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Iran Just Massively Escalated

22m 10s

Iran Just Massively Escalated

Iran has significantly escalated its attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman, targeting stationary vessels to disrupt global oil flows and raise shipping costs to $1.5 million per day—up from $30,000 pre-war. These strikes, occurring over the past eight days, signal a strategic move to pressure the U.S. economy and force a reckoning amid growing instability. Despite U.S. claims of control over the strait, military presence is minimal: only one aircraft carrier remains in the Arabian Sea, thousands of kilometers away from key chokepoints, and several bases have been abandoned or ignored. Analysts argue this reflects a deliberate U.S. retreat, driven by political caution ahead of the midterms and a lack of real military capability. Iran, in contrast, maintains intact military infrastructure, ballistic missile stockpiles, and active diplomatic engagement with global powers, including Germany, India, and Japan. The U.S. response—lacking decisive action and relying on vague military orders—exposes a strategic failure. Meanwhile, shipping risks have soared, with mariners facing deadly threats and escalating premiums. The situation reveals a broader geopolitical shift: Iran is asserting regional dominance and countering U.S. influence, while the U.S. appears weakened, both militarily and politically. This escalating conflict underscores the vulnerability of global energy supply chains and the growing dominance of non-Western powers in regional security dynamics.

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Support comes from wise, the smart way to manage the currencies you need around the world. Your life is global. Your money should be too. Some providers promise no fees on overseas transfers. Don't be fooled. Extra costs often hide and blow to exchange rates. Choose wise. You can send, spend, and receive money in over 40 currencies. Count on the exchange rate that you'd usually see on Google. That's how millions save billions on hidden fees. Be smart. Get wise. Visit wise.com. T's and C's apply. Iran just did it again. Iran struck two tankers. One off the coast of Qatar, another tanker, 30 nautical miles east, off the coast of Fujera in the United Arab Emirates. The location where these strikes have taken place represents a massive escalation. With respect to Qatar, the tanker that was struck appears to be a stationary tanker there. There were many casualties reported. We're still waiting on an official casualty account. And in Fujera, a very big deal. This tanker was struck right there in the Gulf of Alman. In both cases, these appear to be stationary tankers that have been used for some of these ship to ship transfers. We've been talking about these S T S transfers, which is how sent-com is trying to direct ships to avoid Iran's control over the strait of Hormuz by having smaller ships, carry barrels of oil, transfer it to other ships, transfer maybe some of it overland or transfer some of it, hugging the coast of Alman and trying to sneak out with the AIS detection off in order to avoid IRGC detection where Iran will strike these tankers. Folks, in the past eight days, about 15 tankers, perhaps even more, have been struck by the IRGC in the strait of Hormuz. And now in the Gulf of Alman, this is a very big deal, folks. And in response, sent-com has posted the following message. US sent-com says claim earlier today, a general from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed in media reports that the strait of Hormuz is closed and his country has, quote, "full control over it." "This is false," says sent-com, and then they say fact. Traffic is flowing through the strait of Hormuz right now, carrying commercial goods and energy supplies, including 20 million barrels of crude oil. The United States and regional partners clearly control the strait of Hormuz. If you clearly control the strait of Hormuz, then why is the closest US Navy vessel? Why is the closest US aircraft carrier about 1,000 kilometers away in the Arabian Sea? One of the two aircraft carriers part of the so-called blockade, the USS George H.W. Bush has actually abandoned the blockade. It is now in Puket, Thailand. The USS Theodore Roosevelt has left from San Diego to accompany the USS George Washington, which is now the only aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea that is part of this so-called blockade right now. An amphibious assault group has also left from San Diego and will be reaching the Arabian Sea by mid-November. But Iran realizes that the United States military bases in the Middle East have all essentially been abandoned. The Trump regime has retreated as Iran has destroyed most US military bases in the region. Heck, Senator Chris Murphy said when he took a trip to the Middle East this week, the Pentagon refused to allow him to even visit any military base in the Middle East, which is his job as a senator to conduct oversight. And I think one of the reasons why they are blocking him from visiting these military bases is the same reason why they're blocking members of Congress and Senators from visiting ice concentration camps so-called detention centers in the United States. They want to cover up what's happening and in the case of these military bases, the United States wants to cover up the fact that these military bases have been destroyed and we've showed you a lot of photos that we got from people who were at these bases of the condition of what a lot of them look like now. Iran realizes that the US only has one aircraft carrier in the region and that Donald Trump is very wary and scared of escalation right now before the midterms, especially as the price of diesel and gas continues to surge and the price of Brent and WTI crude continues to surge as well and those crack spreads continue to rise as well. While all of this is going on, Iran's foreign ministry announcing meetings with foreign ministry leaders from other countries, for example. Egemale Bache, the foreign ministry spokesperson, posted this photo. Today, I received the new German ambassador to Iran, ambassador Alex Dittmann, and we had an engaging and frank discussion on prevailing trends and international relations, countering the threats and challenges that jeopardize the rule of law and endanger international peace and security remains a shared responsibility, one that calls for insight, courage and cooperation, while so much for economic outcast you have Iran meeting with the ambassador of Germany in Iran. Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson also said, "Today, I had a fruitful conversation with the ambassador of Pakistan, Mr. Imram Ahmad Sadik." Also, Iran's deputy foreign minister, Garbibadi, posted these photos with the meetings he just held with the new ambassador of India, Japan, and Spain in Tehran where they discussed a range of important regional and international issues. And he says, "In these meetings, we emphasize preserving and expanding bilateral relations based on mutual respect and shared interest." And you see the photos right here of the Iranian deputy foreign minister meeting with the ambassadors from Spain and Japan and India right here. Look at those photographs right there. Now, Brett Erickson, who I think has been doing a real good job with his analysis of everything that's going on in the Middle East, the escalation trap that Trump falls further and further into, the trap that Donald Trump is in right now, as he's put the United States in a very weak position, the fact that the Trump regime in the United States have lost the war to Iran. Here's what Brett Erickson said in response to the news later in the evening last night that this ship, that this tanker was struck in the Gulf of Oman, 30 nautical miles east of Fujera, which is United Arab Emirates. New, another vessel is on fire near the strait of Hormuz. But notably today, this vessel is located just a few miles away from where the Gulf of Oman ship to ship transfers take place. This is a clear sign from Iran that they simply weren't trying to fully close Hormuz. If the ship to ship transfers are shut down, it is game over. And what Erickson has argued before is that what Iran was waiting for is they knew that for the United States to take this southern route in the Gulf of Oman and the ship to ship transfer, it was so expensive that all Iran had to do with strike one tanker or two tankers and it would make it so the risk premium was still so high that the shipping costs would increase the price of crude. So we've been reporting how it now costs about $1.5 million per day to load up the crude on a very large tanker and try to move it out of the strait of Hormuz. Whereas before the war, it was $30,000 a day. Heck, these tanker captains are making $100,000 per month and getting a $50,000 bonus if they make it out of these strait of Hormuz without their ships being blown up by the IRGC. So what Erickson argues and I agree with Iran waited, you know, the movie Braveheart. Hold, hold, hold, and occasionally they'd strike a tanker. And as we got closer to the midterms, they wait for Donald Trump to remove an aircraft carrier so that the Trump regime and sent come only has one aircraft carrier, a thousand kilometers away. So the US doesn't really have a lot of hard power in the region. Also, they know that close to the midterms, Donald Trump doesn't want to escalate because he doesn't want the prices to go even higher. And then in the past eight days, remember in Braveheart, I don't like Mel Gibson, but I think it's a good reference. Oh, now. And then around weighted weighted, weighted boom. And then we saw tanker tanker tanker tanker. tanker. And that's where we're getting somewhere in the range of 15 or more tankers struck by Iran in the past eight days. And the fact and they're escalating how they're striking these tankers. It's a big deal that a tanker was struck 30 nautical miles east off of Fugera. That's one of the areas where there are pipelines to try to circumvent Iran's control of the Strait of Ramuz. That's a main area where ship to ship transfers are taking place. They try to move the oil there and because it's already kind of in the Gulf of Oman, they try to get the oil out that way. And so if they're striking in Fugera, Iran saying game on right there and they're shooting tankers stationary tankers right there by the by Qatar, even if they're not stationary, that is a massive escalation. Here's how Brett Erickson describes the tanker being struck off of Qatar. Just moments ago, the UKMTO issued a new report that says Iran struck another vessel off Qatar. This is a very significant escalation because it shows that Iran is not merely going to sit by and take shots at vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz under US air cover. But instead look to strike vessels across the Gulf that are anchored off port. This is not the first time we have seen this either. Just a few weeks ago, when the US and Iran were engaged in their tit for tan escalation, Iran struck vessels off the ports of the UAE and Iraq. If this continues, these vessels are helpless. And then he goes on to say, Iran strike earlier today of this tanker off the port of Qatar represents significant escalation. And he says, this raises the stakes substantially for mariners attempting to transit along Hormuz when the risk of being killed increases. There are multiple casualties in the tanker head off Qatar. Your pool of available mariners decreases and the premium they need to be paid increases extraordinary. So what is Donald Trump saying with all of this? Well, last night at a deranged event that he held in San Antonio, Texas, he says, Iran's got a little spunk because it's a little spunk, but otherwise they are destroyed. Play this clip. 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See the official rules for details. That's trymiracle.com/mytus. Code "Mytus" at checkout. Thanks to Miracle made for sponsoring this episode. Meanwhile, you had Pete Hegsif doing PT in San Diego before the USS Abraham Lincoln return. This is what he was doing. Play this clip. I mean, what the hell is he even happening? He was too tired to do pull-ups. So we decided to high five people. I don't even know. What is this? You're the defense secretary. You shouldn't be. But what the hell are you even doing here? Play this clip. By the way, this escalation by Iran comes at a time where under cash Patel NPR is reporting yesterday. The FBI has lost more than 1500 special agents and counterintelligence squads and many offices are running 50 to 60% staff. Agents tracking Iran were fired just before the war started. One insider describes the situation as "it's terrifying, honestly." Now, with all of this taking place, Barack Revead, Donald Trump's stenographer, he posted the following story last night. Military order to be ready for possible Iran strikes as Trump weighs timing. The Pentagon instructed US Central Command several days ago to conclude preparations for resuming major combat operations in Iran. The directive didn't include a specific date for launching strikes and Trump hasn't made any final decisions. Barack Revead, Trump's stenographer, says. But US and Israeli sources say it could happen before the US midterm elections and possibly the Israeli elections a week earlier. If major combat operations resume, they're expected to include massive bombing of Iranian energy, infrastructure, and nuclear target sources say. Resuming the war in the next three to four weeks could influence the midterm elections in part because oil prices might rise in response. The department's job is to develop and present military options to the president. A Pentagon official says. Here's what another official says. The US is in a very strong position with control of the Strait of Hormuz and the Iranian economy collapsing. Iran has been decimated and things will go one of two ways. The easy way or the hard way the officials sent. President Trump holds all the cards and will do whatever is the best for the United States. I mean, is Donald Trump your source that literally seems like a quote that Donald Trump gave? Look, if the US controls the Strait of Hormuz, then why is the closest aircraft carrier a thousand kilometers away? Why wouldn't there be navy destroyers and fibious combat units? Why wouldn't there be anything? Why would the logistics center have to be moved to the Diego Garcia base and not in Bahrain? Answer those questions if the US controls the Strait of Hormuz. Why have there been more tankers struck by the IRGC in the Strait of Hormuz over the past week than when the war since the war started? We've had more tanker struck this past week than any time before. Why is it that the tankers are charging $1.5 million a day in order to move crude or move other supplies out of the Strait of Hormuz when before the war, it was $30,000 a day. Why? Because the Trump regime is lying about absolutely everything here. And I'll say this, you know, you've been seeing some of the titles I've been doing for a long time, right? Like I've been saying, the US is in retreat. Trump is in retreat. And it's not that I'm rooting against anyway, I'm just trying to deliver the facts of what's happening. I'm looking at satellite footage and I'm conveying what the troop movements are saying. This is a catastrophic war the United States should never have been involved in in the first place. It is also being implemented in the most incompetent manner as well, a war that we should never have been in. And then execution wise, it's just an example of a Trump bankruptcy. We had to remove an aircraft carrier from the Pacific, the only aircraft carrier in the Pacific. The George Washington is now the sole aircraft carrier in the Arabian sea. It's a thousand kilometers away. It's relatively helpless if it moves any closer. That's why it has to stay this far distance away. And we don't have the resources even in the Middle East to really match Iran's escalation right now. And Iran knows that. So Donald Trump is left with calling Barack Reveed. And he thinks that's going to scare Iran. Like he thinks that they're going to, oh, we must make a deal. They're going to Iran is not scared of the United States. On day one, the United States launched something that was multiples of Iraq's shock and awe slaughtered like indiscriminately people in Iran on day one used so many weapons. And Iran was able to withstand that. Iran knows that Trump doesn't have the will to put ground troops in Iran. Nor should the United States be involved in this at all yet alone put ground troops. You're not going to win a war. through bombing, that's not going to work. And Iran knows it's in a stronger position. I'm not saying that because I'm rooting for them. I'm not saying that because I'm saying it because it's the reality. The truth is, and maybe you don't want to hear the truth. I think you come to the Midas Dutton Iran is in a much stronger position. Iran is a major regional power. It's a major global power now. It's army is not destroyed. It has a stockpile of ballistic missiles and Shahi drones more than when the war started in my view. That's just the reality of the situation. And you can have sent comes a claim. We control the straight of our mood. We don't we don't control the straight of our moves. What should happen? The Trump regime should remove all of it's the remove the remaining aircraft carrier and just get out. And then if Iran doesn't allow tankers through the straight of our moves, once the US leaves, then what the US can do is try to marshal a international alliance. Remember, we do that, you know, and then and then actually go in with allies and going with the coalition. But right now, this ain't working. And by the way, if you just look at Trump's whole life, this is how he behaves. And he's just kind of frozen there. And it's just loser behavior. It's like, what are you even doing? You're just going to lie. The whole thing now is just it's about to wrap up. It's about to wrap up. Their economy is about to collapse. They're about to be destroyed. They're going to be a deal any day. There's going to be a deal tomorrow. None of that's happening. None of that's true. Iran knows the situation and they're escalating and escalating and escalating. And they're going to continue to do this because also the more the Trump regime also tries to block any type of food or medicine or supplies from getting into Iran, Iran's not motivated to do a deal. They're motivated to escalate when the Trump regime does that. So that's where we're at now. We'll keep you posted every step of the way. Let me know what you think. Hit subscribe. Let's get to 7 million subscribers. Get your copy of WTF America. Get the ebook, get the hardcover book or the audio. Thanks for watching. If you want the full story, how democracy got here and how we take it back, pre-order our new book WTF America Today. Just scan the QR code or click the link in the description. Let's do this.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Wise offers transparent, low-cost global money transfers with exchange rates matching those seen on Google, avoiding hidden fees.
  2. Iran has escalated attacks by striking multiple tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman, including stationary vessels off Qatar and Fujera.
  3. The U.S. military presence in the region is significantly weakened, with only one aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea and key bases abandoned or under-reporting.
  4. Iran’s attacks target ship-to-ship transfer routes, indicating a deliberate effort to disrupt global oil flows and raise shipping costs to $1.5 million per day.
  5. Analysts argue that Iran’s actions are strategic, exploiting U.S. hesitation before the midterms and the lack of real military presence to pressure the U.S. economy.
  6. Despite U.S. claims of control over the Strait of Hormuz, the reality shows a lack of enforcement, with rising shipping risks and casualties.
  7. Iran is expanding diplomatic outreach, holding meetings with foreign ambassadors from Germany, Pakistan, India, Japan, and Spain to strengthen regional influence.
  8. The U.S. military and intelligence are reportedly in disarray, with over 1,500 agents lost and internal chaos, undermining credibility in the region.

Summary:

5 million per day—up from $30,000 pre-war. S. economy and force a reckoning amid growing instability.

S. claims of control over the strait, military presence is minimal: only one aircraft carrier remains in the Arabian Sea, thousands of kilometers away from key chokepoints, and several bases have been abandoned or ignored. S.

retreat, driven by political caution ahead of the midterms and a lack of real military capability. Iran, in contrast, maintains intact military infrastructure, ballistic missile stockpiles, and active diplomatic engagement with global powers, including Germany, India, and Japan. S.

response—lacking decisive action and relying on vague military orders—exposes a strategic failure. Meanwhile, shipping risks have soared, with mariners facing deadly threats and escalating premiums. S.

S. appears weakened, both militarily and politically. This escalating conflict underscores the vulnerability of global energy supply chains and the growing dominance of non-Western powers in regional security dynamics.

FAQs

Wise helps users send, spend, and receive money in over 40 currencies with transparent exchange rates similar to what you'd see on Google, avoiding hidden fees and exchange rate manipulation.

The strikes, including stationary tankers off Qatar and Fujera, show Iran targeting ship-to-ship transfer routes to disrupt global oil flow, indicating a deliberate effort to close key maritime passages.

By disrupting oil transport routes, Iran increases shipping risks and costs, pushing daily expenses to nearly $1.5 million—up from $30,000 before the conflict—leading to higher crude oil prices.

The closest U.S. aircraft carrier is over 1,000 kilometers away, and key military units have been withdrawn or relocated, raising questions about the U.S. military’s actual capability to protect shipping lanes.

The continued operation of ship-to-ship transfers and the recent strikes on stationary tankers indicate Iran is using selective attacks to pressure, not fully close, the strait and force higher costs on global traders.

Experts argue that the U.S. lacks sufficient military presence and readiness, and that escalation is being avoided due to political concerns ahead of the midterms, showing a strategic retreat rather than a strong response.

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