Panic Time: Are Early Voting Numbers Really A Disaster For Republicans?

Welcome to the Line Up Live on Rumble. Why'd you look at me? I'm surrounded by children. You know what? It's a sad state of affairs when I'm the adult in the room. I'm not. There have been, no joke, at least won't be by any other HR department, qualified as four forms of office abuse this morning, just since run through fireable offenses. And this flyer, this transgender flyer, I got one that's going around in Texas. Yeah. Guess where this was stuffed? My point exactly. So we're going to talk about this. Hey, is it real? Is it fake? Is it a great troll job? Does it shine a light on something that people have kind of been ignoring? Ah, it's just one of those cultural issues. And then early voting. Hey, there's a lot of information out there, and I don't know if you know about this. It means nothing. So I hate to tell you, I shouldn't be telling this. You don't really need to watch the segment. You don't. It means nothing. It means nothing. Go out and vote. But we are going to go through some claim truths, because people out there with the fake internet, the clickbait culture, they want you to believe that they have the scoop, and they don't. Finally, horror films. Scary movies. Can Christians watch them? And I don't mean you're an adult, right? You have permission to. But is there a problem with a Christian watching scary films? Also, would you put Rosemary's Baby in the same basket as Signs? I don't think so, I don't think that's a good idea. Horror movies just don't work with the Second Amendment. Click Rumble Premium and join now for $99 annually or $999 a month to get the entirely ad-free experience and an ever-expanding roster of content, creators, and free speech. My girl likes it. Whoa. Yo, what's good, fam? Just got back from my boo house. Yeah, you know I had to go see the head doctor. You feel me? Yeah. You know we had to get it in. And to keep it straight with you, I didn't even want to. But you know I can't tell my boo no when she's down on her knees begging for it. You know what I'm saying? I thought you and Rachel broke up. We are on a mutual break, Dad. I told you that. Is that why she kicked you out of her apartment? Dad, I told you. She didn't kick me out. I decided to leave when her friend Jamarcus moved in. Isn't it a one-bedroom? No, it's a studio suite, Dad. You know what would be sweet? If you called American Finance. You got your own place. Dad, I told you. I'm trying to fix my financial predicament while simultaneously trying to make Rachel jealous when she sees my video and me having sex with all these girls. Now your mother and I have had more sex in your bedroom than you have. Dad, don't talk about moms like that. Honey, get the load. Okay, I don't need you in the bedroom. I hate you! I hate this house! Call the pros at American Financing today at 1-800-974-6500 or visit www.americanfinancing.net slash Crowder. NMLS 182334. If you start today, you may even delay up to two mortgage payments. Oh, hot. Oh, hot, hot, hot, hot. that was real can we standardize like when when we just make the hot water I think it's fine it's like an entirely different food group everything will taste the same for a while don't worry it'll be good this will be good for us All right, Captain Morgan, CEO, this is under your purview. How are you doing? I am fantastic. Now, mine's not too hot. Good. Hey, by the way, guys, let's make sure we don't have any clips that might involve some slightly spook, some slight spookiness, because Gerald's here. Friday, October 23rd. Strong, man. In the Winters Club, Pasadena, Texas. Winter, please. Mr. Josh Feierstein, how are you? I'm good. I'm currently planning a Halloween prank on Gerald. It's okay to say that, because now he's going to be just anticipating it. Yeah. Every corner you turn, Gerald. Oh, my gosh. I could be there. Is it murder? I can't disclose that. That would be giving it away. No, that's right. My pistol is named Power of Christ, and it will compel you not to do that. That's sacrilegious for your pistol. Not at all. I don't think it's been blessed by a father. I said every corner of your turn, I didn't say I was going to be at that corner. I will see you, though. Yeah, exactly. You think your pistol can reach 300 meters? Yeah, what do you have? What do you carry? A super soaker that can go around corners? Yeah, what do you? That would be awesome. Remember that one? That would be great. Yeah, I do. What are you, Angelina Jolie? Taking a milk bath? Oh, that's right. That's right, where she spins the bullet. All right. Anyway, this has run dry. Hey, before we get to anything else, here's a turf battle in Sichuan, China. And apparently, I don't know if this is true. It's just fun. Apparently, it's two rival restauranteurs, you know, fighting it out in a way that the Chinese do. I see that cop is from northern China. That's why he's so tall? Yeah, but it's ineffective. Oh! Oh, again! Now look at this other police officer. He's pulling up his phone. Hello! Hold on, you're going too fast. Yes, I want to order wonton soup. When I say no MSG, do you still put MSG? i love it there's sewage water soup everywhere yes oh background music hey there are children in africa who are starving for that rat food great police work they're pointing i just i love how like he doesn't just have a walkie talkie he actually has to bring it up and like oh i should have saved in contacts oh no only one bar oh it's all to say the 3g i want to be on 5g oh he dead oh no i knew i shouldn't have got t-mobile oh damn these fat fingers oh no it's time i had y'all alert let me guess he's a hispanic or black guy everything about that just seems very unserious he just like sees a facebook post like when you think of the communist regime and their police you picture jackboot thugs yeah not asian paul blart they can't even say that That's the guy's favorite cigarette. I want a pack of What? You want menthol? No, Paul Moore. What are you saying? We don't sell Paul Moore. Chester Fear. What? Ma Bullo. Rocky's Twerk. Camel. I got that one. I got that one. Amber. Amber will have to. Look, the point is, not all cultures are created equal. And at least we don't settle our differences here, primarily with soup. It's 2026 there, too. What? Nothing. Nothing. What'd you do? Nothing. Hey, Jess, what's up? - Wait, have you seen my soy sauce? - Oh, yeah, sorry, I finished that. - Not cool, dude. I brought that from home. - It's an office fridge, man. It's a communal, everything's communal. You should know that. Maybe you should learn some office etiquette. - Office etiquette? - Yeah. - Ah, ah, oh, God, ah! - What's that for office etiquette? - Ah! All right. What do you want to do? Sometimes people say some commie stuff, you've got to put them down on their butt. I get it. Got to put them down on their ass. Hey, by the way, did you see, that reminds me, did you see that Trump talking about you at a rally? He was talking about me? Yeah, yeah. You didn't see? I hope it's good things. Tim, would you mind? And I'm studying his body. I've never studied the body of a man before. It's not my thing. Nothing wrong with it, of course. Nothing. I always proceeded by saying nothing wrong, but it's never been my thing, to be honest with you. But I looked at his ass. And then I looked at his legs. And I said, his ass is like, it's like a pile of muscle. Oh, well. That's incredible. What a shout out. Yeah. Makes me feel special. Yeah, you should. I mean, you're being objectified by the highest office in the world, but that's, I think it's a good thing. I mean, I'm filing a lawsuit. Oh, okay. I'll add it to the list. I don't know how litigious I am. Steven Das is so nice. Nice. Change my mind. I'm going to do it. Wait, what are you going to do? No, no, no, no. Change my pants. Stop. That's very, that's unprecedented. There are other ones we could play. We're not going to, though. Wow, he set you up and you didn't. Rare. I didn't take the bait, huh? Let's go to these. So this is, uh, I was going to, I was going to, I was going to initially separate this into like the good and the bad, these late stage, you know, campaign ads, because that's where you see things kind of turn up and get really interesting. The problem is in going through them, uh, they're all bad. Yeah. They're all really bad. And I know people often say like, oh, I miss when politics used to be like, we actually, we had a civil war in this country. So the point is like now people, you know, they insult each other on social media. Okay. There are things that suck, but we have been more divided. That being said, if you were an alien who just landed on planet earth, you would think that the entire, if you're only right, if you're only sort of introduction to the human race for these campaign ads, you would think that we should be exterminated. And I wouldn't blame our alien overlords. Let's start with the AI slop. Why is Cain in there? Zero black people. I think that was intentional. Is New York getting a little expensive? I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. I'm Kathy Hochul, and I've got just the thing. Introducing the New York survival kit. Hello there. I'm Josh Shapiro, and I've been very busy. This ad was created with AI. Thanks to big, beautiful data centers. Fact is, I was the one who fast-tracked data centers right here in PA. The music's kind of Jewish. Well, so is he. I know. Thank you. I just noticed it. Jamie Foxx is a better electro. Yeah. He just grabs a box. He's like, my dreidel. Another reason to dislike me. AI data centers. And to be clear, most of these AI slop videos, they are coming from Republicans and, you know, balls and strikes. It's bad. It's just not good. Because a lot of, I tell you what, boomers often, they're just like, have you seen this? It looks real. And they're like, they're taking like iterations of AI video from like three generations ago. You're like, it doesn't look real at all. That guy has 19 fingers. I constantly have to tell my mom to get off Facebook. I know. Stop. She's like, did you see people get, the Rocketeer is real. People are going around on jetpacks. Like, what are you talking about? Oh my gosh. Someone just added. See the guy in the water. They just took Rocketeer and added a lower third. It's just the movie Rocketeer. And it wasn't even good back then. It's okay. Did you see Trump gave a medal of honor to a shark? My grandmother actually called me. That's a meme. My grandmother actually called me and said, they just took Trump away in cuffs. They're taking over the government. Real life. I love what he said about your boss's ass, though. You know what you should have done? You know what you got to do, grandma. Don't hold back. Strap up, Grams. Remember, Grandma, when I told you I would let you know when it's time? It's time. It's time. Do you have that go bag ready? You just got to go along with it. It just depends in prescriptions. A bunch of insurer. Unless you have a TV guide. She immediately gets mugged by a junkie to take all her pain pills. You know what? That's why you're not in the front lines. Some more last minute ads that are really not good. Now, I know this is technically not an ad. It's one of those. And here's the thing, too. I understand, like, legacy media is always sanitized. And that's why Change My Mind was created. And that's why legacy media, right? This was an idea that was kind of turned down. But now everything is just, hey, let's be. Let's be. Let's be authentic equates with crap. Like, let's just talk on a subway. Well, there's a reason that you don't typically conduct interviews in a subway, because it's loud and it smells like pee. So it's the same thing here where this is like an interview. Like, let's go to a restaurant where you have lesbians. So here's. And we have to kick people out so we can do the interview. Right. Yeah, exactly right. Here's Abdul El-Sayed. I'll give you my thoughts afterwards. But doing the Hillary Clinton, doing the Obama thing. Can I get you started with anything besides water? What's a popular dish here? I really like our fish here. The blackened salmon is one of my favorite. I know what I'm getting. You know what you're getting? I'm getting the blackened salmon. Blackened salmon. Yeah, I'm not going to embarrass myself and eat nachos on television. Okay. I'm going to go with the fried chicken. And that's going to be all for you? Yes. Thank you. No problem. Now, he may just want some fried chicken. He did not look like he wanted fried chicken. He did not look like it. He reluctantly ordered it. Yeah. Only two pieces, please. They swapped. They swapped, for sure. But I will say this. If I was in that situation, I would still go, look, hey, I know what people are going to do. I actually do want fried chicken. Okay. That's actually what I'm in the mood for. I don't want this to be a thing. But instead, because they're constantly in a state of pandering, they have to just act like it's their natural state. And here he is, I believe in that same interview, saying that he had a big mountain to climb to earn more black support. And the way he sort of paints a picture. I mean, would we say it's racist? I think he'd say so. Black Detroiters in particular, their experience with somebody who looks like me is not a good one. You go into a gas station, you go to a party store, you're being talked at from behind a glass wall. Yeah. If you're a woman, you're being catcalled. If you're a kid, you're being sold a Lucy out the back, being denied a bathroom. I've always tried to be on the right side of that. But I also understand that, like, if that's your experience with somebody whose name is like mine, that leaves a terrible taste. A terrible taste in your mouth. Yeah. Just lists a bunch of bad examples of commerce. He wants to be on the right side of it, which he's been doing for a long time. And that's why he actually was a co-owner in Hobby Lobby for Terrorists. Oh, they sell flowers. That's nice. You know, baby steps. It's like a demonstration side of the story. I didn't even know that party stores were hotbeds for, like, Islamic terrorist workers. I didn't know that. Oh, yeah, yeah. I went to one last week. Yeah. Guy gave me a tour. He's like, Here you will find party guns. Right. Yes. Here you will find party C4. That's right. And here we have the pressure cooker with nails. Would you be interested in party fertilizer? That's right. Oh, here we have party Ziploc bag of Tannerite. This is for party stone. Mm-hmm. For stoning woman and party. Oh, jeez. That's why we have party half floor. Let me show you where you go. You put them in the half party floor up to their neck. And you see. It's party stone. I don't know why they sound Yugoslavian. That's my fault. That's a bad one. Sorry. I can't do a good one. Now, Vivek, just to be clear, is going to lose. And I will say, not rightfully, because Amy Acton is a good person or a good candidate. Right. Or I would ever vote for a Democrat. But you know how you have people who say, oh, they're a clutch player. Right. Okay. In the last minute. So they'll hit that shot at the buzzer. Vivek always performs at his best. The furthest. The furthest away from serious consequence. Like an election. The closer he gets, it always gets worse. Yeah. He only makes more missteps. It's like, far out. Okay. The rhetoric's pretty good. He's articulate. He's a good interview. And then as you get closer to election day, he just turns into Pajeet Mr. Magoo. It's just. That's fair. Mr. Magoopta. Mr. Magoopta. I don't know. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. And the new character is born. This needs to be a sketch, too. I don't. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. Write it down. It's okay. He's been on the show and I yelled at him. That's true. So this ad, and it does come, this one comes directly from, or at least they claimed responsibility, association, the campaign of Vivek. Very ill-advised. But when you watch it, it's a gut punch. And then you find out that it backfired. It's an ad against Amy Acton. Featuring her mother. My name is Donna Arthur, and I'm Amy Acton's mother. I worked at Children and Family Service Association, building one of the first two sexual abuse programs in America. I love my daughter, but when I saw her lying about her opponent, and it's not easy for a mother to say this, but Amy has a serious problem. She is a liar. She lies about me. of her past. She says she grew up living in a tent. None of that is true. She's lied her entire life. My daughter needs help, and she can't help you if she needs help herself. People can change, but first they have to tell the truth. And my daughter still isn't doing that. Don't vote for people who lie. Don't let her become your governor. If you think she'll make your life better, you're fooling yourself. It will only get worse. I first watched that, and I was like, oh, boy, that puts the Swift Boat veterans to shame. Yeah, I mean, the only other things you could have done is just handed the mom the exercise bands. You got a purple heart. Wow. Too soon? No. No? I mean, it's bad. It's pretty bad. Swift Boat veterans were like, he, John Kerry, got a purple heart, but he got it the wrong way. She's just like, my daughter's a murderer. She's been lying ever since she was three years old. My daughter said that she did not draw the crayons on the wall when she was four. She did, though. She did that, and I locked her in a closet for weeks on end, but she didn't learn. I made her live in a tent. Called her Amy Acton a fool. Yes. Here's the thing, though. Amy Acton has been estranged from her mother for a very long time, following what seems to be true. Check the references. We make them available every show. Childhood neglect, and from what we know, alleged sexual abuse by the stepfather, and the mother stayed with the stepfather until his death, and it turns out that she probably did actually live in a tent that was confirmed by her brother. The whole point is, this is a really, really messed up ad, and Vivek just, he didn't miss it by that much. Whoever made the judgment call should never work again. Just should never work again. Not a problem. They should be homeless and destitute. He's just willing to do anything to get into political power, and I'm just like, ah, gosh. I understand wanting it a little bit, but this is a little too far. Yeah. I've got her mom in an ad. This is going to work great for us. None of this is good. Now, here's a California, he's running for governor. Yeah. GOP candidate, Steve Hilton, and here's an ad that, I appreciate it when people take a creative risk, so I never want to beat up. I give it the video. Just go. I can't believe I'm doing this. Don't be nervous. Oh, okay. It's not that bad. I've just never done anything like this before. Like, what if my dad finds out? Just try it. Look, give me your hand. Close your eyes. Okay, first off, pause. We all know the implication, right? Okay, a bunch of, a couple of dykes. All right. They work at Starbucks? I don't know what to. But here's the thing. That is not how the first lesbian interaction would go. That's really more of a gay interaction. Like, don't be scared. It won't hurt that much. Lesbians, you know, there's nothing to be scared of, really. It's just new. Anyway, that's my interpretation. Play. I'll do all the work. See? I think, I think I liked it. Now lick it. What? Scissor me timbers. It's Jane Doe. I get it. I get what they were trying. You do? Yes. Can you help me then? They did something. They did something there that I don't think, whether you take it one way or the other, it's not a good way. Like, you can't vote for someone and you're saying, don't worry, I'll do all the work. Yeah. You don't want to have sex with me? I will do it. It also makes it, it also implies that it's painful to vote for your candidate. I mean, embarrassing. She doesn't want her dad to find out. She doesn't know how to do it. It's all bad. It's all bad. Like, I know, and I know how this transpires. There's one, there's one consultant who comes in and you're like, oh, this person, this person's the best. This person worked on the Newt Gingrich campaign in 2008. And they bring them in and they're like, you gotta be, we need edge. You gotta, you gotta make a splash, kid. And they're like, all right, okay. Well, I guess what we're doing isn't really working. It's kind of a long shot. We're like, get some carpet munchers. We've got undecided and then we've got lesbians. Let's give them cotton candy hair. One pink and one blue. He's just like, we can't have two women engaging in sex in an ad. He's like. Put up a do not destroy sign. We'll know what's going on. Make them naked. No, we can't. And then they're going to punch a ballot. Is that the gay pride flag or the trans flag in the background? Did you see that? It's the equity flag or something. I get it. I get it. It's like the universal pride flag. I appreciate them trying to think outside the box. Really? For lack of a better term. Hey, what's going on? Come on. Hey, now. I think he's making insides. I don't know what you're going to say. These are, these are, these are real ads. We make them available. Links in the description. Weekdays at 11. We always do that. We give you a bibliography. Go watch these ads. Or don't. This is. Here's another one. It's not as bad. It's just fun. This is a GOP candidate. And her, her name is, is, is. Jennifer Balcombe. What? What's that? Wait, what? We should change your name from dick piss. Talk about. Just, just watch her and her mom. By the way, a good general rule is don't bring parents into the ad. Yeah, that's a bad idea. Here's why. I'm Jennifer Balcombe. I come from a long line of tough mountain women. Mom raised us on her own. She taught us to be strong. And when someone broke into our house, she shot them. You break into my house, you're going to get shot. With Balcombe. Oh, I'm sorry. You come to my house, you're going to get shot. Endorsed by Jennifer Balcombe. This ad for, this ad paid for by the blood of the innocent. Now, I get it. I get it. She's tough. I support shooting a home invader. There you go. It's just that who is advising these people? Well, that's the issue that really is on the minds of people in North Carolina. Mountain districts, of course, is can we shoot home invaders? They're like, no, no, no. Look, we're bringing this consultant. He's the best. He worked on a Buchanan's thing. And he's like, no, no, no. And then he just comes in and he's like, look, you gotta, you gotta make waves. Like, all right. You just shoot people. They're going to love it. No one can touch you. They'll vote for you every time. You say I shot a black. What? Why would we say that? This is North Carolina, right? Frank Lutz told me to do a focus group in sneakers. Here's, now, here's the funny thing. Jasmine Crockett. I wish that I, I wish that I was as passionate about anything as Jasmine Crockett is on hating Tallarico. So, you know, Jasmine, for those of you who don't know Jasmine Crockett, obviously she's a failed politician right now. Texas. Okay. Her backyard is Texas. Texas being the operative locale here. But instead of helping Tallarico in Texas, she campaigned in Mississippi for the, you this uh democrat candidate scott colom and uh it's it's it's a bad ad it's not as bad as the others and it it's just i don't know watch cindy said pick another protein shit i'd rather pick another senator instead pick another senator instead pick another senator instead tallarico's a faggot i can't believe that made air that's allowed in mississippi i guess it's allowed in mississippi allegedly it didn't even have here's the thing until that last part it didn't have i couldn't see it didn't have anything to do with tallarico she just hates it no matter where she is that's not even running against him her anger knows no bounds yeah but her numbers that guy's numbers are pumping up yeah exactly right you're like you know what she said i was thinking it choose another gender and stay yeah yeah yeah so fake when you hear the way she's spoken now she's doing mississippi jasmine cropping the popeyes like what are you doing now you don't sound like this this is not your voice i i i love how it's offensive for a white person now just not not just black face but to do black voice but it's perfectly acceptable for a black person to do an even more offensively stereotypical black voice or white voice well i don't care about that no no i'm just saying like if the rules were equal that i know but the point is she's basically doing black voice it's not her voice her voice she doesn't say instead instead instead it's my secret recipe of spices nice mississippi they did at least get the white guy to go she yeah i thought that was i couldn't say he was white. That's because they had a bunch of crips around them with glocks. Like, you don't do line at the barbecue. So, by the way, the chances, just so you know, of this person winning the Senate Mississippi Cal, she has Scott, the one who just cut the Jasmine Crockett ad at 9.8%. That, dude, that was higher earlier this morning. Well, they just saw the ad. I'm not even kidding. That was higher this morning. It was like 12 or something this morning. They just saw the ad. Now, to be clear, all of the other ads are real. You can go check. And that last one is like super extra real. Most of it. She hates Tallarico. She lives in Texas. She was a congresswoman from Texas. She lost her primary to Tallarico in Texas because her district doesn't exist anymore. And she went to a 10% candidate in Mississippi instead of Tallarico. She went to a 13% candidate. Now he's a 9% candidate. It's more percent real than his chances of winning it. Yeah, well, there you go. Her ad came out, and she said, chances. She's like, she's the walking black dot. The black spot? The pirates. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. The Kraken's after you. They just hand you an endorsement with an eye patch. Here you go. Crockett! You can't call her the black spot, though. No, I said the walking black spot. Makes it no better. You saw what we just aired. At this point, who cares? We're live. Weekday's 11 a.m. This is what we do. And we call the presidency for Donald Trump. Before anyone else on Earth. And we call states. So we do all of the above. It's a good mix, and your support is very much appreciated. Let's go to this next one here. So people now are talking about early voting. Okay. Now, anytime you get into the realm of political predictions, not just early voting, but predictions, who do you think's going to win? That really does lend itself to charlatans, to snake oil salesmen. Why? Because it's something that you can't really disprove, and once it's been disproven, they move on, they go to the next thing. There are people, I don't know if you remember, like Dick Morris would do this. He was almost always wrong on Fox News. And even some really bright people, like Charles Krauthammer, one of the brightest political minds, really, I can think of the last few decades, you know, God rest his soul. He was wrong pretty often. So it's not really a science. And then you bring in these numbers from early voting. The only consistency that you see is they are unbelievably inconsistent, and people now online are trying to sell you, hey, oh, this is what we can infer from these early voting dumps, or these early voting numbers. You absolutely can't, so if you don't want to watch the rest of this, none of it really means anything. That doesn't mean that there are anything outside of false claims being made and championed right now. So first, let's start with this Texas early voting. We are seeing, this is true, record numbers. Looking back real quick here at day one of early voting, records were set around the state. Dallas County reported 76,000 ballots cast, which is a record for their first day of early voting. Early voting in any election for them. Tarrant County across town had more than 50,000 ballots cast, which is more than the 2022 midterm first day of early voting, but less than the day one of early voting in 2024. Harris County, down south, Travis County and Bexar County, all three of them reporting record turnout for midterm early voting yesterday. So let me be clear about something. If someone can't distill something, if someone can't reduce them, people use a term that's, well, that's being reductive. If someone can't give you the takeaway simply, and then they can substantiate it. That's what we're trying to do. We give you, here's a takeaway, and then here's why. If someone can't give you the simple takeaway, it means they don't know. So then you go, okay, is there a simple takeaway? And then you can also see, is that honest or dishonest? So the simple takeaway from this is that Democrats are absolutely clearly in control. If you look online right now. Or, Republicans are going to win. You also look online, right? So which is it? That news report helped zero, and then you see these accounts that will definitively say, well, this gives us a very clear picture. It actually does, and it's time for Claim Truth. So to keep this simple, first claim. You'll see this out there online. If Republicans lose the early vote, it's over. That's the claim. Here's the truth. No. That's not what that means. So the most important thing to keep in mind here is if you look at the percent of voters who say they will vote early versus Election Day, with Democrats, 63% early versus 25% Election Day. Republican, 48% early versus 40% Election Day. Far more conservatives, Republicans are going to vote on Election Day. And again, early voting is much more inconsistent, especially as it relates to midterm. Anyone telling you that they can extrapolate data and give you a definitive conclusion right now, maybe they're not lying. They're just going out on a limb that they have no right to go out on right now. Here's the next claim that you'll see. That Democrat primary voters are dominating early voting. And this is a quote. It says, the fact that Democrat primary voters were for the first time a greater share of the first day voters and by a significant margin is not a good sign for MAGA. Here's the truth. This is really it's an accounting trick. So here's the thing. A ton of Democrat voters already existed in the state, but they were counted as unaffiliated politically. They weren't officially affiliated with a party. By the way, that same can be said for Republicans. I know because several times I've been one of them where I haven't been affiliated even if I vote. So those people who were unaffiliated in let's say the last election, they then had to become affiliated to vote in a primary. So we saw record participation in a primary in 2026, which doesn't typically happen this way in Texas. And so now those people are affiliated. So before that, you would have had just as many Democrats voting, but they just were unaffiliated. And now because of a primary, they've been affiliated. Right. A lot more people turned out for that because of who was running, too. There was a lot more interest in the race. Makes a lot of sense. Major takeaway. These aren't necessarily and they are very unlikely to be new Democrat voters. People people sort of I guess parroting this line. I don't want to name names, but some people know better and some people don't. Some people know better and they're just going to say this anyway. And that's because they want you to go. Oh, all is lost. Who really cares? It's going to be a blue wave. And you know what? If you actually tune in to some of these data analysts on legacy news, they're not even making those claims. The people who are making them online, they're just making them and hoping that they turn out to be right. And if not hoping that you forget about it by the time the next election rolls around. And it's some black people. It's not just people on the left that are doing this. That's where I've seen it mostly online. Exactly right. Here's the next claim that huge voter turnout is, you know, that automatically means doom for Republicans. This is right here. It's a quote. Holy smokes. Dallas County is already at 81.9% of its 2024 turnout and it's only 3 p.m. 2024 was a presidential election. Voters are coming out heavy this year. Not a good sign for ours. Here's the truth. This doesn't mean anything. No, it doesn't mean anything. So if you look at, if you use a historical example here, so like early voting, so Dallas County, Dallas early voting on the first day in 2024, well, it's up about 35%. Then you look at another very large, significant county. It's down 6% from 2024. And if you look at midterms early voting, it just, it goes up and down, up and down. And it's remarkably inconsistent, especially in comparison to national elections, because you get a lot of people who come out on election day. There are just too many variables at this point. To make any kind of an inference. Also, here's the other thing. Early voting. Oh, okay, so there are more early voters. Yeah, well, Dallas, for example, they're open for 33% longer. Hours longer. Some places have far more voting precincts, making it convenient. It's not the same exact layout that it was the last election. In other words, if you're in a county that's open for, let's say, 40% longer, and you have double the places to vote, well, that's going to change it. That isn't being taken into account, and so the data that people are playing with with, well, either they know this and they shouldn't be making these kinds of irresponsible conclusions or they don't know it, in which case they should shut up. You know, like Vivek. He should shut up with any more campaign ads. Every time he gets a chance at that, it's just worse. It just makes everything worse. And by the way, the comparison county that was down 6% had pretty much the same open locations, but it's also one of the strongest Republican counties out there. So it's a really good comparison to see. There's so much more going on than just, hey, we're showing up in droves. It's like, well, you had more polling locations, and they were open a lot longer. The people that didn't change are pretty much flatlined. And I don't want to say this because I can't say this definitively because we don't have all the numbers yet. But if you take some of these counties where they have a comparable number of voting locations and the same hours, it's within the margin of error as far as voting early. If you look at other counties where they have far more voting locations and they are open for far longer, well, you see an increase. That does seem to be a consistent trend. Yeah. Which you would expect. Not necessarily true across the board. Right. But you have outliers on both sides right now. So the main takeaway here is, look, we don't know. This really changes nothing at this moment in time. And again, at the end of the day, conservatives, Republicans, they outnumber Democrats on same-day voting by a significant margin. Right. And by the way, this just all seems to be propaganda right now. I would almost be happier if people wouldn't report any early voting results because everybody puts this on TV They try to spin something out of it and it Essentially, they're trying to get you to look at it and go, all is lost. I'm not even going to go vote. It's not even worth my time. This thing's over. Or the black pillars are going to be like, see, I told you so. Look at these numbers. And it doesn't mean anything. And they know it. Right. Well, if you believe, let me ask you this. Do you believe that polls can be used to direct as opposed to reflect public sentiment? We've heard that from you. And we agree, by the way. That's how they were off by huge, huge percentages in many national elections. If you believe that, doesn't it also stand to reason that people will do the same thing with early voting data? Yeah, that's exactly what you're saying. If it can be done with polls, it can be done with early voting data that is remarkably inconsistent. So let's grant all of this for the sake of argument. Does it change what you do? It shouldn't. This is one of those scenarios where you have to focus on what it is that is within your purview of responsibilities. And you know what that is? Go out and vote. I'm not going to tell you who to vote for. But if you vote Democrat, you get exactly what you deserve. And I will tell you, we try and do this differently. Obviously, we have some silly stuff. And we this is, you know, it's a comedy show. And then we also have found ourselves thrust into the position of having to be correct and legitimate. That's why we provide references for every single claim that we make. And on election night, it's easy for some people like, well, this is a this is a madhouse. And it is. But what have we done? We have a proprietary election map, by the way, where you can follow along real time data. We've paid for all the data and the news wires. The big boys have paid for and then some. We've added experts. We've added algorithms. We've added more data points that we can study. And we've called states in the past. And we have a guest list. And we have drinking games. We do all of the above. And we make sure that we are accurate. And we were the most accurate place in election coverage in twenty twenty four. It wasn't even close. The first place to call states. And I believe the presidency, the first place was right here, if I'm not mistaken. I think we were the first news kind of outlet or anybody like that. I think. Maybe it was Decision Desk HQ was like one A, one B for us. We did it almost simultaneously with them. I think it's who it was. But we called Georgia, Pennsylvania. We got the other ones. Yeah, exactly. Which is always weird. I'm like, how are they even making these calls when their their data is incomplete at that point, whereas we thought we had a pretty clear picture. So there's no other place that you need to go. Once upon a time, you tune into a podcast almost like a like a commentary while you had some other place up so you could have the accurate up to the minute results. Yeah, this is your one stop shop right here on Rumble 7:00 p.m. Eastern, and we will be streaming on YouTube with a very, very aggressive dump button during these midterm Rumble elections. Do we have are we going to show the thing? Yeah, I show the thing to everyone who has made this happen tonight. We appreciate you being proof of something greater than something that is going to reach far beyond what Mug Club ever could. You are watching the number one stream in the world right now. Here's the left playbook in this election. Class warfare, right? Character assassinate and they'll walk back woke. Just look at Mamdani and El Sayed. These people don't. Tallarico is as bad as it gets. This is the election last year. There's a lot that makes tonight difference. There's no reason to go to CNN, Fox News to see what's going on as far as the states. We are calling Georgia right now. Tell everybody for Donald Trump. We were the first ones to call Georgia before anyone on mainstream media. And we were confident in doing so because of the work we have here. And that work, by the way, only takes place because of Mug Club. We are now calling Pennsylvania for Donald Trump. Yeah. Have it a good time. This place tonight was the first place to call the race live on air. The first place to have the balls. I don't think they've done it. I don't even know if they've done it on these other ones. We have called Pennsylvania for Donald Trump. We have called Alaska. We have called Maine Second District. If we're right, Donald Trump is the president-elect. And we were right a toast. Shut up. Silly woman. It's an honor to be here with you tonight. What are your predictions? Steve Crowder, you know, he works out. Fact check, true. Every first Tuesday of the month is topless Tuesday. I told you it's going to get weird. OK. Yeah, you guys need to get out and vote. Do it. OK, quick little set up with this next story. I got this in the mail. This Texas Trans LGBTQ plus student resource guide. I got it yesterday and I was it was on my pile of mail and I was going to go through. I thought this might be interesting segment. Then it blew up online, but not necessarily for the reasons that you think. So before we get to that, some people will say, oh, the culture war issues. They use it as a pejorative. Everything is downstream from culture, to be clear. And to me, it's no small thing when there's an entire political party. We have a two party system. One of them wants to trans your kids. Something that you love that's not family or friends. I love and just say this because it's on my mind. The trans children thing I want us all to be aware of is that that modern science obviously recognizes that there are many more than two biological sexes. In fact, there are six. Well, who's your favorite drag queen? No, it doesn't. Oh, my God. Probably Alyssa Edwards. Alyssa Edwards. I love Marky Mays. Thank you so much. Trans girls. Girls are girls. God is non-binary. And as a former middle school teacher, I have a special place in my heart for LGBTQ youth. Because I say if one trans child dies to protect someone's damn trophy, this bill is grotesque. So a lot of misdeeds committed there. And I often go back to the Obama, the pay gap thing. I'll return to it. But first off, it's not, hey, does this affect more people than, say, the economy? That's not the point of this. How will a man govern or act legislatively who believes that there are six biological sexes, who believes that God is non-binary and that children can and should transition? How will that person govern? Now, multiply that by our house, by our Senate, by our institutions. That's what you will live with. That's the issue. The other thing that he does, there's one kid. The other kid dies. So your damn trophy. No, no, hold on a second. Hundreds, now thousands of women who've lost medals, scholarships, podium placements because someone decided last month, in many cases, that they are now a woman. The problem is the flagrant disregard for science while you use it as a crutch to control us, COVID. That's the problem with it. And then you ultimately find yourself at this pinnacle, this pinpoint question. Barack Obama said, that's not right, that women are making 77 cents in the dollar for every dollar a man makes. At that moment in time when he said it, even liberal classically leftist economists knew that it wasn't true. That number stems from one notorious now study that just compared average earnings of men and women. It didn't take into account hours work. It didn't take into account experience. It didn't take into account risk travel. So you have to ask yourself, OK, is Barack Obama so stupid that he doesn't know that? Not just him, but his entire consulting staff. Are they so stupid that they don't know this has already been debunked? Or do they know and does he know he's lying about it anyway? You have to ask that same question of Tallarico. Does he really believe that there are six biological sexes? Does he really believe that kids can transition? Or does he know that that is not so? And he's saying it anyway. That's a very common comment below. What do you think it is? With the 77 cents in the dollar, I know that they knew, you know, how and they didn't care anyway. Do you know how? Because his own administration debunked it. He got asked or not him, but his press secretary at the time got asked the question. I remember it specifically. I used to watch him every day at the press briefing saying, but your own administration put out figures that said it's not 77 cents. We have to go with this number. They knew. Right, because their own administration said that's not true. And I'll tell you this. I believe that most trans people themselves know. Let me make the case. There are six biological sexes. Now, what they're trying to do is say because of people who might be intersex or Kleinfelders, which is point zero one percent of population Earth. And by the way, most of them do not include themselves among the LGBTQ mafia, the Gestapo. They don't. So they use that as an example to say, therefore, me and Mumu is the same trans people themselves know it's not true. Tallarico campaigning on that platform knows that it's not true. That to me is a very scary thought. And like I've said many times, the left, they have to campaign as more moderate than they will govern. The right has to campaign as more conservative than they govern. Right. You're often disappointed because Republicans don't do things that are that conservative once they reach higher office. Democrats go radically left and they'll always say, no, no, no. I don't want to transition your kids. Right. Gavin Newsom. No, no, no, no. I don't believe in biological men and women's sports. You see Tallarico in his town hall. Oh, well, no, I don't believe in transitioning children unless it's for the safety and it's just like abortion. Safety means any kid who says, well, if I don't transition, I'm going to kill myself. Just like any woman who says it's hurting my mental health. That's the big umbrella term that brings us to this mailer that has gone out. Now, this went out and it was purportedly from this group, Transgender Student Union. And if you read it, it went to people in texas as i understand it specifically with students in the household kids students it instructed kids on how to find a safe adult provided information on how they could be emancipated from their parents how to get gender affirming care uh tried to introduce them to youth groups like the transgender education network of texas so all of this and it also even had a note in here that said even if your family doesn't accept you uh as you are groups like these i'm pointing to resources are ready to become your found family okay so there is a development turns out that tent the organization they're not affiliated with this uh turns out they didn't send it out okay and they were really upset about it and there's even a qr code where if you actually take a picture of this qr code now on this it'll take you to a url that says it's this isn't real okay but tent supports all of these policies just because that's why their their website as uh as of now is effectively down so this is a brilliant brilliant troll job and that it was sent out on behalf of this organization as i understand that this might have been formed by an llc in wyoming and the people who are heads of that organization have to go no no that wasn't sent out from us but but we but we do believe in taking kids away and transing them yeah even though that's not our flyer it looks exactly like a flyer we would put it in a flyer but it's not satire because these are just the actual talking points right so to give you an idea tent we pulled these from archives check the references by the way we'll make them available link in the description so you can check the references these are down as of now they might be back up by the time you watch this tent told students to find adult allies it reminded students that no one has the right to out them as trans to their parents it provided them with uh the ability to you know reach out to cps right to stonewall them in certain instances it guides students on obtaining access to their parents and it provides them with the ability to out of state gender care all of this all of this providing them with a pronoun guide so this is brilliant because it was sent to uh again households with students now i'll tell you this i've never seen more women red pilled because women don't tend to be as politically they vote more often they're not as politically informed those two data points are true and many women who i would speak with would go what's the trans thing and i go no no this is what's going on and once they actually had a situation where they had a daughter in school and a boy was in the bathroom they go whoa whoa whoa i i didn't know about this right so this is being sent directly to households across the country where a lot of mothers who've been trying to be empathetic read and go wait what emancipation what you could get out of state care wait what leave your family if we don't transition you and then the organization has to say well no no no that's not true and the mom goes okay so you don't support any of this we support all of it and this takes us back to truth does matter the left has to campaign as more moderate they have to hide who they truly are than they govern significantly further to the left whereas the right has to campaign as more conservative than they actually govern i've been saying it for years this is just exhibit 5452 guaranteed democrats they have to run as moderates to win elections republicans have to run as conservative as they can to win elections this is what you see with the left they have to be dishonest about their their positions because they've got to appeal to the abortion up until nine months and including birth period they've got to appeal to the green new deal crowd they've got to appeal to the crowd that turns off for example latino voters so the left on a national level they can't be authentic because you would authentically revile them and uh that's sorry cough do it um that's no small thing you know you people talk about the two-party system man and the system is broken i will tell you how i think the system is most broken is when you don't actually know what you're voting for that should be the before we talk about getting money out of what would you rather do get money out of politics meaning you know businesses shouldn't be allowed to donate or candidates should be required to actually govern the way that they've campaigned where you can't just swap it any other job can you give a resume you have a cover letter with qualifications and your abilities that you have in zero way shape or form or can you apply for a job and say yeah you know what i want to be uh i don't know i'll be a an hr person they go no actually i can't do that i want to be a coder actually i i can't do that i have no experience in it whatsoever so instead uh i'm going to be a janitor no you were hired for a job you should be hired based on not just the resume but the platform the legislation that you present that's what i think needs to be fixed because most of the frustration it doesn't come from well there's money it comes from well then these people will get into office and they're going to be in the office and they're influenced and they don't do what they said they would do how about we look at that as a way to fix a broken system yeah i mean the system being broken honestly is our fault it really does honestly come back down to us doesn't matter how much money is spent it matters that we don't spend enough time thinking and caring about the people that are going to set our laws and govern us but this is a great way in texas especially because talarico is such a pro lgbt guy and there's so many clips out there it's a great way to go you remember this issue this is not new information by the way this is not a new thing for you guys to think about but do you you thought you won and you thought it was over you thought it was cross the goal line and the game's over no you just push them back a little bit it just hit every single kitchen table in texas of people with children this is an issue that isn't going away this is still what they believe it's still what they want to enact did you forget that was a great way of reminding people that this fight will not stop yeah it is never going to be done it is only going to be pushed back further and further and if you black bill on this then it comes right back i think there should actually be liability and consequences okay this is your platform so just to be clear mr talarico will you transition children or no well i would but an instance even if they try and get instances of health okay define that all right we're going to hold you to it all right ken paxton will you raise property taxes or no okay you won't will you lower them okay and if they don't then you have an immediate equivalent to vote of no confidence or something like a runoff or they get swapped out there should be consequences people should fear campaigning with one platform and accomplishing another that needs to be fixed and no one's really proposed that have they yeah you have primaries and yeah you can vote but what about once they're in office you voted based on a lie and i will tell you that is far more egregious it is the actual modus operandi of the left it is their mo it's oh once we get to a general okay uh you know how you want to uh come out you know how you want to provide transgender uh affirming care for inmates the tax paradigm yeah we just have to do away with that they should be asked about it they should be forced to declare their stance on it and they should be held accountable that would fix the vast majority of the problems with voter dissatisfaction as far as being betrayed not as far as them being effective you'll still get gridlocked but as far as voting for a false bill of goods and i don't know why there's no movement to actually do that this brings us to the uh next topic and actually i didn't realize we're getting pretty close pretty close to uh to the wire here so if you are not yet a rumble premium member or mug club member they are one in the same i repeat myself and it's what allows us to do all of this whether it's the lawsuits undercover journalism the daily show the election stream you can join for nine dollars a month and you get to watch 100 more show every day plus the friday show you get everything ad free or join for the year it gives us more runway to plan it out and you get this wonderful og hand etched mug hand painted and uh once they go away the stock is gone can't just uh we could just make others but we're not i think we could yeah it's going to become a collector's item so here's a discussion it's halloween spooky and just to be clear i i understand this as a christian like one time in plattsburgh new york it was champlain mall and there was a spencer's right next to either a christmas store or a candle store but they were they were decorated for christmas and spencer's was still the absolute hellfire that was halloween and i was like oh one of these is nicer even though i like halloween i get it spencer's was a lot of fun though come on it was but it definitely was not age appropriate no and you it can go too far i understand it i understand the depravity it being you know too much too gory right i'm talking about in line with children halloween that's a separate conversation from should christians um not be allowed to but feel comfortable watching christmas and i'm talking about in line with children halloween that's a and i would say horror films but in this next clip you'll see ally beth stucky who's been on the show nice nice lady just wrong on a few takes because she lists horror and she puts a lot in the same basket and i think it warrants a discussion i just don't think it is at all an option for christians to not only fully participate in halloween and all of its darkness and scariness but i also just don't think that christians should be a fan of horror in general. Like, I don't think you should be reading books that make you scared. I don't think that you should be listening to true crime. I don't think you should be.