‘Inaction man’ Burnham TikToks as protesters take migrant crisis into own hands
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The episode opens with criticism of Prime Minister Andy Burnham for posting a TikTok video about alarm clocks and childcare support while the country faces a migrant crisis, economic stagnation, and rising borrowing costs. The hosts argue that Labour's strategy of focusing on small material benefits, like breakfast clubs and school uniform costs, fails to address the larger issues reshaping British society. They suggest this approach papers over cracks rather than offering a coherent economic or social vision.
The conversation then shifts to the arrival of 140 migrants in Portsmouth, witnessed by Reform UK council leader George Madgwick. He describes how local residents, including military families, initially blocked the road in a peaceful but concerned response before masked outsiders arrived late at night, escalating tensions. Madgwick emphasizes that these masked protesters told him they support Rupert Lowe and Restore, not Nigel Farage or Reform, and that he himself was intimidated by them. He stresses that Reform supports peaceful protest but draws a firm line against face coverings and intimidation.
The discussion highlights alarming statistics: a whistleblower's claim that only 1% of asylum seekers are genuine, Labour's deportation rate of just 4%, and the fact that many asylum claims come from visa overstayers who entered during the "Boris wave." The hosts argue that this creates a perception of a "free-for-all" and erodes public trust in the system. They conclude by warning that the combination of mass migration, economic failure, and political division could lead to vigilante action and the rise of extremist parties, with the centre-right urgently needing to unite to offer a credible alternative to Labour.
As protesters take the migrant crisis into their own hands,
our Prime Minister Andy Burnham is posting TikTok videos.
Never mind Alarm Clock Britain, our Andy needs to wake up.
We speak to a Reform UK council leader
who witnessed the arrival on the south coast
of a mega-dinghy carrying hundreds of migrants.
Welcome to The Daily Tea with me, Camilla Tominey.
And me, Tim Stanley.
The people that turned up in the balaclava specifically told me
they will not vote for Nigel Farage, they will not vote for reform.
They actually called me scum for supporting reform.
And they said specifically that they're supporting Rupert Lowe and Restore.
This is why people, by the way,
are taking to the streets of Dover and Portsmouth,
because they just see it as a free-for-all.
Britain likes people to queue and do the right thing
and can we have some rules in place?
This just seems like the Wild West.
Tim, there are. There are protesters in Portsmouth and Dover.
Migrants are arriving by dinghy load.
There's no growth.
Land Rover is letting 4,000 people go.
We're looking forward to a budget that's probably going to tax us more.
Borrowings at an all-time high with the gilt yields higher
than under Liz Truss, who apparently crashed the British economy.
But don't worry, because Andy Burnham's recorded
a social media video with an alarm clock.
When the alarm goes off, you're back on the school run
trying to get the kids to go to school.
Get the kids out the door and get to work on time.
Being a parent sometimes is not easy.
It's why we're taking the pressure off those busy mornings.
This government is creating thousands more childcare places
through new school-based nurseries,
so parents don't have to rush around doing multiple drop-offs.
We're also rolling out 1,400 free breakfast clubs,
giving parents more time at the start of the day,
helping with childcare costs
and making sure children get a good meal before lessons begin.
We're also bringing down the cost of school uniforms
to stop the spread of COVID-19.
We're also helping to stop parents being trapped
into paying high prices.
On top of all of this, we're also capping bus fares
at £2 and helping with household energy bills.
Less pressure, more breathing space for parents,
less bring-back hope for children and families.
Well, that certainly brightened up my September.
He's stolen the alarm clock bit from reform,
and his political strategy is so Keir Starmer 2.0.
Yes.
It is to focus on the little things that governments
can do to make life a wee bit cheaper.
In the hope that people will overlook
the catastrophic grand narratives
that are reshaping their lives.
Yes.
So what have we got in there?
We've got breakfast clubs, help with the school run,
action to keep down the costs of school uniforms.
Now, I'm not going to take away that a lot of people
will be delighted at the few pennies
that are saved from those things.
But aside from raising the question of
why can't people feed their own kids,
and that's not just a moral judgment,
but that might also be a question
about the kind of economy we're running.
Yeah.
I do also have to ask,
how does help with the school run bring back hope?
Politicians have a very strange idea
of how the human being works.
Yes.
What brings me hope is very personal stuff,
like relationships and God.
Yes.
It's not the cost of school uniforms has fallen.
No. Well, as somebody who has done a school run
now for a long, long time,
and I've still got many years left to do.
I mean, it fills me with hope
if there isn't a road closure on my school run.
It fills me with hope if my children have actually got
everything that they need for school,
which amazingly they often don't,
even though they do the same thing every weekday.
But breakfast clubs have become
the sort of sure start of this Labour administration.
So when people used to criticise Tony Blair,
for instance, for starting an illegal war
that killed thousands,
people would say, but look at sure start.
And they do that in the same way for Keir Starmer
and Rachel Reeves, who I think are probably
equally to blame for crashing the economy
as Liz trusts right now with how borrowing
is looking and tax and spend.
And yet people go, but come on.
They're lifting children out of poverty
by having teachers clean their teeth
and feed them breakfast.
And my central question as a pretty busy parent,
I mean, I'm managing to do the school run
and do this show and work here full time
and have an extra day.
I have an extra job at GB News.
So I'm a alarm clock writtener.
I'm what?
I'm a wonder woman.
I wonder, but I'm saying.
I am an alarm clock person too.
I just keep hitting snooze.
That's fine.
And I know you're a snoozer
and I'm a jump out of bedder.
But the point is this.
As a parent, I expect to do the following
because I've had children.
I've made the decision.
I think I should get them to clean their own teeth.
I think I should feed them breakfast
before they go into school.
And I think if I decide, as I have done,
to send my children to two,
different schools,
I should have to cope
with a quite complicated school run.
I'm not sure why the nanny state
needs to intervene in my breakfast routine,
to be perfectly honest.
And as you say,
I'm not sure what that does to guilt yields.
Well, the left has become the party
of papering over cracks.
It no longer has a narrative or a theory
for how to change the economy or society.
It's not really interested
in building heaven on earth.
It's just about papering over social problems.
So what causes people to not be able to brush teeth?
They're bad parents, or they're so rushed off their feet
by an economy that makes them work several jobs
that don't pay that they don't have time.
In which case, where is your strategy
for creating an economy
in which people are well paid enough,
preferably one person within the family,
so that the other can stay at home
and look after their kids?
Where is your strategy for doing that?
The left doesn't have one.
But this is also about a left-wing approach to politics,
which says if we just get the material things right,
what Keir Starmer used to call "deliverism",
then immigration will take care of itself.
It's not that Labour is doing nothing about immigration.
They have a returns deal with France.
They are introducing a new deal
where they will pay based upon results.
So hopefully the French will do a better job
of stopping people from leaving
because they'll get more money that way.
They've increased deportations and they've also
sped up the processing of asylum claims.
And the overall numbers of people crossing the channel
are down.
So it's not that Labour is doing nothing.
But what they don't understand is a the numbers are down
from a historic high.
Yes.
b there is a long drag to asylum and immigration.
Large numbers of people coming in two or three years ago
are still being processed.
We'll discuss that in a moment.
So in other words, you're still dealing with the social
and economic fallout of something that happened
under a different government.
But finally, they don't seem to understand the social strains
and pressures that are caused by mass migration.
So at the same time as Andy was recording his alarm clock video,
two big things happened in Europe.
One was the AFD won elections in Saxony.
Yes.
And the Alternative for Deutschland is branded a far-right party.
I'm not sure how fair that is.
I personally just don't know enough about it to make that judgement.
Well, it's confusing because they're sympathetic to Russia and Putin
and they're anti-Western, which would suggest they're more on the socialist side of things,
which would be far left, not far right.
But maybe in the vein of national socialism, they're a little bit of both.
What they represent is, I think, what Maurice Glassman, the Labour peer,
describes as the "sovereigntists" of Germany versus the globalists that they see in figures like Merkel and Merkel.
And I think it's quite clear that they're not the "sovereigntists" of Germany,
they're the "sovereigntists" of Germany.
They're the "sovereigntists" of Germany.
The "sovereigntists" of Germany are the "sovereigntists" of Germany.
holidays yes wanting to cross the channel in a legal fashion so that was that protest and then
last night so sunday night we have an arrival of 140 migrants into portsmouth not necessarily
typically associated by the way with dinghy landings because we constantly think of dover
but that opens up a new kind of flight frightening strain of is anywhere along the south coast of
england safe now from legal crossings that initially precipitated a kind of local residence
response that was then jumped upon by more masked protesters making a point about wanting to
basically block the road that the migrants were going to come in and out of in protest at what
was going on well all of this was actually witnessed by george madgwick who is the head
of the reform group on hampshire county council and we spoke to him george thanks for joining us
on the daily tea
can you describe the scenes that you saw what happened
sure so i was actually the first one on the ground because i lived next to um the sea where this was
all happening so i was there at four o'clock um yesterday afternoon and there till three in the
morning um at different locations so it originated with two large vessels and they weren't small
dinghies they were large rni vessels arriving into uh one of the side ports in portsmouth now
for the people watching and listening this i think it's important to understand where they were
arriving into it was just slightly north of the military base that we've got the royal navy
and the particular location i think was challenging because there's only one road on and one road off
of this dock so this led to residents noticing this very quickly and where this road is situated
is where housing a housing development uh exists for military veterans and military personnel
so there was a significant amount of people local residents around 2000 that saw this very very
quickly and hundreds of them come out of their doors by 5 36 o'clock at night to block that road
the logistics so whoever at the home office decided that this was the ideal location
was foolish because the logistics the location was poor but they must have been aware in advance
of these arrivals because there was tents set up there was food packages ready there was clothing
packages ready they had set up a whole designated area prior to them ever coming into our ports this
was clearly organized but in my opinion organized poorly and they were not able to get to the port
organized poorly now within hours it could become very busy as you say but this initially was mainly
residents i'm talking women children adults in dressing gowns a lot of them actually dressing
gowns it was a sunday evening um and and there was actually community spirit it wasn't aggressive or
shouty or violent but as the night drew on and obviously social media and the news started
picking it up we started seeing a significant amount of people from out of the area start to
arrive at roughly 11 30 at night then we started seeing a couple of people coming in and out of the
and i'm talking maybe 20 30 people arrive in balaclavas they come to the front then the riot
police arrived and community tensions started to rise a little bit there but it was very well
controlled uh the police did a fantastic job the majority and i would say 99 of the people that were
on the ground the protesters were peaceful and did a brilliant job they were allowing the emergency
services like the fire trucks through etc and it's a pure example of people that are terrified
of the police and they're not afraid of the police and they're not afraid of the police and they're
not scared of it happening on their shore and that's basically what i witnessed can you tell us
what are they terrified and scared of what were the not the outside protesters but uh regular
citizens what is their objection to these people arriving at that place in england i think many of
us regardless of what side of politics you're on are scared of the unknown and i think this is a
problem now you've got to remember portsmouth we're talking about portsmouth specifically here
now portsmouth last year went through a crisis in itself you know we had the royal beach hotel
used as a location to house migrants we had a number of unfortunately sexual assaults and
other things that have happened down in portsmouth during the summer last year
and we had more migrants stationed in our city than the rest of hampshire combined their official
home office statistics you can check it and confirm so in portsmouth we had this summer
of discontent along with epping forest etc and at the latter part of last year that obviously
quelled it went down and it becomes subdued so portsmouth are almost on this heightened
alert for something to happen um and they are concerned about this because we have had
really nasty vicious assaults happen on our street of our people and just a couple of days ago now
there was a iraqi foreign national that was charged for uh raping a 14 year old boy in
portsmouth just a few days ago obviously that investigation's got to take its course we won't
comment on that but what i want to give you is the context of what happens in portsmouth and this is
why people here specifically are so concerned no i i can't
imagine that you're very sympathetic to those people who spontaneously showed up from the local
area but as to those who turned up who are rather more organized and were coming from outside how
does reform feel about them because you know in some cases they're covering their faces their
behavior seems to be somewhat intimidating they are clashing with the police at both dover and
portsmouth on the one hand you sympathize with the grievance right on the other hand does reform want
to draw a line when it comes to the police and the police and the police and the police and the
vigilante action yeah and i think that there's a a heavy line to be drawn here i think some people
listen to reform and think that we are part of this issue and it's very clear to say that it's
not and i can give you an example of last night of how to prove that it wasn't because i was on
the scene reporting live for different tv networks until three in the morning and i too was
intimidated by a number of masked up balaclava men because i was reformed because i wasn't right
enough because i wasn't far enough to the right of them and and i think that's a very important
thing to think about and i think that's a very important thing to think about i had to have a couple of security come around me to protect me so you know those people in balaclavas do not see reform as an ally they do not see reform as a friend and we are very very very adamant in reform that everyone's got the right to protest everyone's got the right to do a peaceful action and we respect that because equally you've got to remember the police are doing a job as well it's not their fault you know the police have got to do a job as well where we draw the line is we're in balaclavas we are the first people to criticize those on the left like auntie
for that come up to protest with balaclavas and it'd be hypocritical for us to take a different view
when the right side of politics do the same thing so no we've been very firm that we believe in
protests we think people should be able to do that but it always must remain peaceful and never should
there be an example where you use any form of face covering because it is intimidating even if they
don't intend the intimidation to exist it is naturally an intimidating thing i mean interestingly
george uh sarah poachin your own reform mp told us at the reform conference for a daily tea episode
that people can listen to
and watch that she wants all face coverings banned including the burqa and she included
balaclavas in that but who do you think these uh vigilante protesters are associated with
if not with nigel farage's party i can tell you because they told me themselves it was rupert low
um you know that's who they were associated with the people that turned up in the balaclavas
specifically told me they will not vote for nigel farage they will not vote for reform
they actually called me scum for support in reform um and they said specifically
that they're supporting rupert low and restore um and i think that's a real concern for restore
because i think they seem to be attracting these people that are slightly more intimidating and
aggressive but you know these people don't exist you know our protesters or protesters that exist
on the streets do not exist if the government fixed the problem and we need to stop blaming
the protesters or blaming local residents for leaving their house and having their voices
concerned what we need to do is look at why this problem exists and if a government any government
you know whether it be the government or the government of the government of the government
conservatives labor or a future reform government they need to fix the problem because if this
problem didn't exist people wouldn't be out in the streets protesting people are concerned and
i really want to stress that you know politics aside i know it sounds crazy coming from a reform
council but politics aside we are one nation we're one people we're people that care about
our communities and care about our people and the government have a responsibility to defend that
the concerns simply are that people are arriving on our shores undocumented unchecked and more than
not they'll be allowed in our communities where granted a large portion of them might be nice
genuine people our issue is there will be a small minority of them that are dangerous that are
violent that are aggressive that do mean and will cause us harm and that's what people are concerned
about george madrig thank you very much indeed for joining us on today's daily tea thank you
george
rightly said they're not all criminals of course they're not that's absurd but a lot of people will
be asking are they genuine asylum seekers and we have to mention a royal newspaper the times very
quickly okay very quickly uh has a front page this morning uh in which an an official an insider
claims that only one percent of people claiming asylum are genuine which is a stunning statistic
isn't it it is
i don't think it's entirely trustworthy it's a guesstimate yes i think it's hyperbolic yes but
he is supported by well but but the gist of what he's saying is supported by the official numbers
yes uh when the last government tried to clear the backlog 76 percent of asylum applications
were being agreed to green lit that figure has now fallen to 37 percent okay so that sounds like good
no no but
if you think about it that means that of the people claiming asylum here only a third the government is
are genuine well that's fine if the people who aren't genuine are immediately sent home well
this is the issue it turns out that you have even if you're even if you are rejected you have a 95
chance of staying in the country because you can you just slip into the black economy you appeal
or you just slip into the black economy but then people be wondering well how do you get all of
the bells and whistles you need to be legitimate you're just not legitimate let me add one more
onto a housing list how do you get a job you're meant to have a national insurance number yeah
how do you get to use the nhs yeah it creates this kind of this is why people by the way are
taking to the streets of dover and portsmouth because they just see it as a free-for-all
that there aren't any rules you know britain britain likes people to queue and do the right
thing and can we have some rules in place this just seems like the wild west well they're not
really queuing and they're not even necessarily coming in on the boats this is a misunderstanding
so
at its height one in ten people applying to live in the uk were asylum seekers so it's become a
very significant part of the migrant population and a great number of them are not coming over
the channel they're overstayers from the boris wave and the visa program yes so these are people
who came in ostensibly to say work in social care yes and once the visa has expired they've sent
they've then said i can't go back to my home i can't go back to my home i can't go back to my home
country because it's unsafe yes and by the way those people are allowed to bring
lots of lots of dependence you might not have ever been working in social care that is critical right
because yes if people are at least coming over here and working in social care the british
public will go well all right we don't need people caring for the elderly yeah but if they
brought the uncle the aunt the cousin the sister's brother's lover yeah and none of them are
contributing and logic tells you that if they came over to work and then claimed asylum then
they're not in desperate fear of their life because initially they were coming for work
right that's their economic migrants economic migrants who have subsequently yes uh announced
that they are in fact living in immediate threat of danger now the whistleblower has a couple of
i'm afraid quite amusing examples of how people try to get around the rules he says
encountered a large number of iraqi kurds claiming asylum who have all said that they were in a
relationship with the daughter of the prime minister of the kurdistan region so all of them
she must have been busy well i'd love to meet this girl because wow my god she's a very she's
she's a very warm and generous lady at the same time a large number of pakistani men have been
claiming that they cannot return to pakistan because
they're not going to be able to return to pakistan because they're not going to be able to
return to pakistan because they're not going to be able to return to pakistan because they're
they are gay and a typical tactic is to appear in a british gay nightclub with their top off
perhaps 10 of them standing in a row all saying this is me wow and singing ymca and many of them
have produced a letter affirming their homosexuality which all comes from the same man
wow so again the daughter again a warm and generous person who we'd all like to meet
but this tell you what's mind-blowing about this and
i've done stories for news on people trying to exploit this persecution claim that they
are bidoons which is a kind of like exiled state of kuwait and gaming the system by falsely claiming
they have that nationality in order to get into the country and then seek asylum and even though
the home office knows about the loophole it won't close it down then we've got other examples that
we've written about smuggling gangs running rings around the authorities by giving people
grips to adhere to when they're questioned by border force with regard to their asylum claims
so that's the gaming of the system we know the whole situation where literally grown bearded men
are claiming to be unaccompanied minors again anyone with any common sense would look at them
and go well you're fibbing and making it up we have that then interspersed with kind of lefties
like darren jones the former chief secretary to the treasury saying that most of the people on
the boats are women and children again the public is incredulous well that's not true
it's not how it looks to me we spoke to the chap who worked with isabel oakshot to get on a migrant
dinghy he said they're all men bar one woman who was there with children they're all seeking work
they're all moving on from france where they could have stayed and then as george alluded to there i
mean if you're a resident of portsmouth and you're seeing literally the welcome mat being rolled out
for people who arrived here illegally are being accompanied by the rnli and reportedly rescue boats
actually trailed the dinghy as it left france towards the south coast just in case people got
into trouble but tents being set up being escorted yet charity charity people going oh come on here's
a sleeping bag and stuff i mean that's not something that's afforded to ex-veterans who
are now on the streets of london is it well camilla you say you mentioned that they use a
script of course native britains use a script when they apply for pip yes and part of this is that we
have a checkbox welfare system yes where
by it doesn't matter how much you put in what matters is if you say the right things yes you
automatically proceed to get the money and we've got a load of people on social media fueling all
this by giving advice which is very easy to obtain it used to be kind of cloak and dagger now it's
just out in the open yeah do you want to claim transport for school here's how you do it not
you know no real question of whether your child has a condition condition that deserves transport
well and of course this all links back to ernie burnham what we're discussing
at the beginning with how the government is giving away more and more free stuff well if you say to
the world's poor come here there's more and more free stuff you could possibly get if you are
successful with your claim by the way the way it works is when you arrive you have an initial
interview and in that that's a brief interview in which you can be very vague you just need to
sort of say i fear i'm in danger of my life i'm gay or whatever and then you come back for a much
longer interview which is the in-depth one that really screens to see if you're genuine and part
of the problem is that there have been months passing between the
easy interview and the difficult interview and what this government has done is sped that up so
that you proceed to the second interview much faster but you can get around that by getting
a doctor's note and saying you're sick you see this is what really winds me up first there are
genuine asylum seekers who are going to be stigmatized as a result of this second because
the people who are playing the system are are taking advantage of the decency and the values
of liberal british society they're turning out
our love against us yes in a sense i mean the gay thing is a gay thing is is a prime example of that
just just studying what does this what does the society value well look all the pride flags they
really love pride okay i'll pretend that i'm gay manipulating the generosity of the welfare state
manipulating the medical system in order to get a sick note um everything that and so people who
want to control asylum what we're doing in a way is we're trying to defend
the decency of liberal society before it's so manipulated and overwhelmed that it turns
nasty and authoritarian and ends up voting for either for parties like the afd yeah or you get
things like the protests that we've seen at dover and portsmouth now last year i wrote an article
saying that i was worried about civil war coming in britain all i was doing was borrowing from the
ideas of david betts i was just trying to publicize them who is a war studies professor
at the university of london at king's college and
when i use the language of civil war people jumped on it to say what you mean like north and south
no it's not that what betts is saying is that when you have a failed state you have a low level
insurgency that fills the vacuum of trust in the state when people think either the government is
inept or worse working against me actively bringing people in yes then what people will do
is they will form vigilante groups and they will begin to police their communities instead
yes and of course this is what's been happening in catholic and protestant communities of northern
ireland for decades and as aris roussinos has argued a journalist who spent a lot of time
in northern ireland he writes for unheard we're seeing the ulsterization of britain
this is what creating a multicultural sectarian society looks like you have in the case of the
rape gangs you have people covering up for their own community yeah and you get in reaction to that
you get a lot of people who are in the community who are in the community who are in the community
you get people enforcing the law for those listening that's an inverted commas of course
they're not they're breaking the law they're taking the law into their own hands and they're
adding to the chaos and so you get the slow breakdown of trust and order in society so for
those who say that that people who worry about mass migration are racists or authoritarians
the opposite is generally true mainstream center-right people and those on the left
like morris glassman we mentioned him who have argued against
mass migration are actually trying to save liberal democracy from itself by saying if you don't
exercise control and if you don't protect the welfare state from abuse you're going to get
either chaos or fascism also throw into that mix people genuinely being concerned about the safety
of their children largely the girls but also the boys and youth unemployment at 16 tim yes so you've
got a million british youngsters not in the middle of the world who are in the middle of the world
in education or employment having to compete for jobs with migrants then that's also problematic
there's a perfect storm here
of, I think, three killer statistics.
The 1% of asylum seekers are genuine claim that, as we say,
it's not a government statistic, it's one man's interpretation.
He is on the inside, he or she, but let's just take that
with a pinch of salt because it's not particularly scientific.
Okay, have that.
We've got the other killer statistic, which is that only 4%
of illegal immigrants have been deported under Labour, 4%.
So for all of the numbers and the fudging that they do,
that's the one that people really care about.
Yes.
And the third statistic, and you mentioned the Boris wave,
those 4 million people coming here during that period.
Nine out of 10 claims of asylum among Pakistanis
come from those who are on visas.
The figure is 98% among Bangladeshis.
Okay, and you look at that, and this is the killer statistic
on that one, that one migrant every minute gets either
indefinite leave to remain in the country,
indefinite leave to remain in the country,
or British citizenship.
So this idea as well, the desperation on the streets
comes from the genie's out of the bottle and we can't do anything
to put it back.
And when you combine all that with the seeming, I mean,
well-meaning denialism of Andy Burnham, who should not have been
in Downing Street with an alarm clock, but probably down in Dover
trying to keep the peace, and you then have the Chancellor,
John Healy, deliver what can only be described as a completely
and irrelevant speech about the economy ahead of a budget
that everyone's living in fear of because it's probably
inevitably going to mean that we're all taxed even more.
You tried to watch it.
You gave up halfway through because there was literally
nothing in it, which is an insult to this country at a time
when we know we're economically on our knees.
We've already mentioned Jaguar Land Rover.
By the way, Graham Pack, regular correspondent, points out
five minutes ago, Keir Starmer was bailing out this company
to try and save 500 jobs.
Now, four years later, he's got 500 jobs.
Four thousand jobs are going.
Where's the response to that by the Prime Minister?
Yeah, I noticed polling showing that almost unanimously
voters for AFD in Germany said that they were concerned
about the cost of living crisis.
And this all, again, brings us full circle back to the question
of Labour's management.
Mass migration is bad enough.
When it's combined with a stagnant economy,
then that's going to be a trigger for disorder and political change.
We are just not making capitalism work right now.
No.
And Labour is taking us down a path towards, it's paradoxical
because they call it devolution.
Y'all think that means it's liberalising and it's empowering
and it's ending state power and all that stuff.
It's not.
It's actually empowering socialists to tinker more
with the economy at a local level.
It's buck passing.
And it's actually an attempt, in many ways,
it's quite a struggle.
It's quite centralising because it's an attempt to say
growth should be over there.
Yes.
Those people should be great.
I'm not happy.
Growth in every postcode.
Annabel Denham pointed out that a postcode.
The columnist.
Yeah, brilliant columnist for The Telegraph,
writes the newsletter.
She pointed out that many postcodes contain just 15 homes.
So a growth in every single postcode would mean
that a cul-de-sac gets a factory.
I don't know.
There is no logical connection between rhetoric,
policy and reality.
Also, it's all very well Healy giving a speech
in which he tells everybody what we're all suffering from
and how difficult life is.
The other problem for the public is that they're not identifying
who is really to blame for all this.
So again, Healy is reverting back to,
he hasn't quite gone back to the 1970s like Burnham
and blamed Thatcher, but he's blaming austerity.
What?
Austerity was literally 16 years ago.
Yes.
He's blaming Brexit.
Again, forgive me, but that was a decade ago, Tim.
And he's blaming Liz Truss.
Well, Liz Truss happened in a bubble of 47 days.
She didn't outlive a lettuce.
Yes, it had an impact on the economy.
But at what point are you going to take responsibility
for two disastrous budgets which caused your own Chancellor
to have to resign along with your own Prime Minister?
Just as the current Labour government want us
to be completely blinkered to what went on between 1997
and 2010, because, of course, Blair and Brown
were looking back on Thatcher with horror
and they were re-industrialising the country.
Were they?
Honestly, it's complete and utter nonsense.
Now they're diagnosing problems but not giving
the right remedies and blaming the wrong conditions.
Yes.
So all our attention has to be on the right
and can it unite and beat Labour and achieve
the twin things of securing the border
and restoring people's faith, which really means
rebuilding the cultural fabric of this country
and regenerating the economy.
Now, we're speaking off the back of having been
at the reform conference and we've just spoken
to a reform representative there.
I feel like they are sitting on a volcano.
And Nigel Farage knows that.
He knows the vast reservoir of boiling anger
that is underneath him.
And he knows who those, he doesn't personally know
who those protesters are, but he knows who those
sorts of people are.
And while. And while the mainstream tries to paint reform
as fascist, it's actually it and Kemi Badenoch
are actually the last roll of the dice of centre-right
politicians before you get a fascist reaction.
And they know that.
But there is a tension even within their own ranks.
So I was very uncomfortable with the way in which
the crowd set upon a green protester during
Nigel Farage's speech.
And I was doubly uncomfortable with the fact that
when asked about the role of the Green Party,
when asked about it, Rob Jenrick said, oh, boo-hoo.
Yeah.
Was this the girl who was dragged by her hair
out of the venue?
She was, yes.
And there was a fantastic photo of an old man
waving a crutch at her, an old man, an old white man
waving a crutch at a young eco-protester.
I mean, heavens, there's Britain in 2026 in a photograph.
And so I feel reform is walking a very narrow line here
between, on the one hand, condemning civil disturbance
and, on the other hand, almost winking at it knowingly
while trying to offer a democratic alternative to it.
It's a very difficult act to pull off.
But then you're rather a democratic alternative.
That's my point.
Than balaclavid people completely outside of politics
and the law taking matters into their own hands.
But the frustrating thing is, Camilla,
and I know people are going to feel that we say this
every episode, but with the right. Right divided.
Yes, I know.
Labour will win.
Somebody wrote to me today saying,
I watched everything over the reform conference
and have been listening to you two carefully.
And is the country going to the dogs and can it be saved?
And I had to respond after reflecting on reform
and having a quite interesting dinner with Danny Kruger
and also conversations with people in the Conservatives
that the only solution really is a very sensible
right-wing administration to somehow
come together and trying to save us from this mess.
Did Danny Kruger say that?
He didn't say that, but he understands the need
for consensus and he understands the need
for bridge building.
And reform really needs to reflect on what has happened.
I would say, by the way, can we have some more
left-wing investigations into some of the balaclavid people
and restore?
Yeah.
I mean, obviously they're only investigating Farage
because he's got a stronger chance of becoming
the next prime minister, much, much stronger
than Rupert Lowe, but have a look.
To the right of him.
And find out who the real enemy is here.
And I don't know if the balaclava people are linked
to restore.
That's what reform is claiming.
I mean, I think what's interesting is they're
actually copying the tactics of things like
Extinction Rebellion, far right and far left,
sort of imitating each other.
Yes.
But we don't want either of them.
We don't want anyone in balaclavas having any
control over anything.
We understand the sentiment, but not the execution.
But to your point, my overriding feeling was,
my God, reform needs to get its house in order.
The right.
The general needs to get its house in order
and somehow formulate a plan to restore common sense
decency and British values to this country.
I would just close by saying I spoke privately
to a pollster.
I won't say which one.
And I asked, can you summarise the real mood
on the right, regardless of the triumphalism
they inevitably get at a conference?
And he said, in my calculation, 10% of people
are diehard reform.
10% of people are still loyal to the conservatives.
Everyone else is transactional.
Yes.
They will vote for whoever they need to vote for
to get Labour out.
Yes.
It's a full reversal of 2024 then.
The next general election is going to be people
getting Labour out, just as the last general election
was people trying to get the Tories out.
And right now, I cannot predict what that looks like,
who wins, or which is the bigger party on the centre-right.
But I think while the parties inevitably have to play
to their base and say no compromise,
I think the reality, even possibly among some
of the conference delegates, is that the parties
have to play to their base and say no compromise.
The reality is people on the day of the election
clicking online and asking, who do I vote for,
to stop Labour.
We'll be back tomorrow, 5pm.
you
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Protests erupted in Portsmouth and Dover as residents reacted to a large migrant dinghy arrival, with locals initially blocking roads before masked outsiders escalated tensions.
Reform UK council leader George Madgwick, who witnessed the Portsmouth arrival, reported that masked protesters told him they support Rupert Lowe and Restore, not Nigel Farage or Reform.
Prime Minister Andy Burnham faced criticism for posting a lighthearted TikTok video about alarm clocks and childcare while the migrant crisis and economic troubles dominate public concern.
A whistleblower claim that only 1% of asylum seekers are genuine, combined with Labour's 4% deportation rate and the backlog of visa overstayers claiming asylum, fuels public frustration.
The discussion warns that unchecked migration and economic stagnation could lead to vigilante action and political extremism, with the centre-right divided between Reform and the Conservatives.
Summary:
The episode opens with criticism of Prime Minister Andy Burnham for posting a TikTok video about alarm clocks and childcare support while the country faces a migrant crisis, economic stagnation, and rising borrowing costs. The hosts argue that Labour's strategy of focusing on small material benefits, like breakfast clubs and school uniform costs, fails to address the larger issues reshaping British society. They suggest this approach papers over cracks rather than offering a coherent economic or social vision.
The conversation then shifts to the arrival of 140 migrants in Portsmouth, witnessed by Reform UK council leader George Madgwick. He describes how local residents, including military families, initially blocked the road in a peaceful but concerned response before masked outsiders arrived late at night, escalating tensions. Madgwick emphasizes that these masked protesters told him they support Rupert Lowe and Restore, not Nigel Farage or Reform, and that he himself was intimidated by them. He stresses that Reform supports peaceful protest but draws a firm line against face coverings and intimidation.
The discussion highlights alarming statistics: a whistleblower's claim that only 1% of asylum seekers are genuine, Labour's deportation rate of just 4%, and the fact that many asylum claims come from visa overstayers who entered during the "Boris wave." The hosts argue that this creates a perception of a "free-for-all" and erodes public trust in the system. They conclude by warning that the combination of mass migration, economic failure, and political division could lead to vigilante action and the rise of extremist parties, with the centre-right urgently needing to unite to offer a credible alternative to Labour.
FAQs
Around 140 migrants arrived in Portsmouth on large RNLI vessels, landing near a military base. Local residents gathered to block the only road to the dock, and the situation drew both peaceful residents and later masked protesters from outside the area.
George Madgwick is the leader of the Reform UK group on Hampshire County Council. He witnessed the Portsmouth arrivals firsthand and said the Home Office had set up tents, food, and clothing in advance, suggesting the landing was anticipated but poorly organized.
Portsmouth previously housed migrants at the Royal Beach Hotel and experienced incidents including sexual assaults. Residents are described as being on heightened alert and concerned about safety and the unknown.
According to George Madgwick, the masked protesters told him they would not vote for Nigel Farage or Reform UK, called him 'scum' for supporting Reform, and said they supported Rupert Lowe and Restore instead.
Reform UK supports peaceful protest but draws a firm line against face coverings and intimidation. George Madgwick said the party condemns balaclavas and believes protests must always remain peaceful.
Andy Burnham's video promoted government measures such as school-based nurseries, free breakfast clubs, cheaper school uniforms, capped bus fares, and help with energy bills, framed as easing pressure on parents.
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