‘Platner Is Vile.’ McConnell Is Missing. Welcome to American Politics.
45m 6s
This week’s political discourse is marked by a confluence of humiliation, exposure, and deepening crises in foreign and domestic policy. The U.S. soccer team’s loss and the political fallout over Graham Plattner’s campaign highlight how public figures on both sides of the aisle face intense scrutiny, especially when scandals emerge. The Iran ceasefire collapse reveals a fundamental failure in diplomacy, with Iran asserting control over the Strait of Hormuz and Trump lacking a viable plan to reopen it, raising serious questions about strategic competence and national pride. Economic consequences have been milder than anticipated, which may lessen pressure on Trump, yet public disengagement in political conversations suggests a troubling apathy toward foreign policy missteps. The Maine primary outcome underscores a dangerous trend in Democratic politics—ideological loyalty overriding due diligence and moral standards—where voters were drawn to rage-filled, unvetted candidates like Plattner, despite red flags. In contrast, figures like Abdul El-Saeed in Michigan represent a more principled, diverse alternative that could reshape the party’s future. Meanwhile, the unexplained health issues of senior officials like Mitch McConnell and Tom Keene expose a systemic lack of transparency in government, undermining public trust. Ultimately, the political climate reflects a growing culture where anger is mistaken for courage, and accountability is eroded by ideological partisanship. These dynamics reveal a nation struggling to balance political extremism with moral responsibility, with lasting implications for democratic integrity and national unity.
I'm Michelle Cottle. I cover national politics for New York Times Opinion. And this week,
I am here with the oh-so-illustrious columnist David French. And just to keep me on my toes,
our other favorite David, David Wallace-Wells, is back. Davids, how goes it?
It's going great. Great to be here.
Going well, Michelle.
All right. So really, we have way too much to cover from the news this week.
So before we start, a little game here. Does either of you have
a word that kind of captures this insane week for you?
Yeah. How about humiliation? I'm thinking of, you know, the embarrassing spectacle of the
America's 250th. I'm thinking about the U.S. soccer team embarrassing itself on the field
against Belgium. I'm thinking about the online left somewhat embarrassing itself with Graham
Plattner. And I'm thinking also about Trump's desperate need to avoid,
humiliation in this conflict with Iran.
Michelle, David has expired me with a word, too.
Tell me.
Exposure. Exposure is the word of the week for me.
That sounds a little ominous.
Well, yeah. So we had more information about Graham Plattner that is changing
the American political landscape, putting the Senate, you know, casting the Senate
into even more doubt as to how this is going to all unfold. And also, the Wall Street Journal
had some very interesting.
A series of articles about the way in which the rest of the world is handling Donald Trump.
And it really sort of exposed the extent to which the rest of the world is making this
determination that they cannot count on the United States anymore and sort of laid bare
that they just don't trust us. They just don't trust us, maybe for reasons that we might
talk about here in a few minutes.
OK, OK. I like that. It's a very intriguing entree into our discussion.
So I'm going to latch on to the exposure and humiliation of Graham Plattner. I myself
cannot stop rage texting my friends and colleagues about this. I'd like to apologize to David French,
who's already had an earful about this and the epic disgrace that was the Democrats now
ex-Senate nominee in Maine. We also do need to talk about the mysterious disappearance
of Senator Mitch McConnell, who has been in power for more than a decade.
He's been hospitalized now for nearly a month with no clear explanation of what's going
on, which is stirring up all kinds of crazy rumors on the right and which resurrects the
question of how much Americans are entitled to know about the private lives and health
of our elected officials. But first, I think we got to go global. We got to look at the
Iran ceasefire that basically never was. So at the NATO summit earlier this week, President
Biden suggested that the ceasefire with Iran is over. Turns out that that loose agreement
announced last month left a little too many sticky issues on the table. And so here we are.
As of our taping this Thursday morning, there have been tit-for-tat strikes,
along with Trumpian threats to, of course, take it farther. So how are you guys feeling
about this situation? Any chance the administration is going to sort this out and
reach a deal before the mid-August deadline set by the Memorandum of Understanding?
David French, you go first. Yeah. So there was an irreconcilable
tension at the heart of the Iran deal that was this. How do you end a war where both sides
can declare victory? And this became a real issue after this initial Memorandum of Understanding,
which was, by the way, very favorable to Iran, very favorable to Iran, the original ceasefire
deal. It became very clear to me that there was absolutely no way that Donald Trump could spin
the resolution of the conflict as a victory. He was going to try to do it. And it was also
very clear to me that there was actually not a meeting of the minds on what Iran was supposed
to do and what Iran, how Iran was going to conduct itself. And I don't think Iran has
ever since the start of the war, clearly and unequivocally, a promise to reopen the Strait
of Hormuz, the initial ceasefire. It was supposed to reopen the Strait. It did not. The Memorandum
of Understanding was supposed to fully reopen the Strait. It obviously did not. Iran was still
exerting control. And so the bottom line is right now we are in a position where Iran now believes
it is essentially the owner-operator of the Strait of Hormuz, and it is going to exert a certain degree
of control. Iran believes it is essentially defeated Donald Trump and is entitled to all
the bounties of its victory. And then Trump understands that the Strait, it's finally
gotten through to him that the Strait has to be open, but he doesn't, still doesn't actually have
a plan for that. And it's very hard to see a clear path forward.
Oh my God, so much winning, David W.
Yeah.
What, what do you say?
One thing, David, you said,
that's interesting to me is that you said that Donald Trump now knows that he has to reopen the
Strait. And actually, I'm not sure about that. I think one of the things that may have happened
over the last few weeks, maybe the last few months, is that Trump started to see the effects
of the war shaking out in less consequential ways than many advisors and commentators had predicted.
And it seemed that the economic warfare that we had entered into would be less damaging to America
and its allies than we had predicted. And so I think that's one of the things that we need to
be thinking about and we were worrying about at the outset of the war. This has been a surprise to me.
This is a war that's been full of surprises. You know, we learned that Iran with its cheap drones
could sort of match the US military. We learned that the Hormuz weapon was probably the most
powerful weapon involved in either of these militaries, more powerful than anything the
US could manage. We've learned something about the, you know, the humbling of American empire and our,
what we can do in the world. But one, one other thing we've learned is that the closure of the
strait, which we were told in the spring would be absolutely catastrophic for the global economy,
has had its effects. There has been suffering, particularly in Southeast Asia. There have been
impacts in Europe and America. But those impacts have not been nearly as dramatic as we were warned
about. I was just looking at the price of oil futures this morning and, you know, at no point
in this conflict did the price of oil go above what it was even when Russia invaded Ukraine.
And certainly not at the, it didn't reach the levels that
we saw in the 1970s, which is sort of what everybody in the energy world was, was telling
us to expect if this would go on even two months, let alone five, six months. And so I think one
thing that may be happening is that whereas two months ago, Donald Trump thought, even if we're
taking an L on this, we got to move on because we got to reopen the strait. He may now be thinking,
you know what, we can endure the pain of continued closure.
That is not going to be as, you know, as damaging to American interests as we worried. And that allows
us a little bit more leverage at the bargaining table than we thought we had even a couple of
months ago when we thought we're, we had our backs up against the wall.
So how much do you think Americans are paying attention to this beyond the prices at the pump?
Well, you know, that's another thing. I don't think that it has penetrated the public
political consciousness in nearly the way we might have expected. You know, Americans will say they
oppose the war. They want it to be over. They're unhappy about its effect on the economy and on gas prices. But it is not a
topic, a conversation on the news. It's not the leading item in newspapers like ours. It is not
dominating social media. And you see a sort of growing awareness that this is the kind of bad
imperial behavior that the U.S. engages in without any real outrage about it. And I think that alone
is a kind of depressing, distressing development that the public could come to hold those two
thoughts in their head at once. That is to say, we understand that this is like irresponsible
imperial behavior by a madman president, and we're not even paying all that close attention to it
and just letting it slide by. But I do think that that's like the best way of describing
the public response. And that means that in addition to there not being so much economic
pressure on the U.S. to really resolve this, there's not much political pressure either,
which again, if you had told me that in February, I would have been shocked.
David French?
Yeah. And I think David's exactly right that I think there are some people in the
administration, maybe Trump himself, who thinks, "Ha ha, the Strait didn't hurt
us." Now, there are other countries, allied countries, that are feeling the pain more than
we are. But we are feeling some pain. But I also think it is an immense—he—the very idea that he
would enter into a worse deal than Obama had is—that's like the red line. That's the third
rail. That's when he reacts, volcanically. And I don't think there's any way for him to
look anyone in the face and say that, "I have a better deal than Obama."
If Iran is in control of the Strait of Hormuz, charging tolls, fees, whatever—commissions,
whatever term you want to use, dictating the routes that tankers have to use and merchant
ships have to use, firing missiles at our Gulf allies to enforce its rule—if he's in that
position plus giving the billions of dollars that, you know, have already been sort of outlined as
part of the memorandum of understanding, with these sort of vague,
vague future assurances about the nuclear program, he can't look anyone in the face
and say he did a better deal than Obama.
And I think that this is one of the things that's just, you know, genuinely driving him is this pride that I have to have the better deal.
And that was the main public response from skeptical right-wingers in the immediate aftermath of the deal was like, this is not what we were hoping for.
One additional layer I would add is that to the extent that the world has been protected from some of these more catastrophic economic impacts that we were expecting earlier in the war, it's actually been sort of publicly credited to China for not importing oil, for drawing down their own strategic oil reserves, and therefore sort of softening the impact on the global oil market.
And I think, you know, again, to the extent that we're tallying losses for Donald Trump here, it's not just that he made a worse deal than Obama.
It was also that on some level, the experience of the war demonstrated not just that Iran controlled the Hormuz weapon, but that China also was quite a powerful player with their oil weapon.
And both of those are probably pretty upsetting to someone who wants to assert power on the global stage as nakedly as Trump does.
I think it's sweet that he's boosted China's global image.
That's awfully nice of him.
He keeps doing that.
So it sounds like you guys don't really think he's going to pay much of a political price.
Or will his party play a political price in this year's midterms?
One big question is whether the soft economic impact that I was describing was a temporary thing that will and the landscape there will change once our oil reserves really do go to zero.
That was some of the pressure that was on Trump a month or two ago when he was first sort of coming to the table and reaching the memorandum of understanding was the idea that, you know, this had been relatively comfortable.
You know, relatively speaking, relatively comfortable for a period of time.
But we're about to hit some really hard limits.
And the question is whether that's true and whether if we continue to have the straight closed over the next, say, two or three months, whether we'll start to see a much more punishing economic impact.
If that does come to pass, I think it may drag his approval ratings even lower.
David, if you got anything before we move on.
Yeah, just to add to that, David's exactly right that the impact has been softer than some people feared.
At the same time, nobody's happy.
Well, very few people are happy with this economy.
And so there is a short window for the Trump administration to show some concrete results before the November election.
And I think that Trump sort of had this view that once the conflict is over, then inflation will go back down.
It is sort of be very quickly all will be right with the world economically.
You know, he thinks he can talk the stock market into almost anything he wants it to do.
And I think one of the realities is even if it is a softer economic impact than a lot of people feared, there is still an economic impact.
And it is very hard to turn the ship around or even be seen to start to turn the ship around before the midterms if this conflict is still going on.
So I guess my question is whether or not whatever he winds up doing or not doing with Iran and that agreement.
The more time he spends on that, the more time he wastes on his absurd election fraud obsession, the less time he is spending conveying any kind of interest or whether or not he cares at all about the economic pain that people still say they're feeling.
Like whatever is actually happening with happening with the numbers, people are surly.
People do not feel like this economy is working for them.
And I'm not sure that.
But there is time to turn that around before the midterm.
So I think beyond the specifics, just the image of him doing everything but caring about the economy and coming up with absurd statements like I love the inflation or I don't care about, you know, economic whatever.
And I just have to think that that more generally lends the, you know, lends to the narrative that he just doesn't give a crap.
So we'll just see.
Well, you know, one quick thing.
That's not the Republican strategy is not necessarily to tout its successes.
The Republican strategy that they believe will work and they have some foundation for this is they will essentially go the doom direction.
You Democrats will destroy this country, the doom direction.
Our country is at stake.
Democrats will destroy this country.
They're communists.
This is this is going to be the sales pitch.
It's not going to be.
Look how much.
Look how great America is.
It's a really hard one to make when there are such negative feelings about the economy.
It's going to be there.
The ultimate threat.
They're the existential threat.
And that is going to be the nonstop message.
You know, I am getting lots of the communists are coming for you.
Fundraising, please, from the Republicans in my inbox.
But that's that's that's that's what Trump made his July 4th address about.
It's true.
It's always that the communists are coming for your children and your dog.
But that is kind of like the perfect.
Segway into the complete freak show in Maine and Graham Plattner.
So speaking of disastrous decisions, the Democratic Senate nominee in Maine has suspended his campaign.
He did this on Wednesday after a woman publicly accused him of rape, an accusation he has denied.
But when the story broke, pretty much all of Plattner's Democratic allies abandoned him.
Lickety split.
But before this particular allegation, many, you know, especially in the insurgent wing of the party, were willing to overlook a large number of very red flags with this guy.
You know, whether you're talking Nazi tattoo, hateful Reddit posts, sexing with other women behind his wife's back, other allegations of mistreating women.
It's not like the sirens weren't going off.
So, David French, you've thought.
You've thought a lot about character, morals, the importance of these in politics.
What does this messy Plattner trajectory tell us about the Dems?
And, you know, are they inching toward the win at all costs position that they used to criticize Republicans for?
Some people are doing more than inching, Michelle.
Some people are sprinting, sprinting to he might be a son of a bitch, but he's our son of a bitch is sort of the.
The dirtbag defense.
Exactly, exactly.
But, you know, it's funny.
I was just yesterday.
Somebody came up to me and they said, how did you have Graham Plattner pegged?
And I said, it was the easiest thing in the world, y'all.
If you weren't blinded by the fact that, like, somebody who shares my ideology must be a good person, which is a giant mistake to make just in life is to think that just because somebody sort of shares your political or religious worldview, that that makes them by default like a good, good or decent person.
And I said.
I said, your mileage may vary, but my I've never encountered a person who had a Nazi tattoo for 20 years who is also an otherwise good dude.
Like, that is a great.
That is not.
And a lot of people started even make fun of the people who sort of brought up the Nazi tattoo.
Like, well, he already explained that.
I'm thinking.
And you bought that and you bought that explanation.
You actually did.
I'm going to tell you, if you did, I'm I'm talking to somebody who had incredible ideological blinders.
On because I guarantee you, you would not have bought that explanation with a Republican.
You wouldn't.
I know you wouldn't.
You would have said this is the most obvious, clear thing in the history of the world.
And and this is just sort of like so obvious and pedantic to say, but it's also very true and very hard.
And that is to apply the exact same standard to somebody on your own side when you find out about a scandal allegation that you apply to somebody on the other side.
And instead, here's what we do here.
What we basically do.
As we say, this person that I like, they're for Medicare for all.
So I know that, like, man, they're with me on this and I like them.
And then when you hear the scandal, you go, well, man, an otherwise lovable guy is just, you know, nobody's perfect.
But then you find out somebody on the you know, you have somebody on the other side and maybe they have a more free market oriented approach to health care.
And you're like, you're horrible.
You're a terrible person.
And then you find out that they had a scandal and you go, yep, that's confirmation.
That's confirmation.
And so we just can't.
Can't be in this loop.
It's driving this country mad to be in this loop where you just have these continual grace for the horrible actions of somebody on your own side and absolute swift condemnation for the other.
Now, I will say this.
At least the Democrats said no.
It took way too much.
Way too much.
But finally, they did say no.
And, you know, one of the grievous things, there's this other guy hovering around out there.
Ken Paxton.
Ken Paxton.
There are a whole bunch of Texas Republicans right now who are going, those Maine Democrats are horrible for voting for, you know, Graham Plattner with all the waving red flags.
And, oh, by the way, you're not a Christian if you don't vote for Ken Paxton.
And that is coming.
You're going to see that all over Texas for the next several couple of months is Christians have one option and it's to vote for the adulterer over Tallarico.
And it's to vote for the corrupt politician, so corrupt he was impeached by a Republican House.
He had his own very conservative staff resign out from under him in protest.
That's how corrupt he is.
And but you have to vote for him.
have to vote for him. But other than that, he's a great guy. But other than that, and they're going
to stick to it all the way, all the way, Michelle. David W. Well, I think there are a lot of different
actors in this saga, right? There's Plattner himself, who was, you know, dissembling, you know,
misleading the public, misleading his staff. Dissembling. That is a sweet word. Like, that is
a very sweet word. The only way he wasn't flat out lying is if he was always too drunk to remember
any of it. And I'm not sure that's a defense. David W. There were, you know, the people who
sort of found him and didn't vet him properly. There's his campaign staff. Then there are a lot
of enablers in the media. But I also think that, you know, we shouldn't look away from the fact
that he won the primary. And the voters actually did see much of this, not all of it, but see much
of this behavior and nevertheless voted to make him the nominee. And there are, you know, that's
in a particular. situation against particular other candidates. We can't read all that much into it. But the thing
that concerns me about it is that I don't know how much of that is, as David said, extending grace
to someone who shares your ideology and how much of it is voters liking the roughness of his
presentation. And that's not to say that a large share of Democratic main voters wanted someone
who may have raped an ex-girlfriend.
David W. Or wanted someone with a Nazi tattoo. But they were able to make sense of the
narrative in a way that made Plattner look like an outsider, like a fighter, like someone who
is angry. And that those elements excited them about his candidacy. Not just things that they
could excuse, but things that actually drew them to Plattner as against Janet Mills or any of the
other candidates. And I do think that that is. one thing, again, as David was saying, that applies across the country here, not just within
one party, not just within one wing of one party, which is to the extent that the country is surly,
as you said earlier, Michelle, to the extent that the country is angry, there are going to be some
number of voters who want to see their politicians expressing the same sentiments. Now, that doesn't
mean that you have to turn to a monster. I think of Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. He seems, you know,
he's selling much of the same.
politics that Plattner is, but I think is a much more honorable figure. We'll see how that campaign
goes. But he seems like a kind of contrasting figure. Or Mamdani in New York, who, you know,
has his enemies, but is also, I think, in an interpersonal way, kind of an obviously
good person who is interested in trying to improve the world. Plattner was cut from a different cloth.
But I think that as we go forward, failing to address the latent anger of,
say, many millions of people around this country, we are likely to see more politicians
whose main qualification for higher office is rage.
Okay. So this is, I can feel my blood pressure rising as we're discussing this. So this is where
I just want to jump in and say-
Go, Michelle, go.
So for starters, Plattner is vile. If even, like, even what we know about him is just like,
he's vile. I don't want to hear from him ever again. You don't get to set the joint on,
fire, and then have a say in who's going to come in to clean up your mess. Not every jerk who's
angry in a flannel shirt is a working class hero. And this is where the people who really
need to be slapped are the people who decided, oh, no, we don't need to vet him. We don't need
to worry about the red flags. We don't need to pretend that the rules of politics apply to our
guy because he's so freaking charming and has interesting facial hair.
I am sorry, but, like, it's not just a question of whether he could get elected. I mean,
this guy in the Senate would have cut a swath across Capitol Hill that we would have been
hearing about forever. So I, like, I get it. I get that people are angry, but not all angry jerks
are the same. And a guy who likes to pretend he's a working class hero is not automatically
who you want to throw in with. So do some due diligence.
That said, and here's the thing, Chuck Schumer should be embarrassed that the choice in this
race was Janet Mills, who was way too old and way too tired. Like, she didn't want to be in this
race. For the people of Maine to have basically had to pick between too old and too vile is
inexcusable.
But I just want to underline something that you said about the people who found him and
halfway vetted him. They didn't fail to do their job.
They wanted someone who broke the mold. I mean, that was the language they used. We didn't want
someone who has grown in a vat. We wanted someone who has lived experience. They did this as a kind
of central casting. Here's someone who looks like an outsider who donated to Bernie Sanders.
And how's that working out for them?
I'm not making a positive case for it. I'm just saying it's notable that what we're seeing here
is not exactly, you know, oversight. People having a perfect candidate who has skeletons
in his closet. They chose someone who looked like they had skeletons there.
You can vet someone.
And not expect them to, like, be some kind of bland milk toast model that could survive,
I don't know, like in the McKinsey boardroom or whatever. So, OK, they got what they asked for.
Congratulations. Now step aside and let someone clean up your wretched mess.
And can I just say something real fast about this?
Oh, please. Please do.
We have got to stop. Stop confusing assholery for courage
or asshole.
Assholery for conviction. And so I see this on both sides of the spectrum, especially amongst
the angriest part of the base, is they're looking at somebody who's going to give them, you know,
who's basically extending the middle finger to the world and demonstrating just this sort of like
raw fury and anger, often in a way that's deeply cruel and dishonest and casting that as, well,
they are a fighter. OK, they're a fighter. Well, you know, that is not the only model for fighting,
guys. Look throughout history.
If you're going to look at the people who led in difficult times, who demonstrated in history
has vindicated for their courage and their resolve and their conviction. Often they were people who
went out of their way to try to extend olive branches, to win people over who are wavering,
who went who had to demonstrate a tremendous amount of moral character. This is something
that is a huge problem that I've seen on the right for the last decade. And that is they don't they
view you as weak unless you're cruel. And all of your scandals, as David was saying, they're a bonus.
They're a bonus because they what they mean as you don't care about norms. You're willing to go as
far as you need to go. And and that is down that path lies madness. And there is no path in which
that is going to unify this country or achieve the justice and prosperity and equality and all of the
things that are happening in America. And so I think it's important that we have a path for it. And
and I just I'm longing for a moment where America, especially the bases of the parties, wake up and
they say, you know what? Sometimes the most courage you can demonstrate is to demonstrate humility or
kindness in the face of an arrogant and cruel age. Well, we're going to have to wait till Trump's out
of the White House before that's even a possibility. But David W. did bring up a less gut-wrenching,
soul-crushing primary situation.
And we're going to move for now to Michigan. So the stakes there are sky high in the Democratic
Senate primary on August the 4th. State Senator Mallory McMorrow dropped out of the contest this
week, and it's cleared the field for a tough race between Representative Haley Stevens,
who's the establishment favorite, and Abdul Saeed, an anti-establishment crusader whose
very edgy progressivism is making some in his party a little nervous. Now, no Republican has
won the U.S. Senate seat in Michigan in over 30 years. But if Democrats lose this race, it's going
to pretty much kneecap their chances of taking control of the Senate in November. Who do you
think is going to give them the best chance? I don't have any detailed knowledge of the race
on the ground. I just look at the polls. And what I've seen lately suggests that Abdul Saeed is
maybe has a little bit of an advantage there. That doesn't mean that that'll hold over the
course of the of the, you know, the general election.
Um, but, you know, I think that a few months ago, even, um, we would have looked at the polls and said that he was the much weaker candidate. And I think, um, the behavior there of, you know, voters behavior over the last couple of months suggests that he may well be the stronger one. And I do think that that would be a major event in American politics. He would be the first Muslim elected to, um, to the Senate. Um, he would be, you know, a sort of natural successor figure to Bernie as a, as a lefty in the Senate.
I do think that he's a more, as I said a minute ago, more admirable, um, character than, than Plattner.
I think he's sort of gotten under, you know, less attention over the course of this race than Plattner has.
And that's a little bit, um, you know, a little bit of a shame.
I think he's a more interesting, um, vector for the American left.
He just doesn't look as good in flannel.
I'm sorry, go ahead.
Well, I mean, I don't know if you've seen him in the gym.
He's, he's quite fit.
But he's, um, he does, he does seem to cut a bit of a different figure, which I don't think we know as easily what to expect.
I mean, Plattner looked this part, he wasn't exactly as you were saying, Michelle, a white working class figure.
from generations, you know, left behind by globalization.
That wasn't his actual background, but he looked like that.
And that meant that to voters, he scanned very easily as a familiar archetype, one that
they could dump a lot of rage and political enthusiasm into.
Abdul El-Sayed looks like a less familiar archetype, which is one reason why I think
it's possible that he does crack open American politics in a pretty interesting way going
forward.
I'm not going to say I think it's a safe bet that he wins the primary, or if he does, that
he'll win the general election.
But it's a very consequential race, not just for who controls the Senate starting in 2027,
but in terms of where the country and the Democratic Party goes going forward.
David F.
You know, Michelle, growing up in the South, did you ever hear this phrase?
We used it a lot in law.
Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered.
I'm afraid I have.
You have?
I have.
So essentially what that means is if you reach too far, if you become too, if you try
to get, you know, it would come up in settlement negotiations, like you're just asking for
too much.
And when you ask for too much, you break off the settlement negotiations and you might
then lose the case.
So the, you know, and so I think one of the things that we have seen is that when one
of the parties is weak, and the Republicans right now are weak, they really are, Democrats
may end up overperforming their 2020.
four numbers very substantially, which could hand them control of the House, which means
that even a Michigan Senate seat, which has been in Democratic hands for a really long
time, odds are almost no matter who they nominate, that person is going to be, it's going to
remain a Democratic seat.
These are very favorable tailwinds right here.
However, however, if you then take that moment to say now is when we can push the envelope
with our candidates.
In other words, this is the opportunity maybe to really, as David was saying, put a successor
to Bernie in the Senate coming from a swing state.
That's pretty risky.
And I keep flashing back to the 2022 midterms, and there was very high inflation.
Joe Biden's approval rating had already gone below 50 and was not coming back.
There was just awful.
All of this talk of a red wave, and then it never materialized.
And I put it into, I used two Ds to describe why it didn't materialize, Dobbs and Dufus's.
Dobbs was obvious, right?
You know, as somebody who's pro-life, I regret this deeply, but there is very much a pro-choice
majority in the United States.
It galvanized a pro-choice majority.
And then the Republicans nominated MAGA candidate after MAGA candidate.
And these.
Statewide swing state elections.
And lost and lost and lost and lost in a very, what would have been a very favorable environment.
And, you know, I think that's instructive.
And so I really do question the way in which a lot of people seem to view Donald Trump
and the unpopularity of Donald Trump as a political opportunity to sort of press in
and lean in to deeper and deeper.
And I just feel as if I'm sort of getting this sense of deja vu that, you know.
I hate it when you do that.
I'm getting that deja vu.
But, you know, one thing that I think is important to note in this context is, you know, who
we're talking about when we're talking about making this decision.
Like in a previous era, the party might have exerted a stronger control over the race,
either in candidate selection or in funneling money.
And these days.
You know, the Republican Party is weak because of Trump, but the Democratic Party is weak
as well.
And one thing that we're seeing is simply voters choice.
Now it may be the Democratic primary voters are doing themselves a disservice as Republican
primary voters have done in the past by choosing people that align with a, you know, a harder
ideological line than the median general election voter would be.
But it is also not the case that like, you know, the Abdullah Syed is being anointed by
anyone.
In particular, he is, you know, neck and neck or a head in the polls.
And that tells us something about the Michigan electorate.
Maybe not determinative for the fall, maybe just indicative.
But it is also the case, I think, that there's a real signal there.
There's still something on the ground happening that we sort of need to be paying attention
to.
Okay.
Now, I love a good primary fight.
I know that the political class does not because it costs some money and they're worried about
splitting.
But I'm all for a good primary battle.
So, you know, let's go forward.
We'll see how that goes.
But before we go, I want to pivot to Washington just briefly.
And the question of how open elected officials need to be with the public about their whereabouts.
And I'm bringing this up because Senator Mitch McConnell, the 84-year-old former Republican
leader, has now been hospitalized for several weeks.
And we have yet to get any kind of clear explanation.
We have yet to get any kind of explanation about what's going on.
This has sparked crazy rumors about whether something already happened to him that's horrible
and it's being covered up by his team for political reasons.
And the McConnell drama is coming hot on the heels of another medical mystery, which is
that New Jersey Republican House member Tom Keene disappeared for over a hundred days,
during which time the public was told only that he was receiving medical treatment for
something.
It wasn't until after he returned to the House in late June that people were told he had
been treated for depression.
Now, I'm always grateful when members of Congress talk about their mental health challenges
and we get honest about that sort of thing.
But really, shouldn't the public have been given more information on this earlier?
The same thing with McConnell.
How much can we expect to know about the health and well-being?
How much can we expect to know about the health and well-being of our political officials,
guys?
Can I propose something quasi-mathematical equation here?
Ooh, you're going to get specific.
I like that.
The greater the power the public official exercises, the greater the obligation to disclose
to the public their physical condition.
So at the very top of that is the president of the United States.
And I think we've now had a couple of presidencies, including this one, by the way, where you
don't really feel that they're all that transparent about like what our, you know, what our president,
what the truth is.
Yeah.
And I think that's the most important thing.
that he has this bruise on his, this running bruise on his hand, it would just be better if we had, I mean, better in a million ways if Donald Trump was not the president.
But even keeping, even putting that aside, it would just be better if we didn't have to worry all the time that our geriatric leaders were sliding down, you know, the slope to real old age.
So now I'm going to put, for those listening, I'm going to put David Wallace-Wells' email directly into the feed so that all of the people who want to yell at him for ageism can do that directly, because I feel that I get yelled at for that plenty.
And David, you will come back for us when we do our next gerontocracy episode, because this is one of my favorite topics.
So we're going to leave it there.
And we're going to do recommendations.
What do you have to get us through the peak summer heat?
David Wallace-Wells.
Thank you.
The book that I've been reading the last few days is a book called In Trees by a writer named Robert Moore, which I cannot recommend highly enough.
It's a sort of a strange book to describe in summary, but it's part nature essay, it's part work of philosophy, it's part personal essay.
And it's an effort to make sense of the tree, not just, you know, the forest landscape, but the idea of a tree, the intellectual structure of a tree.
What it means to think through the metaphor of the tree as a sort of new model for thinking about rootedness and what we used to call cathedral thinking, that is to say, things that outlast human life.
It's a beautiful book.
It's impossible to put down.
And ever since I picked it up, I've been recommending it to everyone I know.
So I'll recommend it to all of you as well.
All right, David French.
So first, let me just say, I love that David came in here with something of true interest.
Intelligence and sophistication, carrying the Jamel torch.
I can't wait to hear what you're going to recommend.
How about this?
How about an Apple TV show about fact checkers who are trying to solve the murder of like a male OnlyFans star?
He stole my heart.
Or OnlyFans.
Tell me more.
The show is called Maximum Pleasure Guaranteed.
It's on Apple TV.
And the way that I discovered it is, so we were loving Widow's Bay.
Yeah.
And.
Yeah, yeah.
And we were loving Widow's Bay.
Yeah.
And Stephen King tweeted out, I love Widow's Bay, but there's an even better thriller on Apple TV called Maximum Pleasure Guaranteed.
And the story you have is a single mom, recently divorced.
She's a fact checker for a fictional publication.
And she is interacting with a cam boy, like a guy, you know, a guy like OnlyFans.
It's not only, they have a different name for it, of course.
And she sees him apparently get kidnapped and brutalized.
And so then hijinks.
And so, but what's funny is it's centered around a trio of fact checkers who are on the case and on the hunt.
And they're a delightful trio, like a delightful cast of characters.
They're quirky.
They're funny.
And I just find it hilarious.
And, you know, shout out to all of our awesome fact checkers at the New York Times who make our work possible.
Doing God's work.
Doing the Lord's work.
But Maximum Pleasure Guaranteed.
It's.
What a title too.
Yeah.
It's great.
Leave it to French to keep it highbrow.
Okay.
I'm going to go in a kind of a geeky direction for any puzzle people out there.
So my household likes to order these murder mystery case files that you can get.
They just, they are these mysteries.
It's often it's cold case files or they have themes like, you know, somebody gets killed at summer camp.
Or somebody gets killed at the theater.
And they send you this package of clues, you know, like autopsy reports, witness statements, crime scene photos.
And it's one of these things where you two people can do it or five people can do it.
We'll drag our kids into doing it when they're home from school.
Some of them are just easy breezy.
You can.
And they rank them according to difficulty.
You can do them in like a couple hours.
Some of them are really hard.
We have failed on a couple of occasions.
I'm not too proud to admit.
But they're.
They're really fun, especially if for whatever reason you might not want to stream a show one night.
And that's it.
That's all I got.
I feel that we've solved so many problems in the world.
Really appreciate it.
David Wallace-Swells, thank you for joining.
And you will be back, remember, at least for the Gerontocracy episode.
David French, always a pleasure.
Guys, have a great weekend.
You too.
Bye, Michelle.
Bye, David.
Bye.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The week was defined by widespread humiliation and exposure, from the U.S. soccer team’s loss to political scandals involving Graham Plattner.
The Iran ceasefire collapsed due to irreconcilable disagreements over the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran maintaining control and Trump lacking a clear plan to reopen it.
Economic impacts of the Iran conflict have been less severe than feared, with oil prices remaining stable, which may reduce political pressure on Trump despite ongoing tensions.
The Democratic nomination of Graham Plattner in Maine collapsed after a rape accusation, revealing a troubling pattern of ideological blinders and leniency toward misconduct within the party.
A growing public disengagement with foreign policy issues signals a lack of accountability for imperial overreach, especially as both U.S. and global actors confront the limits of power.
Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary features a competitive race between establishment favorite Haley Stevens and progressive outsider Abdul El-Saeed, who could be the first Muslim senator and signal a shift in the party’s direction.
The public’s lack of transparency regarding elected officials’ health—such as Mitch McConnell and Tom Keene—raises urgent questions about accountability and democratic trust.
The political landscape reflects a broader trend where anger and rage are being mistaken for courage, undermining moral standards and political maturity on both sides of the aisle.
Summary:
This week’s political discourse is marked by a confluence of humiliation, exposure, and deepening crises in foreign and domestic policy. S. soccer team’s loss and the political fallout over Graham Plattner’s campaign highlight how public figures on both sides of the aisle face intense scrutiny, especially when scandals emerge.
The Iran ceasefire collapse reveals a fundamental failure in diplomacy, with Iran asserting control over the Strait of Hormuz and Trump lacking a viable plan to reopen it, raising serious questions about strategic competence and national pride. Economic consequences have been milder than anticipated, which may lessen pressure on Trump, yet public disengagement in political conversations suggests a troubling apathy toward foreign policy missteps. The Maine primary outcome underscores a dangerous trend in Democratic politics—ideological loyalty overriding due diligence and moral standards—where voters were drawn to rage-filled, unvetted candidates like Plattner, despite red flags.
In contrast, figures like Abdul El-Saeed in Michigan represent a more principled, diverse alternative that could reshape the party’s future. Meanwhile, the unexplained health issues of senior officials like Mitch McConnell and Tom Keene expose a systemic lack of transparency in government, undermining public trust. Ultimately, the political climate reflects a growing culture where anger is mistaken for courage, and accountability is eroded by ideological partisanship.
These dynamics reveal a nation struggling to balance political extremism with moral responsibility, with lasting implications for democratic integrity and national unity.
FAQs
Exposure. He described it as the 'exposure' of how the rest of the world no longer trusts the United States, revealing a lack of credibility in U.S. foreign policy and leadership.
The ceasefire is effectively dead, with tit-for-tat strikes and Trump's threats to escalate the conflict. Iran has not reopened the Strait of Hormuz as promised, and there is no clear path to a resolution before the August deadline.
Trump may believe the economic impact of the Strait closure is less severe than feared, and he may now be willing to accept prolonged closure. Additionally, the public is not paying close attention, reducing political pressure on the administration.
Graham Plattner suspended his Senate campaign after a rape accusation, and many of his allies abandoned him. This reveals a tendency in the Democratic Party to extend grace to ideologically aligned candidates with serious misconduct, despite red flags.
The primary between Haley Stevens and Abdul Saeed highlights a shift toward more progressive, diverse candidates. Abdul Saeed, a Muslim and anti-establishment figure, represents a more admirable and principled alternative to ideologically driven, controversial figures like Plattner.
There is growing concern that the public lacks transparency about the health of officials like Senator Mitch McConnell and Representative Tom Keene, which raises questions about accountability and democratic trust in political leadership.
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