponsor. Now, especially, listen, preparedness is always a good thing. 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This is not medical advice. Thanks, all family pharmacy. Today's show also brought to you by Senate leadership fund. Hey, listen up here. There are enough people listening to the show right now that if they don't vote, could swing key states in the 2026 election to the Democrats. That's just true. It's a huge audience. We need you to get out and vote. One listening knows every single ultra far left Democrat socialist running will be showing up. We'll be showing up to vote this fall, the voters for them as well. Democrats are fired up and we can't let them win. This is a turnout game because if we lose, they will undo every single thing our movement is fought for. We can't let these socialists win. I need you to vote early so that you can bank your vote and fight back against the left turnout machine. Go to GOPvotes.org right now, find out when you can vote, make your voice heard, making a voice heard is easier than ever. You can get election reminders. Look up your polling location and pick a date to vote early. Again, the website, GOPvotes.org, GOPvotes.org, go today, paid for by Senate leadership fund, PAC, not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee, GOPvotes.org. Check it out. All right, fellas. Let's go. I get the Peltola race, the Dan Sullivan, absolute fiasco for the Democrats in Alaska. They're freaking New York Times. What are they getting ahead of? I mean, it's so unusual for the New York Times to print the story that's in any way detrimental to their Democrat masters. I was stunned this thing came out, but I'm going to get to that a little later because another nuclear bomb has just dropped down the race. Folks, the economic numbers now came out this morning. Zero hedge put up a post about it. There was anticipated 3%, GDP grow 3.2, was expected. Three is considered very good. It actually came in at 3.4 above that is a huge gain for GDP. This is a really big deal. This is the measure of our economy, how powerful it is. Fox News broke the story right before we got on the air, hence a little bit of a delay at the beginning of the show. I wanted to get this out. Folks, even if you are voting, you're wallet and you're wallet only. You want your wallet fatter, you've got one choice, the Trump agenda, or back to the Barack Obama Joe Biden plan, government spending, and national poverty. Check this out. The news for the economy. The nation's third quarter of GDP growth, get this, just released moments ago, showing the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 3.4%. Now, it's surpassing expectations and showing the strength of the overall economy. Now, the expectations set 3.2%. It's a major boost to President Trump's economic agenda and just days to go before the midterms. Folks, the expectations were high at 3.2. Three is considered good. Four exceptional five is rare. I mean, you've seen that rarely. You see in post-COVID where everything was shut down and opened back up. Those are in anomaly. But outside of the Reagan years and to be fair, I think Bill Clinton hit a couple quarters, but you almost never see four or five. That's the gold standard. 3.2, really good. 3.4. Very, very good. This is a great number in about 18 years at that number. The entire real economy would double if we could just hit that number. Folks, if you put it in perspective, you have Barack Obama out there on the trail telling everyone we got to get health care costs under control. I thought you did that. It's called Justin. What is it called? Is it called Calvin Coolidge Care? It is not. It's called Obamacare and health care premiums are out of control. He's out there lecturing everyone about the economy, about health care. Barack Obama is the cancer that killed the host. He caused all these problems. He's bitching and moaning about now, blaming on Trump. So let's compare it. Let's go to our SI friend, chat GPT and say, "Hey, how many years did Barack Obama's eight-year presidency hit 3% GDP growth, zero freaking years, zero, thank you for highlighting that, zero years. How many years is zero, Justin? None. Yes, Andrew. Thank you. He's doing the big doughnut. My shoulders worked. I would do it better. They wanted the left one that worked. He hadn't hit 3%, 3%, we're at 3.4 with President Trump and you got Obama out there. Ladies and gentlemen, listen. Don't get pissed off at me if you're a Democrat watching the show. Get pissed off at Obama, Biden and your Democrat cronies. Don't get mad at me for giving you the numbers. What do you think I'm making them up because I'm bored here at 10 o'clock on what is it Thursday? I'm just giving you the numbers. I vote my wallet. Okay. Your wallet's saying vote for the Trump agenda and the Republican Party. Well, I'm not going to do it. Then you're not voting your wallet. Just be honest. It's okay to say that you're not voting your wallet. You're just voting because you hate Trump. It's okay to say that. It's stupid, but you can be honest with yourself. Folks, are we voting results or are we voting for bull? It's a serious question. I'm not talking a bunch. You know what I mean? I know you guys. I love you guys. I get you. This is not a lecture. You don't need it for me. I'm not your preacher. So the people on the fence who tuned into the show, you went to Rumble or you heard about me somewhere, where you think the apocalypse is coming because you read an article, despite me talking about preparedness all the time, whatever it is, whatever reason you're here. I'm a serious question. Do you vote results or do you vote on emotion? I know you think you know the, I know I vote on results. You don't. Then you would vote for the Trump agenda. I just showed you the results. This is the post I was talking about by David Mark is very good follow on X, by the way. He's out there interviewing voters. When I see stuff like this, I seriously want to vomit. It's like I drank a cax here. He's at blue box Dave. He said I just had an insane conversation with a guy who moved from California to McKinney, Texas, because it's so much cheaper, but it's voting Democrat because he wants Texas to have California style public transportation. What the hell is going on here? Is this bizarro Superman comic books where everything's upside down? Do you want Texas to replicate, put up that article from Fox, by the way, California public transportation. You mean they're like super califragilistic makes me alladocious, super duper bullet train, which is such a fiasco, even 61 minutes, even 60 minutes did an exposé on it. Fox news, California's high speed rail fiasco exposed in brutal 60 minute segment. Folks, I live in Florida, Justin, where do you live? He was in Florida. I'm listening. It's a republic. You can move where you want. Okay. I'm not a tyrant like Barack Obama and Joe Biden. I'm asking you as not your friend. Please don't move down here. Texas, do you confirm South Carolina, North Carolina, you know, red states or purple states? Please do not move here from Blue States with you.
your stupid ideas. I'm asking you as a not friend. I know we're not friends. Nobody wants you here. Nobody wants you bringing your crap ideas. You don't vote on results. You will cut your nose, your ears, and your lips off, despite your face. You'll behead yourself, despite your body. We don't want that. We vote on results. We're not voting because we love politicians. We're voting because we love results. GDP growth, a closed border, crime rates getting crushed. Those things freaking happen. Those things are not happening in your garbage can states led by big government socialist freaking liberals that can't even build a freaking train. And now you want to put that in McKinney, Texas, too? I see stuff like, can we get some border control at the state of Florida? I mean, seriously, can we start checking like state driver's licenses? Sorry, we're issuing just a three day visa for residents of blue states. I know media matters and you goofballs. That was a joke. However, maybe not. Can we get some freaking border control? Justin's like, right, Justin, please don't come here. You evacuated California because the results in California were trash, were flaming piles of dog feces. Stop bringing this stuff to our states that are run well. We don't want you. We don't want you. I'm really sorry. I know that hurts your delicate sensibilities. Here's Obama on the campaign show. Do you believe this guy? Has there ever been an eight year presidency? Eight year, the most destructive four year presidency was without a doubt, Joe Biden. Without a doubt, I haven't seen any, a legacy of destruction like that in a hundred years. But a two term presidency. Has there been a more destructive two term presidency than that of Barack Obama? Destroyed our healthcare system, destroyed our economy, instituted woke DEI that decimated our culture, tells everybody they didn't build that, engaged in an envy war on the evil rich people. Have you ever seen a more destructive, divisive figure? And he's back again, folks, this is a short segment. Here he is in a campaign show. Can you imagine the nuts on this guy? Out there now, after he destroyed the healthcare system, through the eponymously named Obamacare. Again, it's not James Polkcare. He destroyed the healthcare system. And he's out there gripping, winding, and moning, clawing at his face about the cost of healthcare. I thought you fixed that, Barack. Are you interested in results? Are you gonna believe this bozo? Check this out. - We need to rain in the cost of childcare. So those same young families can afford it. We've got to make sure that nobody has to worry about high healthcare premiums. We have a lot of work to do with this. - I can't, I cannot with this clip. Folks, I cannot with this clip. I'm really like, I don't want to let, I just told you not to get emotional vote on results. I'm trying not to get emotional myself. I've heard this clip about 10 times. Do you believe the nuts on this guy? He nearly destroys the country to shove this affordable care act, Obamacare, down your throats. Your private insurance plan gets canceled. Premiums go through the roof. While he tells you if you like your plan, you could keep it. And this is the solution to controlling healthcare quest. He lied to your face, man. How are you voting for this? I'm really puzzled. All right, I don't like Trump. I don't like what it, so you want your healthcare canceled? You want to pay more in healthcare 'cause you don't like Trump and you can't control yourself. Are you emotionally incontinent? You have kids, you know. You're throwing your piss on the whole country away. Because you just don't like Donald Trump. What is this? Are you a baseball coach and you don't like the red headed kids? Are you keeping them on the bench? Is this for real? Go to our SI buddy here and just ask a, what if premiums, healthcare premiums? The Barack Obama's lecturing everyone at healthcare affordability. Make sure you vote for the Democrats. Have healthcare premiums risen, adjusted for inflation, after the Affordable Care Act, i.e. Obamacare passed. Ha, look at that, so weird. Yes, health insurance premiums in the United States have increased substantially since Obamacare was passed in March of 2010, even after adjusting for inflation. The numbers are not good folks. Man, maybe you're voting healthcare. If you're voting healthcare, look at this. The magnitude you increase depends on whether you're examining employer care, individual insurance policies, or Obamacare marketplace plans. The most useful long-term comparison is employer-sponsored family insurance. I'm sure you get from your job. 'Cause it has consistent national data extending back before Obamacare. Look at these premium hikes. Obam is out there campaigning on Obamacare. This is comical. How much of premiums increased? According to this benefits survey, the average annual family premium from the time Obamacare passed to 2025, went from 13,700 to 26,900, just in that sounds like more. It sounds to me like, kind of like double or something. Just yeah, yeah, a little bit. Individual premiums, 5,000 and 9,000. Family premiums, up 96%. Individual premium increases, nominally, 85%. Why do you believe this guy? Do you see why they're so afraid of SI and AI programs at? Do you see why they're so afraid of this, the Democrats? They're not afraid of it lying to you. They're afraid of it telling you the truth. Folks, you have got to show up and vote. I've got I think the best election analyst in the business, my humble opinion, Captain Seth Keshell coming up. We're going to go through everything. Should you be worried about Texas, South Carolina, how we feeling about governor's races, some house races that may surprise people, some regional stuff. I got that coming up though, miss that. However, I can't emphasize in strong enough terms. Forget the doomers and the pillars. You've seen photos on the interwebs of them now, hanging out with their left wing buddies, the masks are all off. These were never your friends. They're not your friends. They're all about themselves. They don't care about the future of the country. They want you to vote against Donald Trump because they've got some kind of wet dirty diaper over Donald Trump that didn't hire him for a job or whatever. They would rather your health insurance get destroyed, get canceled, the economy going to tank. They don't care about you. It is straight up demonic. We cannot have a failure to show up and vote in a critical midterm election right now that will decide the future of this country. There's going to be no red undertow. What's a red undertow? I want to play this clip here because the math is there, folks. I want to show you, I saw this. I like this account. It was a big peat from New York. You got that one? I want to show you what I mean by the math is there. This is at Big Pete, New York, 44. He knows total votes in New York State for Kathy Hocal in 2022, 3,140,000. Okay, you got that if you're listening on audio? 3,140,000. That's how many Kathy Hocal got the governor in New York last time she showed up. President Trump in the 2024 election got 3,500,000. That sounds like President Trump got more votes, but it was a different, it doesn't matter. There were 3,500,000 people voted for President Trump. All you've got to do in New York is show up again and we've got a decent chance of Bruce Blakeman and Republican winning the governorship. Then Republicans have never had the governorship in New York. What are you talking about? When I grew up there, George Pataki won three terms. He was a Republican. Folks, the math is there. Here is the Republican plan right now. They want to max out HPVs, high prevent city voters, high propensity voters. Voters who voted, you'll hear Seth refer to this later, four by fours. People voted in the last four primaries, last four general elections. If we can max them out, maximum turnout for everyone who votes all the time for Republicans will be in good shape. Here's the other part of the plan. They want to get some strong turnout amongst NPVs, moderate propensity voters. People who are maybe two by fours, voted in the last two or four generals and primaries. And we want to do decent with low propensity voters. People who are really out there voting maybe for the first time, eager to get in there, happy with the economic growth and all that stuff. If we can do that, we win. I just showed you the math is there. The math is there. If you show up or win it, do not overcomplicate this. Grab yourself, grab your kids, grab your dog. If your dog's a Democrat, if you're a Republican, you can. Grab everyone you can get your hands. Forget 10, 10, 10. I want 100, 100, 100. And we can hold the house and set it and keep the good times rolling. Here's what I'm talking about by a red undertow. You do not want this. This is Annie Linsky. She's a journalist. She was on Fox on a panel. She was talking about this red undertow effect where disaffected. I don't know why you would be a disaffected Republican voter. Practically everything Trump promised you he delivered. Close border, crushing crime, economic growth, reindustrialization of America, regulatory reform, school choice, shrinking the federal workforce. I don't know what else you could possibly want.
in just a half of a presidential term. There should be no disaffected voters. But the pillars and their socialist buddies, the black pillars, have got people believe and nothing happened. It's insane. No red undertow. Check this out. And the White House, the president believes that they can really change the dynamic in some of these trips that he's making across the country. He's making them to red states, but they're in places that he's won by double digits. Yeah, that's right. When you talk to pollsters and both Democratic pollsters and Republican pollsters, they've been talking about this idea of a red undertow. And what they mean is Republicans staying home in the midterms, allowing Democrats to overperform in some situations and perhaps win in states that they haven't won in many years. So having the president out there from the White House's perspective is to really get those Republicans out to vote. I mean, they are his people. And he has proven that he's able to get them out. And so that's why you see him going around the country doing it. Yeah. Now, because I've given you the good news and the bad news, okay? The bad news is really simple in this delivery. If you believe nothing happened, despite the receipts I just brought you and you stay home, the Democrats horrifying wish list of things they're going to push, I'm going to show you the Axios article coming up. You are going to be stunned, you are going to instantly regret next Wednesday, if you stay home, what you allowed to happen. Instantly, Axios, which is a left leaning outlet, is already reporting on if the Democrats win the house, their wish list of items, including canceling your private healthcare, opening the border, defunding ICE, destroying international relationships, they want, they're going to demand this get out, you are going to regret this instantly. I want to show you some evidence, however, on the good news side, yeah, this article coming up, it's important. That's why I titled it, the show this today. Harry Anten from CNN, again, he's a CNN guy. He's not a, you know, Republican or MAGA guy at all. He's even perplexed by this number that shows that Republicans may be more energized than people think. And this red undertow hopefully is a fairytale, but to show you what I mean, coming up and saying, 'cause even he doesn't believe, he's like, I don't think they're that, they can't be that excited. Maybe they are. Maybe this show and others are breaking through with the constant display of receipts of things that have happened. Keep the good times rolling. Quick break and I'll show you this Harry Anten clip, we'll get to that piece too. Hey, I've been telling you about Patreon mobile for years, their cell phone service is fantastic. I use it. It is great. Many of you have made the switch, but listen, if you haven't, do it. It's great service. It's a great company. They love us. They love our values. 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Just call 972 Patriot, say promo code Dan Friday, that's 972 Patriot, say promo code Dan Friday, free phone, two months free. Make the switch today to Patriot mobile that you're going to love it like I do, terms and conditions apply 972 Patriot, say promo code Dan Friday, thanks Patriot mobile. We appreciate it. Okay, I want to show you this clip. This is Harry Anten from CNN. Again, CNN, I use this stuff for a reason, so you're not going to accuse me of right wing bias. He's even puzzled by what seems like an really energetic GOP response to the Senate side of the House, and turnout, folks, I don't want to lose the House or the Senate. I choose to do this with a smile. I have the best of hopes. But if we lose the Senate, we're in a lot more trouble. The Senate, those are six year seats, the House, you can get back in two years, I don't want to lose either. We lose the Senate, we're in a lot of trouble. Check this out. What's interesting here is we see this massive split between what we see in the national polls for the national House ballot and what we see in the key Senate races. So what do we see? The average gain going from all the likely voters, Republicans are gaining just a point, just a point in the national House ballot. But look at this, in the key Senate races, they are averaging a four point gain significantly higher than we see in the national polls. Now I should note that this is among pollsters who released both registered voter and likely voter results. That's what we're looking at here. I don't buy this for a number. I just don't. I just don't. I think it's significantly too high. Why do I say that? Well, why don't we look here? The gain and party ID in midterms with Republican presidents, like we have this year. Okay, and we're talking about going from all to validated voters. Look at this. And the party ID, from 1982 to 2018, nationally, look at this, Republicans gain one point on average. How about in 2018? Again, it was one point on average. That looks a whole heck of a lot more like what we're seeing in the national polling than what we are seeing in that key Senate race polling. We're right now with, say, four point. That is very much not in line with what we've seen historically when we look at the national party ID. Folks, I'm only playing this clip to demonstrate to you using at least some polling receipts that you may or may not believe granted polling. I'm skeptical of any results on polling. They're all over the map. Who the hell knows who they're polling. I'll get into that with Seth Keshe who believes we Republicans have been grossly under sampled in these cross tabs. I believe that too. However, if they're grossly under sampled Republicans in cross tabs and it's showing a plus four, basically GOP enthusiasm gap in the polls, how is that bad news? Everything the doomer's out there who aligned with their islamo fanatic buddies, have told you to stay at home for everything they've told you race is over. Fair to complete, it's done with, he's got a 99, 98% president, MAGA approval level and enthusiasm seems so off the charts, even CNN doesn't believe it. You show up will win. You don't show up will lose now to voters out there who are struggling. I feel you man. I did not grow up with a silver spoon. I'm not going to pretend I'm middle class now. I find that to be phony and stupid. I was my entire life. I worked for the police department, the federal government, had some, did a lot of private sector work. But this is a recent phenomenon in my life. So no, you know, I'm not going to get lectured about what it's like to grow up with eating baloney and cheerio is for dinner because I did. But if you're struggling right now, I get it. I showed you in the beginning of the show, however, that president Trump was handed a sandwich from Joe Biden, a crap sandwich from Joe Biden on the economy. And in just two years, we just hit three, nearly three and a half percent GDP growth. Those are just the numbers, whether you like them or not is irrelevant. The economy is growing at a very healthy clip. That's not a matter of my opinion. Is it growing for everyone all the time? No, I get it. I understand that. But it is growing a lot. Dan, I'm voting on affordability and inflation, okay? Why would you vote for Democrats? I don't understand. The Joe Biden administration brought you the worst inflation we've seen in 40 years, 5% average inflation, and 9% in one quarter. We have not seen numbers like that since I was 11 years old. That's how bad it was. He's now running around three to four percent, not where he needed to be, but nowhere near the disaster it was in peak Joe Biden. Here's Mark Tyson on Fox. Again, he's not a huge mag a guy telling you like, even if you're voting on inflation and affordability, why would you vote for the people that burned the house down? The arsonist, I don't get this either. Is it just a motion? Like I really want to bring back the Democrats and 9% inflation because I hate Trump so much. That's really weird. Check this out. A lot of experts, Mark, and they say it's not completely baked in the cake through weeks out. Well, if you think about 2022, we had the worst inflation in four decades, and Joe Biden did the best of almost any presidents since JFK in the 2022 midterm. Who was making the case also about what people felt at home? Yeah, exactly. So the mistake that Biden was making was saying, you know, don't believe your own lived experience. Trust us, the economy is better than it really is. And this is the content of the Republicans are in, the problem they have is that if you look over the last five and a half years, the consumer price index has gone up 27.2%. So that means it's something caused $100 when Joe Biden took office now costs $127. $21 of that was Biden inflation. But they're looking to go into the grocery store and everyone else and saying, I'm paying $127. I'm mad as hell. I'm going to take it out on the people who are in office right now. So it's a very hard message to make. The message you have to make is do you really trust the arsonists who set the inflation in the fire of inflation to put out the fire? What do you really think that the
party that wants to get rid of fossil fuels and wants to stop drilling is the party that trust to bring down gas prices. It's a hard message to make, but that's where they have to go. Folks, there's a lot in this clip. There is a lot in this clip. Number one, a point I need you to tattoo on your cerebral cortex, your cerebellum and medulla oblongata. Joe Biden was the single worst four year president on the economy you've seen in your lifetime, whether you're 40, 50 or 80. There has never been anyone worse. And the Democrats showed up just like we can show up in Joe Biden's midterm in 2022. And let's not, let's not put lipstick on a pig here. Joe Biden did exceptionally well. Those are just the facts. With 9% inflation
, all of the disasters in his foreign policy, his woke DEI crap, the Democrats still showed up. Folks, we have better voting number base numbers than Joe Biden if we didn't Kamala Harris would be the president. If we just show up like Democrats did for the disastrous Joe Biden, despite a tremendous Trump record over the last two years, we should win, we should win house seats and Senate seats. Please don't let them embarrass us. You're voting on, there's another thing in there. If you're voting on affordability and inflation, Joe Biden was the king of inflation. The reason you're feeling it now in the Trump term is because prices have not come down from the highs Joe Biden brought on. But Donald Trump has reduced the rate of increase substantially. I get it's not where we need to be. We're not going to be back at 1960s prices anytime soon. It's a lot to unwind. Folks, I'm just telling you, man, we've got one opportunity to fix this thing. And if you were voting on that one issue, your wallet, then please do not stop the momentum we have right now. Here's another great clip. This is Lydia Moynihan on Fox. I think I interviewed her once on my show when I was on Fox. Excellent commentator. She does some CNN work too. Here she is on Fox saying we already have a natural experiment in the real world of what people want in affordability. They move away from Democrat states and move to Republican states. So why would you move back to a Democrat state by moving to a Republican state, like David Marcus said, and voting for the Democrat policies that brought you the affordability and inflation problem. It makes zero sense. Check this out. Beauty of America and federalism is that people can take action and go to the place that they think has the best policy. And so the reality is that there is a net outflow of people from loose states like California, it's where you are or New York, where I am, because the Democratic policies that are more socialist that involve a lot more government in invention are actually creating the least affordable conditions. Wait, which president Texas and Texas and Florida, where people are experiencing lower costs of living. There's lower energy prices. There's cheaper housing, affordability in action is actually happening in red states. Again, I'm just asking you if you're an on the fence voter and it's not me trying to be a toolbox. Okay. It's me just asking you a sincere candid question. Are you voting for results, your wallet, your healthcare plan, your kids education, or are you voting based on emotion? It's a simple question, because if you're voting based on results, that's why you are leaving blue states to move to red states. The evidence is crystal clear. So why would you move to a red state to bring the policies from the blue state? You evacuated. Why would you do that? Folks, the Democrats slate of candidates are so genuinely awful this candidate, Muslim brotherhood sympathizers. We had a guy up in Maine who bowed out with a Nazi tattoo. We've got a guy up in Maine right now threatening to cancel your health insurance plan, enjoy Jackson. We've got a talent Rico guy who's like a vegan 76 genders guy in the state of Texas wants to take your your AR platform rifle. This is insane. You've got a candidate so bad in Mary Peltola needed cue cards during a debate for the Senate race in Alaska, that they had to engage in one of the biggest political scandals of our time. A story broke ironically by the New York Times. Do you know how bad this scandal has to be for the New York Times? A left wing socialist rag just days before an election to expose the fact that quote, "Kellen Browning Democrats have insisted they had nothing to do with the other Dan Sullivan on Alaska's Senate ballot." For those of you who don't know, the incumbent senators are Republican, Dan S Sullivan. The Democrats now went around and put on a Dan J Sullivan on the ballot to confuse people. Kellen Browning knows, but AIDS with Mary Peltola, who's a Democrat running, and the Democrat committee's air, were part of a month's long secret plan to recruit this other Dan Sullivan to run as well as other candidates. This was a New York Times article. Do you have any idea how bad this has to be for the Democrats, the slate of candidates to try to get, you are getting worked in Alaska. If I'm in Alaska, regardless of party affiliation, I live in Florida a long way away. If I'm in Alaska, I'm freaking pissed right now and you should be too. The New York Times had multiple sources for this, including a name source from the Peltola campaign. So you can't just, you know, hang the hat on, oh, it was anonymous sources. They are trying to screw you over to sneak in a candidate, Peltola, who's another socialist in the red state of Alaska. That's how bad these candidates are. Folks, the Democrats are praying. You do not do your homework and do zero research on the selection cycle. They're running a candidate in the state of Florida for Senate Angie Nixon, who's a socialist in Florida with a large diaspora of Cuban and Venezuelans who escaped socialism and nearly lost their lives. They're running a candidate saying, hey, socialism is great. They didn't get you. They almost killed you, but you didn't get dead. So it can't be that bad. They are hoping you don't do your homework. Noah Rothman was on a cable news show the other day and brought this up. How the Democrats are running on the socialist agenda. And then when you actually educate people about what it is, we're going to confiscate your money. You're going to be basically working for the state at some point. We're going to take away your health care plan. Your income is going to go down dramatically as we implement a confiscatory taxation. We're going to dump school choice, your state schools only. No choice at all. That when people start doing homework on this, they figure out that the socialism thing is a pile of coal. It's not a packed Christmas stocking. Here's Noah Rothman bringing up this point. I've brought up often that this election is an education problem for people who think they're getting free stuff. What they really get is a kick in the nuts. Check this out. The only socialism says of you. I'm interested in is schooling health care. And I believe states should own electricity and water and provide it to their constituents. Essentials for living should not be for profit. Can that be sold out to you? It was sold to the British people but they nationalized the utilities and the water market that you're actually had a lot of going on condition. No, we've never. These are not new ideas. These are ancient ideas. The state monopoly on utilities is something we've sloughed off in the 70s because it was an antiquated model. We're not returning to that. No, I would have said that. That would have been my answer, except I've looked at the data and you've looked at the data, the data among young Americans in particular. Socialism is viewed more favorably than others. If you ask them if they like free markets, they do. Why do you think that's the point I wanted to hammer home when you actually tell younger voters who think socialism means free stuff that it in fact does not mean free stuff. It means 50 to 80% tax rates government control, the means of production, the lack of school choice, the destruction of the free market economy. All of a sudden I, well, I didn't want that. Well, that's what it is, man. That's what you're voting for. Folks, I'm going to help you here. If you're still on the fence or even worse, you're a disaffected Republican who somehow fell for the dumerism that nothing happened, despite all the things I've shown you receipts over eight, nine months now. Here's what you're voting for by staying home because choosing not to vote is a choice and that is a vote. That is a vote for the Democrats. That is a minus one for us because you could have shown up and chose not to. This is Axio. So this is not some, it's not bongino.com. This is a pretty left-leaning outlet describing what the Democrats plan to do and force votes on. Now, keep this up here for us. I'm going to scroll through this. Here's the problem. If the Democrats win the House by a slim margin, say they get to 222 or something like that, every single Democrat socialist is going to be a kingmaker because they don't have any buffer zone. You're going to need every vote. So the House Progressives Axio snows is is planning to use the communism.
in other words, is planning to use their growing power to force votes next year on sweeping and divisive policies. Here, go down, let's, don't take my word for it. Medicare for all, Medicare for all, they mean for all. Yeah, but Dan, I've got a union healthcare plan. I love it, working on a plan. Bye-bye, bye, wave goodbye. They're going to quote force votes on it. Medicare for all. This is actually us. A ball is your defundice. You want open borders again? How'd that work out for you? Defundice, you're not going to have ICBP and enforcement at the board, not going to have any money. This, they're forcing votes on this. Here we go. The Israel obsession. Do you want to waste another two years? They don't care about, by the way, any other foreign impact. They are obsessed with this Israel issue. It is going to, Israel and impeachment, the two eyes. It'll be the next two years. They don't want to talk about aid to India or anywhere. It's the only thing you want to waste two years on this. AI, they don't like the SI AI developments out there because the afraid AI is going to tell you the truth. That's why you want to waste two years on this. I thought you cared about affordability. Folks, I don't need a wish list for the GOP and the Trump agenda. All I have to tell you is producer seats of things that actually happen, like the 3% GDP growth, like for the first time in modern history, a shrinking of the government workforce, four regulations scrap for everyone they institute and even the ones they institute are to deregulate other regulations. Media and household income, the highest it's ever been, closed border, violent crime getting crushed. This is not a wish list. These are wishes fulfilled, it's a results list. This is all on the ballot and will come to a grinding halt over the next two years if you elect these House and Senate Democrats. I want more of this, folks. Again, this isn't a wish list, this is happening. You want these fentanyl drug boats? Carrying drugs, coke and meth and fentanyl here? Southcom launched in another attack on the drug boats. See ya. I don't want to see you to my healthcare plan. I want to see you to the drug boats. Fox News put this up in their Twitter account. It's from Southcom. You want more of that? I want more of that. What about protecting the kids against child predators? Here, the FBI put this out yesterday. Operation Restoring Justice. I remember that one well. Operation Relentless Justice. Operation Endoring Justice. 1000 plus child predators arrested over three dedicated surges, you want that? Or you want a two year Medicare for all impeachment? We hate Israel thing. Or you want to do this stuff? Your kids matter? No, my kids don't matter. Let's vote for the Democrats who want to defund the police again. What about these seven, six, four phenomenon? I've been warning you about this group of international terrorists targeting your kids, getting them to torture animals. Oh, that's not a thing. You see the pull boy guy, the moron, absolute tool bag. Freakin' OKC pull boy, diaper wear and loser doesn't know the first thing about anything. The FBI, here's from cash, is crushing seven, six, four, a violent network that's targeting your kids online. 400 plus subjects under investigation, a 500% increase in seven, six, four related arrests. Two key leaders behind bars. One member just sentenced to 77 years. I thought this wasn't real, which is just bring back to seven, six, four people, let them pray on your kids. They're finding your kids online. Here's a quick video, they point out, if you don't know about this seven, six, four thing, you should watch what your kids are doing online. You want this to come through a grinding halt? Vote for the Democrats, like the doomers want you to check this out. Most Americans have never heard of seven, six, four, but the FBI has. It's a violent online network that targets children around the world, hiding behind anonymous accounts. Under Director Cash Patel, the FBI made dismantling seven, six, four a priority. All 56 field offices joined the effort, with more than 500 subjects tied to the network under investigation. And the results are mounting. In 2025, the FBI and its partners reported a nearly 500% increase in seven, six, four related arrests. One of the networks earliest and most prolific members sentenced to 77 years in federal prison. The longest federal sentence ever imposed on a nihilistic, violent extremist. From local field offices to international law enforcement partners, the FBI is finding the people who thought the Internet could keep them ahead of it. And with every conviction, another threat is locked away. Over 6,000 child predators and traffickers off the streets, a 13% increase. Their victims deserve justice. Our children deserve protection. And this FBI is delivering both. It's almost insane that you've got a group of these people out there, dams and their doomer buddies, who are all linked somehow by proxy or directly to this whole Epstein thing, screaming about Epstein all day, despite the efforts by me and others to get you this material. And yet you bring up actual child predators right now, right now, present time. He's obviously dead, another child predator. But you've got child predators and this entire network of people praying on kids, being dismantled and locked up while they're affiliated with this guy. And you've got them telling you not to vote because this is insane. It is freaking insane, like sociopathically insane. Let's let child predators run free. This is, as my brother says, this is freaking bananas. It's just like, is this even real? I'm really sorry if you fell for this op. I'm really sorry if you fell for this stay home doomer op, nothing's happening. I'm really sorry for you. Here's another one, part of the op, Fusion, Ken Delanian, added again, Fusion, Ken who told you just last week, Cash Patel was in Russia and breaking news. They broke into live coverage when, in fact, he was in Lynchburg, Virginia. All you have to do is look at his Twitter feed. He says, new Fusion, Ken Delanian FBI agents have expressed deep concern. It could be ordered to take legally questionable steps to investigate dubious claims of election fraud and state officials are wargaming how to deal with federal intervention. This is Ken Delanian. I throw this whole story out. This guy sources are absolute garbage. Who the hell knows who was his source for that ridiculous Russia story? His sources are completely wrong. Here's my guess, having worked there at the FBI, led the organization with cash for the first year of the Trump 47 presidency. Here's my guess. A bunch of Democrats that are still hiding themselves in the FBI who are concerned that if there's election fraud that they hope we don't notice, that's all that is. And Fusion, Ken, of course, is a mouthpiece. The guy has zero credibility. Take anything this guy says, crumple it up and throw it right in the garbage, a total waste of your time. Folks, this slate of Democrats running is uniquely awful, uniquely awful. I have not seen a slate of candidates on the United States set aside for the Democrats, the governor's racist in the house, as bad as this in my 51 years on this rock we call earth. I haven't seen it. I have never seen a slate of candidates so bad. How bad does a candidate have to be for the prior primary opponent on the Democrat side to come out and basically give a damning interview to CNN of all places, Caitlin Collins, the old entertainment reporter, and basically say, hey, I'm not really sure about this guy and my fiance is voting for Mike Rogers, the Republican. This is just damning video, it was all over excess morning. This is Haley Stevens. She lost the primary to the Muslim brotherhood, El Syed sympathizer in Michigan. She lost the primary. Now you think if this guy was such a great candidate, she'd come out and say, hey, vote blue, no matter who, whatever, no, no, she's not saying that, she's not saying that at all. How bad does this guy have to be in Michigan? For this to have happened, check this out. Certainly don't have to agree on everything, definitely not politics. But do you agree with your fiance and his sentiment here on this race? No, like like a lot of households across America were a household divided. I still very much want our democratic nominee. His name is Abdul to win this race. There's so much on the line, but I will be honest. There are a lot of voters in Michigan. I was out in Akendor's earlier today in Macomb County. And they are still undecided and they are hurt and they are confused. And this is why I think our nominee is in a very strong position to denounce the hateful ads that have hurt people. We've got one with Tucker Carlson, who is a racist anti-black white supremacist apologist. And we've got another that's blaming Jews for the cost of groceries. And people are coming to me about this and they're black voters, they're Indian American voters, they're obviously Jewish voters, working class voters. And so let's shut out the hate. Justin, is this the worst pro L-siet interview you've ever seen in your life?
We'll get a vote for L. Cyanne, and I'm really excited about voting for him, except for the fact that it's possible he hates Jews, my fiance thinks he sucks, and people all over Michigan are worried about these evil - it's the microaggers campaign to miss you. Just a suggestion from little old Dan. You should just take that whole interview and just put it the unpaid for by microaggers for Senate. You don't have to say anything. This is a woman on the ground who nearly beat L. Cyanne, she got a lot of votes. She only lost by a point or two in that Democrat primary in Michigan, basically warning you and doing winky, winky nod nod stuff that this guy is a freaking disaster. The almost, I don't know, and all the whining over the average, folks, the slate of candidates for the Democrats, it's the worst I've ever seen. I want to show you my humble opinion on the governor's side. Katie Hobbs is probably the worst sitting governor in the country, one of them in Arizona, vote Andy Biggs, and we'll talk to Seth Keschel about that coming up in a minute. However, Javier Bakaria, running in California, Javier Bussero running in California for governor against Steve Hilton. I know the chances are slim, but this guy I think is the worst non-incumbing candidate in the governor's race. I've seen it a long time. This guy is so bad. Everything he says blows up in his face because he's an idiot, matter of fact, someone else thinks he's an idiot. Can he put up that new year post article, do it in reverse a little bit? Here's the new year post. What do you know about Javier Bakaria? You don't know him. Well, you do know Susan Rice, right, prominent Democrat from the Obama Biden administration. Well, Bakaria worked in the Biden administration, running for governor in California right now. I was the HHS Secretary. Susan Rice, die hard liberal, by the way, Obama lover, berated Bakaria in front of staff at least once a week, and she also noted that they were appalled over Bakaria's callister marks about migrant children, calling them, quote, little Juanitos and Juanitas. Susan Rice labeled Bakaria a career politician who was California attorney general. He labeled him a quote, idiot, as well as a, it rhymes with itch and crass and itch crass Axios reported in 2024. These are his own people, his air quotes, friends telling you he's an idiot. You want to prove he's an, he gives an interview, this is Chris is sure, but this is hilarious. He's like, you know, man, the mark of where somebody grows up, that's the real definition of who a man and who a person is. Bakaria grew up in Sacramento, which is, isn't that the, that's, I'm not good with the whole Capitol. Isn't that the state Capitol, Captain? That is the state Capitol, Captain Obama. My missing something. He grew up in the state Capitol. What is he trying to do like straight out of Compton or something? Here's Bakaria, a totally face plate thing on the easiest question ever. Check this out. Do you want to know where a leader is going to take you, know where they've come from? I don't know if we've ever had a governor who comes from where I come from. And so will it be different? You mean, Sacramento? Sacramento? Well, I come from, born and raised in Sacramento, but I mean in terms of my roots. The guy comes from the seat of government, Capitol, Sacramento, California, just to be sure in case we're all, are we out crazy? Yeah, it's Sacramento. Oh, you can zoom in on that. He comes from the seat of government. The right, the real, yeah, it's a good point, just the real backwards, yeah. I hate this act. Like they all try to be like Jenny from the block and stuff. Can you please stop, stop with the bull single worst slate of candidates, ladies and gentlemen, I have ever seen. I got Seth Kessel coming up, but I want to get to this too, folks, it's just some good news for you. I'm really, I've been a little overwhelmed the last two days. I've got friends, old neighbors, I've lived in three or four different homes down here in Florida. We move a lot. We had some security issues early on, but so we move around a lot, right? I'm kind of like a no man. I got neighbors I haven't talked to in 10 years texting me. This website said you said there's going to be the apocalypse. I can't. I can't. It's freaking unbelievable. I have been telling people for seriously 10 to 15 years now to get prepared. The best day of your life is when you throw all this preparedness stuff out, you don't need it. So I've been just getting bombarded with messages, what do you know that the world is going to blow up to? I'm like, I don't know where you got to. It's just please go watch the segment. The headline on the segment was, please don't panic. And I've got my own friends calling me in like a panic, which just feels a little bit weird. I was less than I get texted like 11 o'clock at night, it's crazy. Here's some good news for you folks. We are going to go through some chaotic times with the implementation of a super intelligence and AI into the economy. We are going to go through that is going to be a rough patch. There's going to be some infiltrations. There's going to be hacks. You're seeing one with DHS. You're going to see this. I don't know if it was related to SI or not. However, you're going to see this stuff. But just like with airline travel, electricity, nuclear power, there's always hiccups in the beginning of a transformative technology. I am telling you on the other side of this, once we get our guardrails in place that there is potential for a human prosperity, I don't even think you understand right now. It's hard to imagine what the world is going to look like when this super intelligence is unleashed on the medical problems of our time. Now, we're not even there yet at them. And you're already seeing transformative technology. I say, so this, any of you on on redden these other drugs right now, not my bag of donuts, but it is for some people, especially people who are carrying a lot of extra weight. I want you to check out this ABC report. It's brief about some of the unbelievable results about some of these GLP drugs. Check this out. The pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly says it's weight loss drug known as redditrutide has revealed promising results over rival drugs such as ozempic. According to results from a new clinical trial on adults with type 2 diabetes, the drug provides more than double the weight loss of ozempic's highest dose. Redditrutide has also been shown to improve diabetes marker A1C. Eli Lilly said it plans to submit the drug for FDA approval next year. Folks, I mean, just the pure economic savings alone. If this SI intelligence model can fix even one form of cancer, not to mention the obvious moral benefits of people not dying, but if the economic benefits alone would be astounding and would ripple across the globe. We got to keep the good times rolling. GDP just popped today, borders closed. Crime is at the lowest rates, even lower than we thought, regulatory reform. The government worked for shrinking. Poed redd, don't get the head, please. You want the best election analysis? You were worried about Texas, South Carolina, elsewhere, put you at ease, coming up in a minute, we're going to talk to Seth Cashel, one of the best election analysts in the business. First, we pick our comment of the day. If you want to see the official rules on how to win the $1,776 once a week, I'll give you the cheat sheet, 10 a.m. Eastern time, join the rumble live chat to see the full array of rules. Go to bongino.com/1776. Our comment of the day today is Sandy Ambergey, friends, don't let friends vote Democrat. Be a friend to everyone you see, please, good advice, pick at least 10 friends, drag them to the polls, make 10 calls, post 10 times on social media, please, go save your country. She needs you. Folks, travel days, boat rides, even a rough morning after, this is a product very close to my heart, by the way. I know it's an ad, but when I went to chemotherapy, this company was there for me, and this product was indispensable. You ever hear a relief band? Well, you will now. Nausea, you know, wanted a vomit, can turn a good moment into a miserable one. Fast, I know. I've been there. That's why I was really excited to try relief band after everything I went through with the chemo. Relief band is a natural 100% drug-free solution you wear on your wrist. It's clinically proven to stop nausea fast and works before or after symptoms start. 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And once and for all, join the hundreds and thousands of people who made relief ban me included part of their life. Right now we have an exclusive offer just for Dan Bungino show listeners. If you go to reliefban.com and use promo code Bungino, you'll receive 20% off plus free shipping. Go today, R-E-L-I-E-F-B-A-N-D reliefban.com, use our promo code Bungino for 20% off plus free shipping. Welcome back to the show. What I believe to be one of the top election analysts in the country, Captain Seth Keshell. He has a book called The American War on Election Corruption. It is a must read, pick it up wherever you get your books. Welcome back to the show, Seth. Thanks for your time today. Really appreciate it. Great to be back down with you, Dan. Hello. Hello. They loved all your commentary last time looking forward to chatting with you on election night as well. First let's start big picture nationally, the overall election picture when it comes to the United States House of Representatives and the Senate. How are you feeling about Democrat potential flips in both of those branches of our Congress? Listen, I'm concerned about both. I obviously would like to win both. However, losing the house, we can get that back in two years, losing the Senate. These are six-year seats at least for a third of that body. How are you feeling about both of those branches of Congress? Well, you've just explained why people are willing to be a little bit more unpredictable with their picks for the U.S. House. It's a volatile chamber. Like I've said before, I'm in a show since 1934 where the president's party loses seats in 23 house elections, all right. That's a 27 seat average loss, so 87% of the time the president's party loses seats. Not one out of eight midterms of president's party were gain seats, and this one actually has a pretty good shot to be that. I would say the dims are probably two out of three likely to take the house, but that gives Republicans better odds than normal. The way I see the house today favors Democrats in 219 seats. I don't really think they're going to have the ability to get over 224 seats based on a number of unforced errors that they've made in seats that they should definitely pick up. If I'm off on some of these 5545 dim edges, then the Republicans could hold a very narrow majority. The Senate is a much different chamber, of course, so it's a very steep mountain to climb for Democrats, and Alaska just got way worse for them yesterday. Yeah, Alaska, that story by the New York Times of All Places, and I've seen a couple of commentators like yourself that I trust suggesting that the dams have a decent chance of the house, but it could be a slim margin. That creates a lot of problems for the Democrats with this new voting block of hyper far left socialists who are going to want everything on the ballot, Medicare for All, defund ISIS, I talked about earlier in the show. That's going to create an issue for them if they win by a slim margin. Let me get to some governor's races because you're not hearing a lot of commentary about the governor's races, and I wanted to inject that into the show. You see any kind of brewing upsets, New York, Arizona, elsewhere. You really don't hear a lot about the governor's races, and I don't know why. I mean, these states are some of these liberal states, like Arizona with Katie Hobbes, they become like incubators for far left stuff that infects what was once a pretty red state. Well, the governors are certainly very important. A mass in Florida with Andrew Gillam as governor in 2018 instead of Ron DeSantis, right? So they matter. States also do weird stuff with their governors. Vermont is about to re-elect his Republican governor, Kansas had a two-term Democrat governor in the Trump era and it still went Trump plus 16 in 2024. And of course, you have Arizona with Hobbes. The fact that we're even talking about a competitive governor's race in what's supposed to be a Democrat year in New York is a positive sign that the Trump coalition lives on and continues. Because it took major roots there in New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, and really all throughout New York City. I've had a pretty solid performance relative to other Republicans in New York City in 2024 with those working class communities. Now, Arizona, I think, is one of the people need to watch. Hobbes has only one advantage here, and that is that she's the incumbent since 1966, we have not fired an incumbent governor of Arizona. Now, there haven't been very many Democrat incumbent governors of Arizona to go through that test. But just today, the big campaign put out a plus three internal poll. Now, I'm not a polls guy, but the fact that they're putting on a poll like that shows that they think that they've got a chance to win this. And I think that if the early ballot returns, which have Republicans leading and election day come through, then you could have the potential for an upset in the making. She's a tough one to dislodge. She'll be the last Democrat dislodged along the string of R plus down the road. But Republicans are looking strong in Arizona relative to states like North Carolina. Let me ask you about two pretty deep blue states, the governors are the gubernatorials there, because they're going to be obviously top of the ticket. And that has a down ballot effect if people show up saying California, New York, and I don't know what your opinion on it, my mind is we have two exceptionally strong candidates in those races on the Republican side in Bruce Blakeman, NASA County Executive in New York, and Steve Hilton in California, they've run very energetic races, decently funded races, good digital campaigns. Now you and I both acknowledge, I mean the chances of winning are small, very small, but not zero. They've run really good campaigns. Do you see a scenario where they gin up enough turnout and say they lose, but they only lose by six to eight instead of the, you know, 15 point predictions by some polls, right? Do you see us holding some congressional seats in California and New York that are swingy seats because of turnout driven by good top of the ticket candidates like Hilton and Blakeman? Yeah, New York, and especially with New York 17, that's Mike Lawler's seat. Now, I think that he's well configured to hold the seat based on his unique characteristics as a candidate. And a few things that I've understood going through precinct analysis in 17. Now you have three and four on Long Island that are Democrat held that were not large marshes in 24 that looking at them in a blue year, I would think they were below left, but if they can, if the trends continue to sustain themselves into 2026, then you could have an upset, especially in New York three over in California, they've done a pretty bang up job on the new gerrymander. They've got, they've given Republicans four out of 52 seats, which is, you know, what eight percent of all the seats in California, even though Trump got almost 40% of the vote. And then they've got a couple seats there in LA, though, if the minority populations continue to swing away from the Democrats. And if Hilton does it better than normal performance, he's going to pull back counties like Orange County number one, but then you have the potential to maybe steal a seat somewhere there in California. And I've seen a couple, a couple of races that the returns are stronger a few days ago, Republicans were running four points better on returns than they were in 2022. So yes, there are down ballot impacts to these, these top of the ticket candidates that could really help us. I don't think it informs us at all. Let's go through some state by state stuff. We're talking to Captain Seth Keschel. He's the author of the book, The American War on Election Corruption, a fantastic book, highly recommended that you pick it up. His website is a captain K dot us, please check it out. Seth, I've seen some of your interchanges or interactions. I should say more appropriate on on X and you kind of put me at ease a little bit. There's a lot of panic about Texas, a lot of panic about South Carolina, you know, could the Democrats win? Of course, I mean, it's an election anybody think it happened any given time. You're overall feelings about the Paxton, Taloriko race. I'm candidly stunned and if even 10% of these polls are accurate, that Taloriko is within striking range. He's so poorly suited. His ideological positions towards the state of Texas, it's stunning that even bias polls would show them within a few points if not ahead. How do you see it going early voting and elsewhere, any trends over there? Yeah, well, number one, this is going to be the ultimate battle between the analysts and the pollsters. And I think that everybody, I mean, even the mainstream media are hedging big time on the polls. And if you want to really feel better about Texas, look at the polling in Kansas and Nebraska. Kansas hasn't put a US Senator Democrat in office since 1934. And looking all throughout the polls, it looks like the rural white population is being under-sampled everywhere. Somebody sent me a Paxton poll the other day. He was down by two against Taloriko 4846. All right, and I looked through the cross tabs. This is what the ultimate tell is. And it had, it had 18% of the electorate between 18 and 29 years old. They're not hitting that number, number one. All right, then you've got the white vote where it only had Paxton plus 15 with the white vote, which was 54% of the sample. Every Republican running statewide in Texas since 1998 has won the white vote by at least 30 points. All right, so we're talking about 800,000 missing margin just off of that. And it still had Paxton with 40% with Latinos, where if he's getting 40% with Latinos in Texas and he gets a standard white vote, he's not going to lose the race. So the moral of the story in Texas is if the Republicans get out and vote, they're going to win. The danger with Texas is number one, it's a, it's a Democrat favorable sitting here. We've got the bad campaign blood between Corning and Paxton that's still out there, which also harms Paxton's polls. Those kind of people come home later when they're at the polls. But look, the only way to tell you who can win Texas is if the Republican area is the strong areas, these 85-15 guys, the lag, well below their 2018 turnout levels when, when crews and overwork had a tight race, the Latino vote runs back 10 years, which I've got reasonable. You've that there.
Republicans are gonna hold most of their Latino gains based on stuff I see in other counties. And then the final thing is we have presidential size turnouts in four major urban counties and probably five or 10 point Democrat margin improvements from 2016. I'm gonna be correct on my assessment about El Paso County, which is gonna cause Tallerico probably at least 35,000 margin off of Overwatch 2018 margin, just because of that Hispanic shift and then a downgrade in turnout. - Let me ask you about Michigan. - It's a race I'm very concerned about. I'm not gonna be told by the left wing media what to talk about or not. I'm concerned about the national security implications of Abdul Al Sayyad in the United States Senate. He's got a questionable past at best. I think that's almost underselling it. But I'm very concerned about that race. If we lose that race, we'll be stuck with this guy for six years with this past that everybody's starting to look into that gets more disturbing by the day, including information that's come out today. Mike Rogers is known to the Michigan electorate, nearly pulled off a Senate upset. It was against Slotkin last time. I think it was 30,000 votes or something. I've seen a lot of coverage on this race, both online digitally on X and on cable TV. And I'm not gonna go by single subject anecdotes, but there's a lot of interviews with black voters, minority voters who are really not happy with the Democrat Party primary win of Abdul Al Sayyad. They just don't trust him. Michigan obviously has a substantial large black community. Do you think Al Sayyad's in trouble or is this just another kind of rug poll in Michigan? - Yeah, he's definitely in trouble. Look, in 2018, in a very good Democrat year, especially in Michigan, remember, this is a state devoted for Trump in 2016, anyone with about 47% of the vote. So they went big time over-correct back the other way. Of course, the Trump-based, low-prop white voter state-of-state home. And then the lips went crazy. In Michigan, and then they flipped Michigan back in 2018, everything Democrat. Now, the Senate race was up. That was Debbie Stabenow at the time. And she drew John James. Of course, back in those days, James was brand new and everybody's excited about his campaign. And she only beat him by six points. All right, this is an incumbent Democrat by six points in a really blue year. This year's not going to be as blue or another eight years into the Michigan transformation to the right. Everything looks a lot more like Interior, Pennsylvania. And Abdul, this is also an open seat. So there's no incompetence. And Abdul has numerous Democrat special interest groups that are openly against him. I mean, you've got Jewish Democrat groups. You got Black Democrat groups. You got working man Democrat groups that are openly saying we're not going to vote for this guy. So if we already start with a six point margin for an incumbent Democrat in a really blue year, now we have an open seat. We're already right at that. I mean, you're looking at a race where Abdul's margin ceiling probably has to be less than two points seat ceiling. All right, so I would think that Rogers, the bike check on me, I feel like Rogers is just going to win. The problem here is there's really no math or fundamentals that's going to help me arrive at that solution other than watching the Trump the Trump counties have major turnout and weighing lag big time like we're seeing in the urban counties in Ohio. There's a couple data points out there with the L. S. I. Ed Rogers race in Michigan that have me kind of smiling a little bit. L. S. I. Ed himself has predicted he would win by seven points is now dialing that back significantly, which makes me believe he's got internal polling and showing that even if he wins, it's going to be by a sliver like you just said. But second, in the L. S. I. Ed race, he dramatically underperformed in the primary against Haley Stevens. There were predictions of a 10 point victory barely won by a sliver. Couldn't even call it on election night. And now his opponent, Haley Stevens, who did very well in the black community is, I mean, to call her Luke warm on L. S. I. Ed as being as generous as possible. I played a clip earlier in this show. She's saying her own fiancee is voting for Rogers. I mean, this is not good days before an election. Well, you know, that's the thing that they have in the Midwest. These boring white Midwestern women, they're harmless, right? Because Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, they're not traditional Republican states. They're Trump-lican states. Now, give them enough time on the trend, then they can become Republican states like Ohio has. All right, but when you take a state like Michigan or Wisconsin, like they do with the Supreme Court, you run a boring white Midwestern woman who talks about how she grew up in Shippewa Falls, hanging out, you know, down by the creek. Those are the ones that slip right through the electorate. So Haley Stevens and a Democrat favourable year were definitely win this race by four or five points. And that's not a knock on Rogers. It's just a rough year. Rogers should have won in 2024. He was a victim of a late night mail in ballot dumps that happened on a Detroit after Trump had been called the winner. And now, of course, we have a list of slotkin who is a seditionist sitting in the Senate. So yes, I do think that Rogers will be able to follow these tailwins that are specific to this app, dual ill-sayed campaign. And I think that he's got a very good shot at winning the race. Let's talk about it. One more race here. I find a little bit concerning. And when I say concerning, I don't like the panic about these things because I've heard this before about South Carolina. Was it Jamie Harrison who ran against Lindsey Graham? And there were all these predictions. Harrison was going to upset him. They poured millions of dollars into this race. Graham won in a route. Wouldn't even close. There's probably called a minute after the polls closed. Darleen Graham, Lindsey Sister, of course, is running. Any Andrews is the opponent. There are some predictions this race is tied. I mean, again, I'm not the numbers cruncher than you are in this. But we call it what you call it a vibe check earlier. I just have to have South Carolina go red. It would have to be an electoral blood bath for the Republicans to lose that state. - Well, it would be a mess. Now, the seat itself is a, is a trouble seat. Just because it's now an open seat. Now, of course, you have the emotional component of that race where this is his sister running for reelection. I think that's going to boost her as well. But the thing that people have to understand about South Carolina is that states in the deep south, the white vote is very inelastic. It does not bounce around. And this is the same thing like we find in Texas. There's only a maybe 10 or 12 counties where Tel Rico even has the composition of a county that's going to help him slide votes around. So if Parker County, Texas turns out it's going for passed in 80/20. If Grayson County comes out, it's going for passed in 80/20. Same thing in South Carolina. So you would have to have an overwhelming black vote. Then you'd have to have a very bad Republican county turn out for that to be a tilt margin and an ol for Andrews, the Democrat candidate in South Carolina. So I think the South Carolina is going to stick with his baseline. It also has a Florida level of growth to it where people are moving to these coastal Carolina counties and they're all overwhelmingly Republican. So it's a race I'm not overly worried about. If it were to be a loss, I think it would have to go ahead and handle it. We just got wiped out and tip your hat and move on. - Let me throw one more to you, I'm sorry. I live in the state of Florida. I'm down here all the time, South Florida. I'm intimately involved with politics down here. People talk to me all the time from Republican club heads to chairmen, to voters, just to people who are friends of mine. You can't run devout socialists like Angie Nixon in the state of Florida with a lot of a huge Cuban and Venezuelan diaspora that many of them grew up around the horrors of communism. I mean, it was just a disastrous pick. I think that's going to have a lot of down ballot effects amongst the disenchanted, even fence sitters who are like, I'm not voting for this, I can't believe it. How do you feel about the gubernatorial in Florida with Byron Donalds versus Dave Jolly and the Senate race down there? There's some apocalyptic talk about us losing that too. - Well, this is what people do online and on the conservative right. We as weekends are really bad because there's not enough fresh news coming in. So people surround it and they stare at themselves in the mirror and they come up with situations. Now with Florida, there are multiple things happening in Florida. Number one, Moody versus Nixon is the kind of race I look at and wonder if Moody's going to win all 67 counties in Florida. Now, I don't think she's going to for one reason is because turnout is not very good. Now, that could change. I do think that we are seeing a bit of behavioral shift with the Republican base. I think it's going to be going more back towards heavy election day voting. Here in Arizona, we've got really good low prop turnout, turning points on a great job getting low prop out. But then there's, you know, we got a lot of four, four voters that haven't voted yet. Well, look, four, four, they voted in all four of the last primaries in general elections, right? They are that for a reason because they're going to vote. So a lot of people planning on voting on election day. So I do think Florida will have a big fat Republican election day. But right now, the early vote is only r plus 1.4. We should be a couple points right of that. But I think that Florida is now no longer a battleground state. Everyone knows it. Nobody's pumping money in their expected to, you know, do what they're doing in Texas right now. I do think Donald's will win his race based on where we're at now and also the propensity for Florida, especially South Florida, now to Lertz, right? I don't think he's going to win by double digits anymore. I think he's going to win somewhere in the single digits. But Moody will be well to the right of him. But people do need to get out and they need to go vote. They need to stop taking stuff for granted because I've had people do the panic stuff with me on Florida, Georgia here in the last couple of days. Folks, give him a follow. It is worth your time. Seth Keshell K E S H E L, follow him on X for up to date analysis. Check out his website, CaptainK dot US will be talking to him on election night to Seth. Thanks so much for your expertise. We really appreciate it. I know the audience does too. You take in the time.
today. Thanks a lot. Well, thank you, Dan. You guys have a great one. Yes, sir. Seth Kesel, folks, really great election analyst. Again, that not doesn't do the panic stuff just gives you the hard numbers. That's all I want. I'm a data guy. If we're in trouble, tell me I'm in trouble. If we're not in trouble, then tell me we're not in trouble. But either way, you know what matters? Us removing our butts from the seats, me included, get out and vote. That's what I mean. You show up the vote will win. This is not hard. You don't show up. I'll lose. This is no big, elaborate, huge game plan needed votes win elections. That's the way it goes. Folks, thanks again for tuning in. Make sure you join us on election night at 8 p.m. Eastern time on my channel here. It is free to watch rumble.com/bangino. I saw someone at X the other day say they they didn't know you can download the app on the smart TV. Yes, you can. It's free. Just go to the search feature put rumble. You'll see the app download and watch on your TV election night. We would love to have you. Yes, that's it. That's going to be back on election night. Provide this live time analysis to we'll be here from 8 to 10 on election night. We'll be here with Haley Vince. Seth, Sean Ferris and other special guests in studio here down at silver lock studios. We'd really appreciate it. Make sure you tune into their shows. Sean and one Haley and noon Vince at 8 a.m. I guess I said download that rumble app on your smart TV on your phone, on your tablet, on your computer, or you can watch on the web at rumble.com/bangino. Just click that follow button while you're there. Thanks so much for tuning in folks, making this one of the top conservative podcasts in the country month after month. I owe it all to you. I'll see you back here tomorrow at 10 a.m. Hey there, I'm Vince. I'm Haley Karenia. I'm Sean Ferris, host of Vince, host of scrolling of Haley, host of Sean Ferris live. You can always catch my show right here, right here, right here on the Von Juner report channel live 8 a.m. Eastern weekday mornings, noon weekdays, noon PM Eastern time. And if you miss it, no worries. The show will always be right here anywhere you find the podcast. Thanks for watching. And thank you for your attention to this minute. Hey everyone, Haley Karenia here, host of scrolling with Haley. My show is coming up right here on rumble at 12 p.m. Eastern time. I cover breaking news, react to viral videos, go down, conspiracy theory rabbit holes, and have a whole lot of fun. You're not going to want to miss a second of it live 12 p.m. Eastern time right here on rumble rubble.com slash Haley. I'll see you there. (gentle music)
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The U.S. economy grew at a robust 3.4% in Q3, exceeding expectations of 3.2% and marking a significant boost to President Trump’s economic agenda.
Dan Bongino argues that voters should base decisions on results—such as economic growth, crime reduction, and border control—rather than emotion or political loyalty.
He criticizes Democratic candidates and policies, citing poor qualifications, socialist agendas, and scandals like the Alaska Senate ballot fiasco involving a fake Dan Sullivan.
Bongino highlights that Democrats’ platform includes sweeping policies like Medicare for All, defunding ICE, and opening the border, which he claims would destroy personal freedoms and economic stability.
He points to real-world evidence—such as lower living costs and reduced crime in red states—that people are voluntarily moving to Republican-leaning areas for better affordability and safety.
The show warns that inactivity in the 2024 midterms is a vote for Democrats, as disengagement enables progressive policies that could harm families, healthcare, and national security.
Bongino references FBI actions dismantling violent online networks like “7,6,4” targeting children, emphasizing real progress in safety and law enforcement.
He asserts that the Democratic slate of candidates is the worst in decades, with multiple candidates labeled as ideologically extreme, unqualified, or harmful to public safety.
Summary:
S. 4%, surpassing expectations and reinforcing arguments for supporting the Trump administration’s economic policies. He frames voting as a decision driven by tangible results—such as lower crime, a closed border, and rising household incomes—rather than emotional or partisan allegiance.
Bongino criticizes the Democratic candidate slate, calling it unusually damaging, citing scandals like a fake Senate nominee in Alaska, unqualified candidates in states like Michigan and California, and socialist policies like Medicare for All and open borders. He argues that people are actively moving from blue to red states due to better living costs and safety, proving that voters are choosing outcomes over ideology. The show warns that inaction in the midterms is equivalent to supporting Democratic policies, which would include defunding law enforcement, undermining healthcare, and expanding government control.
Bongino emphasizes real victories in national security, such as the FBI’s dismantling of child predator networks, to contrast with the perceived threats of a Democratic takeover. He urges voters to engage, especially in key states like Texas and South Carolina, to prevent a shift in power that could undo decades of economic and social progress. The message is clear: voting is a result-based choice, and staying home is a political endorsement of the left.
FAQs
The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2023, surpassing the expected 3.2%. This is significant because it represents strong economic growth, the highest in 18 years, and supports claims that the Trump economic agenda is delivering results.
Bongino argues that the strong GDP growth, lower inflation, and reduced government spending under the Trump administration demonstrate tangible results. He claims these outcomes prove that voters should prioritize economic results over political emotions.
Bongino claims that healthcare premiums increased substantially after the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) was passed, with family premiums rising by 96% from 2010 to 2025, and that Obama's policies led to higher costs despite his claims of fixing the system.
He pointed to a scandal involving the Democratic Party secretly placing a fake 'Dan Sullivan' candidate on the ballot to confuse and mislead voters, which he said was a major embarrassment and sign of poor Democratic strategy.
Bongino describes the Democratic slate of candidates as uniquely bad, citing examples like a Muslim Brotherhood sympathizer in Michigan, a candidate with offensive language about migrant children, and a candidate from California with poor qualifications and a history of being criticized by top officials.
He notes that many people are relocating from states like California and New York—known for high costs and socialist policies—to red states like Texas and Florida, where they report lower housing and energy costs, suggesting voters are making decisions based on economic results.
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