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Fantasy Football Week 4 Key Questions: Breakouts, Bounce-Backs & Must-Start Matchups (Ep. 2236)

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Fantasy Football Week 4 Key Questions: Breakouts, Bounce-Backs & Must-Start Matchups (Ep. 2236)

The podcast blends entertainment and sports analysis, covering a range of topics from fantasy football strategies to real-time game insights. A central focus is on the Cleveland Browns’ unexpected rise, driven by strong defensive performances, a favorable schedule, and improved quarterback play from Dishon Watson. Key players like Parker Washington, George Pickens, and Derek Henry are highlighted for breakout potential based on matchup advantages and recent performance trends. The Dolphins vs. Vikings game is seen as a high-impact, emotionally charged matchup due to Bryan Floor’s return as head coach and the Dolphins’ underprepared offense. In the Jacksonville vs. Bengals game, Parker Washington is expected to thrive due to a weak coverage scheme against slot receivers. Fantasy analysts also emphasize data tools such as Polymarket and fantasy pros rankings to assess player value and predict outcomes. The discussion underscores how team dynamics, injuries, and coaching decisions shape performance, with a strong emphasis on value plays and risk management in fantasy football. The hosts provide balanced, detailed insights across multiple matchups, blending humor, data, and real-time analysis to offer fans a comprehensive understanding of the NFL season.

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This is an "I Heart" podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hi, this is Kylie Breakman, Angel Jaritana. Jeremy Colhane, Patrick McDonald. And we're the hosts of the artist on artist on artist on artist podcast. The improvised character comedy podcast where each week a new panel of artists discuss their craft. Join us for a panel of Eurovision participants. And we do a little Halloween sometimes. Does the Pope dress up? Hi, he winks on Halloween. He gets right up next to the microphone. I hear you get the almost here. The eyelashes hate each other. You never seen Italy so quiet. As when the Pope gets up to wink on Halloween. Listen to artists on artist on artist on artist every Thursday on the I Heart Radio app Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Hello, everybody. Welcome into the fantasy pro's football podcast. I'm Ryan Wormley. Join to this Friday morning by Pat Fitzmorris and Derek Brown. We are talking some week for key questions and fits the Cleveland Browns. Are in first place in the AFC North. No team in the NFL is more wins than them. I want to quickly talk about that game last night. I didn't actually get to watch it. I was out of the house last night, but obviously I was following long. And the Browns are three and one on a three game winning streak. Here fits and Todd Munkin, like coach of the year, Dishon Watson. He's certainly not going to win something like comeback player of the year, but it's working better than I expected it to. If I had a friend from another country who was starting to get into football and wanted to adopt an NFL team, I might recommend the Cleveland Browns. Like as a team that like as a team that look get in on the ground floor of a team that has been a I won't say historic failure because obviously like in the 50s and 60s, the Browns had some awesome teams even in the 70s and 80s. But like things are really pointing in the right direction for this team. A lot of exciting talent on defense. Their young pass catchers, she's Denzel Boston, Casey Concepcion, Harold Fanon, incredible. Quinch on Judkins, not bad, I'd love to see what he could do once this line gets going. And all you have to do is get the quarterback thing right. And Dishon Watson actually playing passively so far this season for the Browns. So man, things are really looking up for the Cleveland Browns for a change. And like their fans deserve it. And they've been through the ringer. This whole Dishon Watson thing has been a nightmare. Finally, nice to see Dishon Watson winning games for them. Yeah, that was that was fun to see. And someone might have had the money line on the Cleveland Browns. Someone that we are excited for. Debra, is this like a Todd Munkin credit? Is this a credit to the roster that's around Dishon Watson? Is it a credit to Watson? Not that we want to go out of our way to, you know, give him too many props. But where do you kind of point to as what's been successful so far for the Browns this season? Man, I think part of this has been schedule because I don't think any of us believe that the Steelers are a good football team. The Panthers defense is horrible. The Buccaneers and Baker Mayfield can't seem to get out of their own way. And Todd Bolzes is going to be fired very quickly this year. So I don't want to throw cold water on the Browns. Their schedule has helped them though. But are they outperforming expectations? Yes. I think the defense where it was like losing Miles Garrett, okay? Knowing what we know now, Miles Garrett will probably have, you know, the end of the issue wouldn't have been part of the past. Anyway, Jared Burst, the second area, all of the parts of the piece is playing well. I think the defensive backbone of this team is what's quietly carrying them. Dishon Watson is playing somewhere in the vicinity of League average quarterback right now. But yeah, Browns are very surprising. I'm going to go out of my way and be like, oh, they're amazing. And I was actually going to counterpoint and ask if it's at the very beginning. This friend, do you like this friend? Or is this like a frenemy like that you're recommending the young talent? They've rebuilt the right way. I mean, how good? They have good to the trade of the number one pick to the Jaguars. Now that I hope he's not. I hope the injury last night wasn't serious. But Mason Graham had been playing some really good ball before he went down. How good does the verse trade look right now? I mean, they're loaded for bear on draft capital. Like this rebuild has been really impressive. They're not wrong. Andrew Berry is really in his bag, dude. And to your point, air drop a quarterback into this. And for everybody that didn't because I just want to. For us to stretch just a little bit, Fitsy. People didn't give Denzel Boston enough love in the pre draft process. That can also be true. He shouldn't have fallen to the second round. Fits just has a soft spot for the Browns because he was in college back when he watched Jim Brown play. So he's always really like to that. Oh, my. I couldn't help it. On the other side of this one fits. Is there any sort of fancy takeaway on this from the Steelers like Roman Wilson 60 yards in a touchdown. You know, 60 plus yards in a touchdown in his last two games. You know, he's at six targets in each of those games. Anything there or anything anywhere else on the Steelers side of things you want to hit. DK Metcalf, I think, has been getting a lot of shade. And we should probably remember that he's pretty good and probably as a fantasy starter most weeks. Jalen Warren, really good. Like he needs to be the lead guy, not Rico Dowell, man. He's just so much better than Rico. And I just don't think we should go overboard on the Steelers passing offense. I think it was how Michael who dropped the stat last night that it was what Aaron Rogers first 300 yard games and 18 starts last 18 starts or whatever. So it's just they're going to be weeks when the passing offense is pretty dysfunctional. Like it was against the Patriots in week two when they scored three points and just couldn't move the ball. Yeah. The other thing I want to want to take away from this too is Michael Pittman Jr. I think is close to if not dropable. He's not part of the offense. There's a definitive coverage reason why he's not part of the offense because he's going to be their too high beater. And they have played nothing but like single high teams, but to that point. Crap ton of single high teams still on the left on the ledger in the upcoming weeks. So whether it's the foot injury or the coverage stuff. He has not been a part of this offense. But also Darna Washington, maybe touchdown or bus streamer moving forward, like his red zone involvement has been insane. Two catches for 15 yards for Michael Pittman. By the way, just to give us that line. All right, let's get into our key questions here for week four, the rest of the slate. A reminder for everybody that all of our weekly consensus rankings and tiers can be found at fantasy pros.com slash rankings. We have a London game guys. I think it's six of the next seven weeks. If I'm not mistaken that we have one of these early window games 9 30 AM Eastern. Obviously, you know, 6 30 AM Pacific. So that's a tough one for the west coasters. Colts at commanders is this first one. The commanders impressed against the Seahawks defense last week pulling off the upset over the defending Super Bowl champs. Can the offense stay hot with Marcus Mariotta in London against the Colts deep row. Yes, I absolutely think you can. Mariot played out of his mind last week. I think he's a. Fantastic streaming option at quarterback much less like I think he could be a top to a quarterback this week. The Colts defense has been got awful. He was QB 13 last week. Mariotta was and he didn't even run and we know that like that's basically like his best asset. Terry McClore and Stefan Diggs, like all the parts or pieces for the commander's offense are really in a good spot here. Like if jacory crosskey merit does gets another 15 to 17 opportunities and gets the end zone like he's an RB two. So I don't want to say like this is a start him if you got him kind of commanders game, but this game is. Could be a low key shoot out because I don't think out that either of the defenses on either side can offer pushback fits. What do you make of the Colts defense as a matchup for your fantasy managers. It just in terms of like first two weeks they face the Ravens and the chiefs and that's going to be really difficult for a lot of defenses in week three. It's the Texas that's going to be pretty easy for a lot of defenses. They probably the truth is at the end of somewhere in the middle. But where are they at in your opinion in terms of a defense to be going up against with your fantasy players. I don't think they're in the middle. I think they're near the bottom and the Texans just made them look respectable. And I know the chiefs and Ravens are really tough matchups, but yeah Colts defense right now 31st in yards allowed per play 6.5 yards per play. Only the Cardinals are worse and only by a smidge. Colts are 30th in defense of DVOA 30th against the run 28th against the pass. They're linebackers. I think are the worst in the league. And so yeah, the two guys I think I'm most excited about for the commanders this week looks like there's a good chance for shot white misses this game with the shoulder injury. So this could be a pretty good spot for jacquery crosskey merits, even though he has not had a run of longer than 11 yards this season is averaging only three yards per carry. And then Stefan digs like the Colts have really been getting worked over by slot receiver so far. And I don't think that means you can't play Terry McClaren. I think he's a reasonable play to like sauce gardener isn't a matchup to be feared anymore. But digs the Colts have been getting pummeled pretty good by slot receivers to your point also fitsy about bill. I'm not saying the bill was played well. This is a big offense of line problem for the kids. That's the problem bill. Dude, he has the second highest rate of all running backs to least 20 carries of getting hit at or behind the line. But to the point the Colts are going at the 5th most yards before contact for attempt. So he might have some running lanes in this game. And it's not ideal that I think the commanders have already rolled out Sam Cosme for this game. So yeah, not a good offensive line, but weakness against weakness. We've been bringing it up all week, but just to throw it out there, jacquery crosskey merit did have a 48 yard touchdown around. So those numbers would have looked even better or different against a, you know, Seattle last week, if that had to stay at the stood D. Bro, Stefan Diggs, why does he were 31 too high too low, just right too low too low too low too low. I've got him. I'm going to be above consensus right now. Where do I have digs Stefan Diggs. I've got him at wider seer 28. So just a shade above, but if we flip over the cards, like depending because we also need some injury stuff, like some clarity. On some players, so like when it's all said and done for final Sunday rankings, he might be like borderline like blow in wider seer to and I'm not going to be surprised if he produces as a wider seer to because just for everybody at home right now, Stefan Diggs is the wider seer 17 and fantasy points per game. Let's go to game number two Titans at Ravens. We all kind of expect, at least I hope you all kind of expect that the Ravens are going to roll in this one. So just for fun, let's predict Derek Henry's stat line for his first ever game facing the Titans, a bit of your revenge game here. He has talked about this week that, you know, he doesn't view it in that light. It's just, you know, another week and he has, you know, a lot of respect and love for his time there. But still, it's his first time facing the team that they want to resign. So I think we can maybe have some fun with this. Debra, I'll start with you. What's his style? I'm going to look like. So one of the few things the Titans have actually done is play run defense. They're allowing the fourth lowest explosive run rate 13th lowest Russian success rate 7th lowest zone yards per carry. And Derek Henry almost 58% zone runs. Now all that being said, Derek Henry is probably going to sniff in the neighborhood of 20 opportunities in this game. I'll give him, I'll go high level view here. I'll give him 20 touches 95 total yards and he gets the ends on the least once. Yeah, the amount of work he gets in this one, I think is interesting fits because on the one hand, you can say, okay, the Ravens want to like really let Henry show out against his former team on the other hand. They need him for the long haul and this feels like a game where if they go up early, maybe they can dial it down because he's he's been getting tons of touches. He has two games already this season through three weeks with at least 24 carries. I would imagine that they would like to lower that number a bit if they can at least early in the year and kind of save them a bit for December. What do you think the stat lines going to look like? I'll say pretty good volume 129 rushing arts one touchdown. Yeah, by the way, I was just revisiting the Titans years for Derek Henry. So eight eight seasons, 93 touchdowns. And I mean, obviously Derek Henry is going to wind up in the hall of fame. But like, can you imagine what the career might have looked like if he hadn't been the backup to Demarco Murray first first two seasons. He had four four starts in his first two years in the league because Demarco Murray was ahead of him and he only started when Demarco Murray was banged up. But then once he got going in what 2018 is first years as starter six seasons his last six years with the Titans five 1000 yard rushing seasons, including at 2000 yard rushing season in 2020. And the only miss was in 2021 when he broke his foot in week eight. At the time, he had 937 rushing arts and 10 touchdowns through eight weeks. And just how everybody remembers two kindly in 2018, he was also splitting work with Dion Lewis. So things that should have never happened to Derek Henry that uh that 2018 or side of 20 that's my 21 season where he got hurt where he played eight games fits. He still finished the RV 16 on the season. He played half the year. It's off to such a good start. Can I just say that like I honestly don't know if we've ever respected Derek Henry enough as much respect as we're giving him like right here because how many years in the fantasy community was like. Oh, he doesn't catch passes. He doesn't catch enough passes. Oh, Derek Henry and and we're like, but he's not in the right use of the receiving game and Derek Henry is just. Yeah, I always kind of scoff a little when I hear talking heads say like, oh, Derek Henry is like the last, you know, great Hall of Fame running back because the people don't care about the running game anymore. I'm like, listen, Jim, your Gibbs and B. John Robinson are amazing. Like there are other guys coming through who look who could be on this level. But it is just so fun to watch a Hall of Fame or who's like in his 30s still basically borderline playing like his prime is really. Yeah, so we've done our modern NFL running back like personified whereas Derek Henry is a throwback to the 1970s thrown into the modern era and it's kind of fun to watch. Yeah, it's amazing to watch. I just threw my hands up about three or four years ago and I was just like, okay, fine. Derek Henry is an RB one and he is an outlier and I need to see it not work before I'm going to bet on it not working. And and it's cool. It's him and Lamar in the same backfield has been absolutely as cool as everybody expected. I mean, still this year he's still 11th amongst running backs in yards of the contact for attempt. It's insane. He's insane. All right, let's go to what might be a closer game here. Patriots at bills. Drake May has had a nightmare start to the season. Maybe 31 through three weeks. Consensus rankings haven't punished him too much yet though. He's QB 14 and ECR. Is that too high too low or just right for May against this bill's defense fence. I am at QB 12. I still think Drake May is good at football. I get the people are frustrated. The Drake May investors. There are people in the fantasy pros discord asking me if they should start Kirk cousins over Drake May this week and they seem unsatisfied when I tell them that I would still start May. And like of course cousins could absolutely outscore May this week, but I'm I'm making the bat on May 11 times out of 10 over cousins. And I don't want to make too many excuses for May. He has not been good this year. But did have a brutal road matchup against Seattle and week one. That's the toughest matchup you can have for a quarterback. Wasn't really that bad against Pittsburgh and week two only needed to throw 22 passes didn't have any touchdowns so like statistically unsatisfying. And then last week, yeah, just a terrible game against the Jaguars. And I do think not having AJ Brown is a limiting factor and his offensive line hasn't played well. They've kind of picked up where they left off in the playoffs last year. But I still think May is good. He's still as the running ability. I mean his Kirk cousins going to get you any rushing production like May had a 21 yard touchdown run wiped out by a holding penalty last week. And this week, I think what you like about Drake May is that the Patriots are going to have to try to keep pace with Josh Allen and the bills. And the bills are going to be without Christian Benford their best cover man. So I do think there's a ray of hope for Drake May this week. Drake may looks broken on some level D bro and yet I feel like just on principle, if you're in any kind of league that values quarterbacks, super flex format dynasty, whatever, it just feels like he on principle is probably a smart person to try and buy at a low cost because the upside, even if there's no guarantee that he gets to that upside this season, the upside is just so immense for a player like this. Yeah, I don't disagree with that. I think in any dynasty format, I don't know anybody that's going to be selling him. Like low enough to like get rid of him, like, I know, Fitsy, if we have men in the leagues, you're not getting rid of him as most people do because again, we're only four weeks into the season or we will be four weeks after Sunday into the season. So it's a small sample size, no AJ Brown is doing a lot of, you know, disservice for Drake May, but he is not playing well. He's pressing. But to say all of this, I think there is a way of hope that Fitsy, like, laid out here perfectly, no Christian Benford does a ton of things for Drake May and the coverage matchup for him this week. You have two receivers in Romeo dobs and Mac Hollins that are very good against too high. And so looking at the coverage matchup for Drake May, like I'm at ECR right now. I've got him at QB 14, but I mean, you tell me he's a QB one this week trying to keep pace with Josh Allen. I'm not hating that at all. You two and I are in a dynasty league together that where I have Drake May and Justin Herbert as my two quarterbacks and somehow thank you Kenneth. I'm two wins this season, but with those two at quarter back every weekend has been really painful. I see your quarterback situation and I'll show you mine and mine's way worse on that league, by the way, and losing Jackson dark did me no favors. Yeah, I wasn't going to call you out for that. The winner of the fantasy football championship belt giveaway is Cook Daddy 29. Please get in touch with our customer support agents at [email protected] with a screenshot of your YouTube account page while logged in. Once we confirm it's you will get you your prize again, congrats to Cook Daddy 29. If you want a chance to give your fantasy league the ultimate championship upgrade courtesy of our good friends at trophy smack the number one destination for epic fantasy football hardware. Then this is your shot. We are now giving away a 26 to 36 inch custom football trophy. It's a massive centerpiece built to make your league championship feel like a big deal. On the best part, you can make it your own choose your top or personalize the center and front plaques customize the columns and create a trophy that represents your league to enter. All you need to do is subscribe to the fantasy pros fantasy football YouTube channel right now. Drop a comment below on any of our videos and that is it. We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel. So be sure to turn on notifications so you don't miss your chance to claim your prize. All right, next game up guys Jets at bears. Just an easy one here. Where are you guys ranking Braille and Alan as the Jets starting running back this week against the bears. We expected Breesaw to not play that has been official now made officially is ruled out for this game. So where is Braille and Alan ranked for you. RB 19. I just looking at him as a volume based RB two with a good match up in this one and you know I love it. the way that Braille and Alan's always categorized is like a big thumper. Like dude, he doesn't run to his size. He hasn't since college. Like he doesn't break a ton of tackles. This year he has zero explosive runs, 1.89 yards of to contact for a tenth. So like the pertouch efficiency, I don't think is going to be amazing for Braille and Alan. However long he keeps this starter's chair for the jets until Breeze is back. But the matchup is awesome. And like the Bears still can't stop the run. Nine highest explosive run rate, highest rushing success rate. So I think Braille and Alan's sniffing somewhere in like the 15 to 18 opportunities category. And if he gets into the ends on this week, it'll be probably a top 15 back just based off volume. He's RB 21 in the half PPR consensus rankings here. Fits unlike my joke about you watching Jim Brown at college. You actually did watch a lot of Braille and Alan at college because he is a Wisconsin badger. What is your thoughts on sort of his early career so far and what you expect to see at him? Yeah. Debra nailed it. Like Alan is the 235 pound back who sometimes thinks he's a 200 pound back and would rather allude guys than run over them. And it's funny though, every once in a while, he'll remember how big he is and just bury some poor corner back who's coming up to try to make a tackle on him. And that's always fun to watch. But yeah, like I'm a little lower than Debra. I'm an RB 21. And I guess I have no beef with RB 19. I think that could be spot on the question is just how much are the jets going to mix in Isaiah Davis? Because we had heard Aaron Glenn talk about this maybe being a three headed backfield before the season. Isaiah Davis is only played special team so far this season. No offensive snaps. Now that's going to change this week because they're going to need someone to occasionally relieve really brave when Alan, but how occasional. Because the matchup is good. I know the Bears haven't been quite the defensive pushover. People expected them to be in the Eagles offense made the Bears defense look very good last Monday night. But this is still not a very good Chicago defense. The Bears are 28th and DVO against the run. They're giving up 4.8 yards per carry to running backs. Very good matchup for Braille and Alan. And maybe he does get like 20 touches entirely possibly. Yeah. And in the fourth quarter of Fancy, he played 72% of the snaps. I think you're going to see around like a 65 70% snap rate for Braille and Alan. And to your point, the only reason I have him an RB 19 is more of like just a state of the running back position. Like I don't know if Aaron Jones holds up another week with an 80% snap count. Bucky Irving, how much does he play? Amari and Hampton, game scripted out, David Montgomery, dealing with Woody Marks. Like I think Braille and Alan, I feel really good about his volume workload. That's the only reason I have him as high as I do and the matchup. It might be surprising to some. I mean, we remember how young he came into the league. Still only 22 years old Braille and Alan. He's going to be 22 the entire season. He was the youngest player at any position in his draft class. Yeah, couldn't even drink. Couldn't even drink it and getting in a full paychecks. I also find it's surprising. I'm looking at his like career stats right now that he only has four rushing touchdowns in his career because I feel like it has happened more often that I want a breeze hall touchdown and I look up and it's Braille and Alan. But I guess it hasn't actually happened that often. It's just in my head. I just remember the times it does happen. It's funny because he could play Derek Henry in a movie, but he doesn't run like Derek Henry. Yeah. No, no. Braille and Alan has always been a dancing bear going back to college where you're just like, bro, lower your shoulder. And he's like, but I can juke move. I can jump cut. And it's like, no, no, dude, you can't don't do that. Let's go to maybe the best game on the Sunday slate. Jags at Bengals, the total 51 and a half and a spread of just two and a half points. So a very fun game that we're expecting. So just have fun with this. Give me a final score prediction and a player of the game fits. I'll say Duval pulls this one out in a nail bider 24 to 23 comes down to the last possession player of the game. I'll say Trevor Lawrence. Like he's been pretty good. Hasn't thrown 30 passes in a game yet this season. So the fantasy stance are not like eye popping. But I think Liam Cohen gives Trevor the opportunity to let his hair down. So to speak in this game throws 35 or more times and has 300 plus yards and three TVs. That's my prediction. I feel like this game will tell us a lot about actually kind of both of these teams, but really the Jags is what I'm looking at because yes, they have a couple of blood wins this season. It was against week one to Sean Watson and it was against a really struggling Drake May. And then they lost pretty handedly, you know, in Denver, which is a tough place to play. I feel like we don't quite know just how good this Jags team can be yet and playing at Sinsi. I think we'll give us a better idea of that. Debra, what do you expect out of this game? I was just waiting for you to make some kind of hair joke. I feel like I was going to catch a stray after that. So now I got on my snarky jokes out of the way towards Fitz already. Yeah. Okay. All right. All right. Well, I'll wait for later in the show because I know it's coming. You're going to let me let my guard down. But dude, I think this game is going to be a shootout. I'm going to just go high watermark here. I think it's 31-28 and I am taking the Jacksonville Jaguars. I think that they win this game and I'll go with the low hanging fruit for a team that hasn't been pushed to have a monster output on offense yet or at least going to counter punch and go back and forth with the team yet. I think we're going to see a blow up game for Parker Washington. I think we're due for it. And the matchup also leans itself that way. Like we know DJ Turner is lurking on the outside. So Jacobi Myers, Brian Thomas Jr. Josh Cameron. Good luck. Parker Washington versus Cincinnati in the slot. Cincinnati is quietly given up the seventh most charts per target and the seventh most fantasy points per opportunity to opposing slot receivers. Jalen Davis, their slot corner has not been good. He's quietly been terrible amongst 25 qualifying slot corners. He's given the 11th highest EPA per target up and the 4th highest step of separation. So I think this is where we finally see Parker Washington erupt with 100 yard game and multiple scores. Yeah, that would be really fun. And I think very possible in this one. I had to get that contract done, man. That price is only going up. Yeah. But where is that park watching your ranked? I mean, obviously everybody's starting him, but just I curious you where he ranked. Oh, I've got him aggressive. I mean, he's inside the top 10 and he's here. Why do you see for seven? Yeah, he's why do you see for nine and you see our fits. Where's he for you? 10 for me. And I might have to come up by hate being below. You see our in Parker Washington. Yeah, it doesn't feel a fun right now to be below on him. Let's go to Cowboys at Texans. This should be a matchup of strength on strength with the Cowboys offense facing the Texas defense, though. Houston hasn't really lived up to the air out of the bargain so far this season with their defense. How do you see this game playing out high scoring back and forth, a fair or more slower, lower scoring game fits. Can I go somewhere in the middle? Like I know the Texans haven't been great defensively, but I've no doubt this is still one of the best defenses in the league. So it's strength against strength when the Cowboys have the ball, but it's kind of weakness against weakness when the Texans have the ball. The Houston offense might be slightly better than last year, but still isn't good and the Dallas defense. It has the potential to be better than it was last season, but it's a really banged up unit right now, especially in the back end. Maybe Joey Porter suits up for the Cowboys this week. I don't know how many snaps he would play when he's just learning Christian Parker system. You know, Nico Collins, possibly back for the Texans, which would further stress that beaten up Dallas secondary. And yeah, I want to see if George Pickens can get it going in this game. Pretty tough matchup. Maybe this isn't the weekend for Pickens to break out, but he's his investors. I know are growing impatient. Well, where are you ranking Pickens fits before he toss it to zero? Cause he's water see for 15. That's where I am. I'm on ECR. Okay. Yeah. It's been frustrated for me. He's three finishes so far. The season of the water see for 66, water see for 41 and water see for 27. Really season. Yeah, no touch downs yet, which, you know, there's only so much you can do to overcome that with catches and yards. Debro, where are you at on this game? I've got the answers for all of this. George Pickens break out week, baby. Okay, calling it right now. I think he's going to have a monster game. And this all goes to the coverage stuff. And the reason George Pickens hasn't had a monster game, if you look at the coverage splits between him and CDLAM over the last few years, between single high and two high CDLAM is a two high guy. Dallas has played a lot of two high teams thus far. George Pickens is going to erupt because the Houston Texans play single high at the third highest rate, 67% in the NFL. George Pickens this year versus single high 54% target per route run rate, 3.54 yards per route run. If you combine this year and last year as well, people want a larger sample. George Pickens versus single high 30% target per route run rate 3.56 yards per route run. He eats it alive. You can even go back to Steelers splits and George Pickens had it then too. So I think this is the pickens game. I think this is going to be a high scoring affair with the fact that Nico Collins is back in this game is massive for the Texans ability to try to keep pace with the cowboys in this game. If he wasn't in this game, then I would be much more of like, uh, this is totally to come down just a little bit, but I think it's going to be a high scoring affair. Who do you prefer, Debro, between Nico or Pickens? If you could only start one this week, they're right to set the top 15 for pickens. It's quarterback play, man. I'm after taking back or CJ Stroud. I'm taking I pickens one spot ahead of Nico. The one thing that worries me about the cowboys though, like, and it, you know, Debro makes the good. point about coverage. But like we haven't seen Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter just rack a game for an opposing offense yet. And those guys are like capable of that in any week where it's just the opposing quarterback has zero time to throw. None of the pass catchers are going off because the quarterback is under such duress. 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Hi, this is Kylie Breakman, Angel Jaretana, and we're the hosts of The Artists on Artists on Artists on Artists podcast. The Improvized Character Comedy Podcast, we're each week a new panel of artists discuss their craft. Join us for a panel of wellness influencers. What I try to do is foe journal. I don't know. I think I sort of foe journaling. Yeah, it's reading. It's called reading. So you're so we don't like to use that word anymore. Okay, a panel of New Yorker cartoonists. Have you guys done Terry Gross's Peloton class? No, I've been dying too. I'm so sorry. I'm seeing a reading of Sadako in the Thousand Paper Cranes by Audrement Donald at the Wonderland bookstore. That's crazy. I went to the Wonderland bookstore yesterday. And I heard Nora Jones do a reading of Zero Doctor 30. No way. I have to come to the last bookstore though. Kim Catrol is reading the guitar tabs of yesterday. A panel of Eurovision participants. He winks on Halloween. It's right up next to the microphone. I hear you get almost here. You never seen Italy so quiet as when the Pope gets up to wink on Halloween. Listen to Artists on Artists on Artists on Artists. On the I heard Radio App, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Hamza and I'm Martin and we're the host of Out of Character. It's a podcast. I know there's a lot of them going around, but why should you listen hours? Well, we're only the best podcast in the entire world and we talk about pretty much everything under the sun. For example, music we're listening to, underground music, trending music, drama in music worlds. Yes, sometimes we even talk about just everyday mundane situations in our lives like the cool Uber driver we just had or the food we just say that is surprisingly delicious. Or we'll talk about the Med Gala and the looks that they were. Are they awesome? Are they trendy? Come find out. Because our opinion matters and so does yours. And this is a place where all of our minds can come together and connect. So what are you waiting for? Come connect with us. Listen to Out of Character from Will Ferrell's Big Money Players Network. On the I Heart Radio App, Apple Pods or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Britt Coleman and I'm Trevor Sikama. If you ever watched a game and wondered what really made the difference beyond the final score, that's exactly why we created NFL Pro Strowth, got a man wide open, touchdown, straight hooks. Every week we use exclusive next-gen stats insights and NFL content to break down the biggest stories, matchups and moments from around the league. We go beyond the box squad to uncover the numbers, the tendencies and details that help explain what actually happened on the field. And don't worry this isn't just a show for stats experts, we use advanced analytics to help tell the story behind the game, turning the numbers into insights that every fan can understand and enjoy. So whether you're a casual fan learning more about football or a hardcore fan who can't get enough analysis, our goal is to help you see the game in a whole new way. If you've ever wanted to know why a playwork, how a matchup was won or what most fans missed on Sunday, NFL Pro delivers the insights you simply can't get anywhere else. Listen to NFL Pro on the I Heart Radio App, Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. Nico based on the are they playing tool of fantasypro's.com 81% chance to play, we're expecting him to play, but that's a nice tool if anybody is ever trying to make those early week decisions. I need to tell everybody about this new prediction market called polymarket. It's a stock exchange for sports buying in and selling out on your terms when your team goes down to 20%. You can buy in and sell it off at 40% when they come back to double your money. They are so confident you'll never go back to the other guys. They're giving you a free $25 on your first trade when you deposit just $10. And now they've launched a new feature called squads, a group chat where you can see what everyone is trading on. So download the polymarket app today and use FPPOD when you sign up. That's FPPOD to get $25 free after you deposit just $10. Okay, next game. Cardinals at Giants. Guys, Jeremiah love had the best game of his young career last week against the Niners with 19.4 half PPR points and an RB seven finish. Where are you ranking him against the Giants and also where you ranking him rest of season fits? I'm an RB 11 this week and RB 11 rest of season. And I do realize those are pretty conservative rankings. The Giants were terrible against the run last year. I think they might be more of a neutral matchup this year. They were pretty good against Javante Williams in week one sort of got run over by the Rams in week two, but the Giants offense wasn't doing its part to keep the Rams offense off the field in that game. And then the Giants just stuffed the Titans run a game last week, although that's really no great feat. So the Giants, their run defense currently 10th in DVOA. I think that's falsely high, but last year they were dead last and they're better than that this year. And then RB 11 for Jeremiah love rest of season might be conservative, but the Cardinals really don't have any incentive to give love 20 to 25 touches a week when they're still in sort of come up mode and not really contending for anything this year. Although Michael of Florida does seem to have the Kyle Shanahan gene where he just can't stop giving his lead guy that many, I mean we saw Jeremiah love get way too much work in his first preseason game. And plus at some point we might get a prolonged Carson back audition at quarterback late in the season, which might not be positive for the Arizona offense. Deborah, where are you at on love? By the way, just in terms of the consensus ranking sees RB 10 for this week, RB 13 rest of season. So fits just behind consensus for this week, just ahead of consensus rest of season. I've got him at RB 14 for this week and rest of season, I have my RB 15. And I just want to give Fitz flowers to lead this off of what I'm going to discuss about love. We kind of batted it back and forth last week about like, why is Jeremiah love? And I gave the Cardinals all, you know, both barrels. And I was like so idiotic blah blah blah. Apparently it was just the injury because he was a bellcat last week. So shout out to Fitz he for being ahead of the curve on that when I was behind. But dude, I will be at consensus or above on Jeremiah love, like right now in rest of season. So I need to come up on my ranking because to Fitz's point, I don't I'm not scared of the Giants run defense man. They've given up the seventh highest explosive run rate in the sixth highest Russian success rate. I think this is another game where Jeremiah love has a really good outing. And he is the clear bell cow apparently. So while rest of season, I do have concerns about the Cardinals offense. The only thing where fits and I differ right now is like if they stay competitive, I think we see percent for the rest of the year are barring an injury. Like I don't think Carson Beck is is a long term answer quarterback either do I, but that schedule is brutal. Like they can be a they can be a respectable team and still only win like four games this year. And I just feel like at some point, there's no incentive not to give Carson back a couple of starts. You know what I mean? Just to see what you're what sort of hand you're holding before next year's draft. Debra, did you say you want to be above consensus on love? I do. Because he's RB 10. Jaylen Warren was RB 9. So he's already played obviously. And then it's like kind of the eight usual suspects ahead of him Gibbs Robinson Walker McCaffrey Henry Taylor cook and Gentie. So I'm not sure how much higher you can really move unless you want to knock down one of those bigger names. I mean, I would say I'm more concerned about Gentie and spags trying to just take away the run and stuff because it's like the two pillars of the Raiders offense. Okay, Bowers and Gentie take those away. And what do you have left to beat us? So I'm probably going to drop Gentie. And I'll you know, I'll kind of sift through the rest of this and stuff. But I do think love has a massive game this week. Okay. Let's go to Rams at Eagles. The Eagles looked bad against the Bears defense that we all expected to be one of the worst in football this season on a scale from 1 to 10. What is your panic level on Philly right now? Can they bounce back against a good Rams team, Debra? 6.5. That's that's about where I'm at. Like and I'm more worried about the defense than I am about the offense. Like and I know that sounds like kind of strange. But I think Jaylen hurts learning This new playbook and all the parts of pieces in between. I think that we're going to see a better improved offense as we move through the season as opposed to what we're seeing right now. But on the other side of it, like Philly outside of Tariq Wolven and Quinyan on the outside, what are they doing? Well, like the run defense has improved some. The middle of the field, they're not defending it well. Cooper Dijin is playing some really rough football right now and they don't have a pass rush. So I'm more worried about like this vaunted Eagles defense that we were expecting coming into the season. That has a crap ton of talent. Has it really played up to the bar yet? Fits. I'm in a seven. I'm glad DeBro pointed out the fact that maybe we should give the Eagles a little bit of grace early in the season because they are like the offensive M.O. is just changing. It's not just different play calling. It's like trying to have Jalen Hertz play under center more. That's a change. It's probably going to take some time to take hold. The part that worries me is that like the Eagles offensive line is just they used to have one of the best offensive lines. If not the best offensive line in the league, I don't even know if it's average right now. Like so far this year, it's been below average. The Eagles ranked 24th in the run blocking metric adjusted line yards and they are 26th in the past blocking metric adjusted sac rate. And I know they are putting in a new scheme to moving on from their old offensive line coach, Jeff Stoutland. And supposedly like it's an easier scheme for them to digest. There's less for the offensive lineman to read pre snap. But man, so far, the performance has just been pretty disappointing. And maybe no Devonte Smith this week. I know he wasn't practicing as of Thursday. So boy, going up against the good Rams defense might have to ratchet up the panic meter or just a little higher after this game. So your point, Fancy like no Smith this week, no Dallas Goddard still out like that missing some of your most talented players. Also, Makai Lim and not being there for preseason and training camp. And you could see it in the data. The Eagles are still kind of struggling like, how do we best utilize this player? So they're trying to figure it out real time of like, how do we deploy this guy? It's a lot of moving around chess pieces around the board for the Eagles right now. Yeah. So you guys were a six and a half and a seven. And when I put together this question, I was thinking about a six for myself. So we're all kind of in the same range here. And I mean, it's really like this isn't meant to be a knock on Jalen Hertz. It's just when you think about the strength of the Eagles team as they've been so good the last few years. It's the offensive line of the defense. The defense has not lived up to expectations. And the offensive line, like you said, fits has been not right bad. And so if those are sort of the pillars of your organization, and they're not performing, I think it's fair to have some level of maybe panics too strong a word, but it's concerned. Certainly. Just quickly before we move off this game, where you guys ranking Don Tavian wicks with all the other players out. And I don't think that I don't think that I think Devon to Smith has been all been pretty much ruled out for when you were for playing the game. It's pretty, pretty unlikely plays. I Don Tavian wicks by the way, Devon to Smith in our are they playing tool 15% chance? And I think that'll go down today. Like I get I better get through without today. Don Tavian wicks, I'm probably he's going to be in the White receiver three category for me. Like I'm going to have him swimming somewhere in the same pool of like Stefan digs, a mecca, Buca, JMO, somewhere around there. So somewhere in like the White receiver 28, 20, White receiver 28 to 30 kind of category. He's White receiver 39 right now. So you're going to be well. And I think you could be a White receiver to this week based off a target volume. Like who else is catching the football? I've got him 39 and I will not come up like the ECR is going to come up on him when Devon to Smith has scratched. I'm not coming up. That's as high as I can go with this offense, looking the way it has. Okay. It's time for fresh from the oven takes brought to you by de Giorno. Just like a pizza fresh out of the oven, these takes are hot, fresh and ready for Monday night. Let's break down the matchup. I for one am super excited about the Falcon Saints rivalry matchup we're getting on Monday. And I can't wait to sit on the couch watching B. John Robinson torch defenders all night long my hot take for this one. Both offenses stay as hot as a fresh from your oven pizza and each team ends up scoring over 30 points in a barn burner. And while the stars are dominating on the field, I'll be dominating the Monday night dinner game with de Giorno. I'm a pepperoni guy myself, but whatever tastes you're looking for, make sure you fill your freezer ahead of time by stocking up on de Giorno. So you can level up your Monday night watching Drake London and Chris Alave. Both finish as top three receivers in fantasy this week. That's another hot take for you. These were your fresh from the oven takes brought to you by de Giorno. Like Monday night pizza night with fresh from your oven taste. It's not delivery. It's de Giorno. Packers at Buccaneer's next game up Tampa Bay is without Baker Mayfield. Of course, but the Packers have also been a train wreck this season. Sorry, Fitz. How interested are you in starting a mecca and Buka this week, Pat? Because I mean, again, it is the seems like it's the opposite of a, you know, unstoppable force meeting a movable object. This is a stoppable force meeting a very movable object in fairness. The Packers defense was pretty good against the Vikings in week one up until the very end. And against the Jets in week two, then fell apart against the Falcons. No question. I've got a Buka wide receiver 34. And I do kind of regret having ranked him one spot ahead of Denzel Boston. Like the chances with Jalen Daniels and how weird is it that the first quarterback from the class of 2026 to make a start is the undrafted rookie free agents. That's pretty wild. Yeah, sooner than Fernando Mendoza, the number one pick in the draft is crazy. Um, so I've got a Buka wide receiver 34. I don't think there's a great chance of him getting five or more catches. It's all about whether he can make a big player to you are exactly aligned with consensus. He is wide receiver 34 in ECR. Debra, where are you at? I'm a little bit higher up. Got him at wide receiver 30. Um, and this is only because at Buka has been playing way better football than his stat lines and his fantasy points per game suggest. Like right now amongst 88 or excuse me, 86 qualifying wide receivers. He's 19th in separation, 15th and we're out win rate. The problem with a Buka is a Baker Mayfield problem. He has the 12th lowest amongst 88 qualifying wide receivers, the 12th lowest catchable target rate. So I look at Jalen Daniels starting and I'm like, okay, he might not be amazing, but I don't know if he can give a Mekka Buka less catchable targets than Baker Mayfield's been doing. So I honestly, he might be an improvement this week. He might. Mekka Buka might see more catchable targets. And if that's the case, to fit this point, like, yeah, the Packers have been in a rollercoaster for a defense. They're allowing the 12th most charts per target in the six most fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers. This could quietly be a really good game for a Mekka Buka. But again, like this is assuming at least league average quarterback play for Jalen Daniels. And that might be an assumption way too far than I'm making. So for you, Debro, I know the answer for fits like Buka or Don Tavine Wix, who would you rather start? Sound like Buka? Because you said, because you said he's about, you know, given where he's ranked, it's similar to where you said you're probably going to bump Wix up to. So, but you'd rather have it Buka. Yeah, I've got him right above Wix right now. Okay. Before we get to the next game, fantasy pros users can now get 30 days of betting pros premium, absolutely free, unlock powerful NFL betting tools, including the prop bet cheat cheat prize picks optimizer and the brand new parlay wizard. You can even sink your sports books to track all your bets live in one place, start your exclusive 30 day free trial in the betting pros app or a betting pros dot com slash apps with code fp one month. That's the number one, not written out. That's betting pros dot com slash apps and promo code fp one month. Let's get to the late afternoon slate here guys dolphins at Vikings. Ollie Gordon was the big waiver pick up of the week with divine H and out for the season. Now the dolphins have to face an angry bride floor as defense, whereas Gordon ranked for you this week, Debro. Right now he is RB 36 and wherever ECR is come Sunday morning, I want to make sure I'm below it because I feel like we're going to get rug pulled with Ollie Gordon or it's the least possible right now. He was the big waiver wire pickup because everybody's like, oh, he got all the work and stuff and blah, blah, blah, he's going to be the starter. Jalen Wright was out and he has been the RB two on the step chart. This week, Jalen Wright, who was out of that game with a foot injury and a stinger, had a limited practice to open the week and had a full practice. So I think that we're going to see Jalen Wright, he might be the starter for the Miami Dolphins this week or at least at bare minimum if he is active, splitting work with Ollie Gordon this week because if you look just throughout the entirety of the season, like, I know we've only gotten seven offensive snaps for Jalen Wright, but Ollie Gordon didn't get any offensive snaps. Excuse me, he got four offensive snaps in week one and he basically hasn't done anything and he's been behind Wright the entire time on the step chart and oh, by the way, Ollie Gordon hasn't been good since 2025. He has 1.8 four yards of to contact per attempt at an 8% mistackle rate. So I think this could be a rug pull situation. I don't want to start Ollie Gordon. Fits. I don't know if I agree that Jalen Wright has always been the number two behind Devon H and it seems like the Dolphins have kind of oscillated on that since 2025 when they drafted Ollie. But like, it could be right. I feel like the Dolphins don't know whether they like Jalen Wright or dislike Jalen Wright. And like, Gordon Jordan hasn't been good, but I don't think Jalen Wright's been particularly good either. So I agree, though, it's a very ambiguous situation. Right now, I've got Oligorn RB34 and right RB42, and I have no idea if that's right. And I really don't want to play either against the Bryan Floor as defense. I mean, the Vikings have allowed, I think, the six fewest rushing yards. And they're going to be, we've talked about the Revenge Narrative with Bryan Floor is going against the team that fired him. Oh, and not only did they fire him after three years as their head coach, they fired him. And we're later found to have been talking to Sean Payton about the head coaching job before they had fired Bryan Floor is. So yes, Bryan Floor is is going to be dialing up everything and probably pulling everything out of his bag this week against the poor undermaned Miami Dolphins who don't have to manage it. There is a morbid curiosity in watching this defense going up against Dolphins offense. I mean, how many times in NFL history do we have a coach who is suing the other team who is already one of the blitz heaviest coaches in the NFL going up against a woefully undermaned offense? Like it is going to be some a sight to watch. I think, honestly, I think the implied Vegas total for Miami is 13 points and that seems wildly aspirational. I'll take the under. Yeah. So are you guys interested in starting Malik Washington, just in the idea, like a PPR league and the idea you might get a lot of empty calorie catches or Erickson brought this up that if you're going to blitz, I mean, that might mean Malik Willis going to his hot rod guy, a lot of the time, which is probably going to be Malik Washington. And so I, but that might mean a stat line like six for 53. So I do have him sort of like, I think high end wide receiver, four low end wide receiver three somewhere in there playable, but maybe in PPR, not really in like standard or half PPR when I be. He's. He's back to back in ECR with David Wicks actually there in that kind of late 30s ranking range. Since we're going down the Malik Washington rabbit hole, can I give a little bit of shine to Chris Bell? Because if I, if I'm going for the, for a flex play out of one of these guys out of this past catching core, I'm firmly Chris Bell over Malik Washington. Malik Washington's been getting all these empty PPR calories and this high target share. I, again, we have to monitor the news and stuff. And a lot of this comes down to like the health of Chris Bell's knee. He had a 64% route share and a 19% target share last week. I think there, there, if his knee complies, we could be living in a world where the route share goes up yet again this week. And maybe he takes the 20% plus target share this week away from Malik Washington. And he's a decent flex play because while Minnesota has been awesome on a defense and they've been insane, they're also giving up the 11th most charged for target and the 10th most fantasy points for opportunities perimeter wide receivers. So there is hope for Chris Bell. A lot of that was against the Packers where they were sending the house at Jordan Love. Love would manage to complete throws to Christian Watson and Matthew Golden and there were only like three guys in the defensive backfield to try to tackle those dudes. So there were some huge plays in that week one game for the Packers. I think that's kind of like skewing that stat. I just, I would much rather of the short and generally I agree like Chris Bell would be the guy probably want in season long more than Malik Washington, just because Washington, we know the upside isn't really much of anything, but against the Vikings that like I want the short area receiver, not the downfield guy. Well, the one about Chris Bell, a lot of crossers and stuff where he's just been asked to run away from guys. So yeah. Next game chiefs at Raiders, a surprisingly fun one. It's a three in a record for the Raiders. They're one of the early contenders for surprise stories of the year. They now get their toughest matchup yet so far in the also undefeated chiefs. It felt to me when I was putting together the show sheet that most players in this game are either pretty obvious starts or pretty obvious sits. So I just wanted to keep it simple. Go ahead and pick this game against the spread chiefs minus four and a half and the total 47 and a half fits will start with you, I'm going to take the Raiders and the under. Like I think they make this a game and one of the reasons like Max Crosby has been playing so insanely well, the whole Raiders defense really. And like as well as the chiefs have been playing, they are starting an undrafted rookie free agent at left tackle and their right tackle is not especially good. And I think that could be a problem on the edges this week against the Raiders, Debra. I agree with Fitzi on the under, I'm taking the chiefs and I think they cover in this one. And this isn't like Raiders hate and stuff like that, but this is just going back again to the spags of it all. I think spags like for a defensive coordinator that prides himself on like literally it's I'm going to take away your best player. I'm going to do that. The Raiders have two pillars of this is their entire freaking offense is Brock Bauer's and Ashton Gentie. So I'm not saying you can eliminate either one of those players fully from the game plan, but can you throw enough potholes on the road to where it makes it very difficult? Yes. And it's not like Kirk Cousins isn't a limited quarterback. So I think the chiefs can cover, I think this is probably an uglier game than a lot of people expect. And to the Max Crosby of it all, I think he is going to be in the backfield religiously really staring down at my homes as he sacks in this week, so. So Debra, are you like fading Brock Bauer's and the rankings in anticipation of this? I mean, there's only so far. You cannot. You can fade him. So I mean, like if you got him, you're starting him, but like he's going to get target volume. The question is, you know, how successful is he with that target volume? So yeah, I mean, nobody has to make this decision. But like, would you rank him behind Tramick bride for this week or are you? I mean, I got him behind Tramick bride, but I mean, you're talking about the top. Yeah, yeah. I mean, again, it's not really like an actionable bit of advice. I was just curious. Kind of way we fall for you. Okay. Let's go to the next game here. Chargers at Seahawks, Gennery and Price fumbled in week three against the commanders and never really had the chance to get going after that. Are you willing to start him against a struggling chargers team? He's ranked RB 30 in ECR for the week. He has not finished that high in any game this season. He's been RB 35, RB 42 and RB 70 in his first career games in the NFL. So is that RB 30 ranking too high, Debra? Yes. I'm not playing anybody from the Seattle backfield because the work has been split up three freaking different ways. And Jerry and Price has put the ball on the ground two times the last two games and found the doghouse. I don't want to play anybody from the Seahawks back there at all because I don't know where the freaking ball is going. Like, hold on. Let me ask you guys this. So, uh, Jerry and Price missed practice Thursday with a chest injury. And I know he's been questionable with the chest injury. I want to play through it. I don't know if it was like exacerbated or whatever or if it's just maybe he really is in fumble jail now because that was the second straight week with a fumble. So if Jerry and Price is inactive for this game, would you be willing to start a manual Wilson against the chargers? That I would do because also to your point, Fancy George Hollani is on the injury report. So is he kind of dinged up? If we get that type of clarity, then yes, you can be in a manual Wilson because also trust with the coaching staff. He did have the high volume week and so proving trust. If we get more clarity, then yes, I will be in on a manual Wilson, but if Price is active and Hollani is active, I don't want enough say we get no jitterian price. How would you rank these three guys? Manual Wilson, JK Dobbins, Alvin Camera, I manual Wilson over both of those guys and then probably Camera had a Dobbins because Dobbins is going to get his early down work, but he it's no passing game work and if he has no touchdown, then you're hating life. So I think I'm with you. I think I'm with you there. Yeah. I think I'd rather start Dobbins than Camera. I know that's not the main part of the question, which is the Seahawks side. It's on the chance that he gets a touchdown, it feels more likely to me, but if he doesn't get that touchdown, you're getting five points and he's been what are you getting from Camera? He's been bad, but the 49ers, they're pretty beaten up up front. So maybe this is like, there's a ramp hope for those guys are all back to back to back in consensus. By the way, Dobbins Camera and Price, obviously the standard for your example is Wilson, but those guys are back to back to back in the CR right now. Price did actually move down to RB 31. Are they playing tool on FantasyPros.com gives him like a 50/50 chance of playing with the limited practice Wednesday? Let's see what he does on Friday. So that's something to keep an eye on for sure. It's a year point though. Like Fitsy, like if Price is out of this game, yeah, Emmanuel Wilson, he could get 20 opportunities in this game. I would be insane to see you. We've seen him before already this year. He's getting the goal line work for sure. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Let's go to the next game here speaking of the Broncos Broncos at 49ers. Does Jalen Waddle has either had a really big game or done absolutely nothing with no middle ground through his first three games with Denver? Is this week more likely to be another stud performance or another dud, Debra? Well, let's talk about the real of it. He's done nothing in two of those three games because Bownex has been awful in all three of those games. So he's gotten a high end alpha target shares in two of those games outside of the week one wet fart that Davis had, Davis Webhead. So I think Jalen Waddle has a fantastic game in this one and this all just goes to, I don't believe the 49ers can cover the slot. They've given up the third most yards per target, fourth most fantasy points per opportunity to slot receivers. You look at the coverage matchup, San Francisco's got single high at the eighth highest rate against single high since week two and Denver, you know, Sean Payton had the tab Davis Web on the shoulder and say, Hey, you remember we got Jalen Waddle right? right? Since week two, Jalen Wattles had a 40% target per route on rate versus single high. So I think this is a good game for Jalen Wattles. Assuming Boenix can get targets somewhere in the vicinity of Jalen Wattles. If it's wide receiver 19 too high, too low, just right. What are you expecting? I'm at wide receiver 24. I just, I don't like what I've seen out in next so far. And I worry that like wild inconsistency is going to be the new normal for Jalen Wattles. It gets concerning that I feel less good about Jalen Wattles every week than I did when he was playing with to a tongue of a low. You know, it's just men. We thought he was going to be this great new toy for the Broncos. And it's just been week two. It was great. I don't know. It's it's too early. Maybe I'm just being too much of a wet blanket on this. But I know I'm a little concerned about what I've seen from the Denver offense. I've got him at wide receiver 19 too. Fitsy and that that more of, well, I'll probably at the bump him up a little bit because I still have Devonta Smith in the ranks. So Wattles goes up to wide receiver 18 or 17, depending also about what we see from Jalen Coke or if you play as they're not and stuff. So like, I'm not, I'm not far apart with you in the ranks. And I absolutely agree with you. Boenix has looked terrible this year. So he's the guys I have him behind right now. The four guys I have in front of Jalen Watt are Josh Downes, Michael Wilson, Mike Evans, James and Williams. And I really like the situations and the matchups for Downes, Wilson and James and Williams. And Evans is just going there out of respect. Are those names deeper than when you hear them? Like that you would strongly disagree with any of those or? No, I mean, I don't necessarily disagree with any of those names. Like the guys right ahead, Jalen Wattle and my rankings right now I've got Tederum Mcmillan ahead of him. I've got DJ Moore, T Higgins. Like I think we're living in the same area, Code Fitsy and I. And could I see big game for Michael Wilson this week? Absolutely. Cause I'm not scared of the judges in corners at any 12 team league. I think you're starting Jalen Wattle in a 10. Yeah, you're starting, you're starting him. 10 team in a 10 teamer. You might be making flex decisions between, you know, Jalen Wattle and Bucky Irving or something. Yeah, they're Jalen Wattle and DJ Moore or something like that. Let's go to Sunday night football Lions at Panthers. I keep talking about this on the shows as we got. I cannot remember the last time the Panthers hosted Sunday night football game. So this is going to be kind of fun to see these two defenses. It's also going to be fun because I think we're going to see a lot of points. The consensus total reflects that sort of attitude at 50 and a half last I looked. Is there anybody in this game that you guys want to actually be fading relatives to consensus since there's so many expectations for high scoring. Debra, no, I'm not fading anybody. I think the one interesting player and 50 kind of brought his name up a second ago that I want to bring up in this because considering the start of the season, a lot of people are probably going to fade him as Jamison Williams, but JC Horn, I are Mike Jackson, I are Carolina has no corners. Also, Detroit has not been using Jamison Williams versus single high this year. He has, it's, he has an 11% target per round run rate. Carolina runs single high at the fifth highest rate. I think we see a bounce back game from JMO because Carolina, no healthy starting corners. Also, JMO last year against single high can't talk bread and butter apparently, like I mean, dude, single high last year for JMO, 22% target per round run rate, 2.31 yards per round run. So I think this is a big bounce back game for JMO. This and I think the fantasy points data suite mentioned that well, they've got JMO still top 20. I believe an expected fantasy points. Even though he's like wide receiver 55 and half point PPR scoring, there is no one I am seriously fading here. I'm one spot below consensus on Bryce Young, who has been great. He's averaging 313 passing yards of game. He's thrown 7 TD passes. He's QB 6 in fantasy scoring right now. And the lines have given up 979 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes. They've given up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks. But there are some concerns with the Panthers offensive line, which really struggled against the Browns pass, Rosh last week. Guard Damien Lewis is out with an elbow injury. That's kind of a key injury and rookie right tackle Monroe Freeling has a concussion. So he probably won't play. That's what worries me about potentially short circling Bryce Young. So I'm ranking Young as, you know, a low and QB1. I think he's what QB 9 in consensus rankings. I'm like, is he that high? Yeah, I think so. He's either 9 or 10 and I'm one spot lower on him in consensus. He's currently 10. All right, I'm at 11. Yeah. Okay. I've got Bryce Young and QB 12. I share Fitz's concern and also add what if Jailen Coakert doesn't play this week. So there are some concerns about Bryce Young. Like, Fitzee straight up right now. Bryce Young or Jordan love that you got. I do have, I think I've got Bryce Young like one spot higher. Same. But if Coakert gets ruled out, I'm moving Jordan love above him. I actually have got, I've got two spots higher. Matthew Stafford or Bryce Young. Fitzee Young. What about Young or Hurts? Because Hurts is behind him in consensus. Young. Overhurts. Yeah. Okay. Like Hurts. The rushing production has not been great and I feel like he is not comfortable playing under center as much as he has been. Okay. Before we get to the next game, I need to get your guys's prop bet cheat sheet picks for Sunday night football. We do this every week. Fitz will start with you. What's your favorite bet from the prop bet cheat sheet this week for this game? It's a three star bet. Darren Waller going over two and a half receptions. We've got him projected for 3.1 and Detroit has been getting clubbed by tight ends this year. They've given up, I mean, tons of receptions, tons of yardage and they've given up touchdown catches to six different tight ends, including the likes of Jeremy Rockert and Dawson Knox. So yeah, Darren Waller over two and a half receptions this week. Really, Debris, I should have gone to you first because you guys are handholding on this and you did get to the sheet first and say, we can dance down the same golden path here. I'm totally with it with Fitzee. Like, yeah, Darren Waller over 26 and a half receiving arts three star bet. And we got to project up a 29 receiving arts. I think that projection is also going to go up depending on what happens with Jalen Coker if he's in or he's out. So you need to head and go bet the overs for both these immediately, as well as like Fitzee's talking about Detroit. You can go bet the any time touchdown for Darren Waller too, just all the Darren Waller bets this week because Detroit has given up the most receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends and the six most yards per target to the position. So yeah, Darren Waller, he might not be a a rap god, but he's going to be very good at fantasy this week. Those are our top prop bets for Sunday night football courtesy of the betting pros, prop bet cheat sheet. Find the best NFL player prop bets with the betting pros, prop bet cheat sheet, quickly compare lines from leading sports books against our daily NFL projections to uncover the props offering the most value, make smarter prop betting decisions all season long at betting pros dot com slash props. All right, guys, my name football fun game Falcons at Saints. I'm really looking forward to this one. A couple of great receivers in this game, especially with Chris Alave and Drake London both ranked inside the top six at the position this week in ECR. Let me get it updated to exactly where they are. Alave wide receiver for London is wide receiver six. Who do you guys like better in this one? Alave. I'm just taking the better quarterback. Alave is, do you just set your watch by him? He's freaking good this year. Yeah, I'm going to Alave. I think that's fair. I also do think that Michael Pentax will throw the ball maybe a billion times to Drake London in every game they play. What do you think fits if you like better? So I've got Alave at wide receiver for London at wide receiver five. The Falcons defense has been an extreme past funnel this season. Opponents have thrown on the Falcons on 72.2 percent of their offensive snaps. No other defenses had opponents thrown them more than 68 percent of the time. Atlanta has faced an average of 43.3 pass attempts per game. The Falcons enter week four, having given up a league high 604 receiving yards to wide receivers. And Chris Alave already leads the NFL and targets with 36. And now he's going up against this extreme past funnel defense. Oh, and by the way, the Falcons best coverman, AJ Tarell, on injured reserve. So I've got to go Alave here. But as for London, he has now played 13 career games with Michael Pentax Jr. In those 13 games, mind you well under a full season worth a football, 91 catches 1356 yards and eight touchdowns. You can find stats like that with the with our with or without them tool at fantasy pros.com where you can see the splits with different players in the field. And you know, what does Drake London do when Michael Pentax is playing stuff like that. You can see more cool stats like like fits to stop there. Who do you guys like to win this game? By the way, I just think this is a really fun Monday night game. Despite it being two one and two teams, the spreads two and a half, you know, Saints at home are favored. I like the over 47 and a half. What do you guys make of this one fits? I think the Saints are the class of the NFC South. And plus, this is going to be kind of an emotional night for them. I think it's the 20 year anniversary of them coming back and playing in the super elves after Katrina. Good call. Yes. Deep, bro. Yeah. I'm taking the Saints. Shout out to Steve Gleason. I think the Saints are going to be highly motivated. It could be a emotional game. I think they're gonna put up a crap ton of points all right. We'll go ahead and wrap things up there Thanks everybody for checking out our week four key questions best of luck setting your lineups this weekend. For Debro and Fitz I'm Ryan Wormley, we'll see you again next time. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pro's Fantasy Football Podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts at fantasypro's.com/review or on Spotify. Follow us on X, Instagram, and TikTok at fantasypro's and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/ FantasyPros. Hi, this is Kylie breakman, Angela Jaretana, Jeremy Colhane, Patrick McDonald, and we're the hosts of the artist on artist on artist podcast. The improvised character comedy podcast were each week a new panel of artists discuss their craft. Listen to artists on artist on artist on artist every Thursday on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. We're listening to scam goddess on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Hamza, and I'm Martin, and we're the hosts of Out of Character. The best podcast in the world. It's really funny in your time. Really? Yeah, yeah. I think statistics just came back and we're one of the funniest two guys with mics, and that's pretty hard to beat right now, but it's true actually. Why should people listen to us tell them? Well, we're trendy, we're funny, we're topical, you get all your news here, not, you know, the facts, but maybe our takes on it, and everything in between. So listen to Out of Character on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey everybody, it's me, Debbie Cimabelle. This season on my podcast who's with me, I speak with Bruce Lee's daughter, Brandon Lee sister, and my friend, Shannon Lee. Back to your initial point of stewarding my father's legacy and giving my energy to that. We're lending your life to stewarding somebody else's life. Listen to who's with me with Debbie Cimabelle on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The Cleveland Browns are showing strong signs of improvement with a winning streak, solid defense, and effective quarterback play from Dishon Watson.
  2. The Browns' success is partly attributed to a favorable schedule and the emergence of young defensive talent, despite losing key players like Miles Garrett.
  3. The Dolphins face a tough matchup against the Vikings’ aggressive defense, which is led by head coach Bryan Floor returning after being fired, creating a high-stakes, revenge-driven game.
  4. In the Jacksonville vs. Bengals matchup, Parker Washington is expected to have a breakout performance due to a favorable slot receiver matchup against a weak coverage scheme.
  5. George Pickens is projected to have a breakout game against the Texans due to a mismatch in coverage, particularly against single-high defenses.
  6. Derek Henry is expected to have a high-volume game against the Ravens with strong rushing stats, highlighting his resilience and historical impact in the league.
  7. Drake May is viewed as a low-cost, high-upside quarterback option in the Patriots vs. Bills game due to favorable coverage and a lack of elite defensive talent in the Bills’ secondary.
  8. The fantasy community is actively using tools like Polymarket and the fantasy pros rankings to make informed decisions, emphasizing data-driven analysis and risk assessment.

Summary:

The podcast blends entertainment and sports analysis, covering a range of topics from fantasy football strategies to real-time game insights. A central focus is on the Cleveland Browns’ unexpected rise, driven by strong defensive performances, a favorable schedule, and improved quarterback play from Dishon Watson. Key players like Parker Washington, George Pickens, and Derek Henry are highlighted for breakout potential based on matchup advantages and recent performance trends.

The Dolphins vs. Vikings game is seen as a high-impact, emotionally charged matchup due to Bryan Floor’s return as head coach and the Dolphins’ underprepared offense. In the Jacksonville vs.

Bengals game, Parker Washington is expected to thrive due to a weak coverage scheme against slot receivers. Fantasy analysts also emphasize data tools such as Polymarket and fantasy pros rankings to assess player value and predict outcomes. The discussion underscores how team dynamics, injuries, and coaching decisions shape performance, with a strong emphasis on value plays and risk management in fantasy football.

The hosts provide balanced, detailed insights across multiple matchups, blending humor, data, and real-time analysis to offer fans a comprehensive understanding of the NFL season.

FAQs

It is an improvised character comedy podcast where each week a new panel of artists discusses their craft.

It is available on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

It uses advanced analytics and next-gen stats to break down NFL matchups, performances, and key game moments for fans of all levels.

The Cleveland Browns are noted for a strong defensive performance and a positive turnaround, especially with improvements from their young pass catchers and quarterback Dishon Watson.

Parker Washington is predicted to have a breakout game with a 100-yard performance and multiple scores due to a favorable matchup against Cincinnati’s weak slot coverage.

His success against single-high coverage, which the Texans frequently use, combined with a weak defensive matchup, makes him a high-impact fantasy option.

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