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[email protected]. Get ready to win your lead. What fantasy? Because reality. Now here's Frank Scott and Chris. If you had Joe Ryan, Braxton Hatchcraft, and Freddy Prahlota in your line up on Monday, I'm sorry. There has to be at least one person out there. If you were one of them, please send us a screenshot. But again, I'm sorry. Welcome into fantasy baseball today on Tuesday, July 21st. I am Frank Stanfield, Joe and bye. Scott White and Chris Towers. Today on the show, we had some mega blow ups here. We will fire up the warriorometer/drop-o meter, fun with arbitrary endpoints, hitter edition, the latest waiver wire names, and much more. Let's jump in. I don't believe it. I don't believe it. All right. Let's get some of these stinkers out of the way. Scott, you signed up for the stinkers. Go with whichever one you'd like to start with, but we can mention a few. Well, I should probably start with the stinkiest stinker because it was a historic stinker. It was Joe Ryan's stinker. And Joe Ryan became the twelfth pitcher to allow six home runs at a game. That's pretty stinky. That's not good. So that was against Cleveland. Cleveland without Jose Ramirez, not a team you would expect him to struggle against. So that made it all the more frustrating. Look, you wouldn't expect him to struggle against anybody. He entered the start with like a 285 ERA. It had been a great year for Joe Ryan. And by the way, it still is. But not a great start to be sure. I think breaking it down here, I don't see a lot of cause for concern. The splitter and the sweeper didn't have their usual movement profile. So that probably contributed to it. But without at the risk of oversimplifying it, I think it was just an example of a lot of regression hitting at once because Joe Ryan has always been an extreme flyball pitcher. Home run proud. And he has been just as much this year. And yet he entered the start with a 0.8 home run per nine rate 0.8 home runs per nine. Usually it's 1.3, 1.4. After the six home run game, it's 1.3. So like it all, it went back to his career norm in one go here. If you want to know Joe Ryan's own thoughts on the start, it's a bit of a word salad, but I could read it to you. It seemed like they tried a very accurate game plan tonight. Ryan said, guys that haven't hit fastballs this year are hitting them over their head for home runs. Guys that haven't hit spin well, hitting spin. Kind of the same thing with the split, maybe a couple didn't move that great. I haven't gone back and gone through each pitch and stuff. But I think it's one of those. Maybe they know their weaknesses. And they get to the spot a little bit earlier on a night. I don't have my great stuff. I don't know. I don't make much of that, but that's what he said. Yeah, I want to be particularly concerned about this. I think he'll bounce back just fine Joe Ryan. But obviously not a great night for him here. Yeah, I think this is just an extreme version of something that happens to Joe Ryan. He has had at least one start with at least four homers allowed in each of the previous three seasons. In 2023, he had a four home start and a five home start. And like Scott said, if these four earth six homers had been scattered throughout the rest of the season, he has a 330 ADRA and a 1.26 home runs per nine. And he just looks like Joe Ryan. You know, like it stinks that this happened. I don't really think there's anything to take from it. We have to talk about it because it happened. I don't really think there's anything here. I do think it's funny that like you could hypothetically have had a Joe Ryan Braxton, Ashcraft, Freddy Peralta, Ryan Weathers, Emmett Sheen, Jacob Mizierowski, Jacob DeGrom, pitching group and been thrilled about that for the most part. And then today it would have just been an absolute disaster. A bunch of two-star guys. Come on. Yeah. I mean, for the Miz, at least he was good. He just didn't look awesome bad. Yeah, deep into his start. But like, yeah, DeGrom, another one who had a rough start here. I agree with everything that you guys have said. Even entering the start, Joe Ryan is an extreme fly ball pitcher. His ERA was 285. His X-Fip was 346. So based on how many fly balls he allows and how many home runs he often allows, you know, it feels like there was some regression coming at some point for Joe Ryan. Again, it does stink that it came all here at one start. And his fastball in particular, which is usually his best pitch, got hit especially hard. Four of the nine hard hits came against his fastball in the start. And it sounds like he acknowledged that afterwards with some of those quotes he mentioned. So I have a worryometer for later on. One to ten. Where would you guys put Joe Ryan on the worryometer? Zero. I mean, I'll go two. Yeah, I was to get like one or two. Yeah. But not really something that we're long-term worried about. Let's talk about someone else who maybe are a little bit more worried about. And that is Braxton Ashcraft, who just had a brutal outing at the Yankees. Three innings, nine hits, eight runs, seven of those earned, two homers allowed in this one. And he has a lot of five or more earned runs in three of his last four starts. He has given up multiple home runs in three of his last four starts. And during that stretch, it's an 824 ERA 158 whip, eight home runs total allowed. So what did you guys see from Braxton Ashcraft here? Let's go on wrong lately. Yeah, so for a while, he was kind of doing like a Brian Wu thing, not to the same extreme. Brian Wu throws his four seamer in single a lot, but it was a similar effect for his arsenal, where the four seamer was generating a ton of, especially high flyballs, launching all the four seamer this season's 27, 27 degrees on the sinker. It's negative three degrees. And so like that can be a really, really good way to build an arsenal. If you can have a sinker that gets a lot of ground balls and a four seamer that gets a lot of really high flyballs. The problem is you also ideally want to miss bats with those pitches and you know Braxton Ashcraft's fastballs are more average-ish. You want to limit hard contact when you do. He doesn't really do that with his fastballs. I kind of think that's just kind of what's catching up to him is that the fastballs were playing over their heads if a fastball can have a head for a while. And it's kind of caught up to him. I mean, in this start, everything got hit hard. And over the course of the last, you know, what four or five starts, we're starting to see a lot more flyballs from him. I think we're just seeing some regression from Brandon Braxton Ashcraft lately that he was not is not one of the, you know, 15 best pitchers in baseball like he looked for the first two and a half months. And he'll settle in somewhere that is still extremely useful. But, you know, maybe not quite as dominant as he was early on, but he's still overall missing a decent amount of bats. Not today. He's overall still not issuing a ton of walks. I still feel pretty good about him, but then you look up and it is a 395 year right now. I think it'll probably be closer to 350 moving forward, but I think we're still staying. He's at. So, coming into this game, the expected area was 329. So, I mean, what I've noticed about Braxton Ashcraft is like one of his superpowers, he was, he was excelling with all three legs of the 5th triangle, home run prevention being one of them. He was doing that by being in excellent ground ball pitcher and it's that ground ball rate is totally collapsed. You see the home runs pick up and it's collapsed in conjunction with him decreasing his sinker usage. Now it was never a pitch he was throwing even a fifth of the time. Yeah. Well, what was the 18% the most early on the season? Well, the amount he was using it is cut in half basically and his ground ball rate for July coming into the stars 25%. So, like, that you don't, you don't see a ground ball rate that low from anybody. So, it went from being great to a total opposite end of the spectrum. And I don't really know why that's changed for him. Yeah. Why he's de-emphasized the sinker and why even, even to the extent he has why the ground ball rate is entirely collapsed. But as you point out Chris, I mean, he's still missing a lot of bats didn't in this start but had in the other, you know, this was a thing.
Third, starting four with five earned runs or more. The other two starts with five earned runs. He had eight strikeouts and six strikeouts, respectively. Three of his last five starts, he's at 13 swinging strikes or more. So like they're still, the other two legs of the fifth triangle, he's still going strong. It's just that one has really blown up on Braxton Ashcraft. So I don't know that I see it so much as the exposure of a flaw is just he's doing something that's changed the profile in a drastic way, but not so drastic. Like it's just one that one respect. Opposite in the spectrum with the ground balls, but like there's still all the other things that made Ashcraft good are still there. So I'm hopeful he'll turn this around. Look, it may be something as simple as like the innings or accumulating and he's not, he's missing his spots as a result. It's not showing up in the walk rate so much, but it's he's missing his spots in the zone and they're getting getting hit harder because of it. And maybe something as simple as that. Yeah. Which would be a little more current concerning restacies and because the innings are only going to keep accumulating from here. Yeah, so he got up to 118 total innings last year. Again, this is Braxton Ashcraft that we're talking about. He's already up to 116 and a third and they really wrote him pretty hard in the first half of the season. Lots of six and seven innings starts there for Braxton Ashcraft. So I just wonder if, yeah, like maybe starting to wear down a little bit. I also think that he himself is just kind of searching. Whenever I see a pitcher start to use a pitch more out of nowhere that they've never really used and it's not a good pitch for them typically, it's just like, all right, the light starts to go off a little bit and he uses split or 16% in this start. It was only 5% entering and it's basically been a useless pitch for him. Yeah, it's such a weird choice because it's not, it's a new pitch for him. He didn't throw it last year and it's been 8% with rate this season. It's done nothing. Yeah, and it gives up a lot of fly balls too. So that's not going to help fix that problem. Yeah. So Braxton Ashcraft is searching right now and rightfully so, all right, again, the last four starts. 824, year a 158 whip. Where would you guys place Braxton Ashcraft on the Warriometer on a 1 to 10? Okay, that's, so he does have some pretty significant split issues. 763 OPS against lefties, six 10 against righties for the season. You can survive with that kind of split, but the Yankees do have a decent number of pretty good lefties. And so-- Jazz hit two home runs off of it today. Yeah, Jazz hit two home runs. So that's maybe explains it a little bit, the need for the splitter, but it doesn't seem to be working. So that's a fly hadn't really seen. And teams are definitely stacking their lineup with lefties. He's faced about, before tonight, it was about 90 more lefties than righties this season, which there are more right handed players in baseball than lefties. So that's pretty unusual. Yeah. Where is Ashcraft on the Warriometer? I'd say more like a five or six. That's what I was thinking. Yeah, I was going to go five. All right, let's talk about some good. I mean, we can stick with the pirates, Chris, go to your player tonight. Yeah, but I'm not going to be positive. Good-ish. He did a good thing. Oh, he's done so many good things. That's Merlin Valdez, Homer again. The magician. His 13th Homer in his first 32 career games. And that is historic pace. I saw an article on ESPN. He is the fourth player. This was before Monday's game. He was the fourth player with at least 12 homeruns and 31 RBI in his first 31 major league games. And I like this because all three of the previous guys were very recent players. And so it made looking up what they did after that. Very easy. And I think it kind of gives us a sense of what the range of possible outcomes is here. The previous three were Will Smith of the Dodgers. I don't know if you guys remember him hitting for that much power in his career, but apparently had 13 homers in his first, let me see. Now that you say it, he did hit for a lot of power early on. Then he kind of settled in as more of just like a batting average. 12 homers in his first 32 games. He struck out 29% of the time in that stretch. The one of the other ones was Reese Hoskins. I remember that one. 16 homers in his first 32 games. 18 in his first 34 games. He was pretty incredible. And then obviously a real status of Kenya. I think we all. The punisher, the most obvious comp for Asmrland Valdez in a decent but not great prospect lighting the world on fire as a power hitter early on. So Asmrland Valdez has struck out 38% of the time so far. He has been the best hitter in baseball since June 11th when he came back from minors. He has 12, 12 homers, 13 homers in his first 32 games now. Aristosakino after his first 31 games, his next 24 games, the rest of the season, he struck out 31% of the time and homered four more times. Reese Hoskins had those 16 homers in his first 32 games. He homered in his 33rd and 34th games. And that's it. Finishing the season with like a 670 OPS, the rest of the way. And Will Smith had a 630 OPS over his next 22 games to close out his season after that stretch. The lightliest outcome here is Asmrland Valdez crashes and he crashes hard. He's got significant swing and miss issues. He's got very good power, but we're not talking, not even Minotalker Murakami, you know, power. Minotalker Murakami's average average velocity of about a mile per hour harder than Asmrland Valdez. Valdez does have a good approach at the plate. He's a very patient hitter. I think that's a credit to him as a hitter, but he's not Minotalker Murakami. When it comes to chasing, he's a good, played disciplined guy, but not an elite. And his whiff rate or his in-zone contact rate is like 65% right now, which is just way too high. And even on the subject of the exit velocity, it's worth noting it was two and a half miles per hour lower at AAA this year. Yes. So like part of the high average exit velocity, which you point out, he's not even at Murakami's level. Part of it is good. Well, he's been that hot that, of course, the average exit velocity is high. I just, I think you look at it all and look, he's almost 100% rostered. The question is not, like that's the low bar. Should you add Asmrland Valdez? We've already passed that. Yes, obviously you should. I mean, it's a sell high conversation. Yeah, and now it's should you try to sell him or should you hang on to him? And look, if nobody's gonna offer you anything, hang on to him. If nobody's offering you a viable starter, just hang on to Asmrland Valdez and hope he doesn't burn out. But I think the likelyest outcome is he burns out. And if you can get a top 40 outfielder in exchange for him, a top 30 starting pitcher, gosh, like a tray turner type, I know he had a big game today. So maybe the by-law window is starting to close there, but he should absolutely, what? Who could also had a big game, not quite as big? Who is it? Anderson, just a bottle of situation like that. I would absolutely be looking to do any of those. Now, like, Cal Rally, I don't know. I know he'll keep him on theme, but that one's, that he's been bad enough that I understand not wanting to do that. But I mean, cards on the table, I would bet on Cal Rally being better than Asmrland Valdez, the rest of the season. Maybe not in a vacuum, but certainly relative to his position. And so I just, I look at everything. It's, I mean, 38% strike at rates kind of tells you everything. Yeah. You can't survive at the major league level like that. He has seven home runs in his past eight games. He also has multiple strikeouts in six straight games during that span. So, like, I understand people want to come on here and like, obviously, what he's doing is amazing. And it's super fun to watch. And we don't, it's not like, oh, man, you know what? We're just going to come on here and reign on everyone's parade. Like, that's not the point of doing this. The point is to keep it as real as possible with people and try and offer like an objective view at what Asmrland Valdez is doing. Now, you brought up Moracami. Like, their stuff is eerily similar right now. The quality of contact is a little bit lower for Valdez. But like, there's no doubt in my mind like he has all fields power. His home run today was opposite to 436 feet. Like his power is legit. But Moracami's was even like, obviously much higher and the expectations coming just like 20% to pay their zone contact is exactly the same. It's like 66% which Moracami's found a way to make it work. Like maybe Asmrland Valdez just like defies the odds. But we just have so many examples of players like this in the past not able to keep this going forever for the rest of the season pretty much. So that's why like, we're just trying to keep it real with everyone. I know no one like wants us to talk bad about him. But it is what it is with Asmrland Valdez. He's awesome right now. And hopefully you can keep it up. But those strikeouts, I mean, near 40% strikeout, or he's just absolutely insane there for Asmrland Valdez. My player tonight was going to be George Kirby. I'm going to skip over that for now just because got some other stuff to get to. I wanted to mention a trio of double-dogs here up at the top three hitters who had monster games. Mookie bets four for five with a double-dong three runs, three RBI for him. His first home run since June 27th. Still underperforming his expected stats. But look, man, we're going on two years in a row with a sub 740 OPS like.
Maybe Mookie bets is just going to underperform at this point in his career. He's not I think he's just not a difference maker anymore. Yeah, that might be the case. I think he can still be a better here than he has been, but I don't think he's a. Is he a must start shortstop anymore for fantasy? I would still put him in that category. I think I still have him top 12. So that would be must start like would you have hammer her all the Prado Mo? Betts. Oh, definitely bets. Okay. I think Prado betts is a better hitter, but Prado Mo is on a 25 steel pace, which helps. 25 steals 25 smeels. That's what I say. Yeah. So betts is underperform, like his XBA is 269. So if he was if he was hit in 270 with like an 800 OPS, obviously this would be a much easier conversation to have, but that has been the case this year. It wasn't the case last year with Mookie bets either. Trade Turner had a huge game three for five with a double dong five RBI. His last 27 games, 324 batting average, seven homers, 27 runs scored, three steals and OPS over 900. So the batting average, the power has climbed back up during that span. The steel pace has also slowed down. So there is some give and take here with trade Turner, but I think most people want him to get that batting average up. And then you're on Alvarez yet another multi-homer game three for four with a double dong. That is his fifth multi-homer game of the season. He's up to 33 homers 75 RBI. His career high in home runs was 37 in 135 games in 2022. He already has 33 and 100 games this season. So if he stays healthy, the sky is the limit for your down Alvarez. Anything else on him or trade Turner or Mookie bets if you had anything else you wouldn't say. I think no love for PD helping. Oh, just miss that one. Sorry Chris. He was the other two homer guy today. Yeah. Yeah. Don't see a lot there to get excited about. I think trade Turner is going to be fine. I think we're seeing the turn for trade Turner. I think the clearest indicator of age you could argue is that his defensive metrics have collapsed. He's gone from 99th percentile range to last year to third percentile this year. So obviously huge difference. But you look at the two years prior to last year and it was very low then too. Like last year is just an outlier in terms of Alts above average for trade Turner. So I don't think it's a compelling case to say, oh look at his defense. That means he's getting old. The strikeout rate was a career high slightly. It remains a career I guess I should say slightly. The swinging strike rate on fastball specifically which is something I look at as an indicator of age. How if their performance is dropped off against fastballs. It is higher this year. It's not totally unprecedented for trade Turner. 2023 or remember that was the year he got off to a slow start also with the first year with the Phillies and then turn things on late. For the most part though, I don't see a lot here that makes me think he's fundamentally a different player. So I think this hot stretch we've seen lately 8 for 16 with four home runs in his last four games. I think it was overdue and I think it's going to carry him going forward. To the extent you can still buy low on trade Turner you should. All right. Big thanks everyone watching live. We appreciate you being here. Make sure to hit that like button. Subscribe to the YouTube channel if you haven't already or if you already are subscribed. Just stay subscribed for the rest of the season. Let's take a break and we'll be back right after this. What is Toyota Fortability? It's buying smart. Right now your local Toyota dealer has great deals available on some of the most reliable trucks on the market like the off road ready to come. Rugged full size Tundra and legendary forerunner all with the space tech and features to handle it all. 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Nordea private banking is a great company that also runs the sales of the driver's license and the price is less than average. Nordea Pistefi caught the private banking. Welcome back fantasy baseball today let's hit the news and notes and we did get some more Dodgers update show heo tiny could throw a bull pen as soon as this weekend Dave Roberts did not rule out and when D.S. being activated from the aisle this weekend against the meds and the Dodgers also made a trade they acquired reliever Seth Halverson from the Rockies in exchange for Nick Frasso and I meant to look up how to say this guy's name land in the durek as we'll go with the du wreck. But yes the Dodgers picked up another reliever obviously a pretty minor trade here but they made a trade the marlins placed Max Meyer on the aisle with a next train apparently he's been dealing with this since his start on July 7th and I mean look he's been great all season and he's been one of the big breakouts starting pictures this year but he'll be out for at least the next two weeks and I'm just wondering if this means Braxton Garrett will get another opportunity he has dominated the minors this season 152 ERA point eight to whip nearly 10k per nine getting lots of ground balls getting lots of swinging trikes he made a couple starts in the majors that went absolutely horrific but I feel like he's kind of earned another shot here so uh Braxton Garrett 5% rostered they haven't said he's getting called up but it just feels like the logical choice I mean they're they have Sandal Contrari Yuri Perez Jansen Junk and Tyler Phillips in the rotation I don't see how they could not call Braxton Garrett up I know the two starts were a disaster but yeah I think they have to call him up. Are you interested Chris? Yes moderately I don't think he's the disaster his two starts indicate he's not a 1509 ERA picture but he's I think he can be good he had a 360 60 R.A. in 2023 I think he can be in that discussion of boring lefties but not someone you have to rush out and add until we actually see it at this point yeah I just think at 5% rostered if you play in a deeper league that's where I would take like 15 team roto anything deeper than that like he's probably out there and almost every league so yeah deep leagues definitely interested in Braxton Garrett Adley Ruchman was placed in the aisle with left wrist inflammation it's the third time he's been on aisle the season each time with a different injury Samuel Bessiah was also out of the lineup after leaving Sunday with a right shoulder injury so hopefully Bessiah gets back in the lineup soon he mostly plays every day anyway but has clear runway here while Adley Ruchman has heard if you need a catcher replacement in a one catcher league Dalton rushing Francisco Alvarez kind of feel like obvious answers there if you play in a two catcher league it gets a little bit more hairy here but Harry not Harry Harry Ford has been called up by the nationals and he's looked pretty good and Joe Mac has been pretty good as well he homeard again here on Monday his last 30 games he's sitting 268 with seven home runs in 890 OPS 21% rostered so some potential catcher replacement there for you Holy O'Rodrigas left early on Monday I did not see an official injury announcement but there was some speculation that he pulled up kind of lame holding his left hamstring after beating out a throw in the bottom of the fifth inning and Mariners don't think Holy O'Rodrigas trained as hamstring but he departed with some kind of leg injury so that's what we have now on Holy O'Rodrigas [BLANK_AUDIO]
Corbin Carroll was out of the lineup after hyper extending his elbow on Sunday. Bobby with Jr. was back in the lineup after missing Sunday with back tightness. And then he left early with back tightness. - That's concerning. - Yeah, it is. Nick Kurtz has been cleared to begin a hitting progression and fielding grounders and could return as early as this weekend. He's dealing with a thumb injury. Byron Buxen was reinstated from the aisle after missing two weeks with a right hip injury. Otto Lopez has missed two straight with right ring finger inflammation. Jeremy Paine returned to the lineup after missing Sunday with hamstring cramps. He went one for four with a grand slam. It was his seventh home run of the season. It is official Ranger Suarez will be activated to start Tuesday against the Orioles. He's been out since July 5th with a left groin train. Kyle Teal also left early on Monday with a left leg injury. Spencer. - He wasn't pretty bad. He was on crutches after the game. And I would expect an eye-elstent for Kyle Teal, unfortunately. I think that our carer has already announced that that our carer is going to be recalled. - Yeah. Well, there's another deeper two catcher kind of name to throw out there, I guess, and your carer, if you lost one of Adley or Kyle Teal in a league that deep. Spencer Schwelombok, one day after no one knows what's going on with Spencer Schwelombok, he's been cleared to throw both offense sessions. So that's good. It's going to be a lengthy buildup. He has not made a start in the bigs since June 28th of last year. And it was a fractured elbow last year, right? And then it was the loose bodies in his elbow during spring training. He is 42% rostered. I think best case scenario, it's like, what, like early September? First Spencer Schwelombok? - I think early September would be a best case scenario. - Yeah. - They have floated late August as a possibility. I don't know how realistic that is. I am coming out with new IEL stash rankings and I'm not going to say Schwelombok is high on that list, but I would rather devote an IEL spot to him than somebody I'm likely to drop as soon as they're activated, like Connor Preloat. - Yeah, I think it just, I would have to have an IEL spot. It's not a guy I'm stashing on my bench. - Yeah. Clay Holmes is tentatively scheduled to make his first rehab start on Thursday. He suffered a broken leg back in May. He is 46% rostered. He was pitching very well before he got hurt. 239 ERA and a 110 whip. What's the interest level on Clay Holmes? - Clay Holmes is below Schwelombok on the IEL stash list, though not by much. Clay Holmes is actually doing well before he got hurt. I don't think in a way that had me convinced he was something new. It's like a new creation who was going to take your fantasy team to new heights, but you know, if you need pitching help and he's still out there, he's at least interesting on the level Braxton Garrett is. - Ben Brown has begun to increase his activity and has taken part in workouts with a plyometric ball. And he's working his way back from a stress reaction in his neck. He is 49% rostered. Scott, don't put those stash rankings away just yet. Where is Ben Brown? - He's behind Schwelombok, but he's ahead of Holmes and and Brieley. So yeah, I think the time table's probably going to be pretty similar to Schwelombok. And obviously, I, you know, he was having a very good year before he got hurt. I don't think it is best if we were regarding him on the same level we do Schwelombok, which is why Schwelombok is ahead of him. Be another situation where you have to have an IEL spot. I think to stash Brown and your expectation should be low for how much he's going to contribute, but there's a chance he still gives you a handful of useful starts. - All right, next up, Glebert Torres was reinstated from the IEL. He hit second in the Tigers lineup. He went two for three with two walks and a run scored. He is 42% rostered. Next up, what's your interest level in Glebert Torres? - I mean, if you'd have to need a second baseman first of all. - Yeah, he's one of those guys who's better in a point league, but he's also a millen fielder, you know? - Yeah. - You might be able to squeeze him into the bottom of the top 12 in point leagues just because he's walking so much. He's got 395 OBP this season, but he's just not an impact player. - Yeah, bottom of the top 12, you get like Travis Bazon. - Yeah. - Same as an opportunity. - I couldn't do that. I couldn't take Torres over those guys, even in a point league. - I agree. - Bazon will talk about a little bit later on. He's actually been kind of bad for a long time, but has had a couple good games here, but we'll talk about that. Luis Robert was activated and in line up for the Metz, Carson Benj was out against the righty and Jacob Isirowski, so that's something to watch here at the Metz. Joshua Karota Grower, sir, I hope you were wearing a cup. He left early on Monday with testicular torsion or a contusion. - That's never want to hear that. - Yeah, he'd take a foul ball right off the family tool. - So I hope he's going to hit a home run earlier in the game. - Yeah, right, his first career home run, and then this is how he gets to celebrate, unfortunately. Nick Povetta will throw a live BP this week. It's the first time he'll face hitters since going down with a right flexor strain in mid-April. Scott, don't put those dash rankings away just yet. Where's Nick Povetta on the list? - Yeah, I mean, it's part of the same group. I have Povetta behind Troll and Bach, right behind Troll and Bach, a little ahead of Ben Brown. You know, it's the same sort of thing, like I could see him coming back, pitching most of September, and if he's built up enough, it could be an impactful starter for you during the most important stretch of the season, but it's a very, very thin line, very narrow margin for error, and so you have to keep your expectations low. It's interesting enough though, if you have an IELs, I'd go ahead and consider putting in a claim for Nick Povetta. - Trevor's story told reporters he hoped to start a rehab assignment at some point in August. He's been out since late May with sports hernia surgery. He was awesome last year, 263, 25 homers, 31 steals. He was awful this season before getting hurt. He is 39% rostered. I think he's a name that you could stash only if you have an IEL spot and leagues with a middle infielder. I probably not gonna be useful in a head to the point's league. - John Carlos Stanton has no timeline to start a rehab assignment. He's been out since April 24th with a right cast strain and then suffered a setback, I think in like May or June. A hersend Waldrop was removed from his start at Triple A Sunday because his arm didn't feel right. He had surgery to remove loose bodies from his right elbow back in February, and fire up the trade rumors according to John Heyman. The angels are expected to make both read debtmers and Jose Soriano available at the trade deadline. And it's at least a little interesting because I mean, let's be honest, the angels are not the most forward thinking organization and they have a really bad defense. So if those guys go to like the Cubs, for example, they would go from one of the worst defenses to one of the best defenses. And I think that would be pretty interesting. Jose Soriano started here on Monday and he actually pitched really well. Seven innings of two run ball, seven strikeouts to one walk. He had 12 whiffs on 95 pitches. His velocity was down a little bit on the fast balls but overall, good start for him and he's looked better as of late. So good sign for him. Yeah, I mean, it seems to be tied to the walks more than anything when he forced. So this was fifth straight with two or fewer. Yep. And pretty good in that stretch. Yeah, I mean, he missed, he's always been a good ground, but like a really good ground ball pitcher. He now misses bats, learned to better this year than ever before. And so it's really just a matter of, can he keeps the walks down? He has done it for a stretch here. I don't think it's ever going away completely. I kind of think he's that word Cabrera, you know? Yeah. Which, like that, that was the reason I bring that up is because you mentioned the Cubs and it's like, oh, that'd be interesting. Didn't really work for Edward Cabrera. You know, like it did not. And Soriano is a better ground ball pitcher than Cabrera. Cabrera is good. Yeah. But Soriano is even better. And he's been a better strike at pitcher this season. So I think there's definitely room for him to take off in a different situation. But, you know, I do think that the angels, just because they have micematics, I do think they are, at least from a pitching perspective, a little less incompetent than they have been in the past. Yeah, that's fair. I think it might be time to attach the Charizard label to Jose Soriano. I might need to annoy to new Charizard here. Well, I mean, Hey, man, his team may read debtmers, right? Like, I think they're both in that Charizard tier. They are. It's a point. Let's see. I wonder if John Maselec convinced the owner of the angels, 'cause we'll come back.
wasn't, wasn't, wasn't there some resistance there to trading redeimmers or weren't we hearing that a few weeks ago? That sounds right. But John, John Maselex got enough cash. A now that he's running the operation. Yeah, but that's always kind of been an already marino thing, right? Like just doesn't cash in on players when. Yeah, well, I'm saying maybe, maybe his GM has, he's got a GM with enough cash. A though good that. Yeah, we'll see. We'll see what they get if they get anything. Let's get it done. And let's fire up the worryometer slash drop oh meter. We spoke about Joe Ryan and Braxton Ashcraft. We did have quite a few blow ups. Darts here, Freddie Peralta, another clunker at the Brewers Revenge game. Five and a third, seven runs allowed, six strikeouts to two walks, also two homers allowed in this one. And I mean, look, the numbers speak for themselves. The ERA is up over five now. He has not completed six innings since June 9th. And his last 12 starts, six 56 ERA 166 whip. Still 91% rostered. I should be. I'm not going to be able to bring myself to drop him. But I also recognize that that's a flaw I have as a fantasy player. And at the very least, like the thing here is. It seemed like the Mets coming into this season were kind of becoming like a Brewers ask pitching factory. Like they had some really big breakouts on the minor league level. They they did a lot to maximize a lot of really mediocre pitchers at the major league level over the past couple of seasons. It really seemed like this was a team you could trust to figure these things out. And they've just seemingly completely lost it this season. I don't know what the explanation is. But I mean, Jonathan has just completely fallen apart. I don't know what to make of it all, but I wouldn't want to drop Freddie Peralta before seeing who he's pitching for in August because I don't think it'll be the Mets. And it does seem like I want to get a glimpse of him in a different situation before I write him off completely. If you had to put, I don't even know if he should be the wor on the worryometer or the droplet meter at this point. But I guess let's just say worryometer. It's got to mean during the all star break, it sounded like you were almost completely done with Freddie Peralta. Yeah, almost worried. Am I I think it's I think it's got to be pretty close to a 10 at this point? What's the what's the mean girls quote that the limit does not exist? The limit is not I think that's the I think that's where we are in Freddie Peralta on the worry
ometer. Yeah, how worried you should be. So I'm of two minds here because I see legitimate warning signs and I've voiced this before I see the legitimate warning signs like he. He was his arsenal was slider driven and now he doesn't have a slider anymore. That's the biggest one. And so, you know, he went from striking at 11. P9 to not even one. And that's not right. Yeah, 11. He went to from striking at 11. P9 to not even nine. And that's, you know, you call that a second warning sign if you want. I think they're related. But having said that there is an established track record here, a long established track record. And for the most part, I trust players who are this established unless there's a clear drop in ability, I trust them to figure it out. So if somebody dropped Freddie Peralta, would I pick him up? I'd at least try to. I'd consider if I could really give up my bottom player for it was somebody I just going to give up. And if I could give him up, I'd probably make that exchange in a deep league. Where nobody's dropping Freddie Peralta. Is there a scenario where I'd buy low on him? It'd have to be really low. But if somebody's giving him away, basically, I'd step up to the plate just to see is one of those cases where, you know, maybe it changed your scenery like Chris said, maybe not. But Freddie Peralta knowing the career he's cobbled together at this point takes a path. I can't really foresee right now to figuring it out because players, if his ilk, so often do. So my worry is through the roof. My expectations are low. But they're not zero. And that doesn't mean you should use Freddie Peralta. Obviously you should be on your bench. But again, it's let's see what happens after August 3rd and what Teenie's on and perhaps that change of scenery can get get him back on track. Ryan Weathers had a rough one here against the pirates. Four and two thirds, seven hits, five runs allowed 20 whiffs on 99 pitches. So it's kind of weird because like, you know, bad line, but he had a ton of swinging strikes in this one. Everything got hit hard in the start. He had nine hard hits loud 93.5 average active velocity. He's allowed five plus earned runs six different times the season in 19 starts. He's also up to a career high in starts and innings pitch this season. He's 83% roster. I think this one's more of a drop-o-meter. So where is Ryan Weathers on the drop-o-meter at this point? Four and a half. Oh, I'm surprised you went that low. Okay. I feel like I've been the one. I think it's more like to the upside here still. I think it's more like a seven or eight. Okay. Yeah. Maybe. Yeah. I mean, this is one that even when he was doing well early on in the season, the XERA, especially was really poor because he was getting hit really hard and he was avoiding it. But it's been like two months of him not avoiding it now. And I don't think it's quite a career high once you include my early seasons, but still he hasn't thrown this many innings in a while. And only through like 38 last year, he's already up to 102. So I do think there's some risk that one, he's just not as good as he looked early on and two that he's worse than he was early on as well. And that's that's a bad combination. So I think, yeah, no, you're right. It's probably more like a six or seven for Weathers. I still don't understand why he's been so bad. He's so like it's hard for me to look at a start where a guy has 20 whiffs and say, okay, time to drop him. You know, it's like that's so rare and usually such a strong indicator of upside. He's got doesn't get whiffs that he's got 10k per nine on the year. That's even from that perspective. Doesn't walk many either. Right. He does a lot of things really well. He just, there's a lot of similarities between him and Gavin Williams right now. Where they're just getting like, I think they're actually the two worst in X-Wobong contact. It's not weak contact, but I've seen worse. What what what percentile is it? 30 second percentile. It's not like he's an extreme fly ball pitcher. It's not like the home run rate. I guess it's, it is pretty high, but it's not a lot of fly balls. It's not the hardest contact I've ever seen. Like it should work. Like piezing this together, it should work. But it hasn't and the X-FIP is 328. Like there's there's a sharp contrast here between all the ERA estimators for whether it's the ones that all the more perplexes. The ones that assume X-FIP generally assumes no control over quality of contact allowed. FIP assumes just home runs and X-Wobong or X-ERA takes into account everything. And that's the big difference is he just gets hit really, really hard. And strikeouts and walks are usually enough. And so I think if you want to be optimistic, there's plenty of upside here. But it's been going on long enough that it's yeah. Shallowly contacts I totally get dropping weather. Let's talk about M.H.E. and because he's kind of in a similar boat here. Rough one at the Phillies, five and a third, six runs allowed, six strikeouts to one walk, but two homeers allowed in this one. He had 15 whiffs on 87 pitches. He's up to 1.75 home runs per nine. Last year it was 0.86. He has not completed six innings since June 1st. Still 82% rostered, whereas M.H.E. and on the drop home meter. He's actually been dropped enough already that he qualifies as a sleeper pitcher. And it was pretty high on the list for this week. Unfortunately, one more start. Yeah, well, does he? Yeah. Six game week for the Dodgers and with no show, hey, with no, uh, Blake with no Tyler, I think he probably makes another start. We'll stay hopefully, but I don't, I don't trust the Dodgers to not insert a sixth guy there. Yeah. Look, I, it is pretty similar to whether it's like I see a lot of upside here, but he's just not following through on it and hasn't been all season. So if you want to stash him in a bench spot in a league where pitching is scarce on the waiver wire, I'm totally support that. If you want to drop him in a league where pitching is plentiful on the waiver wire, I support that too. I think of the long run she in is going to figure it out, but the long run could be two years for now, you know, his fastball is really bad this season. That's all ultimately all it is. I mean, he gave up eight hard hit balls today for them around the fastball, 97 mile per hour average, X of velocity on five bad balls.
It's a 3.77 X-Wobai 408 Wobai on the four seamer. Everything else is good. Get whips with everything else. Limits damage on contact. It's just the four seamer has been a disaster. The problem is he doesn't have another fastball. He has to throw a 45% of the time because I don't know if he can command the other pitches well enough. It's a tough spot to be and he's clearly talented. But yeah, I think he's got to be a seven or eight on the drop-o-meter. All right. This last name we are going back to the worryometer. I don't think anyone's dropping him. I could be wrong about that. But Jacob Mizierowski, he was limited against the meds. Four innings, one uner- and-run, six strikeouts, one walk, 16 whips on 65 pitches here. And that is a key number. He was limited to 65 pitches. He was only able to get through four innings as a result. Before the start, Pat Murphy said, "I think we have to build him back up and make sure we do it in a mindful way." So yeah, there were some- there were a lot of interesting compliments there from Pat Murphy. He suggested that managing the workload was the reason for the layoff coming out of the all-star break rather than any dead-arm, reports of a dead-arm, reports of an injury going on it was more about, "Okay, we want to shut him down for X-link the time." And he mentioned, as you said, now how do we ramp it him back up? And it concerns me, obviously, because Mizierowski, we've come to think of him as the best pitcher in fantasy for good reason. But- and like, if you just look at how many innings he threw last year and just factor in the normal increase, he should be okay. But they're thinking- you know- -But got out of the way around in the playoffs. They're thinking- they're looking at data points we don't have access to, because it's not for a lot of these teams strictly a matter of, "Okay, he can increase his workload by this amount," because he threw this many innings this year. He's fine to throw this many this year. And then, yes, they're anticipating a deep layoff run. They shouldn't have to fight that hard to get into the playoffs, the brewers, and so they have this luxury. I don't know how this is going to go. What worries me is Garrick Crochet, his breakout season with the White Sox. And this is really the only example I can think of where it played out quite like this, where first half, clear ace, one of the best pitchers in baseball, and second half, just a four- inning guy, and becomes close to worthless in fantasy. And White Sox were in a completely different situation than not competing at all. They could just wrap them in bubble wrap, preserve Garrick Crochet's trade value. Honestly, they played it brilliantly, because they got a huge trade return for them. So it went exactly. They handled it as best as they possibly could, even first frustrating as it was in fantasy. Like I said, you want to think the brewers being contenders would have that same luxury, but since they do have such an advantage right now in the standings, they could maybe do some version of this. One thing you see teams do in the minors all the time with developing pitchers is alternate, short start, normal start, short start, normal start. And could the brewers implement something like that with Mizurowski to keep his endings low? Maybe. Like they're not really offering us many specifics, but they are offering this general air of, yeah, we got to manage his workload. And then the first instance of that is a four- inning star where he's dominating. Sorry, did you have anything else to say? Not really. I'm kind of spinning my wheels because I don't have answers. I just have general concerns and historic reference points. So one thing I wanted to point out, there's a quote, it doesn't sound like this was the plate is what I want to say because quotes from Pat Murphy, I think we take that as kind of a reset before the game. Now I think we have to build him back up and make sure that we are mindful of it. That's what he said before the game after the game. He said, quote, just being mindful of when a guy is not right, we would have probably let him go further if his delivery and his legs felt good. I think he was a little bit out of it. The long layoff kind of affected his delivery and everything else. I think it was important to notice that and get him out of there then the Velo dropped. He couldn't find the rhythm on his heater and he went to the force, the off speed stuff. Mr. Aski, of course, I felt like it wasn't in my legs as I should as well as I should have been by fell halfway decent. Good enough. I, yeah, that's a, that's a lot of additional context I didn't have. Yeah, I have no idea. I mean, it's encouraging except you factor. It's encouraging until you consider that they're talking about him not feeling right and then it's like a little bit of a question. Yeah, but at least it was a leg, you know? Yeah. You'd rather it be like it sounds like it was just, he wasn't right mechanically or he was, you know, just a little off because he had too much extra time off, which you see sometimes. So I do think that's important context just from a, they weren't, they didn't go into this start seemingly planning to pull them after 60 pitches. So I don't think it's a garacreshase situation, but it maybe develops into one possibly. But I don't think it would be that extreme. Yeah. I think what I take away from that is just it's one, one start and we'll see what happens moving forward. It look, we can't predict the future. We don't know what's going on in his body. Maybe he's just messed up all season the rest of the way, but I don't expect that to be the case. And I think those quotes are promising if anything as long as they get that fixed, whatever the problem was today. I think in theory, you could say, oh, well, cash in while he's regarded as the top pitcher in fantasy. Just in case, you know, if you cash in for the top pitcher in fantasy, you get a return deserving of that. Then it really doesn't matter if he remains the top pitcher in fantasy or not. You got, you, you cashed in. But if you play in the league where people are plugged in to baseball news, I mean, I don't think you could get, I don't think you could cash in in that way right now. All right. Let's take our final break at nearly the one hour mark. Like what happened to time allocation? I don't even know where all the time went. I was the biggest news of the day. I thought you were just going to skip it, honestly. No, don't say that, Oscar. Let's take a break. We'll be back right after this. Welcome back fantasy baseball today. We got like 15 or 20 minutes. So let's try and see how much we can get through and waiver wire hitters here. I've got a throw four names your way. Elliott Ramos hit his ninth home run in 18 games since returning from the I.L. He's hitting 297 with five homers and 14 runs scored. He's 56% rostered. Cooper Pratt, big game here, three for four with a sock into shoe. His first career home run, his seventh stolen base. Up is a breakout for the second half. So off to a nice start there. He's 32% rostered. Ty France, another home run for him over his last seven games. He's hitting 480 with five homers and 10 RBI. He has started seven straight. Hopefully a lot more to come in that regard. Nine percent roster for him and Tommy tanks with four singles. So Tommy, I don't know, Tommy singles. Four for five, four singles, a run scored. He has started. And the Tommy nockers wasn't that a like a mini series or something. Stephen King inspired maybe. No, I mean, probably not. I probably sound like an idiot. If Chris is not. Tommy nockers novel by Stephen King. Yeah, it's a thing. Tommy nocks. I remember like a slumber nocker. That's what what's his name used to say. Yeah, wrestling wrestling. There you go. Jim Ross. JR. Yeah. Good old JR. Four games. He's 16 percent roster. So these roster rates are kind of all over the place here. But do you guys have a ton of interest in any of them? Elliott Ramos, Cooper Pratt, Ty France, Tommy nocks. I kind of think Ty France is the most interesting one here. I agree. Mostly because he's only 9 percent rostered and that feels really low for a guy who's actually been really solid all season long. He has 15 home runs and only 74 games. Yeah, 92 mile an hour average. There's a lot of loss to 11.5 percent barrel rate. And he had a couple of years there where he was a fantasy asset. It's been a while. It's been a while. 2022 I think was his last good season. Yeah, I was 21 and 22. He had 2.91 with 18 home runs and then 274 with 20 home runs. But his bat speed is up this season. The average Iced velocities weigh up. I think he should be more than 9 percent rostered. The problem is we've set it 8 million times in the last 2 weeks. First base is just loaded. And so how many people have a first baseman or a need at first base that Ty France can fill?
corner infield even. That's tougher to say, but just generally speaking, I think a 9% roster is way too low for a guy putting up these kind of numbers, especially with the underlying numbers to at least somewhat back it up. I mentioned yesterday I picked them up in Towers, like if he's out there in a 15 team ROD league as a corner infielder, yeah, in a league that deep, you know, guys playing and he's playing well. So I would definitely take advantage in a deeper leagues. It's a little bit harder to make the case in 12 team leagues or anything shallower than that, but yeah, you know, anything deeper. I'm pretty interested there in Thai France. Speaking of deeper Victor Mesa Jr. has homer in three straight games that over his last 18, he's hitting 259 with seven homers and three steals. He plays against most righties, does not play against lefties at all. 3% rock. I mean, this is like the deepest of the deep, but he's doing some things. Victor Mesa Jr. Yeah, one of his homers wasn't actually inside the parker on Sunday, I believe. So that's worth noting he's not like a huge power. But inside the parker. Okay. I think that's what I said, right? I think so. Like I am right to dog. In 140 games, I think is the number at triple A, he had 20 homers and 10 steals. He's 24 years old. There might be not nothing here, but I think it's strictly, I mean, only for sure. I think you look at him, but yeah, mix leagues. It's just 15 team five outfielders. Weaver wire pitchers, mostly just streamer types who pitch well here, Shane Boz, quality start, six innings, four runs, but only two of those earned six strikeouts to zero walks. And last 12 starts, he's got a 331 ERA that also comes with a 127 whip. Andrew Abbott, a strong outing here at the Mariners, six innings, an uner-and-run, six strikeouts, 16 whiffs on 100 pitches, nice to see him getting whiffs on his fastball on this one. That has been lacking pretty much all season for Andrew Abbott. He is 74% rostered. And Bryce Elder bounce back start here, six innings, two runs, four strikeouts against the Padres. Good matchup, but nice to see a bounce back out of him. They're mostly streamer types. How would you rank these three Boz Abbott and Bryce Elder? I think Boz and Abbott are Jags just a guy. And I say that in this context in a good way. Yeah. They have two star weeks, they have decent matchup, you can throw them in there, it'll probably go okay. But they're not like building blacks for your rotation. They're not anybody you could trust just with any old matchup. Elder's probably just bad. I did notice that he got away from throwing his slider in this one. And the slider's been what's, the slider was what was making him early on. And it's been what's been betraying him here lately. If you just look at the results on that pitch. And so he faded it and this start through a lot more cutters. It worked. Maybe element of surprise. I doubt it's like a new formula for success because he wasn't any good before finding success. This is what he was last year. It was a lot more sinkers, more cutters. I guess the cutters knew. Yeah, the cutter is a new part of his arsenal. And now he's emphasizing it more. So it worked for this start. But I have no reason to think it's going to be a permanent solution for Brian. He still gave up two home runs, you know, when it was just lucky that they were solo home runs. Bryce elders, previous seven starts before this 847 ERA 176 whip. So dude, we need to see a lot more from Bryce elder. I have a deeper name here. Kyle Leahy, a nice outing here at the angels six innings of one run ball four strikeouts to zero walks. He had 11 on 95 pitches. Velocity was up across the board between a half and one and a half miles per hour on basically all of his pitches. And over his last five starts a point seven one ERA a point seven five whip. I don't see too much under the hood, but he is pitching better as of late 45% roster. He's also a spark for those playing points leagues. What do you guys think about Kyle Leahy? Yeah, I don't see much either. I did have him as a two start sleeper for this week. So apparently going with the bad two start pitchers was the right move rather than the good ones. But Leahy was on the list and he's been on a decent run here, but I think it's I don't think it's something he could build off of. I think you enjoy the hot hand if you need it and expect it to implode it anytime. He's a jagged, but the jagged is useful as a spark. And that's about the best I can say fair enough fun with arbitrary endpoints hitter addition will move pretty quickly through these. I'll mention what they're doing lately. If you've if you have a thought, we can get to it. If not, we keep it moving. Chase the lottery 18 game since returning from the aisle 360 with four homers 15 RBI two steals and an OPS over 900. Chris, this is one where I know you saw some quotes. Chase the lottery talking about getting a couple of weeks off was actually a good thing for him at the time. Yeah, he has never played baseball as long as he has this season. It just straight up true. I think he has said as much. And so even just getting through two months was a lot for Chase the lottery. And he said, you know, getting a couple weeks off my feet was a good thing. I think he's really good. So I actually don't think this is arbitrary endpoints. I think this is this is zero on the arbitrary endpoint. I'm a. Yeah, I did cheat a little bit with this one, but yeah, whatever he's playing good over a certain amount of time. Many Machado, he got his batting average over 200 and OPS over 700 in the same night. How about that? Last 25 games, 284 with eight homers, 21 RBI and OPS over 1000. Scott is many Machado back. I think so. I kind of wonder because the turnaround coincides with that sort of mini rant he went on that got a lot of attention on social media about just not a very specific thing, just kind of railing against analytics, whatever that even means. I wonder if he got some information, was it was encouraged to implement some information. Remember, the whole line of communication has changed from the front office now with the new manager. And if it ended up being a hindrance more than a help to him. And so that's what inspired that rant. And he kind of just said, forget it. I'm going back to what worked for me before. And now it's working. This is the head cannon. Okay. There's there's nothing I can say for sure about it. I'm just trying to make sense of of a correlation that I see. And I think there's still plenty of life left in Mani Machado, who's been great since 21. And he's still only 34. I mean, usually guys who are great at 21 keep it going into their late 30s. Chris, I have a pair of tigers here for you. Riley green, last 23 games, 289, seven homers, 17 RBI, OPS over 1000. He is a 20% barrel rate during that stretch. And Dylan Dingler, two homers here on Monday. So I guess I left out a few up at the top. But since the start of June 38 games, 320, 10 homers, 29 runs, 29 RBI and OPS over 900. Any thoughts on Riley green and Dylan Dingler? They are good at baseball. I don't really have much to add on top of that. Dylan Dingler is definitely a top 10 catcher. Might be a top six catcher. It's like, I still have some faith that if on her air is going to be a little more impactful than he has been, but Dingler's been much better so far this season. I think they're both like top five and catcher. X-Wobba. So a lot to like about both of them, but Dingler's profile is a little more fantasy friendly than her air. Her air is a lot of walks, not so much power. So I think Dingler's awesome. All right. Yeah. 63 RBI for Dylan Dingler leads all catchers this season. And finally past Liam Hicks. Yeah. Liam Hicks just behind him, though. I think it's 58 for Liam Hicks. He's been stuck around there for a while, though. Hit his first home run here on Monday since mid June or something. I was looking up earlier. Say yes. Suzuki last 30 games. He's hitting 316 with seven homers. 23 runs, 28 RBI 987. Yes. Looks like he's all the way back. Not so fun with arbitrary endpoints. Travis Buzanna. He went three for five with his ninth home run. But if you look at his final 36 games before the All Star break, he was hitting 186 with four homers, five steals, a 602 OPS. The quality of contact was way down there in that stretch. Travis Buzanna still 80% rostered. Should that be the case? Well, I mean, it's a tough day to ask that. I think he's coming back around. Yeah. Just like AJ Ewing did, just like I mean, Cole Carrick's going through a rough patch now. It's part of the flow of rookie season. But I think Buzanna proved his upside with that initial surge. And I think I think he's one of the top 12 second baseman still. The underlying numbers are pretty rough for Buzanna.
but they weren't at first. - Yeah, they weren't. They've been rough because he's been slumping. I don't know how much that actually matters, yeah. - And then Ian Hatt, he hit his 18th home run, but his last 36 games before this was hitting 183 with three homers of 584 OPS, 30% Shrike Out Rate. And the Shrike Out's had been a problem all year. He's up from 23% last year, 31% overall. This season, his fly ball rate, his barrel rate, they're both up, it just, it's kind of felt like he's selling out for power all season in a contract year and has negatively affected Ian Hatt, but he's been so consistent for so long. So hopefully, about to pick things back up in the second half. Have some pitching left overs here. Have one great, three good, three May, one bad. George Kirby, six shutout inning, six Shrike Out's, 14 whiffs on 80 pitches, 11 of those on the fastball. And that's really just what I wanted to point out is it's really good to see the fastball whiffs because that whiff rate has been down all season for George Kirby. - Yeah, I think it's interesting. We've seen Bryce Miller get back on track, we've seen Logan Gilbert get back on track, mainly through emphasis at the fastball. And then we see George Kirby have a really good start emphasizing the fastball. Like all of them came up, they had great fastballs and they all kind of got away from it at the same time. And now leaning into it again. I think it's a little different in Kirby's case because the fastball hasn't played as well, but it certainly played well in this one. So I hope it's a step in the right direction. - He has had his walk rate down to below 4%. Over the past nine starts now. Fun with arbitrary end points there. But that's kind of always been the thing with Kirby is he's not a big strikeout guy. And he's at his best when it's like 22% strikeout rate, 3.5% walk rate. And so he's kind of gotten back to being that lately. Results overall still a little iffy, but it feels more like the George Kirby we came to know and like quite a bit before last season. - His ERA is basically what we would expect, 357. His ERA estimators are pretty much in line with that. 128 whip. I mean, that's just what's killed us here with George Kirby this season. But he's been solid, but yeah, we were used to that whip being like 110 for George Kirby. Three good outings here. Michael Waka's 16nings of one run ball, five strikeouts against the Giants, 10 or by-be. Six innings, two runs, five strikeouts against the Minnesota twins. And Nick Martinez. He can't keep getting away with it. He won't, he won't. - Six innings, one run, one walk, zero strikeouts for Nick Martinez, but he keeps getting away with it. Any thoughts on Martinez, by-be or Waka? - Not really. I mean, you kinda summed it up already. Like I think Waka is pretty much a must-start played the matchups a little bit in the Shallow Relics with him. I think by-be is another one of those Jags, but I'm setting up in a positive way in this case. And then I think Martinez, we're just waiting for him to collapse. - It's gonna happen at some point. - Yeah. All right, these last four names, I'll put these together. Three, Matt, one bad. Dylan Seas mixed outing six innings, five runs, three of those earned, seven strikeouts to one walk, also allowed two homers in this one. Payton Tolt, Toli has not been as good in July. He did get whiffs here, nine strikeouts over five and two-thirds, but he allowed eight hits for runs, had 16 whiffs on 88 pitches, but four July starts, five 40 ERA 142 whip. Christopher Sanchez, solid, not as best against the Dodgers, five and a third, three runs allowed, seven strikeouts to zero walks 20 whiffs on 99 pitches. You'll love that. And Jacob DeGrom, his first start after this glute train, he's been battling. I just fell apart in the fifth inning, four and two-thirds, five runs allowed, six strikeouts to two walks, had 15 whiffs on 97 pitches, and four of the five runs came in that fifth inning. So anything that stood out to you guys on DeGrom, Christopher Sanchez, Payton Toli, and Dylan Seas. - I think on Seas, the changeup is the interesting thing, 'cause that's been surprisingly a massive weapon for him this season. Coming into this start, 57% whiff rate on his changeup, while throwing at 11% of the time, getting a ton of weak contacts, just been a killer pitch for him. And it's a brand new pitch. Anytime he's starting to change up in the past, it's kind of been a more like an e-fist, and it wasn't a real pitch. And he's starting to seem to lose the feel for it. His velocity on that pitch has been down about three miles per hour in the month of July, and it got hit really hard today. I think he only had one whiff on it, three padded balls, 101 mile per hour average, I have a velocity, one of the two home runs came on the changeup. That is something to keep an eye on with Dylan Seas. So he's been good before in the past without that changeup, but anyone who knows, knows that it's been frustrating in the past, and the changeup did seem to eliminate some of the frustration, some of the volatility in Dylan Seas' profile. And hopefully that's not back, but it's something to watch here because that pitch has been huge for him, and he didn't seem to have it today, especially. - All right, some quick hitting leftovers, jazz chism, hopefully up for a big second half here. (guitar music) It's like basketball. - So somebody requested that I bring back the jazz chism soundbite. So there that is, two for four with a double dong. He has three homers in his past two games. William Domus, hit his 18th home run. He has three homers in his past four games, and he's usually a pretty streaky bat. So perhaps going on a run here, and Cal Raleigh hit a grand slam. He had five RBI in this game, but just what has happened to Cal Raleigh man? He's hitting 163 with a 573 OPS. Like, I didn't realize truly how bad it was because I only have been one league. It's a dynasty league, but it's like, it's not a roado league. So I just, I haven't realized just really how bad the stats are, but my gosh, they are awful. - I hesitate to say this because I don't know that I endorse it, but I did it. I dropped Cal Raleigh in a league. It was head to head points. - Yeah, one cat league. I've had Liam Hicks. I picked him up when Cal Raleigh went on the IEL originally, and I got tired of using one of the few bench spots I have on Cal Raleigh. And I'm not even that sold completely on Liam Hicks, as you know, but shallowly context. I'm hopeful if Hicks collapses, I can pick up somebody still worthwhile at that position. You know, maybe now that I've done this, Raleigh will go off that will be the cue for Raleigh to Raleigh. But that's where it stands in that league. I dropped Cal Raleigh. - The call to the bullpen for the Yankees, David Bednar was unavailable for Nando Cruz, got the final four outs for his second save. For the Orioles, Tyler Wells entered with two outs in the seventh, a tie game. Runner on second, he got William Abreu to fly out, I believe. And then Wells came back out for the eighth, game still tied and he gave up a solo homer to Caleb Durbin. Tyler Wells took his second loss. On the other side, a roll this Chapman picked up his 22nd save. For the braze, Riceleag Laceus was unavailable. Somebody named Victor Maderos, through two and a third shutout innings to pick up his first career save. The Giants at the Royals was the battle of the crappy closers. Alex Lang got the ninth with a two run lead. He allowed a two run homer. He took his second blow and save. But he wound up with the win because Caleb Killian, a lot of run on two hits. He took his sixth loss. Daniel Lynch pitched right before Alex Lang. He has a 218 ERA and a 0.94 whip. Like why haven't they just tried Daniel Lynch? Yeah, that was the one guy when we brought it up yesterday. Oh, who do they go to instead? Well, should have thought of Lynch because he's been great all year. You want to hear an all time bad for both sides trade that I made? I gave up Dustin May at the end of June. And I got Caleb Killian just a disaster for everyone. I think I've gotten like two saves and a 14 ERA at a Caleb Killian. Yeah, earlier this season, I traded Sir Anthony Dominguez for Spencer Aragetti. That was one of those. It did not work for either side. No, that was no point in doing that for anybody. Yep. For the national, Clayton Beater was unavailable. It was lefty Tom Cosgrove who pitched two perfect innings for his first save. The nationals do not have a closer and they never will ever again. For the Cardinals, Riley O'Brien got the ninth with a one run lead. He allowed two runs on a walk, two hits. And a walk off hit by pitch. He took his fifth blown save and fourth loss. And for the athletics, Hogan Harris got the ninth with a three run lead. He allowed a hit and a walk. He's shook out three for his--
seven save. The last A save came on June 25th. That was Mason Barnett. And then the one right before that was Elvis Alvarado. I kind of think it's Hogan Harris for now, but they probably do not have a closer and they never will ever again. To stream or not to stream on Tuesday, we have Bubba Chandler at the Yankees, Ronaldo Lopez against the Padres. Zach Thorin who apparently dropped the H. He's now just ZAC Thorin. Brandon's broke. Oh, Zach's just coming up with the spelling Willie Nelly. Sprote revenge game against the Metz. We have Noah Schultz at the Rangers, Kumar Rocker against the White Sox, Tatsu Yama against the Marlins, Walbert Arrani against the Cardinals, Luis Castillo revenge game against the Reds. Are there any Zachs with just a K. Oh, he's Zach Wilde. Zach. I think I've seen it before. Okay. Yeah. But my own brother is Zach and he has changed the spelling of Zach. Just the C. A. K. No. Okay. Never going with that one. Z. A. K. K. That's Zach Wilde. Z. A. K. K. Yeah. Well, he's a guitar player. You know, he's that Zach is. You could do whatever you want. Apparently there's someone in the majors named Zach Kent, who has just a K. He pitches for the wins or the N. A. K. I don't know. All right. Anyway, right now, the L. A. K. Against the Padres and who else do we say when we did this yesterday? I think we, Luis Castillo against the Reds. We talked about Walbert Rania. There are. There are. There are. I could see Tatsu Yama having good start. I could see Brandon Sprote having good start. I could see Zach Thorin having good start. I don't want to trust any of those three. I just. The Am I downside risk, especially just. Yes. I would lean Castillo Lopez and Rania, but I, I like it. I like the revenge game for Brandon Sprote. On Wednesday, we have Seth Lugo against the Giants Christian Scott at the Brewers, Gage Jump at the D. Bax, Merrill Kelly against the Athletics, Brady Singer at the Mariner's Michael McGreevy at the Angels, Bailey Ober at the Guardians, Dean Kramer at the Red Sox, Anthony K at the Rangers. I think Dean Kramer is a pretty good pitcher, but I Red Sox are hot right now. So that one scares me. 14 straight. Yeah. Gage Jump has been really good when he's not pitching in Sacramento. Okay. That could work. And like Brady Singer at Seattle, Michael McGreevy at the Angels, I think either of those could be good. Christian Scott at Milwaukee could be good. I think there are a lot of decent options. I think you're I like McGreevy best of this honestly. I think that's probably fine. And I don't mind Seth Lugo against the Giants. He came through against the Padres last time out. I think he can do it against the Giants too. I think McGreevy agree on Lugo. I could see Christian Scott at the Brewers being a right Gage Jump away from Sacramento. And I mean, even Singer at Seattle, he's pitching well and that line up's not good. There's more strikeouts there. Bailey Ober at the Guardians, like maybe so. I don't know. Wednesday's pretty pretty good day for streaming. All right. We went way over. We'll save team name Tuesday for next week. We are going to wrap there for Scott and Chris. I am Frank thinks is always for tuning into fantasy baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five star rating on Apple Spotify and we will be back in tomorrow. Bye bye. Paramount podcasts. Criminal Minds Evolution is back on Paramount Plus. We are going to go where the evidence takes us. This season, evil is contagious. Once it starts, I can't be stopped. Criminal Minds Evolution. New season now streaming on Paramount Plus.
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