Fantasy Football Week 2 Key Questions: Bears Breakouts, Baker’s Revenge Game & More! (Ep. 2202)

This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed human. The Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast is brought to you by Grainger. If you're an operations manager at a manufacturing plant, you're calling plays every day to keep production on schedule. It's why you count on Grainger's deep roster of products, from spare parts like bearings and motors, to safety equipment like insulated gloves, eye protection, and everything in between. It's this extensive on-hand inventory that helps you get the products you need same or next day, helping you stay in the game. Call 1-800-GRAINGER, click grainger.com, or stop by. Grainger, for the ones who get it done. Hello, everybody. Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. I'm Ryan Warmly, joined by Derek Brown and by Pat Fitzmaurice for our Friday show. We are talking some key questions. We will have one, sometimes two, questions on every matchup of the week. See what we think the week two slate's going to look like. I'm pretty excited for it. It's very fun. Week one's always super awesome, but it's very surreal. Week two is like you're back in the rhythm. I've been saying that all week. But it's a very fun feeling to kind of get back into the grind, honestly. It won't be maybe as fun by the time we get to the later parts of the season, but for now, it's still quite fun. I want to ask you guys, actually, before we get into the key questions about the Thursday night game, I had plans last night that I stupidly made during Bill's Lions, so I was not able to watch the game. I was following along on my phone, of course, but I wasn't able to actually sit down and watch. The box score is very fun. I want to ask you guys, was this game as fun as the box score makes it seem, 41-31 in favor of the Bills? Fitz, what was it like watching this fun Thursday night game? Seemed like it was going to be a blowout. The Lions' defense is a real problem without Brian Branch and Kirby Joseph at safety. But credit to the Lions' offense for mounting somewhat of a comeback and keeping it interesting, at least, until about midway through the fourth quarter. Seems like, D-Bro, the Stars, were Stars to varying degrees, you know, on the Lions, Jared Goff, four touchdowns, Aminash St. Brown, two touchdowns, 142 yards, Gibbs caught a touchdown, Laporta caught a touchdown. On the Bills' side, Don Kincaid continues this year for a breakout, 95 yards and a touchdown, James Cook, 135 yards and a touchdown, Josh Allen, five touchdowns. The only guy who didn't was DJ Moore, obviously, because of the injury. And J-Mo. J-Mo says hi. J-Mo with a quiet game. I guess I wasn't putting him quite on that star level, but you're right. I mean, top 24 wide receiver, people brought back in again, this year, versus too high coverage. He kind of just disappears, man. You know, it just, it's always kind of weird when J-Mo has games like this because this passing attack is so consolidated. I mean, we know where the ball usually goes, and then just he has these just flub games where he doesn't do a whole lot. And so, you know, it is what it is. But, yeah, I thought the game was enjoyable for the most part. I mean, just in the fact of Don Kincaid, continuing the breakout season, like he's a top two to three tight end rest of season, he keeps getting this type of route share. He's the guy that we were promised when he was drafted by the bills. And I'll just, I know we're out of draft season, but God dang it. Doesn't Amon Ross saying Brown feel like the one of the best first round picks and safest picks every single fricking year. Like we just know what we're getting, man. Like he's so freaking consistent every single week, the safest player who's never a top three pick, like despite the fact that he's safer. Like, cause you know, obviously like there's an element of safety to a guy like Jimmy or Gibbs, or, you know, he's gonna score a lot of touchdowns too, but I'm not always is in the back half or at the, at best, the middle of the first round and is always printing you money. It is really remarkable how consistent that guy is. Um, I picked him fourth in a guillotine league draft this year. Oh, yes. It's a good pick. Gibbs on chase. And I'm like, I want the guy who shows up every week. I never ever, um, typically go away from quarterback in the first round of super flex drafts. I had a super flex, like redraft league. Uh, one of the last drafts I had this season, I didn't have Amon anywhere and I was picking eighth and I was like, there's so many quarterbacks available. I'm just going to take Amon raw here because I want to have him on a team. So at least I have him somewhere. Um, quickly fits where is Dalton Kincaid and dynasty rankings for you right now? I'm just curious if you are like reacting immediately to this in terms of the long-term view as well, this breakout for Kincaid. I've not. I've not made an adjustment yet. So this is, uh, prior to, you know, the end of the month reset on dynasty, but man, he's going to be so much higher right now. He's got, um, not even in my top 10, uh, do you have an idea? Like, is he going to be, he will be top 10. Probably. Is he going to be top five? Like Debra says six. What are you, what are you thinking? For dynasty is probably going to be more like eight. Okay. Like I don't with his knee issues he's had, he's a little older. Like I can't put him ahead of guys like Harold. Fan and junior Sam LaPorta, but he is going to go ahead of Kyle pits. Yeah. Yeah. Very fair. I feel like him, him versus Sam LaPorta is the line of demarcation here. Cause both guys have had injuries and stuff like that. Sam was fricking awesome in his rookie season. Kind of feels we're getting the flip side of the, the equation with Dalton Kincaid coming on, like, you know, years later. So I moved up to six, but I think that the conversation starts at like eight or nine. Yeah. Um, we normally won't go as long on the Thursday night game every week. Cause we have a lot of match-ups to get to. This obviously is a particularly compelling game and high scoring and everything. Final question on this game. A lot of the talk, and I just mentioned it, this draft season was how you're supposed to wait on quarterback and that's the right strategy. And a guy like Jared Goff in tonight's game might be, you know, proving that right. But then a guy like Josh Allen's maybe proving that wrong. If he has another one of these, just like insane years where he's getting three to five touchdowns every week and running it in and all this stuff, like next year, even if it is a very deep quarterback, you know? Uh, option in draft season, D bro, are you going to be sitting here going, man, you know, it's really fun. It's just having Josh Allen on my fantasy team. And you know, it's really scary is going up against him. Like, I don't know what the right answer is with this because it feels like the correct decision is to wait at quarterback with how deep it is. But also I'm like, man, I faced Josh Allen a couple of leagues last night, but you know, what would have been fun is having him on my team. So what do you, what do you make of just like that strategy in terms of, is he that separated from the other quarterbacks here? I mean, I think he's separated from the other quarterbacks. But outside of Josh Allen, the other thing that when you draft Josh Allen, where he goes, you have to correctly pick whatever, however you're making back up at running back and wide receiver, you have to nail that. If you don't nail that you're behind the eight ball. And so like that differentiator doesn't become a differentiator when you create another hole in your lineup, if you swing and miss it, running back or wide receiver and stuff where it's like, yeah, Josh Allen's freaking awesome. I don't think anybody disputes that, but also if we just want to talk about going back to week. One, you can get Caleb, Caleb Williams had scored him in week one and Caleb Williams went rounds and rounds and rounds later. Like Bryce young was within three points of him. Jackson dart scored 26 freaking points, Trevor Lawrence, 26 points. So like, I will not dispute that Josh Allen is freaking amazing and he's awesome. And he's going to be a top three quarterback every single season, not disputing that at all, but making that leap in, in drafts, you're giving up something. And if you don't, if you don't land the plane with picking correctly, however you're making up at one of the running back or wide receiver positions, you still possibly digging yourself a hole that you can't get out of. What do you make of it fits? I mean, those guys are very good. I don't know if emotionally they scared me to face as much as Josh Allen does. I'm not saying that's the right way to go about your draft decisions. Do you think it matters if you're a little lighter at running back or receiver? If Josh Allen is scoring 35 points for you every week? Yeah. I mean, Josh Allen is awesome for sure. He gives you a positional advantage, but you do have to measure. So if you're drafting Josh Allen in the third round, and if you wait on quarterback and you can conceivably get a pretty serviceable one in the ninth round, a Jordan love type, do you get that much more of an advantage with Josh Allen over Jordan love than the gap between say, getting, I don't know, a Mecca Buka in the third round versus getting Jordan Addison in the ninth round, because that's a big gap too. So which, which gap is bigger? Like that's the, the opportunity cost that you're paying to take Josh Allen. But so far, uh, that opportunity cost does look worth it. Two weeks into the season. Let's get into the games here. Reminder for everybody. All of our 2026 consensus rankings and tiers can be found for each week at fantasypros.com slash rankings. Start off with the Sunday early slate as usual. Panthers at Falcons. I want to ask about the receivers here. How wide is the gap in your guys's rankings for between Ted Arroyo, McMillan and Jalen? And Coker this week, when I put together the sheet, they were nine spots apart in ECR. I'm going to double check now and see if that's still the case. 20 and eight. They're now eight spots apart at wide receiver, 20 and wide receiver, 28, respectively. That's still with the guys who played last night mixed in there as well. So it might actually even be smaller. I haven't sat down and removed those guys quite yet, but Fitz, when you hear that question, what do you think? What's the gap for you in your mind between these two receivers? When I hear that question, I think you're trying to instigate a fight between Debra and I, because social media has been trying to do it. I'm going to do it all week too, Fitzy. And I'm not having it. I addressed it yesterday on a live stream. I'm not having it. I'm going to get plenty wrong throughout the entirety of this season. And you've already gotten a bunch right in week one that I got to give you flowers later in this show. So no, I'm not having it. You're the guy in the top 20 of the week one ranking. So I got to, I got to. If we could stop, can we stop the vote? Can we stop it now? I'm totally fine with it. But yeah, and I've been a Coker advocate, so I do have a bigger spread this week. And maybe that is a mistake. I've got Ted Arroyo, McMillan, wide receiver. 20, Jalen Coker wide receiver 31, but I do have to acknowledge over uh the last nine panthers games dating back to week 11 of 2025 and including the panthers playoff loss to the rams last year jalen coker 43 catches 600 yards six touchdowns over the same span tetero mcmillan uh 34 catches 552 yards five touchdowns so coker has bested him in all three categories over a nine game stretch not by a huge amount and like i do look mcmillan was the eighth overall pick of the 2025 draft and i don't think he's done anything to uh make anyone question that he was worthy of that draft spot but like coker is definitely outplaying being the undrafted free agent from holy cross like he is a find for the panthers it helped last week that the bears were without slot corner kyler gordon but then again they kind of used mcmillan and coker interchangeably i know mcmillan ran a lot of of routes from the slot last week too so yeah i mean coker's the real deal d bro you've been the coker guy what do you you know make where are they ranked for you uh i've got uh tetero mcmillan at wide receiver 24 i've got jalen coker at wide receiver 29 so i mean fitzy and i are are not that far apart like one's a back-end wide receiver two one's a high-end wide receiver three where are we going to split hairs here is totally fine and i'm not going to you know differ on fitzy with any of these points man like i said throughout the entirety of the draft season that like the difference and the disparity in their rankings and where they were getting drafted and all that kind of stuff shouldn't exist because there's not that wide of a gap we saw that in week one and i think like as we run through the season both of these guys are going to have their weeks and it's going to be like every other wide receiver tandem where it's a it's a roller coaster it's up and down like one time like one week one guy balls out and especially when you go back to the bryce young of all of this and the passing volume bryce young getting thrown the freaking ball that often every single game so you know and they don't get to play the bears every single game so i love jalen coker i love terry millen but they're going to have their moments and stuff so i think like right now they're both appropriately ranked and it's it's a good matchup like after one week i'm not scared of the falcons secondary maybe that's a take that gets proven wrong after we get a few more games of durable but i'll start both of them with confidence this week because the atlantic corners don't put the fear of god in me at all yeah fitz i was going to ask on the matchup specifically like i know it's not the bears but bryce young has been very good against the falcons in his career do you expect this to be the type of game where both of these guys you're you're very comfortable starting or do you think it maybe will be a little i mean it will be a little less scoring in this one than the last week for sure but you know to what degree do you think this will be a lower scoring game i think both guys are in start range because they're both inside wide receiver three range pretty comfortably i mean i've got coker as a mid-range wide receiver three might be a little trickier matchup so the falcons could get billy bowman jr back from he tours achilles last year had been really good early in the year um before the injury i don't still not a matchup to be feared though for anyone any of the coke heads out there yeah uh let's go to game number two saints at ravens i guess it's kind of hate week for me and deborah although deborah you don't seem to get that you're not quite as enthusiastic about the saints as i am about the ravens uh ravens offense was completely dominant in week one yet they looked far less explosive through the air and they were after zay flowers tweaked his hamstring is quarterback two maybe too high a consensus ranking for lamar jackson if he goes into this game down two of his top three wideouts as he definitely will be missing jacoby lane i expect him to miss zay flowers deborah what do you think about that ranking for lamar it feels a tad aggressive like i mean only but for the for the instance of okay is lamar probably gonna run sure i think baltimore also is just gonna run the ball a crap ton like i think derrick henry's in and i think he's gonna run the ball a crap ton for a really really huge workload in this game i don't think zay flowers plays so yeah to your point uh his top two wide receivers are gonna be rashad bateman and davantez walker or i would guess would be maybe number two i mean it's it's yeah it's not gonna be good man so like and then we're talking about he's throwing the ball to whatever version of mark andrews we have in front of us now so i i don't feel great about lamar this week but like ecr has him on the qb2 i i'm still sifting through where i want to rank lamar this week i i i don't want i'm probably not gonna end up at qb2 like ecr because i think jaylen hurts has a fantastic matchup dak and jayden daniels i think that game goes off do we see caleb like i'm probably gonna have lamar somewhere around qb5 or qb6 but again this is i'm still kind of wrestling with this one i really think derrick henry is going to finish higher amongst running backs than lamar will finish amongst quarterbacks like it oh i agree with that and and i thought watching that ravens game closely the offensive line was better at run blocking than pass blocking like i just i just feels to me like hey there's not a lot of receivers this is what the strength of the team is right now um i think the ravens think they can run all over the saints and probably will i just don't know again that that receiving room fits is just it scares me off when i'm saying okay besides the guy who already played last night lamar is now number one quarterback for the rest of the week in the ecr that just feels aggressive given who he's throwing to well here's the thing who's a better candidate for quarterback too like jalen hurts we still don't have proof of concept that the philly passing game is going to be significantly better with sean manion as the offensive coordinator than it was last year with kevin patillo and lamar is a better runner than hurts uh dak prescott i do expect better numbers than he gave us in week one but you know if we don't get the passing numbers he doesn't run uh brock purdy might not have to do a lot with the 49ers favored by almost two touchdowns caleb williams joe burrow trevor lawrence all those guys have tough matchups so yeah and it's not an easy matchup for lamar the saints have allowed the fourth fewest passing yards since the start of last season so the expectation for passing yardage with zay flowers out and right now the fantasy pros are they starting or are they playing to all uh only a 12 chance for flowers to come back from this hamstring injury probably not playing but like lamar could absolutely still throw two or three touchdown passes and it's the right thing to do and it's the right thing to do running we're always excited about with lamar like we were concerned about josh allen last week against houston turned out we were wrong to be concerned about the passing numbers he went over 300 yards uh but even if he hadn't had such a good game as a passer josh allen had two touchdown runs against the texans and lamar can give you 50 plus rushing yards and a touchdown to matter the opponent yeah yeah that's that's the only differentiator a little bit for me if it's like where lamar hasn't been as prevalent at the goal line like he's scored a russian touchdown last week but it's not like he's had that right that massive role on a week-to-week basis like so where it's like if he gets one touchdown through the air and only throws like one maybe two touchdowns like that's probably enough but like if he throws two touchdowns and derrick henry gets all the rushing scorers at the goal line then we're like you know i do could see the point also it's like who else are we putting at qb2 i just i think that there's not an obvious qb and qb is kind of tough to rank this week to be honest i would worm should be giddy about what oil offense looked like last week but then again the colts the colts might not be a good test the saints are probably a better test than the colts the one big takeaway for me when i dug into this game more the fact that lamar was under pressure on 50 of his dropbacks and he played as well as he did like lamar was incredible in that game but but it did look the offense just moved differently once they went out like they were unstoppable when he was in the game and they went to merely and it just became the derrick henry show declan doyle is awesome i wonder if he will run lamar more at the goal line if maybe we get more rushing touchdowns maybe this season i mean that was their first big goal line stretch or you know red zone uh play calling opportunity he had in a real game and he you know lamar got a touchdown running so i wonder if we maybe see more of that um this season with you better hope zay is out of this game too because uh if mark andrews doesn't catch up in the touchdown department i don't know how that bet's gonna go i do want zay to to sit this game like you need to keep it for the long term he should not play uh let's go to vikings at bears the bear scored 59 points in week one yet none of luther burden roma dunzey or colson loveland had big days obviously loveland the worst of those three which bears pass catcher is most likely to break out this week fits i'm tempted to say luther burden because the vikings blitz at such a high rate and if caleb williams can get the ball to burden quickly against those blitzes like there are fewer guys left in the secondary to tackle the very slippery luther burden but i'm gonna say colston loveland um despite the goose egg last week highest route participation of any tight end uh north of 90 percent maybe the route participation comes down a little bit this week if the bears occasionally keep him in to help out blocking against the blitz but the bears are probably going to use a lot of 12 personnel let cole commit help with the blocking get loveland out on routes uh still still the same guy was last season when he turned into a freaking monster at the end of the season so i'm i'm gonna say loveland bounces back this week i'm not sure what ben johnson's uh mindset will be in terms of colson loveland i could see him going either direction on the one hand i could see ben johnson being the type of guy who's like i obviously i don't care about your fantasy team if i can keep scoring 59 points without getting these guys super involved i'm gonna do it fine totally support that but i could also see him being like all i heard this week was oh you scored 59 points that colson loveland did nothing well let me show you that i also have this guy too and he goes out and has a huge game and dials up bunch of stuff for him so i'm kind of curious what direction ben johnson will go in terms of how much usage he has in mind for colson loveland debro between these three burden of dunes and loveland who do you expect to have a big day i kind of already talked about this earlier in the week with you and i'm i'm massively in on roma dunes in this game i one he's off the injury report so like week one he had a 55.3 percent route share i think that goes up but to something we've already kind of talked about in this game brian flores is a freaking madman dude he blitzed at 73 percent of their defensive snaps in week one and i i don't know if he does that again in week two but we know that the vikings what they do there are two staples of this defense one they play a crap ton of too high coverage two they blitz at a top five clip every single week and both of these things if we look at the usage of the last year makes me lean heavily in the direction of roma dunes a because versus too high coverage roma dunes a was second on the team with a 24 percent target per route run rate 1.89 yards per route run last season again going to last season to roma dunes a against the blitz he led the team with a 27.8 percent target share a 32 percent first read share so if rome is a full-time player this week and brian flores is dialing up the blitz on 40 50 percent caleb williams dropbacks i think this is quietly a huge roma dunes a week when you're teeing off and your clients are watching it's on when the game goes to overtime and your squad is right there with you it's on when you swap out that other nicotine pouch for something softer and feel the difference right away it's on on plus nicotine pouches with nico silk mesh no corners no rough edges just the softest pouch on the planet when there's nothing between you and what's next it's on with on plus nicotine pouches not all varieties available in all geographies warning this product contains nicotine nicotine is an addictive chemical those guys are all ranked between 50 and 58 in the overall flex rankings for this week so you know the rankers aren't entirely sure who's gonna have the biggest game here they're all kind of clumped together um just a very quick second question on this game i think we have to ask where are you ranking aaron jones with jordan mason going on ir this week he's rb 25 in ecr i actually kind of maybe expected that to go up a little more than it did um a fits quickly where are you ranking jones that's it jeez i've got him rb 20 i think he gets a pretty full workload yeah i i think you're i i think that's closer to where i expected him to be in consensus is is more i mean he's not even an rb2 right now d bro i've yeah i've got him at rb 19 i'm right with fitzy like do you want to play aaron jones who's getting all the work for the vikings this week or do you want to play cam scadaboo at a 30 percent route share do you want to play any one of these games or do you want to play aaron jones who's getting all the work for the these other back-end rb2s like i there is some hesitation because i feel like this is one of those moments where like is this a trap and aaron jones goes out there and he pulls a hammy in quarter one i hope that does not happen i have weird like gut feeling like maybe we're getting set up to fail here but everything else says aaron jones should crush this week he's gonna have the backfield to himself there's nobody really going to be there to take away work like i'm not worried about damon clayborne the matchup is fantastic the bears run defense was spec walking into the season and after one week they give up the eighth highest explosive run rate second highest rushing success rate in week one so everything is pointing to aaron jones should crush as a strong rb2 this week if you want to win a todd gurley signed rams jersey then this is your shot all you have to do is subscribe to the tailgate youtube channel right now drop a comment below on any video and that is it we will be announcing a winner right here on the channel so make sure to turn on those notifications so you can know when new videos are up and to claim prize all right bangles at texans next match up here pretty fascinating one i actually like feel like i don't really know what to expect i wasn't sure what direction to go with on the question i could see this game going in a lot of different directions um you know obviously the texans i expected the defense to be excellent they you know weren't that great against buffalo but that was against the bills you know the bangles joe burrows got this back thing he seems to be unconcerned though and saying he's gonna play jamar chase coming off where i maybe their defense is better it's just there's a lot going on here so i'm gonna keep it kind of simple on the question give me one player in this game that you are above consensus on and one player in this game that you are lower than consensus on debra one player i'm above consensus on i i mean i think he's a low-hanging fruit here is dalton schultz uh with no nico collins we know the matchup i mean like last year cincinnati couldn't stop any freaking tight end dalton schultz got a 21 target share 18 first reach here like i've got him right now um in my rankings i've got schultz at tight end 12 like george kittle we don't know how much the 49ers are going to need him mark andrews what what is left in the tank i've got him above even harold fannin because good lord it's deshaun watson 2.0 you know like how great we feel about that i think dalton schultz is going to be a tight end one this week sorry where did you say he was ranked i was distracted because zay flowers is practicing that just saw that tweet come across the timeline um from jeff rebeck from the athletic i still don't think he plays but that is worth noting that he is practicing like a little bit of gamesmanship with the media just mark qb2 baby yes all right are you just in the ranks baby so sorry do you say tight end 12 for schultz okay okay yeah he's 15 in consensus um fitzer is he also somebody that you're looking at is uh above consensus on oh yeah uh match perfect match i also had dalton schultz as the guy i'm above consensus on only tight end 13 and i've been debating whether to move him ahead of fannin and i probably will um yeah i mean the bengals gave up the most catches receiving yards and touchdowns uh to tight ends last year and by by a pretty wide margin in all three categories i know they've upgraded their defensive personnel but al golden was the defensive coordinator last year al golden still the defensive coordinator and yeah the cj stroud has to go somewhere with the ball no nico collins so uh yeah did deep row give his guys above or below consensus no no who are you guys below either of you can go first i'll i'll go ahead and just lead this off and this is somebody where i think in deeper leagues like people are going to look at the snap counts and be higher than him i'm not saying that a lot of people are going to start this guy and stuff but i'm telling you that like i don't think he's at all like flex worthy in this game is woody marks i think a lot of people are going to like look at the snap counts from last week and say oh well i saw woody marks play more snaps than david montgomery and i'm just going to give context to this a lot of that came on the final drive a lot of that came in two minute a lot of that came in the very end of the fourth quarter if you look at through the first three quarters this was david montgomery's backfield he played over 60 of the snaps so the final snap count is lying to people and where people could look at it and say oh the bangles woody marks and also david montgomery got all five of the houston texans red zone carries so it i think some people could look at woody marks and say and i'm not saying in 10 12 team leagues anybody is going to consider this but in deeper dynasty leagues 14 16 teamers people being like yeah i mean what's my flex options like and saying can i talk myself into woody marks i i no no fits you are you lower on all right so um not much lower and i'm not telling anyone to bench this player but i've got your marchesa wide receiver five which puts me below consensus and it's a tough matchup for sure against a texans d that's probably going to be breathing fire after getting humiliated last week against the bells um and i know the bangles are adding some new wrinkles to their offense and they're Joe burrow under center a lot more maybe they just needed a week to get the bugs out and things look a lot better for jamar chase this week but last week two catches 12 yards four targets like are are we totally sure his knee is okay after that hyperextension three weeks ago i know he himself termed it a minor hyperextension if that's possible to have a minor hyperextension of your knee but um yeah so i'm just it it's a very gentle fade and it is not in any way meant to be disrespectful respectful of jamar chase who could certainly defy a tough matchup and go out and throw up 150 yards and two touchdowns but i am slightly behind consensus yeah it's it's less like go sit jamar chase and more like hey maybe in dfs you're not going that direction right that sort of thing or if you have him in your lineup and you have a really really tough opponent and stuff like that and i'm splitting between do i take floor or ceiling with my flex play i think you should lean towards ceiling yeah i think that's that's a good way to frame it too uh steelers at patriots is our next game a couple of offenses coming off lackluster performances in week one though the patriots did have the excuse of playing in seattle on banner night with such a low total last i checked it was 41 and a half consensus over under on bettingpros.com is there any player in this matchup you guys are actually above consensus on fits i'll start with you this is weird so i was team jalen warren all off season and warren was good in week one and rico dowdle was not like warren had 10 carries 46 yards uh five catches 27 yards rico eight carries for 15 yards two catches for six yards and yet um rico dowdle played 14 more snaps than jalen warren and ran eight more routes like that i was not expecting to be uh seeing rico dowdle more involved in the passing game than jalen warren was so like i don't know whether warren gets more work in week two on the merits based on just look better and I really think he is the better player in week two but like I'm kind of following the usage here so I find myself three spots above consensus on Rico Dowdle just because he he seemed to be Mike McCarthy's lead guy last week but I just I don't know if it's going to be situational matchup thing week to week um you know and I'm the Patriots run defense didn't look any any better than average in week one so I'm not really fearing that matchup I think Rico is actually a flex worthy guy this week but I'm not excited but I'm above consensus Debro I'm sure you are above consensus on Rico Dowdle I'm not sure if he was the guy that you picked to talk about for the same question or a matching with Fitz again but I know you've been talking about Rico Dowdle this week yeah I mean again to everything and all of Steelers fan base I tweeted that out I was like Rico Dowdle is the RB1 and the entire fan base on social media is like we don't you know unfumbled in the first quarter and I was like bro come on I feel like we're kind of just telling ourselves some things here but maybe again it's only one game so I don't want to overreact but to Fitzy's point at Rico out snapped him ran more routes the productivity wasn't there but the usage was so does that show up this week against a Patriots lackluster run defense so I could have picked Rico Dowdle here I actually went with Romeo Dobbs uh I've got him as a strong wide receiver three I think he's gonna be the clear wide receiver one for the New England Patriots uh looking at you what he's done considering especially like Pittsburgh's coverage they previous years before the start of the Mike McCarthy era they had been a single high team decent amount of man coverage and stuff and week one 57 of their defensive snaps were too high so you look at what Romeo Dobbs has done and I know it's a new offense new team and stuff like that but again going back to the skill set his target per route run rate last year went from 21 to 23 versus too high had 1.86 yards per route run I think a lot of people are looking at like his week one performance and they talk about the drop the dude had three freaking targets it wasn't like he went out there and he just flubbed every single thing we got to sit here and understand that like with AJ Brown out who the hell else is going to be their wide receiver one it should be and I think it's going to be the guy that they paid in the offseason and he's still very talented so I think he's a strong flex play Fitz are you on board I'm above consensus on Dobbs too but like no one really got wide receiver one usage let well Stefan Diggs went did when he was in the game but they rotated receivers I mean Drake May is the socialist quarterback he just throws to whoever's open and so like with no AJ Brown I think it's going to be a total ensemble effort and we might even see guys like you know like I picked up Mac Hollins in a league where I kind of I'm hurting it wide receiver this week so like Mac Hollins to Mario Douglas maybe even Kyle Williams can get involved Fitz I believe you beat me for Mac Hollins in our guillotine league bidding oh did I yeah I think I think that's the league where I really need him this week yes I could have used that just shows you the level of desperation when there's a bidding war for Mac Hollins out there on the waiver wire I just throw it out there I wouldn't call it much of a bidding war more of a bidding kerfuffle we didn't spend that much money uh trying to get him one dollar versus zero that's pretty much what it was but I still lost out uh Packers at Jets Christian Watson and Garrett Wilson are back to back in week two consensus rankings amongst receivers at wide receiver 11 and wide receiver 12 respectively who do you guys expect to have the bigger game Debra I'll start with you this is Christian Watson and it it it's not close I did I love Christian Watson the fact of again going to coverage specific stuff I I don't think the Jets like I'm not worried about the Jets cornerback room Brandon Stevens does not scare me Nashon Wright does not scare me at all Christian Watson looked like a freaking dude in week one and I think he keeps doing that in week two uh looking at the Jets their coverage structure 59% too high in week one last year versus too high Christian Watson 21% target per route run rate 2.72 yards per route run and in week one dude he ripped off 4.19 yards per route run versus too high coverage good luck Jets that's all I could say I'm not surprised that you picked Watson I'm I'm a little surprised you said it's not close given what their consensus ranking is where do you rank Garrett Wilson this week I mean I've got Garrett Wilson as a mid-range wide receiver two um and I've got Christian Watson uh as a wide receiver one and this is not a Garrett Wilson problem it's just one week of Geno Smith I've seen enough of Geno Smith over multiple seasons to understand that that in itself is a a very not fun roller coaster okay how are you ranking them Fitz who do you prefer I've got Watson wide receiver 9 and Wilson wide receiver 11 so I like both I prefer the guy attached to Jordan Love over the guy attached to Geno but Geno might not be bad this year D bro behind why not like why not the Jets offensive line is actually good and um but and by the way like if anyone needs a streamer for the next three weeks Geno gets the Packers the Lions and the Bears three NFC North teams that can score and make Geno keep his foot on the gas and that have really suspect pass defense like the Packers their pass rush got home against the Vikings last week but I'd say their pass rush still a question until Micah Parsons gets back and their cornerbacks are not good and and yet that's the second best defense in the division uh we've seen what the Lions and Bears defenses look like yeah that's a good call good shout uh second question quickly on this game Marshawn Lloyd became a very hyped leaper near the end of draft season with all the Josh Jacobs stuff he had just 37 yards on 13 carries in week one D bro where are you ranking Lloyd this week I talk about giving Fitz flowers I'm going to lead this off with going and telling like I I was very aggressive on Marshawn Lloyd in week one I thought he was going to be a clear RB2 I thought he was going to get all the work and it was going to be very marginal Chris Brooks usage should have listened to the Packers guy should listen to Fitzy he was right man Chris Brooks was out there more than I ever wanted to see but what I will say about Marshawn Lloyd he got 61.9 percent of the design carries in the offense so he was the the early down rusher we could see his his role grow a little bit this week and I think it's a good matchup in the sense of if the Packers can jump out to a lead Lloyd is going to have running room against this defense like the Jets run defense was not good last week 12th highest explosive run rate fourth highest rushing success rate so I think Lloyd can get going um this week as a flex play um I've got him at RB RB I got him at RB28 so just a I mean a you know a decent flex play but like in a similar vein of like Bill like I think his stat line could look very similar to what Ja'Cory Krosky-Merritt did in week one just to kind of put some context to it those guys are actually back-to-back in consensus Krosky-Merritt I've got Bill right ahead of him yeah he's 29 and Marshawn Lloyd's RB30 RB28 for D-Bro Fitz where are you at RB35 uh the incompetence of the Packers offensive line hurts Marshawn Lloyd in two ways one it's not going to open a lot of holes for him two it's going to necessitate a good blocker to help with blitz pickup and Chris Brooks is better at that than Marshawn Lloyd is football is back folks and it's time to level up your approach to the NFL and college football this season because poly market is here poly market is a legal prediction market now available in all 50 states and unlike traditional sports books on poly market you can trade on all things football from the Saturday and Sunday slates to who wins the Heisman to who performs the halftime show poly market gives you the freedom to cash out instantly if the momentum swings you sell it off in real time you are in control no one can lock you out you can also buy in anytime so when the market dips like if a team starts slow and drops to say 40 percent that's not a loss that's when you buy in at poly market you can buy cheap and ride the momentum back up poly market is so confident you'll never go back to the old way they're issuing a challenge they are giving you a $50 bonus when you deposit just $10 sign up right now with promo code FPPOD that's polymarket.us and use promo code FPPOD to get a $50 bonus when you deposit just $10 next game on the slate here fits Browns at Buccaneers nobody was surprised by the inept Cleveland offense in week one but some might have been surprised by the poor defensive performance is this a bounce back spot for the Tampa Bay offense or do you think better days are ahead for the Browns defense better days ahead for the defense but not a bounce back spot for the offense the Browns do have talent on defense but the offense stinks with Deshaun Watson a quarterback and the Browns just aren't going to be able to keep the chains moving and give the defense time to rest and for a second straight week the Browns are going to lose the time of possession battle and have that defense out there baking in the Florida sun in Jacksonville last week now they're in Tampa it's going to be hot and they've got a quarterback who can't move the chains like it's just a bad spot for the Cleveland defense. Fitz I can't believe I was I specifically didn't mention this because I wanted you guys to mention it but I can't believe you didn't bring up the Baker Mayfield revenge spot here too just in thinking about this game for the Tampa offense I mean I'm about to okay okay I spoke too soon then Debra go ahead I think Baker Mayfield is going to wake up dangerous and go full savage mode man I think that he's going to open the spite store I think he's going to absolutely just going to let they're going to let him cook dude I think Baker Mayfield goes off in this game like especially after going to the podium this week and Baker being like all right Todd I get it Michigan won I'm going to wear the tank top I'm going to do the thing we're cool we're cool you're going to let me chuck it and rub it in their faces on Sunday though right we're cool we're cool all right I'm I'm so here for it and Baker outside of like okay he had butterfingers he got lost the three fumbles and stuff like that outside of that he was healthy he ran the ball he had a rushing touchdown he has the third highest passing success rate and catchable target rate he is healthy right now I think Baker Mayfield is going to cook in this week and I think it's going to be a good week for Emeka Ibuka where the targets go after Emeka we shall see I still want to have faith in Chris Godwin although Chris Godwin's week one performance really let me down and his per route metrics kind of were I still I got to see it for at least two more games before saying Chris Godwin is cooked so I'm in on Baker in on Emeka in on Chris Godwin and again I'm just going to continue to give Fitzy flowers here bro Bucky Irving and week one had the fifth best missed tackle rate he is healthy 38 percent missed tackle rate I but yeah Bucky looks like he could have been one of the like best values you drafted this summer if he keeps up with this type of role and usage and and performance fits where is Baker ranked for you this week he's QB 17 in ECR QB 13 13 okay you're expecting a Fitzy's in on the spite store I'm here for it oh yeah here for it Baker's big for Baker is a spiteful cat no yeah oh he is and I'm maybe the most spiteful quarterback in the NFL face yeah I can't think of who I can't think of who I would more buy into a revenge game narrative with besides Baker honestly nobody yeah he is end of list number let's go to Eagles at Titans Dallas Goddard is tight end seven in ECR coming off of his two touchdown performance in week one is that too high too low or just right against Tennessee D bro that's disrespectful to be honest man I've got him in tight end four like that I just I just think that is massively disrespectful like he operated last week with a 23 first read share a 20 percent target share Makai Lemon is getting a low a dot gadget usage and he's going against the defense that gave it the fourth most uh fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends uh as well as you you know I don't think he walks out of this with two touchdowns again this week but he got two red zone targets and a deep target so it's like what box is Dallas Goddard not checking that anybody wants him to check versus a lot of these other tight ends fantastic matchup he's a top two option um in the passing attack he gets high cholesterol usage uh we we don't think that Tennessee's offense is going to be a good defense is going to do much of anything in this game I yeah I love Dallas Goddard this week he is tight in seven but Dalton Kincaid and Sam Laporta are ahead of him like just if you look at ECR from where they have their rank so he's tight in five amongst the remaining tight ends just wanted to kind of clarify that on the rankings in case anybody was confused uh fits too high too low just right I'm going the other way on this I I've got him tight end 10 um like the surface stats were good in week one but I wasn't like dazzled with the performance uh the way I was by like Dalton Kincaid and Isaiah Likely in week one like he had four catches for 70 70 yards two touchdowns I think what only like five or six targets um but those two touchdowns were such comically bad instances of defense by the Washington Commanders the first one like he catches a ball in the middle of the field has three guys around him two of them immediately fall down after uh Goddard turns up field and I think the third trips over one of the guys who fell down and Goddard just like waltzes into the end zone and in the other one they just like music kill the beat uh cue up the Benny Hill music it was totally Benny Hill stuff and then the other one like they're they drop into some zone coverage and no one just bothers to move towards Goddard who's just running wide open down the seam so I mean it was really bad defense leading to those two touchdowns like I wasn't just like oh my gosh Dallas Goddard looks amazing no it was just two complete gaffes by the Washington defense so I like he's a fine play I I have no issues with I'm starting him in a league this week but I just don't see him as being at the top of the tight end one group like I my counterpoint is we did see the Titans defense week one right that they're they're not they're not great they're not great I mean like I I still have faith in Robert Sala to cobble something respectable together out of that group but we'll see maybe that's maybe that's a leap of faith I shouldn't be making Fitz do you have Isaiah Likely ranked higher than Dallas Goddard is that right I do okay yeah they're back to back in ECR Goddard is ahead I was just curious because they both had big games in week one if you want to double your chances of winning your fantasy league active fantasy pros users are twice as likely to win sync your league for free and get fast personalized advice for your lineup waivers trades and more all powered by over 100 experts get started at fantasypros.com slash my playbook or on the fantasy pros app all right uh Sunday late slate here Jags at Broncos the Jags dropped 34 points in Denver late in the 2025 season now the Broncos defense is coming off a horrific week one performance is this a start all Jags type of season or is this a start all Jags type of game or are you worried about a bounce back performance by the Denver defense this week Fitz I just don't think it's a start all Jags type of offense for them it's kind of too much of an ensemble cast like even Bashel Tootin is not getting I've got Tootin ranked as like a low-end RB2 you're probably at least getting him into a flex spot you're absolutely starting Parker Washington who did cook last year against the the Broncos in that game where Trevor Lawrence had two 279 yards three touchdown passes Parker Washington six catches for 145 yards and a touchdown so you're starting Parker Washington I don't know about Jacoby Myers and Brian Thomas that's very uh roster related I don't know about Brenton Strange but Parker Washington for sure Bashel Tootin probably Trevor Lawrence probably he's like back into the top 10 for me Debra what do you think uh I mean yeah Trevor destroyed this defense last year we'll see if that happens again I've got Trevor Lawrence at QB 10 um again like Fitzy like back in QB 1 I'm not starting Jacoby Myers I'm not starting Brian Thomas Jr. the outside corners for the Denver Broncos are good Patrick Sertain if Brian Thomas Jr. the other thing we need to talk about here left last week's game he's he's already got a shoulder injury we're one week into the season and he's already hurt so I'm assuming that he plays and if he plays he's going to be a good guy I'm assuming that he plays and if he plays Brian Thomas Jr. got shadowed into oblivion last year by Patrick Sertain so he followed him on 78% of his routes held him to one reception and nine receiving yards uh so I'm not starting Brian Thomas Jr. I do not want to play Jacoby Myers I am very bullish that Parker Washington and I'm not saying that he's going to go for you know a buck 45 but I think that he can have another really strong game because he is their clear wide receiver one we saw that in week one with a 26% target share so starting Parker Washington with confidence I also feel pretty good about him going against this run defense I'm not saying that the Broncos run defense is going to look as terrible as they did in week one but if you're looking at archetypes of running backs and stuff like that and trying to put the pieces together Basial Tootin is not Kenneth Walker but he's also really really good at forcing missed tackles Denver had a problem tackling guys in week one Basial Tootin 20% explosive run rate 33% missed tackle rate in week one I think Tootin could have a really good game um the guy I do want to bring up here is Brenton Strange I'm very high on him because I think when you're just looking at the nuts and bolts of this matchup you're going to stay away from the outside corners of the Denver Broncos like we I just talked about this like so Jacoby Myers Brian Thomas Jr. have downed games in this Brenton Strange in this very same matchup last year was tied in nine for the week he had a 19% target share three reds on targets in that game week one um he had I mean the usage was fine I mean really the game was good but I think Tootin was going to stay away from the outside corners like the touchdown got him over but I think this is a spot where if we're looking at anybody outside of Parker Washington that emerges from the Jacksonville passing attack I think it's Brenton Strange because they're staying away from the outside corners and he's really the guy that can put Trevor Lawrence over the top this week fits on the other side of this one what do you make of Jalen Waddle's poor debut with the Broncos last week I'm worried that Bo Nix is a below average starting quarterback and that Waddle is kind of going to get you know I'm going to have to wait and see if he's going to be able to get a little bit more I lost in the shuffle of the always it's always like an ensemble cast with the Sean Payton offense. It seems I shouldn't say always. I mean, there were the Michael Thomas years with the Saints, but I don't know. I'm a little concerned. Debro, you were very high on Waddle this summer. Are you like dialing down your enthusiasm? Are you saying it's just week one? Let's not overreact with your headspace out on Jalen Waddle right now. So I had to go to the film for this one. I went back and last night and prepping for this show because, again, trying to make sense of what the heck happened with the Broncos in week one. There was so much to unpack in that game. So first of all, Bo Nix was pressured at the highest rate in the entire freaking NFL on 54.5% of his dropbacks. That's an unsustainable rate for any quarterback to make sense and live in. But number two, Bo Nix played bad. And just zooming out, the offensive line for the Broncos played horribly. Like there were multiple spots. Jalen Waddle was fine. the game he had one drop on a on a on a slant which was more of a concentration drop but I watched every route by Jalen Waddell there was a lot of Bo Nix there was a lot of he got pressured there was a lot of Waddell wasn't the first read in the play design or if he was the first read in the play design Bo Nix came off of it because he had a defender in his face there was a quick out or a speed out to where Waddell got a bad target he had room to work but Bo Nix like didn't hit him in stride because he had a defender that he had to throw it around to get it to him so it turned into a contested catch Jalen Waddell was perfectly fine though on a ton of his routes like I went through every one of his routes and I was like okay he's open on a deep out okay he's open on a slant okay he's open on an over route and Bo Nix got pressured wasn't looking for him or what have you I think that there's a lot of things to again to talk about with that game and how it played out I think if Davis Webb continues to struggle as a play caller Sean Payton's going to take over play calling and if that's the case like I think there are better days ahead for Jalen Waddell because everything that was wrong in week one wasn't really a Waddell problem it was an offensive line problem it was a Bo Nix problem I'm not saying that Bo Nix is going to turn into one of those accurate quarterbacks in the entire freaking NFL but I think that there are better days ahead because things are going to change I think the offensive line will not play as bad as it played in week one and if the play calling keeps like looking like what it looked like in week one I think that there are better days ahead because Sean Payton will take over play calling duties let's go to Raiders at Chargers are you guys giving a second chance to the Chargers offense after their week one dud or are you fading them in the rankings this week against the Raiders Fitz what do you think another chance but I'm a little lower than consensus on Justin Herbert's and what are you having that Betsy I have got him at I think quarterback let me see I think quarterback 12 okay because consensus is at QB 8 and I'm with you I'm actually sorry QB 11 yeah I just the interior of the offensive line looks like it's going to be a problem again and they thought they had center solved with Tyler Biotage and now he's out for the year with the knee injury so like Justin Herbert seems like he is not himself when there's pressure up the middle which understandable a lot of quarterbacks aren't themselves when they're consistently getting like a gap pressure against them Debra I'm not fading them I mean I am I guess like mild fades versus consensus I mean I've got Justin Herbert a QB 11 I'm looking at where where does EZR have Amarion Hampton 12 RB 12 I've got Hampton at RB 12 as well so like with those guys like I'm at or I'm not sure I'm going to be able to do that I'm going to be able to do that I'm maybe like maybe like a shade below I do think it's kind of funny after an entire summer of offseason hype and Mike McDaniel and everything it took one game for for everybody to hop off the hype train like wow like we must have not been that convinced like I had questions the entire summer like I was like dude the splits with Mike McDaniel with and without Tyree Kill are not great are we are is all the Mike McDaniel stuff really just Tyree Kill stuff I'm like I've got worries about this offensive line I got worries about this passing attack I got worries about Amarion Hampton's fit with this run scheme and it took one game and everybody's like oh I don't know about the Chargers and I'm like damn just one game and everybody's like just like shook to their core after an offseason of summer of hyping the hell and back this entire offense like your guy Brett Whitefield at fantasy points though has been making that case that like same Mike McDaniel is not yeah offense when Tyree Kill is not on the field they're not all that spectacular no they're really really bad like the EPA splits are massive with when and this wasn't just one year it was all four years like with the Dolphins it was like with Tyree Kill in the field EPA per drop back EPA per play EPA per pass top 10 out with Tyree Kill off the field 23rd or worse in every single metric that you pull up and people like oh that's a two a stat I'm like okay maybe that's a two a stat it can also be a Mike McDaniel stat so that's a two a stat I'm like okay maybe that's a two a stat it can also be that's what makes it hard right it's like you don't know is that is that more because he's limited by two uh and Tyree helps unlock those limitations versus Mike McDaniel isn't all that in a bag of chips it's hard to kind of know where the blame and credit lie in those situations but I think that makes it a smart call by you to have been questioning it and saying let's not be so certain about what the charges look like but again also this is just one week we'll see what they look like I mean just just pointing back to week one two though it's like lad goes out like should that entire offense have cratered like QJ does nothing Amari and Hampton does nothing we don't use the running backs at all in the passing game Keaton Mitchell gets more usage than freaking Amari and Hampton like all of it you're just like okay like fine but still like real versus the Cardinals oh yeah I mean it wasn't done like there's nobody's defending that week one performance for sure um yeah I just quickly uh quickly fits where are you ranking Quentin Johnson if lad isn't playing if lad isn't playing right now I've got QJ I think wide receiver 32 it's gonna come up but it's not gonna come up that much um no I'm sorry I've got him wide receiver 30 I probably move him up to maybe just a couple of spots like wide receiver 28 okay I've got him at 28 and I'll move him up to probably like wide receiver 26 uh ish um I mean similar to what Fitz he's saying I will point out this is a really good matchup for him um Raiders in week one 62 percent single high QJ last year in his 11 healthy games versus single high 21 percent target per route run rate 2.07 yards per route run so this could be a sneaky like really really good spot for QJ so Seahawks at Cardinals Jadarian Price and Jeremiah Love are close to back-to-back in ECR amongst running backs this week I'll double check see where they're at right now they were two spots apart when I put this together oh they are now back actually back-to-back RB 23 and RB 24 which player would you rather start in this game Fitz I guess I'm a little higher than consensus on both I've got Jeremiah Love RB 21 Jadarian Price RB 23 easier matchup for Price for sure but like I think Jeremiah Love is special and we're getting little flashes of it and I think it's only a matter of time before he starts getting more snaps and more carries than Tyler Algier like love is not gonna last very long Debra who do you prefer I don't disagree with anything Fitzy just laid out there I think Jeremiah dude when you spend a top five pick on a running back and you're running Tyler Algier out there more than your top five pick like it's it's high ankle sprain related yeah that's what I hope that's what I hope I I really really hope and I hope it's not just hubris and rookie stuff and make him earn it and all that kind of crap I really really hope okay I I hope that's the case um to to Fitzy's point Jeremiah Love is is amazing I just wanted to see him unleashed in a full-time role bell cow role like just just run your offense through this dude um for this week though because I am worried like we get another week of Tyler Algier playing more than Jeremiah Love I have Jadarian Price ahead of him I got him an RB 23 a love at 24 um but with both those guys like again like hoping a guy gets more work anybody with two eyes could see that Jadarian Price and George Helani are not cut from the same cloth in week one man like one guy had in insane juice like you give him the ball and like we need to take the number and the and the name off the back of the jerseys nobody would question okay well that that's Jadarian Price okay okay there's George Helani if they just give Price the freaking ball I think that he's gonna have a really strong outing again I know that like we saw this play out last year Seattle probably doesn't do that I'm hoping they do um but I'll just lean on the matchup and the talent of Price in this one commanders at Cowboys are you guys ranking commanders players as if the Cowboys defense is as terrible as they looked against the Giants or do you think that in hindsight that performance was more about New York and that the Dallas defense can still be improved how are you approaching this game Debra I think the Dallas defense looks like it's gonna suck again um that was just god awful I mean like if you watch the broadcast like the Giants are spamming screens and check downs to the flat because Dallas will not cover it are are we serious is this an NFL defense or is this a junior high program like what are we doing here are you are you huh yeah so I I'm ranking like I think it's a big bounce that game for Jaden Daniels I I starting Terry McLaurin specifically out of this game with confidence I've got him as a top uh I've got him at wide receiver 21 where's ECR at on him right now ECR on uh Terry McLaurin he is sorry I'm just switching over to receivers 25 yeah 25 yeah like I'm I'm going to continue to be above consensus because the thing that I did take away from uh week one with Dallas is 54 percent single high Terry McLaurin has roasted single high in his career 28 percent target per route run rate 2.49 yards per route run last week I think you start McLaurin and confidently as a wide receiver too I'm not gonna be moved off of it when they played the freaking Eagles last week like we know that secondary is good like McLaurin was never gonna have a big game but also like Stefan Diggs starting confidence strong flex play I think that the commander's offense bounces back in this game I think this game is going to shoot out I hope that you know Dallas can look like again talking about teams that forgot how to play off and it's like what did the Cowboys do in week one man like Dak the receivers everything just looked off so I think this is more of a okay we need to see Dallas bounce back in this game more than I'm worried about the commanders to be honest man Fitz Debro and I got a lot of Terry McLaurin questions on the stream yesterday so this he seems to be a player that folks aren't really sure what to do with this commander's offense in general do you think they're going to bounce back here against the Cowboys defense and do you think that defense was about the Cowboys and less about the Giants offense looking good yeah I'm like I'm ranking the commanders as if it's a neutral matchup because I do still have some hope for the Dallas defense or even if they're still working their kinks out in the Christian Parker system I think the commander's offensive line is capable of making them look good even though the commander's offensive line held up reasonably well against Philly in week one yeah let's go to Dolphins at 49ers Fitz this is the biggest spread of the week by far deservedly so but do you think there's any chance that the 49ers disappoint a little bit relative to expectations I'm not saying they're going to lose the game just based on their Australia trip we talked a lot about how the Rams were sort of gaming this out with the idea of weeks two and three in mind and the Niners maybe didn't do that as much but maybe that won't matter with the talent disparity here what do you think yeah we talked about this uh Andrew Erickson Chris Walsh and I on the tailgate show yesterday how to me one of the more interesting storylines of week two is how the Rams and 49ers look after handling the travel to Australia so differently with the Niners getting there well ahead of the game uh the Rams just kind of parachuting in at the last minutes and you know the Rams supposedly doing that to keep their circadian rhythms intact and felt like it would affect them less in week two they they better be less affected by it in week two after the egg they laid in Australia so they better be ready for that game against the Giants on Monday night and uh we'll we'll see if there is a in Australia hangover for the 49ers against the Dolphins I mean it's a nice soft landing for them coming back to America uh at home almost two touchdown favorites but wouldn't surprise me if they were a little sleepy and they were not going to be able to play against the Giants I'm so tempted to take the Dolphins plus 13 and a half just based on like just thinking about the travel and the sleep and and all of that just on principle almost but like man are the Dolphins bad so I just can't like I'm I'm too much of a coward to actually do it but I'm not doing it with my own money but in a pool I'm in where you have to pick every game against the spread I took the points with Miami yeah I that's that's how I do it too I wouldn't go out of my way to to bet it and I wouldn't bet it if it was like in like in a survivor pool type of spread scenario something where it's like you don't put But if you're picking every game, and I had to make a pick, I think I would go with plus points there. Debro, what do you think? Any chance the 49ers disappoint in their return to the U.S.? I don't think they do, man. They look so sharp in week one. They look like they were just ready to go. Christian McCaffrey looked like he was shot out of a cannon. That looked like a version of Christian McCaffrey we haven't seen in the NFL over the last two to three years. He looks spry. He looks explosive. I think that he has a monster game in this one. I agree with y'all. When we get totals that get up into the mid-50s or 52, 53, 54, or we get these massive spreads that are like 12 and 13, 14 points and all this kind of crap, I stay away from those because I just look at it always like play volume, garbage time, whatever. Things can go sideways. If I was forced to make a pick, yeah, I think the 49ers covered this. But in the betting streets, I'll stay away from that just because there's so many outs. So, like, things go in sideways with that. But am I projecting, like, the 49ers to be sleepy in this game? No, I think they roll. Sunday Night Football, Colts at Chiefs. I think I'm going to go quickly on this one because I'm talking about two stars. So, everybody's going to be starting these guys. But they are ranked back-to-back, Jonathan Taylor and Kenneth Walker in ECR. They are fifth and sixth, respectively, in the consensus rankings in this game. So, who has the better week, Jonathan Taylor or Kenneth Walker, D-Bro? Kenneth Walker. Kenneth. Kenneth Walker. Like, I'm worried about Daniel Jones, their ability to move the ball. Casey's defense looked outstanding in week one. I think Spaggs is in his bag. Kenneth Walker. Dude, I just got to throw this out. I have never seen a running back performance like what he put on film in week one. I've never seen this in the numbers. And I'm going to probably go in the Wayback Machine later today to see if I can find anything close to this. I want everybody to understand, with 23 carries in week one, Kenneth Walker, forced 16 missed tackles. He had a 70% missed tackle rate. He had 6.39 yards after contact per attempt. I've never seen a one-game performance like that, ever. Ever, since I've been doing this job. Ever. So, I'm just leaning on Kenneth Walker still doing some amazing stuff in week two. Here for it. Interestingly, Fitz, when I put the sheet together, Jonathan Taylor was fifth and Kenneth Walker was sixth. They have now flipped. Now, Kenneth Walker is fifth and Jonathan Taylor. So, they're still on a part, but it has reversed. Who is ahead? Who do you like to have a bigger game? I, too, prefer Kenneth Walker. Just the matchup, like Debro was saying, Walker just has the softer matchup. Like, the Chiefs' run defense looked really good last week. And the Colts' run defense did not. Like, I think the Colts' run defense is going to be one we target with running backs all season. Because they're defensive tackles. DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart, once great run stuffers. Those guys are 32 now. And the Colts' linebackers, one of the worst linebacker groups in the league. And it kind of reminded me of, like, the Bengals' linebacker group last year. And that was just, like, that short-circuited their entire defense. And I worry that might be the same for the Colts this year. Plus, I think you want to run on the Colts and not throw at Sauce Gardner and Charverius Ward. Like, that's how you attack the Indianapolis Colts. So, yeah, give me all of Kenneth Walker this week. Yeah, and to add some numbers to everything Fitzy laid out there beautifully, Indy gave it the third-highest explosive run rate in Week 1 and had the 10th-lowest rate of hitting the running back at or behind the line to scrimmage. Yeah, to all Fitzy points, I think Walker eats in this game. Every week for Sunday Night Football, we are going to go through the Prop Bet Cheat Sheet and give our favorite three- and four-star bets for that game. So, Fitz, I'll start with you. What is your favorite? What is your favorite Prop Bet for this week from the Cheat Sheet? Well, I do love Kenneth Walker, but the Chiefs probably don't want to work him into the ground just two weeks into the season. So, I've got Emmitt Johnson over 25-and-a-half rushing plus receiving yards. That's a four-star bet on the Betting Pros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet. Again, the Colts are a team we want to target with running backs. Emmitt Johnson looked really good given his opportunities in relief of Kenneth Walker in Week 1. And Emmitt Johnson, really good dual threat last year in college at Nebraska. So, he can get home with the rushing and the pass catching. So, 25-and-a-half, pretty low bar against this bad defense. Debra? Kind of like Emmitt Johnson shouldn't have been a fifth-round pick in the NFL draft, huh, Fitzy? Kind of weird. Interesting. Who knew? Anyway, moving on. Patrick Mahomes, I'm taking a three-star bet with him. I'm taking the over three-and-a-half rushing attempts. I feel like this. The line is just wrong. We have him projected for 4.3 rushing attempts. I was very surprised how willing he was to run. Ran the ball seven times in Week 1. And you pair this also with Indy. Again, going back to it, had the second-highest pressure rate in Week 1, 50%. So, I think Mahomes showed the willingness to run whenever pressure came in Week 1. I think he's going to do the same thing in Week 2. Those were our top prop bets for Sunday Night Football, courtesy of the Betting Pros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet. Find the best NFL player prop bets with the Betting Pros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet Quickly compare lines from leading sportsbooks against our daily NFL projections to uncover the props offering the most value. Make smarter prop betting decisions all season long at bettingpros.com slash props. All right, guys. One last game, Monday Night Football. I think we can be quick on this one because it's kind of a similar question that I asked about the Niners. This is Giants at Rams. How much are you taking away from the terrible Rams' performance in Week 1? Are you adjusting ranks for Week 2? Or are you largely ignoring Week 1, given the weird travel stuff surrounding the trip to Melbourne? How are you approaching this one, D-Bro? I'm just kind of ignoring it. I'm just pretending like it didn't happen. I mean, I've got Devontae Adams. Maybe I'm low, but I don't know where he's at in consensus. I got him at wide receiver 25, but if you were to tell me anybody has him as a wide receiver 2, fine with that. I'm ranking Puka. He's wide receiver 23 in consensus, by the way. Yeah, and so again, I'm like similar area code. It's just splitting hairs between guys. But I'm ranking everybody with the Rams like I usually would. They look so discombobulated. I don't think that that's how they continue to work. And the other part about this, is they're going to be forced to put points on the board, man. Like their defense was not great in Week 1. They had the ninth lowest pressure rate in Week 1, and Jackson Dart looked really, really sound. And so I think the Giants are going to push them in this game. I'm not saying the Giants are going to go out and win this game. I'm not saying they're going to post 30 versus this defense, but Myles Garrett is not walking in that door to help this pass rush. Aaron Donald, if he does play in this game, is not going to be a full-time player if they can't, rush Jackson Dart. The other thing about it is, like, for all the things, and I'm not saying that he's a bad player after one game, game but Trent McDuffie did not make his presence known in week one hope he shows up in week two but if that doesn't happen I think the Giants could put up points and they're going to push the Rams so the Rams are going to be forced to put up some points in this game but I think they will Fitz are you ignoring week one as far as how you're approaching ranking the Rams this week or are you taking into consideration that they looked pretty bad I think so uh I've got most of the Rams ranked like I'm right with consensus on all but I'm a couple spots behind on Matthew Stafford oh that's a good call it's I have him lower it's not so much that he looked bad although he did look really bad and threw a lot of turnover worthy uh passes in week one it's more that he's an immobile quarterback going up against a defense that can send Abdul Carter uh Brian Burns Kayvon Thibodeau rookie Arvel Reese after him like I I feel like that could be a potential problem and I'm it'll be interesting to see how Sean McVay counters that maybe it's just a real run heavy approach but um I'm thinking it's probably not going to be like some 350 yard passing day for Matthew Stafford that that's a really good call Fitzy yeah like I'm I'm a few spots behind consensus on Stafford and I think like as a consensus in week one we had Stafford all kind of ranked as a top 12 quarterback so I think Stafford's a really good call in this one because I don't have him as a QB one like I've got Baker Mayfield Jordan Love ahead of him I had Jared Goff last night ahead of him um I you could give me a case where maybe Tyler Shuckout scores in this week we shall see how that you know that Ravens game goes but so yeah Stafford's a good call for this one because yeah there's just other quarterbacks I like more and we know Stafford while he might throw a lot in this game he ain't gonna run so we'll go ahead and wrap things up there thanks everybody for checking out our key questions ahead of week two for D-Bro and Fitz I'm Ryan Wormley we'll see you again next time thanks for listening to the fantasy pros fantasy football podcast if you love the show the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on apple podcasts at fantasypros.com slash review or on spotify follow us on x instagram and tiktok at fantasy pros and subscribe to our youtube channel at youtube.com slash fantasy pros you bought a sofa you didn't have to assemble a suit someone measured just for you and now you're taking a guy's trip that actually matters you've upgraded a few things in life so why are you still running with rough nicotine pouches on plus nicotine pouches with nico silk mesh no corners no rough edges just the softest pouch on the planet you've evolved and this is what's next on plus nicotine pouches not all varieties available in all geographies warning this product contains nicotine nicotine is an addictive chemical this is an iheart podcast guaranteed human