Five Narratives That Could Swing the 2026 Awards Season
35m 38s
FanDuel has expanded its availability to major U.S. cities, offering fans seamless access to sports betting and live game coverage across regions like Tallahassee, El Paso, and Athens. The show highlights the 2024 Oscar race as one of the most competitive in recent memory, fueled by a mix of blockbuster hits and bold narrative campaigns. Key contenders include *The Odyssey*, which dominates as a front-runner due to its critical success and broad appeal, and *Dune Part Three*, which could become a phenomenon if it captures the emotional weight of a franchise trilogy. A significant narrative revolves around AI in filmmaking, with films like the Elon Musk documentary and *The Brutalist* being used to critique tech industry practices. The documentary *You Can See Everything* is seen as a potential first-ever Best Picture nominee, driven by strong word-of-mouth and festival buzz. Meanwhile, populist films such as *Project Hail Mary* and *Obsession* are being aggressively promoted to signal industry resilience. The show also warns that marketing overreach—such as Netflix's early branding of *Narnia* as a multiverse franchise—may backfire, as audiences often reject forced franchise narratives. Ultimately, the Oscar race is marked by both strategic campaigning and unpredictable outcomes, with the Academy’s traditional resistance to franchises and its insular nature creating uncertainty for many contenders.
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postseason to learn more it is Tuesday October 13th is shaping up to be quite an Oscar season
this week with the end of the New York and London film festivals nearly all of the major contenders
have been shown publicly maybe except for Dune part three apologies to Fokker-in-Law and Avengers
Doomsday probably not happening for awards I've been checking out our friend Scott Feinberg's
predictions and there are a ton of great movies this fall some interesting campaigns shaping up
I count
12-15 legitimate best picture contenders A24 alone has four of them in the invite the debut Club Kid
and the Elizabeth Holmes documentary yes a documentary could get a best picture nomination
and all of them from the usual specialty films like Wild Horse Nine and Artificial and Elsinore
to commercial hits like Project Hail Mary and Obsession and maybe even the Michael Jackson
movie a few foreign films like La Bola Negra Fjord maybe even Digger
the Tom Cruise financial debacle could that redeem itself with a couple of awards nominations
all these contenders seem to be in the shadow of course of the Odyssey from the reigning Oscar
champ Christopher Nolan so it's got to be the front runner right or is he lots of questions
this season and lots of film podcasts talking about the movies and what's good and bad we are
not going to do that on the town we're talking about the campaigns how the various teams behind
these movies are positioning them and how they're positioning themselves and how they're
planning to get them all the way to the finish line on Oscar night for that we've got our friend
Kyle Buchanan here to discuss he's the former awards columnist for the New York Times he just
left to start his own thing so today it's the Oscar campaign narratives the table is set let
the jockeying begin from the ringer and puck I'm Matt Bellany and this is the town
all right we are here with Kyle Buchanan formerly of the New York Times now the
host of the about to launch the Kyle Buchanan show welcome back Kyle you and I did you and I have the
best seats at the Sony Classics dinner at Toronto we have the adjacent to Javier Bardem and Penelope
Cruz seats and then Isabel who pair joined the table don't forget oh see I left I went to see
the Rocky movie I don't believe I was there when that happened yeah but um yeah you had the better
seat I'll be fair you were literally sitting next to them I don't believe I was there when that
happened yeah but um yeah you had the better seat I'll be fair you were literally sitting next to them
you were literally sitting next to them I was next to you there's no bad seats when they're
passing out as many free um uh lamb chops as they do at that dinner if anybody thinks that
we're bragging like truly like journalists going to the Sony Pictures Classics dinner we are like
raccoons let loose at a five-star restaurant we are just grabbing all the food we can it's
not flattering and not only that it's it's sort of a celebrity petting zoo it is where they make all
that go to this gigantic dinner in Toronto and the media are sort of free to roam and take their
bites as they see fit so uh Craig Craig was not at our table where were you Craig uh I was at the
table of a small Korean film I believe had a great time though met a couple cool people all right
enough about that let's talk about the Oscar race because I feel like this is shaping up as not only
a really competitive year but a competitive year that is going to be great for the Academy because
there are movies that people have heard of and people feel strongly about and are going to be
like popular and maybe do some business at the box office before the Oscars come do you agree there I
definitely do I mean I feel like we've had a lot of recent Oscar years that are like that and people
you know even surprised that a blockbuster gets nominated people talking about sentimental value
and could it sweep and all these movies that nobody is ever going to see so I I do feel like
this year I mean first of all the Odyssey kind of hanging over the entire season they haven't
even started campaigning yet and part of me feels like this is all nonsense like these people are
jockeying for nothing because Nolan and Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway are just gonna drop the
number at some point and the noms are going to come out and the Odyssey is going to start sweeping I
don't know if that's going to happen and I feel like if Oppenheimer had not happened then we would
be talking about the Odyssey much differently because it would have been Nolan's time it's
like how can you deny a movie that did this kind of business and brought theaters you know such
great windfalls but Oppenheimer did happen he did win his Oscars and finally get all his flowers and
now he's back so we have to kind of take that into consideration
we do but still how can you deny it that's going to be the question hanging over the season just
like you said because a movie that is this well respected that makes this kind of money that is
firmly within the Oscar wheelhouse and employed half of the middle-aged actors in town that is
as close to a best picture front runner slash lock as you can get I do think the thing that
comes into play here is that in just about almost every
other category it's going to get nominated for it'll be a contest simply because well not simply
because that you know there will be some strong competition in some of these other categories but
also because a lot of the people Nolan and a lot of his department heads have recently won so there
might be a temptation to you know give them best picture which they're almost certainly going to
get oh you think so you think it's done you think Odyssey best picture what do you think what else
do you think it's going to be
oh well we could get I mean there's I think there's like 10 to 12 movies that can win best picture
that can that will be jockeying for like the five or so that could legitimately win and that's sure
they'll be jockeying no no no I do think they'll be jockeying until January but I do think that
narratives can take hold here and I want to get into that because I don't want to go into the
different races it's too early for that let me hear him Matt let me hear him I want to get into
this here because I do think that one of these narratives could sweep up a movie and kind of
take it to the finish line and the first one is the whole debate about AI and artificial intelligence
and how first of all how it's potentially going to end the world and secondly almost importantly
as importantly for this show what people in Hollywood think of it so artificial is there
a scenario where this movie picks up the narrative that it was dumped by Amazon this is the Sam
Altman scathing open and die and open AI indictment and everyone votes for it as an FU to Amazon for
dropping this movie as an FU to the entire tech industry for infringing on the ground of creators
and we're talking about this movie as a sweep on Oscar night
my hunch is that if that if that sentiment is strong that it can be a middle finger to AI that
you're likely to see that in a Best Picture nomination and possibly that gets rolled into
Andrew Garfield's supporting actor campaign especially because that category is you know
not filled necessarily with with strong seeming front runners right now but I don't know I I think
that this is a kind of a pivot point whether artificial ends up being
you know evidence of it or or some of the other Oscar contenders that use AI you know like ink
um like 14th like Musk yeah that's the Ava DuVernay documentary Inc is the Danny Boyle movie that we've
talked about in the show about Murdoch in the 70s and Musk the Elon Musk documentary has some AI and
moving Elon's lips for him do you think they do you think what do you think Hollywood people are
how are they judging these movies that have used
the AI is it a no-go because remember the the um brutalist had some AI and it became a problem for
that campaign oh barely come on I mean yeah it got some ink it got some Variety headlines but I really
don't think that moved the needle on anyone who was actually going to vote for the brutalist the
thing that I wonder Matt is you know was is really will people hold that against them I mean I sense
that this year has been a real pivot point for established Hollywood figures not just using AI
not just confessing to readily using AI but you know the evidence of it being in their films I
mean Ben Affleck used it in animals yeah Ben Affleck
the big, the big champion. Yeah, no, I know. I think it's just, it's a normative, it's being
normalized. And some people don't like that though. Some people don't like it. And certainly people on
social media don't like it. You know, I saw Steven Soderbergh had a John Lennon documentary at Cannes
where he used it throughout. He had all of these fantasy sequences that looked like they'd been
generated by Grok. And I think that if you are a power social media user, you know, you're turned
off by that because you see that a lot, you can distinguish it. But I think that for a lot of other
people in the industry, it's somewhat negligible or they've already been using it or they're using
it in their pitch decks and they weren't telling anybody. So there's a, there's, it's already sort
of warmed its way into the Hollywood bloodstream. And I'm curious to see if there's real backlash
or if there's just that sort of backlash that the trades continue to generate in their headlines,
but that, you know,
more people than not won't hold it against them.
Yeah, I think I agree with you. I think if people like the movie, they're willing to brush over that
fact. And I think that was ultimately the case with the Brutalist. We'll see. All right. Second
narrative here is the Skydance merger. And I think this was a factor last year when this was all going
down and Warner Brothers was going out of existence and one battle after another was this big auteur
driven movie.
kind of movie that Hollywood people wish the studios made and it wasn't going to make a lot
of profit it ultimately ended up losing a lot of money but the sentiment sort of uh coalesced
around that movie in part I think because of what it represented and I think that the big
question this year is what is going to happen with Digger because I would have written this
movie off and I've talked to several awards people that are like not gonna happen it's done
you have to at least show that the movie can find an audience in theaters before you launch a
campaign this movie is going to lose uh depending on what report you read 100 or 200 or more million
dollars yet it's a Tom Cruise movie David Ellison and Tom Cruise are besties and people like Anne
Hathaway and Guillermo del Toro and other
you
big name academy members are already stumping for this movie saying it's a work of art a genius
you know overlooked movie what happens if Digger gets traction well to me the questions are how
long will those people stump you know and who else will do the stumping yeah is this a two Leslie
where Andrea Risborough all of a sudden has all these people standing up at award shows talking
about how great her performance is next thing you know she's got a nomination I mean that could
happen yeah
Tom Cruise does a few well-placed Q and A's and the the buzz starts building Alejandro Iñárritu
has a PR team behind him and they all you need is you know to see that around town and it starts
going going crazy here's what I would need to see Matt are Iñárritu and Tom Cruise going to go to
the governor's awards and work it you know is Tom going to be there at the end of the night shaking
hands meeting people like he was when you know Top Gun Maverick was in contention you know Tom Cruise
is in contention I think it's a quite a different thing to be fronting something that you're almost
certain is going to get in to be riding that wave and another thing altogether to be like look we
know we flop but we really believe in this and you're going to see us in all the places that
you're going to see the other front runners if they do that I think that's an indication of
something that people who like Digger can get behind because ultimately you know people can
say what they will publicly but there's this sense of wanting to back winners and there's this sense of
wanting to back front runners of wanting to back things that have momentum I don't know man Birdman
the Revenant two hits I mean the Revenant was a hit Birdman did well but my point is that he has
the track record in Iñárritu and if you look at that movie it is a murderer's row of top of the
line below the line people that have worked with him for years they spared no expense on the crafts
of that movie and I could see the funny thing is like Skydance has a lot of people that have
to pull the trigger for a campaign to spend the money on it and are they going to do that on a
movie that lost so much money and which if it does get nominated would be a total vindication
for Mike DeLuca and Pam Abdi at Warner Brothers who Ellison just fired and this would be if this
got a best picture nomination and everybody's up there thanking Mike and Pam for green lighting
courageous movies like this and David Ellison's sitting there with his hand you know sitting on
his hands going uh just fired these people
not great for him look I do think that there's room for you know some strange things some
unexpected things to happen this year I think especially because the Odyssey feels so firmly
in its front-runner position that kind of gives cover to almost every other part of this Oscar
season for wild narratives to develop so this could be one but you know if this movie had come
out in November and December and this had happened it would be easier this is going to be a
months-long slog and are any of the principal talent willing to slog it they could have been
doing stuff already to plant the seeds so that when it didn't perform maybe the campaign was
already on its way and people were already praising it in town um the else the other
wild card is the critics don't like it if the critics were on board with Digger it would be
a little easier because it would have maybe won some of the critic awards at the end of the year
and that gives a little bit of a boost there all right next narrative is the whole
opposite end of the spectrum the populist narrative here because we've got several
movies not just the Odyssey this year that were hits and that the studios think could
turn into Oscar nominations I'm not just talking about the Odyssey I'm talking about Obsession
Curry Barker has been like you know dragged around by shackles doing these Q&A's so far
I mean it's unbelievable what they're making him do to reposition this movie for Oscar contention
you've got the Michael Jackson movie Michael which Lionsgate thinks could get a Best Picture
nomination or a nomination for Jafar Jackson or some of the crafts you've got uh Project Hail Mary
which Amazon thinks is a full contender for Best Picture and other categories Gosling in particular
the Academy has shown a willingness over the past few years to dole out a few slots for the
and those movies that kind of show
that the movie business is still alive.
And I wonder if those movies,
given all these fall festival hits,
are going to still generate as much noise
and get those nominations.
I think a lot of them will.
I mean, Project Hail Mary, I think, feels the safest to me.
They've barely even started relaunching that.
And they're going to spend.
Amazon is definitely going to spend.
They're going to spend and they ought to.
That was a big hit.
It was a hit with critics.
It was absolutely a hit with audiences.
So many of the-
Gosling did stuff for Barbie, too.
It's not like he's too good for this,
for the campaigning element.
He campaigned for Barbie.
He's not too good for it,
but I also think, you know,
I think that he's done,
he did so much for Barbie
that maybe he's a little less inclined
to do stuff for this.
Also with Barbie,
there were so many other castmates
and so many other people that he would get behind.
And there are fewer
unless they trot out the Rocky puppet
for Project Hail Mary.
What about Sandra Hewler?
For her five scenes.
She does sing.
Oh yeah, she loves,
she loves to shake hands and kiss babies.
Sandra Hewler.
Sandra Hewler has like five movies this year.
No, but I think,
I think she can get nominated for that.
And I think that the advantage that Dune has
over the other movies you named,
or I'm sorry, that Project Hail Mary has,
is it's, you know,
going to clean up below the line.
So there's, there's so many other things
that it can get nominated for.
We didn't actually,
until I said it just now,
mention Dune part three,
but that also is a populist movie.
That could be a big hit
and certainly will be a contender.
Even if Dune part two,
I think deserved more Oscar love
than it ultimately got.
Me too.
The fact that Denis Villeneuve
was snubbed for director for Dune two
is unbelievable to me.
I know that the Dune factor here,
there is a scenario,
given the footage that we have seen of that movie,
that it turns into Lord of the Rings,
Return of the King.
And people just say,
these movies are such an achievement.
We need to give,
give this movie all the awards
to acknowledge the trilogy.
Yes and no.
I mean, I keep seeing people
liken this to Return of the King.
And certainly that is the,
you know, situation
that Warner Brothers would love, right?
Legendary mostly.
I think they're going to be the ones
that really want it.
Sure, sure.
Yeah.
But I just think that
that Return of the King situation
was one of one.
And that was a completely different academy
voting for it,
a completely different movie landscape.
They shot all three of those movies
together.
So it genuinely felt like
you were rewarding one single project.
And I mean, I say this as somebody
who loves Dune,
who thought Dune Part 2
was even better than the first
and deserved more Oscar love.
But, you know,
Denis can't even crack director,
which is absurd.
This is exactly the sort of
auteurist blockbuster filmmaking
that they ought to be rewarding.
But will that snobby branch
suddenly reward him
and decide third time's the charm?
All right.
All right, buddy.
We'll let you in this time.
So those are the things
that give me pause.
This is an academy
that is a lot less inclined
to reward a franchise
as it goes along.
And so Dune will have some,
you know, significant,
upwinds to deal with.
Is Michael an Oscar movie?
You know, I think
Coleman Domingo
will be out there for that.
And supporting actor
is pretty permeable right now.
But not picture?
It's hard to say.
I said the same thing
about Bohemian Rhapsody
this time that year.
How could this movie
be an Oscar movie?
Next thing you know,
Rami Malek is winning
Best Actor.
And he didn't even sing!
Well, Bohemian Rhapsody
had a Best Actor winner,
which Jafar Jackson
is probably not going to be
unless things go real haywire.
It's just such a stacked category
and he's up against
these huge names.
And Bohemian Rhapsody
was coming at the end of the year,
so there was, you know. No, it was an October movie,
but it wasn't April.
Well, but yeah,
Michael came in the spring.
I think Michael was, you know,
more critically derided
than Bohemian Rhapsody.
So there's things
working against it,
but I think when you have
somebody as likable
as Coleman, you know,
who's practically
Oscar royalty at this point,
certainly an awards season fixture,
that's a great way in
for that movie.
Interesting.
And what about
Indy Navaretti from Obsession?
I think she's in.
I think she has a shot, right?
In.
I think she is, capital I-N.
I think Best Actress
is Julianne Moore,
Indy Navaretti, and then. Well, Anne Hathaway
from The Odyssey.
She's going supporting.
Oh, she is.
Oh, I didn't know that.
So there's no lead actress
in The Odyssey?
Unless the Academy feels
that she is the lead actress
and votes her there anyway.
But yeah, no,
she's going supporting.
So I think Best Actress,
it's truly going to come down
to who wants it,
who's willing to be in L.A.,
who's willing to be seen,
and who, you know,
who do the critics groups
and everybody else get behind.
I think that will be fun,
but I think that means
that Indy is sitting
pretty.
Interesting.
Well, that's good to hear.
That would be crazy.
I mean, I guess it's not
that out of the blue.
I mean, Amy Madigan won
last year for a horror movie,
Weapons.
It's also an incredible performance.
It is exactly the sort of. Star-making.
It's a star-making performance.
We know she's already booking.
She's already busy.
She is showing off
so many aspects of, you know,
it's just like a very
well-rounded performance,
not one note.
And I think that the Academy
loves rewarding an ingenue.
This is exactly the sort of thing
that they love in Best Actress,
where an actress comes
seemingly out of nowhere
and is going to be a major star,
and they get to be part
of canonizing that.
I would also just add
Indy Navaretti,
first guest on the
Kyle Buchanan show next week.
Oh, there you go.
The plug is there.
But I swear, I swear,
completely unrelated.
She's doing you before SNL.
Good for you.
She is, she is.
You scooped SNL.
Last narrative here.
And then we'll get to
a couple of wild cards.
The whole documentary thing,
the Nathan Fielder,
Lance Oppenheim,
Elizabeth Holmes documentary,
which I have not seen.
I'm seeing it tonight, actually.
Is there a real shot
of this movie becoming
the first documentary
to get a Best Picture nomination?
100%.
You think so?
Even though A24
has four legitimate
Best Picture candidates,
they're going to have to choose
at some point
where they put their chips.
Do you think they're going to
put their chips behind this movie?
It's called
You Can See Everything.
I genuinely think
this is going to be
one of the most
talked about movies of the fall.
I think it's going to be
a word of mouth sensation.
And that seems wild to say.
See, I think it needs to be a hit.
It will be.
If it grosses $50, $75 million,
then I think it's
a Best Picture candidate.
If it comes and goes
and grosses $10, $15,
it's not.
Man, I mean,
I think that that's possible.
Because even though
this is a three-hour documentary,
it has that thing.
I mean, it wasn't just in Telluride.
It was also in New York Film Festival
and other people I know
who've seen it
and I saw it
at that Telluride screening.
You walk out of that movie
and you are telling everyone you know,
you've got to see it.
And you've got to see it
before people spoil it for you.
That creates this feeling of an event.
It's already doing so well in pre-sales.
I genuinely think
that this is going to be
this is going to make
a lot of history
when it comes to
how well docs perform,
not just at the box office,
but with the Oscars.
I just wonder
if it's not a Twitter phenomenon.
It's not.
I swear to God.
Listen, I believe you.
I am just,
it's not on tracking.
The movie's not on tracking
because it's only debuting
in 800 theaters this weekend.
But, which I think is smart
because they'll get a high per screen
and they'll get buzz out of it
and then they'll go a little wider
if it does well.
But, I just wonder
if it's not an online thing
and these, you know,
old fuddy-duddies
or foreign people
in the Academy
are just going to be like
throw up their hands
with Nathan Fielder
and the doc branch
I think could snub.
Well, could or will.
You know how snobby
and insular that branch is.
You know, as soon as
there's a front runner
in that category,
they love to bat that film back.
And they hate celebrities
and Nathan is a celebrity
They do.
And there's a little bit of,
you know,
people have referred to it
as a hybrid documentary
and I don't want to say too much
because I feel like
that gets into the surprises
of the movie.
So, there's a little bit
of playing with form
that perhaps that branch
won't respond to.
But, honestly,
I don't think A24 cares.
They have their eye
on the bigger prize
and that's best picture.
Who is going to be
the winner of the
Eddie Redmayne award this year
for most aggressive campaigner?
Taylor Swift
could be a contender.
If Taylor Swift is playing
the Academy Gala,
the Museum Gala this weekend,
I could see her being cringy
and popping up at like
little awards parties.
Oh, come on.
And things like
the Governor's Award.
All these things.
She wants it, man.
She wants an Oscar
for the Toy Story 5 song
and she's going to do
whatever she needs to do
to get it.
Who else?
I think it's less that
and more that
Taylor is, you know,
making entrees into
Hollywood, into filmmaking.
She's directing.
You know what?
You're being nice.
You want her on your show.
Who else?
Who's out there
really working it?
Indy Navaretti, probably.
She, if she wants it
and she gets early traction,
she will be on everyone's doorstep
saying hello.
Yeah, I mean, like,
the big question is
do a lot of these people
who are presumed to be
frontrunners really work it?
I mean, Penelope Cruz
could get nominated
for two different movies.
Yeah, she's in The Invite,
which I loved.
She's willing to fly out a lot.
She could be around all the time.
What else is she in?
Wait, she's in The Invite
and then she's in La Bola Negra.
Yeah.
I think that there are
some things that are going to
limit people from doing
as much press as they'd like to.
You know, Anne Hathaway's
having a baby.
Olivia Wilde is shooting
a movie in London.
So I think that strategically
you're going to see those people
come in and do a flurry of activity.
But I don't know.
Who wants to plant themselves
in L.A.?
This is a season,
and I can tell you
this is somebody who's
booking a show right now,
I'm sure you feel the same,
where all the contenders
aren't in L.A.
They're elsewhere.
They're scattered to the wind.
Oh, is that true this year?
Oh, interesting.
There's so few people
actually just, you know,
here in L.A. and available.
But if somebody just wants to,
you know, move here
for a couple months
and do everything,
there's so much room to do so.
Get yourself,
do the Chloe Zhao.
Get yourself an apartment here
for three months.
And all of a sudden,
you're in contention.
You're out every night
doing a screening.
Well, you said all of a sudden.
You know, Virginia Fiera
from All of a Sudden.
That's one of those people
that could break into
the best actress race.
She's very personable.
I don't even know
what that movie is.
What is that movie?
So what are the, like,
what are the two or three
foreign movies
that I'm going to have to see
and that everybody
is going to have to talk about
and watch
when the season starts?
Well, definitely La Bola Negra.
I think that's, you know,
one of the only,
I have not seen it yet
and Netflix keeps hounding me.
I will see it.
What are you waiting for?
I will see it.
I heard it's great.
It's fantastic.
And that's one of the only movies
that I think is,
that should be considered
a legitimate Oscar threat
aside from The Odyssey.
Oh, so we're not going to have
two or three
foreign language films
in the Best Picture race?
What about Fjord?
Fjord one can.
Fjord can get in there.
Fjord also is like,
you know,
practically half English.
So there's that
and it has Sebastian Stan
and Renata Reinsvah.
I also think,
you know,
all of a sudden
that's the new film
by the director
of Drive My Car,
Ryosuke Hamaguchi.
It was at Cannes
and won the Best Actress Award.
Both those actresses,
Virginia Fuhrer
and Tao Akimoto
are really good.
And, you know,
if they plant themselves here
and are introducing themselves
to a lot of voters,
I think a lot could happen there.
I have a theory
about Drive My Car
that nobody actually finished.
Nobody actually finished it.
No, Drive My Car is good.
Drive My Car.
And they fell asleep
and they said,
okay, this is,
I can't,
I get it.
It's good.
I'll vote for it,
but I don't want to sit through it.
It's three hours.
It's super slow.
Matt, are you speaking
from personal experience?
Maybe.
That might be my experience.
And then I would also say,
you know,
don't count out
Possible Love.
That's the Lee Chung-Jong film.
It has an incredible
lead actress performance
from Jun Do-hyun.
I think the only thing
that would hold that back
at all is that
Netflix, you know,
is also releasing
La Bola Negra
because, you know,
but I do think
that they are getting
behind this movie
and, yeah,
all those movies can get into picture because like you said, it's, it's very top.
heavy with populist blockbusters.
But I think, again, that creates a lot of cover
for unexpected movies to get into that category.
And there's a searchlight spot for Wild Horse 9.
And there's like, there's a lot of things
that in traditional years are automatics.
And I just think there's too many movies this year.
So somebody's got to get left out.
All right.
Well, it's going to be a great season.
Congrats on the new show.
Thank you.
Starting next week.
Yeah, we'll have you back.
Once the season really gets started.
Thank you, Matt.
We are back with the call sheet.
Craig, we finally got it.
The Narnia trailer has debuted.
Remember, this is the big Netflix theatrical release.
Greta Gerwig fought very hard.
She got a full theatrical release for this movie
coming in February.
Narnia, the magician's nephew.
What did you think?
I didn't expect it to be like a psychedelic
drug trip rock opera, which I respect
Greta Gerwig making a choice.
With Christianity.
Don't forget, she cares very much about her Christianity.
And there's definitely the Jesus stuff,
which is from the books.
Sure.
But we got introduced to, I guess,
what's going to be like the Narnia multiverse,
the Greta Gerwig multiverse, which, you know,
we thought multiverses were over.
They're not.
They're back.
They're not.
No, they're not going away.
And honestly, this is what I want to talk about
because not quite a prediction today,
but more of a warning here.
Because if you look at the materials,
that Netflix is putting out, it's pretty thirsty.
We know they need franchises.
We know they want their version of the Avengers
or whatever.
And it started with the poster.
The poster, the tagline was,
a universe begins.
And then the first line of the trailer
and spoken dialogue is,
sometimes the story is the beginning
of all the others.
I believe one of the characters in the trailer
also said,
there are infinity worlds.
Yes, infinity worlds that could be explored
in infinity streaming sequels.
No, this is cart before the horse time, guys.
Like, what are we doing?
You cannot tell the audience that this is a franchise.
The audience has to tell you that this is a franchise.
And this has happened over and over
throughout Hollywood history,
that whenever you put it out there,
that you think this is a monster
and this is a multi-movie affair,
the audience often will tell you that it's not.
Right, any time you tell the audience buckle up,
there's gonna be five of these
and you're gonna love all of them,
you get a little bit ahead of yourself.
Yeah, I mean, the famous example is Universal
with the dark universe,
that infamous photo with Russell Crowe and Tom Cruise
and Johnny Depp and all of them,
and the mummy bombs and the dark universe goes away.
But like, it happens with book adaptations a lot.
Remember, they canceled the final movies
of the Divergent franchise
because the audience wasn't there.
Warner's wanted to do a big King Arthur multi-universe
with turning the Knights of the Round Table
into the Avengers.
That didn't work.
You've gotta sell the first movie
and then tell people it's a universe.
And I know these are books
and they've been adapted before
and everybody kind of knows
that Narnia is a multi-part thing.
But if I was Netflix,
I would be going so hard on just selling this movie
and not trying to turn it into Harry Potter.
Yeah, not this is the first of many,
but just this is a great single movie
that you gotta go see.
Exactly, exactly.
So I hope they do that.
Trailer looked good to me.
I don't know about you, but I like the rock opera thing.
It feels like a family movie,
but actually a little bit edgier
and something maybe that could be a Netflix style franchise
and not necessarily Disney.
So maybe it'll work.
I trust Greta Gerwig.
Yeah, I mean, you have to trust Greta Gerwig.
It's not my demo.
So I'm not the demo for this movie.
So it's hard for me to judge
whether a 13 year old will like it.
They want everybody to be the demo.
You think a 32 year old man is the demo for this movie?
Yeah, why not?
I guess, I read the books as a kid,
but I don't know if this is particularly
my specific interest.
No, I know it's a little more for kids, but whatever.
They also are hiding the Meryl Streep as the Jesus figure
also as Aslan the lion, which was somewhat controversial.
Yeah, well the lion's in it,
but she's just a voice which they didn't unveil, yeah.
They did not, but that's somewhat controversial,
but you know what, who cares?
If it's good, it's good.
So your prediction is the marketing already,
the strategy behind the release of this movie
is already potentially on shaky ground
and they're getting ahead of themselves.
I am worried, I am worried.
I'm not saying it's necessarily not gonna work,
but I'm worried.
Unless they've seen the movie and it's such a guarantee
that it's gonna be a hit that they have just,
they've already planned out three or four of these things.
Do you think this movie pushing to February
is a good sign for it or a bad sign?
Well, there were a lot of factors at work.
The movie wasn't done.
And once they decided to move it,
then that enabled them to give it a wide theatrical release,
which Gerwig wanted, and not just the IMAX release,
which is what they originally agreed to.
So ultimately I think it's better for the movie.
Also a little less pressure in February
than if they had dated it in like June or July or something.
Right, now it can kind of live on its own
and have its own dedicated time,
45 days before it hits Netflix, yeah.
I still have high hopes, but Netflix,
come on, hit the brakes.
All right, that's the show for today.
I want to thank my guest, Kyle Buchanan.
Producer, Craig Horlbeck.
Our editors, Stefano Sanchez and Steve Allman.
And I want to thank you.
We'll see you one more time this week.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
FanDuel is now available nationwide, allowing users to stream and place bets on sports games from any location across the U.S.
The 2024 Oscar race is highly competitive, with multiple strong contenders including *The Odyssey*, *Project Hail Mary*, *Dune Part Three*, and a documentary on Elizabeth Holmes.
A major narrative in the Oscar campaign centers on AI use in films, with some studios leveraging it as a political statement against tech giants like Amazon and Elon Musk.
*Digger*, the Tom Cruise film, has a strong grassroots campaign backed by acclaimed figures like Guillermo del Toro and Anne Hathaway, potentially gaining momentum through strategic public appearances.
The documentary *You Can See Everything* is seen as a potential first-ever Best Picture nominee, driven by strong word-of-mouth, festival buzz, and critical acclaim.
Populist and critically acclaimed films like *Obsession*, *Michael*, and *Project Hail Mary* are being aggressively marketed to signal the vitality of the film industry.
The Academy's resistance to franchise films and its insular nature may limit support for *Dune* and other sequels, despite their critical and commercial success.
Marketing strategies are under scrutiny, especially for Netflix’s *Narnia* release, which risks alienating audiences by prematurely branding it as a multiverse franchise.
Summary:
S. cities, offering fans seamless access to sports betting and live game coverage across regions like Tallahassee, El Paso, and Athens. The show highlights the 2024 Oscar race as one of the most competitive in recent memory, fueled by a mix of blockbuster hits and bold narrative campaigns.
Key contenders include *The Odyssey*, which dominates as a front-runner due to its critical success and broad appeal, and *Dune Part Three*, which could become a phenomenon if it captures the emotional weight of a franchise trilogy. A significant narrative revolves around AI in filmmaking, with films like the Elon Musk documentary and *The Brutalist* being used to critique tech industry practices. The documentary *You Can See Everything* is seen as a potential first-ever Best Picture nominee, driven by strong word-of-mouth and festival buzz.
Meanwhile, populist films such as *Project Hail Mary* and *Obsession* are being aggressively promoted to signal industry resilience. The show also warns that marketing overreach—such as Netflix's early branding of *Narnia* as a multiverse franchise—may backfire, as audiences often reject forced franchise narratives. Ultimately, the Oscar race is marked by both strategic campaigning and unpredictable outcomes, with the Academy’s traditional resistance to franchises and its insular nature creating uncertainty for many contenders.
FAQs
Yes, FanDuel is available in multiple U.S. cities including Tallahassee, Florida, El Paso, Texas, Athens, Georgia, and Madison, Wisconsin, among others.
Download the FanDuel app to get started. The service is available wherever you're watching and playing, making it easy to place bets on games you're excited about.
Major contenders include 'The Odyssey' by Christopher Nolan, 'Project Hail Mary', 'Dune Part Three', 'The Michael Jackson Movie', and the documentary 'You Can See Everything'.
Yes, the documentary 'You Can See Everything' has a strong chance, especially if it earns significant box office success and critical acclaim.
Yes, some movies are being positioned as a 'middle finger' to AI, especially in response to Amazon's reported drop of a film, potentially gaining support as a symbolic protest against AI in film production.
Yes, despite its financial losses, 'Digger' has strong support from key Academy members like Anne Hathaway and Guillermo del Toro, and could gain momentum through strategic campaigning and public advocacy.
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