Go back

Stanislav Krapivnik: Iran Lesson - Will Russia Retaliate Against Estonia?

56m 28s

Stanislav Krapivnik: Iran Lesson - Will Russia Retaliate Against Estonia?

The discussion centers on a major shift in global power from a Western-dominated order to a multipolar system led by non-Western states, driven by perceived U.S. setbacks in proxy wars against Russia and Iran. Historically, Russia's attempts to integrate with the West were repeatedly rejected, fostering deep-seated resentment and a decisive turn toward anti-Western alliances. Similarly, Western interventions in Iran eliminated pro-Western factions, leaving power with a generation shaped by conflict and distrust. Current wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are ongoing, with incidents like Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy assets exacerbating market instability and complicating alliances, such as Turkey's relationship with Ukraine after an attack on a Turkish vessel. Europe is caught between a desire to defeat Russia to restore Western primacy and the urgent need to adapt to geopolitical realities to prevent further economic and security decline. The analysis concludes that Western actions have inadvertently strengthened anti-Western leadership in key states, making the transition to a new world order increasingly irreversible.

Transcription

9026 Words, 49582 Characters

English
Welcome back. Today is the 11th of April, 2026, and we are joined by Stanislav Krapivnik, a former US Army officer who was born in Donbass and will have returned. So thank you again for coming back on the program. Always a pleasure. So we see that the United States has now essentially failed in both its proxy war against Russia, but also its war against Iran. And this is happening at a very crucial point in world history as power has shifted from a global hegemony to a multipolar distribution of power in which now two centers of power are, you have resisted US military. Now not only is it multipolar, but unlike the former multipolar era, this is a multipolarity which is led now by non-Western states. I mean, the defeat in Iran and Russia, it really seems to intensify this shift away from a world order organized around the West, obviously. I just wanted to ask first if you see the wars in the context of world order as well. Yeah, you know, with the irony of all this is one, Russia has always tried, well, has been in the past. It's not trying too much right now, trying to be part of the West. And the West has always been looking down at snow is going, ah, you're not good enough. You may look like us, but you're not good enough. And now Russia has in a very large swing to hell with the West. And in Russia swings that way, defendable swings pro-West and anti-West. Very much in the anti-West camp that will be there for years, decades, is now one of the leaders in the West is corroding away in Kalopsie. And it could have actually been the savior of the West, but you know, that's how that goes. The people you spur today may be the ones that own you tomorrow. So, you know, that's who's hand you're going to need to pull you out to whatever hole you step in tomorrow. Right? Yeah, that's why treat others like you want to be treated yourself. That's Christian morals and the West has given up on the long time ago. It's, you want to others as you wish for those and then read them more alley less than not later at it. As you're supporting genocide left and right, which at least I will give the Europeans, the Western Europeans that they, except for the British who are still doing it anyways, are not supporting Israeli genocide. At least verbally, they're not supporting Jews. Again, of course, Meritz was crying for Netanyahu, his love toy, his love boy over there that, you know, how much Germany has to support the Israelis. But at least the, the fact, I should have actually grown back, but the Italians stopped any pre-tests of support for the, let's just, um, Iran, the interest of point is that Iran was never, could have never been considered a part of the West. Iran's government was very pro-Western. I mean, let's be realistic. And so in Trump said that we regime changed. He's absolutely right. He is absolutely right. He did the generation regime change. The people that were pro-West, the people that wanted to make a deal with the West, the people that for 40 years did not develop nuclear weapons if they could, because but the early historical I've seen is, uh, Jerusalem post 1986, uh, Iran is going to have nuclear weapons in a month. I know it's shocking in a month. Uh, and they've been selling that same, it in that same, uh, drum for 40 friggin years. Well, the people that, the wanted to be close to the West, they're all dead now, uh, or most of them are dead now. They're still some people left, uh, that, and the West killed them, uh, in one form or another, and the West, uh, not only did parts of the West kill them, the rest of the West came out, uh, thanked them, honestly, and charged them with aggression, uh, for responding to being attacked and people in the leadership being murdered and civilians being, uh, butchered, uh, particularly, we'll just start off with, of course, the school and the little girls. And if people come in, are the younger generation, the one that was, uh, psyche was formed in the, fighting the American proxy in a, a rack that had invaded Iran. Uh, people shouldn't forget that part. I wasn't just a border where Iraq had invaded, uh, Iran, a surprise attack. Uh, and then that long war, I mean, Hermani, uh, junior, they're at 17 was an infantryman, volunteer for two years at, um, the front lines, watching his friends die. This is what formed their youth and their mentality. It's, it's rather ironic that these are the people the West has brought the power in both Russia and in Iraq. And you're right. And the West is showing its, uh, in capability to actually do it. I mean, it's, let's not celebrate that this is all over. You know, as, as the American saying goes, it's all over by the dying. And, and it's the truth. There's still going to be a lot of dying left, because the conflict in Iran is not over. Uh, we will see if, if this pseudo on and off ceasefire last out to the end of next week, it doesn't give Trump an out from his bombastic stupidity. Um, and you know, off on a 10, well, it's not really off on a tangent. I had an interview yesterday with Robert Barnes, uh, and he was telling me a point that he got it from his close sources in, in the White House. Uh, there were close, uh, to, uh, Vance, and other people said Vance, uh, has been working like a madman to keep Trump under control. Trump, uh, is, is off their reservation, uh, which if you don't know what that means, when the Americans put it Indians on a reservation, uh, and, and part of the peace treaties, which were always broken, all were broken, start judging who you're dealing with, well, from death, little facts like that, they would provide food for the Indians. So they'd usually provide rotting meat or nothing at all. Uh, it's usually because of corrupt, uh, supply side, uh, people, uh, suppliers. And then when the Indians, if the Indians had it go hunt, that was forbidden for them to go hunt. So they really had a choice of either starving or, or hunting. But if you go hunt, you've gone off the reservation, which, uh, which is where the saying goes, which means you've broken the rules and, uh, you've, you've, you've gone, uh, out somewhere in, in the radical areas. And which, by the way, for the Indians, met the, uh, the American army coming in and massacre for that. So it's either slow starvation or, or, or, or fight. But in Trump's case, uh, you know, after reservations means that he's, he's gone off to a law of land. Uh, and he's actually started to get, uh, desperately and very dangerously insane. Uh, so where this goes, we, I don't know, uh, more likely to still going to be a part of the dying left. There's a lot of dying left, uh, in Ukraine. Uh, in the, the, the future seal, even if NATO comes in, uh, as, as the Americans roll the end, you know, that, near the, we're the Turks. In fact, the Turks are now, uh, for, there's now proposals from the Turks to move the Turkish Navy and to blockade a desk. Uh, they went for, you know, there's a saying of, uh, a lay with curves, get fleas and the Turks have definitely got Ukrainian fleas. Uh, after they supported, uh, Ukraine as much as they did it, give a Selinam weapons building a new ship's form, which are never going to be delivered now. Uh, and Ukraine responded by, uh, attacking a Turkish tanker in Turkish waters with a drone. I mean, that's, that's a slap, uh, right into the teeth of, uh, Erdogan or more like a spit in his eye. Uh, so he can't let that go in the Turks, uh, the Turks are outraged, uh, after, uh, everything they've done for the Ukrainians, uh, they should have known better who they were getting in bed with now, they have the Ukrainian fleas, uh, that they have to deal with and, and the Turks are outraged. And they're, they're just looking that, that swing, you know, Turkey is probably 60% pro Ukrainian, population views versus pro-Russian. And now it's, uh, it's not even 60% pro-Russian, it's probably closer 80% pro-Russian after, uh, Ukraine's, uh, unabashed, uh, Russian against Turkey. And, and, and, you know, there, there's still, and just as another hit, uh, to the world markets, you know, Europe has, Europe created a Frankenstein monster. Uh, I know Frankenstein monsters continue to pay Europe back. Uh, prices are skyrocketing in energy, uh, that's declining, uh, the European Union is faster. So what does Zelensky do? Uh, Putin, uh, declares a 30-hour, ceasefire, uh, Zelensky more likely, I mean, I, you know, not more likely, 100% through all of the region. Uh, Ukrainian drones struck two Russian oil platforms in the gas being seat. Granted, there's not much to burn on a plot. I mean, there's any, they're drilling platforms in any oil that we become an up is underneath and it's going into pipelines to pull out. So you hit something on top. You may hit some kind of fuel canister or some of that, but you know, there's not much to burn on top of oil platform. Realistically, speaking, but the fact of the attack that has, you know, and has price pressure on in the market, only in one direction, which then translates, of course, to whom it's not going to stop Russia from getting fuel for itself and for the Russian military. It will scare the markets even further and it just drives prices up forever to one night. It wouldn't, by the way, all those idiots in the US or the values signaling to Ukraine and writing, oh, this was great. Well, yeah, you get the payment. Oh, see, it's your bankruptcy even faster. You know, when you said, yeah, that the, the, the, the, the, the Russians were never considered one of the Europeans. It's, it's really, you know, it builds into a wider historical failure in my view because it was, you know, it can go back to Peter the Great 300 years ago who really wanted to Europeanize Russia. Again, not just putting all, of course, to some of it was modernizing its industries, becoming a maritime power on the Baltic Sea, but also this cultural revolution just to reshape Russia to be more, more European. And as you said, it was never accepted, though, by, by many of the European states that is, the Russians were still seen as the Asiatex of Europe, the barbarians at the gates of civilization, and essentially remaining the other, you know, the east to the west all of this. But what I found interesting in the 90s was Boris Yeltsin. I mean, for me, he was like the second coming of Peter the Great, except he didn't bring forward a navy or prosperity, but he wanted to, again, just remake Russia as your penis possible. But more in the geopolitical sense that is he was rushing so fast to the west that he just ignored all the traditional partners in the east. And of course, once he threw away alternatives, you know, he wouldn't be rewarded. Now he could be exploited. I can look towards this often as what the Americans can do to Europe now. We also have one partner they can put any deal on the table. But, but I think this is why what has happened now is so significant. It's not just Gorbachev's communist home over the past 40 plus years, which has been thrown away with that possibility. It's a, you know, Russia's western centric foreign policy for 300 years. That is that modernization development kind of meant you had to look to some extent towards the west, but this is now, you know, you've all the Russians and all these partners in the east now is very different than I. It just is frustrating us I hear a p in because I made the point for the past decades now that Russia in Europe would be a source for revival. That is a powerful Europe, which would have autonomy in contrast. What we did by redeviding Europe by expanding NATO. This is what's going to make puppet Saddamas on prosperous week and lacking in security and of course being vassals as well. I mean, we should have worked towards having no dividing lines. However, if you try to push that argument in Europe, no one wants to hear it. All they want to know, not just since 2014, but just in general, just you have to support the dividing lines because, yeah, no good reason given. And the only one to know is that you're in the trenches on our side. This is it. The whole aspiration of having ending the dividing lines of Europe is an on issue. But I wanted to ask though, while the war isn't over as you said, neither in Iran or in Ukraine, we do see that some of the system of the US Hegemon, this seems to be falling apart because if you want to hedge money, you have to base it on a line system that is to divide the world into dependent allies and the week and other serious. And now that the US is obviously in decline and you see the consque is not just in Ukraine, but also in the gold states. You know, the gold states are now rethinking, you know, to what extent are we inviting the Americans? Are we secure or are we vulnerable? They are saying the same thing in East Asia. I'm hoping we'll have soon have these discussions in Europe because, you know, how much more punishment can we take before we accept reality? But it seems like we still have this dual pressure. On one hand, the European leaders are still angry. They want to defeat the Russians so we can restore the political West. At the same time, there's a lot of pressure now. You have to adjust to reality before it's too late. The, for example, was the, you know, the Baltic states example is a great one. I mean, by attacking Russia through the Baltic states territory, you know, this is seen as now can break the Russians bring back the political West, but it's also what would essentially do your pings, much like the gold states completely exposed. And, you know, the Americans not coming into save the day. I was wondering how do you see this? Do you see Europe backing off or do you see going full ahead, moving towards a direct war with Russia? You know, Peter the Great, while I won't say it's not proper to say Peter, but it was trying to get in Europe. Peter goes trying to get into Western Europe. We were getting back into East and we were getting what we were. We are Eastern Europe. Oh, quite literally. Russia is one fourth of the European continent. People soon to forget that or some content is depending how you look at it. You could consider Europe one big peninsula of the Eurasian content. But, you know, we were getting actively back into parts of other parts of Eastern Europe, which we'll call the Polish, Lutwiny Commonwealth, which at that point was made up of almost half above the territory, that's territory, that's been conquered by Lutwania. And Lutwania had become a Russian state because there's not a percent Russians, but then with unity with Poland, everything had radically had different. And at some time, Lutwania could have been Russia, as opposed to, because it wasn't quite literally competing to become Russian. There's most of the population of Russians and they were Orthodox Christians. So, yeah, if history takes its turns, it looked in the different direction and, and it eventually gave up its, or lost its empire and subsumed by Poland. But, having said that, I mean, Russia, Russia was somewhat backwards at that point, but not nearly with the way people think. Let's not forget Russia was one of the earlier, one of the countries that was earliest in adaptation of gunpowder weapons. In fact, Canon was something that, starting from, Ion Grozeney, Ivan the Fierd, was very actively developed in Russia. And that helped drive and break the various Mongol entities. When they charged in, it helped destroy them at the Battle of Malodoy, where Ion Grozeney's army absolutely exterminated the invading Kremlin and Kachenat, which they call Kremlin Tartar now, thanks to the Soviets, renamed everything. But there were Mongols, they were part of the Golden Horde, and they had a contingent of Turkish janissaries, a little bit of, I think it was exterminated. There was out of 45,000, 50,000, I think there's like two or three thousand ever made in home or running. And this was in large part due to gunpowder weapons that the Russian state was very actively developing, very actively buying up in every direction, and fielding in large quantities, a lot of Western, such European armies are human. So that was, there was a lot of development. But what Peter de Brayt was working was not to get in the Europe, like I said, it was to get accepted aid by Western Europeans, specifically the Western Europeans and be to get the newer technologies like shipbuilding. And by the way, the first Russia ship was not in the, the first Russia fleet was not made for the Baltics. The first Russian fleet was built in Varonish and floated down into the Black Sea to crush the Turks. In fact, well, her at it. One of the interesting things was in one of the Russian Turkish wars in the 1800s. Russia started, Russia was the first country in the world to start using the exploding cannonballs. And they bottled up the Turkish fleet and just exterminate, burned it to the ground. Well, I'd say burned it to the ground, but really they only burned it to the sea. A little bit of the rest say, and the Western media went absolutely, ape shit. Not true. Oh, look, the Russians are beat the Turks, which we've been supposedly fighting now for 300 years. But oh, those Dasturians, Russians, they massacred the poor Turks, the poor Turkish fleet. So we see this as a continuation of the same propaganda you see right now. When the Western Europeans are fighting the Turks, those Dasturny Turks, but when the Russians did it, all of those evil Russians, but fighting the Turks. So it's the same thing. And you're right. It's absolutely the European. the central and western Europeans have been very ignorant of what's in their own best interest. The only Russia, the only time they look toward Russia is when they need someone to pull their chestnuts out of the fire as the saying goes. They need Russian blood and they need Russian gold for something. Say, fight Napoleon or fight whomever else, Frederick DeGrey at his own time, and so on. That's when they started peeling the Russian. You know, we're one Russia was driven by pan-slavs and let's not forget Slavs are 50% of the Caucasian race, quite literally. Slavs are half the white people in the world and unfortunately very very disorganized and have been pushed and used by other entities to fight each other for a millennium. It's longer even than millennia. Russia was driven by pan-slavsism and a strong drive of orthodoxy. In World War II Russia was driven by the authoritarian workers and workers and people in the working class unite. Today, Russia, in particular, the people are driven by real politics last four years, actually the law of the Russian War II Russia 14, the Rousseff-Fovia that's just poured out of every four in Europe and the rest of the West has done a lot to sober people in Russia out and that's why the swing, the anti-Western swing has gone very very hard very very quickly and it's the West's own fault as an entity. I'm of the opinion honestly that those Ukrainian drones did not fly through Poland and the politics, I'm of the opinion those Ukrainian drones are maybe better to say Estonian drones were lifting off from Estonia a lot and flying into Russia. They had about six months ago, five months ago. They had an explosion when these drones blew up in the middle of Estonia and the Estonians blamed Russia for drone warfare. In fact, they tried to hush it up as much as possible. Videos still got out for, still got out. Exact same drone hit the ground in the middle of Estonia. Nice little crater there. Chunks of drone in every direction. Airplane style drones. So this is nothing new but the the pressure on the Kremlin to make an example out of Estonia isn't saying. And when you consider that half the Estonian population is Russian, has been Russian since the 900s. It's the city of Narva which is attached to the new entity called Estonia by the Soviet because there was no Estonia. There was no Latvia. There was a Lithuania but there's no Estonia a lot. These states didn't exist. They were created by the Soviet Union because they were chopping up the Russian map. Though the people there obviously were there, they never had states of the road. They have no history of self-government. They had a small brief time when they suddenly appeared after the Russian Revolution and Civil War and then they disappeared as soon as the Soviet Union and there were territories that were added onto them. Narva being one of those. Narva was founded as a fortress by the Danish king Vladimir. By little and his name was Vladimir. In 1280s but that was the fortress. There was a Russian city there located called Rod. Rod. That's what I got to look it up to the exact name of it. There was on that location since the 900s. That area is the Estonians. Russians in Estonia have no rights. They're not second-class citizens. They're non-citizens. Period. They get a great passport. They have absolutely no rights. But there are 50% of population. They were listed as 35. But when you consider they can't leave and the Estonian youth, Thirchev again, has been running out of Estonia for the last 20 years and leaving in mass. Even though Estonia keeps counting them as if they lived there, these are people that come back once maybe twice a year to go visit their parents. That's it. They live, they haven't lived there. A lot of them can't speak Estonia. They can't speak Locke, they can't speak English or German. The Russian population can't go anywhere. The Russian population is actually as a percentage has gone up quite a bit. Norway is 95% ethnically Russian. These people have absolutely no rights. Estonia that sponsors SS parades every single year. Government sponsors, government people come out with their -- a lot of the way it does the exact same thing. And now after this, these attacks, the attention toward White and Hill and his Narva part of Estonia has gotten very high publicity in Russia. Let's get our people back. That's the mentality of over these fake Soviet borders they were created by Soviet Union. It could have been avoided if Russians were just treated normally in Estonia. But again, for that to happen, you wouldn't have to reject the Estonia that you have today and it wouldn't be supporting the Ukrainians that it does now. So the attention is we have to get the turn back. And Estonia is the easiest candidate as the testing ground on how we get our deterrent back. I make an example of it. And no, I don't think Europe is going to go the rest of -- well, Europe. The rest of the EU is going to go march off the war for Estonia, especially all things considered at a moment. But is it a larger war as you had asked previously? I know I didn't answer that. I think there is. There's going to be a larger war, unfortunately. I don't think the European leadership is going to get smart enough to avoid this. And if Orban loses these elections tomorrow, I guarantee you that that time schedule just can move up very, very quickly toward a big war, probably within the next year, two years maximum. That Orban has been one of the -- probably one of the biggest breaks on this rush toward -- let's have a war with Russia. And just to understand how insane and stupid these people are, the EU who is practicing or -- it will soon be the EU. The NATO Army will be the EU Army because all they do is switch patches to put a new patch off, same people. They were practicing for mass casualties on a big war with Russia. And their projection was, they may have to take up to a thousand wounded a day. You people are smoking crack. Ukraine -- and this is a very limited conflict. And the Russian military is still very limited by the political -- political heads of what it can and that cannot do. Ukraine is suffering around 1,200, 1,500 dead a day and about 2,000 wounded a day on a very limited conflict. If this goes into all-out war, you know, they're 1,000 wounded a day. Let's try about 10,000 wounded a day. The European system is nowhere near able to cope with what's coming its way. But what we see in militarization going in every direction. I mean, when Germans up to age of 42 cannot lead the country without permission from the Ministry of Defense, that's the first big steps of humanization of Europe. When Germany is condemning journalists, they're not quite shooting them yet. But that'll come in time. It'll take them out of the woods and shoot them just like Ukrainians did. Disappear them if they're inconvenient. Boy, just like the Ukrainians did. And then Ukrainians are probably shooting them out of doing it properly these days because the Ukrainian quoted advisors all over the place and they're training all the right wing or the right -- it's not right to say the right wing. You know, all the Nazis. Nazis are not right wing. Nazis, national socialism is anything but right wing. But all these groups, you know, they're being trained by the Ukrainians. They're infiltrated through and they're being brought in as reprisers. So Europe is heading in the same direction. Look, that Turkish -- well, he's German -- born in Germany, of Turkish descent, journalist Kent Remerner's name. You know, they barely got his wife's accounts back off. That's his wife's accounts were closed. He never broke any laws, but he did immorality for the European Union and they've banned them from being able to buy food. So, buy work, sell, you use money. And unlike, you know, when you excommunicated somebody in the middle ages and once they were excommunicated, if they wanted to leave, by all means, please leave, you're not being allowed to leave. You can't leave Germany. It's there to be the sit there and starve and die slowly as the example to everybody else. to the rest of the Western Europeans, and particularly Germans, of what not to do if you don't want to die slowly and starve and be murdered by your government on a slow scale. So the Germans, yeah, the Germans are bringing back the draft, they're looking like the other countries, hey, that's the polls brought back the draft and Easter, Easter holidays two years ago. So nobody quite noticed. They woke up post Easter celebrations and we have a draft. You know, the laws have been passed, that's nice. And they're doing the same thing in a large parts of Europe. So Europe, non-Russian, non-Belarus Europe, and hopefully we can still say after Sunday, non-Austral Hungarian Europe, it's still on a rush to go to war. It's a suicidal rush, absolutely, but it's a rush to go to war. Yeah, well, actually I read in the paper today, this morning that the Germans had to revert this, not leaving the country because it was too much, but in the other areas, of course, they continue to, well, let's say, lose their minds while pushing more, more in this direction. I think it's part of this, I guess, idea of joining the war against Russia is the delusion of escalation control, that is, we can join the war, but we'll do it on our condition. So we can still limit the fight to Ukraine, the territory, and Russian territory. I just, you know, one of the key lessons from the Iran war should be that one doesn't get to dictate the terms anymore. It's like when the Iranians begin to attack all the American bases in the region and shut the industry out of her moves, when the Americans more or less said, "Well, that's not part of the rules. We were planning on limiting your territory, and you can maybe start Israel." I mean, this is the delusion of escalation control, and I think this is linked to the unipolar moment, because if you didn't follow the rules set by the US and the Europeans for how the rules were should be fought, you'll be crushed as opposed to being little bit crushed. So I don't think they appreciate that the rules have changed. You mentioned this Europe. That's a good point. I make that mistake myself. It's interesting that in the only using word Europe to exclude Russia, there was a lot of literature in academia about this in the '90s that European Union gradually began to refer to itself as Europe. You know, in a wider efforts to push out the Russians from European security realm, economic, political, but also conceptually. So similarly, Russia's not the European. This was kind of what was discussed. And now I find myself referring to Europe and Russia, as if it's not the largest country in Europe. But I wanted to ask, yeah, box, the Baltic States again, though, because I remember when they joined both the EU and NATO in other words, Europe in 2004, the whole argument was that the Russians should be happy because now they're joining the community of values. So as they're joining this liberal democratic club, if Russia's worried about the rights of the Russian minorities, well, this is a guarantee. But now it's 22 years later, they-- they're the people who are born there, the parents born there, grandparents born there. Why can't they still vote? Why can't they get positions in government? Why are they second-rate citizens? And it's as if people believe that this was not a geopolitical project. This was actually a community of values. I don't think it was deceptive. I think people actually believe this stuff. But again, I-- sorry, I'm getting to my question. The Iran War, again, one of my main takeaways was one reason I think Trump had to back out eventually, is because he couldn't-- didn't have escalation. He couldn't go out that escalation ladder, because the Iranians followed him all the way up. Whatever they did, the Iranians would mirror it. And I'm thinking, to what extent the Russians have taken a page out of this book, because they did not do this. They decided, well, let's just focus on finishing the military operation in Ukraine and not stir up direct conflict with NATO. But if now Ukraine will begin to fall apart-- I mean, it's army, at least, over the next few months. We see this rhetoric now coming from the British, French, and German-- that, well, then we have to step into essentially turn the tide. Well, not using those exact words, but as you said, they're all now talking about war with Russia. So did you see Russia changing? It's approached, not just to Ukraine, but to the Europeans as well. Yeah, you know, in a-- in a way, in a lot-- excuse the both of us use for Russian minority is they were Soviet colonies forced to force to know us. They remind that these areas were part of Russia since Peter the Great defeated Charles the not so great, and out of magnetism, moniously, after defeating and taking these territories, he then paid for them. He paid for Russia bought that land. They didn't buy the people. The people aren't even mentioned in the contract, because the people had no rights between the Swedish Empire, which was defeated in the Swedish Empire, quote, "sold." But this is the same level of, you know, when America bought the Midwest from-- or the Southwest from Mexico after American troops were occupying Mexico City. It was very easy to-- they paid some ceremonial fee for that symbolic fee. Well, the excuse for not giving Russian citizenship in these areas had been-- and by the way, Russian intellectuals in those areas were part of the movement for independence back in 1990. What are the reasons not to get almost-- oh, they're all Soviet colonies. In Latvia, that's more or less-- that's more true. I mean, there were people, obviously, Russians, who were living there since the Empire before them, since the 1700s. But as Russian land-- there were two Russian small principalities, volists, and saw other in Livonia, but they would have been exterminated by the crusaders back yet in the-- of the 10 hundreds. So after that, yes, the Russian president of Livonia was there. But then again, we flipped to Estonia. And you see that, you know, Narva, the Russian president, and Narva has been continued since about-- before Narva was established. That's about the 900s. So they call them colonists. You know, they've only been there for last thousand years. They're called colonists. So that doesn't fly very well. So you're right in that-- and I've been saying this too. Look, Russia just asked if we don't want to be in a nuclear war. So I don't think the Americans would never sacrifice even the smallest American town or village for London or for Paris or for Berlin or definitely for some Warsaw or God forbid some or rega or any of these other cities. They're not going to do that. No matter what the Europeans want to delude themselves in believing. Again, see, Russians have started this too. We're not Europeans. But when that is a swing in Russian, we're not Europeans. We're not part of that. We are our own civilization. And even though we're not going to call ourselves Europeans anymore, that's a big swing in Russia right now. In Russia, not a psychic. We don't want anything to do with those people. And that's, by the way, what a lot of European EU businessmen don't seem to understand. They think that once-- however long this takes, once this conflict is over, they'll just get the walk back in and start working as if nothing happened. No. Well, these companies are not welcome. It's going to take at least a generation, if not to get the bad taste out of everybody's mouth from what's gone on since-- to the smaller degrees since 2014. And they're very big degrees since 2022. And deterrence has to be-- if deterrence is not reinstalled, oh, we're looking at the clear work. Let me just shoot them later. Because Europeans are going to do something stupid. The Europeans are not starting talking. The Europeans, again, the EU has started talking about we're going to arm ourselves, become a nuclear power. Well, when you have a nuclear power next door, somebody wants to become a nuclear power next door. Who every single day tells you, we're going to exterminate you. We're going to destroy your country. We're going to break into 40 different entities. We're going to do this to you. We're going to do that to you. Oh, now we're going to get nuclear weapons. The pressure on the Kremlin to do something before they get nuclear weapons is going to be insane. It already is insane. And Iran has played a huge role in that. Because what do we see in Iran? You're right. Iran has wiped out, I mean, leveled 13 American bases up and down the Persian Gulf, has smacked around American companies and industry in response. I mean, they don't go after everybody. When they get hit, they respond to Israeli and American owned companies first or foremost. but that would be all in particular America, everybody's all over the Gulf. southern Gulf. When Iran had 30 universities bombed by the outside of calling the Zionist coalition, I don't know what else is best described between the Christian and the Jewish Zionists, both heretic cults. They bombed 30 Iranian universities without giving prior warning. Oh, a little war crime, you know, what's a little war crime between the Zionists for breakfast. Iran has bombed all American and Israeli affiliated universities, but they gave them a day warning to get everyone out. That's the difference between the Iranians and the Zionists. They actually gave a told their right, get your people out and keep them at least a kilometer away. We're gonna like these buildings out in response. And they've done this continuously. They haven't hit hospitals as opposed to dozens of hospitals, said by the Zionists anywhere they thought. And so one. And what does what's the message? And I've been repeating this message myself. I'll admit that straight off on Russian television and you see it and I'm not I'm probably one of the less aggressive ones that have been saying this fly it out. Take the lesson. US is not gonna go to nuclear war. Europe needs to or the European Union needs to know the turns. And the only way to do that is you can make an example of something. And Estonia I think is the prime example now because whether they are launching these drones out of Estonia, whether it's Ukrainians or Estonians, Lausanne or they're just passing through Estonia. The fact that these Estonians knowingly allow their airspace to be used, they are now part of the war no matter how they look at. Really realistically they're really flying all the way through them Poland and Lithuania. I mean, Poland and Libya are part of this war and all stop. But let's just concentrate on Estonia. Estonia is a prime place to make a very hard smack upside the head and tell everybody this crap is over. We're gonna treat each one of you as a declaration of war when you do this. And then we're gonna destroy you and a declaration of war. Look at Estonia that's still smoking. That's it's gonna have to be that way. Otherwise you risk a much larger war. Sometimes you have to sacrifice a thousand and save a million. Or in this case, from your for the European Union maybe you're about three to four hundred million. But unfortunately this is where it's gotten it's gotten to be a very large war because Russia's policies has been well Russia's policy has been incremental trying to incrementally advance its positions and not do any bold moves because again just like the European European Union the West is projecting its own very warped and modern values of Russia. Russia's projecting its own values onto them. That's a bad tendency humanity is to project your own values and your own position onto others. And Russia's position has been well if we do too big of a move we'll scare NATO into a war. Like no you'll scare NATO out of a war. You're doing the exact opposite what you should be doing. You scared you're scared the NATO for the EUers into here comes the Russian sledgehammer and they'll be more than happy to talk. They for look at even the weapons the heavy weapons for the first heavy weapons the first tanks they were handed over to Ukraine were handed over from Slovakia. Why Slovakia? Pre-Fitz of Slovakia. Slovakia is small and if Russia was to strike Slovakia it's no bit deal. But Russia didn't and then went okay and the Russia's on. The doors swung open the gate swung open and they started flooding Ukraine with whatever war supplies they could get their hands on. It did go incrementally except Russia didn't respond the way she responded. The turn was done at least on that level. Very wrong move. Russia had some ball of the structure Slovakia or the border areas said next time we're going after Berlin everybody would go in the message very very quickly. Okay yeah yeah sorry is those damn Slovakia you can't really control a lot of Slovakia they're insane. I know we'll all be peaceful now at least you know more peaceful but they didn't and I'll stay back then we should strike them you should strike them absolutely because otherwise things will go worse and they've gone worse. So now we're down to either we have a full on war with the European Union or make an example but there's still hasn't it to make an example which just feeds the war hysteria in the West because it doesn't see any any back lash to itself you're right they think it'll just be in Ukraine every time we escalate it's just the Ukrainians getting hit and they're meet anyways who cares how many Ukrainians died they're not real people anyways they're not part of the West they're just proxies they can die as many of what can die as we want we don't give a damn about those people that that's a reality of the West and so far they've been proven right all the responses have gone back to Ukraine and set a going back to where it should at least the Baltics and Iran has shown you know what are you afraid of look what we've done to the Americans the Americans look what we've done to the American Basin look what we've done to their allies are we dead or we've been this free now and you're a nuclear superpower and that's the message that is in Russia that's the message resonating on on even in state television the pressure is on and immensely strike strike hard and make an example and it's the proper thing to do to bring back the terms it should have never been the terms was was lost in an attempt to not lose the terms they have to not escalate the war but it was again Russia is projecting that the Russia leadership project the Russian values we don't want a war we don't want a big war we've been pushed into this one on on to the Western Central European leadership and that was a big mistake yeah well I think are the problems that the European leaders as well as all of the media deluded themselves because the rhetoric over the past four years has been well you know it's in our every we have a right to enable Ukrainians to defend themselves and frame like this I would say well that sounds awfully reasonable you know the Ukrainians are you know they're fighting for their homeland well why shouldn't they be helped the problem here though is that NATO set up the Ukrainians for this I mean they they're the one who toppled the government they the one armed them trained them sabotaged all the different negotiations as well as the 2019 election outcomes so and for a very explicit purpose seeking to use the Ukrainians to impose a strategic defeat on Russia so as you said when your people like the EU foreign policy chief Kaya Kolas called it for the breakup of Russia as one of the ideal outcomes you can't simply lean into this innocent you know we're just helping the Ukrainians like this is a war against Russia as well and the Europeans I mean their participants I had a talk with John Mersheimer and I said well you know because we are in a proxy war with Russia so Glenn Glenn were way past this we are now fighting a direct war and and I think it's important but when you say this in Europe they say oh why you repeating the Russian propaganda but you have to accept reality as it is if you delude yourself you end up doing very foolish things and the consequence I think is about to come so I agree with you though I think if we end up in a direct war then they will not necessarily a great war but at least a direct clash now between Russia and NATO country it will probably one of the Baltic states and I guess Estonia is a most likely candidate to have any final thoughts before we wrap up well you know the the Baltic states and I remember yes you're right this is so far past the proxy war when the high Mars appeared I was saying from day one these are American soldiers fired I watched this is American from date from from start to end all the Ukrainians fire hydros not you greatest fire just Americans for high Mars it's America fired high Mars at Russian infrastructure civilian of short killing Russian civilians and then New York Times back in the end of December 24 and they came out with a big article you know yeah it's it's all Americans and just underlining everything I'd been saying and on Russian television or looking at me like I was you know lost my marbles there's like oh it's great it's no it's America and you know I'm just confirmed everything even that the attack on missiles were not something that so when skis regime dictatorial regime as for it was American generals demanding attack comes and use an attack comes on the Russian cities the logonsk was just recently hit there was a university hit there was a school hit you know fix a prize there and so on you know this is nothing new so this is and logonsk it nobody doesn't know yet that it's my hopes city my birth my birth city the this is yeah you're absolutely this has gone so far off of proxy into a full-fledged war I mean NATO staffs are be I've been several native staffs have been wiped out Russian this NATO generals that you know the ones that tend to go often to do uh into the forest in the middle of the night or into mountains to go mountain hiking in the middle of night and fall off and mysteriously die Bye. Yeah, I'll skip right off the the losses or just don't mention them. So yeah, they this and this is nothing You know, I mean when you have military staff sitting there for military staff sitting there Planning and doing everything but the execution portion of somebody else's war. You're not proxy You're absolutely fully neck deep in the conflict. There's no other way to look at it and again Americans are gonna fight this war absolutely not they're gonna make money off of this war You know, I absolutely some little wake up for the meat called the European Union because guess what gentlemen Ladies and gentlemen, you are meat. You're the next wave of meat for the Americans to make money off of you Like it or not look at and look in the mirror and and understand you are Material it will be used to make a lot of money for Western fire for Western finance sitting in New York It may be London depending on if the English can not get themselves involved this time They didn't were one or what we're two they were trying to make money off when get everybody fighting and got sucked in both times Maybe this time they won't get sucked in but The point is the Central Western Europe is already in this fight is the only going to get worse Look the Americans are gonna go neutral But they're gonna feed Europe and they're gonna continue pushing you well the non-Russian Europe they're gonna continue pushing into war with the Russian Europe Because they're gonna make money off this They were talking about this since 1998 in the open not not in a major It's like I said the thing the first article I read was in Forbes if I remember correctly. Yeah, we need another good war And the good war was the World War II because they got America out of the great depression They were talking ready in 98 about it. So if you're talking 98 about it in something that Forbes If you've been talking about it since the early 90s amongst themselves You know just a trickle that fast up And yeah, they've been preparing the bio material called Europeans for a big war for the last 20 years 30 years actually and they're planning making money on America has plenty of equipment That's been mothball and one tanks and one A1 tanks Bradley's a different Generations and you know what do you do with equipment? It's been mothball or you the pay money chop it off or you find somebody you sell it And Europe is gonna be the battleground that they're gonna get on there and let's just face reality For the white race of Europe. It's there. It's their Ragnarok. You're not getting out of this alive Europe white Europeans and most of Europe are turning into a minority as it is and after this big war are gonna be absolute minorities It's gonna be a replaced population Yeah, I'm gonna drop another very uncomfortable thing to people When elites are talking about lowering the human population down to Somewhere between half a billion to a billion people which means exterminating the rest And the golden billion and most of the other Europeans thought oh, we're gonna be part of it's golden billion Europe is gonna be part of that territory You're not on the list You'll be exterminated and replaced and you already are being exterminated replaced by other populations that are easier to control Because the golden billion is only because they're gonna get if it's not a half bill It's only the people that are gonna get to live the golden people are gonna be that one percent of the top And they're gonna have another 20% that's gonna be the educated the manager and professional class that services their wealth You got to have engineers. You've got to have military and police and so on at the bottom 70 80% is gonna be the Serfs on the new futile new futile technological State or states Everybody else gets to be dead. So yeah, and then you wonder if the other the Serfs are gonna be end being the dead Before this is all over consider what their lot of life is gonna be but Europeans are not gonna be part of this the average European they're gonna be wiped out one way or the other they're gonna be replaced and mixed with other Nationalities are being actively brought in as replaced look this we didn't know mass migration of course they knew mass migration We'll do what it does. It's it's designed that way only an idiot who absolutely is not being attention to history Does not pay attention to reality would think that okay, let's bring in 20 30 million people? Would you know will let's bring 8 million people into England in one big wave of over 20 years and they're not in a way to become the average T-toddling Englishman or some they instantly for long lives they instantly form separate entities But because these people are from over the world and they're in a foreign land they become a ruthless and they're easier to control Interfer societies that are used to be controlled more easily to get rid of the population you get the population you want or some mix ad mix and All you gotta do is just look at the reality, you know posters of we are Europe one white girl A Pakistani or an Indian an Arabic guy in an African guy. We are Europe. That's the poster And then the next poster defend German defend Europe. It's all white guys That's the message right there the people that need to be taken out is the white European male and then the rest of the take care of itself And so you know wake up or Your children won't have a future and your own leaders are the ones that are gonna do this to you. I Know how else to say it Well, I'm not very dark Thank you, thank you, thank you, and the holy talk, you know Easter Well, thank you, and yeah, I was still a great weekend so far. Yeah, you two and happy Easter day everybody. Yeah, I'm actually

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The global power structure is shifting from Western hegemony to a multipolar world led by non-Western states, accelerated by perceived U.S. failures in proxy conflicts with Russia and Iran.
  2. Historical Western rejection of Russia's attempts to integrate, combined with recent conflicts, has solidified a strong anti-Western sentiment in Russia, pushing it toward Eastern alliances.
  3. Western policies, including support for regime change and conflicts, have empowered generations in Iran and Russia who are inherently distrustful of the West, shaping current leadership.
  4. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East continue to cause instability, with additional complications from actions like Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and strained alliances (e.g., with Turkey).
  5. Europe faces a dilemma between pursuing confrontation with Russia to restore Western dominance and adapting to the new geopolitical reality to avoid further economic and security costs.

Summary:

S. setbacks in proxy wars against Russia and Iran. Historically, Russia's attempts to integrate with the West were repeatedly rejected, fostering deep-seated resentment and a decisive turn toward anti-Western alliances.

Similarly, Western interventions in Iran eliminated pro-Western factions, leaving power with a generation shaped by conflict and distrust. Current wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are ongoing, with incidents like Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian energy assets exacerbating market instability and complicating alliances, such as Turkey's relationship with Ukraine after an attack on a Turkish vessel. Europe is caught between a desire to defeat Russia to restore Western primacy and the urgent need to adapt to geopolitical realities to prevent further economic and security decline.

The analysis concludes that Western actions have inadvertently strengthened anti-Western leadership in key states, making the transition to a new world order increasingly irreversible.

FAQs

The speaker sees a shift from a US-led global hegemony to a multipolar world order led by non-Western states, intensified by US failures in conflicts with Russia and Iran.

The speaker notes that Russia has historically sought acceptance from the West but was often rejected, leading to a recent strong anti-Western shift, partly due to Western actions and propaganda.

The speaker argues that US regime-change policies eliminated pro-Western factions in Iran, empowering a generation shaped by conflict with the US and its proxies, such as during the Iran-Iraq War.

The speaker mentions that Ukraine's actions, such as attacking a Turkish tanker, have outraged Turkey, shifting public opinion and damaging alliances, while also highlighting ongoing conflict and market disruptions.

The speaker criticizes Europe for ignoring its own interests by supporting dividing lines like NATO expansion, suggesting this has weakened Europe and made it dependent, rather than fostering autonomy with Russia.

The speaker implies that Europe faces pressure to either escalate towards direct conflict with Russia or adjust to reality, citing examples like the Baltic states being exposed without guaranteed US support.

Chat with AI

Loading...

Pro features

Go deeper with this episode

Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.