RFK Jr. and The Mainstreaming Of The Anti-Vaxx Movement
73m 53s
This episode examines the origins and evolution of the anti-vax movement in America, with a deep focus on RFK Jr.’s role in spreading misinformation. It traces how the movement began in the 1980s with false claims linking vaccines to autism, culminating in the 1998 Wakefield paper—a fraudulent study that has since been discredited. RFK Jr. transitioned from environmental activism to promoting anti-vaccine ideologies, influenced by personal experiences and political connections, such as his time in an NGO where questionable leadership and fundraising practices mirrored broader conspiracy dynamics. The episode critically analyzes a key 2000 Rolling Stone article that falsely portrays a secret CDC cover-up, revealing instead that the CDC held a transparent, peer-reviewed meeting to assess data, which found no link between thimerosal and autism. The article’s dramatic framing obscures key facts: thimerosal was removed from vaccines in 1999 due to public concern, not evidence of harm, and real-world data from countries like Canada and Sweden show no drop in autism rates. The episode underscores how conspiracy theories operate by misrepresenting science, shifting goalposts, and exploiting public anxiety. It highlights how well-intentioned efforts to ensure vaccine safety—like removing a preservative—can be weaponized to fuel fear and misinformation. Ultimately, the narrative exposes the dangers of unchecked rhetoric, the manipulation of media, and the erosion of scientific trust in public discourse.
Hi, everybody, and welcome to Maintenance Phase, the podcast that only has 46 pages
of notes today.
Oh, you're doxing me.
You're calling me out.
I'm outing you.
I was like, I'm sorry we recorded for three and a half hours last time.
I'm going to try to keep it shorter.
I only have 46 pages, which is pretty good for me.
That is pretty good for you.
We were talking about our different notes thresholds.
Mine is 40 pages, so I'm already exceeding it, and we're doing a third part of this fucking
episode, so I don't know if my restraint can really be admired at this point.
Restraint is for tourists.
I'm Aubrey Gordon.
I'm Michael Hobbs.
If you would like to support the show, you can do that at patreon.com slash maintenance
phase.
You can also subscribe on.
You can also subscribe on Apple Podcasts subscriptions.
It's the same audio content.
And today, Michael.
Aubrey.
We are continuing our journey.
Continuing.
With RFK Jr., no?
Yes, we didn't put part one in the title of the last episode because nobody downloads
them if they say part one, but that was a part one.
We're manipulating the algorithm.
We're clickbaiting you into downloading part one of a now three-part episode, goddammit.
I think your idea of clickbait and the rest of the.
The internet's idea of clickbait are different because you're like, we clickbaited you into
the Brian Wansink story, and I'm like, one of the best, most interesting stories we've
told.
So, Aubrey, why don't you recap us?
What did we learn about RFK Jr. and anti-vaxxers last time?
We learned about sort of the rise of the anti-vax movement starting pretty much as soon as there
were vaccines.
We learned that those arguments have not substantively changed.
We learned that RFK Jr.
started out working on really consequential stuff like climate change and doing really
good work, and then just kind of gradually slid into weird anti-vax world.
And we learned about sort of the source code for a lot of contemporary American anti-vax
stuff, which is a paper written by a researcher named Andrew Wakefield that is like one of
the shoddiest pieces of research.
We have discussed on this show.
Which is really huge for us to reach new depths of bad methodologies.
The show that talked to you about celery juice and the future ghost is like, no, this one's
really bad.
Yeah.
We're like, that's 0.5 of a Wakefield.
We're now measuring this in Wakefield.
Yes.
This is where we're basically starting this episode.
It is 1998, the paper by Wakefield making the link between the measles, mumps, rubella
vaccine and RFK Jr.
and autism has been released to great fanfare and a lot of consternation.
And we get this whole fucking machine going into overdrive where the media is like, there's
questions.
There's a tricky debate about vaccines.
In 2002, we get a BBC special called MMR, Every Parent's Choice.
That's clickbait.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
There's your clickbait.
You're already defending us from charges of clickbait.
Like, no, no, we're doing the okay kind of clickbait.
We're tricking you into learning about anti-vaxxers.
No, I just mean, like, that is actually, like, pretty deceptive coverage of, like, there's
a debate happening and there's. Without situating that in, like, this is a very small number of people making a very
fringe argument on very flimsy data.
So alongside all of this, like, question-begging news coverage, there's, of course, one side
of the debate becoming increasingly radicalized and increasingly drifting further and further
from reality, right?
As this is happening sort of in the culture at large, it is also happening to RFK Jr.
So as we discussed last episode, in 1994, his son Connor is born and has very severe
allergies.
He says that he has 29 ER visits in his first three years of life.
So this is obviously causing a huge amount of anxiety.
RFK Jr. in 1998 founds this, like, food allergy initiative thing, which is basically trying
to make the link between childhood vaccines and allergies.
He also has an episode that I think also contributes to his radicalization.
We actually talked about this last episode, but we cut it out for space.
So pretend that I'm telling you this for the first time.
Pretend that this is new.
Just say, Mike, that's new information.
Oh, Michael, I've never heard anything like this before.
New stuff.
So the reason we cut this out is because we talked for, like, 45 minutes because this
is, like, such fucking typical NGO drama.
So as we mentioned last episode, he gets pulled into this water cleanup NGO.
That sues governments over, like, following EPA regulations in the 1980s.
He eventually moves his way up the ranks.
And in 2000, he forces out the guy who brought him into the organization in the first place.
He has this weird idea to sell branded bottled water from this, like, river keeper organization,
like NGO approved water.
What are we doing?
You can just say that's new information.
That's new information.
I've never heard anything like that.
I've never heard anything like it before.
Thank you.
Incredible stuff.
So this causes a lot of consternation among the board and the people who actually work
at the NGO.
Like, I don't know if we want to become like a private company selling bottles of water.
You said it's typical.
It's so damn typical.
Like, the number of organizations where, like, an executive director will get an idea into
their head where they're like, we'll make T-shirts and then we'll sell the T-shirts.
And you're like, I don't know, man.
At one of the NGOs I used to work at, our high up director guy got obsessed.
He was obsessed with the idea of J.K. Rowling writing the introduction to our annual report.
Boy, that's an idea that did not age well.
Did not age well.
This was before her whole thing.
But it's like, sure, I'll spend weeks, like, trying to get this, like, massive billionaire
author to write the introduction to our, like, unbelievably boring PDF that, like, four people
are going to read.
Beyonce definitely will play at our gala.
Yeah, exactly.
My God.
This eventually culminates in, like, him sort of taking over the organization.
He also hires some guys.
Some guy who was, like, had been arrested for selling rare birds.
What a weird, specific kind of shady criminal.
So basically in, like, the most NGO drama way possible, everyone kind of agrees that
he's wrong on the merits, but they keep him around because his last name is Kennedy and
he's really good at fundraising.
I think a lot of successful fundraising from large dollar donors is just knowing how to
be around rich people.
Oh, yeah.
Like.
There is just, like, a great deal of, like, it's fine.
Yeah.
It's fine.
Keep him.
So there's a New York Times article about the drama in 2000 where employees of the NGO
are quoted.
One guy talking about RFK Jr. says, I think he separates himself from good science at
times in order to aggressively pursue an issue and win.
Boy, this is really Chekhov's Times quote.
I think that was my joke last time.
I think you just made a joke from last time.
God damn it.
Really?
I'm kidding.
I'm kidding.
I'm kidding.
I'm kidding.
I'm kidding.
Oh, God.
And then the other quote is, he had a nasty tendency to deride or insult anybody he thought
was not on his side.
Ooh.
So we're already seeing this kind of black and white thinking and this, like, weird crusader
mentality where he just becomes completely immune to facts.
Yeah.
And it seems this is also when he starts falling down the conspiracy rabbit hole shortly after
the 2004 election.
He becomes convinced that it was rigged in favor of George W. Bush.
Do you remember this?
Yeah.
I mean, like, people still sort of grouse about that today.
It appears he got the idea from Larry David.
What?
Just a very weird cameo.
So he and Larry David, the guy who is the co-creator of Seinfeld and the creator and
star of Curb Your Enthusiasm, invited him to, like, Aspen or something.
This is also where he met his current wife, Cheryl.
So this was my question is, like, is this pre- or post-Cheryl Hines?
I think this is Cheryl Hines.
Like, this is mid-Cheryl Hines.
Like, that's how he met her.
And there's a New York Times article where they describe Larry David, like, urging RFK
Jr. to read some crank book on, like, how the election was stolen in 2004.
And there's a pretty good follow-up New York Times story now that, like, RFK Jr. is much
more sort of, like, out as, like, an anti-vax crank.
Uh-huh.
Where they look into the question.
They're like, what does Larry David, like, actually think about this stuff?
And so they talk about how RFK Jr. basically says, like, oh, yeah, he supports me.
Like, all my friends support me in my endeavors.
And then they reach out to Larry David.
And the article says, this might lead you to believe that Larry David is backing Kennedy's
candidacy, but the Curb creator would like to disabuse people of that notion.
In a text to the New York Times, he wrote, yes, love and support, but I'm not supporting
him.
And supporting is in quotes.
This is the relationship that I imagine exists between Laura Dern and Marianne Williamson
at this point.
It's also making me very grateful that none of my former roommates are running for president.
This is like when we hang out, how we avoid talking about tar.
Our greatest, our greatest disagreement.
The greatest issue of tension between us.
Yeah, I, listen, I take my Blanchett very seriously.
You know this about me.
I do know this about you.
So last episode, we talked about the things that conspiracy theories do.
do, right? They lie. They remove context. Today, we are going to talk about how the anti-vax
movement kind of came to America and how RFK Jr. himself helped to spread it, like added a ton of
fuel to the fire. He is like in this episode a lot more than the last RFK Jr. episode we did.
But the tendency of conspiracy theorists that all of this demonstrates, and I really want to like
tediously hammer home in this episode, is how conspiracy theorists constantly move the goal
posts. So in this moment in 1998, post-Wakefield, right? If you look at the history of everything
the anti-vax movement has been through so far, in the 1980s, we had this documentary about the
pertussis vaccine, right? Where they were saying, oh, the pertussis vaccine causes basically
everything, right? It was like kids with seizures. They showed footage of kids with Down syndrome.
It was just kind of all over the place, but it was all linked to the pertussis vaccine.
Right? In the early 1990s, they then move over to food allergies, right? Vaccines cause food
allergies. Sure. Then in 1998, they shift to the measles vaccine causes stomach problems,
and the stomach problems cause autism. So in 2005, RFK Jr.'s conspiracy mindset thing culminates
with the publication of an article called Deadly Immunization.
It's like a major feature story. He describes it as a cover story in Salon,
but Salon was a website, so I don't know how it could be a cover story.
But it's published on Salon and in the print edition of Rolling Stone. And this article marks
the mainstreaming of the anti-vax movement. So I am going to send you a JPEG of what this looks
like on Salon.com. Wow. I forgot how hideous websites in this
area are. I'm going to send you a JPEG of what this looks like on Salon.com.
Wow. I'm going to send you a JPEG of what this looks
looks like on Salon.com. Wow. Wow. It looks like Craigslist. You know what it looks like? It looks like it should have those
blinky GIFs of taste. Or like the dancing hamsters GIFs.
This is the kind of layout of a website now. If a restaurant has it, you know the food is good.
This is ugly enough. People are not going there for the aesthetics.
So this is listed in the news and politics section as a Salon slash Rolling Stone joint
investigation. There is a picture of a kid.
There is a picture of a kid facing a window with their hands behind their back. And the title is
Deadly Immunity. When a study revealed that mercury in childhood vaccines may have caused
autism in thousands of kids, the government rushed to conceal the data and to prevent
parents from suing drug companies for their role in the epidemic.
Note the moving of the goalposts. Again, right now we're on to mercury.
Yeah, totally.
Okay. So I am going to send you.
A very long excerpt. This is like the first sort of six paragraphs of the story.
We are going to read this and then we are going to circle back to it.
Once we learn a little bit more about the background and context.
Uh oh. Are we just, are we doing like a close text debunking?
Yeah, we're going to read this like seven times. We're just going to keep going over and over
again. We're going to do it sentence by sentence eventually. But for now.
Okay. I love it.
We're going to learn about the evil dastardly deeds of the CDC.
Okay.
In June, 2000, a group of top government scientists and health officials
gathered for a meeting at the isolated Simpsonwood conference center in Norcross,
Georgia convened by the CDC. The meeting was held at this Methodist retreat center
to ensure complete secrecy. So we've got a secret meeting by the CDC.
Federal officials and industry representatives had assembled to discuss a disturbing new study
that raised alarming questions about the safety of a host of
common childhood vaccines administered to infants and young children.
A CDC epidemiologist named Tom Verstraten had analyzed the agency's massive database
containing the medical records of 100,000 children. He found that a mercury-based
preservative in the vaccines, thimerazole, appeared to be responsible for a dramatic
increase in autism and a host of other neurological disorders among children.
I will say,
I'm just,
this is commentary time.
Hello, commentary.
It is a real red flag.
If someone is saying,
Hey, we took an existing giant data set and looked at it and we found an association
and we've decided that that means it's a causal relationship.
Oh, Aubrey, you're going to love,
you're going to love the debunking of this so much.
You're going to be like,
there was no data set.
No spoilies, but we're going to add some context.
But pretty much.
A little bit of extra context to this.
Okay.
Quote,
I was actually stunned by what I saw for straight and told those assembled at Simpson
Wood, citing the staggering number of earlier studies that indicate a link between thimerazole
and speech delays, attention deficit disorder, hyperactivity, and autism.
But instead of taking immediate steps to alert the public and rid the vaccine supply of thimerazole,
the officials and executives at Simpson Wood spent most of the next two days discussing how to cover
up the damaging disease.
Data.
How to cover it up.
According to transcripts obtained under the Freedom of Information Act,
many at the meeting were concerned about how the damaging revelations about thimerazole
would affect the vaccine industry's bottom line.
Big pharma.
Dr. John Clements, vaccines advisor at the World Health Organization,
declared flatly that the study, quote,
should not have been done at all and warned that the results, quote,
will be taken by others and will be used in ways beyond the
control of this group.
The research results have to be handled.
Worrying stuff.
I mean, he's framing this in a way to make it sound sinister.
That's like, we won't have complete control anymore.
But like a more neutral way of saying that thing in different framing is essentially like,
look, a bunch of people without any training are going to get a hold of these numbers and are going
to take that as proof positive that they shouldn't vaccinate their kids.
And that's like exactly what happened.
I should have known that you would immediately.
Spoil the rest of this episode.
I wanted, I wanted you to read this and be like, damn, Mike,
there was a secret meeting of the CDC and they were going to cover things up.
And I was like, well, actually, Aubrey, we're going to rewind.
I'm so sorry that I have listened to our show.
This is what's so savvy about what he's doing here, right?
He says like, oh, there's a transcript and we had to do a FOIA request
to get this secret transcript of this secret meeting, right?
But then the actual quote from this guy at the World Health Organization,
he's saying the results will be taken.
By others and used in ways beyond the control of this group.
I mean, that's just fucking true.
Yeah.
Sometimes you publish things and bad faith actors are going to do fucked up shit with them.
And like, we should talk about that before we publish them.
It's also like a real misunderstanding of FOIA requests.
The implication here is that if you have to FOIA something,
that it must be part of a cover up.
Yeah.
But like people like all day long in like state and municipal and federal government get like
all of their emails FOIAed on a particular topic or whatever.
That's not the same as like someone is facing charges.
We've built the case and we know.
Also, what's what's wild about FOIAing the transcript of this is that if it's so fucking secret,
why did the CDC keep a transcript?
Why did they invite a transcriber?
Number one rule in a coverup, create a paper trail.
So it's like he's doing something that we see in conspiratorial media a lot where it's like,
I found these secret documents, but it's like,
well, were they really meaningfully secret?
Was anyone really trying to cover this up or was it just a hassle for you to get this?
There's actually a huge difference between those two things.
Yeah.
So the thing is, like, we're sort of joking around because like both of our brains are
completely fucking broken by hosting the show.
But what this article is alleging, and I think quite effectively, if you sort of zoom out,
is basically that like there's mercury in the vaccines, right?
Which is like really freaky to people, right?
We're injecting, we're literally injecting kids with mercury and the CDC
knew about it.
There's all these studies showing that mercury is really toxic to kids.
Like, of course it is.
Everybody's like, that's the one thing we all know about mercury is that it's fucking poisonous.
Right?
Yeah.
And the CDC has like a secret fucking meeting to be like, make sure we don't tell anybody about this.
Like, let's, let's massage this a little bit.
Like for people at the time that did not host health and wellness podcasts, a lot of people
looked at this and were like, Jesus fucking Christ, this is like really worrying.
Well, and the like tacit endorsement of publishing this in Salon and Rolling Stone.
Totally.
Man, Rolling Stone has some stuff to answer for.
Dude, I know.
This and Taibbi.
I know.
I think they also gave like Led Zeppelin 4 like a negative review.
Wow.
I'm mostly mad about their lists.
Canceled.
So we are now going to rewind and we're going to learn a little bit more context.
And later we will read the same excerpt and we will, we will understand more about it with more layers.
The first thing that we need to talk about is, is there mercury in the vaccines?
So that's another thing that sort of bumped me about this little passage.
Was the opening says mercury in childhood vaccines and then down a little ways into the piece.
He says something about, oh, mercury based preservative.
And I was like, does that mean that it has mercury in it?
Does that mean that mercury is used in the processing of it?
Like what's happening?
I'm about to tell you what's happening.
Tell me what's happening, Michael.
Everything what's happening.
I'm confused.
Tell me what's happening.
So this just as a thing to start out.
With I'm only slightly exaggerating when I say that mercury is.
literally everything. Because mercury is in the earth's crust. And when water like bubbles up to
the surface of the earth and we drink it, it has a couple of particles of mercury in it. It has a
couple particles of everything. They can test water and find micrograms, which are one millionth
of a gram of all kinds of shit. And this is not because like DuPont is pouring chemicals in the
water or like industrial revolution, whatever. Like you can take a teaspoon of the freshest,
cleanest spring water from like the Swiss fucking Alps and you will find trace elements of, I found
a list of like various publications that I read. It will have lead, iron, arsenic, radium, radon,
lithium, chromium, uranium, zinc, copper, silicone, phosphorus, and mercury. We live on earth. This is
the earth. I mean, but listen, as you were talking about that, I was thinking about how much that
sounds like, um, I was an anxious kid. And if you made a dessert like bananas foster or something,
something with alcohol in it, like a brandy fruit cake or something, I would get worried about
getting drunk. Oh yeah. Alcohol in the dessert. And I feel like this is a, like, am I going to
get drunk off the alcohol in the dessert? Yeah. Sort of level of analysis here. This is something
that like we've said on the show before, but we should probably say like at the top of every show
and like at, at the beginning of the show, we should probably say like at the top of every show.
conversation with every human being for all time is that the dose makes the poison. Yes. There are
very few substances that are poisonous, regardless of how much of it or in what form of it you are
ingesting. The obvious one is water, right? If you don't drink enough water, you die. But then also
if you drink too much water, you die. You can like drown from the inside out. There's all kinds of
other compounds that are totally fine in like a couple of millionths of a gram a day. You know,
there's all of this sort of like ambient freak out about like chemicals in the water. Yeah. I would
say a couple of things. One water is chemical. You know what I mean? Like inherently already
chemical. Sorry. Tell them, tell them, tell them, tell them not Aubrey telling you about chemicals,
but also a partner of my, one of my good friends used to work for a like water treatment here in
Portland. And she would always just be like, people are always talking about like, we don't
want chemicals in the water. And she was like, I guess you don't want us purifying water because
I don't know what you think that process is. If you've got an open air reservoir, that means at
some point an animal is going to poop in that reservoir and you're going to have to do something
chemical to like counteract the poop or get the poop out of there or whatever, just because you're
adding chemicals, quote unquote, right? Like adding baking soda to your,
cake that creates a chemical reaction. That doesn't mean that it's sinister. It's really
weird to me. It's also a very weird argument to make about mercury specifically, because not only
is mercury in like all of the water, but mercury is also in the air because mercury comes out of
volcanoes. So the air that we breathe will also contain a few micrograms of mercury. So the
average baby ingests around 360 millionths of a gram of mercury in the first six months of its
life. So the average vaccine,
dose does in fact contain about 25 micrograms of mercury. So 25 millionths of a gram. However,
not only is that a really, really, really small dose of mercury, but it's not mercury as we think
of mercury. When ordinary people talk about mercury, what they actually mean is methyl
mercury, which is like a naturally occurring kind of mercury. They're sort of elemental mercury,
and then it interacts with bacteria. And then it becomes like the
liquid T-1000 thing that we're all used to. You're right. I do love this debunking.
Isn't it fun? It's so fun. T-1000, let's go.
So mercury is not like iron. There's no like minimum recommended amount of mercury that
you're supposed to get. Methyl mercury is like really nasty stuff. But one of the principles
of mercury is that it's actually a very good antiseptic. So before we knew how poisonous it
was, there was a thing that you would put on your wounds called mercurochrome, which would prevent
them from getting infected, like this bright orange thing. So like, it's actually a very good
antiseptic. It's just not worth it. Because it's also really poisonous.
I love this idea of like, thinking about potentially harmful substances as like,
is it worth it? I love the bitter almond flavor that comes with arsenic,
but the side effects are a real bear.
So in the 1920s, the Eli Lilly company comes up with something called ethyl mercury,
which is different from methyl mercury. It's a substance that has the same antiseptic properties
as the bad kind of mercury, but it clears your body much quicker. So the problem with like,
mercury, mercury, like the type in tuna and shit, is that it builds up in your system. You don't
clear it. It stays inside of you. So you have like this little ball of metal that is just like
accumulating for years inside of your body, which is really bad for you. But ethyl mercury doesn't
do that. It only has a half-life of three to seven days, and you clear it quite quickly.
So like, things can be chemically very similar and have very different properties.
Interesting.
And so in the 1920s, the Eli Lilly company, after they invent this inorganic form of mercury,
they mix it with something called thiosalicylate, and that becomes thimerosal, which is what is up
for debate here. This is the thing that RFK Jr. is talking about. There's thimerosal in the vaccines,
right?
Yep.
So the way that they ship out vaccines, still now, but much more then, is they would ship
vaccines in 10-dose vials. So on TV, when you see that thing of like a nurse holds up a vial and she
puts in a syringe and like sucks a little bit out.
She does that 10 times.
Yeah, exactly. I mean, with different needles, but like, yes. That's typically the way that
they do this to make it easier, because shipping a bunch of glass vials for every single dose is
just like wildly expensive, and it's much easier to do this with 10 doses. But in the 19-teens and
1920s, there's a couple of cases where the vaccines get bacteria in. Like somehow a needle got put in
twice. It only takes a little bit of bacteria to get in that bottle, because it often sits on the
vaccines can get infected. So there's a case where they basically inject a bunch of kids with like
the Staphylococcus bacteria, and like kids fucking die. It's awful. So like, this is a real danger.
You have to have some sort of preservative in the vaccine, something that will kill bacteria in case
a couple of little tiny particles of bacteria get into the vaccines, because it will grow and
spread, and you won't know that it's in there until it's too late.
Gotcha.
So in the 1920s, they realized that this thimerosal thing is a very effective antiseptic. You put a
tiny little bit into the vaccine, and it's like, oh, my God, I'm going to die.
One of these 10-dose vials. And no matter what, it can't get infected. Another thing that RFK Jr.
doesn't like to admit is that there was actually like a lot of safety testing of thimerosal before
they started putting it into the vaccines. There's these animal studies where they inject
2,000 micrograms into rabbits.
They do this, there's no effect of it. There's a meningitis outbreak in the late 1920s. And
there's a time when they think thimerosal could be like a
antibiotic. This is before the invention of penicillin. They're like, oh, my God,
maybe this will help cure meningitis. So there's like a whole hospital ward of people with
meningitis. They inject them with 2 million micrograms of thimerosal, hoping that it will
cure the meningitis. It does not cure the meningitis, but they find out that it doesn't
have any safety effects. They don't puke. They don't pass out. They don't have any health effects
of the actual vaccine itself. So people are like, okay, well, this doesn't cure diseases on its own.
But it's also not like dangerous to give people.
So I feel like what I'm hearing from you is that there are different forms that mercury can take,
and only some of those forms will cause harmful health effects in a big way.
And others will just sort of pass through you. They're like vaccine olestra.
Just pass right through.
So in the 1930s, they start adding it to vaccines. This is completely non-controversial.
Boring. Nobody notices this stuff until the late 1990s. So in 1997, there's kind of an ongoing
thing where people are concerned about mercury in fish. Mercury is just getting more of a profile
as something that we should be worried about. And so in the 1997 FDA Modernization Act,
a senator includes a little amendment to just be like, hey, let's make sure we're being transparent
about where Americans are being exposed to mercury. This is like the bad mercury.
It's a study bell.
Yeah, they're just like, give us a kind of baseline. And so as a result of this transparency
bill, people at the FDA look around and they're like, well, there is ethyl mercury in the vaccines.
So we should sort of publish that. We should tell people that there's ethyl mercury in the vaccines.
So they look at the whole vaccine schedule, the amounts of ethyl mercury in all the different
vaccine doses, and they show that there are 187 micrograms of ethyl mercury for children in their
age group. And so they're like, well, we're going to have to do this.
And so in 1999, Neil Halsey sees the reports that kids are getting 187 micrograms of ethyl mercury,
and he starts to think, well, what's going on?
to get concerned. He was one of the people who wanted to expand the vaccine schedule for kids.
He's somebody who's always been pushing for like, kids should get all the vaccines that are
available to them. I do think that like, because there's so much fucking bad faith, like question
asking around this issue, it is important to say that like, he's not an anti-vaxxer. He's not doing
this in bad faith. This is a guy who's like genuinely concerned about children and like
genuinely supportive of vaccine safety. But he feels misled. He's like, we've been expanding
the vaccine schedule for years now. And I'm only just finding out that there's 187 micrograms of
ethyl mercury in all of the vaccines that kids are getting. He starts looking around. He's like,
well, what are the limits? Like, what's the sort of daily maximum for ethyl mercury, right? And he
goes to all of the different agencies and like, no one really has one.
Like the EPA has one, but that's like, you know, living near water, kind of prolonged exposure.
The FDA has a limit for mercury, but that's in like food, like food that you're eating regularly.
Yeah, totally.
Nothing is set up for these like very deliberate injections of vaccines. And there's really no
data on ethyl mercury. All of the limits are about methyl mercury, which is like the bad kind.
So this basically becomes a crusade for this one guy to be like, hey, we should actually like do
way more.
We should actually do more studies on this. And like, we might want to take thimerosal out of the
vaccines.
And there's like an optics part of this as well, right? Which is like, people are going to freak
out about this. And I would like to be able to tell them with certainty that their kid is
completely safe and they have nothing to worry about. And we know this for a fact.
There's also something really interesting here too, about the weird circularity of
once the anti-vax movement is as empowered as it is in the late 1990s,
people keep trying to come up with ways of like placating the anti-vax movement. So part of the
argument for making such a big deal about mercury in the vaccines is like, well, these anti-vaxxers
are going to yell at us if they find out about this. And they're inevitably going to find out
about this. So like, this becomes the debate behind the scenes. And this is very weird.
So it all happens in two weeks. This one guy, Neil Halsey, starts pushing,
we got to do something about this. We got to do something about this. It's like summer.
A lot of people are on vacation.
But there's the annual meeting of the American Academy of Pediatrics coming up.
And he's like, before this meeting, we need to know what the deal is with mercury. Like,
we can't have this meeting without having a clear statement on this and like knowing what our policy
is going forward. So he starts like holding all these teleconferences with all the various
agencies that, you know, there's all these like safety committees of vaccines. Basically,
this one guy just keeps like pushing and pushing and pushing. Apparently, everyone else in the
entire like vaccine safety sector is like, oh, we're going to have to do something about this.
It's like, Neil, there's no reason to be worried. There's literally no evidence that this is
dangerous. And we're talking about 187 micrograms, which is like way fucking less than like the
environmental exposure to mercury. People like you get mercury in like apples and bananas and
shit. Yes, this is an issue. Yes, we should study it further. But I really don't understand the
urgency to move on this, right? This has been in the vaccines for 60 years. And according to Paul
Offit's book, Neil Halsey sort of sees other people studying mercury. And he's like, oh,
stonewalling. And he threatens to go to the press. Wow. He's like, if you guys don't do
something on this, I'm going to release a press statement saying I'm concerned about the amount of
ethyl mercury in the vaccines. And so, again, everything gets so much fucking harder when
there's these conspiracy movements around, right? Because everyone's like, imagine what the
anti-vaxxers would do with this, right? Someone within the vaccine safety system is like, I'm
worried about this trace element in the vaccines. So basically, as a way of appeasing,
and trying to get to like the least bad option, they agree to put out a statement
saying that thimerosal will be removed from the vaccines. Okay. So on July 9th, 1999,
the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Public Health Service issue a statement saying,
from now on, we're going to be removing the thimerosal from all of the vaccines. It's going
to take like a year or two to sort of work its way out because a lot of the vaccines have already
been produced. Yeah. But like, from now on, we're not going to have to do anything about it.
We're not going to have it in the vaccines anymore. And there's no evidence that it's
unsafe. There's really nothing to worry about. This shouldn't affect your decision to vaccinate
your kids at all. But out of an abundance, like an absurd abundance of caution, we're going to
do this to make, you know, to go from like 99.999% safe to 100% safe. This is a fucking huge mistake.
Like a historical blunder, right? Because of course, when this statement comes out,
comes out, every single person in America is like, holy fuck, there's there's mercury in the
vaccines. Yeah, I'm going to vaccinate my fucking kid. What? I didn't know there was mercury in the
vaccines. This is stress and effect times 100. It's a totally fascinating thing to me. Because
of course, RFK Jr. has made this like mercury in the vaccines thing, his mission for the next 20
years after this announcement. But like, this announcement comes from the scientific establishment
being like too overzealous.
In protecting children, right? Everything that he says in this article, everything that he says
throughout all of his public statements is kind of like all the scientific establishment,
they don't care that this is harming kids. But actually, this is the entire system being like,
too hardcore about ensuring that vaccines are safe.
We used to do polling around this stuff. And you'd ask people like,
hey, do you support an increase in taxes? And people would be like, no. And they'll be like,
change the question to, do you support an increase in education,
funding, senior services, and healthcare? And like, the ratios flip, right? Based on like,
how you ask the question really, really matters. And this seems like a core case of like,
folks asking the question in a way that like raised people's hackles more than it calmed them
down. And so what's wild is this, this announcement that safe vaccines are about to become even safer
ends up emboldening another wave of anti-vax organizing.
And this is really the arrival of the anti-vax movement to the United States. I mean,
the Wakefield stuff was kind of centered in the UK. But this then sparks a wave of media coverage
around like, oh, there's a debate about the safety of vaccine. Did you hear about this Mercury thing?
Right. This is like if you got a notification, if there was a big announcement from NASA that was
like, hey, everybody, not to worry, there's a 99% chance that we're not about to be destroyed
by an asteroid. Yeah, exactly. Yeah. This is also the period when,
the anti-vax moms find RFK Jr. He has been working on Mercury that's getting dumped from
coal plants as part of his like cleaning up waterways work. These like moms start showing
up at his talks. And they're like, well, if you're really concerned about Mercury,
wait till you hear about the vaccines. Anti-vax moms going around politicizing
Kennedys in an obstructive direction is like bizarro world P flag.
Yeah.
It's like what if P flag was here?
P flag was evil.
What if I was an ally, but for misinformation?
What if I was an ally for lying? An ally for weirdos.
I love my disinformation, son.
Okay. So this finally brings us to the secret CDC meeting. So just after this happens in early 2000,
this is really funny. The head of the CDC's like immunization program was on vacation when all this
stuff was going on.
And this was before like Zoom and shit. So I guess he just like comes back from vacation and he's like,
wait, we announced what?
He's got like the flip-flop tan line.
He's got his bag of macadamia nuts.
He's like, hey man, I'm still on island time.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. He comes back and he's like, what the Mars roving fuck did we just do?
We just made this like pretty big decision and put out this big statement, but we still don't
actually have any information, right? There is no evidence.
Yeah.
That thimerosal is bad.
Yeah.
And all evidence indicates that it's not, and that it has nothing to do with any of these things that
people are linking it to. So like we have to actually understand this, right? So he assigns
Tom Verstraten, who's a researcher at the CDC, to look through their database. They have a database
of like children's health records, a couple hundred thousand kids, you know, separate the
kids into, you know, vaccinated kids, unvaccinated kids, and just try to figure out like, is there
anything to this? Is there any condition?
That is linked to thimerosal in the vaccines.
Okay.
And so Tom Verstraten looks through the database and he finds that children who received vaccines
are more likely to have attention deficit disorder, more likely to have speech and language delays,
and more likely to have tics, these sort of twitches that are sometimes a symptom of autism,
sometimes not. Importantly, he does not find an association with autism. So this head of the
immunology of the CDC.
The guy crunching on macadamia nuts does something that like you and me are constantly saying that we
wish scientific institutions would do, and which basically like Phil fucking Lancet should have done
in 1998. They're like, look, we have this like really incendiary finding. Before we publish this
into what we know is the social and political environment around this issue, let's stress test
it a little bit. Let's talk about it. Let's make sure that it's correct before we put it into the
big if true territory.
Exactly. Exactly.
And it's your job to make sure that it's true.
And so they gather together. It's roughly five minutes.
people. It's people from different fields of epidemiology. It's people from various departments
of the CDC. It's different agencies. I think there's like FDA people there. It's like, let's
get everybody together and just like talk about this. So they do in fact rent space at this like
Methodist retreat center thing outside of Atlanta. They all meet and Tom Verstraten, you can, you
know, you can read the transcript. Tom Verstraten presents the data to everybody. He's like, here's
what we did. Here's the methodology. Here's what we found. After he presents his data, people point
out the massive flaws in the data. So the first is the thing that you pointed out earlier, that
this is all completely correlational. And the problem with this vaccinated versus unvaccinated
grouping is that vaccinated kids and unvaccinated kids are not identical in other ways. There's
numerous vaccines that you have to get in the first two years of life. If you're getting all
those vaccines, what's that?
Basically means that you're going to the fucking doctor a lot, right? You're going to the doctor
15, 20 times, which means you're way more likely to get diagnosed with things like speech and
learning delays, with things like tics, with all kinds of other things that when you're at the
doctor, the doctor will be like, oh, is there anything else? Oh, you know, my son, he's not,
he's not talking as much as other kids his age. Yeah. And in the US, that's also going to be
correlated with like access to care, period. Exactly. So it pulls in social factors. It pulls
all kinds of other influences that are really complex and that you would need to account for
in some way, right? In doing this kind of research. Yeah. The other thing that people point out
is that a huge amount of their data is just garbage. So a lot of what they think of as like,
this kid was diagnosed with this or like this kid has like speech and learning delays. A lot of that
is just stuff that like people might mention in a doctor's visit and gets written down on their chart,
but isn't like a formal diagnosis.
So oftentimes parents will come in and they'll be like, oh yeah, his like language is like a little
bit delayed. It's, you know, it's not where we think it should be, but then he comes in a month
later and they're like, oh yeah, it's totally fine. He caught up. Yeah. I mean like, listen,
this is one of the core lessons of early childhood brain development is like kids move at different
rates. They're just all over the place. Yeah. This is like, of course you would flag these
little things along the way. Those are snapshots of moments. They're not necessarily like a holistic
sort of like we've evaluated this whole situation and here's what we think is going on.
Well, this is why I think this kind of process is so important and ultimately
why this meeting is really good that it happened. We found this data. There's some incendiary
findings. Let's talk about it with people who are experts in other fields and people who have
more familiarity with this data. This to me is like science working as intended. And so people
at this meeting are like, oh, you might want to actually go back and like, I know it's boring,
but you have to actually cross-check the kids.
medical charts with formal diagnoses and figure out whether that's their actual condition. Cause
like the data is just kind of noisy like that. RFK Jr. describes this as some sort of like secret
meeting where like scientists put pharma profits over the health of children. And actually what
really happened is just like a bunch of scientists sat in a room. Like I've also read the fucking
transcripts of this meeting. They're unbelievably boring. It's like really technical methodological
stuff. Think about how boring your meetings are. If you go to meetings regularly,
and then imagine reading transcripts of someone else's two day meeting.
Again, it's like, it's so funny that he cast this in Rolling Stone is like so nefarious when like
what actually happens is after this meeting, Tom Frustrating is like, these are really useful
comments. He goes back, they, they rerun the numbers and they find ways of like controlling
for health access. So they can actually compare vaccinated and unvaccinated kids. And they
eventually in 2003 publish the data. And so there are some differences in health conditions between
vaccinated and unvaccinated kids. And so they're like, okay, we're going to do this. We're going to
do this. But like, autism is not on there. And the the magnitudes are so small. It says in the conclusion
of the paper, they're like, we don't really think this means anything. Like ticks, for example,
these like twitches was actually more common among vaccinated kids and unvaccinated kids. But like,
it doesn't make sense that a symptom of autism would be more common, but autism itself is not
more common. We think this is probably just like some kind of weird coincidence, random thing.
Yeah.
So, you know, he, he alleges this huge coverup, but like the data was published,
you can go read the paper two full years before this article came out.
Yeah, yeah, exactly. So this, this paper had been published for two years by the time he writes his
Rolling Stone article. Yeah. Speaking of which, we are now going to reread the section of the
Rolling Stone article that we read earlier. We're returning to the scene of the article
of the nonsense bullshit. Yes. In June 2000, a group of top government scientists and health
officials gathered for a meeting at the isolated Simpsonwood Conference Center in
Norcross, Georgia, convened by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. It's very funny that he keeps
like mentioning the secrecy of this. The reason it was held at this Methodist retreat center is
because it was June and they were planning the meeting at short notice, right? Because they
didn't know this was going to happen. And it's fucking Atlanta in the summer and all the hotels
are booked. So it's not like we need to be out in the woods, you guys.
Like, God damn it. This is so silly. It's also funny to me because like,
you can have secret meetings in Atlanta. He's like, oh, it has to be at the Methodist retreat
center. It's like, you just go to the Marriott and have a secret meeting.
This is like big Bahamian Grove energy. Yeah, exactly.
Where you're like, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
Right. Here is the next couple of paragraphs. The federal officials and industry representatives
had assembled to discuss a disturbing new study that raised alarming questions about the safety
of a host of common childhood vaccines administered to infants and young children.
This is a straightforward lie. The data, even the preliminary data, did not show an increase in
autism. Quote, I was actually stunned by what I saw, Verstraten told those assembled at Simpsonwood,
citing the staggering number of earlier studies that indicate a link between thimerazole and
speech delays, attention deficit disorder, hyperactivity, and autism.
The other lie here is that there's no staggering number of earlier studies that indicate a link.
Yeah. This was the whole controversy over whether or not to remove
thimerazole from the vaccines. There's no fucking evidence that thimerazole has any
link to anything. Except the tens of thousands of studies, Michael. I remember some things from
last time. It's also, there's also a very conspiratorial thing here too, because he's
saying that there's a staggering number of studies showing that thimerazole is poisonous, right? But
then why the fuck are the scientists moving to cover it up? Yeah. Like this is what always
just like doesn't compute in my brain of like, if it's so fucking obvious that the vaccines are bad
for kids, why would hundreds and thousands of scientists not give a shit, man? Come on, dude.
People are writing it down. Like, I just don't, I'm getting to the point of exasperation.
I know. We're only like halfway done, Aubrey. Save your, save your ulcer. Get an ulcer.
I love that you're like, we're not going to record for three and a half hours
today. I know. We are one hour and 45 minutes in,
which is exactly half of three and a half hours, but I'm going to pack as much stress into that.
All right. Here is the next one. But instead of taking immediate steps to alert the public
and rid the vaccine supply of thimerazole, the officials and executives at Simpsonwood
spent most of the next two days discussing how to cover up the damaging data.
According to transcripts obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, many at the meeting
concerned about how the damaging revelations about thimerazole would affect the vaccine
industry's bottom line. So what's amazing about this passage is he doesn't mention that thimerazole
had actually been removed from the vaccines at this point. These same fucking people decided
to remove it. Also, did anybody say anything about profits for vaccine makers? Did that come
up in the transcripts at all? This is a missing context thing because when you
remove thimerazole, which they now have, you have to ship all of the vaccines in single dose vials,
which is much more expensive than shipping them 10 doses at a time. So one way to put that is,
oh, they're worried about big pharma's bottom line. Another way to put that is we want to get
vaccines to people as cheaply as possible. That's a real conversation to have. That's not some like
conspiracy thing. It's like if you're operating in good faith for the safety of kids, you would
talk about like, well, what's the most
cost effective way of doing this? Yeah. And listen, they're a government agency.
That means that their budgets are a matter of public record. That means that they're going
to have to ask for allocations and have an externally defensible answer. And they've
got to think about how to move people who may not be in that room. There are mechanics that
they need to mind. And some of those mechanics are around cost. And also, also note the phrase
here is that he says they spent two days discussing how to cover up the damaging data.
That's not what happened.
No one was talking about how to cover it up.
Everyone was operating under the assumption
that this would be published.
and it was yeah they were trying to make sure it's fucking true yeah and then here's the last
paragraph that we read dr john clements vaccine advisor at the world health organization declared
flatly that the study quote should not have been done at all and warned that the results quote
will be taken by others and will be used in ways beyond the control of this group
the research results have to be handled so we've kind of already covered this but it's like
yeah he's just straightforwardly right yeah they do have to be handled uh but we are going to read
his quote in full from the transcript this is what he actually said oh interesting that they
didn't put the entire quote in yeah it's interesting how it goes kind of in and out of quotes and it's
like paraphrasing in between yeah it's not just a couple quoting a couple words at a time quote
i'm really concerned that we have taken off like a boat going down one arm of the mangrove swamp
at high speed when in fact there was not
enough discussion really early on about which way the boat should go at all and i really don't
want to risk offending everyone in the room by saying that perhaps this study should not have
been done at all because the outcome of it could have to some extent been predicted we've all
reached this point now where we are left hanging even though i hear the majority of the consultants
say to the board that they are not convinced there is a direct link between thimerosal and
neurological outcomes jesus that's a different question
so yeah this is part of a much longer kind of monologue that he gives about this but when he's
saying this shouldn't have been done he's not saying like the truth cannot reach the american
people that's not what he's saying at all what he's saying is something that we say on this show
all the fucking time it's like if you comb through data looking for associations hundreds of
associations right this tom verstraeten guy was looking through this data looking for anything
that was biologically plausible that could be linked to vaccines
you're gonna find something yeah right this is the way these big correlational cohorts work
you're going to find something and when you publish it the anti-vaxxers are going to latch
onto it with their little talons and they're never gonna let it go he's not saying the data
should be suppressed because it's true he's saying it's probably not true
it's probably just random chance not only does he think it's not
true but he's saying i hear the majority of the consultants say to the board that they are not
that there is a direct click right like not only do i not think this is true most people here don't
seem to think this is true this is another thing that i cannot believe this was not mentioned in
his entire 5 000 word article in rolling stone thimerosal was removed from vaccines in sweden
canada and denmark in 1992 eight years before it had no effect on autism rates or adhd or tics or
anything else
if it was causing autism we should see a huge reduction in autism in canada sweden and denmark
since 1992 we don't see that we still see the same rises that we do here it's the the trajectory of
autism and these other conditions is still happening perfectly in parallel regardless
of whether they have thimerosal in the vaccines or not so like there's no biologically plausible
mechanism by which ethyl mercury would be causing these disorders because there's now millions of
women who didn't get thimerosal there's 10 years of real world data yeah being like no it's fine
it would be like if you know five years ago or so you tried to trot out the old argument that was
used in like mostly massachusetts around like same gender marriage yeah if you tried to make
that claim today there would be many many many many many parts of the country that you could
point to it'd be like hey yeah we have it look what didn't happen although the funny
thing is they did actually make those arguments in the 1990s even though like the netherlands and
denmark had already had gay marriage for like two decades by that point but it doesn't matter
because other countries are not real other countries are not yeah again not talking about
facts and information talking about feelings we could go through the whole fucking article it's
like you can't go a paragraph through this article without like losing your fucking mind i'm sure
it's like the entire the entire article there's the the most egregious one is he's talking about
like the dangers of thimerosal and he's like people in the 1920s like this ward full of
people with meningitis were given injections of thimerosal and they all died and it's like right
because they had terminal meningitis they died of meningitis right yeah they didn't die of the
fucking shot what the fuck are you talking about their terminal you just said that they're terminal
man this is the brain rot of like cancer doesn't really exist it's the chemo that's doing it and
you're like completely okay the whole fucking thing so this whole episode the fact that this
article even got published but you and i have both been through formal fact-checking processes yes i
have no direct evidence of this but it is very obvious to me that this did not go through a
formal fact-checking process a good fact-checking process like a really thorough one makes you so
mad at the fact check oh my god it's like it's an insufferable process and it is essential right
you're googling like how to murder someone through zoom
like you're so fucking mad not because they're calling you out on stuff you don't want to be
called out on not because they're telling you you're wrong but because they're like uh you know
you go oh this new toy markets for you know like sells for 1999 and they'll be like source oh my
fuck i was just about to say that you're like oh the sky is blue they're like how do you know can
we prove how do you know can we prove it yeah the the thing i kept thinking of throughout this
article i mean we only covered the first whatever six percent of it or something but like the
staggering number of studies finding a link between fimerazole and autism there's no fucking
way that would have gone through a formal fact-checking process none zero is a staggering
number yeah exactly define staggering robert whoa not one not even one
so i do not know how this article got published i do know
that rfk jr and jan winner the publisher of rolling stone are close personal friends and
like go hunting together they go hang out with larry david yeah exactly like in aspen and shit
so like what i think happened is like jan winner and rfk jr were like chatting like at davos or
some shit and he's like hey you should write about this for us and then he wrote about it and jan
winner like pushed it through the fact-checking process and so i mean in the same way the lancet
really did not cover up the fact-checking process and so i mean in the same way the lancet really did
not cover up the fact-checking process and so i mean in the same way the lancet really did not cover
themselves in glory with the wakefield stuff both salon and rolling stone did not retract this
article until 2011 wow it took six years and they appended a couple corrections but the corrections
are all like dumb corrections it's like oh this guy's like job title was wrong you're like sorry
the the basic factual error like they didn't find a link with autism you're not gonna fucking add
that part of what i find so frustrating about this is this is what this is what many editors have
thought that i was trying to do
i feel like i get the fact-checking that jfk jr should be getting right like i absolutely remember
like an extended conversation with a fact checker at one point where i had written at one point that
there were no fewer fat children after x y and z policy interventions and the fact checker wrote
back and was like well the rates did plateau for a little bit so it didn't increase and i was like
yeah yeah there are no fewer fat like i don't think that's an
inaccurate thing to say right but like right boy i'm getting the rates plateaued a little bit and
they're like yeah yeah secret meeting total government cover-up seems fine but so one thing
i didn't know until i started researching this episode was how this article and rfk jr in general
kicked off like a real glory day period for the anti-vax movement immediately after this article
comes out he's on the daily show he is on oprah in 2007 he's on the daily show he's on the daily show
she doesn't actually ask him about the vaccine stuff which is interesting and i feel like they
probably just cut it out of the broadcast but like she's still adding to the idea that this is like a
prominent figure worth listening to right she does this like very softball interview with him
he goes on don imus a bunch don imus has an autistic kid and really like went for it boy
it's actually really bleak the guest list on don imus he had joe lieberman chris dodd and john
carrey all on to talk about vaccines causing autism oh
it's really bad joe lieberman is like from a cursed non-partisan underworld or something
these are people who have been trying to forget and this book made me remember and i'm really mad
about it these are all the names of people who are like referenced in 30 rock episodes
the reason your kids don't get 30 rock yeah too many scooter libby jokes and then you know by
by 2010 one in four parents thought that vaccines cause autism one in
four it's bad this this this period was not a time of huge pushback that is bleak as hell since 2010
the pendulum has kind of swung back a little bit so i i i got very interested in this because i
think the sort of we must ask questions about vaccines kind of wave has has ebbed thank god
and it's much more like stigmatized to be an anti-vaxxer
now like i think the establishment institutions are much more comfortable just being like fuck
off with this stuff now the beginning of it was there were a bunch of measles outbreaks
starting in 2008
eight. And then in 2010, we get Andrew Wakefield losing his medical license. And then fascinatingly,
in 2010, or between 2009 and 2011, we get a bunch of court cases where parents tried to get
compensation from this vaccine injury compensation board for their kids having autism. So we talked
last time about how there's this vaccine injury process where if you believe that your kids were
harmed by a vaccine, you can take their case to this board and you can get compensation.
We also talked about how the standards of evidence are way lower. You don't have to
prove it beyond a reasonable doubt. All you have to prove is that it's more likely than
not that a vaccine caused the injury, which is actually a really low standard when you think
about it. And even under this lower standard, people cannot prove that,
vaccines cause autism. All of these court decisions are public. It was so cathartic to
read the decisions, Aubrey, because it's like the court cases force the anti-vaxxers to sit down
and present evidence and respond to criticisms, right? They can't change the subject. They can't
do the conspiracy, gish, gallop, just flood you with bullshit thing. In a court process,
it's like, okay, evidence piece one, evidence piece two, right? And then the other side can
actually challenge.
In 2010, there's a trial where the parents of a girl named Michelle Sedillo try to get
compensation for their daughter having autism. And like, you can see how much the goalposts have
moved over the decades where they have this bizarre theory where mercury in the vaccines
harmed her immune system, which gave her measles. And then measles gave her tummy stuff. And then
the tummy stuff gave her autism.
Basically, the other side in this trial, like dismantle every single step along the way.
There's no evidence that mercury affects immune systems. Like that's not, that's like mercury has
many very bad effects, but it doesn't actually weaken your immune system. There's no evidence
that this girl has measles or had measles. And there's no evidence that measles causes
stomach stuff. And there's no evidence that stomach stuff causes autism. Like this whole
thing is just complete nonsense.
And RFK Jr. still references these trials now. He's like, we presented 700 studies showing how
bad the mercury is in the vaccines. And like, that is true that they presented a ton of evidence,
but all of the evidence was just about how bad mercury is. So it's like there was this mercury
spill and then like a bunch of kids had these horrible symptoms. And it's like, yeah.
Yes, correct. Agree. A different substance is harmful.
Exactly. And in very, very high doses. At one point, they talk about a situation where kids
were exposed to mercury. And they were exposed to mercury. And
they were exposed to 500,000 micrograms of methylmercury. And the judge is like, oh,
we're talking about children being exposed to two micrograms of ethylmercury. So that just isn't
relevant to this case. This all feels like the same kind of class of health misinformation and
sort of misleading health information. That is like, this, you know, supplement includes
heavy metals. And you find out that they're just talking about iron.
Yeah.
They need that. That's like an important one.
But then the other thing that these court processes do is they reveal to what extent
there's just no biologically plausible mechanism for this anymore. So one of the things that comes
up in the Cedillo trial quite a bit is that, you know, mercury poisoning is a real thing.
And mercury poisoning has real, like measurable effects, right? Like kids typically lose their
hearing. They have growth impairments. They oftentimes have like a small head compared to
their body. Like it results in uneven growth. One of the things that the anti-vaxxers are doing is
they're just sort of like shouting like mercury and vaccines. But like people who actually know
this stuff are like, no, we can measure mercury in kids. We can take their blood and measure how
much mercury they have. And we can measure their hair and their urine to see how much
mercury they're excreting. So if there was a problem with mercury exposure for these kids
through vaccines, we would find it. And like they've done tests where they've taken kids'
blood.
The day after they get vaccinated. And like, is there a shitload of mercury in their blood?
No. And so it's just like, no, if there was large scale mercury poisoning of the population,
that would have specific effects. It wouldn't just be like, oh, there's more kids with ADHD now.
Yeah.
And like a bunch of other random shit.
So the final chapter of this story is about where the anti-vax movement is now. And to talk about
that, we are going to watch.
A clip of RFK Jr. on a morning show.
He's got a new book. It's called Thimerosal. Let the science speak. Rosanna, keep going.
There's a mouthful here.
It's a big, big title. The evidence supporting the immediate removal
of mercury, a known neurotoxin from vaccines. Robert Kennedy Jr., nice to have you here on
Good Day New York. So obviously the book is out now. And you know that the critics are
gunning for you this morning, right? I mean, they are really
they've really had a lot of terrible things to say about the book and some of your research.
Well, nobody who's had anything to say about the book has actually read the book.
How do you know that?
Well, because there were 12 reviews of the book that came out before the book was published.
They attacked me for what they thought was going to be in the book, which was basically
a discussion of autism, which is not part of this book.
Well, tell us, do us a favor. Set it up for us. Thimerosal. A lot of our viewers are not
familiar with it. What is it?
Okay. Thimerosal is a mercury based preservative that is still in some vaccines. It was removed
from by order of the FDA from all topical medicines after doing a lot of studies that
showed demonstrated its toxicity. CDC at the same time was recommending higher and higher
doses of vaccines. And it was thimerosal in those vaccines. And we started to see a giant
rise in neurological disorders among our children.
Like autism?
Well, ADD, we don't discuss autism because it's such a radioactive issue. So we just
looked at the other neurological disorders, ADD, ADHD, speech delay, language delay, ticks,
misery index, things that we didn't know as a kid. But this generation, it's part of who
they are.
I've got to go run this by from Time Magazine, the editor at Large Air. The problem is, Kennedy,
he's wrong. Utterly wrong. So wrong, it's hard to even know what the biggest piece of
that wrongness is.
He says,
The levels of thimerosal have decreased. We've seen this autism increase. So the cause and
effect are not there. Thimerosal is going away.
Again, again, he's wrong on all of his science. First of all, the levels of thimerosal have
are essentially equal to what they were in before they removed it from pediatric vaccines.
And here's why. It was removed from pediatric vaccines in 2003. But that same year, CDC
recommended the flu vaccine for all Americans. And the flu vaccine contained very, very high
levels of thimerosal.
I absolutely love when he's like yammering on the anchor going, Okay, all right. Like,
I appreciate the anchors of Good Day, New York, for kind of holding his feet to the
fire in a way that like other media does not appear to do. And like, I hear him about reviews
before books.
You're on his side.
No, I'm just like, this is like a legit thing. There's been some press coverage recently
about like, yeah, when my first book was released, it had an average of 1.1 stars on Goodreads.
I agree with him that people should not review a book before they have read a book. But like,
boy, oh, boy, oh, boy, that doesn't make him.
Right.
The theme of this entire episode is the way that conspiracy theorists move the
goalposts, right? So we went from the pertussis vaccine to the measles vaccine to mercury
in the vaccines, right? I mean, we went from like, sort of every developmental issue to
food allergies to autism. And then what does he say in this clip twice? He's like, Oh,
we don't do autism anymore. We're back to it causes everything. And you'll also notice
they mentioned it. It's sort of.
It moves so fast that you can't really like latch onto it. But they're like, in Time Magazine,
this guy says that thimerosal was removed from the vaccines in 2001. So if it causes
autism, autism should be falling. And he's like, No, no, no, no, no, no, it's in the
flu vaccines. What? Wait a minute. No, I mean, it is but most kids are like, roughly 45%
of kids do not get flu vaccines. Yeah. And only around somewhere between 10% to 30% of
the flu vaccines have thimerosal because they're multi dose bottles. Most of them are single
dose bottles, which don't have thimerosal anymore. Yeah, the fucking balls of this man
to write a book in 2015, saying we demand the immediate removal of thimerosal when it
was removed in fucking 2001. His approach is like, there's like an old Mr. Show sketch
where they're sort of talking about two competing grocery stores. And one of them is like a
big store that moves in.
And then the other one is like a big store that moves out of town and keeps running ads
that are like, unlike some stores, we don't have any rats. Oh, yeah. Unlike this other
store you'll enter with your kid and you'll leave with your kid your kid won't get kidnapped in our
store right like that's the level that he's operating at is this like continued assertion
kind of level well that's that's what's so kind of striking to me about this clip and about other
interviews that i've seen with him it's like if you watch this clip you can easily walk away from
it thinking he like won the exchange yeah right like he seems very confident he's like well they
haven't even read the book which is like a pretty good argument yeah the the sort of the fundamental
flaw in what he's saying isn't ever really pointed out to you with like the gravity that it needs to
be this guy is telling us to remove something that hasn't been in the vaccines for 20 years
like that's like kind of a joke like it's a joke thing to come on tv and fucking say that's a
premise for a sketch but like i don't think the hosts kind of know well enough to be like uh bro
you're what are you even fucking doing with your career at this point people people don't have like
the sort of the context or like the confidence potentially to just like point this out very
clearly but like he seems very confident and he has this kind of scoffing like well everything
every single thing that he says is wrong and it's like that sort of like rich guy legacy admission
confidence that i think has carried him so far yeah what he needs from like a media perspective
is like he needs like jake tapper on a bad day yeah that guy will sometimes get like a dog with a
bone and be like no i asked you this yeah someone who has to be willing to make it weird and
uncomfortable or katie couric being like sorry what magazines do you read what newspaper this
is the fourth time name a newspaper it's so fucking funny to me that that's what did it
with sarah palin it's what are you hilarious to me it feels like it's the best thing i've ever read
it feels like it's the billy on the street approach to journalism yeah she just ran up
to her and was like name a woman so this marks the end of our journey into anti-vax bullshit i did not
want to do this but we're going to do another part of this specifically on covid stuff where
we're finally going to get to the vitamin d triggers and like the weird hydra i am so
desperate to know what the fuck that means still you can't you still can't google it
i'm not i'm not going to google but like i want the rules to know but i want to end with a quote
from jonathan berman's book where he's talking about the anti-vax movement of the 1800s uh and
this continues to be very useful today he says they started with a complex network of personal
reasons for objecting to vaccination and approach the science as a source of prestige that could be
borrowed for their arguments from this viewpoint no experiment can be well enough designed no
controls adequate and no evidence convincing yeah and that is where we are with this right they've
they've literally had their day in court yeah the the entire scientific establishment has done
everything they want and they they refuse to take yes for an answer i don't know man this feels like
a real i'm trying to think of a sorry you're trying to think of a joke to end with but you
don't have one because i bummed you out too much that's right i'm just gonna type in vitamin d
truth all right all right all right now you're holding me up all right fine fine
Thank you.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
RFK Jr. began with legitimate work on environmental issues but gradually shifted into promoting anti-vax conspiracy theories.
The anti-vax movement’s core argument has remained unchanged since its early days, rooted in flawed research like Andrew Wakefield’s discredited paper.
RFK Jr. became deeply involved in anti-vax messaging after his son’s severe allergies, leading to a self-reinforcing cycle of misinformation.
His rise within an NGO, including selling branded bottled water and hiring controversial figures, illustrates typical NGO dysfunction and the power of fundraising over scientific integrity.
RFK Jr. was influenced by Larry David’s promotion of election conspiracy theories, which further radicalized his views and led to a more overt anti-vax stance.
The 1998 Wakefield paper and subsequent media coverage falsely framed a conspiracy around vaccines and autism, despite no scientific evidence.
The CDC’s 1999 announcement to remove thimerosal from vaccines—based on public concern—backfired by fueling anti-vax sentiment and creating a false narrative of secrecy and cover-up.
A secret CDC meeting in 2000 to analyze vaccine data was misrepresented as a cover-up; in reality, it involved scientific peer review and found no link between thimerosal and autism.
Summary:
’s role in spreading misinformation. It traces how the movement began in the 1980s with false claims linking vaccines to autism, culminating in the 1998 Wakefield paper—a fraudulent study that has since been discredited. RFK Jr.
transitioned from environmental activism to promoting anti-vaccine ideologies, influenced by personal experiences and political connections, such as his time in an NGO where questionable leadership and fundraising practices mirrored broader conspiracy dynamics. The episode critically analyzes a key 2000 Rolling Stone article that falsely portrays a secret CDC cover-up, revealing instead that the CDC held a transparent, peer-reviewed meeting to assess data, which found no link between thimerosal and autism. The article’s dramatic framing obscures key facts: thimerosal was removed from vaccines in 1999 due to public concern, not evidence of harm, and real-world data from countries like Canada and Sweden show no drop in autism rates.
The episode underscores how conspiracy theories operate by misrepresenting science, shifting goalposts, and exploiting public anxiety. It highlights how well-intentioned efforts to ensure vaccine safety—like removing a preservative—can be weaponized to fuel fear and misinformation. Ultimately, the narrative exposes the dangers of unchecked rhetoric, the manipulation of media, and the erosion of scientific trust in public discourse.
FAQs
RFK Jr. became a prominent figure in the anti-vax movement after initially working on environmental issues. He gradually shifted focus to vaccine skepticism, particularly after founding initiatives linking vaccines to allergies and later promoting conspiracy theories about mercury in vaccines.
Wakefield's paper falsely claimed a link between the MMR vaccine and autism, using flawed methodology. It became a foundational document for the anti-vax movement, despite being retracted and discredited by the scientific community.
RFK Jr. joined a water cleanup NGO and later took control, attempting to sell branded bottled water. This move sparked internal conflict, highlighting his tendency to pursue controversial initiatives despite criticism and lack of scientific justification.
The meeting was not a cover-up; it was a scientific discussion to evaluate data on thimerosal and autism. The CDC researchers found no evidence linking thimerosal to autism and emphasized that the data was correlational and flawed. The meeting was held in Atlanta due to scheduling issues, not secrecy.
Yes, vaccines historically contained thimerosal, a mercury-based preservative. However, the form used (ethyl mercury) is quickly cleared from the body and not linked to autism. The amount is extremely small, and extensive studies show no health risks.
The removal was a precautionary measure to address public concern, not due to evidence of harm. It was driven by transparency efforts and public pressure, not scientific proof, and did not show any reduction in autism rates in countries that removed it.
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