How to beat the resource curse in Norway (Summer School)
38m 55s
Norway’s economic success story demonstrates how a country can avoid the "resource curse"—where resource discovery leads to poverty, corruption, and economic collapse—through disciplined, forward-thinking policies. Despite being one of the world’s top oil producers, Norway implemented a strict framework of self-restraint, limiting annual drilling to prevent Dutch disease and currency overvaluation. Oil revenues are held in a massive sovereign wealth fund, with only interest distributed annually, preserving long-term economic stability. This model was strengthened by institutional reforms, including an independent regulator and high social trust in government. A second case study reveals how Norway overcame cultural resistance to raw salmon by launching a coordinated national branding campaign, using humor and messaging to shift consumer preferences in Japan. This illustrates how governments can solve coordination problems and create value through collective action. The overarching lesson is not about finding oil or fish, but about how to manage wealth wisely—prioritizing long-term sustainability, equity, and innovation over short-term gains. These principles offer a powerful blueprint for any nation facing sudden wealth, emphasizing institutional trust, strategic planning, and cultural adaptation.
This is Planet Money from NPR. Welcome back, everybody, to Planet Money Summer School World Tour, the only international economics degree you can get while driving on the wrong side of the road. Or is it the right side? I'm Robert Smith. Every Wednesday until Labor Day, we are living out of a suitcase and jutting to the seven continents of this Earth. In each country, we'll hear stories of how other people have tackled some of the same economic problems we face here at home, and we'll collect solutions, but we might not have considered. It's like a cheap souvenir that can improve everyone's life, instead of just gathering dust on your bookshelf. Today, we visit Europe and tour one of the countries that is actually richer per person than the United States of America. Norway has won the economic lottery, and it's managed those riches better than just about any country on Earth. Every class at summer school has a local expert to guide us around, and today in Norway, we have Hilda Bjornland, a professor of economics at the Norwegian Business School. Hey, professor. Hi, Robert. You can call me Hilda. Okay, Hilda, Norway and really all of Scandinavia, when you think about it, are often held up as this model of how a wealthy society can create this wonderful quality of life. I know it looks idyllic from the outside, but there must be some challenges in your economy that we don't normally talk about. There's a lot for us to learn from all the countries. So one thing is that there's a lot to strive for in terms of, if I should be a little bit more critical in the sense of entrepreneurship, productivity and these days, technology and AI, we are not the leaders there. So in that sense, we are safe and sound with a lot of richness and social welfare, but maybe we are not the leaders in inventing things at the moment. Well, it is notable that Norway is only one of a handful of countries in the entire world that has a wealth tax. Most countries' tax income, but Norway actually taxes your investments and your houses and your assets that you own every single year. Does this maybe slow down the competitive spirit to start an internet or an AI company? I think it's part of the problem. And I think for sure most economies in Norway think it is preventing the kind of investment we would like to have. So it has been suggested to reduce it and it's being discussed at the moment. But for now, it's clearly not working in the favor of new investment. Well, I could tell you as a country that has both new investment and a brand new trillion error, there is more discussion here about perhaps having a wealth tax. So, but there is all the taxes you can also impose like inheritors tax and house tax separately and you can also do hiring contacts, but we have had most of them. So that makes for a less incentive itself. There is also, as we will see today in one of our key studies, the subject of the oil. Norway is one of the top oil producers in the world, the biggest in Europe. And that's led to these riches that I mentioned at the beginning of the show. So the money has been amazing for Norway, but is it possible to be too rich to have too much money? I'm not sure whether we have too much, but if you have a lot, the politician might not necessarily prioritize the right thing. There will be a lot of pressure on them to spend it on a lot of things. There will be roads to small islands without thinking on that you have to maintenance all those roads in the future, which might not necessarily make the Norwegian economy more productive and more sustainable in the future. So how does a country stay productive and sustainable after the discovery of oil and massive riches that pour into the economy? We will tackle that question with Hilda and tell you a parable about the economic value of restraint. When it comes to governments or front their own lives, the key to long term wealth is to resist the short term urges after the break. Welcome back class, eyes up, pencils ready. Because our first case study is a classic one in international economics with a new twist. When a country discovers a valuable resource like oil, they pop the champagne bottles, they buy a new Cadillacs, and then they watch in horror as their economy gets worse. The oil corrupts officials distorts the real economic activity like manufacturing and agriculture. It's called the resource curse, and we've covered it before I'm planning money, but Norway found a secret talisman to break the back of the resource curse. Professor Hilda, remind us of the definition. Okay, so a resource curse is a strange fact that a country who finds, say, oil or gas or any natural resource, it ends up being poorer after it has extracted the resource than it was before. So it's a curse actually to find the resource rather than a blessing. It's amazing. It's like winning the lottery can make you poorer. Yes, exactly. It's like a paradox of plenty we call it. A paradox of plenty, oh, I love it. So how did Norway succeed in becoming a rich and successful oil producing country where so many others have failed? Our first case study is from 2011. It was hosted by the great David Kestenbaum and Alex Bloomberg. The story of how Norway avoided the oil curse is a fascinating tale focused on one guy, one unusual man, who is instrumental in helping Norway get it right, where so many countries get it wrong. My name is Faruk Alkasem. Faruk Alkasem is Iraqi and for over a decade, he worked in Iraq for an oil company. He was trained as a geologist. Faruk's wife was Norwegian and in the 1960s, they decided to move to Norway. Their son had cerebral palsy and needed medical care. Job-wise, Norway seemed at the time like the worst place in the world for an oil guy. You see, the Norwegian geological survey had already said that there is no hope in heaven of ever finding oil. Oil gas. So if Faruk figured he was going to get an oil job, it would come with a very long commute. If I am lucky, I could get a job in Europe somewhere, or even in North Africa or the Middle East, and then I could commute to Norway. If the worst comes to the worst, I may be able to drive a taxi in Norway. That's what I was thinking. So Faruk flew to Norway, he had to catch a train, but he had six hours to kill before the train left. And those six hours turned out to be very fateful for Faruk and for Norway. Instead of waiting around on the train station, Faruk decided, "I'll spend my time productively." I looked into the telephone directory and decided that the ministry of industry is the ministry to deal with oil, if there were oil at all in the country. So I went there. So you just took a cab from there? Oh, not even a cab, I walked. Oslo is not all that big. Faruk knew that there were some companies looking for oil in Norway, despite with the Norwegian Geological Service, it said. And he was hoping to get a list from the ministry of these companies. He assumed they'd just write some names down on a piece of paper and send them back to the train station. But instead, they sent them down and they started asking him all these questions. I thought it was just social curiosity. But what Faruk didn't know at the time, Norway isn't just an overly friendly society. It turns out that group of people in that office had been waiting for a guy like him to walk in the door for a while. So even though Norway's geologists had said there wasn't oil, there were still oil companies exploring. And these oil companies were sending the results of their exploration to the government. Now, Norway is a small country and there aren't a lot of people who can make sense of that data, the oil companies were sending. And so then this Iraqi guy walks in and says, "I'm here. Is anyone still looking for oil?" So what do they do? They hired him. And his first job, first job they gave him was they asked him to look over the geological results from the oil companies that had been doing test drillings. The train in Norway could not be more different, right? Faruk has gone from the deserts of Iraq to almost the Arctic Circle. The oceans are violent and freezing cold, but you know, geology is geology. And to him, looking at the drilling reports, they look surprisingly promising. The oil companies had found oil. Not a lot, but there was definitely something there under the ocean floor. Remember, the country was saying there's no way there's oil out there. And here I am looking at data that says, "My God, they've already found it four times over." Admittedly, and not yet commercial size. And by the way, most oil companies, when they go to a new area, they are not really interested in what I call the foxes and the rabbits and the mice. They are interested in elephants. Right. So they had a couple of foxes and mice that was in the data, but it wasn't clear there was an elephant there. They were looking for elephants. But if you are a good geologist, you should appreciate very quickly that it's too early. The elephants will be there is just a question of giving them a little bit of time.
to learn how to find the elephants and they will be shooting not only one but maybe 20 elephants. So Veruch's job is to take out this data and write a report. And what he says in this report is two things, basically. One, I know your official geological survey said there's no oil, turns out that's not true. And two, in fact, there's probably a lot. And you, Norway, have to get ready so you don't suffer from the oil curse. Norway has no time to waste preparing themselves for the oil era. And of course, you know, they looked at the report and they said, "Oh, do you really say that? Oh my god, we'll just have to wait and see." All the warnings, I was a little bit desperate in trying to find, well, how do I go about persuading them that they really must start preparing themselves? Veruch's job of persuading them got a lot easier pretty quickly because shortly after he wrote that report, in 1969, people discovered the elephant, the ecofisk oil field, a massive reservoir, which even today, just as one field produces almost 300,000 barrels of oil a day. So clearly, Norway had a situation. They had a lot of oil and they had this guy from Iraq saying, "You have to be very, very careful how you handle it." So let's just pause here and lay out why finding what is essentially a pot of gold is considered by economists to be a curse. The first reason is just that it corrupts. It's human nature when something very valuable is discovered, fights tend to break out over it. A lot of times you get dictators who keep all the money for themselves and use it to keep themselves in power. But there is a second problem with discovering massive amounts of oil and it's less human nature, more mathematics. It sometimes called Dutch disease after what happened in the Netherlands when they found a bunch of natural gas. And it goes like this. All of a sudden, you have this commodity which the whole world wants to buy from you. Money floods into your economy, which makes your currency more valuable. After all, if someone went to buy oil from Norway, they have to pay for it in the Norwegian currency, the Krona. Before Eckefisk, not much of the world cared about having a lot of Norwegian Krona. But now, everyone wants it. And as we've talked about before on this podcast, when your currency gets more valuable, that's actually a tough thing for a lot of local industries. I mean, take, for example, the Norwegian fishing industry, right? All of a sudden, now Norway's cod is going to be way more expensive than cod from other countries that haven't discovered oil. And so when you discover oil, what can happen is that other sectors of your economy shrink or even die. And that was the fate that awaited Norway. Corruption, collapsing industries, a possible descent into tyranny. So they asked for Rook. What do you think we should do? And he and a colleague sat down to write their recommendations. Recommendations for how Norway should deal with its extremely dangerous newfound wealth. They had one week to do it. Fruke and his colleague needed a quiet place to think. So they set up for a cabin in the woods that is colligate. We have food, we have beds, we have everything, fishing rods. And we could work as hard as we like. And then when we are tired, we could relax. And actually, instead of using the whole week, we did it in four and a half days. It was a first draft of a white paper. A white paper that got passed up to various officials in the Norwegian government reviewed and eventually incorporated into a finance ministry plan that ended up saving Norway from the resource curse. Now, Fruke wants to make it clear, he was one of many people that contributed to this plan. But what emerged was pretty great. The plan set up a powerful independent regulator that made sure all the companies in Norway played by the same rules that there weren't any sweetheart deals that they paid their fair share and taxes to the Norwegian government. But that's still left the Dutch disease problem. Selling all that oil would flood the country with money and drive up the value of the currency. So the solution, let's not make so much money. Let's not drill everything at once. So were they advocated that we should be very restrictive in how many licensed blocks we allocate per year? And as a result of that, throughout the 70s, no more than 34 blocks were allocated every year. That shows amazing self-restraint. We have all this oil on the ground, we're only going to tap a bit every year. It is a fantastic self-restraint. The whole nation didn't even question this. Now, when this white paper of 1974 came out, it was received with skepticism by the industry who wanted Norway to go full speed ahead. But at the end of the day when the debate settled, the opinion of the politicians was very clear. We should go slowly. So they've, let's just pause here to marvel at what the Norwegians did here. They essentially had this gigantic pile of money buried beneath the ground and they said, you know what, we're not going to dig it all up at once. In fact, we're going to dig it up really, really slowly, just a little bit a year for decades. They reinvested almost all the money back into developing the oil industry, into drilling new wells, doing new explorations, developing new technologies. Remember, Norway's oil was really hard to get. It's far beneath the ocean floor in cold, stormy seas with these crazy cross currents. The technology to get it out of the ground barely existed at the time that the discovery was made. So there was a lot of R&D to invest in to actually get it. And even later, in the 1990s, when a lot of those problems had been solved, the government still did not spend the money it got from oil. Instead, put it into a fund. We learned of this story from an article Martin Sandbu wrote. He's an editorial writer at the Financial Times. He's from Norway. It's been saved in an oil fund, a savings fund. And the government only gets the interest on the financial wealth as in that fund. Your country basically has a huge trust fund, a huge endowment. A huge trust fund. Trust fund is, I haven't checked the latest numbers, but it's on the order of five hundred billion dollars now, which amounts to a hundred thousand dollars per Norwegian citizen. It's pretty nice. It's quite nice. Our key study on the oil curse first aired in 2011. A lot of oil has flowed from the North Sea since then. Professor Hilde Björnland, let's update the numbers in that story. There is more money in the oil fund now, I would imagine. Oh yes, yes for sure. How much money does Norway have? Okay, so I actually had to check the numbers and these days, the fund now is two point three trillion dollars. Two point three trillion trillion. So there's a lot of zeros after the two point there. And if you take those two point three trillion dollars and divide it by five point five million Norwegians, you get four hundred thousand dollars for every Norwegian. Why go to work today, Hilde? Why should anyone do anything in Norway except spend that money? That's a good point. But the reason being that we can't spend it all now because we are saving for the future. We are still saving for the future, but we are spending a big chunk of that every year still. Well, the case study was all about the money, but there is something else that Norway got out of this whole process and that is expertise. There are now Norwegian drilling engineers, Norwegian drilling companies, Norwegians, subsea robots, a whole Norwegian high tech petroleum industry that you didn't have before. So this is super important and that's often something which isn't part of the story. If you think of a typical oil producing country, think of a small open economy with no knowledge like we had in the 70s and U.S. comes in with these big companies, dead rail and they have all the expertise and the proceeds go to the government to spend it widely. Then you're bound to get some resource curse. But what we did was that we tax these oil companies. We decided to tax them a lot, 78% for drilling in the North Sea and that together with the Nauha and the spill lowers and the engineers and the technical companies made us not just producers, but it made us capable of having industries which then again could go from an export and to drill and to extract and invent in all the countries. So this all seems like a good pitch to do things Norway style, or I guess we should say Farouk style, but I do wonder if listening to this case study would actually help a country if they discovered oil. It seems like you have to have a lot of political and economic things in place before the oil starts pumping. So Norway was already a democracy when it discovered oil, which was also true of Canada and the U.S. who avoided the curse. You have to have a good financial tax system in place. And economists talk about the high level of social trust in places like Norway. What does that look like in the country? So first of all, I think most Norwegian trust the government, the parliament, the lawyers, the high court. Let me write that down. You trust the lawyers. This is a new concept for me. Well, let me say I trust high court. I don't trust all the lawyers. So like at the time, I think people trusted the government for making the best decision for the Norwegian economy. That doesn't mean that you have to agree on all decisions which are made. There's a lively debate in Norway these days about bending too much public money relative to using the money on say, reducing taxes. It's a political decision. Should we reduce taxes and then maybe spend less on the social welfare system? That's a debate. I've always wanted to ask Norwegian this. Your riches come from
from oil, but most of the cars sold in your country are electric cars. I read to me that 96%, could this be true? 96% of new car registrations are electric cars? - Absolutely true. - From an oil super power, do you have an electric car? - Yes, I do now, and I love it, so it's fantastic. But the thing is, here they gave a huge tax incentive. So this is maybe a tax incentive, which worked in the beginning, but then the price of electric car went down, so then it became, and quite an excessive subsidies towards electrical cars. - I love it, electric car subsidies that come from oil. That is definitely one way to do it. We will return with the professor after the break and another clever Norwegian lesson. How to turn something, you're about to throw away into profit. All it takes is a cartoon Viking, a boatload of salmon sushi, and the willingness to break a cultural taboo after the break. We're back enjoying the bounties of Norway, sweet, sweet crude oil, and now delicious salmon. Both are Norwegian, both abundant, but there was too much demand for the oil, as we saw in the last story, and not enough demand for the salmon, which is the topic of our next case study, kind of a sushi curse, if you will. Professor Hilde Björnland, I take it, everyone eats salmon in Norway? - Oh yes, all the time. Bro and cook, done fried, barbecue. - And anything else you could think of. Okay, before we hear this case study about salmon, what should the students keep in mind as they listen to it? - So the students should think about what are the barriers to trade, what could prevent industries for entering into trade with another country? And I think also they should think about the market alone is not always enough. - Interesting, people should pay attention to what the government does in this story, and how it does what the market can't do. This case study came from 2015, our host are Jess Zhang, and Jacob Goldstein, and the story starts in Manhattan. - I've been going to sushi bar since I was a little kid, but in all that time, I've never been on the other side of the sushi bar. I've never been back where the chef stands. - Last week, we made it back there. Thanks to chef Shimao Ishikawa, at the sushi restaurant, Drulbako in Manhattan. - What's the most popular fish you sell? - Tuna is the most popular here. - Tuna, they've got lots of tuna. - And then the second one is on the salmon. - The salmon, yeah. - The second most popular. - He's been a sushi chef for 40 years or so, and as you'd expect, he has served and eaten basically everything. Searchin, of course, he's eaten searchin. - Poisonous blowfish? - Sure, he's got a special license in Japan to prepare Poisonous blowfish. - But in all his years as a sushi chef, he's never, ever had a single bite of raw salmon. - I'm not eating saffron, though. - We never? - Yeah, I never eat the saffron, you know. - So you've never even taken one bite of raw salmon? - No. - Can we get you to try it today? (laughing) - Tomorrow. Maniana. - Not that long ago, everybody in Japan was like Ishikawa. Nobody ate raw salmon. It was like eating raw pork or something. It just wasn't done. When we talk about international trade, you know, we often didn't talk about things like tariffs and quotas. And there's this idea that if you get rid of those things, get rid of those barriers, then new products just come rushing in across borders. But clearly, that is not always the case. I mean, sometimes you have to spend years and years and years working and begging and trying to convince an entire country that whatever thing you have a lot of, whatever thing you want to sell, is something they should want to buy. Like take, for example, salmon in Norway. - Hello. - Hello, can you hear us? The other day, we were trying to connect to this studio in Trumpset on this little island in Northern Norway. And we overheard them talking about us in Norway, didn't we? - For the public cum-san, motor economy, or something like that. - Moni, Moni planet. - Yeah, yeah. Hello. Hello. - There's plenty of money to translate as Moni planet. Is that right? - Yes, yes, yes. - This is Bjorn Aedik Olsen. And when we talked to him the other day, he told us that back around the time he graduated from college, this was a few decades ago, Norway had a problem. The government had been subsidizing the Norwegian fishing industry for decades. And basically, they'd been paying people to fish. And of course, when you subsidize something, you get more of it. - It's not a very clever way of using Moni because the more you use the worse the situation gets. - The government says, okay, let's wind down these subsidies. But we're not gonna screw over our fishing industry. Let's figure out a way to get the rest of the world to buy our fish. - They look around the world and they see one country in particular that really loves fish and that needs to start importing more fish. Yes, Japan. - At the time, salmon sushi is not a thing. Not in Japan, not in Norway. Sure, it's cured or smoked, but a hunk of raw salmon, no. - And in fact, the idea of salmon sushi just began as this tiny little thing at the Norwegian Embassy in Tokyo. They were just playing around with ways to serve Norwegian products in a Japanese style. They just tried, let's try to have a little bit salmon raw just in the embassy try that. And the chef and the ambassadors, this tastes quite nice. - Around this time, Bjorn gets hired by the Norwegian government to sell fish to the Japanese. He used to be a fisherman, he speaks Japanese, he's kind of the perfect guy for this mission. - Any figures? Yeah, sure. We could sell salmon cheap in Japan. People in Japan already eat salmon grilled. But when people buy fish to use for sushi, they're willing to pay a lot more for it. Sometimes people pay five times as much for the same kind of fish if it's gonna be used for sushi. So if you can get people in Japan to eat salmon sushi, it'll make all that Norwegian salmon much more valuable. - So Bjorn goes to Tokyo and he gets a bunch of Japanese fish industry executives into a conference room. And he unveils the next big thing, salmon sushi. - And they say directly over the table is impossible. We Japanese do not eat salmon raw. And we say, "Well, yes, but it's good, it tastes good." Now they say, "It doesn't taste good." They say the color is wrong, also it's too light red, it should be redder. And they say that it has a smell. And also of course they knew the shape of the salmon and they said that the head has the wrong shape. And the gills look wrong, everything is wrong. So everything was wrong. Everything, the taste, the smell, the texture, the fat, the color or everything. - Bjorn's big challenge was this. He was going to have to change the perception of an entire country of people. People who thought the color or the shape of the head of salmon was all wrong. - And if you want to change perception, if you want to get people to buy something, what you do is not a mystery. You launch an ad campaign. And so Bjorn and his colleagues figured, "All right, we'll start doing some TV commercials." - Maybe have a cute cartoon character. - Did you have a mascot, like a dancing salmon or something? We had, but it was very silly, it was a Viking. - A Viking? - Yes, yes. It was a Viking with a helmet. And it was like a funny drawing with a big head. And it said Norwegian seafood. - He actually sent us a picture of the Viking of the mascot. And I have to say, it's like, if you were to imagine what some outsider trying to pander to a Japanese audience would come up with, it's kind of that, right? Like it's this super cute little boy Viking with this great big head and like big eyes. - And a huge giant fork. - Yeah, like as tall as he is. And so the Viking surprise didn't work. - People in Japan were used to eating this kind of salmon that tended to have parasites in it and would make you sick if you ate it raw. Bjorn says the salmon from Norway was totally different. Parasites just weren't a problem. - But it's not like Bjorn could just run an ad in Japan that said, don't worry, our salmon is parasite free. - We concentrated our information to the consumers about the cold, pure Norwegian sea water. And of course putting the pictures of fjords, mountains, ice. Then you gave the impression about something that is pure and fresh. Pure and fresh, not enough to get Japan to start eating raw salmon. - And back in Norway, they're Norwegian salmon industry was getting desperate. The glut was getting so bad that they start filling industrial sized freezers with tons and tons of salmon. - So Bjorn is trying to find somebody in Japan to buy into his dream of Japanese people eating raw salmon. And there was this one company called Nishi Ray that he had been building a relationship with for years. Everybody in Japan knows this company. They're like craft or stofers or something in this country. They sell frozen food, dumplings, chicken nuggets, squid. - Bjorn told them, I will sell you 5,000 tons That frozen salmon for really cheap all you have.
have to do is sell it in the grocery stores as sushi. Just try it. Nietzsche Rays said, yes, Bjorn had a deal. It was a day of happiness. I remember that. And it was like, I mean, being in the heaven, if you see what I mean, just the happiness, I mean, that was shared. Once Nietzsche Rays starts selling salmon for sushi, the idea of salmon sushi just seems more normal somehow. I don't know. In this country, say, Dan and started selling yogurt with raw pork at the bottom. Oh, God. I mean, you know, look, think about it this way. Like, I look at it and think, OK, definitely not something I would have come up with, but I've been eating Dan and yogurt all my life. Never made me sick or anything. So, you know, whatever, maybe I'll just throw one pork at the bottom in, along with my strawberry banana, my shopping cart. Pretty soon, salmon sushi starts showing up everywhere in Japan, especially in those conveyor belt sushi restaurants. Those kind of mid-tier apple peas of Japan. Almost everybody is trying raw salmon. Tadashi Ono is a sushi chef. He's 53 now. The first time he tasted salmon sushi, it was about 20 years ago. And it did not go well. I was scared. Yeah, so I couldn't need to enjoy it. I wasn't needed to clear about how he tastes. I was more thinking about, oh, my God. Am I going to get sick or what? But, you know, second time maybe, third time, OK. So, you know, I started liking it. It's actually, you know, buttery. It's creamy in your mouth. It's creamy and it melts in your mouth, is that? Yeah, it is, in the way. That story was from 2015 hosted by Jacob Goldstein and Jess Chang. A small update to the story. In a recent survey of Japanese consumers, 59% preferred to eat their salmon raw while dining out. That data is from the Norwegian seafood council. Keep on selling my friends. After the break, our professor returns with advice for countries that don't necessarily have oil or oily fish. The real Norwegian lesson is how to solve a coordination problem and sell an image coming up. And we are back from the break, and here was some final lessons from Norway and the salmon solution. Heldabjornland is our professor, hey, professor. Hi Robert. Thanks for having me here. What I found interesting with this story is that one company could not have done this alone. It required all the companies and the government together to market not just one company salmon, but Norwegian salmon as a whole brand. So why was that important? I think it was important for two reasons. One reason was, of course, that together they were stronger and there was no incentives to free ride. Why don't you define free rider for us? That's a good economic term. Okay, so free ride race, so let's say I'm a company and I do all the hard work and I sell for a lower price, and I invest and I go there and I advertise and I use a lot of resources on this. Then eventually I manage to convince Japanese people to eat raw salmon. Then all the other companies in Norway, salmon companies, who haven't been putting money on resources into this, suddenly have a free access to the same market because I have opened the door for them. So free riding would be that they would sail on my success in a way. This is a kind of coordination problem that requires a government to come in. Exactly, a coordination problem, exactly. And the government here opened the doors for them. We couldn't just advertise one company. We needed to advertise the Norwegian salmon as a brand and for that they needed to come together. Well, I would argue it was more than just Norwegian salmon. They were selling Norway. And we've seen this with countries around the world, right, this sort of soft power that people talk about. South Korea sells its entire culture as a sort of cutting edge, cool thing, and that benefits all their companies. France has sold their high gourmet standards. This was an opportunity for Norway to develop a brand, really, that you are pure nature, quality. I don't know if that existed beforehand. You're absolutely right. We heard about the Viking, trying to brand it through the Viking. And we see the Viking in today in the world champion in the football. It's really the brand Norway we were selling. Maybe we will have more tourists coming to Norway from this. Maybe you could sell those plastic hats with the horns on them. I know they're very popular. Nobody wants that. Nobody wants that. They're probably made in China anyway. They are made in China, for sure. Hilda, one thing we are asking of every professor this season from countries around the world is if there's one thing we could take, one lesson we could take from Norwegian economics to implement here in the United States, what should we do? And you cannot answer, get lucky and find more oil. It's not about the luck, but it's what you do with the luck. So we were lucky, of course, we found oil. That's not the real reason we are lucky. We are lucky because we managed the wealth in a good way. I think the winners, the big winners in Norway from finding this oil is like the people, everybody. Because we haven't society where the income distribution is compressed, we say, that it's not the big difference between the people. And I think that's partly to do with the fact that we found this huge wealth, and we have redistributed it. So we have everybody our winners in the way. It can be improved on, but I think that's a lesson for the U.S. to think in those directions. We do have a lot of work to do. Hilda, before you leave, I wanted to remind students of two of the big concepts we covered in this class. There is an online test at the end of the summer. Everyone should prepare. And you don't want to flood the questions on the resource curse, also known as the oil curse or the Dutch disease. The resource curse is the fact when the country who is lucky and fine oil or gas or any resource, it ends up poor than before it found it. That's the resource curse. Of course, we went over ways to prepare for the resource curse. One big one is to develop social trust. I'll do the definition. It is the belief that other members of a society are basically honest, fair, and reliable. Yes, even the lawyers, please don't write us. And Hilda, you mentioned the term free rider. I'm going to use it in a sentence. I am free riding on your brilliance in this interview. Well, I'm free riding on this discussion. I'm drawing it. All right, free rider is all around. Our professor today is Hilda Bjornland from the BI Norwegian Business School. Thank you so much for coming in. Thank you for having me, Robert. If you'd like to know more about clever ways to profit from an oversupply, the new Planet Money Book has a great chapter on raisins. Page 32. They're just worthless, dehydrated grapes, hate to break the news to you, until you figure out how to brand them. That's Planet Money, a guide to the economic forces that shape your life. We're starting to get your emails about clever economic tricks from around the world about this one. In Taiwan, every receipt for a commercial transaction is also a lottery ticket. Every couple of months the government gives away money to people with lucky receipts. It keeps businesses from selling things under the table and avoiding sales tax. Very, very good. Send your ideas you've seen around the world to Planet Money at NPR.org. Put Summer School on the subject. We'll celebrate the best ones in our graduation episode at the end of the series. Summer School is produced by Sophia Polisa Carr and edited by Alex Goldmark. It is fact-checked by Sierra Juarez. This show was engineered by Sina Lafredo with help from Anli Hoan and Robert Rodriguez. I'm Robert Smith. When I'm not Summer Schooling, I am talking about business history on the new podcast business history, which is a show about the history of business. This is NPR. Thanks for listening. Ladies and gentlemen, our reminder, no running in the terminal. Don't worry, you'll have plenty of time to get to your Planet Money flight to the Caribbean. We'll be heading over there to ask a radical question. Does property have to be private? Take off as usual. Next Wednesday.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Norway avoids the "resource curse" by implementing strict self-restraint in oil extraction, allocating only a small number of drilling blocks per year to prevent currency overvaluation and industry collapse.
A key lesson from Norway is the importance of long-term financial planning
The discovery of oil triggered a need for institutional reforms, including an independent regulator and strong social trust in government, which helped prevent corruption and ensure equitable distribution of wealth.
Norway’s success also stems from developing a high-tech domestic oil industry through heavy investment in R&D and engineering, turning resource wealth into skilled, innovative sectors.
A second case study on salmon sushi illustrates how a cultural barrier (Japanese aversion to raw salmon) was overcome through coordinated government and private sector branding, using a humorous Viking mascot and targeted advertising.
The story highlights a "coordination problem" where success required collective action—preventing free-rider behavior and building a unified national brand of "pure, natural Norwegian products."
The core lesson for the U.S. and other nations
Summary:
Norway’s economic success story demonstrates how a country can avoid the "resource curse"—where resource discovery leads to poverty, corruption, and economic collapse—through disciplined, forward-thinking policies. Despite being one of the world’s top oil producers, Norway implemented a strict framework of self-restraint, limiting annual drilling to prevent Dutch disease and currency overvaluation. Oil revenues are held in a massive sovereign wealth fund, with only interest distributed annually, preserving long-term economic stability.
This model was strengthened by institutional reforms, including an independent regulator and high social trust in government. A second case study reveals how Norway overcame cultural resistance to raw salmon by launching a coordinated national branding campaign, using humor and messaging to shift consumer preferences in Japan. This illustrates how governments can solve coordination problems and create value through collective action.
The overarching lesson is not about finding oil or fish, but about how to manage wealth wisely—prioritizing long-term sustainability, equity, and innovation over short-term gains. These principles offer a powerful blueprint for any nation facing sudden wealth, emphasizing institutional trust, strategic planning, and cultural adaptation.
FAQs
The resource curse is a paradox where a country that discovers valuable natural resources like oil ends up poorer after extraction. This happens because the sudden influx of wealth can corrupt officials, cause currency appreciation (Dutch disease), and harm local industries like agriculture or fishing.
Norway avoided the resource curse by implementing strict long-term policies: it limited oil drilling to a few blocks per year, created a sovereign wealth fund to save oil revenues, and established independent regulatory bodies to ensure fair practices and prevent corruption.
Norway’s sovereign wealth fund saves oil revenues in a separate fund, which is then invested globally. The government only receives interest income, not the principal, and uses the returns to fund public services and maintain economic stability over time.
Norway’s strong social trust means citizens believe institutions like the government and courts are fair and honest. This enables cooperation in economic policy, reduces corruption, and supports long-term planning and public investment in welfare and sustainability.
Faruk Alkasem, an Iraqi geologist, discovered oil in Norway by identifying promising drilling data that contradicted official reports. His report led to the discovery of the Ekofisk field and influenced Norway’s early economic strategy to prepare for oil wealth responsibly.
Norway launched a coordinated advertising campaign featuring a cartoon Viking to promote the idea of pure, fresh Norwegian salmon. Over time, the campaign helped change Japanese perceptions, leading to widespread acceptance of salmon sushi.
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