Midterm Countdown, Haley Stevens November Surprise, & Florida Plane Crash Near Mar-A-Lago | PBD #883
2h 15m 1s
The transcript explores the evolving political landscape in Michigan, particularly focusing on the Senate race between Abdul Sayyed and Haley Stevens, with Stevens’ viral endorsement of Mike Rogers sparking debate over political strategy and fear-based messaging. Despite initial skepticism, the endorsement appears to have significantly boosted Rogers’ campaign, especially in a state already leaning left. A central theme is the use of anti-Israel rhetoric as a political tool, which critics argue distracts from substantive policy debates and reflects a broader trend of scapegoating. The discussion also touches on geopolitical tensions, including claims of possible nuclear strikes on Iran, which are dismissed as fear-mongering with no credible evidence. Experts emphasize that such scenarios are extremely unlikely, and that the real risk lies in political polarization and the erosion of trust in democratic institutions. Meanwhile, polling data shows strong Democratic chances in both the House and Senate, indicating a challenging environment for Republicans. The conversation concludes with a focus on personal preparedness, highlighting that while physical supplies are important, training—especially in first aid and crisis response—is far more critical. The narrative underscores a paradox: while some fear a dark future, others maintain that the future looks bright, pointing to the need for vigilance without paranoia. Ultimately, the analysis reflects a cautious view of political extremism, technological threats, and the power of narrative in shaping public opinion.
30 seconds did you ever think you would make it i feel i'm supposed to take sweet victory
i know this life meant for me adam what's your point the future looks bright
my handshake is better than anything i ever signed right here
you are a one-on-one my son's right there i don't think i've ever said this before
all right okay so a couple things uh number one uh congratulations to uh kimmy antonelli for being
the youngest formula one champion and potentially abdul sayyed for being the first muslim senator
if we end up winning in michigan you know that right that would be a record yeah for them so
it's for for muslim stuff it's a massive uh thing to be celebrating about if that does end up
becoming a reality that's where we are right now folks you're in the heated
atmosphere
everything's going crazy they typically talk about october surprises right now we have november
surprises i had one yesterday this lady stevens from michigan i'm sure you saw this clip here
comes out and says not only am i uh taking back my uh what do you call it uh endorsement but on
top of that i am endorsing mike rogers the left loses their mind i don't know how much of it's
going to flip cal she's not moved that much there's been a little bit of movement nothing
crazy even as of right now looks like abdul is going to win and it's going to
be a massive celebrations for muslims around the country who want to see somebody become the first
muslim senator in america if that's you you know i'm sure you guys going to be celebrating in
michigan if it's not you their campaign is so funny what they're doing and if you watch them
closely the campaign is all about anti-israel have you seen this it's a purely a anti-israel
campaign where it it actually works if you think about it it gets people that are like oh my god
it's all bb's fault i'm willing to support abdul because i don't want them to win so there's a
little bit of credit you got to give to them and they're going to win and they're going to win and
give to them for for the way they're campaigning but i hope america's ready if this thing goes the
way it is abdul is going to be your first muslim senator and you know what's the one thing when i
had uh raymond ibrahiman who wrote the book about the crusades and all the stuff that happened
he says they come jack hibbs the pastor said they come in three different ways
first they come and tell you we're a peaceful religion let us in which is what uh henry ford
did in michigan when he let the first muslims in because labor was cheaper when he hired people from
syria lebanon all those places then he accidentally he brought a imam in they built the first mosque
thanks to henry ford who started ford and i love ford but thanks to henry ford he created michigan
into what it is today and then they move up with p r p p is political power they go in and get some
political power and then they use the military against you it's a strategy debut it's not sure
if it's going to happen america or not but some people are paranoid about it tucker puts out a
is there going to be a nuclear war this has been a topic of discussion so he put it at a time which
is perfect timing tweet we'll address that some people are worried that there may be a nuclear
bomb being dropped why are we teaching military personnel on how to dig graves six-foot graves
we haven't done this as korean war why are people around the country going around and other
countries around the world hey be careful in case something were to happen
we'll definitely talk about that as well and then you have this jet uh what is it a learjet
60 is that what a lear 60 that came down yeah eight to ten nine died in in this free-for-all
coming down 90 minutes after the president left palm beach it hit right outside of mar-a-lago that
it took place and a lot of people are saying that's what it was vinnie the audio i don't know
if you've listened to the audio recording very very difficult to listen to but that's what
happened there we'll address that ai wipes out say that again female pilot female pilot is what it was
female it's a fact he's sharing the facts with if you don't know who he is andrew wilson
you may recognize the name ai wipes out one trillion dollars in tech valuation
goldman sachs says there's something going on there we'll talk about that the red baron worker
gets four hundred thousand dollars after a cruel prank you got to see this video we've been trying
to show this video for a week we will today iran exposes vulnerabilities at 26 military locations
poland may have a constitutional crisis in poland that's taking place to the point where
dominic had to come out and say a few words and it looks like the globalists are trying to take
control of poland they're failing i think the people are going to stand up we'll see what
happened there by the way dominic's going to be there tomorrow night with us as well live in the
flesh at 59 90 when we do the election night another story came out saying do american do
young americans need rich parents to buy a house interesting story paul pierce basketball player
career earnings 200 million dollars he's a
legend he's a legend he's a legend he's a legend
broke and doesn't have any money to pay for anything can you imagine you make 200 million
dollars and you got nothing left for yourself and you're trying to figure out how to pay your bills
baby mama you gotta pay the baby mama after 200 million dollars people called me and they said
hey pat you got your facts right about the mickey manor card trading for 50 million dollars really
i got my facts right i'll give you a little bit of thought on that not too long but i'll give you a
minute for you to think about what happened with the mickey manor 50 million dollars sale that
people are saying the facts were wrong i'll let
you know in a minute here what happened there toronto home invasion i don't know if you guys
saw this or not a house down the street from drake guy comes in with a hammer starts hitting
the kids hitting the parents you guys see this or no down the street from drake's home in a very
exclusive community but guess what you don't have in toronto guns guns no gun or even the right or
even the right to own it yes you can't you can't and some good news for some people a lot of people
always track when leonardo dicaprio is single and leo is not single today but bill belichick
officially is
oh no if some of you guys wanted to slide into his dm bill is officially single unavailable
and he's a very good coach a lot of people would say so you may want to do that more world series
viewership dropped to a very low i mean apparently people didn't want to watch milwaukee play tampa
they wanted to watch dodgers yankees but you gotta win to go there so milwaukee congratulations
we'll talk about those stats bukele you gotta love bukele by the way do you see what bukele just said
bukele came up
and said hey you want to come and take out our four humanitarian people that came to your country
that's what you want to do yes well guess what what um i'm gonna send 2 000 soldiers to haiti
how many 2 000 for how many people you're trying to save four you're gonna send 2 000 people to
haiti yes what types of soldiers the best of the best you don't mess with our people
now some people like connor this morning are saying why don't we just leave those 2 000
people there and let bukele clean up haiti not a bad idea very good if you think about it not a bad
idea a lot of people have tried you know maybe that's one way of doing it another story came
out that tom and i you know we were talking about yesterday oil giants big big profit came through
oil giants massive profits but wait a minute aren't gas prices high where their profits need
to be lower because they're also buying gas prices at a higher level not not fully not fully we'll
talk about what's going on with oil giants having record-breaking quarters exxon and chevron others
you know bringing a bunch of cash and they could potentially lower the gas prices but they're also
taking advantage of the crisis saying hey if people think gas prices are automatically going
to be high because a war is going on keep selling it higher no one's complaining about it let's keep
taking the profits and last but not least angel studios has a story of moving forward the movies
they fund no sex no f words no you know cursing
any of that stuff which it's a very different business model but there's a market for that as
well so with that being said let's get right into it the first story i want to get into
is the story of michigan abdul against rogers okay abdul has had a lead they've debated now
a couple times we've seen plenty but all of a sudden abdul's primary contender that he barely
beat by maybe 15 20 000 votes i think her name is hayley stevens if you go and pull up the primary
victory how close it was when abdul beat her it was very very close i want to say 750 something to
730 something it wasn't like it was a landslide victory that took place tom you can correct me
there yeah she ran a very solid but average campaign i don't think they took him seriously
they thought he'd be seen as this you know um she was supposed to win he was the underdog they
thought oh my gosh we're never gonna vote for a muslim don't worry about it like that right there
and then boom look at the numbers right yeah 743
to 720 look at third place that's tight so he's barely by 16 000 votes so she's a democrat she has
the accent of being from michigan and then yesterday she drops this video that goes full
on viral saying this go for it she's a democrat watch this as you may have seen our democratic
nominee for u.s senate abdul said that i was no longer welcome in his campaign and that i should
stay away
and he's right and that's why i am endorsing mike rogers for the united states senate
today i don't belong in abdul's campaign i do not stand with hassan piker who gets trafficked
on our college campuses a dear friend of mine earlier today was saying that education is on
the ballot and she's absolutely right and what our students see what our children see
and who we are as michiganders is not hate and is not um what we are getting out from
our democratic nominee right now so i am just one person uh i love this state as some of you know
i've uh you know run a campaign saying that it was a love letter to michigan and i'm here to
declare who we are as michiganders this is phil hart's seat for the u.s senate you can decide
at this point we get it so she says this she goes on anderson cooper she goes everywhere if you want
to pull up one of the anderson cooper clips and even her going out there with mike rogers now
campaigning for mike rogers and people are asking questions saying wait a minute you just said a
bunch of things about mike rogers now you want to go endorse him this is it if you want to play this
clip kenny we don't have audio guys jake we need audio guys
guys yeah the audio their audios okay no i have better audio than the same message essentially
yeah so anyway so mike rogers is there and if you go on the cal sheet to see what the plus minus is
how much movement this create now keep in mind cal she's not and you know uh it's going to tell you
the entire story but this is what it looks like there was a uh go back to a day ago if you could
go back to a day ago go to november 1st slight movement none at all abdul even went higher
yeah after this so do you think this was an effective ad at all come to you first
what you did i don't i don't necessarily think it's effective i do think it's an act of conviction
i do respect it tremendously i think that she's been seeing a
trend uh and what's her biggest thing when she explains why she says well it's on piker it's
that trend toward it policy doesn't matter your connections to the muslim brotherhood don't matter
as long as you make a video like you had discussed earlier touching on uh on israel or anything to
just distract to israel then you can get away with virtually anything so and at the expense of
what this video is completely insane and detached from reality by the way this is a commercial yeah
this is one of the commercials detached from all fact completely go ahead and play this clip
we get all the sandwich stuff for the kids lunch they don't like turkey anymore yeah i know what
about the bananas yeah i got them too but honey what you're gonna have to put those eggs back
they don't like eggs anymore no they like eggs but we have to set that seven dollars aside
for killing palestinians what i mean don't we give israel four billion dollars a year anyways yeah
and now we're giving them another 26 billion dollars do you know how much that is per american
taxpayer no it's like 161 dollars per person apparently it's costing us a lot of money to
drop bombs on gaza it's terrible yeah you can pause right now this is a razor then he goes
oh wait a minute this is the question though this is the question this is the only question i'm
asking you forget about the ad the question is is it working it's clearly working there's a
trend in the united states to off shift everything to a scapegoat you can have legitimate criticism
of israel but when it gets to the point of i can't afford bananas because of israel when it's
literally point zero one three percent roughly of our gdp that goes to israel our entire foreign age
budget is a small percentage of our gdp it's roughly six percent i believe of our gdp
so this entire logic that all our problems are israel everything has to be diverted to israel
all terrorism all evil in the world is israel it's effective it's getting people to have a singular
thing to hate so that we can just distract from anything yeah i think this ad won't work in every
state but it will work in michigan if they did a national ad like this i don't know if it's going
to work in every single market but of course in michigan it would this is assam piker reacting to
what she had to say and uh and then andrew i'm going to come to you right after this go for it
but imagine if haley stevens came out and made that demand
imagine if haley stevens came out for months and said sorry abdul
you really have to be in favor of a full-blown abortion ban
would the media cover it in the same way would the media lend credence to this argument or would they
treat her as a and as a spoiler making ridiculous demands like a petulant child
you can pause but imagine andrew your thoughts so a couple things first
uh the the thing to look at is a lot of people in this election cycle already think that there's a
uniparty they think it's the same party it's the uh the same serpent body which is two heads so
her coming out actually and speaking for mike rogers what does that affirm it affirms it's a
uniparty so el sayed can take this uh ground of hey i'm the ultimate outsider you know look these
people are all in cahoots together and what are they all trying to do they're all trying to support
israel and that's all they care about is supporting israel that's all both parties care about
supporting israel this was not actually a good move if she was trying to take this guy down this
this probably has the opposite effect actually because uh he can then point and say see uniparty
uniparty apec yeah and then the second thing is is that i kind of reject a little bit about what
you're saying the dsa right now democrats are pushing towards their own form of populism
and socialists are pushing towards their own form of populism and is very popular
to be anti-israel very popular the idea here that they're pointing out is hypocrisy
they're saying hey the the fact that these both these parties care more
about sending your tax dollars to what they perceive as a genocide um that that points out the
hypocrisy of both of these parties that they don't actually care about you at all they only care
about funding this other nation doing these other wars and so he's got a really good leg to stand on
when he goes to the constituency now so he can say i'm the ultimate outsider i'm going to stop this
these people are all in cahoots just look at what happened right i i'm going ahead in the polls my
own party comes out to sabotage me why because they want israel to do well yeah but do you not
think that that's a an like objectively become a tactic that you can just use you're accused of
being part of having family connections to the muslim brotherhood don't look at me look at israel
of course every problem can now be just diverted but politics isn't about what's true it's about
what people think is true you're making a video and when you're talking about optics here optics
are what matters more than anything else and his optics are real good here and theirs are not real
good mike rogers being endorsed by a democrat uh over the issue of israel he now has leverage to
say look at that uniparty look at that uniparty i'm the outsider so it actually helps him out
in your opinion massively helps him tom do you agree with him it looks like the poll showed
that exactly yeah yeah i'll tell you words talk number scream i'll give you some numbers
what did el sayed raise in the 24 hours after that endorsement on act blue 2.4 million dollars
on act blue 2.4 million dollars was raised in 24 hours he raised 1.2 million in four and a half
hours so when when andrew talks about having the opposite effect look look what they did
they stepped on the gas to use this and it was hypocrisy and betrayal that's what you talked
about all of those text messages and everything because you know all this is done by text has
anybody been tech swarmed in the last two weeks i just i just got one
one of those text messages and everything because you know all this is done by text has anybody been tech swarmed in the last two weeks i just i just got one
from the byron donalds uh correct team well tech swarms are everywhere right now and they're pushing out um you know these heartstring um ads for emails they're everywhere and i think all of us have probably got all kinds of things on our phones because we our numbers get put in there whenever you're by the way if you're communicating with a politician they're probably going to slide your number to blue or red you know and you're going to get all this stuff but pat that's what happened this gave him a huge lift
pat that's what happened this gave him a huge lift and there's the forbes story right there and because i was tracking it yesterday at four hours 1.2 million isn't it incredible it well it gave him a lift but he was gonna win anyway i don't think that it's it's gonna it's the deciding factor that she went it well i would be cautious on that really yeah i'd be cautious on being too quick to the draw that say it's just gonna take it uh or even that he was up to a week ago this was brutal for republicans they just don't know it yet
they just don't know it yet giving the opposition the optics that they now have an outsider candidate and both of the other parties are in unification on something is really bad in political elections now it's terrible yeah the idea is political populism all the way you have to be an outsider for populism to work that looked like it was all insider trading right and by the way if we look at numbers right now you got a billion dollars midterm machine it's the most we've ever seen 680 from all the 637 from all these different packs cryptos
in it apparently for how much money i think i saw 200 million dollars of what they're doing you've
seen the ads you've seen what's going on uh when it comes down to it if you look at this specific
race we'll go into a couple other ones right now in a minute if you had to guess right now who do
you think is going to win between abdul and rogers where do you stand i was very clear abdul i think
are you but are you at a point that you're saying it's over like abdul's going to pick it up in my
view it's it's it's pretty bad yeah where are you at vinnie i'm what i think and what i'm hoping
because i'm kind of with andrew pat it's like it's again you never know if we learned anything from
polls and hillary and markets it doesn't always that's why i'm so happy like let's just let's just
wait because mind you she only lost by like he was supposed to win the primary by 10 10. he won by 1 1
okay so that means there's a there's a couple of groups like the black by the way he's going on
this i'm cool with black people pandering tour because he's trying and i've seen a lot of
interviews on the streets where these people are like not to hell with him i'm going with mike
rogers he's like just just decency in america and i buddy say what you want about what she's doing
at least it's like an rfk and tulsi gabbard moment where she's she's shifting at least she's not
doing like by the way totally legal she's not doing alaska dan sullivan changing the name which
connor at some point if you could find that freaking it's still on the ballot and trump
posted how confusing it is because they have to write in parentheses the incumbent is this one
so it's obviously and they can't find them by the way but what stood out to me pat just really
really quickly with this was the hassan piker angle she's like you know what that with everything
that he said mind you even in that clip still because i argue with chank with this freaking
uncle he still has the the world trade towers on fire behind him even though he was arguing
for him saying no he's not that guy al-sayyad is that guy bro abolishing ice making all these
people citizens that are here the transgenders in school which is that's all that that's a key
all sliding into the thing i think pat i'm hopeful that people that her little shift might help
because it's pretty close it's pretty close michiganders are pretty left now though you have
to point out they have whitmer there and she's been a terrible horrible terrible governor but
the truth is is that the democrats tend to take it tom so right here if they'll scroll down a
60 days right there this is all the polls are out there some of these polls are bs and we try to
pull them out but on point politics put this together take a look at just the trend of the
polls you've got stuff that's in there that's good bad and different in terms of the quality
of the polls but if you look at all the polls in the trend this has been trending you know
two points al-sayyad and if you take the absolute tread line right now it's seven i don't think it's
that big and i think it's going to take a hell of a turnout andrew but i think it's going to take a
hell of a turnout andrew but i think it's going to take a hell of a turnout andrew i think that
rogers is in big trouble he's not an exciting candidate he's a nice man but he's not a driver
of the of the populace and i don't want this output i hate these numbers i hate them as an
american and what it means what's going to happen there but i think the reality is al-sayyad in my
book is looking at at least a three-point victory unless turnout is so huge that it shifts yeah now
in these the polls that you're currently showing a lot of the polls that you're currently showing
a lot of these polls don't they can't actually confirm whether these are republicans or democrats
they just assume it based on previous voting patterns is that what's going on now with these
well they're what you're talking about has been out there a lot and there's a lot of people talking
about it um rich barris talks about it i think you're referencing mark mitchell talks about i
think these are the people you might be referencing and there's some of the a couple of those guys are
seen as more radioactive than others in certain camps so what's interesting is you're talking
about what's right now you're talking about you're talking about you're talking about you're
Now, Pat, there's this whole concept going on in polling circles, and we're all going to find out tomorrow night about the defectors.
And what they're saying is the you're nodding. It's the independent voters that went for Trump.
What was Trump's margin of victory? And then it's the edge Republicans that had registered Republican on the surge.
You know, legitimacy of 2020, whatever it is, you don't have to believe in the reasons.
You don't agree with the reasons. But voters, Pat, registered Republican.
But they were always edge voters and they're being referred to now as defectors.
And there's a lot, a lot of defectors here. And no, you don't know everything at all.
But when you take out the clear fallacy polls, Andrew, and you look at everything else and you kind of handicap them a bit, there's a trend.
Yeah. And the trend is the trend is right in front of us.
I think I think the part that, you know, is also very risky to flirt with is the following.
Here's here's the part.
Here's the part.
Here's the part where automatically if the opposition is showing, like, remember that morning, hey, 2016, 95 percent chance Hillary Clinton is going to win.
Oh, my God. What was the purpose of me voting?
And, you know, there's four different types of voters.
The one that flips and goes to the other side, the one that sits it out, the one that votes.
But it's like, I'm not really that excited. And the one that's excited, right?
Oh, my God, this person is going to change my life.
The true believers.
Yeah, the true believers. So right now, how many true believers in the Republic?
Are people going out there door knocking?
For Paxton, man, I want to go tell the world.
I want to tell the world about Mike Rogers.
I want to tell the world about Byron Donalds.
I don't know. The enthusiasm is not there.
So you don't have that.
But but this is the part that you cannot lose half the battle.
On the way, the enemy beats you is to convince you you've lost to not even show up.
That is the best strategy out there, where if there's anything like you go to a game, sometimes you've got a kid that plays a sport.
And before they go to a game and the coach says something like, oh, my God, I'm going to win.
I'm going to win.
Oh, my God, these guys are 10 times better than us.
And let me tell you, you know, everybody in the market says they're going to beat us and it's going to be 8-0.
That's the worst message to also give versus to say, no, we're going to go fight.
I don't know. Yeah, they're much they're ranked number one, ranked number 28.
But we're still going to go fight and see what happens.
I think the idea of putting that doubt in you right now to see what's going to happen.
The Republicans have to identify what's happening on the other side.
What does a first Muslim senator mean in the history of America?
What is it?
What does it mean?
Does that do anything to you?
Do you want that mindset from a guy whose sister tweeted 14 years ago about Muslim Brotherhood, MB, and the support for it?
Casually, relatives being a part of it.
Are you OK with that?
And you think if they get the first one, you don't think they're going to get the second or the third or the fourth or the fifth or the sixth.
You don't think in the next 10, 20, 30, 40 years that mindset is going to be here.
Then what happens with that?
Right.
We had a guy this morning who for the last two years, I won't mention his name, but he was here this morning.
And he said, man, I can't believe it.
You know, where is AIPAC when you need them?
Where is AIPAC?
We're going to get a first Muslim senator.
And I looked at him.
I said, for two and a half, three years, you said AIPAC was the enemy and you hated him.
Now you're saying, where is AIPAC?
I said, I thought Israel's the enemy.
I get being angry at Bibi.
I get being angry at all this stuff.
And then when you look at the number of amount of money they're putting compared to others, they're not even what number did they rank AIPAC on how much money they're putting in?
They're not even in the top 30, 40.
Like, yeah, they're not a.
But but I got to give credit to the opposite side.
They created such massive fear porn that a bunch of intelligent, smart people who emotionally fell for it.
And now what are you going to get?
You're going to get your first Muslim senator.
So if this guy comes through anecdotally, I've seen it in my own circle of friends, how it's become like a primary issue for them.
This whole AIPAC thing, this whole trend toward everything going in that direction.
You touched on a really interesting point that it's become kind.
Of like a Trump idea of establishment versus anti-establishment.
And once you frame things that way, the right doesn't have good framing anymore.
They don't have good narratives.
And it's not the argument shouldn't be that he's going to be the first Muslim.
The argument should be that he's an extremist.
His positions are extreme by nature for what we represent as a country beyond that.
You know what I mean?
So that's the bigger problem here is what does he represent?
Who is he connected to?
Who is his family connected to?
And why are we accepting that just because of this single issue?
But that rhetoric didn't work for Trump.
That was the same rhetoric.
The Democrats try to use against Trump that he was an extremist.
He's way out of control.
This guy is way too far to the right.
He's going to do X bad thing to LGBTQ, take away abortion rights.
He's going to none of that worked because it's establishment anti-establishment.
And so long as that's the frame and that's the framing.
And right now that framing is on his side.
And that's real bad.
That trend's real bad.
And because this exposes, this exposes the Republican Party because Trump came in as
just Trump.
And it was like, he maga this base and everything.
And now he's on his way out.
The dust is settling.
And now you're like, wait a minute, Ken, who the hell is it?
Can never even heard of Mike Roger.
I don't know who any of these people are.
And it's, there's no, like you said, there's no excitement.
There's no like, keep this in mind as well.
We also didn't know who Abdul was.
Absolutely.
He came out of nowhere, but he's exciting and he's talented and he's capable and he
can sell the dream and he can talk shit and fight and go back and do even the other day
yesterday when I watched the Stevenson came out.
And it's like, yo, what do you think about Steven's?
What she had to say?
Honestly, I'm not really paying attention.
Do you know who I'm thinking about?
I'm thinking about the family of two kids this way, 15 miles, 15 miles, 15 miles.
What are they going to do to pay for everything that they got?
That's why I'm concerned.
He has it to be able to go through it.
So we'll see what happened.
I want to go through a couple of different stories as well.
But before we do, uh, the story I want to get into is with Tucker's tweet, as well as
the military around the world, you know, getting ready.
We were at, uh, we were at, uh, where were we at yesterday?
We were at Bass.
Yesterday, like some shout out to Kevin and Scott with one T.
Kevin was so helpful for now.
One of the guys comes up.
I asked him five different times.
Can you help?
No, man, I got a break.
I don't know.
Just go to the front.
I'm like, do you work?
Yeah, but I got a break, man.
I got to go to, I'm like, dude, for five minutes, get a guy named Kevin stays with us for 30
minutes, maybe even long, maybe even longer.
Helps us out.
And Scott classy people.
But you could tell people are kind of sitting there saying, Hey, do I need to get prepped?
I got a text this morning from one of my friends in LA at 7 a.m.
California is 4 a.m.
So he's asking a question saying, Hey, is something really going on?
Should I really go prep?
Should I really go through it?
We're going to talk about that.
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All right.
With that being said, fear porn, faith, positivity.
Is something going to happen?
Is something not going to happen?
How does a brand that believes the future looks bright cover things like this, right?
We believe the future looks bright.
Nothing's changed.
I think the part that most of us don't think about enough is as a leader, our job is to be prepared.
That's your job as a man to provide protection for your wife, your kids, your peers, relatives,
people who rely on you to be prepared for what's going on.
But at the same time, you also have to make sure you don't go so,
I have relatives that go so deep into it that they almost can't move.
They can't shake.
Everything around them is so much anxiety and fear and worry about what's going to be taking place.
That's also not a health.
It's not a healthy place to be.
But Tucker posted this yesterday, and it went viral.
Under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration,
maybe within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran, the target would be Pickaxe Mountain in central Iran,
where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program.
No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels
where enrichment is supposedly taking place.
The only military option is nuclear strike.
Netanyahu.
Has been pushing hard for one.
Bibi calls Trump about every day, says an informant observer.
Netanyahu's concerned and desperate after last week's election results.
He can't form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israel politics and brokers a deal
and other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset.
Otherwise, he is out of prime minister.
Anyway, so this guy goes all the way through.
It's a long tweet.
I'm not going to read it to you.
If you want to keep going through it, maybe do me a favor and just get a summary bullet point
so I can read the summary to the audience for them to get.
Just do a summary on it.
So that comes out.
And then you hear stories of what the government's getting ready to do potentially after midterms.
They're waiting for it.
And, you know, hey, should I?
Some are whispering, saying the grid could be down three days.
So be ready for the grid to be down three days.
You and I talked about that yesterday.
So they may bring the grid down themselves is the rumor that's spreading because they don't want the enemy to be able to tap into our system.
So this is why I go out there.
And, you know, buy yourself water, food, prep, 60 days, 30 days.
That's what the conversation is sounding like today.
OK, I'll come to you first.
Elon, when you see this tweet, I had you read it early this morning because we were going to talk about on the podcast.
When you see this tweet, I'm by the way, Washington divided Carlson claims Hexer, Cooper, Rubio, Ratcliffe and even Obama opposed the emerging Iran peace agreement.
While J.D., Steve Woodcock are urging Trump to pursue a diplomacy, catastrophic economic environmental consequence.
He warns that a nuclear strike would contaminate.
Persian Gulf water supplies affecting 100 million people devastate already strained global energy markets and trigger a worldwide economic depression.
Risk of World War Three.
He argues that American nuclear first use would establish a dangerous precedent, potentially encouraging Russia, India, Pakistan and North Korea to deploy nuclear weapons in their own conflicts.
Trump faces a critical decision.
He alleges the administration has quietly relaxed its nuclear doctrine since February, making tactical nuclear weapon easier to deploy.
He claims Trump is hesitating.
But could decide whether to authorize a strike within days.
Your thoughts on him?
I think he's arguing something that, number one, hasn't happened.
He's created an argument.
And then he's saying, if this happens, I mean, we were supposed to be in World War Three, according to Tucker Carlson, maybe 40 times now.
And it hasn't happened.
So and Tucker Carlson has gone down a very weird trend.
What has he gotten right?
What prediction has he made that he's gotten right?
He was right about the fact that we were going to attack Iran.
He did predict that.
And he's made a few other generalized predictions.
This is a very hyper specific prediction, and this is one that has major consequences and there's no real evidence to support it.
And again, Tucker Carlson has an odd trend in the past four years or so of going down this.
He defended the Taliban, saying that they treat their drug addicts better than us.
He did propaganda talking about how great McDonald's in Russia tastes.
He's gone down this weird trend, talked about how amazing Sharia law is and how we shouldn't be talking bad about Sharia law.
So there's a weird trend with Tucker where I don't take him as seriously as I used to.
I think you were talking about, you know, fear, fear mongering and kind of this sentiment in the country.
He has used this as a tactic consistently, either for engagement.
I don't I can't, you know, assert what his intentions are, but I see a trend with him to push fear for whatever reason.
And he never has consequence or accountability when it doesn't happen the way he said.
So he gets by the way, is there is the timing intentional, meaning the timing of posting this a day before midterms, two days?
Does this tweet help Republicans or hurt some tremendous?
No one's going to be pro a nuclear tactical.
OK, but what I'm saying is if you read into the tweet, does this tweet help the Republican Party or hurt the Republican Party?
Or it's indifferent. It's got no impact on it for midterms at all.
To my view, it hurts. It comes back to nobody.
Nobody wants more war. And what Tucker is doing here, first of all, he's used to be a journalist.
Where's the independently verifiable information?
Where's one quote, one person, one source?
He doesn't have that. And wasn't it?
Check me on this. I think 30 days ago, Trump publicly said he ruled out nuclear as an option.
I think he said that 30 days ago. Yeah, very clearly.
And right now, what you're saying is it's interesting, Pat, two reactions.
This is a hoax trucker. Will you please knock it off?
And then, oh, my gosh, I'm so alarmed. Both sides gets massive engagement.
Forty eight million. That's how I read it. Yeah.
Well, there's a lot going on here.
So when I went through and investigated this, here's what I found.
I found that the way that this was driven forward was they were saying there's multitudes of countries who are telling their citizenry that you need to be prepared.
Actually, that's not true. So a lot of these supposed warnings came last year, middle of last year, beginning of this year.
Right. And they come every year.
So almost every nation on planet Earth.
Planet Earth tells their citizenry you should have three days of food.
Right. And water just in case of emergency.
This is nothing new.
The United States does this all the time.
Hegseth has already told us that he was going to move towards some sort of national preparedness because of how many hurricanes, things like this we end up with, where people are just woefully unprepared.
So the whole thing is a hoax from the ground up.
It's a hoax. None of it's true.
These warnings are coming out.
They're putting together warnings that came out from a year ago in some cases.
Well, let me ask you this question.
Let me play the devil's advocate and go to the other side and say, what's the likelihood that either a grid going down for three days or a nuclear strike taking place within the next two weeks?
What's the likelihood of that happening?
It's very low.
Give me a percentage of where you think.
I have mine.
Where are you at?
Abysmal, maybe 1%.
Okay, I'm at 5%.
Yeah, I'm at 2% to 3% of a grid attack.
Where are you at, Tom?
I'm at 5%.
Biddy?
Okay, so you're above all of us.
But that's really high.
Yeah, I think that's really high.
I agree with you.
It's 1 out of 1 in 20, in my opinion.
Right now, here's the thing.
Okay, what's the likelihood that Democrats are going to win House?
According to Cal, she has 96%.
Pretty sure.
According to Cal, I don't know if you have that report up or not.
Pull it up.
Okay, what's the likelihood that Democrats are going to take control of Senate?
According to Cal, 74% according to Cal.
That's called a sweep.
Okay, look at this.
House is 94%.
And, and, and.
And, by the way, if you think.
Those stats are looking bad.
That's absolutely bad.
And Senate is 74%.
So now here's a question.
Let's go to it, Andrew.
If we know Trump's going to lose Senate, he's going to lose House,
how long does he have to attack Iran without needing the accountability
and approval from House and Senate?
How many days does he have?
January.
9 a.m. January 4th, Monday.
Beautiful.
So you got two months, right?
That's what you got.
That's when they swear in.
Perfect.
So you got two months that he can go through it.
Do you think.
Well, wait a second.
I don't think that's accurate because he already has an appropriation budget that he can still
use, I think, up through the next year to continue the attacks.
It's true that they could pass new legislation to try to rein him in, but they can't do that
day one.
And he still has a budget.
He's the commander in chief.
He has unilateral, broad unilateral control over the armed forces.
How much more, how much more pain in the butt will they be for him to have the free for
all ability to do whatever he wants?
They'll impeach him day one.
I agree with that.
A thousand percent.
They'll put in impeachment proceedings right away, whether they actually go anywhere or
not.
They'll still.
They were talking about they want to go after Hexit or somebody like that.
They'll go after.
They'll go after everybody.
But this is the argument.
Let me give you the argument.
Give me a rebuttal.
The argument is the following.
The argument is, Andrew, he's got 60 days to do it after the midterms.
He's not doing it pre midterms because pre midterms could hurt the midterms for Republicans.
He's been on the campaign.
I don't know if you guys have seen it.
He's done 30 campaign stops in the last two and a half weeks.
OK, at 80 years old, he's done 30 stops one by one by one.
He's going.
He said, I wasn't going to go to Michigan, but I decided to come because I think Mike
Rogers is this.
What's the likelihood that this tweet because, you know, you think Tucker speaking to some
people in the CIA that are friends of Tucker who are anti-Trump people?
Of course.
You think he's got some people that work in the White House that secretly are pro?
You don't think him and J.D. have spoken?
Of course they have.
You don't think he's spoken to some people that are within the Department of War Department
of, you know, where?
They side with him.
Of course he has.
He has these – to be naive and say some of these sources are not real,
you're also being naive and you're not thinking he's talking to those guys.
But what about some of the people that say he's going to attack Iran
because if he doesn't and Iran stays, they're going to come out and say face
and look what we did, the big, bad, evil guy that everybody's afraid of Trump.
We stood up and we beat him.
And that will hurt the Republicans' 2028 chances,
and that hands off the election to somebody like an AOC in 2028.
Do you think there's some credibility in that specific argument?
I doubt it because of just pure pragmatism.
So even from the pragmatic approach, if you're Trump,
it's still way better for you to try to extricate yourself peacefully
from the Iranian conflict rather than attack him.
If he does attack him and then you have Democrats in control of both chambers
and they move in impeachment proceedings,
the entire public –
the entire public could easily turn against Trump.
Even a lot of his hangers-on may turn against him
if he does a full-on ground invasion of Iran.
Or a tactical nuke.
A tactical nuke is way –
It's so extreme.
The whole world would then be going after Trump.
So just from a –
You think he's capable of it?
You think he's capable of it?
No, I think Trump, despite talking big, has a –
Very unlikely.
He's an intelligent guy.
Well, let me ask you.
I think that from a pragmatic view,
it's hard for me to envision that he wouldn't want to pull away peacefully now.
Okay, question.
Question for you.
Who's Truman to you?
He was never president while we were alive,
but you read the history books.
Who's Truman to you?
Top 23 president or bottom 23 president?
I would put him at the bottom 23.
Tom, where do you put Truman?
I put him at top 23.
He basically stopped World War II.
It was messy.
It was ugly.
It was terrible.
He stopped it,
and he tried to start the economic recovery afterwards.
Okay, where do you put him?
Any opinion on Truman?
No, not as strong, but I'm with Tom on that.
Okay.
If that's the case, what did Truman do?
What button did he press?
That's true.
He dropped the atomic bombs.
Atomic bombs.
Which, by the way, but history now looking back on it,
says that that might have been one of the best decisions.
But this is where I'm going with you.
What I'm trying to get the conversation,
and guys, push back.
I don't want you to agree.
I want you to push back.
Do you think somebody in his ear is sharing the history and saying,
hey, I just want you to know,
history books favored Truman
because he was able to do it.
He was able to do what even FDR didn't have the audacity to do.
Do you think anybody in his ear. Fundamentally very different.
Yeah, there's no way.
And maybe a guy like Lindsey Graham,
because he was one that kept saying,
let's go, let's go, let's go.
Yeah, be like Roosevelt.
Do you think a person like the late Lindsey Graham
is here whispering that in his ear?
I do think that he has tons of people,
his own administration, Joe Kent.
When I talked to Joe Kent, he told me directly.
He's like, look, he has a lot of people around who fluff his ego,
and through that ego fluffing,
they give him terrible advice when it comes to Israel,
and he does follow a lot of it.
I've heard it enough times from people
who are former members of the administration
that I agree that that's true.
The distinction between Truman, though,
and what's going on right now
is that we were in this bloody war
where we had tens of thousands of body bags
coming home for years.
So the idea of selling to the American people
that it's justified to drop an atomic bomb
or this new weapon they've never seen
was totally justified.
The Americans wanted that war done.
Their daughters and sons were coming home
in body bags overwhelmingly.
That's not what. That's not what's happening here.
You're also looking at direct attacks on American soil.
What have we had as a total death count
in the Iranian conflict?
I mean, you're talking about more people
dying yearly in training exercises
in the U.S. military
than are dying in this conflict.
So there's no justification for Trump
to do any sort of ground invasion.
There's no good justification for him
to do any sort of tactical nuke.
That's going to be a really hard sell
without body bags.
Let me ask you a different question.
Have you prepped?
Do you have anything that you prepped?
What do you have?
What do you have as a prepper yourself?
Give me five basic things that you have
that maybe if somebody's listened to this,
they haven't, maybe they want to consider.
Three, beans, rice, bullets.
It's the. Yeah, that's the big one.
Beans, rice, bullets.
Is that literally what it is for you?
Yeah, listen.
Yeah, and access to water.
What you want is, like you said, water, right?
Water can. You can have storage issues with water long-term,
but it's easy enough to get your hands on.
Water purification is too.
Long-term food storage is not difficult.
You can do it with a half a percent of your paycheck over time.
And really, you're only looking to get through an initial crisis.
That's it.
You're not going to be bunkering down in the middle of the suburbs
in your house for 60 days after the grid goes down.
That's just not what's going to happen.
You want enough, though, to get through an initial crisis.
Okay, so any other ones specifically?
Anything else that you want to add to it?
I think for grid-wise, crank radio is always going to be good
because you want to hear what's happening.
Flashlights, ham radio, solid flashlight.
Solid flashlight.
Tourniquets are important.
Yeah, food, first aid kit.
You know, I love, obviously, the bullets and the guns because. First aid kits. I like the first aid kits.
Because if you don't have the gun, guess what?
You're just getting supplies for the biggest guy in the block.
Penicillin is actually an odd thing to, like, if you can get. Petrocycline, you know, antibiotics.
Just to have extras.
How much ammo did we buy yesterday?
Like, it was to the point where people that were buying guns
were, like, in their moment, and they were just, like. One guy was like, oh, my God.
We literally went in.
I said, how much more do you have of this?
It's the only thing we have.
I want all of it.
How much more do you have of this?
I want all of it.
We picked up everything.
I already have 50,000 ammo in the house.
It's not like you don't have it.
This is what I will tell you.
But what about the. I would say this.
The one thing I would add, more than anything else,
I would actually spend three times the amount
against goods on training.
So first aid kits are worthless
if you don't have first aid training, and most people don't.
Guns are worthless if you don't know how to use them.
Phenomenal feedback.
If it's the case that you have water,
water purification tablets,
but you don't know how to purify anything,
and that's most people.
So I see tons of people who have tons of stuff in their house,
and they have no idea how to use it.
I would spend, if you have any budget set aside for survival
or for long-term prepping,
three times more on the training than the items.
You'd be surprised at how much you have in your household
that can double up for use if you just have basic training.
Okay, so let's do this.
Let's go to the other thing here to talk about.
Tom, you know, a lot of billionaires
and folks who have money, the wealthy,
they're building nuclear bunkers, okay?
They're making that investment.
They're not making it because they want to celebrate
their 50th birthday party in the nuclear bunker.
They're not doing it because it's like,
"Hey, Andrew, you're invited.
"Come on down.
"Let's go four stories below,
"and let's have a good time together, right?
"Let's have a good time."
They're doing it because they're concerned
if shit were to hit the fan, we gotta be ready for it, right?
Where are you at with this?
Are you at a place that something could happen
in the next 60 days, Tom?
- Yeah, I am.
I look at it on two simple axis,
trigger points and response points.
Trigger points.
If Trump, against the wall, does something.
Now, do I think he's going to use actual nuke?
No, and I see people out there are saying,
"Ah, they were using DU rounds in Iraq."
And I'm like, "Screw you.
"That's depleted uranium.
"That's on the tip of the bullets
"so that they penetrate tanks."
You know, so they penetrate.
That's not a nuclear device designed with radiation and heat
to take out personnel.
So I look at, is Trump going to exhaust a lot of options
to go after Iran and kind of wrap this up?
Yes.
Do I think there's already sleeper cells
in the United States and other places?
Yes.
Do I think there's gonna be, I'm gonna use a word here,
a nuisance act that kills a lot of people?
And what I mean by that, it's a one-time act.
It's a huge, tragic nuisance.
It's not a. It's a demonstrated military force
that, like football, takes land, has a new beachhead,
now they can move forward.
So I think in the next 60 days,
we are probably gonna see reactions
and we're gonna see sleeper cells try to do things.
I think there's unfortunately gonna be a loss, number one.
Number two, I think Trump's really trying
to drop that ace of spades, the Trump card, down
and get this thing wrapped up.
And I think he may have people talking to him about nukes.
I think that's gonna happen in the next 60 days.
So here's the thing.
Here's the thing with, you know, future looks bright,
only the paranoid survive, right?
I'm being paranoid, but I believe in that.
Both can be true.
Oh, by the way, I'm 51-49.
I'm always in a 51-49 camp.
I'm right there with you.
Future looks bright.
60-40 is also good to be there,
but let's just say we're in that camp.
But here's what I want you to think about.
Before 9/11 happened,
did anybody think 9/11 was gonna happen?
No.
Nobody was sitting around saying 9/11 was gonna happen,
except if your name is Alex Jones, you know,
who made the prediction, what, a few months prior to that?
That something's about to happen?
And whoever shorted the airlines,
those guys were pretty good.
But Alex Jones always makes the prediction
something's about to happen.
Therefore, when something does happen,
he can always retroactively point it in.
So that's the broken clock theory, right?
But I'm gonna tell you, that was a little bit,
you gotta give the guy credit when it comes down to that one.
That was a little bit too strange to get that right.
However, let's go through this.
Let's say we attack you on time.
Let's say midterm's done, and within three days,
five days, seven days, nine days, boom, we go in.
- In our own way.
- Turn it up.
- Yeah, turn it up.
You go out there and do it your own way.
You said sleeper cells.
Story comes out saying Iran exposes vulnerabilities
at 26 military bases.
I don't know if you guys saw that story or not,
of what they're talking about.
And then Khamenei coming out saying we're fully ready.
If you do anything, we're ready to go to war.
We're ready to, you know, represent ourselves
and defend ourselves.
What page is that on, by the way, on the sleeper cells,
the 20, is that addendum or is that the main story?
Let me see which one that is.
Find that one.
Conor, text it to me.
I thought I had it here.
What page is that on?
No, just don't get Iran.
Yeah, what page is it?
I just had it right in front of me.
I can't hear it.
Can I hear something?
Let me see what page I got.
I'm going to go to this because this tells us exactly where Iran's at.
Because Iran's not sitting there not taking this thing seriously, right?
They're looking at the military bases.
Tom, I'll come to you before I find this.
So let's just say we do attack.
Let's just say we do go after them.
What are some different ways that Iran could do something outside of the sleeper cells?
Well, I think Iran has been quietly rebuilding and they've got missiles and they've got help from China and they've got help from Russia.
Let's remember what we did.
We intercepted a whole tanker full of chemicals that has one use to make rocket propellant, to make fuel for rockets.
So we intercepted that.
We've seen that Russia was giving coordinates and saying, no, no, one block over, three feet to the left.
And Russia was giving those coordinates about our base locations in the Middle East and in Qatar and Oman.
And so it's like, oh, gee, thanks.
So we know they've been getting help and we know they've been rebuilding their rockets.
And we know that they launched one off.
Was it May?
They launched it all the way out past the Gulf and they landed it near Diego Garcia.
Yep.
They got all the way out there.
So what do I think?
I think they're in the back and I think they're building stuff and I think they're getting ready for it.
Here, let me read this to you.
And that's what I think.
Iran strikes on more than two dozen U.S. bases in the Middle East, focused on early warning systems before hitting aircraft and buildings,
causing billions of dollars in equipment damage, according to an associate press analysis.
The AP independently verified damage using satellite imagery from multiple providers through August.
More than 115 drones or missile strikes claimed by Iran or Iranian-backed militias damaged or destroyed structures on 26 military bases and other sites with U.S. equipment.
The damage has significantly reshaped.
The American foothold in the Middle East, with two regional officials saying the U.S. has moved many of its assets out of Persian Gulf.
It raises questions about American defenses, as Trump considers new strikes after Tuesday's midterm election.
And Tehran has vowed major retaliation.
Most of the attacks have been in Kuwait, where six soldiers were killed in a drone strike at Port Shaouba on March 1st.
A radar hit Jordan was set to be destroyed.
It was one of only 13 possessed by the army globally.
Manufacturer Raytheon said each cost about. a half a billion dollars.
Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell asserted that U.S. forces and bases are well-protected.
Andrew.
Yeah, I mean, the only thing that I would add is. Do any of you guys remember the Stuxnet virus?
That was a big deal, where the Israelis sent a virus over to Iran, which attacked their centrifuges.
What it did is it increased their speed over time until they ripped themselves to pieces.
The Iranians developed the best counter-cyber. you know, group on planet Earth, even better than the Israelis.
So, chances are actually good if there's mass retaliation from the Iranians,
it'll be some sort of cyber attack, a massive cyber attack.
That would be the way that I would do it, to strike at the heart of the beast.
What this is, what Patrick's outlining is how they could strike domestically with missiles, things like that.
That actually wouldn't be nearly as effective as attacking the heart of the beast,
as far as a political victory would go.
Yeah.
Right?
Yeah.
And by the way, I want to throw a curveball out there with a super chat that we just got right now.
And here's what it says.
Let me pull it up for you and read it to you.
It's from GalileoLopez5081.
Iran will go nuclear on Iran and blame Israel.
That would gain the support of all Islam and the United States, turning its back on Israel.
Book of Revelations unfolds.
Now, you can call it extremely going deep, but your thoughts on what could happen with Iran?
I think Iran is very much just trying to play this game of asymmetrical warfare, cheap for them, expensive for us.
They're trying to make the world go round.
They're trying to make the war as unpalatable as possible.
Their goal isn't victory.
Their goal is survival at the expense of as much chaos as possible.
That's how they essentially win this.
They are rebuilding behind the scenes.
Their long-term goal is obviously longer-range ballistic missiles.
And I agree 100% that the worst attack we could experience would be some kind of cyber attack on our infrastructure that causes major, major. I would argue we've already been experiencing it.
So on X and other places like this where none of that information is censored anymore.
So it used to be.
It used to be censored on Twitter.
You could get access to Iranian state military direct messages.
I would actually argue that their cyber campaign for pro-Iranian propaganda has been excellent, beyond excellent.
And Israel, on the other hand, has had the worst PR campaign that I've ever seen.
It's always had the worst PR campaign.
But it's worse now than I've ever seen it.
Yeah, they've completely lost touch with the message.
And the Iranians are doing quite well.
And they flood.
They flood the entire zone with information and misinformation.
And before you know it, that goes from being lore to being something that people believe.
We're talking about all the schoolgirls who die.
Is that true?
We still don't know if that's true.
But in the mind cemented of many people, it is, even if it's not.
So I would argue that they've already been doing these attacks very successfully.
I would argue Israel has already been doing those counterattacks very unsuccessfully.
All using propaganda.
All using the state media.
I want to get to this next story.
And this next story to me is where, when you think about Europe, what is the one country
in the EU that's been dominating and been left out of all the crisis that UK's experiencing,
Germany's experiencing.
Poland.
Poland.
Poland.
Right?
Dominic Tarjinsky was here last week.
Be like Poland.
And story comes out about what's going on in Poland with the constitutional crisis.
If you want to pull up the video that you have of Dominic responding, I'll read the
story to you.
And then we'll go to the video and we'll react to it.
Now, keep in mind.
This is a country that has had the lowest unemployment rate, the lowest rape percentage
out of all the EU countries.
Their borders are tight.
There's a video last week showing Muslims across the border saying, hey, let us in,
let us in, let us in.
Nope.
My wife's about to die.
My wife's.
No, you can't come here.
Then one guy says, shoot me.
And the Polish soldier, oh, you want me to shoot you?
Boom.
He shoots him.
Right?
With the pellet gun.
But he shoots him and drops him.
Ah, ah, ah.
You hear him crying like that.
And then story comes out with Poland.
Polish president.
He's flying around after coup at nation's top court.
While en route to Senegal, Poland president Carol Navrocki turned his plane around and
returned home after police entered Poland's top court, a constitutional tribunal.
And the tribunal's president was suspended.
At such a moment, the president must be in Poland.
Now Wierski posted on X, I'm interrupting my flight to Senegal.
I'm returning police security tribunal after dozens of protesters gathered to demonstrate
against what they call the wrongful suspension.
Restoring the rule of law is our duty, said Tusk, who returned to power in 2023
after a promise to restore the judiciary independence after years of PIS-led lawlessness.
This is a difficult process, sometimes painful, and it requires decision, decisive action.
It's true coup d'etat is underway, said the PIS Justice Minister Zoboro.
This is a blatant criminal attack, unconstitutional order.
This is why I call for resistance that will be loud, firm, solidary, and fearless, said the former prime minister.
justice cannot be achieved through violence adding that tusk will stop at nothing to cling to power
u.s ambassador to poland tom rose called the events very serious indeed can you pull up the
clip by dominic tarjanski and i'll come to you guys go for it okay guys let me explain you what
is happening now in poland in poland we have liberal left government tusk his name is tusk
He's a prime minister. And what is happening now with Tribunal Court, Constitutional Tribunal? They want to take over. They want to shove it with their own people. Why? Because they want to get rid of Polish currency.
they want to get us into the eurozone here because they are pushed by Germans also they want to get
rid of of our secure borders because Germans want to spread illegals and they want to send them to
Poland so that what they want to do first of all Polish currency Zloty by the constitution
is our currency they have to change the constitution without tribunal court without
Constitutional Court they cannot do it so number one they want to get rid of
Polish currency they want they want us to get euro and get into the eurozone
and then take our gold the biggest reserve in European Union to Frankfurt
to European Central Bank German Bank they want to open the borders and they
want to make sure that when they're gonna lose because we've got elections
Next year, Tribunal Court, Constitutional Court will do nothing against what is going to happen.
So there's much more reasons, but I want you to understand.
Tom, your thoughts on this. What's going on here with Poland?
So there's two things going on with Poland.
One of them is EU, and the other is liberalism.
On the EU side, guess what? Poland is a thriving manufacturing economy.
And so EU needs additional tax dollars.
EU has got a huge problem right now with tax dollars.
So they need more taxpayers from a stable economy.
Hey, why don't we bring Poland into the club or force them into the club, number one.
Number two, the Germans right now have 11,000, 11,000 illegals that they've identified as criminal and they want to move them someplace.
Criminal, and they want to move them someplace.
So Dominic is correct.
The Germans want anywhere but here.
Why?
Because conservatives have been winning German elections.
So now the people in Germany have even gone, oh, wait, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, we went a little too far here.
All of a sudden the election goes a little bit more conservative, a little bit more right, AFD.
Wait a minute.
Wait a minute.
And so, hey, if we bring Poland into EU, we get tax dollars.
And by the way, see gold reserves, if they declare them, they declare against their currency and it's Eurozone, they say, okay, we'll do the reserves.
We'll move all your gold reserves to Frankfurt.
So it's EU economic, but then it's also, you know, it's more land and more area.
And even Germany quietly navel-gazing in the corner is saying, man, we really screwed up this immigrant thing.
We got 11,000 that we're trying to move.
Andrew.
Yeah, I'm going to be totally honest with you.
I've been trying to figure this out since it happened, and I'm not actually any closer to figuring it out.
So this is actually really complex.
The Polish parliamentary system and what's been going on has been very complex.
So I've been trying to decode it.
But my understanding essentially is that the Supreme Court, that's what they consider their Supreme Court, their tribunal, that the left and the EU wants control of that.
But why they want.
Why they want control of that, that seems to be a massive issue here.
So the right-leaning party is saying, like he just did, hey, they want it because they want to remove the currency.
They want the immigration.
No, they want to harmonize the currency with the EU.
Yeah, they want to pull it into the EU.
But the left view is what I'm looking at, right?
The left view is actually we need it because, you know, the right are a bunch of traitors and it's all treason.
And we had to seize control.
And I don't I don't understand exactly how they're going to get by with this, though.
I don't understand how they how what was the idea to get away, save democracy by taking over the tribunal by taking over the tribe.
Yeah, that's their whole thing.
Because, Andrew, they couldn't do it at the voting booth.
They were unable to do it at the voting booth.
Now you're seeing this.
We're seeing now you're seeing a minority of the left freaking out.
And Pat, what they're trying to do, they're trying to push the levers that they can push.
And they're getting coverage.
Media, they're getting coverage from EU.
They're getting coverage from Ursa van der Leyen.
You know, oh, good.
Now I get to rule over Poland's economy, too.
Fantastic.
Christina Lagarde.
Oh, you have gold.
We'll bring it over here and we'll do this with Central Bank.
Yeah.
Yeah, that's what they want.
They want to bring it in.
They need strength.
Poland makes the EU stronger.
Well, it'll destroy Poland in the process.
Exactly.
It's a parasitic ideology.
But am I crazy in pointing out that, like, I didn't care about Poland.
Polish politics, even a little bit.
You're absolutely right.
I couldn't I couldn't name a single Polish politician because I didn't care about it.
But there is a parallel to what we could see happen in our own country.
We do see calls to pack the courts.
We do see calls to, you know, if you can't do it one way, you do.
Yeah.
So there are 13 Supreme Court justices.
Well, think about it.
The president leaves on an airplane and you have like their Supreme Court just basically trying to do a coup and take over.
And I understand what you're talking about, because like we're like Poland.
The only thing that I know about Poland is, I mean, I grew up.
We're on a lot of.
Polish people and Dominic, who I absolutely love.
But if you notice, bro, what they're trying to do here is not that bold and that brash.
You saw last week they reported all these videos came out from that a Republican about the freaking coup that they're trying to do here with ex USAID members and ex military people that are trying to do it.
In fact, like I'm noticing you guys see this trend.
Look what's happening in Brazil.
The riots in France, all the stuff in Albania, Italy, Spain, Portugal.
But there's something happening.
You know, I'm saying like, yes, it's a it's a movement and it's trying to undermine.
What people are voting for and what the establishment is.
Yeah, but those no ballists.
Yeah, those I have a lot to do with the public feeling betrayed by the mass migration that's been going.
Absolutely.
But who's triggered?
But who's who's paying?
Let me let me show this, though.
Let me show this to me.
Germans are upset.
To me, a part of this is so always go to concerns, motives, assumptions, fears, asks.
OK, what is who is hating Poland getting the amount of recognition that it's getting in the EU?
Who's hating that?
All the left and the globalists, all the EU members who are sitting there saying we can't have Poland win and have all these solid numbers.
Why are you not letting immigration in?
Don't make us look bad.
Don't make us look like morons because we took immigration and you're the only one that's actually revealing the statistic that your rape is the lowest out of all the EU nations.
Yes, your crime is the lowest.
Your unemployment is don't reveal that you don't let one Muslim and don't reveal that to anybody.
You make us look bad, right?
So they don't like helps the right candidates in you.
So to me, to me, when you say watch this, watch what happened here.
Smart guy, Andrew, right?
He says, why would I care about Poland?
Most people are like, why would they care about Poland?
You know who cares about Poland a lot?
A guy named Barack Obama.
Why does Barack Obama care about Poland?
He's the face of the globalists, right?
For in America.
He was just five months ago when we had Pete Buttigieg on here last week.
I said, Pete, what were you guys doing at that closed door event in Canada?
Were you Slotkin, Obama, Mark Carney?
What conversations?
Were you talking to people?
What conversations?
What conversations?
What conversations?
What conversations?
What conversations?
What were you guys having?
What was going on over there?
Watch what Obama had to say about Poland.
Go for it.
Here's a clip from Obama.
I think you guys got it prepped.
If you want to just go to it, you texted it to me.
Anybody got a pack of Salem's?
I've become increasingly concerned about the rising wave of authoritarianism
sweeping the globe.
Here we go.
We're seeing politicians target civil society,
undermine freedom of the press,
weaponize the justice system,
and no one is being spared.
Even countries that thought they were immune from wholesale assaults on democracy
now understand we're all part of this struggle.
That's an enormous challenge.
But it also means we can learn from each other.
I recently sat down with three leaders who are part of the Obama Foundation's alumni network
to discuss their work in Hungary and Poland.
Two countries on the leading edge of confronting autocracy.
People like Stefania, Sandor,
and Susanna.
They give me hope.
That's why a big part of our mission here at the Foundation
is to connect, inspire, and empower leaders like them.
You know, it's crazy.
All three of you.
So why would Obama be interested in Poland?
Why would he be interested in Hungary?
Are they in the way?
Are they in the way of what you're trying to do?
Why are you so worried about them?
I mean, who wakes up in the morning thinking about Poland?
Obama does.
Well, I know why Hungary.
I mean, because they're very ethnocentric.
Yes.
And so they. The idea of ethnocentrism inside of these European nations
is a big problem for the European Union.
Hungary actually was so right-wing
that they were instituting all sorts of tax policy
for the women there to continue to have children
because they wanted them to be Hungarian, right?
That was the whole point.
So I understand the argument for why it is that globalists
would be interested in this and be focusing on it.
But for me, I focus on domestic U.S. policy.
And so when you bring up Poland,
not a lot of commentators are focusing on European politics
unless it's in Western Europe.
So this kind of hit everybody.
Lots of people are scattering to figure out exactly what's going on.
Yeah, it's always, always pay attention to
why is Obama so interested?
Why are they so interested in Karni?
Why are they so interested in Poland?
Why are you so interested in Hungary?
Because the idea is a threat.
Of course it is.
And that's. And it's. As long as the idea exists, they're going to. It's very Orwellian.
Yeah.
You have to control thought.
And if there's free thought out there
that contradicts your worldview,
you have to attack it and destroy it.
And by the way, you know. They're ethnocentric.
By the way, you know who they're going to target next?
Watch who Obama and Dermot are going to target next.
Bukele, El Salvador.
100%.
Does what?
He's got four of his people
that go on a humanitarian trip in El Salvador.
And while they're there, he says,
listen, I'm going to send my people.
We're going to get them back.
There's nothing you can do about it.
I don't know what page this one's on.
But when they say that,
if you can just text me whatever page it's on,
he says, okay, no problem.
Page 20, by the way.
He says, no problem.
You know what I'm going to do?
I'm going to send 2,000 people to Haiti.
Soldiers.
To rescue soldiers kidnapped by gangs.
You going to send how many?
40?
No, no.
400?
No.
2,000?
The most elite.
Yeah, the most elite.
2,000.
El Salvador has flooded Haiti
with more than 2,000 soldiers
after a gang seized four of its troops.
Bukele ordered to surge to recover.
The missing men support local forces
battling armed groups.
According to BDC,
the four kidnapped soldiers
worked as aviation technicians
with the United Nations
back gang suppression force.
Gangs struck their armored vehicle
on October 18th
in Croix de Bouquet
as they drove past the base
from a market.
According to the Associated Press,
Bukele has called the men hostages
and pledges to return them home unarmed.
A non-governmental organization
later handed over four burned bodies
it said were the missing men.
Bukele has called the men hostages
and pledges to return them home unarmed.
Bukele rejected the claim
saying that the remains
included a child and a body
in another country's uniform.
Bukele started to build up
without a status of force's agreement
with Haiti.
According to the Miami Herald,
Jean, a former Haitian defense ministry,
questioned the legal footings
of the troops.
They need to have a legal framework
or else they are mercenaries.
Okay, this guy's defending Haiti,
by the way.
Yes.
He said gang violence
has killed more than 5,700 people
in Haiti this year
according to UN figures.
The crisis has deepened
since 2009
and 21 assassination
of President Jovenel Moise.
By the way,
this is another person
that the globalists are going to hate
and they're going to go after.
Tom, your thoughts on this story?
Well, first of all, here's the four burned bodies.
These are there.
Did you put them in the right uniform?
Yeah, I'm pretty sure.
What was it, a kid?
It's a Swiss soldier uniform.
Doggone it!
You just ruined a perfectly good lie.
So the whole thing that's going on here is that it's all about justice and might.
And what the left does not like is when the other side has the ability to get justice with might
because they use less soldiers.
Now, Mao did, but I'm talking about right now.
Right now, it's all about the protest at BLM, the protest around Michigan and around El-Sayed.
It's all about that protest you can create economically in New York with our good friend.
So you've got all of that going on.
And for a guy that's got strength that says,
do not make me come over there and bring my own guys because you have no working government.
You have basically a puppet dictatorship.
You're a mess.
You have no working civil defense.
You know what?
I'm going to fly over there and get my guys back.
Don't make me do that.
The left hates that.
They hate that.
It ballooned up to 2,500.
And guys, that's four people.
This is dumb.
That's not a message.
How do you feel about that?
I feel, okay, there's a such thing as overkill and all that type of stuff.
But you know what that says to me if I'm an El Salvadorian, like, citizen?
You know how good I feel knowing that the freaking leader of my…
Obama hates this.
I know.
And guess what?
And I hate Obama.
Because this, to me, like, they hated what he did with the prisons.
They literally, all those prisons, they had all those people down like this,
all those gangsters that are all murderers.
They're like, they're not treating them fairly.
Like, that's the left's attitude is he's treating them inhumane,
making them go with their heads down and stuff.
But as a freaking…
As a citizen, you know how good I feel that my leader's not only protecting us there,
that if, God forbid, you go to another freaking crap hole country with no government,
all right, and you're trying to do humanitarian stuff,
and the people there capture them and they try to kill them, guess what?
We're coming to get you.
And guys, think the number 2,500 people.
Do you understand how many people that is?
Soldiers that are…
Four people.
That's…
I freaking love it.
Okay, let me ask you a question.
Come get me.
Let me ask you a question.
Say he finds out definitely those four have been killed.
Oh, it's not good.
What does he do?
It's not good.
And then, by the way, the guy that criticized him saying you cannot just send mercenaries
to another country, I want you to think about this for a second, because remember how the
left is going to use this.
Of course.
Remember how the globalists are going to use this.
Say he goes there, finds out the four are killed, and they're dead, his people that
are killed.
What does Bukele do, one?
Number two, what does the UN, what does the world, what do people come out and say, you
can't just send people over there, this is an act of war?
What happens next?
An act of war against two.
When you kidnap citizens of another country, that's already an act of war.
That's an act of war.
And additionally, the gaslighting's crazy.
It's always the person who's trying to defend their people who's the mercenary, not the
people who literally kidnapped four people from that country.
I think what he does is he makes sure to track down and take out every person who was involved
in it, and that's what he'll do if they're, God forbid, dead.
I think he'll just make a statement and make sure that whoever was involved will be-
You think you're sending 2,500 people just to find people?
I don't think he's going to start a ground invasion and start an entire boots on the
ground.
I just don't see the benefit at that point to-
There's a precedent here.
You know what this precedent is?
This is how Bibi Netanyahu came to power.
The raid on Entebbe, they went down to get 106 hostages on an airplane that were taken
by seven hijackers, and then when they got to Uganda, the Uganda military surrounded
the plane celebrating the hijackers.
And Israel said, give them back.
Release them.
No.
No cooperation from Uganda.
It says, you need to release that plane back.
I care.
No.
He says, okay, mother, here we come.
And Israel came down there, killed all seven hijackers.
Three of the hostages were killed.
Isn't that how his brother got killed as well?
And there was one soldier lost, Yoni Netanyahu.
And this is what brought, they say this is what put the fire in Bibi's heart and also
lifted him up because he was seen as a hero leader of the group there.
But they brought him down there.
Dozens of Ugandan soldiers were killed.
The number I can find is 23.
So almost two.
Dozens.
Number one, three hostages killed in the crossfire and all seven hijackers.
And then they left out of there without any diplomatic discussions with Uganda.
In, out.
I'm not sure either that you can say that 2,500 is overkill.
I'm not sure that they have intelligence for where their people are.
And they may need to search a large area to try to figure out where their actual people
are.
So they may need the manpower.
It doesn't seem like it's overkill to drop 2,500 people in.
If you're trying to find four, if you don't know where they are.
So.
It's a little overkill.
I'm not sure.
I'm not sure.
I get what you're saying.
Listen, as a sovereign nation, you know, where you're like, hey, your job is to protect the
country.
If you're a Salvadorian and that's what they did for you, you know what you're thinking
about?
Honey, go play outside as long as you want.
He's going to send a thousand people to come find you.
Well, right.
And the idea is for military morale.
You know, hey.
For sure.
If you take our guys, we're not only going to get them back, but we're probably going
to kill a bunch of you.
We're going to kill a bunch of you.
Watch how they target Bukele next.
Of course.
Just brace for impact.
Of course.
Watch how they target Bukele next with everything that's going on here.
It'll be interesting to see what happens next with these guys.
Let me get to the next story.
Next story I want to get to is the plane crash that took place 90 minutes after Trump left
Mar-a-Lago.
A plane flying.
It's going from.
It was going, I think, from Austin to Bahamas, if I'm not mistaken.
To the Bahamas.
And they climbed.
And they climbed from a little too high where the temperatures are extremely low.
And I'm not going to play the entire clip, but a video comes out where the female pilot
is speaking about what's going on.
And I want you to listen to her tone, her voice, because when you first showed this
to me yesterday, I said it's AI.
And who showed it first?
Mickey was showing it.
Mickey showed it and it was kind of blurry.
I said it's AI.
It looked fake.
And I want you to watch this.
And we're not going to play the entire audio.
Just listen to her tone.
Again, viewer discretion.
It's a little bit tough to listen to.
So if you're not, you know.
You may want to pause if you're not.
You don't want to be disturbed.
But I want to play the first 30 seconds.
Go for it.
We're going to crash into the ground.
730, Bahama Delta.
Pause.
Okay.
We're going to crash to the ground.
She's reporting this.
And a bunch of different theories came out of what happened.
If you show the plane, because some people said there is no plane.
I didn't see any of the plane.
That's the image of when you see where the plane's at.
Yeah, there's no plane there.
And people are like, the wings.
Do you understand when you're going 700 miles an hour down,
some of the tail's flying off, some of the wings are ripped.
They're ripping apart.
And it just.
It did.
They lost the wings.
And mind you, I don't know if she was the co-pilot or she was actually piloting.
Because I think that there was a gentleman on there.
Yes.
And by the way, there is a little bit of audio, Pat.
If I'm not mistaken, he was saying, like, our father.
Like, he's praying.
Yes.
From what I think I heard of there.
He does.
And God rest all their souls.
Nine people.
And by the way, do you see that vehicle right there, Pat?
That person is gone as well.
Because that thing hits right there.
There's a white vehicle underneath there.
Wait, a car got hit?
Well, look right.
It was right near a trailer park or something.
Yeah, near a trailer park.
You see that vehicle right underneath it, Pat?
I didn't see reports of ground casualties.
All I saw was nine from the plane.
I didn't see any ground casualties.
But it just drives me crazy of all the click baiting vultures.
I'm not even joking.
It just happened.
And people, I saw a connection of Epstein, like a whole report.
Epstein and somebody made a payment on a credit card that once flew on this thing.
And I was like, for the love of God, it was a plane that should not.
It should not have been trying to fly over.
Yesterday on the freeway, people were stopped.
People pulled over and stopped with their hazards on.
It was so bad.
It was blind.
We couldn't see anything, bro.
So now you're trying to fly over that.
Oh, yeah, yeah, from 10 to 1, it was torrential rain in Fort Lauderdale.
Horrible, horrible.
Now, this pilot, they're trying to go above it.
And people are like, oh, it's ice.
They're in Florida, and it's hot outside.
I'm like, you have no idea what the hell you're talking about.
They were trying to climb to go over it.
There was a bunch of mistakes made.
It couldn't have been avoided.
And then they got ice on the wings.
And then they were coming down like a freaking, like a missile.
They're coming out.
They said, that's how fast they're coming down.
And everybody's like, I need to see this.
I want to see that.
People were picking up plane parts in their yard, in those backyards over there.
And for all the people that don't, yeah, people don't understand.
People have to jump.
It has to be a conspiracy.
How about a plane crash, and you have no idea what the hell you're talking about?
Okay?
Aviation.
It was on radio.
Everybody was saying that.
FAA, that this thing came down.
But you can't live in reality.
Everything has to be something.
And I'm shocked that it had to go to Epstein.
Like, how the hell does Epstein get involved with something like this, bro?
It drives me crazy, Andrew.
600 residents were evacuated, just so you know, from the surrounding neighborhood.
Zero reported fatalities or injuries on the ground.
Nine fatalities.
It was a Learjet 60.
$2 million plane that they were talking about happened approximately at 1250.
And like we said, it was going from Austin to Bahamas.
So, my thoughts.
I immediately knew that within seconds there was going to be all these conspiracies.
And what I started looking at was.
other pilots commercial airlines were diverted out of the area that cell you saw the national
weather service there was this huge cell that was there and you can see the flight of the plane went
right through or over the cell and you have other pilots saying hey up at that level with that
aircraft going through that cell that's not smart you can see right there national weather service
and there's things that went right through the cell and so experts in this saying if the wings
iced up and the weight was wrong and the plane turned it ends up in a what they're trying an
overspeed and they have to do certain things they said once the planes pointed down and was turning
that recover the instinct to pull up doesn't pull up the nose it causes the nose to turn
further and they say that was evidence that an inexperienced pilot trying to get out of that
you
, pulling the nose up is what you instinctively do but if you're down and sideways when you pull
the nose up it makes you turn because you're flying sideways and so I was reading all this
I'm like wow and had other pilots saying you should not have flown through that why were they
and he was asking hey why didn't they pick up on Tampa ATC Orlando ATC did they tell them to
maintain that head well that's my that's the thing that now we're gonna wait now we're gonna wait and
hear about that but I was reading a
lot of things that said this was pilot error Tom you and I have been on flights where
the pilot wants to be a cowboy you know a little bit of a hey yeah but if air traffic control
doesn't clear you you can't fly over that air airspace and I just saw a video from a pilot from
United who was in a commercial airliner who was went against air traffic control and said I'm not
flying through that and they found him a new route so there's some kind of disconnect happening
lately with that well that's what I'm saying though that validates my point that there are
pilots that are like no we got this like we landed one time Aspen and asked oh my god let me tell you
when we landed do you know what the traffic controller tells Vinny they're like oh you know
you already you're playing your pilot must be a cowboy because why he's the old he's the only one
that decided to land here it's so bad everybody else went to the next uh the next airport I go
wait wait wait what he hovered around a mountain we were sitting there saying what are you doing
praying this normal praying we've been I was on one flight coming back from Daytona probably the
worst flight of my life and I land with the pilot I said why did we go through if you knew there's
lightning we're in the middle of lightning storm landing in Fort Lauderdale so why did you go no
this is not I said this is not normal I fly you know private all the time this has never happened
before so sometimes pilots also go to a mode of I got this I know what I'm doing I'm going to take
care of this and then stuff like this happens it's tragic what happened because very tragic
nine people are not going to see their family yeah and and can I just show there's a video of an
f4 phantom just you know like the air force does all these exercises where they just it hits into
a brick uh into a brick wall so I just I just slacked you Connor I slacked you a video of a
f4 phantom that's not it did the pilot I just I slacked it to you huh pilot ejected or no no no
these are just total just like oh yeah play this real quick Connor like look at this this is just
a phantom this isn't going 700 miles an hour like it's gone it's going to play again watch this
watch this like see those little pieces what wing what what are you guys talking about you have no
idea what the hell you're talking about this thing is coming at coming at just this is by you this is
a concrete wall we're not talking about a freaking nosedive into a freaking Street look at that what's
coming out the back you're done you're finished Epstein Epstein did that this was all because of
Epstein shut the hell up yeah Ryan Mata and all these guys already like you don't know what you're
talking about you're on the
PBD podcast crew shut the hell up I saw a video the other day claiming that this ancient Japanese
demon called timu is actually secretly Jews and Israelis it's literally 1600 year old demon and
it had millions of views it's just we're in a weird bonkers world that was a demon there he is
that's right please get it right Timo is a uh yeah yeah yeah all right so let's go to the next
next time next time I want to get to us can we do a positive story
yet funny story kind of goes together this Red Baron worker gets 400 000 after kids try to pull
a prank on him for like ten dollars do you know the wallet sound and he's like what are you doing
and it ends up being a very good story we got a bunch of other stories to go through but I want
you to watch us go for it you know what time it is boss dude thank you bro I I just took ten dollars
right now okay huh but I need it but I need I need it real quick I am not aiming for this crap right
now Apple play dude you can hear me I just need to buy something real quick though you think this is
funny don't you are you recording me right now you should record me right now no I'm gonna go report
you right now all right bye boss thank you for the twenty dollars man I appreciate it let's go
outside buddy are you for real bro it is not that dude I will destroy it is not that I mean if you
wanna go outside I don't know what's going on you but I don't need this to stop it's not that deep
man this is a joke you're just a little punk it was just a joke bro it was just a joke it was just
a joke no it's not a joke to me okay I don't have time for this crap in my life my life is
hard enough as it is okay I don't need this crap I got kids at home that went to bed without me
right now but I was supposed to be at home an hour ago and I'm still out here working
and I gotta get up at five in the morning and do 10 more stores so this is not a joke to me okay and
now I'm gonna get kicked out of the store because of you not funny okay I'm sorry no you're not
sorry look at your face I'm sorry I'm sorry I'm just like I don't need this in my life no I I get
you I don't know you don't you're probably making money off this I can't even pay my goddamn mortgage
and I got four kids at home wow okay so not funny come on no I got you I'm gonna leave I'm gonna leave
you yes you better not be out there when I do leave leave go now look at that they're like security
someone else saying no no that's probably friends of theirs that are with them right that are
standing right there's like uh we were not expecting something like this well what does
this turn into this turns into them raising four hundred thousand dollars after this took place so
Michigan Red Baron workers anguish play over viral prank turns into four hundred thousand
the windfall go a little bit lower if you can demand goes in there trying to get ten thousand
dollars many of you are sighted with the worker instead of the person filming and social media
users began donating in just two days thousands of people gave amounts ranging from ten dollars
to thirty thousand dollars to the father of four go a little bit lower uh in the story and that
fundraiser had passed four hundred thousand dollars that last check and the goal has since been raised
to seven hundred thousand dollars the counter the person who filmed the encounter has been
deactivated the account of the person that
filmed the encounter has been deactivated Tom your thoughts on this well that the guy that was
filming it is lucky that somebody didn't deactivate him um this is not funny you know I think that
we've entered a realm of social it's up to 680 000 right now some you know what you know what
that shows that shows that there's enough people out there that said wow this is messed up that
poor guy that guy's working hard stocking frozen pizzas working for a food company doing all this
and then these guys come in there and all they want to do is get their clip and all they want to
do is go make money as a so-called influencer with their clip and sometimes you go and you put pranks
on people you know and you know what I think some of those are funny I've seen them but if you go to
people you don't know you don't know what they're up against you don't know what they've been going
through and I disagree when you're pranking people that you don't know what their situation is you
also don't know what their mental situation is
that you trigger somebody to do something terrible so pranking friends and pranking
things their fails we all think they're funny we see them I don't like this when you prank
the anonymous there's a big business model here you would be they throw sand up they throw rice
seeds up and then put a bucket on top of the guy's head I'm going to jail they they go in there with
you know uh uh the farting thing that they do they go in there with guys at Home Depot that
have this I know there's a guy who was shot into in person uh because yeah guys walk up to a guy say
oh my God hey Lamar Oden what's up man he gives a guy a hug oh my God my high school you know math
teacher come here Mr Jones but let me tell you at some point in time someone's going to get a nine
millimeter lobotomy you know yeah they already have but why don't you have gotten and they got
off they were like pizza ends up winning here they tweeted out saying the employee the month
combinations are closed you know why he's still here he's got a fan club including us look how
many views this thing gets 8.2 million a little bit can we read the comment section I actually
want to know how people reacted to it go a little bit lower if you can on the tweet I want to know
how Red Baron turned this around the guy was worried 680 000 if this thing continues by next
week he's going to buy Red Baron he's going to be to steal the company go a little bit lower watch
this here so not retarded well done well done well deserved Kings well done one more
step please that's amazing that's proper use of AI pizza go a little bit lower America's back
my favorite employee all of us yeah remember that movie very much what it reminded me of
how much is that movie by the way that's a very good listen I'm gonna move you to watch today
I'm going to be on the opposite side of this.
This is probably the greatest thing that's ever happened to a meeting.
It took one idiot with his friends to record you, and you won the lottery.
Think about it.
I know people that go back by scratchers at Publix, and they're playing lottery.
You were in the right place at the right time for some idiot to try to make you look stupid,
and you took that moment and just showed, like, bro, the emotion and everything behind it.
I mean, bro, it's probably going to get to a million dollars because of somebody's idiot prank.
Guy's buying a Lamborghini.
He's going to buy a Lamborghini.
Well, pizza my ass.
He's done.
Well, the reason that this, I know exactly why this went so viral and why he did so well,
because that initial approach, how nice he was.
Yeah, he was genuine.
How nice he was.
So the initial approach, they come over, and they're like, hey, man, what does he do?
He turns over with a smile.
What?
What can I help you with?
Very innocent.
What can I do for you?
Yes, being helpful.
Doing, and so.
Kevin yesterday, he got yesterday from Bass.
Yeah, to see him.
To see him do that switch.
Yeah.
Where he then gets angry and upset.
He's like, he just stole money from me.
Yeah, what the fuck?
What are you doing?
What are you doing, you crazy?
By the way, Vivek Ramaswamy gave $38,000.
Are you serious?
Is that true?
Vivek and a poor boy Ramaswamy gave $38,000.
Good old Vivek coming in.
$760,000 now raised.
Wow.
FYI, so the other day.
But only on the vegan pizza products.
By the way, so I go to this Publix, and at this Publix down the street,
they have somebody who is Down Syndrome who works there,
which, by the way, is actually very good.
But one time I go there, the person snapped at me.
I'm like, what, Jen?
I'm like, what was it?
I was so confused.
Okay?
Then Vinny tells me his story, and I'm like,
there is no way this Publix is the same one.
Go ahead, Vinny.
What happens with you?
Great story.
One of my best friends, his name is Arthur.
My cousin Mike's listening to this right now in Cali.
His name is Arthur.
He has Down Syndrome.
Like, the purest, loving, awesome person I've ever met.
So when I moved here.
I moved here, and I was going to Publix.
By the way, I miss my freaking friend.
So I see a girl at the end, and she has, like, one of those stations.
She works at Publix.
She has, like, one of those granola sample Nature Valley.
And I see her, and I'm like, oh.
I'm like, I have to go talk to her.
I have to go see what's going on.
So I come up to her really, really like, hi.
I go, hi, whatever her name was.
I'm like, what do you got there?
You got some granola?
Bro, she came at me, and she goes like this.
I'm going to stop you right there.
I have a boyfriend.
I go, what the hell?
I go, wait, wait, wait.
I go, no, it's not like that.
She's like, okay, whatever.
And I'm like, wait.
And as I'm, like, trying to explain myself, I'm like, no, my friend has Down syndrome.
Her boyfriend shows up that works there.
He's like, is there a problem?
I'm like, what the hell is going on here?
They were trying to attack me.
It was hilarious.
The funny part of that story is that you got shot down by a chick with Down syndrome.
I got shot down.
That's the funny part.
Or even deeper, how many people are trying to holler at her every day?
So anyway, it's a good story.
But respect to this guy for getting seven.
60.
And Vivek putting 38.
Let's see if that's going to help him out on the backlash he got for that Amy Acton video.
Yeah.
Which we'll see.
All right.
Next story I want to get into.
After you just highlighted it, he'll probably get another $100,000, right?
Probably.
Yeah.
He's about to get some more money as well, which is great.
Love hearing stories like this.
Next story I want to get into is these oil giants, which, by the way, you keep hearing
the oil gas prices being blamed on the president, which, by the way, that's the easiest thing
to do.
However.
A report comes out, which is like, wait a minute.
What?
Oil giants post billions in profits, record-breaking profits, as Americans feel the pain at the
pump.
You mean to tell me you don't have to charge the gas prices as high as you are, and you're
just taking in the profits?
Well, let me read this to you on what's going on here.
U.S. oil giants raked in billions of dollars in profits in the third quarter as oil prices
surged amid supply constraints caused by conflicts around the world contributing to higher prices
at the pump.
For consumers, ExxonMobil, the largest oil producer, reported having more revenue from
refining operations than from its exploration and drilling operations in the first six years.
Chevron's third quarter downstream earnings also reached their highest point over the
same time frame.
The surge in revenue for oil giants comes as Americans are faced with higher prices
at the gasoline war in U.S. of oil flows.
Middle East AAA showed that the national average price of gallon of regular gas was $4.20.
On Friday, it was well above the average of $3.03.
Diesel prices have also reached the highest recorded from last Monday, reached $6.52 a
gallon on September 22nd.
The September consumer price index found that the gas prices surged 9.1% on a monthly basis
and were up 34.2% from a year ago.
Tom, could they have the possibility of selling it less, but they're not because they're capitalizing
off the crisis to take in the profits?
Yes and no.
There are two parts to this.
The first part to this.
We have to understand what's going on.
It's the show reported that the refining margin, what they make on refining, $42 a barrel was
the big, big one.
Their product segment, so making oil into product, earned, ready for this, $3.86 billion
versus $550 million a year before.
That's 6X.
Let me tell you why.
There are two supporting legs.
One is, yes, they pay more for the oil.
And then they have the crack spread, 3-2-1 crack, which is three barrels of oil, two barrels of gas come out of it,
one barrel of diesel, roughly 33%.
The majority came out of that.
Yeah, and this is a bad scale here.
Go back one year.
Go back one year.
Now you can see the scale where it was.
It was $27 before the war started, to be exact.
And now look where it is.
It's double that.
Yep, $26.93.
I was right.
So now it's $26.93.
Remember when I said 5% of the U.S. refinery were offline because of Phillips 66 in Valero in California because of regulation
and that Gavin Newsom's fingerprints are at least on the Benicia refinery?
And then there was a U.S. refinery in Houston that was just too expensive to rebuild, and so they eventually shut it down.
So that had nothing to do with Gavin Newsom.
That was 5%.
Do you know with what we've seen today with all this that's been going on,
and with Ukraine, it's not just the war with Iran.
It's also Ukraine hitting Russian refineries.
Since February 28th, 10% of the refinery capacity in the world has gone offline, 10%.
And guess what?
The refineries that are still open, the going rate, the market rate has gone up, Pat,
and they're paying overtime.
And they're what?
Doing what's called running hot.
They're running the refineries at maximum capacity, and they're paying overtime on labor.
There are real costs in there.
But the refineries are charging it.
So it's not the barrel of oil as much as it is the refinery cost, and the refiners are charging it.
And you see what happened with Shell.
$5.50 a year ago and $3.86 billion now.
So we need to understand we have refinery costs here more than the barrel of oil,
although the barrel of oil is not helping.
And if you have refinery capacity going, guess what?
The market price around the world, not just Shell, has gone up.
But I would have hoped that the U.S. providers would have found a way to, A, profit,
but also kind of help the consumer a little bit.
To Shell's credit, and it's the only thing I'll say to Shell's credit,
they threw a ton of money back at the shareholder in form of dividends and stock repurchase.
So a lot of it got to the shareholders of Shell, but that's the shareholders.
Meanwhile, the consumers are feeling the pain at the pump as a result of the global. I call it a global refinery crisis more than I call it a global oil crisis right now.
Yeah, I mean, that's what happened with Russia and diesel, right?
That was all the refinement process the Ukrainians had.
What was Trump asking?
Don't hit the diesel.
Yeah, don't hit the diesel.
But that's why the prices skyrocketed.
It's really interesting because Rockefeller Standard Oil made all of its money.
And a lot of these Warhawks. Yeah, a lot of the Warhawks actually made a lot of their money not in selling the crude, but in refining it.
So it actually doesn't surprise me.
The very first question I was going to ask you when this came up is,
is this from the sell per barrel or from refinement?
But you answered it for me immediately.
So it doesn't surprise me at all.
I got a question, though.
If they're posting billions in profits, I mean, regardless of how much the price increases,
they're still taking advantage of the situation to some extent, no?
Well, it's the timing.
It's the timing of the way it flows.
You know the whole dollar cost averaging concept?
You know what dollar cost averaging is?
So dollar cost averaging is, you know, you sit down with a financial advisor.
They'll tell you, well, these are the basic three things you need to do.
One of the things they'll talk about is dollar cost averaging.
So put $500 a month into a mutual fund or the stock market every month.
Market's down, you'll get it at a discount.
Market's up, you'll pay a little bit more.
But eventually, you're going to dollar cost average of the stocks you're buying, right?
So what the oil industry is going through, and correct me on this one if I'm wrong, Tom,
is when they buy it low and goes up, that makes their profits be very good.
But when the work for it is high and all of a sudden there's a massive drop,
they're losing money there as well.
So that season makes up for this season, and it kind of eventually ends up breaking even.
And that may be a three-year season that this could happen with.
Tom, would you add anything to that?
Absolutely.
And Shell even said, they said, caution for the future.
once the conflicts are resolved,
our profits are going to be turned to a different level.
And to sustain their stock price, they bought $5 billion of stock off the market,
fewer shares on the market.
It's going to hold a higher price when the profits go back to a different place.
But what do you do about offsetting refineries that get destroyed?
I mean, how long does it take to really get new refineries up and running?
I mean, that could take several years.
The last super refinery in the United States, help me on this, Connor,
the last super refinery in the United States was built 47 years ago.
How long ago?
47 years.
47 years ago.
Wow.
There it is.
Came online in 1976.
Marathon's facility in Garyville, Louisiana.
There you go.
That tells you the story.
Okay.
All right.
So next story I want to get to is kind of tied to what you guys just talked about.
And it's a story that's not getting a lot of attention right now because of what's going on with midterms.
But I do believe there's some sequencing that's going on with this.
And that's Putin warning Russia.
Russia is ready for a war with Europe and could turn ballistic sea, Baltic Sea, into second straight of Hormuz.
Russia does not want a war with Europe.
But if Western nations keep attempting to inflict a strategic defeat on Moscow, they may get one.
Vladimir Putin has threatened Putin, has threatened.
Putin made remarks about relations with Europe states during the Russia-Africa summit in Moscow on Thursday,
claiming to be a dove of peace while threatening a world war-like conflict if he is left to pursue his strategy.
If he isn't left to pursue his own strategic interest, this is a Breitbart story.
Many people are talking about preparing for war by 2030.
Is this right or wrong?
First of all, we prepare.
We are prepared.
But we do not want any war with Europe.
As for them, if someone wants it, let them prepare.
However, they failed to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia this time.
And it is unlikely to become possible by 2030.
Putin pointed to Iran war as he threatened a second Gulf crisis.
In Europe's northern sea, the Baltic, he said there will be a situation similar to the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.
Does anyone want the same situation to develop in the Baltic Sea as the Persian Gulf or the Strait of Hormuz?
I don't know.
We don't want that, but we will respond to any challenge.
And U.S. tells NATO allies to put them on notice on tone down the anti-Russia rhetoric.
So, Tom, where are you at with this?
Is there something going on here that because, you know, just a few weeks back, they brokered that oil deal with Russia.
And then Trump is like, well, leave them.
And then he went to Zelensky and said, Zelensky, I think we need to find somebody else to take over Paris.
Like, what are you talking about?
There was a moment of like 72 hours where U.S. was more supportive of Russia than they were at Ukraine.
Tom, is there something going on here?
Yeah.
So it's basically two things.
Putin is yelling down the hall at the noisy kids.
I told you to go to bed.
Don't make me walk down there.
Right.
Number one, he's kind of got the dad voice going on here.
But you have to remember this.
The Baltic cuts both.
He who sells 62 percent of the LNG, which is the primary energy for heating in Europe, who sells some of that?
We do.
The United States sells EU 62 percent of the look of LNG.
So guess what?
So if they want to if you get if you gets out of line, be like, guys, if I raise the price or I sell less of it to you, you guys are in trouble.
Number one.
Number two.
What do you think Russia?
Is financing the war with?
Energy exports.
So they're going to sit there and say, well, this war goes up.
You won't get your energy.
And they're like, well, don't worry about it.
We're getting 62 percent of the LNG from the United States.
They have additional capacity, as does Canada.
Number one.
Number two.
So you're saying that if you start the war with us or you start a conflict or a blockade with us, you're not going to get the dollars you need to keep fighting the Ukraine?
I'll tell you what.
Winter's coming.
But go block the Baltic.
Yeah, it's is a two sided sword there.
I think it's I think it's brinksmanship on the on the part of Putin because it's a two sided sword.
What's he going to do when he cuts off the the dollars for the export of energy to northern Europe?
Yeah, but he makes threats like this weekly.
I mean, we kind of my point like dad yelling down the hall.
Don't make me walk down the hall, kids.
You're supposed to be in bed.
He's been doing this.
Yeah, he's been doing this weekly, especially the last year and a half as it's emerged that Russia is a paper tiger.
That's why I call it dad mode.
Yeah.
I mean, it's total total paper tiger.
It doesn't have the resources to even do anything like that anyway.
It's it's it's running everything into a meat grinder just over and over and over.
It's all the resources into a meat grinder.
I'm just always stuck on that.
We need to find an off ramp for the Russia Ukraine situation.
It's just so prolonged and ongoing.
It's not benefiting anyone.
But why, though?
So why do we need it?
Well, hang on.
Let me give an argument here.
And I heard this argument I thought was pretty good.
If all the United States has to do is.
Send over a few billion dollars to Ukraine in order to keep Russia continuously bogged down in a conflict there where they're sending their people into a meat grinder, shouldn't we?
Well, that's the Ben Shapiro argument.
Like, don't we not?
Don't we not want to stop it?
Ben Shapiro from the start was the the benefit for us in supporting Ukraine is tremendous in terms of cost.
Very little.
No boots on the ground.
We don't have any type of like real involvement and we're able to weaken Russia tremendously.
I understand that.
But to what extent?
At what point does that stop being a cause?
To be.
But what would the argument be against it?
It seems from a like from a geopolitical standpoint that we would just want that perpetually.
Well, I just think fundamentally it leads to more destabilization in the world when there's active conflict.
I mean, even just on an ethical level, if you can off ramp a war into some state of kind of.
But how would weakening Russia over years of having them run all their young men, their military age men into a meat grinder destabilize?
Yeah, of course.
They're just.
Well, no, it doesn't.
It doesn't.
You're right.
So on that level, that's that's literally the that was the convincing.
Argument that I heard from Ben Shapiro very early on in this that really resonated with me.
But again, in my my head, for some reason, just the idea of active conflict, whether it's logical or not, doesn't resonate.
Geo geopolitically, I agree.
That's a great freaking angle.
But what you're saying is and from what I'm seeing, because I messed up and I was on X and I just saw one in the trench.
Russia, Ukraine war video.
And it was one of the most brutal things that I saw of how they're just.
Kill everybody on both sides, killing each other.
And then I saw a guy with that, like speaking of Down syndrome, a Down syndrome guy just in there.
And then I saw, you know, the the conscription that they're doing is just grabbing men that don't want to join, putting them in a van and they're going into the front lines.
And I saw another one where they're training 65 to like 70 year old men.
They're putting them with a gun and they're going, OK, in Russian, go run over there.
OK, now get down on the go.
OK, he's good.
He's trained and they're going in.
And I get it from the geopolitical standpoint, but just from a humanitarian.
And people are and you nailed it.
The meat, it's literally a meat grinder and people are dying.
And it's not like a couple of hundred.
It's a million.
But who are the good guys here?
Like, there's no good guys here.
Ukraine's one of the most corrupt governments.
It is a very current in in in what the last 80 years.
The good guys are the civilians.
And Russia and Russia is a massive adversary.
I get it.
Oh, I get it.
It's like, how do we lose by having these countries perpetually killing each other?
Well, it seems like a geopolitical winner.
Well, if a geopolitically, yes, ethically or civilian cost or just the concept itself of.
Let me logically.
Yes.
Emotionally.
Remember the emotional.
Hey, what do you that's not fair.
What are you guys doing?
But war is nasty.
I mean, if they're going to do it, they're going to do it.
You know, that's it's a similar position to a lot of people that are saying right now.
This morning was like, hey, if anyone's going to drop the nuclear bomb on Iran, let it be Israel.
Now, U.S., let us not have that blood on our hands, because if somebody wants to have that attack, let them do it.
Let them fight it.
They're the ones that are neighbors.
That's what some positions some people are taking.
But one of the things that.
We talked about a few weeks when I said, be careful if they go all of a sudden after the power grid and you have supermarkets that lose power.
I think we talked about this like six weeks ago, four weeks ago.
Well, guess what story just came out, Vinny?
Look at this supermarket freezers across Europe hit by second suspected cyber attack.
Tom, I don't know if you saw this one or not.
Chains of at least seven countries say fridge temperature.
Roast mitten overnight in incidents similar to hack of French stores.
Go a little bit lower.
Supermarket chains in at least seven European countries have said that the temperatures of refrigerators in freezers and dozens of their stores soared overnight,
prompting fears of cyber attacks similar to one that caused millions of euros of losses in France.
Retailers in Belgium, Estonia, Ireland, Finland, Luxembourg, Netherlands and Sweden reported problems with the refrigeration system on Monday.
And several companies confirmed they had been.
Victims of cyber attack.
The incidents follow an attack in France last month in which hackers seized the control of the cooling units, Vinny.
And as many as 700 supermarkets raising their temperatures of as high as 50 Celsius, 122 Fahrenheit, which you know what happens when it goes to that point and causing fires and food losses estimated in the tens of millions of euros.
A growing range of devices, including refrigeration, can now be monitored and controlled remotely, remotely leading authorities.
To particularly fear government-sponsored hybrid attacks in the wake of Russia's 2020 invasion of Ukraine.
So, Tom, when you see a story like this, somebody's living in Chicago.
They're living in Palmdale, California.
They're living in Mesa, Arizona.
Should they be worried that something like this could happen in the States?
Yes, and I'll tell you why.
The supermarkets weren't attacked.
This had nothing to do with the supermarkets.
This had everything to do with compromising the energy company because large commercial organizations,
organizations, companies, make deals with the energy companies
companies to install smart thermostats, and if there is an extreme load, like if you go
to Texas, there are office buildings where there's an extreme load, they will move the
temperature from 72 to 74 to 76 degrees during the day when it's extremely hot outside to
help take the load off the grid.
Likewise, when your helpful representative at FPL says, you can have this Nest thermostat
for free and you put it in your house, you're actually consenting to, because remember,
it's got motion detection on it.
If it detects that no one is home and no one is moved, it will gently move the temperature
of your house up if you've consented to that.
And so what you have here is you have companies have given the power company in exchange for
a rate, it's like a green energy plan that you allow it to turn up.
They hacked the power company.
I'm 99% certain they hacked the power company.
So they could get into the control software that controlled the thermostats around there,
because imagine if there was an extreme energy event and they moved the freezers from 28
to 32 degrees.
What does that do to the frozen pizza?
Nothing.
But if they move that up just a little bit, it takes load off the power.
So I think these are control systems.
I think this was a power company.
And I think the fact that the news media calls it grocery stores misses the fact that when
you've got water systems and power systems.
They get attacked.
That's what I get concerned about.
So this is where the hacks I get concerned in the US is the ability.
So let me ask you this.
What do you do as a business owner?
So go to my concern is I'm a I'm like, you know, we're in the insurance space.
We've been insurance space for a couple of decades.
I've been in it for a couple of decades.
And you buy homeowners and you buy flood insurance.
You buy earthquake insurance.
You buy cyber.
It's your over liability.
All the liabilities that you're dealing with.
You buy that right.
So in this case, in this case, what do you do?
If you are not the city, the municipality that controls the power that you're borrowing
from or you're buying from, what do you do to make sure they're protected and you're
protected?
I check my cyber insurance policy that says, look, if my if if my power company or the
thermostats they gave me to use or the systems that they I agreed to let them tap into or
compromise and I lose three hundred thousand dollars of perishable meats because the meat
and fish goes up too high of a temperature and now I have to dispose of it.
It says, make sure that the fine print on your cyber insurance policy covers that.
Well, they have spoilage insurance.
That's bigger than that.
I know the spoilage insurance, but forget about the spoilage insurance.
If, like, for instance, last week we had a power outage here in Fort Lauderdale.
It was an our mistake.
Something blew up down the street.
Literally down the street.
Transformer blew up.
Transformer blew up.
Well, guess what happened to our AC units?
We, our AC units, you know, there was smoke, fire.
You know, we had like seven fire trucks.
I think I'm saying maybe eight fire trucks that were here.
The generator.
Yeah.
To generate all of that.
We had an overheating caused by the outage.
But we didn't do anything.
We have everything that you need to have properly here, but the city made the mistake.
So now if the enemy, and this is the part of the story that people are talking about
right now where it's like, hey, if the power grid, if the enemy Iran, they're threatening
with grid, if the grid was attacked and say they were able to get into different cities
and they shut down the markets, temperature goes up, food supply for a week.
What happens there?
These are the concerns that people have, right?
Because are you talking about what happens with supply?
Are you talking about what happens to the actual owners of the businesses in terms of
compensation?
Well, no, it leads to the individual.
The average human being, the average person that's going to the market, buying $800, he's
panicking saying, how are they protected from the city?
And if I can cyber attack the city and that it gets affected a supermarket, how are the
cities protected?
Are they, you know, typically when you think about cities, you think about the old system
that they've been working on, not new system.
How often do you go to the city and you're like, oh, wow, they have the latest, greatest
stuff over here.
You never say that at DMV.
No.
You never say that.
So what does the average individual that's sitting here thinking, saying, is my city
fully responsible?
Is my city fully ready for this?
What do you say to those people?
Well, reassure them.
Well, you can't reassure them because it's unprecedented.
So some things aren't, for instance, an entire section of the power grid in the United States
going down.
That's going to happen.
That's just a matter of time.
We don't know what will make it happen.
If it's a load or if it's, you know, environmental causes, you have no idea.
That's something that we're still woefully unprepared for.
By every metric, we're still woefully unprepared for that.
But cyber, when you're talking about cyber attacks, you don't actually know how you're
going to be hit.
So it's really hard to compensate for it.
Like this whole idea that we'll just adjust thermostats up on freezer food.
It's quite brilliant, actually.
Yeah.
That's not a thing that most people think about.
They're not like, oh, what if they did this?
They're not going to do this until they actually do it.
And so it's actually very, very difficult to compensate for that.
So he says, check your cybersecurity insurance.
It's like, I'm not sure many people are checking cybersecurity insurance, but I do think that
other forms of insurance over liability will cover a lot of the damage of this.
And the nice thing about the United States is it's on separate grids.
And we have one of the biggest infrastructures for food shipments on planet Earth.
So it's not like we couldn't divert food from one area to another, but it would bog the
system down.
Badly.
And if you have a mass scale attack, then it really would cause a tremendous destabilization.
Well, dropping, dropping the entire power grid seems very unlikely.
You know, like, but I do worry about how AI is changing hacking in general.
And I do think that we're going to see more innovative and like different kind of attacks
that we've never been able to compensate for.
Like you're talking about unprecedented.
We don't know until it happens.
Yeah.
With the advent of how AI is advancing so quickly, I mean, it takes a couple more
iterations before things we can't even imagine are starting to be used.
And so it's just, I don't see how you could plan in advance for it.
You don't see how they, how, how you could build a defense against it.
Well, you would use, you would use AI the same exact way.
So except you would have AI predict what AI would do.
No, but AI is far better.
So you look at encryption, AI, AI would be far better at decrypting something than at
coming up with an encryption method that AI couldn't decrypt.
In other words, like the, the lag behind.
Especially with like, there's all these breakthroughs happening in AI now with
algorithms and like the exponential time hypothesis being proven false.
And like, they're looking into that and there's a bunch of changes happening in
terms of how we may look at things that are encrypted and how quickly computers
and AI will be able to make those things pretty much obsolete.
And that's very, very scary.
So I just asked the question right now.
I said, which cities and states are most prepared for cyber attacks
against supermarkets or the grid.
Okay.
Number one, highest grade they gave.
Is Texas.
Number one, a Georgia, then Connecticut, Michigan, Utah, Ohio, Nevada, Iowa,
Missouri, Hawaii, and Mississippi.
Then if it's cities, DFW, Atlanta, Salt Lake city, DC, Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and
then Houston, then the questions ask if something were to happen, they did a
survey on the chief information security of states, only 26% of state chief
information security officer, this is their CIO surveyed in 2026 that they would
be very, or extremely confident.
Their state's information assets were protected against their cyber threats.
That's down from 48% in 2022.
Let me say this one more time, Tom.
I don't know if you heard that or not.
So in 2022, the CIOs of states, you know what their job is and what a CIO does, right?
The CIOs of states were 48% confident.
We're good with cybersecurity attacks and hitting our grid.
We went from 48% four years ago to 22% today, 26% today.
Yeah.
Where are we going to be in four years from now?
Even worse.
Yes.
So then the level of urgency for them to want to do something about this and fix
it, they better get on top of it because if the enemy hears something like that,
guess what they're going to be saying?
They're worse today than they were four years ago.
Even their executives of their states are saying this.
Yeah.
But again, the problem is that the fix isn't something that you could just come up with.
There's technology advancing at exponential rates that are capable of doing things.
It's also hard to guard against threats that you don't really
understand how they're going to hit you.
So every day.
Everything is guesswork.
So let's say, let's say, Patrick, for instance, I come to you and I go, okay,
I'm going to give you a $1 billion cyber defense budget, right?
It's a lot of money.
You go, okay, great.
Well, what do you throw it at?
So some things like maybe guarding from freezers getting hotter, right?
You're able to fix that problem.
So you throw half the budget at it or a quarter of the budget at it.
But then you get hit in a way that you couldn't have foreseen.
You spent all of that money on these other, these other protection.
You have no idea how you're going to get hit.
So it's very hard to disperse it correctly.
Yeah.
And it's like a post.
It's like a redundancy after the fact, after the attack happens, you can create the redundancy.
Yeah.
But, but, but let me tell you where I go with this, where I go with this is if you think
about a Musk, he moved from where, from California to Austin, Texas, right?
Okay.
Why is he putting $260 million into some of these elections that are taking place at $250
million, whatever the number was, I think it was $200 million ish.
Because of breakup X.
Okay.
Yeah.
Could be, that could be one of them, but it's also, you have to sit there and think
about the power, the protection is the city is the state doing the best job to protect
me against any of these things long-term.
These are real things that you got to be involved in.
So I wonder if, if, if he's, he's even involved in Tesla's power walls and decentralized
decentralized electricity, Tesla's working with Austin energy on a virtual power plan
VPP.
This concept is connected with Tesla.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
thousands of homes equipped with Tesla Powerwall so their batteries can provide electricity.
I think you have to go independent to be away from the city.
I think some companies are going to be like,
I'm not going to deal with the city.
That's where I'm going with this.
I don't think the answer is, Andrew, well, you know,
let's just have shit hit the fan first,
and then we'll figure out a defense for it.
I disagree.
I actually think we've got to get off.
Like, I would want us to be off so I'm not affected if you really screw up.
The strategy isn't just wait and see what happens.
I'm just pointing out that it's very difficult to guard against those kinds of unknowns.
I agree that it's difficult, but I think, you know,
I think to sit there as an operator, day-to-day operator,
when an event like that happens and I have to move my couple hundred employees
from one place to another place, we lost three hours,
and that's hard cost to the business.
So you've got to sit there and be thinking about how do you play, you know,
defense against it and being proactive.
Tom, you look like you want to say something.
No, I'm with you.
Quiz time.
Which state has got more renewable energy?
You're going to know the answer when I give you the two choices.
California.
California or Texas?
Texas.
Why wouldn't it be green California?
Oh, my gosh.
Because wind turbines suck.
Yeah, guess what?
Yeah.
When all the states were ranked, Texas received the only state to receive the excellent,
excellent rating, but they got a poor rating on one area, emergency power sharing,
because Texas has isolated itself mostly because it didn't want the federal regulation
that you get from sharing things across state lines, but in speed of adding power,
Texas was rated excellent, and renewable supply buffer, Texas was rated as excellent.
This year, 2026, you didn't hear about ERCOT, which is the power organization in Texas,
the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, that had such issues before that dealt with the Enron outage.
So guess what?
Texas took a couple hits.
Texas had some big summers.
They're not out of the woods yet, but they're better off than most states.
You know why, Pat?
Because they took it in the chops over the last six years, and so they've been reacting
first with the Texas CIO.
So it's not just taxes in Texas.
They're reacting better.
But to your point, I kind of think it's good that we see these things like the refrigerators
and things happen now, because you know who's going to be talking?
You and I both know, the insurance companies.
The insurance companies are going to be marching into power companies, marching into states
and saying, look, I just paid for two.
I'm going to pay you $100 billion of spoiled frozen turkeys because you guys and your grid
and all of this happened.
And so I see things.
This is a terrible thing that happened, but I kind of like when the little lessons happen
because it gets you out in front of the bigger lessons.
This is not even for us.
This is in Europe.
So I hope Americans are, you know, again, issues change, right?
Issues change.
Today, one issue that's very popular could mean nothing in five years, 10 years, and it couldn't go.
I think one of the things.
I would be asking my politicians of my city, my state, my country that are running for office,
say, how are you protected?
You know, what is your plan long term to make sure business owners are not tied to the energy
in case something were to happen?
They need to come up with an idea and a strategy on how you're going to address that.
Let's go to the next story.
Next one I want to get into is a story about, let me see which one I want to go to.
I'll go to the story here.
Paul Pierce, basketball player, made in his career roughly $200 million.
Okay.
This guy made a lot of money.
This guy made a lot of money in his career in playing basketball.
I'm trying to see what page this story is at.
If you want to pull it up.
He reveals troubling financial situation after losing his latest gig.
Paul Pierce reveals troubling.
So this guy, $200 million in career earnings.
Okay.
You see him doing live streams with girls coming in, all this other stuff coming into his place.
Hall of Fame over 19 season, championship, finals MVP.
This guy's a legit player.
He claims he is tapped out financially while trying to keep up with the.
His court orders support payments league largely because he is no longer receiving income from Fox Sports.
According to court documents obtaining by TMZ, Pierce said his last check from the network came in August.
His average monthly income was $119,000, he said, and it has since dropped to zero.
He reported earning around $23,000 last month from his partnership interest in other business ventures.
Pierce pays roughly $28,000 in child support.
And another $20,000 in spousal support each month, but claims he has only $300,000 left in a bank and $3 million in property.
His attorney said in a filing that Pierce was drowning financially and would have great difficulty keeping up with his obligations.
Pierce earned an estimated $200 million in his NBA career.
Tom, are you surprised?
No, unfortunately, I'm not.
And you know how I feel about this.
And I'm going to do a plug here.
You may get upset with me, but I'm going to do a plug.
Pat and I have been talking for a long time.
About doing a, you know, how do we educate kids?
And we talk about parents.
But I think also when there's an opportunity to educate athletes about certain agents, about finances, about things like this.
He talks about the first million he made.
And he said his first million ended up with only $10,000 in his pocket, right?
Because his mom, his brothers and sisters, and cousins he didn't know he had came to him when he had that million-dollar check as a rookie.
And he's done the math on that.
where he talked about he ended up with only 10 grand left.
Well, part of it is who you support and what you do with it.
Is it a bad thing to do something for your mom who took you to practice and did all that?
No.
But when you live large and then you decide you're just going to support every family member,
you're becoming the welfare system for your family.
You're not just taking care of your mom.
I could see taking care of your mom.
How many athletes have we seen do that?
The best example I saw was Warwick Dunn, who managed his money so carefully and took care of his mom.
But everybody else, who are you?
You're my cousin.
Go get a job.
And so this is what happens to the players.
They live like a Billy when they're making like a Millie.
And they're sitting there spending on the rest of the family.
Oh, Tom's was ended with bars.
I'm not trying to be funny here.
No, it's awesome.
You are.
Millie and Billy.
8.7, Tom.
But can we go back to that?
Graph really quick.
By the way, I don't care who you $28,000 for one child a month.
Well, total child support.
Okay.
Well, how many kids do we know?
How many kids does he have?
One.
Let's just say it's one Trojan.
$20,000 a month for his wife because what he got her used to that lifestyle.
Okay.
I don't know what $8,000 childcare seven, but he needs a financial advisor.
If you're spending $7,000 to eat out a month and another $5,000,
$10,000 on groceries for your house, $3,500 for entertainment.
Does that equal what strippers?
Well, that's because he's feeding a lot of people.
That's what that seven.
He's taking a bunch of people out to eat.
Oh, absolutely.
And then bro, ready for this.
$1,000 on clothes.
I'm sorry.
I'm sorry.
You need to freaking have a budget.
The top two drive me crazy.
There's no child.
There's no child that needs $30,000 a month to survive.
Give me a break.
How's that eight year old going to drive a Ferrari?
Yeah.
If he's not getting paid.
That to me.
That's the system.
But I mean, just so three, three with his ex-wife, two outside the relationship.
So, yeah, I mean, he has a bunch of kids.
I don't know if they're all if he's not on child support for them because in their life,
he had a place in Calabasas, Pat, three streets over from the Kardashians, 8.7 million.
He sold it in April of this year and bought a two and a half million dollar house in poor,
impoverished Woodland Hills down the street.
We know exactly where impoverished Woodland Hills.
I lived in Woodland Hills for a while.
They live down in Ventura.
Yeah, exactly right.
And he had to do that.
And he also had to settle this year.
One hundred and eighty thousand dollar poker debt.
Why are you paying poker with people and you're losing to?
Why do you have so many hangers on, you know, and this is just bad decision after bad decision.
And now here it is.
You're at the end of it.
Yeah, but you'll see this with anyone who comes into big money who doesn't have a financial education.
And you see it with athletes all the time.
And then, by the way, if you make it big, that's when every leech and parasite in the world.
It's suddenly at your door, in your ear, and they just try and get as much from you as you can.
It's very, very hard if you don't have the background to be.
And people go like, how do you lose two hundred million?
I could never.
You see people win the lottery.
They win six hundred million dollars.
And within three years, it's gone.
Like you have a poor.
They're gone because lottery suicides is a very interesting case study.
But Tom made a great point.
He's he's acting silly.
You only have a couple of milli, but you're acting like you have a billy.
You need to get with the biz doc patent, potentially make.
Like, well, let me tell you, I don't know if you remember what this guy did one time.
Paul Pierce.
He's working at Fox Sports and he goes Instagram live.
And while he's live, he's inviting dancers over to his place.
How much?
How much is the I mean, hey, come over, come over to the house, come over to the house.
And if Fox, can you talk about Paul Pierce?
Fox Sports fired.
Why did Fox Sports fire him?
If you just ask why he got fired from Fox, it's because, you know, revealed legal document.
Real that is a financial hardship.
Yeah, but there was a there was a reason why they fired him in terms of no, there was a reason why they fired him.
If you ask Chachi BT why they fired him, he made a dumb decision, acted like a fool.
And while live streaming, you can't behave that way.
No institution can choose to fire.
They've gone to when you know you have financial issues.
What are you doing?
Acting like you're 19 years old again.
You're not.
So I think he made a mistake with, you know, fired by ESPN 2021 after broadcasting Instagram live,
showing himself smoking, drinking, playing poker and partying with exotic dancers.
Pierce said ESPN.
considered the incident a violation of his contract,
moral clause, bottom clause, 2020 ESPN firing a document.
Yeah, so you can't behave this way.
By the way, I don't know if you have that clip with Zlatan.
Zlatan talked about it in an interview.
He did all of that.
Can you press play?
He talks about what happens to money
when you make money with friends and family.
Go for it.
As much as possible, but maybe not to survive or to have it,
just for the challenge, because you create something
and then you get a big jackpot by selling a tie.
And I agree with you.
Money creates problems, even in families.
Money brings stress.
The more you have, the more stress.
And where is the stop?
You could live a good life with normal money,
but what is normal money now?
I've been on both sides.
I've been without money, grew up with a family
where my father made 1,000 euro in pound,
I don't know how much it is, and still we had a good. 1,000 euro over what period?
Monthly.
Monthly.
Monthly.
1,000.
Then you pay bills and that, I don't know how much is left.
And we have to share it.
Not share it, it was his.
He gave me whenever I needed.
But I had a good life.
I remember my dad was making 1,500 bucks a month
working as a cashier at a 99-cent store in Englewood
for 15, 20 years.
That's what he did.
Mom ran out of money, living on welfare,
went back to Iran, and we're kind of left there saying,
what do we do?
So I joined the military, I get out.
When I get out. I don't have any money.
But when you're going out,
when all of a sudden I started making money,
it was automatic within a lot of the kids in school
that, hey, because you got money,
you got to pay for everything when we're going out.
You got to pay for this.
And a part of that for me was. And by the way, all I care about is the offer, right?
But if you're not too careful
and you set that precedent yourself with everybody,
like Michael would go out with Charles
and Charles would say, Michael is so cheap.
And LeBron has a reputation.
LeBron has a reputation.
LeBron is so cheap.
But it's kind of like you're also making your own money as well.
So then family gets into it and say, well, you have money.
Well, you have money.
Well, yeah, but all the days while you were partying
and hanging out and having a good time,
I was busting my ass.
Why do you think I have money?
You think I got lucky having money?
So there's an element of that.
But I think these younger guys like Paul Pierce,
I went and met with Antonio Walker.
Do you guys remember Antoine Walker?
Remember Antoine Walker from the Boston Celtics?
Yep.
Chicago guy.
He started gambling with Michael,
and he's like, Michael's playing million-dollar hands.
I couldn't play million-dollar hands.
And what happens?
All of a sudden, he loses it all.
He goes and works with Morgan Stanley to educate the next players
of what to do with their finances.
None of this stuff is normal.
But I'm also not surprised that you did.
Don't plea and say, my God, poor me.
Look how rough of a life I'm living.
All those years you made the money,
you were acting like this money is going to be there
for the rest of your life, and it's not.
Last thing I want to do before we wrap up is to follow it.
No, they don't.
They don't buy assets.
What you're supposed to do if you have a windfall like that
is expect it's going to run out
and set up passive forms of income with your money.
That's the whole point.
Bad friends, man, that get a hold of you.
Have you guys watched the Mike Tyson documentary
that just came out on Netflix?
Have you seen it?
How sick is that documentary?
My God, it's a phenomenal documentary.
But it's not shocking.
No, it's not shocking, but you've got to watch it.
The three people he trusted, all three died,
and then from there, he was like, he had no clue where to go.
Yeah, I knew Mike Tyson's story in terms of like. But it's content you've never seen before.
It's content you've never seen before.
Anyways, last but not least, a story comes out.
If you want to pull up the Mickey Mantle story,
Patrick. Big Bet David faces pushback
for confirming $50 million record sale
for the 1952 Mickey Mantle collectible.
What is that?
Yahoo Finance Messenger Journal.
Well, to the people in this space,
I got a lot of weird calls.
Here's all I will tell you.
My sources are right,
and you just have to wait for three to four months,
but you're going to come back and say,
wow, Pat was right.
So just hang tight before you go out there and saying,
you know, Pat made this claim of $50 million.
You're going to find out how I was involved in this,
but we have to wait a few months.
Somebody made a mistake there,
and that's somebody who made a mistake.
We're going to reveal in four months
who caused this mistake.
This should have never been released to the public,
but one person made a mistake,
and unfortunately, that's their mistake that came to me.
I never gave names.
I just said that this has happened.
I'm going to protect the names
for the sake of the business being done,
but once it's finalized,
you guys are going to come back and say,
Pat's sources were right.
Well, you have to wait three to six months for it.
Anyways,
with that being said,
great to have you on.
Elon, great to have you on.
Tomorrow, we're going to be together at 5990
with doing live.
I think we're going live what time?
6 or 7 p.m.?
The boardroom.
Please be, if you're a member,
you know, be there early,
but we'll be live at 7.01.
7.01 till midnight,
and we're going to give a top 40 list of people
that should consider running for office.
We're going to give that PDF tomorrow night.
We're going to have a lot of good time,
a lot of shit talking, lots of fun,
and we'll be on C-SPAN.
We'll see you guys there.
Take care, everybody.
God bless.
Bye-bye, bye-bye.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Abdul Sayyed is emerging as a strong candidate for the U.S. Senate in Michigan, narrowly defeating Haley Stevens in a close primary race, sparking national attention as a potential first Muslim senator.
Stevens’ viral endorsement of Mike Rogers, citing anti-Israel rhetoric, appears to have boosted Rogers’ campaign and raised concerns about political polarization and the use of fear-based messaging.
The campaign tactics—centered on anti-Israel narratives—have been effective in Michigan, where there’s a growing trend of scapegoating Israel to distract from broader political issues.
There is significant debate over whether the surge in support for Rogers, driven by anti-Israel messaging, represents genuine political shift or a calculated strategy to undermine Muslim representation.
Despite concerns about nuclear threats and military preparedness, experts argue these claims are largely exaggerated or based on fear-mongering, with little evidence of imminent action.
The broader political context shows strong Democratic momentum, with polls indicating a likely Senate sweep, which may limit Republican options in future elections.
The discussion highlights the role of fear and narrative in politics, noting that the absence of real-world consequences makes such rhetoric powerful, even if unproven.
Prepping for crises—like grid failures or attacks—is widely seen as a personal responsibility, with experts emphasizing training over possessions as the most valuable preparation.
Summary:
The transcript explores the evolving political landscape in Michigan, particularly focusing on the Senate race between Abdul Sayyed and Haley Stevens, with Stevens’ viral endorsement of Mike Rogers sparking debate over political strategy and fear-based messaging. Despite initial skepticism, the endorsement appears to have significantly boosted Rogers’ campaign, especially in a state already leaning left. A central theme is the use of anti-Israel rhetoric as a political tool, which critics argue distracts from substantive policy debates and reflects a broader trend of scapegoating.
The discussion also touches on geopolitical tensions, including claims of possible nuclear strikes on Iran, which are dismissed as fear-mongering with no credible evidence. Experts emphasize that such scenarios are extremely unlikely, and that the real risk lies in political polarization and the erosion of trust in democratic institutions. Meanwhile, polling data shows strong Democratic chances in both the House and Senate, indicating a challenging environment for Republicans.
The conversation concludes with a focus on personal preparedness, highlighting that while physical supplies are important, training—especially in first aid and crisis response—is far more critical. The narrative underscores a paradox: while some fear a dark future, others maintain that the future looks bright, pointing to the need for vigilance without paranoia. Ultimately, the analysis reflects a cautious view of political extremism, technological threats, and the power of narrative in shaping public opinion.
FAQs
Abdul Sayyed's potential election as the first Muslim U.S. senator would be a historic milestone, symbolizing greater representation and inclusion in American politics and signaling a shift in the nation's diversity and civic engagement.
Haley Stevens' viral endorsement of Mike Rogers shifted public perception by framing the race around anti-Israel messaging, which fueled political momentum and raised significant financial support for Rogers in the short term.
The tweet lacks verifiable evidence and is widely considered fear-mongering. Experts note that such threats are not new, and multiple nations already advise citizens to prepare for emergencies, making the narrative more speculative than factual.
Recommended items include beans, rice, water, water purification tablets, flashlights, first aid kits, bullets, and survival training—emphasizing that training is more critical than physical supplies for effective preparedness.
The strategy of diverting political discourse to Israel can create a singular focus for voter anger, enabling candidates to gain support by framing issues as anti-israel, even if the issue is not directly relevant to local concerns.
Misinformation, especially around topics like military actions or political endorsements, is used strategically to manipulate public opinion, often creating a sense of urgency or fear that shifts voter behavior despite lacking factual backing.
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