Ep. 2097 - JD Vance's Post-Election Comments Go Viral
47m 12s
The 2026 midterms have delivered a major setback for Republicans, with Democrats gaining 40+ seats in the House and potentially eight in the Senate, including a close race in Mississippi. Vice President J.D. Vance identifies the Iran war as the primary driver of the losses, arguing that Republican voters turned out but shifted to Democratic candidates due to economic and foreign policy concerns. President Trump defends the war, taking responsibility while rejecting blame on cabinet officials like Pete Hegseth or Susie Wiles. Market reactions, including a sharp drop in oil prices, reflect relief over the war’s economic toll. Beyond Washington, West Hollywood has legalized polyamorous relationships, validating long-standing conservative predictions about the decline of traditional marriage. In Los Angeles, socialist Nydia Rahman is overtaking a mainstream Democrat, Karen Bass—a former communist—whose record includes absent leadership during the city’s fires. Meanwhile, Florida remains a red stronghold, with Governor Ron DeSantis positioning himself as a leading 2028 presidential candidate. The episode underscores a profound political realignment, with the GOP facing deep institutional and ideological challenges. However, historical parallels to 1994 suggest resilience: after major losses, the party has recovered, indicating that while the results are damaging, a future Republican resurgence remains possible. The political landscape is now more volatile, with a clear need for leadership reform and policy recalibration.
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Republicans reel as late-breaking election results make Tuesday night go from bad to worse. Sorry,
from really, really, really, really bad to catastrophic. And all the top dogs jockey for
position. Vice President J.D. Vance comes out swinging against the Iran war. Iran war supporters
come out swinging against J.D. Vance. President Trump defends both the Iran war and J.D. Vance.
Underneath the national level, an overt socialist looks poised to replace a secret communist
in Los Angeles. West Hollywood establishes new legal protections for orgies,
and Republicans at this very moment are set to lose Mississippi.
I'm Michael Knowles. This is the Michael Knowles Show.
Welcome back to the show. A little bit of a palate cleanser amid
this moment. I'm Michael Knowles. The morass of crazy political news. Liam Neeson has just reacted to the news that Meryl Streep will play
the Jesus character in the new Narnia movie, and his reaction is just perfect. It's delightful.
We need a little palate cleanser with all of the political news. We'll get to that in a moment.
First, though, election night hasn't ended yet. I know it seems like election night ended and all
the headlines are the Republicans got routed, but it actually hasn't ended because America is kind of a
banana republic now, and we can't conduct elections in a night or two nights or three nights. So we
still don't know the final tally. We still don't know how many seats the Democrats are poised to
pick up in the House of Representatives. Initially, it could have been limited to 25 seats, 30 seats.
I actually, I had a congressman friend of mine text me. He was kind of texting me dark humor
jokes about how bad it was on Tuesday night, and I was responding with these kind of macabre jokes,
but it never even occurred to me.
that congressman friend in a deep red part of the country very likely will lose his seat too.
Never even occurred to me that his seat could be in play. I only realized that when I Googled
the races later. So that 25 seat pickup for the Democrats is now looking closer to 40, 40 plus.
Then at the Senate level, Democrats pick up seven seats. We still don't know about Mississippi.
Mississippi. M-I-S-S-I-S-I-P-P-I. Mississippi. I know two things about Mississippi. How to spell
it because they teach you that in kindergarten and that it is a deep, deep Republican part of
the country until now. The results right now, separated by about 1,200 votes, 1,200 votes,
almost a million votes cast, 1,200 votes separate the Senate candidates and the Democrat is
currently in the lead.
Democrat Scott Cullum, 49.01% to the incumbent Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith, 48.89%.
Total vote counts 464,926 for the Democrat, 463,788 votes for the Republican. That means
that the Democrats could pick up eight seats in the Senate. And we'll put that in perspective
in a second. We'll bring the perspective and the
balance back to the Senate.
Everyone's running around like a chicken with their head cut off. Everything's on fire.
We'll get to that in a second because I was a big doomer going into election night.
Uncharacteristically, I was probably more doomer than most Republicans and I'm usually pretty
chipper about it. So we'll get a little balance in a second because now I was a doomer and a lot
of people weren't. Some people even thought the Republicans would do well. Now it seems like it's
flipped. Now everybody is just completely blackpilling and despairing. And I think we
need to add some important historical and political context.
So about the reactions. Vice President J.D. Vance has an amazing tweet come out yesterday. Comes out
swinging, bold take on the meaning of the election, saying the things a lot of Republicans don't want
to say and identifying the main issue cause of the Republican route, namely the Iran war. People are
trying to point at other things and say, oh, it's candidate quality. Oh, it was this. Oh, it was
tariffs. Oh, it was this. It was that. Give me a break. If there is an issue, it's about more than
issues. But if there is an issue, it's about more than issues. If there is an issue, it's about more
issues. But if there is an issue, it's about more
than an issue that caused the Republican route. It was the Iran war. As sensible people knew from
the beginning, as sensible people knew before the Iran war kicked off, as the bombs were falling at
the outbreak of the Iran war and for the days afterward. So here's the vice president's very,
very thoughtful tweet. It's really an essay. You're now seeing some Republicans posting
essays on Twitter, and they're pretty thoughtful. But this is what got J.D. in all sorts of trouble
and I think what's getting him a lot of support. Quote, one of the things that I think is
the data analysts on our side obsessed over was composition. Whether the electorate looked close
enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. Don't forget, it was two years ago that Republicans
win this big blowout, deprive Democrats of the popular vote for the first time in 20 years.
Big new coalition, young voters, young men coming over to our side, Hispanics coming over to our
side, Republicans chipping off enough of the black vote to really hurt the Democrats.
Is the composition the same? Despite the polls that showed a Democrat blowout,
the data kept on telling us the same story. In some states, turnout was merely okay. In other
states, it was downright amazing. And in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of
optimism on our team. Our people were showing up. So you understand that in the tracking,
in the days before the election, they said, okay, well, in midterms, the big problem is
that our side just doesn't feel motivated to show up to the polls. And the other side is really
energized. That's true no matter which party we're talking about in the first midterm after a
year. They say, okay, well, hold on, the data show, our guys are showing up. This is good news.
Maybe that blue tsunami is actually going to be a blue trickle. Maybe there's going to be a big red
undertow there because the Republicans are showing up to the polls. And so they say, well, this is
really, really good news. But actually, what first seemed like good news turned out to be far worse
news than had the Republicans not showed up to vote at all. What happened was the Republicans
did show up and they voted for Democrats.
Now, this is five alarm fire scenario. You can come back from your base is not motivated to go
vote. You can come back from that. There's a path. That's a tried and true precedent.
It's much harder to come back from your guys did show up and voted for the other guys.
So vice president goes on. He says, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're
going to shock the world? No, he told me. We might do better than the poll suggests, but the data is
telling me that a lot of people are going to be shocked. So I'm going to show up and vote for
Trump. Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning
out, but they may not vote for us. Well, that looks prophetic. Now, says the vice president.
Our voters did show up in Florida. For example, the electorate was nine points more Republican
than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 24. Undoubtedly, there were places we could have
done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people
who voted for Trump Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. He goes on, he points out
there's gonna be a lot of infighting. People are going to vote for Trump. He goes on, he points out
they're going to try to point fingers and identify the blame. But that is just a fact of the data.
Okay, so he says, okay, there are all these issues. Economic messaging wasn't sharp enough,
blah, blah, blah. I'm sure that's true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster, one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we would
lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was
shocked by this. Again, this is almost my reaction too. I felt negative going into Tuesday,
I was one of the doomers. And yet the only way in which my prediction was inaccurate is that
even I, thinking it was gonna be bad, didn't think it was gonna be quite that bad.
So what caused all of this? Talk to the voters, talk to the respondents, conduct the polls.
This pollster asked those voters who had abandoned us, what would cause them to come
back to our team? The top four answers accounting for nearly all the responses were one, end the war.
Two, focus on cost of living inflation. Three, put America first. Four, and this is the really
controversial one, supposedly, in certain quarters of the Beltway, change our relationship to Israel.
Now, these are all related issues, of course. The top issue, according to the exit polls for
the voters, was cost of living, the economy, gas prices, on and on and on. But that is just another
way of saying it. It's not just about the cost of living. It's about the cost of living. The top issue for people was the downstream effect of the war in Iran. People are gonna try to cast
blame, say, oh, you know, actually, it was tariffs. The tariffs were fine. The tariffs actually didn't
really spike inflation. A lot of economists said they would, and then Scott Besson spiked the
football and pointed out they didn't, actually. They're gonna say, oh, it's Biden. It's the
holdover from the Biden inflation, because you had 9% inflation year over year under Joe Biden,
and it takes a little while to clean that up. So we brought the rate of inflation down, but
we didn't actually reduce the cost of goods other than certain specific cases like eggs. So no,
it's actually Biden's fault, and that's what they're upset about. No, no, no, no. The inflation
that we are seeing now, and the inflation that we're seeing really directly, because diesel is
at $6.50 a gallon.
gallon and gas prices are way up from where they were before the war, that's because of the war.
And when oil goes up, the cost of everything goes up because everything has to be transported all
around the country. So that's a way of saying it's the war, cost of living, focus on cost of
living inflation. One of the big drivers of cost of living is the high interest rates. That's the
Fed. The politicians have basically no control over that. So, okay, yeah, the interest rates
are really tough, but the interest rates are where they are because the Federal Reserve is
trying to manage inflation from the Biden era and from COVID. And okay, yeah, that's true.
But the proximate issues of cost of living and inflation come from the war. Yes, mass migration
caused the big spike in housing prices five, six years ago. That's true. But what voters already
voted in the meantime, they voted for the Republicans massively in 2024. So 2026, what has
changed?
It's the war. Number three, put America first. This is a tricky one because voters want the
government to focus on domestic issues. Now, it's not as simple as turn away from the rest of the
world. We can't actually do that because we're a global empire. To quote Thucydides in the history
of the Peloponnesian War, a lot of people don't want to have an empire. They don't feel comfortable
having an empire. They didn't seek an empire, perhaps, but they will miss the empire when it
is gone. Because the thing about empires is a lot of our domestic issues are not going to be
prosperity. A lot of our domestic way of life is contingent upon the American maintenance of the
global order. It's contingent upon, perhaps, the global reserve currency. It's contingent upon
the United States guaranteeing that the waterways are open and that oil and goods move around the
world. It's contingent upon keeping our adversaries like China and, to some degree, Russia in check.
It's dependent upon peace. That is, at the most basic level, what an empire promises. That is
the advantage of an imperial system of power.
Politics is that you get peace. And when you have peace, you can have freedom, and you can
have prosperity, and you have new companies, and you have jobs, and you can have all of those
things. So you can't neatly separate America's imperial interests with our domestic concerns.
They're dependent upon the other. If you only focus on the domestic concerns, you're going to
lose your place in geopolitics, and your domestic prosperity is going to collapse. But if you focus
too much on all the foreign stuff, and you get involved in a bunch of imperial wars, you are
going to neglect domestic concerns. And then you ask, well, what's the empire even for? Very thorny
issue. I think the vice president nails it. And then number four, change our relationship to
Israel. This is the really controversial part. Because there are many people for whom Israel is
the top issue, whether theologically, or as a matter of brand strategy, or whatever. It's always
very, very controversial, and it brings out people from the fringes, and it does bring out certain
aspects of bigotry. But it's also just like a basic part of the empire. So I think it's a very
controversial part of geopolitics. And so that's the one that's going to get all of the heat. And
yet, something I haven't seen anyone mention, for that fourth controversial point, change our
relationship to Israel. Do you know who agrees with that? It's not just the vice president going
out on a limb saying something totally crazy here. You know who else agrees with that? President
Trump, who said that the morning of the election. He said, oh, yeah, we're going to stop the way
that we fund Israel. We're going to end that. We have to change our relationship.
You know what's kind of funny, too? You know who else agrees that America needs to change its
relationship to Israel? Benjamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu months ago came out and said, yeah,
the way that this is working, where we just get a check from the United States, that's not good
for anybody. It makes Israel too dependent on the United States, and we want more control over our
domestic affairs. The American voters resent that because they think that they're just sending all
their money over to this country in the Middle East. Yeah, yeah. We got to change it. It's not
to say we need to blow up the U.S.-Israel alliance, but it's saying,
we need to change the relationship. It's not working for either party here.
So all of a sudden, the most controversial part of the vice president's tweet
is actually perhaps one of the few issues that all American voters can agree on and all the people at
the high levels of government can agree on, even that our allies can agree on, including Israel.
So he's going to get a ton of heat for that. And yet, to me, that one's just common sense.
The vice president concludes, he says, our voters showed up, but those all of the above
four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. Need to figure that out. So the
question, of course, is how is the president going to react to the vice president going rogue
allegedly after the midterms? We'll get to Trump's reaction in a second. First,
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Headlines, the vice president goes rogue, sends out this tweet about the midterms.
Trump must be fuming, right? Mr. President, what do you think of the vice president's tweet?
The vice president wrote a very lengthy post about how the war impacted the results last night.
Well, I knew he was, I know how he feels about it. I think it was, I think it was fine.
I thought it was good. We knew that. I know that.
I knew that when I went in and we stopped them from having a nuclear weapon and they will never
have a nuclear weapon. So this really deflates a lot of the people who are waging this shadow war
soon to come out of the shadows for the 2028 presidential nomination. There've been all this
little shadow boxing among supporters for the vice president, supporters for Marco Rubio. Marco
Rubio, who himself has shown no indication that he's going to run, who actually has endorsed J.D.
Vance. There are other people though. Governor Ron DeSantis making big, big moves to start a
presidential campaign.
By all accounts, we'll get to that momentarily. Senator Cruz has, has suggested that he wants to
run in 2028. Rand Paul has suggested he wants to run in 2028. So now this is coming out into the
open. The minute you have the midterms, the next day, the presidential campaign starts.
And what does Trump come out and say? He says, oh yeah, I, yeah, I saw the vice president's post.
I agree with it. Yeah, yeah, it was good. I know how he feels and I
launched the Iran war. So he's defending both vice president who says, yeah, we lost the midterms
because of the war and the war itself. He does so explicitly. Talking about running,
you can have people running. You're going to have a lot of people. Maybe you're a lot of people
running. Maybe nobody's going to run. Maybe he won't run. I don't know who's going to run,
but I can tell you that as far as that war is concerned, I would have done nothing different.
Okay. So here's president Trump offering a little steady leadership. And this is what
the Republicans need right now.
We need steady leadership. We got totally rocked at the ballot box. It was bad. It happens,
though it doesn't happen like that very often. What we need is steady leadership.
If the vice president came out and said, I totally disagree with the VP,
one, I wouldn't have expected that to happen, but two, that's no good. And if Trump came out and
he said, yeah, I made a huge blunder on Iran. It was crazy. And we're going to get pulled out of
the war tomorrow. And it was just the worst thing ever. And that also would be strange because the
swings that you're seeing among the electorate, you can't really see that reflected in the
government too, or things really can start to spin out of control. So here you have good,
steady responses from the White House and acknowledgement of reality. I think reasonable
minds can indeed disagree on the Iran war. I think, as you know, before the war happened and
while the bombs were falling and in the early days of it, I made very clear, had I been on the
National Security Council, I would have urged restraint. There was reporting that came out
from the New York Times at the time that said that plenty of
people in the government were urging restraint, including the VP and the Secretary of State and
the CIA director. Other people were urging more of a hawkish stance on the Iran war.
Obviously, President Trump was swayed that it was worth going in. Everyone hoped the war would wrap
up quickly. It didn't wrap up quite as quickly. My argument for restraint was not that the Iranian
regime is good or that they don't want a nuclear weapon or anything that you hear from the peaceniks.
I said, no, no, no, they're awful. They're like the worst people in the world. They definitely
want a nuclear weapon. They hate us. They want to blow us up. That's true. My disagreement
was prudential. I just thought the Iranian regime is more durable than the hawk said it was. And I
think I was proven entirely correct about that. Don't forget the Iranian regime, the mullahs,
the Islamic regime has lasted twice as long as the CIA backed regime that we had from 1953 to 1979
after we ousted Mossadegh. That was my argument is just these guys are willing to take a lot of
pain. These guys are pretty good at politics. These guys have 50 years of contingency plans.
I don't think this is going to be smooth sailing in the way that you saw in Venezuela, for instance.
So now the knives are coming out. A lot of reporting saying Pete Hegseth is on the chopping block.
You know, the Iran war was the cause of the midterm route, and Pete Hegseth is the Secretary
of War, so they got to fire Pete Hegseth. And I don't know, Trump seems to be tamping down some
of that rumor mill, but it doesn't really make sense to me to blame Pete Hegseth for the war
in Iran. If you want to make a comparison to 2006, when the Republicans got routed in the midterms,
and then George W. Bush fired Secretary of Defense Don Rumsfeld, you say, okay, well,
people hated the war, and Don Rumsfeld was running the war, so they had to fire Rumsfeld.
Okay, people were upset about the execution of the war in Iraq, and there were lots of mistakes
in the execution of the war in Iraq. But in this case, what people are upset about is simply the
decision to go to war in the first place. And it wasn't Pete Hegseth who made that decision.
In 2006, you're talking about a war that had been going on for three years and had ups and downs
and lots of big problems. In this case, the issue is that the war has gone on for six months
instead of two months.
So I don't think those are really comparable, and I don't think it would solve the administration's
problems if they just fired Hegseth. For Susie Wiles, some people are trying to blame Susie
Wiles, chief of staff. I don't really see why you would do that. I don't see any evidence that Susie
Wiles is responsible for the midterm loss or the Iran war or anything like that. I think reasonable
minds can disagree on the Iran war, but President Trump is coming out and saying, look, I knew it
would be politically tough, but I think it was the right thing to do for grand strategy, for morality,
for this, that.
And you say, okay, that is actually a bold stance. That's a courageous stance. He's sticking by his
guns. People can disagree with him. A lot of voters obviously did. But it's not passing the buck and
saying, no, it was just one cabinet secretary who made some bad moves. No, no, no. Trump is taking
responsibility for that. So now what do we make for all of this different messaging? Well, I'll
tell you what. There's one connection that people are not drawing. After that Vance tweet, oil prices
collapsed.
Which is a good thing. That's what we want to see. There's a little reporting in Axios on this,
but you can just see Brent crude prices. After the tweet, they drop right down. Oil prices fell
sharply Wednesday as traders weigh signs, including a widely circulated post by Vice President J.D.
Vance, that the midterm election will add pressure on the White House to find an off-ramp to the Iran
conflict. So when all the dust settles beyond all the little arguments and the infighting and
jockeying for 2028, what does that mean? It's a good thing. It's a good thing. It's a good thing.
What do we have happen? We have all the top dogs, all the real players in the arena saying,
yeah, we got routed. It was really bad. There's some structural issue here, which is that
Republicans always faced headwinds going into the midterms. The proximate cause on issues was the
Iran war, and we need to find an off-ramp for that. And as a result, the markets are reacting
very well. I don't know. This seems like a good management thus far from the White House of a very
very tough situation. Meanwhile, you have all the potential presidential contenders coming out. The
one taking the biggest swings right now is Governor Ron DeSantis in Florida, one of the few states that
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in your boots or your loafers or your wallet west. Ron DeSantis taking a victory lap,
after the whole country's going blue, and Mississippi might go blue, and Texas went blue,
and DeSantis says Florida remains the bright red spot.
Last night, we witnessed, to call it a wave, I don't think would be fully accurate. It's the
political equivalent of a meteor strike that went all around the United States, blue states,
red states, everything in between. And the one state that was able to hold the line and withstand
that
is right here in the free state of Florida. Okay, so DeSantis, look, he worked for this
victory lap. He deserves his victory lap. He obviously has presidential ambitions because
he ran the last time. He did get clobbered because he was running against Trump, and Trump
is Napoleon. But he won't be running against Trump the next time, and so he seems to be setting the
stage. I agree with most of what DeSantis said here, and he deserves a lot of credit for sure.
But he did say one thing that I felt took it a little too far.
Okay, DeSantis did a great job here. He deserves a lot of plaudits. He's got a lot of political
advantage now, and he's totally capitalizing on that, and good for him. That's very, very
impressive. The only part I would quibble with is that last little bit of rhetoric where he says,
what Republicans saw on Tuesday was a near extinction-level event.
As I have mentioned once or twice, I was one of the doomers going into Election Day,
uncharacteristically so. I was on Nigel Farage's show that day, and he said,
oh, I think the Republicans are actually going to do well. I said, Nigel, you're drunk. Get
out of the pub. There's no way. I love the hopefulness, but I know it's going to be bad
for Republicans. So I think I have a little credibility here when it comes to the
other side of it. As everyone now is freaking out, the Republican Party is dead. It's going
extinct. Whoa, whoa, whoa. Hold your horses. Now, I was one of the biggest doomers going into the
election. I guess I'm one of the more hopeful people coming out of the election because
how bad was it? The best comparison to what happened on Tuesday night and what is continuing
to roll out as more results come in, the biggest comparison was 1994. In 1994, many of our
young to remember this. I am almost too young to remember this, but I was a political nerd from a
very young age. 1994, the Democrats had controlled Congress for 40 years. Gingrich, leading the
Republicans in 1994's midterm elections, picked up 54 seats and eight Senate seats. 54 seats.
This was a major turnover. Bill Clinton had just been elected two years prior. You'd had Republican
before that for three terms, two of Reagan, and then Reagan got a third term in the form of George
H.W. Bush. Bill Clinton gets elected in 1992. Two years later, Democrats suffer the most brutal
midterm loss you can possibly imagine. A midterm loss that was in fact worse than what Republicans
saw on Tuesday night. Republicans might lose 40, 43 seats in the House. Democrats lost 54.
The Democrats in the 94 elections lose
eight seats in the Senate. Republicans might lose seven seats. Depends what happens in Mississippi.
Let's say it's eight seats. Okay, then that's a draw. Did the Democratic Party go extinct after
that? That was brutal. That was a worse loss for the Democrats in 94 than the Republicans faced in
2026. Did the Democrats go extinct after that? No, unfortunately. I wish they had, but they didn't.
The Democrats remained strong. In fact, do you know what happened two years after 1994?
MathWiz, 1996. What happened in 1996? Bill Clinton won re-election.
Now, what happened after 1996? You had 1998. You have the impeachment of Bill Clinton
for getting a little frisky with his humidor in the Oval Office. By humidor, I mean his intern.
They were synonymous at that time. Things went south for a little bit. Then you got George
W. Bush. Democrats were supposed to go extinct in 1994. They won a big presidential victory
just two years later. And so much of that happened. And so much of that
hand-wringing over the midterm election results last night was over the 2028 presidential cycle.
Can any Republican win? Well, our nearest historical analogy says, yes, a Republican
could win. Now, a lot of things have to happen in the meantime, because the way that Bill Clinton
was able to survive that brutal shellacking in 94 was when he came out and said the era of big
government is over, when he changed up some personnel, when he changed up his attitude on
the government. Nevertheless, he was really, really bad.
People didn't want to admit that it was going to be bad going in. They should have. People didn't
want to admit it was the Iran war. They should have. But likewise, right now, people are also
facing a different kind of delusion. They're saying the GOP is just totally dead and might
as well pack it in and start a new political party. Hey, guys, is that what the Democrats
did in 94? I don't think so. And the Democrats have done pretty well since then. Need to keep
a little bit of perspective, okay? Before we get into more of the political fallout,
on the point of extinction, we need to focus on some of the craziness going on outside of Washington.
DC. We need to talk about some of the predictions made by the conservatives in the 1990s,
actually. West Hollywood has now officially decided to allow people to register as throuples,
foursomes, and multi-partner relationships. We're talking about a foursome. We're not
talking about golfing at the Bel Air Country Club. We're talking about really weird sex stuff
in West Hollywood, which is one of the top three capitals of weird sex stuff in the entire country.
The West Hollywood City Council has unanimously approved new legal protections for polyamorous
couples. This was put forward by Mayor John Heilman, quote, the measure allows people in
relationships involving multiple partners to officially register with the city, granting
them certain rights, including hospital visitation and additional tenant protections. This will allow
three or more individuals to formally register their relationship with the city by submitting
paperwork to the city clerk. To qualify, participants must satisfy several conditions,
including mutual consent and the absence of blood relations. So they get all these other
protections now. In other words, West Hollywood has just legalized polygamy for all intents and
purposes, exactly as the social conservatives have been predicting for decades. I remember I
was around in the 90s and 2000s when there was the debate over same-sex marriage. And the social
conservatives said, you can't have same-sex marriage. It's just an incoherent concept
because marriage is intrinsically the union of a man and a woman.
Or toward the procreation and education of children. So it's not that we want to be mean
to the homosexuals. It's that that just can't be marriage. It's like same-sex marriage is like a
square circle. It's just not possible in its nature. And if you do it at a more practical
level, there is nothing stopping you from legalizing polygamy. And at the time, all the
liberals said, that's ridiculous. Come on, stop it with your stupid slippery slope arguments.
The social conservatives have been vindicated.
On every single slippery slope argument they've ever made. Every single one. And then we're going
to make some today and they're going to say the same thing about us. But we've been vindicated
on every single one. On abortion. If you legalize abortion and you establish that it's okay to kill
innocent babies in the womb, pretty soon you're going to have abortion, not just in the first
trimester or even the second. You're going to have abortion late term. You're going to have
partial birth abortion. You're going to have an abortion on demand. The craziest slippery slope
argument we made was, pretty soon they're going to let you have abortions after the abortion.
The baby's already born. And what happened? All the libs said, oh, it's crazy, slippery slope,
stupid nonsense. You're hallucinating. What happened? How many years ago now was it that
the Democrat governor of Virginia, Ralph Northam, came out and he said, yeah, yeah, if a baby's born,
but the mother doesn't want it, she actually wanted to have an abortion. She'll talk to the
doctor. Maybe they'll kill the baby. We now have ballot referenda around the country on Tuesday
night, legal in Virginia, legalizing abortion up until the moment of birth. All of that.
All of that was predicted by the social conservatives. Before we move on from this
totally predictable and totally revolting story, I just want to focus on the next slippery slope
thing. It says, okay, the ordinance allows throuples and menage a quatre, menage a cinq,
menage a six, sept, huit to get legal protections, basically to be married.
But they must satisfy some conditions, including mutual consent. Consent is the only moral
criterion of liberalism and the absence of blood relations. So they say, okay,
you can do plenty of weird stuff, gay, trans, pans, thank you, ma'ams. You can do whatever,
three, four, five people or more in your fake marriage. But the one thing we won't cotton to
is blood relations. No incest. Why? Why? West Hollywood does not have a lot of heterosexuals
running around. So for these, all polyamorous relationships have to be homosexual to some
degree, because there's only two sexes.
Despite the protestations of the libs. So they're all gay in some way or other.
So why can't you have blood relations? The argument against incest, the reason that we've
had legal prohibitions on incest when it comes to marriage and relationships is because, well,
it's really icky, but two, because it can cause birth defects. If you have too much consanguinity,
then there are going to be defects and deformations in the kids. But we've mostly taken the kids out
of sex. We now have kids who are gay. We now have kids outside of marriage and outside of even sexual relations because of in vitro
fertilization. And people can get married and have no intention of ever having kids.
So we have so weakened the meaning of marriage. It's no longer a lifelong bond necessarily because
we legalized divorce. It's no longer ordered toward the procreation and education of children
because now plenty of people get married and don't have any intention of having kids. We don't think
that kids are an intrinsic part of what a marriage is. The openness to life. Obviously, many couples
suffer infertility. But we have kids who are gay. We have kids who are gay. But the openness to life, we always thought was part of marriage. We no longer do.
And in West Hollywood, a lot of these marriages are gay. So you take that out entirely.
If, this is so gross, and it's a family show, but we have to just follow this to its logical
conclusion. If kids are not a big factor here, if it's just like three or four fellows who want
to pretend that they're married in West Hollywood, why can't they be related to each other?
They're not making babies. Even if they go to the baby store and the surrogacy,
and they try to buy one, they still haven't figured out a way to create a baby out of a man
and a man. You just have to go rent the eggs of some other woman who presumably is not related
to you. So according to the logic of the West Hollywood mayor, and love is love, and let people
do whatever they want, my body, my choice, why can't two brothers get gay married in West
Hollywood? You're saying that five, six different people of any sexes can get married. Why can't two
brothers do it? They're not going to make a baby. There's no threat of genetic malformations or
anything like that. By the way, according to the logic of my body, my choice, you do you,
maximize individual autonomy. I'm not even sure that that argument would hold up against incest
and marrying people of your family. But let's just put that off the side for a moment.
Why can't two male cousins, two brothers, an uncle and a nephew, why can't they do it? According to
the logic of West Hollywood. Here's my argument, is it's totally icky and gross, and it should
be illegal, and it's contrary to natural law. And marriage has a meaning that is intrinsic to what
it is. And so not only should you get rid of the throuples and all this weird stuff, and incest and
all the rest, but also it's a lifelong union of a man and a woman ordered toward the procreation
education of children. That's my argument. You say that my natural law arguments are wrong,
and it inhibits people. Okay. What's the limiting principle? You say, oh, come on.
That's just a slippery slope argument. You're right. It is. And we have been proven right on
all of them. We have been proven right on all of them. Stay tuned, man. Stay tuned. Gamora by the sea over there. Okay. Now, speaking of LA,
things are getting worse. This is a race nobody's even talking about.
The socialist city councilman, Nydia Rahman, who was running against Spencer Pratt, the Republican,
and against Karen Bass, the incumbent Democrat mayor of LA, she was written off for a long time.
It looked like Spencer Pratt had destroyed her chances of becoming mayor of LA. Now, the socialist
is supplanting the mainstream Democrat. And it's especially ironic because that mainstream
Democrat actually used to be a communist. So, we'll get to how LA has gone from not just bad
to worse, but really, really, really bad to catastrophic. Then we'll get to Liam Neeson,
and then maybe a little bit more on the election first, though. Speaking of Hollywood,
Confession comes out November 11th on Daily Wire. It's in select theaters. Go to dailywire.com to
buy tickets. Movie's terrific. Go check it out. I did not pick the favorite comment yesterday.
Just a firehose of information coming in, and I had the producers pick it. This is from Eddie,
who says, at least an ex-Yankees player won a Republican seat in Texas. We're saved. I know,
that's exciting. And the congressional baseball game is going to be great this year. Okay.
Nydia Rahman, socialist, is leading right now. This race still hasn't been called either, at least
as of turning the cameras on this morning. The latest LA County election results show Rahman
with 405,193 votes. That's 51.67%.
Compared to Karen Bass, 379,069 votes. Nice. So that's 48.33% for Karen Bass. That is a 26,000
vote advantage right now. It means the incumbent is getting taken down. So the way this should be
read, because most people don't know the total personal history of Karen Bass, the way this
should be read is voters choosing an overt socialist over a mainstream Democrat.
Now, Karen Bass, I mean, she let her city be burnt to the ground. You remember during the LA fires
that destroyed that city, Karen Bass not only wasn't on the job in LA, she wasn't even on the
continent. She was visiting Africa. She was phoning it in while her city was burning down. It was
burning down in part because of her own policies and the Democrat policies from the governor.
So what the voters went into is they said, okay, we can either keep our mainstream Democrat or we
can go further left and elect a socialist. It looks like they're electing a socialist.
There is a little wrinkle to this though, which is,
Karen Bass is not a mainstream Democrat. Karen Bass is actually a communist. So Karen Bass,
this was years ago at this point, but she was an actual card carrying member of
explicitly communist organizations. So in reality, in LA, it's just all awful. And I'm very glad I
left because that city is just unsalvageable at this point, at least for the foreseeable future.
But we should still be very concerned about this because what it means is,
the voters now,
For all they know, not understanding that Karen Bass is a communist, they're moving further to the left. They are embracing socialism in their own minds in a more distinct way. Okay, speaking of Hollywood, another little palate cleanser, Liam Neeson. Love Liam Neeson. Liam Neeson was just reacting in an interview to the news that in the new Narnia movie by Greta Gerwig, Aslan, the Jesus character, is going to be played by a woman.
My first introduction to your work was not your face, it was actually your voice when you voiced Aslan in the Chronicles of Narnia films. I was just curious, now that Narnia is back in the news cycle, we're getting a new interpretation next year, if you had a chance to check out the trailer and what it feels like to now have people revisiting that franchise on the big screen.
I'm sorry, this is news to me.
The new Narnia?
Yeah.
Well, I'm grateful to be the one to break it to you.
Oh, great.
Meryl Streep is taking on Aslan this time around.
Meryl is playing Jesus Christ.
She is.
Well, if you're going to make Christ a lady, nobody better than Meryl.
What an amazing, amazing reaction. And it's just like, he's me for real, for real. Everyone's talking about how we now identify with Anakin Skywalker. I identify with Qui-Gon Jinn. I think Liam Neeson's reaction is just magnificent. I am withholding judgment on the Narnia movies for now because Greta Gerwig has been a crypto conservative filmmaker for a long time and her movies are great.
So, but I don't love, I don't love what I'm seeing in the news that they're getting a lady to play the Jesus character. And look for a rock ribbed right wing conservative like me, that's an understandable reaction. But even Liam Neeson, I mean, I think this is, I think he's, he's got the reaction of the kind of normie, not all that political audience member, which is they're having a lady play Jesus.
And he's very diplomatic about it.
He goes, well.
If you're going to have a lady play Jesus, I guess Meryl Streep's the best one. You know, she's the best living actress. So if you're going to have a lady play Jesus, what? If, you know, if wishes were horses, beggars would ride. If ifs and buts were candy and nuts, we'd all have a Merry Christmas. That's a big if. Why are we?
So for all the people covering this, we'll see what happens when the Narnia movie comes out.
It's not just a right wing ginned up culture war issue among.
These perpetually angry incels on the internet, you know, it's like Liam Neeson. You know, it's Hollywood royalty. People who are relatively lib, you know, or live in liberal environments. They say, hold on, we got a lady playing Jesus. Why are we? What are we doing? What are we doing with that? He's me. He's me for real. You guys can be Anakin. I'm going to be Qui-Gon Jinn.
Last little bit of political news coming out.
Mike Johnson has, it is now being reported.
I don't know that he's.
Made a direct statement on this.
No, I suppose he has at this point. I suppose he has actually confirmed this. Now, Mike Johnson, who is the Republican Speaker of the House, done an excellent job. I know Congress gets so much flack. The reason Congress gets flack is because they don't do anything. And the reason I don't do anything is is actually structural to Congress.
Congress has been rendered politically impotent for years and decades, with very few exceptions in between. So Mike Johnson, I think, has done an excellent job as Speaker of the House.
Given what Congress.
Can do in the 21st century. I think Mike Johnson has done an excellent job. And it's the worst job on Capitol Hill. I've said it for years now. Whenever names are floated, when I have friends, some friends of mine who are in Congress, hey, so-and-so should be Speaker, so-and-so might be Speaker. I said, I wouldn't wish that on him because I like that person. And that's the worst job in Washington, D.C.
I would much rather be the janitor at Shelley's Cigar Bar than have to wrangle the herd of cats on Capitol Hill as a Republican Speaker.
Especially as a Republican Speaker. It's harder than being a Democrat Speaker. In any case, I think Mike Johnson has done a great job. But he says, I have no interest in being the minority leader on Capitol Hill.
You are seeing a sea change here. Something big has shifted. So we need to keep these two things in mind. Right now, you just have people coping and saying, oh, no, nothing's changed. It's no big deal. Keep calm and carry on. This is fine. No, no, no. Oh, it's just a little instability because of the tariffs.
No, no, no. And you have some people saying, this is obliteration. We need to start a new political party. The country's gone to pot. Go buy a compound in New Zealand. No, no, no. That's wrong, too.
This is a survivable event. This doesn't even mean a Republican can't win in 2028. But this is a massive change. An era ended on Tuesday night.
What happens in the future is anybody's.
The Republican Party will survive. But it's going to be a very, very bumpy road. Okay. Much more to say. We're out of time. It is Theology Thursday. The rest of the show continues. Now, you do not want to miss it. Become a member using code KnowlesKennedy. Check out for two months free on all annual plans.
Father, I used to feel Christ. I cannot feel anything here.
They take me out of my bed, and they brought me here, and they tell me nothing. What have I done? Article 58, counter-revolutionary activity.
That is all I know.
There are so many enemies of the state, all of whom claim their innocence, who protest, who cry.
There are no answers here, other than the ones they put in your mouth.
Your break.
Today is your opportunity to demonstrate your loyalty to the people.
Do you know why I'm here? Of course.
But you already know, don't you?
You must believe in something greater than the party.
You will remember your duty. I've told you I know nothing.
They growl like a feral animal.
You stink of failure.
You want me to lie.
Still a drunk. Damn you!
They all break.
They all break.
They all break.
They all break.
They all break.
Maybe.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The 2026 midterms resulted in a significant Democratic gain, with potential gains of 40+ House seats and up to eight Senate seats, including a close race in Mississippi that could shift Democratic control.
Vice President J.D. Vance blames the Republican losses on the Iran war, citing voter data showing that Republicans turned out but voted for Democrats, with key concerns including cost of living, inflation, and U.S. foreign policy.
President Trump defends both the Iran war and Vance’s criticism, taking responsibility for the war’s launch and emphasizing that the GOP’s losses stem from broader structural issues, not individual failures.
Markets responded positively to Vance’s comments as oil prices collapsed, signaling relief from the war’s economic impact and suggesting a potential shift in foreign policy priorities.
West Hollywood legalized polyamorous relationships, including throuples and multi-partner arrangements, reinforcing long-standing conservative predictions about the erosion of traditional marriage norms.
LA’s Democratic mayor, Karen Bass, a former communist, is being challenged by socialist Nydia Rahman, signaling a realignment toward leftist governance in a major urban center.
Governor Ron DeSantis celebrates Florida’s red status amid national blue shifts, positioning himself as a strong presidential contender with growing influence.
The political fallout reveals a deepening crisis within the GOP, with internal infighting and calls for leadership changes, yet historical precedent suggests recovery is possible despite the scale of losses.
Summary:
The 2026 midterms have delivered a major setback for Republicans, with Democrats gaining 40+ seats in the House and potentially eight in the Senate, including a close race in Mississippi. D. Vance identifies the Iran war as the primary driver of the losses, arguing that Republican voters turned out but shifted to Democratic candidates due to economic and foreign policy concerns.
President Trump defends the war, taking responsibility while rejecting blame on cabinet officials like Pete Hegseth or Susie Wiles. Market reactions, including a sharp drop in oil prices, reflect relief over the war’s economic toll. Beyond Washington, West Hollywood has legalized polyamorous relationships, validating long-standing conservative predictions about the decline of traditional marriage.
In Los Angeles, socialist Nydia Rahman is overtaking a mainstream Democrat, Karen Bass—a former communist—whose record includes absent leadership during the city’s fires. Meanwhile, Florida remains a red stronghold, with Governor Ron DeSantis positioning himself as a leading 2028 presidential candidate. The episode underscores a profound political realignment, with the GOP facing deep institutional and ideological challenges.
However, historical parallels to 1994 suggest resilience: after major losses, the party has recovered, indicating that while the results are damaging, a future Republican resurgence remains possible. The political landscape is now more volatile, with a clear need for leadership reform and policy recalibration.
FAQs
The primary factor cited is the Iran war, which has significantly impacted public sentiment. Exit polls show that voters prioritize cost of living, inflation, and economic concerns, with the war's impact on oil prices and transportation costs being a major driver. Other contributing factors include a loss of trust in the government's handling of foreign policy and a shift in voter loyalty from Republicans to Democrats.
Vice President J.D. Vance attributed the Republican losses to the Iran war, arguing that despite strong voter turnout, many Republicans who voted for him in 2024 switched to Democrats in 2026. He highlighted data showing that the war’s economic effects, particularly on inflation and gas prices, were a top concern for voters.
President Trump defended the Iran war, stating that he believed it was the right strategic decision and that he would have urged restraint if he had been in the National Security Council. He acknowledged the political fallout but took responsibility, emphasizing that the decision was not made by a single cabinet member and that the war's long-term impact is now being felt.
West Hollywood has legalized formal registration for polyamorous relationships, including throuples and multi-partner arrangements, with protections like hospital visitation and tenant rights. The policy requires mutual consent and prohibits blood relations, sparking debate over the definition of marriage and natural law.
In Los Angeles, socialist candidate Nydia Rahman is leading over incumbent Democrat Karen Bass, who was previously a known communist. Voters appear to be shifting toward more progressive policies, signaling a significant move away from mainstream Democratic governance in the city.
Oil prices dropped sharply after Vice President Vance's public statement about the Iran war, indicating market reaction to the political shift. The drop reflects investor concern over the potential end of the war, which is seen as a key factor in the economic and political turmoil.
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