Go back

[REPLAY] Jonathan Lewinsohn – Diameter Capital Partners (Manager Meetings, EP.05)

from Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

62m 5s

[REPLAY] Jonathan Lewinsohn – Diameter Capital Partners (Manager Meetings, EP.05)

This Manager Meetings episode features Kristen Van Gelder, Deputy CIO of Evanston Capital, interviewing Jonathan Lewinson, co-founder of Diameter Capital, a $6 billion credit-focused hedge fund. Van Gelder explains how Evanston became a day-one investor in Diameter, citing prior relationships with both founders, their complementary research and trading skill sets, and Evanston's preference for early-stage managers with strong incentive alignment. She describes Diameter as an all-weather credit strategy that serves as ballast in Evanston's concentrated hedge fund portfolio, held today among its top positions. Lewinson recounts his path from investment banking and law to distressed investing at Anchorage and Centerbridge, and the founding of Diameter with Scott Goodwin in 2017. He describes their vision of a flat, process-heavy organization investing long and short across the entire credit spectrum, keeping a liquid, less concentrated book, and being native to markets rather than a tourist. He details how Diameter navigated COVID-19, moving from very long to net short by shorting travel-related businesses, then buying high-quality investment-grade bonds and software loans as the Federal Reserve intervened. He also discusses the secular decline of distressed investing, the importance of shorting for unbiased thinking, and Diameter's goal of delivering equity-like returns with credit-like volatility.

Transcription

12740 Words, 69823 Characters

English
Speaker 1Capital Allocators is brought to you by AlphaSense. Here's something for you. Most AI tools today are very good at sounding right. But can you actually trace it back to a filing, transcript, or specific passage that drove the answer? Or are you just trusting the confidence of the output? For allocators, that's not a minor concern. A missed filing, incorrect source, or context that gets lost somewhere in a retrieval chain aren't edge cases. They're how decisions go wrong. AlphaSense is the AI platform built specifically for this. They own the content. Over 500 million curated documents from broker research and expert transcripts to filings and earnings calls. And they own the retrieval layer on top of it. That means every answer can link back. Back to an exact, verifiable source. Because the answer is only as good as what's underneath it. And with AlphaSense, you know exactly what that is. See it for yourself. Try a free trial at alpha-sense.com slash capital. That's alpha-sense.com with a hyphen in the middle slash capital. Capital Allocators is also brought to you by Morningstar. In a sea of data, you need to know. What you can trust. Morningstar's data, analytics, and research helps bring clarity across public and private markets. Connecting independent research and data into the tools and AI platforms you use every day. So insights are easier to spot and act on. Morningstar. Nothing in your way. Visit morningstar.com slash game on to learn more. Morningstar.com slash game on to learn more. I'm Ted Seides, and this is Manager Meetings. This show is an exploration of investment opportunities. Through conversations with money managers conducted by one of the manager's institutional clients, we'll share the stories and strategies that attracted their attention and capital. You can learn more and join our mailing list at capitalallocators.com.
Speaker 2All opinions expressed by Ted, guest hosts, and podcast guests are solely their own. and do not reflect the opinion of capital allocators or their respective firms. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. Clients of capital allocators, the firms of guest hosts, or podcast guests may maintain positions in securities or managers discussed on this podcast.
Speaker 1On today's Manager Meeting, Kristen Van Gelder speaks with Jonathan Lewinson. Kristen is Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Evanston Capital, a $4 billion hedge fund of funds, whose CEO and CIO, Adam Blitz, was a past guest on the show. She spent the last 18 years at Evanston alongside Adam and the team. Jonathan co-founded Diameter Capital four years ago alongside Scott Goodwin, and today they manage a $6 billion credit-focused hedge fund alongside a billion dollars in CDOs and a billion dollar drawdown fund. The two were colleagues at Anchorage Capital, and Jonathan spent some time at Centerbridge Capital as well before starting Diameter. Their conversation includes insights into the credit markets, Diameter's approach, and how it all comes together. Before we dive in, Kristen and I discuss how Evanston came to back Diameter on day one, and how it fits into their portfolio. Before we get going, I wanted to let you know that we're enrolling the first cohort of Capital Allocators University, a live online course, that starts on September 21st. Rahul Mudgal and I put together a course to help train investment professionals on the skills they need to succeed at the most senior levels of their organizations, but that aren't typically taught in investment curriculum. We'll be joined by an all-star cast of past guests on the show to help you learn foundational skills like time management and public speaking, and value-added ones like decision-making and networking. Hop on the website and click University in the menu to learn more. Kristen, so this is a super interesting conversation, and I thought we'd just frame it out a little bit. It came up in the conversation that you were day one investors with Diameter, and I'd love to hear how you got there.
Speaker 3Yeah, sure. So fortunately, we knew both the co-founders of Diameter, Scott Goodwin and Jonathan Lewinson from their prior firm, both top-tier credit and distressed debt shops, with which Evanston has had, long-duration partnerships as well. So we had some base knowledge of their former roles and responsibilities, their historical successes. We had numerous avenues to corroborate all that through references on our network. So that level of familiarity really led us to engage with Diameter pretty early in their capital formation process. The other factor I would say is just that, in general, at Evanston, early-stage investing has been an emphasis of ours. We really think there's something to be said for the life cycle of a hedge fund, and we think it's important to identify and invest with talent early on. And when the manager is smaller, perhaps more hungry and motivated, and incentives are more aligned around performance-based fees, when they will probably comprise the majority of revenues. So both of those factors really led us to engage early on, and strive towards underwriting the day-one investment.
Speaker 1Preston Pysh : With such a large pool of early-stage managers, how did you decide that this team was the one you wanted to back, and not, say, other comparable early-stage funds?
Speaker 3I'd say it was a few things that attracted us to Diameter, beyond just pedigree, which we thought was phenomenal. First, we think that Scott and John brought really complementary skill sets to what they were trying to start. So Scott comes from. More of a trading background, has more experience in performing credit, while Jonathan has more of a research focus and a lot of expertise in distressed debt and restructuring. So we thought that combination, and Jonathan talks about it a little bit, too, in the interview of research and trading. We thought that combination could be a situation of one plus one equals three. And we also liked that with the two of them and the team that they assembled, they'd have the capability to invest long and short across the full credit spectrum. So from new issues and investment-grade bonds straight through to high-yield and distressed situations. And I'd say we also really liked their preference to maintain a nimble portfolio. They talked a lot about searching for the best liquidity-adjusted way to express their fundamental view and be able to dynamically allocate and change their portfolio, adjusting to opportunity sets and different market environments. So really, the thesis was that all of those factors together could lead to a more consistent return profile versus many other credit funds that tend to be just much more tied to the credit cycle.
Speaker 1You mentioned that you knew them from their prior firms and you had relationships with those prior firms. So how does that play out as you're an investor in these other firms? Now you're looking at a spin-out.
Speaker 3Yeah, I mean, thankfully, we were able to leverage those very good relationships to have very frank conversations about their historical successes at those firms. We did lots of reference checking, and that's helpful because that's what it is with new launches. You don't have a track record to go off of. What you have is maybe some details of prior investments that they were most heavily involved with at their former firms. And so, you know, we have a lot of things that we're still trying to figure out and we're trying to figure out how to do that. And so, you know, one of the things that we're trying to figure out is how do we get the people that we're investing in to feel like they're important to us and that they're important to us in the future? And so, you know, I think that's a big part of what we're trying to figure out is how do we get them to feel like they're important to us in the future? So it was a lot, a lot of reference checking. We did a lot of meetings, of course, with Scott and John. And it was a lot, not just formal talking about the investment approach, but out of the office, getting them in informal situations to learn about their personality. It's because they were going to be co-founders. They were going to be co-portfolio managers. So seeing how the two interacted and getting to know them as people was an important part of the process as well.
Speaker 1And was there any tension on your side with their existing firms?
Speaker 3No, I don't know that there was tension. I don't know that we kept them in the loop necessarily on how our due diligence was unfolding. But they were very gracious about doing reference checks with us. And I think telling us what they truly believe unfiltered.
Speaker 1And did you stay invested with those firms as you added Diameter to your portfolio? We did. As Diameter entered your portfolio and in the subsequent years, how did you think about position sizing and the fit within your portfolio of hedge funds?
Speaker 3So I think you can tell by my comments, we really think of Diameter's flagship fund as an all-weather credit strategy. And with that in mind, we really view it as a ballast in our hedge. in our hedge fund portfolio. So we started out with what I'd say was like a mid allocation. They were kind of middle of the portfolio for us, but we pretty steadily grew that position. Both as our own confidence grew that our thesis was correct, and then it also grew the good way through performance. But today it's among our top holdings.
Speaker 1How did you think about entering a new fund with a mid-sized position as opposed to maybe a smaller position to see how it plays out?
Speaker 3I mean, that's all about our approach. We construct concentrated portfolios. We prefer to do all of our work upfront and gain a lot of conviction and invest in a size that really is going to matter to performance. We don't take toehold positions and see how it works over time. And we don't want to wake up with a portfolio with 80 managers, all of which we have less conviction in. And we think that's a great way to drive performance to the mean. So we try to stay concentrated and take a full position right off the bat.
Speaker 1Lastly, how do you think about their size? As you'll hear, you invested just a couple of years ago when it was a startup, and now they're multiple billions of dollars under management.
Speaker 3So that's the thing is diameter is no longer an emerging manager. They're four years into their business. They've had a lot of success and they've grown. What's going to be important is how they can continue to perform at a larger asset level. They've stayed careful, I think, on capacity. Their main fund is now hard closed. So they're cognizant of the fact that they're the pitfalls of excessive growth. And Jonathan and Scott are both two of the hardest working, most competitive people I've met in what is a very competitive industry. So if there's anyone that can kind of continue to drive these good results, even at a larger asset size, I would bet on them.
Speaker 1Christian, thanks. This is a really great conversation and let's have at it.
Speaker 3Hi, John. Good to see you.
Speaker 4Hey, how are you? Thanks for having me.
Speaker 3Let's just start with your background. And if I could take you back even further than the beginning of your buy side experience and more to your path of how you decided to embark on a career in investing in the first place.
Speaker 4Sure. Well, thanks for the opportunity to chat. Look, I think I was very lucky in that I had a parent who worked on Wall Street. I think a lot of people overlook how important it is for your past dependency, what your background was, and specifically, things you got from your parents. I had a father who was an equity research analyst and we would talk about, when I would talk about business and we would talk about stocks, it happened at an early age. It would be me starting an ice cream store with my friends. How do we finance it? Didn't necessarily help me make friends, but I certainly knew if I had any friends and we were going to start an ice cream store, how we would finance it from an early age. I had a mom who was just really focused on, we didn't do a lot of puzzles in my house, we read. And so the combination of really obsessively finding information and reading and, and always from an early age, just thinking about investing, walking into a supermarket and thinking how they make money is something that I was really lucky to get from my parents. I always talk to people when I interview them. I'm trying to pick up, is this something that this person is passionate about investing? They've been investing kind of as long as they've been walking. And it's not always, it doesn't have to be. You can be a great investor if you came to it at 45, but we're trying to figure out, is investing been something from your whole life? And I've been very lucky that I've been thinking about investing as long as I've been thinking. It was a background that's been very useful to me. And I think that's a really good thing. And I went to college at Cornell. I studied a really broad range of things and I wasn't sure what I was going to do. I went to Morgan Stanley to do investment banking after college. It was, I was in, in the M&A group, I guess, during it's now three recessions ago, the 01 recession. And from there went to Yale law school. I, after law school clerked for a federal judge named Richard Posner on the U S court of appeals, who's a very special guy. He really invented the law and economics profession and field in many ways, learned a lot from him, but also very lucky we were a federal appeals court, federal appeals courts. Don't get bankruptcy cases very often or bankruptcy appeals are not a major part of the docket. We got a few and it hit me that distressed at investing. And we do a lot more than that at diameter, but distressed at investing was a way to combine my passion for investing and my background and interest in law. And again, luck, I had friends who were tangentially related to the space. I had one friend in the space. They made introductions. Most people turned me away, frankly, because I was a bit of a weird candidate. I'd been an investment banker. I'd never been an investor. And I was lucky to be given a chance to become a distressed debt investor, Anchorage capital to take, frankly, a risk on me. And thankfully it worked out.
Speaker 3You never thought about being an attorney, actually practicing law, going to law school.
Speaker 4I worked for a summer at a great firm, Wachtell Lipton. But what I saw over the summer made me realize that I wasn't going to be learning about the broad areas of things that I wanted to do. So what I like about the way we invest in the skips ahead is we do a lot of things in credit that are in the shadow of the law. Right. Whether bankruptcy is coming or there's going to be litigation or what a document says. But that's not it. I also need to know what the price of oil is going to be. And I need to know what the regulation around oil is going to be. Or I need to have a view on European GDP or how many sneakers a company is going to sell. And I really was attracted to a job that would allow me to do a lot more. And so that's how I ended up not practicing law.
Speaker 3So let's talk about you have that first break into the hedge fund industry, into distressed investing at Anchorage. What was that experience like?
Speaker 4Everyone really needs to. Spend time in their life thinking about what makes me work hard, what excites me. And I had this realization while I was actually a summer associate at a law firm that I was a very hard worker in school, always probably put in a little more effort than I needed to and was not necessarily when I was working, when I was at Morgan Stanley or I was at Wachtell Lipton, I did what I needed to do to get by, but I didn't have that intensity to kind of work as many hours as it took. And I realized that I needed to be in an environment that was flatter, that was more entrepreneurial. I really started there with what's going on in industries. This was early 07. And I was assigned to cover the auto industry. Well, before the explosion in the auto industry in 08, 09, my boss at the time, Tony Davis said, I want you to figure out how many cars we should sell in the United States. And it feels like a bit of a crazy question, but instead of first going to look at General Motors or Ford or American Axle or Lear, we first said, we built a model to think how many cars should we sell? And I think being fresh to the space, an industry that had sold the same number of cars for many, many years, people had gotten a little, you know, a little bit more classified in their thinking. And so we developed a view that we were overselling the number of cars that would be in a normal environment. And that allowed us to then do bottoms up cost work on auto companies and realize they were very, very exposed or fragile to any change in the environment. So we weren't predicting a financial crisis. We frankly weren't predicting the demise of the American auto industry, which happened soon thereafter. But that combination of industry top-down work with bottoms up work on companies is something that I was taught there and really served me and that firm well in the financial industry.
Speaker 3What were some of the key lessons over that time there that you took with you as your career
Speaker 4progressed? You have to always be obsessed with how the macro environment could change. We are all creatures that are very, I think, biased towards what's happening right now. And that makes a lot of sense because what's happening right now is what we know. And there's a huge amount of behavior literature that a lot of people who listen to this podcast and others are familiar with. But what I realized was, I think, two things. One, you have to constantly be thinking about the downside protection in what you invest in. So instead of just always looking, a lot of people say, oh, I want to invest in something I can make 20% in. But you have to obsessively say, if the macroeconomic context changes, how much am I going to lose? And how crowded is this investment going to be? And how differently are my other opportunities going to be that I need dry powder for? Even between, frankly, when Bear Stearns went in March of 08 and Lehman went in September of 08, there was a period of time where assets seemed cheap because they were cheaper than they were. In fact, things like senior secure bank debt, which is the absolute capital structure, which always, you know, or normally trades at par was trading in the high 80s. But by Christmas, it was in the 50s. And of course, that was a financial crisis. That's hopefully for all of us as citizens of the world, a once in a lifetime experience. But that obsessiveness over thinking about how much you can lose, as much as you think about how much you can make, was really kind of knocked into me by going through that. I think the other thing is that you really want to think about companies and processes as narratives. When things are going badly, the people are going to assume that the equity is going to be wiped out and the junior debt is going to be wiped out. And maybe the senior debt is going to own the business. But as the economy improves, that narrative changes very quickly. And understanding investing as narrative, not just for the long term about how a company will improve or how, you know, Amazon will go last mile and transform the way we do things, but actually within the macroeconomic cycle, how the narrative around a company will change is really, really important to security selection.
Speaker 3And you at Anchorage, I went short a lot of companies and then pivoted and went long, made a lot of profits on both sides. That's not something that is easily done.
Speaker 4Thank you. You know, my dad, as I mentioned before, was an equity research analyst, and he used to always tell me shorting is un-American. So I think talking about shorting and particularly what a lot of equity market participants went through this year with GameStop, I think is not necessarily the easiest thing to do. But in our business, both where I started my career and now at Diameter, spend a lot of time thinking about how technical transformation, policy volatility, and changes in cycles are going to change businesses and impact businesses. And so much time is spent on picking the winners, right? We all spend a lot of time thinking about Silicon Valley, venture capital, who's going to make the robotic butcher that's going to change all of our lives. But our job many ways is also thinking about who are the losers. And so thinking through how a company loses and how their capital structure might not be able to withstand a very small change. Like going back to that autos example from a decade ago, when we did the work, we said, wow, we're selling 16 million cars a year in the US as of 2007. We don't think General Motors can make any money if we sell less than 15 and a half, right? We went to eight during the financial crisis. More recently, just understanding on Hertz, which was a name that, look, in February of 2020, Hertz was not primed to do well when everyone was going to be grounded at home and there would be no transactions in used cars. Today, Hertz is primed to do very well because they have far fewer cars and people want to travel like it's the end of the world. Understanding the ability to be in different securities at different times of their cycles and really know the companies well is something that's great about credit and about having a mandate that you as our LP gives us to kind of be both long and short. But I will tell you, it is much more fun, much more rewarding to make money long and to participate in a company adding value for a lot of people.
Speaker 3I do want to get into diameter, but before we do, let's talk a little bit about what you're doing. What are you doing? What are you doing? What are you doing? What about your second stop in your buy-side career at Centerbridge? Even more focused on distressed and restructuring as a specialty. You kind of went further into the distressed world before pivoting to come back and be truly flexible.
Speaker 4Yeah. I think another lesson that I learned is I got to Anchorage knowing nothing and eventually it succeeded. The firm really grew. We went from a small amount of capital to, I think, $13 billion in the main product, learned a huge amount, but I didn't spend any time managing my career. I just put my head down and worked. And then I was lucky to meet the guys who run Centerbridge, Marco Logli and Jeff Aronson, really just excellent people. And I realized that part of having a career is learning different things. And diameter is more like this, that we first think about how many toasters is this company going to sell? And do we think they can sell more toasters? And then later thinks about, might we use credit markets and distressed credit or stress credit to buy this more cheaply than, say, the equity markets? Whereas Centerbridge, which is also an amazing firm, thinks more about, okay, what's the capital structure? Who's a winner? Who's a loser in that capital structure? What's a document that really has a lot of holes in it? And then later kind of thinks about, oh, is it a steel company or is it a sock company or is it a toaster business? And I felt it would be helpful to learn those skills. And what I'd say is, you see the inside of a kitchen and you say, I'll never eat out again. Learning some of the unholy acts, distress. And I was at Centerbridge and then thinking about some of the things I owned earlier in my career, it was, I think, an interesting wake-up call. But I also think it was generational a little bit. The distressed debt market, which is part of what we do at Diameter now, really started because it was totally inefficient. No one knew really that much about bankruptcy. Bankruptcy advisors was a small group of people, particularly, God help you if you just had claims against a bankrupt company, you didn't know what to do with them. And so we're a group of really smart firms in the 90s and the early 2000s who created businesses in understanding that and was different than a word in another document and that could be worth huge sums of money. Over time, that market became more efficient. And so you've had to not only focus on the liability side, all firms, no matter Anchorage, Centerbridge, all the others, they've all kind of over time morphed to, you really need in this competitive world to understand assets, understand liabilities, and get everything right in order to make money. And it's been interesting in my career to watch kind of the maturation of the industry. And frankly, and this is part of why we do a lot more than distressed at Diameter, really kind of the secular decline of the distressed industry. Because if you think about what makes distressed interesting is you want to buy a business that's going through a difficult time for a short period, good company, bad balance sheet, that just doesn't exist as much anymore. It's because credit is readily available. We're obviously now in an incredibly strong economy. We are blessed most of the time to be in growing economies. And more and more, the businesses that are in distress are not things that are pies that shrunk for a little and then are ready to grow. They are pies that are always shrinking, maybe a coal company, for example. And if you're fighting for pieces of a pie that are growing, it's a lot easier than fighting for pieces of a pie that are shrinking. And we think that most companies that end up in distress outside of recessions are bad businesses. And generally, investing in bad businesses is not a good business for you. And so that's why in a year like 2020, where there was sadly for the world a lot of distressed, we got very involved in rental car companies and airlines and cruise lines. But for most of 17, 18, 19, we were just involved in a few situations on the sidelines and spending more time on credit. And so I think that's one of the things that's really important to think about when you're thinking about performing credit in other areas of the credit markets.
Speaker 3Maybe you could talk a little bit about meeting your partner and co-founder and diameter Scott Goodwin. You worked together at Anchorage and how the two of you kind of came together, what your vision was in founding diameter, what you thought you could do differently. I mean, most investors really think of credit, I think, as highly cyclical, especially distressed investing. But diameter, you think of as truly all weather. And so how you set out to be able to perform and all different types of market environments.
Speaker 4We met at Anchorage. He had run the high yield business at Citi. He came to Anchorage in 2010. And I'll let you in on a dirty secret. In most instances, traders and analysts do not like each other, or at the very least exist with like a cold peace because the traders believe that the analysts are eggheads who want to work at a think tank and can't really make money or can't really if they make money, they make money over the long term. They can't think about shifting around, et cetera. And the analysts think that the traders are fast money guys who just talk to their friends and don't really think deeply about businesses. And as a result of having those different type of personalities, usually the firm that they're at prioritizes one or two of those priorities or skill sets. And therefore there's tension and one is elevated above the other. At Anchorage, Scott and I were very lucky to work at a place that really wanted both, really wanted to see both skill sets and really prioritize both skill sets to reflect the skill sets of the founders of the firm. That was one. Luke Gromen : But two, I think that when Scott was brought in to create a performing credit business, they thought that I would be focused at the time I was on the investment committee. I was spending a lot of time on our stress and distress positions in North America and Scott was going to build a performing credit business. I think they thought we would maybe meet each other in the bathroom, maybe at the kitchen. We wouldn't really engage that much, but we liked each other. More importantly than that, we realized that Scott is someone who can tell you why a bond trade where it does, where it might trade tomorrow, how people sell it, when they sell, where they'll sell through, what will cause them to sell, all those technical dynamics. But he starts with what's the industry, what's the company. And on top of that, I think he realizes that if you know a lot of market technicals, what you're really doing is you are doing reversion to the mean trading. Something is down a few points, you figure it'll go back up. Something is up a few points, you think it'll go back down. That happens most of the time, but then it doesn't. And when it doesn't happen, you explode. And a lot of trading only focused businesses eventually explode when the reversion to the mean doesn't work. Particularly now where there's so much technological change that it formerly stable industries become very different in a short period of time. And so his insight was if I can have research to think about performing credit, the way they think about stress and distress and equity, and really only provide liquidity to the market when I like the company, that will put me in a totally different league. And I am someone who spent a lot of time in stress and distress. I was head of research at Anchorage for North America and thinking deeply about the fact that I didn't like distressed. I thought distressed was episodic, that I wanted to do it occasionally. I wanted to do it when we saw a cyclical situation, but not have to be figuring out, how to get a little bit of money out of a coal company or a declining Yellow Pages company. We really formed a partnership there. We joked we were middle management below the guys who ran the firm to day-to-day allocate the analyst time and build an integrated performing credit and distress business. As you mentioned, I left Anchorage in 2013 to go to Centerbridge, but we never stopped talking. In fact, this is, I guess, interesting thing to come out with now, but it's been enough time. I think the statute of limitation is over. When you leave a firm, it's not that easy to just call back. Everyone sits on a trading desk and your name is screamed out across the desk, so-and-so is on the phone. I wanted to talk to Scott. I miss Scott's market insights. Scott is a very big ACC basketball fan, and I'm Jewish. We're the same age. We were class of '97 in high school. If you're our age and you have those maybe backgrounds and interests, you will remember that Tamir Goodman was on the cover of Sports Illustrated sometime in the late '90s as maybe it was the Jewish Jordan or the next thing. He got a scholarship to the University of Maryland, and so I knew about it. Scott knew about it, and so I would routinely call to Anchorage from Centerbridge as Tamir Goodman. We both live in lower Manhattan, and we would meet. There's a really good brunch place called Bubby's in Tribeca, and we have kids around the same age, and we would meet most weekends for brunch with our kids. In fact, a conference room in our office now is called the Bubby's Conference Room, and talk about credit and talk about markets and talk about what we thought we could do. To bring your question full circle, we were ready by 2016 to do this in our careers. We thought we were ready to do this in our careers. We thought we had the experience and the knowledge and the ideas to manage the portfolios, to run a business, but that really doesn't matter. You need to offer something to LPs. There's plenty of people who are ready to do something that LPs don't need any more of. The thing that we realized is that if we took our skill sets and we said, look, credit is a place where there is discontinuous liquidity. So if I want to go buy Microsoft stock, it's pretty easiest to buy and sell Microsoft stock. And liquidity changes as you go through different levels and of equity. And I am by no means an expert in equities, particularly in equity technical trading. But credit really is an old school way where traders talk to each other or direct over instant message over Bloomberg to make trades and to make live markets. And we realized that there weren't firms that were small enough to be nimble in that environment, to be able to really move the book, participate in new issue markets, be able to short when appropriate, but also large enough to be relevant, relevant to the banks, relevant to restructuring advisors, and putting that together in a package, the large enough to be relevant, small enough to be nimble, in a package that provided investors that kind of a cross-credit experience. And so that's what we set out to do. This was in early 2017. And the idea really is, and what we kind of think about as investing is, we have a very flat organization. Scott and I work directly with our analysts who know the industry really well. Again, I made the joke earlier that a lot of private equity firms are paramilitary environments. They have to be. The different levels, the associate, the vice president, the principal, the partner, they need to be doing different things in a deal. We think that in hedge funds, you really need a flat organization. You need portfolio managers who are really engaged, there every day, pouring through materials, and you need to sit with an analyst who knows something about the industry and the company, and you combine that judgment and that portfolio construction with an analyst who knows things about the company, and you have something that really works. And so we've endeavored to put that together here. When you think of what we do is trying to be relevant in credit markets, investing across credit markets, a lot of investment grade, a lot of high yield, a lot of stress, a lot of distressed. But doing it in a manner that we don't want to take over companies, we think that too many hedge funds who did credit thought that all of a sudden they were in private equity and they can improve businesses. We don't think that that's our skill set. Frankly, we think if we think we can improve it, it probably means that other people who really could failed at it, and it's not a good point. And that kind of breadth of doing it within credit is really what is our hallmark.
Speaker 1Capital Allocators is also brought to you by Juniper Square, the operations partner trusted by the leading private market GPs. One theme that keeps coming up on the show is GPs that build the strongest and most durable relationships with LPs are the ones that have both strong returns and strong operations. AI raises the stakes on operations, and having Juniper Square as your operations partner helps ensure your data is organized, accurate and accessible so you can unlock operational alpha. That's why thousands of GPs trust Juniper Square. Learn more at junipersquare.com slash capital allocators.
Speaker 3Yeah, that flexibility to invest across the full credit spectrum. I think often you hear managers talk about it, but it's more difficult to implement in practice. You tend to see, especially as firms get bigger, individuals on the team start to specialize within different credit products. And it depends on team structure and incentives, whether you're able to flexibly allocate capital. And it depends on team structure and incentives, whether you're able to flexibly allocate capital across and between those teams. So that's something I think that's been unique about Diameter. You could use even like the last year plus as an example of how you were able to maneuver the portfolio very quickly in a market backdrop that obviously changed at the drop of a dime.
Speaker 4What's interesting about hedge funds, I mean, in many ways, hedge funds are a dirty word. And partially that's because hedge funds have failed to deliver over the long term and what the promise was. Which was some kind of a smooth return, some kind of hedge, some kind of volatility protection. And in many ways, what a hedge fund is supposed to be is a macro product, is saying to investors, we think that in different environments, ups and downs, we don't have to be that different in what we return because that's how we are constructing a portfolio. And I think many hedge funds across different types of asset classes instead kind of fell in love with this notion is I am a stock picker or I am a long credit picker and I'm going to find the trend and I'm going to absorb volatility. But a hedge fund at its core. Is not supposed to absorb volatility, it's supposed to be able to trade volatility and make money even in periods of volatility going into the COVID crisis, which, of course, none of us knew was coming. We had really prized a few things in our credit portfolio management. First, keep a very liquid book, something I really learned at Anchorage, too. When markets get very frothy, illiquids become in vogue and they end up not returning a lot. If all of a sudden you're being pitched a lot of 9% illiquids, you maybe really want to realize that you're. Creating a situation where if the world changes, you're going to have no flexibility in your portfolio. So really, we kept the book very liquid. Secondly, we hear from a lot of people that they want to concentrate. They always want concentrated portfolios. You want to, you know, especially in an expensive market, you want to have big positions. It's hard to find something good. Well, guess what? Everyone is smart. Everyone has the same resources. If you find something in public markets, the odds are a few other people who have the same background as you, the same education, the same Bloomberg subscription can listen to the same podcasts have found it, too. And so. What I think is that generally analysts are very bad at thinking about downside protection. And so if, for example, let's use a stock because it's just easier. An analyst comes to a portfolio manager and says, Hey, I think that this stock trades at 30. It's worth 50. Wow. It's amazing. I can buy something at 30. It's worth 50. So say, well, what happens if you're wrong? Well, good news. Really good news. There are the comps trade at 27. M&A deal was on the table for 26 and we could do a dividend recap worst case and we'll get 22. You look at that up down. And you say. If I make 20 between three and eight and I make 20, I'm going to make that a big position. Well, it turns out that if the cycle changes while you're in there, there's no M&A, the comps get destroyed. There's no dividend recap. Every other manager had the same position with the same thesis and they all go and sell and you have to exit the thing at 14. And so we really believe that we wanted to have, particularly in a bull market, a less concentrated book, which requires us to have a bigger analyst team. It requires Scott and I, you know, we review the portfolio every Sunday night, going through it really in detail to make sure that we can have a lot of positions and not necessarily have five, six, seven, 8% positions. So why does that make sense for how we reacted to COVID? We came into 2020 very bullish. We were probably as long as we'd ever been on a beta adjusted basis. We thought that it would be the year of Trump was running for reelection. The trade wars would ebb, industrial production was really ready to pick up. We really liked some energy situations. And then Scott and I actually went away together to celebrate his 40th birthday at the end of January with our spouses. And they shut Wuhan. While we were there. And we realized two things: A, we knew Wuhan because we'd been so focused on the trade wars the year before that we'd become very in tune with the important set areas in China for trade and for production. And they shut Wuhan and 5 million people had left, they said, before they shut it. And our take was, if this was bad enough to shut Wuhan in this really important recovery year, but 5 million people already got out, people are not taking this seriously enough. And so we got home and we sold a lot of our lungs, particularly things in very cyclical ways, like energy and travel. And it's part of, again, having a liquid book. We were not hired to do private equity. We were not hired to create idiosyncratic illiquid securities, which a lot of people who have our mandate got into because there was not a lot to do. Instead, we trade a lot. We'd use velocity of trading the year before. We don't use a lot of borrowed money. We were able to really move the book. And then we got into February. We had sold a lot of our lungs. We had moved our grosses down and our nets down. We like to move our gross expenses down. We moved our exposure down as well when things are about to get choppy. And the world still wasn't really recognizing the threat. You had the cruise ship that was marooned, but by mid-February, markets were rallying. And we could put on shorts of travel-related businesses that have negative working capital. So this is a little wonky, but hotels, you pay, or airlines, you pay before you go. That means if their revenue goes away, the opposite happens. They burn a huge amount of cash when revenue goes down. So we were in a position to be shorting many of these businesses at between $80 million and $85 million and par. This is in the middle of February. Sure enough, two weeks later, by the end of February, the world's on fire. Let's say, again, this is a little esoteric, but let's say we were shorting five-year bond in the middle of February at $90 million in a travel-related company. By the end of February, that bond has traded down to $50 million. And then we're being able to be in a position to short the one-year bonds or the one-year credit default swaps of those companies at similarly high prices, and then see them collapse a week later, because all of a sudden, liquidity in the market is going down. Everyone was afraid every company in travel would go bankrupt. And so we really were able to take what was a book that was very long and bring it actually net short into March by having liquid longs, having a view that the market was mispricing risk in particularly in the travel industry. And so we made money in January, 2020. We made money in February, 2020. And then in March, we realized that the federal government response to this was going to have to be enormous, and we thought that the. There were a lot of signs that the Federal Reserve would buy investment-grade bonds in the next crisis. And so we started buying investment-grade bonds in middle of March. So again, in our business, a lot of firms want to do distressed because they think it's an interesting way to control businesses or to buy things cheaply. Our view is at the beginning of a sell-off, the worst thing you could do is buy the lowest dollar price, crappiest companies. If you were a company that traded, let's say you were an oil company that was trading at 75 in January of 2020, and was trading at 25. In March of 2020, that's not interesting to us because you're a really bad business, most likely. Instead, what we want to do is we want to, in the beginning of a sell-off, buy the highest quality. So we spent March buying investment-grade bonds, McDonald's bonds down 20 points, Starbucks bonds down 20 points, and buying software loans, loans of companies that do enterprise software, that even if there was a type of recession we thought that could come, would never miss a payment, again, in the mid-70s to low-80s, and we were able to, therefore, the book again by late March and belong the highest quality all the things I've ever been long in my life by a long shot and take advantage of what we thought was going to be a real policy-oriented turnaround. And the last thing I'd say is that, again, last year was an unprecedented year. We have a new issue business at Diameter. So we look at every single high-yield new issue, many of the investment-grade new issues. We have traders who are native to those markets. We never want to be a tourist in a market. And so all of a sudden, last April, instead of companies getting rescued by large private equity-style firms writing rescue checks with warrants and all these exciting things, instead, you had the first-ever syndicated rescue market where, thanks to the Fed, banks brought rescue deals for companies to sell to mutual funds and hedge funds. And because we are native to that market, this became the best opportunity just for alpha that we'd ever seen, buying investment-grade bonds at spreads that really had not been seen in real-time. And so, you know, I think that's a really good thing. Real companies of consequence, from Wells Fargo to Cisco Foods, in a period of real intense stress, we were able to be served with amazing allocations. Because again, our model is, don't be a tourist, know the people in every space. When that space gets interesting, investment-grade became the most interesting place in the world in April and May, and it led to outsized returns. So that is a, I guess, characteristically long-winded answer to your question. But it was all about seeing COVID early, which we'll not always do. There'll be plenty of things in the world that happen that we'll miss. But having a liquid book, being focused on trading, being native to a lot of markets, and being willing to think about our hedge fund as a product that's supposed to produce returns all the time, as opposed to something that's supposed to absorb volatility.
Speaker 3It was obviously a special year. I know you even wrote an internal blog, sort of a COVID tracker during the pandemic, which we only saw one entry, but we thought it was so impressive. I mean, do you use that method of writing down your thoughts or sharing written thoughts with the team? Is that consistently part of your business? Is that a part of your business? Or was that just really like, this is a special situation?
Speaker 4I did write an internal COVID blog that I guess some of our LPs saw. It still exists in the ether. It was not a normal thing. We believe that you can't just outsource your knowledge of this to Twitter or to equity research or to newspapers. If you're going to commit the holy capital from your LPs, you need to really understand what's going on. And why I think I have the best job in the world. And I think I have the best job in the world. oil spill, or there's an election in France, we have to be expert in it. And so we endeavor to really track COVID very closely, develop our own ways to do it. And writing about it was the way for me to summarize to the team what was going on, because it was just so enormous. Stop doing it at the end of the year, because once the vaccines came, COVID obviously still exists. And there've been many really tragic deaths since November. But COVID as like a market, think of market importance really kind of shifted to the backseat. We write a letter every quarter, we put a lot of time and effort into it. And then we write a letter every quarter, we put a lot of time and effort into it, it's probably too long. But writing is a very helpful thing to boil down very complicated things to yourself and to prove to yourself that you're right. Because when you write, you usually need sources. How do I know this? Where do I know this from? And in that COVID blog, we had links to everything that we got it from every academic paper. And what you don't realize is most of the stuff in your head is BS. Most of the stuff in your head may be a little wrong in the way you remember it. Everything is based on your biases. We're obsessed with getting that. And so if you do what you do when you write, it really makes sure that you're not bogus. And so that's a little bit why we do it.
Speaker 3I mean, in a more normal year, how would you describe the relative importance between the macro views, the thematic views versus the pure bottom-up research and security
Speaker 4selection? At the end of the day, you want to invest in good businesses and you need to really understand the businesses. And as you pointed out, most of the time, macro is boring. We think it's crucial to always have a really deep macro view. We're not a macro fund. We don't make currency trades. We don't make rates trades. We don't make a lot of money. We think that companies operate in the ecosystem of the macro world. So if someone comes to me and says, I find department stores interesting. I want to buy the stock or bond of a department store, or I want to sell the stock or bond of the department store. They can't come to us and say, oh, I think same store sales will be up 4%. That's why I'm bullish. Or I think they'll be down 4%. That's why I'm bearish. It has to be, here's personal consumption expenditure in the Let's say jewelry and apparel. What percentage of that is done at department stores? And then what's the share of those various department stores? And we're obsessed with putting our companies in macroeconomic context. So you really need both. And I think a real comparative advantage for us is always thinking about what's going on in the economy. What are all the trading technicals in the market? We understand who's buying, selling and why they're doing it. And really kind of management and trading together. We really partner with the banks so they can call Scott and he's making the trades and they know that he can give them an answer right away because we know a lot of names and we know the industries we like, and we know the industries we don't like. And that partnership allows us to move quickly. And ultimately everyone's smart. Cycles are short. Speed of capital is crucial. You can't be fast and smart if you're not thinking about macro and
Speaker 3micro. Yeah. We've talked about that speed of execution as a source of alpha. You need to have breadth of research to do that well. And you've built out your team now, but when you were first starting the firm, obviously you got to start somewhere. The team was smaller. Assets were smaller too, but was that a concern of yours? How did you get over that hump of not having that breadth initially?
Speaker 4When we were hiring those analysts, we were in a windowless room in the middle of Manhattan in a rental office space that advertised itself as cheaper than a WeWork. It really wasn't the place to be recruiting an analyst team. And we found, I think really strong analysts. Most of them are still with us. What was interesting, a real learning to me though, is that the type of analyst or type of person who wants to join a startup is very, very different than the type of person who I may have interacted with at Anchorage and Centerbridge, which were established firms. From the beginning, Diameter launched with about a billion dollars. We ran a very process heavy business because we're obsessed with this preparation that you're hearing over and over. Earnings previews and earnings reviews. Once a year, our analysts have to go offsite and produce a primary data only view on their industry. Very intense watch lists. We do a goals for the week every Monday with every analyst. Not everyone who wants to work at a hedge fund wants all that process. They kind of a little bit want, if I'm going to a startup hedge fund, I maybe want to work on a credit in the morning and help you move the desk in the afternoon. And that's a great personality trait, but it doesn't always work for a very, very process heavy firm like we are. With some people, we realized early on that we'd mutually made a mistake. And I'm proud that people who have worked here have gone on to get really, really great jobs. And I don't think we've had people here who aren't talented, but in any business, it takes time to think through the best team for you. And look, my partner, Scott and I, we're, we're both really demanding in different ways. So we're really grateful that we have what we think is across the board, the strongest research and training team around.
Speaker 3With your emphasis on liquidity, you've remained very selective on the distress situations you've gotten involved in. When you think of the ones that you have done, what has been about those situations that's kind of met that very high bar, the willingness to take on some illiquidity in an individual position?
Speaker 4Sure. I mentioned earlier that I'm not an analyst. I'm not an analyst. I'm not an analyst. I'm not mentioned before a little bit that we think that the distressed debt markets are broken in the sense that it can be in and of itself a huge asset class. And the reason distressed is broken, and this is a way of kind of telling you what we will do, the things that don't fail these tests, is we used to have long, real cycles. I really think part of being a Federal Reserve governor or being in any central bank used to be, well, a recession is an inevitable part. It's part of the economic cycle. Now, I think people who work at central banks want to avoid recessions really at all costs. And that means they throw everything at it to avoid it. And when we're in it, we just saw unprecedented act after unprecedented act. So cycles are short. So you're not going to have a chance to buy companies that frequently. And on top of that, distressed businesses are generally value stocks or value businesses, companies that are going through a problem. This is a podcast, so you can't see charts. But if we did put up a chart, it'd be very easy to find one where you saw how growth has totally just trumped value. And there's really nothing worse to public equity than to have a recession. And that's what we're doing. Then a reorganized equity that's less liquid than a regular equity that just went through bankruptcy and is a value stock. So through that lens, we've realized that we really only want to invest in distressed when the company is involved in some kind of cyclical problem. And by the way, most of the time, there's going to be a cyclical and a secular. Earlier in my career, for example, I invested in a textbook manufacturer. This was after the 08-09 recession. States were in bad shape after that recession, and they didn't buy textbooks. And so that was very bad for textbooks. And so if you fast forwarded to 2013, it had been a number of years. The recession was really over. States were able to buy textbooks, and the common core was being rolled out. And so we thought, wow, now will be a good cyclical time to buy textbooks, even though we knew digital textbooks were coming down the pike and eventually would have its problem. And so that investment worked for a while because they had great 13, 14, 15, but eventually the secular caught up. We really want to focus on investments where A, it's cyclical, and B, we can get out before the secular takes over. And so what that has really meant is during COVID, rental car companies like Hertz in the United States and Europe Car in Europe, LATAM, which is an airline in Latin America that filed for bankruptcy in the United States, cruise lines that we thought would eventually come back, hotels that we thought would eventually come back, and really avoiding. For example, during the crisis, JCPenney filed for bankruptcy. They would have filed most likely anyway, a few years later. Intelsat filed for bankruptcy. They would have filed for bankruptcy. Anyway, those are not situations that we got ourselves involved in. The other thing that I think has to be a little bit of the hallmark, the way we approach it is for a long time in distress, you wanted to be the biggest guy because the biggest guy could control the process and really get goodies for him or herself from the process, an extra kiss of equity from what you were owed or a backstop fee. These are terms that will be familiar to people in the distressed investing community. What it's come to mean is, A, like in anything that's been competed down, there are more big firms who can offer it. And so it's less valuable. And secondly, you end up with a position you can never exit because you own 20, 30% of a tranche. So we want to be in a position where we can be influential in the bankruptcy. We can serve on an ad hoc committee, but we can trade it afterwards and we can maybe get out of it once the bankruptcy is over and not have to sit and reorg equity. We want it to be cyclical. If it's an industry that is going through long-term problems like retail, we want there to be something else other than just same-store sales were down. So in retail, we invested in Clare stores, which we really liked the fact that even though mall traffic was down a lot, we were able to buy Clare's senior secure debt at 50 cents on the dollar in 2017. And they have the highest market share in the country by a long shot in ear piercing. You can not yet do ear piercing online. And on top of that, it's a store that has real niche appeal in the sense that so many American women, maybe the first thing they ever did was buy something in Clare's. We got really involved in PetSmart because they own Chewy.com. But generally, we stayed away from retail that was suffering because brick and mortar retail is oversupplied. So it's cyclical. It's can we be influential in the bankruptcy without having to control it? And can we eventually exit before the fact that this is probably merely an okay company before that kind of hits?
Speaker 3Is there a limit at which you think, in another distressed cycle, the total amount you could have in distressed in the main hedge fund?
Speaker 4No, because you never know what the cycles will bring. So there's one thing distressed, let's say, is an asset class where the companies are restructuring. But then they're stressed, which are companies that are maybe going to restructure. We think that's actually the best place to be because the performing credit guys are nervous about it. It smells a little. And they're not in the business of owning things they're going to restructure. But maybe the dollar price isn't quite low enough for the distressed to be able to restructure. And then they're going to be like, "Oh, I'm going to have to pay a lot of money off for the distressed specialists to get involved." And so we really like that area. But I think, look, we've had in the mid-30s percent of the book in the main fund during the peak of COVID in distressed. But we could have more than that, and then add another 30% to 40% of the book in stressed. Again, the idea is we want to be able to provide returns that are the best available returns in credit in that given year. And so last year, that meant a lot of, at the beginning of the year, shorting, then a lot of investment grade, and then a lot of distressed. And in other years, it's going to look very different. What we really try to do is we provide a return, you can think about that is between credit and equity with the volatility of credit. To date, we've managed to come closer to equity in terms of the returns, but that's really the idea, nomadically move across credit and sometimes have huge distressed allocations and other times be very small.
Speaker 3Yeah. I do want to talk a little bit about your approach to shorting. It can be difficult shorting credit, not just because of the negative carry profile, but also being able to scale positions to have a real impact. What's the role of shorting in your portfolio? Is it more opportunistic, episodic? Is it something more consistent? So look,
Speaker 4again, I think having what the world went through, what equity investors went through in January with GameStop, we believe that shorting is part of investing in the sense that you really want to be able to think about things going well and things going badly. An interview question that I ask people is, you want to know how many cars you're going to sell in the United States in two years. Who would you rather ask? The CEO, General Motors or our Autos Analyst? Okay. If I ask most people in private equity, I think they would say the CEO of General Motors. The right answer for me is our Autos Analyst. If I want to know how many cars we're going to sell in six months, I want to speak to the CEO of General Motors, but now I'm restricted from trading most likely. If I want to know maybe about auto technology, obviously she's the one to talk to, but she's long. That's the only way. And that creates a bias because if you own a company, if you manage a company, you think it's going to do well. The freedom to think long and short is really what allowed us to realize that COVID was really bad and then turn around and say, we still think COVID is really bad, but the Federal Reserve just said they're going to buy investment grade bonds and high LDTFs. Everything is going up. And so we think that you need to be, in order to be a complete investor and in order to be really unbiased, you need the freedom to come out. Anytime you look at something and say, I think this is a long, or I think this is a short. The other thing we really focused on is, we've talked a lot about macro on this podcast, but we really believe that in most normal times, it's micro cycles. It's Meredith Whitney blowing up the muni bond market. It's the energy crisis in 2015 and '16. It's healthcare being scared around, will the ACA come? Then we'll be revoked. It's the retail micro cycle that we've been through. It's what's going on in the convergence in telecom and understanding when industries in particular, not just companies, really industries are about to really, really go through bad changes because they have too much debt. We think is a really important way to consistently make money. And so our portfolio, we don't really think about shorts as hedges. We think about them as ways to make money in companies that no longer make money the way they used to. Because again, we think about each company, each industry, how is it changing? How is it being affected? Does it have too much debt? Think about how many industries that used to be stable have been totally disintermediated by technology. What's happened to wireline telecom or parts of media that used to be considered the best cash flowing businesses. And so we think shorting is not only important to keep being unbiased, but it's crucial part of a portfolio. Robert Leonard : Because you can consistently make money because every single year, companies break and companies fail to perform the way they were supposed to.
Speaker 3I want to make sure that I get to Ted's customary closing questions. So there'll be a little bit of a lightning round. So what is your favorite hobby or activity outside of work and family?
Speaker 4I like to run a lot. I was in the helpful position that I didn't use my body much for physical activity in most of my twenties and early thirties. So by the time I got into my early thirties, it was timed and ready. And I ran the marathon in 2018 and I run a lot and I listened to podcasts. And I think about the world. It's a real opportunity time, not so much an outlet, but to learn because I can listen to audio books at 2x speed or podcasts at 2x speed. And it's an important part of my day.
Speaker 3I remember the 2x speed part. I don't think anyone will be able to listen to you on 2x speed.
Speaker 4Robert Leonard : God help them.
Speaker 3What is your most important daily habit?
Speaker 4Robert Leonard : Flossing.
Speaker 3What is your biggest personal pet peeve?
Speaker 4Robert Leonard : I hate having to make conversation for long periods of time with people you don't know. Thankfully with COVID that didn't happen much. So maybe I would welcome that opportunity.
Speaker 3Okay. So what is your biggest investment pet peeve?
Speaker 4Robert Leonard : So that's easier. So investing is about narrative. It needs to be about narrative. It needs to be how is the company going to change? How's the economy going to change? How is the capital structure going to change? But too often we adjust the narrative for correlation and causation factors. So for example, this company used to have a market share of 50%. Then they stopped investing in CapEx capital expenditures because they were LBOed and their market share went to 40%. Our business plan is we are going to reinvest in CapEx to get the market share back. Robert Leonard : Maybe, but maybe also just to get the market share back. Maybe, but maybe also just to get the market share back. Maybe, but maybe also during that period of time, things changed. Maybe a competitor opened with a much better product, or maybe there was a substitute that developed. And so I think this consistent attempt to create narratives where they might not be really annoys me as a portfolio manager. Laura Mar : What is your favorite book? Robert Leonard : So the book that has the most impact on me, I grew up in a non-TV house, so we had to read a lot of books. I have a lot of favorite books. But the book that has had the most recent impact on me, let's say, is called Everybody Lies. It's by Seth Stevens Davidovich, I think his name is. And basically what he points out is that nobody really knows what they want in many ways. And he uses a lot of Facebook and Google data that he was given to analyze really interesting things, such as how weather impacts people. I know you're in Chicago. You will be dismayed to learn that people going into Google and asking about suicidal thoughts happens much often in cold environments and warm environments. Laura Mar : I believe it. Robert Leonard : And what it really impacted for me is polls are not really relevant. In COVID, for example, we'd get all these polls, "Oh, people can't wait to return to cruises," or, "People are not going to go back to the office." I didn't pay attention to it at all. And it's because that book, Everybody Lies, which is just a really insightful way to think a lot about how people answer polls and think about polls and think about their priorities. I'd say if I can cheat and give another recent book, there is a biography of James Baker that was written by a guy named Baker and. Laura Mar : I think the other author's name is. She's a woman named Glasser. He was obviously an incredible American. He was the Deputy Secretary of the Interior. He was White House Chief of Staff. He was the Secretary of the Treasury, and he was Secretary of State. And what really struck me in reading it is not only was he an amazing guy, but their world was very homogeneous. You look at the pictures, everyone looks like him. And the competitive dynamic in when he was having that dominant career in the '70s and '80s is thankfully just so different today. People with so many different backgrounds. So not to take anything away from him, but he was an incredibly talented person who had a much different type of talent pool and not nearly as broad to deal with. And I think today it'd be very different, but it's an interesting book.
Speaker 3Laura Mar : What is the biggest mistake you made and what did you learn from it?
Speaker 4When I was younger, I didn't think you needed to work as hard to get by. I thought there were shortcuts. When I was in high school in particular, I remember trying to develop a plan where I would start studying for a history test on the bus. And I had a system where it was full proof that if I hit these things, then I could do it. And that didn't work out for me, by the way. And what I eventually realized, and I think you've heard this in a lot of my answers, is you need to assume that everyone around you is smarter than you, and that your only edge is going to be working harder than them. And every time I've tried to kind of rest on my laurels or kind of get by with something I know is a little cute, it doesn't work. And so it's a lesson I've learned a lot of times in my life, but thankfully less frequently.
Speaker 3What teaching from your parents most stayed with you?
Speaker 4My father is an immigrant. My mother was born a couple of years after her parents immigrated. They were Holocaust survivors. My father's father was a refugee from Germany. And they, in many ways, had the American dream, which I think we're all very proud of. They routinely, routinely knocked into me that absolutely nothing was really going to be given to me. And that I was raised with an incredible quality of life and real, just incredible opportunity as a child. And if I wanted to have that as an adult, I would need to completely earn it. And the fact that consistency of letting me know there was nothing to hand to me has stuck with me for better or for worse. I mean, I'd never considered going into the arts, let's say. I wish that I had, but that consistency of advice and obsession with kind of knowledge and learning sticks with me today.
Speaker 3What life lesson have you learned that you wish you knew a lot earlier?
Speaker 4I'm going to cop out on this one. It's a little bit the same one with there's no shortcuts. There's no trick. There's no, oh, I'm going to do this and figure it out. It's like driving, or maybe actually sports is a better analogy. Most professional athletes peak when they're, say, between 28 and 32, where they have a mix of their really physical, physically strong, but they have experience. That's what you need. You need to be able to work very hard. Luckily, I'm in a field that you don't peak at 32 physically and continue to work
Speaker 3hard. Thank you so much for spending the time.
Speaker 4This was fun. I hope you stay invested in our fund. After this, I don't need to remind you of the difficult liquidity redemption terms. Thank you for this opportunity. It was really good to chat.
Speaker 1I hope you enjoyed this conversation and maybe even piqued your interest to explore further. See you next time. I hope you enjoyed this conversation and maybe even piqued your interest to explore further.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Kristen Van Gelder, Deputy CIO of Evanston Capital, explains how Evanston became a day-one investor in Diameter Capital, a $6 billion credit-focused hedge fund co-founded by Jonathan Lewinson and Scott Goodwin.
  2. Evanston backed Diameter early because it knew both founders from prior top-tier credit firms, valued their complementary research and trading skill sets, and prefers early-stage managers with aligned incentives.
  3. Diameter aims to be an all-weather credit strategy investing long and short across the full credit spectrum, from investment-grade and high-yield to stressed and distressed, rather than being tied to the credit cycle.
  4. Lewinson's path to investing ran through investment banking at Morgan Stanley, Yale Law School, a federal clerkship, and distressed investing at Anchorage Capital and Centerbridge.
  5. Key lessons from his career include obsessing over downside protection, treating companies and industries as evolving narratives, and recognizing the secular decline of traditional distressed investing.
  6. Diameter emphasizes a flat, process-heavy organization, a highly liquid and less concentrated portfolio, and being "native" to markets rather than a tourist.
  7. During COVID-19, Diameter moved from very long to net short by shorting travel-related businesses, then bought high-quality investment-grade bonds and software loans as the Fed intervened.
  8. Lewinson argues shorting is essential for unbiased investing, sees stressed credit as often the best opportunity, and frames Diameter as targeting equity-like returns with credit-like volatility.

Summary:

This Manager Meetings episode features Kristen Van Gelder, Deputy CIO of Evanston Capital, interviewing Jonathan Lewinson, co-founder of Diameter Capital, a $6 billion credit-focused hedge fund. Van Gelder explains how Evanston became a day-one investor in Diameter, citing prior relationships with both founders, their complementary research and trading skill sets, and Evanston's preference for early-stage managers with strong incentive alignment. She describes Diameter as an all-weather credit strategy that serves as ballast in Evanston's concentrated hedge fund portfolio, held today among its top positions.

Lewinson recounts his path from investment banking and law to distressed investing at Anchorage and Centerbridge, and the founding of Diameter with Scott Goodwin in 2017. He describes their vision of a flat, process-heavy organization investing long and short across the entire credit spectrum, keeping a liquid, less concentrated book, and being native to markets rather than a tourist. He details how Diameter navigated COVID-19, moving from very long to net short by shorting travel-related businesses, then buying high-quality investment-grade bonds and software loans as the Federal Reserve intervened. He also discusses the secular decline of distressed investing, the importance of shorting for unbiased thinking, and Diameter's goal of delivering equity-like returns with credit-like volatility.

FAQs

Kristen Van Gelder, Deputy CIO at Evanston Capital, speaks with Jonathan Lewinson, co-founder of Diameter Capital.

Diameter Capital is a credit-focused hedge fund co-founded by Jonathan Lewinson and Scott Goodwin, managing about $6 billion in a flagship fund plus $1 billion in CDOs and a $1 billion drawdown fund.

Evanston knew the co-founders from prior top-tier credit and distressed firms, valued their complementary skills in trading and research, and believed their nimble, all-weather credit strategy could produce more consistent returns.

Diameter invests across the full credit spectrum, from investment grade and high yield to stressed and distressed, with a liquid, less concentrated book and the flexibility to go long or short.

They reduced exposure early, shorted travel-related businesses, then bought high-quality investment-grade bonds and software loans as the Fed intervened, positioning the portfolio for the recovery.

Shorting is used opportunistically to profit from companies and industries facing structural or cyclical deterioration, and to keep the investment process unbiased rather than simply as a hedge.

Chat with AI

Loading...

Pro features

Go deeper with this episode

Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.