FFT Express - Must-Haves for Draft Weekend Part 1! Favorite ADP Values, Late-Round Sleepers, Handcuffs, & More! (09/04 Fantasy Football Podcast)
10m 21s
For draft weekend, the focus is on identifying undervalued players with favorable ADPs and avoiding overhyped or high-risk picks. Key targets include wide receivers like Nico Collins, Chris Olave, and Parker Washington, and tight ends such as Brock Bauer and Tremick Brite, who are priced too low. The strategy recommends drafting players like Ramadri Stevenson and Chris Godwin earlier than their rankings suggest, especially in PPR leagues. Avoiding top-tier quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Dak Prescott is advised due to their high ADPs and poor draft value. Late-round sleepers like Jakory Kroski (ADP 104, round 9) and Blake Corm (102nd, round 9) are highlighted as solid value picks with potential role growth. Backup running backs such as Chubah Hubbard, Mike Washington, and Jonah Coleman are considered viable due to injury risks and depth needs. Last-minute shifts—like Kareem Hunt rejoining Kansas City, Pukin Akua’s injury, or starter changes in Atlanta or Cleveland—could significantly alter rankings and draft strategies. The advice is to prioritize value over hype, avoid early-round spending on risky backups, and maintain flexibility for late-round opportunities. While a pizza and wings party is recommended for draft weekend, the core message centers on smart, data-driven drafting based on ADP, role, and injury risk.
Must have is for draft weekend, part one right now on fantasy football today. Express Adam and Dave here. Alright Adam. So let's start with pizza. And you don't need just one. You're gonna need like three or four. That's a must have wings. I mean it's football. So wings and football kind of go together. Not shows should be there. I'm not big on beverages. It doesn't have to be adult beverages or kids beverages, but maybe a mix of both. Always a good idea. Yeah, but it sounds like you're just throwing a Super Bowl party. There's got to be some distinction. Well, this is this is the party before the season starts and the Super Bowl party is the party when the season ends. Same exact menu. Yes. Okay. Alright. As long as you eat healthy in between which we all know. I don't know. Of course. Players you must draft. Let's start with that. These are players who have a very favorable CBS ADP according to me. Nico Collins at 25.5 third round Nico Collins. I could absolutely buy into that. Same thing with Chris Olave. Like the range that Olave is going in. I understand people are taking him as the top 30 guy. He's closer to a top 20 guy for me. Ramadri Stevenson is starting to get the respect that a lead running back deserves. He's going at the end of round six in CBS ADP. I think he should be going like early round six, maybe even late round five of its half PPR or non PPR. And then two guys that we've talked about a lot of wide receiver Parker Washington, Chris Godwin, the memo is not out there yet to everybody. Maybe in the high stakes leagues it is. But Parker Washington still going in that same range as Ramadri Stevenson. Are you serious? He should be higher. Godwin going a full round after that. He should be going higher than that too. And one last thing. Four. I'm sorry. Five tight and 80 P's. Brock Bauer is at 26. Tremick Brite at 27. Colson Lovelin at 41. Tucker Kraft at 74. Isaiah likely at 92. All five of these guys. Too low. Get one of them at value. Will you? And that 92 for Isaiah likely. That's the highest you're going to see. I mean, he's he's lower than that everywhere else basically. Dave, how about the players that were avoiding players you must avoid? Well, you never want to draft a quarterback at cost and certainly reach for a quarterback, assuming it's a 1 QB league. Josh Allen's ADP on CBS 20.8. So 21st overall late round two. I'm proud of you guys for not taking Josh Allen in round one. I have seen drafts firsthand. Josh Allen goes a 12th overall. It makes me sad inside. But he is probably the most egregious as is Dak Prescott at 62nd overall. That's early round six. Too rich for my blood on Dak Prescott. But the whole teaching point here is wait for your quarterback. Still one from the rest of your league. You don't have to purposely wait for one, but you definitely want to feel like you're getting a good value. Kyron Williams ADP has dropped into early round three. I think that's around 2i. Cam Skataboo is in early round four. I think that's around and a half 2i. Harold Fanon at 70.9 overall. Okay, there's a tight end that I just don't think has a good ADP at this point. That's round six. He should be round eight and Tony Pollard at 72nd. And I'm sure people see Tony Pollard and they go, "Oh, it's the last lead running back that's available to me in a fantasy draft. I should go get them." No, you shouldn't because he's going to split and it's a bad offensive line and it's a team that's probably going to have negative game script for the run game. You can let somebody else get Tony Pollard on your team. You will thank yourself later for it. How about some late round sleepers that we need to know? Jakory Kroski Merit ADP is 104th overall. That's round eight. And if that's the range he's going in, that's a bargain. And I understand that there's risk and uncertainty about his role, about his availability. But we know he's fast and we know he's put on a little muscle and we know that he's trying to expand his role in the offense. And yeah, the offensive line's not great. They'll be without learning. He tonsil for most of the year. If not all the year, I think Jakory Kroski Merit is worth the gamble if it's round eight. Some other players that I like. Nine, buddy. Is that round nine? Is that round? No. Oh, yeah, it is round nine. Here I am messing up the the round orders. This is your bit. Not mine. Yes, that is round nine. Good for you for knowing that 104th is round nine. And not round eight. And that's even better. I just said that Merit in round eight is okay. And I would take him in late round eight. Round nine is even better. So here we go. Players that are going to be in round 10 plus, you've heard me talk at Nazim about Casey conception on one of my favorite guys to target. Dalton Concade is a great tight end to begin the season with. If you whiff on the other tight ends, Josh Downs, Jayden Reed, Jaylen Coker, whether it's me or somebody else on the show, we've given you reasons why those three wide receivers have huge upside this year, targets are a big issue in the case of Downs and Reed. I think they'll have a lot of them. Coker was just as good as Tedaroa McMillan last year. And I would imagine he's going to see a lot of single coverage and be a good, capable bench receiver for fantasy managers. Those are three guys that you're in that round 10 plus range. Put a star next to their name and your rankings. You're going to want to have at least one of them on your team. How about handcuffs, last minute news that could change the rankings. That's coming up after this break on fantasy football today express. Back out of here with Dave Richard, giving you the things that you need to know going into draft weekend. So yeah, handcuffs slash backup running backs to stash. Blake Corm is at the top of the list and is now one of the players. I am intentionally targeting. I would go late round eight for Blake Corm. Certainly round nine, which is 102nd ADP would suggest. I just think that there's a chance where he can be potentially the guy that plays a little bit more in the Rams run game in a season where the Rams are going to run the ball a lot because game scripts will be favorable for them. Another player, I'm happy to take the chance on there. Chubah Hubbard has been left for dead by the dip on him. 107th overall. He's not flashy, but he's healthy. We know about John and then Brooks history. Those two are going to play in tandem. If Brooks were to miss time, Chubah Hubbard goes right back to being a number two fantasy running back. If Kyle Menungai slips, I would take him. Mike Washington, Tyler Algier, we know that the running backs in front of those guys have ankle injuries. We don't know how severe they are. I would at least carry those guys into week one. Maybe make a decision toward the end of the week before their games. On whether or not I want to carry them through week one, I probably would want to do that. And Jonah Coleman has been one of my favorite late round picks just because he's the guy behind JK Dobbins and Denver. RJ Harvey passing down his role. I think he's locked into that. I think Coleman can take on a sizable amount of the work if Dobbins were to miss time. And he might even have a decent, decent amount of work if JK Dobbins is healthy. Honestly, the way you and Jamie have talked about Jonah Coleman, the way I think you value JK Dobbins, I just don't even know why anyone would draft RJ Harvey. If I don't, he's third for me on the Broncos. Yeah. I think Harvey might have a little bit bigger role than he had last year. If that's the case, then JK Dobbins is a bad pick. It's unfortunate. I'm not sure that the Broncos running backs are great picks, but the good news is that you're not spending. You shouldn't spend one of your first seven picks on any of these guys. And if you want to take shots in the double digit rounds, Dobbins won't be there. But in Harvey probably won't be there either. I guess it's just Coleman that you're going for. Let's amend that instead of double digit rounds. Round nine plus you might be able to get two of the three Broncos running backs, at least just to see what they have to begin the season. After throw Emmett Johnson's name into this backup handcuff. I love that call. Yes. Yeah. It's not going to snire about it. He's very high on him as it missed role because Ken Walker's had trouble staying healthy. Johnson is a clear number two running back there. So put my right. I just, I don't want to speak this into existence. I know that we just dodged a bullet with D Mercado leaving Kansas City. And now he's on Dallas. If the chiefs bring back Kareem Hunt, and they could do that after week one, because then they don't have to guarantee his salary for the entire year, you know why that's happening. And it's because they want somebody who could handle passing down work and maybe even goal line working completely. It would shatter the value of Kenneth Walker the third. I am hoping it doesn't happen. Let's just get Kareem Hunt to Detroit so we know it won't happen. Okay. Okay. But that is that would be last minute news that could change fantasy rankings of Kareem Hunt does sign with Kansas City before week one. Yeah. What else could change fantasy rankings at this point? Well, if Pukin Akua misses time for any reason that would take him out of the conversation for being a top five pick overall in fantasy, I think he'd still be a first round pick. But I think people would start to get a little bit skittish. Any of the running back injuries, if they're more serious than teams are letting on, which I think is going to be the case with at least one of Ashton Gentee, Jeremiah Love, Breeze Hall, maybe even Christian McCaffery. If we find out that those guys aren't necessarily 100% will be in more of a time share to begin the year, I think that would affect how you go about drafting them, maybe docking them a half round. And then who's the starter in Atlanta? If Tua Tungawa Loa is the foreseeable starter for the Falcons, that would make me more nervous about Drake London, less nervous about Kyle Pits. If it's switched and it's Michael Penex, then I'd be much more excited. And that's what I'm counting on is Penex. Much more excited about Drake London, less excited about Kyle Pits. I think at this point you have to expect to it to win the job, not a certainty, but Penex is barely played. I just don't know that he's quite ready yet, but I feel like the approach is Tua starts the season and quickly loses it. I don't know. That's kind of might happen in Cleveland too with Dishon Watson. Absolutely. Okay. That's it for part one of the must-habs for draft weekend. Thank you very much today, Richard. It'd be cool if you had a frozen yogurt machine in your draft too. I can't say that that's a must-have because that's kind of pricey and tough to get, but you know somebody nearly is going to do that thing where they're under the handle of the Froyo machine. I paid a lot of money to do that at my favorite frozen yogurt shop.
You can do that with plain Greek yogurt, Dave. That sounds disgusting, Adam. How am I gonna file? We'll talk to you tomorrow on fantasy football today.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The draft strategy emphasizes targeting value players with favorable ADPs, such as Nico Collins, Chris Olave, Ramadri Stevenson, Parker Washington, and Chris Godwin, who should be drafted earlier than their ADP suggests.
Multiple tight ends—Brock Bauer, Tremick Brite, Colson Lovelin, Tucker Kraft, and Isaiah Wynn—are undervalued at high ADPs (up to 92), making them strong late-round or value picks in a fantasy lineup.
Key players to avoid include Josh Allen (ADP 20.8), Dak Prescott (62nd overall), Kyron Williams (early round three), Harold Fanon (round six), Tony Pollard (72nd overall due to poor run game), and underperforming backups like Chubah Hubbard and Blake Corm, who should be evaluated for role shifts and injury risks.
Summary:
For draft weekend, the focus is on identifying undervalued players with favorable ADPs and avoiding overhyped or high-risk picks. Key targets include wide receivers like Nico Collins, Chris Olave, and Parker Washington, and tight ends such as Brock Bauer and Tremick Brite, who are priced too low. The strategy recommends drafting players like Ramadri Stevenson and Chris Godwin earlier than their rankings suggest, especially in PPR leagues.
Avoiding top-tier quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Dak Prescott is advised due to their high ADPs and poor draft value. Late-round sleepers like Jakory Kroski (ADP 104, round 9) and Blake Corm (102nd, round 9) are highlighted as solid value picks with potential role growth. Backup running backs such as Chubah Hubbard, Mike Washington, and Jonah Coleman are considered viable due to injury risks and depth needs.
Last-minute shifts—like Kareem Hunt rejoining Kansas City, Pukin Akua’s injury, or starter changes in Atlanta or Cleveland—could significantly alter rankings and draft strategies. The advice is to prioritize value over hype, avoid early-round spending on risky backups, and maintain flexibility for late-round opportunities. While a pizza and wings party is recommended for draft weekend, the core message centers on smart, data-driven drafting based on ADP, role, and injury risk.
FAQs
Pizza and wings are essential, with three or four slices of pizza and a solid wing portion recommended. A mix of adult and kid-friendly beverages is also suggested to create a well-rounded party atmosphere.
Prioritize players like Nico Collins (25.5 ADP), Chris Olave (top 20 range), and Ramadri Stevenson (early round six) due to favorable ADPs and strong value in PPR leagues.
No — avoid drafting quarterbacks early, especially in 1QB leagues. Josh Allen and Dak Prescott are overvalued at their ADPs, and waiting for a better value improves your draft strategy.
Yes — Brock Bauer (26), Tremick Brite (27), Colson Lovelin (41), Tucker Kraft (74), and Isaiah Wynn (92) are all undervalued. Consider drafting one of these at a late round value pick.
Jakory Kroski (104th overall, round 9) is a strong late-round sleeper due to his speed, muscle, and growing role. He carries risk with offensive line issues but offers value in a high-upside scenario.
Target Blake Corm (102nd, round 9), Chubah Hubbard (107th), Mike Washington, Tyler Algier, and Jonah Coleman — especially if primary backs face injury concerns or role shifts.
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