June Winners & Losers! Cade Cavalli Must Add? (7/1 Fantasy Baseball Podcast)
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The podcast discusses recent fantasy baseball performances and waiver wire targets. Cade Cavali's standout start (13 strikeouts, one hit allowed) makes him intriguing, but his overall season (3.69 ERA, high volatility) suggests he's not a must-add; he's worth rostering at 57% if space allows, especially over inconsistent pitchers like Andrew Abbott or Spencer Arrighetti. Justin Robleski has improved, with 11 strikeouts and a 2.39 ERA over his last six starts, but his low strikeout rate and reliance on command and defense (Dodgers rank top-five defensively) indicate he may settle as a mid-3s ERA pitcher. Yuri Perez has excelled lately (1.33 ERA, 0.69 WHIP in four starts) and is building pitch count, making him a solid pickup. June winners include the Marlins (best record), Kyle Stowers (5 HRs, though high strikeout rate), Owen Caissie (10 HRs, 40% rostered), Joe Mack (5 HRs, 24% rostered), and Griffin Conine (4% rostered, strong expected stats). The group of waiver wire starters (Cavali, Tatsuya Mai, Trevor Rogers, Joey Cantillo) are all talented but flawed, with Cavali's upside placing him in the mix but not at the top.
Welcome to the fantasy baseball today podcast from CBS Sports Got a fantasy question email fantasy baseball at CBSi dot com get ready to win your lead Now here's Frank Scott and Chris What's up, and welcome in top fantasy baseball today and welcome to July Here we are halfway through the season. I am Frank Stanford joy by Chris Towers today on the show We have June winners and losers will fire up the worryometer for Pam Schletler career high six homers four homers Career high six earn runs and four homers allowed in that one And there's yet another Waiver wire must must must add picture. I wonder what Scott would say. I'm pretty sure that's exactly what he would say We'll talk all about it Right now All right, let's go crazy crazy gay men like nationals red socks benches clearing people yelling fighting throwing helmets and in the middle of all of it was Cade Cavali Chris Yeah There have been two major league pitchers this season who have had both a Strikeout a start with at least 13 strikeouts and at least two consecutive starts with double digit strikeouts One of them is Jacob is your asking obviously that makes sense. He's the most dominant pitcher in baseball and the other one is of chorus Cade Cavali What baseball? I don't understand that I actually kind of do he's got good stuff. I mean that knuckle curve is A legit sick pitch it's like a 46% with rate on the season. It's a great pitch the problem is nothing else is all that good in his arsenal Usually, but everything was great on Tuesday. He ended up striking out 13 over seven one hit innings with one earned run allowed against the red socks out It's a pretty good matchup He had 15 whiffs on his four seamer his velocity was up 0.7 miles per hour at that pitch Zalasi was up across the board knuckle curve two miles per hour up the sweeper and sinker about 1.3 miles per hour You had 25 whiffs on 56 pitches. I mean this was just an absolutely massive performance from Cade Cavali and I Think if you go back to those two double digit strikeouts starts which are at the end of April He's got a 358 ERA and I think it's 84 strikeouts in 70 and two-thirds innings which is really really good. Yep now There is some fun with arbitrary endpoints there because If you take out the two double digit strikeouts starts at the beginning and the 13 strikeout effort just now It's like 51 strikeouts and 59 innings which is pretty mediocre and he had been pretty bad in June before this one ERA was over five I believe before this one so I still think Cade Cavali is a pretty flawed pitcher He's got a 369 ERA on the season but his XERA coming in was 454 he gets hit really hard when he gets hit And he doesn't get the strikeouts as often as you would think for someone who has had the really big strikeout efforts So I would not classify him as must must must add. Oh, I don't think I would go there But I think you should add him at 57% rostered if you've got That the roster space to play with and you don't need You know and Joey Kentillo isn't available or Trevor Rogers or all those guys who we were talking about Yeah, I think you should add Cade Cavali. I think the likeliest scenario is This is just another spike start from a guy who's really volatile but He's interesting enough to Be worth a look when he does something like this Yeah, I was trying to find some quotes about the the fastball and Why it was so dominant here in the start the 15 of 25 whiffs in this game as you mentioned her LB calm He is the first nationals pitcher to throw seven or more innings with ten or more strikeouts and allow one hit or fewer since Max Scherzer on April 14th of 2018. Yeah, I was gonna I was thinking it was either Scherzer or Strasbourg Yeah, so you know historic start in many ways here for Cade Cavali, but he he He is pretty inconsistent looking at the Command his location plus entering the start was 95 you know 100 is league average So he is well below average in that regard and he just has starts and he's like really inefficient whether it's due to control or just you know Getting really deep in counts and just the classic ways that a pitcher would be inefficient So I agree. I think he's still a flawed pitcher, but man he flashes this upside It makes you dream about what he could do if he could just like live in the strike zone a little bit more 57% rostered Looks like he is home against the Astros and the Yankees next week. So a two-star pitcher I guess Trent Grisham could be back for the Yankees by then I doubt standing and we know Aaron Judge won't be bad Oh, I think that could still be an okay match up there up against the Yankees if we are trying to fit him into This recent wave of waiver wire starting pitchers Where would Cade Cavali fit in we know that there's Tatsuya Mai There's Trent Rogers there's Troy Melton there's Joey Cantelo Let's just say those four for now where where would Cavali rank among those is he last on micro? I think he's probably last but None of them seem like such sure fire things to me that if you wanted to put Cavali at the top of the list because of the upside He has shown I wouldn't really argue with you. I think they're all talented but flawed pitchers you don't really like Before what the last two or three starts I didn't really have any interest in Joey Cantelo He's completely remade himself over the past few weeks in a way that I'm really interested in but It's entirely possible the scouting reports get out and teams lay off the curve ball and it stops working I Don't want to make it sound like I think all of these guys or any of these guys are sure fire Fantasy contributors, so I'm I'm totally open to the possibility that Cade Cavali is the best of them. I'm totally open to the possibility. He's the worst of them But I think he's talented It does seem razor sharp between that group man. It's just tough because like Emile has flashed big upside lately But I mean his floor is about as low as any pitcher any pitcher in that group right and incredibly volatile himself How much you look at his floor versus ceiling like the floor Well, how much of that was just he wasn't Right like you just you know He talked openly about how uncomfortable he had been with the transition to the majors and and living in America and all that stuff That's hard. So Was that his real floor? I don't think so But I also don't think his last two stars where he has what 19 strikeouts combined. I don't think that's necessarily his True talent level either so yeah, I think these are all really interesting pitchers Was Gage jump part of that group? I Did not include him just he out, but I guess he's I just wanted he from a roster a perspective He's kind of still in that in that he'd be at the top just for the the youth and the prospect pedigree that he carried coming into the majors But I know it's been sold away at the 86% Ross. Yeah, yeah, that's Then yeah, he's not part of that group and but I don't think he should be part of that group I think he's better. Let me give you a few names. Would you drop any of these for Kate Cavali Rokie Sasaki? Yeah, I mean, it's a similar case for both of them, but yeah, the ones coming off a good start and ones been badly I think the highs have been higher for Cavali this season, but I just agree that you know both Lower low floors, but I think Sasaki's floor might even be lower the thing is there are not many pitchers who have had a single better start Then Kate Cavali just had today and yeah, there are not many pitchers who can boast of three double digit strikeout efforts on the season I I'm not he might be the first one actually I'll check that while we're now he's probably not the first one But three double digit. Yeah, that starts now. There definitely been others But yeah, I mean you you mentioned the Miz right like he definitely he's got to have done it multiple times Yeah, I feel like maybe Sanchez has done it too, but Yeah, a couple of their names Andrew Abbott. He's 73% rostered. I feel like I would make that swap There's just more upside with Cavali Spencer Ergeti. He's coming off a terrible June Drop him easy for Cavali. Yep, and then Bryce Elder he's 77% I think that's another easy one. Yes, there have been eight pitchers who have Double digit three double digits strikeout efforts this season Do you like the list? Can I name them? Would you like to gain name them? Yeah, let's go fantasy feud the Miz Number one Christopher Sanchez number three You're so far Wow, this game is harder than it looks when you guys play huh. Yeah, you send your tower
(laughs) - You come down on the floor, Louis Armstrong? - I know, okay. - What was it? Louis Anderson, that's his name. - I know, Camselaer has only done it once. They're gonna have like the other high end names. - Yeah, I'm taking it too long. You can just name them. - Dylan Seas. - That makes sense. - Kyle Harrison. - Hey, Slasardo. - Paul Schienz. - And Gavin Williams. - So, all I can kind of be an eclectic group. I'm like, oh, everyone but Cade Cavali is a must-roster pitcher for sure. - They're all top 25 starting pitch things. So yeah, Gavin Williams probably the ifiest of them, but clearly a top 36, 30 guys. So, Cavali might be a big outlier. And the list of guys who've done it twice has some real iffy names. So it's, you know, it's not, - I think Tatsuya Mais on that list. - Tatsuya Mais, Michael Soroka. Yeah, there's some iffy your names there, for sure. - Last name I will throw out there as a drop for Cade Cavali is Noah Cameron, who just got some polish again and he is still 77% rostered. So I do think part of it is looking at roster rates this time of year as some people have kind of fallen off and they don't really took their teams anymore. So some of these roster rates will remain high, but if you have any of those names, I just mentioned I would go ahead and drop any of them for Cade Cavali. Let's talk about my player tonight. That is Justin Robleski, who just had a sick outing at the athletic seven innings, three runs, 11 strikeouts, Cezira walks 19 whiffs on 110 pitches. 12 of those on the fastball, five on the slider and that fastball in particular, Vlaski was up around one of my hour, you had the 12 whiffs, you know, four hard hits, but you know, he's been getting a good amount of whiffs on the fastball since the start of May. I believe when I looked into it, his whiff rate on the fastball in May was like 22%, I think in June before this start it was like 25%. So, you know, like a 23, 24% whiff rate on fastballs, actually pretty good for Justin Robleski. And obviously that number is only going up after a start like this. So for a long time, we were preaching, you know, so high on Justin Robleski, the whiffs haven't been there. For the most part, they still haven't. There was one other start in June where he had nine strikeouts. There was this start where he had 11 strikeouts. Everything else has been pretty mediocre, but I am starting to see a bit of a skill change here, Chris. So I think our stance on Justin Robleski has to change as well. Last six starts, 239 ERA 0.85 whiff, 33 strikeouts to just four walks. The command has been awesome as well over 37 and 2/3. So what do you make of this? Are you maybe changing your stance a little bit here on Justin Robleski? - I think he's the weirdest pitcher in baseball right now. - 'Cause he has had-- - He's the year than Eduardo Rodriguez. - Yeah, 'cause Eduardo Rodriguez is just bad. - And that's good. - And that's good. - That good. - Well, he's getting lucky. Like that's easy to figure out. That's just something that happens. But Justin Robleski is, I think, both pitching way over his head and underperforming if that makes sense. 'Cause I don't believe that Justin Robleski is a true talent 278 ERA guy. I don't think he's that good. But is that what he's down to after the start? Yeah. - No, it's lower than that, 'cause he ended up going-- - 2-2-2-80 on the-- - 2-8. Okay, it went up. He allowed three runs. But I also think he's better than the 15% strikeout rate guy he'd been coming in. And so what's weird is that I think it all might meet in the middle. And when the strikeout rate is 27% as a multi-ending reliever last season, maybe it's 23%, 22%, average, or maybe a tick better overall in the end. I could see that. And then the peripherals suggest maybe something more like a high-3-Z-R-A than a high-2. So I think that's where I land. The problem is that fastball's actually pretty good this season. 21% with rate coming into this start, that's gonna go up. It was 35% last season. That's really good. He's lost a couple of miles per hour. He just doesn't have anything else that can get whiffs. - Yeah. - Last season, a slider had a 26% with rate. That's pretty mediocre for a slider, but it would be great for him this season, 'cause it's only 19%. I don't know. I think Justin Ravleski is probably more like a high-3-Z-R-A guy moving forward and he'll miss more bass than he has been. - Yeah. You know what helps too? And sometimes I think this gets lost. And it's hard to put too much value on it, but it happens all the time. Like there are pictures that we target that have good defenses behind them because it allows them to outperform their expectations. So I mean, for years, the Cubs have had a really good defense. The Cardinals have a really good defense. I just checked now the Dodgers ranked top five in each of defensive runs saved, outs above average, fielding run value. And I guess that's like defensive war, defensive rating on Fagrass. So they're top five in all of those categories as a team this year. They have a really, really good defense behind them too. So I think that allows Justin Ravleski to kind of outperform some of these numbers as well. I think when it's all said and done, if I had to just predict from here on out, I think it's probably like a mid to high three's year A, but it doesn't walk many his location plus is like 111, which is an awesome number. It was the same last year. He's pitching incredibly well. Yeah, you know, he has really, really good command or at least he has the past two years. So I think add it all up and like, he's probably just going to not to this level, but I think he will be able to outperform his peripheral numbers. And I think he's someone that like, yeah, he's, he's earned a little bit more respect than I think he should be moving up our rankings as a result as well. We are going to get to some June winners and losers a little bit later on, but Chris, I gotta give you a shout out, man. One of the biggest winners of the month, those my Emmy, Marlins, the best record in June, 26, a plus 51 run differential for the month. They just smacked up the Rockies, they won 14 to three, put a 21 hits in this game, three homers as well. I have a bunch of names and I just want to highlight up top Kyle Stowers, three for six with a double triple, two runs to our BI. Actually has got on track here in June, 255 batting average, five homers, 23 RBI, and 898 OPS. It also comes with a 36 person strikeout rate in the month. So he's clearly not back to the hitter that he was last year. Like I think he's a more flawed hitter, but he's, he's getting closer to that player as the season goes on. - Agreed. - The other names here, Owen Casey, one for four with his 10th home run at three RBI, a bomb, 109.2 EV, 453 feet. He has four homers in his past 12 games. Kwiley has 46 RBI in this year. It's just like a massive number for Owen Casey. Is a part time player, 40% roster at six game next week, two lefties on the schedule. Does that number need to be higher than 40%? - Maybe. Yeah, I could see that being too low, but partially that's just because when it comes to your five Alfredo leagues, I kind of think unless you're somehow in possession of five alfewilders that you trust, it makes a lot of sense to just cycle through guys and then target, you know, young interesting talents like Owen Casey and Cam Smith and guys like that and seeing if you can get hot, one of them who gets hot and sticks around, I think that makes sense. So yeah, 40% might be too low for Owen Casey. - Speaking of June winners, Joe Mac, man, he just had a big month, one for four with his fifth home run, two RBI, also a bomb, 107.5 EV 450 feet, playing in coarse field. Yes, it does help a little bit. But in June, 294, five homers, 904 OPS here for Joe Mac, he is 24% rostered. I think he's kind of in that conversation, Chris, the names that we were talking about yesterday, Andy Rodriguez, Cooper Ingle, Joe Mac as well. How would you rank that trio? - Behind Andy Rodriguez, probably ahead of Cooper Ingle, I think so, but it's close. - Yeah, Mac is just a classic number two catcher. Like in the fantasy sense where you're probably gonna get a bad batting average from him and you're just hoping it's 15 to 20 homers at the end of the season and he doesn't kill you in batting average. I think that's the kind of player he is, but he's a really, really good defensive player. He's kind of transformed the Marlins in a lot of way with his defense. I think part of why they've been so good in June is he's just a impossibly, impossible to overstate, upgrade defensively over Agustin Ramirez and Liam Hicks. So yeah, I think he's gonna play it a lot. - Yeah, again, that is Joe Mac. I'm looking at his, some of his defensive stuff. He's 94% Kyle Codstheeling 66% Kyle Framing, 82% Kyle Poptime, so he's doing some things defensively and even offensively as well. And then Griffin K9, 4 for 5 with a walk in 2 RBI. He has started seven of nine games since returning. He hit a mammoth home run on Monday. And, you know, the underlying stuff, the expected stats are good. It's a really small sample size, 4% roster. I mean, that is a really, really low number. I mean, we're talking about like 15 team, five outfielder, Roto leagues, but I, you know, in leagues that deep, he's, he's planning against right hand to pitching and he's, he's got a little juice.
big and strong hits the ball hard. The way I put it in tomorrow's newsletter is, if as Merlin Valdez is already roster nearly, go look for grip from cutting. I, and as Merlin Valdez, I assume it was around 20, 25%, maybe lower. 22. I would be surprised if Krona needs to be any higher than that, but yeah, I think that's, yeah, five out fitter leagues. Sure. And who started for the Marlins here? It was Yuri Perez who pitched well in Colorado, five and a third, one run, eight strikeouts to four walks, 19 whiffs on 86 pitches. Don't tell him not to use breaking pitches because he used to sweep or more in this one, despite being in the course field. And it was really good. He had seven whiffs, 50% whiff rate on that pitch, fastball slider, change up, he had everything working in a really tough environment. And if you look at his last four starts dating back to before his injury, and since returning, so two before and two after the IELSTIN, 133 ERA 0.69 Whip, 23 strikeouts to four walks over 20 and a third. I think Yuri Perez has kind of figured something out. Yeah, and you might look at the four walks here and say, oh, it's the same thing as early in the season. I would point out he only threw 68 pitches in his previous start. He got up to 86 in this one. And the Marlins did let him go out for the sixth inning, where he walked two of the first three batters before getting pulled. Without that, I mean, if we're talking about, I think it would have been eight strikeouts, two walks, one earned run over five innings would be thrilled by that. We'd view that as an unqualified success for Yuri Perez. So I think the fact that the Marlins were up like 10-1, I think at that point, yeah, 8-8-1 at that point. It was an easy call to just let's see if we can stretch him out in a low stakes environment here. So I think moving forward, now he got up to 86 pitches here. I think you can just kind of expect Yuri Perez to be pretty good moving forward. So yeah, I think I heard on the Marlins broadcast too that entering June, they were, maybe it wasn't entering June, but they mentioned at some point earlier in the season, they were 14 games out of first place. They're not just four and a half games out of first place, the NL East. That is crazy, man. That is a-- And they've done this month with two healthy starting pitchers. It's like Sandia Contra, Max Meyer, and a bunch of Tyler Phillips and Ryan Gusto. And it's-- That's wild. It is crazy, yeah. But that's just like two things going in opposite directions. Two, man. Marlins aren't fire, the braves are just-- Complete. Shit, it's passing in the night. Seriously, man. So yeah, Sean, it's your Marlins, man. They are doing it. Before we hit the first break, just a reminder to sign up for the FBT newsletter. If you haven't already, if you're watching on YouTube, scan that QR code in the top right corner. That will bring you right to the website, cbsports.com/newsletters, break it sign up for free, and get all of Chris's work delivered right to your email inbox. Let's take that break, and we'll be back right after this. [SPEAKING SPANISH] [SPEAKING SPANISH] [SPEAKING SPANISH] [SPEAKING SPANISH] [SPEAKING SPANISH] [MUSIC PLAYING] [BEEPING] Welcome back, fantasy baseball today. And let's hit the news and notes. Vlad Jr. was scratch Tuesday due to a back tightness. He also left last Friday's game with a back issue. And perhaps this is part of the reason why the power has been down. Well, I mean, everything's been down. He's got a sub 700 OPS. Just trying to find reasons for a hitter this talented has been this bad this season. Perhaps it is due to this back issue he's been dealing with. Ronald Acunia went through a full pregame workout on Tuesday. But manager Walt Weiss, Cedacunia, is a long shot to return before the All Star break. Connolly early left after just four innings with elbow discomfort. He was pitching really well against the nationals who typically smack around lefties, four shot out innings, five strikeouts for him. But elbow discomfort-- anytime it's an elbow, obviously, there's concern. Yeah. Yeah, I think you have to be concerned here. They said it was the back of the elbow. That's often not where the worst injuries come from. But I think that was what Cole Reagan said when he had his injury. And I don't think we're going to see him again this season. So it's never what you want to see. So yeah. Apparently Connolly early will undergo imaging on his elbow here on Wednesday. Here's a quote afterwards. I am personally not too concerned as of right now, but we'll see tomorrow with the imaging. So I mean, a lot of players and pitchers usually skew positive, but we shall see. Sticking with the Red Sox, mentioned earlier, Wilson Gattrass ejected for a second consecutive game. And Chris, I know that he's always been a fiery dude. But lately, it just feels like, man, Kitcharrass is just taking it to the next level, man. It's, I know Kate Cavali was that fault too. They got into a shouting match. He said some things. Cavali said afterwards that Kitcharrass brushed up against him when they were, I guess when they were exiting the field after an inning or whatever, Kitcharrass, like, there was helmet at him. It was crazy stuff, then. Yeah. I don't know. I think they were both pretty equally default in this one. It was surprising. Like, Kate Cavali stayed in the game. Yeah. I mean, I guess good for fantasy because he ended up with 13 strikeouts. But yeah, that was, that was surprising, yes. Corey Seeger was removed Tuesday before taking in a bat due to a back discomfort. And I'm, you mentioned this a lot, Chris. And I know people get crazy with it. I'm sure Corey Seeger doesn't want to be hurt all the time. And he wants to play baseball, but I think I'm done, man. I can't wait to draft Corey Seeger 180th next year. I know what he's all your Corey Seeger as your middle infielder next year is going to be awesome. I can't do it anymore. I can't draft Byron Bustin. I can't do it. I've been hurt too much. Yeah. I will absolutely draft Corey Seeger as like the 180th pick next season might not work. It's just so-- He might be finished, but yeah, I-- Just so frustrating with Corey Seeger. The Dodgers are pushing Otani's next pitching start from Wednesday to Friday, opting for him to face division opponent San Diego Padres instead. Hunter Green will make his season debut Saturday against the Orioles. Max Fried threw a live BP Tuesday for the first time since landing on the I.L. And is scheduled to throw another round on Sunday. From everything I've heard, he looked good. He had a lot of eyes on him and everything seems positive for now. We'll see how Max Fried bounces back in the next few days. Byron Bustin has missed too straight with this right hip impingement that he's dealing with. Jazz Chisholm passed all concussion tests and was available off the bench on Tuesday. Yankees were down like six runs in the first three innings, so there was no reason for him to get into that game. Jack Caglione was back in the lineup after missing Sunday with growing soreness. Yandidiaz was back in the lineup as well Tuesday after leaving Sunday with a left shoulder strain. Hurston Waldrup is a likely candidate to join the Braze rotation in the near future. This is a 24-year-old former first round pick back in 2023. And last year in 10 games, nine starts with the Braves, 288 ERA, 119 Whip, nearly a strikeout per inning. The walks were high. I think they're always going to skew high. 49% ground ball rate. So he does help mitigate some of those walks with getting a lot of ground balls. 20% rostered. Chris, how interested are you in adding Hurston Waldrup before he gets into the rotation? I think we should be moderately interested. Behind all those guys we talked about earlier, the Kavali and everything. But I think he's a talented pitcher. The splitter is a fantastic weapon, but he expanded the Arsenal last season in a way that started to work for him. And I think he's going to be a mid to high 3-Z-ERA guy when he gets healthy or when he's up to speed. And I think there could be more than a strikeout per inning here. I think he didn't show it last season necessarily. It was a gate point four, but I think he can get there. I think he's going to be close, say point eight. I think he's going to be pretty good, yeah. All right, Shane O'Mac, Shane McClellan, we'll start Wednesday against the Royals. He was skipped last time through the rotation as they monitor his workload. Logan Henderson will make his next minor league rehab start on Friday. He is definitely a name that you should stash as well. Logan Henderson ahead of Hurston Waldrup, right? Oh, yeah. Yeah. I think he might be at the top of the list of guys we talked about yesterday. I think we said that yesterday. Scott and I, yeah. Yeah, Logan Henderson. So even ahead of-- yeah, I think you guys did say ahead of like Cantillo and Rodgers and all those guys. Yeah. He's good. He's been really good. Logan Henderson. A.U.H.S.Wara is returned to the lineup after getting hit by a pitch on his wrist on Sunday. Brandon Nemo has missed two straight with that AC joint spring in his left shoulder. Trent Grisham and Ryan McMahon are expected to be activated on Friday. Matt McLean got some pregame work in center field on Tuesday. So perhaps we could see him out there soon. Jordan Lawler's Handshrain injury will keep him out for four to six weeks. And the met's sign, Christopher Morell, to a minor league deal. Let's get into the June winners and losers. There is a lot going on.
this month, there was a lot of home runs hit. There's talk about a juice ball. I did want to quickly, I saw a tweet from Eno Saras that also-- Yeah, I can explain this one. Did they follow up on this? But yeah, go for it. He reached out to MLB regarding the lower drag that we've noticed in the month of June. Lower drag means the ball travels further. And MLB statement was basically that I think it was back in February. They said they noticed an issue with the manufacturing of the baseballs. There was something with the yarn that they were using to stitch the baseballs had too much oil and was leaving a yellow residue on the baseballs. And that is the only manufacturing defect. And they have been as they go through the batches of balls at every game, removing the balls that are visibly discolored. And MLB says that is the only issue. But when they've tested the balls, they have all been within the range of acceptable outcomes on all the various parameters that MLB says they put through the balls through. So I have no idea genuinely what's happening. They said that they fixed the manufacturing issue, but that those balls won't be instituted until late 2026 or 2027. I have no idea. Is it possible that in a couple of weeks ago, they started removing the discolored balls more consistently? And there's something about the discolored balls were not traveling as far. And now the remaining balls are more aerodynamically efficient. I have no idea. One, I can't know. We have to test the balls to see. But two, I'm not smart enough to know. I'll admit, I have no idea if that theory makes any sense. It makes sense to me, but I'm kind of dumb. I have no idea. This is above my pay grade. So what we can say is the balls traveling further in the month of June, especially. It undoubtedly did. There is data to support more than you typically see when the weather heats up. Because I think a lot of people just say, oh, well, the weather's heating up. But it's like, this is even adjusting for that. The ball is traveling further than it does during normal jutes. And boy, this weekend with the heat dome around America, we could see some real impressive power production over the next few days. I think it's going to be 100 degrees here on Wednesday. I don't want to go outside the next few days. No. So yeah, it's-- but it's unquestionably true that the ball's traveling further. And that is leading to more home runs and more off into the month of June than we would otherwise expect. Whether that will continue into July, August, September is impossible to say. MLB's explanation would lead me to think that it will, because they made it sound like whatever new batch of balls that has the fixed production process likely won't be in place until later in the season, if at all. But MLB also said that the balls aren't the reason. So I don't know what to take out of that anyway. Yeah. Anything that we try to project moving forward, it's a complete guess on our front. And so if I had to guess, I would lean towards, I think offense is going to continue to be up throughout the summer months, even more than it normally is. But we'll just have to monitor that as-- Yeah, go through the months. There's a problem with that is-- There are hitters who had bad months and pitchers who had good months in June. So trying to figure out who will benefit and who won is a total full-sarent, I think. Yeah. Let's talk about some of those June winners and losers on the hitter side. Of course, PCA just had to finish June and style. Another home run is 18th of the season. But in June, the final line, 381, 11 homers, 8 steals, 1249 OPS, 4-P Crow Armstrong, who-- it was probably hovering around our top 20, top 24, and trying the month. But I think he's right back inside the top 12, Alphillers. Ooh. Yeah, I haven't updated my rankings this week. Yeah, he's signed for me. So it and rodeo at least. And points probably a little lower. But yeah, I talked more this season. Mm-hmm. For sure. So I think in point, it's probably right around there as well. Junior, Kamenero. Kamenero. Ah! Ah, Kamenero. The June OPS 1058 end. He now has eight home runs in his past seven games, Per Sara Langs. That is the most home runs in a seven game span at each 22 or younger since at least 1900. We are watching a historical start to a career right now, which Kamenero. He is amazing, and obviously-- I don't know. Maybe this will be a kind of-- it feels like it's been a yearly thing so far where he gets off to-- he wasn't bad this year. But like two years in a row, once he gets to June, he just boom, like really, really takes off. Jackson Trio, Captain of a massive month as well. 319 batting average, 10 home runs, 23 runs, 25 RBI, 1013 OPS, he's a top five or six outfield arrest of season. And Fernando Tottis, Jr. Here we go. Two for five with a double-dong last day of June. It was 92 degrees in Chicago. Winds were blowing out 19 miles per hour to center field. So the first home run was legit. It left wriggly. It went out of the entire stadium. The second one seemed like it was a little wind-dated to straightaway center for Tottis. But overall, last 33 games-- this is dating back to even a little bit before June, 345, five homers, seven steals, OPS over 900, 93.3 average, EV, 11% barrel rate. So the overall line, Chris, is still not good. It's probably not ever going to be good for this entire season. But at least over the last 30 games or so, Fernando Tottis looks more like himself. He's fine. I think you can expect Fernando Tottis to be an impact back the rest of the way. I don't know what that specifically looks like anymore. My guess is 25 homer pace, which is about what you got in the month of June. So I'll take that. But I think he's going to hit for a very good batting average. It's going to steal a bunch of bases. I think he's going to be awesome. The final numbers won't look like it. It'll look like a down season. But I think for Fernando Tottis, someone you should have a lot of confidence in moving forward. Other hitters who had no PS over 1,000 in June, Luis Garcia, Jr., we've talked a lot about him lately, Shohei O'Tani, Jack Caglione, the breakout month of his career so far, Hunter Goodman, who, I believe, led all of baseball and home runs in the month. If not, it was like him and PCA, Neck and Neck, and Dylan Dingler, who's kind of cemented himself as a legit top 10 fantasy option at catcher. The pitcher winners, I have four that really stand out to me and then one more, well, I guess we spoke about Justin Robleski. But the four that had just a massive month, Logan Webb, Drew Rasmussen, Austin Griffin, who we spoke about the other day. And of course, the Miz, like Jake Mizierowski, but I mean, he's been just ridiculous since really all season. But from about early to mid-May on, he's just taking it to a completely different level. Anything that you'd like to highlight, I feel like Logan Webb, we've kind of glossed over, but he kind of feels like he's back to Logan Webb. Well, yeah. And I think the reason you gloss over that is because it's expected. The notable thing is when a player like that is struggling. And once they start pitching like themselves, it's like, OK, yeah, that's what I expect you to do. So thank you for doing it. The one thing I will say is even during the good stretch for Logan Webb, the strikeouts have not been nearly as good as they were last season. Last season, he's like a big step forward as a strikeout pitcher, 26% strikeout rate. This season is down to 21%. What's funny is there was clearly a trade-off involved there because he had a 322 ERA with its 26% strikeout rate last season and a 358 XERA. This season, it's a 21% strikeout rate, a 309 ERA and a 358, exactly the same XERA as last season. So the strikeout rate increase was leading to worse results on ball and play for Logan Webb. Strikeout rates gone down, better results on ball and play. He's the same pitcher despite being a different pitcher. Yeah, just the route that he goes to get there has changed a little bit, but he's Logan Webb. The losers-- let's take a look at the hitter losers from June Drake Baldwin, man. 12 games since returning. I know he dealt with an oblique. And sometimes those injuries can really just kind of wreck a season. I hope that's not what's happening here. But 12 games since coming back on 063 batting average, one homer, first that bat back, he hit like a 470 foot homer. And then everything since has basically been a strikeout. 22 strikeouts in 49 played appearances, a 45% strikeout rate. How concerned are we about Drake Baldwin? It's still only 12 games, so it's like how much do you put into it? Yeah. I think I'm not particularly concerned, but it would not be unreasonable to be at least a little bit concerned, because this is a really deep slump, but it's a 12.
game slump. So I don't want to overreact. I don't think he's quite as good as he was early on in the season when he looked like potentially the best catcher in baseball. I don't think he's quite that guy, but I certainly don't think he's this bad either. So I'm, I'm okay with having Drake Baldwin. I think even trying to trade for him right now probably makes a lot of sense. Other hitter losers from the month, Jaren Durran, Vlad Jr., who we spoke about earlier, Chandler Simpson, who a couple of weeks ago we mentioned as the rankings loser. He has stolen like five or six bases since then, but it's still just like a 200 batting average for all of June. No one, Aaron Otto and Austin Riley get back to those two in a second. But Jaren Durran has had a sub 500 OPS in two of the three months this season. Still 95% rostered. Do you think that should be the case? Probably. I just wondered points leagues, you know? Yeah. It's some lefties. It's talking to it's crazy high too. No, I get it. Like I, I understand the point. I just the upside still feels like if he can, yeah, he can get back to it, man. It's like a, he could be, we haven't seen it in like two years, but he could be like a second round player, you know? Yeah. And I don't think you should expect that anymore. He is, you know, like, it's entirely possible that what we saw was a career at age 27, which that's a perfectly reasonable time to have a career year. It's just that Jaren Durran seemed younger and ascending. And so it's like, oh, he's already had his career, yeah, he might have, because he's 29 years old. Yeah, that's kind of how I feel about him, but I still, I would have a lot of trouble dropping him personally. Yeah. I want to just quickly mention on those two-third basement, Nolan Aranado, which I know you were all over this Chris. You expected him to slow down at some point. In June, hit 194 with a 556 OPS, Austin Riley, who was drafted much higher to Nolan Aranado, hit 211 with zero homers and a 565 OPS. I think Aranado, you know, and shallow reliefs. You can, I think even leads with a corner infield, like you could probably find someone who's hotter or just more intriguing right now. Austin Riley, man, what do we do with Austin Riley? I want to not give up on him. And I want to give him a little bit more time because he has been a slow-ish starter over the course of his career. I think 2024 would be the biggest example where he started to hit like himself in June and just the season ended before it fixed his numbers. Last season we're seeing something similar, I think. I want to give him a little more time, but look, there is no besides the fact that his name is Austin Riley and he was once really good. There's really not a lot to be excited about here. And he is also 29. 29 is not super old. I know that. I turned 38 this week, but 29 is in the decline phase for your typical career arc. And not everybody declines at the same pace, not everybody declines the same way. And some guys the decline phase hits a lot earlier. And some guys decline at the same, the right age, but just hit the wall. And it's possible we're seeing that with Riley who has had his OPS go down technically every year since 2021, but he was basically the same guy 21, 22, 23. Since his 861 OPS in 23, it's 7A37, 37, 619. With the underlying numbers getting worse across the board at each year. I do think it's possible that we've just already seen the best from Austin Riley, but I want to be a little bit more patient. I also wonder if just like the injuries that he's dealt with have just taken a toll on his body over the past couple of years. To your point about holding on a little bit longer and being a slow starter in his career, his best months in terms of OPS July 927 in August 859. So typically, the two best months of his of Austin Riley's career. We'll see if he can turn it on in July. Pitcher losers, Bryce Elder, who he talked about as a drop, Freddie Peralta, Gavin Williams, Davis Martin, and Jose Soriano. I just wanted to highlight Soriano because he pitched here on Tuesday. He actually had five shutout innings and then faltered when he came back out for the sixth. I thought he deserved a better line than this Chris five plus innings, three runs, nine strikeouts to one walk. He had 16 whiffs. He threw 68% of his pitches for strikes. He only walked one. He only allowed three hard hits. I thought he deserved a better result here. Yeah, I think that makes perfect sense. Anytime you have a really good five inning start and then you go out for the sixth, we can say everyone should be able to pitch six innings without a problem and that his pitch count was not especially high. Entering the sixth inning, but that third time through the order penalty can be a real problem for pitchers. Look, I think you'd feel a lot better about him if you had the five good innings, but it does also highlight some limitations for Jose Soriano that I think are very real. He's just not as good as he looked in that first month. The underlying numbers back it up, it's actually I think the XERA is the worst that's ever been or worse than last season. I don't think you should drop him across the board, but I think Jose Soriano is back to being just a guy, unfortunately. All right, let's take our final break. When we return, I've got some waiver options. We've got the word, "Ometer for Cam Slitler." We'll do all that right after this. Welcome back, fantasy baseball today. Let's talk waiver wire hitters. Dan's be swanson. Only a name that would be out there in the shallowest of leagues. He's 73% rostered, but boy, he stayed hot, three for four with a double-dong three RBI. He would be a big winner in June as well. Last 12 games, 12 games, three, 46 homers, 21 RBI, four steals. That ain't ever just still 203. That tells you just where he was coming from before that. In some leagues, we lost Jeremy Paine. We might be losing Corey Seeger again. I think in some of those shallower formats, games be swanson would be a totally fine replacement for those guys. Yeah. I do think it's funny that the last 12 games have been awesome. If you get a little more granular, it's like five awesome games, six awesome games, maybe then he have four straight hitless games where he struck out six times and 16 played appearances after that crazy stretch last week and then the last two games. I think it's five hits and a home run. I think the biggest difference with Dan's be swanson this season overall is just he's hitting 200 instead of 240 and that's not nothing. Yeah. But it's over the course of three months. It's probably gosh. 12 extra hits over the course of two three months probably gets you to 240 from 200 from 200. His stolen base RBI run home run pace is pretty much like exactly like you expect. Yeah. Now RBI, that's last 10 days are carrying a lot of weight there. He's got 40% of his RBI in the past 12 games. But overall, he still looks like the same guy with just a worse batting average. So I think he's a perfectly viable middle and field starter. Dan's be swanson's pace before this two home run game entering Tuesday was 21 homers 19 steals 95 runs 89 RBI. So pretty close to what you hope for. Everything is there except for the batting average. So let's just hope if he hits like 250 the rest of the way that's that's pretty much Dan's be swanson. Catchers. It's been a good run for catchers. Lately Francis Galauvarez hit his ninth home run in 19 games since returning. He's hitting 265 with five homers and 821 OPS 19% barrel rate also striking out a lot and cable Ruiz in nice game here. Two for three with a walk a double three RBI consistently sitting out every third game, which I saw on his game log. So it's a little frustrating. But since the start of Mays, it's actually been really good. He's got no PS over 900 since the start of May Chris. Who do you like more between Alvarez and cable Ruiz? Oh, Alvarez for sure. I think Ruiz is a nice player. He's swinging the bat a little harder this season and that's been a good thing for him. But I think Alvarez is just a significantly more talented player. I think the strikeout rate's gone up a lot in the past few games. But over the course of the season, it's been closer like 25%. He has the best expected WoBON contact of his career. He's hitting the ball hard. I think Francis Galauvarez is a borderline top 12 catcher. I don't know if he's quite in the top 12. There's a handful of guys who are very similar to him. Carter Jensen is in that discussion. I think I remember a Marino. Maybe Adley, Rashman, Sam Wolf, Sio are in that discussion. But I think he's there with those guys. Do you think cable Ruiz is clearly ahead of that other trio we talked about? Andy Rodriguez, Cooper Engle and Joe Mac? Probably. I think so too. I think those guys might have more upside. But yeah, I think that's fair. Some names here in five Alvarez leagues. We've talked a lot about these names. Lately, Tommy Edmund had a huge game four for five with his first home run for RBI in 11 games since returning. He's 15 for 38. That's a 395 bet.
and he started nine of 12 games since coming off the I.L. Just be cognizant of whenever you see lefties on the schedule. Tommy Edmond typically hits really well against lefties and he was going up against Jeffrey Springs who has not been very good lately. But you know, he typically does own left handed pitching. That's Tommy Edmond. As Merlin Valdez, another solid game, two for three with a walk. One of the hits and the walk came off of Christopher Sanchez, which I think is a pretty impressive for a young hitter here. He's up to 22% rostered. Andrew Benantendi had himself a strong June as well, hitting 284 six homers, 15 RBI, 957 OPS. And he has really lean into pulling the ball in the air this year. 32% is a career high. 31% rostered. An interest, Chris. Andrew Benantendi. No, not really. I think I said, look, I, I, I, I think he's an okay hot hand playing five Alpharder leagues. Should be roster 90, 15 Alpharder League. I don't expect someone you're happy to have around for long term though. I think I would just rather take the shot on Valdez or Edmond ahead of him, right? And then one deeper name, Jacob Gonzalez is picking things up with the White Sox. Three for five with three RBI last six games. He has 11 hits, a homer, 12 RBI. He has started six straight, 10% rostered first and second base eligible. Very deeply named, but any interest here, he was performing well in the minors. Jacob Gonzalez. I think he's moderately interesting. I just. Does he have a job when I'm going to talk about Marikami's healthy? That I'm not sure about. Not sure. Like if Chase my draw doesn't hit, maybe he takes. But. But yeah, I think it's all is is pretty interesting. Former first round pick, who was finally starting to figure it out this season at the minor league level. He just, I think he's someone who's probably going to have to hit for power. And he hasn't really done that so far. Two homers and 24 games, not really hitting the ball that hard. So that's the concern is as that skill set hasn't showed up yet for him really. All right. Let's light over to the waiver wire pitchers outside of Kate Cavali and Griffin jacks through six innings. But it was still just 71 pitches. So he was really just efficient in this one. Six innings three runs five strikeouts, the zero walks for him. He had eight whiffs on 71 pitches. And he did, you know, use the sweeper, change up curve a little bit more. And that is what we want from Griffin jacks last five starts for him 173 ERA and a one whip on the nose. Brandon's broke pitch well against the reds once again five and a third two runs seven strikeouts. He had 13 whiffs on 106 pitches and more sweepers in this one. That is a great idea for him and last two against the reds until 11 and a third two runs 17 strikeouts to two walks. Matthew Libertore a solid outing at the braves five innings one hit one run nine strikeouts to four walks. He had 15 whiffs on 98 pitches. And he used to slider more in this start. It was really, really good for him. His slider and curve are really good. He doesn't really have anything else. I also think he's just like catching the braves at the right time right now. Yeah, but what do you how would you rank these three Chris jacks Sprout and Libertore? Jack Sprout and Libertore. I think jacks. Given how many interesting pitchers are in that 70% rostered range or even below if we're talking about. Oh, who was it? Kid Cavali who was a little lower than that. I can't say I think Griffin jacks somebody to rush out and add right now after this start, but. I think he's good and I'm just not sure the. The opportunity is going to be there for him to be super valuable for fantasy. He went back to only 71 pitches in this one on five days rest after throwing 88 in his previous start. That is by far the most he's throwing in any start. I don't know if he's throwing 80 in a start outside of that one. I'm not sure he's throwing 75 in a start outside of that one. So I just think jacks is kind of limited and we're kind of near the ceiling in terms of how much you want to roster him. But you know he's sparp so any point's league for sure Sprout I don't trust. I know I'm kind of on an island here. I know a lot of people really like him. I see in the comments, especially if you really like Brandon Sprout. I think he's talented. I think he's got a good feel for spin. I don't think he's a great pitcher yet. So I'm not pounding the table to add him across the board either. I agree with that. I just kind of blindly trust the brewers right to figure things out. So you know I still think there is there's some maturity here and he has to develop as a starting pitcher. He's looked really good over his last two. And you see it there are upside moments and individual pitch characteristics that look pretty good for Brandon Sprout. The breaking stuff looks really good, but you know his his fastballs all of them they typically get hit pretty hard. So there are still things that he needs to work on, but I typically do want to just give the brewers the benefit of the doubt. Hope to think and figure that out. Going back to Griffin Jacks for a second. You mentioned 88 pitches in his previous start. You are correct. He has not thrown more than 72 pitches in any other outing season. So that was very clearly kind of feels like an outlier for Griffin Jackson is last one. And a drop I mentioned earlier no Cameron last four starts for him at nine ERA at 222 whips still 77% rostered so get that guy out of here. Warrior on Wednesday came Schlippler. He got rocked here by the Tigers four plus innings seven hits six runs four homers allowed career high on the earn runs the homers in this one. And lots of hard contact 11 hard hits in this one. Something to watch his last two fastballs in the fifth inning. They average 94.7 miles per hour and the average is around 98 on the season. And I know this has happened a few other times with him. Somebody else pointed out to me on Twitter that like thought maybe he could be tipping pitches in this one which. I don't want to make excuses for the guy. I mean, my thing is just like a regression start for him. He's been so good. It's you know four Seymour sinker cutter. I don't know if tipping pitches really changes that you know. Just look out for hard stuff right. Yeah, the book. He's got to throw a hard watch out. No, I look obviously that can be the case, but there's been. Some warning signs of late. He had his best career start against the reds a couple of weeks ago, but. There was that four start four walk start against the blue jays. There was the five or four runs and four and a third. Last start, the defense was the issue, but he got hit kind of hard. I think in that one as well. So he gave up a homer in that one too. Yeah, there have been some. Some signs that he's not quite as good, but. It's also like he finished the month of June with a 3 30 80 R a and a 42 strikeouts and 32 innings. I don't want to overstate the case here. I still think cam slitler is. One of the 10 best pitchers and baseball. It's just maybe he's not one of the five best pitchers in baseball. Something to watch is the ground ball rate has been trending down for cam slitler earlier on using that sinker that cutter more. He was ground balls, but. Just a 38% ground ball rate in his previous nine starts and then had zero ground balls in this start here on Tuesday. So, you know, no ground balls. If you're not getting. Not every hour it's going to be a strikeout. That means, you know, more line drives more fly balls. Juice ball pitching Yankee Stadium, like things things could happen here with canceler. So just keep that in mind. Joe Ryan meet your dawn Alvarez for innings six hits six earn runs, which was a season high. He gave up a grand slam to your dawn Alvarez. The velocity here for Joe Ryan up between up 1.4 and 2.5 miles per hour on all of his pitches except the slider. It's weird. Ten or 10 total earned runs in his last two outings anything to worry about here with Joe Ryan or is it just like, hey, he gives up homeers at times. Yeah, I think he's a guy that there's a little show to him and aga to him where the R.A. probably always ends up a little higher than you would hope. But he's such a good strikeout pitcher. I mean more so than even aga even very good wit pitcher as well that I think you just kind of have to live with the E.R. A. being a little inflated, but I think he's going to be good overall and it's just these blow up starts will happen. And then land in a route destroyed at the D backs two and two thirds six runs six walks for strikeouts. His velocity was actually up in this outing, but I'm not so sure that's a good thing because he clearly cannot command just 39% of his pitches were in the zone 52% of his pitches for strikes that is awful. And I'm still playing stuff, you know, I have pointed out Scott has pointed out a lot the strikeouts are there ground balls, e.R.A. estimators are there, but I just think when things go south, man, they just go really south for land a route. So I feel like maybe he's a pitcher where like the e.R.A. and whip might run hotter than what the underlying numbers say it should be. Yeah, I mean, my mental model of land a route is kind of a less dependable tarot scoop or choose no, framberval desks, excuse me. Or like framberval desks, but without the certainty that he's going to be good at some point, because framber I'm very confident at some point it's going to click form. It's a similar skill.
set to root where he relies on that big curveball and it's just tough to live that way. I think there's potential here, but it's so hit or miss right now. And it's a really hard profile to make work. I'm not necessarily sure I have a ton of faith in the Giants to be the team to figure these kind of things out right now either. So I want to believe, because I'm a believer in underlying metrics. I know that that's a big part of my thing. And he's just, he has not gotten to it consistently enough. And I think the command is just a big part problem. Yeah. Do you think he's a must hold? Like if you have landed root and he's kind of one of your friends, pitcher, is at the end of your roster, would you would you drop him for like a Cade Cavali or a Tatsu Yai Mai? They all feel pretty volatile. Yeah, I think he's in that group. So if you want to just whoever had the most recent good start, I don't know if that's the best process necessarily, but I think they're all fairly similar talent wise. So I, it is to a certain extent, just rolling the dice on one of them and hoping that's the one who hits. Yeah. We do have a bunch of leftovers here, Tuesdays. I mean, every Tuesday is busy. Big bouncebacks here on the pitching side, Nolan McLean. He was great at the blue day six shut out five strike out six shut out seven strikeouts, excuse me, 11 whiffs on 91 pitches. He used his curve ball more in this one and it was a very good pitch for him overall. First scoreless start of the year, seven plus strikeouts and three straight for Nolan McLean. And on the other side Kevin Godman need a bounce back as well. He got it six innings one run seven tricoules 14 whiffs on 96 pitches. They give up a lot of hard contact 11 hard hits in this one, but nice to see overall strong performance. Chris anything that stood out to you on God's been or Nolan McLean here. I don't seem much different in either of them. It's just good to see, but expected I think not necessarily like I expected them to be both be great in these starts, but I expected them to figure it out eventually. So I'm I don't have a ton to add there. I don't know if this was a conscious decision by Nolan McLean, but all of his breaking pitches had less drop in this one. And I just wonder if that made it easier to like land them for strikes or get them in the zone. Sure. And perhaps like something that helped him here, but I have I think the last time he started my theory was that his pitches might move too much. So it's possible that that helps. Yeah. I guess we also should highlight it was a blue chase lineup that did not have Vlad or Okamoto in it today. That seems like it would matter. Yeah. I mean, not having Vlad in these days. Yeah. Sean Keys greater sign Vlad junior. Yeah. Now he's not done much. Ace is being ace is Derek Scooble had his best start since returning. This one at the Yankee six innings one hit two runs one of those earn nine strikeouts to zero walks. He had 13 with on 87 pitches. Christopher Sanchez dominant once again. This time against the pirates seven shut out innings nine strikeouts 23 with 92 pitches. His change up and slider have actually both leveled up this season, which is just how easy to think about Jacob DeGrom. He was great at the Guardian seven innings two runs nine strikeouts zero walks for him. And Brian who bounce back with a quality start at home. Of course, that's what he does against the angels six and a third two runs five strikeouts to one walk he had 15 with on a hundred six pitches. I mean, four of the top 15 starting pitch baseball and into add on this group. I mean, we could have had Scooble and Wu in the big bounce backs as well. They were both coming off pretty bad starts and have been frustrating lately. Scooble and I think it only been two starts since he came off the aisle, but he hadn't looked great giving up a lot of home runs. But I never really had any concern. The only thing would just be, well, he came back so fast and, you know, the new surgery, okay, maybe it's a faster recovery isn't necessarily better. I tend to assume yes, but it's an uncertain thing at least, but I tend to think Terrick Scooble is going to be Terrick school moving forward too. Yeah, one thing I will point out he has allowed at least one home run each of his four starts coming off the aisle. So that seems a little bit uncharacteristic there for Terrick school. Chris, did you see how Jacob Graham gained the lead in that game against the Guardian? I did not. So Cooper Engle caught the ball in left field left field. And there was a runner on second. He thought it was the third out. It was the second he threw the ball into the stands. And so that's like a two base error. Yeah, yeah, we've, we've all seen that before. Jay Buener, I want to say famously did it in like a, in a very tough moment in a game in the 90s. Like, might have been a Mariners Yankees game or something. That was, yeah, that'll happen. Updated home road splits, by the way, for Brian Wu, two 10 year at home, six 38 on the road. I don't think there's anything actionable with that, right? It's just kind of annoying. Yeah, I don't see any reason to think that's a big thing moving forward. But yeah, I know that the global park is a great ballpark. Yeah, I get there would be home road splits, but I don't think there should be like a four run difference. I don't think it's a situation where you can't trust Brian Wu on the, no. Yeah, two other pitching left overs, Tanner Bible, a solid outing here, seven innings, three runs, two of those earned again, you know, Cooper Engle, sorry, two strikeouts, the zero walks for, uh, for Bible, it's just kind of been a weird season for him. It's like up and down. Makeouts come and go. It's, uh, I think he's just turning into like Michael Walker. Wait, yeah. When you look at his three sixty nine year A and one eleven with like, it's okay. It's just, it's useful. Doesn't come, uh, doesn't come with that many strikeouts. And then, uh, Baba Chandler, he was at two earned runs through six games and then he just fell apart. He came back out for the seventh, winds up with five runs in this one. Uh, previous four starts were all really good. Anything on by B and Baba Chandler. But Baba Chandler runs very frustrating, uh, because this should have been an opportunity to like, let's stack some, some good starts that start to feel good moving forward. And they just got a little cocky, kept him out there. And I, I think they, they ended up paying for it. But, you know, he's still not there yet. It's only, uh, seven whiffs in this one. The strikeout rate has not been, uh, very good lately despite, you know, better results. So he's still fingering out. I, I think it's, you know, maybe it's just, let's figure out how to get out and then we'll figure out how to get strikeouts. But it's, it's frustrating for a guy who clearly has good stuff that he's not generating the kind of whiffs we should be seeing from him. All right. So I'm hitting left over his Ketell Marte, his 17th home run. He has homered in four straight and five of the past six. And he had a terrible April. But since the start of May, he's hitting 282 with 12 homers, 42 RBI and an OPS near 900. 12 homers. Maybe I miswrote that. That feels low. I don't know. Hmm. But any, he probably didn't have five homers in April, right? He's, uh, no, no, he has 12 homeruns as the start of May. Uh, yeah. So five, I don't know. Maybe he just, it's 17 homeruns overall. Maybe it is right. I don't know. Anyway, Ketell Marte, it's the start of May. That's right. Uh, others who have picked it up lately, many Machado last 19 games. He's hitting 264, five homers, 14 RBI and OPS over 900. So finally, starting to climb out of it. Trade turner, same thing, last 13 games for him, 345, two homers, 16 runs, two steals. Riley Green, uh, he kind of had the opposite of Ketell Marte. He did not have a good May. He did not homer in May at all. And then here in June, uh, seven homeruns that was capped off here with a two homer performance, both against camp switler. So pretty awesome stuff there from him. Sal Stewart, he picking, he's picking things back up last 15 hitting 300 three homers, 17 RBI, one steal 88 OPS Carter Jensen over his last 20, 346 with five homeruns for him. Just an 18% strike out right. You like to see that. And Jake Bowers, three for four with his 15th homerun. June has been his best power a month yet. Six homers and a 976 OPS. One thing to watch is that he has set out four of their past 11 games and all four of those were against lefties. So yeah, there. Andrew Vaughn's a really good hitter. Yes. And it's a really tough situation because I mean, I know they played Vaughn once or twice at third base. I kind of feel like they should just like, can he do that? Can we just give him a chance? Cause their best lineups going to have Jake Bowers and Andrew Vaughn in it. It's really hard to do that when Christian Yellitz also needs to play at D H and. Yellitz has been sitting out against lefties too. He's been sitting out against lefties, but I don't think they're ever going to bench him nor should they. I mean, he's earned that kind of trust. But it's, you'd rather have too many good hitters than not enough, but they definitely do have too many good hitters. And it's, it's holding like, I think Vaughn and Bowers could both be top 20, top 15 type first baseman if they just played every day. I have a little more faith in Vaughn personally, but I think both would be good. Yeah. All right. Three other hitting left overs, Bobby with junior three for four with a double dong three RBI. Nice to see this after the knee injury. He really had a good time.
done much. So I think game here for him. You're on Alvarez three for four with a grand slam, his 26th home run. He had been hit list in his previous five games before this. He's human. It's loud. And Josh Young two for four with his ninth home. But he actually was a faller here in June down to a six eighty three OPS in the month. Still eighty percent rostered. The overall number still look pretty good. Do you think Josh Young is someone that you have to hold on to? No, because even when he was having a good stretch to open the season, it wasn't for a lot of power. It was mostly batting average and batting average is fickle. So now that it's turned, I don't think you have to view Josh Young as a as a most roster player now. All right. On the bullpen side of things. The call to the bullpen for the Rangers Jacob Latt struck out two for his in the ninth for his 18th save for the match. Devon Williams got the ninth inning with a three run lead. He allowed a hit by picked up his 12th save for the card and those Riley O'Brien picked up his 21st save. He kind of had a hiccup in like late May early June, but he's he's bounced back. Riley O'Brien has for the Astros Josh Hader struck out two for his eighth save. And for the Cubs, Tyler Ferguson entered with two outs in the eighth one man on a two run lead. He struck out many Machado and Ferguson started the ninth. He got the first two outs. It was lefty Ryan Rawlison, who got the final out against Jackson Merrill. My assumption is that Caleb Thielbar and both Jacob Webber are unavailable here on Tuesday. To stream or not to stream on Wednesday, we have Troy Melton at the Yankees Joey Cantillo against the Rangers. Walker Bueller at the Cubs, Colin Reagan's the Padres, Michael McGreevy at the Braves, Tattooi, Mai against the twins, Andrew Abbott at the Brewer, Shane Drowin against the Reds. Melton Cantillo and Imy are all good. I don't hate either side of Abbott versus Drowin in Milwaukee. So it's a good ballpark for strikeouts. I could see that working out. All right. And I forgot to write these in for third. Okay. I'm looking at it. There's not a ton of great options. No, there's not too much going on here. Uh, Gerr Jones, Afel Adolfia. No, really, not really Slade Sikone against the White Sog. Maybe I know, uh, let's prosausky had something about some changes that Slade Sikone has made recently. I thought they were interesting. I didn't find it fully convincing. Walbert, Arania, Seattle. I think that's a pretty good one. That could work. Rocky Sasaki versus San Diego should be good, but that was the matchup he just had and it was bad. So I don't. That's true. I don't know if you could trust it. Yeah. Yeah. If I had to choose three, I would probably say Arania Sasaki and Sikone, but I guess yeah. Yeah. I mean, Arania's, Arania's the only one that I guess have decent. That's my favorite one. Yeah. We are going to wrap there for Chris. I am Frank. Thanks as always for tuning into fantasy baseball today. Please make sure to follow and leave a five-star rating on Apple's Spotify and we will do act back in tomorrow. Bye-bye. Paramount podcasts. Where are you sending us? This is a fun one. Streaming to light 23rd on Paramount Plus. The hit series Star Trek Strange New Worlds returns. You are facing the finest crew in Star Trek. Both we go. One step closer. Any of these missions could be on us. To where it all began. We've seen a lot of strange new worlds, but we'll never see something like this. Star Trek's Strange New Worlds. New season streaming to light 23rd exclusively on Paramount Plus.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Cade Cavali had a dominant start (13 Ks, 1 ER over 7 IP) but remains a volatile pitcher with a high ERA and inconsistent command; he's not a must-add but worth a look at 57% rostered.
Justin Robleski is showing improved skills (11 Ks, 239 ERA over last six starts), though his underlying metrics suggest regression; strong defense behind him helps.
Yuri Perez has found success (133 ERA, 0.69 WHIP over last four starts) and is stretching out, making him a viable fantasy option.
June winners include the Marlins (best record), Kyle Stowers (5 HRs), Owen Caissie (10 HRs), Joe Mack (5 HRs), and Griffin Conine (strong underlying stats).
Cavali is compared to other waiver wire pitchers (e.g., Tatsuya Mai, Trevor Rogers) and is considered a high-upside but risky add, potentially better than some like Andrew Abbott or Spencer Arrighetti.
Summary:
The podcast discusses recent fantasy baseball performances and waiver wire targets. 69 ERA, high volatility) suggests he's not a must-add; he's worth rostering at 57% if space allows, especially over inconsistent pitchers like Andrew Abbott or Spencer Arrighetti. 39 ERA over his last six starts, but his low strikeout rate and reliance on command and defense (Dodgers rank top-five defensively) indicate he may settle as a mid-3s ERA pitcher.
69 WHIP in four starts) and is building pitch count, making him a solid pickup. June winners include the Marlins (best record), Kyle Stowers (5 HRs, though high strikeout rate), Owen Caissie (10 HRs, 40% rostered), Joe Mack (5 HRs, 24% rostered), and Griffin Conine (4% rostered, strong expected stats). The group of waiver wire starters (Cavali, Tatsuya Mai, Trevor Rogers, Joey Cantillo) are all talented but flawed, with Cavali's upside placing him in the mix but not at the top.
FAQs
Yes, at 57% rostered, he's worth adding if you have roster space, but he's volatile and not a must-add. His upside is high with three double-digit strikeout starts, but his floor is low due to inconsistency.
Cavali is likely last among that group, but his upside is comparable. All are talented but flawed, so ranking them is razor-thin and depends on your preference for ceiling versus floor.
Robleski is outperforming his peripherals but has improved command and a good defense behind him. Expect a mid-to-high 3.00 ERA moving forward with a strikeout rate around 22-23%.
Owen Casey (40% rostered) and Joe Mac (24% rostered) are strong adds. Casey has 10 homers and 46 RBI, while Mac hit .294 with five homers in June. Griffin Conine (4% rostered) is a deep-league option against righties.
Yes, over his last four starts, he has a 1.33 ERA and 0.69 WHIP with 23 strikeouts. He's stretched to 86 pitches and looks like a solid option moving forward.
Consider dropping Rokie Sasaki, Andrew Abbott, Spencer Ergeti, or Bryce Elder. These pitchers have lower upside or are underperforming, making Cavali a worthwhile swap.
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