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Speaker 7Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Pilot Market. We are part of the volume podcast network. This is the show that makes the square sharper, makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I am joined as always by my co-host, my BFF, my companion, my compadre, professional bettor, Simon Hunter.
Speaker 8Hello, Simon. Chad, how we doing?
Speaker 7Dude, we're three and two in the contest this past week. As you know, I had a crazy weekend. I'm going to tell two stories from it. I think you're going to appreciate it. Not be happy about it, but appreciate one of them. I was going through the Philly airport yesterday afternoon, me and my wife. We were the only people in the security line. We get to the front. The guy checks my ID, shuffles us through. Then I hear him say, after I walk away, to the guy next to him, he goes, man, I swear to God this happened. Eagle's trading at 52% against the Panthers. I said to him, what are you looking at? He goes, I'm looking at Polymarket. He goes, I don't like it. I told him, well, I already bet the Panthers. He goes, well, you're getting a deal on that one. Later that day, my wife and I are waiting for the flight. I got one of those credit cards where you get the lounge access and stuff. We're in the American Airlines lounge and I'm sitting close enough to the front desk. This woman in the American Airlines outfit, tight blonde bun, looking very proper. And appropriate. I hear her say to her colleagues sitting next to her in this thick, thick Philly accent, one second, one second. They put one second on the clock. We lose that game. This was more than 24 hours later, Simon. And it was devastating to walk through that Philly airport and hear people still talking about that game.
Speaker 8It was, you had a chance to tell the guy the Panthers are a trap. I'm a chalk as hell betting the Panthers. And he didn't. That's all I heard from that story.
Speaker 7Didn't say that. We will get to that. He did look at me with disgust. I will say that. Like many Eagles fans are looking at Nick Sirianni right now.
Speaker 8All right. Great win by the Bears this week, Chad. Let's keep it moving.
Speaker 7Wow. I always forget like these things linger for you for so, these things. Anyway, I don't know
Speaker 8why you're taking joy in my Eagles being miserable now. What is the point of this story, Chad? Yes. It's horrible right now in Philadelphia. What are you doing? What is this?
Speaker 7Terrible. It's terrible. The Bears are terrible. I can feel it in all, I felt it in all of Philadelphia yesterday. This is our Tuesday NFL. It's rough. It's rough. This is our Tuesday NFL week six show. You will hear our Chad's choice. You will hear our Simon says we will review the entire season. Slate for our free $25,000 pro football pick them contest. Sign up sharper square dot the volume dot com. You can get our shows at sharper square on YouTube, subscribe and like this video while you are at it. You can follow us on Insta, TikTok X and subscribe to sharp or square on Apple pods, Spotify. Simon, before we get into it, I do want to give it up. For Benny Oliver from Nebraska, he emailed me last week with a proposition bet. Might've been my biggest, my biggest one of the weekend. He said, if the Huskers beat the Hoosiers outright, I have to go to Nebraska and buy 10 books for him and his friends. Even though quote, he said, I honestly don't know if our group can even read because we're such degenerates. If the Hoosiers won, he'd buy 10 books and donate the ones he can't find any friends to give to, as you know, Simon, I was in Columbus this weekend, Matt Mitchell. I want you to throw up this video right now. While this was happening, my kid, my kid's friend, they were in the middle of that mosh pit. This is where I watched IU pull out a last minute win against Nebraska. So I, I am not going to Nebraska to visit, visit Benny Oliver, but to his credit, uh, Benny emailed me, he's buying the books. He's going to donate to St. Jude's. I'm going to donate books on his behalf. Anybody who wants to join the book clubs, email sharp or square at the volume.com. You buy 10 books. You can donate books. I'll donate books on your behalf. I'll try. Get to your town or at least do a zoom with your book club or doing a bunch of these. Now it's been really fun. Uh, sharper square dot the volume.com. All right. Nice job, Benny. Yo, I love that his pitch turned into that Thursday night, but ball Seattle at Denver, Denver is now plus three. It moved from two and a half to three between sudden night, Sunday night show and Monday, uh, on the prediction markets, it's still a two and a half, but way more. More expensive to back Seattle. Broncos offense just looks terrible. First half this year, Denver scored 23 points total across five games. Simon in the fourth quarter, the average more than 10 points, 14, 14, 11, and 13 the past four weeks. I don't know, man. I know why the numbers move in because no one has any faith in what the Broncos can do on offense.
Speaker 8Yeah. Why did the books open this up? Minus two and a half. It's very, very bizarre move by the books where it's just who's back in the broncos anyone that bet the broncos last week like we did you feel like you got away with one and it's yeah it's gonna be hard to get those people back to the window to bet them again um but yeah three and a half now that's the way polymarket's gonna go that's that's gonna be the number to play i mean seattle great defense their road i mean they're great on the road has favorites we gave out you know all those mike mcdonald lines i mean obviously fell apart with washington but um you expect him to get the guys to bounce back now they've they've had some just bad games to start this year and it's really been about the quarterback play they're just getting turnovers right and um even in that game they you know as much love as we're giving purdy because of that last drive for most of that game they held him in check they just could not stop turning the ball over seattle so it's pretty simple right if they don't turn the ball over they'll probably be denver here i mean probably handedly even just look at that broncos offense how lost they look but um i'll ride with the books i guess i don't feel great about it but the fact that it's up three and a half that's where it's going in polymarket that's where i'll end up but if you want to pay the juice in the two and a half with seattle i can't fault you for it it's just i can see both sadra now why people are betting it but um i don't think it's a shock either either of us the professionals and the public just came in right away on seattle or just as bad as they've looked their their corrections are easy we're watching bone next back it just feels like there's so much wrong with the broncos offense right now so yeah really tricky tricky game to play where um it's going to be at three and a half i assume for most people when they see this or at three i i don't know how many people are replaying the broncos it just feels like it's going to be all seattle money come thursday night
Speaker 7seattle's been an interesting team the past two weeks they let the chargers back in it they had a shitload of penalties against the chargers they ended up with the backdoor cover last week what was it two fumbles inside the 10 another at the goal line san francisco's up eight and the charger and the seahawks still had a chance to cover that game mike evans just went and he's still got a chance to cover that game that was really the difference um seattle's just shooting themselves in the foot right now houston at versus jacksonville i say at it's really versus 9 30 eastern from london sunday morning very interesting game are the texans ascendant right now did we see some weaknesses and how the the eagles were able to limit the jags or was it just a matter of time until the jalen carter going off does any of it matter like are the are the jags just the more complete team than either the texans or the eagles at this point their pass rushers create havoc they're among the best in the league and scoring defense and stopping the run the only thing that the jags haven't been great at is keeping quarterbacks in check from throwing for a ton of passing yards but that doesn't matter the texans they can't really convert in the red zone because they don't have a rushing game it's likely going to three tickets are on the jags slightly more money on the jags at some point i want to be in the texans but i haven't gotten to that point yet i think i'm waiting for the number to move a little
Speaker 8bit yeah i thought last week was good for the jags they were just getting so much hype i mean you have people going on tv saying they're the best team in football where everyone laughs at them because it is such a stupid statement they have they've not earned a single thing especially trevor long to be considered the best team in football and um you saw it against the eagles their things are exposed still with this jaguars team like chad said you can pass on them they really as great as travis hunters looked overall the rest of the cornerbacks have still gotten beaten by i mean essentially a couple teams have beat them with backups so um i like the jacks just because it felt like they stole one last week right if there wasn't the new kickoff rules i mean we just we have all nfl history and data look back teams never win with seven or eight seconds left and now we've got weeks of it happening because the league has just changed so much with these kickoff rules and these kickers are so good so uh i mean we talked about last week that i was on the jaguars until i got above six and a half that's once i got to seven and a half for the eagles it was like okay now the values on the eagles even in that game you were like man this this jacks team they're not even gonna cover teasers they're gonna lose this game outright and they did cover the teaser which again we talked it's a miracle like that game anyone knows that bets teasers you're deader than dead with that minus one and a half and uh incredible incredible field goal so yeah the texans they might have looked better last week that game everything went right on the flip side x team where everything just felt like it was going wrong they just from the get-go right that kickoff return got called back on some holding penalty um and that could be something we're overlooking with this jacks team maybe we're not saying enough about the penalties like you said it's every week that feels like they're averaging 10 penalties a game and i mean even last night that the rams those game both sides of the game they're not saying enough about the penalties like you said it's 10 penalties each so maybe that's just the way the nfl is and we shouldn't overrate it but if the texans win this game it feels like it'll be just what we talk about this jacks team they're the better team but it's them having own sloppy mistakes making their own mistakes and uh two and a half i won't lie i'll i'm tempted here i can't help it it's under a field goal i'll take the joke i think they are just a better team but um we see the roadmap for houston right like you said jalen carter up the middle dominating you know they move around with will anderson they move all these guys in their positions they'll get theirs against trevor we know that right like they're especially some injuries the jags have had up front so um yeah a game where i i felt confident sunday night honestly we're looking at the lines and i was like oh that's that's gonna be a good number on that jaguars team now i am wavering a little bit where it's i i can see why there is houston love professionally because like chad said this was three now it's down to two and a half on most markets so um
Speaker 7interesting number line if the texans win this game they then have a stretch giants chargers browns colts so all of a sudden they've got a path to being a team that could be five and four you know i respect your friend
Speaker 8but i view all those teams the same as the texans you do yeah i know it's crazy but they're just their offensive line so bad the texans offense line is so bad they can't run the ball so if you can just cj he has been better this year but you've seen him i mean those games against good teams he did struggle and those guys all these teams you went through they're not great teams but there are teams that have have had success in the fourth quarter something you can't say about this houston team so i get what he's saying i agree they could easily flip this season around but it's also if i'm those other teams like if i'm a giants fan it's like well the texans are beautiful right it's like you can lie to yourself and say jamis as up and down as it is he's been against these teams and we've seen houston be able to be passed on so um i am like you i'm trying to adjust my view on the texans because i was just so high on that defense coming to this year and they did it last week but none of us none of us take cam ward serious so that's what's so hard i'm trying not to overreact the last week and you expect trevor lawrence to do what other teams have done pass well against this texas team so yeah it's
Speaker 7tough uh chicago at atlanta the the falcons are now three and a half point dogs you mentioned this on sunday night the bears at minus one and a half before the falcons ravens game i mean sunday night was a debacle for us and the falcons uh you had been betting the falcons at plus numbers and then short favorites um second game of the day for us along with the commanders that we are covering a game with a minute to go and end up losing in overtime michael penix looked just devastated on the bench during the game when tua has to come in because of what is some kind of injury to his side or his ribs status this week is uncertain are the bears getting tua in the exact right spot to bounce back from a packers drubbing are we getting a caleb to a matchup because caleb could be coming back he was questionable last week um at what point is the resistance on the bears falcons game yeah and
Speaker 8we're gonna have to wait and see what happens we're gonna have to wait and see what happens we're gonna have to wait and see what happens and just like me hit atlanta plus three and a half early and two and a half early because we talk all the time things have changed now these poly market i'm not limited to a thousand dollars per shop so hurt brutal like as soon as they got that two-pointer it's like oh god there's they're not even gonna cover this uh this field goal they're gonna lose by a touchdown aren't they in overtime and that's exactly what happened so yeah brutal for atlanta right their defense had done semi good the whole game and then just kind of got exhausted at the end there and fell apart and um i mean to uh we said he's finished right and there's there's nothing more this guy's finished than a guy who comes on the field throws a pick and then he so quickly jogged off the field ahead to the tunnel it was such a bad look of like this guy literally came in and feel like in his mind did his job and now he's jogging off the field like um i would just be so sick if i was a lanta fan right it's if pennix wasn't made out of glass they could be one of the better teams in football you've seen when he's playing well and they're doing well offensively he's they just need a quarterback they're just a team that's that's all that's missing there i mean the weapons they have offensively the scheme they run offensive the offensive line is great too for falcon so um yeah another line where three and a half if it's pennix maybe i can be talking to the falcons it's to it like you give me give me seven and a half maybe i can be talking to the falcons maybe i can be talking to the falcons maybe i can Maybe I'll think about the falcons this guy doesn't look like he can pick up first downs like maybe he'll have a fluky one off to drake london because drake london's so good but two is going to throw you 50 50 balls medicine balls all the horrible things you don't want over the middle constantly like he's just so inconsistent um yeah i i really can't believe that this number moved the way it did though because we don't know yet with caleb so now even if it is the backup i know badgen looked bad last week i still would still take them here um in more case keenum like it's just i don't think it's that big of a deal at this point so yeah if you can get two and a half at polymarket sure but if it is three and a half i i would wait to see if it what what the news is on caleb like if it's caleb i got no caleb versus two uh sure no problem taking them eyes three and a half but um this is if it is two uh this will definitely be the biggest one of the bigger public sides of the week on the bears right everyone expects the bears to bounce back it was just such a outlier game last week against green bay and you know we've seen this falcons team with penix they're a different team with a backup into it or rush they're not i mean they can't move the ball offensively we have the numbers through the first two weeks of the season so yeah brutal brutal
Speaker 7if you're a falcons fan yeah that when penix is on the one thing penix can't do or at least struggles with and this costs them in the game he has a really hard time with those short touch and it happened a few times in the game sometimes they get knocked down he doesn't get the right height on them or they're short he had that opportunity to convert late in the game with two minutes left to get it to bijan and just couldn't quite get enough distance on the pass falling back to bijan bijan catches that they're running for the first down the game's over and as soon as that happened i'm like we're gonna get snooped here that whole thing i think anybody who bet on the falcons saw that unfolding and they're like oh my god they're gonna get snooped exactly the way it did if you
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Speaker 7your plan simon baltimore at cleveland cleveland is currently a four and a half point underdog do you have something you'd like to say
Speaker 8simon says give me the browns plus
Speaker 7four and a half simon says presented by polymarket the cleveland browns trading at four and a half on polymarket i think it's around 51 percent tricky one i think it's priced because people expect lamar to be coming back i'm with you i want to bet the browns here it's the right spot we like the browns at home we like the browns when they're underdogs lamar is a different player in the aft in the afc north than he is say when he's playing outside the division what's your theory here
Speaker 8love the matchup right divisional foe and one team is coming off an incredible win having a great week where the browns they kind of let a game go they should have beat the jets and they just had so much bad luck that that's another reason how they really pop over my mind of okay people are gonna be super down on them they just just had bad luck right they had these random fumbles in this bad weather last week and um we talked about that browns line was just very fishy a trappy line last week against the jets general public is always going to overrate those kind of things right they're going to think well it is the same old browns they're just a bad team that kind of had a fluke run to start the season i don't think things have changed even in that game deshaun watson still had a chance in the fourth quarter to lead them down the field and win the game and i feel like we'll have the same opportunity once here again where the browns i think all year they're just gonna be in these tight games they're just a competitive team they don't have any give up and like chad said they are better at home like we just see they are better at home they're just going to be in these tight games they're just a competitive team they don't in front of those fans and we don't obviously know what the weather is supposed to be like yet like the northeast might have a bad low coming down that might bring a ton of weather from canada it might be really cold like this game could be in the 40s or 50s which is you know expected at this time of the year up by the great lakes but um i also think that would benefit them if it is a bad weather game this ravens team as much as you want to say they can push the ball downfield you saw with snoop right it was a lot of underneath stuff they once they got desperate they pushed on the ball more downfield but if it is snoop you expect more underneath and if it's lamar you now have lamar playing on a bad ankle so that's already one-dimensional lamar it's no longer lamar going to be breaking out running the ball up the field so that's another reason i kind of sneakily like the browns where i think people are going to be betting this one especially if lamar comes back i don't think they realize it's it's more running rushing back a little bit right it's not they love seeing snoop win that game but any competitive guy is going to see that game and be like man i that should have been me me i gotta get back on the field i gotta lead these guys so yeah i really like the browns here
Speaker 7at home they're surprisingly competitive and you're right about deshaun that game against the jets and we'll talk about the jets and the patriots the jets pass rush just went off it was sort of the best performance they had all season long david bailey was insane at the end of that game but there were a couple spots where deshaun just missed him and missed players and if he missed it was an ugly miserable game uh the the jets were lucky to get away with one the browns easily could have come out of that and been rated all of a sudden as one of the better records in the nfl or in the afc heading into this game with the with the ravens i need to tell you about this new prediction market called polymarket it's the best new way to trade in sports in the past if you wanted action on the game you put some money in and if your team was doing well and you wanted to get a huge fee but polymarket is a prediction market a stock exchange for sports where you can buy and sell on your teams i've tried them all and polymarket is simply the best prediction market they're so confident you'll never go back to the other guys they're giving you a free 25 in your first trade when you deposit just ten dollars and now they've launched a new feature squads a group chat where you can see what everyone is trading on check the link in the description to join my squad today and sweat picks together every sunday in the polymarket app so download the poly market app today and use sharp when you sign up that's sharp to get 25 dollars free after you deposit just ten dollars pittsburgh is visiting the tampa bay buccaneers the number is three it opened at two and a half simon do you know who has the most passing touchdowns in the nfl the past three weeks uh is
Speaker 8it is it not uh jared goff it's it's aaron rogers aaron rogers
Speaker 7has nine he's tied for fourth overall with ten goff leaves the nfl with 12. it's funny you look at the the stats for most touchdown passes and it's like jared goff with 12 joe burrow with 11 kirk cousins i think has 12 aaron rogers has 10 like all these guys who people have been out on in some respects you don't realize it from their team's records but the old timers coming out of nowhere and just slinging touchdown passes. You love the Steelers last week against Indy. It's a very chalky play to play the Steelers on the field. I like it. The Bucks run D has been top five across multiple metrics. Steelers rush offense. They do a lot of play action, but the Steelers rush offense has basically been middle of the pack during this run when Rodgers is going off. It's actually not as much as an edge as I thought it would be based on how the Steelers have been playing. It's going to be so chalky to play the Steelers here. But do I want to back Jalen Daniels again? That feels like I'm going to the well one time too many with this Tampa Bay Buccaneers team.
Speaker 8Yeah. And with, with what's funny about all those QB stats you gave out, it's just definitely just shows like that traditional pocket passer. That's it's dying, right? Like Joe Burrow is the odd man in that group. He's not an old man. Who's a pocket. I can't run, you know, Jared golf. He's not by no measure an old man, but he's never been a running quarterback. So yeah, that we saw it. Like I said, with the case kingdom came in, you saw that old breed, like case game, same age as Matthew Stafford, that old lineage that we had from the mid two thousands on of these, these pocket passers. It just looks different, right? It's we're a little nostalgic of it because the league has changed so much where, you know, we love it, right? We love these mobile quarterbacks, but these guys all want to pull it down so fast where you watch these guys, a Kirk, all these guys, they hang in there and they take those big hits because there is no running option. They're going to either pass this ball out to a guy in the flat and take a huge hit, or they're just going to eat the sack. They're just, it's definitely funny watching the older guys and Rogers this year does look better. Offense. Offensively. I mean, you've seen it play out where, you know, we've had a couple of games. You bet on him. He, he looked lost and they lost, but other games where these played well, he looks really confident and comfortable this often. So, um, so that game, a game out Sunday night where it's like, I'm going to take the box plus three. I think they're applying market there plus three and a half. Now they're down to two and a half of most shops now. So it's like, maybe I'm still going to give out the bucks later this week. I got to talk to other pros and see if people are still comfortable betting that number. Is this a trap? Game for Pittsburgh walking into this one. I mean, they had such an incredible win against the Colts, but I told you all the stats, like basically they just own the Colts. It doesn't matter who the Pittsburgh quarterback is and who the quarterback is over the Colts. It's just never a good matchup with the Colts and that travel. You saw that really affected them, right? That second half, the Colts just looked sluggish, sluggish, like playing after England, no bi-week on the road. It's tough. I mean, you saw that last week with them. It is a really tough scenario and Sam could be set for Washington. They looked, sluggish in that fourth quarter and they gave up all those yards, the giants. So it's Pittsburgh a little overrated right now. That's what we have to think. That's, that's my question here. I get why you're hesitant to back the bucks and these young quarterback, but I don't even think they played that perfect of a game against Dallas. I think they were just the better team, honestly, like they just Bucky Irving could run whenever he wanted, whenever they needed him to pick up third down, you know, Daniels was able to do that against the Cowboys. Steelers, the defense, obviously much better defense than Cowboys, but you've seen them struggle against mobile quarterbacks. So I get why the pros are betting the bucks again. So I'm just not shocked to see the public coming in heavy on the Steelers. If it stays two and a half and it's, we come in Sunday and it's 7% of the bets is on the Steelers. I think we'll both laugh and be like, okay, this is a Tampa number of Tampa spot. So yeah, I'm interested in what people do with this number. I wanted to get back up to three, three and a half. That's where I feel comfortable betting the bucks, but two and a half, I'll, I'll keep waiting.
Speaker 7All right. Thank you so much for being with us today. We'll see you next time. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. Bye. The, the previously mentioned New York jets are at the new England Patriots. The line is seven and a half. Patriots are favored by seven and a half. It's interesting number. The wise guys took the jets at seven and a half on Sunday night is moved down to seven, went back up to seven and a half. Pats are a huge, huge public side. And Drake may is on a heater right now, right? Like five. You know, I think he's got something like seven, eight touchdown passes the past two weeks. Five total touchdowns against the Raiders the other day, the jets pass rush, as I mentioned, really starting to get after it. And what's interesting is there was so much talk about the Patriots offensive line, the first couple of weeks of the year. And we were victims of sort of prejudice against this offensive line. Pass rush has been past protection has been really good. The past three weeks, they gave up six sacks. The first two, two weeks, only five, the past three, only two, the past two games could be one of the reasons why Drake, Drake may, may has been playing so much better. And Simon, AJ Brown has a quote chance and quote to return this week. It's very public to want to play the Patriots, but at some point, do they become the juggernaut that they were?
Speaker 8Yeah. And we talked to the Drake, may as a big favorite, it's been very profitable to people. So you can say it's a very public side, but it's also, I know pros who they follow and they only bet trends. They've been backing Drake may in this exact spot. And it's been very popular with them. So just looking at last year, then these two teams played, I want to say the jets were like a plus 13 or plus 14 dog. They lost like 42 to 10, like the Patriots absolute blew them out. And then the time they played before that, the same thing, the Patriots were like a 12 point favorite. Beat them 27, 13 or 27, 14. So I just remember those games last year, just because it was both same thing. We're trying to talk ourselves in the jets. And it's like, you don't want to get in front of the Patriots right now with Drake may last year. That's how it felt this year. I don't mind getting in front of the Patriots, right? Like, yeah, their defense played well, but you know, they had a bunch of injuries. Like, I mean, they had Campbell got knocked out of the game. I think Trevion Henderson got knocked out of the game and Drake for passing one rushing touchdown, whatever it was. He just incredible day by Drake may. So I do. I don't want to fade that. It's like, you expect them to have a let down here, but you're right. This, to me, this moved by another half point back up. Cause it's most likely Adrian Brown's coming back this week. So yeah, maybe I'll just do the same thing I did last week. A lot of those big favorites, just throw them in a teaser. It's just, well, the Patriots lose this game to the jets. I'd honestly be shocked. I just think, especially coaching matchup wise, Aaron Glenn is better this year, but it just feels like, you know, brave was just such a better coach. You'll just have these guys way more prepared in the sense that, Patriots know how to handle wins. The jets. I don't know how much they can handle success. Like that was a big win. Gina Smith's going to be feeling himself this week after that win, blah, blah, blah. It's, I don't know. I can see all this red flags with this jets team. And just the books are begging, begging, begging for jets money right now. Like Chad said, this got the seven off professional money went right back up seven half. And now it's just been sitting there for 24 hours. So we'll, we'll see on Thursday. Maybe I'll more depending on it, but right now as you sit here, I'm leaning more. Towards taking the Patriots side. I am taking the jets.
Speaker 7I'm glad to hear you say that. So am I, I do have a one question. I haven't seen anything about Christian Gonzalez yet. Will he be back? Because Gino has been semi successful and throwing the ball downfield. No update yet on Christian Gonzalez for this weekend. It didn't matter against the Raiders.
Speaker 8It was a game time decision though. Right? So maybe is that close, but you're right. I haven't seen anything yet this week to say he's going to play, but it's, if it's the type of deal where they, they know they're going to roll this jets team, it's more likely he doesn't play. Right. They'll just, they'll, they want to get them right. They don't want to keep rushing this kid back. So I think last week there may be a little more desperate because the Raiders were viewed as a better team. Maybe it's not the same with the jets.
Speaker 7All right. One more game before I get to my belittling New Orleans at the New York Giants. You went out on a limb on Sunday night. And after you named Tyler shock, your shame, shame, shame of the week that we should think about taking the New Orleans saints as one and a half point underdogs. The line is now flipped. We always like it. We can get, get on the underdog side before the flip. Why the move? Why are people coming in on the saints? Is it because it just can't get any worse than it did with way Tyler shock performed on Sunday?
Speaker 8A little bit of that, right? You're going from playing the best defense on football to a mid tier, lower level type of defense in this giants team. And I told you my biggest thing issue was shuck though. It doesn't make sense why he's not using his legs. Like I even went back and rewatched the tape. He had openings. He just was always trying to take the throw where it was. It was just bizarre where it's like, if they're blitzing you and the whole C's part up in the middle, you're one-on-one with a linebacker who's coming downhill of you. Usually you can make that guy either. Jump or whatever it is. I just, I just thought it was very bizarre that Shuck didn't have a single rush last week. And we've seen this giants team. He needs to use his legs. The giants as good as their defense is, they're terrible against mobile quarterbacks. I mean, like I still can't believe that came back in the game. So I think this line flip just because the giants as lucky as they've been, they're, they're not that, like I said, keep saying they're not that good. Like they've had injuries across the board. and they've just been very fortunate. You could say it's a hardball effect, right? They're winning these one-score games. were being competitive and i agree it's coaching does matter in those type those senses so um i was like dude i was shocked this number's flipped because most people i've talked to it's all giants bets it's all giants money so that was it wasn't me like i bet this for a penny some very smart group came in and bet heavy on that same side and every shop followed suit like everyone flipped so yeah interesting number to watch will the giants flip it back well like because it's just going to be i would be shocked any public better doesn't just hammer this giant side people just hate the saints now everyone including professionals are so bitter at this team because i told you it was just watching that game the vikings were begging for them to steal it i mean you're up seven six a half and your defense gets a defensive touchdown and the saints just like we said they're just a bad team so that's why i'm trying to talk myself out of it because every week i know we're gonna be getting value on the saints and i can't be sucked into it where it's like maybe there is no value maybe they're just a terrible team and shuck is not that good of a quarterback so it's it's a type of game where shuck if he is good he's a starter in this league you have to bounce back here so um yeah interesting to see though like chad said the blind flip and that's a lot of professional money i didn't realize that it flipped until we got on here because when i checked it really early this morning like 3am it was still uh saints as a dog so that's that's the last 12 hours that number's moved yeah if you own a small
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Speaker 9this is pat fitzmaurice i hope you enjoy this episode of the show which is sponsored by accredited debt relief accredited debt relief specializes in one thing helping you find a real workable solution to your debt dealing with debt can be exhausting they are here to step in and give you real options that will immediately lower your monthly payments and reduce the total amount of debt you owe if you're struggling you're not alone go to accrediteddebtrelief.com and in just two minutes you can sign up for a free consultation and take the first step to becoming
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Speaker 7boost mobile what's your plan carolina at philly carolina plus one and a half philly justice
Speaker 8welcome to philly
Speaker 7for the record when i told the guy i was betting the panthers at plus one and a half he looked at me with the same level of disgust that you have been looking at me and shouting me out since i mentioned this game on sunday night it's a bet most of the tickets are on the eagles right now are you saying the bet because it was such a bad loss are you saying it's a bet because it's a short dog that is the panthers where is the sucker coming in here yeah it it's
Speaker 8a game we're gonna come in sunday morning it's gonna be 90 of the bets 90 of the money is on carolina um you think so yeah it could move like the eagles maybe they get saquon barkley back and maybe i'll make people pause but um they don't have an eagles don't have an offensive line they don't they might not even have a head coach like there's just i can't see any reason why the general public come in and bet them on the flip side carolina has looked good this year their oc they hired has looked great i mean their offense has been really good like bryce young is really good they're coming off a bye week you guys are coming back from england i just talked yeah you saw two different teams look very sluggish in the fourth quarter so this is the type of game where i'll i'll join you on the panthers i'll bet them in a teaser or something like that but plus one and a half it's just summer should probably be three like the eagles they're supposed to win this game like this type of game where it's their season on the line carolina doesn't have that feel to them they're not going to be this desperate desperate team and i know people can say well that's overrated it's not you saw last week against the jaguars jaguars are a better team than eagles the eagles just are not healthy you saw how desperate how hard the eagles played especially that first half when jalen carter was playing out of his mind in that first half so we've seen this panthers defense man they're just they're bad they are a bad defense and they yes against detroit they got three and outs and that they got turnovers that's why they won that game um eagles they're just a bad second half team and all the numbers are so terrible potentially the worst second half team in his the history of the nfl i mean the underlying data is insane like in the last 20 years they're like the 800th rated team uh in the fourth quarter it's it's truly insane that's what hurts having a fourth quarter comeback and wins that's how bad it is with this team in the second half so panthers to me like i've been doing a lot of live betting it's another team where i've been doing a lot of the eagles eagles get out in these first half leads and you just bet the team that's playing against them in the second half i mean they just we've seen we're five games in they're horrible in the second half so maybe i'll get caught here but i'm gonna ride that trend all season until the eagles win three or four second halves in a row so carolina if you're worried about getting a bad number i think you can take a position here in live like eagles get up seven three whatever it is you take a position then a four and a half or three and a half on carolina like that's that to me is a safe bet on carolina so that's just my hesitation i don't think it's a bad bet we're saying with the panthers i said that on sunday night i thought this would be what happened the saints i thought this line would be panthers minus one and a half at this point right this would make sense i think even you know the fact that pros have held this eagles line at this point is actually shocking that there's enough professional money because like i like i talked about if you're betting the eagles and you're joe public respect to you i don't have the gut for it right now they're just they look so lost as a franchise well that's
Speaker 7what was shocking to me when i looked at all the numbers this morning and i was like oh i don't have the gut for it and i'm not going to bet on anything and i'm not going to bet on anything and i'm not going to bet on anything and we had sort of enough information from 24 to 36 hours of people coming in on these games i was surprised that the ticket count and the money count was still in favor of the eagles and to me the fact they're coming back from england and they're so injured and the panthers have just been sitting by resting and getting healthy there's the the desperation thing is a big deal you we saw it with the jags we saw it with the texans we saw it with the packers like those last two teams they needed to get right in those spots sometimes i think that the flip side is the panthers know they have an opportunity here i think they're starting to get a lot more confident they're starting to feel like they know who they are and that they can be competitive you don't want to lose that momentum either and that fuels you to make the extra effort you know we could argue are we in the kind of world where hate and fear i.e desperation is more powerful than optimism as a motivator but uh i'm very curious to see where this line ends up i'm on the panthers at plus one and a half so far for a taste like i
Speaker 8i i had to get up really early today my mom uh became an american citizen this morning no way yeah and um my uncle is there with me and we're talking he's a dire eagles fan and he's like same thing he's like talking about jumping off a bridge like losing his mind how how horrible it's been he's a season tickle he goes to every game for the last 30 years never misses a game and i talked to him about this line because he thinks we're gonna get rolled here by the panthers my i try to explain in the books what i do with my job it's always very telling where the eagles easily could have beat the rams right easily could have beat the jaguars what is is this line then? That's what I wanted him to say to himself. what is this line if that that holds true the eagles minus three minus three and a half against the panthers here and he's like yeah probably i said so that's what the line is supposed to be i'd say you have to view these things where right now the books are telling themselves the fact that it's not because they're going to get tons of everything you just said chad is true the laziest man ever that does zero research come sunday morning he knows that what we know too that eagles have just come back from london panthers are coming off a bye week so many people are simply going to just bet that because it is a real thing rested healthy all that so i totally agree with you that's what's throwing me for a loop here because it's like why why are the eagles not plus one and a half i just don't get it who who is hammering this eagle sign so yeah hopefully we get some more info on the sharp calls because i am perplexed by this number i thought i'd come in here and i'd get a nice number in the eagles and it's still like chad said i still can technically see why you would take the panthers right now it's it's a panthers number it's just do the teaser it's so much better to have seven and a half than anything else you're getting a great number because if it does flip then i wouldn't tell you to tease it once it goes through zero you're wasting time teasing it so um that's my view on it right now the
Speaker 7panthers tennessee and indy uh another bet i made on sunday night i really just made it because it was at six and a half i expected it to go to seven it is now seven i'm not denying it's risky daniel jones and cam ward are actually remarkably similar quarterbacks this year they are 30th and 31st in passing epa they are 29th and 30th in epa per dropback i was just playing the number i can't go out there and say yeah the the colts are seven points better and i would play the colts at seven i just wanted to get ahead of it get into a touchdown
Speaker 8totally fair like i i mean we keep it moving on this one i don't have a real read on it like i just i know i'm gonna end up just putting the colts in a teaser if i can just keep fate in this titans team they're just so bad i i don't know how much you watch the using houston gate because i know you were traveling and you're i watched all of it yeah like i just even watching them it just i never had fear they just look so lost to function so dysfunctional colts they're a good team they just have they've had a hard schedule they've played tough teams and it's just not broken their way so um i was really down on them this year because of daniel jones coming back from the achilles and you've seen that has affected him right he doesn't have as much power pat pushing off his back foot obviously his russian ability is taken away so you know been very lucky with some of my summer preseason picks like you know i feel like i'm very lucky in the vikings i feel like i'm very lucky we were against the chargers just because we were so high on the raiders and the chiefs same thing with the colts where i was just low on them because i love these match up here of like i assume most people will be taking the titans and maybe i'll end up taking the colts because it is a colts number but um yeah i had this model at seven and a half so technically it's a colts number but it's like you can hear my voice i have no confidence about in the colts i'll just take the money line or a teaser but yeah betting this seven it's just too many points
Speaker 7late afternoon games we got some tricky tricky games arizona at the rounds this number is now 13 and a half 13 and a half i mean look at arizona did not look good so you could argue that this is the spot we need to play a bad and this will come up again a bad team coming off of a blowout loss now they're in the division two touchdown underdogs to the rams the rams are desperate rams are two and three you know we talked about this going back to the preseason the best bet on the rams was the rams to miss the playoffs while everyone is betting the rams down to five to one to win the super bowl and the public is piling in on the super team you said it yourself bet the rams at plus 400 to miss the playoffs right now they're two and three so they're 13 and a half point favorites if you're just picking the number you have to bet the arizona cardinals here yeah and easily it
Speaker 8could be one and four like we talked about the eagles game they got very fortunate to steal yeah they should be one and four honestly and they've had bad luck where you could you could say well there's some of these other games they should have flipped right that bills game should have been theirs and i mean we joked all week i was working the phone lines and i'm working really hard to get any info i could from anyone on the bills because you you have these people in this profession that are professional bettors and they're professional bullshitters and these people are telling me he's got a bad knee they're telling me he's got a hurt shoulder josh josh they're telling me he's got a bad throwing shoulder and i am just i i don't see it i'm watching the tape i don't see it and the only thing i can take the only reason i was agreeing with them or believe what they're saying trying to look at more into is because the number didn't make sense why in the world was josh on a three-point dog to the rams
Speaker 7three and a half
Speaker 8yeah right right that's what i moved to but i couldn't believe he was even a three-point dog and i was like in my mind the biggest sucker in the world is going to be betting josh on and i was like it's that's what i was fighting with it's like why would you not put him in every teaser in the world why would you not pet the plus three it's literally free money and i don't again i'm not calling fake sharps you have these guys who are just they think they're so smart being like well i got info i got info there's an injury that's why i'm a genius right now yeah if you got the rams two and a half you got burned you should have hit that field goal whatever you want to say or there's so many ways that rams could have won that game i mean stafford threw for 400 yards three touchdowns no picks out of thing and he still lost that game so i get it right if you had two and a half i do feel free on the rams if you had rams minus three rams minus three and a half you you rely on your self the whole time you're you're simply only backing it because you're just you you thought you had info other people didn't get or it's like that historical data of these east coast teams traveling west for prime times games it was a terrible spot right but i just i can't remember how much we've overrated this rams team and how we continue every week to overrate them so aren't we supposed to just blindly bet the cardinals here yes teaser teaser the ramp sure no problem but it does number the cardinals they're back they all that's what they do they backdoor teams we know brissette's bad i'm sure they're back they're all they're back they're all they're all i mean someone had an amazing tweet since kyler murray's left this team brissette's been the starter they're like i don't know if they won a game or they won that one game against the chargers at the start of the year so they're one in whatever it is at this point one in 15 one in 16 since kyler's left arizona is a terrible team we get it but i don't know if the ramps deserve to get this many points i i really can't wait to see what the market does with this because um i could see the cardinals becoming a public dog as the week goes along potentially i think people have the same view we do it's just yeah the rams are a good team they could easily blow them out we have no questions about them offensively it's just can you stop or run up the middle of rams i don't know if you can i mean josh allen suppose he had a bad knee he ran for what was it 90 yards in that fourth quarter overtime like six carries for over 90 yards it's just it's hard to know right now this ramps team they just seem like they can't stop the run chad so the cardinals they look bad they look lost but this is the exact type of game jeremiah love or algeria has a great game for the cardinals and they're able to stay in and keep it close and if we just get one turnover by the rams if we just get one i feel like we could cover this number by the cardinals that's like that's when you get this big of a number you basically ask the rams to play a flawless game and that's that's exactly it yeah maybe the rams of november but the rams right now they don't look like that team so um yeah i was shocked to see the books hang this line it's it's i wanted to bet heavier into it and i was hoping it would be at 13 and a half and i feel like it was at 13 and just immediately got back down to 12 and a half so yeah this is a real game we actually might talk about playing on sunday because i just i think it's way too inflated for this rams team i'm looking
Speaker 7right now simon i'm seeing 13 and a half i want to make sure i'm not misrepresenting that um
Speaker 8oh no you're right it could be state to state because it's 12 and a half in jersey you're
Speaker 7right you're right i'm seeing mostly 12 and a half maybe i didn't update it before i got on the air because it was at 13 and a half and so it's moved down a little bit even at the 12 and a half you got to play it um i'm seeing 13 and a half and i'm seeing 13 and a half and i'm seeing 13 and a half um you're not wrong like you want to win by more than two touchdowns in the nfl you got to be flawless like the patriots were this past weekend like the packers were this past weekend a little bit like the lions were this past weekend like it is just not easy even the texans like it is not easy to do that and the cardinals can be a competitive team they do have talented players so yeah one run back one long run back by the cardinals and i'll all of a sudden you're going to be a rams backer who's watching that clock tick away with the cardinals down by thinking that 49ers 10 we were yeah we were dead enough for you better
Speaker 8than dead yeah and brissette our guy he just he doesn't give up he doesn't care he knows they're terrible and they let him play until there's two minutes left in the fourth quarter they don't care if they're losing by 21 percent we'll be out there slinging the ball so like you said detroit that's the only scenario that got detroit steamrolled the cardinals they didn't they didn't settle for three every time they drove the cardinals they didn't settle for three every time they drove the field i mean their head coach campbell's going for it on fourth and five when they're already up 14 like they're just i don't know if the rams are gonna be that psycho that aggressive they're just they know they just need to win here i don't know if they're in the mentality of we're good enough to just beat this team by 20 points right now so yeah i'm shocked that uh we're both in agreement we're both like the cardinals here if
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Speaker 9Slash iHeart. This is Pat Fitzmaurice. I hope you enjoy this episode of the show, which is sponsored by Accredited Debt Relief. Accredited Debt Relief specializes in one thing, helping you find a real workable solution to your debt. Dealing with debt can be exhausting. They are here to step in and give you real options that will immediately lower your debt. They are here to step in and give you real options that will immediately lower your monthly payments and reduce the total amount of debt you owe. If you're struggling, you're not alone. Go to AccreditedDebtRelief.com and in just two minutes you can sign up for a free consultation and take the first step to becoming debt-free.
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Speaker 7Buffalo at Las Vegas. The Raiders are five and a half point underdogs. Our man Matt Mitchell is living his best life right now. He is a Brewers fan. He is a Bills man. Yesterday he had the Brew Crew come back and beat the Dodgers. He had the Bills come back and beat the Rams. Buffalo Bills superstar.
Speaker 5Incredibly handsome quarterback.
Speaker 9I died in the womb.
Speaker 5Inveterate monster. Fires it into wide open.
Speaker 10Remarkable. Josh Allen. Goodness. ♪ Girl, nobody knows what I'd be without you ♪ ♪ Girl, nobody knows what I'd be without you ♪ And there he goes inside the ten, the five. Oh, the play of the year in the NFL. On toward the end zone. A laser beam.
Speaker 5Touchdown. Touchdown. Touchdown. Excuse me. Touchdown. Touchdown from Josh Allen. How can he possibly do this? It just is impossible. A strike. And the Bills are pouring it on. The Bills were unstoppable. Josh Allen setting records. Be good. Do good. God bless.
Speaker 10And
Speaker 5go Bills. ♪ God knows what he knows ♪ ♪ Baby ♪ Bills are not going on the road in Las Vegas. This is going to be Chad's choice. It has moved back to the NFL.
Speaker 8been so down to run the ball but we've seen a lot of their games just feel close right they're still figuring it out defensively like still have big holes defensively and this chargers team with all their injuries and everything terrible they never give up they never die right like that justin herbert he did lose in that game with his stupid turnovers but that's just the way he plays man he just goes so hard he doesn't care if he's got on his fourth or fifth receiver he's gonna he's gonna throw that guy 50 50 ball and it did not work last week for him at all so um yeah the books they basically have hit their their threshold they're like they're they're like at what point will this team cover because right they're gonna keep giving these free extra one or two points like this should be even with all the injuries probably should be a six point spread six and a half point spread so yeah we both know we're getting two points of value here i mean my model has to set five and a half even with all the injuries and if this wasn't a horrible team to charge this would be one of my bigger bets this week like three points of value divisional dog oh my god like this is a slam dunk but they're just i mean hardball's lost his mind some of the stuff they do doesn't make sense it's just the whole thing doesn't make sense right now with this chargers team so that's my hesitation here where it's just are we the suckers for taking the chargers where the chiefs are just such an easy side just bet the chiefs in a teaser don't even think about this game where i know come sunday morning we're going to be looking at this line it's like oh my god now it's up to nine and a half maybe ten how do we not play the chargers that's what sucks we're where is the resistance from the professional bettors uh we haven't hit it yet this number is just keep going up so eight and a half i want to bet it but i'm gonna try to be patient here it's like where is the threshold the pros will bet it so yeah another coward bet by me taking a teaser here but you're getting two and a half with my homes at home it just feels like a good number against a team that hasn't won a game yet this year so um we'll see this is uh this is tempting chad to take the chargers here i say we'd
Speaker 7be patient a lot more tickets and money coming in on the chiefs right now so the the books might have to move this up a little bit more even though even though there are professionals who are clearly trying to play the chargers right now uh the public is just gonna hammer hammer the chiefs sunday night football you mentioned this on uh our show sunday night dallas is visiting green bay green bay is a one and a half point favorite uh the direction is juiced i think to move towards the cowboys to make this maybe cowboys plus one could even get to plus a half micah parkins micah parsons not expected to play for the packers i think it's another reason why the line might be moving but it's definitely one of those wise guy games already even in the first 48 hours uh since week five ended
Speaker 8yeah and i hate i don't want to bet i said in the show i don't want to bet the cowboys because it feels like no matter what's a it's a coin flip type of game but it's just that's where the value is the cowboys are a better team on paper than the packers most guys are going to have them modeled as a better team and it's a nice spot technically for this cowboys team there's going to be i mean just see what the trends are going to point here when i talk to all these different trend bettors but i i just assumed that this was going to be an absolute hammer spot by the public on the packers i mean they just looked so good i mean i don't know i don't know i don't know if they're going to do this but they just looked so good i mean so good and the flip side everyone hates the cowboys i mean they're a joke we gave out that teaser they're the only leg that lost in that teaser i get right like it was just it's it's such a shocking loss i mean i'm i know guys who have won millions and millions of dollars in survivor pools and they were the dumb enough suckers to bet and take the cowboys in their survivor pools and i said on the show it's like i would have i would have taken them if it was a sunday game but we've just i've been in that spot before the cowboys on thursday night laying an egg at home and you know you could say what you want they just you can blame their defense i know it fall it's always going to fall on dak and ferguson having that ball balance off his face but you just it's shocking to let a first time first time starter in a second start undrafted rookie free agent coming to your house and just beat you like they beat up this cowboys team so i totally get why the public is totally off this team and no one's betting them but you just got to throw it out you can't overreact to the previous week and um match-up wise that's secondary of the packers you expect that to be advantage for this cowboys team and on the flip side i i don't who knows what's going on with um right now this cowboys team and their defense but i mean people are putting the stats out there it's like one of the worst historical defenses ever and then you match it up to last year they're not even they're not that much better than they were last year you think about all the moves jerry jones has made for this defense so i get it it's it's a game where maybe we'll make it one of our five we know it's it's the sharp size dick and the cowboys it's just they're they're undervalued right now and people just really are down on this team where um the packers are better than we gave them credit for but they're not that much better so i i don't think it's interesting where the tickets are all coming in on this green bay side but the money obviously is coming in pretty evenly on this packer's side so another line i can maybe be patient on but um i i don't think this one will go up to two two and a half on this cowboy side
Speaker 7actually if you look at it the the the tickets are pretty split but money is definitely on the cowboys um there's no there's no doubt about it it's definitely one of the more uh more wise guys sides you talk about sort of the discrepancies but it's definitely one of the more uh more wise guys sides you talk about sort of the discrepancies between tickets and money it's one of the few games where it's a little bit lopsided with the wise guys and the money on the cowboys last game monday night football washington commanders visiting the san francisco 49ers the niners are seven and a half point favorites brother talk about the highest of the high and the lowest of the low 49ers the niners are seven and a half point favorites brother talk about the highest of the low betting against brock purdy and the undefeated betting against brock purdy and the undefeated betting against brock purdy and the undefeated niners niners niners with nick bosa possibly coming back with nick bosa possibly coming back with nick bosa possibly coming back that would take that would take that would take some serious serious some serious serious some serious serious brass balls brass balls brass balls but we kind of got to consider it but we kind of got to consider it but we kind of got to consider it like in this scenario the the discrepancy like in this scenario the the discrepancy like in this scenario the the discrepancy between public perception in this game between public perception in this game between public perception in this game couldn't be any bigger couldn't be any bigger couldn't be any bigger and the niners just as easily as you and the niners just as easily as you and the niners just as easily as you said at the beginning of the show said at the beginning of the show said at the beginning of the show mike evans goes off in that last drive mike evans goes off in that last drive mike evans goes off in that last drive but they benefit from three like but they benefit from three like but they benefit from three like unprecedented turnovers inside the unprecedented turnovers inside the unprecedented turnovers inside the tenor at the goal line by the seahawks tenor at the goal line by the seahawks tenor at the goal line by the seahawks they get points i'm not saying the they get points i'm not saying the they get points i'm not saying the commanders have the same defense as the commanders have the same defense as the commanders have the same defense as the seahawks but seahawks but seahawks but the niners are benefiting from winning a the niners are benefiting from winning a the niners are benefiting from winning a huge game on the road where they got huge game on the road where they got huge game on the road where they got very very lucky very very lucky very very lucky i don't know how we we can't consider i don't know how we we can't consider i don't know how we we can't consider the commanders here
Speaker 8the commanders here the commanders here that's one thing giving me pause that's one thing giving me pause that's one thing giving me pause because what is this number why is this because what is this number why is this because what is this number why is this not six or five and a half i mean seven not six or five and a half i mean seven not six or five and a half i mean seven and a half and and and we've seen this washington team with we've seen this washington team with we've seen this washington team with jayden daniels are a very good offense jayden daniels are a very good offense jayden daniels are a very good offense yeah they move the ball they move the yeah they move the ball they move the yeah they move the ball they move the ball yeah so bizarre bizarre number and ball yeah so bizarre bizarre number and ball yeah so bizarre bizarre number and i'll go back to that trend that they i'll go back to that trend that they i'll go back to that trend that they kept reading off last night right kept reading off last night right kept reading off last night right the bills won and covered last night the the bills won and covered last night the the bills won and covered last night the previous 10 east coast teams to go west previous 10 east coast teams to go west previous 10 east coast teams to go west for a prime time game were 0 and 10 for a prime time game were 0 and 10 for a prime time game were 0 and 10 straight up and against the spread straight up and against the spread straight up and against the spread oh my god so that was another like i oh my god so that was another like i oh my god so that was another like i said trend betters that was another said trend betters that was another said trend betters that was another reason they liked the rams last night it reason they liked the rams last night it reason they liked the rams last night it was like was like I said at three and a half, your trend doesn't make, it didn't make sense. Same thing. It feels here. Your trend doesn't make sense now that it's seven and a half. I get what they're saying, but it feels like the books are building into this line, that exact trend. And they know, you know, people are going to be hammering the 49ers. They'll be in every money line teaser parlay for good reason, right? They're five and oh, this is the exact type of game they should lose outright. No one sees coming. Everyone's believes in them. Bizarre, bizarre number. That's my only hesitation here is I don't get the number. Like it's same thing with the bills. I would have hammered that bills line if it stayed at three. The fact that they were giving me a free hook, I couldn't believe it. Same thing with the commanders. Like it's just, I mean, we want to give all the respect we can to the 49ers because we've been wrong on them this year. Definitely with we've faded them in certain spots and they've won. I mean, last week in Seattle, that felt like a nice number two and a half on Seattle. It was done. You're never going to get that number. Like the 49ers were just so competitive. So in that game and John Lynch, I give a ton of crap to, he has drafted. Well, their D line has played so well, despite all the injuries, their secondaries, but really well, despite all the injuries. Yeah. Tough number here, Chad, because it's just, it feels way too easy to take commanders here. I just can't believe we're getting seven and a half. So I will interest you with the pros doing this one. Cause it just feels like early money right now. The pros are on the 49ers and I don't see it at this number. I get the trends. I told you that trend. It's, it's real, but my God, seven and a half for Jane Daniels offense. They're just, they're always going to be in this. Like he just, he's such a good quarterback, never loses hope. And they're coming off such an embarrassing loss or tie. My God, what are we missing here? This just feels too easy to take commanders.
Speaker 7I wonder if Matt Mitchell can look this up really quickly, but there was a conversation in the discord after the bills game last night that primetime underdogs, have won outright. I think the past eight games is that, can that be right? We know the bills won outright. We know the bucks won outright. I think you're on mute, buddy.
Speaker 8I was going to say off the top of my head, I know. that the rams played the giants in our prime time game and blew them out remember that they were like a seven and a half point favorite seven consecutive that's what matt mitchell did so that was the last time yeah the rams beat the giants and since then that's pretty crazy every dog's one outright
Speaker 7that's insane and when you just said the commanders could win this game outright it feels exactly like the game where the commanders could win this game outright
Speaker 8a dumb dumb trap spot that you never see coming where they've just now beat up you could say they've beaten four of the best seven teams nfl this 49ers team they've just been on a roll i mean you know the fact that they've just been dominating their division to start the season the hardest division of football with all these injuries and we talked coming here we were both very high in the 49ers we thought their value was the exact same as uh the seattle seahawks and the rams were just way too overrated blah blah blah but coming to the year it's once all those injuries happen it's like can the 49ers survive this and yeah brock purdy mvp talk cal shannon coach of the year because of it they've overcome so much adversity against such a hard schedule so um this just feels like an easy game to pick out they'll trip on themselves here so uh yeah i can't believe it's seven and a half i really
Speaker 7can't all right we got a lot to break down on thursday some really interesting opportunity simon says is the browns plus four and a half chad's choice is the five and a half could go quick because a lot of places moving to five prediction markets might already have it at four and a half but you can get a five and a half there are five and a half's available this has been sharp or square part of the volume podcast network we will be back on thursday with the games we are zeroing in on plus a survivor pick added battle brass ball so much more watch or listen on youtube it's sharper square like this video subscribe to the channel download some spotify apple pods wherever you get your pods rate review subscribe leave us five stars say whatever you want feedback is a gift until next time
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Speaker 9fitzmaurice i hope you enjoy this episode of the show which is sponsored by accredited debt relief accredited debt relief specializes in one thing helping you find a real workable solution to your debt dealing with debt can be exhausting they are here to step in and give you real options that will immediately lower your monthly payments and reduce the total amount of debt you owe if you're struggling you're not alone go to accrediteddebtrelief.com and in just two minutes you can sign up for a free consultation and take the first step to becoming debt
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