The transcription discusses the coverage of energy transition by Latitude media. It includes insights on utility-scale battery deployment costs, highlighting the challenges and costs involved in the process. Various companies such as Base Power, Bloom Energy, and Energy Hub are introduced, each offering innovative solutions in the energy sector. Base Power, for example, is described as an energy retailer providing affordable home batteries for backup power. Bloom Energy is highlighted for delivering reliable on-site power for industries like data centers. Energy Hub is mentioned for transforming connected devices into flexible energy resources for utilities. The transcription also delves into the concept of vertical integration and its role in reducing costs and enhancing efficiency in the energy sector, particularly in the context of residential-scale battery deployment. Overall, the discussion sheds light on the latest developments and innovations in the energy industry, emphasizing the importance of cost-effectiveness, reliability, and sustainability in energy solutions.
Transcription
7510 Words, 42707 Characters
-Latitude media, covering the new frontiers of the energy transition.
-I'm Shail Khan and this is Catalyst.
-If you look at a utility-scale battery deployment, you have to buy or lease the land that the
battery sits on.
You have to pay for the interconnection to the grid.
You then wait in the interconnection queue, which adds additional cost.
You then do, at most firms, consider project development, which is some level of construction
to level the site and prepare it for the system.
And so there's a bunch of kind of line items in the model that add to a cost that we think
is higher than where we can get by vertically integrating.
-Coming up, home batteries and retail energy with Zaktel.
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-Electricity demand is testing the limits of the grid, but Energy Hub is helping utilities
stay ahead.
Energy Hub's platform transforms millions of connected devices, like thermostats, EVs,
batteries, and more into flexible energy resources.
That means more reliability, lower costs, and cleaner power without new infrastructure.
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-I'm Shail Khan.
I invest in early-stage companies at Energy Impact Partners.
Welcome.
Base Power is the talk of the town, or at least the talk of my town, which is comprised of
a mix of venture capital investors, founders, and wonky energy people.
Base is a relatively young company, but they're moving very fast, and just yesterday actually
announced possibly the largest series C in history, certainly the largest in the energy
space.
They raised a billion dollars with a B at a $4 billion post-money valuation.
The basic model of the company, as you'll soon hear, is Zack Dell, the founder and CEO,
described, will actually be kind of familiar to people who've been around deregulated electricity
markets for a while.
Base acts as an energy retailer, as well as offering customers a cheap home battery that
they can use as backup.
You've probably heard various shades of that concept over the years from other companies,
including Tesla, but Base has been taking off of late.
As I've dug in more and more and gotten to know Zack, I do think they're doing things
differently in ways that are interesting and ways that tell us some lessons about the future
of distributed energy resources or virtual power plants or whatever acronym you want to
use.
The story is also just interesting in the context of scaling a startup this quickly
in the notoriously tricky energy world and everything that comes along with that.
One of my normal rules on this pod is that I don't really like to talk to founders about
their companies, at least not directly.
First of all, that's what I do all day long in my day job, but also I'd rather focus on
the markets that they're in and the technologies they're unlocking and so on.
But Base is especially interesting, and I'm in the business of exceptions, so let's make
one.
Zack Dell.
Zack, welcome.
Thanks for having me, show.
All right.
Let's start by having you do the base power elevator pitch, because I know what you're
up to.
I suspect a lot of our listeners have heard about Base, but I'm interested in how you
describe it when you describe it briefly.
Yeah.
I think of us as an energy technology company.
When I describe the product to consumers, what we talk about is saving money on power
bills, keeping your bills low and your lights on, bringing reliability and resiliency to
the homeowner.
But literally what we are is an electricity provider.
We are your power company.
You buy electricity from us every month.
We install a battery on your home that we own and operate when the grid's up and running.
We use that battery to support the power grid.
When the grid goes down, you get that battery to back up your home.
But to folks in the industry and listeners of this podcast, I would think of us as a
GenTaylor.
We own and operate battery storage on the grid, and we sell retail power to homeowners.
Our business looks a lot like some of the GenTaylors that folks are familiar with, but
our generation fleet doesn't include gas plants and coal plants, but is made up entirely of
battery storage.
Okay.
That's a great segue to one of my first questions, which is, okay, so I think of you as a GenTaylor
too, but obviously historical traditional GenTaylors.
The generation side of the business, they're big fleets of thermal generation or now increasingly
batteries maybe too, but they're utility scale things.
As you think about the pluses and minuses of your version of a GenTaylor, wherein the
asset, the physical asset base is all residential scale, what is it about that that is better
than the NRG version of being a GenTaylor and what is it that is more of a challenge?
Yeah.
Well, there's the customer answer and then there's the system answer.
The customer answer is when you're selling power to homeowners, all that matters is price
and reliability.
We are able to provide a level of resiliency to the home that the competition can't at
a price that they can't compete with.
When you sign up with base, you get a 25 or 50 if you offer to kilowatt hour system on
your home that is all yours to use when the grid goes out for $19 a month for the 25 kilowatt
hour system and $29 a month for the 50 kilowatt hour system.
In terms of home backup, it's the most affordable option on the market.
At the system level though, why our GenTaylor model I think is more attractive than others
is strictly cost-oriented.
What matters is fully landed cost of the megawatt.
Our view is that we can land a megawatt, gigawatt of storage on the grid faster and more cost-effectively
than the centralized utility scale developers and for what it's worth faster and more cost-effectively
than a gas plant or a coal plant.
We use this strategy that we define as compounding cost advantage to vertical integration or vertical
integration plus technology to land assets on the grid starting with batteries and eventually
we'll do other stuff faster and more cost-effectively than the alternatives.
That's what matters.
I want to really double underline this point.
Everyone listening to this podcast knows that electricity is a commodity.
When you're competing in a commodity industry, you need a cost structure advantage if you
want to win.
We've designed the business, the mission, the vision, the strategy around engineering,
technology, and vertical integration to achieve a cost structure advantage so that we can
sell the lowest price electron in the market.
That's really what matters to our customers and that's really what matters at the system
level is how fast and how cost-effectively can you land megawatts on the grid.
That's really what the business is designed to do.
You said two things there that I want to dive into a little bit deeper.
The first one is just on the consumer value proposition, so I think let's pause on this
for a second.
Part of your innovation here is you're deploying big batteries.
You said 25 kWh, 50 kWh, so this is to bigger than your typical residential battery deployment.
There are others who will stack a few powerwalls and get to the same place, but it's not been
common.
I think folks can probably intuit that part of the reason to do that for you is that your
soft costs, most of your soft costs, scale with number of systems you're going to deploy.
If you could deploy a bigger system, that's just better for you overall from a levelized
cost perspective.
The mechanics of what you actually do with that battery, I think are interesting because
you said the pitch to the homeowner is you have 25 kWh, 50 kWh battery that's fully yours
and available to use in the event of an outage, but presumably you're operating that battery,
you base or operating that battery all the time doing arbitrage or what else you're going
to do in the meantime.
Are you guaranteeing some level availability to the customer or how do you square the circle
between you're going to be charging and discharging the battery every day, but you want there
to be some reserve available to the customer when there's an outage?
The short answer is yes.
We guarantee 20% of the capacity of the battery to the customer no matter what.
The reality is that the discharge window of the system is not very long.
It's one to two hours a day.
As you know, and listeners of the pod know, power prices are spiky and unpredictable,
but reasonably predictable in terms of the pattern throughout most of the days, and it's
different in the summers and the winters, et cetera.
The windows in which you are discharging, they're reasonably predictable and outages
and high prices are actually not as correlated as one might think.
What I'm saying is that the likelihood that an outage happens at the bottom of the discharge
window is statistically not improbable, but reasonably low probability.
Given the fact that there are 24 hours in a day and only one or two of those 24 hours,
the battery is kind of low state of charge.
Most of the day, the battery spends its time at a higher state of charge.
It depends on where the battery is and what the optimization function is.
The reality is it is very unlikely that an outage happens at the bottom of the discharge
window.
Even if that does happen, we do maintain 20% state of charge for that situation.
As a benefit of having really large systems, our next generation product, which we can
talk about, is a 40 kilowatt hour system that we also will install in parallel, getting
you to 80 kilowatt hours.
20% of an 80 kilowatt hour system is like a full power wall.
Once you have a bunch of benefits that come from having a really big battery on the house,
one of which is even if you have an outage to the bottom of the discharge window, you're
still going to have a lot of backup there for the home.
We really have two businesses here.
We started talking about the Gentailer business, but there's a second business, which is we
are a technology provider to the utilities.
Two thirds of the country, as you know, is a regulated market where there are incumbent
utilities that have service territories and monopolies, and we are starting to partner
with them to deploy fast, affordable, flexible capacity in their service territory.
This looks different than the Gentailer model.
It's the same technology and stack hardware, software, et cetera, but we give them a fleet
of storage that they go deploy alongside us, or we go deploy alongside them, I should say,
in their service territory.
Those customers, those homeowners, are getting really affordable home backup, but they're
still buying that electricity from the utility, so the same tech stack, different business
model.
We could talk more about that.
I want to come back to what does this look like in regulated markets a little bit later,
but before we do staying on the-- so you're starting in ERCOT, so staying on the what
does it look like when it's the Gentailer model in a deregulated market.
The other thing I wanted to talk about from what you said before, which I think is like
a bold statement in general, is that you think you will be able to get a landed megawatt
of energy storage at the residential scale that is cheaper on a CAPEX basis, I presume
you're saying, than a landed megawatt of a utility scale battery.
That's a very bold statement, and certainly flies in the face of where costs have been
historically on a relative basis for batteries, but also you could say the same thing for
solar, right?
It turns out that economies of scale for solar are huge, and we get utility scale solar,
sub-a-dollar watt, and residential solar for four bucks a watt in the US, cheaper in Australia
and other places.
Anyway, give me the mechanics of how do you get a-- just from a pure-- you have-- you
have customer acquisition costs, and you have labor costs and truck rolls and smaller batteries
and all of that.
How do you overcome all of that to deliver a cheaper megawatt?
Yeah, so this is kind of the heart of the issue here, and I think the shortest version
of the answer is that vertical integration is the magic, and we'll talk about what that
actually means tactically, and I can kind of start by saying, if you look at a utility
scale battery deployment, you have to buy or lease the land that the battery sits on.
You have to pay for the interconnection to the grid.
You then wait in the interconnection queue, which adds additional cost.
You then do, at most firms, consider project development, which is some level of construction
to level the site and prepare it for the system.
You have a big EPC firm come in and plug in all the hardware that you buy from an OEM
that adds a bunch of margin on top of the cells that are reasonably commoditized, and
so there's a bunch of kind of line items in the model that add to a cost that we think
is higher than where we can get by vertically integrating.
So compared to our system, we do have CAC that they don't have.
They have install costs.
We have install costs, too.
We'll come back to that when we talk about design, but we don't buy or lease the land
that the battery sits on.
We don't pay for interconnection to the grid because it's already there.
We don't wait in the interconnection queue, obviously, because this is behind the meter.
On the hardware side, we're designing and manufacturing our own batteries.
We think there's actually a lot of margin to capture there.
Everything above the cell, basically.
The cells are commoditized.
Everything above the cell, the power electronics, the module, the design of the pack.
We think there's a bunch of margin to go after there.
And then in the install, the way that you actually design the system for install, if
you own the installation, you design the battery in a very different way, and you can take
a bunch of cost out of the install.
And then the CAC piece, I think, is really interesting.
We could go on a tangent here.
We could talk about the last decade of home energy companies and why all these companies
in the space have positioned their products as premium products with this premium product
valence.
And these products look like iPhones trapped to the wall, and they're made of glass, and
they charge $20,000 for them.
We take a very different view here.
Our view is that what matters to homeowners is cost and reliability.
And we position our product as a kind of financial no-brainer.
And as we bring our next version of the product to market, the vertical integration leads to
higher return, lower cost, higher returns to the asset level, and then we pass those
returns on to the customer in the form of lower prices.
So as you drop price, as you drop upfront price, monthly price, and then volumetric
energy price, your CACs go down too.
So the idea here is that through vertically integrating, our costs to install come down,
our CACs go down because we're able to drop price.
We're able to take cost out of the OEM part of the equation and the margin capturing and
everything above the cell.
And then we don't have the land and product development costs.
On a fully landed basis, we can beat utility scale by a pretty significant margin.
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It strikes me that if I think about the total cost stack of utility scale, battery, land
matters, interconnection matters, but they're de minimis compared to the cost of, I guess,
the combination, certainly compared to the cost of the battery itself, the hardware or
battery plus controls and all that kind of stuff, and also probably the labor EPC cost
as well.
You do have the benefit of you don't have the interconnection, you don't have the land
and so on, but really what you need to do is make a dirt cheap battery, a dirt cheap
residential battery.
If you could do that and you can get it somewhere close to the total cost from a hardware basis
that a utility scale battery is, then you can picture how that is possible, but that
seems like the challenge, right?
Yes, but I will say it's not just cost, reliability, safety, useful life, useful life matters.
If you model the asset to 15 years and it only degrades in seven years, then your model
breaks, right?
So, you are correct and we are going to land the lowest cost home battery on the market
and the industry should hold us to that, but it will also be the most performant for the
use case, right?
So, if you want to use the battery as a great asset, it needs to be able to discharge effectively
in high temperatures, low temperatures, high humidity, low humidity.
That is not a trivial problem to solve, right?
And the home batteries on the market today, they are not designed to do that, right?
The engineers that are designing these products be paired with home solar and sold at a upfront
gross margin.
They don't really care about participation in capacity markets and energy markets, right?
That's not what they are designing around.
And so, it is a novel design requirement and we look at the whole performance, both the
landed cost, but also the useful life and your ability to actually perform grid services
effectively when we start thinking about design requirements and we plan to bring to market
the most performant battery out there on kind of those measures.
Okay.
So, let's talk about design for a second then because I guess as I think about, okay, you
said this sort of magic here is vertical integration.
I could think about two heuristics for vertical integration.
One is just your margin stacking.
So, you don't need to earn as much margin in a given step in the value chain.
So, I think you know this.
I spent a lot of time paying close attention to the first residential solar boom back in
the day in the late 2000s and so, I was watching various versions of vertical integration play
out and not play out over that period.
And it's not exactly the same thing with batteries, but it's not entirely different either.
And you know, there were some, so there's lots of attempts at vertical integration in
the sense that the same company that owns the customer relationship does the install,
does the financing, does that whole thing, right?
That was, lots of companies did that.
I think really only Solar City at one point took the step to go vertically integrate upstream.
They bought a company called Celevo and they were going to start making their own modules,
which is what you're doing.
You're trying to make your own batteries a degree upstream there.
And the other heuristic for vertical integration is that it allows you to do something differently
in addition to just margin stacking, which it seems like is what you're saying.
So that must manifest in the design of the battery that you're going to roll out.
At the high level, you're just talking to me through, like, what batteries seem pretty
straightforward, what can one do differently if one is vertically integrated?
Yeah, I don't want to give all the secret sauce away, but I'll certainly, and I definitely
err on the side of oversharing and my team will give me a hard time for that.
But I think that a lot of this, you know, comes back to the vertical integration and
I'm not trying to sound like a broken record, but there's a real point in here, which is
like, take for example, the way that the battery is installed, right?
So most basically all batteries on the market today are wall mounted.
Why?
Because it looks better, right?
And this is a premium product and you want it to look nice.
Well, most people don't actually feel strongly about should this be on the wall or on the
ground.
I mean, your AC unit sits on the ground, this thing sits right next to your AC unit.
We think it looks a lot better than an AC unit and so people are pretty happy with ground
mounted batteries.
So when you decide to ground mount it versus wall mount it, that gives you a bunch more
freedom at releasing constraints in the way that you actually design the pack.
And then you think about the fact that we do the installation.
So, you know, I won't name any names, but like other battery OEMs, you know, they sell
the product and then Bob's Electric or Sunrun or Freedom Solar or any of those great installers
go and install the product and those guys charge time and materials and so they actually
want the install to take as long as possible so they can make as much margin as much money
as possible from it.
And so the OEM doesn't really care that much about how it's installed and how fast it's
installed.
Well, if we're doing it ourselves, it really matters to us.
And so, again, I don't want to give everything away, but you can do some really creative
things around how the battery is installed, when and by who.
For example, most of installing a battery is actually like heavy lifting, racking, stacking,
mounting.
There's a little bit of electrical work that needs to be done by a licensed electrician,
but that can be decoupled from the racking, stacking, mounting.
And so if you own the whole system, the logistics, the warehouse, the last mile, the installation,
the design of the hardware, you can build the whole system to be more efficient.
You can break apart the installation.
You can have a truck driver show up, do the racking, stacking and mounting, mount a box
to the wall where all the hot work happens, and then an electrician shows up the next
day and does the hot work in 30 minutes.
And then you can have that electrician hitting 20 homes in a day, and you can have the truck
driver hitting 20 homes in a day.
You don't have to couple these things into a six to eight hour install.
Now it takes an hour or two.
And that's actually a massive, massive cost efficiency.
So that's one example, and there's others I could give, but I think that's the most
salient one.
Okay, so you're getting to the other thing that I think was the challenge that a lot
of companies in solar, as it was starting to scale, were facing, which was not existential
to anybody.
Sunrun solved this problem, presumably, as of today.
But that's like labor workforce optimization, because you're going to have all these truck
drivers and electricians on staff.
Because back in the early days of solar, Sunrun did not do that.
They were first a financing provider.
Sungevity was this subcontracting model, and SolarCity was actually the only one that was
really, truly vertically integrated.
It clearly has benefits, but it also clearly has costs or maybe more risks.
If you have like a cyclical business where the sales cycle changes.
For example, in your context, I can imagine, if you're selling an ERCOT, like after a hurricane
and an outage, I imagine you have a spike in interest.
And so how do you marry a flat level, consistent workforce who you are paying, who's fixed
upx for you, with a demand cycle that might not be exactly suited to that?
Yeah, it's a good old-fashioned hard problem.
I think there's a couple ways to answer the question.
One is that if your demand can strain business and demand is very spiky, then this hard problem
is really, really hard to solve.
If you're a supply-constrained business, like businesses are fundamentally constrained
by something, and supply-demanding capital are really kind of the three core constraints.
And if you're a supply-constrained business and you have more demand than you can serve,
which is the position that we're in today, this problem is a lot easier to solve, right?
Because you're just like installing these things as fast as you can make them.
And your installers are running at near 100% efficiency.
Obviously, it's never quite that good, but you have this problem less so.
I think we're in the phase of the company right now where we are deeply supply-constrained.
We have incredible amounts of demand because our product is really good and customers really
like it.
So we have had to solve this problem kind of, but it certainly will get more difficult
and more complicated as we scale.
And I think the way to get ahead of this is, again, not to keep going back to this vertically
integrated thing, but our North Star as a business is land a battery on the grid faster
and cheaper than anyone, and then widen that lead, right?
And that will allow us to drop price, drop price, drop price, whether you're talking
about our upfront fee or monthly fee or volumetric energy price to the point where it becomes
an IQ test, right?
If you're not signing it for base, it's like you can't do math because you're obviously
going to save money.
And that puts you in a position where you're not demand-constrained for a very long time.
I think the horror stories you hear about the solar coaster and the sun run and the Tesla
stuff and I've talked to all kinds of people who have worked there previously and now and
whatever, they faced these kind of supply-demand challenges because demand was very spiky and
oftentimes not there and they were kind of reaching for demand and then sprinting hard
when they found it because the product is really hard to sell.
It's very expensive.
Not a lot of people have $20,000 lying around to go buy a solar array and a power wall and
that kind of thing.
So I think if you're not demand-constrained, this problem gets easier, but it's just a
good old-fashioned hard problem.
And there's things you can do that we're doing, like build internal software, have really
well-trained crews to make it better, but it's still hard.
The last thing I'll say, and I apologize for rambling a little bit on this one, is that
we really value the relationship with the homeowner.
Our installers are the front lines and they are incentivized to surprise and delight our
homeowners.
So they get there, they do their job, they're very respectful, they're very communicative,
they clean up after themselves, you know, they are the first impression on a face-to-face
basis of our brand in the field.
And we really value that and we really invest in that and I think to a degree that is quite
differentiated in the space and our members seem to really love.
All right.
I have two sort of additional questions for you that are, I guess, specific to the ERCOT
deregulated market thing, and then we can talk about the regulated market version of
it.
One of which is related to what you were just talking about in the relationship with the
homeowner.
So the other thing that is notoriously a challenge for anyone who's a rep in Texas in particular
is churn, right?
Like customers churn off of reps a lot.
Now, I think there's good evidence and you probably know the details of this more than
me historically that if you're installing something, you know, others have done a version
of what you're describing, installing something physical in the home in the hopes that that
maintains a stronger, longer customer relationship.
But what do you need to be true about customer churn in order for your model to work?
So I love this question.
You know the best way to limit churn is to have a killer product, right?
Like reps have high churn because the product is a commodity and it is really easy to compete
with them.
And there are lots of players in this space who are willing to do uneconomic things with
a short-term time horizon to capture arbitrage, for lack of a better word.
Our product is really good.
It's the most affordable home backup on the planet and it is a reliable low electricity
rate and customers really love that.
So I'm proud to say we are looking at a couple dashboards in the office and we've got on
the order of 5,000 of these batteries in the ground, actually 5,000 homes and so it's more
batteries because a lot of them have two.
We have had in our direct business, we have had one customer churn ever.
I remember her name, I remember the day it happened.
I won't say it on the pod but it is then that low because the product is really good.
So yes, we think we will have structurally lower churn because there's an upfront cost
and because there's an asset on the home but most importantly because we think we're bringing
a ton of value to the homeowner and they really want the product.
I mean, we've had a number of customers email us and say, "Hey, so you didn't ask this question
but I'll frame it up.
So what happens when someone moves?"
Well, what happens when someone moves is that the new home buyer wants base, nothing happens.
The home buyer, we become their power company and the battery is already on their home and
then the customer can sign up for base on their new home if they want.
We've had a number of customers email us and say, "Hey, I'm moving and I really want base
on my new home.
How do I make sure that base is there when I'm there?
I just want to make sure that I don't lose base."
And it's super easy to solve, right?
We set them up, we get them all ready to go, we make sure the new home buyer is set up
with us.
But it's just a testament to the quality of the product and I think that is the only
way to limit churn at the limit is to have a really killer product.
Okay, final deregulated market question.
So you're making money in two ways in ERCOT, right?
You're trading the battery, you're charging and discharging the battery in the market.
Actually, maybe three ways, right?
Because the homeowner's paying you a fixed monthly amount for the battery, then you're
operating the battery in ERCOT making money on that and then you're a retailer and you're
making money as a retailer.
Now, the interesting question in ERCOT is where is volatility headed, right?
Historically, ERCOT had high volatility.
It's been down a fair bit this year.
People are talking about whether that is because we've installed so many batteries, the last
couple of years, right?
Is that because we've got so many batteries and we're only going to install more until
volatility goes down in general?
You have to some degree a hedge there, right?
Because volatility is good for your business on the battery side, but bad for your business
on the rep side and vice versa.
Do you consider it a full hedge and you are totally agnostic to volatility in ERCOT or
do you lean a direction?
Generally yes.
Again, I won't give away all the secret sauce on how we think about risk management and
asset optimization, but generally speaking, yes.
Because we have this fleet of storage set differently because we have a long position,
we can be more creative with our short position, with our load book, right?
There are things that most reps do to hedge their exposure that we don't have to do because
of our long position and that becomes a profitable undertaking for us.
That said, the batteries are more profitable at times of high volatility, full stop.
Let's talk about volatility for a second.
I don't have a crystal ball.
I don't know what's going to happen in ERCOT, but what I do know is that markets generally
work pretty well and when volatility is high, people want to build a lot of batteries and
a lot of batteries presumably dampen volatility and when volatility is low, people don't want
to build a lot of batteries.
As the march of new additions, solar wind, more solar probably going forward, increased
intermittency on the grid and then you just have continued load growth and batteries,
let's say we have five more years of low volatility, presumably the rate of batteries coming online
is going to be lower than it would be if you had five years of high volatility.
Well, load growth is likely to still march up, solar additions are likely to still march
up and so eventually the market snaps back, right?
What I would tell you, what I would tell our team and our investors and the way we talk
about this and the way we think about it is that there will be great years for batteries,
there will be not great years for batteries, there will be great years for the retail book,
there will be not great years for the retail book.
Our job is to build the best technology in the world to scale grid infrastructure and
put more capacity on the grid, maintain a really strong balance sheet and make sure
our risk posture is one that will be here to stay, right?
We are building a business for duration.
We want to be able to absorb the bad years and take advantage of the good years and so
we think about it in this kind of balanced way.
We don't try to predict where the market is going to go.
Now, I will say over time, I think our ability to see what's happening based on the data
that we have coming off our fleet of storage all across the grid as a volume of nodes in
that network grows, I think that will be a real advantage to us, but we can talk more
about that in the future when we're actually able to flex that muscle.
All right.
Let's switch over to regulated markets, which as you said before is kind of the next big
move.
It's sort of a different value proposition there, right?
You're no longer a retailer, you're not selling electricity to homeowners.
What's the basic contour of how that business model works for you?
Yeah, so we sell megawatts and the idea here is that we want to offer our technology as
a utility asset, so our hardware, our software, and our deployment operations can be used
to bring capacity online very fast and very cost effectively and our view is that utilities
across the country are now more than ever looking for alternatives to get capacity.
Whether that's because they're seeing massive load growth from data centers coming into
their territory or they're seeing the electrification of transportation or heavy industry or just
population growth, whatever it might be, if a utility is looking for megawatts, we can
deliver them faster and cheaper than anyone.
We think we have proven in Texas and will hopefully prove across the country soon that
our assets are just as capable and we can talk about what that means as a natural gas
peaker plant or coal plant or some kind of traditional utility infrastructure that the
utilities are very used to underwriting and building and operating.
We want to bring to market the most attractive utility asset there is in the form of batteries
and software and eventually some other products that we're not ready to talk about yet, but
we will be soon.
The consumer value proposition in that construct is a little different too though, right?
So you go to the utility and you say, "I sell you capacity, you're going to pay me in megawatt
days or whatever," just like you'd pay for utility scale capacity.
Now you go to the homeowner to go get that stuff installed.
What is the value proposition to the homeowner look like?
I think it depends.
I think in certain parts of the country, reliability is really a concern, and so we
can say, "Hey, we are the lowest cost home backup option out there," right?
And that part will be similar to what you did in Texas.
It's like a fixed monthly fee for the battery.
It's just you remove the retail part and you get a fee loss.
Exactly.
Low monthly fee, you get home backup, and that's really valuable to people, obviously.
There are parts of the country where reliability is extremely high, but there's a really strong
capacity need from the utility.
And so they're willing to pay us a large amount in a tolling agreement or whatever
the structure is, and then we can turn around and we can just, because we don't need to
reserve maybe 20% of that battery for backup because they have really no reliability concerns,
we can turn around and we can actually compensate the homeowner for allowing us to put a battery
on their home.
And whether that means lowering their bill through the utility or buying down their bill
ourselves or literally mailing them a check, those are the things we still have to go figure
out and it's really market to market.
But the concept here is we can create value with these assets and we can share that value
with the homeowner if our cost structure is attractive enough, which is kind of back to
this like vertically integrated compounding cost advantage idea.
So it'll vary market by market.
In the low reliability markets, we think it's lean on the home backup value proposition
and the high reliability markets, it's lean on the cost savings.
The mechanism by which we deliver that is still to be determined because it depends on the
utility in the market.
As you've been starting to have those conversations with utilities where it's a capacity product,
what are you learning about how they think about a fleet of distributed batteries as
a capacity product as compared to centralized storage?
I'm cautiously optimistic.
I think that utilities around the country are coming around to the idea that a fleet of
distributed batteries is as capable in air quotes as a utility scale power plant, whatever
kind of technology you want to use as the example.
I think that many of these utilities have kind of bad taste in their mouth from DR1.0,
whether it's smart thermostats or other kind of technologies that maybe promised a lot
and didn't deliver much.
Our asset is reliable, responsive, high uptime.
We own the asset, we control it.
There's no like, oh, well, it turns out that the homeowner actually just shut off their
AC or decided to override or their car was plugged in and it's no longer plugged in.
This asset is owned by us, it's controlled by us.
We have triple lines uptime and sub-second telemetry knowing what's happening at the
asset level.
I think we're starting to see the utilities wrap their heads around the idea that these
are high-quality assets and they can actually use them in their power supply planning.
That's really encouraging.
I guess final question for you on the regulated side.
There's this existing universe of these utility DERMs programs and things like that.
There's some existing programs and then there's MVP programs that are kind of starting to
emerge in a few places and then there's a separate thing you could do, which is just
selling capacity.
You just like bid into a capacity RFO or whatever.
Is one of those more attractive to you than the others?
Would you like to see this just like as a capacity product and not treat it as a separate
whole universe?
Short answer, yes.
I think so.
I think that's the path to large scale.
The longer answer is that we will experiment with different versions of this in different
parts of the country with different utilities that have different kinds of priorities and
obviously not all utilities are the same and those investor in utilities and munis and
co-ops and they have different incentive structures.
That will guide some of this, but yes, we think that distributed storage, software-enabled
distributed storage like what we build should be considered a good resource in the same
way that a gas peaker or coal plant is.
We think it can be just as performance, significantly cheaper, and orders of magnitude faster to
deploy at scale, which is really what matters.
We are deploying megawatts in Texas very quickly, like on the order of 20 megawatt a month.
We think by this time next year we'll be deploying on the order of 100 megawatt a month.
You can't find that kind of deployment speed really anywhere in the country.
Of course, if you extrapolate that growth rate, there will be a time in the not too
distant future where we will hopefully be deploying gigawatts a month.
The situation we find ourselves in with the demand that's coming in the electricity sector,
we need solutions to deploy capacity quickly and cost-effectively, and that's where we
are positioning ourselves.
All right.
I think that's as good a place as any to end it.
Zach, thank you for doing this.
This is a lot of fun.
Thanks for that, Shale.
Really enjoyed it.
Zach Dell is the co-founder and CEO of Base Power.
This show is a production of Latitude Media.
You can head over to latitudemedia.com for links to today's topics.
Latitude is supported by Prelude Ventures.
This episode is produced by Daniel Waldorf, mixing and theme song by Sean Marquand, Stephen
Lacey is our executive editor.
I'm Shale Kahn and this is Catalyst.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Overview of the Latitude media focusing on energy transition.
Discussion on utility-scale battery deployment and costs.
Introduction to companies like Base Power, Bloom Energy, and Energy Hub in the energy sector.
Summary:
The transcription discusses the coverage of energy transition by Latitude media. It includes insights on utility-scale battery deployment costs, highlighting the challenges and costs involved in the process. Various companies such as Base Power, Bloom Energy, and Energy Hub are introduced, each offering innovative solutions in the energy sector.
Base Power, for example, is described as an energy retailer providing affordable home batteries for backup power. Bloom Energy is highlighted for delivering reliable on-site power for industries like data centers. Energy Hub is mentioned for transforming connected devices into flexible energy resources for utilities.
The transcription also delves into the concept of vertical integration and its role in reducing costs and enhancing efficiency in the energy sector, particularly in the context of residential-scale battery deployment. Overall, the discussion sheds light on the latest developments and innovations in the energy industry, emphasizing the importance of cost-effectiveness, reliability, and sustainability in energy solutions.
FAQs
You have to buy or lease the land, pay for interconnection to the grid, wait in the interconnection queue, and consider project development.
Bloom Energy provides affordable, always-on, ultra-reliable on-site power solutions that cater to the needs of data centers and chipmakers.
Energy Hub's platform converts devices like thermostats, EVs, and batteries into flexible energy resources to enhance reliability, reduce costs, and promote cleaner power.
Base Power acts as an energy retailer and offers customers cheap home batteries for backup power, aiming to provide reliable and cost-effective electricity to consumers.
Base Power focuses on vertical integration, technology, and engineering to lower costs and provide the lowest-priced electricity, ensuring a competitive edge in the industry.
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