PDB Afternoon Bulletin | August 24th, 2026: New Evidence Putin Is Preparing for Mass Mobilization & U.S. Cancels Major South Korean Exercise

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Later in the show, the Iran War forces the US to cancel a major amphibious exercise with South Korea, raising new concerns about America's military readiness in Asia. And first are PDB afternoon spotlight. We've been watching for indicators that Vladimir Putin may be preparing Russia for another mass mobilization. Until now, the evidence was largely circumstantial, major battlefield losses, increasingly aggressive recruitment tactics, and repeated warnings from Ukrainian intelligence. But now there's something more concrete. New reporting indicates that Russia's military is actively testing whether it could handle another large-scale influx of soldiers. According to the Wall Street Journal, Russian officers traveled from St. Petersburg to Kaliningrad last month to oversee a mobilization readiness exercise. Now, Kaliningrad is the Russian territory positioned between Poland and Lithuania along the Baltic Sea. The officers reportedly reviewed how local authorities would receive newly mobilized residents where those recruits would be housed, how they would be fed, and how the military would provide them with weapons and equipment. And Western intelligence officials say Kaliningrad was not an isolated case. Similar exercises are reportedly being conducted across Russia, testing whether the country's military infrastructure could handle a sudden influx of new recruits. At the same time, the journal reports that the Kremlin has not made a final decision yet, but military organizations generally don't conduct nationwide readiness exercises for options that they consider impossible. Russia appears to be making certain that the machinery is ready if Putin decides to go that route. And the reasoning is clear, Russia is running through soldiers almost as quickly as it can recruit them. Western estimates cited by the Guardian suggest Russia is suffering more than 30,000 casualties every month. Moscow is reportedly recruiting roughly 1000 new soldiers per day, or approximately 30,000 per month, so you can see the problem. In other words, almost Russia's entire recruitment pipeline may be going toward replacing its losses. That does allow Moscow to sustain the war, but it does not necessarily provide the additional forces that Putin would need to break through Ukraine's defenses and capture the remainder of the Donbass. The Kremlin has spent years attempting to avoid another public mobilization by offering enormous signing bonuses and military salaries that in many cases can equal several years of wages in Russia's poor regions, but finding volunteers is becoming increasingly difficult. Regional governments have reportedly been given recruitment targets by Moscow. Some are paying private recruiters and even ordinary citizens for every man they persuade to enlist. Russian authorities have also widened the pool of potential recruits to include additional prisoners, students, and men facing financial or legal trouble. More troubling are reports of increasingly coercive tactics. Russian activists say men have been detained on the street, remove from their workplaces or summoned to police stations before being pressured into signing military contracts. Some reportedly faced threats, blackmail, or physical violence. As one Russian activist described it, the recruitment campaign has become, quote, "a hunt for people." Now, that's where the new mobilization exercises become significant. Putin has been attempting to generate mobilization level manpower without formally announcing another mobilization. If that system can no longer produce enough soldiers, the Kremlin may be preparing its alternative. Ukrainian President Zelensky says Kiev's intelligence services believe that Russia could call up another 300,000 men after the parliamentary elections that are scheduled in Russia for September 18th through the 20th. Zelensky described the potential campaign as a, quote, peripheral mobilization, meaning that the Kremlin would concentrate the call up in Russia's poorer and more remote regions while attempting to shield residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg. Now, that specific figure has not been independently confirmed, but the timing would make political sense. When Putin mobilized 300,000 reservists in September of 2022, the announcement caused panic, protests, and a mass exodus of military-aged Russian men. Another call up before parliamentary elections could remind voters that the war Putin promised would remain distant may soon reach directly into their homes, waiting until after the elections would obviously reduce that immediate political risk. Again, there's no evidence that Putin has signed a mobilization order. Russian officials continue to deny that another mass call up is planned, and Western intelligence reportedly hasn't concluded yet that a final decision has been made. But the reality for Putin is, he's running out of options for throwing sufficient bodies into his war machine. He may not want to stage another mass mobilization, but if he insists on continuing his war, or the special military operation as he likes to call it, he may not have any choice. Alright, coming up next, the US cancels a major exercise with South Korea, as the Iran war begins draining American military power from the Pacific. I'll be right back. Dave Mike Baker here, with a very important message about watching out for safeguarding and protecting your family's future. Now it's not a pleasant thought, but it is an important one. If you're the provider for your family, what happens if you're no longer around? 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Washington has pulled out of next month's twin dragons exercise. It's a massive amphibious drill that normally brings thousands of American and South Korean Marines together to practice storming a hostile beach along South Korea's coast. South Korea's military says Washington actually informed Seoul back in June that it needed to scrap the exercise because American 40. were needed in the Middle East. Twin Dragons is now the latest element of America's military presence in Asia to be affected by the war with Iran. As Marines and air defense assets and even an aircraft carrier have all been pulled toward the Middle East. And some of you may recall this is not the first time we've seen American forces in Asia redirected as a result of the Iran conflict. Back in March, more than 2,000 Marines that were stationed in Japan were transferred to the Middle East. South Korea's president publicly objected the spring after American air defense assets were pulled from the country. And now the Pacific-based USS George Washington has replaced the USS Abraham Lincoln in the Middle East. After the Lincoln spent more than 250 days at sea. So when you put all of that together, Twin Dragons starts to look less like a one-off cancellation and more like another example of the war with Iran diverting American military resources away from Asia. The movement of American forces isn't the only thing changing on the Korean peninsula. At the same time that Washington is moving more forces toward the Middle East to meet the threat from Iran, President Trump has also been deliberately scaling back some exercises as he tries to reopen the diplomatic door to North Korea. And this should sound familiar because I discussed it just last week. President Trump ordered the annual Olchi Freedom Shield exercises cut short, bringing what was supposed to be 11 days of training to an early conclusion. Trump called those exercises costly, inappropriate, and hostile to North Korea. Arguing that Kim Jong-un's regime had behaved in what he described as a "unthreatening and respectful manner" during his second term. And then, of course, just days after those comments, Kim's regime test fired 10 short-range ballistic missiles and issued another statement denouncing the exercises, which Pyongyang portrays as rehearsals for an invasion. While Trump clearly sees scaling back some of these drills as a way to create room for diplomacy, we've also seen this balancing act before. Back in 2018, following Trump's first summit with Kim, the administration paused or scaled back several U.S. South Korean exercises, as Trump argued they were "unnecessarily provocative." Twin dragons itself remained on hold until 2023. For now, Washington and Seoul say they remain in close consultations about when the twin dragons exercise might return. At the same time, as close allies South Korea, Japan and the Philippines, are increasingly concerned about China's aggressive behavior and build up in the Indo-Pacific, the war with Iran is causing the U.S. to redeploy troops and assets out of the Pacific theater. While at the same time, President Trump is deliberately reducing some regional exercises as he tests whether diplomacy can change North Korea's behavior. And that, my friends, is the PDB afternoon Bulletin for Monday, the 24th of August. Now, if you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at PDB at thefirsttv.com. And to listen to the show Add Free, it is a very simple thing to do. You just become a premium member of the President's Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. I'm Mike Baker, and I'll be back tomorrow. Until then, stay informed. Stay safe. Stay cool. Hey, Mike Baker here. With a word about personal health and weight loss. Now, you probably have heard all about this. 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