Election experts share concerns about the midterms
48m 15s
The upcoming midterm elections are less than two weeks away, and President Trump continues to push aggressive efforts to interfere with the democratic process. His administration has sought to undermine election integrity through federal mandates to purge voter rolls, restrict mail-in ballots, and demand sensitive personal data from states—many of which have been legally blocked by courts. Investigations into claims of non-citizen voting have found no substantial evidence, with states like Nevada and California identifying zero such cases after thorough reviews. Critics argue that federal actions, such as mass arrests and raids, are politically motivated shows of force rather than legitimate law enforcement. Experts emphasize that the electoral chain of custody—ensuring ballots remain under secure, transparent control—is vital for fair outcomes, and any attempt to seize or alter ballots would be a serious breach of democratic norms. Meanwhile, unprecedented spending by billionaires like Elon Musk and Michael Bloomberg is reshaping campaign finance, creating a system where wealth translates into disproportionate political influence. Despite these challenges, state-level election officials, such as Pennsylvania’s Al Schmidt, maintain that elections are secure and that fraud is rare and insignificant. The overall consensus is that while threats and conspiracies persist, the democratic process remains resilient—supported by robust state oversight, legal safeguards, and a lack of credible evidence of systemic fraud.
This week on up first, the midterms less than 15 days away.
President Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and former President Obama all crisscrossing
the country rallying voters in key races from Michigan to Georgia to North Carolina.
Join us every morning as we guide you through the home stretch of this election season
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This is Fresh Air.
I'm Dave Davies.
The midterm election is less than two weeks away.
And for months, President Donald Trump has been warning that American voting systems
are not to be trusted, including in his July prime time address to the nation.
Hundreds of thousands of non-citizens and dead people are listed and active on the voter
roles.
And yet we still have elections with no voter ID, no proof of citizenship, and tens of
millions of ballots floating aimlessly through the mail.
Trump has claimed that mail-in ballots may be forged, that voting machines can be hacked,
and that corrupt Democrats will conspire to steal votes, as he claims they did in his
2020 lost to Joe Biden.
He's tried to affect the election by imposing new restrictions on registration and voting,
requiring the post office to screen who can receive mail-in ballots, and demanding that
states purge thousands of people from voter roles.
Trump's moves have mostly been blocked by courts, but many election experts worry that
Trump's claims are laying the basis to challenge the outcome of the midterms if results don't
go his way.
Today we're going to speak to two experts on elections.
A little later we'll talk to Al Schmidt, the chief elections official in the swing state
of Pennsylvania, but first we'll speak to Richard Hassan.
He's director of the Safeguarding Democracy Project at the UCLA Law School, and founder
of the popular election law blog.
His author of the book A Real Right to Vote, How a Constitutional Amendment Can Safeguard
American Democracy, now in paperback, and a forthcoming book, Unbent Arc, the rise-end
decline of American Democracy 1964 to 2024.
We recorded our conversation yesterday.
Al Rick Hassan, welcome back to Fresh Air.
It's good to be with you.
You know, you've written that several attempts by President Trump to interfere with the
upcoming election have been decisively defeated. One of them was an effort mostly by the Department
of Homeland Security to get states, to purge large numbers of people from their voting
roles, people, the administration said they had identified as likely non-citizens registered
to vote.
That effort, it turns out, is still active, at least in California, but first tell us
what we know about where these lists of non-citizen voters came from.
So the United States is pretty unique compared to other advanced democracies, and that we
don't have a national identity card, we don't have a national database of all of our voters.
We don't automatically register our voters.
So we face problems here in terms of knowing who is eligible to vote and when they move
from place to place to change their voter registration.
So the federal government has some data on citizenship.
It's got something called the SAVE database.
We know that this database is not all that reliable.
We also know that it's not all that up-to-date, so sometimes it might flag someone as a non-citizen
who in recent months might have been naturalized as a citizen.
And so the federal government has been using the SAVE database as well as some other commercially
available databases to try to come up with a list of citizens that they're trying to have
the states compare with their own state voter registration list to take out people who are not eligible
to be voting.
Right, and we should note that it's been reported that the Department of Homeland Security
has had hundreds of agents scouring these various state voter lists to try and find these
allegedly non-citizen registered voters, right?
Yeah, so they've been doing that.
One of the problems is that there are many people with the same names, and unless you
have really good, identifiable information like social security numbers and drivers license
numbers, it's possible to make mistakes.
So that's one of the reasons why the federal government has sued to try to get what are
called the unredacted lists that have all of that personal information.
Most states, it's against the law to provide that information to anyone.
And the federal government sued 31 states and Washington, D.C.
So far, there is zero for 26 in their lawsuits to try to get these unredacted voting rolls,
and that's in part because our Constitution doesn't give the federal government the power
to run elections.
It says that states run elections.
Congress can pass statutes that govern some of the aspects of congressional elections,
but there's no role for the federal government.
So here you have the Trump administration trying to intrude on what's traditionally been
a state and local prerogative.
So in some cases, the federal government of Homeland Security has given states actual
lists of people and said, look at these people, you should purge them, how have states responded
to that?
Well, Nevada is a good example.
So a few months ago, the Department of Homeland Security said they had identified hundreds
of thousands of non-citizens across four different states.
One of them was Nevada.
There were 16,000 people on this possible list.
It got whittled down to 185, and eventually when state officials investigated, it went
down to zero.
That is, all of the 16,000 people who were identified either were not registered to vote
or were eligible to register to vote.
In California, in that same report, the Department of Homeland Security without providing the
data said that there were up to 190,000 non-citizens.
Now in the most recent actions in California, they've whittled that number down to 20,000.
And so far, they've arrested 28.
And it appears from those arrests that at least some of those people either were not registered
to vote or did not break the law intentionally.
Right.
And as I understand it, this list of 20,000 names that they wanted the state of California
and officials in Los Angeles to check was simply provided to them on a thumb drive with
a password on a sticky note, is that right?
Yeah.
So it's worth taking a step back in recognizing how unusual this whole set of events is.
So ordinarily, there's a lot of cooperation between the federal government and state and
local governments in terms of administering elections.
Now we have this very different situation where the states and localities are seeing the
federal government as kind of an adversary that's been threatening state and local election
officials with prosecution, if they don't adequately police their voting roles in ways
that the Trump administration wants.
And the idea that in the middle of an election, you know, in California, ballots are already
out.
We're getting into the period of in person early voting that in this period that the federal
government would send on the thumb drive with the password on a sticky note, the names
of 20,000 possible non-citizen voters, and ask 48 hours for the state to agree to go
through this list and purge voters.
I mean, it's just incredible.
It's not the kind of thing that ever has happened that I'm aware of.
And there's a federal law called the National Voter Registration Act.
It's a law that was passed when Bill Clinton was president in 1993.
And it says that states can't do these last minute voter purges because doing so risks
disenfranchising eligible voters.
Now, as you said, 28 people were charged with either having registered or voted as non-citizens
earlier this week.
Some were actually arrested and taken to court.
Just tell us what that experience was like as it's been reported.
Well, it seems clear that this was a publicity stunt that was meant to back up the federal
government's attempt to get an order from a judge, a temporary straining order that
would require California to go through this list and segregate out ballots from people
who are on this list.
So we know that a branch of the Department of Homeland Security did a 5am raid.
Or helicopters, SWAT team, to arrest a man in pretty bad health.
He had recently had six surgeries.
He was arrested and taken into custody.
And eventually four hours later, they told him what he was charged with.
He has no idea what's going on here.
What we know from what the Los Angeles Times has reported is that many of these people
don't even know why they were arrested.
And in the case of the man who was taken in the pre-don raid, it's possible that a relative
who has the same name, who is a US citizen, was confused for this person who was arrested.
And it may be that it is the person who is allowed to vote whose name is on the voter
lists rather than the person who was arrested.
And I believe it was reported that the four people who on the first day made their first
appearance in court were often appeared in like shackles, right, leg irons in some cases,
and then were released on their own reconnaissance.
Yes.
And the federal government tipped off the New York Post, which was given an exclusive
to cover this.
There were photographers from the Associated Press.
This was clearly an orchestrated effort to make it appear that the non-citizen voting
is a huge problem, the headline at the New York Post talked about a network of
people conspiring to commit fraud, but there's no conspiracy charge. There's no evidence that any
of the people who were charged even know each other. So this really seems to be a show,
which might be for various reasons, but it doesn't seem to be for legitimate law enforcement
purposes. And we should know that in many states there have been cases where voters, when they
got driver's license, as many immigrants have, were registered vote. In some cases without their
knowledge, or at least it wasn't exactly clear that they understood they were being registered,
right? Yeah, so this takes a little bit of explanation. So the 1993 law, the National Voter
Registration Act, among other things, provides that state offices like departments of motor vehicles
have to offer opportunities for people who get their driver's license or do business at the DMV
to register to vote. When you are at the DMV and you are presented with the opportunity to
register to vote, you're asked if you are a citizen. And sometimes you're asked on one of those
pin pads, which I know, at least here in California, they're sometimes hard to read. It's possible
that someone mischecks a box and they inadvertently get registered to vote. We had a situation recently
in New Jersey where because of an error by a vendor of software that the Department of Motor Vehicles
there used, there were 6,000 non-citizens who were inadvertently registered to vote. Those
people were sent registration materials, they were sent voting materials. We know that 400 of them
voted, but that doesn't necessarily prove any kind of criminal intent in order to be criminally
liable for violating the federal law against non-citizen voting. The federal government has to prove
that you willfully violated the law. Those votes, of course, are illegal and they need to be removed
from the voting roles. But in terms of finding a large criminal conspiracy or some kind of
effort to register non-citizens and get them to vote in a particular way, we just haven't seen
that. The last credible allegations of something like this go back to the 1980s in California.
Another effort that you note President Trump made was to get the post office involved in the
distribution of absentee ballots. What did he do? How did that turn out?
So President Trump has issued two executive orders on elections. So in the first executive order,
he tried to get a federal agency called the United States Election Assistance Commission
to change the form that the federal government has for people to register to vote, to require
people to provide documentary proof of citizenship, like a birth certificate or a naturalization
certificate, before they can register to vote. That effort was stopped by courts,
which said that the president has no role to play in the conduct of elections.
That didn't deter the president. He issued a second executive order in March of this year.
And among other things, it created a whole system for the United States Postal Service
to become the arbiters of which mail-in ballots they would accept from states.
And it was this very convoluted process. First, it required the states to provide certain
ballot envelope designs. And those had to be approved by the United States Postal Service.
Then each envelope had to contain a unique machine readable barcode so that each individual
envelope could be tracked to know who it's going to. And then the state would have to
upload a list of their voters. And the postal service would have to match the envelopes
they're submitted by the state with the list of voters. And it would have to reject an entire
batch of these ballots if there was any discrepancy between the list and what was on the ballots.
This was a very complicated system, but what made it particularly troublesome in this election
is that the postal service hadn't gotten its act together. It had not set up the web portal that
its own rules said it was going to set up for the states to upload their citizenship to the database.
And what this would have meant is that the United States Postal Service would not have been
allowed to accept even us a single ballot from any state because no state would be able to
upload its list of citizens. It took three trips to the Supreme Court to stop the United States
Postal Service from putting into effect a rule that would have shut down mail in balloting for
the 2026 elections. Now this rule is still in litigation. And there's a chance that it will be
in effect for the 2028 elections. Richard Hassan directs the safeguarding democracy project at
UCLA's law school. Our interview was recorded Tuesday morning. It was reported this morning that
Democrats have filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration to stop it from interfering with
voter rolls and threatening election officials with criminal prosecution. We'll continue our
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This is Fresh Air and we're speaking with Richard Hasen director of the safe guarding democracy
project at the UCLA law school and founder of the election law blog. Let's talk about some other
efforts that might be made by the president in the course of the midterms. One thing that's
been written about is that he could declare a national emergency and thereby mobilize federal
resources to intervene directly in voting. What about that prospect? Well the president's already
declared a national emergency at the southern border. When the president declares a national emergency
it unlocks certain powers for the president but none of those powers are involving elections.
So even if Trump declares a national emergency by falsely claiming for example that a foreign
government is trying to interfere with US elections. That still doesn't give the president the
power over the administration of elections. If down Trump declared tomorrow that we're not going
to hold elections. That would have no legal effect because it's not the federal government that
runs elections. It's the states and the local governments. And Trump was on a right wing podcast.
He was asked about this and he just said something like "Stranger Things Have Happened".
So you know kind of keeping the conspiratorial right satisfied that he's considering this but I
think it's extremely unlikely he would do it. And if he did I don't think it would have any
effect on how our elections are actually run. Another fear is that armed law enforcement personnel
will appear at polling places like particularly ICE agents. Can that happen? I believe there are
three different federal laws that bar armed federal officers from appearing at polling places.
So it would be illegal and if it happened I think it would be possible to get a court order against
it happening. But I think there's a more fundamental reason why I don't think it's going to happen.
Remember we're talking about a series of congressional elections and elections for Senate
as well as for state and local offices. This is not like a presidential election where there's
a battleground state like we could say it all comes down to what happens in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.
There might be a very close election for Congress in Ohio or in California.
There aren't enough ICE agents to send around. And also we saw the reaction of the public
in Minneapolis when there were these surges of ICE agents to try to engage in immigration
activities. I think it would be a big risk of a political backlash against the president. If there
was an attempt to try to physically stop people from voting or to intimidate voters by sending ICE
agents to the polls. Then there's the more extreme step of seizing ballots or voting machines.
This has never happened as far as I know in an ongoing vote, right? I think if the president
is going to try to interfere with the elections, he's much more likely to do so on the back end
of the election rather than the front end. By the front end, I mean when people are actually going
and voting, millions of people going to polling places be very hard to disrupt that. It would be
very public. What I'm more worried about in the event of a very close election for control of the
House or Senate is that Trump's Department of Justice might try to interfere with the tabulation
process that's the counting of ballots or the certification process when it
state officials say here's who the official winners are.
And one way that the Department of Justice
could potentially get involved
is by trying to get a federal court order
to seize ballots or seize voting machines.
The reason we care about this
is because Donald Trump has said
that he regrets not seizing voting machines
after the 2020 election
that he lost to Joe Biden and contested.
Now, we did have a seizure of ballots in 2025
in Fulton County, Georgia
that took the ballots from the 2020 election
so a long, completed election.
We also at Chelsea Gabbard,
the former director of national intelligence,
have the Department of Homeland Security
seize voting machines in Puerto Rico
that were then taken and looked at by federal government workers.
But what we have not had
is the seizure of ballots or voting machine
in a live election,
one where the winner has not yet been determined.
When ballots or machines are taken
out of the possession of election officials,
you break what's called the electoral chain of custody.
That is one of the ways that we know
that elections are free and fair
is that the ballots are always under the control
of election officials
and typically with transparency measures
like cameras or other ways of observing
to make sure that no one is meddling with the ballots.
If ballots are taken out of the custody
of election officials,
ballots could be added to or altered or taken away.
It would be incredibly dangerous.
It would require getting a search warrant
from a federal judge.
And so one of the things that we've been doing
at the safeguarding democracy project
and others have been working on
is trying to educate judges.
Judges know a lot about criminal law.
They know a lot about search warrants.
They don't know a lot about how elections are run.
And so we're trying to explain the kind of irreparable harm
that can happen if ballots are allowed
to be taken outside the custody of election officials.
There are ways to satisfy legitimate law enforcement
purposes if there is, in fact,
probable cause that a crime has been committed.
There are ways to protect those ballots as evidence
without breaking the electoral chain of custody.
The other prospect that people are talking about
is that after the election, that the clerk
of the United States House of Representatives,
who was appointed by the speaker, Mike Johnson,
could refuse to seat Democrats in closely contested races.
What's the check on that?
Well, so to begin with, there's a political check.
If, for example, the news organizations have said
that Democrats have won enough elections
to retake control of Congress,
if the clerk, who is a bureaucrat, came in and said,
well, no, these races are contested.
We're not going to let these people be seated
and get to vote for Speaker of the House.
I think that would be politically very dangerous.
That would look like a literal coup d'etat.
That is, it would be trying to turn an election loser
into an election winner, in this case, through fraud.
If it did happen, which I think is very unlikely,
I think there would be resorts to the courts.
And courts would come in.
Now, ordinarily, a court wouldn't interfere
with a congressional process under the separation of powers.
That would be a political question.
But the clerk, who works for the House, is not the House.
And so I think the courts could hear such a challenge.
And it's extremely unlikely that both politically and legally,
this kind of move could happen.
If, in fact, the Democrats have easily
taken control of the House.
Now, that leads me to a more general point
about what we expect after November 3rd.
It's all about the margins.
If, in fact, we do not have a close election
for control of the House or the Senate,
I would be very surprised to see any attempts
to try to wholesale change the results of the elections
so that control of the House or Senate could flip.
If the elections are very close, for example,
suppose that control of the Senate
comes down to who wins in Alaska.
Alaska, which takes a very long time to count their ballots
because of their rural populations,
and where they use ranked choice of voting,
which takes longer to tabulate results.
If it comes down to one seat,
then I think all bets are off.
And then I'm very concerned that the Trump administration
would try to do things to manipulate the outcome of the elections.
I know you've written about campaign finance.
And the spending in this election
is truly unprecedented by individuals.
We've seen reporting that Elon Musk has pumped 276 million
into the midterms, figured it's probably at a date by now.
Over 150 million has gone through a couple of transactions
into the Texas State Senate race.
What's this doing to our democracy?
And what can we do about it?
So there's been a real sea change
since the United States Supreme Court
decided the Citizens United Case in 2010.
Some of it is legal change, the creation of super PACs.
But even the seeds for super PACs, which are independent groups
that can raise unlimited sums from individuals' corporations
and unions, even the seeds for that
were planted in a 1976 case called Buckley versus Faleo.
But something has changed psychologically
on the part of big donors
in that they're no longer shy about putting their money
into elections.
And so just to give you some statistics,
the first donor who gave at least $100 million
to groups in a federal election
was Sheldon Adelson back in 2018.
We only had one or two people or couples in this category,
$100 million, just an obscene amount of money
for one person to be able to give an election.
By the 2024 elections,
we had nine individuals and couples
who fit into that category.
And Elon Musk set the record
with almost $300 million in spending.
I think he's likely to exceed that in a midterm election,
which is even more astounding
when typically the spending is much lower
than in a presidential election year.
It's a fundamentally unfair system
in which we allow the wealthiest of Americans
to have outsized influence not only over who's elected
by increasing the chances that the candidate support
will be elected thanks to all of the campaign dollars.
But also outsized influence over what elected officials
are going to do once they're in office.
So if you are the recipient of Elon Musk's generosity,
you're going to be very solicitous of his interests
and what he wants to do.
And if you're on the other side,
you might fear doing something that might antagonize
Elon Musk for fear that he could unleash
really astronomical sums against you.
And so the system, we might call it corruption,
it certainly is an unequal system
where the wealthiest among us are able to translate
their economic power into political power.
And what's the prospect for doing something about it?
The prospect for doing something about it
in the short term are quite low
because the current regime we have
is the product of Supreme Court decisions,
especially over the last 20 years.
We have a very conservative Supreme Court
that on campaign finance issues
takes a very libertarian view of the First Amendment
and sees most limits on money and politics
as unconstitutional as a violation
of the rights of free speech and association.
So how could you change that?
You either have to change the Constitution
or you have to change the Supreme Court.
Both of those things are very difficult to do.
I actually think it would be probably easier to change
the Supreme Court than to get through a constitutional amendment
which requires super majorities in both the House and Senate
and super majority of states to approve a constitutional amendment.
So I think there's going to be a lot of pressure
if Democrats retake the House and the Senate
and the presidency in 2029 to try to deal
with some of the issues related to our democracy
from campaign finance to parts and gerrymandering
to the Supreme Court's evisceration
of the Voting Rights Act.
Well, briefly returning to the election in front of us,
do you know the Washington Post recently reported
that a group of former national security officials
are warning state election officials
to be on the lookout for meddling an interference
on November 3rd.
I'm wondering what you're going to be doing that day
and how you anticipate affecting this following it,
covering it.
Usually election day is pretty quiet for me
because things generally go smoothly.
Of course, there's going to be some place
where there's a power outage and machines are not working
or a county didn't provide enough ballots to a polling place.
There might be some last minute skirmishing
about whether polls need to be kept open
an extra hour or two for people who were not able to vote.
But it should be quiet on election day,
especially because I think many people
have been heating the advice of election experts
to vote early if you can.
And I would say, if we're going to vote by mail,
vote as early as possible or put that ballot
in a drop box or bring it to a voting center
if that's allowed in your state.
So hopefully it will be quiet.
It'll be the day after election day.
day or a couple of days after election day. But we'll really have a sense of whether or
not we're going to make it through this period. In 2020, I warned that we would have a real
danger of an attempt to interfere with free and fair elections, a peaceful transition
of power, and people said that I was too alarmist. This time around, as I see the bullworks
of our democracy, the states, the courts, and the people protecting free and fair elections,
I'm more optimistic and people are saying I'm too optimistic. So let's hope that it goes that way.
Well, Rick Hassan, thank you so much for speaking with us again. It was great to be with you.
Richard Hassan is director of the Safeguarding Democracy Project at the UCLA Law School.
Since we recorded our conversation that was another large political contribution,
Michael Bloomberg gave 80 million dollars to the Democrats. Coming up, we hear from
Al Schmidt, Chief Election official in the swing state of Pennsylvania. This is Fresh Air. I'm Kevin
Ruse, and I'm Casey Newton. And together, we've been tech journalists for decades. Now we're your
hosts of Machine Gods, a new podcast from NPR that makes sense of what AI means for your work,
your life, and all of our futures. Twice a week, we'll be exploring the biggest moves in tech
and give you unmatched access to the real titans of industry. Listen to Machine Gods from NPR
on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. Hi there, I'm Brittany Loose and not to brag,
but I host a really fabulous podcast. It's called It's Been a Minute. I love making it, and I think
you'll love listening to it. Over the last year, hundreds of thousands of listeners have been
tuning in, and I gotta say, if you haven't yet, you're missing out. Listen to the It's Been a Minute
podcast from NPR today. This is Fresh Air. Our next guest, Al Schmitt, had a memorable experience
in the 2020 presidential election, which Donald Trump has long claimed was stolen. Back then,
Schmitt was the lone Republican on the three-member election board of Philadelphia,
a Democratic stronghold in the key swing state of Pennsylvania. Schmitt helped supervise and
publicly defended the integrity of the long and tedious count of hundreds of thousands of male
in ballots. The count took days and eventually gave Democrat Joe Biden the state's 20 electoral
votes. But it earned Schmitt nationally reported insults from then President Trump and threats from
some of his followers. Today, Schmitt is Secretary of the Commonwealth, the chief voting official
for all of Pennsylvania, which will again be a critically contested state in a national election
with high stakes for Donald Trump. There are four competitive congressional races in Pennsylvania,
which could help decide control of the House of Representatives. We thought it would be useful to
get Schmitt's take on this election season and what he expects and fears from the voting on
November 3rd and the count and certification to follow. Before we begin, I should note that
Al Schmitt and I have known each other for a long time. I was a political reporter for many years
for the Philadelphia Daily News and public radio when Al was active in local Republican politics.
Well, Al Schmitt, welcome to Fresh Air. Great to be back with you, Dave.
Let's spend a moment on that harrowing experience following the 2020 election. And to remind listeners,
this was the first COVID election right 2020 when male ballots normally not common in the United
States were all over the country. Back then, Philadelphia was typically used to processing about
13,000, 14,000 absentee ballots. Now there were over 370,000 male ballots.
And the state election code prevented your election workers from even opening the envelopes
until election day, which meant it was going to take a long time. It was expected that Donald Trump
would be ahead on the machine vote because he had discouraged people from using male ballots.
Tell us what it was like to try and get all those ballots counted as quickly as you could.
Yes. And to help sort of set the scene here, you're right. It was the first election that
Pennsylvania had with no excuse male ballot voting, meaning any voter could vote by male.
Philadelphia also had essentially new voting systems in person at the polls, that election.
We also had the COVID environment, possibly at its peak. And we also had civil unrest in
Philadelphia. So we were trying to manage our way through all of those different challenges.
With male ballot voting, we had about half of our voters, probably because of the COVID
environment at the time, vote by male. That's a lot in a presidential election with
predictably very high turnout. But one thing that puts Pennsylvania at a disadvantage then
and now is that our counties can't begin processing male ballots until 7 a.m. on election
morning. Other states begin that process days, if not weeks. They can rip them in the envelope
so that you're ready to process the ballot. That's right. So on election night at 8 p.m.
they're ready to report the results of what they had worked on for many days of not weeks.
In Pennsylvania, that's not the case. So in 2020, obviously we had the in-person results coming
in first. Those are people who voted at the polls on election day, followed by these waves
of updates for voting by male as they were tabulated by our counties.
Right. So you would give regular updates on what the count of the male ballot showed.
And what was happening was you could see that Donald Trump's lead in the state was shrinking
as more democratic votes rather than Republican were reflected in the male ballots.
It got to a point where it got ugly and personal, didn't it? I mean, threats.
Right? Yes. So we had had fairly general threats prior to that. Like you're going to get what's
coming to you or things that don't really rise to a level of concern for me, especially at
this point. But as it went on, they certainly got a lot more specific naming my children, providing
my address in the threats, obviously graphic descriptions of the violence. So I really relied
on law enforcement, especially the Philadelphia Police Department, which did an incredible job,
and I'm always going to be grateful for really taking care of my family. Like we were inside
the convention center. We had many, many police officers and sheriffs present outside. That's
probably why the threats were targeting your family, right? You're not there. It's all about
trying to keep you from doing your job. So we couldn't allow ourselves to be distracted from doing
our job because of the threats targeting our families. Was your family relocated? My family
was relocated, and then we had around the clock police protection for many months after that,
because the threats continued, certainly leading up to the certification of the presidential election.
Many weeks later, so when I walked the dog police were coming with us. When we took the kids
sledding, the police were there. It was just a constant presence. Yeah. Thanksgiving. Christmas.
I don't want to be sort of surreal. I don't mean to laugh about it, but it was a surreal environment,
and we got to know them pretty well, and I said I'm grateful. So you're still a registered
Republican and serving a Democratic governor in a swing state. So here we are. And President Trump
has been very, very active in warning that there will be fraud and that male ballots are subject
to fraud. And not just talking. I mean, he's tried to do things and get the government to do things,
which would affect the voting in this election. Give us a sense of the kind of incoming demands
you have gotten from the federal government. Well, there have been several, primarily from the
Department of Justice and from the Department of Homeland Security. The biggest, of course, was
demand that we provide Pennsylvania's voter rolls to DOJ and not just the publicly available
voter rolls, but the Social Security numbers of every registered voter in Pennsylvania that we have,
every driver's license number and all the rest. So that's information that we are obviously
typically prohibited from sharing. It would not be legal for us to share. And it was clear that we
weren't going to provide that information and we declined their demand. That information has
to be safeguarded. Nothing would jeopardize election integrity more than Social Security numbers
and driver's license numbers being shared with multiple government agencies with unclear control
over that sort of information. So we declined. The courts ruled in our favor as they did in
more than two dozen others at this point in these lawsuits against DOJ.
Right. I believe also the Department of Justice told you that there were 14,000 non-citizens
registered to vote in Pennsylvania. Do I have this right? Department of Justice and Department
of Homeland Security. The accusation was that we have north of 14,000 non-citizens registered to vote
in Pennsylvania because of whatever data matching using whatever data sets in whatever way that
led them to reach that conclusion. This came your way when two months ago? Some months ago.
And then we responded rightly, I think, asking for more information on this. What data was used
from what data sets, how did the matching occur? What do you consider a match and not a match?
Like, I have the same name as my dad. Would we show up as a match? It's the same person because they
obviously did not have Social Security number driver's license number, which is a unique identifier
that everybody has that would be necessary to do that sort of matching. And even when that matches,
you still have to do the hard work. You still have to do the research. And I was a Republican
Election Commissioner in Philadelphia for 10 years. Election integrity is very important from
my point of view. And it's important to handle it responsibly and not just cry wolf every two
time, you have some sort of data match based on garbage information.
And so you responded saying, give us more information and then what happened?
We had a virtual meeting with them where we asked more questions, the answers to those
questions, obviously were insufficient to provide us with any sense of security or certainty
related to the reliability of their data.
And that was the end of it.
Other than a letter from the Department of Justice saying, as you currently know, you
are under criminal investigation.
Criminal investigation?
Yes.
When you're under criminal investigation, you generally know that by other means, like
you get a grand jury sipping or investigators come to you to talk to you.
You would and it also doesn't usually start as you as you must know or as you know.
But there's nothing certainly special about that.
Every secretary who refused DOJ's demand received the same letter.
We'll take a break here.
Let me reintroduce you.
We are speaking with Al Schmidt. He is Pennsylvania's secretary of the Commonwealth, the state's
chief election official.
We'll talk more after this short break.
This is Fresh Air.
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As you look forward to the election, just a little less than two weeks away, what worries
you?
Well, anyone involved in the election administration worries about everything all the time.
And any issue, big or small, can be exploited to undermine confidence in election results.
So that's always a concern.
It's never a question of things not being a concern.
But obviously now we've had to consider a lot more things than we did in the past, such
as the threat of federal interference or anything like that.
So we work with our counties.
We do tabletop exercises with them.
We work with our state partners, Pennsylvania state police and National Guard and others
to work through different scenarios so that should anything occur from any direction,
or all prepared and can communicate and know what everybody's roles and responsibilities
are.
There's a lot of discussion about how common or uncommon election fraud is in the country.
And you're in a better position than most people to have an opinion about this, because
you participated in elections not just as an election official, but as a Republican candidate
running for office in a city run by Democrats.
You also, when you were a city commissioner on the election board in Philadelphia, did a study
of election in proprieties and fraud?
So what did you find?
I mean, is there fraud out there?
Well, we did find evidence of cases of voter fraud, as we always have in Pennsylvania
and elsewhere.
It's just that it occurs extremely infrequently and has never had any impact on the outcome
of an election.
But that's not to shrug it on.
And I made several referrals to the U.S. Attorney's Office and to the District Attorney's Office
and Attorney General's Office, and worked with all three levels of law enforcement in
Pennsylvania and in Philadelphia to investigate and when warranted prosecute and hold people
accountable who did commit acts of voter fraud.
And it was always at a very local level, affecting very small races because that's where
a handful of votes can really impact the outcome of an election, not necessarily pressing
the United States or any statewide race.
One of the things you hear about corruption in Philadelphia is that dead people vote.
You actually looked into this once, right?
Tell us that story.
I did.
I'd great length.
It is the easiest thing in the world to prove if it occurred.
You know when a vote was cast and you know when a voter died.
You have a record of when the person died and you have a record of when their vote was
cast.
So we worked comparing the Social Security death index against the voter rolls and narrowed
it down to in the end.
It was about 10 to 12 cases that I was sure that we got I was sure that we had identified
10 to 12 cases where a dead voter had voted.
But you can't just rely on a data match and say that's evidence of anything.
It was only a lead.
So that's where you had to do the hard work.
You had to knock on doors, the first door I knocked on in North Philly.
I remember the woman answered the door and her record was that she was deceased.
It's just that she had the same name as someone else in the same precinct or division in
Philadelphia and her record was canceled not the person with the same name.
So it showed up as a false positive.
There was that.
There was where people would go to vote and someone else in the same place.
Usually mother and daughter or father and son with the same name and they would sign
in the other person's spot, not in their spot.
So it was never a question of more votes.
The voter roll book that the election worker would say sign here.
That's right.
So it would be Auschwitz followed by Auschwitz and they would sign where it had the one
person not the other.
It was in a fraudulent vote or anything else like that.
It was signing the poll book under the wrong person's name with the same name.
And in the end, we ended up with zero out of that 10 to 12.
It was kind of disappointing because I thought for sure that you heard so much about all
this over all these years and you put in all that hard work and I mean, it was a relief
knowing that you didn't have voter fraud going on.
There was certainly something important to take from it all, but you know, you're end
up in this search and in the end, everything that could be done was done and there was
no evidence of it.
I'm wondering if the experience of 2020 has affected people's willingness to serve on
election boards and assist in elections.
We track it at Department of State and we've certainly seen an increase in turnover when
it comes to the people responsible for elections and there are many reasons for it, right?
Sometimes people are just ready to retire.
For others, it's because of the environment, the way that it's been around elections.
And also the requirements to be an election director have changed so much since I got
involved in 2011 and 2012.
So you have to be a lot more public facing.
You have to be better at communicating.
We have never had so much interest in elections.
People have a lot of questions.
It's just incumbent upon us to provide them with truthful answers to their questions so
that they're not deceived by people who lie for a living.
Al Schmidt, I wish you a smooth and peaceful election day.
Thank you for coming in and speaking with us.
Thank you, Dave.
Al Schmidt is Pennsylvania's Secretary of the Commonwealth, the state's chief election
official.
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Podcast Summary
Key Points:
President Trump and his allies have pushed federal interference in state elections, including demanding voter rolls with personal data and attempting to restrict mail-in ballots through postal service rules.
Federal efforts to purge non-citizen voters using outdated databases have been widely discredited, with states like Nevada and California finding zero actual non-citizen voters after thorough investigations.
Actions such as mass arrests and raids on alleged non-citizen voters are widely seen as politically motivated publicity stunts, lacking evidence of fraud or criminal conspiracy.
The Trump administration’s attempts to block mail-in voting through postal regulations were blocked by courts, and the rules remain in litigation, with potential impacts into future elections.
Experts warn that federal interference, especially attempts to seize ballots or voting machines, could disrupt the electoral chain of custody and undermine election integrity.
A significant surge in political spending by ultra-wealthy individuals—like Elon Musk and Michael Bloomberg—has created an uneven playing field, raising concerns about undue influence on elections.
State election officials, like Pennsylvania’s Al Schmidt, have faced threats and demands for data, but have consistently defended election integrity through transparency and rigorous audits.
Despite fears of fraud, investigations into voter fraud—including dead voters and identity confusion—have found no evidence of widespread misconduct impacting election outcomes.
Summary:
The upcoming midterm elections are less than two weeks away, and President Trump continues to push aggressive efforts to interfere with the democratic process. His administration has sought to undermine election integrity through federal mandates to purge voter rolls, restrict mail-in ballots, and demand sensitive personal data from states—many of which have been legally blocked by courts. Investigations into claims of non-citizen voting have found no substantial evidence, with states like Nevada and California identifying zero such cases after thorough reviews.
Critics argue that federal actions, such as mass arrests and raids, are politically motivated shows of force rather than legitimate law enforcement. Experts emphasize that the electoral chain of custody—ensuring ballots remain under secure, transparent control—is vital for fair outcomes, and any attempt to seize or alter ballots would be a serious breach of democratic norms. Meanwhile, unprecedented spending by billionaires like Elon Musk and Michael Bloomberg is reshaping campaign finance, creating a system where wealth translates into disproportionate political influence.
Despite these challenges, state-level election officials, such as Pennsylvania’s Al Schmidt, maintain that elections are secure and that fraud is rare and insignificant. The overall consensus is that while threats and conspiracies persist, the democratic process remains resilient—supported by robust state oversight, legal safeguards, and a lack of credible evidence of systemic fraud.
FAQs
Federal agencies like the Department of Homeland Security have attempted to purge voter rolls using lists of potentially non-citizen voters, but these efforts are legally problematic and often based on unreliable data. States have rejected these demands, citing constitutional protections and the lack of evidence for widespread fraud.
No, the federal government lacks the constitutional authority to run elections. States manage voting, and using federal databases like SAVE to purge voters is legally questionable, especially since the data is outdated and prone to errors like name matches with no unique identifiers.
No significant cases of large-scale non-citizen voting or voter fraud have been proven. Investigations, such as those in Nevada and California, have found that alleged non-citizen voters were either not registered or eligible to vote. Fraud remains extremely rare and localized.
These claims are widely disputed and not supported by evidence. The integrity of voting systems is safeguarded by physical and procedural measures, and attempts to disrupt mail-in voting through court orders or federal mandates have been blocked by courts.
No, such actions would violate the 'electoral chain of custody' and are legally and practically dangerous. Seizures during live voting would disrupt the process, allow for tampering, and require a warrant—making them highly unlikely without probable cause.
Yes, three federal laws prohibit armed federal officers from appearing at polling places. Any such action would be illegal and could lead to legal challenges, though political backlash would likely prevent widespread implementation.
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