Ian Hartitz's 5 Favorite Fantasy Football Picks

(upbeat music) You know what? I think it's a great day to be great, because Ian Harditz is on the Frickin' program today, but the five players he can't stop drafting the summer. I gotta say Ian, you take us from the second round to the 16th round in today's episode. You will bring us on a real adventure here on the show. We got some sick ones, and I swear to you, all the listeners, these are guys high exposure. I wanna say I'm at least 20, if not 25% drafted with all these. So I'm gonna tell you guys why I feel good about it, and if you disagree, that's fine. Just know these are who I'm drafting, all right? For better and for worse, thanks. - Yeah, I love to hear the skin in the game, but the truth of the matter is, it's about a reputation here. So who cares what $100 on these guys? This is about a reputation, that's what's what we're here for. - Yeah, and Ian is very comfortable in his skin, and you'll see that with some of the later names that we talk about here. He's not hiding anything. He's being as real true on his self in front of the camera. And by the way, if you like this series, we do one nearly every single week, so hit that subscribe button here on the channel, and we'll talk about Ian's work as we go along here. All right, that sets us up with the first name, and that is the 10th pick of the second round at this moment. The Y receiver, nine off the board, Nico Collins. - 2026 offensive player of the year, Nico Collins, I think we were just in here. I think we were a year early to the party, guys. He just got paid. He's only 27. I'm aware of what happened in Foxboro. It wasn't exactly the best showing for CJ Stratt, last time we saw him, but I still think he's a quarterback, capable of getting a true top dog alpha talent. Like Nico Collins, we've seen that, man. You look at it, 38 games together, even though the course of playoffs, 79 yards per game, 15.8 PPR, points per game. Even with the Davis, even with the non CJ Stratt experience going there, only Pukin Akula's got more yards per out run over the course of these past three seasons. So I think we've had all the stats that tell us Nico's a superstar. You guys watch as much foam as anyone, watch him. I think he's a freaking superstar. It just hasn't quite come together. We had the hamstring and the calf injuries in 23, 24, some strut injuries in 2025. What if this is a year where we see Nico 17 games, 160 targets? I think top three upside position very much on the table. I haven't made the head of ADP. Is it a great shout out? Even though he's the second round pick, I do think that he's undervalued a little bit here. Some positive regression. Like you said, the same cut off, sent to 2023. His yards per target, all that stuff, the very top of the class. Last year, though, 62% catchable ball rate. That was at 76% in both 2024 and 2023. It just fell off this last year. He also had a 3% screen rate last year, versus 16% in the years previous to that. Could we turn that thing around to hear some easy buttons? This guy is so ridiculous after the catch. And then last one, the Texans were 30 second in percentage of their red zone drives, finishing with a touch down that 32%. That's a stat that we all know leads to improvements. A very, very good thing to be betting on. And he only had a negative 8% completion percentage over expected on his red zone target, 37%. Success rate, just three touchdowns. He's going to score a lot more touchdowns this year. And as much as we like, Jeet and Higgins, there's still a way to funnel targets to Nico Collins. And if I was ranking real life wide receivers, fourth. Ooh, love that. The funnel, the target's statement is an interesting one to me, because we know Nico has alpha ability. But he also had four or fewer targets in five of the final six games of last year. Now, all those were wins. And we like to talk about in this program, how much and how different a great defense can lead to maybe lesser opportunity and lesser face points. And we know the Houston Texans are one of three that can do that for their offensive players. And so in my brain, Ian, I would like to think that, hey, a good play collar could force more than four targets in the direction of Nico Collins. But at the same time, these aren't screens like Hayden's talking about. It's not like six yard hitches or easy RPOs. When these passes connect, they go for huge massive gains down the field. I guess my one concern is that what we got from Bobby Slowick and in each of those two years, it was around like 5.5 receptions per game. I was hoping we'd see this massive jump under Nick Kayley. And heading into year two of Nick Kayley, I'm still trying to figure out what he actually brings to the table as a play collar. What he brings the table as an offensive coordinator. Do you have an answer for me, Ian? Exactly. I was wondering if you guys have done any research about do we actually see play collar improvement from year one to year two? Because on the one hand, you'd like to think, hey, extra offseason in the system, more familiarity and all that stuff. But on the other hand, it's like you can also look at, you know, Kingsbury, for example, in Washington. Like, I think defenses have not actually here to kind of figure everything out. Can also maybe be the devil's advocate to that point. So I hear you there, can the offensive line hold up for three seconds so Strauk and, you know, actually target Niko downfield. That's another concern. But just again, whenever we evaluate in these receivers, like do they have the real life talent? Do they have the possible volume? Do they have the core of that you have the ball? And then like are they someone in the age range that we can trust in? Three and a half stars. And I'm kind of, you know, believing in CJ Straub and going that extra mile. So I think he's a pretty clear top 10 receiver and fans that we surprise, too many people have ranked outside of that. And again, just based on the real life town, he's a bet I want to make. And also guys, you look at again, this lovely ADP grid, Hayden continued to vibe code better than anyone out here. But I just think this eight block running back train going from round one to round two, I see everyone just saw the sudden pounding running backs early because that's been the move for the past two years. And I'm not trying to be a contrarian, just for the sake of being a contrarian. But you guys have played fancy football long enough like me. As soon as we think we have something figured out, a lot of times that's when everything gets flipped on its head. So I do like the idea, man, I've been trying to just, you know, embrace not full zero, but you know, get a hero or be and then get three of these just stud wide receivers. So again, I do like Nico, but I think another aspect of me drafting a lot of them so far is just trying to zag a little bit here and just not take the same freaking running backs as everyone else in round two. - Yeah, I really hope the three new offensive linemen that the Texans have, like that makes a difference. I'm not sold on that. We're talking about a rookie, somebody with some injuries, and then Wyatt Teller, who's like with a lot of injuries out there in some age, but in theory, they can go from what, 31st, 32nd offensive lineman, can we get to the 24th and maybe that's like the difference of the sustaining some drives, being better in the red zone, better on play action. And then C just drives just way worse, lasher than he was in the previous seasons. Like, hopefully that just turns around. I'm not saying that it for sure will, but last year was a really bad season for him. - Better than the red zone's like the easiest thing for this to clear. I mean, the Texans were 29th in red zone touchdown success rate last year. That simply should not happen with what they have on offense. I mean, that's 46% of their drives that reach the red zone scored touchdowns, the chargers, the jets, and the Norman Saints were the worst teams. And yeah, I mean, if they actually have a semblance of a running game because the offensive line and because of Dave Montgomery, then you would like to think that that would create, you know, better looks for them to throw down the field. That's for sure. And like all these wide receivers, Ian, as you pointed out, have questions that are going around him. I mean, Drake London, the quarterback that he's connected to, AJ Brown, have we since the decline a little bit and in a new spot? So yeah, Nico Collins, if you want to rank him the highest of this kind of cluster of wide receivers, I have zero argument. - Line-offs where I can get two or three of these guys before that cliff star's coming, man, rice and neighbors, red flags are pretty obvious. And I like plenty of the round four guys too, you know, the burdens, the boot goes to lads of the world and everything, but like there's definitely more questions for those guys as opposed to Devonte Olave, like if we're getting the good blood clot news in Olave, you can probably draw the line there, but I think that's another case, man, for trying to get one, if not two of these, you know, top 12 or so players. - All right, great start. Next up, the quarterback six off the board, the 10th pick in the sixth round, his name is Caleb Williams. - 2026 MVP Caleb Williams, perhaps. (laughing) - Hey, this is an award show. It's a little bit aggressive, I get it, but you know, he finished QB seven points for game last year. He finished fancy as the QB seven in points for game, even though he didn't have this god he touched on right, even though he didn't even average seven yards per attempt, because this is one of the most physically gifted quarterbacks in the league. Hey, nice job. You tweeted after week one, man, like how fast Caleb just looks out there. Caleb Williams was responsible for four of the top five next gen stats, fastest ball carrier times at quarterback. Shout out to Bonix for getting in there on the other one. We know he can run from year one to year two, his ability to just stop taking sacks is unfriken, believable guys. Only will love his had a worse pressure to sacrate in 2024. Then all of a sudden Caleb said, you know what, I'm just gonna still avoid more sacks than anyone, but I'm also not gonna take them their best pressure to sacrate in the NFL. And it's like, yeah, I would like to see the dude complete 60% of his passes. You know, again, it's not like Josh Allen, where we're going back to his high school stats and saying he's never done it. And he average almost a 70% completion rate at USC. So when I watch Caleb, he makes throws that note truly. I know we'd like to say there's a lot, only three quarterbacks can make that throw it. Like that is an actual fact for Caleb Williams. I believe in the talent rush in the ball, throw in the ball. We love Ben Johnson. I like buying in the Colson Love and Loot of Brewton and Roma Dunesay and Caleb's the master of it all. I think we could see and they were already good last year. So it's not quite the same thing, but like the jump in the Dan Campbell lion, from the first year kind of established in the culture. And then year two is becoming a perennial top five offense. I think we're about to see the bears at the top of the league for the foreseeable future. I think this is year starts happening. Pretty much have no notes on top. I just wanted to mention is 68 sacks as a rookie to 24. I mean, I was I saw a chart out there. The biggest like leap in NFL history from like sac rates from year one to year two was Caleb Williams this last year. So a lot of it's just offensive line. They got a lot better offensive lineman. More better skill talent, especially in the in the underneath area. And then they have the upside here with all these guys. I have like no notes. I all these guys are grouped together. Here so I would definitely rather have Caleb than Jalen Hertz at this point. That's how ADP has it. But I think that he's appropriately priced. And especially if you have Colston Loveland who is stacked vertically in the same area like Colston Loveland and Caleb Williams. That to me is all that the sack numbers. Obviously Caleb has a part in that to play too. But it's just like fixing the interior. It goes from being awful to average. And so you know, the quick pressures instant disruptions. Those don't take plays immediately. One thing I want to bring up is kind of how you start this conversation in terms of just his athleticism. I think one of these seasons, it might not be this year, but it could be. We're going to get, you know, a year of five or six Russian touchdowns. And he had three last year, none as a rookie. He's not as tall as Trevor Lawrence, but we kind of just saw one of these seasons that were Trevor that he got nine Russian scores. Like to me, that is in the potential outcomes here for Caleb Williams Ian. And if that's the case, like, you know, that's another 36 face points for us. And like that is off to the races in terms of mattering and jumping from what the quarterback seven to like a top three quarterbacks season. It's a great point. And honestly, I was exactly on my head when like T-Law score nine Russian touchdowns last year, even though it wasn't like, you know, he does that juuberees kind of jump over line every once in a while, but it's not like they were constantly, you know, designing those sort of looks for him. So again, love the talent, love the offense, love the play call out. I just don't think there's too much to miss here. He's also, well, he's going to be 24 this year. I mean, the fact that he's made these jumps guys, like not every quarterback is Jamie Danes and BoneX and getting six freaking years of college before, you know, going to the NFL in the first place. So also bears and Jaguars defenses, probably not going to be one and two and takeaways again. So maybe we see a fall off there. A little more, you know, just positive gamescript there for Mr. Caleb Williams. So, you know, the curse of 4,000 is staring us in the face, but I think he clears it. Ain't no curses. Shout out for that lights. Ian, I wanted to ask you, the quarterback position this year is being drafted differently than in past years. Like the elite guys are going a bit later. We talked about it. Josh Allen is the 10th pick of the third round. Then the next quarterback off the board is Lamar Jackson the ninth pick of the fifth round. And then you kind of see it starting here in this six round where, you know, it's Joe Barrow, Jane Daniels, Drake, Mae, Caleb, and Jalen Hertz. And then like the quarterback 18 and earlier are being drafted again, earlier in drafts they are before. That's a long way of me asking, how are you attacking drafting quarterbacks this off season? And is it different than previous years? I'm not doing, well, I don't have to do the round three question anymore to your point. They're going so much cheaper. I just saw actually a good tweet. Adam Levitton pulled it from a Jack Miller article. Obviously does fantastic stuff over at ETR. And yeah, per Jack, the QB is two to the QB five. I mean, the ADP difference in raw overall picks, 23, 23, 22, 24. So guys, I was going two rounds earlier. And like that point of the draft is great too because I don't really want to draft the other dudes. I take Tyler Warren at that range. Like he's the one tight M where I can't see, especially if I didn't get loved one. But man, Chuba, I'm good, you know, Gendarian price can have his issues when the Charbonne come back. Like none of these running backs jump out to me. I think if you look at the wide receiver fours versus the wide receiver threes, you can, if we've showed someone who hasn't been paying attention to ADP like all summer and just flipped them, they might be like, all right, you know, it makes sense to me. So I don't feel like, and that's not that BTJ or Parker couldn't do their thing, but I don't feel like I'm missing out on wide receivers here. If I don't get Tyler Warren, great. I haven't drafted a lot of Colston Loveland earlier too. And that stack is so easy. So I like getting one quarterback here. I know a lot of people are still going three, 'cause you know, Sam Sherman shot out to the champion. He had three quarterbacks last year, but I think if I can get one of these guys in the highlighted area, you know, in that round six range, I'm comfortable again. Only taking one quarterback later have to fill up on wide receivers in that round forts and that tier four turn. And you know, hopefully profit. Yeah, I like to think the round six quarterbacks plus like Malik Willis called today, you know, just go right there. That's how I'm interacting it. I think that's a perfect combo. Okay, now we make the big jump. The big lead, the tight end 17 off the board, the third pick of the 13th round. Ian at one point, Chica Kwankew was my highest drafted player this summer. I refused to update that just in case it doesn't work out. But here he is on your list as well. So that gives me a little bit of warm fuzzies at this moment. You know how it is, Josh? Like I think when you say something like, "Oh, Chica, most drafted player," and I was like, "How?" It's like, you know, it's easier to draft someone who's going 130, if versus, you know, 15th. You just might have not a chance otherwise. But yeah, it's my most drafted, tight end man. And again, it's one of those things where I've tried to get a lot of Loveland, Warren, Sprinklin, and Bowers. So when I'm doing that, it's like, I don't need two more. I'll just take Chig here when I get to the end of it because I think likely and Chig and Gats that are all kind of in the same group. But we're just waiting for that Sunday night to come around. Oh my God, do they actually run 78% of the routes? Or are they going to be, you know, not screwed over, but kind of stuck in this more part time role? And when you give Chig, you know, 27 million reasons to all of a sudden feed the guy to football a little more. In an offense with Terry McClaren and no one else, I just think there's a lot to like here, guys. I mean, the Yacht numbers, 7th most, the RGF the Keshe Per Reception over the last four years, dead last, and that sample, Zachards, by the way, the surprise of pretty much no one. Top 8 and Tacos avoided Per Reception. Like just watching them, man, I think we all agreed that he was one of the few bright spots in Tennessee over these past few seasons. Gets a healthy Jaden Daniels, could clear 100 targets me wouldn't be shocked. I am loving the late round guy in Chig or Conquo. Because again, when we're throwing these darts, I don't want the Hunter Henry where best case, he finishes tight on 10 or 11. I want someone who can actually be the number two past game option and just make more out of less to me that's Chig or Conquo. Josh, I'm just going to take it right to you guys are, this is your obsession not mine. No, we need, we need the other side of this equation. I'll come all the way to you. What happens if digs a you sign in the next couple days? Like when it happens, no, no, one or the other just like somebody else comes in there, where should he be draft? Because I think right now we're in the middle of two extremes. It's you guys can tell me if nobody signs in its labor day, he should be going next to a rendez-gadden. And then the second thing is if I you get cut and he ends up there later this month, Chig or Conquo goes down to John Johnson, like that's kind of where I'm mostly concerned because I would guess the depth chart is not said in the stone yet and that somebody else is coming in there. Maybe I'm putting too much odds of that changing. I just need to looking at the depth chart right now. It's like at such a bad spot that I think that one of these free agents will end up going there. And maybe that's why I'm lower on it than you guys are. And I'll give a quick answer to that. But my hope is, and maybe this is unfounded, but what my hope is is that Chig, based on if we can follow the money a little bit, does see more like single tight end sets than he has in the past. Now that might be a bit of a leap, but he is somewhat of the same size as someone like Sam LaPorta, where David Blow is coming from that Detroit line's offense, you know, prior to last year. And in that offense with Ben Johnson, LaPorta was, you know, lining up as a receiver, motioning inside, doing all that type of stuff. And if that's the case, then if we can get his route participation up to 70, 75%, then I don't think that is 80p is like factoring that in enough. But, you know, that is also with the mindset that, hey, John Bates isn't going to be there in line presence at all times. Or, you know, Ben Senate isn't going to be this athletic freak. So to me, they signed someone like Chig El Quanco, because David Blow said, hey, I can use him as X, Y or Z. And if I am guesstimating what that X, Y or Z was, it was just his time of throwing practice squad balls balls to Sam LaPorta in the Detroit lines on it. And Chig's even talked about that and how Blow showed him like Sam LaPorta film to say, these are sorts of things you're going to do. And Chig kind of threw a shot at a tendency because they're like, what's the difference here? He's like, well, we're actually kind of like running real routes in this offense. And you go back and you watch a lot of his success. And it was just these kind of dump offs at again, he manages to make two guys miss and turn it into a 10 yard game anyway. So I like the talent. I hear what Hayden saying that he bringing brand Nigha, that's not going to help the, you know, upside target projection, but still the number three option just face it. Most high ends other than your Brock Bauer's, Colston and McBride Warren's of the world are going to be, you know, the number three option, their offense more or not. And can he make more out of less as a yak threat? I do believe he can. So right now guys, I mean, 60 wide receivers, 45 running backs, 25 quarterbacks, they're already off the board at this point. So again, it's already a little bit slim pickings and just relative those other positions. Give me some Chiggy. Yeah, look, we've got a few more months here. Ian to get Hayden on the right side of history here, which you go quote, I'm just clicked John Bates's photo and that guy is going to be a pain in your guys ass like good luck fading that guy. I guys a monster. We're going to be screaming at the clouds of remove John Bates. Yeah. Hey, do you have like someone you prefer in this range more like this going later in shit? Um, yeah, I think I would just pay up for like the Kelsey. see you range and stuff. I think afterwards I would just rather have AJ Barner comes to mine. I think Greg Dolsich is a very similar case that had a much lower ADP to want Johnson and Chig. I think you're pretty similar in general. It's not the worst ADP ever. I just I think I you're going to force himself over there and if not him, I think dig somebody like that. And I think we're getting close to the point where that's actually going to happen. And if I am targeting these late round titans, it has frequently been Chig and Gunner Helm for me. So I don't know if you have any good or home takes on top of this, but there's been my two late round targets at the spot. I see the path and you look at the yards and targets throughout Ron and Gunner Helm's name is followed by some good company up there. Disemok things back in Texas, horns down, go buck eyes. Greg Dolsich, someone who I've been tapping just a little bit late. My general mindset though has been like this kind of Ricky Bobby first or last, right? If I'm going to be spending up on a tight end, it's going to be one of those top four dudes who could have 150 targets. We wouldn't be surprised. Otherwise, again, like the Kelsey's Jake Ferguson's, I just, I don't think their upsides scenario is too different right now. Then someone like Chig or even a hundred Henry or you know, even TJ Hawkins, the only a couple of years removed from a tight end to finish. So still lots of other position players I like to target, you know, a top, you know, next to Kelsey and those guys. So I'm a content rating. Again, especially, and this is again, one of my more general strategies where I already have a Colson Loveland or a Tyler Warren like, I'm not going to go out of my way for my time to hair loss many, many men suffer it from ages. I don't know, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45. And if you think you are starting to thin and looking the mirror every single day, it's going back and back and back with that receiving hairline, now's the time to do something about it. And I know a big hang up, a big stumbling block is, man, they're just going to take way, way, way too much time. 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If that's the case that I know you have some running back targets a bit later on, is this one of the names in the running back 54, the six pick of the 15th round, his name is tank big tank big is so freaking good to football. And I'm tired of pretending like he's not guys. Every single stat that we use to try to quantify these running backs, tells us that tank big is freaking awesome, but how to few embarrassing drops as a rookie. So we're just going to write them off for the rest of his career. These last two seasons, guys, Jacksonville and then last year in Philly. It's over 200 carries. This isn't like a Marry de Mercado, you know, career sample size. Sorry, I'm already for the straight, but 3.7 yards after contact. First, other guys that are at three and a half darec Henry Devon H and B. John Robinson. I think they're pretty good. Tacos avoided precarious second behind Kenneth Walker. I think we like him. One of only seven running backs in an explosive rush rate in the double digits. Like last year, I know he was at the end of games. I'm not trying to be smurred. Sake one, but like it's a little alarming to me when you see the backup at 5.9 Nures precarious starters at 4.1. Same offense, same offensive line. And tank look good with the Giants gamers. Like there's a game where he like is running all physical on the side. And you see Nick Siri on he just like running out and jumping behind them. So I understand that's sake one plays 17 games. Tank biggs b is going to be that big of a thing most likely. But I don't know. You get out of AJ Brown. I think it would make sense for the Eagles to embrace the run more. Why can't we get tank biggs be 8 to 10 touches per game steals away a couple like low end RB two weeks during the midst of a blowout. Ultimately, I think he is the best cheap handcuffs. Like he's the cheapest really good handcuffs and fancy. And that's my main pitch because I was telling I was here going ahead of this dude. What you want the Cardinals dude in a committee if something happens to Jeremiah love. So I think tank biggs me man again. He would be on the cover of every wave of wire article in the industry. God forbid something happens to sake one good player. I wish it was more of a clear run out. We'll see what happens when he has 20 27 free agency, but such a fun player to watch guys. I love me some tank biggs. This is the profile. I just love every single time. I want very established number two's behind the running back. So I can get the ball the most because the guys that get the ball the most are most likely to miss time and for those three four or five weeks where he's a starter. He is a must play. Everyone knows it. He gets you your 15 points and you log off. It's like the easiest thing ever. Now for the last three years, the running backs have stayed extremely healthy. And we have not seen this type of profile come to fruition very often, which is why players like Keaton Mitchell, author out Charbonne right now, Ty J Spears. These guys have some standalone value. You're not winning your league based off their standalone value. That's the quickest way to come in seventh in your league. And the whole goal and best ball is to come in the top two in the first 14 weeks. And then you ought to advance from there. Tank biggs b is like very, very obvious. Like he's going to be their RB two. Like the fact that like Emmett Johnson, who we have no idea if he's going to be the actual chiefs RB two goes one round after like that shows the disconnect tier. So I think tank biggs b Ray Davis is kind of interesting to me. Marsh on Lloyd's a little bit interesting to me. Like these type of guys who I feel pretty good. They are the teams RB twos. I would just rather wait for that tier versus paying up for like the guys that might project for seven eight points. Like I don't want seven eight points in my flex. That sounds terrible. Yeah. You want 17 or 18 when he steps in there for sake one when he goes down. But I am relentlessly drafting sake one Barclay where his territory is right now. Like one of my favorite picks and I haven't ranked way higher than he's going in drafts at this moment. But if I don't end up with sake one, then there is tank biggs b staring at me in around 14 or around 15. And I'm doing it almost every single time. I mean 13 explosive runs on 69 carries last year. Say one had 30 explosive runs on 314 carries. And also that's none for tank bidsby in the opening six games because he barely played after being traded from the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now I also felt like Ian and you watch these back at least half of those 13 explosive runs were with 10 McKee on the field. But you know, that's just details. We don't get to think about that. Like when he plants his foot in the dirt behind line of scrimmage and has these jump cuts that break multiple lanes. And then he bounces to the outside and cuts it up the field. He has power. He has acceleration. He has burst. He has juice. He has like everything that you want here. So yeah, if sake one goes down, then it's tank getting the lion's share of the groundwork. And then you have full ship. He can go in there a handful of times and pass protect and catch some passes and do all that type of stuff. So I think this one Ian, we are on the same page. And look, he's going to be 25 in August. Like he's not old or anything like that. I thought his top five runs with the Jaguars and 24 like that mixed tape put it up there with anyone to league. Say one probably top to 24 sake one was special. But I also guys big, big, undrated news real quick. He changed his number from 37 to eight. That's big. That is a 37. It's not great. I also wonder. And another of some things going on behind the scenes. And you know, probably one and more opportunity and was making a bit of a fuss about it by kind of wonder right now if Jacksonville would love to have him back in a way based on like the Chris Rodriguez signing and the injuries that he's dealt with because he really would be I think a interesting pairing for facial to all right. One more name and we leave the best for last. The wide receiver 74, the second pick of the 16th round. Jerry Judy makes Ian's top five players. He can't stop drafting this summer. Why when I sent Josh, uh, my list I put in parentheses after Judy like if you guys don't want to have me on anymore, I totally get it. So look, it's gross. I know Judy. We all know Steve Smith rant. You know, he's not not always put his best foot forward in his career early career route running a little bit overrated. I get it. Hit 1200 yards in 2024. All right. I'm not doing the go back to 2021. Look at Hollywood Brown. You know, before he broke his foot thing, one, season ago, hit over 1200 yards, right? There's only been 11 wide receivers have 1200 yards in the last two seasons. Nine of them go into top 15 wide receivers. BTJ is wide receiver 31. Jerry Judy is wide receiver 74. All right. 74. He's at around 16 pick. What is the difference? Really? And we can talk about the players and stuff. I'm not trying to necessarily slander them, but two guys with late season breakouts with a quarterback that said, "Effet and a bad offense without many guys." Michael Wilson goes eight rounds ahead of Jerry Judy. All right. And I just, I'm not convinced that he's not going to be a number one. And Cleveland, we heard Andrew Berry say it immediately after they draft the KC in Denzel. Judy is still our bell cow. The catchable target stuff. Hey, and you mentioned earlier talking about Nico, I went from 73% and 24% to 60% and 25 for Judy. Justin Jefferson was a 66%, you know, and we thought that was a war crime against J.J. McCarthy. Okay. So Judy wants to get in help there. Honestly, and just like watching my process, you know, I try to watch, I can like take notes on Sunday for like four games at once. You get the freaking annoying later afternoon three games sometimes. But Monday, like I'm always just going back through and I I'm watching like every single pass and trying to go. And there were times where like I'm seeing targets to Isaiah Bond and I'm just like, who is, who ran that route on the upper part of the screen? I think Judy still got it, man. I think he's underrated at this point. Shout to fancy points. They'd do a really good job. I think I'm trying to quantify separation. 14th among wide receivers and separation win rate last year. 34th and there, you know, more normal separation score. It's right there at Chris Alave, Lion Maconkey, it's better than Nabucca and James and Williams. Who they have a quarterback? I don't know. He's going wide receiver 74. He had 1200 yards and round 16, guys. Give me Jerry Judy. If I was just ranking players on who's most likely to beat their best ball price tag, Jerry Judy, to be like really, really high up to me. I'm not sure if he's going to get to the point where he's fantasy football, like redraft relevant as a starter, but I do think he's going to make a lot more noise than this price tag. It's absurd. The catchable ball rate, I had him at dead last 55% among receivers who had five targets per game. He's just way better than that. And if you look at it, Shadour Sanders, Dylan Gabriel, they were 42nd and 46 in catchable ball rate as quarterbacks. That's out of 46 quarterbacks, a 42nd and 46 out of 46. I don't care how bad we think DeShawn Watson is. The baseline is not that he's going to be the worst quarterback to touch the football field in catchable ball rate. He might be close, but it will not be literally dead last, like the Browns had this last season. So there's volume concerns here. I'm with you guys. I thought Jerry Judy was overrated early on. And now I think he's very underrated at this point. I do think he's cleaned up his game. He's still frustrating. He's going to point at Shadour and do those type of things. But he's not overselling his routes nearly as much as he did three, four years ago. Basically, what you're both saying is that the hate has gone to damn far. Like this is the receiver who you, the public, was drafting as the Y-2C for 40 and closing drafts last year in September. And now you can get him as the Y-2C for 74. If that's the case, then there's your quote-unquote value. Now, the opposite side of this is Todd Monkin gets hired as head coach and play caller. He watches the offensive tape. And immediately says, actually, I want my own guys. And we're taking a Y-2C for round one. And we're taking a Y-2C for round two. So that's the alternative here. But at the same time, we're talking about a 16th round pick. And we're not talking about a eighth round pick at this point. I love me some case you conception too. But I just think we've seen Judy do it at this level. And just to completely dismiss him behind two rookies that we've never seen play at the professional level, man, it does seem like a lot. So just turn 27 in April. Well, I just-- I don't think I'm not buying the shaman Watson. I just needed to tear his Achilles twice. Now he's back to the original of the shaman Watson. Like, I don't exactly get that. But the other side of thing, guys, is Judy-- people say, what if he has traded? Great. He's going to move up like rounds if that happens to literally anywhere. He still got so much money guaranteed on his deal. The brands are paying him very handsomely to be the wider seaver one. So I really like Casey Concepcion. And I actually appreciated what Denzel Boston's providing. But I think that's the reality. It's like a former first round pick in his absolute prime, probably projects better than the new first round rookie in the NFL. So I was still draft Casey Concepcion higher because I think that there's a crazy scenario with him that we probably are never going to give a Jerry Judy. But I mean, come on. Like Ted Hurst, we're talking about a clear cut, wider seaver four on his team, the same round. I mean, give me a break. Guys, that's a so weird sponsor. I have 67% Jerry Judy in 60 drafts. Go keep doing it. I love it. I mean, I think this is fantastic stuff. I put his name on the back of my phone. So I wake up every morning and I say, this is what your financial future is, Ian. Jerry Judy, 2026. My guy. Oh, I absolutely love that. Ian, you have said it all anything you want to share with the people, anything you want to say about where they can find your work and what you're doing right now on the internet. I'll just chill and go into my team preview series. So check it out. If you guys are bored, I will say guys, what you should really check out. Widows Bay on Apple TV. Really? I'm good. Been enjoying that one with the misses. It's funny. It's a little mysterious. A little scary as well. So shout out Widows Bay. Hayden hasn't watched your television show in seven years. So. I was trying to give them like movie character comps when we were talking NFL draft and every single one just went over and said, that's not. I'm too busy watching Ian Harteds' podcast, you know? I don't have time for Widows Bay. I got to grind all this football content. Yeah. It's not Ace Ventura. Hayden has no idea what you're saying. That's right. All right, Ian. You're the man. Always great to have a little Roto World reunion on the episode on the channel. Go and support Ian's work, especially over on X and Twitter. And we'll catch you guys on the next episode. See you. OK. Mike. Go ahead. All right. I'm going. Three, two, one.