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Russian Missile HITS Poland...—Then NATO's Response Was INSTANT and BRUTAL

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Russian Missile HITS Poland...—Then NATO's Response Was INSTANT and BRUTAL

Russia launched a high-precision KH-101 cruise missile into Poland, marking a significant escalation in its aggression against NATO. This attack, which created a 10-meter crater near a village, was not an accident—U.S. intelligence had warned of such a provocation as early as July, detailing scenarios including a fake GPS failure leading to troop incursions. Despite this advance warning, Russia proceeded, aiming to intimidate Poland into cutting off support for Ukraine. However, the move backfired: Poland is now bolstering its defense by providing Ukraine with additional Patriot missiles. Simultaneously, Russia’s internal instability is growing—its assassination attempt on a Ukrainian commander failed due to a jammed gun, and public anger is rising, with Russians now calling for officials to resign. Ukraine has also executed a sweeping campaign against Russian logistics, destroying over 15% of Wildberry’s warehouse capacity in western Russia, leading to economic chaos, civilian casualties, and widespread public distress. Meanwhile, Ukrainian "shotgun drones" have proven highly effective in intercepting Russian drones mid-air, showcasing a new layer of asymmetric warfare. Despite widespread media claims that Ukraine’s actions are a prelude to World War III, these are exaggerated—larger global conflicts are already evident through Iran, North Korea, and China’s involvement. The situation underscores a broader reality: Russia’s military and economic efforts are unraveling, and its strategies are repeatedly failing, while Ukraine continues to gain strategic momentum.

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Russia just attacked a NATO country and this time it wasn't just some lowly drones going off course it was a Russian KH 101 one of the most advanced cruise missiles that Russia has which means chances of this being an accident are very very low now here's the part that almost nobody saw coming somebody actually saw this attack coming weeks ago wrote it down in detail before it ever happened so in this video we're gonna get into who that was and why Russia went ahead with the attack despite their plans being exposed Putin was hoping that this attack would finally put Poland in its place maybe Poland stops helping Ukraine and starts worrying about its own defenses for once instead he triggered the one outcome that he was trying to prevent and that's just the first plan blowing up in his face because you see Putin also sent an assassination squad into Ukraine to settle a personal score well that mission did not go according to plan either honestly everything Putin touches right now just turns to failure Crimea is falling apart Russia warehouses are vanishing at a pace where I had to double check the numbers myself and inside of Russia people are now moving past complaining they're now saying things on live television that would have been unthinkable just a year ago so as you guys know my name is Sam and you're watching business basics let's get into all of this starting with the biggest news we have this week Russia attacking a NATO country a Russian cruise missile leaves a crater inside of Poland roughly 60 miles from the Ukrainian border and the official language at least initially called this attack yet another example of reckless acts by Russia but was this really reckless because roughly a month ago American intelligence published a report that said that something like this would be coming it happened at the start of July take a look there was a US warning that Russia was planning an attack on Poland to test NATO's resolve and that warning was actually passed on to Polish president directly by US intelligence at the start of the last month and it had a lot of details now before I get into the details remember we have seen this movie before back in 2022 and in fact even in 2021 US intelligence was telling Ukraine and telling Europe that Putin was planning a full-on invasion Russian commanders actually did not know this themselves at that point but US intelligence did know this so almost like they could read Putin's brain or maybe his letters they had someone really close to him handing them everything but the problem was that because of the Iraq war and everything that came before it some major allies like Germany just did not buy what US was trying to tell Europe they actually believe that this was some kind of American trick and Ukraine wasn't buying it completely either but unfortunately with benefit of hindsight we know it wasn't a trick Putin didn't invade Ukraine and that invasion is still going fortunately because of the reluctance of European allies and Ukraine Ukraine was actually less prepared than it could have been simply because the warnings weren't believed and guess what at the start of this month the US intelligence hid the nails straight on the head so let me show you this report that came out according to the intelligence Russia was considering a couple of provocation scenarios against Poland one would be an accidental drone strike on critical infrastructure something like a power plant something that's very very important another scenario would be an air strike designed to activate Polish air defenses near the border and then there's the most extreme scenario in this report which would consist of literal hybrid attack in the border region Russian troops would cross into Polish territory in this scenario the version would go something like Russia pretending that one of its helicopters or jets goes down inside of Poland because of GPS failure you know just a honest mistake then a rescue mission gets activated and Russian troops cross into the border to get their guys out but they never actually leave they just end up occupying Poland's territory now I know this does sound a little bit la la land but remember this is the same country that truly believed that they would have Ukraine in three days and on top of that this is of course just Russia brainstorming what they could be doing and this is like the craziest idea they had the idea in this scenario would be that US or other NATO allies would stop Poland from firing back at Russian troops in its territory and then Russia would negotiate with NATO with the United States and they would figure out some kind of deal where Russian troops would leave NATO territory and in those negotiations one Russian demand would be pretty simple they want western countries to end their military support for Ukraine if everyone agrees Russia pulls out its troops and it gets what it wants stop to western aid to Ukraine like I said sounds like la la land now of course this idea does have some holes first one being Russia cannot actually afford a full scale war with NATO right now because as you guys know Russian troops are kind of busy in a three days special military operation that Putin doesn't like talking about now of course according to Russia the best case scenario in this situation would be they undermine Polish sovereignty they make NATO look like a paper tiger and then lastly the most important part choke off western support for Ukraine and this would all be done without triggering a conventional war where Russia needs to commit more troops or more equipment now of course so after we go through you know Russia getting everything it wants without the conventional war this is what we go into okay now of course that is the Russian plant now NATO was asked about this and they actually named two specific cities Russian cities that they will go after now before we get into NATO's response let's wonder why Russia is picking Poland why not pick some other country let's say a Baltic country you know well this is where we have to look back into something that's happening between Poland and Ukraine right now the relationship between two countries are a lot weaker than they were a year ago and it goes back to something that happened in 1943 you see just recently Zelensky named one of Ukraine's military units after a Ukrainian nationalist figure who fought against the Soviet Union doing World War Two this guy's name is Banderah and he wanted an independent Ukrainian state and he fought the Soviets very hard for it so in Ukraine he's very admired but the same guy is also tied to the mass killings of ethnic Polish civilians in 1943 so Poland it's actually a very deep historic trauma so when Zelensky named a unit after someone Poland hates this much and Ukraine loves this much it became a divisive topic between these two countries and Russia saw that crack and Russia is hoping to hammer a wedge straight into that and make it worse and this is exactly why a Russian plan targeted Poland and the best guess scenario would be Moscow gets everything at once but unfortunately for Putin NATO has its own answer to this plan and according to a NATO commander if Russia does start any direct provocations then NATO will head back and here are the two cities that NATO is going to go after first one is of course military strikes in Kaliningrad or they could head back naval bases that Russia has in St. Petersburg so clearly NATO is very publicly saying that hey if you try something like this it's not going to go how you're hoping it's going to go it's going to go extremely extremely wrong for Russia so the question is why would Putin still go ahead with this missile strike on Poland if he knew his plan was already out there and if he knew NATO is not going to respond the way he wanted to so this all brings us to the recent strike just one month after that report comes out a Russian cruise missile crosses into Polish territory anyway it ended up landing near a Polish village and creating a 10 meter deep crater and in this footage you can see that the missile actually dropped pretty close to where houses are so there are people living there luckily no one was heard in this attack and where the missile landed was just an empty field but a little hero little there and we're talking about casualties or maybe even fatalities inside a NATO country from a Russian missile and guess what the Polish government is not treating this like some mistake they're treating it like an opening move to some bigger plan that Russia has the government security center is now urging citizens to prepare for more attacks pack emergency bags locate nearby shelters and download the official safety grides and guess what if you just think about this logically it makes sense the more attacks will come pretty soon think about it just look at the pattern first Russia launched some accidental drones and then we have missiles and there has been no strong response from Ukraine so Russia is going to keep going up the escalation ladder until they realize where the red line is and of course I'm not saying that a response from NATO has to mean that they attack Russia it could be something purely defensive but still tells Russia that NATO is not afraid of a fight here's an example from fellow youtubers NATO could announce a defensive no fly zone enforced by NATO jets and NATO missiles basically saying that hey with Ukraine's permission we'll shoot down anything that reaches Western Ukraine because that's getting just a bit too close to our own borders and that would be a signal enough to Russia and embarrassment enough for Putin the Russia will stop trying things like these now luckily for all of us even without a NATO response Putin's Poland plan is already blowing up in his face take a look remember the entire point of this whole planning that Russia has been carrying out is to scare Poland out of supporting Ukraine and guess what Poland is doing after this missile strike Poland is now considering providing Ukraine with additional patriot missiles after the Russian missile fell inside Poland so exact opposite of what the Kremlin is hoping for now let's play that curbio enthusiastic as in music to tell Putin how things are going now unfortunately for little Vladimir though this isn't the only plan that failed this week here's what I'm talking about as you guys know ever since this war began And Ukraine has been systematically going after Russian generals. officials and Russian officers who have committed war crimes inside of Ukraine. Some of those generals died mere miles away from Kremlin. They're not even safe in Russia's capital city. Of course, because of all this, Putin wanted his revenge. So he sent someone to take out a Ukrainian commander inside of Ukraine. But things did not go how he was hoping. Zelensky recently confirmed that there was an attempt made on Cartier commander Ihor Oblensk. The attacker and an accomplice had been detained. Procedural actions are ongoing. Now I looked into this assassination attempt and this was a very very close call. Let me show you what I mean. We actually have a footage of the guy who carried out the attempt and he's actually a Ukrainian. Russian handlers approached him pretending to be SBU. So Ukrainian security services and told him that this commander that he was targeting was actually a traitor to Ukraine who had to be eliminated. So this guy believed his Russian handler and he walks up to this commander and puts a gun in his back. Now fortunately for everyone, the gun jammed. Even fortunately for the guy who was holding the gun because he truly believed he was helping Ukraine when in reality he wasn't. So luckily, the gun didn't go off and shockingly, Putin did not succeed again. And it seems like it's kind of becoming a trend. Everything Putin tries does not go according to plan. And that something that Russians inside of Russia are also realized. We now have Russian propaganda and ordinary Russian citizens now calling on officials to just resign and leave the country. They want someone else to run it so they can get out of the mess all these elites have created. Now we'll get into that clip in just a moment. But before that, I want to show you this headline that really pissed me off. Take a look. It's truly truly disappointing. Now just a little context. This is something we have covered in previous videos, but Iran has been sending drone components to Russia for a very long time. And just recently there was a cargo ship carrying those components towards Russia across the Caspian Sea. And guess what? Ukraine figured out that this ship is smuggling weapons to Russia and they took down the ship. They attacked the ship. From Ukrainian point of view, they did this to save Ukrainian lives because if Russia gets those components, they will make the drone and they'll send it over to attack Ukrainian apartment buildings, Ukrainian malls, anything else you can imagine the Russia attacks. And guess what the New York Times headline says. Take a look. And of course, this is not just New York Times, by the way. A lot of mainstream outlets ran similar headlines. Take a look. Ukraine's strike on Iranian ships show how two wars could spiral. And they're calling it start of World War III because Ukraine took down a ship that was delivering weapons to Russia. Sometimes I see headlines like these and I realize like these people are not following the same war that you and I are following. Because think about what has happened in this war since Putin started his three-day special military operation. North Korean troops were sent to Europe to fight for Russia against Ukraine. Is that World War III or is that not World War III? Then think about from day one, Iran has been sending Sahedrones. They've been sending missiles to Russia. They even sent Iranian engineers to Russia so they can build factories that Russia can use to build more drones, more Sahedrones. And of course on top of that, China has been helping Russia evade sanctions so they can keep waging war on a European country. Does that all sound like World War III or is it only when Ukraine hits the one Iranian military cargo ship? And suddenly everyone's talking about how the country defending itself might start World War III. And this is exactly why we do what we're doing here. Because sometimes it just seems like reading mainstream media that they're not looking at the war from the same point of view as I'm looking at it and as you guys are looking at it. And this is exactly why we do what we do here because sometimes reading mainstream media feels like that they're not following the same war that you and I are following. One thing I never liked is when podcasters ended episode by saying "please support the podcast" but they didn't really give you anything back in return. I've always felt that that's backwards. That's exactly why we build basics insider. You can become a member right now by clicking the first link in the show descriptions. And if you become a member you're not just supporting us, you actually get something valuable in return. Every single day we upload exclusive videos that don't appear on the main feet. We go much deeper into the stories we cover, spend more time on details that don't fit into these long episodes. And best of all, I truly mean that. We bring on experienced military veterans like Chuck Farb to break down exactly what's happening on the front lines, break down the footage that we can show here on the main feed, and explain what's happening and separate the facts from propaganda. It's our uncensored, extended coverage for people who want to understand these conflicts beyond the headlines. And yes, of course, the membership helps us a lot. The reality is that podcasting changes constantly. Revenue goes up and down, episodes get recommended one day and then disappear the next. Building a community of members means we can keep producing independent coverage without entirely depending on a podcasting algorithm. And on top of all this, a lot of the analysis that we have put out from the front lines with veterans like Chuck Farb, well, we just cannot show that kind of stuff publicly because advertisers would be mad and then platforms would be mad at our show. Platforms don't warn people talking about how this war is exactly being fought on the front lines in the smallest step. But in reality, this is exactly what's happening in Ukraine and in other places around the world. So if you would like in-depth analysis while helping us continue the work, you can click the first link in the show description to sign up or you can head over to basicsinsider.com. We would love to have you. And now let's talk about why Russians are turning on their own government. Let's go over the clips that I promised. First, we have a Kremlin propagandist who's publicly saying that, "Hey, is there a coup coming from the Russian Prime Minister who's gonna replace Putin and save the country?" That's what they're discussing on Russian shows. Take a listen. It's about how tensions are being stirred up throughout society. I don't understand. Honestly, I follow the news and I just don't understand anything. Guys, are you trying to maintain stability or are you trying to make people as angry as possible? So what is it? Is a coup already underway or not? Hypothetically, there's this version that some people are suggesting that Kirillenko is preparing a coup. Any moment now, he and his team, his people, will come in. And everything will be hooray hooray. I don't get it. Is he planning to take over a burn down wasteland? Is he planning to come into a situation of complete chaos and lawlessness or maybe I'm naive and not knowledgeable enough? I'm a chemistry teacher, not a historian, but this story sounds completely ridiculous to me. And remember what I said at the start of this video. Some Russians are calling officials to simply resign and leave the country. And others are literally bringing up Bolshevik style executions for people who are ruining the country. That's where the Russian information space is right now. And then we have Wildberry Cellar, talking about how normal people are struggling, but Russian elites and Russian officials are living it up. Despite making horrendous decisions, that's just ruining the country. Take a listen and then we'll get into the recent strikes. Recent strikes against Russian warehouses that Ukraine has carried out in the last couple of days. Here's the clip. It's becoming a pretty grim tradition to start the day with news that yet another Wildberry's warehouse has been trashed. Penza is burning right now. Yesterday it was Kazan. That's the eighth or ninth warehouse by now. We're approaching roughly half of Wildberry's entire logistics network, destroyed in the past week and a half. What's truly awful is that people were physically harmed. There were casualties. Business owners have suffered massive financial losses. It's also a problem for wildberries itself. This affects a huge number of people because there are those who support the supply chains. Some people manufacture the goods, others transport and deliver everything, and some hand out orders at pickup points, including those who own the pickup points. That's a huge number of jobs and it looks like this trend isn't going to stop anytime soon. Quite the opposite. It will only get worse. The damage and the sheer scale of this freaking disaster are both frightening and infuriating because this is happening and we're the ones who have to live through it. There are reasons for this and the people responsible for this collapse while it is still actively unfolding are feeling its effects far less. The burden is left for us ordinary people to bear. In the last two days, two more logistics warehouse have been struck by Ukrainian groans inside of Russia. That makes it 18 warehouses in just 13 days. These warehouses are helping fuel the war machine that Putin has built and now that fuel is literally burning. By the way, in the last video I asked why are these buildings burning so strongly when you look at some of these videos, it seems like it's really burning and I have my answer from the comments. Much like Amazon, wildberries uses paper boxes to deliver anything that someone's buying and those paper boxes are basically like fuel to a fire. So if there's a fire that started, the paper box is just keep on burning and the whole building is just destroyed because of a few drones. In fact, we have a clip. Take a look at this ball ground warehouse that was struck just two days ago and this is what the aftermath looks like after the fire is out. And of course, when the warehouses burning, Russians are not happy about it. Because think about it. If you're Russian or if you're just a normal person, right? Doesn't even have to be in Russia. And you open the window of your house and you see your city literally burning? Of course you're not gonna be happy. Take a look at this clip of a resident who's just purely pissed about what he's seeing. Like a living hell. I'm just standing on the roof. Let's see. There's a staircase. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go. A distance from the window. Я тебе дым прям тоже. А штабный. Сейчас отсюда. Now if you guys have been following the channel for a while, you remember that Ukrainians had this game for Russian refineries. Where whenever Ukrainian ruins were targeted refinery, they created a bingo where they would cross off that refinery. Guess what? Now that Ukraine has taken care of Russia's refinery industry, then I'm moving on to Russian warehouses. And they have a new game. Warehouse bingo. Take a look at what this looks like. Now these warehouses are ranked by size. And the biggest one is the Moscow Region one. That's not touched yet, but I'm sure it's gonna be touched very soon. The second biggest one is in the same region. Completely destroyed. Third, fourth, destroyed. The fifth one has been hit, but not destroyed yet. So it's damaged, but not destroyed. Sixth, destroyed. And then you can see all the other ones. In total, 10 warehouses out of top 24 have been destroyed. And other three have been damaged. So let's see how long it takes for us to get bingo. In total, drone strikes have knocked out more than 15% of wallberries warehouse capacity in Russia. Since July 18, when this campaign began, at least eight of the marketplaces warehouses combined area of about 860,000 square meters. I think that's roughly the size of monaco. Or double the size of monaco actually have been hit. This accounts for a 15.4% of companies total warehouse capacity. According to Russian media, the biggest losses, the warehouses in Moscow Region, that's the second biggest that we just looked at. And the other one in Razon Region. In addition, fires have broke out at other facilities in St. Petersburg and in occupied Simmerpool. Here's the map you can see all of this. And if you guys pay attention, this is basically western Russia. And this is kind of the negative of Russian geography. A lot of the people vast majority of the people in Russia live on the western side of the country, even though the country is so massive. And that means all the economic centers, all the warehouses, all the businesses, they are on the western side. So easier for Ukraine to get to them than something that's like on the east side. And again, I'm not saying they're not people in eastern Russia. It's just vast majority of Russians. And the economy is centered around the west. And that's why you see all these strikes in such a small area. Now here's a funny meme that popped up on Russian social media. Some Russians are now talking about, hey, maybe we can move these warehouses underground. And one of the comments to this idea says, perhaps Putin will have to make a little room in his bunker. So you know, we can store some supplies. I doubt Putin is going to let people into his bunker. But that's what Russians are laughing about right now. Now on top of this, there's another comedic news that's coming out of Russia. And this is where just a little bit more context. You guys know how eBay is kind of like Amazon. It's not really like Amazon, but it is a little bit. Well, in Russia, there's this other company called Ozon, which is basically like Amazon, like wild berries, it's just smaller. So it's a small competitor. And this is what Ozon warehouses are now painting on top of their warehouses on the roof. Take a look. The roof says, this is not wild berries, please fly away. Now an important point here, Ozon, much like wild berries, is also working with the Russian military, helping with logistics and everything. So I doubt this is going to work. I'm sure Ukrainian drones are going to go after this warehouse at some point. But it is still funny that this is what Russian media is reporting. This is what Putin's Russia has come to, where companies, instead of depending on their own government to protect their businesses, they are just saying, hey, we're not wild berries, just keep going. Keep moving forward. Anyways, coming back to wild berries, it seems like one of the biggest companies in Russia is looking to leave the country, or at least move some of its operations out of the country, because it's just safer that way. Take a look at this news. Russian media reports that wild berries urgently looking for warehouses in Kazakhstan after attacks by Ukrainian drones. Now another important thing I recently read about, by the way, which I need to cover in the future, is that warehouses, this company could probably replace it easily, what's going to be a bigger issue is replacing the workers. Much like Amazon, I'm sure this company is a major employer inside of Russia. And right now, there is a positive to everything Putin is doing when it comes to economic standpoint. Is that Russian unemployment has been super, super low? It's at like 2%, historically, that's not the case in Russia. Unemployment is usually high, but right now, think about it. There are a million people fighting on the front lines, probably more than that. 1.6 million in casualties. And on top of that, a million people left when Putin tried mobilizing the country back in 2022. So many people, especially people who used to work, who used to be part of the workforce, have just left the country. So the Russian unemployment is super low, and if you're someone who's looking for a job, you can find a job pretty easily. So now that the workers who work at Walburys are seeing what's happening to their warehouses, right? They're not even getting warning sometimes. Like some of these clips that are coming out of Russia, we see workers running out of these warehouses while drones are heading the warehouses. Like, where is the warning signs that drones are in the area? Especially now, that they know that Ukraine has a campaign going on against these warehouses. I feel like workers should get some kind of heads up. Hey, you should evacuate. They are drones coming to the city, but they're not getting that. So if you're a worker working at one of these warehouses, you're looking at all this, and you're like, maybe, maybe I should get a job somewhere else. So they're going to stop leaving, and it's going to end. This company is going to have a very hard time getting them back. Especially considering that I doubt these companies can compete with defense factories or anything in the defense industry when it comes to wages. You know, defense companies are just paying such a high rate in Russia that it's very hard to get the workers to switch back to something that's paying a lower rate and probably has a higher risk now. But anyways, that's something we will dig deeper into in the future. But now, I want to look at how the Russian media is covering all this, especially the warehouse strikes. So take a listen. Today, Yuzhavisa Megezyada has an opinion piece on what to do about Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian warehouses. The daily raids by Ukrainian drones on the entire European part of Russia require an urgent, decisive and systematic response. And the analysis of reports by Russia's defense ministry shows that since the start of 2026, more than 50 regions of Russia have come under regular attack by aerial armies of between 500 and 800 drones. But in this air war, an additional front has been opened. One after another, warehouses with civilian goods for online retail are burning. For example, today, that's yesterday, the Wildbury's warehouse in the Erisan region was under attack. This requires special attention. Key of large-scale war on marketplaces is apparently aimed at sharply destabilizing the country's consumer market, spurring inflation. And in addition, psychologically traumatizing a significant part of the population, breaking the foundations of its daily existence. Perhaps even sparking social discontent and localized unrest that can somehow affect the upcoming elections. First, it is necessary to quickly help operators of large warehouse complexes to protect from further air attacks, facilities that are totally vulnerable due to their size, openness and accessibility. Warehouses, however, also have an advantage. The large space on their flat roofs is convenient for fortified air defense points, for which good old sandbags, searchlights, large caliber machine gun systems and rapid fire anti-aircraft guns are suitable. There may also be launch points for drone interceptors and reinforced fire-fighting installations. On the approaches to warehouses, when there's an alarm, it's quite possible to put into the air barrage balloons. Perhaps it's time to create and train civilian anti-drone volunteer squads. So those are the next steps for the Russian population. Just train volunteer anti-drone squads, and then they're gonna be like, "Hey, these guys are already trained. Why not just send them to the front lines?" It would be quicker since Russia always needs troops at the front, right? I'm sure that's gonna happen next. Now, since we are talking about drones, there's one more thing you need to see. Eukrainian shotgun drones. Drones that can literally shoot down Russian drones using shotguns. Mid air. And again, this is a short segment, a short clip from our usual exclusive videos that we are putting out for basics insider member. If you wanna watch this, on the regular basis, you can become a member right now by clicking the join button down below, by going to basics insider, or go to our Patreon substack all the links down below. But here's a clip. Enjoy. So you can have as a problem with kinetic, and you're hitting one drone on another, if the one for one, that's not, you know, eventually that's not happening. So we have a larger drone. In almost every case, the Ukrainian drone toting that shotgun is going to be slightly larger than the drone it's hitting. You see, they're all quadcopters. They started out literally with double barrel shotguns like Elmer Fudd. So they got two shots, one barrel and the other barrel, but they've been able to cut down semi-automatic shotguns like a Remington 1100, and you know, every time you pull the trigger around comes out, usually six. You can extend the mag for eight, but I think it's probably six, but, you know, and you're not even using buckshot, you're using bird shot, because you don't really have to make a big dent in the other guy's drone to turn it into, you know, flying art. This one's kind of cool. It was a sea drone. Yeah, there we go. So the evolution of unmanned surface vessels, a technology that Ukraine matured, they often now can deliver sub-munitions, but in this case, they're delivering other drones. So you can see this thing has been discovered. This is a daylight operation. You saw it just get missed by a Russian drone. And here's the incoming drone and WAM. I don't know what that target was, but it seems to be burning pretty well. And so you see these longer strips of fire. That implies to me that it was a heavy fuel oil, because if it's gasoline, it'll tend to go up all at once. If it's a heavier oil lubricant, maybe they don't burn as quickly, but they'll move along the ground like that. One cool thing about this. So this is the manner in which Ukraine was able to nibble away at the Crimean air defenses. So they send one of these in at night. It would creep up to the shore, release one or two drones. And they'd attack Russian radars and sensor antennas. You see that big mast that is extended there? That's to increase the range of the drone control. So that can actually be, that mast can be lifted, so it deploys a fiber optic cable and keeps it off the water, because that will enable the drone, the unmanned surface vessel to move around. So it's not in anywhere. So all this stuff is pretty cool that I can tell you what the U.S. Navy developed this technology and it was principally used. In my day, they were special access programs and it was used mostly for reconnaissance. But you know, does the U.S. Navy have stuff like this? Yeah, because they watch your channel and they write it down and go, "Hey, we need to get one of these." It's pretty cool. Ukraine has hit 170 merchant ships in the Sea of Azav and the Black Sea. Sea of Azav is on top there. You can see these two tankers. I've reported on this for the key post, Louise and Banda, Louise 1 and Banda. You just saw what was likely cannon fire fired from an aircraft to hit this drone. Okay, it missed, but eventually the aircraft broke off the attack because it was too close to the tanker. So that probably was a bomb they tried to drop, but that's ridiculous. So we're going for a mission kill here. You're hitting the ship right where you want to, between the rudder post and what's called the packing land, which is the flange that allows the propeller to turn. So you hit a ship there and it's got to go into a shipyard to be repaired. The other thing is they're not trying to release oil, right, and they're not trying to kill the crewmen. They're knocking the wheels off this thing. And Ukraine has been exceptional about doing that. But every one of these tankers are already internationally sanctioned. The other thing I'll point out is they were anchored close to the Russian naval base at Novoresiask, which is to the east. Good luck. If you've sailed in and you're making about $43 million a load on the tanker of this size, you expect the Russian Navy to put out and help you. It's not going to happen, dude. They can't. They'd love to, but they can't. I love a little maritime sabotage. That's, you know, that's where I got started. So it's my roots. These sea drones are pretty cool. Awesome. Man, you know, they can move about, you know, 40 knots. They don't often have to go that fast. They're made out of carbon fiber and I suspect that this has radar-absorbing paint on it as well. And when you have that kind of a platform, the radar can't see you, but sometimes it can see your wake. So you go slower. So they're pretty much undetectable by these ships. Yeah, we had a, when I first got into the Navy, we had a patrol boat called the sea fox. And it had zig-zags on the windows. It was gray and what was not advertised about the sea fox was it was completely invisible to radar. They didn't mention it to anybody. And in my day, it was, we could not be seen unless we were going about 35 knots and it put up a rooster tail and they could, radar could pick up your rooster tail. So that was a stealth program that hid completely in plain sight. And interestingly, they sold five sea fox patrol boats to the Israelis, but they put bands of metal in them. So they actually did show up on radar. It was a pretty weird little, little trick. But sea drones here, I think we're looking at the same technology. How many of these does it take to take one of these takers down? Just one. You know, in a warship, you've got, you know, an aircraft carrier is a big example. There are 5,000 people on an aircraft carrier. You got a 300 foot destroyer. There might be 200 people on it because you've got to, you've got to work all the sensors. You've got to work all the weapons and you need the rest of the crew to repair damage. And you know, this merchant, even the one we're looking at now, it probably doesn't even have 30 guys on it. And, you know, their ability for damage control is limited. It's a lot of oil. Yeah, it is. But, you know, at their, listen, they're not, they're not exporting distalettes anymore. They don't export gasoline or diesel anymore. They can't get it. Their supply is 65% below consumption. And, you know, we're, we're looking at the beginning of the end of this war. I, I really feel that way. I see a couple, I think fighter got destroyed on the farm now. Okay. Yeah, I remember this one. So, that is an air strike on a drone control point. So, we've got a big explosion like that and then this is the battle damage assessment. So you've got a Ukrainian fighter that actually delivered a guided bomb onto this target. I don't know exactly where this is. But I expect that is a canal over on the left side of the photo. You know, the fact that there is a Ukrainian air strike says a lot about the local air superiority or dominance over the zero line. Four years ago, Russia had, you know, air superiority everywhere. Now both sides switch with local air dominance. And generally these guided bombs, they're saved for command nodes and drone control points. So you can see if you were taking, you know, if you took refuge in that building, you know, we might find a sock maybe, but that was the whole purpose of the strike. This is a glide bomb for my family. Yeah. It's, I think in this case, it's probably, you know, they call them glide bombs. This came in so fast, I think we're looking at more of a French AASM hammer bomb or a GBU kind of, you know, what you used to be called a J-DAM. You know, it has minimal flight surfaces, but it can be guided. In a lot of cases, the Russian glide bombs, they resemble what is called a J-DAM ER. So the Russian glide bombs extend wings. And they move really pretty fast, but you might be able to see them as something like a GBU or a hammer they're going too fast really to see. You can hear them sometimes. If you can hear them, chances are you're the target. So it's not really a good thing to hear. Okay, here we've got something that I have quite a lot of experience getting shot at with, which is a, you know, grad 21, in my era, it was called a Cautucia, which was the carry-over name from World War II. And again, if you want to continue watching this episode, you can do so by becoming a member. My name is Sam, and I'll see you guys in the next video. You'll probably notice something different about this podcast. There are no sponsors, no ad rates, and no random products in the middle of a story about survival. That's not by accident. We don't take money from companies, governments or billionaires who want to shape the narrative. 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Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Russia launched a KH-101 cruise missile into Poland, a highly advanced and non-accidental attack that signals a deliberate escalation against NATO.
  2. U.S. intelligence had warned months in advance—specifically in early July—that Russia was planning provocations against Poland, including a hybrid scenario involving a "rescue mission" to justify troop incursions.
  3. NATO publicly responded by naming Kaliningrad and St. Petersburg as potential targets, signaling a firm deterrent against further aggression.
  4. The attack on Poland directly contradicts Russia’s goal of weakening Ukraine support by scaring Poland—instead, Poland is now reinforcing Ukraine with new Patriot missile systems.
  5. A Russian assassination attempt on Ukrainian commander Ihor Oblensk failed when a Ukrainian agent, misled by Russian handlers, tried to shoot him but the gun jammed.
  6. Ukraine has conducted sustained drone strikes on Russian logistics hubs, destroying over 15% of Wildberry’s warehouse capacity and causing significant civilian and economic damage.
  7. Russian media and public opinion are increasingly critical of the government, with citizens calling for resignations and even Bolshevik-style purges, reflecting deep internal unrest.
  8. Ukrainian "shotgun drones" have been deployed to intercept and destroy Russian drones mid-air using semi-automatic shotguns, representing a novel asymmetric capability.
  9. Russia’s economic infrastructure, especially in western regions, is being systematically targeted, undermining supply chains and civilian stability.
  10. Mainstream media has falsely labeled Ukraine’s actions as a potential trigger of World War III, despite ongoing multi-front conflicts involving Iran, North Korea, and China—indicating a narrative distortion.

Summary:

Russia launched a high-precision KH-101 cruise missile into Poland, marking a significant escalation in its aggression against NATO. S. intelligence had warned of such a provocation as early as July, detailing scenarios including a fake GPS failure leading to troop incursions.

Despite this advance warning, Russia proceeded, aiming to intimidate Poland into cutting off support for Ukraine. However, the move backfired: Poland is now bolstering its defense by providing Ukraine with additional Patriot missiles. Simultaneously, Russia’s internal instability is growing—its assassination attempt on a Ukrainian commander failed due to a jammed gun, and public anger is rising, with Russians now calling for officials to resign.

Ukraine has also executed a sweeping campaign against Russian logistics, destroying over 15% of Wildberry’s warehouse capacity in western Russia, leading to economic chaos, civilian casualties, and widespread public distress. Meanwhile, Ukrainian "shotgun drones" have proven highly effective in intercepting Russian drones mid-air, showcasing a new layer of asymmetric warfare. Despite widespread media claims that Ukraine’s actions are a prelude to World War III, these are exaggerated—larger global conflicts are already evident through Iran, North Korea, and China’s involvement.

The situation underscores a broader reality: Russia’s military and economic efforts are unraveling, and its strategies are repeatedly failing, while Ukraine continues to gain strategic momentum.

FAQs

Yes, Russia launched a KH-101 cruise missile into Poland, landing near a village and creating a 10-meter-deep crater. The attack caused no casualties but raised alarms about a broader escalation.

The attack was not unexpected. A U.S. intelligence report from early July warned of Russia planning provocations against Poland, including a hybrid scenario involving a fake GPS failure and troop infiltration.

Russia targeted Poland due to deep historical tensions, especially after Ukrainian President Zelensky named a military unit after a nationalist figure linked to mass killings of Poles in 1943, provoking strong Polish backlash.

NATO has publicly signaled a strong response, warning of potential military strikes in Russian cities like Kaliningrad or St. Petersburg, and could enforce a no-fly zone over Ukrainian territory to deter further attacks.

An assassination attempt on Ukrainian commander Ihor Oblensk failed when a Ukrainian handler, deceived by Russian operatives, tried to shoot him, but the gun jammed and no one was harmed.

Ukrainian drones have attacked numerous Russian warehouses, including major ones in the Moscow region, destroying over 15% of Wildberries' warehouse capacity and causing significant economic and social disruption.

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