The Racing Previews podcast, hosted by Ben Cludes with Nick Mugolton and Will "Bot Alford," previews upcoming races: the Group 3 Missile Stakes at Randwick and the Travis Harrison Cup at Corfield Heaf Track. The hosts celebrate Will's four-year podcast anniversary with playful jokes. Nico addresses recent criticism, announcing a two-to-three-week break from the podcast multi due to poor form and online abuse, including threats and false rumors, which he firmly condemns as unacceptable behavior from anonymous trolls. They review last week's Flemington meeting, praising Touchdown’s strong sprint, Holy Man’s potential over longer distances, and Arco Frode’s third consecutive win, possibly targeting the Packenham Cup. Boone Tiam Boss won despite a whip protest, prompting a lengthy discussion on whip rules; they argue for significant financial fines for jockeys rather than disqualifications. Sassapil’s return win is deemed solid but unspectacular, with concerns about her final 600-meter speed. Additionally, they highlight a severe lane-one bias at Rosehill, where fence runners won far more than expected, explaining some beaten favorites. The episode blends race analysis, betting insights, and personal reflections on the pressures of public tipping.
[MUSIC] [MUSIC] Vincent gets him out now and here he comes. Denon Kingley gets up the rail, golden 60. They roar for their home town hero. He's a length player over Sally Os running on mother earth. It's golden 60. The locals can't beat him. The international's can't beat him. This is his house fortress golden 60. I'm a guesthouse bursting up the inside. Guesthouse moves up from music time. Strison guesthouse won the slip out guesthouse. Leeds strison photo third music time. Coying rising stoked up. Purtons says come on boy. Show the Aussies what you've got. Coying rising moved up to over past. Le from Jimmy star. The Coying rising champions do. What others can't. He's the world's best friend in home now. Saki joined by Animo who looks destiny in the face. At the 150, Animo takes the lead from Saki. Animo comes on the strike. The Sanimo clear. I've found the strike late. Animo holding on. Animo this time for the big A. But the Sanis from Animo come on a guard. Wings down the middle. Kings will dream of the 100 and getting desperate. Now Wings is storming home. Wings down the top. I just took on the car reader. I'm just another soul. Oh yeah. Get a listeners and welcome back to the Racing Previews podcast. We are fired up because we've got group three action from Ramwick this weekend. We've the group three missile stakes over 1200 meters. It sees the return of some very nice sprinters including the likes of Angel Capital, Ninja, Gangsta Granny, and Napoleonic. We've also got racing at the Corfield Heaf Track. This race day did belong to the Mooney Valley Racing Club. It's one of those transfer meetings and it features the Travis Harrison Cup. My name is Ben Cludes. I'm joined by Nick Mugolton, Will, the Bot Alford. Will, how are you mate? Good. This week marks four years since I joined the podcast. Well, there you go. Remember the first one was a Travis Harrison Cup down. It was an absolute fill up. Should we go back and listen to your first seven podcasts? No, I'm a little bit better at speaking than what I was then. You're a little bit better. Yeah, just not much but a little bit. And you're a little bit better on a night out as well. Slightly. Wow. He's still the same. How old were you? Well, I would have been 18. You would have been 18. And now you're actually 18. Are you 22 yet? You've just turned 22 recently. Yeah. And last week you had a bit of a birthday present. You had a very good day. Four or five winners at Flames Inn including a couple at Double Figure Price. Saturday was a good day. Oh my god, how did you go to Bot Alford? The Armagard was redirected from the Rosey or Randwick or wherever. The Armagard didn't stop him. No. He didn't stop on the way to pack him. It went straight to Bot Alford. Yeah, straight to the North and suburbs. Certainly not. Come to Packet. No, no Armagard. Well done mate. You're at a great tipping weekend. My Saturday was only a fair. I finished only narrowly in front on Saturday but then I gave it back with Stern Idol on Sunday. Nico, having had a much like in recent times, Adwi. Well, I dress the elephant in the room. Yeah, yourself. Yeah, mate. Calling him fat or something. As an expert. It's also a bit of weight. As an expert. Yeah, obviously the last couple of weeks hadn't gone to a plan. Yeah, so the Armagard is going to have a bit of a spell. I'm removing myself from the podcast multi for a couple of weeks. Wow. Sometimes it just proves Ben doesn't matter what sort of leadership role you play in your team. Sometimes you've just got to put the team first. And that's what I've got to do here. I've got to be a good team player and take a step back. So probably for the next two or three weeks it'll just be a Ben and Bot multi. Yeah. You were going to take, I know the Hunters don't want to hear this, but you were going to take touch down and then you change your mind. Yeah, well, it's just a second you won. It is seconding. I didn't think we were going to have a disgusting Rosalind Rounds in run completely by a strike. Yeah, that is what it is. And then yeah, we'll touch on Sunday. Sunday definitely didn't go how I would have liked it to split. I didn't have as an official selection on radio or really on the podcast. I sort of slowly mentioned it, but he hoesed up and then on Gatiti that pulled the wrong reign there. Unfortunately, he was well supported in betting and Stern never went any good. But yeah, with that, I wasn't I was thinking about having a couple of weeks off from the podcast because. Well, me copying hate on social media is nothing out of the ordinary. I'm big enough, ugly enough to handle that, but it went one step further on Sunday. And that's more so what I want to sort of stamp out like. Yeah, that's extra step further that was taken on Sundays is completely out of line. And I think that further has proved my point that if people had to put their actual information and their licenses and legal. Ties to social media accounts that wouldn't happen because not in nine times out of a hundred these people that. A cowards behind fake profiles are not brave enough to say it behind their real name and. And that's just is what it is like it you know, it doesn't affect me in the fact that you know I'm not going to be able to. I can process that and move past it, but the next person might have different ramifications from that and that's not okay. And then the day if you don't like someone's this is not just me. This is talking for anyone in the public space whether it be racing or sport. If you don't like what they've got to say or their information that they're trying to provide and you think they've got no fucking idea. Don't take it on board. No one's putting a gun to your head or forcing you to do anything with that information. You interpret that how you feel. You need to and if you don't think this person's got any idea rather than just pile on the height and extra other stuff that goes along with it. Just finally listen to it like yeah, I don't really care if someone likes me or someone doesn't like me, but yeah, for some of the stuff that I caught post Sunday that is just completely out of line. So yeah, I was still here. I'm still tipping. But yeah, I'll just have a couple of weeks off the podcast multi and refresh before we get into spring. But I'm yeah, I just sort of wanted to touch off that off the top. So yeah, no, I'll say it, mate. Yeah, I think it's some like some weeks were a bit unlucky. Sometimes you just see when you should have tagged and I've had a couple of bad weeks and there's no one that feels that more than me like I don't like. I don't like losing and I don't like other people losing. So yeah, and I think a lot of these a lot of these social media comments should come from people that have actually followed your tips in 100% and they can't handle the and they can't handle the loss. But look 99% of the people we made out on track. I'm brilliant. 100% it's just I'm talking about a very small 1% that will never made it the track because they won't be there. And yeah, there's a there's without pumping myself up. There's probably a fact of jealousy and and whatever that we're in a position and we've built ourselves a brand that we've got a platform and they don't. So it's easy to pile on because they know the likelihood is that you know, restrictively, I'm not really going to be able to say what I would like to say or what I would rather say to them because of the space that we're in and it just becomes that it just becomes an easy pile on effect because they know that. Yeah, they get to say what they want for no responsibility. So so in summary will close this chapter, but in summary, we don't mind if you bag us or like say you say we did a shit tip whatever we can deal with that but what a 100% And it goes a step further. It goes threats in the DMs. It becomes defamatory and you're making up false rumors. That's when that that's what goes too far. And I've had some vicious rumors made up about me in recent weeks as well and I read them and I just go what on earth are you talking about but they just get the big fat block button. Will what performances impressed you last week? Where did we race? We're at Flemington. Flemington, yes, we were there. Oh shit, you've got me off guard. You've written like a whole essay on this. You've done videos on it. I know. Touchdown was very good. Yeah, no, he was he was very good. Yes, they're right. Thank you for doing that for me. No, touchdown was excellent. They didn't have the pressure the podcast. Well, he might have lost it. He did get the perfect run, but he was pretty well. Well, I think I think he could have been even better because they they went. It was it was an interesting race where they the pace to the I think the 1200 of 1000 was quite. It wasn't as slow as you know, if you go on your two 600 from 600s, it'll say the pace was slow, but if you look closer into the section also that the 1200 I think the pace was reasonable like it wasn't it wasn't fast. It was just below bench mark and then from the 12 to about the six, they just backed it right off. It was about seven or eight lengths slower than the what is typical for that great race over a mile at Flemington. So yeah, he sprinted really well. I think I think.
as well that sprinting and being quick is not necessarily touchdowns go. I think he's a horse that will be much better over 2,000 meters in time. Yeah, so just sitting sprint aren't necessarily his MO and for him to put a couple of lengths into a reasonably stagnant field in that grade is really good and holy man, holy man, chocolates. Forgive. Yeah, I think she's just looking for a mile and a half now. I think I saw that they had even targets for my one cup, which might be a little bit ambitious, but at least they're conscious of the fact that she needs a mile and a half and hurry, carry out of the same race, sprinted really well first up and can be kept in the back of minds moving forward. Yeah, I'll speed it up. The Arco Frode is now on three in a row at the mile and a half. He's going to be spelled now. What races? Oh, is he? Okay. What races do you think he could come back to and possibly win later in spring? Well, I don't know. Maybe like a pack of them cup. Oh, something like that would potentially be. That's a great chair. Yeah, a pack of them cup for the Arco Frode because he's a really nice horse. I think the anniversary of the cup is here. I think it's the hundred and fifty years running or something. Yeah, right. Yeah, really nice horse. He sort of had a year off on the sidelines with injuries. He's still a four year old. It says he's five, but he's northern hemisphere bread, of course. The tick that he's handled better, better going now. He's handled both like he was a bit of a wedded at the start of the preparation, but he's been out of handle better going. So that's just going to further. What about what about Blake? She in first ride back. Yeah, that was bangs it outside lead. That was unbelievable and helps that you back to net and all that's all those sorts of things, but he just looks like he was locked back right in where he was and it was very good. But also on on on Yaku, if I'd he he's still really never seen a race run quickly. So he might be still much, much better and he's and what he's doing now is just beating this staying opposition for speed and he might be able to improve once more once he gets into a race that actually becomes a test of endurance. Yeah. Santa Barbara just went down to El Montago in the second race and cost me my roughy selection and cost me over four figures which killed. But yeah, it was the two horses that were scratched from Jolong on Friday that ran one to in this race. Yeah, she's a nice horse. She's by in good health, I think was, yeah, mum and she I think she if I'm not mistaken, she was a horse that we've got over two thousand seventeen hundred meters of core food. She was a nice horse by snitzel. You'd think she probably gets over fourteen maybe even a mile could be a thousand guinea's filly potentially. Not sure. But she yeah, she's a nice nice filly. The winners useful assume they go to the vein. I think you probably be twenty thirty to one in the vein. He's probably not good enough to win it. But he's he won well and that's that. And the other one to touch on is probably the class horse in Sassapil. She ended up starting a dollar thirty five. Would you believe it with a couple scratchings. Run Harry, run ten commandments and Dutch assou came out. She controlled the tempo of rise rise at dawn just outside her and they ran the one too clearly. Yeah, it was a good rather than great return. She won well, she controlled the race, led and did all that she needed to do. But wasn't anything we've not seen from before, it was it was a good win. But it's interesting note that she was the slowest of the six to race over the last six hundred meters. Which you know, I'm not saying it's concerned, but it could be a perceiver's maybe a concern. Maybe I don't know. Could just be a conditioning thing. Maybe that's it. And she wasn't really asked for a proper effort until she was probably at the four hundred meters was when the pace really went on. But I look, I'm from a perspective of a tour act or the sort of races that they're going ahead towards. I thought that it wasn't like I'm just going to jump out of trees to back you in everything. It was just like, okay, you've returned well, but you're not sort of you haven't improved leaps and bounds. I don't know. I could be wrong. She could improve. But I'd say from a betting perspective, I'd say very confident that I'm probably going to be betting against her next time if she, um, if there's anything capable of betting her. Yeah. And the other one was the Irish stay in the cat, which was taken out by Boone Tiam Boss at a nice price around the $13 mark. I play footy on a Saturday, but my spies in the chat told me you tip this horse as the barriers were released and a few boys in the chat weren't happy. Yeah, I didn't go on the podcast. I didn't, because I did get drifted, it was a bit, I opened $5 or thereabouts on Wednesday. We jumped 20 to one. So you had an even better day than the podcast recap would have identified. Yeah, I backed down. I backed down boss as well. Absolutely. But because I'm watching on the racing.com feed for work and it's about 30 seconds behind. So you can't be doing that. Because I just forget, like I'm just, I'm just, I'm just minding my own business and I'm just betting away. And then I took the bet and I'm pressing. What up with War Machine? He got, we went straight through the barriers. He went straight through the barriers, dropped Blake Shin. Yeah, I was a hardy mouth. And he was, he was off the map. Two minutes. Two minutes first day back. This horse has been 360 in the 260. What is that 260? I'll back to maturity. We didn't start just another way. We will never know. But the way that the market went, it looked like he was the way like you can't tell me that he's not a bit awesome. But he boomed down boss and the way the race eventually. They didn't even go to any outside. They sort of came up the middle. The way the race eventually. I think if he was there, he could have been half-fit and he's the one that he would have absolutely done. Loan them to smith them to smith them. So, you know, brother losing by a neck is already cost me a winning weekend. And if War Machine had a one, then that has cost me a winning weekend as well. Lucky he didn't back it all in. True. I was almost going to take four dollars all in. I ended up getting 380 final field. The whip protest. So, Daniel Moore has used the whip. I think twice more than he was meant to before the 100 metre mark on boomed down boss Royal Intinua runs second beaten about a neck. The protest goes on. This needs to stop. This rule needs to be changed because. Yeah, we'll just get rid of it completely because they're never going to, they're never going to uphold a protest. I think this right. I think my view on the whip. The whole whip rule, like we'll quickly revisit this. The whole whip rule is ridiculous to begin with because it's all about perception. But the last 100 metres, when everyone's watching the race, they can plug it. They can plug it. They can plug it. So, what's, who are you bowing down to here? I don't know, but I do agree with you to a large extent. I think my view on it has softened a little bit that we don't want. Jockey's just absolutely flogging the horses from the 400 and leaping them 30 times like they used to in the 70s. There's just so many holes though because you've got the same amount of strikes and a thousand metre races, you do a two-month race. But the thing is, if you run second and you're protesting, you're lodging a protest for the whip rule against first. It is never, ever going to be uphold and no one can convince me otherwise because Daniel Moore just gets in the studio room and says, the margin I gained from those couple extra strikes is unquantifiable and you can't argue with that. Yeah, I mean, it has, like this has been done to death. But some people online are saying, "Oh, one whip over should be half a length, some are saying point two of a length." Well, you know how you stop it? You financially really hurt the jockey by doing it. You find them 25,000 or 50,000. Oh, that's not going to happen. No, but I'm saying you want, you want it to stop. You give them a serious financial burden. It should be a percentage of the prize money based on what they want. Yeah, but I still don't. I think it's really 50,000. It's no different with a football. If you had harsh financial penalties, things would stop in the sport. They would stop. I can guarantee you because they would think twice about it. I don't know what they might do with one split accident, but they won't do it twice. I don't think you can just straight out disqualify the winning horse because you don't want. It's not the owner's connection. And it's also the punnets. You can't just penalise the punnets because the jockey used the whip one more time and I'll say your horse is bolted in by two lengths and they use the whip one more time. It's still the deserving winner. So you can't penalise the punter or the owners, but something's got to change in that regard. You punish them hard financially, it'll stop. Maybe it's 20% or 25% of the winnings earned by the jockey should be the fine. But yeah, it seems to be when the money's on, when the bigger prize money races is on, this sort of thing happens a lot more. So you can't tell me the jockey don't have some idea of what's going on out there. Rose Hill, the lane bias last week, but I know you don't really bet and see it near, but it was some of the worst that we've seen in recent times. And I want to get up a quick tweet by Daniel Lursullivan who Daniel is a very measured sort of person. But this is what he found out about the Rose Hill Track Parton last week and lane one. So fence in run. 17 winners versus nine and a half expected. So 7.5 winners more than expected. One on lane one. And this is from the two meetings 27th of July and the first of August and lane two plus three winners from 10.5 expected minus seven and a half. So that just shows you just how biased the rails in run position has been the last couple meetings at Rose Hill. I just wanted to point that out because there are a couple favorites that went under last week for four really popular ones. Thanks Ben for the reminder. And none of them were rails in run which I think it
is worthy of forgive for some of those for sure. - I'll call on this or bounce back next time and we can. 100%. - Yeah. - Let's help the punters now, doesn't it? - The only, back on not to bring Nico's comments up earlier, but I just wanted to clarify one more thing. - It was my fault they didn't find ralsy in run. - Yeah, I know, for sure. But we've, we've, some of the social media commentary, we've been copying a bit of backlash that we are sellouts 'cause we've now signed on with the bet-tricks file. - That's what I was saying. (laughing) - However, I would, I would love to have, I would love to, I would love for us to be getting what is perceived by the punters. - I just, I just want bet-tricks file 'cause I can assure you it ain't. - I just want to clarify one thing. We are paid a weekly fee for the podcast that we put out by bet-tricks file. We have no other incentives. We don't, we don't get any money for people betting with bet-tricks file or signing up to bet-tricks file or using air promotions. - And when this bet-tricks file podcast multi gets beat, it hurts Ben and I. - It hurts. - It is, it hurts. - It hurts. And when the punters have had a good day, it usually means I've had a good day, and when the punters have had a bad day, usually it means I've had a bad day. Even though I'm a bookie representative working with bet-tricks file. But yes, we get a single fee per podcast from bet-tricks file, and it is far from life changing money. I just wanted to point that out. - And just addressing the podcast multi. So I've got the stats here. So say you've had a flat stake of $100 every week with about eight weeks of the podcast multi. - Yeah, it's one twice. - It's one twice, depending on what odds you got the first week, whether it have been $7.31 or $9.20 'cause it was that glitch in the system. - Yep. - And then week number four one, hello captain, a big red tequila. So you've bet 800, you've either collected 1143 or 1332, so at this point in time. - So let's just average it out and say the average person's up $400. If you put $100 on it every week, and they've hit 24% of the time. So 800 spend and around $1200 on average is the return. So that is. - And we've had multi odds of between $7 to $9, $8, $16, $4, just shy of $8, just better than $7, $8 and $6. - Yep, that's winning. - So. - Last piece of news, likely MEMSY field, I just wanna quickly run through these. The first group, one of the Victorian racing season is coming up on the 29th of August. And this is some of the names that are in the likely field so far. I think there's nine of them. Mr. Brightside, Jimmy Star, she's a la by Treasure the Moment, Angel Capital, Cosmic Crusader, Buccaroo, Tom Kitten, and evaporate. So it looks a cracking race. I know some people are saying it's the race of the spring, but these early races are never the race of the spring because there's not a lot of intent with some of them. The tempos are usually a bit slow. And they're not. Let's be honest, the horses are not absolutely up their best, but it'll be a good contest nonetheless. - Yeah, it's gonna be a great race. I can't wait to back Angel Capital on those. - Yeah, don't take even money right now. She's a la by all in, just wait punters. That's just ridiculous price right now. - Hmm. - All right, let's get into this week. Corfield Heavtruck, we don't get many Saturday meetings at all will on this Corfield truck. What can you tell us about it? Where's the rail and what wind are we expecting on Saturday? - I see how the trucks have been planned. We should have more Corfield Heavt meetings. - Well, that's all so true. Rail's out three meters. There's a strong 25 to 35 kilometer normally wind going in their faces out of the shoot, which will obviously affect. It's gonna be a headwind, obviously. So leading might not be such an advantage, especially over the 1,000 to 1,200 meter races there at Corfield on Saturday. - Beautiful, and it's currently a soft six. We've had some rain tonight in Melbourne, but it does look like clear, but cool conditions over the next couple of days. It'll either be a soft five or a soft six on Saturday, I would imagine. Let's get into race number one. And what I will say about about three six five promos is it is our races one to six yet again on the Corfield Heavt truck and Ramwick, where we'll have the 25% winnings plus boost. Race one, it's 1,200 meters, and this is for the three year olds. Stakes is our four dollar favorit out from $3.80. Commit, four dollars 80. Did have some good support early days. Leopard shark 650. VALUS is $6.50 as well, and Richon Bubbles is on return at $8.50. Will, you think this second favorite can topple the favorit? Yeah, I think Commit should be favorite. Was beaten by the very exciting and Cox plate nominated American Eagle the last time it's sand down. That race rated really, really well. I think that'll be a strong form reference moving forward in the coming weeks. It's what we've already seen it. There was a fairly crown of fire it might have been. She was fourth, I think that day, and then we went up to Canterbury or something, 12, 100 meters up to 1550, and one really well there was supported. That's going to be a really good form as moving forward. I think American Eagle, out of the exposed form, we're thinking about for a Corpio Guinness perspective, now of horses that are unexposed. I'd say American Eagle might even be like one of the top seeds for the Corpio Guinness, because I think he's a really, really good disAmerican eagle. And commit was taken back from a wide barrier there. Can go forward. Sorry, can go forward here. I think it just has to be fair. I think it starts favorite. Stakes was good last time with that being great. I think commit is the rating last time was really good. And I've seen a reason why it should be fair. Beautiful, I'm happy to follow you in there. I did think Stakes was quite a good run last time after being slow away and now gets the blinkers on, but commit, that's definitely coming through a higher rating race. And it'd be interesting to see where they go. Often horse comes through as well. You used to nice horse as well. The winner and commit. Race number two, we move on. It's 1,500 meters and Saltix is our $2.50 favorite. He's over botanical boy $4.20. Stace Island 650 from Zebrafinch in half a point. Zebrafinch have a jockey, not yet. If it does run, it is on the six day backup. George get mad $12 and I've been trying $15. Nico, let's get you involved here, because you do like Saltix in this benchmark. Everything, a horse who has been brilliant last two, he just fell short to one better. Yeah, he's been a very good rich rain of form Saltix. My only sort of query on him is just deep into a preparation with pricing, Kent. A lot of their horses can sort of peel out a little bit as they get deeper in the preparation. That's my only knock, but they are very good conditioners of horses. You would have thought if the horse is turning up here on race day that he's a-ok, ready to go. He looks a fantastic bet. Should find a good position. I just thought it was a very good placement from the team. I didn't think it had to be too creative or too clever to think he was a good bet and probably close to it or even money chance. So I was sort of happy to have something on him. Beautiful. But who's your favourite Saltix player? I don't know. Jason Tatum, I can't- We did it. Unpopular opinion, but the Saltix got rid of their best player in the off season. Jason Tatum is not the best player. Well, he's the other best player on the Saltix team, but give me Jaylen Brown over Jason Tatum. I'd say Jaylen Brown. Oh, OK. Anyway, what question would you notice? Saltix, I think, is deserving of favouritism. Two really nice consecutive figures. Have I marked it? $2.60. Two really good figures at Corefield on the outer track, obviously, over 400 metres. Goes up to 1,500 metres. I sort of long thought he was better than rated at racing over sprint trips. And then I think I backed him one day. It was other at Corefield or Flemington. And then he was scratched the barriers. He was playing off a bit, so I was happy that he was scratched. But the market really pushed into him that day as well. So I think there's always been an idea that he was a little bit better than he had been. And then the last two ratings have confirmed that idea. And he'll obviously map really well just behind a good enough speed. I think he's the obvious one. A botanical boy, I think it's the second favourite, is second up. Draw is awkward, I think, for it. I think it's probably going to be midfield worse than midfield on the fence. And I'm a little bit concerned about it only second up. I think it'll improve as it gets deeper into the preparation. And another one I want to have something just something small on is Zureyn who raced while we're without cover at Flemington in a race where the pace was fast. And that was a disadvantage last week. It's on the quick backup, obviously. And I think it can quickly improve. It's a-- it used to be in the Qatar colors, the summer period. You're in a half a going out. It was a-- had run some nice figures behind the locks of Zappo and I know it's lots of horses. So if it recaps you, it's best I think it's more than capable of being competitive and aracelyce. What'd you make as every Finches win that Saniano on Sunday? I thought it was good. It was a four-horse field. But I think prices with our friends--
- 650. - 650 with our friends. I think that's just much too short. - You like not allowed to say about 365 or something? - No, just like saying our friends. - With our friends. I'm a Celtics on top. I think this will also be. - Party horse. - He couldn't have drawn better in barrier five. I'll tell you that. Lucky Nwandoff takes the reins. I think the last two ratings really do stick out. If he runs to those, he's clearly your winner. It's just a matter of whether he can hold his form. He's gonna get the beautiful map from that nice gate. And yeah, stays at the call, food 4,400. There's just so many ticks. It's just a matter of whether you can repeat the performance. I do think Botanical Boy will improve getting off a heavy track first up to better ground. But he's probably got just a little bit to find on Celtics and he might not be doing it just yet second up. Race three, we move on and this is our benchmark 100, 1,000 meter sprints. This is a very interesting race. It's got speed on speed. Cavry Girl $2.70 in favour from Buzzball Rewarded 460. Stock A is $5. Last scene winning on Oakstay. - Come at that. - Right Magniria. - Thanks. I do remember that. Beast mode $7.50, but take note punters. This horse is duel accepted in Sydney and it's got Jay Mack on in Sydney. It may go there and along the river is $9. Nico, Cavry Girl, she has had a very, very good preparation. I think you wanted to be on. Yeah, I just thought coming out of a listed race last time when she was fairly dominant over in Adelaide. I thought she brought the best form here. Maps to get a relatively good run. I don't think she's one-dimensional. She doesn't have to lead. There is a bit of a lot of speed in this race, but it is 1,000 meter race, of course, her speed. But yeah, from Barrier 5, I would hope that Linda just, if it's too frantic, she just takes a slight pull and she's in behind and yeah, I'd actually be excited to see Cavry Girl ridden that way. And yeah, I sort of thought with 53 kilos, she's going to be awfully hard to bet around the heath. Up on speed, I'll just slightly behind it. I think around that sort of $3 mark is going to be a nice wager. So yeah, I was keen to have something on. - Yeah, I think she's definitely the rightful favorite, but two horses that do peak my interest early, a stocka at $5 last time we saw this man, she was beating Ray Magnirio, albeit that horse was unlucky. Over the cup carnival, she has had 272 days off, but her two jumpouts leading into this have been awesome. She's one for one at the core field heat. She's three from four, more importantly, with Blake Sheen on board. And I think just the way this race sets up, we've the normally winning their face. - That's three from four fresh. - Yeah, and three from four fresh. With lots of go forward horses here, I think it does set up for horse who'll just be able to suck in behind that main leading division, get a little bit of cover from the wind and come down the outside. And it might be her at a decent price. She's got a carry of the 57.5, but she's earned the weight. And the other one who's worth just a small ticket on the back up is along the river. This eight-road has no upside whatsoever, but he's been a pretty good horse. His ratings are decent. And he won't know himself with 51 kilos after Ryan Houston's claim. This is a horse who, in these benchmarks, 78s and 84s, usually is carrying 61 kilos, which is what he carried. Last week, barrier eight is your concern. You probably have to concede and go back. However, I think he's worth a small play. You'll get double figures at some stage. Will? - I backed Stockade at second, ever start after it won at Mount Gambia over 900 meters. And it got beaten, obviously. - So that useless information? - Yeah, I don't know. I don't really care about this race. They're going to go really fast. I just want to long the river doing because he's a champion. - Yeah, that's definitely one of your horses. I do think if Besmode comes out, it probably helps cavalry girl more than hinders or chances. - Yeah, I've never backed along the river. I just think he's a, just runs the same number every time. - Yeah. - Champion. - He's a winter warrior. Race number four, benchmark 74 for the Phillies and Meyers, Jenny Multabella is $4.60 from DeVeta in half a point to $5. High value is $6 and has been on the drift. Opened equal favorite, street luck 750 par mange or $9 in from 11 and late Vostok is 13s into 10s. This is not the top of race that I get involved in. Neither is it for Niko. What do you like? - I thought that street luck was entitled to be a little bit shorter than what it was. I actually have a favorite. Sat behind the speed at Flammington in the race that changing colors was a very good in one really well. That was a peak for street luck or just on a peak and sprinted, you know, changing colors was dynamic and like turn of foot was outstanding but street luck wasn't that far off from like a last 100 meter point of view. I thought it was entitled. It's gonna get a really great run. It's low on the way. It's DeVeta is the one that sort of makes the most sense. Out to a mile is a some sort of concern for me. But was probably quite unlucky not to win last time. It held up at a crucial stage and look, I'm not overly keen to bet in this race but if I had to have a bet in this race and I know it could still, I mean, I'm my back street luck and Katnawai was also a little bit interesting as well. So out of the same changing of the guard race, the better I noticed it's been quite well backed in the last sort of hour or two. So beautiful. So lower confidence race. Yeah, but I'll probably have something on straight luck. All right. Race four, I've benchmarked 74 over 1100 meters. High on the hill, four dollars 60 from behavior, six dollars. Next up, Iowa is six dollars. She's been pretty good this preparation. Beautiful, baby, six dollars. Main man cash 750 and Nordic Strike is $10. Yes. High on the hill is the deserved favorite. Has had 63 days without a run. Was well supported there at Flemington last time after a good win. Sorry, let me restart this. It went one really well at Moorfordville, heavily supported to do so. And then was at Corefield sort of had to switch toward the inferior going there and then the marker had to go into a really good level at Flemington last time. You could make some excuses for it as well, got a little bit keen. I think, 'cause obviously there's a really strong northerly, I think it might be able to just camp behind the speed and the three-wide running line. It's all of interest, obviously. I couldn't really play in this race at this point in time, just with the percentages. But I think I'm probably likely to maybe have something on high on the hill. Royal Lass is interesting as well. I gave custom something to catch there last time. And that race rated really well and delicate lady was a bit of a car crash of a preparation run there. It was put on heavy going over 400 meters, clearly didn't search at all, like she's a sprinter. And that was testing going, didn't work at all. Back to 1100 meters, it could significantly improve. So, yeah. A beautiful bevy, I marked six dollars. It's a nice enough chance. They went really, really fast in that race. It was won by Prince Tycoon. I think it's entitled to improve even further. So in summary, just the one bit? Or you could have two. In summary, I probably could have four bets, but. I don't know what my summary is. I could do anything on Saturday. All right. Just wait for. Will you be doing a ride up for Betsy? Of course, yeah. And usually by that time, you have more concrete selections. I normally figure out what I'm going to do about five minutes before the race. All right. That's brilliant. Sorry, guys. That's so helpful for everyone. Good luck, punners. Body's going to back boom to our boss while it's. Five, when it's already hit the front. And no one's going to know. All right, we're getting to the first league of the quality here at Corefield Heath Track. It's a benchmark 88 over 1200 meters. And what I will say with us kicking off this quality is, if you do like your exotics and you've got to make sure you're doing it with bet 365. Because on Saturdays, we do bet the best of the three national dividends. So that's top-toed exotics every Saturday. And with the national dividend potentially. National Tote potentially coming in bot. Is that coming in next year? No idea. I don't know. Well, it could be on the cards. Is what we're hearing. Be good. It will be good. But if you want to utilize these top-toed product, you've got to do it while. You've got to make hay while the sun shines because they might not be around forever if a national Tote comes in. Or the national Tote should hopefully be enough of an incentive for people to bet on the Tote. Yeah. All right. We've got a very short-price favor to you. The shortest-price favor to the day. And it is custom. G she was impressive a couple of weeks ago. She's a $1.70 here with 365 from Betwitchy, $6.50. Stylish is $8.12 meters. Back to is interesting. She's probably bet at 14. Piaštry $10 can run well. Here was a good win in the last time. And great maximise is $17. Will, your girl. She got the job done custom last time around. It was a day-day assignment for myself. And she did it impressively. So the non-winner tag, we can take that off her. [LAUGHS] Yeah. I think she's deserving of the price that she is, you know, once the percentages sort of sort of solves
out. I think she's something like a something like an even money chance, maybe a little bit bigger. But honestly, I could even get her a little bit shorter. I'm being pretty kind to horses like still move who I think I'll probably have something small on. Who I think I just think still move is a little bit better than what the form guide might be sort of suggesting at the moment was two two starts ago made a looping run on a day where you just couldn't do it and then last start at Flemington the saddle slipped. So you know you just sort of put a line through those sorts of runs and then you just go off what the market had sort of been forecasting of him and you end up with a price that's much shorter than shorter than whatever price he is with our friends. 26 dollars. There you go that there with our friends at bet 365. So I think look I'll be super I mean he started to be at dollars in the gold topas. Yeah he's a really nice horse and look I think the favorite is probably a 50% chance of winning. So you know you'll have worse bets than having just some small on still move because it like stylish should eight dollars or thereabouts is look I mean she's a really nice horse but I bet over four to an hundred meters I think in my view she's she's much better over this standard ground and I think that I think she'll just find a few of these a little bit quick for her bet which you return really well but again bit short. So it's a pastery is maybe tiny bit big but I just want to back seal move just someone on it and you know if custom for some reason gets right out then I'll back it but that won't happen so. Well hopefully custom is the final leg of the podcast multi and that multi is still alive because she's my most likely winning chance that as she should just win again she's very short here but she went to a new career peak last time at wayfraid she ran to 94.6 which under this weight scale these weights carried transfers to 97.5 and if she even regresses a little bit off that she will still win this race. I think the barrier is perfect drawn in barrier six she'll be able to come probably from midfield just with a a back to follow into this into this northerly breeze and yeah I just can't really see what's going to be it. She ran the third fastest final for one hundred meters of the entire meeting last time round and our man jabs johnson who actually had the pleasure of meeting the other day well he's striking at 30% for his last 50 rides it's just insanity for an apprentice so she wins but still move icon chukko and the him and the kawti as well a little blue jackets maybe exotic play as well. Nico. Yeah nothing really to add I'll I'll cheer for the podcast multi looks a good wager but yeah custom should be hard to beat if she would repeat to form from last time but and no nothing to add. Beautiful. Alright give her absolute strength. Moving on to race number seven and this is over eighteen hundred meters. Zora's 4 draws the inside in the spend mark 74 $4.40 I don't know if they get will work out perfectly for it from perfect ten four dollars eighty speaking of or aqua five dollars sensory also five dollars and then tuck a speedy eight dollars so very compressed sort of market here at the top of bedding well what did you make of it. Did you say perfect ten because a racco was next and it's as number ten? Is that what you did? No I said I said Zora's flight hasn't drawn perfectly in barrier one and then perfect ten was the next horse so well that would have worked. Okay um saver the dream was the one that interested me in this race I think he's been sort of a little bit uncertain it's it's it's most most recent starts have been given plenty to do and I think it can improve significantly under under Ethan Brown you know go back three back it's when it morning term was just unbelievable and then it was expect had plenty of market expectations start after at Corefield autumn heat is another one I think it's fourth emergency so you know probably probably doesn't get a stop it if it's there I think it despised the synthetic it to battle out. I would too. Yeah do not blame it. It was beaten well out of sight I think the ambulance almost beat at home but Damien Lane jumps aboard and this horse has some has run figures that would render it competitive in a in a race of this quality and you know what I might even back England. Come on now. Come on now. Yeah I mean Zora's flight is probably a nice favorite. I think Zora's was not much between Zora's flight and perfect 10. Really really nice when it's sailed their last time just ran all over them over the concluding stages massive sectionals. Perfect 10 nice nice horse as well been really good at the mid weeks a racquet a long sustain run there in Sydney shining new deals flying for Gavin was much better than what the the the form guide might suggest their first up and was heavily backed last Wednesday at sand down before it was unfortunately scratched because of the really really wet track so good luck to Tyson and Adrian who obviously owned shiny new deal I think I think it's I think it's about the right price but if it were to it's a drift I think it might be it might be one that I could potentially be on. Beautiful all right race number eight benchmark 100 over the 1800 meters here and a horse that bought in the ad break just called bonaface comes up his favorite yeah I think it's actually what's it called bonaface bonaface but anyway we'll go with bonaface it's been well supported $2.40 take note upon as this horse is Julie accepted oh boy nickname Woody he's Julie accepted race seven at me and John I'd get some of those little stickers like yeah we're not a sounding board put that on the oh boy on the agenda first course is a second favorite at $2.80 let's deal $5.50 fine future $9.00 and bankers choice is $11.00 a horse who just continues to bank checks we've got plenty of horses in this race who have Julie accepted in the premier's cup over in Sydney so there's four of them one of them is your favorite here we'll we're hoping he runs here well I don't even want to say the price that I've made bonaface in this race so on $2.60 yeah so the male is that it will not run here where presumably because of a barrier but no I think bonaface he's very touchy yeah well touchy maybe you should be a racing manager I think you're like Tom Holland with the sensory overload I think there's a bit of that going on it's very overload it'll be a bride in here his iraknyd response is tweaking I everyone goes to his vitamin was a good movie yeah I mean I I just want bonaface to be here provided it is it'll start on time and I think it'll win but unfortunately I think it made that might might not be the case that would that run at randry class time it's taken a likening to Australia like its form overseas was good it's gotten to Australia first up was excellent from the back of the field massive sectionals they're at at randry second up and then just fast fast time at randry if they're and I think I think they'd I think they'd take the initiative if they were here I think they'd take the initiative and roll forward on him but potentially will not be here so yeah they say the classics but she'd happens yeah well I don't I don't I if he scratches and I will not bet in the race because I will be very protest I'll just I'll just I'll just I'll just um protest the race and he looks it looks the one doesn't he put the kettle on from barrier 12 if he does run he up I do have a few beers I know like we'll probably want them to go forward I think they will ride him conservatively if they do start here however that last start rating behind to z-mour and that just that form just looks much better than these and he gets him with 51 and a half kilos after Logan Bates's claim if he can take that claim off he's he's minimum riding weight might be 52 even if you can only take a kilo off he just looks so well in first chorus jee she's she's absolutely airborne this may but boner face um he just looks like he's the one we we've still plenty of upside he stays out there in 100 metres which he's been on last two starts and um his sectional's home the last few have been very very good so he looks at deserving favourite Niko did you have any opinion here no no firm opinion no firm opinion on boner face outstead no blue pills for Niko firm opinion well let's move on to race 9 the final event benchmark 84 over the 1500 metres and you've got your wish here bot hmm Blake shins back and he's riding for his girl Lucy Yomans
Changing colors, our $2.50 favorite from Flying Valley, $5 is a bit of a drift around from $4.40, lovely cut $7.50, LLU $8, will the truck be wet enough for him? He'll rip $10 black storm, $15. That look you just gave me, tells me that, you think changing colors is a little bit too short to back? - Probably, yeah, I mean, I'd love to be, I know it was amazing last time that win was just sensational and was a sign of how good I think that Lucy Yomis is as a trainer. And now Blake Schins back riding, it's gonna be a formidable combination, I think, in the coming months and over the next few years. Hopefully they stay together so we can continue back because maybe it might be a bit awkward if they separate, but they seem like a happy couple and that's all wholesome and all those sorts of things. I marked changing colors to $2.90. I think the price now is probably a little bit short. The horse that it was very, very interesting for me and probably one of the better bets on the day, outside of Boana Face and maybe the two turn three or all in the first race was Gavin Begichwood's Curlwood who was three wide first up on a heavy track at Sandown first up and you know, falter pieces, but I think there might be just a bit of improvement left in this horse and you know, this is a horse that was a listed group placed over in Ireland and Gavin's received it. The same connections as Kingswood who we pulled off a similar sort of, that was a horse. Oh God. The Armageddon track was out that day. I tell you what it was. That was an AFL Grandfond. That was AFL Grandfond. Sandown. Yeah, I wasn't concerned by the AFL Grandfond. I was doing laps around the Northern suburbs that night. I want the city to. Yes, Curlwood I'm going to be on. I think I marked it $10. Yeah, I'm on him as well. $26 currently with bet three, $65. He actually had to undergo a bet's check before the barrier is opened last time away, which is never what you want to see. So obviously he was a little bit fractious. He was slowly away. Then he sustained a very tough run off a very fast tempo on a very heavy track. You know, gets probably what's going to be a softer tempo on better ground. And hopefully there's no excuses with the vets. And he will run a much improved race. He also goes from carrying 60 kilos down to 56 and a half. And look, he's a horse. You got to take on trust, but he's worth a speck at that price. Changing colors is no doubt my on top of though. $2.50, he get $2.75 with the bet boost. She was awesome last time around. I had a bet on her. I wish I tipped her up more strongly on this podcast. But she went to a new career peak there and off a slow tempo. She ripped home and what was easily the fastest 4100 meters of the entire meeting. 10 above standard Niko. Huge. Looks a great winning chance to end the day at Corefield. And we've just been waiting for this. Be she in first time for Lucy in a race. And yeah, really keen to be with changing colors in the last looks. A well thought out race. Very winnable. And it's a horse that's a candle that Corefield heath before. So that's also important. Yeah, yeah. I was about to say that. Besides that, Flaminton win, one of our other big performances did come over the Corefield heath 1500. So ticks all round. All right, let's go up to Sydney town now for Ramwick, where we've got feature racing race of the day in the group 3. Yes, oh, yeah, it is the race of the day. It's a soft six at the moment. Rail plus four fine conditions over the next couple of days. At least for it, Ramwick. And yes, we shouldn't get a very biased track here. It might be Ramwick usually plays slightly offence. I was never about selling Rosehill. But after last week, geez, I thought about it. Put it in the bin, you reckon. Oh, wow. I know these are just parts of the game that you've just got to accept sometimes. But it wasn't. Geez, it races like a rubbish tip sometimes, Rosehill. Often, sometimes often. Yeah. Anyway, we move on. We move on. Group three missile stakes set weights and penalties conditions. And Andrew Capital is our equal top weight. He's our favorite $2.70. He did touch $2.90 at one stage with bet 365. Open $2.50. So he's been slightly easy. Gangster granny $4 into $3.80 from Ninja $3.50 out to $4. Bit of a drift. Napoleonx out half a point to $6. The midnight dynamite has been met with some very good support today. $4.50. It's into $8.50. I don't think it could probably win, but well done if you did get that opening price, because that was probably a slight overlay. The map here is really interesting, because you've got way to the stars, John Barrier, 8 of 8. He's probably more 1,000 meters, 1100 meters. So he probably crosses them. Fully lit loves to be up there on speed, but he's probably more and more and more 1400 meters horse. Does he have the speed to sit right there at 12? I'm not sure. Midnight dynamite is there on speed. Gangster granny gets, she's your map horse from Barrier 1. She just gets that perfect run. Andrew Kapital's never fast away. He'll be in the second half of the field somewhere back along the fence you'd think from Barrier 3 or maybe just off it. And then Ninja and Napoleonx, they're drawing in 7 and 6. That's going to be interesting where they settle. Napoleonx probably has to concede and go back, whereas Ninja, he does have some tactical versatility, but I think first up, maybe they're just, they're happy just landing midfield. Yeah, well, two pairs back, one off the fence. Looks a good spot in a race that's going to have a good lick of speed, I thought. I thought this was the race that I was keen to bet into. I've never been an angel, capital fan. I think he's a fraud. Yeah, there's far too much hype on this horse for what he's delivered on the racetrack. So when I saw him favorite, it was more than happy to take him on. He hasn't exactly wailed me with his runs in Sydney. Not to say that he's really wailed me in Melbourne, but he's definitely race better in Melbourne than he has in Sydney. And I just think it was an easy race to wager in. I thought Ninja is on top for me. I took $4 for him. His trial was enormous last week. He's just a very progressive horse that I think we're going to see the best version of this campaign. And I think Gangs to Granny is the main danger. And I've had a saver on her at $4. I was quite happy to have a good bet on Ninja, saver on Gangs to Granny, and put myself in a good position. So the way I've been going, Angel Capital probably wins by 4. I thought this was a good race just to take Angel Capital on. When he's favorite, I think you're entitled to get heavily involved and heavily involved I have. All right. I've got Angel Capital on top. I would love a price that is closer to $3. This horse is the flies first up. Five starts first up. He's won four of them. The only blemish was last preparation against Jolly Star and Cabalus where he just he did everything wrong before the race. He got fractures behind the barriers. He missed the start. He got sweaty in the mountain yard. That is the risk with the horse like this, who is still a cult or still a horse as they put it. But I think there's got to be a little bit of intent here for Angel Capital from a fitness perspective because he is a stallion prospect. He doesn't have that group one on the CV yet. So he should be pretty well fit to go here for a missile stage and then go straight to a MEMSY second up where you want to be fit and meeting Shea's a alibi. Who might not be slightly at her best. So barrier three, I think Jamie McLeod want to be closer than this horse has settled in the past. He's probably still going to be at best. I don't know if he's able to. I don't know if he's able to either. He might still be at the back. He might still be last. At best, I think he's three pairs back. And there's nothing to say that he's going to be tractable during the ACVIs in position further forward. He could be brave and pull it and carry it on like. First up last preparation, he did pull a lot. However, that was with Zach Lloyd in the saddle. And I know Zach is still a fantastic jockey but he's not quite James McDonald. And the hope is that Jamie can get this horse to go first up. And I think he's a good bet considering he's around nearly the $3 mark. He started $2.90 against Jolly Star and Cabalus last prep. So if you can put it all together, he's the best horse in the race. I've got him on top. I'm scared stiff of gangster granny. She maps well and ninja. Well, he's just been trolling like an absolute bomb. And they took him out to a mile last prep. I think he's more of 14, 100 meter horse. All right. Any other thing? Yes. You want to talk? I was just-- I think-- if Andrew Caput was going to win, it has to be sort of a controlled fast speed. Like it can't be too fast where he's run off his legs and it can't be too slow because he can't-- his legs don't go that fast because he's a 400 mile. He's a person. Is what he is? No, he's just a horse. It's been poorly campaigned over the distances too short. And once-- like, there's only had a couple cracks at races that he can actually win. And honestly, I hope he fails on Saturday and I get a better price from him in the men's seat because I'm going to be probably-- Have you wager and donate then? Yeah. I look forward. He's only $6 in a man's seat right now. Yeah. I mean, if he flops here, he runs like 4th of 5th or something, then like 6th double-- You'll get double figures. You'll get double figures. Oh my goodness. If I get $10, Andrew Caput will remember, he's second up. Still got faith. And he always have faith of things over the things you're best but you are a believer. I'm just-- Full credit to you. I'm an England. I'm an-- I'm an high-level.
I'm an optimist. Glass half. What is a glass half glass half full glass half full? Yeah back in England to find his swarm of three years ago. Yeah, yeah Probably back in grade and back in the winners to all apparently absolutely Niko did you like anything else on this random week program? No, that was the only race that I want to do it involved in Yeah, mine the look of Bangkok hotty in the first, but oh hello. Oh, it's a filly - oh Bonaface take the double with bone a face bone a face into Bangkok hotty. Oh wow that sounds boy That sounds like a racing previews holiday What was that awesome? No, but I just think it's gonna be it's gonna have a lot of work to do. What's that? It's gonna probably be back near last and Yeah, what's that three-year-old by grunt out of Yeah last week quick strokes What was it called it finished rather quickly? Not first Niko did you see there was another a high-peer that's a great name though Was actually cool there's another arrowfield horse in race three Not as good as the one that goes around in Queensland. What's the one? After work drinks out of all I'm invincible. I forgot its name I can't remember either I've just a look sed decent not enough me in number three. He's taunting me Arrowfield James McDonald off the mat race three. Yep coming out of coming out of a win at Mabel they've been started $15 It ricks of Columbus a little bit. Oh, no same color same jockey to same form. It's been 250 into $2 Same market move. This one no doubt will win after Columbus win under last win. Same Armageddon Race 70 is a decent race. Armageddon's having a few weeks off. If I'll make it go on Still got enough cash to go on at least for a few weeks. Yeah There's no there's no one guarding it anymore. No, there's nothing left in it. There's nothing to guard. Yeah Seven a few weeks off the old arm. Yeah Race seven Tazeema Shore. So just so's the pistol in the pocket. If I'll make bone-a-face doesn't run here Tazeema just wins It'll be mighty short though Race 10 is an interesting one because Watson was a horse who won first up and it was a tough dog win. Nick Yeah Where's it? Yeah, I don't mind it. I don't mind it this this uh Lot of footballer He's been an absolute jet, hasn't he? As a neutral supporter He's probably one of my favorite players to watch when he's on. They're small for him to come right now But Watson he's not a he's not a little forward pocket He's a brute on speed horse who won very nicely first up The horse who has been really well supported in this race today is Columbia Blue for 80 into 440 I've learned it nice last start winner, but Yeah, I thought Watson will get up on speed here and he'll be hard to run down Whether I'm making him an official bet. I'm not sure. I hear was the one that um a few people were sprucing in the Eskimo Prince that Watson Oh, was he now? Yeah, yep. That'd be him All right anything around the grounds? Will no, sorry rubb is it rubb it that always asks for midweek? I haven't looked I've got a midweek for him either look for his one on Friday. Wait for the question if you're just gonna get it Yeah, no, it's okay. I've got one for satin around the grounds. All right Um eagle farm. Oh, yeah, what's your eagle farm selection? Oh my god. It's at the three dollars 20 now race four number four Bonnie blue Sorry, I meant Bonnie Boone Who? Bonnie Boone John is laughing in the room Oh, it's funny you say that because the dem of Bonnie Boone is hysterical You would nearly say that was pretty hysterical for me No, anyway, I think I'm I think Can I get my tip out? No, so This was a horse that was Anyway, Bonnie blue race four number four quesit Ah this horse This horse last week was a dollar 90 into about a dollar 60 and they've saved it for this week I can't quite work out why it is um friendless here but 52 and a half kilos after a solid Debuy in an eagle farm same track same trip Looks very well suited and keen to get Involved with a nice play at three dollars 20 Race for number four Way too from here Most people don't ask to get it out they just do it All right Let's move on to some questions do I have anything else around the grounds? Well, we should just mention it's good to see you both at least laugh Then you still have that your repertoire is sail pulses Sometimes it's in there somewhere Sometimes the behemoth stakes Behemoth stakes over at Morvuel race 7 12-100 meter event. It's maybe you need a much at a hotel. It's five dollars of the field I couldn't even give you a tip there. It's it is that hard certainly. I was been seven into five The back investors 11 into five dollars 50 investors after being scratched last week is 12 into eight It looks an impossible event. I never look Marui Race 7 at Morvuel. It's the behemoth stakes. What a horse he was speaking of Corfield 14-100 meter warriors champion One two Memesies in a Rupert Clark or again But actually but thanks so many of these horses are champions and so many proper horses that And I could little world goes um, there was two Memesies in that Rupert Clark. He he always won that race um The leading one might have been this race actually they might have named it after him. That's exactly what they did. Oh, well, okay There you go Remember that behemoth you used to win this race. Yeah, crazy. They named it after him. Um, you wouldn't believe it King Kalo needs to get a bit of a regal any only road to one last week. I do. That's all right How many how many technical knockout? I don't know whether he's going to uh to scout Australia just because it's a we it's a weaker jockey for him Yeah, if it gets if it gets in the altercations but um We love the king. Yeah, we do He's good for the game. It'll be good for it'll be good for Adelaide racing. I don't even know who he is Low Kalo The king you're washing me out that boy. Yeah, you're about to when he comes here and flogs you into all right It is podcast multi-time. We are going a double this week. We are going one of will selections and we are going mine as well Will you're kicking us off and you're going early in the day? So I'll tell you the going to be this is scary stuff See they're going to be a strip out early or it's going to be we're in for a big one Well, it would have been boner face, but he's been dual accepted, but we'll land on commit Who was beaten by the very exciting American Eagle? There it's sand down. You're a very excited American eagle. I think I think he's a really nice horse But commit was beaten by and was taken back from a wide draw finished well I think he can settle further forward and I think it should be favorite And yeah, he's the first leg of the podcast multi And um because you're going a good value selection. I'm just going to keep it nice and simple and go race six number nine in custom She looks the good thing of the day For a sorry second up she broke through she won in dominant fashion dominant time third fastest final four hundred meters of the meeting And that final four hundred meters was around nearly nearly two lengths faster than anything else in the field So although she is up and great she gets him with 52 kilos And jabs johnson he's striking at 30% for his last 50 rides So if we can get the one over in the first race then um we'll have custom going for a nice result And hopefully that pays nine dollars maybe even ten bucks in a coat. That will be very good for this spreadsheet after the boosted price Right we're up to a question time. Let's go to what is so excited about this American Eagle? I've never seen him so excited about a horse that's had one to start He's saying call few guineas. Oh potentially. He's been 51 into 15 maybe botter a bit as he looked before. No, I didn't know. Oh has he Don't don't give me that shit. I opened back him. I had a couple futures bets today He'll get to five dollars on the day and bottle go narty short very good. Yeah, that's a certainty Um, I had two futures bets today. I've backed Tom Kitten at 34 dollars just a small bit for the mz Look, I know he's probably not up to the standard of some of those But it's going to be over the odds. I promise you it'll be over and uh And then bot And I would discuss him. I live another day and we'll have back to great. Great. Well, 26 dollars for the manicard So the one-goom winner. Yeah It's great race. It's talked that they want to get him into the Everest Well, that's that's a step further of course, but I think go to the Sydney stakes and win that I think if the manicard is not a full field um he'll get in but if he If he can win his way into a race like that then he's a huge chance because a lot of the time Those Sydney horses won't go to a race like that. I do want to see him do well But I also don't want to see him go back and win the great racing in next year. Oh come on. Okay. Go on now. He's He's uh, he's a free man That's done last week. I mean you keep putting him out with the body nice. What's the word? He's um He's graduated on to better things don't give me that shit to whoever was a group one winner True true you don't get that too often, but yeah, I live another day. We've backed him on the sixth day on our futures today and good Yeah, we'll be starting to put it out some more future.
which is bet on my tipping service. - Interesting to see if you have a cup of water. - Nice cup of weeks. - Harry coffee keeps the ride or the snakes up. (snakes hissing) - Sissin' around. - Snake pit punners pod. Good on your boys for having a podcast. - See what I did there, bet. - I'm gonna crack. - Just gave you the perfect layout. - What the snakes? - Yep. - I don't mind when the snakes get involved 'cause they're usually good jockeys. (laughs) - No interest like self. - Good day boys. Johnson on the line. Who wins the Cof's Harbour Cup? Cheers Bob and the Magician. And I'll go to this race. It is on Friday. Comes up as race number seven on the card. Perfect justice $2.80. Hollywood hero, $3.50 in fortune. $5.50 has been the Drifter. If you had to give us one, Nico. But I don't suppose you've had a, no, I'll paper this race. - No, I have not. - I'll go with a value selection. Lock Eagle might turn back the clock. - Lock Eagle. - Perfect justice deserves to be favourite racing competitively, but. - Lock Eagle 12 dons. - This seems like a race that Lock Eagle's, yeah, he's a solid sort of black top campaigner. So if the race is sort of run to search, 60 and a half kilos isn't exactly to his liking, but he's a horse that's, yeah, I'm not going to come here and tip you the two to the lady pop. Lock Eagle would be my selection. It's that end of one. - Sort of think fortune's getting out to a big price for a horse who opened $3.80. It's now $5.50. I'll have something unfortunate. All right, next stone, golden guru race four, Moffville is a lock. So that's a tip for the punters. It's not a race that we've looked at, but race four, Moffville. - $3.80, area 10. $4.00 now. - It's got beer. - There you go. - Zave Erickson, do you think Waller will be sending Angel Capital into the race for fitness purposes only? - Guess what we'll see. - I'm going to say no. - We've sort of already spoken about how I'll be talking to him. - The group one is the-- - Yeah, the lever. - The group one is the big goal for this horse. He needs to win a group one as a stallion prospect. So he won't be fully screwed down on Saturday, but I think he'll want to be hitting the manzy at least 95, 90%. Malikaz of the three chipmunks, who was who? Ben is Alvin, body Simon, and Nico's theater, because he's so cute. (laughing) - Out of all the words. - Malikaz possibly described Nico. I don't know if he would be one of them. - I think he was just like trying to not be mean and say it's, 'cause he's the chubby one. But you're not even chubby anymore. - No. (laughing) - I'm a bit, I'm not, I'm now. I'm a couple of kilos losing it's few weeks. - Your flying man. - This horse spring. - Your flying. What's the most you've ever lost? - Like at the peak. - Well, I'm happy. - Well, I've lost-- - 10, 15? - I've lost, what have I lost in this cut? - I've lost, well, I've lost about 15 in this cut. - Yeah. - So huge. - I'm definitely Alvin. Come on. Lead singer. - I don't know. - All right, I'll verge your fabulous. (laughing) - All right, let's get to the Twitter questions before we wrap things up. This S&R, WIFI, I was not doing many favies here. Twitter questions, here we go. Nathan Dippy, on theme with Andrew Capitals return and Nico's obsession with Cosiosco emergencies. - Can we-- - Is that in reference to Columbus? - Yeah, it must be. - It won't be the emergency in the race. - It won't get around. - Can we keep a running band list of horses for the podcast multi this season? - Ooh, that's not a bad one. - There's a few here that I'm looking at that have lost the podcast multi. Oh, we got here, Jolly Star, Gilded Water, Big Swinger, Decker Log, Notified, Hard Kick, Tennessee Bound, Ice Cool, Tennessee Bound, so-- - Tennessee Bound one. - Ice Cool, Cruiser Weight, Columbus, list is growing. - That don't automatically just get on the band list. - By-- - Yeah, but see, we forgave Hello Captain, and he was good. He got his-- - Yeah, exactly. - Maybe two strikes with them. - It's a case by case basis. Depends how much I like them as a horse or whatever. - Hello Captain one, both time, didn't he? - No, he lost it. - So antagonize me. - Sorry. - He should have won. - See yourself out. - Yeah. - Chris the Castor, what do we do with War Machine next start after his Saturday, Shenanigans? He's an interesting one. He's got a trial to the satisfaction of stools on Friday. - Next Friday. - And then he might be going to this Galachi. - The old Galachi, it's called the-- - The health now, so. - He might be reviewing against, I'll live another day, maybe a nice race. - Well, that's over 1100, isn't it? - Yeah. - I'm pretty sure the heath is 1100. - Yeah. - It'd be interesting. - I would have loved to see him just go straight to a PB Lawrence. Mr. Brightside. - He can't, because that's an excel today. - But he's triling this Friday, isn't he? - Thanks Friday. - Okay, then you can't. Mr. Brightside, the plan was to stay near the crown for the weekend. How can you tell someone is not from Melbourne when they save the crown? - That's the dead giveaway. - The plan was to stay near the crown for the weekend for the Airbnb host cancelled. Jule Nomb in Richmond and thinking of staying near the MCG instead. I hear there's some nice sorts that hit up the bars and see up there. Can you confirm? - Will. - Down the conferment. - It a past life. - The problem I didn't know there. You'll find good bars wherever you go. I'm hoping to be completely honest. Chappel Street, South-Yah. - I don't think that's what he was aiming at. - Yeah, well, good bars, good girls. They usually go hand in hand, don't they? - Well, you're telling the story. - Ryan. I'll move on. Disappointed at the lack of stride frequency analysis from bot lately. Found a new toy with the walk and talk previews or just waiting for good horses to bring stride frequency back. - You do love a walk and talk at the moment, don't you? - I feel like it's a little bit boring. - Like Will Corns. - We'll call him. - We might lose him. - Well, it's to be boring just with the same background every time. - If Gated doesn't do his shirtless walk and talk, they're gonna be stealing our band ball. Have you actually get my regout? - You should. - No one has said that. - To be fair, if you had a rig like Cain Corns, you would never wear a shirt. You see any? - Ripped. - He's right-pulled age of 40. - Do the work. - 6-0-1 is enough for me to work, Ben. - We're moving on? - Sure. - What was your answer? Are you bringing back the stride frequency? - Oh, I was still there. I don't just talk about all this. - It's not really playing up in the matrix. - It's just not the buzz. It's not the buzz that's coming. - Well, this buzz word's gone. - It'll make it through here. - Almost like it's- - When we lease it, it'll be- - Yeah. - When we lease it, expected it'll be- - It'll get us to our stride frequency. - No, he's a sprint-up. - Going into the spring. We're impunting any true from the rapid rise of destroyed armoured trucks. Armoured trucks. Armoured trucks within Melbourne. - Yeah, it's a bit like the fire popping that's happened in Melbourne. - Yeah. What's your thoughts on the, oh yeah, probably shouldn't refer to that one. - What is it? - Jake, you will have an offline discussion about that one. It's probably not something we can get into on this podcast. - I'd if you wanna hear us again next week. - Robert, Robert. - Robert. - Robert. Robert. What do you fan, Robert? No excuses, lads. Midwigs tips. And he's now got four likes on this one. And Robert. - I reckon you might even agree with me Ben. Go to the last race at Seymour on Friday. - Who is it? - Have a look. - All right. Stand by, on the stand by. - 1,400 metres bench mark. - 1,666 on the server at Dali. - Bunch mark. - Observer at Dali. - Wow. - I'd better find a bench mark. - You like Ali and Angel? - Yeah. - I'd have sought it to be. - Yeah, that was a nice first up win. - I was thinking maybe backing it on today. - There you go. I've got one for tomorrow. And it's a horse that bought back last time around. It's going around on the Ballarat synthetic race four, number two, Saluda. We're just gonna forgive when he did first up there. He went around the $2.10 favourite in a better race at San Dion on the midweek is. And obviously the expected rating, whatever else, was quite good there. So he gets onto the synthetic track. He trialled or jumped out like a very nice horse on the Pachanum synthetic leading into this preparation. This is the Ballarat, but I still think if he runs to that market expectation that was shown first up, then he will win this race. He's already been $2.50 into $2.20. Clark Griswold, just an EOS grease at the moment, Benny. A great DJ set last night mate. Anita Philip from the European holiday. Give me something juicy, f*cking. And it was a photo of someone who looked somewhat remotely like me, maybe Clark, he's having a very good time and his vision's a little bit blurred 'cause it doesn't look exactly like me, but I appreciate him mate. And hopefully I delivered a nice set for you. But you are a good DJ. I'm all right. Can't wait to see spin up some fatties on the 12 for me. Something juicy for him. Well, we're going Kauru with a massive price race nine at Corefield, but take Kauru and also backchanging Kals and that's the two-bet play. Bill Marshall, are you guys finally gonna win a multi? I snapped back at Bill. - We registered the stats out before. - And I said we're striking at 25% positive ROI Bill. if you had 100.
and every one of them so far. There's been eight, you're collecting would have been around 1200. So you'd be-- - Make sure you're listing every week Bill and you'll find out, brother. - You'd be up $400. Ryan Bolwin, who wins the Missile Stakes and why is it gangster-granny by two links? First up, Barry, one bottom weight, should box it and would even like just wins. - Well, that's a strong push. - I agree with a lot there, I don't know, she just wins, but yeah, she's a part of she wins, I won't be losing. - I think on talent, for talent, she's probably the third or fourth best horse in the race, but she's the best set up horse in the race, in terms of the map. So I don't have her on top, but I can see why you would like her for sure. Darren Barber, well David Hayes run Kaying Rising in the Everest on a soft six or worse. Yes, he's not just gonna bring him over and not run just 'cause it's a wet track. - She's a can't wait for October. - Yeah, a soft six would be a genuine query for him. - You're gonna watch the race unfold and go shit, this is how it's meant to be. But he'll run, don't worry about that. Oh, the Armageddon headquarters in Essenden is getting put to the cleaners this spring, Nico. - Benny, Benny, any special guest planned for the spring? Well, special guest are actually more Nico's domain. - We just need to follow up with Zach about how things go now, 'cause I don't have the free reign that I once had just to say, especially if someone's doing that. So we do plan on having a few guests, but just because we're now affiliates with the company, there's a little bit more background work that I have to do. But yes, still, I've still got a few people in mind that I would like to. - Well, who's on the Hitler's Gareth Hall? We'd love to get Gareth Hall? - Gareth will be coming on soon. Now that we're in the SCN studios, whether we're able to have some of the SCN talent come on, I would still love to get Gator on, but that might be a bit of a hard work with-- - It's probably too late for him. - Well, tough to laugh about. - But yeah, but also he's ties with Tab, so we have to, and Skye, so I have to figure that out. - What I can tell you is we're trying to get Patti Karmoffe back in before he goes back over to Singapore. So Patti actually came on our podcast. - It was our first ever guest. - So that was the first year of us doing it? - First ever guest we had. - First ever guest. - For I was even on the podcast. - It probably would have been more episode like 10 or something, five or 10 something. - Not even that. - Yeah. - And then he was in Singapore before he rented the bar. - And then Patti's been kicking goals. Yeah, sorry, what are we saying Singapore? - On and off the track, I was the chair holder in Andy Winn, so Grand National. - Yep, I saw him out there some day. - Yeah, yep. So we're trying to get Patti on at some stage. - Hopefully next week. - The Gun International Race Caller. - And yeah, well, yeah, there's some things happening in the pipeline with Garus, so when I've got some more information, we cannot leak that to you, but we're trying to get something off the ground to have our first event. - Yeah, legend 26, custom the best bet anywhere this weekend to question Mark. Yes, I would say yes, but it's short, so not telling you anything you don't know. Will Smith, big fan of the show Will. Future Smolty's question mark. Yes, Nico, you liked one. You wanted to chalk one up. It was Ombudsman to win the Judd Mon. - Ombudsman is coming to get you. - This is in a couple weeks time, the Wednesday night. So yeah, Ombudsman will win the Judd Mon. Thought you could take. - Autumn Glow to win the Wings. - She's an Alibi to win the. - She's an Alibi to win. I'm gonna play. - I'm gonna play, yeah, well, depends how quick you want your multi. I've got a bit more study to do, but I've got a couple of early multi's that we can hopefully build our spring bank up. So I'll come with them locked and loaded next week. - Yep. - The three-dollar multi that for Ombudsman to win the Judd Mon into Autumn Glow to win the Wings. Looks a rather fruitful bet. - Yeah, 100% I agree with that. Underwood, I think, Birdman and Cosmic Crusader are probably good horses for an underwood, so maybe you can get a little bit of a dutchy going there. But yeah, we'll just wait and see. - Ryan Patton, having recently been banned by Bet365, no racing previous multi, no boost, no cashouts, no nothing, he's been able to talk to the traders to lift my ban on my destined to open account in the Mrs. Name. Oh geez, where'd he go from here? Look, I'm really sorry, I can't do anything about promotional bans. I've tried. - Two shops been following our ban bot in. - Tried for even like my own friends and that type of thing, it's just hard to get these sort of things over the line, so. - It's probably not a whole lot. I can do in that regard. - Shout out to my man Brandon, the trading room. - They're too good sometimes. But yeah, Ryan, you'll find. - Everyone might have him in one week. - Where there is a will, there is a way. - Correct. - I love to have you on Brandon, I know you're listening at their brother. - Is Niko's ankle monitor causing faults with the failed hijackings of the Armageddon trucks? - Oh. Oh geez, geez, geez, geez. - You've been friends with you for long enough if I had an Niko monitor and you'd know. - Yeah, I would. All right. - Some people just like to call it variants. - No, I'm a guard and no pistols this weekend, but hopefully we can land a couple of those. - I'll be the judge of that. - And hopefully we can get this podcast multi- - We'll get into the camera and do it. - Over the line. It is the group three missile stakes at random. We see the return of some very nice horses. None more so. The Nanger Capital Gangster Granny Napolionic and Ninja. The next week we gear up for the PB Lawrence stakes, I believe, at Corefield, where we're gonna get more good horses in line, including the continuation of the preparation for Cosmic Crusader. Good luck this weekend, punters. I'll see you back here next Wednesday night. - Be kind. - You win some, you lose more for free and confidential support. Visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The podcast covers upcoming Group 3 races at Randwick (Missile Stakes) and a transferred meeting at Corfield Heaf Track featuring the Travis Harrison Cup.
Host Will celebrates four years on the podcast, with lighthearted banter about his age and past performances.
Nico announces a temporary break from the podcast multi due to recent poor tipping form and online abuse, including threats and defamatory rumors, which he condemns as crossing a line.
Last week's racing highlights include impressive wins by Touchdown, Holy Man, Arco Frode, and Boone Tiam Boss, with discussions on horses' future targets.
Sassapil’s return win is analyzed as good but not spectacular, with concerns about her closing speed.
A whip protest involving Boone Tiam Boss sparks debate on whip rules, with suggestions for harsher financial penalties for jockeys.
Track bias at Rosehill is highlighted, with lane one producing significantly more winners than expected, affecting some beaten favorites.
Summary:
The Racing Previews podcast, hosted by Ben Cludes with Nick Mugolton and Will "Bot Alford," previews upcoming races: the Group 3 Missile Stakes at Randwick and the Travis Harrison Cup at Corfield Heaf Track. The hosts celebrate Will's four-year podcast anniversary with playful jokes. Nico addresses recent criticism, announcing a two-to-three-week break from the podcast multi due to poor form and online abuse, including threats and false rumors, which he firmly condemns as unacceptable behavior from anonymous trolls.
They review last week's Flemington meeting, praising Touchdown’s strong sprint, Holy Man’s potential over longer distances, and Arco Frode’s third consecutive win, possibly targeting the Packenham Cup. Boone Tiam Boss won despite a whip protest, prompting a lengthy discussion on whip rules; they argue for significant financial fines for jockeys rather than disqualifications. Sassapil’s return win is deemed solid but unspectacular, with concerns about her final 600-meter speed.
Additionally, they highlight a severe lane-one bias at Rosehill, where fence runners won far more than expected, explaining some beaten favorites. The episode blends race analysis, betting insights, and personal reflections on the pressures of public tipping.
FAQs
The Travis Harrison Cup is a race held at the Corfield Heaf Track on a race day that belonged to the Mooney Valley Racing Club. It was the topic of the first podcast episode that Will participated in.
Nick decided to take a break from the podcast multi for a couple of weeks because his recent tips had not been going well. He wanted to put the team first and refresh before the spring season.
Nick said that while he can handle criticism about his tips, some comments went too far, including threats and false rumors. He emphasized that people should not take information they disagree with personally and should just ignore it.
Touchdown was impressive, showing a good sprint despite not being over his preferred longer distance. Holy Man and Chocolates also performed well, with Holy Man looking like she needs a mile and a half.
Sassapil won well by controlling the race, but she was the slowest of the six over the last 600 meters. The panel saw it as a good but not great return, and they might bet against her next time if there are capable rivals.
War Machine went straight through the barriers, dropping jockey Blake Shinn. This cost the panel a potential winning weekend, as they had backed him.
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