235. Queen Elizabeth Stakes | Adelaide McWoody | Knackers

[Music] I have future wager at 50 to 1. I got another 25 to win. Woo! [Music] Before I get the first leg, Warren, I just walk out. I'm just right out the door. I'm gone. [Music] They run top of the world! Hello listeners and welcome to a massive edition of the Two Units podcast. It is day two of the Chair Vincips. It's the best day of the carnival. There's no doubt about that whatsoever. The Queen Elizabeth headlines it. I can't wait to get wrap our mouths and eyes and ears. [Laughter] I didn't know what I was going there. I'm not going to lie. Were they better in choice? [Laughter] I feel like the show doesn't fit better than that. That was, no, but it's so bad. It's good. Do you know what though? Back in the day, we would have done a retake. And there's just no retakes anymore. We just don't have time for it. I can't remember the last time we did a retake. Except that, remember that one time when you said something like really offensively. You probably lose your job and you would have offended me. [Laughter] That just didn't happen. Now it may be great to be here. You like what I've dropped this one. This is a magnificent day of racing. Sublime. What about the card in Adelaide? That's a Firm 1 in the Jocs. Well, in Eternal Good 4, there are some showers around, together around, but it's an Eternal Firm 1 in my Jocs. They keep racing like that every weekend. Well, you're talking what four group ones at Royal Rammweak. And you're you're led off the top with Morpherville. So you're excited. Well, I'm there in the dream, man. You're at there in the dream. Only a couple of corefields. There's a, there's a few good plays that we've got there. But as always, we race across three states. Yeah, speaking of Dead a Dream. What about that? We're live on the website. We're going to our own tab. www.deadadream.com.au There's already been a really good uptake, actually, for our Pride of Dubai, Philly. And as- So sick that table on a home park? Yeah, as you would see, there's a couple of nice Pride of Dubai is going around this weekend. So it's he'd you buy on a Pride of Genie. Astrix next to this, but I can absolutely guarantee we'll eclipse both of those or the end of our Philly's career. I think you can get sued for something. I think it's a guarantee with an Astrix. Although it's something good. We're saying at the sales about horses, I think you can just make up anything. Exactly right. I can absolutely guarantee she'll be a better race horse than Winx's fold. It's all for 10 million. And we got her for 60k. Lock that in. Absolutely. Take that to the bank with your units. This fresh, delicious, tasty, meaty, turkey filled, cold cut, combo. I eat three every day to help keep me strong. Um, first thing off the top. And we're not a review show here at units headquarters, but we do like to invite great performers to the supper and they get a seat. And no one needs to seat at the two units supper more than Jamie Mellon after riding cheese alibi at 49 kilos last week's else. It was a set steer and cheer wasn't it? It was. But I was, I invited to the supper because I raised the point on this show last year saying, could we be critical of her with 49? How will she go? So I think when you do put things like that out, you've got to, you've got to back over them and say hats off to you. She's absolutely ridden to treat. She was swinging off her. I certainly, as a she's alibi fan, I didn't sort of buy into that narrative because you know, she'd been ridden by Luke Nolan, Zach Spain, like this is a person that at the end of last spring, we're at a cup stubble. So it's not like she was getting it downgraded. No, it's just at the weight and just what that would do to you mentally. That was the point and didn't affect her whatsoever. So good on her. She gets a seat at the supper. Yeah, her sack pertains, say when he was on gear up with Gareth Hall. He said, maybe she just did what all the big jockeys have to do every week to try and get their weight right down. Well, that's true. That's another lens to look through it. It's all relative to percentage. It's not fuzzy. She did it while I was easy there. It's easy, yeah. Yeah. I'd get to an 82 once. How'd you go? Chapeau. No, I did it easy. Yeah, did you? There's one thing I don't rack and it's a discipline. The discipline. What do you got for me? Colin people, Nackers, it's gone out of vogue. It's out of fashion. It's just old school Australian. And we need to bring it back. And Nackers, it doesn't sit in the same sort of column as champ and sport and stuff like that for me. But Nackers is far more endearing. It's not a put down. It's affectionate. It is affectionate. Yeah. Back in year seven, I played Steve Irwin in a school play. And Steve was still kicking then, so it wasn't offensive. It's a tribute. And I had Josh Tio, my classmate in drama. And he played Steve's tracy. Tracy, isn't it? Terry. Terry. Terry played Terry. My wife put a wig on. But instead of Colin and Terry, I called him Nackers. And I'd be like, "Right, Nackers! Can I have a look at this?" You say like Russell Crowe and Sam. Yeah. He's a target. He's a portman in the world. Hey, target! Nackers! Can you tell me what these. I just need to unpack this a little bit further. Can you tell me what play this was? I wrote the script. It was me and Nackers. And I just pretended to wrangle crocodiles and snakes. So it wasn't like a full-stage show in front of the school. It was just a skit that you did in drama. It was in front of all the parents and stuff at night. It was under lights. Really. Glenn Bundy's grandpa asked me for an autograph. He actually said that I was gone. Places. I chose not to act. I chose to push you other things that interested me more. But, yeah, it could have been a bit of a missed opportunity. Because people do say there's a bit of travel so it was more of that music as well, so a missed opportunity. But Nackers, I don't know how we've got around to that, but. Nackers comes to the supper. Yeah. Um. I'm still walking past the Travis Femille of Vikings fame. More of a. What was the. Something snow. Yeah, blacks, no. No, yeah. He grew psychopaths or areas that had a treasure. Season to where that very good thing is. He's really executed the draw humor very well. On the big fan. He went on a farm in a churka and he just drives around his boat, given people travel a bit and just like catching snakes and stuff. He got picked up from it, obscurity from it. Like, he was a Calvin Klein model that just somehow transitioned into acting. He was living in a churka, he'd come down to Melbourne, and he was working out in a gym in Hawthorne, and a talent agent saw him working out, invited him to this place in two weeks later. He walked into the Calvin Klein office in our light. And this is a guy that sells us, compared himself to. That's the only moment to go. It's just extraordinary. Yeah, he never sees two amazing on this show. Something that I. Something that certainly didn't amaze me on the weekend was the performance of observer. And I had some things to say on the show last week, I took a strong stance and I said, "If I got it wrong, I would issue a formal apology to the unit army." So I'm a man of my word, Salty. And I'd like to take this opportunity to formally apologize to the unit army today. Last Saturday, in a moment of blind loyalty and optimism, I tipped observer in the ATC Derby. At the time, I convinced myself there was still a jet under the bonnet, and that somewhere deep down inside a group one horse still existed. I was wrong. Observer is no longer a jet. He is a complete and utter forget. I would also like to apologise to Craig Williams for suggesting the ride in the Rose Hill Guinness was poor, when in fact, he was on board at benchmark 88er with a fake ID. It's not the first time I've been seduced by the beautiful blue godolfan. Rainier, best of days, Osborne Bulls and Pauutacawa to name a few. Let the record show salt, oh, not be sucked in again by one of these. As of today, I'm officially declaring observer will never win another group one. I take full responsibility for my actions. Observer, you're a complete forget. I wish his highness shake my humored bin Russia to Almuktum and his four wives that are permitted by Islamic law all of the very best in the future. Thank you, Nicholas William Allen for it. Well said, mate. It takes a big man to admit when they're wrong. I've got one more chance with Jimmy Starr in the all age. I'm going to have to admit I was wrong. In fact, I am wrong about him. I haven't written an apology. I said he was the best sprinter in the country. Well, he's not. He's a 1,400 meter horse and he's probably not the best 1,400 meter horse in the country because he wouldn't see which way. Autumn glow and she's an alibi goes. But I think he's still in the game for the all age. But I got him a bit wrong this preparation. Jolly stars now top dog, 200 meters. Not much between them, but she's the top dog. But yeah, I got Jimmy wrong. And I think that you're a little bit, you gave a bit too much rope to observe, saying that he won't win another group one. I can't say where he wins another race. Well, that's fair as well. Now he's going to be, he's going to come back. He comes back as a 4-year-old. Yeah. And I mean, he's not, he's not winning a gold needle. Well, he's a 2-ton group one winner, so you can't exactly take him through the garage. Yeah, that's a fair call actually. No, I don't know if you'll pinch one of those little crappy group twos along the way, kicking off and lure a few people back in. We have a few people back in. But no, it's cathartic, isn't it? Like, just sitting here, Sal, did you? - I feel good about what you said about Jimmy Star. I mean, that's as close to an apology I've ever seen you dish out. Did that feel good? - Hmm. - Pretty neutral. - I can't be honest. - No, I feel good about it. - That's good, mate. - Let's see, some other things I've purchased. - The goal regulation says a what? - Oh, you will listen to every damn word I have to say. - I've seen the finger pins you bring home in the surf. - I'm caught. - I'm gonna kick this off. - Right. - Because you've already dropped it in this episode today. And it's something that's great. - I heard it when I said it, mate. - Yeah. - I heard it when I said it, but it's basically only time I've done it. - Okay, just so I didn't know. - Give me some lay-wise. - I didn't know if you dropped it in there on purpose to anger me, but I refer to people calling she's an alibi, she's an alibi. And it's constantly happening. Every channel is watching on the weekend. A lot of our close associates are also saying it. - I don't care if this is, if you're a benchmark or short, but if you're putting your hand up to being the top three horses in the country, I reckon we can get a name right. - You've butchered some horses before. - You butchered that race name once and Turfie was furious. - Oh, Turfie. It was, he did Turfie get upset about that. Did Turfie get upset about that, Lunditti? Okay. - It's fair though, she's hearing now. - She's hearing now. - I was running in 1970. - I think I'll butchered a horse's name from the 60s or 70s. - What was that? The captain, the captain on tube. - Yeah, someone. - Was the captain on tube. - Yeah, someone on tube. - And I called it the captain on tubes and he had a bloody cry which they do over there. But yeah, she's an alibi, they're on notice for that. Exactly. - That's fair. - You're on notice. - She's hearing now. - No, I'm not on notice. I know who she is, I don't know what she is. It was just the way that my sentence rolled. Okay. - You know that sometimes in a relaxed setting like a podcast, you can not, you can not sort of open your mouth as much as you normally would on TV. And your words can sort of roll together a bit in the casual environments. - Yeah. - Let's just put it down to that. The whole, I think I've said this pack I'm before, but I saw an example in the weekend. So David King, the human HP laptop, 14 hours in the bunker every Saturday. Just doesn't extraordinary amount of work. Lovey's work. - It does look a lot, doesn't he? - Yeah. - Yeah. - And late. And then early. - I don't understand it. - Where does he sleep? - I'd be completely naked. - Yeah. - But someone tweeted him and the interaction was tagging him and calling him a sea bomb. So then King, he blocks the guy without any interaction. And then I saw the guy's next tweet was a screenshot of King, he's page blocking him saying, "Oh, I'll work his piece. "People can't handle this." And that's like, if your interaction with a total stranger online is to call them a sea in X-Choose day. - Yeah. - Why do you think that you're within your rights to then continue conversing with that person or open the conversation? That person is well within their rights to just say, fuck off, fuck you. - Yeah. - And there was a bit of that on the way, Ken, like I tease this guy that was this prodigene fan or champed him and stuff like that. And then he starts calling everyone under the sun, all these names and things that can't repeat and the podcast is like, well, this person's obviously, I almost to an extent, I feel for this person living in a space where you sow, pant up an angry and sad and unhappy with the world that you spend all your Saturday just replying to people just with constant negativity. - Yeah. - If you get blocked, you can't then just say that the person blocking you soft. If I walk up to you in the street and I go, "Oh, you're a complete fuck, we don't hate you, you're a dickhead." Do I expect that you just stand back and talk to me and shake my hand and be my mate? - You'd probably prepare to wear one on the chin to be fair. - Yeah, exactly. - But I couldn't agree more. The block button in my world at the moment, so it's never got more of a workout. And I give people leeway that actually put their face and name to something. So if they want to challenge you, sort of, you might give them one and say, you know, - Yeah, that's okay. - That's okay. But next time you're done, if you're just coming out and looking to have a crack and you can't even put your name or a face to it, if your photo is of a frog, go and fuck yourself. - It's like arguing with a bot basically. - Yeah, yeah. And yeah, you're the idiot for arguing with the idiot in the end. - So if you spend your days on Twitter without a name or a face to your profile or any social media in that fact, and your sole purpose on social media was just to spread hate and negativity. - You don't just pack your nags. You can completely go and fuck yourself. - This makes so many episodes. - This is so, I was hoping to keep our clean rating for you too. But yeah, you can go and bloody freak yourself, guys. - Get, get, get fraud. - You know what I love about bet fair, 40? What's that, Salts? It's not you versus the bookies. It's puns versus punter. So you set the odds or take them if you like them. - Yep. And as the market moves, you can back, lay or even trade your position. It's proper strategy stuff. It's where sport meets trading and it's a completely different way to bet. So if you're ready to level up, get bet fair on your side. You can even follow all of our Saturday specs, download the bet fair app today. Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free and confidential support, visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. - Ah, welcome back. It's time now for Salts specs. And this is just a glorious addition of specs today, Salts. I'm a little light at Core Field thus far. I'm still just, I'm my enthusiasm's been tempered a little bit from the last few weeks. I'm a little bit gunshot Core Field, I must admit. But boy, am I keen to play in a round week and more for Phil. I've got a few players at Core Field but overall my staking is down as well. So be honest, I'm looking forward to getting away from that. I'm looking forward to getting a mornington. That's our Core Field team playing. That's telling. That's telling. I think I said to you like three weeks ago, we were in like, it was like the racing sick and I'm like, well, like how good's the racing and I was like, yeah, but it's morning to three weeks and now we're hanging out for it. That's telling. Last week at Core Field, the lanes played a lot fairer because they had the track quite firm. Reports were it was a good three from the fair start. - Hard and fast. - Hard and fast. Rail goes four to eight meters. There are some showers across sort of Thursday evening Friday Saturday, but it's not enough that they still won't have to irrigate or don't reckon. Because it played fairer last week and they kept it on the firm aside. I think they'll want to keep it on the firm aside of a good four. They put six mil on yesterday to take it from a three to a four with some light showers about. I expect the lanes because it's on that firm aside to be relatively even. The thing that you need to set up for at Core Field, those the fact that the winds attending westily during the morning and they're quite stiff and when the winds blow from the west at Core Field, it's actually when your fence in run. So I'll sort of reckon maybe outside the later or sort of no disadvantage being off the fence in the run as the meat goes on, they might then seek round off the fence as well. Okay, well let's kick off in race number two, Salty, this is a benchmark 70 over 1200. One were both keen on last start and got the chockies for us was kaying cheer and you're battering up and going again. They carried 56 and a half kilos last start in a benchmark 78. Now after the claim he's got 60 kilos dropped back to a benchmark 70. There was more merit to that performance last start that makes you are because he was four weeks between runs getting the 12 for the first time this preparation. So now he's three weeks off. He's fitness peaks has some good speed here. He's got that tactic ending win, wasn't it? It was, yeah. He looked like he should have put them away and he just got there. I still don't know how he sort of got there in that photo. You're right. And that's sort of I've lent into the fact that now he's fitness peaks and maybe, you know, he sat in the one one last start. He's probably three pairs back here with a bit more tempo one. Maybe a quite a ride. He can sort of produce a fast finish. The horse he beat a couple back at Seymour Demastres gone one twice. I've landed with him on top. I wanted to follow King Tut where he went third up. He's drawn wide. Now the stable could make me feel a bit silly but I wanted to follow him to 14 hundred meters. The speed looks good. If you get to the right right, and he can win at 12, he gets a bit of weight off shame from last start. But maybe last start, he looked like a horse that stayed at 12, that's looking for 14. Now they go back to the well at 12 again. So, carrying Jeremiah in the bed. Yep. Epo Meele's a good interesting runner returning. Like obviously a huge time off. So it'd be good to see him go around off what was a pretty big setback. But I heard Trent Busset and say that this guy is the best horse that's walked through his stable. These first ups in September of 2024. Yeah. And 12 short of his best. So he looks pretty well under the odds. Yeah, no, I couldn't agree more. I'm just making comment on that pretty big call from Trent. So hopefully we see him. Hit the line and maybe go on with it second or third up. Let's get to race four. This is the up and coming stars. Series final 14, 100 meters. It's class three set weights. And you've got a little two bit play here, Salty. And one of them is, man, it's a heart one. Dint, dint, dint, dint, dint. That is a big call from Trent Busset and considering they've got pariah purl in there, Stacey. But yeah, race four, this race worth 300 grand. Yeah, you can make a case for half the field in this, that a lot of them have raised each other or raised horses that have raised another one. So you can tie them all in together. Dirty look was held up when he she beat Il Padrino a couple back at Sandown. They met on level weights, but I think he can sit a bit closer. She's $2.50, he's 19 bucks, and he went to Ballarat last art, Il Padrino, and against what was a significant fence in run bias, he never found fence in run was the only horse to make ground in one of these heats off the fence. So at around $19.20, he looks over the odds, and Santana, all there, all around. I thought, "Suck on my frarts, make it real." Oh, that's a good up at Merit. That's so good. Beaton by Melian, but Beaton fuel these home, including subsequent win a hot sand in the heat of this first up. And then second up in another heat, beaten by 10 warriors, but three wide no cover. Got there early, had 59 kegs, run had Merit, and then last art set outside later, just quick and too well. Cavalry scout gets weighed off him, but I felt that he was holding Cavalry scout. I don't think that weight discrepancy is gonna make a difference this weekend, and fourth up, he looks like he's looking for 14. So I've played it's a hot one, Santana, and also the Italian, Stalian, Il Padrino. - Yep, 19 bucks, Il Padrino, and Santana's around. A six bucks of 50 at the moment. We'll move on to race number five. This is a benchmark 74. This is for the Phillies and Mayors. I was pretty keen to kick off my day in this one. So I thought Zapo presented a pretty good value on the quick backup. So she was pretty brave last week in stronger company. She sat outside the leader in a race one by Mary Gold. She stays at 1400 meters seven days later. She's back against the girl. She gets a better guy, and she claims to, with our girl, Berserk, on board. So, well, Zapo could go forward and get back into the winner's circle on the quick backup. We've on a race number six now. This is benchmark 100. This is again for the Phillies and Mayors. I found one in a bit of value here, Salcee, in jazz affair. I thought she was the best value on the program at Corefield. She just looks well in at the weights and well over the odds. And I'm not sure if the market perhaps is playing into more the fact that she got out to 1800 meters at the end of her prep last time in, like she is suggesting that she wants further. But she's had a couple of fresh runs, over 1,000 and 1,100, where she's been in the minor placings and just at the weights and relative to those ratings, is well and truly in with a winning hope here. She's had one pretty sharp 800 meter jump out at Flemington. She was pushed out beyond the line around the likes of Marble Nine. Barrier one, Ryan Houston claim. I thought she was a great sort of one by three bet, jazz affair. I'm having something on soft love. She's got a really good core foot record. All of her best performances are at Corefield. She carried 55 kilos last start when beaten by gentle steel and photograph. It was an on-speed dominated race. Her last 600 meters was the fastest of the program. Now she drops to 51 and a half kilos. So I was happy to give her a go. I think they bunch up here. Any back markers won't be too far off them. She can use her turn afoot. Soft love and jazz affair is how we're playing the six. Let's get to race number seven. This is a listed race for the three year olds. It's over 2,400 meters. Who have you got here, mate? Arabian Prince is a stayer that's never race beyond 2,000 meters. I thought he did enough first up in the wrong part of the track. And then they took him for a bit of an easy kill last start out in the country. He was held up at Kilmore over 2,000 meters. Once you got clear, he's closing slips for fastest of the day. So he's never race beyond 2,000. And he's absolutely desperate for it in the right camp for it as well with Mick Kent. I want to back him. And I want to back up Mizaki, who last start crossed the line with single choice and narrowly beat him home. Now single choice was a month between runs to 2,000 meters. But Mizaki was held up and probably goes, I don't know if it beat roulette king, but finishes a lot closer if you get to clear run. Marks are a takes over. I can't see why he is a longer price than single choice who looks a bit short. So Mizaki and also the Mick Kent stayer. Arabian Prince. Arabian Prince. They're both around five and six bucks, respectively there at the moment with the corporates. Yeah. I like the run of Mizaki as well, and certainly see why you're leaning that way in the Galilei series final. We'll move on to race number eight on the program. This is the listed anniversary vase. This is over 1,600 meters. There's one you've been in the corner of throughout this preparation. And it is our duke. You've been marking. Stepping this as a follow, follow, follow, and you're doing what you're saying. He's flying. I don't mind the wide gate because he goes forward. His win at Fleming's and Lars Sart was loaded with merit because he was out fast and kept running. And they had their chance to run him down. But he was too strong. That was second up to 16. Now he stays at 16. He's hand on call fit in the pass. Look, Al Rocco and Astral Flamethrower inside him. I dare say Astral Flamet kicks up leads, but I think he can cross Al Rocco, sit outside the leader. But also Al Rocco wouldn't surprise me if he wasn't here. He's on a seven day backup. He didn't handle a firm track last start at call fit where he's beaten a long way from a wide draw. You're wasting a run on him on a dry track. Or you're on a quick backup and potentially flattening him for a rest of the preparation after he's been beaten a long way and two starts back on dry tracks. Or he's saving him for another day. Like I can't see why you'd back him up quickly given he doesn't like the firm conditions. They're probably waiting to see how much rain they get. And if it's a soft track, they run in. But I want to be surprised V comes out and that further enhances the chances of Al Duker. - Yep, Al Duker for Salts in a race number eight. I didn't mind the chances of Golden Path and I know Al Duker handled Golden Path well, but he had the race shape against, I thought in conditions against their last start at Flemington. And I mean, Barry Attainee is a touch tricky, but I think he'll improve sharply. Second up Golden Path one at a bit of odds. Let's move on to race number nine. Here this is a 1200 meter affair. There's one of the better bets on the program coming up here. It's a three-year-old handicap. And it's a guy that goes by the name of a live another day. And this is a very nice three-year-old for Tom Dabinik who earns his shot in a Saturday company. He's shown a devastating turn of foot at his past two outings. I think horses that are able to just put fields away in a handful of strides. They're above average in terms of ability. He has a little bit more of an acid test in this race with a bit more speed on from that inside draw, but I thought he was the best bet at Corefield Sultz. It looks as shade under the odds for me given that this is his stiffest test the day. It is progressive and you've got to take the jump at some stage, he gets four and a half kegs off his back. But there's more depth here. The horse that's coming through the best form racer and will not form race, but the strongest race is quite clearly the cache. He was first up giving fitness away to the whole field at Flemington on a heavy track. He beat home legacy bound, my gladiola educated. He was just beaten home by Tyker and Star and thanks gorgeous who was his very deep into a preparation. And just the way that he ran through the line, I think he just went a little slow on him as well. Will he park? And he's also not suited to the lever. He ran right through the line, he suited at 12. I reckon they'll take him to a bendigo, get his after this and that looks his race. But Dry Track Corefield of which is one around before. He was a one by 10 special last time out. You can get a dollar nine if he him to place. I know. Around seven bucks for him to win. You're one by 10 this guy all day long. He's a guy. He cannot see him missing a place. He's an eternal one by 10. He is. He's an eternal one. He's the gift that keeps giving. It should be closer to the favorite in the market. And you know, aren't they similar prices for Bacach to place? And we're the same price for Bacach to place and a live another day to win. Any can see play for me. Any concern 1100 meter heavy track, Flemington straight. Now back to Corefield 1200 meters, Jackson Radley goes on. The Jockey change a little bit. But because he can put in some bad ones, Jackson, he's not riding as well as when he first came over. And he's made some bad decisions recently. But as I mentioned as well, Willie probably went a bit slow on him last time. I think this guy is actually better suited around a bend. Then he is down the straight. So if he makes some mistakes, Jackson, then it just means the horse won't win. He'll run top two or three. Yeah. Now there, Bermostar, jeez, I'm waiting for this horse to get to 1400. I really like the return. I wonder what's doing there. He's also an incidney. Yeah, I did notice that. And he was scratched, I think last week as well. So he's been held over. But yeah, waiting for Bermostar to get to 1400. So he's scratching from Sydney. Yeah, come on, Melbourne. He's got marks, arable. So just a bad booking. Let's move on. Anything in, yes, race number 10. So I'll see this is a 74, 1600 meters. There's one that I've wanted to follow throughout the preparation and have second up in Trapto, who one nicely at San and on the lakeside circuit gap between runs. But you know, his first go 1600 meters is a monster of a boy. So you probably handle it. But I saw, you know, he's come up three bucks. There was one in that race on Australian debut, nobler, not taking ground off him later as well that does look suited to the mile. So initially, I was going to play Trapped Orr and also first chorus, but it's just a bit under the odds for me, Trapped Orr. So I'm just backing first chorus. I'll see what the market does with Trapped Orr lady. If I can get to a 380, I'll have a bet. But at this stage, I've backed first chorus for a nice result. This may as really progressive. Her win prior to spelling on a dry track with Jamie Motton, the saddle from Barry 15 at Flemington was very good. He was positive. They ran really fast time so she can handle high pressure races. First up at Packenham, it was on a wet track, but her race was later in the program. So last 200 metres was so clearly the best on the program. And it was Hans and Hills easy riding. That was a big win. That was 1400 metres. Now second up, 1600 metres suits. Jamie Mott gets back on. And the way I say this race mapping, you got grand Omaha super stock potentially blazing sword. There's not actually a great deal of speed in the race. I think that he'll be positive on her. And she looks the one that's a bit over the odds in the race. I can price her a lot closer to Traptor. Yeah, good start. First chorus there. She's been well supported already. That was a good win through the spring carnival at Flemington. Cracker. I packed a fool. I bet she went one since. I packed a lot that day. That's what I can remember. So vividly, Sultz. First chorus for Sultzie in the 10th. Let's lock away, cool. Throw away the bloody key and move on to Royal Rampers. Considering to on Rampwick first, but I thought, no, it's good TV to keep it going. Yeah, good television, good YouTube. Yeah, get dropped 35 F bombs in the opening segment and get a call. Come back for a Rampwick, the clean part of the show. How's the track conditions looking ahead of what is the best day at Rampwick of the year in my view? The irrigation is going to be so crucial this week because it's warm and dry or weak. And on race, there's a south-west wind. That wind sort of races south of 1400 meters. It does favor on pace runners because they sort of get it at their back and it's from the south-west. It's sort of at their back down the side, but it sort of stays semi at their back down the home straight as well. That irrigation will be crucial because there's no rain around. It'll get to a good four by Thursday. It's just soft five now. So if they overreregate, well, the fence is going to be off. They'll get off the fence. They get it just right. I expect them to get a couple lanes off the fence, but you still want to be forward and midfield, particularly those shorter distance races. And if they don't put it enough on, which is really the case in Sydney, but they don't, well, this is going to be hard and fast and they're going to play on speed and they won't edge off the fence quite as much. So I am setting up with this dry track for sort of lanes two to eight to being played. Just with the wind direction of favourite horses, they're going to be closer to the speed. You say, if they don't irrigate tempted, can't win. You'd want to see how the track is playing before you take a doll's 70. Big race two. The south Pacific classic. This is a listed race for the three year olds 14 hundred meters regular wood. He had some merit to his run first up. He was only a bit in three and a half lanes to Bescar, but he was first up and he was three four wide no cover. And he actually didn't give up 12 short of his best. Now he gets five kilos off Bescar. Draws a barrier where they just have to be positive. This guy said he's best when he just balls along. They've got to send him forward. I think they will second up, you know, 12. You can ride him a bit negative. He's got other targets, but now second up, bit of weight relief. I think he goes to the front or near the front. And I saw enough that he didn't give up on the line last start spot a tough run to say that he wants to race his preparation. Yeah. He's got the starting price profile over Bescar to like Bescar, you know, take nothing away. $1.81 last start. So, um, can certainly see why he's sticking with the Stokes runner there. Regular ward in the second. Let's get to race number three. This is the Percy side. So I'm excited for this race. Uh, he reached and out to the favorite three 50 Zotona glows gone, gone out a little bit to four bucks now is drifted. I'm, I'm starting with one in this race at a bit of a price in she's extra who was actually beaten last start by the race favorite, uh, reaching out and was firm in the market against said favorite. Um, she's a very nice feeling this girl for Chris Lee. She, she bolted in her first two starts, uh, big margins at Newcastle and Warwick farm. As I mentioned, she started dollar 90 on the Kenzo last start. I mean, I don't know how much you want to read into that given the fact that reaching out was on day boo. Um, but she was firm in the market to be winning. Uh, she did write down on that performance. And I think you can be forgiving, you know, these juveniles, what they do, you can be forgiving of one performance where she has rated down. She gets a good weight swing as well back to set weights because that was run on the handicap conditions. So just with her being $15 and reaching out been $380. I could see her turning the table. So I want to have a bet each way with she's extra. I'm not sure about that race because that was a day like many days on the Kenzo at the mid weeks recently. The fence was complete fire. Mm hmm. Yeah, at the beyond speed. So, you know, the favorite in this race, reaching out lead and she's extra followed it on the fence. So, uh, she did only have one start and she was visually quite good reaching out and she'll go towards the front again. So I don't know, lay her at all, but I'm not completely sold on that race given the way the track played. So I've looked around both of those. I want to be against Satano Glow, two wet track runs. Now back onto a dry track. A lot more depth here than what, she saw it flowing to last time. It was pretty impressive though. It was good, but it was, it was a very wet track and she'd had wet track exposure. Uh huh. So I'm against her. I want to be with street icon. She's had excuses. She's still a maiden, but you know, she was three wide on debut in a Gimkrak. Um, she's never on the track in the English millennium and was only been two and a half lengths. And then last time at Ramwick in a sweet embrace, she jumped fast from very eight, but they just dragged her back because she drew out. She ran race fastest, closed it. It was a high rating sweet embrace. That was her first go at 12. Now she's drawn one. She's gone back to the trials between runs. I expect that they hunt up, probably hold leaders back and she just needs to break the come at the right time. I thought she was way over the old relative to some of the others in this race like a medicinal needs to go to a new level and you know, I mentioned Satona glow that went to dry, reaching out track pattern favours. So yeah, we have something on her street icon. Screen icon for salt screen icon, sorry, and laying Satona glow. Yes. Yeah. Lying Satona glow. I'm backing she's extra each way. That's the Percy Sikes. They're cracking little race that. Let's move on now to race number four. This is the provincial midway championship spinal 1400 meters. My future's ticket on Ben Jora is officially confetti. That's dear. Like he should have just bolted in that round. Why? Oh my god. And then I know he took an inside round and probably wasn't the place to be last start. Newcastle, but he was pretty plain. He was so he was so unlucky. He does it. He does a bit wrong. You know, like he looks like he's a real talent. But anyway, he's not a your stuff him. Who do you like? The best sauce in this race in both miles, match El Arte. First up, he gives sandpaper in a listed race that ran fast time four links takes really good ground off him late. Second up here, I had to absorb a very fast tempo relative to this class at least when he went forward in the elms at Flemington. That was one by Cafe Millennium runner up was Sabaj, who was then good in an all-star mile. And then he just walked in when he went and qualified for this Hawkesbury last start, but he led ran fast time overall. And his last 200 meters was race fastest. No issue with him five weeks off. They've taken him back to the trials. He's performed well fresh in the past. In this race last year, I backed Lord of Biscay to knock him off. James McDonald couldn't have given Lord of Biscay a better ride. He followed match El Arte everywhere he went. And now match El Arte meets him a kill on a half better from last year. And he's just a better horse than Lord of Biscay. He's just the best horse in this race. This is a provincial midway race where a lot of these are coming from more off-broad way runs. And this guy's been running around in group and listed races in open company. He just picks himself. Yep. Fair enough. Two bucks 90 match El Arte in the provincial midway championship's final, which brings us to our first group one of the weekend. It is the Australian Oaks 24 hundred meters for the girls. I hope A Wins is a $2.40 favorite here, profoundly, who's on the seven day backup after winning impressively last week is $3.40. That was in the Adrian Oaks. Then you're down to after some of Silverado classic gem and the rest. So I thought, oh, hope A Wins. And I don't want to make her a lay. But I thought she went up, she's going up far too short here. I feel like I'm getting a sense of the whole Waller J-Mac being priced on a little bit of hype from what she's done over the ditch. I agree that she's too short, no doubt. She crossed along with her after summer last start. Long legs who I don't think will get this trip, but was sort of held up, could have crossed along with her as well. She does look priced pretty tight. Her work passed the post last start at Rosehill off those space runs. She was sort of five, six weeks between run to her. Her work through the line was very good. We know that she'll stay the trip. I agree though, she's too short. As soon as that race crossed the line, I thought, well, you have to back after summer at the prices. It's not the way that I've lent in this race, but that's your angle. There's just too much between them. Well, there's too much discrepancy between after summer and over. I went, after summer, I still in my view should have won the winery. Well, she should have won that race, at least in the in the stewards room. So to go up nine bucks, and I know it was probably just floating back to her starting price profile because she was a huge price in that race. But you look at her and the fact that she's going 2000 to 2400 now. She's sitting, she's got the platform to be running a beat peak to 2400 as opposed to us going, oh, maybe I hope I wins, you know, now bounces back to 2400 because she was kept fresh from her preparation in New Zealand. So I think there's actually more scope for after summer to improve out of that race than I hope I win. So to me, the discrepancy in their price is just ludicrous. The one that you can tie into after summer's classic gem, they're actually two all, they've met four times. But classic gem has the SP over after summer in three of those four runs. And the three since they clashed the first time at sea more and two of them have been in pretty big races. One of them was the VRC Oaks. She looks a little forgotten in the market, classic gem. Her first up run was quite good behind Get a Good Feeling. And you thought, you know, for a horse that went out over 2,500 meters in an oak, she's resumed at 16 and she's run Get a Good Feeling to under a length. That's pretty good because that feeling's pretty sharp. Now she backs up seven days from the Adrian Knox, which was won by Profoundly. She got to make up, you know, almost six and a half links on Profoundly, but Profoundly just had the most beautiful running trends that she was barrier one. Tommy Barry gave it a great steer. She just barrier one the whole way, saved up, flowed off the fence beautifully, got into the race at the right time. It was too strong for Sovarado who I can't see turning the tables. I say, I've got a $21 ticket on Sovarado for this race, but I just can't see her turning a table. It was on Profoundly. It doesn't look like she's screaming 2400 off that run. Profoundly was $5. Classic gem was $4.50. And Classic gem was three and four wide no cover, the entire race. Her run had so much merit given the ground that she covered facing the breeze. And then through the line, after the pose, she was the strongest of them as well. So she's obviously crying out for a trip. She was beaten home by after summer in the Oaks at Flemington when she was beaten five lengths to strictly business. But that was also a very fast run, 2500 meters. And in that race, she was wide without cover. And she copped a bump at the top of the straight. Like she's got a bit of tenacity about her. Damien Lane retains a ride from last start. He's looking for five Australian Oaks in a row. And I think he can do it on Classic Gemma. I think she's a one by 10 utter special, just a special one by 10 to run a drum. She's three bucks a place. Yeah, she's just way over the odds. I think she's proven to stay in her lead up run, shows that she's got tenacity and she's tough. And she gets winkers first time. I'm really keen on it, chances. It's weird to say that because I've got after summer as a one by 11 in this race. We'd need to because you've taken a shorter price. It's 30. It's still pretty significant. It's a good one by 11. Olks still collect money. I understand that's how the total mistaking man. It's just come up in my stuff as a one by 11. All right. Actually, you know what I'm going to do, Salads? These are two dumb satin runners. I'm having a dumb satin corn alla. Out of a dumb alla. Not, I'm not going to dumbella with our two selections because that will be juice. What do you reckon? The wood bay. Well, the Cornelow will go off if I buy winters and in the top two. She won't be. You're a beauty. I'm not laying up there. Refused. Let's get to the, let's get to the arrow field. This is the sprint race for the three year olds. It's grouped to set weights 1,200 meters. I think it's just put in takeout job for tempted here. She's just so well in this race. She would have given the TJ Smith shake last week. The fact that her good old and compadre in Tentaris was aimed there means that she goes here to separate the two. And he just got a look through from just a figure's perspective. Like four of her past five performances. Just take care of this field. The outlier there was the Golden Rose, where she was at 1,400 meters. And I think we can both pretty well establish now that she's not a 1,400 meter horse. She's six furlongs every day. Like I said, six furlongs makes me sound heaps smarter men. You're so smart. Thanks, man. The fact that she's had that sort of six weeks fresh and back to 1,200 outstanding trial. She's the best bet in the country. I don't want to take $1.70 without seeing how the track plays. But I can see you, Kay. So I'm going to stay out of the race probably. I don't think she'll get to $2. So then I won't play. But she does pick herself. She got the best form in the race. And she's the best horse in the race. Who beats her? I don't know. That's like if she-- If something happens, track conditions, who actually beats her? I don't know. That's not-- You don't need to make that case, do you? I'm not-- I'm not going to ask him for a question. I'm not asking for a question. Yeah, I'm not sure. You don't have to sign the dotted line and give away your assets. I'm not sure. I'm just not tipping in the race. OK. I don't want to take that price. OK. You mentioned Tentirus. Does the line go through him on the board? It's pretty close, isn't it? He's-- Well, we might not see him again this prep. So-- He's sitting 1A in the jet column. I mean, he's won a group 1 weight for age. Race this preparation. But like, you're right. Who's he beaten as well? It's got to be a good one. No, I agree. You need to be scared. I obviously think he's a good horse. Stupid turn of four. But maybe he just needs every single thing to go wrong. Yeah. And this is-- I've made a bit of a case this week on other programming with Tentirus around this. Like, on his day with the conditions right, he's still got the most devastating turn of four. And at his absolute best, I still think he's the best sprinter in the country. But where do you sit when you're doing that one in four runs or you draw inside or the tracks wet? And you have to make excuses for them. Do you want the super coach player that scores 118 every week? Or do you want the super coach player that scores 201 week? And then you get 350s for the rest of the month. You want Jolly Star? Yeah. Yeah. Which now she's the undisputed number one sprinter in the country. There's no doubt. And like, an e-sheet-- does that mean with all those other sprinters at her best, they probably beat her? But when you, as you said, shown consistency, salts. What about the Sydney Cup? What about it? Group one, handicap, 3200 metres. I've been building a book on this race. And I think-- Has it really won a green? Back any of them on race day. I can get better prices now than what I took earlier. What do we got, Jolly Keebo? Two horses, I think, are going to be the hardest to beat. I don't even have any futures tickets on. This is a proper handicap. That is. Because I have no idea that there's most of the fields priced under $15. I thought that machine gun Gracie was outstanding last time outside the leader strong through the line. But got to go 19 to 32. It's a huge, huge jump. But she obviously clean-winded, got no weight. Mr Monico-- well, how do you make a case for Jolly Keebo to beat him, given that Mr Monico was wide-no-cover and Jolly Keebo had the run of all runs? A couple back and still couldn't beat Mr Monico. But he draws out Litzdeal. I think she's better suited on top of the ground against Whiskey on the Hill. But I don't know if she's quite up to this level, but we'll know she stays. River of stars suited. What do you thought of the speed? Where has it come from? Changing of the guard, machine gun Gracie. River of stars. River of stars. River of stars. It doesn't-- I think it'll look overly strong, though. I think it'll be moderate or better, though, right? The way I've read this race and the way I'm going to play it is I want to be with a proven 3200 meter horse, someone that's proven at the distance. And I know I was a group too, Auckland Cup, but the way that Henry Dwyer's-- No, he's scratch-mate. He's not running Paradostal. Yeah, he's got a tendon issue. He's not going up. Oh, when you come out this morning. If he hasn't been scratch-y, he's not going up. No, he's just come out. Yeah, he's injured. He's done, mate. The way I'm playing the race then, Salts, is I'm not. Yeah. I thought I'd be a failure there. You obviously don't read my text, because I messaged you about this morning, and you replied to it, and you said, oh, that sucks. Oh, no, that was on display. Yeah, I sent both of them. Yeah, so-- I did reply to one of your texts from about five days ago. Yeah. So I've got a five-day reply, and then I've told you, group one tips. not racing and you just don't listen to me. - Just don't listen to me, man. - Just don't listen to me. - I did my former Wednesday in a locked her away. I was like, she's done. If I had to bet in the race, I'd be having something on machine gun, Gracie, piggyback and viewer Cabo. - Fair. I'm gonna reassess and not give any viewpoint now after having to pivot. Let's get to the next group one, Salty. It's the Queen of the Turf Sakes. This is a racer-oony. This is an absolute racer-oony. And we've got the likes of Pride of Jenny here. Lady Shenandoah treasure the moment then down to some of, I guess you could say the newer kids on the block like your idol flyers. What we do know is it's going to be a race that's set up with a little bit of speed. But interestingly, is Pride of Jenny, she's probably drawn the barrier she wouldn't want to draw in barrier one, 'cause we know she's, well, whilst there's a bit of a false narrative around her, perhaps in the fact that, oh, she's a clearly jump forward go-hard leader, but she does take a little bit of time to muster across and slowly ramps it up, doesn't she? - Well, she drew barrier two in the champion's mile. And she got crossed by a treasure the moment and then Declan Bates had to go back around and she got beaten a hundred lengths. It actually wouldn't surprise me out of the gate she got crossed. By treasure the moment, but then she sort of angles off heels and tries to go around them. But I think perfumous goes forward and doesn't settle too far off them. She'll try and do her thing, Pride of Jenny, but for me, this is to the well. She's only third up, but it's to the well in terms of the way that her race has been run this preparation, just one too many times. She'd be defying logical physical capabilities to come up and win this because she's had two races where she's gone fast. And last night she overexerted herself to a degree that we haven't seen her do in quite some time. - Isn't that kind of what she does, though? - It is constantly defies us. She's built different. - But she can put in flat ones for this very reason because you can't predict when this is going to happen. She might have gone home, everything's all sweet, she's eating up, she's working well or whatever, but when you overexert yourself to the degree that she did last start over 2,000 meters and you go to the bottom of the barrel like she did, like the race was out so, so fast and home so slow. Like her last 600 was nearly like 39 seconds. She's used too much energy and it's only two weeks between runs. I think she's certain to run flat. Uncle Tony went on SE and track and responsibly said, get as much on as you can. - That's irresponsible. - It's very irresponsible. - That is irresponsible. I think she's. - Are you laying here? - Yeah. - Yeah. - See, she's a runner that I've sort of ended up just making this decision probably last preparation. I did layer and she won and I was like, I'm just never laying her again. Like I completely respect your point. And I actually agree with you. Like in terms of, it's gonna be very hard to back up but she's been a pretty good horse of making a fool of punters, proud of Jenny. So I'm not gonna lay her for those reasons in this race. You're with Lady Shenandoah though, who steps to the mile for just the second time. - And the only time she's been there, she walked in in a flight steaks. And so her three highest rating performances of her career or her two highest rating, sort of around the 1500 meter mark. Now she gets to 1600 meters for the first time since she won that flight steaks. She's just coming through the best races. First up, she was a real eye catcher behind Jolly Star and Cabalus, Subtlw and Group One winners. She was a bit too far back from a wide gait in the Canberra steaks and she's very strong to the line. Again, behind Jolly Star. And then last start, she comes through a jaw driiter where she was beaten by Autumn Glow but she was there with Pericles, Gringo, who was good with weight in a don cast. She's got the right form around her. James McDonald on for the first time this preparation, Barrier 2, she's probably three pairs back, letting them do their thing up front. I think she'll just save up. She'll get the right run. I don't think she'll win the race. She's primed now. Yeah, I have queries on her over a genuinely hot 1600 though. Based on the fact that she's only won once at the mile in a flight steaks and who did she beat in that race? Yeah, but she's only been there one. Well, she's been there once. That's my point. That's my point. She's only been there once. I think she's a mile. I think she's a mile like her or I thought. The fact that she's been trained as a sprinter, like that says to me that has Chris had reservations about her at the mile. Don't know. The way that she's built this preparation, I would say that this has been the target for a long way out. And it probably wouldn't be a query if a prior journey was in it. But this isn't just an any sort of 1600. It's going to be a real stain test. And that's why I've landed on She's a Hustle. Just at a huge price, she's being thrown in the deep end first up, but she is stacked with ability. And I don't think Graham Begg would have a hive. He didn't think that she could cope with this type of race with a Jenny in it. And look, she's won first up in the past at 15, 16, and 1800 meters. She was a last outweiner over 2,400. I think there's a few mayors that'll be weak at the end of a Jenny mile, and she won't be one of them. So I wouldn't fall off my chair if she won. Like, I'm going to have something on her to win, but certainly I'm going to be playing the place for She's a Hustle. I think she'll be storming home. So one there at a bit of a price in the Queen of the Turf. This is the feature now. So I'll see. [MUSIC PLAYING] The best horse in Australia goes around here in Race 9. The group won Queen Elizabeth Stakes. She's all about backing up. Weight for age 2,000 meters. It's the undefeated, the weight group won weight for age winner. And that is autumn glow. I cannot wait for this brother. Yep, been very well placed in her career to date to keep up the picket fence. No, she's a champion. She's a champion. I'm looking forward to seeing her to get to 2,000 meters for the first time. James McDonald, pretty confident that she'll relish it. They've been looking after her and not taking her there to date, but now's the right time, isn't it? She's in career best form. She's fourth up. She flogged them and was eased down in the rider. There's no way I'm back in against her. I was trying to look to get her to meet and see who I could back like. I was entertaining having something on Dubai on it, gets the blinkers on and in this race last year when he was back from the tan crew, he was absolutely enormous behind VSisdena. But I know like market percentages, they're sitting around about 118 at the moment, which is relatively the norm this far out from the race. So like they're at their right percent, but still I look at, you know, taken seven bucks 50 Dubai on a lot. I'm taken seven bucks 50 about some horses in other races where they've got to be the horse that's a $4 chance. But it's just not enough in the prices of any of these others because they've got to knock off a horse that's a $1.40 that's never lost before. Like even though it doesn't make sense market percentage wise, you sort of want 15 bucks about anything else to have a bet. I 100% get, yeah. Like it's almost these, it was back when, you know, it's not, we're not quite talking like $1.20, we had all the 16 winx areas, but it was like when she used to race, you'd bet into the winx out markets because you'd just go, okay, how does the race look without her if you want a bet from that perspective? I love this girl. I mean, if you love racing, you love this girl, right? If you don't, you need to get your head checked. - You know, you know, a little bit of credit here. So, you know, people like to, you know, when observer one first up, people quick to say that, you know, they're the first to tell you that the horse was, good. The same people weren't the first to tell you that the horse is no good, but I remember when she was coming back in that Derby Munro earlier last year, you know, there was her, there was Lady Shenandoah and I think Bruce Waller had another. - Aleyanna. - Aleyanna, yeah. - That was free, feelin' us, yeah. - That was free. And you were pretty keen that she was the best of all of them. - Yeah. - And no one knew then. No one knew how good she was gonna be. So, yeah, you've, that's good to get some credit. - Yeah, if you'd like to over start. - Yeah. - Well, yeah, in Melbourne. - She's only been in Buckleville, - Yeah, exactly, yeah. - And of course. But it's, I just, and maybe I've got the sort of the globe link is on a bit here because there, and I think Missara threw a bit of a curveball early in this campaign when they were sort of twing around with the Don Kaster and the Queen of the Turf and like, oh, we might not take her to 2,000 meters. And it's somehow sort of seeped into people's minds that all 2,000 are really big query for her. I actually am in the camp that she's going to excel at 2,000 meters on Saturday. Like, I think she's going to be better at 2,000 than what we've seen so far where people are going, oh, she's got to tick that box, which she does. But I'm firmly in the corner that she's only getting better. So, Autumn Glow, $45, that's deserved. They're not areas I shop in, so I won't. I'm actually gonna backseer Dilius top two salts. I think he's absolutely ready to peak third up grand final, 2,000 meters. They look like they've been building him a little bit more this preparation and taking their time with him, the orderhouse bot team, and that's how he's been responding. So, I think you'll finish second. Well, both Autumn Glow and Sheezer Alibide, they've got similar traits in their racing that you can put them wherever you want. Like, from Barry, two, they can just put Autumn Glow wherever they want. Like she's led sprint races before. Yep, so in the she's a alibi, she's been like right up on speed over 1400 meters, but then she draws out with no weight so they're straggler back to last. Like champion horses can just settle anywhere. I think from barrier two, it'll just plonker wherever he wants James McDonough. And it'll be like a video game. He's sort of steers or any. - He's Chee one, he's Chee one, jockey. - Yep, autumn glow. - He just puts her in the clear and she'd be too good for him. - It's a great point you make around James and you tweeted it about Chee's alibi. It's like it's anytime anywhere, any conditions. They just win. - Spot on and people were questioning that last week about Chee's alibi 'cause she hadn't been seen really soft conditions and she still hasn't seen heavy conditions like autumn glow, but like the real champions, like the real top liners. - Yep. - It just doesn't matter. - Yeah. - You just turn up and you win. - Spot on, you know, else is gonna turn up and win. Gangster granny in the last half. - You were finally green on something by the way. - You don't want all of that, yeah. - She's so well-weighted. - Yeah. - She is. - At set weight and penalty, she's the top rated horse or, you know, mayor in this race. And she's got the 56 and a half kilos. So what she's done, this preparation is carry big weights and give weight away to the rest of the field. She was good. She jumped from Barry's 16 last time out. They ran very fast time in that star kingdom. She sat outside the leader, Rosalind star beat her. But she had six kilos. - She's less than a big, a huge skier. - Six kilos. She's come back with two career peak ratings. And the form around her when she hasn't won has been excellent. I'm not concerning myself with Barry at 12. The way I see this track, you know, racing from the 12-100 meter star point, the direction, the winds blowing, you've got Monte Kate, Springley, Husk, a kick forward, James McDonald, I'd put her in the one one. I think she'll probably go forward and sit outside the leader. That's what she's done in her last two. She's drawn Barry 11 and Barry 16 and she's sat outside the leader. - Yep. - And I think she comfortably gets there. She's clearly the best bet anyway tomorrow, or on Saturday. - Oh, she's your best. - She's my best. - Oh, great. Oh, that feels really confident. So I was unsure if I didn't, I hadn't scrolled that far down yet. - She's the best. - Yeah, she's got, she's got great tactical speed. That's why the boy Barry doesn't concern me either. - Oh, great. - I'm with her for all of the reasons you've mentioned, Salty, the gangster granny. Let's get to Morphapville now, because this is an outstanding card. When Morphapville comes to the party, right? Saturday's watching the races, the flow of racing when you're watching and flicking channels. It's a tough job. If you're not a Sky One operator and you don't have all of your, if you don't just have more rolling into one another, this becomes a tough job. Like, I'm gonna get some lactic acid in the hand, or I get to say this. - It's delicious. - It is. And it's bought to you by data dream.com.au, which please head to their website, go to the Two Units tab, and find our prodigy by, I feel it, because we'd love to have some fun with your come racea, because that's what we do, Salty. We race horses, we have fun. - We do. - Four listed races and two group threes on this program. - Yep. - Yeah, that's hot. They call it the Eternal Good Four. The forecast in Adelaide up to 10 mils today, but then sort of one to three mils Friday, zero to two mils race day, I'd probably expect it to be around that Good Four range. Anyway, it wins from the southwest, pretty fresh. They sort of do favor horses that can settle a bit closer to the speed as well. - That has to be an ultimate gather round trip. Like with racing this good, and every game of 40 in South Australia, that's a complete. - Surely they got a great crowd there on Saturday. - That's an absolute boy's weekend away. You'd be, if you didn't have work like us, Salty, you'd be mad, not too bad. - Let's get to where we're kicking off Salty, race someone. - You got it back to the card. - Race one, and he. - He got it back to the card. - It's a staying affair at benchmark level. - Zero to 66. - We love those. - Lady Thinkabelle. - Back up eight days out of a slow run country, Oaks, where at those weights, she was just horrifically weighted. But after she got out sprinting, she was pretty good to the line. I think she wants this trip. The aprons were preparation. Her ratings are pretty good. I like the booking of Dan Stakear. So I think she'll chew up this trip, spit it out. She's ready. - Just treat it with complete disdain. Lady Thinkabelle, she's 250 in the first race for a bean. Been waiting for the return of this bloke, Ola Go. This is the without fierce stakes. Over a thousand and 50. He's a track and trip winner, and he looked pretty smart. And I reckon it would have taken a little bit of. Will power, I'd say, from Michael Hickmont to see that performance on Debu, and then lock this guy away and save him for a little bit later. - Well, he beat Bigwigs, who then was runner up to medicinal, and then beat that missionel in that million-dollar race. And missionel was good last weekend. - Timmy Eightman's quarter, the best made in Australia. - To fair, dark. Yeah, so that formed hot for this. Also a bit expensive taste, who was placed in sires at Flemington for two-year-olds too. So formed through the race good. At the trial time since his debut win was sizzling fast. Like, you got a proper. - No, I just used them. Just looked at the website. - I don't know yet, but I thought you had to watch it. - They gave him a proper hit out. I think he's a better horse than the second favorite. Never ordinary. - No, I agree. I kind of had too much more. I just think he's the best horse in the race or what we've seen. And even just to hold that Debu performance and I'm expecting him to bounce off it. So I think he makes a mess of him a little ago. I've got a lot of time for him. Let's move on to race number five. We're combining again, Salt C. I've got it. You know what I've got? (laughing) I've got a big McWoodie in the pool at a late age. - This race is at 2.32, Australian Eastern Saniton. - Yeah. - It's McWoodie in the morning, McWoodie in the evening, McWoodie at 2.32. (laughing) 'Cause I got wood. - You've got most so much wood. Don't rat limp. We got poor Adelaide Ginnies' woodies. (laughing) He's been good for the new yard. - Yeah, they're flying this Simon's Lacks in the yard as well. - Yep. - He's first up performance was good. 1500 meters, got too far back and a pretty good three-year-old race. And I don't think it was a three-year-old race actually. It was just a race that's produced subsequent winners. He was strong to the line. Last time he floats back under 16 1/2 kilos. Fastest last 600 meters of the day. He's got more change-up speed than different gravy who probably needs speed on. And although he was in the wrong part of the track first up, I got a significant jury out on this horse. - Oh, I thought he was just beating up on nothing and the wind turned his a little bit over high. - Oh. - Yeah, I'm against him here. - Oh. - The gravy. - I'm against him. - You don't think he's different at all. You think he's just playing out gray rocks. - I think he's just pre-packaged. (laughing) - Someone who's pre-packaged gravy is pretty good. - He's been playing for days of horse spelling. - He's a Mount Gambia warrior. - Or I can your bear a bit harsh on a package gray feet. - Y'all reckon some of them go all right. - That's the only one that I use. (laughing) - They are a rocks. - Yeah, yeah. - That's good. - Now, I'm with your sales, McWoodie. - He's been met with good market sales. - He has, but I think he's got favorite? - I reckon he's got favorite. - Yeah, so do I. - But he's got better change-up speed than different gravy. - Different gravy wants to 25 under it, or speed on 2000. So they didn't know the meter's his sweet spot for a guy. It's got a turn of four. - I don't know if it's a glitch on some of these apps, but they're saying he's gone up 13 bucks. - Yeah, I'm not sure. - He didn't go up 13 bucks. - I didn't get any of it. And I was waiting. I was swiping and refreshing. McWoodie for Saltsy and I in the port Adelaide Guinness. Let's get to the city of Adelaide handicap now, Saltsy. This is race number six on the program. On display, confirmed to go there. I saw in a text message from you this morning to me. But on display is heading to Adelaide. However, I'm not going to be with her in this race. I wanted to be with her if she stayed in Victoria. But I thought Pat Cash was in at pretty good price here. And providing us a run is first emergency. There's no other scratchings. I'm checking the scratchings now, Saltsy. - They're waiting on a scratching. He's in in Victoria. And Michael Hippmont was saying that someone had told him that their horse wasn't gonna run. So he could stay in South Australia, but then that person's gone back on their words. And now he's waiting for a scratching. He wants to take him to Adelaide though. - You would get opened up on the school yard for that sort of-- - Yeah, you would. - That's a fair call. - That's like a, sorry, no, I'll ring him back up and say no backsies. He's win last start. This track, 16 hundred meters was pretty impressive. Jet Stanley on board. It's that three-wide no cover throughout and made a complete mess of it. It was a career peak figure to date. If he can back that up in this listed company, then I think he wins this race, Cash. - I thought it should be more like 16 bucks 50 than 16 bucks 50. - Really? - He beat Oxford Blue. - How he did it though? - He beat that whole sack. - He covered ground and he made a mess of them. He was in a different race, Oxford Blue. - But he also had 54 kilos in a benchmark 82 against Oxford Blue. So now he's got 54 kilos in an open handicap. I think he's going to see some horses. He has mixed his form a little bit cash, but you know I'm a cashman. Yeah, he looked under the odds to me. Okay. There's a couple that look over the odds and it's Aaron Bay and Vadat. They clashed here in the CS Hayes over 16, 100 meters. Aaron Bay ripped the hands off the clock, blinkers first time. He then went and chased El Ducro on a fast tempo. No knock there. He had to give that whole six kilos, was pretty good at Flemington. And for dad, Beatim home at Flemington after Aaron Bay had Beatim home in that CS Hayes. And that was on a soft seven track. I think they're both better suited on top of the ground. Relative to the speed in this race, the gates actually aren't too bad for Aaron Bay because drawn outside of both Aaron Bay and Vadad are putting on Samurai mind who like to go forward. So I think they'll both clear Chicago storm. They'll both clear on display. Bam, you're probably up there. They'll clear water sports. I think they actually get alright runs on speed. So they've been clashing each other their last two, but they're the ones through I reckon what is the strongest last start form reference behind El Ducro where they ran fast on fitness peaks. You're back in Vadat Hway, obviously. I'm back on them both to win. Yep. Vadat doesn't win. Yeah, but he also hasn't been racing Oxford Blue. I think Oxford Blue would nose you me out. Vadat would fucking murder him. I think I think you'd I think you'd wait at the 50. That would murder. I think you'd wait at the 50 you need Asha Oxford Blue through because he's a loser. I think he's racing really well, but yeah, but you got to win mate. You got to put one away. He's one two from his last 16. Okay. Alright. Alright. For dad and Aaron Bay. Aaron Bay is a good horse. Yeah. He carries weight as well. Burnett's on to share that. The ownership crew. Race seven on the program. This is the Redelver Sakes over 1100 metres. And you're not you're not playing in this race? No, I'm not. I feel it hard. There's few horses here that I like. It looks pretty open. It's a real clash of a couple of our Adelaide favourites mathematician Bassett Bay. I don't like horses like Bassett Bay who are a really good, I know she was good over on debut over 11, but I think she's like got that cruising speed where she's going to be better suited at 12. So she like drops back in trip, get some pressure. Does it set up for something that runs on maybe? I'm with that. I want to be semi forgiving. I thought she acquitted herself pretty well at Corfield. She stuck on Gamerley in the inferior going. She's drawn low for Taylor Johnson. She's had success at this track before Big Tick. I think she can push forward and be pretty hard to beat mate Bassett Bay. He looks a pretty quality sort of filly. There's a few in this race that are pretty good though. Job done. Mathematicians won a yours. Yeah, I know. They overdo it. I didn't even speak about that. He might be a late play. There will probably be Lanes 5+. Yeah, he might be a late play mathematician just being nimble with how we're going. I've got a lot. He's one of my faves too, but I'd love to see Bassett Bay and mathematician fighting it out for our Adelaide dreamers out there. Let's move on to race 8 on the program. It's the Bindio and stakes 1100 metres. One fresh here for our man Andrew Glouis. Shout out to the boss. We've got to be against hidden motive. He cops pressure from Sharripper, Gracie's reign, gold spirit. He's a bit of gold. He locks. He needs to walk them to a long way from Newcastle. He was pretty good in the fireball first up, but had his chance beat by Beatman. He was awful last Saturday at Rosehill. Maybe back to 11 suits, but as favourite now against the older horses, lead me out of sub four bucks. The horse that should be favourite and the horse that actually is probably the best horse in the race and most consistent is watch me win. When his recipe is first up 1100 metres, he loves it. He's just got that sweet map for stubby holder to just let Sharripper, gold spirit, hidden motive, Gracie's reign go. The rest of the field, Tiger Sharp, Peace and L.O., Midtown Boss, Supersmink, Shrint Angel, are proper back markers. All of a sudden, he's just that one plunked in behind the speed off the fence, picks his lane, watches those on pace run as Carvy Chalarapin. He'll be strong late at the end of 1100 metres. I like this trial. He's the best bet in underlade. Even though I love Lady Thinkabelle in the first, I think just at the prices, he's got to be the best bet there. Jeez, you've got a bit of a McWoodie all around there. But I bet I like it. Speaks this week. I've got McWoodie in race one, McWoodie in race five and McWoodie in race eight. Yeah, that's a lot of wood. Nice man. That round's out. The specs and. Jeez, that was. How we going? My voice is getting a bit. Yeah, no, you've had it grow. You've had a fair old crack, actually. That's quite a big day in the office for us there, Salty. So let's get. It's a huge day. It really is. There's probably more than I'd like to put out there, but the racing's so good and I don't think I just think I've found so many. Well, when we get to Mornington Salts in a week's time or whatever that is, then you go, geez, I wish I could find more bets. Just think back. Think back to what we've just been through. Well, sir. Let's back and best lay from around Australia, Salty. Give it to me. Best lay is hidden motive. I think watching me win all was mowing down and I reckon you just won't handle the pressure up front. He had a bit of a ball burst the last start. What's in the tank with the travel? And the best bet is gangster granny beautifully weighted flying this preparation. The ball burst out. How good? Yeah, he's balls bursting in front out, fast, home slow. Yeah. Tank is empty. But I found it really hard to land on a lay this weekend. I want to be against a Hopay win. So I'm just going to, I'm just going to make the call that I hope A wins is now my lay. I think I'm going back on actually what I said in the specs, where I was skeptical grand final, J-Mac Chris Waller, but just at two bucks 40 if we're being price sensitive, it's just far, far, far too short. So I hope A wins is going to be the one I'm taking on and then my best back is just, this is just to flick off the pads for a single and it's tempted. She's just the best place to horse in the country on Saturday and I think she brains them, makes a complete nut a mess of them in the air field. That rounds out a show where we've made a mess of a lot of specs there. So I'll see, I'm feeling confident, feeling the rhythm, I'm feeling the flow. It's all in the hips. I'm feeling limp, feeling limp. I'm very good. I enjoy day two of the championships unit army. It's been a lot of fun. We'll still be back next week though, don't you worry, because it goes to Mornington and Salt's has got a big bat McWoodie for that. [MUSIC]