It's One Ballroom, Donald, How Much Could It Cost?

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We also have Carlos Eduardo Espina, Simone Sanders-Townsend, Eugene Daniels, David Pakman, Jessica Tarloff, Heather McGee, and then all the other people that we've announced on the website. Plus, more to come. Great list. Check out the full lineup and get tickets right now at crookedcon.com. We'd love to see you there. That's crookedcon.com. This is LeVar Arrington from Two Pros and a Cup of Joe. Let me tell you about Xero. That's X-E-R-O. Xero is a financial management platform that loves giving small business owners the clarity to have the confidence in their numbers. It puts accounting payments, payroll, and analytics all in one place. So you always have one clear picture of your business. With visual dashboards, Xero makes it easy to understand your cash flow. You know exactly what's coming in and what's going out. So you can make smarter decisions that can help grow your business. Xero's AI can. Xero can even offer insights to help you make your best move. It's powerful enough for an accountant and simple enough for you. Xero is the all-in-one to get business done. Learn more at Xero.com. Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau. I'm Dan Pfeiffer. On today's show, the J.D. vs. Marco primary is heating up. And we'll talk about which one of them will win the ultimate prize of defending Donald Trump's dog shit approval rating to an angry electorate in 2028. Speaking of which, we'll also talk about Republicans voting to spend $1 billion of your money on Donald Trump's ballroom. Trump's revenge. Revenge on the Indiana Republicans who blocked his gerrymandering scheme. And the latest with J. Edgar Boozer, who's been handing out custom-engraved bottles of bourbon and threatened to polygraph FBI officials when one bottle went missing. Then, love it talks to Tom Steyer, one of the leading Democrats in the California governor's race, about his vision for running the state. Also, before we start, if you're a friend of the pod subscriber, which, if you aren't, you should be, you can buy tickets for this year's Crooked Con starting Tuesday, May 12th. Special pre-sale, just for subscribers. But if you're not a subscriber, because you hate pro-democracy independent media and love listening to podcast ads, then you can buy Crooked Con tickets a week later on May 19th. So, get that extra weekend, because they're going to go fast. Either way, it's going to be a big fun party right after the midterms, November 5th through 7th in Washington, D.C. So, go to CrookedCon.com for more details, including how to become a friend of the pod subscriber. I'll give you the detail right now. Crooked.com slash friends. Here's the thing. We're going to be together, and we're going to be drinking. We're either going to be celebrating or drowning our sorrows, but we'll be doing it together. Yeah. You can still have a party if it's a, you know, I mean, it's still a party. I just want to make it. I mean, it's not a happy party. Somewhere. It's going to be a drunk party. There's karma out there, and I don't want to anchor karma. It's okay. All right. Well, there you go. Okay. We are recording this on Thursday afternoon, and as of right now, us and Iran are still discussing a one-page memo that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, pause the war that's already supposed to be paused, but really isn't for another 30 days, during which time the two countries would try to reach a permanent deal where Iran gets billions of dollars in unfrozen assets if they pinky promise not to build a nuclear weapon and commit to an inspection regime that sounds a lot like Obama's Iran deal that Donald Trump pulled out of. The background music for these negotiations is Iranian boats firing, carrying on U.S. Navy ships in the U.S., carrying out new strikes on an Iranian oil port. It's unclear. It's a little fog of war going on, but as we're recording, there's sort of explosions everywhere. There's reports of explosions in Tehran as well, so who the fuck knows what's going on? Trump officials say this doesn't count as restarting the war, but they also might restart the war, just like they also might restart Project Freedom, which is Trump's half-assed plan to guide traffic through the Strait, which was canceled earlier in the week, after an incredible one-day run in Project Freedom. Not even a full day. They didn't make it 24 hours. I know, I was being generous. It's like banker's hours. Meanwhile, the CIA reportedly believes that Iran still has 70% of its ballistic missiles, 75% of its missile launchers, and can withstand the U.S. naval blockade for, quote, at least three to four more months. That is according to The Washington Post. What do you think, Dan? Is Trump still holding all the cards? It's hard to fathom a bigger clusterfuck than this. Like, it's just such a shit show. It was such a bad idea, obviously. It's been so poorly executed since then. It's so chaotic that at the same time that I was reading the New York Times story today on the one-page memo, and everyone's very specific that it's one page. 14 points on one page, I guess. We don't even know why. You're going to put the margins over it. You've got a 0.5 margin. Maybe you've got a 0.25. What's the font size? Are we 14? Yeah, we don't know. It's got to be. If we're fitting 14 points on a one-pager, it's a lot. But what are those 14 points? So it's one page. I'm reading that. I get a news alert on my phone that the United States has struck Iranian oil ports. Like, what is happening? And then we're firing missiles back and forth. They've attacked U.S. ships, apparently, we think, at this point. The American ships had to retreat because they were damaged, we think, at this point. But do not worry. The peace negotiations, they're still headed down the path. And they're still circling around this one-page memo. And a ceasefire could begin any minute, or I guess a peace deal could begin any minute, which is what they've been saying for a month now. So just as a thought exercise, I'm going to be generous again here. Let's imagine that the negotiations, sort of the latest round of firing and attacks, that dies down. Negotiations resume. They get a deal. And then 30 days from now, they reach a more permanent deal. And it's the best deal possible for the United States. Which is the Obama deal, which is basically an approximation of the Obama deal. Yeah. What that would do is basically, you'd ship out all the uranium, the enriched uranium from Iran. Some reports said possibly to the United States. So you'd ship out all the uranium. Now, they didn't have any uranium when Donald Trump came into office because of the Iran nuclear deal. But they did produce a lot more uranium. They did enrich a lot more uranium in the years between Trump pulling out of the Iran deal and Trump deciding to attack them. But anyway, so you get rid of all the uranium. And then you have new limits on uranium enrichment and the nuclear program. And some of the hawks might argue, like maybe they're a little more stringent. But the same kind of inspections regime, maybe like a little bit more enhanced. But again, the whole deal is we're going to inspect it. There's going to be spots. There's going to be spot inspections. The UN can go in there any time. So we're going to keep an eye on them, which again, that was the Obama deal. And in exchange, we're going to unfreeze billions and billions of dollars of assets. Again, that was the Obama deal. And so that is the best, best, best case scenario. In that scenario, what did it cost us? Well, it cost us 14 American lives, hundreds of now thousands of lives in Iran, in Lebanon, across the Gulf. It cost us God knows how much money, both in at least $25 billion. I was going to say both in the direct money we spent on the war and the harm to the global economy and to the U.S. economy and higher energy prices. It also, we also spent like, we're talking about Iran having 70% of its ballistic missiles, 75% of its missile launchers. What kind of weapons do we have? How much? How many? many weapons how many missiles did we launch now um over this war for absolutely fucking nothing um our global standing in the world our allies trust in us um i don't know i could go on and on and on but it doesn't seem like it doesn't seem like we would have gotten much from this best best best best case scenario and even under your best best best case scenario which was very generous of you and your generosity is appreciated at the highest levels of the white house i'm sure the likelihood that the iranian people rise up against the regime for a more pro-american democratic version of iran is much less likely than it was before this because i don't know we started blowing up their country and bombing girls schools so that seems unlikely and let's say we let's say we did we did kill an 86 year old and a bunch of his top goons so that is where i feel safer already right because because clearly um that has decapitated the regime and they haven't been able to do anything since then oh oh wait yes yes and then but even before we get to your um future approximation of the obama iran deal let's just say we agree on the 14 points we get that done and the straight opens even if you open the straight today the united states government estimates it'll take six months to clear it of mines the impact on oil prices around the world and gas prices united states will remain for six months to a year at least the economic damage will not be undone the tail effect of all of this on food prices because a fertilizer on the supply chain will continue for a long period of time and so this is not like you solve this problem because trump is trying to solve this problem because the midterms are coming the political problems that come from the damage to the economy are not going anytime soon and for the american people who are struggling which is the more important issue here relief is not coming when the 14.1 page memo is agreed to yeah and then what do you think is going to happen when uh if the memo is agreed to and trump announces that he should get the peace prize again and everything and then gas prices continue to drift up from now until november you think people are going to be you think that people are upset now just wait till october rolls around and the war has been in the rearview mirror for a couple months people are like what the fuck why am i still paying five dollar gas four dollar gas and then you're like oh my god i'm going to have to gas speaking of which oil futures have been on a real ride uh thanks to all the dueling scoops and siren emojis uh but gas prices um which are a little more stable we're at a nationwide average of four dollars and 55 cents a gallon uh 10 cents higher than monday and the trump white house is of course working overtime to make sure people know and understand that they feel their pain let's listen credit card spending is through the roof they're spending more on gasoline but they're spending more on everything else too we want to encourage all americans to take a road trip whether you're going to go two hours or two days i thought oil prices would go to 200 250 dollars it's at a hundred dollars now but even if it went to 200 uh it would have been worth it i understand just an incredible showing from all three of those gentlemen but i do have to say kevin kevin has it like yeah no it's true people are maxing out their credit cards because of high gas prices but in fairness everything else is fucking expensive too it's like do you think it's possible that kevin has it is secretly working for the democrats do we have a plant in there we would never hire someone that's stupid is this what ken martin has been spending all the money on i think it is more likely that uh i guess there's two options when it comes to has it one is he's the dumbest economist alive and the other one is is that earlier this year he placed a massive bet on kalshi on democrats taking the house because he's doing everything possible like he is just just one rake after another just he just wants to be in as many campaign maybe he has a maybe he has a bet with this young about how many democratic campaign ads can he be in because he every time he goes on tv he's trying to be in another one maybe it's like a bet with scott besant because every time besant opens his mouth it's almost as bad i think besant's in the lead right now but besant gives like kevin has it gives off doofus vibes while besant gives off the vibes of someone who would use his private equity fund your house and evict you yeah yeah besant gives off the vibe of someone who's like never gone to a grocery store or gone to a gas station and filled up his own tank of gas i mean which is a terrible thing to say about a soybean farmer but yes there's a there's a bigger issue here i think beyond just the incompetence of these individual spokespeople is they are like this is the trap trump has set for himself which is they you cannot admit that things are bad because to admit things are bad you can't lay out your plan to make them better so instead you just have to walk around every single day and stick your thumb in the eye of every swing voter and seem just radically out of touch with reality it's just like this is why the affordability to all of that was doomed to fail because they are incapable of offering a message because they're incapable of acknowledging the reality that american people feel every single day i would say that's all true but they are doing an extra special good job of acknowledging the reality of the reality of the reality of the of uh of poking the american people in the eye yes because like you think about the biden administration and we criticize them at the time when they would go around being like uh oh people say they're hurting but like uh you're looking at gas prices in an expensive neighborhood and actually look at listen to the inflation rating it's actually good and all of their comments while they weren't really effective at making people believe something different than their eyes were were telling them um they were at least geared towards trying to tell people that things were getting better and that is being actually that's being overly generous i know i'm again i'm feeling very generous what is going on with you today but again like i can't imagine if like ron klain or i can't even remember who the economic like jared bernstein were out there being like yes it's true it's true people are spending a lot of money and maxing out their credit cards on gas but also everything's expensive yeah i mean like in fairness to like the individual spokespeople would do a better job than biden himself who would be like the lowest unemployment rate in history yeah they did have that thing where they were like everyone's turkeys are five cents cheaper this thanksgiving where things are getting better it's just you look everyone if you're ever in the white house if you're ever on a democratic campaign you ever get to the white house and the economy's a little rocky don't do that just don't do that if people are upset people are going to be upset just tell them you're going to fight harder that's it that's all you got to do uh still not going to help you necessarily but it's not going to make it worse this is making it worse stop digging stop digging exactly positive america is brought to you by books mother's day is coming up and i've been thinking about my mom because now that i have kids of my own i realize how impossible i was yeah you know even when i was being cool just challenging just challenging but in a good way but challenging tiring but in a lot and you know just a lot and you know what she deserves his payback you know she flowers books so yeah mother's day matters you got to get it right and the easiest way is books that's short for bouquets obviously everyone knows that if you're thinking about sending your mom flowers go with the books company 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think you need therapy but you probably do it helps to talk to someone there's a lot going on in your life there's a lot going on in the world the people in your life maybe they want to hear you but not constantly they don't want to just sit there and listen all your problems so you should sit down with a therapist someone whose expertise is in solving your problems and everyone's problems good idea you don't have to traverse life's challenges alone find the personal support you're looking for in therapy sign up and get 10 off at betterhelp.com psa that's better h-e-l-p dot com slash psa so as this is happening um the two men most likely to be the republican nominee in 2028 we're out there trying to explain the war everything else jd vance was in iowa on tuesday ostensibly stumping for a vulnerable republican house member but probably testing the waters for 28 to see if there is anyone out there who likes him uh let's listen what is uh this what is uh zach you're gonna have to help me out with her name here i lost my page here okay all right okay there we go sarah trone garriott there he is i i'm on the wrong page here crushed it sir yes he's doing great shane goldmarker from the new york times was at the event and he noted in his story that a bunch of people volunteered to him um that they actually really like rubio uh and not just fans sometimes over vance which is something that um our friend sarah longwell has been noting in her focus groups as well um rubio uh happened to be taken over the white house daily briefing uh the very same day vance was in iowa i know um you and love it talk about it but i'm not sure if it's true or not i'm not sure if it's true or not a bit about this on pod save america only friends uh how do you access that john what is that tell me about well uh it says right here you can subscribe at cricket.com slash friends if you haven't already it's an extra special bi-weekly episode of pod save america so if you're positive america subscribe rotating cast of characters it was you and love it this week and i know you guys talked about this but we're going to talk about it again um particularly because with different takes different take well there's one answer from rubio you guys didn't talk about that has gone and it's a it was a response to you know a kind of question that we all know and love of the um what gives you hope variety here's here's what marker rubio said i mean my hope for america is what it's always been i think it's the hope i hope we all share we wanted to continue to be the place where anyone from anywhere can achieve anything where you're not limited by the circumstances of your birth by the color of your skin by your ethnicity but frankly it's a place where you are able to overcome challenges and achieve your full potential we have a lot to learn and be proud of in our history it is one of perpetual and continuous improvement where each generation has done its part to bring us closer to fulfilling the vision that the founders of this country had upon its founding not limited by the circumstances of your birth unless you were born to someone who is not a citizen of the united states in which case my administration is currently trying to make sure that what it says in the constitution that you're guaranteed to be a citizen is no more other than that other than that tiny exception yes as far as your dreams go um so that went viral all the maga folks are loving it uh rubio's official twitter account released essentially a campaign video of that answer with a with a superman type theme song playing in the background um what do you think of the rubio boomlet dan what's uh what is what is the path from from here to marco rubio accepting the republican nomination in 2028 while jd vance is just sad somewhere let me i would like to know what you think of the rubio boomlet i would like to see jd vance sad somewhere but i don't want to see marco rubo happy so i'm not really sure how this plays out um i think the rubio boomlet as you have deemed it uh has more to do with jd vance sucking than marco rubio shining like rubio does benefit from comparison he's in a cabinet land in the land of the blind one-eyed man is king yes he is sure you're not supposed to say that for a whole bunch of reasons anymore but anyway yeah well i wonder what you're doing this podcast with next week anywho um don't ask me we're leaving and everyone we're leaving um he's in a cabinet let me try to do this in a way uh he's in a cabinet with pete hegseth rfk jr linda mcmahon sean duffy he looks serious compared to those unserious people in the land of the unserious the serious man is king the mildly serious man is king sucks that sucks well you know what we gotta make we gotta make adjustments john um and so like i think uh like he looks he looks more serious than these people and love it i talked about his performance in the briefing compared to pete hegseth he looks like a real person i think there is one giant problem for marco rubio marco rubio's greatest legislative accomplishment perhaps his only legislative accomplishment was to work hand in hand with barack obama and harry reid to pass a bill to provide a path to citizenship for millions upon millions of undocumented immigrants you mean you mean uh you mean marco rubio also fluent in spanish who uh who spoke in spanish at that briefing which to me was quite impressive but let's check in with the 40 of republican voters 50 of republican voters who still absolutely love donald trump and want him to be more restrictionist on immigration and more let me let me xenophobic i worked in the white house when marco rubio helped barack obama pass that very important bill to give a path to the amnesty bill as some called it at the time when he helped with our with the obama amnesty bill i was there every single day in the office i was appreciative of marco rubio's help today to this day i still i want to i just sent him a thank you card again the other day i am available for speaking to i about the very important role he played i am available if you need me in iowa new hampshire in the coming years to come speak with and share the gratitude i have with marco rubio for the work he did his sincere beliefs his the hard work the way in which he really was barack obama's whisperer on the hill yeah i can i'm happy to tell the stories this is a man who believes that borders are just lines on a map and that they don't really they don't really capture um like what it is to be an american which is as he said there it's a place where anyone can come and become anything which is that you know marco rubio believes that that speech could have been given by barack obama right there and i think i think the reason is because they are when you get down to it kindred spirits like what rubio used to say i'm told i wasn't there was we're not republicans we're not democrats we're all members of the uniparty so you know it is like i think that all of these and and i have heard this now i know that sarah has heard this in her focus groups i've heard this from like people i know people have heard this from and kindred but they are all the same people who are like you know maybe spencer pratt should be mayor of los angeles or people who were like uh let me see they're either they've got finance careers they've got tech careers they they liked elon musk for a while they thought that was interesting they were kind of looking at ron desantis in the last primary and thought maybe he had a really good chance way too late um and that group of people is uh influential in terms of their money but they are not the maga base they are not the maga base and i think that right now i agree with you that it is more about jd vance's weakness than marco rubio's strength because right now i think marco rubio is a bit of a a blank blank slate for people and they're not what i'm done with them but they are they are i mean and we do this we've done this with democratic candidates all the time but you sort of project all your hopes and dreams of what you want in a candidate on marco rubio because right now when you see marco rubio he's not fucking tripping and falling on his face every five seconds like the rest of the doofuses in the administration you know and he does he does seem like a serious person he ran a absolutely miserable 2016 campaign oh my god remember the voters met him chris christie like murdered him on stage yes yes and as i pointed out to the other day he ended his campaign uh losing a dick joke war with donald trump and then cried because he was so upset that donald trump would have access to the world's weapons also do you like how does i mean i could i could very easily see a scenario where it ends up vance rubio in fact i think that could be one of the likelier scenarios like i don't do can you see a scenario where rubio is like uh you know what i said i wasn't going to run against jd vance but change my mind i'm going to do it um i find that hard to believe maybe there's a scenario where jd vance is so thoroughly embarrassed that he just sort of slinks away and decides not to run at all although that seems that's true i don't know i don't know i don't know i don't know i don't think it's impossible to imagine unless trump tells him unless trump tells him you're not it yeah i mean if trump put his thumb on the scale and was like i want rubio to even privately you know yes then i can see that happening um yeah it's uh it'll be interesting but i think if you're rubio you're like i'm just gonna go along and and and take the adulation from the from the people who think that i would be better than the current situation we're in and maybe he runs with jd vance and then thinks if jd vance loses then rubio is instantly the front runner and he's going to be the front runner for uh what is it 2032 yeah i think he could consolidate every single one of the nicki haley voters and i think it'd be great for him i mean rubio's natural all five rubio's natural energy is cuck like i just it just he's like he is yeah like that is sitting in that big cuck chair yeah i mean also that's you know what when i go to iowa to tell these stories i'm gonna bring that chair with me i'm gonna sit in that chair to tell the stories of marco rubio's work and read the immigration bill that he authored yes yes just read it out loud you know just the obama library is opening this month i wonder if there's an annotated copy in there with all i hope there's an exhibit i hope marco rubio features prominently in the library this was fun um all right trump meanwhile seems like he's trying to make it as difficult as possible for either vance or rubio uh to win a presidential election thanks to their association with him um here he is discussing his plans to change the color of the reflecting pool on the national mall stage a UFC fight at the White House for his birthday. and of course, built his ballroom. I said, you know, I built all these swimming pools, and they're phenomenal. So I have some very good contractors. I think that I'd like to recommend a color. It's called American Flag Blue. I said, that's the color I want. As you know, June 14th, we're having a big fight. A lot of people haven't seen this yet. This will be the greatest show on Earth is at night. That's all lighting and cover. I was in a position being a builder and having built many ballrooms and many other things. I'm good at ballrooms. That's the entrance to the new ballroom that's being built, which everybody likes, especially since last Saturday evening, they like it even more, because it'll have a thing called security. Those were all just this week. Just this week, as the war has erupted again, and they're trying to get a ceasefire, and gas is going through the roof. That was all this week in his remarks. And good news, Reuters just reported that the White House is expecting to get the $400 million jumbo jet, the Qatari royal family personally gifted to Donald Trump just in time for America's birthday. Happy 4th. Here's a $400 million Qatari jumbo jet from the royal family. Well, the jet was free. The $400 million you paid for, you the taxpayer, to upgrade the security on the jet, i.e. remove it. Remove all the listening devices the Qatari's put in it. So, so far, Trump's whole Versailles on the Potomac vibe has been yet another weight on his approval rating, but now he's tossing the anchor at Republicans in Congress who are stunningly about to vote on whether to spend $1 billion, our dollars, taxpayer dollars, on Donald Trump's ballroom, which they are claiming is necessary, for security reasons. Do you think Republicans running in competitive races are excited about signing their own political death warrants? This is the most insane thing I have ever seen a party do in an election year. They don't have to do this. Like, they chose to do this. They volunteered to do it. And at a time in which they've already voted to close rural hospitals, they've already voted to kick people off their healthcare, they've already voted to kick people off their healthcare, they've already voted to kick people off their food assistance. They've said we don't have money for education or childcare or anything else, but we have a billion dollars for a fancy ballroom where Trump can whine and die in the Epstein class. It's like, this is like a stimulus program for political ad makers. Like, it is insane. I hope they vote today. I was just thinking about that. Like, in this, I wonder what you think about this. In this, like, media information environment, like, it is. Right. It is like a buffet for ad makers, for Democratic ad makers that they've, like, never seen before. And I think in an environment like that, like, you want to go with, like, one ad over and over again. And, like, all you need, like, I really think, and someone can go test this, but, like, all you need is an ad that just has, like, image of him talking about the ballroom and then rural hospital closing. Image about him talking about the fucking arch that he's building and people talking about, like, high gas prices, people at the pump. Image of him talking about the fucking reflecting pool and then people, like, you know, and then war and, like, you know, flag-draped coffee. Like, there's just. This is so simple. There is nothing else that people need to do but just, like, one 60-second ad that, like, shows the corruption embodied in Donald Trump talking about and Republicans with him talking about all of these, you know, the arch, the whole thing. And then all the struggles people are going through. And that's it. That's the only thing you need. You need the vote. You need, like, if they actually vote. Oh, the vote. Yeah, yeah, yeah. The use, it is, it has to be, there is money for all these things that don't help you and there's no money for you. And worse than that, they're going to take your money and they're going to spend it on this dumb, fancy shit for rich people. Like, it is an absolute gift. And I think the ball, like, there's so many things, right? And you're right. Like, in this media environment, like, how do you keep track? The ballroom has, like, has the ability to be the equivalent of the, whatever it was, the $600 hammer, the toilet seat, all the things in the Reagan era because, one, it's so absurd. It's so ridiculous. And it has the advantage of the fact that every time Trump opens his mouth to breathe, he talks about the ballroom. So, like, it's like the one, like, we always talk about how Democrats don't have the media firepower to make something that is bad for Trump news all on our own. Here's the thing. Where Trump is doing it, every single day. And so, he himself is raising awareness of the ballroom. So, it is like, we are pushing on an open door here. But also, all of these Republicans running are, in competitive races, are inevitably going to end up in a debate. And I think, like, every single, if you are a Democratic candidate and you do not make that Republican that you're running against in a debate, like, own the ballroom, talk about the ballroom, talk about all of the corruption, then, like, what are you doing? You know? I mean, I just think that is the easiest, easiest layup. I don't care if the question is about some local fucking issue. Bring it back to the ballroom and Donald Trump. Just do it. It's wild we went from a $200 million corporate-funded ballroom, which was corruption, but at least we weren't paying for it, to a $1 billion ballroom that we're all paying for. Well, it's funny because it's literally the worst of both worlds for them. Because half the ballroom is being funded by corporate donors that now get special access to the White House and special meetings with Donald Trump. And then the other half is paid for by us. It's just like. Yes, it is. I've never seen. It's like they want to lose. It's like Mike Johnson hates his job so much. He wants to unburden himself for the responsibility of the speakership. It's a wild experiment. Positive America is brought to you by Bombas. The springtime thaw is finally here. Flowers are blooming. Days are long. We're saying yes to more plans and finally getting outside. Running, walking, just moving again. It's the perfect time to upgrade your everyday go-tos with Bombas. Bombas sports socks are super comfortable and designed with sports-specific tech for running, cycling, yoga, hiking, you name it. Bombas sports socks are super comfortable and designed for sports-specific tech for running, cycling, yoga, hiking. You love it. 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That's J-O-I-N-B-I-L-T dot com slash crooked. Make sure to use our URL so they know we sent you. So, one reason Republicans may not defy Trump's insanely unpopular demands, uh, his primary threats still work. As we found out Tuesday in Indiana, for people who don't remember, last year, Trump vowed to punish Indiana legislators who voted against gerrymandering the state's maps. It turns out he did. Trump's primary challengers outlawed him. He posted at least five of the seven state senators he targeted who were helped by photos posing with Trump in the Oval and about eight to ten million dollars of ads against their opponents. Tennessee Republicans saw this and decided they would not be Trump's next victims. On Thursday, the governor there signed into law new maps that would chop up the lone congressional Democrats' Memphis-area district. Republicans in South Carolina, Alabama, Louisiana are also contemplating new maps before the midterms, although it's less clear if these states will succeed. Former playbook author and journalist Rachel Bade called Trump's victory in the Indiana primaries a, quote, major flex and said that it showed, quote, that if you mess with the bull, you'll get the horns. Agree or disagree? I would take a cold shower if I was her. Like, was this a win for Trump? Yes. Had these incumbent senators defeated the Trump-backed primary challengers, would that have been a massive defeat for Trump that probably would have led this show? Absolutely. But we have to put this in perspective. This is the incumbent president of the White House with the full backing of his political operation in the MAGA movement that spent $9 million to defeat five state senators. Also, like, so Trump is above water in Indiana. His approval is like, he's like plus three in Indiana, which is. That's bad. Well, I know it is bad, but like. Well, he's also probably plus 75 in a Republican primary in Indiana. That's what I was going to say. So then you get to a Republican primary. Then you get to the turnout in a Republican primary, which some of these state senators that won, won with 7,000 votes, 8,000 votes. That was about it. So we're talking, like, talk about a low turnout Republican primary in Indiana. I fucking hope so. I hope he could win. He spent like $10,000 a vote. Exactly. Yes. It's so crazy. It's like, I would have been shocked. I would have been shocked if those senators held on. I mean, the real test comes in two weeks in the Kentucky primary with Tom Massey. Oh, yeah. That's the one. That's more of a test for sure. We also have, also in two weeks, I think, the Louisiana primary, unless that's. In the next couple of weeks, we have the Louisiana primary with Bill Cassidy, who Trump is primary. But that is a three-way race. And so the Trump's chosen candidate probably will make the runoff, probably won't break the rule. So that one's hard to see, but Cassidy might be toast anyway. But Trump still has sway in the Republican Party. Of course, he's the incumbent president. He just has less sway than he used to. Also, you know what? I'm happy for him to have all the sway he wants. Well, not until you get to the next question, but. Because he has a 35% approval rating. And if a bunch of Republicans want to tie themselves to Donald Trump and his approval rating as they head into the midterms, best of luck. Yeah, except in one very notable exception, which we'll get to in one second. You mean where redistricting is headed right now? Yeah. I mean, the benefit for Trump here is a lot of these members do not. In the states that have already voted, filing deadlines are passed, a lot of the state legislators would prefer to not take these extraordinary steps to redraw the maps in the favor of Republicans. And if they had any hesitancy to do so, the Indiana primary will send a message that they better do it or they will suffer the consequences in their 2028 primaries. We're more likely to end with Republicans maximizing, to the extent they can, the advantages given to them by the Supreme Court decision after Indiana than we were before. Now, is that going to add up to a ton of seats? That's an open question. But if you did not want to do this, and South Carolina was one place where they did not want to do it, they may end up doing it now because of this. Yeah. And really, you're talking about an Alabama. And Tennessee, which we just talked about. Tennessee already did. They signed the bill today. Louisiana was always going to go whatever they thought about Trump because that was the state involved in the case. And Alabama still needs a court to lift an injunction. So they're waiting on that. South Carolina could go. And then that's about it. Mississippi is already thinking they're going to wait until 2028. Georgia already said no. So, you know, you're right. But it's not like I would. I'm personally more nervous waiting for the Virginia State Supreme Court to rule on the referendum because that to me is a that's a that's a that's the four suites. Yeah. We lose that four seat swing. Then Republicans will end up with a significant not insurmountable, but a significant advantage in the in the midterms. I still think even if we lost Virginia, I still think Democrats would be favored to take the majority. But the margin by which we would do so, I think, would be much narrower, thus making it harder to hold in 2020 and 2028. So obviously, we can see this and just, you know, worry about what might happen, what might not happen. Is there anything Democrats can do about all of this in the in the short and medium term? Yeah, I mean, what we're watching right now is incredibly infuriating to watch in Tennessee, a state with a significant black population just carve up Memphis, one of the city, one of the blackest cities in America and ensure it has no democratic representation. That it's infuriating and it's deflating. And that's ultimately the goal, right? The people who do want you to, to give up, they want you to feel like your power is being taken away. So that you stop using your power, like that's, that's the ultimate win here. And so we obviously cannot let that happen. And here are just like three things. And none of these are satisfying. Let's be specific, none of them are satisfying. But here are the things where we can focus our energy right now. The first is we have to redouble our efforts to take the House and hopefully the Senate in 2026. The reason for that is we need that is the foundation for the governing coalition that we will have in 2029 with the Democratic President to actually pass things like a ban on partisan gerrymandering to do real electoral reform, to make our system more small, the democratic. The second thing, and this is critically important is we have to pour our time, our money, our resources into state legislative races, because there's going to be efforts to redraw the maps in 2028, in 2030, and most importantly, in 2032, after the next census. So we have to have as much power as we possibly can to draw the maps in as many places in as many, even in states where we can't take the majority. If we can get close to the majority, we can have potentially an influence on how those maps are drawn. This is absolutely important. This is where the future of American democracy is going to be, absent some sort of ban on partisan gerrymandering, is going to be decided in state legislative races and in governor's mansions for the map redraws. And we're going to live in a cycle of perpetual map redraws. The last thing here is we have to put pressure on the blue states where we have the ability to fight fire with fire. Illinois, Maryland, New York. In states where we have control, but where we have put in place, because we like good government, bans on gerrymandering, like in Michigan, we have to put pressure on our politicians to look for ways, like they did in California, like they did in Virginia, to undo those bans to be able to compete here. Because we can't live in a world of unilateral disarmament, and we cannot accept any democratic politician that does. It's a good list. I like that. I do. And I do think that the good news is some of these democratic governors have signaled, I know that Kathy Hochul has in New York, that as we look to 2028, they're going to redraw the map. They just couldn't do it in time for 26. All right. Last thing we have to talk about before you hear Lovett's conversation with Tom Steyer. As you know, FBI Director Kash Patel has been in hot water since a story in The Atlantic in mid-April sourced to more than two years ago. He was charged with "conspicuous inebriation and unexplained absences." Patel filed a defamation lawsuit against the magazine and the writer, Sarah Fitzpatrick, seeking $250 million in damages. MSNOW reports that Patel is also having the FBI investigate Fitzpatrick as part of an effort to uncover the leakers, which is unprecedented when the information involved isn't classified, though the FBI flatly denies this is happening. The Atlantic also doesn't seem to know this is going on. Fitzpatrick and The Atlantic responded by publishing another banger. Apparently, Kash has been gifting people customized bottles of Woodford Reserve engraved with the FBI's shield and Kash's name spelled with the dollar sign for the S, which is the part that triggers me the most. It's perfect. It's just perfect. A lot of the FBI insiders sourcing the story said the bourbon freebies make them really uncomfortable. Yeah, no shit. Because they are a clear violation of FBI regulations around alcohol. A bureau spokesperson said that Kash reimburses the cost and that, quote, "the bottles in question are part of a tradition in the FBI that started well over a decade ago," though they declined to elaborate on that tradition. And Fitzpatrick writes that when she ran that by a former FBI official, quote, "he burst out laughing." What do you think about this? Also, MSNOW, Carol Lennig and Ken Delaney reported right before we started that, quote, "the bottles in question are part of a tradition in the FBI that started well over a decade ago," though they declined to elaborate on that. Also, MSNOW, Carol Lennig and Ken Delaney reported right before we started that, quote, that Kash reimburses the cost and that, quote, "the bottles in question are part of a tradition in the FBI that started well over a decade ago," though they declined to elaborate on that. Also, MSNOW, Carol Lennig and Ken Delaney reported right before we started that, quote, that Cash is in full panic mode about his job, and he has been ordering polygraphs of more than two dozen former and current members of his security detail and other staff over all these stories about him being J. Edgar Boozer. No one has ever tried and failed harder to be cool than Cash Patel. It's like his every. What about J.D. Vance? He hasn't really tried that hard, I guess. No, he has not. He's barely tried at all. I haven't even seen him once try to be cool. Cash Patel is handing out. Cash Patel's entire life is defined by being stuffed in a locker once, and he is handing out bottles of bourbon to people who think he's ridiculous, and he put a dollar sign in his name like he's Kesha. Like, what are we doing? Is that what it is? I don't know, but it's like. This is. - He's cash, get it, cash. thinks it's cool you think no i get it i i get it he think he like he thinks that makes it cooler can you imagine if that jack off like gave you a bottle of bourbon with his and some of them are signed too so they're engraved with his name but if you're lucky you get an actual signed version of it which the atlantic reporter was able to buy online i think i think she got it on ebay um and it was um it was sold by someone who got it at an event in las vegas where he spends much of his time um in the poodle room at the top of the fountain blue the poodle room is such a funny term such um yeah what do you do we know what kind of bourbon's in there it's woodford reserve so it's just you know it's it is it's woodford it's okay and then they had to contact woodford reserve and they're like look we don't we you know the a lot of people in grave our stuff and it happens after after we already sort of send the bottle out that's great i i i think it was you and i when i talked about like i i still place a bet on that he's out by the end of the year was it me and you yeah yeah i think that's right yeah yeah i think we i still think that's you said after the midterms you can't be running around handing out bottles of bourbon uh being so drunk allegedly that your security detail who you're now polygraphing um had to like send in a SWAT team to get you up in the morning because you wouldn't wake up and then just just panic that you can't get into your email thinking it means you're fired and now you now you're giving everyone polygraph tests i mean that is that shit is wild yeah i mean we put a mid-level congressional staffer whose main job is podcaster in charge of the fbi the fbi and it's like i think people under because you see like you know pam bondi getting fired at doj obviously justice department very important you see you see like christy gnome at dhs you see pete hegseth at dod but it's like when you're the head of the fbi like these are these are like the top federal law enforcement officials in the country in the world really and you it's kind of a hands-on job it's not like you're the secretary and you got a do the tv thing and then like the whole place is running itself like you're the fucking fbi director man this is a it's the worst place to put in someone this unbelievably unqualified and and seemingly has plenty of plenty of issues like truly mind-blowingly was confirmed by the senate this was not just someone that trump picked and installed in their united states senate had hearings with him tom tillis introduced him by the way at the at his hearing he's so he's selling merch he's still selling cash merch on his website which again i wonder like how many units is he selling of cash merch every month let's just let's just do the hypothetical here so let's hypothetically say that you're donald trump and people around him you're like you know what i know it doesn't make a ton of sense but i think cash should be at the fbi it's been his dream he's always wanted to be cool this is his best chance i'm gonna do this for him and the gratitude because trump is a you know a very generous person and he wants to help people so so then the idea would be like yeah we kind of know he's not fully qualified for this job so we're gonna surround him with a strong number two and there's only one strong number two another podcaster you know another podcaster it's like anyway anyway i feel safe i feel safe i'm gonna sleep well tonight um all right dan when we come back you'll hear love it's conversation with california gubernatorial candidate tom steyer pod save america is brought to you by stamps.com it's staggering that to this very day many small business owners are still making post office runs or are stuck with expensive postage meter leases it's 2026 enough mail and ship when you want how you want with stamps.com with stamps.com you can send from your computer or phone 24 7 no long lines no low 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stamps.com and use promo code psa to get 60 days risk-free 60 days gives you plenty of time to see exactly how much time and money you're saving on every shipment that's stamps.com code psa stamps.com code psa right now the midterms are the biggest story in american politics but however they go the democratic party is going to have to do some serious soul searching join us washington dc november 5th through 7th the second annual crooked con it's going to be the positive america hosts and some of the smartest people in politics we're going to try to answer some big questions stuff like if we won how did we win if we lost how could we possibly have lost and with 2028 around the corner where do we go from here if you believe in democracy community and fighting for the future now's the time to grab your tickets to crooked con at 2026 head to crooked con.com to get your tickets now this is lavar harrington from two pros and a cup of joe let me tell you about zero that's xero zero is a financial management platform that loves giving small business owners the clarity to have the confidence in their numbers it puts accounting payers and business owners at the forefront of payments payroll and analytics all in one place so you always have one clear picture of your business with visual dashboards zero makes it easy to understand your cash flow you know exactly what's coming in and what's going out so you can make smarter decisions that can help grow your business zero's ai can even offer insights to help you make your best move it's powerful enough for an accountant and simple enough for you zero is the all-in-one to get business done learn more at zero.com joining me now he is currently running for governor here in california to succeed gavin newsom welcome back to the pod tom steyer john it's nice to be back with you all right let's start with this california is losing population to states like texas what is your diagnosis as to why that's happening i think it's clear to be honest john california is too expensive for californians to live in anymore and and it starts with housing but it certainly includes health care we pay twice as much for electricity as the average in the united states of america and of course gasoline prices are going you know crazy all over the country but including california and in addition i think what we're seeing from the middle east is that we're going to have a big rise in food prices in the fall so uh let's talk about the gas tax here in california because i think it gets at something that i feel is a bit missing from the debate i watched the debate last night boy rowdy uh so california has one of if not the highest gas tax in the country we spend more on roads than any other state we also have the worst roads in the country and i hear you talk a lot about the ways in which you want to change the tax code and raise revenue but i'm curious how you view the role of governor and getting costs like that under control anytime you're running an organization you have to demand accountability and if you're running an organization i think it's an old statement that if you can't measure it you can't manage it so to a very large extent if we're gonna if you're going to be running the state of california and demanding that the roads be maintained well so you're going to measure maintenance how how are the roads and you're going to measure how much it costs to maintain them then that's something that people are going to have to manage to and it's a question of accountability and control and i think it's quite clear in california in multiple places that that's not a system that's existed it's not a system where people have been able to do that and that's a management task you know this is the governor is an executive function and so yeah you have an organization to run and you have an organization like every other organization in terms of how you you know manage that through the people and how you manage that through the numbers so can you talk a bit about your experience in management because you started a hedge fund in san francisco in 1986 you were an investor my understanding of what your role would be as somebody who is running a hedge fund is you are investigating companies you're looking into companies you gave me even feedback to companies but you're not running organizations directly you're running your smaller organization that's finding different companies and businesses and you're running your smaller organization that's evaluating their management as opposed to directly doing it yourself okay let me give you a different view on that than the one you just i'm asking that's my impression and basically what you're saying is being an investor is doing an analytical job and a decision-making job, but not a management job, is your point. But the truth is, if you're running an investment business, you have a choice very early on. Are you going to be the person who runs the analysis and the decision-making, a la Warren Buffett? Or are you going to manage the organization, which involves all the normal things about management, hiring people, measuring people, holding them to account, building teams, and doing strategy? And that's what I did, honestly. So very early on, it became clear to me that my job was to actually, I had to make that choice. It was a very clear, distinct choice. And my job became managing people. And if you look at it, I've started a lot of organizations. And all of, you know, if we registered 1.2 million Californians, which we did, that's management. You know, if you start a bank, a nonprofit community bank, go to the places commercial banks won't go and replace them so that you can serve underserved communities. That's management. You know, the truth of the matter is, there are people like Warren Buffett. And if you've ever been to visit him in Omaha, let me describe it. It's kind of like this room. It's him and an assistant that he's probably had for 50 years in a room. And he really is an investor. Do you think it's fair? That my assessment of what you're talking about on the campaign trail, you seem to me more excited or interested or passionate about closing tax loopholes on corporations, reforming the tax code, bringing in revenue to pay for the things we need than you are on the actual kind of reasons California, California has the highest per capita or one of the highest per capita spending of any state in the country. Texas is much lower. We're still saying we have this affordability crisis, we need to raise revenue. I don't hear as much about how important it would be to figure out why California is so expensive in the government. Why the government? Yes, why the government? Okay, so but let me put it to this way. I have run organizations, and I'm somebody who will go line by line. And I will be a good steward of people's tax money. Because I understand very fully that every dollar we save every dollar we don't spend in the government. And I'm somebody who will go line by line. And is a dollar we can spend on educating a kid. It's a dollar we can spend on healthcare for people who need it. And so actually, if you look at the people, I started an organization from zero. If you think I was not minding my pennies, and actually measuring where they're, I didn't have a salary. I didn't get paid. I knew that I had to be careful. And in every one of the things that I've done, I've had to be serious about making sure that the money that is used is not going to be used. And I think that if you look at somebody who's run organizations that had to be careful about money, I'm the person who's done that. And I feel like being a good steward of the money is critical. I will also say that for everybody who says they're going to fund the growth in services from waste, fraud, and abuse, we've seen that movie. It's called Doge. It failed. And by the way, Betty Yee was the controller of the state of California for eight years. She's endorsed me. Betty is a highly competent, very smart, professional person. She told me she found $7 billion of waste, fraud, and abuse, which is a lot. But last night on the debate stage, I think that Steve Hilton said it was $540 billion. Look, we've seen this movie in Doge. It failed completely. Will I be a good steward? And look, to me, John, this is a question of, are you going to hire really good people? And are you then going to give them systems that enable them to oversee this and watch it and be good? Yes. Are we going to do that? Yes. Am I aware that the internal information systems of the state of California are several generations behind the time? That's me being nice. And so, is that something that I will take seriously? I'm telling you, if you go around this state, you can see that people are suffering. And the idea that I'm going to, I will not be profligate with tax dollars because every dollar that we save, every dollar that is misused, every dollar of waste, fraud, and abuse, I believe is the term, is just money that we can use for people. And I will not take that lightly. And so, you know, let's say you're going through the budget and you're looking for places to save if we spend more per pupil than other states, we don't get good results for it. We spend more on our roads. You're also talking about reforming parts of the tax code that clearly need reform for people that are not from California. We have a rule that was passed by referendum that makes it very hard to change that really limits property taxes. And it really, if you bought a piece of commercial real estate in the seventies, you're paying extremely low rate on it. You want to close that loophole. But- That money would then go into the- Well, can I challenge some of your assumptions? One of the things that people think is what you just said, which is that we spend a lot per pupil and we don't get good results. We have gone from being the number one education state in the United States to somewhere in the thirties. In the thirties, based on per pupil adjusted for cost of living, but that includes all the ways in which California is expensive because of how we're already mismanaged. That's what I'm going after. But what my point is that we are still spending a lot per pupil and not getting good results. It's just, you have to adjust it based on all the other ways California is fucked up. But if you're thinking about it from the standpoint of education for a second- The results, yes. You're thinking about it in terms of, you know, cost, but let's talk about it in terms of how education is going in California and why we're not getting good results. The truth is getting good results is a pretty straightforward thing and people like to make it too complicated. And I used to think, you know, some different things, but the truth is the by far biggest determinant of student success is how good the teachers are. And getting good teachers is not magic. This is not like we need to conjure up, you know, something. The truth is you have to hire people who are really good. You have to support them and help train them. And then you need to retain them when they've gotten to a level where they're a huge asset to the state. And we aren't doing that because you can say it's a lot of money compared to other states, but it's not a lot of money if you have to train them. You have to live in California, which is why I'm talking about bringing down housing costs, which is why I'm going crazy on health care costs, which is why I'm saying we're going to go after the electric monopolies and reduced electricity costs, which is why I'm saying I'll do a windfall because it's like we need to drive down those costs so that we're competitive with other states. And we also need to make sure that teachers being paid enough so they can live in the district so we can hire really good people. We should spend the money to train them. And then we need to retain them. And, you know, it is true. That if you step back and look at the 50 states, then the teachers look well paid compared to the teachers in Mississippi. That is true. But the costs in Mississippi are much, much lower. And the teachers are most often living outside. These are the reason we're having trouble. It's very hard to hire teachers in California because they can't live on the salary. Well, we had that, you know, there was a strike in San Francisco and people were mocking the teachers for going on strike because of what the salaries look like in real numbers. But of course, it's because San Francisco is so unaffordable. Let's talk. Let's I want to finish. I want to ask one more question about schools. And I want to get to housing. So in January, Governor Newsom proposed reform. So we have a convoluted system in which the Board of Education, the Department of Education are separate. Do you support those reforms to have more authority go up to the governor? I support reform. I'm going to answer your question with a different perspective. I never I don't understand why that's not easy. Yes, you're spending so much money. Don't you want to be powerful lining the system? One of the big issues in California in education. But much more broadly is coordination of multiple agencies doing the same thing. Yeah. And therefore you it's you're talking about in terms of hiring more people. I'm talking about it. And let's take it to the fires. We're in Los Angeles. The fires in Altadena implicit Pacific Palisades. There are an awful lot of agencies trying to do the right thing. There was the city. There was the county. There was the state to that. There was no coordination. You're asking the I was what I said is I want to reframe your question to do you believe in much clearer, simpler lines of authority? Do you believe in not overlapping, you know, agencies doing the same task with different rules that people have to live up to, which is expensive, but it's much it's much more than that. It actually prevents things from getting done. Right. Well, that's why. And that's why you asked me the question. I'm saying under those circumstances, of course, I'm in favor of that. Okay. But it's like it's a bigger question than just the question you asked about education. Well, this one reform is just about let's consolidate some of these authorities, because one of the things that happens in the wake of fires is because the account because the the responsibilities are diffused. The accountability is disputes. And this is a proposal by the governor to make. And that's my point is it's a bigger question than just education is all I was trying to say. Yeah. And of course, every case, this is a you know, it's it's critical. I was talking about response to fire because it was so poorly coordinated clearly. But it's also true in terms of housing. So when you talk about all the different agencies for permitting, you know, it's like, OK. Overlapping, contradictory, expensive, time consuming. Yeah. Big thing about housing is it takes a really long time to get it done. Here's why. Yeah. And so you're asking me, do I think it's better to simplify and actually coordinate so that, in fact, the people who are at the end of the decision tree get faster, clearer decisions that are not contradictory? Why, yes, I do. That's a management task. So let's talk about housing, because you've been saying something that's confusing to me. And I just want to understand it, which is one reason mayors oppose additional housing is because this is a critical point. It becomes an unfunded mandate for schools and health care in their areas. But at the same time, because of our property tax system, new homeowners, new builds are one of the ways in which you can get the property tax number back up. And we have rules in California. That require local funding for schools, in part based on population. So I don't understand what's unfunded. Because what's really happening for the cities and counties is they used to rely on what you described accurately as real estate taxes, local real estate taxes for all that stuff. But nowadays they rely very much on the state to send them money. So when the state says we want you to permit 20,000 houses here and build them, they are then relying on the state. To send them the money in large part, not I take your point, but in large part, they're relying on the state to send them the money to fund that. And that's why they put in the big fees. You know, some in some places in California, I think, including some places around here, the fee to build a house is up to 20% the cost of the house. Which is amazing. And but they're doing it for me. And I don't it's not like these are wicked people who are somehow trying to rip people off. They are literally terrified that they're going to put themselves in a position where they cannot take care of. People, they cannot educate people. I think it's a it's a little there's Yimbyism. If that's your point, it's a sort of magnanimous fear for the future. They're they're they're listening to the constituents who are trying to fight housing in their communities. There's a Yimby part of this for sure. But there is also very much a money part of this. There really is. And I think that the money part I am obviously sympathetic to because they do have to provide those services. The Yimby part, I understand one size. Doesn't fit all. But the truth is, we need to build house. But why? There's got to be. But why is a new apartment or a new home more of a liability than an old apartment or an old home in a community when the only difference would be the property tax rate? And that property tax rate is lower for the old homes. I understand that. They don't have a choice about the old home. Like the old home exists and people live there. So there that's just. Well, I'm saying that being mayor of an empty city would be very, very sort of a streamlined job. But it's still like I don't get it. But I think. That they're looking for something different. If you look around California over the last 30 or 40 years, every city has wanted to attract business. Business pays taxes. Business doesn't use services. Every city or county has tried to push back against housing because housing is expensive because of the people who live there. And so that's been the issue. And it's been the issue since 1978. So how much of it in terms of getting this because you're in favor of SB 79, which I appreciate. How much of the role of governor is about? Putting rules that localities can't break. Like how much of this is collaborative? How much of this is like both? Of course. Yeah. I mean, you know, because what you're saying is, do you order them to do it or you work with them to do it? And of course, the answer is both. Like you've got to have it's got to be a relationship. It's got to be something where you collaborate and work together. It is a partnership, but you've got to have some kind of stick at the end of the day. So honestly, you know, because there is I'm not a fool. The Yimby people have endorsed me. But the truth is, the reason there's a Yimby movement is because there's a very strong NIMBY movement. Yeah. So you so you put a lot of your own money into this race is also money being spent against you. And I was looking at who's funding these sort of ads. And they have, you know, their usual mysterious names. And some of it makes sense to me. Right. Like the utilities, because you have a proposal to go after the utilities. But I was surprised to see that the the realtors have put in money against you. And if you're someone who's saying, I'm going to build a million. I was surprised to see and some and a builder's group is against you. And I think the realtors, I do understand. I think they're worried that I actually am going to protect renters. I think the realtors are much more about am I, in fact, going to pretend protect renters from, you know, spikes in cost? And am I going to push against the landlords? You know, when I think that they're being abusive. But presumably the realtor's interest is. Transactions and having properties turnover. And there's a misaligned incentive here because of our silly property tax rules. When we put in rules that make sales more expensive, we ultimately can in some ways reduce the property tax revenue because because properties don't get sold. Right. If realtors make money on properties changing hands, are they getting are they getting are they getting something wrong and spending against or are they just wrong about it? Well, let me say this to John. Do I think that I'm bad for business? Hell no. Do I think. That I'm going to raise taxes on billionaires and big companies? Yes. And I've said it explicitly. But do I think that I'm the person in this race who understands business by far the best? Yes. And I think if you look at the things when I've taken on these corporate special interests, I've done it on behalf of working people. I've raised billions of dollars for education and health care without charging Californians a penny. And I haven't hurt the economy one bit. My goal here, I always say it is shared prosperity. You can't share something you don't have. It's critical for us that actually we compete really well around the world, which we do. We're half the growth in the United States. That's critical for us. We have to be a very successful, dynamic economy. We have to be. The issue we have is we are that on average. The problem is most of the people in this state can't afford to live here and we have the highest poverty rate in the United States of America. And so when I talk about shared prosperity, I'm not joking, but it starts with prosperity and I'm going to push very hard. Look, if we bring down housing costs, okay, that is great for everybody who needs to buy a house and everybody who needs to rent. Okay. It's also great for everybody who is an employee because their costs are much lower. If I talk about bringing down electricity costs, is that great for every family? Heck yes. That's putting money in every family's pocket. Oh, by the way, every business is pocket. Did I mention that? I don't need to talk about it, but if you go into the central Valley, you know, you have to use a lot of electricity to use water and farming, you know, you have to irrigate and you have to. You have to move the water to where it has to go. California farmers pay three times as much for electricity to move water as Texas farmers. I want to bring that down. It's a business thing as well as a human thing in everything I'm talking about. Healthcare, it is eating up businesses. It's eating up every family. You know, to be fair, the teachers who struck in San Francisco couldn't pay their healthcare bills. That's what they were striking about. Healthcare. And I went on the line to ask them because I, I was like, how come you guys are striking? You haven't struck in 60 years. And they're like, we can't pay healthcare. We were paying one to $2,000 a month for a family of three. We can't do it. And so when I'm talking about bringing down healthcare costs, yes, that's absolutely for every family in this state. It's also for every business in this state. I want to make, I want to make sure we're competitive with everybody internationally and nationally. I want this state to lead. I also want. I want this to be a state we're proud of where we say we compete our ass off, we succeed, but you know something, we don't leave people by the side of the road. We're the state that takes care of everybody in the state. So let's talk about healthcare because I'm curious about how you see us getting towards a single payer system. Because when I look at what, what your critique is, you talk a lot about, about the ways in which we have a for-profit system that sort of tries to provide the, the least amount of care for the greatest cost at the same time in California. So how do you get to a single payer system? The great thing about a single payer system is it does take out the big part of the money. It does take out the big profits from the health insurers. It does give you an ability to negotiate with everybody. And so, you know, that's not what people think about, but the truth is when you look at the cost that we're spending that are so much higher than single payer systems, it's because we don't have an ability to negotiate and bring down costs across the board. So it starts with the health insurers, but it goes way past that. And the fact of the matter is, honestly, there'll be a lot of work on this to get the details right. And that, you know, that's part of it. You know, it's going to be, as you'll remember from 1994, there's a lot of work on this to get the details right. But the truth is we don't have a choice. And that's what I keep saying to people. They keep saying it's a lot of brain damage, which it is. But, you know, you sound like you've done a lot of work to think about all these questions, including this one. Not as much as you think. No, I'm kidding. I'm going to give you a B. Okay. No, I'm teasing. But the truth is this. If you look at how much we're spending on health care and how, what the trend is, it's going to change. It's not supposed to be. supportable. It's, honest to God, not supportable. And so if you're sitting here this year and saying, well, we can, you know, if we cut this and we cut education and we do this and we do that, then we can make the budget work. But the truth is, we're really, it is eating up every family. That's why the teacher struck. It's really eating up business. It is. And it's eating up the budget of the state. We don't have a choice. And if you look at the numbers, I can send you the numbers. It's one of those things where you sort of go like, oh God, you know, not people say, why would you want to do this? It's a lot of brain damage. It's very difficult. You know, there'll be lots of, you know, toing and froing all true, but we don't have a choice. And we really don't have a choice. And there's for everybody who says, which did people did say on the stage last night, we're just going to do it better. It's like the reason I changed my mind on single payers, people have told me that for so long. And it's like, you keep telling me everything they said on the stage last night. We're going to do to bring down costs. I heard 10 years ago. Yeah, I guess what I like to be cynical for a moment, like I believe in Medicare for all. I was infuriated by the Democrats in Congress when I worked for President Obama, who stood in the way of a public option and then even a Medicare buy in for older people, which would have helped the whole system. But when I look at a state like California and say, like, actually, we do have a choice. We have a we have a like, for example, in our Obamacare exchanges, it's actually a bright spot. We were able to negotiate less of a rate hike than even in a place like Texas. We're able to compete on this one lever. We have a better public system than states. We're losing people to if I'm trying to say, all right, we need California. We have you're right. We're the we're this massive and growing economy. We're half the growth of the country. We also have a high unemployment rate. Right. We need to figure out how to get people who are working for businesses, which means they have to get people who are working for businesses, which means they have to have insurance already to make an affordable life here. A single payer system isn't necessarily something they're they're they're looking for. It's not their biggest problem. The cost of health care is what they're saying. Right. I'm just their problem. Then it's their employer's problem. Right. And that's the truth. You know, there's no way to get around what's going on in health care and it's overwhelming. And honestly. You know, I was spending time with the nurses yesterday and they see this up close, the people who don't get care because it's too expensive to get care until it's really a disaster. The people whose lives get blown apart by getting sick, all the stuff that they see on a daily basis, human tragedy, where in fact a simpler system at lower cost will enable us to deliver. And John, I don't think we have a choice. There are a lot of things where you can say, Tom, this is a complicated problem with a lot of players and a lot of interest with high emotion. Agreed. But if you look at it, we honestly don't have a choice if we think that health care is a right. Look, obviously, there's another attitude, which is the Trump attitude, which is let's kick people. Yeah. Medi-Cal. And it's not a right. And in fact, you know, we'll go back to the system where people don't get care or they get care at the emergency room. And obviously, what I'm trying to do with California is something different. Look, we are a really rich, successful, powerful state. We need to show what this 21st century looks like. We need to show what actually we can do as a democratic state to show I'm we have to show what we stand for and what we have to stand for is health care is a right. That has got to be unquestioned. And then the question is, and we have to start. You were saying, am I going to be a good steward of money? Yes. That's what this is. This is saying we're going to provide that at a price that we can afford. And that's going to be involve a lot of work. But that's the way it's goes. And in housing, are we going to drive down the cost of housing? Yes. Is it going to be a lot of work? Yes. And that's the way it goes. And we're going to take on the electric monopolies and they don't like it. And they're spending tens of millions of dollars against me. But you know, something they keep telling us that twice the rate of everybody else in the United States is cheap and we should just grin and bear it. That is not true at a time when electricity prices around the world are plummeting and ours are going up. So it's like if you want change, you got to take on the status quo and it's hard, but somebody's got to do it. And that's why I'm running for governor. So you have a little drawing on your hand, which is meant to tell you to be honest at all times. Is that the idea? What does it mean? Sincere, honest, do your absolute best because you can't control the outcome. So, you know, Katie Porter put you on the spot in the debate last night over this billionaire tax that's on the ballot. And I feel like she thought she was putting you on the spot because you're a billionaire who's spending a lot of money on this race. This tax is, I think, widely viewed as kind of bad policy. And she thought you wouldn't want to say you're against it, but wouldn't want to say you're for it. But then you just said that you're for it, which I think caught her off guard. That was my read of it. But you don't think it's a good policy to have a one time surcharge as part of the budget. And yet you said you're for it. That's, I think, what was confusing about. OK, here's what I said. I said, if it's on the ballot, I'll vote for it. Right. But going forward, we need to do more because it's so I said two things because it's a one time thing and because it doesn't distribute the money throughout, you know, all the needs of Californians. It just puts it into one part of the budget, which is health care. Yeah. But are you worried at all that California already has a progressive income tax? We are already a high tax state. A huge amount of our state budget comes from the wealthiest earners because of our corporate tax rate, which is also one of, if not the highest in the country. I am all for reforming the tax code. And a lot of this does flow from the property tax issue. But but at the same time, if we are going to shift more of the tax burden towards the top and we see wealthy people leave the state, the critique would be you're going to start to see that revenue need to come from somewhere else, which means you're going to start moving it down to the bottom. I feel like you're coming out in favor. of this tax because it's sort of the wages of being a billionaire in the race. And so you kind of have to say you're for it, even though long term, you don't think it's a good idea. That's just my take. I got it. But let me make this point. If you actually look at how the richest people in this state make money, it is not the way you're describing is being taxed. You know, the income tax is based on income, right? But we have a cap gains rate in the state as well. Yeah. And if in order to get capital gains, last I checked, you have to sell. Okay, so you're basically saying the way you pay tax as an individual in this state is either to get a wage, a salary or a bonus, or to sell your stock in something at a gain. Those are the two things, right? Mm hmm. Dividends. Oh, yeah. But these stocks don't pay dividends, to be clear. But you but actually, that's not the way this works. Because if you actually are one of these people who starts, which I've said repeatedly, I'm in favor of a new brilliant idea company. And the thing blows up, and you end up being worth a ton of money, you're worth a ton of money on paper, right? You own stock. So now, John owns $10 billion worth of stock in a crypto company. Okay. You haven't paid any tax. You know, whatever you're being paid as a salary, relative to your worth is de minimis, right? If anything, but what you have is a whole bunch. And so let's say but you know, the truth is you want to buy a big house. Or whatever the hell you want to buy it, let's not get into you know, all that name calling. But you want it. Okay, so do you sell your stock? No, you don't sell your stock, you borrow against your stock. So now, you still have $10 billion worth of stock, but you have $100 million of debt against the stock, which you still own, and you've paid zero tax. So the question is, in the real world, when we're seeing this explosion of wealth, we're seeing wealth, which we're seeing in companies that do not pay dividends, thank you very much, because none of them do. The way they pay dividends is by buying in shares. Because it's single tax that dividends are double taxation, that single taxation. That's been true. Oh, God, for 50 years, no one pays dividends that because it's taxed. So instead, okay, now you have your $10 billion, you've never paid any tax. So the question is, actually, is this such a bad idea? As I said, no. As I said, it's a one time thing for a long term problem. It doesn't go far enough, and it doesn't spread the money fairly. But the truth is, it's a step forward, which is what I was saying. So no, I'm not being cynical and dishonest. I'm saying, look, is it perfect? I said it wasn't perfect. But I said, if it's on the ballot, I'll vote for it. And that was the truth. I hear that. Do you worry all about the, like, we have extraordinary wealth at the top, we have unemployment, we have people fleeing the state because of affordability. If we start trying to solve the problem by taxing at the top more than we already are, which we are a high tax state, we will start to see even that bright spot, which is that some of the biggest tech companies of the world are based here, some of the most profitable businesses in the world are based here, they're not hiring enough. Look, so if the people leave, that's one thing, right? You now are worth $10 billion and you don't want to pay any tax on it ever. So I'm moving to Florida. So you're moving to Florida. You now live in Florida. I like that. I like to point out to you, John, because that's it. I'd rather be a millionaire in California than a billionaire in Florida. You know what I'm saying? But the thing that is, that I do take seriously, is the idea of businesses leaving. Because what I said to you is, everything I'm doing is to make us more competitive from a business standpoint. Every single thing. So if businesses leave, that's a different thing. And last night on this stage, if you'll notice, they mentioned four businesses that had left, right? Mm-hmm. Tesla. Elon Musk. Mm-hmm. Palantir. Palantir. Salesforce? No. Oracle. Oracle. Charles Schwab. Charles Schwab. Anything common about those companies that you've noticed? You tell me. Come on. The Trump people? Is that what you're saying? Every one of those guys is a right-wing person. And that's why they left. They didn't leave just because of their fears about taxes. They didn't leave because, you know, somehow this people may leave because of this tax, because this is about billionaires. But the corporations that left don't like what California stands for. Ellison. Yeah. Oracle. Musk. Tesla. Charles Schwab, who actually I have a lot of respect for, but is a long-term strong Republican. And Palantir, which is, oh, my God. So in answer to your question, do I care? I want us to be the best place to have a business. I want it to be the best place to start and grow a business. If you listen to what I'm saying, everything I'm saying includes the prosperity part of shared prosperity. And I will be a dog about that. And I want to make the point we are going to everything I'm saying is we're going to support businesses because that's where we get employment. And that's how the state grows. And we're part of we're the place that imagines and builds the future. So let's talk about Hollywood for a second. And thank you for your time. I think we've gone a little over. But have we? Yeah. You've been very prolix. I notice. What am I? Prolix. Prolix. What's prolix mean? I'm kidding. It's talkative. Oh, I've been talking. I feel like I don't know. I feel like I have my talk. I'm talking too much. No, I'm just giving you a hard time, John. Okay, thanks. Thanks for saying that. So on Hollywood, speaking of like sort of what has made California powerful and a beacon of our economy and our culture, we've seen jobs in flee from L.A. We've seen them free from California. They've gone to other states. They've gone to other countries. It is outrageous to me that American. Uh, film and TV studios find it more affordable to shoot in London than they do in Los Angeles. We've just increased the tax breaks, uh, and they're trying to do some reforms. What would you do both sort of as a, as a leader, kind of as a power with the power to convene and on a policy level to ensure that California remains the home of film and TV production? So let me say, I agree with your premise. This is a critical industry for this state and this city. Absolutely. And people are not out competing us by being better. They're out competing us by buying the business. And that can't happen. And so I've said, look, first of all, one of the things that makes me feel better is the tax credits that we give for every dollar, we get back a dollar and 14 cents. So this is not like a cost. This is actually an investment that returns a pretty darn good investment to the state of California. And I think this is a critical industry for us. So I don't want us to lose. Because other people are giving more tax credits than we are. And therefore we lose all of the once we've lost this ecosystem, which is the best in the world by far, we're not getting it back. It's way harder to rebuild a business than to continue a business. Just, I mean, that's just true. And so I think it's really critical that we support it through the tax credits. Secondly, I want to make sure that there aren't regulations in this city and this state that make it hard to shoot production. And particularly for small. Small productions. I want to make sure that there aren't regulations about, you know, how you're supposed to do it and all the things you're supposed to do before. And they're very expensive. That means you can't do it here. I want to make sure that people can compete here fairly because we're going to win. And we have to, you know, you were saying, you know, am I worried about business leaving? I want our businesses to win. I am competitive. John, I am on team, California. That's the team I'm on. I want to win and I want to win as a team and I want to have it so that we sit here and go, this is how you're supposed to. Really smart people working their ass off. And let me say this. I don't think everybody who works in sort of the high flying fancy jobs knows this. The people who work at low paid jobs work their ass off. They kill themselves for very low wages. They are very skilled. They are very sincere, hardworking, you know, high integrity people. Seriously. And so I'm not joking about it. When I say I'm on team California, I'm really on team California. But everybody's on the team. And certainly the entertainment industry is absolutely on the team. So I'm in a fight like hell to make sure that they can succeed and that they can stay here and help build the state that we want. Last question, because I do want to touch on it because I think it does matter to people. You and you spent like one hundred and forty seven million so far of your own money on this race. You're watching it closer than I am. Well, I hope somebody should be watching. It's probably one hundred and twenty million. None as you know, you have that you have put yourself near the top of the field. But when Swalwell drops out, a lot of people that support him seem to have gone to other candidates like Becerra. You sort of stay there. And I don't it's not about the polls. There does seem to be a reluctance to see someone who is using their personal fortune to try to. Buy their way into name recognition and into politics. And there's something ugly about that in a democracy. And even if you view yourself as someone who would be a great governor and so therefore are willing to pay that expense, you have to see it as a system that rewards people that made vast sums of money in often in unsavory ways, including yourself, who can then turn around and try to kind of paint themselves in another way for the public. What is your response? What is your response to people who feel that sense of discomfort with a billionaire running for office? Look, I think there are two things you're talking about. One is the one you're talking about, which is just money in politics. And the other one is how people feel about billionaires, because it's both. So let's start with the easy one. People are skeptical of billionaires. Me, too. We've seen people be incredibly arrogant, selfish, self-interested, obnoxious, you know, unfeeling. Yes. I'm skeptical, too. And it's also true that the way that money works in American politics is completely out of control and has been at least since Citizens United in 2011. But it's also true that right now, the way this system works is through money. It's just through money from big corporations who are protecting their bottom lines. It's through billionaires who absolutely don't want to pay tax. And they are. Absolutely willing to support, including people from Palantir, including people from all the companies we were talking about, even though they aren't here anymore. They're willing to support people who promise they'll never tax them. So the idea that somehow we have this democratic system that exists and everybody has a is not true. And the question is, do we need someone in this system who's willing to go after the corporate special interests that actually run this state, which is why they're coming after me because they like it. And their profits are based. And their control of this state. I don't know if you saw it, but I think yesterday in committee in Sacramento, the head of WUSPA, the Western States Petroleum Association, said he thought it was the fiduciary duty of oil companies to take advantage of the Iran war and gouge Californians as much as possible. So in answer to your question, do I think somebody has to take on these corporate special interests? Do I think somebody has to stand up for working people against billionaires? I do. And if there was someone else doing it, I would be fine. But if you actually want to change something, sometimes you have to change it. And, you know, they are spending tens of millions of dollars against me because they think I'm sincere, too. And I am. And so do I think that that's something that needs to be done? I do. And if someone else were doing it, I'd be fine. Really, I'd go back and I asked a bunch of people if they do this before. I decided to do it. You don't think Katie Porter is willing to take on special interests? You don't think Manhattan is taking on special interests? I mean, I think there are other people in the right. Do I think Matt May is taking on? Are you serious? Or Becerra is taking on the interest? Well, he's a reformer, maybe not taking on the special interest. I'm asking you. He's taking money from the oil companies. He's taking money from the people who are against single payer. No, he isn't. That is clear. They're participating in a system that's broken. They're not billionaires, right? I agree the system is fucked up. But you're asking. Are we going to change the system? And I'm saying, well, the people who you're projecting. It's a Katie Porter. You don't think Katie Porter is hostile? I mean, if she were doing better in the polls, they'd probably be spending more against her, too. Right. I mean, she's hostile to special interests, but she doesn't have your money to get ads up. Right. That's a real thing. So the question is, can someone win and do this? That is the actual question, John. Not can someone be good hearted? There are lots of good hearted people who I would be happy if they won. The question is, can someone actually do this? And as you pointed out for a while, apparently, Eric Swalwell. Eric Swalwell was leading in the polls. And Eric Swalwell, it's-- out that there were, you know, bigger issues, but all along there was no question that he was chuckling to every interest in this state. That was his goal. And he, you know, he, and they were thrilled and he was in the lead. So when you talk about, is there someone who will take on the special interest? You know, I think to describe it, Javier Becerra is a reformer. I'm sorry. Did I say that? If I did, I'm just saying someone has to do this job and, you know, actually do it, not try to do it, not, you know, give it a nice college try and then go off and, you know, play pinochle. Somebody has to actually do the job. And that's what I'm trying to do really hard. Tom Steyer, this is a great conversation. Thanks for talking to me. Really appreciate it. I miss Long Island. That's our show for today. Thanks to Tom Steyer for coming on. I'll be back in the feed on Sunday with a conversation with Senator Raphael Warren. Bye everyone. Right now, the midterms are the biggest story in American politics, but however they go, the Democratic Party is going to have to do some serious soul searching. Join us. Washington, D.C., November 5th through 7th, the second annual CrookedCon. It's going to be the Posse of America hosts and some of the smartest people in politics. We're going to try to answer some big questions. Stuff like, if we won, how did we win? If we lost, how could we possibly have lost? And with 2028 around the corner, where do we go from here? If you believe in democracy, community, and fighting for the future, now's the time to grab your tickets to CrookedCon 2026. Head to crookedcon.com to get your tickets now. 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