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Players You NEED to Draft this Season | Fantasy Focus

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Players You NEED to Draft this Season | Fantasy Focus

The live fantasy football show from New York City kicked off with a serious note, promoting the V Foundation’s effort to raise $10 million for pediatric cancer research, with QR codes available for donations. The hosts then dove into their recurring theme of "can’t stop drafting" players, sharing personal favorites: Mike Clay endorsed Derrick Henry for his consistent value and Jeremiah Love for his elite potential, while Liz Loza highlighted tight ends Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren as mid-round steals, and Field Yates backed Jackson Dart as a potential QB1 sleeper. The discussion shifted to bounce-back candidates, with Garrett Wilson, Jayden Daniels, Ashton Jeanty, and Justin Jefferson all cited for improved situations, while regression warnings targeted Matthew Stafford’s unsustainable touchdown rate, Davante Adams’ age and touchdown dependency, and George Pickens’ favorable 2025 circumstances. The "Facts vs. Feelings" segment engaged the audience on Justin Herbert’s top-eight chances and Carnell Tate’s rookie yardage, with playful banter throughout. Draft strategy advice centered on prioritizing running backs in the early rounds due to thin depth, waiting on quarterbacks given the abundance of viable options, and targeting a reliable tight end in the middle rounds. Team-specific analysis covered the Bills’ DJ Moore as a potential breakout, the Jets’ Geno Smith as a boost for Garrett Wilson, and the Giants’ young core with cautious optimism. Audience questions touched on keeper league decisions, top overall picks, and sleeper picks like Terrance Ferguson, closing the show with gratitude and encouragement for listeners.

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First and foremost, check it in at an even six foot from Wesleyan University. Field, minister, yikes. Good evening. At five foot seven and a hundred and sixty four pounds, Michael Lester Clay. I'm your never. Wow. And last but certainly not least, the one, the only. The incomparable Elizabeth Lose, give it up for Liz Lose. Super excited to be here, my friends. How are you guys doing tonight? This live show here at the racquet in New York City. I was good. I was good until that. I was nervous. I was like, is he going to tell everyone how much I weigh? Stop. Don't do that. What's going on? I would never. Super excited to be here with you guys. We got a very fun show planned for everybody. Guys, we cannot stop drafting. We've been doing so many mock drafts. We got a bunch of people. We just keep going back to going back to the well. We're talking some bounce backs and regressions as well as some facts and feelings and taking your guys' questions. A jam-packed show. It is going to be a ton of fun, but really quickly. Before I get started, I do want to say on a serious note, this is one of the most important things that we do. V Foundation. I just want to give a quick shout out to this v.org/esPN. Right now, the Disney company ESPN and the V Foundation are trying to be able to raise $10 million towards pediatric cancer research. We have QR codes set up around. The venue, if you want to be able to use those, you can donate money and go to v.org/esPN to be able to help donate to be able to defeat pediatric cancer. That would be unbelievable. I'll probably mention it a couple of times because of how important the V Foundation is. I wanted to let you guys know about that and with that being said, let's talk about some of the guys. I can't stop drafting. How many mock drafts do you think we've done? Not going to admit that one publicly, Daniel, although you know what, you guys paid your hard-earned money to come watch a fantasy podcast. So you probably are in line with us. I'd say mock drafts, I've got to be approaching 50 this often. At least. Right. We've been doing tons of mock drafts, basically from May, as soon as the draft happened up until this last week, even. And a lot has changed. Yeah. I didn't see any, like, no, no looks out there, like, what's wrong with this guy? That was actually pretty well received. That was well received. Thank you for not judging. No problem with that. Not the problem. Only 50. That's, see, that's the, that's the real fan. Only 50. Are you kidding me? Well, there's a lot of guys that we just keep coming back to you guys that we keep finding ourselves drafting over and over. Feel that I want to start with you. Give me a guy that you just keep drafting right now in the season. I hope Mike doesn't jump on me for this because this is an old running back, but he is a unicorn. We've been saying this on our show, which, of course, is back every single day, pumped to be back. I mean, who I have as the 11th overall player in my rankings, which is six spots ahead of his ESPN average draft position. And, you know, when we're talking about the 110th, first, the 116th player, I'm not sure there's really a difference between those two guys, but the difference to 11 and 17. Yes. It's pretty legitimate. Derek Henry, who has finished second in the NFL for four straight seasons and rushing yards, he just feels like one of the few things in fantasy football that you can count on, you're going to have to deal with a couple of hiccups and speed bumps along the way. He's going to have those games where he either doesn't rush for 100 yards or doesn't score a touchdown because he's not catching that many passes where he might be prone to a seven and a half fantasy point game every once in a while. But over the past two seasons, he also has the third most 20 or more point games amongst running back. So plenty of upside for Derek Henry. Maybe he's boring because he's been doing it for about a decade now, but I keep drafting Derek Henry. He feels like you're getting as good of a value on Derek Henry as you ever had in drafts because of where he's at in his career. But if you still are in on him, you're just getting a better average draft position because of that. Yeah, look, I wanted to come out here and just trash all of fields takes, but like I'm not in the business of doubting Derek Henry, so I'm not just not going to do that. I'll pass on this one. I'll save it for later. Okay. All right. You'll have bad takes. I know you will. Give me your guy then, Mike. Mike, if you're so good at it. All right. How about a guy that I love? No. Here we go. All right. The other back. All right. All right. Jeremiah Love, of course. Love Jeremiah Love. I've been talking about him all off season. Obviously, one of the topics in the NFL draft and Coast Arizona, I know Tyler Algiers there. There's a little hesitation right now because of the injury that he's dealing with, but it looks like he'll be ready to go for a week one. But even if he's not, even if he gets off to his slow start, I'm okay with that. This guy is in a super efficient rusher. He's excellent in the past in game. He could pass block. And history is on his side as well. Okay. He's saying this stat, what would you say, every single day on the pod, every day, every end of the pod, but every day. This may whisper in the lunch line today, it was weird. So here it is. Here it is. One more. Here it is. Once again, the last nine running backs drafted, top 12 in the NFL draft, finished top 12 in fantasy points as a rookie, not seven or eight at a nine, all nine of them, including Ashen Gentie. Of course, last year, slow start for him, but he came on after that once he got involved in the passing game. And obviously, he was effective. Jeremiah Love is a better prospect than Ashen Gentie. He is. He's up there with Bajan Robinson and St. Juan Barkley. So I expect him to be a superstar. And I honestly, I'll take a slow start. I'm not worried about it because he's going to deliver so many big games, not to mention Arizona tough schedule during the regular season, extremely attractive fantasy playoff schedule. He could be a league winner this year. And he's going to what the two now and a third round with the injuries going in the third round now. So I will take that all day long. Love that one. Alright. What about you? We got to think of a way to assign. It's different than love. I appreciate that's pick of yours, Mike. Yes. Of course, a little better than love. Love. Liz, you're up. Oh, I'm up. Okay. You know, it's interesting because there is this debate brewing in the second city about who will be the Bears Alpha, Luther Burton or Roman Dune Say. And I say the answer's neither because the best pass catcher and the most reliable pass catcher on that team is Colston Loveland. He was drafted 10th of all. Our love. A lot of love. Found a stage. There is a lot of love. Unfortunately for reliable players who can work as a mismatch and who are unleashed by their incredibly creative head coaches down the stretch of last year. Colston Loveland was the tight end to infanity from weeks 9 through 18. Down the stretch, he averaged 12 targets, seven catches and 94 and a half receiving yards over his last four final games, including the playoffs. 12 targets. 12. 12 targets a game over his last four games, including the playoffs. And of course, there are now 150 targets vacated in Chicago with the exits of Olimita Zacchaeus as well as DJ Moore. So there's a massive opportunity. I love Colston Loveland and I think he has tight end one potential this season. By the way, he's got to cause the Chias getting a shout out today. I show here like, did not have that on that field. No, I mean, of course you do. What else is new there? But did not have that one on my bingo card. Listen, I've was, I'm in on Colston Loveland. The player that you guys, and if you've been listening to the podcast, I have been all in on Tyler Warren. I love Tyler Warren. We got a little bit of maybe a little rain on here. I'm going to say a little rain on the parade of Tyler Warren on what happened? On cue. Once Keenan Allen got, you know, added to this squad. I saw Michael Pittman Jr. leaving 111 targets, vacated Liz as you have talked about in other offenses. And I think that Tyler Warren was the guy that was going to see the biggest uptick in that. Then they add Keenan Allen. I still think that I'm in on Tyler Warren. I don't still think. I am still in on Tyler Warren. I really like to say that. I'm okay with taking Colston Loveland ahead of him. The point of this is the players that I can't stop drafting. If Colston Loveland's available, I'll take Colston Loveland. If Tyler Warren is available, I'll take Tyler Warren. The point is I love this second tier of tight ends and where they're available in the draft. I can't stop drafting either of them if they're available in this fifth round area. Did you move Tyler Warren down from your tight end, three to your tight end, four in your ranks? I haven't yet, but I'm going to. Wow. I want to see it on Monday. What are you traveling today from Connecticut? What are they doing? Something today? Yeah. By the way, growing an injury for Tyler Warren as well, looks like he'll be good to go for a week one. Like you. I'm a little mad at you for stealing my Tyler Warren. Yes. Yes. This one of my guys as well. Love him. It's a little concerning. We're both on the same page on that. So much fun. I like it there. Very high on Tyler Warren. Yes. Yes. By the way, cool part about New York City. What a melting pot. Sometimes we've done shows in Detroit or Houston, Los Angeles and it's like just a bunch of junior Gibbs jerseys like Daniels. Yes. Do you see Steelers? I steal giants, of course. Browns, Chiefsets. Yes. I see. It looks like potentially a couple that maybe a Jets and Patriots couple. Oh. Wow. Wow. Like it's everything is okay. Somebody say that. Talk on Sunday. Is it like a. Okay. We fight a lot. Of course. Some might say that's true love. That's right. Agreed. If you're a Jets fan after the last X number of years, I cannot question your loyalty. That's right. However, I'm sure that's the same as being a partner. So yeah, just shout out New York City. You never know what tea. I'm sure I'm missing some teams further in the back. I don't see any charger stuff, though. Interesting. No, I don't see any. Why charger steel? Well, because I know what he's going to do. I know what he's going to do. Justin Herbert all the time. Oh. He just segwayed himself. That's what he did right then. No, no, no. Justin Herbert. That's like the self alley hoop where you throw it off the back. Yeah. Something like that. Kind of a thing. Yeah. So it didn't really land on that one for time. What I would tell you is that the answer is probably you generously call me six feet. Yes. I was giving you a little love. No, no, don't get in my past. So I can't speak to these self alley hoops. No, Steph Curry is short, too. That's true. Steph, just slightly better. Oh, wait, better. Jalen Brunson. There you go. There you go. There you go, baby. That's it. I think the first person to applaud Liz's comment is wearing a Drake Major Z. Is that? I think they're wearing a Drake, Drake May Major Z feel. Drake, Drake May. - May, May, rooting for Jalen Brunson. - Nothing wrong with that. - You know what? - I'll let it pass. - That's why sports are great. - Yeah, totally. - By the way, not hard to imagine why you want to root for Jalen Brunson or Drake made. They're both awesome. But you should be rooting for Justin Herbert as well. Justin Herbert is my quarterback, six. There's some guy at ESPN, we call him Dinerd. And he just crunches numbers and whatever. - Yeah, Daniel. - I was like, is that me, Dinerd? - Dinerd? - No, there's no way. Dinerd. - Come on. - Oh, there's no way. - No, that's them, yeah. - And he has him as quarterback 14, I believe, right? - No! - I do. - Yeah, quarterback 14. Listen, this is the same guy that gives out raisins at Halloween. We don't really acknowledge him. Other than one he has, good fantasy takes. It's Mike, obviously. Justin Herbert, who, by show of, I don't know, I can't really see, hands or applause. Like, if you think Tua Tungo via Loa is better than Justin Herbert, let me know. Okay, that was nice silence right there. Did you guys see Tua? A spike the ball into the ground today? Not great. We think Justin Herbert's better, right? We all love Mike McDaniel as a play collar. That's really the calculus here. Is Justin Herbert gets to play with the best offensive coordinator by a mile of his career. But in case you're interested in other stats, he did have seven games last year with 225 or more passing yards and 30 rushing yards, right? That was the most the NFL. - He's got his legs. - Great athlete. Everything's coming up herbo these days. Recently got engaged. Life seems to be good for Herbert and-- - Do you get fantasy points for that? Is that how that works here? - Sorry, didn't fit that one into the formula. - Yes, he does get-- - Well, here's the formula. 2025 outside the top 10 and fantasy points for game. 2024 outside the top 10. 2023 outside the top 10. 2022 outside the top 10. He's finished better than eighth one time in six seasons in his career. So I'm not necessarily projecting this finish forward. - FYI, or Justin Herbert. - Jeremiah Love, zero top 50 finishes. - As true, yeah, but he-- - Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. Zero for zero is different than zero for the last four seasons. - Oh, that's a big difference. - I think it's still a zero, though. - It's still zero. That's not how this works. All right, Mike, why don't we break some beats of reps? - All right, it was another bad pick, Mike. - Yeah, why don't you give us one and top that, then? - How about a crowd pleaser? I know how to get everybody on my side. - Jackson Dart. - Jackson Dart, that's my guy. That is my guy this year. Quarterback for sure. My favorite target, look, last season, limited work. He played and played a bulk of the snaps in 12 games. So they weren't all necessarily 12 full games, but he played the bulk of the snaps in 12 games. He had eight top 10 fantasy weeks. That was fifth most quarterback last season. I mean, that's unreal. Like when he was out there, he was extremely good from a fantasy perspective. Saul does a passer, and we know how good he is. As a rusher was top five in all of those categories as well. So you have that. He was not good last year. The supporting cast was not even very good last year. A lot of injuries. He's thrown three passes so far, two Malik neighbors in a regular season game three. He's going to have him back, healthy this year. They had Isaiah likely. Even Darnell Mooney is now just like a depth guy for them. That was a long time starter, a long time. Number one receiver for the Chicago Bears. So John Harbuss head coach. We'll see about Matt Nagy. But everything's kind of coming up, Jackson Dart. And here's the thing with it. - Did you get fantasy points for that? - Yeah. - You do, you do for, yeah. Good play callers, good leadership. Yeah. - Oh, stop it. That was a good show. - That was a good show. - There's so much gaslighting going on on this stage right now. - Yeah, what are we even talking about? - I love it. - Yeah, look, here's the thing. Even if he's not great as a passer, he could still be a top 10 score at the quarterback position. And frankly, if he is good as a passer, I think he's a sleeper to be the number one scoring fantasy quarterback this season. That is his ceiling. What he does is sort of rush your crowd. - With what he does. No, I've been saying that all off season. That was actually my bold prediction on the last FF now. - The last year. - It was. - Was that Jackson Dart would be the number one scoring quarterback this year. Mike brought the good stuff to the green room upstairs before the show. - He did. - All right. - Liz, why don't we talk with you about who your other favorite player to trap to? (laughing) - Mike is really high on Jackson. - Really, really on Jackson Dart. - Yeah. - You smell great, Mike. - Thank you. - I was just gonna say that I talked up a current bear, and now I'm gonna talk up a former bear and a former lion. My favorite eagle scout in the NFL. - That's right. - Maybe the only one, David Montgomery. Obviously, a bit of a volume and production regression over his last season. And some might say that David Montgomery is a jack of all trades, but a master of none. And that is okay because he provides a solid floor in doing that. Signed to Houston for a two-year deal with $10 million guaranteed, that's not nothing money. And the Houston Texans ignored the position during this past NFL draft. I think he's gonna see real opportunity. Yes, he's gonna share the backfield with Woody Marx, who did Flash as a rookie, but also showed that he was not capable of a full workhorse role. I think that Montgomery will probably touch the ball 15 to 17 times per game. He's coming, he is my RB1. He's currently the RB23 coming off draft boards in the eighth round of 10 years. - No, hold on, hold on, hold on, hold on, hold on. Close. - Did I hear that incorrectly? - Your RB21. - He's my RB21. - Are you said one? - In my heart. - Yeah, that's right. That's really attention, guys. Come on. - In my heart. - You guys are talking about love and fake numbers. - Well, I'm allowed to have an RB1 in my heart and an RB21 in my rankings with the 23rd running back, coming off the board in the eighth round. - She's been spent a little bit too much time with Mike Gley, if you can. - I hope he's right next to him, guys. - Yeah, look, I will say this about David Montgomery. I'm a little concerned here because he has one career finish better than 15th, they're running back. So we'll kind of lack some upside. He's one more than Jeremiah Love. - He's one more than Jeremiah Love. And here's the other thing too. - The Houston offense with C.J. Stern and Demiko Rines has not been really generous to running backs. They are 29th and fantasy points, 30th and receptions or text running backs. Now, I will say this in a football too. - Thank you. - I'm gonna paint the whole picture. The personnel hasn't been great. - Okay. - And when Joe Mixen was there and healthy, he was very good, but he needed a lot of volume. I'm a little concerned about how many pass catchers that are healthy do the Houston Texans have currently? - Yeah, but I don't think the running backs are the answers. - I think they might have to be out of necessity. - I don't know. Here's the thing, he saw this last year. They still like who they have. Xavier Hutchins is gonna be out there. They brought him Justin Watson. Jalen Noel is the third round pick last year. He's gonna be involved. Tank Dolls now healthy. - We've been running-- - They have Dalton Schultz. Dalton Schultz. They have Kid Stover. I mean, they have with them. - Stop. - Stop. - Stop. - That's too far. - This is what we have to deal with. - This is why-- - Where do I have a legitimate argument? - No, that talks about people like Kid Stover in the middle of our-- - This is why some of us up here, one of us up here does projections, because Kid Stover matters. Okay, he's gonna get target. - I believe that-- - He matters in that off. - Come on Mike, there are two of us in the audience tonight. - Are we getting pranked? And we didn't know Kid Stover is out there. - What, it's also like there are two of us that are in the fantasy sports writers Hall of Fame. - Ooh. - Yeah. - So you're sitting next to the other one. - Yeah, okay. - Ooh, okay. All right. - All right. - So, did that just-- wait, did she turn this on? - I love you guys. - I think so. - I think so. - Is that a shot of field that I know? - Let's go say, I feel like the walls are closing on me and then Liz, she'll like totally through you guys. - Let's go say, I have for the record. - The record's been named "Dad of the Year" four times by my four-year-old. So, like, that's basically Hall of Fame. - You were having another one on the floor. - She never actually wrote it. She just, like, put her finger print down when the teacher's like-- - But "Dad of the Year" not "Dad of Hall of Fame" or, though. Like, it's-- - Oh, wow. - That's what you're saying. - Look at this is-- - Okay. - We're gonna fight scene for it. - What was the next hit again? - Yeah. - Yeah. - My last player, I think I'm drafting is Michael Pittman Jr. I just love Michael Pittman Jr. about the ADP, with where he is at. - See, my gosh. You're just talking about this. - He is in an unbelievable spot with Aaron Rogers, because Aaron Rogers physically can't throw the ball more than seven yards downfield. Michael Pittman Jr. runs most of his routes underneath that amount of yardage. And so DK Metcalf, I think, is gonna be basically Alec Pierce this year in the same offense with a bad quarterback. Even though DK Metcalf is really good, I would much rather have Alec-- excuse me, much rather have Michael Pittman Jr. At basically the same ADP. I just think he's gonna give you a really nice safety net and a really good floor at the wide receiver spot in those middle rounds of it. - Can I call out something Field said, 'cause I thought it was a perfect cop. And I now have to make up for me with something. - No, no, no, no, no, I'm actually good with you. You're good fine. You can say whatever you want. - Okay, cool. - Field said that Michael Pittman for Aaron Rogers this year is what Kenny Gainwell was for him last year. - I would love that. - I would love that. - I would love that. - They do. - Only Tolster's your argument. - I can't remember who was the first person that said that I heard it from. I think it might have been Wayne Gretzky, but whatever. It was somebody to know it was. - Wow. - So, but it's a great thought though. Thank you, Les. - All right, you're welcome. - Hall of Famer. Hall of Famer person, too, for the record. - A couple of things. You can be a Hall of Famer sports writer, but if you're not a Hall of Famer person, I'm not sure it even matters. - And mom of the year for-- - And one of you on this panel-- - 13,000 times. - So I is a Hall of Famer person. - That's true. - Let's move ahead. We got a little bit more in here. We were just talking about guys we can't stop drafting. Let's talk about some bounce back in regression, Mike Clay specifically wanted to do this, because you like talking about guys that are going to regress. Regression, Mike's got this thing with regression. He writes about it all the time. It's always about regression alert, regression candidate, positive regression. - Yeah. - He's got a weird regression thing. - Is there an insult coming like that? I'm doing, 'cause I'm working hard, like doing my job. - Is that what it is? - Well, then let's start with you, Mike Clay. I want one-- - I can't help this fish during the whole hour. - Okay, okay, okay, some of us do work, okay? - For what it's worth. - Fishing has, and you know what, you don't even deserve it. You don't even deserve my fishing top. Let's do one player that's going to bounce back. One player that's going to regress. Let's start with four bounce backs, though. Will each give one bounce back? I want to start with Mike. - All right, the first bounce back, Garrett Wilson. Come on, Garrett Wilson, for sure. - Thank you, Mike. - New York Jets, super star player. Are you just leaning into the York crowd? Is that what you're doing? - I was going to say. - No, it's just, I like good players. What can I say? I mean, they have a lot of good players, and you know that. Yeah, look, I, no, I'm definitely on Garrett Wilson. Forth round ADP, we're getting a discount on him in drafts, because he was hurt last year. But before that, this is not an injury played player. It's first three seasons in the NFL. You missed zero games. The guy was super healthy, super productive. Top seven in targets. All three of those seasons. Last year was off to a really good start with shaky quarterback play, frankly. To say what you want about Justin Fields in fantasy, he doesn't throw the ball that well or a lot. And Gar Wilson was still putting up big numbers over 14 fantasy points per game. And Geno Smith is going to provide an upgrade. And I'm going to save a little bit of the Geno Smith talk for a little bit later, because we have another topic on what he means for the Jets pass catchers. But I will preface it or I will foreshadow and just say, it's going to be a good thing for Gar Wilson. That's exciting. In case you guys didn't want to stick around, we're going to talk about Geno Smith in a little bit. We're going to talk about the Jets. We're going to talk about that. We're going to talk about the Jets where I headed the right direction. That's an improved football team. What about you, Liz Lose? I want to talk about Jaden Daniels, because I think we have forgotten that he was the QB5 in fantasy as a rookie. You can't, you do not love to say that. Don't say that. He's the QB4 in six. QB4 plus one, yes. That's there you go. Well, no way. It's him, so you can say five for him, right? You just can't survive for anyone else. But yeah, OK, is that what it is? He was the QB5 fan. OK, OK, OK. In 2024, I don't love the Laramie Tonsal injury news that doesn't make me feel great. But we do know what Jaden Daniels can be. And we have to forgive him or at least recognize the fact that he was so injured. He dealt with a litany of issues last season, limiting him to just four healthy games. But the injuries didn't just stop at the quarterback position. Tyrion McClaurne was hit. Zach Erts was hit. Austin Eccler was hit. And now, Tyrion McClaurne is back to being healthy. Zach Erts has been replaced with my guy, Chigokantko. Rishi, Rishi White, Rishod White. Chod White. Rishod White is replacing Austin Eccler. I just flew in yesterday, y'all. Come on. And Stefan Diggs bearing the lead having a bit of a homecoming will work in a nice possession capacity for the commander. So I think Daniels, I also like David Blau as the offensive coordinator. I think it's a good shift for him. And I do think he will bounce back nicely. He is my QB2. So I'm quite bullish on the situation. Lamar Jackson is most people's key. If he's your QB2, then being able to find him in drafts with where he's being draft. Six ground. Yeah, it must be really nice. Yeah, so you can wait and grab a guy that you like. Field, what about you? What's the player you think will bounce back? A bounce back. So I don't think if you look at the season long finish for this player last year, you'll feel like, oh, yeah, he has to bounce back. But I just don't think it was nearly as smooth of sailing as we were hoping for going into last year. That's Aston Gentie, who Mike has said about the top 12 running backs finishing in the top 12, whatever number of years in a row. It wasn't great for Aston Gentie for a lot of last season. As you guys know, his offensive line was about as bad as you will ever see for a player. He had one run of 20 plus yards in the first 15 weeks of the season. He also led the NFL in rushing attempts during that stretch from weeks one to 15. The offensive line has literally nowhere to go. But up, they spent every dollar available to get Tyler Linderbaum, the center and so much better scheme as well. Clint Kubiak should make this a much better offense overall. Gentie is a capable, not a dynamic pass catcher like a Jeremiah love, but a very capable pass catcher. So I could easily see Aston Gentie being a top eight or so running back in 2026. After finishing as RB 12, he was drafted as what? RB six, RB seven last year give or take. So the bounce back. Nobody do it. No, sorry. I didn't mean it. I didn't mean it like that. All right. I'm going to talk about a player that I think is going to bounce back. I think is the best value in the first round. I've been saying this. It's easy to say it's the best value of the first round when he's being drafted at the end of the first round. But but Justin Jefferson has never been drafted this late before. If there was ever a situation in which you were like, hey, Justin Jefferson, you know, he's got prior to last season four straight years where he was a top five wide receiver. Five straight years where he was a top 10 wide receiver. The dude was catching passes literally from the guy in the third row and this woman over here, like for half of his career. They could be good. She don't, that's fair, that's fair. I'm just saying you have no idea who he was catching the football from because half the time he was playing with quarterbacks that we don't feel like are at the same level that a lot of these other guys are playing with. So Justin Jefferson now getting Kyler Murray. I understand some of the concerns that we've got with Kyler. But I feel like I'm being held hostage in my brain if I allow myself to think that Justin Jefferson is going to continue to play poorly. Because last year was not on Justin Jefferson. Last year was on the quarterback situation. He should be a top 10, top five, potentially top three. And maybe the number one wide receiver in fantasy because that's easily in his bag. I agree with you, but isn't it kind of wild how we're just like, man, like Arizona's paying Kyler Murray so much money just to go away. And we're just like, big upgrade for Justin Jefferson. Like this guy Arizona, a team that has struggled for song is like, get out of here, like huge news. But yeah, I mean, look, I've talked about this a little bit with Jefferson, a little worried about him getting back to that elite ceiling with Kyler because he's never really done. There's only one receiver that's ever had a top 20 season with Kyler Murray. But again, it was a season where he fed DeAndre Hopkins. We've seen him do that if he does that with Justin Jefferson, which, if he doesn't, he's not going to be playing much. Has it happened since 2020? Yeah. It's been a minute. Yeah. My favorite stat about that, and maybe it's just because I had Hollywood Brown on my team. But when that DeAndre Hopkins season happened, Hollywood Brown was the number one wide receiver on that team through the first eight weeks of the season. He was wide receiver one after the first eight weeks of the season. Yeah, he was like top five, like halfway through. And then he got her and then he got her back as a suspension. Yeah, exactly. So if you look at the wide receiver one and that Cardinal's offense, they smashed. That's the Kyler we're hoping to capture here. Hopefully. For the Justin Jefferson offense. Good coaching there too. It should help. No pressure, Kyler. All right. Michael, why don't you give me a regression since it's kind of your thing? Just for the ration. Just for the record. Actually, I think this was a play. Hey, hey, hey, hey. Just for the record. The three of you picked such obvious candidates. Like, come on. Show some courage. Oh, wow. You picked a good one, actually. I did. Look at me. All right. You guys got that. No, no, no. And so say your names, but like, how much time did you put into this pick? Well, no, I don't want to say it now. Go for it. No, I feel sad about this. I was actually in the give Liz a shout out because I believe any of your favorite sleepers last year was my guy. And he panned out. Michael Wilson, right? Yes. Were you-- yeah, I thought you were on Michael Wilson. I liked him coming out of sleep. Yeah. Yeah, it just took so long for him to get going. His first 30 games in the NFL, 4.3 targets and 7.6 fantasy points per game seems like it wasn't going to be very good. And then, of course, Jacobi Berset takes over 11 targets and 21.2 fantasy points per game. But here's why I think it's not going to continue anywhere close to where I was down the stretch. It wasn't just Jacobi Berset under center because it'll be under center again this year. Marvin Harrison Jr. was out. So what I wanted to do was look a little closer at what happened when it was Berset, Harrison, and Wilson together in the second half. And Wilson was still as good as he was when Harrison was out. And the question is, really bad, actually. It'd be-- it surprised you. This is the fantasy points for Wilson, those four games. 7, 9.1, 7.4, and 6.6. In those games, Marvin Harrison, who we're just like right now, he's probably a bust, right? How about this? 7.8, not good. But then, 22.6, 14.3, 12.9. So Harrison was actually delivering, basically, wide receiver, two numbers, those four games that Jacobi Berset and Michael Wilson was a non-factor. So I am very concerned about you. You have Trey McBride. You have a healthy Marvin Harrison. And also, the second half last year, they were just like, we're done. We're just going to throw the ball every play. They were the past heaviest offense in the NFL. They were losing all the time. It's going to be a little different this year. It's going to be a more conservative offense. So a lot of reasons-- There's a project it would be total in Arizona. I know that, but it's schematic, too. I mean, yes, the fourth quarter. They're going to be throwing a lot. It's going to be a little different than it was in the second half where it was just a free throw. It's going to be beautiful. I love those kind of teams. Yes. They're so fun. This is like a Blake Bortles-esque-- Jacobi Berset is going to be feeding somebody in this offense. Is it Jeremiah Love? Is it going to be a pride? That's another thing we know of. It's going to have a huge season. All right. All right. Feel what about you? Feel what the smartest pick of the rest of us. No, keep going, you guys, do your soft balls. All right, I'll do mine then. OK, guys, do your soft balls, and I'll bring some time to prep for just a team field to shred. All you mine, my regression player is Matthew Stafford, who was being drafted way too high based on ESPN ADP right now. What did he do to the jazz last year? A quarterback, too? Two. A quarterback, too. Do you know what he finished as the year before that? A quarterback. A quarterback, 27. OK. Year before that, he was a quarterback, 16. Year before that, he was a quarterback, 31. So for him to be able to repeat what he did, 4,700 passing yards, over 40 passing touchdowns. He had one rushing yard. It is so hard for you, Stafford. My favorite fan, it's a quarterback. When you can't run the football. A major regression alert for Matthew Stafford. I love him. He's unbelievable if I ever had a child of my own. I would name him, Matt John Matthew Stafford, Daniel Dobb. Really? I would think about it. But big time regression, I think, coming from Matthew Stafford just because as a non-mobile quarterback, what he did last year was like elite, elite, elite, elite as a passer. It's so difficult to repeat that. I hear you, but that team is so good. He might put up another 40 passing touchdowns. If there's ever-- usually when you were talking about guys like that, you're like, all right, some things changed in the offense and on the team. The Rams are stacked. I say Matthew Stafford does not throw 40 passing touchdowns in 2026. All right, let's just do it. I say Matthew Stafford does throw 40 passing touchdowns in 2026. Put it on the board. That was my friends. You can't-- no, you can't just-- I basically bullied Mike into a thing. I definitely got the better end of it there. You did, because that was an emotional decision. No, I was. You put me on the spot, because I screwed a true statistician would never take that. You would have never taken that. It's under every time. Always hammer the others. By the way, I'm not mesmerized by this table. I've just been sitting here thinking about it. Like from here to this table, is Matthew Stafford's Project. >> He had 26 rush attempts and he got this many feet in those 26 rush attempts last year. He was negative for a while so he made up for that down the stretch. >> They were picking up three rushing yards in the last night, but you are right field. That is kind of an obvious regression with Matthew Stafford, Liz, who do you have there as you are regression? >> I'm going to piggyback but this is a little bit different because the ADPs are vast. Devante Adams, who is currently being drafted in the fifth round, which is why I don't think it's such a gimmie. Now Devante Adams average middle rounds, that's fair. Devante Adams average nearly 16 fantasy points per game. He obviously led the league in receiving scores with 14, but 110 of Adams 223 total fantasy points came via end zone looks for context. That's more than double of any flex player in 2025 and the most since Randy Moss achieved a similar mark back in 2007, which means it is not sustainable. It is not going to be repeatable and it is screaming regression, not to mention the fact that he's entering his age 33 season, he turns 34 on Christmas Eve and as Daniel pointed out, he's attached to a 38 year old quarterback who has a history of back problems. >> Seems not great. Yeah, I mean, I don't really have a whole poke into that argument. >> I would just rather have Vlad McConkey in the fifth round. You're going around the same place. So if I'm having my choices and I'm thinking about last year versus this year, there's a player who I think could break out. >> The young lad. >> The young lad. >> Let me ask you guys. >> Somebody who's not going to put up the same numbers. >> Let's ask the crowd. Can you guys, we practice this audience participation. If you'd rather have Devante Adams over Vlad McConkey, let me hear you cheer a little bit here for this one. If you'd rather have Vlad McConkey then Devante Adams, let me hear it from you. >> So people are more in on the young buck than they are on Devante Adams, more on the little cross town Los Angeles rivalry. >> That's right. >> Right there. >> All right, let's go out. >> What about this unbelievable pick that you had that's so much better than all of our? >> Yeah, true it is. >> He's way smarter than us. Let's hear what you got here. >> You guys would be nice. >> All right, good. >> My ears went out for a second. Could you repeat that? >> No. >> No. >> George Pickens. There he goes. >> Okay. >> Right there. >> All right. >> That's spicy. >> All right, that's spicy. >> George Pickens. >> I think just about everything that could go right for George Pickens in a season did go right for George Pickens in the season last year. >> Yes, I think you're right. >> A lengthy CDLAM absence because of a high ankle sprain that was suffered like the third week of the season. That helps George Pickens. Now, he was still very productive when CDLAM was around, but not quite as productive when CDLAM was around. Beyond that, playing in what he didn't, what he thought was probably his contract year. And that if not being a contract year for George Pickens, because he got franchise tag, but there's tons of contract motivation for him. On top of that, the Dallas Cowboys defense was literally the worst defense. Any of us have ever laid eyes on. Every game for the Cowboys was a shootout. I don't know if this defense is going to be- >> Do I spend goals play defense last year? >> Yeah. >> Okay, okay. >> I mean, they okay, fair. >> Okay, okay, okay. >> You know what? Honestly, fair. They both stunk. They were both fair. They were both awful. So, the opportunities, I just think you can go down a little bit for this offense because they're not going to need to throw the football literally every down because they're either playing from behind or playing in a shootout. It's going to be a better defense overall. I think George Pickens is a bit of a regression. So I am less in on George Pickens' issue. I'm just saying, we're trying to talk about potential clips. >> I like it. >> Little cliff. >> I like it. >> Clif, mini bump. Also, now he's on the franchise tag. I'm like, that's big money for this year. Like, whatever. Twenty-some million bucks. Like, that hamstring starts to feel tight. It's like, Mike, Mike goes on vacation the first week of the podcast every year. >> No, I didn't go on vacation. I just went on vacation. >> He went on vacation. >> No, I thought you were just going to completely were complaining about more contract demands or something. >> I want to slam that take, but it was well constructed, and I've been an advocate of the Dallas defense. Unfortunately, I think they're going to be much better, so fair, and I did rank him a little bit lower. So I have to be a little bit practical here. I will say this, though. If you look at the games in which he played with CDLAM, he's going to average over 16 fantasy points per game. That would have been wide receiver eight for the season. So I think there's a short list of teams that could have two receivers in the top ten or twelve this year. Bengals would be one that stand out. Me, Rams, if Domente Adam still gets peppered near the goal line, certainly not the Browns. But certainly, certainly, the Cowboys are on that one. >> Browns fan, you think it could happen. >> Browns fan is at least no. >> No, you're real. You're Browns fan in realist, yes. >> Look, I've been drafting an embarrassing amount of Browns this year. >> Are you creating batteries with the Browns? >> Don't, Liz, don't. >> Nice, Liz. >> Feed into that. >> Yeah, don't do it. >> Not much. >> That's a bad battery. >> All right, one more quick reminder for you guys. V.org/ESPN, pediatric cancer is actually the most underfunded forms of cancer research that is out there. We are trying to raise $10 million to be able to help defeat pediatric cancer. So if you can go to V.org/ESPN, 100% of your donation goes to pediatric cancer research. Liz, Liz, you do an iconic piece called "Facts vs. Feelings." Some say that it is the best thing that ESPN fantasy has done since the advent of the internet. >> Uh-oh. >> Some have said that. And I want to- >> Or the shadow report. >> Are you feeling okay? >> Sure, the shadow report. >> Okay. >> Or people read that. >> I read it. >> But you've got a "Facts vs. Feelings vs. Gut Feelings." You've got a "Facts vs. Feelings" for us and the crew- >> So yes, I am going to read a statement and then the three of you are going to say whether it is a "Facts vs. Feelings" we are going to do so. >> Okay. >> Okay. So the first one, "Facts vs. Feelings," Justin Herbert finishes as a top eight producer at the position. I think we know where Feelings is going to go with this one, but top eight, I have all of your rankings. >> It's a conservative, obviously forecast from "Facts vs. The Fact" as well. >> Nice, Daniel. I think the last time Herbert achieved that was like, I don't think you had a beard yet at that point. >> Wow. >> There's a long time ago. So I can't remember back that far when he was at that level, so it's hard for me to think he could do it this year. >> For the first fiction. >> I want to think, if you and the audience think he could do top eight, give me a cheer here real quick for Justin Herbert. >> Wait, that can. >> It's a great crowd. >> He can do it, but it's will. >> We'll do it. All right. >> So the context in our rankings, Daniel and I have Herbert ranked QB9. We're in agreement. I would say it's a fact as well. Obviously Field has him, QB6 and Mike has him, QB14, so everybody played along nicely. >> Yeah. >> You not like her music? Is that what it is? >> Yeah. >> I mean, look. You do lose fantasy points for bad songs. So yeah. >> Wow. >> Wow. >> All right. >> Do you know any of her songs? >> No. >> That's right. >> Is that the killers? I don't know them. Like is that? >> It's the only band. >> It's the only band I know. I don't know any of the bands. >> We've made real strides. >> Yeah, killers and Taylor Swift. I get them covered. >> On the bright side. >> Oh, my God. >> I have another one. >> That was a killer's ref. >> That's in the business. >> Hall of Fame. >> That's sick. >> No comment. >> Facts or feeling, Carnell Tate clears 1,000 receiving yards in his rookie effort. >> You're picking on my guys. Facts. >> Yeah. >> Facts. >> Yeah, so again, if the numbers, persons should always say under, but my projection is what? 1024. >> It is. >> Forever. >> Yeah. >> Yeah. >> Way to remember. The history of wide receivers, before I say my mic, go ahead. >> No, good. >> Good. >> Go ahead. >> No, it's here your in-depth analysis, the numbers guy. >> One of the reasons why I'm really in, no, Mike, you go first. You go first. >> And then I'll go after you. >> Okay, back. >> All right, well. >> Okay, so this, what's happening? >> No. >> No, go ahead. >> No. >> Okay. >> You just, you first just steal my Tyler Warren. Then you steal my Michael Pittman, Jr., you know, I'm a Michael, Jr., I get Michael Jr., I have first name on Michael Jr., how's your wife? >> Oh, no. >> No? >> No. >> No. >> So anyway, carnalty. >> I don't think you should not think. >> Carnalty. Look, the history of wide receivers drafted in the first round. I used, you know, a similar stat when I was talking earlier about running backs. It's very similar for wide receivers picked in the top 10. Those guys over the past 10 years are averaging a 25% target share, which is enormous. Enormous is like once you get into the 30s, but 25 is like, that's wide receiver to territory. And that's almost always where these guys deliver. If they're healthy, they're wide receiver to's or threes, and I have some hesitation about the quarterback situation. Camward has to make a year too late, but that is the year where quarterbacks generally do make the leap. So I'm optimistic about carnalty. >> I would say 1000 yards as well is in the bag because of the lack of receiving options behind him and the fact that the dude is a stud. I mean, I've listened to that field in first draft talking about it with Melkhype Jr., so I've been paying attention there. But I think a thousand, a thousand yards is in the bag here for now. They kind of quietly could have a decent wide receiver room. Like Wandao Robinson is going to probably catch 90 footballs. And Calvin really, if he's, I mean, he's 32, he might have another year left now. This is a guy that's going to soak up a handful of targets, one of the preseason. When I see a 32 year old play, that many snaps in the preseason a week one, I'm like, you are -- >> I feel that. Yeah. >> So, for the record, Mike's projection, 121 targets, 75 catches, 1,024 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. >> Where you guys at on carnalty, do you think you can hit a thousand receiving yards? If you think so, let me hear it. >> That's right. >> I like the one with a Michigan fan in here. >> I think there's a Titans fan in the bag. >> A lot of Wandao. Okay, there's too much Wandao potentially in this offense. In resting. >> All right. >> All right. >> Wandao Robinson is going to catch like 120 balls and for 800. >> Yes. Yes. Four yards per catch. >> Right. >> Yes. >> I think they all watched too much of the Titans last year, because that was, it was ugly. That was ugly. >> All right. >> You wanted none of that offense. Last one, fact or feeling, the fantasy-focused listeners are the most knowledgeable, most passionate and best-looking listeners in the entire Potosphere. - Oh yeah, the last one. - That's a fact. - Absolutely, this loads up, that's a fact. - Oh, cold fact. - Oh my gosh. - And you said I was playing to the crowd, okay. - You're an analyst. - Obviously Mike doesn't listen to the podcast. - I'm not good looking, okay, guys. - Come on. - Come on, buddy. Geez, all right. Let's talk about some better jokes. - That was your better joke. - That was kind of mean. That wasn't a normally thing I would do, I apologize. - No, you were. - I apologize, I'm sorry. - Thank you. - I love you, man. - I apologize. - All right, thanks for your apology. - I love you, bro, guys. - There's some unbranded hydration for you. - This is just awkward now, let's move. - Let's talk about some New York sports teams and the Fanny discussion around New York sports team will start with the Buffalo Bills. Josh Allen's pretty good at football, Fuel Jates. - All right, guys, so like, yes. So technically, the only NFL team that plays some games in New York, right? Technically, the only at New York. - That's all, it's the only team we're talking about. - Honestly, with the Bills though, there's really not a lot to talk about other than DJ Moore, right? We all feel great about Josh Allen as quarterback. Well, on just a matter of how high you're gonna, how high you're gonna take him. How soon are you gonna take him? Are you drafting him? Like, I think all of us are probably out on Josh Allen 'cause we wouldn't take the first quarterback off the board. - I will have some Josh Allen exposure for sure. - Just to do it. - Yeah, he's too good of a player to not have, but on average, Josh Allen is gonna be less likely than more likely to be my quarterback there. James Cook, awesome back-to-back seasons with 12 plus publishing touchdowns and two plus receiving touchdowns. I don't know, like, there's not a whole lot to say about James Cook. - Pretty sick. - He's gonna go at the back end of the first early portion of the second. It all comes down to whether DJ Moore can be a thing, right? Reason history has not been on the side of a Bills wide receiver. It's been since Stefan Diggza was there that they had a really game-changing fantasy football wide receiver, they paid legitimate cash and draft capital to a wide DJ Moore, but they also have a lot of bodies there. DJ Moore is ranked as my, like, my wide receiver 27. So I'm good with, I have wide receiver 27, yes. But I also, like, not so optimistic that I'm moving mountains to acquire DJ Moore, which is not shocked if he, in this Buffalo offense, if he finishes wide receiver 18, you wouldn't be shocked at that one. - That would be, like, probably higher end outcomes. - That'd be higher than, Mike, would you, okay. So would you, as a wide receiver, do you think that might be a little more than you'd definitely get to a wide receiver to level? It's just gonna be a matter of if he can kind of defy what we've seen from Bills wide receivers. - Everybody. - Years, like Khalil Shakir would be sort of fantasy relevant in that short area role, didn't score many touchdowns and he was pushing, like, a 20, 23% target chair. - He did 96 targets. - You're not concerned. - I think DJ Moore. - He's a skill set to DJ Moore though, are you? - No, it's not what I'm saying. - But if the target chair is-- - Target leader with nine. - Right, if the target chair, if the usage is similar, except for you actually get work near the goal line, which Shakir never got, you might actually be able to deliver wide receiver to numbers. - Yeah, 'cause you would integrate off. - With target chair because of the fact that we think you're good. - Also like, we need them to throw near the goal line - Can you blame them for that? - I don't blame them at all, but it's something that can limit DJ Moore. - For DJ Moore. - Right now, he was gonna score four touchdowns. - Totally fit. - He wouldn't be as appealing. - It's also a role that this team has efforted to fill for so long. And now they finally have a downfield veteran, reliable option. Someone that Josh Allen can actually look to and know will adjust for him. So I think that, and because of the investment made, there is more hope that this will actually turn into something. Rather, especially also given the Super Bowl window, right? Like, there is a real opportunity here and DJ Moore happens to be that guy and he's not flashy. He does also have a pretty solid strength of schedule for the position, the 18th easiest. Last year, it was the third most difficult. Obviously, Chicago was a different situation, but I think he is, you're getting a flex play in terms of ADP with wide receiver to upside. - Big, there's a huge difference to me with DJ Moore. I'm more optimistic and I have to look at where I have him ranked, but where he was last year in Chicago, we were already, and I don't think it was just us, kind of turning the page to the future on the new kids that were going to be a part of this offense. And DJ Moore was on the sideline being like, I'm ready to be somewhere else. Like, we all saw it. This is a situation where the bills have been like trying, like crazy to find a guy. So DJ Moore being able to potentially smash in this spot, I really like, in the middle rounds, not a bad wide receiver to be able to grab. I would like to know, which one of you wants to jump through the flaming table that we are about to bring out now. - Yes! - Yes! - Okay, light it up, that's what it's here for. - There's nothing to it. It's just plain. It's just a plain table. I just broke my chair. - Oh my God. - I just broke my chair. - I told you, it's got to happen. - You did have that gigantic plate of nachos for lunch. It actually makes more sense. - Let's talk about the New York Jets. Mike T's Geno Smith, all you the Geno Smith heads that stuck around finally get to have the payoff here. - Yeah. - Yeah, here's the payoff. - So the payoff is that you think Geno Smith, you're thinking that can't be much of an upgrade, right? - You really meant it. You really want to talk about Geno Smith, right? - I know I do, I do. - Okay, sorry about that. - And yours why, I think this would surprise people. Okay, and again, I do the research, right? I prep and like, - Someone's got two. - Someone's got two. - So I look back at the last time we saw extended work from Geno Smith in a normal situation. We're not gonna count the Raiders last year 'cause that was a disaster. But his three seasons in Seattle, the three years before that, the Seahawks were top 10 in passing yards, and wide receiver fantasy points during those three years. So Geno Smith, say what you want about him, he was able to get the ball in the hands of his skill guys. Three different wide receivers during that stretch had a top 16 fantasy season, DK Medcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jackson Smith and Jigba, one year, two of them did. Lockett and DK Medcalf. So again, he's able to at the very minimum get the ball in the hands of his top skill guys. That's why Garrett Wilson is in for a career year. And again, we're in the fourth round. Give me that, all the way along. It's stupid. - If not, Geno Smith, Garrett Wilson would be in fourth round. - I'm fading in Garrett Wilson. - I don't know, I don't have as much optimism, Geno Smith, and I think this might just be the end. - Whoa. - It's been a rough preview. - All right, well then, here's some stats on Cade Club Nick's, the next great thing. (laughing) - Look, give me one more year of Geno Smith. - That was a good show, Mike. - Come on. - I got, I have waning optimism for Geno Smith. I'm starting to sense the Jets fans are kind of hoping Club Nick starts by like, the season opener. Like, maybe I'm just, maybe training camp will be a mirage for Geno Smith, but it does not sound like this is a player who has found the fountain of youth and for those reasons. - How he's just mad at Alan Lazarz, not around anymore. - I think that's what it is. - That's an old talk. - Alan Lazarz is currently a free agent. - Oh, wow, interesting. That's one way of describing him. He also is taking a headshot to prepare for his goal jacket. - Oh, is that right? - No way. - Okay, let's go to that fantasy football hall of fame. - No, the NFL hall, the profile ball. That's the famous thing. - Oh, I thought, you said goal jacket. That's what I was thinking was the hall of fame. I was so confused. - You're right. No, okay, I understand now where we're at. Got it. - So we're done with Alan Lazarz jokes now. - Yeah, now let's move on to the Giants. We have any good Giants jokes. Honestly, the Giants. - Oh, Daniel had a great Giants joke last night. - I don't do it. - Come on. - There's great. - Thank you for whoever that is. - My agent's it. - All right. - Why is he trying to get Daniel cancer? - That's right. If he has a bad game, you can call him. You can call him Jackson Fart. - Yeah. - No big deal. - Hmm. - Him, cam, scataboo, and Malik neighbors. Honestly, all three of these dudes could be studs in fantasy football. All three of these dudes are also kind of walking red flags when it comes to some of the - Yeah, it's a little ballroom. - The issues, yeah. So Liz, just as an expert on red flags, why don't we start with you on the New York Giants? - Wow. - Shots across the bow. - What, I'm recovering. I mean, we talked about it. - She's flamished. - GD a minute. You wanna see it? - I do one with delayed man impression. - Oh yeah. - Oh yeah. There. - That was good. - That was good. - Daniel's was really good. - Well, you already talked up Jackson Dart, Malik neighbors. I do see him getting healthier. I believe Harboss said earlier that he's not going to start until he's out of the red non-contact jersey, which is important to note. So let's monitor that, but we know what a star he was is a rookie in all the records that he broke and the volume that he should see. And yes, Jackson Dart and he have connected for exactly three passes in regular season action. But I guess rapport is something that you can build. Maybe they can play Madden together or something. And Scatabo, we just added Naji Harris to this backfield, but I think that had more to do with Tyrone Tracy than it did with Camp Scatabo. So there's optimism, but it's cautious because of the obvious injury history, but I think at least as far as Camp Scatabo is concerned, that volatility is baked into the ADP. - I think that's a fair thing to say, although when you have four running backs, I don't love it. Like adding a veteran this late. - I don't think they're all staying. I don't think one of them play special teams, or none of them play special teams last year. I don't think like, I would imagine if Naji Harris is in shape and he makes the team, I would guess. He's out. You think you're sure? - I got $3 million guaranteed. - Yeah. - I'd be shocked if he got signed now, and it kind of runs, it kind of contradicts what John Harba said when they signed, but anyway, whatever, let me say this, I don't care if he makes the team. I still like Camp Scatabo. - Wow. - I don't care who the other running backs are. Camp Scatabo, by far, has the highest ceiling. And when we saw him in extended action last year, six games he played, a bulk of the steps. He had six touchdowns, average over 19 to fantasy points per game, that would have been ranked six that were running back over the full season, and he was very involved as a pass catcher as well. And again, this offense could be good, like the offensive line is fine. The skill guys, if they're healthy are pretty good, I mean, the giant's offense could be good. So, honestly, I like that the Harris thing happened because Scatabo was already a target of mine in the fourth round, and now, a little more concern, he might fall a little from the press thing. - Yeah, best round. He's a little bit cheaper. Mark's boot. - Okay. you sign Najee Harris for the John. - Science? - Yeah, I did, I made that happen. Nice, well done. - Yeah. - Anything to move ADPs, I'll do it. - Doesn't make sense? I thought you were the defensive coordinator of the Philadelphia Eagles. - Special teams. - Special teams, yeah. - Get it right, yeah. - I wear a lot of hats again. Some of us work year round. We're always busy, you know? - You don't wear a hat way to get into a locker room and into the coaching room so I can get inside info. That's how hard I work, okay? I will be a special teams coach for a team to get all the info. - Can you just imagine you walking in with like a trench coat and like, hat and hat, press. - I do it, it takes. I could see Mike opening up that trench coat. He's just got water bottles everywhere that he's like trying to be able to make sure he's good with. You'd be weird. - Or he's like on field shoulders. - Stop it, there's staff on top of each other in a trench coat. How cute would that be? Five foot seven, Mike Clay? - And five, six, three. - And you're five straight. - That's right. - Hey, I'm almost six straight. - They have to be, he'd have to be let in. - That's true. - So intimidating. - Let's talk about some mock draft advice, my friends. - Okay. - Let's do it. - Obviously, we talked about it at the very beginning. Guys, we can't stop draft and we've done so many different mock drafts. I don't know if you guys do them, but I really, truly, truly, truly, please hear it in my voice. Why don't encourage you to do mock drafts? Because it is so important to be able to understand how the draft landscape is gonna play out. You're gonna have guys taking in front of you that you weren't expecting and being able to understand and read the board is so valuable to not be able to panic when you have someone empty your queue in front of you. So we have a bunch of mock drafts that we have done and he takeaways that you have from the mock drafts or things that you feel like, this is what I've learned this year from all the drafts that we've finished. - Yeah, I think you probably have already heard this from here are multiple of us so far this preseason, but the thing that we talked about this a little bit in the Josh Allen conversation is just on average, I'm waiting to quarterback this year. Even if you are not a fan of a Matthew Stafford second straight good season, there's just so many options. I like Justin Herbert, as you guys all know, you can also get him very late. He's gonna go, if I take a Drake May or a Jail and Hertz early, I'm seeing Justin Herbert go into the 10th, 11th, 12th round. Trevor Lawrence, Brock Birdie, Caleb Williams can make the leap this year. Jordan Love, I have more optimism on the rest of the group, but there's just a lot of, you know, Tyler Murray has been traditionally a very good fantasy quarterback. Tyler Schuck looks really good down the stretch last year. They're just a numbed Jared Gough, obviously. There's just a lot of really capable quarterbacks this year that I love just absolutely pounding the pavement running back, wide receiver, tight end for the first 10-11 rounds and then sneaking a couple of late round quarterbacks in. I'd like to say the opposite of that, 'cause I am fully in on exactly what field is saying and waiting on the quarterback position, but where I am not doing that because it is not as deep of a position as the tight end spot, where I am very definitely targeting a tight end at least in the middle rounds. If I don't wanna get a Brock Bowers or Tremac bride, I think there is a spot in the middle rounds that I need to walk away with one of those few guys, the Colson Lovel and the Tyler Warren. So if those two guys are gone though, I'm interested 'cause we keep talking about those two guys since they're in the next year. But how do you feel about Kyle Pitts and Harold Fanon? - And on Kyle Pitts, I'm fine with that scar tissue. I have dealt with it. I've gone to therapy for the last season. - Yeah, we fixed it. Harold Fanon, I'm in on. I think he is the safest option as a receiver in that Cleveland Bryant offense. - Okay, Sam, I'm Porta. - Sam Laporta, now dealing with a black, with an injury coming back from back surgery, this is gonna be a tough one for me. - A hip today too. - Yeah, it was a hip he got banged up. - I wanted to just give you another name 'cause you're just like, I'm in on all tight ends. You were just like in on him. You just went through like seven year in on. - Do you not like tight ends, Mike? - No, I don't. None of them. I'm not trapped in one. - Wait, Liz, what's your biggest piece of advice you've learned this previous season through Brock Drafts? - You know, people have said that a lot, but-- - That one just didn't land at all, did it? - No, it didn't. - What landed for these ones that moved down pretty quickly? - Running back drives up very quickly, which is why in my first three rounds, I want two running backs and a top tier wide receiver, every single draft. Those are the three, those are the two positions that I am targeting in the first three rounds. If I can pick from any spot, I want the nine spot. I can get CD-LAM and James Cook in the first two rounds and I love that start. - I love it, I'm with you on that. Love being able to draft at the end of drafts. Mike, what about you? You want to draft at the end of drafts? - All right, and we're on time, guys. Let's pick some questions. You were so excited to make that joke. - I wanted this so bad. - You said, I like to draft at the end of drafts. You don't even make any sense. - I could not. - I was so excited. - I was so pumped. Anyway, my take is, it's kind of gonna fall in line. Like if you're waiting a little bit, you know, waiting to, let's say the middle rounds for tight end and you're waiting a quarter back and there's all this receiver value. What are you doing early? We're getting running backs this year. I mean, I feel like, I have a top 20 that I feel really comfortable with and it ends with guys like Skataboo and Judd Kids. And then after that, you're gonna like, buck yearving and a lot of these guys that are in committees and I don't feel as good about any of them. But those top 20 running backs are gonna fly off the draft board in the first three or four rounds. So I am out like zero running back, not even something I'm thinking about this year. You know, if you, if you wanna wait in your second running back because I have the boards falling fine, but it's very likely I'm gonna take two running backs in the first three rounds. - Yep. - And if it's a deeper, like if you have a flex and somebody falls, you could take three. You really could. You don't prefer it, but you could do it just the way that the draft board is set up this year. - I was so little depth at that position. - You feel like those flex running backs that you're looking at, you're really either looking at buck yearving, who I'm pretty out on. - Yeah. - Judd Arrien Price or David Montgomery. - Exactly. - It's a very, very dead zone deal to it. - One of those three falls to you. - Okay. I think that if I'm waiting on that second running back to be honest, it's a strategy that I've tried really hard to implement in mock drafts. It's tough to pull off. And especially in 12 team leagues. It's even harder. You really have to know your draft board if you're gonna try to wait on that second running back and not grab them both early. 'Cause you're really threatening a needle, hoping that someone doesn't come off your cue. 'Cause if you're waiting for that RB2 and then you get a run before you, you're left at a running back spot that's so difficult to be able to try to fix later on in this. - Yeah, if that top 20's gone and I don't know my RB2, I'm just like, oh, this is, I'm not gonna be happy with my team, but I'm done. - Yeah. - I'm with you on that. All right. I think we have some questions here, my friends. Some questions you're coming up from our producer, Christina. Let's give her a round of applause. - Hey, Christina. - Thank you, Christina. Pittsburgh Steelers fan. Can't wait for whatever comes next at the quarterback spot. Christina's first question is, when is Aaron Rogers? No, it's not. This one comes from Daniel B. New York, New York. Daniel, if you wanna be a part of Only Dance later on, this season as a part of me and Dan Graziano, let me know. Are the Giants for real or what be honest guys? There's a lot of excitement around these kids. Are they for real? Can they make any noise in the NFC East? - I think they can. This division, I think the Eagles are deserved favorites in this division, but I think all four teams entered the year with some level of optimism. Maybe the commanders have the least amount of optimism right now because of the layering, tonsill injury and some of the holes they had to patch up this off season, but I just don't think that John Harbaugh, who had basically the pick of the litter in terms of jobs this off season, besides Ravens, was gonna go somewhere that he did not fully believe he could win and he could win soon. So I'm buying that the Giants are gonna make a dramatic improvement this year and maybe, maybe sneak into the back end of the playoff pick. - I like that. I love it. All right, shout out to you, Daniel. Good luck there. Lucas from Long Island wants to know, if I wait to draft a quarterback later, who is the better pick? Mike Clay, is it Matthew Stafford or is it Caleb Williams? - Good close call. - You know, I raised guys back to back. I have a Stafford at 12, Caleb at 13. So this is a really tough call. I think obviously Caleb is more well rounded, I think his floor is probably a little higher, just 'cause he runs the ball more, but I honestly believe in this Rams offense. I think they're gonna go back to back with just an absurd offense. I think he's gonna put up huge passing numbers. Obviously he's gonna throw 40 touchdowns as we determined earlier in this program. So yeah, I'm still in on Stafford, but again, I've been back to back in a giant tier of quarterbacks. I think the right answer here is actually, whoever goes later, like in your draft. Whoever falls further, is who I'm fine with. And frankly, I haven't drafted much Caleb because the consensus is much higher on him. He's like quarterback six, and I'm obviously a little bit lower than that. So, the consensus is quarterback six for Caleb Williams? - I believe he's going generally like QB6, QB7 right in that range. - Oh my, yes, Stafford, really. - Yeah, really? Wow, I didn't look in it up. That sounds made up for me. - No, just across the industry. - You all think that I would say that? - He feels like, what do you finish last year, fourth? - I don't believe most of the things that you say. - Caleb Williams? - Yeah, and fan. - Yes, yes. What are we talking about right now? - We're talking about Caleb Williams. - Did I even not, Caleb, or fifth, last year? - And fantasy points. - Caleb Williams did. - This is that true, you're an adventurous fan? - I'm a fan. - You were like, I've been sleeping for a long time. - I don't want to be a part of it. - All right, Daniel, you do look this up. - No, no, no, no, you guys keep talking. - We got thirsty Kyle Soppie here, somewhere making sure that he's looking stuff up for us. He was five, he finished his QB5. - So Tyler Williams was quarterback five last year. - Kevin Paul's first sitting over there helping us out. - He's been just doing draft stuff and on vacations since last year, since midway through last year apparently. - Wow, I realize that. I guess there's value in playing 17 games. My only contribution to this conversation. No, I'm serious. - No, I agree with you. - You were playing a lot. - What about Selah? - My only contribution to this is I actually don't mind going with both, right? It's like if you're waiting until round 12 to get quarterback, take two quarterbacks. - Caleb Williams, ESPN is coming off the board as the 11th quarterback in the 10th round. - Okay. - Yes, yes. - Matthew Stafford coming off the board as the 8th quarterback. The recorder backs ahead of Caleb Williams in the 8th round. - I'm still sad. - Of course, we've talked, yeah, that's a little bit influenced by our draft room, of course, but yes. In the industry, Caleb is more important. - I would be more on a Caleb Williams for what's worth than Matthew Stafford. All right, this next question comes from Kaelin from Edgewater, New Jersey. I'm playing a keeper league. Kaelin, congratulations on that. [BLANK_AUDIO] - Top two choices, that wasn't meant to be joke. My top two choices are Christian McAfry or Puka Nukuah. - Wow. - Do I stick with McAfry or roll the dice with Puka's potential suspension? - I love that someone else is a red flag green. - Good question. - This is a good one. - Let's assume that the tax is the same, right? It's not like you can keep CMC in the third or Puka in the eighth. I'm assuming it's the same. Do you go with the running back 'cause it's a running back? - That's where I was. - I mean, we talked about these guys a lot. We did our top 25 rankings or today. I'm keeping CMC, just because as Mike noted a few moments ago, the running back depth so razor thin. Like that Mendoza line, whether it's Cam Scataboo, whether it's Deandre Swift, it's not a big number of running backs this year. - My only hesitation with that is, and again, we don't have all the context here, but like if you could keep this player for the next six or seven years. - Fair. - Nukuah. - No, I'm not. Nukuah, I'm just saying like Nukuah. - Just don't do six or seven. - I'm not doing it, I ain't doing it. You brought it up, you're talking about it. Nukuah, you know, he's gonna be around a lot longer. This might be it for CMC, this might be his last season. So, another good caveat. Nukuah, longer term, he's the answer. - This one comes from Noah from Chestnut Hill Mass. Softball question, Liz, will you marry me? - Again. - Okay. - Happens often, Liz? - I know, I guess it's a rake in it. - Don't know what, all right. You get proposed to every new live show. - I'm not even actually speckin' live shows. - Question is, give or Bajan for what it's worth. I just assumed, Liz would be the number one overall pick if we had a choice, but I know that they don't want to know. - Gipsy or Bajan, who are you taking number one overall? - Bajan, for me, we've talked about this at Nauseam. We're splitting hairs. I love his durability. I love his size. I love that he's only 24, and I love that he's in an offense that likes to establish the run with Kevin Skafanski and that Tyler Algier is no longer available to post the goal line as regularly. - Love that. Zach Katz from Whalen Mass wants to know, how will Drake Drake May may affect LeBron's legacy? - Yes, what a question. I know Whalen. I grew up town over from Whalen. - Did you really? - I did, yeah, great question. It's, you know what? - I'm not sure I get the question. - No, I do. I think there's a chance that by the time it's all said and done, Drake May bypasses LeBron James as a second best player in NBA history. - Wow. - Okay. - Is that like it? - Is that because you think about it? - I'm not sure. - No, that's so bad. - 45? - No, I just, I get the spirit of the question. For real though, if we're starting an NBA team, made up exclusively of NFL players. - Jimmy Graham. - Jimmy Graham, I hear he played basketball. - Drake May would be legit top, like probably number one pick. - Is that right? - Wow. - He was a sick hoop right now. Can he play some tight end then too? - I don't know. - I don't know. - I don't know. - Also, his brother hit one of the most iconic shots in North Carolina basketball history. - Okay. - This is my favorite part about Mike. Is like, you can add on Mike about like the 1972 projections for the San Francisco 49ers. Bam, I'll rattle him off like this. - I didn't know any of this. - Get right outside of his lane and he's like, who is this Luca Doncic, you say? (laughing) - You're not wrong, I don't know what you're talking about. I know LeBron's on the Sixers. I mean, that's cool, like that, like that. - Always been a lifelong Sixers fan. - lifelong Sixers fan since LeBron's side. - I got two questions, two questions left. First one's from Jackson. Jackson from Chicago, Lizlosa. - Oh boy, this is for you. - Is this the year that we see Marvin Harrison Jr. blossom into the prospect that he was always meant to be? - If not at this point, what do you believe his ceiling is? - Good question. - The Kyle Pits of White Receivers. That's what it feels like. - It's like it's a good comp. - Yeah, that has been the comp. Do you think he breaks out this yet? What would it be? - It's like a year five, right? - No. - If he's the Kyle Pits. - Yeah, my thought on the Kyle Pits, like you know, both guys who entered league with all the acclaim, young prospects, plenty of room for growth. And it's like, it goes kind of one inspiring, but like, it keeps getting a little bit better. It takes a lot longer to get to where you want it to actually be at by the end. You're like, all right, that wasn't that bad. - We made it. - We've kind of made it. You know, like Kyle Pits just got $18 million a year. - Yeah, Pits is a weird one too, because he had over 1,000 yards as a rookie. Like, he was, you know, he got up to such a good start and then disappointed for so long. I will say this. The rule with receivers used to be your three. That was the year that you broke out. So sometimes it takes guys a little longer. And I know he wasn't, he wasn't drafted as early, but Tavonte Adams did nothing as first two years in the NFL. And then became one of the best players in the NFL. It happens sometimes. And also as I pointed out earlier, Marvin Harrison was delivering pretty good numbers with Jacobi Berset last year. It was just a very small sample, but he was good when they played together. So maybe there's something there. - So there's an obvious. - That's true. He also was hurt last year. - Last question here. And I saved it for a New York question. This is Joe from Brooklyn, New York. Shout out to you, Joe. - Do you think? - Brooklyn, by the way, Mike is one of the burrows. - That's one of the burrows. - They were there earlier this summer for the first time. So yeah, I've seen it. - Did you? - Yeah, made it over there. - Tom Brady's card vaults over there, if you were interested in that. Do you think Mike, the Terrence Ferguson could be a potential titan sleeper this season? - Is that a real question? - Who is that? - And he's the Rams wide receiver three. - Classic, great question. - Joe from Brooklyn, New York. - Right out of show. - Joe. - Let's go. - Yes, Joe with me. - We're Brooklyn. - Look, with how smart everyone is now playing fantasy football, I cannot believe that he's still free. And he's basically undrafted everywhere. It's just a guy that has no hype whatsoever. He was a second round pick last year as a titan. And he's probably gonna open the season as a number three target on the best offense in the NFL with the Rams. I mean, I am a little worried about him being kind of boom bus 'cause they have five titans that are for them will probably be active on game day, but they don't have a third receiver. - These are they have five titans. - They have five titans. They drafted another one in the second round this year. And I'm sorry, but I know you don't wanna hear about these guys, you're pretending they don't exist, but like Davis Allen is gonna be out there. And Tyler Higby is gonna be out there and Colby Parkinson's gonna be out there. They're gonna use all these guys. So that's my hesitation, but at the same time, if he is really third in line for targets in that offense, he's going to probably be a fringe titan one at worst. - It'll be awesome. - And also, Devonta Adams is 33. What if he slips or misses time? What if Pukin de Koo is suspended for four games? You might be number two in line for targets in the Matthew Stafford let off. And so as far as late round lottery tickets go, money in the bank, I mean, yeah. That's the kind of guy you want. Great question. - Money in the bank. - When we're talking about Terrence. - I mean, that's how you close out of fantasy focused lives. - There's straights of guys you wanna take lay-around flyers on. - That of course would be a guy that fits that bill. - All jokes aside, seriously. Thank you so much for hanging out with us. We would not be here if it was not for you guys. - Thank you for everything on behalf of Mike Liz Field. And I don't forget to love each other. Be kind to yourself, you guys deserve it. Stick around. We're gonna do a mean great. We love you. Thank you for hanging out with us. - Hey, ooh, ooh. - Hey, ooh, ooh. - Hey, ooh, ooh. - You and the whole thing. - Yes, so one night. - Full guys. - Full guys.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The live fantasy football podcast took place in New York City, featuring hosts Mike Clay, Field Yates, and Liz Loza, with a focus on draft strategies and player analysis.
  2. The hosts promoted the V Foundation’s pediatric cancer research campaign, urging donations via v.org/ESPN to raise $10 million.
  3. Favorite draft picks included Derrick Henry (RB value), Jeremiah Love (high ceiling), Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren (tight end sleepers), and Jackson Dart (quarterback sleeper).
  4. Bounce-back candidates highlighted were Garrett Wilson, Jayden Daniels, Ashton Jeanty, and Justin Jefferson, with regression risks noted for Matthew Stafford, Davante Adams, and George Pickens.
  5. The "Facts vs. Feelings" segment debated Justin Herbert’s top-eight potential, Carnell Tate’s rookie yardage, and audience engagement.
  6. Draft advice emphasized targeting running backs early due to positional scarcity, waiting on quarterbacks, and securing a mid-round tight end.
  7. Team discussions covered the Bills (DJ Moore), Jets (Geno Smith’s impact on Garrett Wilson), and Giants (Malik Nabers, Cam Scatabo), with mixed optimism.
  8. Audience questions addressed keeper league choices (CMC vs. Puka Nacua), top overall picks (Bijan Robinson), and sleeper options like Terrance Ferguson.

Summary:

The live fantasy football show from New York City kicked off with a serious note, promoting the V Foundation’s effort to raise $10 million for pediatric cancer research, with QR codes available for donations. The hosts then dove into their recurring theme of "can’t stop drafting" players, sharing personal favorites: Mike Clay endorsed Derrick Henry for his consistent value and Jeremiah Love for his elite potential, while Liz Loza highlighted tight ends Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren as mid-round steals, and Field Yates backed Jackson Dart as a potential QB1 sleeper. The discussion shifted to bounce-back candidates, with Garrett Wilson, Jayden Daniels, Ashton Jeanty, and Justin Jefferson all cited for improved situations, while regression warnings targeted Matthew Stafford’s unsustainable touchdown rate, Davante Adams’ age and touchdown dependency, and George Pickens’ favorable 2025 circumstances.

The "Facts vs. Feelings" segment engaged the audience on Justin Herbert’s top-eight chances and Carnell Tate’s rookie yardage, with playful banter throughout. Draft strategy advice centered on prioritizing running backs in the early rounds due to thin depth, waiting on quarterbacks given the abundance of viable options, and targeting a reliable tight end in the middle rounds.

Team-specific analysis covered the Bills’ DJ Moore as a potential breakout, the Jets’ Geno Smith as a boost for Garrett Wilson, and the Giants’ young core with cautious optimism. Audience questions touched on keeper league decisions, top overall picks, and sleeper picks like Terrance Ferguson, closing the show with gratitude and encouragement for listeners.

FAQs

The V Foundation, along with ESPN and Disney, is raising $10 million for pediatric cancer research. You can donate at v.org/ESPN, and 100% of donations go directly to research.

Derrick Henry has finished second in the NFL in rushing yards for four straight seasons and offers high upside with many 20-point games. He's available at a value due to his age, making him a reliable pick.

Jeremiah Love is an efficient rusher with pass-catching and pass-blocking skills, and history shows top-12 drafted rookie running backs often finish top-12 in fantasy. His tough regular-season schedule is offset by a favorable playoff schedule, making him a potential league winner.

Both are in the second tier of tight ends available in the fifth round, offering high potential. Colston Loveland has a massive target opportunity in Chicago, while Tyler Warren benefits from vacated targets, making them strong picks.

Justin Herbert has a new offensive coordinator, which is the best of his career, and he showed elite rushing and passing ability last year. Despite past inconsistencies, his athleticism and improved situation make him a top-10 quarterback option.

Matthew Stafford's 4,700 passing yards and 40 touchdowns are hard to repeat, especially for a non-mobile quarterback. His history shows inconsistent finishes, making him a risky pick at his current ADP.

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