Ep. 2095 - Voting Machines Mysteriously Go Down On Election Day

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It's election day and the shenanigans are already underway as voting machines mysteriously go down in one of the most hotly contested swing districts in the country. Another young Democrat is arrested for assaulting and threatening to murder conservatives on campus. And a new report claims that 68% of people who die their hair on natural colors have mental problems. Not exactly a man by its dog story. I'm Michael Knowles, this is the Michael Knowles show. Welcome back to the show on election day as Republicans fear a blue wave blowout that could give the Dems, the House and the Senate and some governor's mansions. A lot of Republicans, a lot of pro-lifers especially are furious at Michigan Senate candidate Mike Rodgers, the Republican who they accuse of going squishy on abortion. We'll get into what's really going on here because I don't think people fully appreciate what Mike Rodgers is saying. First though, let's just get to the shenanigans at the top. We're gonna have a carpet coming on at the end of the show to give us the latest quantitative update. How much we need to brace ourselves. Will the blue wave actually turn into a red undertow? Listen to the complexity of these metaphors. Will the Democrats just win everything and send us all to the gulags? So in Westchester County, Hudson Valley of New York, a major swing district. I actually started in politics in this district. This is where I cut my teeth politically so I know the district very, very well. The Republican Congressman, their Mike Lawler is reporting, quote, there's a problem with every ballot scanner in Westchester County. We do not yet know the exact cause of this issue. Whether it is the ballot or the machine, the board of elections is working with their vendors to resolve it. However, every ballot will be counted, stay online and vote. Do not leave the polling place without voting. Minor usage note here, Mike Lawler speaking like a true New Yorker, he says you're gonna wait online. No one else in the country, everyone else, they correct me when I say it to. They say no, Michael, you wait in line, but no, the New York way of saying it is waiting online. It doesn't mean you're on the internet. It means you wait physically online and do not go anywhere. This is seven o'clock in the morning. This was coming out that there's a problem with every ballot scanner in Westchester County. Westchester County is one of the richest places in the country. It's one hour north of Manhattan, supposedly the most important city in the country. They can't get the ballots to work in the rich suburb of the supposedly most advanced city in the country. First thing, most important thing, Congressman Lawler is drawing this point home. Do not get off the line. Do not go home. Do not be discouraged, especially in a swing district, but I don't care if you're in an R plus 55 district. Stay in line or online, stay where you are and cast that ballot. There are always shenanigans. I mentioned that I'd worked elections in that district before. The Democrats are always busing up some union workers at a district SEIU. There are always questions about who is eligible or ineligible to vote. There are always questions about ballot counting. That always happens. That's been truce in time in memorial. It's particularly scandalous because they're saying that the mechanism of voting just simply doesn't work. This is just a point to keep in our heads for the future, no matter what happens tonight. Why do we computerize voting? Why are we doing this? It seems like every election we hear this. Oh, there was a problem with the machine. Oh, there was a problem with the tabulation. Oh, there was a problem with the drives. So why do we computerize the voting? For most of our nation's history, we just had paper ballots. The argument for computerized voting is we get the results faster, but we don't. We get them later. Now, with all our super duper advanced computers, we don't know who won an election night or the next night or the next night in a lot of places. Sometimes we don't know for weeks. Why don't we just go to the thing that has always worked? Because the old paper ballots are much harder to use for fraud. That's not impossible. There has been fraud. LBJ stole a Senate seat in Texas. Now we're worried about Texas going Democrat once again. But why do we do it? It seems like every election we hear about this. The computerized voting is much more open to fraud, much more open to hacking, much more open to all the technical problems that you have with every electronic gizmo in your life. Now we can't even cast the ballots. And we don't get the results nearly as fast as we did when we had the old paper system. The only reason for not voting by paper in the old fashioned way, the only reason at this point, I think we must conclude, is so that the system can be more open to fraud. How many times do we need to hear this story before we just go back to the way that things used to work, where they worked very well, much better than they work now? How many times? Seven in the morning on election day, you can't cast a ballot in one of the richest places in the country. Give me a break. Okay. Now, speaking of, staying there, holding your ground, not being discouraged, not going home. Here is the vice president, JD Vance, telling Republicans how to think about the dismal poll numbers heading into the midterms. Sometimes these polls actually have this demotivating effect on our voters. I remember in the 2020 campaign, I want to say, there was a Wisconsin poll that had Donald Trump down by 17 points in Wisconsin, or, of course, during the 2024 campaign, there was the famous poll that had us down in Iowa by three points, which if we lose Iowa by three points, or even if we only win Iowa by three points, we were in for a long night. Those polls all proved to be false, but I talk to people, and I do think they have the effect of demotivating our voters, which is why encouraged people ignore the polls, run like we're down, and try to make the best case that we can. And eventually, of course, the American people make the decision, and I guess 12 days. This is true. This is just good advice for life. Ignore the polls, run like you're down, apply that in your personal life, apply that in your marriage, apply that at work, certainly apply that in politics. Yes, of course, perennially good advice, polls, whether they're looking too good for Republicans, or whether they're looking too bad for Republicans, paradoxically, both of those can have a demoralizing effect. Yes, go out, go out there, go vote, make sure your vote is counted, vote early and vote often, and ignore the polls. That is very true. JD makes another good point, which is that we have heard this song before in 2016. You remember in 2016, we heard that there was almost instrumentable chance that Hillary was going to win. Right now for today, we're getting the numbers out of Harvard. The Harvard political analysis says that they have a 96% chance that the Democrats will take the House of Representatives, statistically, almost 100% chance. The only time that an Ivy League school told us that there was a higher chance that the Democrat would win was in 2016, when Princeton came out and said there was a 99% chance that Hillary would win. Do you remember that? 99% chance. On top of that, the New York Times said there was an 85% chance Hillary would win. On top of that, 538, and it silvers out, let's say, and it's a result out, let's say, there was a 71% chance that Hillary would win. And then what happened? Trump won. So, that's a little bit of evidence to not get demoralized by these aggregator numbers where they say, okay, looking at all the races and all the polls, we now conclude there's 100 billion percent chance that the Democrats win everything. Okay. Fair enough. However, I do fear that the polls are more accurate this year. I am. If you put a gun to my head. I usually don't make predictions. I don't bet on elections. I don't bet on sports. I don't. If you put a gun to my head, you said, what's the bet? Is it going to be blue wave Democrats take the House in the Senate? Is it going to be a secret, a red undercurrent that overwhelms the blue waves such that Democrats win the House, but the Republicans hold the Senate? Is it going to be that the Democrats win both, but only by a little bit, or what? Or the Republicans are going to hold the House. I don't know. Wouldn't that be so great? I think if you put a gun to my head right now, I would say I fear the Democrats are going to win everything by a pretty significant margin. And I think that because I don't trust these aggregator things. I don't trust when Harvard or Princeton comments say 99% chance of Hillary wins everything. The Democrats win everything because there are just too many spots where that could fail. You're making too many assumptions running those models to come out with such a broad sweeping conclusion. However, if you look at the polls consistently for months now in all of these races, the Democrats are running ahead in some cases beyond the margin of error or well beyond the margin of error. And then if you look at the specific polling firms, it's true that a lot of pollsters skew for the Democrats. But even the Republican firms have these guys running dead even. So you can say, well, Republicans don't respond to polls. Yeah, I guess sometimes you say, have you ever been asked to respond to a poll? I actually have and I know a lot of Republicans who have, I never do it though. So yes, we can question the methodology. I am just a little bit concerned that the Republicans and the Democrats in the polls, poll firms agree that it's either tied or the Democrats are going to win. This trend seems to be in racist throughout the country. You have districts that were R plus four, five, 10, whatever, that are now trending, Democrat. On top of that, you have the prediction markets. I don't put a ton of stock in the prediction markets. I know we are all supposed to worship the prediction markets now. I take the prediction markets with a grain of salt. However, you get the prediction markets on top of the aggregators, on top of the historical precedent, on top of the individual polls in all these places. It's brutal. All the more reason to device president's point, you stay in line. You wait there. You stay in line. You cast your ballot cast at least one of them because this could be brutal and the people who could win are awful. Top of that list, Abdul Al-Sahed. We'll get to Abdul Al-Sahed's daddy issues in a second. His closing argument for his campaign is that he hates white people because he hates his daddy. Before we get to that, I want to tell you about leaf filter. There's a lot more to say. First, they're going to leaffilter.com/nolescanadavls. Holiday hosting has a way of turning you into the manager of a very small hotel. The sheets are washed. The guest room is ready. The grocery list is finalized. Suddenly, you begin noticing every little project around the house that you successfully ignored all year. 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Get your free inspection today at leafilter.com/noles for a quote that is good for one full year right now. You can get up to 35% off leaf filter at leafilter.com/noles minimum purchase required restrictions. Apply see representative for warranty and promotion details. Abdul al-Said closing argument to the voters of Michigan. He wants the voters to know not his stance on affordability or immigration or sovereignty. No, no, no. He wants voters to know that he hates white people specifically because his dad did not show up to his soccer game or something. Pete Hegseth everybody knows that guy from the locker room. Yeah, but he would have, you know, he would have rode the pine. He probably got to start two games his entire career playing whatever sport he was and he made his life and his parents came and cheered so hard for him. And as a kid whose parents never came right and started every game, part of me is just like bro, I feel bad for you. Somebody told you why better than you really are. Like, there's some about being a brown kid whose parents like, you know, no matter what you do, you're never enough. Sure. So what that means is that you never take yourself too seriously. You're like never going to be enough. Right. Right. So you're just like, oh, but for him, the very fact that he made the team, his mom was making cake. She was wearing his jersey. She had a cat made for him. Yes. You know the type. So I'm like bro, you grew up thinking that you were somehow special, but you are not. And you have been living off that fume for the rest of your life. Could you imagine what we would have become if we had supportive parents who just uplifted us? All right. For beating mediocre. Yeah. Yeah. Can I talk to you about strategy though? I love this interviewer. I don't know. I don't know who he is. Good hair. He's got nice hair that interviewer. But I love Abdul is just going on this weird daddy issues, mom issues, therapy couch kind of diatribe. And then the interviewer at the end, yeah. Right. Can we talk about strategy though? Look, hey, I'm sorry that you hate your parents or whatever. And you project that hatred onto all white people and like no one applauded at your basketball game. Can we talk about politics, please? We talk about that for a second. You often see daddy issues play out in politics or mommy issues or what do you, you often see these, these politicians. I have a high view of politics. I think there can be great statesmen. Paracles, Caesar Augustus, Charlemagne, Churchill, DeGol. I don't know. You know, the list goes on and on. I don't have the libertarian critique of politics that it's always bad and the government is always bad. And the ideal society is one in which we abolish the government, which is an area where libertarians and communists would agree both are kind of utopian ideologies descended from liberalism. And I don't agree with that. I have a higher review of politics and I think it can be a noble calling. But we got to admit politics does attract a lot of freaks. And one of those freaks would be Abdul al-Sahed who clearly hates his parents and has a major ax to grind with white people and with America. He, he just hates America. I don't think that all the Democrat candidates running this year hate America. But this guy does. This guy asks Hassan Piker to campaign for him. Hassan Piker who explicitly repeatedly observes how much he hates America. And so this, why does this matter for us? Because if Abdul al-Sahed wins, he's not just going to govern according to a bad ideology. Because he's wrong about the ways in which America can flourish and he's wrong on taxes and migration or whatever. This guy has a deep-seated contempt for America and Americans. And it goes down to the very core of what patriotism is. I've said on the show many times. Patriotism is an extension of the love of one's own family, like the potria, like potterra comes from father. The love and reverence you have for your family at a fuller extent is expressed in the love that you have for your country. So if you hate your parents, as the liberals tend to do, but this guy very clearly does, you're very likely going to hate the country. And this guy's got that in spades. So much so that the interviewer who looks like kind of a liberal guy doesn't look like a rock rip conservative, he's looking at Abdul like Abdul is nuts. He says, hey, hold on. We're supposed to be talking about politics here. I'm sorry, you hate your parents, but can we get back to politics? No, because the politics for Abdul is hating his parents. Nicki Minaj, a voice of reason comes out. She says, if you listen carefully to Abdul, it's a misplaced anger at his own parents for not making him feel worthy that turned into a raging jealousy of other children who had parents that lifted them up and poured into them. He's projected all of that onto white people. He needs to mend his heart before thinking about running for any office. White people haven't hurt him. He knows exactly who did. Notice how he doesn't get the satisfaction. He was craving from the interviewer. The interviewer simply anchors himself and doesn't validate that experience. We should all do more of this. Don't validate anyone's experience for the sake of temporary bonding. Preach. So true. Abdul outside should win this seat. I don't want him to win this seat, but he should. He's replacing a Democrat in the Senate, Michigan is purple, but it leans Democrat. This is a bad year for Republicans. It's the first midterm after the Republicans won the whole government. Abdul should win this seat and he probably will win this seat. But if he does not win this seat, it is because that is just how repulsive a candidate he is. Let's hope that voters see that repulsiveness, that just nauseating quality for election day. Okay. Now let's turn to the opponent in that race. Mike Rogers. Mike Rogers at the last minute in this race is really irritating pro lifers because he's just cut an ad in which he seems to go squishy on abortion. I'm Mike Rogers. I know that a decision about a pregnancy is one of the most difficult and personal decisions a woman will make. Michigan voters have already decided the issue and I respect that decision in the Senate. I won't do anything to change it. Pro lifers are furious over this religious voters are furious over this social conservative Republicans are furious over this. I am fully pro life. I am as pro life as it is possible to be. Pro life is one of the most important issues as far as I'm concerned. It is not just one right among many. It is the fundamental right from which all of the others come. So I speak here. I think with a fair bit of credibility. I'm not losing sleep over the ad. I will lose sleep if Senator Mike Rogers in any way undermines the pro life position, but I'm not convinced that he would do that. Listen, what does he say in the ad? He says abortion is a deeply personal decision. That's true. I mean murdering your grandmother would be a deeply personal decision. Committing suicide would be a deeply personal decision going and robbing your neighbor to go by crack. That is a deeply personal decision. The fact that those are personal decisions doesn't contradict the fact that they would be very bad decisions to make. He then says, the voters of Michigan have ruled on abortion. The argument that pro-life movement had made for a long time, which is an insufficient argument, but tactically, I guess it was probably useful and we'll come back to those tactics in a second. The pro-life movement for half a century said abortion is not addressed in the Constitution and that's why Roe v. Wade is wrong. That's why Roe v. Wade has to be over-tool overturned because abortion is an issue that properly belongs to the states. They got their way. Roe v. Wade was overturned. It went back to the states and in a bunch of states, the voters have signaled that they want more abortion, which is very bad and very unfortunate. Now, we have to move into the next phase of the pro-life movement, which is banning abortion at the state level. Or having a national ruling based on the 14th Amendment that abortion does violate the Constitution because it violates equal protection. That's where the pro-life movement is now and there's a disagreement over exactly how to do it. But when Mike Rogers comes out and says, "As your U.S. Senator, I will not do anything to change the state rulings on abortion." That's just true. There's nothing objectionable in that in as much as he really can't do that as a U.S. Senator. The Supreme Court is ruled that he can't do that as a U.S. Senator. If anyone at the national level is going to change something at the state level about abortion, it's going to be the Supreme Court by ruling on the 14th Amendment. So, it's icky. It's annoying. We don't like it. Pro-lifeers really hate to hear this kind of stuff. But if I'm listening to this, I would say point by point, everything that he just said is totally defensible from a pro-life perspective. It's talking like a diplomat rather than a flatterer. A flatterer lies to you in order to ingratiate himself. A diplomat only focuses on the things that will appeal to you. He doesn't lie. He just only focuses on the things that will sound nice to your ears. That's what Mike Rogers is doing here. I look at the Susan B. Anthony list. Susan B. Anthony list says, "Representative Rogers is voted consistently to protect the lives of the unborn and to stop forced taxpayer funding of abortion. This includes delivering the largest pro-life legislative victory in two decades by defunding big abortion businesses like Planned Parenthood, of Medicaid dollars for one year through the Reconciliation Bill, HR1. Representative Rogers also stood strong against attempts to further subsidize plans that cover elected abortion. Representative Rogers co-led a bill that called out the forced abortions happening in China." So everything we know about Rogers's career is that he is hardcore. He is particularly hardcore. A plus on the pro-life issue. He cuts an ad right at the end of the election season, appealing to centrist voters, moderate voters, voters with an incoherent view of politics who have not already decided between him and Abdul Al-Sahid. He does so in a way that would lead that voter into thinking that he won't be as hardcore on the pro-life issue as he has been for his entire career. Is it kind of icky? Is it kind of messy? Yes, it is. That's politics. I don't see anything immoral in what Mike Rogers said. It would be immoral if he changes his stance once he is in the Senate. I don't see any reason to believe that he will. So, yeah, of course, we don't like that. I think there's an argument to be made that politically this is actually a bad idea because you're going to demoralize the pro-lifers who you need to turn out in big numbers to get yourself over the finish line and to counteract the massive blue turnout in this election. There is a tactical argument there, but just as the pro-life movement for 50 years said, hey, folks, the real issue with Roe v Wade is that it violates the procedures of federalism that say that this issue should be divided at the state level. That's not true. The problem with the abortion, the problem with Roe v Wade is that babies get murdered. That's the problem. It's the substantive issue that's problem. And the pro-life movement made a tactical decision to focus on the procedure to speak diplomatically to voters who don't have a firm view on abortion in order to move the ball down the field and try to get the win here. In other words, the pro-life movement did the same thing that Mike Rogers is doing here. And so if I trust Mike Rogers's stance on this, I have no problem voting for Mike Rogers as a hardcore 100% pro-life conservative. We might quibble over the tactics of it just like we quibbled with the pro-life movement over its tactics on proceduralism and federalism with regard to overturning Roe v Wade. But if you are a pro-life voter in Michigan, I do not see much reason for you to sit this one out or certainly to vote for Abdul Al-Sahed. If Rogers had come out and said, you know, and I think it's very important that we protect abortion in certain cases, he didn't even say that. Plenty of Republicans say that. He didn't even say that. I'm concerned about the tactics. I'm not concerned about the substance here. And I would not allow this to change my vote in Michigan. Okay. Speaking of funding, major, major announcement, it just broke. President Trump this morning, according to my producers, has just announced that the U.S. government is going to withdraw funding for the state of Israel and that he's got BB Netanyahu on board for that. Before we get to that breaking news talk about an October surprise, as people are already going to the polls, I want to tell you about GOP votes. President Trump secured the border, passed historic tax cuts and ended woke ideology. But if the left wins the midterms, they'll undo all of his hard work. They tried impeaching the president is impeached. They tried putting him in prison. They tried everything, and they'll do it again. Don't let the radical left win. Make a plan. Find your poll and vote on election time. We've all heard radio advertisements about owing the IRS money, that lean on fear and try to frighten you into calling. Do not lose hope. They've earned over 1,000 five star Google reviews and an A+ from the Better Business Bureau. So do not delay. Visit tra.com at a tra.com or call 800-575-4908. That is once more 800-575-4908. First time hearing of it. I'm hearing of it for the first time Trump apparently called into Fox News and announced the new policy. The thing you said earlier when it comes to Israel aid is that we don't understand we've cut off aid to Israel. We were giving them 4 billion and you're no longer going to be giving them 4 billion. We are giving them 4 billion. We are but it gets cut off at the end of the year. Why? Why? Because they don't need it, Brian. I mean, I asked them because they don't need it. And because why should we suffer the slings from lunatics like in L. So when they don't need it, it's a bad it's a bad talking point because you say why don't we give everybody 4 billion. Israel is our number one. We give them more than anybody else. And they no longer need it. We've been doing it for years. I've been doing it. But Israel is a very thriving country that are needed. If they did need it, I would say keep it going. But maybe not Yahoo. We reached an agreement on that. And can I be honest with you? He brought it up. He brought it up. He said, I think it would be appropriate if we do not receive aid because he understands that this is one of their points of contention. Israel's been a great ally, much more reliable than most. I mean, look what happened with Europe, although they did give me greenland for the United States when I think you could get me. Okay. Okay. I think it goes on. But that's the main point. Major breaking headline. Trump announces on election day. The US is cutting off aid to Israel. This is not a major headline. I'm not surprised by this at all. I didn't know it would come on election day, but I'm not surprised by this at all. I'm sure Netanyahu agrees. It wasn't Netanyahu's idea. He's been floating this for a long time too. What is going on here? This is all about tactics. This is not about the strategy of the United States having an alliance with the state of Israel. This is entirely about tactics. The state of Israel is deeply unpopular. It's deeply unpopular for myriad reasons that involve mass migration, that involve the Gaza war, that involve all sorts of things. And pro-Israel people don't want to hear that in the United States, especially on the right. It's just a fact. The left has been anti-Israel for many years at this point. Mainstream moderate Democrats are anti-Israel now at this point. Young conservatives and Republicans are anti-Israel at this point. Israel is net negative in terms of approval and popularity among conservatives under the age of 50. The only group that still is favorable when it looks on Israel is boomer conservatives. Is the Fox News audience actually? Israel has a problem. The Republican party has a problem being now the pro-Israel party and the state of Israel has a problem. So it is no wonder that BB Netanyahu comes and he says, yes, I want to cut off the aid to Israel. In fact, it is much better for Netanyahu and for Israel if the U.S. cuts off the aid. Because $4 billion is nice. I would sure take it if anybody wants to cut me a check. But what is much more important to the state of Israel is having intertwined political and military systems. What is more important to the state of Israel is the state of Israel knowing that the United States will have its back when it faces off against its adversaries. What is much more important to the state of Israel is Israel being part of the American Imperial Alliance, which is what it is. So this is, it's a big headline. I hope it has political effect. Trump and Netanyahu are cooking this up in the back room and I think it's pretty good. politics to say, all right, the $4 billion, which Israel doesn't even need, that's causing a lot of headaches and it's impairling the state of Israel and it's definitely impairling the Republican Party. Why don't get rid of it? Who cares? It's a minor, minor point. It sticks in the craw. If it sticks in the craw, the average voter and it's a good talking point for candidates like Abdul Al-Said, get rid of it. Who cares? But I am here to tell you, I've actually talked about this before when this was first being proposed months ago. This is not a change in strategy whatsoever. Everything that it dovetails on the Mike Rogers conversation. I don't think there's any evidence that Mike Rogers has changed his strategy of wanting to defend in his life. I don't think there's any evidence whatsoever that Trump has changed his strategy or the US government has changed its strategy of having an alliance at the state of Israel. It's all about tactical changes. I hope it does something on election day. If there are razor-thin margins in some of these districts and you have an undecided voter going to the polls today and here's, hey, Trump is cutting off Israel and that moves the voters vote. Great. That's great news for everybody. Speaking of Abdul Al-Said and life and death issues and Abdul's supporter has just been arrested on a campus in Michigan for threatening to murder conservative journalists. If you, I should have killed you and that you had the chance, the conservative journalists on campus, a year after a leftist did murder, a conservative journalist on campus, Charlie Kirk, the conservative journalist say, what is wrong with you? You need to go to a mental hospital and this young leftist's comeback is, oh yeah, I've already been to a mental hospital. That's not a good comeback. That's just not. Oh yeah, I already am crazy. But of course, we knew that already because this young woman has the septum nose piercing. And I did a very deep, important investigative dive. It's on the Michael Noel's YouTube channel, on the proven scientific data that if a young woman has the septum nose piercing, it is 100% likely that she is totally crazy and you should run and there should be a U-shaped hole in the wall trying to get away from her. Here is what prompted this arrest of this young Abdul supporter on campus. The gauges and ears are not a good sign either, but sometimes, I don't know, people go through different fashions. It's not my fashion, but the key is the bull nose ring straight out of a bald demon worshipping cult. That's the one. I've never said 100% of the time. When a girl, she could be a normal girl. She can be reasonable, could have been reasonable. The minute she gets the septum piercing, it's over. These are the people who will be empowered if the Democrats win tonight. These are the people. FU, I should have killed you when you had the chance. I celebrate Charlie Kirk's murder. We white people are evil. We need to trans the kids, America sucks. I wipe my dairy with the American flag as somepiker. Those are the people who will be empowered. There will be no guardrails. There will be no procedures that keep those really nasty elements out. Those nasty elements are synonymous with the mainstream Democrat party now. They all agree on all of the issues they campaigned together. The most prominent left wing thought leader, such as it is, is Hassan Piker the most radical of them? This is it. We like to think, well, there's some nasty elements, but don't worry, the guardrails will hold, no, no, politics is just people. It's just people. We think in our liberal age that politics is just some exercise. In fact, it's a debate that exists in this abstract ethereal realm. It's not politics as people. For most of the history of politics and most of the places, politics is when one side wins, they punish their enemies. We on the right don't really do that very much. The left does, and they're promising to do it again and again and again. You want to talk about this girl on campus who is threatening to kill conservatives. Remember that girl who walked up to a TPSA, pick up the mic event just days ago? This one was going viral. The event happened a little earlier. This girl comes up and she says, do we have the original clip? Yeah, we have the original comments. Remember this girl? I played it on the show a few days ago. If you could announce your name and speak loudly, thank you so much. I go by Pamper, baby. Yeah. Okay. So I took a plan B and I'm an immigrant this morning, feeling kind of guilty. So I wanted to read a poem that I actually wrote, I was like, I don't know, felt a load. But do you have a question there? No, I just wanted to share. It's like, I felt like, you know, freedom of speech, I wanted to share a poem I wrote for everybody. It was the night before the Kirkiversary and all through the house. Not a creature was stirring, not even a mouse. The flags were hung proudly. The memes all on deck as we solemnly remembered a shot to the neck. The podcast fell silent, the hot takes care wary for tomorrow, dear friends, is the great Kirkiversary. So I'll see everyone at the square for Kirk. We're hosting that also on October 10. I'll see y'all there to BYUE, you know, vaccines included. Shit's free. See y'all there. That's all. Are you happy with yourself now? I mean, I think that was just a baby. I'm thrilled. Yeah. You're brave for me now here, you know, no protection, no nothing, no like neck brace or I'll pray for you. So not just celebrating the murder of Charlie Kirk by all these people who are very possibly getting back into power, but also threatening him saying, hey, by the way, you should be worried that we're going to shoot you through the neck too. You should probably have some Kevlar on. So anyway, that girl, she opens up, she says, hey, this morning, I murdered my baby and I'm an immigrant. I made the point. I said, okay. If she is an immigrant and she is deportable, she certainly should be deported. You need to punish our enemies, not as a matter of vengeance, but as a matter of enacting justice and a secondary effect of that will be punishing our enemies who are very dangerous. She should certainly be expelled from that school. She should be fired from her job if she happens to have a job. She should be severely punished. And I guess the girl felt the pressure because she came out and released this apology. My name is Esa Casa Huga and after much prayer and reflection, I'd like to come out and sincerely apologize for the comments I made on September 23, 2026 at the University of Texas at San Antonio. First, I'd like to directly apologize to Miss Erica Kirk, her children, and the entire Kirk family. My words were deeply insensitive to say the least, particularly considering the unfathomable loss your family has experienced. I'd also like to apologize directly to Mr. Christian Collins. Mr. Collins, what I said at your pick up the microally, was beyond inappropriate and hurtful. And for that, I am so sorry. Lastly, I would also like to apologize to everyone that I may have hurt with my comments that day. There's nothing acceptable or funny about political violence and much less the loss of a person's life. Regardless of our political beliefs or opinions, we should all strive to treat one another with the utmost respect, compassion, and above all dignity. I understand why my words cause so much pain and I take full accountability for them. My faith teaches me the importance of humility, compassion, and above all forgiveness. And I recognize the fact that my words do not reflect those values on September 23. I want to do better going forward, not just as a Christian, as a person, but as an American. I know that an apology can't undo what I said and I don't expect everyone to forgive me after this. But I sincerely hope that through my actions, I can learn from this experience and eventually earn a second chance in life. Thank you. Okay. This is pretty weird, isn't it? Because you have this major shift. This girl wasn't just saying, "Haha, Charlie Kirk was murdered. She wrote this whole poem about how happy she was. She was threatening another person there. She was talking about how she murders babies." She seemed at pretty firm views and then five seconds later, "No, this doesn't reflect my real views." I wrote that poem in a fit of confusion, I showed up to this event, but I don't know, it was all a big misunderstanding, it was all a mistake, just a heat of the moment. What? That's very strange. She said, "Okay, is she being threatened with some punishment?" Her parents threatened to cut her off if she didn't apologize, did her school threaten to expel her if she didn't apologize, did. I don't know what it is, did some lawyer write that up? I don't know, did she write that? Did you chat GPT write that? I don't know, but regardless, there's a debate now, online of how to react to this. Some say, "Well, we should accept her apology. We should forgive." Others saying, "No, there need to be consequences." And the real answer is both of those things. We should always forgive people, personally. We should not harbor hatred for them, we should not exercise wrath in our minds and long for revenge or whatever. We should personally forgive everyone. I mean, Christ forgave his executioners on the cross. But contrition, whether she's sincere or being insincere or she's just a frayed, she has imperfect contrition, she fears consequences, whatever, we all do that to some degree, whatever it is. true contrition requires penance. So it seems to me the right attitude toward this girl is, okay, I forgive you, we can pray for you, like the speaker said, we can, yeah, let's try, I bear no hatred towards you whatsoever. Also, you should be expelled from your school, fire from your job and deport it. Those things have to happen, because there has to be some kind of consequence, even just to help you truly repent, even just to help you truly move away from your horrifically wicked ways for your own good. I mean, even beyond the Christian context, Plato writes about this in the Gorgias, it is actually cruel not to punish people when they do bad things. It's cruel to the person because they will continue to degrade in their lives. It has to be some kind of consequence. And so that would be my recommendation is you look at a girl like this, you look at all of these leftists who might be empowered hours from now and you say, look, Lord, forgive them, they know not what they do. I personally forgive you, we forgive those who trespass against us as we ask forgiveness from God. Also, you should be expelled, fired, and deported for the good of society and also for your own good. Tax relief advocates does things differently, whether you owe 5,000, 50,000 or 500,000, TRA offers an actual solution. Do not lose hope. So do not delay. Visit TRA.com, recall 800-575-4908. Okay, to help us understand how likely it is that these people will all be empowered momentarily, we will have our friend, Cabot Phillips coming on. First though, my favorite comment yesterday is from David DJ Parker, who says Michael, your linguistic pedantry license is suspended for at least a week. You just said a jet crash left a massive crater. A crater cannot be massive. In its essence, a crater is a lack of mass, so you may reapply for your license and we'll get back to you in three to five business days. You're right. I have no, I try to be very precise in my language. I hate words like impactful, it would be a related word, but you're right, that's you caught me. The pedant becomes the student. You're right. I was totally, I blew it on my language and I wrote a whole book about language. Maybe I'll have to go back to blank books now, because you're right. You're right about my weak pedantry. You're right. Okay, there's so many. Gosh, there's a story I really wanted to get to at the top of the show, which is that 68% of people who die their hair on natural colors, report mental problems. That's a related story to the nose ring in the middle in the septum. You know, that I really want to get to that. That story interests me much more than what is going to happen in the midterm elections tonight. We'll have to wait till tomorrow, though, because we have to get to the numbers and the dread. Cabot, how bad is it looking? Michael, it's going to be a very impactful night and the impactfulness of. All right, folks, that's a Michael Knull show. We'll see you tomorrow. Sorry, sorry. Tough to overstate. Look, Michael, I'm not here to be a doom or like you. Okay, I am a happy warrior. I am an optimist. Yeah. And I'm so famously pessimistic. Yeah. I don't know if you've heard, but I've taken the mantle as the day-to-wire host who is the most upbeat and positive, especially when you start spooning. These days, I think so. No, we just keep telling people, look, voters vote, polls don't vote. And we just spoke actually with former Speaker New Gingrich on the show. That's going to air tonight on the day-to-wire as live election coverage that starts at 6 p.m. Eastern. And he was surprisingly frank about his lack of faith in Republicans tonight. And some of the things that he's upset about. But go, we're going to have to wait and see. And that's why we have the day-to-wire election coverage, which is what I'm here to talk about, Michael. Starting at 6 p.m. Eastern, everyone tune in to the day-to-wire. I'll be on this set from 6 to 8 Eastern. Michael, you're going to be popping in. We'll have Ben Shapiro, Matt Null, Matt Walsh, Andrew Klaven, all of the big guys. And then at 8 p.m. Eastern, we're going to go over to the main set where the five of us will be at the desk. We've got the 20-foot tall HD LED screen where we're going to be tracking the results as they come in. And there will be alcohol there, either celebratory alcohol or otherwise. We will have to wait and see. But no, Michael, I think tonight the main thing that I'm going to be watching early on are how Republicans are faring in red states. What we are seeing in Indiana and Kentucky, two states where the polls close pretty early, that should give us a good feel early on. Some of those house races in Kentucky and Indiana, where the night is going. Florida, thankfully, reports their votes very, very quickly. They dump all of their early voting and absentee voting right at the start of things. So we shouldn't have to wait super long to know what kind of night it's going to be, which is a good thing, I think. Are you doing predictions this year, Cabot? I did do predictions. Yes, on the day the wire election hub, which again, everyone go put your money where your mouth is on the election hub and fill out your bracket. I did do some predictions. I'm more of a, look, it's a tough environment. You can believe the polls if you want to. I have, I think, good reason not to believe all the polls. I do think that the Democrats are going to perform very well in the traditional swing state ballots. But I keep looking at states like Iowa, like Kansas, like South Carolina. And in order for Democrats to win those races and to perform the way that the polls are showing they're going to perform, they're going to have to convert a lot of registered Republicans. And if you look at the polling in a state like Kansas that shows Democrats leading right now over Roger Marshall, that poll for the New York Times that is getting everyone talking where Adam Hamilton had a significant lead, that poll had 17 or 20% of Republicans crossing over the vote for the Democrat, Adam Hamilton. I don't see that happening. And I, I, I find making predictions right now. My prediction is that these red states Iowa, South Carolina, Kansas are going to remain Republican. I, that I'm going to, I'm going to take a walk to the rickety stool store. If that, if the really chipper, cabinet, positive looking prediction, is that Republicans might do well in Iowa, Kansas, and South Carolina. Can I, where's the, you said there's booze on the set? There will be. There's booze. Where is it? Can we get the booze for breakfast right now? That I don't want to be talking about Iowa, Kansas, and South Carolina. I want to, I want to be talking about how we're going to win Michigan. However, I don't even want to talk about Texas, but we certainly want to, I want to know that we're winning Texas. I want to talk about how we're winning Maine. I want to talk about how we're winning everything in Ohio. I want to. Michael, I think we do win those three states. And I think, I do. And I think Republicans, maybe not Texas. I'm feeling better. Hold on. Maybe not Texas. But I do think that Republicans win Maine. And I think Republicans win Alaska. And that gives you 50 right there. And our buddy, JD Vance gets to spend a lot more time in the Senate if that is the case. I do think that there is a very real scenario that Republicans hold the Senate. And maybe I'm completely out of balance here. But if you look at the polling again, people have this good reason to distrust the polls. They're not always off. But right now, the polls, if you actually look into the methodology, these pollsters, they're reaching out only, you know, something around 30% of Republican households are actually answering the phone for them. And so they then, their first batch of polling, they just take whoever answers first, Democrats are have a huge lead in all those polls. So then the pollsters say, okay, we've got to create our own universe, our methodology. We're going to weigh it on our own. We're going to, you know, decide what these models look like. So we're going to add a certain number of Republicans. So it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy where they are trying to fill out, okay, they're guessing essentially how many Republicans who didn't answer the phone are actually going to turn out in vote. And I think there's very good reason to believe that those pollsters, the universe that they have created is not accurate or at least is overstated. And so again, don't just look at the poll and say, wow, that's where things are right now. Look at the poll and then dig into their methodology. And if you look into the methodology, a lot of these states, they are assuming enormous crossover. They are assuming 20-point swings in white college voters without a college degree or white voters without a college degree from 2024 to today. Yes, I do think there will be a swing. I don't think it's going to be 20 points. We haven't seen a swing like that since Watergate. And I just, I don't think it's going to be as bad as the polls are saying. I have a framed check at my home office, which is a trophy that I got for ignoring the pollsters. I got it from our friend, Mr. Ben Shapiro. What is he doing? Get out of here. What, no, what are you? Okay. All right. Okay. Thank you. Thank you. I've got some alcohol. There we go. So I'll just, I'm just going to pour myself a little breakfast while I tell this story. I have a framed check. I have a framed check in my office, which is a trophy because I had a nice $400 bet. It was actually $100 bet. Ben gave me four to one odds in, I didn't know if he put water in this. No, this is Jen. Okay. Well, anyway, cheers. There's version 2016 because Ben said all the polls, all to this, and I ignored all of them. And I have a framed check and he wrote in the memo line, he said, for ignoring data because I bet the Trump was going to win and Hillary was going to lose. Now, Trump campaigned very, very hard. It's very impressive, but Trump is not on the ballot in these races. And I, well, I want to be pleasantly surprised tonight. Hope springs eternal in the human rest. I hope that we will be blessed by the polls. Chin chin cabit. See you later. See you later six PM Eastern time. That's when it all starts tune in everybody Today is T. He Tuesday. All right. I can't actually drink a glass of room temperature gin at it even Even if it's looking rough to I'm not it's a little what a nine o'clock in the morning even for me That's a little much. It's T. He Tuesday the rest of the show continues now You do not want to miss it become a member use code noils at checkout for two months free on all annual plans Well, there I used to feel Christ I Cannot feel anything here They take me out my bed and they brought me here and they tell me nothing what have I done article 58 Counter-revolutionary activity. That's all I know they have to deal with so many enemies of the state All of whom claim their innocence who protest who cry There are no answers here Other than the ones they put in your mouth you'll break Today is your opportunity to demonstrate your loyalty to the people I'd like to know why I'm here of course But you're already now don't you must believe in something greater than the party You will remember your duty. I told you I know nothing They ground like a fair all animal. 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