Speaker 1This episode is brought to you by Google Chrome. You think you know a browser, but Gemini and Chrome, that's new. It can help you with practically anything on the web, like restoring a vintage motorcycle from a 50-page restoration block, or finally break down that long article you've had open for weeks. Gemini and Chrome is here for it. Ready to make anything online make sense? There's no place like Chrome. Check responses, setup required, compatibility and availability varies 18+.
Speaker 2Yes, hello and welcome to the Sydney set.
Speaker 3Again, I'm Matty Campbell, Mitchie Lewis with you this afternoon. We're all here thanks to Betar, Betar ahead of the game. What are you really gambling with? As a welcome in, Matty Campbell. Down there in Melbourne. How's the weather down there, Matty, and how are you?
Speaker 4I'm good, thank you. There's a microphone over here that I can just find. Thank you. I've just knocked my laptop over quickly. I'm good. I was good until you asked me. No, beautiful day down here in Melbourne today. And, you know, we had some good weather for the carnival. We had some cold weather for the carnival. A bit of rain came in on the final day. But, no, all good, mate.
Speaker 3Love that. Love your work. Beautiful weather up here in Sydney town. We catch Mitchie Lewis. He's in SA. We appreciate his time. This afternoon as well before he heads off to cricket training. G'day, Mitchie. How are you, mate?
Speaker 5Yes, afternoon, boys. Good weather all around, I suppose. Not too bad here. So hopefully that holds up for quite a period of racing than what we've just come off.
Speaker 3Yep, what a time to be alive. Good weather all across Australia. So that's what we love to see. We head to the Hunter this week, gents. We go to Newcastle for the Hunter. And looking forward to this race. It's a race that's produced some good winners over the past years. And before we head down to the gong down there at Campbell, at Grange as well. So plenty to discuss on this episode of the Sydney set. We're going to go three, two, ones. I'll have a bit of a chat about a scanning report. Mitchie might give us a horse to follow anywhere in the country. It doesn't matter where it is. We'll go to the stewards' room, of course. Bryce, you've got to remember when you do these rundowns, mate, it's the stewards' room, mate. The stewards' room, not the stewards' report. The stewards' report's the one that we get from the stewards after the races. Track pattern, we'll have a chat on the Hunter, how that's going to play. Mitchie, I'd be interested to see your thoughts on that. Last time we saw this rail. In this position, true position on a drying surface. You wouldn't want to get too far off them. So we'll talk on that a little later on. Races 7 through to 10 at Newcastle. We'll go to Sandown, of course, find a few winners down there. The Sydney set and the set shot is up on the batter up to get involved. But, Matty Campbell, why don't you kick us off with your three, two, one for the week. Of course, we'll start in one and work our way up to three.
Speaker 4Well, it seems a bit odd that you give Chris Waller a vote because he does so much, doesn't it? But you've got to hand it to the great man that he had three wins at Flemington, two group ones. This is Saturday, by the way. Autumn Glow, Birdman, and then Pinhole wins the Queen Elizabeth beautifully. And then two wins at the Rose Hill. So he's picked up five lazy winners for the day, including two group ones. Not a bad day out for Chris. Two votes to Tommy Berry. We've spoken a couple of times about how well he's riding at the moment. Yes, he's getting a few more opportunities while Zach and Jay Mack are down in Melbourne for the Carnival. But, my goodness, he's riding well. Four winners from races. Five to ten. Nash rode the other two, it must be known. And three votes to the Hayes brothers. Golden Gift, five diamonds. Bang, bang, picked up all the money in Sydney on the weekend. All the cash. Salty did a pretty good job at Flemington. More about that race or the format of that race later. But, yeah, the Hayes boys had a good weekend.
Speaker 3Yeah, I love that. They certainly did have a good weekend. And they managed to target some of those richer races. Mitchie certainly got the job done. We saw Chad Schofield, he sort of dominated the richer race. He's from the jockey ranks. But, team Hayes, they got the job done last Saturday. Yeah, three two-ones for you from last week.
Speaker 5Yeah, I'll go in reverse of Matty because we cross-referenced on a couple here. I actually gave Chris Waller my three. Matty touched on them all, what he won and everything. But he also trained the trifecta in the Champions Mile. So, that added a little bit extra on top for me. So, full credit Chris. Big weekend for him. I tossed up Tom Berry, actually. I've got him in my notes. But I. Gave him my two to Nash. I know he only rode two winners. But they were the features on ACT UP. And I thought you had to get bonus points for getting Evaporate over the line. So, well done there. And then my one vote was Flemington Crowds. They capped it off really well to finish there. It just looks different sometimes, doesn't it? The sort of younger crowd demographics. And they're doing a really good job at getting them back. So, it was really good that it's been supported two years in a row. Because I know, having been involved in race clubs, you need things to repeat or keep expanding. And that's obviously the way that it's going.
Speaker 3Love your work there, Mitchie. I'm going to give three points to the VRC again and Fisher. And just the fact that they just turned up in droves there last Saturday. I thought it was awesome. Absolutely loved it. And love what they're doing. I love the initiative, Matty, that they've shown down there. Obviously, this might be the third year I think Fisher's turned up. Maybe potentially the second. But it's a second year. And I remember last year, they ended their gumboots. This year, the weather was a lot better. Albeit forecast. It has to be a lot worse. But they're finding a way to get crowds engaged. And not just engaged for one meeting like we do here in Sydney. Engaged for back-to-back-to-back-to-back meetings. And so, full credit to the team down there. I gave one point to Nash for what Mitchie so eloquently put, just getting evaporate over the line. Like, please. Well done. So, he gets two points. And I'll give Chris Waller one point for the week he had. But also, I was on the same plane as Waller. As Chris Waller on Saturday night heading out.
Speaker 5Is that a name drop? Nah. Nah. You've just got to bend over and pick it up. Were you in the same row?
Speaker 3It wasn't a private jet. And anyway, so, our man Chris Waller, not only is he a great trainer, he's a great human being. So, I went to sit in my seat, right? And there was a gentleman in my seat. I said, oh, sorry, mate, that you're in my seat. And he's like, oh, okay. He gets up. He gets up and proceeds to then say to kick a lady out of her seat, which was. His seat. And go, you need to move. This is my seat. She was sitting next to her husband. And there was a Mexican standoff for about 10 seconds. And I looked over and I was like, I went to say something. And one CJ Waller, the master trainer gets out of his seat and says, you know what? You have my seat. And sorted it out for the husband and wife. So, he gets the one point. A bit of great work from the master trainer. Not just on the track, but off the track. A true gentleman. You'll love to see it, Matty. I wasn't getting up out of my seat.
Speaker 4Where I sit, there's only two. Two seats. One A and one B.
Speaker 3Don't worry, Matty. We're up the front. I love it. Too good. That is three, two, ones. But I love that. I very, very much do. I thought it was good value. Mitchie, scouting report. What have you got for us?
Speaker 5Yeah, I'm a little bit on the fly with this one. Sorry, you'll have to forgive me. I didn't know what that one meant. But I'll just, as I quickly pull it up, there's a horse here in SA. I don't know if you saw much about. Just pulling him up as I bleed. Confucius Flyer, it's name is. Broke a track record. Third career start. Morfaville Park's career. Third start. Broke the track record over the 1,000 metres. It was a long-standing record, too. Going along really quickly. Big jump in sort of ratings. If you look at the stuff we use, he was a 96 for his third career start. So, could be a horse coming out of SA. Some upside. He's only had the three career starts. He's won two of those. Had bad luck in his first. So, keep an eye on him. No idea where they go. But Confucius Flyer is one you could probably put in your book.
Speaker 3Plenty of good horses came out of last Saturday and over the entire carnival. Matty, what did you find for us?
Speaker 4Look, I was really impressed with the Golden Gift winner, Act Up. That was a hell of a win. So, even though it's not really one to follow from a losing perspective, I think just follow it. We talked about the Hayes camp having Soldy that won. The first race on the weekend, really impressively. This was behind Soldy to start before. Just followed through, went back, followed through, got clear, and then just exploded to the line. And probably out of the same race, you could follow the one you were talking about last week. Mick Torshaven or Torshawn or however it's pronounced. Horse to follow. Got a bit of a check. So, two horses out of the same race that I want to keep backing.
Speaker 3Yep. That was a really good race. How do you pronounce the 12 in that race? Sha-wa-ja-wi? Yep. Sha-ja-wa. Sha-ja-wa. Beaten six. We'll come out and win a race next start. Spelled, beaten six lengths. Really, really impressive. Throw that horse in there. I'll spell it for you for those playing at home. S-H-A-R-J-A-W-I. Running out of breath. Y-A-H. Trained by O'Shea and Charlton.
Speaker 4I think it's a double wordle.
Speaker 3You just want everything. Scrabble, everything. It's worth four trillion points on Scrabble.
Speaker 4It's worth a lot. Even played on Quilliam in school.
Speaker 3That is hard, hard work. I think she's a really good horse. You can't do what she did and still finish that close, albeit beating a decent margin. We'll get double figures about her at some stage in her career, and hopefully it is first up after a spell next time. Jen's question on Lazura. We saw her go around in the hot Danish. They absolutely walked. I think on face value, I thought, gee, she was playing, only winning by that narrow margin. You go back and look at the speed they went. I thought she. I thought she's probably a little bit better suited at a faster tempo there. Matty, your thoughts on her? I thought she was good enough to get the job done.
Speaker 4I think that's it. I mean, just in that field, good enough to get the job done. In hindsight, not the best performance as far as Lazura's concerned, but a win's a win and you just walk away and you go again. But, yeah, I think it was just the quality of the field. Lazura was just too good.
Speaker 3All right, that is the scouting report. So you can chuck those horses in your black books and away we go, Mitchie. We're going to go to the stewards' room now. So welcome in, Bryce Parker. You take it away here, Bryce. Good afternoon. Yeah, it is the not the stewards' report.
Speaker 6Come on, mate. I will change that on the rundown. Okay, so we know how this segment works, boys. I have five statements, not questions. Good Lord, that's pressure. We'll go in order. We'll go Matty, Mitch, Mick. React to it. We upheld or dismiss each statement. So let's start with probably one of the bigger talking points out of Flemington. The aeration of any racetrack, must be publicly available information and not assumed to be known. Are we upholding or dismissing that?
Speaker 4Dismissed. I think if you watch every week, you'll see that Lee mentions what he's done with the track before every race day. I think he makes it public.
Speaker 5I'll say, nah, upheld. I think we write about everything else. Why not? I don't think it'll hurt that much.
Speaker 3Upheld. Completely think this should be upheld because it'll take you 30 seconds. At best to type it into the computer where it comes out and rise and tells you other comments, additional comments. How easy is that? The number of, well, let's talk to this now, gents. Matty, the number of trainers I've had contact me after I sort of brought it up on Gareth's show, the fact that they could do it, it was five trainers in total who had horses go around that day at Flemington who had no idea.
Speaker 4At the outside, a couple of lanes on the Saturday.
Speaker 3They had no idea. It was aerated. Which, look, might be to their own fault for not researching, but, gee whiz, if five trainers didn't know it was happening, how are the punters going to know? When the jock walks a track, though, they should be able to see it, right? It's not a prerequisite to walk a track, though. You shouldn't have to be forced to walk all 30 lanes.
Speaker 6Yeah. I just would have thought as a jockey, with the amount of racing that was at Flemington, you would probably, given it's a machinery thing as well that goes to that part of the track, you would look to make sure that everything is okay on the outside.
Speaker 3No issue with them doing it? Just tell us. That's all I'm thinking. Just tell us.
Speaker 5They did it for Mornington a couple of days ago, didn't they? They had it up on Racing Australia that they said the outside part of the track had been aerated. I think I saw that on Twitter, so maybe that's a sign of what's to come.
Speaker 6Okay. Number two. Tempted getting beaten by Point Barrow & Co takes the gloss off her Everest win. Dismissed. Well, that was quick.
Speaker 4Yeah. It was a fantastic win. One of the great rides we've talked about. We've mentioned that a couple of times. And it's in the book. Won the Everest. Yeah. Beat Kai Ying Rising.
Speaker 5Bang. Nah. Yeah, I'm dismissed. Not much form really comes from these Everest winners and stuff sometimes, do they? They flatten out a little bit after a big peak, so forgive one.
Speaker 3Yeah, I'll dismiss. You could just imagine those in Hong Kong thinking, gee whiz, how good's this Point Barrow? Sitting back going, he's the best horse in the world.
Speaker 6Point Barrow? Does this show go to Hong Kong? I bet you the owners are hoping there's a phone call from Hong Kong.
Speaker 3Oh, I have no doubt that this show goes to Hong Kong. That's where we get at least, I think, 100,000 listeners from Hong Kong. So that would have been sitting back going, well, let's see how good Tempted really is. And then Point Barrow beats Plaintiff, a four-year-old mare who, she's a good horse, but this is a group one champion sprint. Beats Skybird on a dry deck. Lo and behold, Headwall, well, Frank's a bit of the Everest form and then Tempted and Jolly Star. Deary me, they would have all fallen off there.
Speaker 4It was the quaddie killer too, wasn't it?
Speaker 3It was. How did it pay $18, Point Barrow?
Speaker 4Because of Tempted and Jolly Star.
Speaker 3I would have thought it'd be a 50 to one. Anyway, well done. Well done to those who found it. And there were a couple of them as well.
Speaker 6Brycey, what's next? We should have more standalone meetings in country and provincial regions to continue growing racing.
Speaker 4Standalone Saturday meetings like this weekend at Newcastle.
Speaker 6And then like Geelong in January.
Speaker 4Yeah, upheld. No, I think it's a good idea. The proviso is the quality of the track. Yeah. We don't want a crappy track. Like, for instance, here in Victoria, you'll get a good, you go to Bendigo and you'll get a good surface and you'll get a fair day's racing.
Speaker 5I'm dismissed. I think they're getting enough for now. And on those tracks as well. Like, who knows what you might get. But next week, if it's a sunny, warm weekend, it'll be an on-speed leaders track. So they get their week to shine. I think that's enough for now because nobody bets into them. And that's part of the problem.
Speaker 3We can go 30 minutes down the road to Rose Hill and get a leader by us anyway. So I'm happy for it.
Speaker 5Yeah, yeah. Parks track.
Speaker 3Yeah, exactly right. I'm happy to go to Dubbo, places like that. Big, wide, spacious country tracks. I believe that there is a time and a place to send the best horses, the best trainers and the best jockeys out to places such as that. Now, you have to be, has to be the right tracks. I'm going to say, I'm upholding that or am I dismissing that? What was the statement? I've lost the plot here, Bryce. We should have more.
Speaker 4You should have more.
Speaker 3Yeah, we should have more. So I'm upholding. I'm with that. I think we should have more. I think Dubbo would be awesome right out of the country. You need the track to facilitate. Like, I wouldn't take it to Gosford in a while. The tracks just aren't, you can't get enough horses go around them. They're too tight turning. But it works at Kembla. It definitely works at Newcastle. It works at Hawkesbury. It could work at a Dubbo. Bigger, more spacious tracks. Getting the game growing in the country and provincial regions is everything. It's the grassroots. You can't just have racing turn up there with mediocre horses all the time. I think it's really important to get the good horses and especially the good jockeys out there. So the more of that, the better, Bryce.
Speaker 6Okay. Whilst posing a challenge for the industry, Twilight midweek racing should continue.
Speaker 4I'm going to take my punter's hat off here. Yeah. Because I quite like it because, you know, it's late in the day and you can just still have a bit of a bet. I'll say upheld. Yeah, no, I like it.
Speaker 5Yeah, I'm going to say upheld as well. I think it's a bit the same as what Gado just mentioned. If we want people to be watching more racing and getting involved, I think you get more numbers post sort of work on those nine to five jobs, don't you? So some people can come home and have a look at the races and stuff like that where they'll miss them all through the day.
Speaker 3I've got splinters on this. Upheld from a punting perspective and dismissed from a participant perspective. However, what it might do is it might allow more opportunities for younger trainers who might have a small team to target certain races. So there is upside in it. So we'll stick with upheld. I'll take the splinters out. I'll go with upheld. I think there's opportunity in there. And what I will say, Matty, I'll get your opinion on this. I hear a lot of trainers quite vocal about, you know, having to have extra staff on and having to do, to do certain things. It's not compulsory to go to these meetings. No one's forcing you to do it, but I do understand the pressure of having to place your horse at the right races. It does come down to, it's a real challenge to manage a business, isn't it?
Speaker 4Yeah, it is. Considering, you know, in a perfect world, the trainers wouldn't train their horses at the crack of dawn. You know, I spoke to the president of the Trainers Association about this, Troy Corsons, and he mentioned, you know, it's, it's not desirable, but it's not their fault because they put forward, can they train the horses later in the day and the racetrack say no.
Speaker 2Yeah. All right, there you go.
Speaker 4So, uh, yes, it is. So to finish the question, yes, it is difficult to manage, but as long as we don't make it too late. Yeah, I think that's key. Yeah. But that's
Speaker 6a different question, isn't it? So like Friday night racing into, say, Saturday. Yeah, we're talking sort
Speaker 4of late afternoon, Wednesday racing, aren't we?
Speaker 6Yeah, correct. I mean, you know, the question is they have jump outs usually, well, in Victoria on a Friday morning into Friday night racing. Into Saturday morning. Into Saturday morning, which is a lot for a lot of participants.
Speaker 3There's no reason, I don't see any reason why you wouldn't have a Friday, all Friday meetings, even Wednesday or Thursday, whatever they are, you know, a six race meeting, 30 minutes apart, starting at four o'clock and, and you, or even 4.30 and, and last race done by eight o'clock or whatever the time works out there. I'll probably botch that up, but from five to eight o'clock, like maybe that's a perfect sort of timeframe. Anything past eight o'clock is ridiculous. You're asking, you know, horses need to do certain things before they even leave, leave the track, you know, to expect them, it's not just the last race. It's everything they've got to do before they even get on the track before they drive home. That, that is far too late. Anything past eight o'clock is too late. And to be honest, like I'm not really that keen on betting past eight o'clock myself, but I'd definitely sit back and watch some races until that point. And away we go, Bryce.
Speaker 6Okay. The final one, the CFO stakes has taken place at the wrong time of the year, given casual parking. Several punters have likely turned off post-Flemington, and a lot of us, others, have turned our attention to places, say, like Perth.
Speaker 4Yeah, no, I'll uphold that because I think there should be more of a grand final effect to the end of Flemington. The last day of the carnival should feel like the grand final of spring to me, even though it isn't, and Sandan's always been that next week. But it certainly got merit in that conversation.
Speaker 5Yeah, because it was just moved recently, wasn't it? No, I can't remember off the top of my head now. I was going to say I thought this position had attracted some better horses. And even in the Zipping Classic, I thought the fields were better, but maybe from a viewing perspective, not so. But I think with the fields, I'm going to say dismiss. I think they've got a better card this week.
Speaker 3Yeah, I think it was in February, Mitch, from memory.
Speaker 5Yeah, I couldn't remember.
Speaker 3I tend to agree with that. I think if we had had a significant depth to the Group 1 racing, being the CFO stakes this Saturday, then I would say upheld. But the field, lackluster. You know, the second favorite in that race, I don't know. I guess you've got Angel Capital there. You've got Waller with three runners, right? Sorry, Waller with two runners. You've got Jimmy Starr there as well. Is it Shadovar, the second favorite? I don't know. She won a Group 3. So, yeah, I'm going to take that one on, Brycey. That is the stewards' room. Not the stewards' report. But the stewards' room. We're all here thanks to Betar. One of the greats. Bet with Betar out of the game. What are you really gambling with for free? And confident support for the gambling help online. org.au. Stick with us. We've got the Newcastle track pattern as we head up there on what's going to be, should be a fine day. There is zero to ten mils of rain forecast. We'll have a look at the weather forecast soon, I assume, looking at the trusty Norwegian weather map that we should be safe until later in the day. The track pattern in races seven through to ten.
Speaker 2Soon I go off the road. Don't stand on the toll. Jacked on a hole. Ramble and roll so. What flies in the eyes again? I think I feel alive again.
Speaker 3Welcome back to the Sydney set. Mick Gannon, Matty Campbell, Mitchie Lewis with you. Betar ahead of the game. We'll go to the Newcastle track pattern here, Mitchie Lewis. The rails in the true position. We're currently on a good four. Now, the forecasts say anything between zero and ten mils. From what I can see, that's a good four. I can see that rain might come a little bit later in the day. Let's assume we're on a good four here, maybe a drying track. How do you see it playing?
Speaker 5Yeah, well, you sort of referenced it a little bit earlier that it's a big open track, big long straight. But sometimes when it's dry, the Newcastle track, you want to be up on speed. And for some reason, you just can't seem to catch runaway leaders. I'm just pulling that back up, which was the case last time, but they had the rail out. I think if it's wet, they'll avoid the insides. But if it's dry, yeah, you might want to be settling in the front half of the field. I don't know if you agree.
Speaker 3Yeah, done a few stats here, Matty. This might be of interest to you. Here we go. So this last two meetings at this set up on a drying good four surface lanes. One and two in run were an advantage. So being three and four with cover off the fence, not necessarily ideal. Top three in run from one of the first meetings I did, six of the eight winners were top three in run. And the other two, lo and behold, they settled fourth and fifth, three of eight leaders won. So it was a very on-speed dominated day there. And then this time last year, lanes three to ten was definitely the place to be. That meeting before was four to seven. So we're working between sort of three and ten, lanes three to ten, just slightly off the fence. Four of ten leaders got the job done last year. Six of ten winners were top three in run and eight of ten were top six in run. So I think four of midfield will be an advantage there across the afternoon. I'm assuming the rain doesn't come. Now, if the rain comes, you can pivot. And I expect the track to play very, very even. But it's one of the better drying tracks in Australia, Matty Campbell. And if the rain doesn't come here and it's a 31-degree day, you might struggle to make up ground. Let's kick off over the mile here, Newcastle Race 7. It's the Spring Stakes here. It's a group three. Looking forward to this race. A market courtesy of better.
Speaker 4Kick-up Rocky is your favourite, $2.45 out to $2.60. Prince of Verona is $5 into $4.60. Horology is $7. Kototo tends into $8. Zaha have $8. $8.50 for Eyman Estate. And then you've got Consulate, who's a dual acceptor at this stage. I don't know if it's been scratched from Sandown yet, but that's at $12. El Pablo is $41. Bigger odds the rest.
Speaker 3Yeah, can't see a scratch out of Sandown. Has drawn Barrier 10, as we mentioned. I'm hoping it goes to Sandown. Yeah, at Newcastle. Barrier 7 at Sandown with James McDonald aboard. Just having a look here. James doesn't have any other rights. And there's a few Chris Waller runners in the field there. So I'd say, if I was a betting man, Matty, which I clearly am, this horse will be going to Sandown. All right. Speed map wise, you've got Kick-up Rocky coming down from Queensland. And imagine that he'll probably just settle in behind them. He has been forward of midfield a couple times. Or once in his career, he's sort of settled close. But that was first up over 1,300 metres. Now gets up to the mile. He'll be forward of midfield, but not too far away. Zahav can roll across there for Kieran Ma. Braith knock aboard. Was a good winner there of a maiden back at Warwick Farm. Goes 1,300 metres to a mile. Roll forward. El Pablo will roll forward as well. A horse that comes out of a Hawkesbury maiden. Then we'll go Prince of Verona from out wide. Was a good winner there. Has won three in a row now. This building has gone Bathurst, Goulburn, now Warwick Farm. Fourth up, Nashawheeler jumps aboard. Mitchie. You imagine they have to be positive with that galloper. There's three horses there that are the key speed influences. I can't imagine Richard and Will Friedman will be negative with Ironman Estate as well. So good enough speed here for all runners from the mile start point.
Speaker 5Yeah, that's what I was thinking. So I thought it was really open as well. And if they did tick along pretty quick, I was going to have a two-bet play, but similar to Consula. I didn't mind Kototo. Hopefully they were going to stick up here in Newcastle. But Craig Williams is booked down in Sandown. So that was wishful thinking. But I thought it might get a soft run from Barrier Three coming out of some stronger races. It was an each-way play. And then I thought the fours, Zahav, who could maybe just sit off that speed as well and not get caught up in a speed battle, probably looks the type that will handle the 1,600-metre trip off that last performance. And they're both floating around that $8 mark. There's been some money for Kototo since I did the form. So, yeah, I was sort of looking at either of those two each way. Matty, how did you see it?
Speaker 4I'm with Zahav. As Mitch just talked about, given those stats that you mentioned, should be right up on the speed, if not has the option to lead, as it did last start to win at Warwick Farm. Kieran Marr, as Mitch also said, I think ready for the 1,600 at third run in. So I'm going to have that sort of each-way price that Mitch talked about. Number four was Zahav for me.
Speaker 3Very good. Tough enough race. I think I really like a couple of horses here. I think there's a few horses with a bit of upside, and they could continue on. I'm in a state, if they can push forward and find the front, can be very, very competitive here. Whether they do or not, that's the question. Around that $8-plus mark is the right price to find out. Horologist was a really good winner there first up as well, over 1,400 meters, and beat the horse by them. The quarterback was pretty good in victory there yesterday. But I think it comes down to speed map, and I'm going to lean the way of the six. I'm in a state just gets the better draw out of those two horses. Wouldn't be shocked to see a horse like Kick Up Rocky run well, but a little bit of different gravy coming down to Sydney Metro Racing, albeit at Newcastle on Saturday. So it'll be the six on an each-way basis for me and the right price to find out. Race eight is the Newcastle Herald Hunter here, Matty. It's a listed race, and it's worth a cool million dollars. It's a cool million dollars.
Speaker 4If you can find the winner, you deserve it. $7 the field. Swain's Day, or Swain's Day is at $7. Infancy, $7.50. King of Rousseau's been backed. We open up 14s. Might have got that wrong. But it's now eight. She's an Artist is at $9. Brave One, $10. Accredited, $10. General Salute, $10. Chidiac, $13. Signore Tony, $15. Disneck, $17. Run Harry, $18. They're the ones under $20.
Speaker 3Plenty of speed here from out wide. Might be a few scratchings as well that'll affect this. But Fiersen, is there an emergency you're suspecting that he won't get a run here? And that basically leads it to those horses that are drawn wide. And that being Run Harry Run, The Blade, Coal Crusher, and Golden Strand. They're probably the ones that are going to roll forward. If she gets a start, she's an Artist from Barrier 11. She will definitely be a key speed.
Speaker 5She's in, is she not, Gano? Because Pericles is out. So she's M1, isn't she? So she is in.
Speaker 3Okay. Beautiful. So she is in. And now she's also dual accepted for the race. She's been accepted for the last with Nashua.
Speaker 5No, she's been scratched from the last, I'm pretty sure. Has she? When I was in my form. Let me just, yes, correct. Yeah, that's what I thought. I had her in the last and they took her out. So she'll be running in this one, Gano, you'd assume?
Speaker 3You've made my day, Mitchie. You've made my day. Do we have a jockey book there? No. It'll be interesting to see who they get with 53 kilos aboard. Anyway, we'll wait and see there. But now those, now she's got a run in the race. And we're assuming Fiersen probably won't get a start. She'll come in a couple. I think she's probably the key speed influence here, Mitchie. How did you see the Newcastle Herald-Hunter?
Speaker 5Yeah, I had, she's an artist as well, just there. Just wanted to see who was going to ride to see what we might. Hoping for a positive jockey like you talked about. It was a mixing race map with all that speed drawn on the outside. I thought that would also give the six, Swayne Estay, a nice run out of barrier six. Really liked that run down the straight behind the Dolla at Flemington. 1,300 metres, got no issue with. I think he sets up pretty well here. So, again, given there's so much value in the race currently, I'd nearly have a two-bet play. The main one will be Swayne Estay and then I'm just going to hold fire and she's an artist and wait and see who goes aboard. But you've filled me up with a little bit more confidence there. too. Matty, how'd you see it?
Speaker 4I like Chidiak, number 10. I thought brilliant late in the Kosciuszko. Last start, one second up, and then third beat Surf and Bird, who's been racing sort of one group, two companies. So 1-3 on the trot, last prep. Never missed the top two, second up. Drops down to just 53 kilos. I agree with Mitch, it might be a two-bet play sort of race, given the value on offer, and I'd probably throw in, if I was going to do that, I'd throw in his pick there, and Swainless Day, the favourite. But Chidiak, $13 sounds like a good value play for me.
Speaker 3Yeah, fair enough. I'm with you, she's an artist. I think that she's a great bet here. We were keen on her two starts back, I believe it was in the group three, Niverson, Gerringong came out. I think the form's been franked by Gerringong since. She should have won that day. She should have absolutely spanked them. Unfortunately, she was a victim of circumstances there. She came out, she was dominant at Warwick Farm. She absolutely trotted in. She gets here with 53 kilos She's on the up and the up, and I think she can get the job done here with 53 kilos. She's in very, very well. Who do we get to ride? Well, probably find out over the coming days, but I think she can win the race. Let's head to race number nine. You're on first-name basis
Speaker 4with Chris Waller flying around the country. Then just text Kieran and say, what jockey are you putting on? You know, well.
Speaker 3We'll find one. We'll find one. Hey, Gatto, Gatto, Nash doesn't
Speaker 5have a ride. Do you reckon he can cut his arm off to get on there?
Speaker 3Yeah, he'd cut both arms off and just hold on for dear life. Nash, really. He would almost try Nash. Imagine Nash to 53 kilos. What does he ride to?
Speaker 456? Oh, I'd have to double-check. I'm not sure on that quick. It wouldn't be much less than that.
Speaker 3Yeah, unfortunately for Nash, he won't be getting a ride there, but someone will get a ride and away we go. Let's move to the Beaufort. This is over 2,300 metres, Matty.
Speaker 4Savvy Spy is your favourite at $2.60. Bostoa $6.50. Same price for Zalika or Zalika. $8 for Campaldino. $10, Dr. Asghar. Same price, Faulkner Park. Don Diego, De Vega, $11. Sam Hawkins, $12. Big odds to rest. I think it's a pretty skinny race.
Speaker 3It is a skinny race. There's plenty of horses here that really haven't won for a long time or just don't win out of turn. I think Savvy Spy is the easiest bet of the day to have here, albeit over 2,300 metres. I can't believe I'm saying it, but Sam Hawkins, Don Diego, De Vega, Campaldino, Mr Fabulous, they'll all roll forward. Zalika might come, or Zalika might come across, and I think she's probably the hardest to beat, but I'm with Savvy Spy. I think this horse is progressing nicely. Mitchie comes out of midweek grade, then he went to Rose Hill Garden, sat off them, made up good ground, and I think he'll just continue on his winning way. He's one of the easier bets of the afternoon for me. How do you see the Beauford?
Speaker 5Yeah, I mean, I'm probably not super keen betting into the race, but what I'll say is Savvy Spy, I've been willing to take on in the last two wins, thinking that he didn't have a great set-up, and he's just been way too good, and I know this is harder, but he looks like he's got an easier set-up here. I think he just tracks on Diogo De Vega everywhere he goes, and if he's got the turn of foot that he showed recently with a light weight, yeah, I think he's going to prove hard to beat.
Speaker 3Yeah, I thought it was going to be a strife last start, Matty, but he proved far too good for them.
Speaker 4Your thoughts? Yeah, similar thoughts. I think it's a skinny race, really only has to beat a couple in Zalika and Bestoa, and when wins the race, I think it's, you know, you can forget the rest, really.
Speaker 3Beautiful. Last race of the day, race number 10. It is a benchmark 94. It's a big field. There'll be plenty of scratchings here, Matty.
Speaker 4Race 10, Glorious Moments is at $5.50, same price as the Blade. Eagle Express $6.50, $7.50 Lightning Glory. Then you've got $12.00 Hillier, Kerguelen $12.00, Just Party $13.00, Felix Majestic $15.00, same price for Charcoal's Windchat, and then you've got Spioni $17.00. So it's a fairly even market, really, away from $5.50 the field, so it's tricky.
Speaker 3In short, Mitchie Lewis, there's plenty of speed engaged here. If you get the right run and the track's playing fair, you should get every conceivable chance. Your thoughts on race number 10?
Speaker 5I like the Blade. Hopefully he comes here. Shout out to the owners. He doesn't get a run in the big race, but Barrier 4, I think he gets that soft run you talk about. Shangri-La boys draw him below him, so we know he'll go quick. Dropping back down in grade. He's got good form around him this prep. I just think he's got a good setup here and can bounce back.
Speaker 3It looks a bit of a dry tracker, so I think he lands in the right spot. I really struggled to find an on-top selection in this race. I was waiting to see what the scratchings do late, but as it stands, I think the Blade's hard to beat. I think Glorious Moments is a really, really talented horse. I just struggle to understand what they're doing with him. The best version of him comes out and blows his away. We'll see that on Saturday, Matty. Only time will tell. A bit more work to do on race number 10 for me. How'd you see it?
Speaker 4Yeah, I wrote down nine for the quaddie. Equal. So, I don't know. If I had to have a bet, I'd back the Blade and Eagle Express.
Speaker 5Beautiful. Love your work, Mitch. I thought Matty was saying nine, one out for the quaddie. No, no. I wish I was that good, Mitch. Fearson to barrier 17.
Speaker 4I wish I was
Speaker 3that good. We might see a Tamworth Cup version of Fearson and just absolutely full send from Alicia Collett from the wide draw. Catch me if you can. Mitch Lewis, we're going to let you go, mate. Really appreciate your time this afternoon. Before we do, your best bets at Newcastle, and I want you to give us a tip down south there. Of course, at Sandown. If you've got anything out wide for us, mate, let us know. Away you go.
Speaker 5Yeah, Newcastle, I'm playing early. Race two, number three, Agent Zero. He's in super form. Coming through these midways, up in grade, but he's got little pressure in the race. Tim Clark on. He'll take full control of that smaller field, and I think if the track's playing as expected, he'll be hard to beat. My feature picks down in Sandown. Race five, number one, Milson's Point, I thought could go each way in the Sandown Guineas. I'm going to go Baywalk in the CF4. Again, I think he's only real pressure in the race. He's going to come from Chateauvard. I think he's a better horse than her, so he should be able to get away with that. In race nine, the Zipping Classic. I was with Kingswood, but just keep a close eye on this. Smoking Romans has been accepted into the Mowi Cup. He'll take a heap of speed out of the race. I wonder if that's going to give Smallfry a soft run. So, I'm a little bit waiting and seeing there, because yeah, if he gets that soft run, he might prove hard to catch. But then outside of that, I haven't gone too much further
Speaker 3into Sandown. Love your work, Mitchie Lewis. Really appreciate your time this afternoon, mate, and thanks for your time the last few weeks. Really appreciate you, mate. We'll catch up with you soon. We're going to take a break. We're going to go races five, eight, and nine at Sandown. Myself and Matty Campbell, the full Sydney set. The set shot is up on the Better Up to get involved. We're all here thanks to Betar and the Greats, but they bet with Betar, Betar ahead of the game. For free and confidential support, visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. Let's go to the CFO stakes down there at Sandown. Matty, you'll get a quick market update and then have a quick chat through it.
Speaker 4CFO, we've got Baywalked at $3.20, Shadabar $4.60, same price for Jimmy Star. Angel Capital's right there at $5, but did open up at $4.20, so they're out of the top four. It's the quietest at the moment. Pericles, $7.00. Splash Black, $18.00. 23, War Machine, Long Odds, Desert Lightning.
Speaker 3All right, so Shadabar rolls forward, as does Baywalked. Kieran McEvoy goes on, Craig Williams goes off. I think Kieran's a little more negative than Craig. I've got a suspicion that J-Max will just go straight past Kieran. I think he's got a higher cruising speed and he'll find the front. Do you agree with that?
Speaker 4Yeah, probably. I mean, it also depends on. I mean, Baywalk's best when he's out in front. So does J-Max think, no, I want to be here?
Speaker 3Just got to get there. Yeah. Because you get past Shadabar, who's a Group 3 winner, and she's a good horse, but she's not a Group 1 weight for age. I can't believe the price. I'd happily take her on. I think it's madness. I think James will just say, you know what? We're going to go there, and if Kieran wants to go absolutely mad, which is out of his nature, let him. And then you're still going to be three lengths in front of everyone else and prove too good. I think Baywalk's an easy bet to have. A pure 1,400 metre bend horse all goes back to him here. I think he could win the race. Nearest danger, Angel Capital.
Speaker 4Your thoughts? Three times at 1,400, three Group 1 wins. Yeah. It picked itself for me. You know, the last couple of runs, you know, we've been at 1,300, been at 1,500, mixing it up, but 1,400, rolling on the pace. That's with J-Mac on, nothing against Nash, but Baywalk's going to be hard to beat. Angel Capital, probably, yeah. And I thought outside of that, Jimmy Star, Jimmy Star, you always expect something from Jimmy, don't you? But I think Shadivar's the risk in the top four.
Speaker 3He can win without me, Jimmy Star, and I wouldn't shock if he did win. Now, the Sydney set, the set shot is up. We go to the BetR app to get involved. You go to specials, and you'd find the Sydney set. Two horses to run top two. Agent Zero, Savvy Spy to run top two. $3.25. Away you go, Matty Campbell. Your best bets anywhere in the country will go around the grounds. What have you got?
Speaker 4Well, I mentioned I like Chidiak in race number eight at odds. I've also got one in race six. Live, which is at about $15. Came second to Love Story, who's $2.10 last start. Just got badly held up. Flew late. Drops four kilos. And Love Story only drops one. So, meets Love Story three kilos better. Tyler Schiller's first ride. I reckon it's over the odds.
Speaker 3Alright, love that from you. I think Small Fry just absolutely belts them in the Zipping Classic. Got that good form line, point of law form line. We all know how good that is. I think it'd be too good for them. Matty, it's been an absolute pleasure working with you. Looking forward to catching up with you next week.
Speaker 4Race to race double with Concord Connie Small Fry. See you next week.
Speaker 3Let's do it. That's been a. Cindy Sett. We'll be back next week.
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